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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-19-19 | Mets -210 v. Marlins | 0-3 | Loss | -210 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 6* play on the New York Mets. I think Noah Syndergaard (3-3, 4.74 ERA) and the hard-hitting visiting side are well worth the price of admission in this one. Syndgaard comes in off a strong outing as well, beating Washington by allowing only two runs over eight innings. Note that he’s also 6-0 with a 1.64 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Fish. His counterpart Sandy Alcantara (1-4, 5.11) is 0-1 with a 6.34 ERA vs. the Mets this season. Key Trends: - The Mets 4-0 (+4.2 units) already this year in revenging a shut out loss vs. an opponent. - The Marlins are just 2-5 in their last seven after shutting out a division rival. The verdict: This one has “blowout” written all over it. Lay the price with confidence! |
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05-18-19 | Twins v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 18-4 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Twins/ Mariners. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The starting pitchers. While Twins’ ace Jose Berrios (6-2, 3.05 ERA) comes in off a terrible outing, he’s still pitched into the sixth inning in nine of ten games this year. He’ll be opposed by Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 4.50), who is 0-0 vs. the Twins in five career match ups, despite posting a 1.26 ERA (giving up only seven hits and two runs over 14 1/3’s innings). Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under in ten of its last 14 after playing two or more consecutive road games. - Seattle has seen the total go under in six of its last ten as a home underdog of +125 or more. The verdict: Everything points to a classic “duel.” Play the under! |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. These teams split four regular season games, but so far it’s been all Golden State to open the WCF. And the Warriors are doing it without star Kevin Durant as well. But I think home court will prove to be the difference maker for the Blazers in Game 3. Game 1 was a blowout, but Portland had every chance to take Game 2. Now on its home floor, I look for it to redeem itself finally. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU win. - The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home game vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict; With their backs against the wall, I look for the Blazers to finally step up and answer the bell. Lay the short points! |
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05-18-19 | Cubs v. Nationals -142 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals. I like the home side to bounce back here after yesterday’s 14-6 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to Jon Lester (3-1, 1.16 ERA), while the home side counters with Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.63). Lester hasn’t given up a single run in his last three starts, which is clearly unbelievably impressive. However, I think it’s a run which is clearly unsustainable. Strasburg has quietly been dominating for a while now as well, going 2-2 with a 2.36 ERA with 47 K’s over his last 34 1/3’s innings of work. Key Trends: - The Cubs are just 3-6 this year as a road dog still. - Washington is 26-18 in its last 44 after allowing eight or more runs in its previous contest. The verdict: I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Lester takes a step back and Strasburg continues to progress. All things considered, a great price. Lay it! |
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05-18-19 | Cardinals v. Rangers UNDER 12 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cardinals/Rangers. I feel this total is much too high considering the talented hurlers on the mound. Also note that the Cards are in a major drought right now, having been outscored 21-5 in losing their last three games. St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson (2-3, 4.61 ERA) comes in off a decent outing vs. Pittsburgh, allowing three runs over seven innings of work. Despite being 0-2 in May, he’s posted a 3.18 ERA. He’ll be opposed by Ariel Jurado (1-1, 1.50) who makes his first start of the season. In his last appearance he gave up two runs over three innings to Kansas City. Key Trends: - The Cards have seen the total go under in six of their last eight after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games. - The Rangers have seen the total go under in four of five already this year ager scoring seven or more runs in two straight games. The verdict: I expect these hungry starting pitchers to throw deep into this one. Play the under! |
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05-18-19 | Mets -122 v. Marlins | 0-2 | Loss | -122 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the New York Mets. After falling 8-6 in yesterday’s series opener, I like the Mets to bounce back here on Saturday. Miami looks poised for an immediate letdown after breaking its seven game slide. I give a big nod to Mets’ starter Steven Matz (3-2, 3.86 ERA) over his counterpart Pablo Lopez (2-5, 5.93). Lopez faced the Mets on May 10th and was shelled for ten runs and a career-high ten hits over three innings. Key Trends: - The Mets are already 2-0 this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as a road favorite. - The Marlins are only 2-7 vs. southpaws this year. The verdict: I think we’re getting fantastic value on Matz in this matchup. Lay the short price! |
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05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies -163 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies. Antonio Senzatela has been far better on the road than at home this year (big surprise considering his home field is Coors!), but I still think that Aaron Nola is the “correct call” in this matchup. Nola got out to a terrible start to 2019, but he’s been “lights out” since by giving up just six runs over his last 21 1/3’s innings of work (Nola is also 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three career starts vs. Colorado, while Senzatela is a pedestrian 0-1 with a 5.01 ERA in his lone start vs. Philadelphia. Key Trends: - Colorado is just 2-5 (-3 units) this year already following a one run loss. - The Rockies are only 4-9 (-5.1 units) after two or more straight losses. - The Phillies are 9-4 this season as a home favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: Look for Nola to continue his progression in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price! |
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05-17-19 | Sharks v. Blues -133 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the St. Louis Blues. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. I think it works here. St. Louis had a late lead in Game 3, only to let the Sharks score in the waning moments to tie it and then it would go on to fall in OT. After that crushing 5-4 loss, I believe the Blues bounce back and revenge that upset. San Jose is still only 24-24 on the road this season, averaging 3.29 goals and allowing 3.46. The Blues on the other hand are 27-22 at home, averaging 3.10 goals and conceding 2.98. Key Trends: - San Jose is 1-4 in its last five following a win. - The Blues are 28-12 in their last 40 when playing on one days rest. - St. Louis is 16-7 in its last 23 home games when playing the role of favorite. The verdict: The Sharks have been very average on the road all year and I believe that trend carries over here after their big Game 3 win. The Blues have been an above average home team and coupled with the revenge factor and these strong trends, they become my one and only 10* NHL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. Lay it! |
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05-16-19 | Twins v. Mariners +108 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Seattle Mariners. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. I think it’s a factor here for the Twins after their 8-7 extra innings win over the Angels yesterday. The Mariners had the day off after sweeping a two-game set from the A’s. Michael Pineda and Erik Swanson has both struggled this year, so I’ll call that department “even” tonight. The difference is in team conditioning and in the numbers. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 3-7 in its last ten following a road game in which it scored eight or more runs in, while also winning the contest. - Seattle is 5-1 (+5.2 units) this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play on the Mariners! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 218 | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Blazers/Warriors. While Game 1 went under the number in Golden State’s 116-94 win, I expect a much more wide-open offensive affair in Game 2. Portland was definitely sluggish after its Game 7 series win in Denver only 48 hours previous. But with that difficult game out of the way, I expect to see a much livelier Blazers team tonight. Golden State will be going for the jugular and it’s offense has in fact looked better since Kevin Durant went out with injury in the series win over the Rockets. No question this one sets up great for a higher-scoring “shootout” in Game 2. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go over in 17 of 29 already this year in trying to revenge a loss where its opponent scored 100 or more points. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 23 of its last 34 when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: Damian Lillard has struggled over his last three games, and I don’t expect that trend to continue at all for the Blazers’ All Star. Look for Portland to come out and push the pace. This number is low, play the over! |
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05-16-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Bruins/Canes. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Down 3-0, I think the defensive minded Hurricanes double-down on the defensive end tonight. Boston net minder Tuukka Rask is now 11-5 with a 1.96 GAA in the playoffs. He’s also 9-7 with a 2.27 GAA lifetime vs. Carolina. The Hurricanes’ Petr Mrazek is still 12-6 with a 2.33 GAA at home. I believe these goaltenders will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in 15 of 23 on the road this year when the total is set at 5.5. - Carolina has seen the total go under in five of six this year after three or more consecutive losses. - The Hurricanes have seen the total go under in 30 of 48 this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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05-15-19 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the LA Dodgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Kenta Maeda. He’s 4-2 with a 4.03 ERA this year and he’s gotten significantly better as the season has worn on. So far he has a sharp 34:18 K:BB over his last 38.2 innings of work and note that he’s 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA at home thus far. Key Trends: - San Diego is still just 11-12 vs. the division this year. - The Dodgers are 18-6 as a home favorite. The verdict: Look for LA and Maeda to take this one decisively and lay the price with confidence! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The regular season results between the clubs. Kawhi Leonard’s Game 7 winner over the 76ers was awesome, but I think the visitors, who went just 1-3 vs. the Bucks in the regular season, will come out flat here in Game 1. The Bucks are well rested after their demolition of the Celtics and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 8-10 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - The Raptors are only 10-11 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. - Milwaukee is 27-18 ATS at home this season. - The Bucks are 8-1 ATS in the playoffs thus far. The verdict: At some point Milwaukee is going to slide ATS, but not here in my opinion. Look for the Bucks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points! |
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05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues -140 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the St. Louis Blues. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home ice advantage. The Sharks have been one of the best home teams this year, but their achilles heel has been their play on the road. Note that San Jose is 2-4 on the road in the playoffs thus far. The Sharks have only averaged 2.00 GPG on the road in the playoffs as well. The Blues are 17-6 in their last 23 at home. Key Trends: - San Jose is just 1-5 in its last six playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. - St. Louis is 23-9 in its last 32 when playing on one days rest. The verdict: Blues’ net minder Jordan Binnington looked good in Game 2 and I think the red hot rookie will be even better in front of the home town crowd. Lay the short price! |
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05-15-19 | Rockies v. Red Sox -140 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Boston Red Sox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Eduardo Rodriguez. The Boston starter has been on fire of late. While just 4-2 with a 4.53 ERA overall, Rodriguez has gone 4-0 with a 2.78 ERA over his last six starts. All Boston victories. Key Trends: - Colorado is just 3-7 this season as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - The Rockies are only 1-4 this year after a win by two runs or less (won 5-4 in extras last night). - The Red Sox are 93-54 (+26.9 units) the L2 years following a loss. The verdict: I like Rodriguez to carry over his recent form here and I think that Marquez and the Rockies take a step back here after last night’s extra innings win. Lay the reasonable mid sized price! |
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05-15-19 | Mets v. Nationals -160 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Washington Nationals. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Patrick Corbin. No big surprise to learn that my “key angle” for this contest comes on Nats’ starter Patrick Corbin (3-1, 3.20 ERA) so far this year, including 2-1 in all “night” contests. Key Trends: - The Mets are just 8-11 (-4.5 units) this season after a win. - The Nationals are 3-5 (-4.9 units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175. The verdict: I think Corbin is the correct call here over his younger counterpart (Font). Lay the price with confidence! |
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05-14-19 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -154 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Padres on the run line. As good as Clayton Kershaw was, I think he’s overmatched here facing the red hot Chris Paddack. Paddack (3-1 ,1.55 ERA) went eight scoreless vs. the Mets in his last start. Kershaw (2-0, 3.31) gave up four runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Braves in his last outing. Key Trends: - San Diego is 10-6 as a road dog this year. - LA is only 2-4 in its last six after shutting out its opponent. The verdict: I think these two starters battle deep. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra innings, I’m going to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! |
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05-14-19 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -140 | 6-2 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Pirates’ Joe Musgrove (1-4, 4.20 ERA) squares off against the Diamondbacks Luke Weaver (3-1, 2.98) in this one. Weaver is coming off back-to-back seven inning performances and in three career starts vs. Pittsburgh he’s 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA. Musgrove has been shelled for 14 runs over his last 5 2/3’s innings of work. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 3-5 (-1.3 units) as a road dog in the +105 to +150 range. - Arizona is 15-10 in all night games. The verdict: Momentum. The D-Backs come in with a lot of it after five straight victories. I think that Weaver is well worth the price of admission in this one! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Blazers/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No Kevin Durant. I think the All Star’s absence catches up to the Warriors here. Portland is deceivingly good on the defensive end I believe and the last thing the visitors will want to do is to turn this one into a “track meet.” From a situational stand point, I think Game 1 of the WCF’s definitely sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in five of its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Golden State has seen the total go under in 18 of 28 this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: While filled with offensive talent, I believe the circumstances and trends clearly point to the under as the correct call in Game 1! |
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05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -105 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Carolina Hurricanes. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Past trends. Dating back to 2016 Carolina is 3-2 on home vs. the Bruins. Also note that the home team is 9-2 in the last 11 in this series. Key Trends: - Boston is just 3-7 in its last ten road games following a three goals or more home victory. - Carolina is 3-2 so far this year when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: Look for home ice to be the difference here. Play on Carolina! |
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05-14-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9 | 14-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cards/Braves. Two competent hurlers square off in this National league contest on Tuesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Jack Flaherty (3-3, 4.32 ERA), while the home side sends Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 5.94). Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under in three of four already this season after allowing eight or more runs. - Atlanta has seen the total go under in 30 of its last 45 after three or more consecutive wins (took three of four vs. the D-Backs over the weekend.) The verdict: I think Foltynewicz finally gets his act together here in this favorable spot. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-13-19 | A's v. Mariners -122 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Seattle Mariners. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Mike Fiers. Fiers (3-3, 5.48 ERA) comes in off his second career no-hitter in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Tuesday. Despite the great effort, Fiers still owns the poor overall 5.48 ERA and I think he suffers a predictable letdown here. His counterpart Yusei Kikuchi (2-1, 3.54) most recently allowed one run off three hits with ten K’s and one walk in a no-decision to the Tribe on Friday. Key Trends: - Oakland is just 5-13 on the road. - Seattle is 11-3 (+8.3 units) vs. clubs with losing records this year. The verdict: A great spot bet in my opinion, as I think Fiers definitely suffers a letdown after his no-hitter last time out. Lay the short price! |
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05-13-19 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -150 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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05-13-19 | Blues +118 v. Sharks | Top | 4-2 | Win | 118 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the St. Louis Blues. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington. He clearly wasn’t at his best in Game 1’s 6-3 setback. But Binnington is almost entirely the reason that St. Louis is where it is right now and I believe he and the Blues offer great value to bounce back here on the road. St. Louis has averaged 2.77 goals and allowed 2.46 on the road this year. Key Trends: - St. Louis is 19-10 (+5.4 units) this year after allowing four or more goals. - The Sharks are already 0-4 (-4.9 units) when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: I think San Jose suffers a letdown here and I look for the stingy Blues to get back on track in this series! |
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05-13-19 | Indians v. White Sox +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the White Sox on the run line. The Indians’ Shane Bieber has been the victim of some back luck of late. I think that trend continues here. Reynaldo Lopez has struggled, but the White Sox have been getting decent production at the plate of late and I think the hungry home side keeps this one competitive late. So far these clubs have split six meetings this year. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-9 (-7.1 units) vs. the division. - The Indians are only 6-7 (-2.9 units) after allowing four runs or less in four straight. - Chicago is 11-6 (+7.7 units) in all “night” games. The verdict: I think Cleveland stumbles again. Lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! |
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05-13-19 | Angels v. Twins -146 | 5-4 | Loss | -146 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Minnesota Twins. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Jose Berrios. He should definitely be a bigger favorite in this matchup in my opinion. Both teams come in off losses, but Berrios (6-1, 2.53 ERA) has arguably been the hottest pitcher so far in 2019. He faces Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 4.70) who was just rocked for eight runs over 4 2/3’s innings vs. the Tigers on Wednesday. Key Trends: - LA is just 8-12 on the road this year. - Minnesota is 13-7 at home. - The Twins are 11-3 (+8.8 units) this year following a loss. The verdict: I like Berrios to continue his red hot start. Great value, lay the price with confidence! |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Astros/Tigers. This is the opener of a three-game set. Detroit’s been competitive. Tonight’s starting pitchers have been better than advertised and I believe that they’re going to battle each other deep into the latter frames. Brad Peacock (3-2, 4.30 ERA) just went seven scoreless vs. Kansas City, while Detroit hands the ball to its ace Matt Boyd (4-2, 2.86.) Boyd has posted seven straight quality starts, going 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA in that span. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in five of six already this year on the road when the money line in the contest is set between -100 to -150. - The Astros have seen the total go under in 12 of 19 on the road overall this season. - Detroit has seen the total go under in 17 of 27 as an underdog this year. The verdict: As stated off the top, I believe these starting pitchers battle deep into the latter frames, helping to result in a lower-scoring affair. Play the under! |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 following a SU win of more than ten points. - Toronto is 6-0 in its last six following a SU loss of ten or more points. - The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss. The verdict: Note that the home team has taken four of the six games in this series (it’s also interesting to note that the home team is 105-28 in Game 7 situations in the history of the league.) It’s difficult to win Game 7 on the road and the 76ers achilles heel all year has been their performance away from friendly confines. The numbers/trends and the overall situation both point to the Raptors as the correct call tonight. Lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -5.5 | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 6-7 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Blazers are only 3-9 ATS this season off a win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 7-3 ATS this season when playing on two days rest. - The Nuggets are 20-10 ATS in their last 30 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Denver enjoys one of the best home court advantages in the league, and I think it matters here in Game 7 of the second round. Look for the home side to buckle down on the defensive end and to pull away for a comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 212.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Blazers/Nuggets under. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten when playing with two days rest. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in seven of ten when playing with two days rest this year. - Denver has seen the total go under in seven of ten this year off a road loss by ten points or more. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this season after allowing 115 points or more. The verdict: Fatigues plays a factor in this pick for sure. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-12-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Hurricanes/Bruins. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The goaltenders. Before falling 5-2 in Game 1 to the Bruins, the Hurricanes gave up only five total goals to the Islanders over their four-game series sweep. Carolina goaltender Petr Mrazek is still 5-4 with a 2.40 GAA in the playoffs and 11-11 with a 2.43 GAA on the road. Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is 9-5 with a 2.02 GAA in the postseason. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go under in five of its last six road games after allowing five or more goals in its previous contest. - Boston has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 after a victory of three goals or more. The verdict: After the offensive explosion in Game 1, almost all of which game in the third period, I’m expecting a “duel” in Game 2. Play the under! |
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05-11-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers -133 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -133 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the LA Dodgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Inept offense. Max Scherzer (1-4, 3.78 ERA) has looked a lot better of late, but the Nationals continue to struggle at the plate, as evidenced by yesterday’s 5-0 setback. The Dodgers’ Walker Buehler (4-0, 4.95) comes in off a strong outing vs. the Braves on Monday, allowing three runs with eight K’s over seven innings. Key Trends: - Washington is just 6-14 (-12.6 units) in all “night” games this year. - LA is 9-4 (+3 units) this season as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I like Buehler to match Scherzer. Lay the short price with confidence on the hot hitting home side! |
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05-11-19 | Reds v. Giants +116 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the San Francisco Giants. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Reds’ starter Anthony DeSclafani’s issues with the Giants. He owns a lifetime 6.08 ERA vs. the Giants and I think he’ll struggle here as well. San Fran starter Jeff Samardzija is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA and after yesterday’s 7-0 loss in the series opener, I think he and the home side offer terrific value to bounce back on Saturday. Key Trends: - Cincinnati is just 7-14 on the road this year. - The Reds are only 13-18 vs. right-handed starters this year. - San Fran is a money-making 11-9 (+4.5 units) this season in all “night” games. The verdict: I think the shape money is on Samardzija. Play on the Giants! |
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05-11-19 | Blues +1.5 v. Sharks | 3-6 | Loss | -235 | 58 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 5* play on the Blues on the puck line. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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05-11-19 | Marlins v. Mets -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the Mets on the run line. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Mets starter Jacob deGrom. MLB handicapping is all about the starting pitchers and when releasing a “run line” play, I base it primarily on or against one of the starters. For this one I’m basing it primarily on deGrom, who after a slow start to 2019 has returned to form, giving up just two runs over his last 14 innings of work. Key Trends: - Miami is just 4-9 as a road dog of +150 or higher this season. - New York is 33-20 in its last 53 as a favorite of -150 or higher. The verdict: Look for New York to build off yesterday’s convincing victory and lay the 1.5 runs! |
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05-11-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Pirates/Cards. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Current form of today’s starters. Jordan Lyles (has had MAJOR issues with the Cards in the past, but he comes in with a 2-1, 2.20 ERA record. St. Louis is in a major hitting slump currently, so Lyles has an opportunity to take advantage. Cards’ starter Miles Mikolas (4-2, 4.02) has given up just one run over his last two starts (Nats and Phillies.) This contest has “duel” written all over it! Key Trends: - The Pirates have seen the total go under the number in nine of 16 on the road already this year. - The Cards have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 12 as a favorite. The verdict: Expect these competent hurlers to battle deep. Play the under! |
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05-10-19 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The Braves’ suspect bullpen. When the D-Backs swept a three-game series in Atlanta at the start of the year, they’d slug out 11 runs off 14 hits with ten walks over ten innings off Braves’ relievers. And it was the same thing in last night’s opener, as Arizona would rally in the tenth to earn a walk-off victory. Key Trends: - Atlanta is just 4-8 as a road dog this year. - Arizona is already 3-1 this season as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Greinke also gets the big nod on the mound over Teheran. All things considered, I feel this line could/should in fact be much higher. Great value on the home side, lay it! |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 211.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Rockets. Will home floor prove to be the difference again for the Rockets? So far the home side has won every game on its home floor and while Game 5 went “under” the number, I look for Game 6 to be a much more wide-open affair. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in six of seven already this year when leading in a playoff series. - The Rockets have seen the total go over in all three games that it’s played in so far in the playoffs when trailing in a series. The verdict: Despite Kevin Durant sitting, I’m expecting the defending champs to pour it on here. It’s do or die for the Rockets, who will also clearly have the foot on the gas from start to finish. With each team pushing the pace, I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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05-10-19 | Padres v. Rockies -145 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Colorado Rockies. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rockies’ starter German Marquez. He’s given up just three runs in two starts vs. the Padres at Coors Field. Key Trends: - San Diego is just 45-80 (-14.5 units) as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - The Friars are already only 2-4 (-2.6 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite. - Colorado is already 5-1 this year as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for Colorado to build off last night’s high-scoring victory and lay the price with confidence! |
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05-10-19 | Marlins v. Mets -165 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the New York Mets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Mets’ starter Zack Wheeler. MLB handicapping for the most part comes down to the starting pitching, so it doesn’t come as a big surprise to learn that today’s “key angle” is Mets’ starter Zack Wheeler. Both teams have been struggling of late (the Marlins much more so than the Mets) and each of these starters has also struggled to open the 2019 campaign. Wheeler though is 5-2 with a 1.89 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Fish. Key Trends: - Miami is just 4-12 as a road dog this year. - New York is 6-1 in its last seven after a loss by two runs or less. The verdict: The Mets are only 4.5 games behind the Phillies and face a very favorable stretch over the next two weeks. Look for the home side to get things rolling on Friday night and lay the price with confidence! |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver has looked like the better team over the last two games and I believe that trend continues in the Pacific Northwest tonight. Outright victory? Not out of the question obviously, but in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing the points. Key Trends: - Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a blowing win by 20 or more points. - Portland is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Denver is too deep and it’s bench is now playing better than Portland’s. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if an outright occurs! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors -125 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Toronto is 3-0 ATS in its last three attempts in trying to close out a playoff series. - Philadelphia is only 12-13 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 110 points or more in. - The 76ers are only 7-14 ATS in their last 21 revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more (including 0-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in the playoffs and the rest of his team is feeding off of him now. Philadelphia big man Joel Embiid is having difficulty with the one-two matchup of Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol and I have a hard time seeing the home side remaining very competitive. With a chance to end this series here and now, I believe the Raptors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the short points! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 213 | 101-112 | Push | 0 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. I have a play on Toronto as part of my three game report as I believe it’s going to try and end this series here and now. Look for Toronto to come out firing and expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 21 in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent (including in all three such instances this season). - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in nine of 14 this year already as a road favorite of six points or less. The verdict: Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in the playoffs and the rest of his team is feeding off of him now. Philadelphia big man Joel Embiid is having difficulty with the one-two matchup of Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol and I have a hard time seeing the home side remaining very competitive. With a chance to end this series here and now, I believe the Raptors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the short points! |
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05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 123 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Hurricanes/Bruins. Carolina got by Washington in seven games, but it only needed four to beat the Islanders. Boston needed seven games to beat Toronto, before then needing six to get by Columbus. Not many would have predicted that these two teams would be fighting for the Eastern Conference Final this season, but here we go. With a couple days off to prepare, I expect a wide open “shoot-out” in Game 1. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go over in nine of its last 12 following a three games or more unbeaten streak. - Boston has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 following a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Each has a capable goaltender, but I look for both teams to push the pace in Game 1. This one has high-scoring “goal-fest” written all over it. Play the over! |
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05-09-19 | Giants v. Rockies -151 | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on Colorado Rockies. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Giants’ starter Derek Holland. He’s a terrible 1-3 with a 6.18 ERA in five career games vs. Colorado. Kyle Freeland is 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in nine starts lifetime vs. San Francisco. Both of these starters have struggled to open 2019, but I think that Holland’s in over his head once again in this difficult road ballpark. Freeland on the other hand has the track record and pedigree to get things turned around and I think that starts tonight. Key Trends: - San Francisco is just 4-7 (-2.1 units) this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Colorado is already 3-1 (+1.5 units) this season as a -150 fav or higher. The verdict: A fair price considering all of the above information. Lay the price with confidence! |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Sometimes it means nothing and sometimes it means everything. Golden State destroyed the Rockets at home in Game’s 1 and 2, before Houston returned the favor on its home floor in Game’s 3 and 4. I believe this strong trend continues here. Key Trends: - Houston is just 19-25 ATS on the road this year. - Golden State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to finally come out firing tonight and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-08-19 | Reds v. A's -118 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the A’s. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Reds’ starter Sonny Gray. He’s 0-4 with a 3.89 ERA and the only time he faced his former team he’d get destroyed, allowing five runs and nine hits over five innings while he was with the Yanks. I think he gets another rude welcoming in his first return to Oakland. The A’s Brett Anderson is 4-2 with a 3.89 ERA thus far. Key Trends: - Cincinnati is just 15-26 the L2 years in all interleague contests. - Oakland is 11-6 at home so far this year. The verdict: Look for Anderson and the A’s to get the better of Gray tonight. Lay the price! |
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05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the San Jose Sharks. Key Trends: - Colorado is a poor 12-22 (-13.4 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - San Jose is 53-36 the last two years after allowing four or more goals in its previous contest. The verdict: Colorado was “lucky” to earn the OT win in Game 6, but I think the Avs luck runs out here. The Sharks are 6-2 at home in the playoffs and I look for them to take advantage in Game 7. Lay the price! |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218 | 91-116 | Win | 102 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Cold Kyrie Irving. As Kyrie Irving goes, so go the Celtics. Or so it would definitely seem. The Celtics All Star had a monster Game 1 and Boston went on to victory. Since then though the Bucks have made adjustments and Irving is currently going through his worst three-game shooting slump of his playoff career. Nothing’s going to change here in this difficult venue in my opinion. Clearly Boston can’t turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the high-flying Bucks, so with the visiting side also doubling down defensively, everything definitely points to a defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in five of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 20 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: If the Celtics season ends tonight, clearly it won’t be without a fight until the end. Play the under! |
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05-08-19 | Phillies v. Cardinals -136 | 5-0 | Loss | -136 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Cards starter Joe Flaherty. After yesterday’s 11-1 loss, I think the home side bounces back with Flaherty on the mound. Flaherty (3-2, 4.17 ERA) is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA vs. the Phillies. Phillies’ starter Jerad Eickhoff (1-1, 2.05), is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA vs. the Cards. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is still just 1-6 (-4.3 units) as a road underdog this year. - St. Louis is already 8-2 (+5.3 units) this season at home with a money line between -100 and -150. The verdict: I think Flaherty at home at this price is definitely the correct call. Lay the short price! |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-14 ATS as a six points or less road dog this year. - The Blazers are a poor 1-3 ATS this season off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. - The Nuggets 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of six points or less. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: As this series winds on, I think that home floor will prove to be significant. The Nuggets dominated this series in the regular season and while they’ve had issues at points, they have the home floor advantage with three games remaining after hanging tough for the Game 4 victory. Look for that momentum to roll and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-07-19 | Stars +1.5 v. Blues | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 6* play on the Stars on the puck line. I think laying the steeper price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance is the way to go in Game 7. In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time between these evenly matched clubs, the Stars on the puck line is the correct move in my professional opinion. Key Trends: - Dallas is 10-7 (+4.1 units) this year trying to revenge a home loss vs an opponent. - The Stars are 12-7 (+5.4 units) this season after allowing four or more goals. - St. Louis is just 14-15 (-3 units) this year after a win by two goals or more. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the Stars on the puck line! |
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05-07-19 | Marlins v. Cubs -192 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 6* play on the Chicago Cubs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. Chicago had won six straight until yesterday’s series opening loss to the Marlins. The Fish had lost three straight previous to yesterday’s victory. The Marlins have been anemic at the plate this year, especially on the road, so I’m not going to read too much into one decent outing. Caleb Smith and Jon Lester are evenly matched on the mound tonight, but Chicago has been solid at home all year and I look for it bounce back after yesterday’s loss. Key Trends: - Miami is still just 4-9 as a road underdog this year. - Chicago is 8-4 asa home favorite. - The Cubs are 93-60 (+12.2 units) the L2 years following a loss. The verdict: Look for the home side to avenge yesterday’s setback and lay the price! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 89-125 | Win | 104 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over in 30 of 49 this year after failing to cover the spread in its previous game. - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in eight of 12 this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Raptors have seen the total go over in five of seven off an upset win as a road dog this season. The verdict: This has been an all out war. Besides Kawhi Leonard though, most of the “stars” for both of these teams have struggled with consistency. I think that changes here as the series winds on. It’s been a back and forth battle to this point and I don’t see that trend changing here. Everything points to a shootout in my opinion! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the 76ers. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a home loss. - The 76ers are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS off a loss vs. a division rival this season. - Toronto is 21-24 ATS as a home favorite this year. - The Raptors are 0-2 ATS this year already when tied in a playoff series. The verdict: These teams continue to respond to each other and I believe that trend continues in Game 5. Outright victory? Probably not. But in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab all these points! |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche -114 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show |
Writeup: Ricky’s 10* play on the Colorado Avalanche. Key Trends: - San Jose is 0-3 (-3.9 units) this year when leading in a playoff series. - Colorado is 3-0 (+4.1 units) in the playoffs so far when trailing in a series. The verdict: This has been a back and forth series. But I think that Colorado at this price at home and considering the overall circumstances is the correct move. Play on the Avs! |
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05-06-19 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uneven numbers. For the Warriors sharp-shooters. Despite Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson missing at least two-thirds of their three-point attempts in each of the last four games, Golden State almost took a 3-0 lead in this series. I expect these numbers to start getting corrected quick fast in a hurry. Look for Curry and Thompson to be pivotal in tonight’s game. Key Trends: - Golden State is 37-25 ATS in its last 62 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Houston is just 3-9 ATS this year after allowing 120 or more points in its previous contest. - The Rockets are a dismal 9-17 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more. The verdict: Look for the defending champs to start hitting some shots in this series. Grab the points! |
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05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -112 | 3-0 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. I think at this price at home and considering the circumstances, that we’re getting great line value on the Jackets here. Clearly these two teams are very evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers, but the threat of elimination, coupled with this favorable line and home ice advantage makes the home side the correct move. Key Trends: - Boston is just 2-6 (-5.7 units) in its last eight when leading in a playoff series. - Columbus is 19-12 (+3.3 units) after allowing four or more goals. The verdict: All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Play on the Jackets! |
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05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Bruins/Blue Jackets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The goaltenders. I think they’ll steal the show in Game 6. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 7-5 with a 2.19 GAA in the playoffs, while Blue Jackets’ goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is 6-3 with a 2.33 GAA. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under the number in 31 of 50 this year vs. clubs with winning records. - The Jackets have seen the total go under the number in 20 of their 32 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: This one has all the makings of a good old fashioned “goaltenders battle.” Play the under! |
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05-06-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -142 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the New York Yankees. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - CC Sabathia. For the most MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching, so it comes as little surprise to learn that today’s “key angle” is Yanks’ starter Sabathia, who is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA so far this season and who is 14-6 with a 2.60 ERA in 29 starts vs. Seattle. His counterpart Felix Hernandez is just 1-2 with a 4.31 ERA this season. Key Trends: - Seattle is just 2-12 (-9.8 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. - New York is 49-23 (+13.3 units) the L2 years as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range (including 4-1 this season!) The verdict: Sabathia at this price at home is definitely the correct move in my opinion. Lay the price! |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. After losing in four OT’s in Game 3, I think the desperate Nuggets once again leave everything on the floor and find a way to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Clearly these two teams are very evenly matched, but I think the “revenge” angle works here. Key Trends: - Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a close loss of three points or less to an opponent. - Portland is just 2-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are only 1-4 ATS this year after a close win by three points or less. The verdict: I think the home side stumbles after its big Game 3 win. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, let’s grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Twins v. Yankees -139 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 10* play on the New York Yankees. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - History of futility. The Twins rebounded from Friday’s 6-3 loss to win 7-3 yesterday. But wins have been few and far between for Minnesota in the new Yankee Stadium, as it’s still just 10-26 there. Ex Yankee Michael Pineda starts for the Twins and he’s coming off three straight poor outings, most recently allowing five runs in five innings in an 11-0 loss to Houston (has given up 15 runs over his last three outings overall.) Domingo German is so far 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 2-4 as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - New York is 6-1 this season as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the short price! |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Injury to Pascal Sikium. You can’t lose your second leading scorer and not feel the effects. Especially at this time of year. Especially just after the injury occurring. Toronto looked poor before the Sikium injury and now I believe it’s lack of overall scoring talent will prove too much for it to overcome vs. this 76ers side which is clearly firing on all cylinders. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 7-9 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last five when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: The Raptors continue to garner much too much respect from the oddsmakers in my opinion. Play on Philadelphia! |
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05-05-19 | Blues v. Stars -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Dallas Stars. Key Trends: - St. Louis is 6-15 in its last 21 as an underdog in the +110 to +150 range. - Dallas is 12-5 in its last 17 after scoring two goals or less in is previous outing. - The Stars are 5-1 in their last six when playing on one days rest. The verdict: The Blues rode their red hot rookie goaltender to the playoffs, but their lack of scoring depth is now very evident. The Stars have the momentum, they have an equally as capable if not better goaltender in Ben Bishop and they also have the better and more talented offense. How is Dallas not a much bigger fav in this spot?! In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Stars! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Clearly for the Rockets that is. Houston can ill afford to go down 3-0 to the defending champs in this series. The Rockets need to change the tone of this one right away and I expect to come in the form of a high-intensity “push” from start to finish in Game 3. The Warriors won’t be going down without a fight, but their inconsistencies on the road can’t be ignored either. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 21-23 ATS on the road this season. - Houston is 22-15 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Rockets are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS this year when playing with double revenge. The verdict: I like James Harden and Houston to lay it all on the line tonight and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points! |
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05-04-19 | Astros -130 v. Angels | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Houston Astros. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Astros’ closer Roberto Osuna Jr. This game is being played in Monterrey Mexico, which is only a 12 hour drive from where Osuna grew up in Los Mochis. The Angels are only the home team on paper. Osuna is 2-0 with a 0.68 ERA with seven saves in 13 games and over 13 1/3’s innings he’s allowed just three hits with no walks and 11 K’s. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-0 this year already when playing with a day off. - LA is just 1-3 this season already when playing with a day off. The verdict: The difference isn’t with the starting pitchers, it’s in the intangibles and numbers. Great value, lay the short price! |
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05-04-19 | Cardinals +110 v. Cubs | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals. I think that Michael Wacha and Yu Darvish are evenly matched here. Neither has gotten out to a great start to 2019, but each comes in off one of their better overall efforts. After yesterday’s 4-0 defeat though, I like the Cards to bounce back in the second game. Key Trends: - St. Louis is 10-6 in all day games. - The Cards are already a perfect 3-0 this year after two or more consecutive losses. - Chicago is only 4-11 (-12.8 units) in its last 15 after allowing one goal or less. The verdict: Look for Darvish to stumble vs. this hungry/difficult opponent. Play on the Cardinals! |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Bad matchup for the Blazers. It has been of late despite the Game 2 victory. The Blazers have been better at home than on the road, but they’ve had their difficulties with the Nuggets as Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven played in Portland and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine between the clubs overall. This series has the feeling of being a very “back and forth” one. Key Trends: - Denver is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Portland is just 3-7 ATS this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are 0-4 ATS this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever one of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points! |
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05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues -140 | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 36 h 55 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Blues. Key Trends: - Dallas is a poor 13-17 (-6.5 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - St. Louis is 19-9 (+6.8 units) this season after allowing four or more goals. - The Blues are 26-20 (+5.2 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: This has been a back and forth and unpredictable series, but home ice combined with the above strong trends make St. Louis the correct call in my opinion. Lay the price! |
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05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the the total go under in 16 of 24 this year after a win by two goals or more. - The Stars have seen the total go under in 21 of 28 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 13 of 20 this year following a loss by two goals or more. The verdict: While this series has surprisingly been high-scoring, I think this important contest finally sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle. Play the under! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks +2 v. Celtics | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston rolled to victory in Game 1, but Milwaukee was prepared in Game 2 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over on the road tonight (note that Milwaukee was 26-15 ATS on the road this season.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already 10-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Bucks are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 120 points or more. - Boston is a poor 14-18 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Milwaukee got caught off guard by Boston’s defensive intensity in Game 1, but minor adjustments in Game 2 allowed the Bucks to hit 20 three points in their absolute destruction of the Celtics. I expect the visitors to employ an identical game plan in Game 3. Grab the points! |
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05-03-19 | Giants v. Reds -162 | Top | 12-11 | Loss | -162 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Cincinnati Reds. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Sonny Gray. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching anyways and for this particular matchup my “key angle” is indeed Reds’ starter Sonny Gray, who is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in two career meetings vs. the Giants. This is the opener of a seven game trip for the Giants and I think Tyler Beede, who is being called up from Triple A to make his 2019 major league debut is in over his head. Key Trends: - The Giants are just 3-6 this year as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. - The Reds are a perfect 3-0 this season as a -150 favorite or higher. The verdict: All things considered, I think this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price! |
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05-03-19 | Islanders +125 v. Hurricanes | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 18 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the New York Islanders. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. For the Islanders obviously. If New York loses tonight, its season is over. Clearly no one would have predicted that the Hurricanes would beat the Capitals in seven games and then roll out to three straight victories as the underdog against the Isles, but here we are. Carolina is not as good as its recent win streak would indicate and I still think that the Isles have some fight left in them. I’m not going to over-react and expect the home side to suffer a predictable letdown here in this “trap” situation. Key Trends: - New York is 14-9 (+7 units) this season after allowing four or more goals. - Carolina is a terrible 11-17 (-9.1 units) in its last 28 after a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Pack your bags folks, we’re heading back to Long Island. Play on the Islanders! |
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05-03-19 | Cardinals +104 v. Cubs | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Cubs starters Kyle Hendricks. He’s struggling this year, so far with a 1-4, 5.33 ERA record. While he’s had success against the Cards in the past, that was then and this is now. Cards’ starter Joe Flaherty is 3-1 with a 4.06 ERA and he comes in on top form after going seven shutout innings in a 5-2 win over the Reds on Sunday. Key Trends: - St. Louis is 10-5 in all day games this year. - The Cards are 17-9 vs. right-handers - The Cubs are already just 3-4 this year after four or more consecutive road games. The verdict: I like Flaherty to continue his red hot start. Great value on the surging visiting side and what I feel to be the superior starter! |
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05-02-19 | Blue Jays v. Angels -130 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LA Angels. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Mike Trout. The Angels have a chance to sweep this series here. Trout went 2 for 4 with a walk in Wednesday’s 6-3 Angels’ win. Note that Trout has reached base in all 28 games this year. Sanchez and Skaggs are a “wash,” but Trout and the Angels’ momentum carries to the sweep here. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 65-81 (-8.3 units) after two or more consecutive road games. - LA is 38-26 (+15.7 units) the L2 years after allowing three runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: The Jays’ inconsistencies at the plate continue and Trout and company continue to roll. Great value, lay the price! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214 | Top | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Raptors/76ers. Both teams have looked impressive in their victories and poor in their defeats. With the shift in venue, I think we’re going to see a “shootout” here. The Raptors have bodied up well against the high-flying 76ers so far, but the numbers/trends point to much more of an offensive affair in Game 3. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 17 this year in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent. - Philadelphia has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of 21 this year after a win by six points or less. The verdict: This has been an interesting series so far and I predict another intestine game here. With each team expected to push the pace, look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later. Play the over! |
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05-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -119 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -119 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets. After taking Game 1, the Bruins appear out of gas and I think the fresher Blue Jackets will take advantage. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky looked sharp in Game 3 by stopping 36 of 37 shots and the team recorded a whopping 53 hits. The verdict: Note that Columbus is now 8-1 in its last nine at home. The Playoffs is about making adjustments. It’s also about “momentum” and “chemistry.” The Blue Jackets looked flat footed in Game 1 after they demolished the league leading Lightning in four games, but since then they’ve been once again hitting their stride. Expect another dominant performance here and lay the price with confidence! |
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05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Dallas Stars. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Essentially anyways. Heading back to St. Louis in a 3-1 hole is pretty much a “death sentence” for the Stars, so I’m expecting that sort of an effort from the home side tonight. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the Stars have the better overall offense and coupled with the clear motivational factor working in its favor, this is a fantastic price in my opinion. Key Trends: - St. Louis is already only 2-3 this year when leading in a playoff series. - Dallas is 11-5 in its last 16 after allowing four or more goals. The verdict: I think the “back and forth” nature of this series continues in Game 4. Lay the price! |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. This was my “key angle” in Game 1 as well, as I’d go on to state that: It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-18 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 13-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. - The Nuggets are 22-16 ATS this year after two or more SU victories. The verdict: I think this is a bad matchup for the Blazers and I like the home side to take advantage again here. Lay the points and expect a blowout! |
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05-01-19 | Indians -158 v. Marlins | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -158 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Cleveland Indians. Corey Kluber (2-2, 5.81 ERA) has struggled to open the year, while Caleb Smith (2-0, 2.17) has been fantastic. Regardless of that, I still think we’re getting great value on the hard-hitting visiting side, as despite recent form, I think these two starters are a “wash.” And at this price, the value swings to Cleveland in my opinion. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 9-4 as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range this season. - The Marlins are just 4-15 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range this year. The verdict: The Marlins have lost four straight and come in with zero momentum. Smith has been a bright spot, but I think he takes a step back here. Lay the price! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 36 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. I think it works here. I think overall that Houston would beat the Clippers in a seven game series and LA ave Golden State plenty of issues in its six-game opening round series win. With a chance to still earn the split, I think that James Harden and company will at the very least, keep this one competitive again until the final moments. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-0 ATS this year in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponents. - Golden State is only 17-26 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Warriors are already 1-3 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, I’ll recommend grabbing the points! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Rockets/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Rockets looked good defensively in Game 1 despite the loss. The Warriors looked good defensively as well in the victory. I expect an identically hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring affair in Game 2 as well. Will the shift in venue to Houston lead to a higher-scoring shootout? Perhaps. But for this one, everything points to another “under.” Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 this year as a road dog. - The Rockets have seen the total go under in 18 of 29 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. - Golden State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 after a win by six points or less. The verdict: All signs point to a “ground hog day” from Game 1 on the total. Play the under! |
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04-30-19 | Sharks +105 v. Avalanche | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the San Jose Sharks. The Avs managed the 4-3 OT win in Game 2, but the Sharks dominated Game 1. For the most part San Jose has been the better team in this series early and I believe that trend carries over on the road. Note that the Sharks took three of four in the regular season series. Key Trends: - San Jose is 52-36 in its last 88 after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. - Colorado is just 12-21 (-12.2 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This is a bad matchup for the Avs. Just as Colorado was a bad matchup for Calgary. I think the visitors offer great value here! |
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 36 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Sharks/Avs. Game 2 saw the Avs battle for a 4-3 OT win. I expect a similar high-scoring war in Game 3 as well. Key Trends: - The Sharks have seen the total go over in 13 of 19 this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - The Avs have seen the total go over in five of its last seven following an OT road win in which it scored four or more goals in. The verdict: This series features a ton of offensive talent. Expect it to be on full display in Game 3. Play the over! |
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04-30-19 | Yankees v. Diamondbacks -131 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Two wily veterans face off on the hill tonight. The Yanks hand the ball to CC Sabathia, while the Diamondbacks go with Zack Greinke. The pitching is a wash and each team comes in relatively hot at the plate and overall. The difference today is in the numbers/trends. Key Trends: - New York is still a poor 20-34 (-10.4 units) in its last 54 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range (including just 1-3 this season). - Arizona is 11-2 in its last 13 “night” games. The verdict: I believe the Diamondbacks take advantage of friendly surroundings and I think the sharp money is on Greinke to get the better of Sabathia, who definitely looks poised for regression. Play on the D-Backs! |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Boston/Milwaukee. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Say whatever you want, but after their Game 1 demolition, if the Bucks don’t recover here and earn the victory, then they’re going to obviously be in a heap of trouble heading back to Boston down 0-2. Milwaukee came into this series as the highest scoring team, but the Celtics aggressive defense proved to be the difference in Game 1. With Milwaukee pushing the pace from the outset, Boston is going to have to keep up in Game 2 though. This one has shootout written all over it. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go over in 15 of 22 this year off a road win. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in five of its last six off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. The verdict: I was surprised by how easily the Celtics dominated the Bucks in Game 1, but I expect Milwaukee to respond with a much better, four-quarter effort in Game 2. This number is low, play the over! |
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04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home ice advantage. The Blue Jackets could easily have a 2-0 lead here. I guess the same could be said of the Bruins. However, at this price I think the surging Blue Jackets are well worth the price of admission in this one. Boston was much better at home than on the road this year and while it had success against the porous Leafs, clearly Columbus is an entirely “different animal.” Great value overall here in my opinion. Key Trends: - Boston is just 2-4 (-3.8 units) in its last six when tied in a playoff series. - Columbus is 40-21 (+11.2 units) in its last 61 when playing with two days rest. The verdict: As stated above, I definitely feel we’re getting great value on the home side. Lay the price with confidence! |
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04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - The Blazers are a poor 11-17 ATS this year as a road dog. - Portland is just 2-4 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 12-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think Denver’s depth proves to be the difference in Game 1 at home. Lay the points! |
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04-29-19 | Orioles v. White Sox -129 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Chicago White Sox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Momentum. I’m going to call these young starting pitchers a “wash.” John Means (3-2, 1.74 ERA) of the Orioles and Manny Banuelos (1-0, 2.51) have each shown plenty of promise to this point. But Baltimore comes in with zero momentum, getting swept in Minnesota over the weekend, while Chicago has won three of its last five. Key Trends: - Baltimore is just 2-5 as an underdog in the +100 to +150 range this year. - Chicago is already 3-1 as a home favorite this season. The verdict: I like the White Sox to continue their recent progression and to take advantage of this clearly slumping Orioles side. Lay the price! |
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04-29-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Blues/Stars under. Key Trends: - The Blues have seen the total go under the number in 13 of 19 this year after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. - Dallas has seen the total go under in 16 of 23 this year after a win by two goals or more. - The Stars have seen the total dip under in 13 of their 19 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Game 1 was a “push” as far as the total was concerned, while Game 2 went “over.” This all important Game 3 sets up fantastically as a defensive affair finally; play the under! |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | 94-89 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Just a bad matchup for Philadelphia. Toronto’s aggressive defense has been the difference in this series of late. The Raptors took three of four in the regular season and then they steamrolled the 76ers in Game 1. This is a terrible matchup for the 76ers, whose big man Joel Embiid has his hands full with the duo of dominant veteran centers Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is a poor 8-11 ATS this year trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 after two consecutive home wins by ten points or more. The verdict: Expect Toronto’s superior defense to once again be the difference maker in Game 2 and lay the points with confidence! |
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04-29-19 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the over A’s/Red Sox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Eduardo Rodriguez. The Red Sox’ starter has struggled with consistency, going just 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA. Both teams come in struggling and desperate for some production at the plate though. The Red Sox are 11-17, their worst start since 1996. In a two game series loss to TB, Boston went 0 for 11 with runners in scoring position. Oakland’s dropped three in a row, including two in walk off fashion. Key Trends: - Oakland has already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after having lost three of its last four games. - Boston has seen the total go over the number in 26 of its last 39 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: I’m banking on these hungry and clearly underachieving line-ups to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the over! |
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04-28-19 | Rangers v. Mariners -125 | Top | 14-1 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Seattle Mariners. Key Trends: - Texas is just 6-11 as an underdog this year. - The Rangers are only 3-9 on the road this season. - The Mariners are 6-1 as a favorite this year. - Seattle is still 9-5 vs. the division. The verdict: After yesterday’s rare 15-1 win, I think the Rangers return to norm here as they’d lost their previous six. I’m calling Lance Lynn and Eric Swanson a “wash” on the mound, but the situation and the numbers make the home side well worth the price of admission in my opinion. |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Finally something to prove. For the Warriors that is. It would be easy to write an argument for the Rockets, as they come in off a relatively easy series victory, while Golden State struggled at times vs. the Clippers. The Warriors also came out on top of the Eastern Conference Finals vs. the Rockets last year after being down 3-2. Golden State won the West, but it struggled with issues all year. Golden State also lost big man DeMarcus Cousins in the win over LA. But the core of the Warriors remains and I still think that it’ll be more than enough to take care of James Harden and company again. At least in Game 1. Chris Paul has been a shell of his former self all season and I think he’ll struggle slowing down Steph Curry and crew. Key Trends: - Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less. - The Rockets are only 1-3 ATS this season when playing with three or more days rest. - The Warriors 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. The verdict: I think Golden State plays with a chip on its shoulder here. Lay the points! |
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04-28-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the New York Islanders. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. After going seven games vs. the Capitals, including a double OT win in Game 7, followed by a 1-0 OT win in Game 1 in round 2, I think the Hurricanes come in flat footed and fatigued here. While New York came out with little energy in Game 1, expect that to change tonight. Great value here! Key Trends: - Carolina is just 5-7 (-4 units) this year after a three-game unbeaten streak. - The Hurricanes are still only 21-22 this season vs. teams with winning records. - New York is 13-6 (+8.7 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I think the Hurricanes are very satisfied having already earned the split. Lay the price! |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Celtics/Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest leads to rust. Both teams looked impressive in their first round series victory. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG and they allowed just 91.8. The Bucks averaged 121.8 PPG and they conceded only 98. I think each doubles down on the defensive end after a few extra days off between series. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in all three of its games this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 23 of its last 36 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: Everything points to a defensive battle in my professional opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 86-90 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. In Game 7, I think it’s going to matter. Each team has two wins at home and one on the road in this series. Denver was much better at home than on the road this season as well. The Spurs had the experience advantage in this series, but I think Denver’s youth and its home floor advantage proves to be the difference here. Key Trends: - San Antonio is just 11-14 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 17-13 ATS revenging a loss vs. an opponent this year. - The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a loss by ten points or more. The verdict: I’m expecting Jokic and company to step up and deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Spurs/Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. The Spurs laid it all on the line in Game 6, which went “over” the number. I had a play on San Antonio in that one. This has been a difficult and back and forth series and I believe each team is “gassed.” Expect these two defensive minded clubs to play to a classic defensive affair in Game 7. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under in eight of 12 this year after a blowout win by 15 or more points. - Denver has seen the total dip under in nine of 12 this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This number is a little high in my opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners -120 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Seattle Mariners. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rangers’ starter Mike Minors’ history of futility vs. the M’s. The Rangers come in with zero momentum after five straight losses. That’s bad news for starter Minor, who is 1-3 with a 5.01 ERA in eight career appearances vs. Seattle. Mariners’ starter Mike Leake on the other hand owns a very respectable 2.72 ERA in six career starts vs. Texas. Key Trends: - Texas is just 72-101 on the road the L2 years (including just 2-9 this season.) - Seattle is 64-40 L2 years as a home favorite. The verdict: I think the home side completes the sweep. Great value overall! |
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04-27-19 | 76ers +6 v. Raptors | 95-108 | Loss | -102 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Philadelphia’s white hot offense. The Raptors were able to slow down Orlando, but Philadelphia comes in averaging 122.4 PPG. Toronto took three of four in the regular season, but Philadelphia faced the much stiffer test in the first round vs. the Nets and I think it carries that momentum over here in this evenly matched contest. Key Trends: - Toronto is 0-8 ATS in its last eight when playing on three or more days rest. - Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do expect this one to be decided in the final moments. Grab the points! |
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