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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Blues/Pens. The Blues come to Pittsburgh off a 4-0 win at Chicago and they're now 18-5-6 on the season. Note that St. Louis has been exceptional on the road thus far, going 10-1-3. St. Louis netminder Jordan Binnington is 13-4-4 with a 2.26 GAA this season and he's 2-0-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens. Pittsburgh has lost two straight, falling 5-2 to these very Blues in St. Louis, before a 5-2 defeat at Columbus. Clearly the revenge minded home side will be doublding down on the defensive end this evening after back-to-back beatdown losses. Goaltender Matt Murray is now 9-5-4 on the year with a 2.84 GAA. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 already this season vs. clubs with winning records. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last ten non-conference games. The verdict: I'm banking on a slower-paced goaltenders battle between these two non-conference opponents; play the under! |
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12-04-19 | Tulane v. Southern Miss | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Southern Miss. USM returns from the Bahamas hungry for a win in this rivalry game. The Golden Eagles though return home battle tested, having already played heavyweights No. 7 Gonzaga, No. 13 Seton Hall and Alabama in consecutive nights. One player to watch out for for the home side is LaDavius Draine, who had back-to-back double digit games to open the Bahama tournament. Tulane was only 4-27 last year, but first year head coach Ron Hunter has the Green Wave looking like a completely different team in the early going, thanks in large part to some key transfers. That said, I think Tulane will get caught off guard here from this hungry home side. Key Trends: - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Green Wave a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven off a home win by ten points or more. - Southern Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: Clearly the outright is in the cards here, but let's grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | VMI +18 v. Duquesne | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on VMI. I think the 6-0 Duquesne Dukes get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. The VMI Keydets though come in under the radar here, as they've quietly won three of their last four. These teams haven't played since 2017 and the Dukes scored the 77-61 win. Duquesne is riding high after big wins over Indiana State, Air Force and Loyola Marymount in the Junkanoo Jam in Bihimi.  Key Trends: - VMI is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the +18.5 to +24 points range. - Duquesene is only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite. The verdict: VMI had three losses by three or fewer points in its first five games, so its win/loss record could in fact be a lot better. No outright, but considering everything I believe that this is far too many points to be giving up to the Keydets; grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Evansville | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Western Illinois. Western Illinois' two-game win streak came to an end vs. KC last time out, falling 68-67. That was after being down by as many as 18 in the firs thalf. Ben Pyle scored a game-high 21 points in a losing cause. I think the Leathernecks carry that momentum over here though as they try to score their five ever SU victory over Evansville. Four starters are averaging double figures for the visitors though: Kobe Webster (16.3 PPG), Zion Young (15.4), Ben Pyle (12.7), C.J. Duff (10.8) Key Trends: - Note that five of WIU's games have been decided by seven points or less this year. - The Purple Aces are just 2-4 ATS this season as a favorite. - Evansville is only 1-3 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I believe the Purple Aces are going overlook their lowly, but hungry opponent today; grab the points! |
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12-03-19 | Senators v. Canucks -160 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
My 8* DESTROYER is on the Vancouver Canucks. I play underdogs, totals and favorites. I don't rarely suggest playing juice this high, but in this case I think it's warranted. Vancouver beat the Oilers in Edmonton 5-2, before then falling to them at home 3-2 last time out. One player to keep a look out for for the home side tonight is leading goal scrorer J.T. Miller, who has six points over the last five games. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Sens have lost four straight and they average only 2.56 GPG. This is a tough, late night West Coast matchup and I think Ottawa struggles to put the biscuit in the basket vs. this talented home side. Key Trends: - Vancouver is 7-3 in its last ten home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than .400. - Ottawa is interestingly just 3-7 in its last ten vs. the Pacific Division. The verdict: I think that the writing is on the wall and a home side blowout is in the cards; lay the price! |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* BLOOD-BATH is on the Vikings. I think "revenge" works as an angle here as Minnesota has lost five straight in this series. The Vikes have had a week off to prepare for this one though. With the Lions, Chargers, Packers and Bears stil to go, this is clearly a game that the Vikes can't let slip away. Seattle allows 282 passing yards per game and Vikes' QB Kirk Cousins has been "lights out" this year, with 21 TD's and three INT's to go along with 2,756 passing yards. The Vikes allow 268 passing yards and only 94.2 rushing. I think Wilson is going to have a difficult time moving the ball effeciently today vs. this top ranked defensive unit. Key Trends: - The Vikes are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 after losing a contest ATS (including 3-1 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are only 5-10 ATS in their last 15 as a home favorite (including just 1-4 ATS this season.) The verdict: In a contest which I see coming "down to the wire," let's grab the points! |
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12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Suns/Hornets. From both situational and trend based stand points, I think this sets up great for a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Suns are dire need of a victory here as they've lost three straight. The Hornets had won two in a row before falling 137-96 to the Bucks on Monday. Charlotte shot just 36% vs. Milwaukee. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in five of its last six as a home dog. The verdict: Two teams hungry for a victory battle tooth and nail and this one stays WELL under the number once the final horn sounds! |
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12-02-19 | Miami-FL +8 v. Illinois | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Miami Florida. This is part of the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. This is a big game for the Hurricanes who are 0-3 vs. Top 100 teams to open the season. Miami has allowed 79 PPG over its last two losses, but overall the defense has been decent. Overall Miami is averaging 62.3 PPG. The Illini average 88.3 PPG in the earliy going, but that's largely been due to the level of competition. Key Trends: - Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog or pick - Illinois is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, find a way to keep this one competitive late; grab the points! |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Houston Texans. The Patriots are 10-1, but they've faced some pathetic competition this year. Pats' QB Tom Brady is only averaging 5.6 YPA over his last four games. Houston comes in off a win over the Colts and is in dire need of another victory here to keep pace for the Wild Card. Also note that it's been reported that several NE defensive players have the flu this week. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last four off a no ATS cover where it happen to also win SU as the favorite. - NE is only 1-3 ATS in its last four off a home no cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: I think Brady finally gets exposed here and while I wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm grabbing the points. |
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12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals OVER 47 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Rams/Cardinals. The Rams are coming off a terrible blowout loss at home to the Ravens. Baltimore has been playing incredibly tough defense of late though and I think that Jared Goff and company can rebound here vs. the porous Cardinals' defense. Arizona has lost four straight, but it comes out of its bye week and with nothing to lose (except another game), I look for Kyler Murray and company open up the playbook as they look to deal their divisional opponent another blow. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. Key Trends: - The Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five following a home loss. - The Cards have seen the total go over the number in four of five at home already. The verdict: A repeat performance to the Super Bowl is now out of the question for St. Louis, but Goff is playing for his career and pride for the rest of the season. The Cards are rested and focussed and in my opinion when taking into account all of the above information, everything does indeed point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! |
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12-01-19 | 49ers v. Ravens -5.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. The 49ers have struggled this year vs. mobile QB's, including in the slim win over the Cardinals earlier in the year. The 49ers defense has been great, but note that San Fran has actually conceded at least 25 points in three of its past four games. Jimmy Garropolo has looked brilliant at times this year, but also very pedestrian in others. The Ravens' defense looked shaky to begin the season, but the unit has quietly been dominating over the last month, making DeShaun Watson, Tom Brady and Jared Goff all look very ordinary. And what more can be said about Ravens' QB Lamar Jackson which hasn't already been said by a million talking heads out there? Jackson continues to put up huge numbers and I think he'll continue that torrid pace in this important home game. Key Trends: - Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last five following a SU win. - 49ers are interestingly just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. The verdict: I think this West Coast team stumbles in this difficult East coast venue; lay the points! |
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12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts | 31-17 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans destroyed the hapless Jaguars 42-20 last week, but I think they'll take a step back here in this difficult road venue vs. a Colts team on the rebound after a 20-17 setback to the Texans last Thursday. With extra time off to prepare, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor today. Indianpolis won 19-17 in Tennessee earlier in the year and note that the Titans are just 1-10 in their last 11 in this building overall. Key Trends: - Tennessee is just 9-13 ATS In its last 22 on the road (including only 2-3 ATS this year.) - The Titans are a poor 3-5 ATS in their last eight after a victory by 14 points or more (including 0-2 ATS this season.) - Indianapolis is 6-0 ATS in its last six as a home favorite of three points or less (including 3-0 ATS this year.) The verdict: Look for the Colts' defense to step up here and take Titans' backup QB Ryan Tannehill down a notch after last week's big performance; lay the short points! |
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12-01-19 | Eagles v. Dolphins +11 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Miami Dolphins. The Eagles are on the ropes after their 19-7 loss to the Seahawks last weekend. With a chance to finish off their opponents playoff chances, I think the Dolphins use that as motivation today to keep this contest closer than what this spread would suggest. Eagles' QB Carson Wentz doesn't have a lot to work with this season, so his team's offense issues aren't entirely his fault. Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has 1,901 passing yards with ten TD's and ten INT's and I think he'll be able to match Wentz's performance today no problem. If not surpass it. Key Trends: - The Eagles are a terrible 7-11 ATS in their last 18 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range (including just 1-2 ATS this season.) - The Dolphins are a perfect 2-0 ATS in their last two as a home dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: The Eagles have admittedly gotten more out of this line-up in the last two year's than I could have expected, but I think it finally completely unravels this weekend in Mimai (that said, grab the points!) |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
My 10* play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. I said it before and I'll say it again, I don't think that the Bengals are going to go winless this year. 0-11 Cincinnati has a great opportunity to finally get off the schneid at home though vs. the inconsistent 4-7 Jets. New York comes in off a satisfying 34-3 win over the Raiders. The Bengals lost 16-10 to the Steelers last time out. Andy Dalton finally returns under center for the Bengals and I think he'll be the difference maker here. Key Trends: - The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - New York is only 7-13 ATS in its last 20 on the road (including only 2-3 ATS this season.) - The Bengals are still 17-10 ATS in their last 27 as an underdog. The verdict: All good things must come to an end. And in this case, I believe the Bengals' horrible losing streak does in fact end today. That said though, let's grab the points! |
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12-01-19 | Browns -1 v. Steelers | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Cleveland Browns. It's a big game for these two division rivals, as the winner will continue its quest for a playoff wild card, while the other's season will essentially come to an end (barring a run of a lifetime, combined with many other external factors working in its favor). The Browns beat the Steelers at home two weeks ago and they won last week as well. With a victory today the Browns will have an identical record with Pittsburgh. The Browns' defensive play of late is the difference maker for me, as over the last three games they've allowed 15.7 PPG. And that's bad news for Steelers' rookie QB Devlin Hodges, who I think is being thrown to the wolves in this fierce rivarly. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is interestingly just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after playing a game on the road (including just 1-2 ATS this year.) - The Browns are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 vs. divisional opponents, including 2-0 ATS this season. The verdict: Cleveland is finally starting to play up to its potential and I look for it to hammer the Steelers here on their home turf; lay the short points! |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 79 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* play on the UNDER Oklahoma/OK State. The Cowboys have only beaten the Sooners twice since 2010. Oklahoma has won ten of 11 games so far. Overall Oklahoma averages 45.3 PPG, led by Jalen Hurts, while allowing only 25.5 PPG. OKS has won eight of 11 games. The Cowboys average 35 PPG and they concede 26.5, led by Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, who makes his second start of the season in placed of the injured Spencer Sanders. Key Trends: - Oklahoma has already seen the total go under in three of four this season when the total is set between 63.5 and 70. - OKS has seen the total stay under in both games that it's played as an underdog this year already. The verdict: I think these under-rated defensive units become the mian story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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11-30-19 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 96-137 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is the UNDER Hornets/Bucks. Charlotte only averages 105.7 PPG this year as it looks to find an identity after guard Kemba Walker left. Note that the Hornets have failed to score over 102 points in three of their last five. Devonte' Graham has been a bright spot by averaging 13.3 PPG. The Bucks average a league-leading 119.4 PPG, but note that forward Khris Middleton is expected to sit this one. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in four of five off an upset win as an underdog. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in interestingly its last five games after back-to-back no ATS cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is a tad high; play the under! |
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11-30-19 | Colorado +29 v. Utah | 15-45 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Colorado. Colorado has won two in a row, including a 20-14 win at home over Washington as a double-digit dog last weekend. At 5-6, the Buffs need just one more monumental upset to become eligible. Colorado' QB Steven Montez has 15 TD's and ten INT's, but he's been sharp over the last two games and I think he'll keep his team competitive here. Utah is head to the Pac 12 Championship game despite what happens here today. So am I calling for an outright upset? No I am not. Utes' QB Tyler Huntley and company will cruise to victory here, but I believe they'll have a fight on their hands until the final moments. Key Trends: - Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. - Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a double-digit road win. The verdict: I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well Montez is playing right now; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | UL-Monroe +20.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Louisiana Monroe. The Warhawks have won two of three, including their last game vs. Coastal Carolina to improve to 5-6. The Warhawks will battle tooth and nail here to try and become eligible. Louisiana Lafayette is 9-2 and it comes in off a victory over Troy. The Warhawks play with revenge here though after losing this one at home 31-28 last season. Warhawks' QB Caleb Evans was particularly good in last week's win, finising with 346 yards, two TD's and an INT. After scoring 53 vs. Troy last weekend, I think that Levi Lewis and the Cajuns come in a bit complacent here. Key Trends: - Louisiana Monroe is interestingly 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Louisana Lafayette is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite in the 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I'm not calling for an outright win, but everything points to a war until the end; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | North Carolina -8.5 v. NC State | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UNC. NC State is going to try and play spoiler here to the 5-6 Tar Heels, but I think that UNC's depth on offense will prove to be too much for the now eliminated Wolfpack to handle down the stretch. The Tar Heels come in off a 56-7 win over Mercer last week. The Wolfpack have lost five straight and while the thought of playing "spoiler" is a nice one, I simply don't think it's going to matter in this particular instance. Outside of a two-point loss to GT last weekend, each of NC State's last four losses has come by at least two TD's. Key Trends: - UNC is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - The Tar Heels are 2-0 ATS in their last two off a home victory by 17 points or more. - NC State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six off a road loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UNC QB Sam Howell has 32 TD passes this year. Expect Howell to destroy his over-matched competition today and lay the points with confidence! |
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11-30-19 | Flyers v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Montreal Canadiens. The Flyers have three straight, including a 6-1 defeat of the Red Wings in Detroit just last night. Normally I'd always be looking to play against a team in a position like that in the second game of a back-to-back, but I feel doubly so in this spot. Montreal has lost six straight, including getting destroyed 8-1 and 6-4 at home over the last two. I think the Canadiens bounce back here finally in this favorable position. Key Trends: - The Habs are 6-1 in their last seven vs. teams with winning records. - The Flyers are just 1-7 in their last eight when playing the second game of the back-to-back. The verdict: If not now, when for the Canadiens? All things considered, a great price on the desperate home side in my opinion! |
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11-30-19 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +28 | 52-7 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 47 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Georgia Tech I'm going to grab the points in the "Clean Old Fashioned Hate." Tech has beaten two ACC teams in NC State and Miami. Georgia is obviously one of the best teams in the country with a 10-1 record. The Dawgs need to win this game and then they'll be invited to the four team College Playoff. However, after winning five in a row and a big victory over Auburn, I think the Bulldogs get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Georgia Tech is a team in transition, as it switches from the Triple Option offense. The Yellow Jackets have had varying success under first year head coach Geoff Collins. Am I calling for an outright upset of epic proportions? Of course not, I simply feel that Georgia will take its foot off the gas in the second half. Key Trends: - Georgia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games, including just 2-3 ATS this season. - GT is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after playing a home game. The verdict: Look for the home side to open up the playbook and play until the final whistle sounds; as such, grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Maple Leafs v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Sabres. This is the first time these clubs have met this year. Last season the Leafs swept all three games. Buffalo has lost five straight in this series, making the "revenge factor" a very real factor that has to be taken into consideration. Buffalo is desperate here as it's lost 11 of its last 13, including a hard-fought 3-2 OT decision to the Flames at home last time out. The Leafs have looked admittedly better since making a coaching change, but after a 6-0 defeat of the Red Wings on the road last time out, I think a preditable letdown is finally imminent in this afternoon contest. Key Trends: - Toronto is still just 4-7 (-5.1 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - Buffalo is 8-6 (+2.6 units) this year vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: I don't think the Sabres recent slide is a true representation of how good/bad they really are. And the same thing is true of Toronto's recent "up tick" in play in my opinion. Lay the price and grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! |
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11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Nebraska. Iowa's 8-3 and it would love another win here to bolster its bowl bid. Nebraska though is completely desperate for one more victory, as it enters at 5-6. Iowa comes in off back-to-back victories over Minnesota and Illinois. The Cornhuskers have a balanced attack led by QB Nate Stanley. The Cornhuskers have lost four of their last five, but they kept their slim bowl chances alive with a victory over Maryland last weekend. Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez has had an up and down year, but he'll have his opportunities today vs. an Iowa defense which concedes 191 passing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road. - The Hawkeyes are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven after a two-game home stand. - Nebraska is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two after scoring 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -11.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Missouri. Missouri enters off a tough 24-20 home loss to Tennessee. The Tigers are under a one game bowl suspension anyways, so this has become their "bowl" game this year, with Arkansas limping in with a 2-9 record. Missouri has to be liking its chances though, as it's won five of the last six in this series and gone 4-2 ATS in those contests. I think Tigers' QB Kelly Bryant is going to have a big day vs. this porous Arkansas secondary. Arkansas was destroyed 56-20 by LSU last weekend and uncertainty at the QB position has been the issue all year (eight different players have thrown a pass for the team this season.) Key Trends: - Missouri is interestingly 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by six points or less. - Arkansas is a terrible 0-2 ATS as a home dog this year. The verdict: Look for the angry Tigers to take out their frustrations on lowly Arkansas; lay the points! |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 48 | Top | 30-39 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PLAY is on the UNDER VT/UVA. Both teams enter enter this rivarly game at 8-3. Each enters on a three game win streak as well. VT has won this matchup 15 times in a row, including a higher-scoring 34-31 win in last year's matchup. I think the overall situation that each finds itself in, coming into this contest will see a much more defensive affair this time around. This is a big game, as the winner take the ACC Coastal Division crown and will be in the ACC Championship game. VT's defense though is on top form, having posted back-to-back shutouts, including 28-0 over Pittsburgh last weekend. Tech QB Hendon Hooker has 1,134 passing yards, ten TD's and no INT's, along with 262 rushing yards and four rushing TD's. UVA beat Liberty 55-27 last weekend, but it was the first time since 2005 that the Cavs have eclipsed the 50 points plateau. Key Trends: - Virginia Tech has seen the total go under the number in its last three after three straight victories over conference rivals. - UVA has seen the total go under in four of its last five as a home dog. The verdict: While these teams have played to many high-scoring games in the past vs. each other, the overall situation and numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call this year; play the under! |
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11-29-19 | Toledo v. Central Michigan -9 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Rockets are bowl eligible at 6-5. CMU is as well at 7-4. The Chips though can earn a much better bowl with an 8-4 record and I look for them to lay everything on the line in front of the home town crowd. The Rockets came out flat losing 49-30 to Buffalo last weekend, limited to jsut 154 rushing yards. CMU though comes in on top form having won five of its last six. The Chips come in off a hard-fought 45-44 win over Ball State last weekend, going into the break down 27-11. With a chance to move to 8-4, I think the home side carries over that second half momentum here. Key Trends: - The Chips are 5-0 ATS in their last five at home. - Toledo is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The verdict: CMU could have easily thrown in the towel last week, but clearly this is a team on a mission. Look for that to translate into another big win at home this weekend; lay the points! |
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11-29-19 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Texas. Texas is eligible at 6-5, but a victory today would cement its bowl berth. The Red Raiders though are just 4-7 this season and a win won't matter for them at all today. Last year Texas won this game 41-34, but I believe the stage is set for a much bigger blowout victory this time around. Note that the Longhorns had a 17 point lead late in the fourth quarter in that one, before allowing Texas Tech to rally. Texas Tech lost 30-27 to K-State last Saturday and it enters this one with several injuries, including to RB Ta’Zhawn Henry (unknown) and WR Dalton Rigdon (concussion). Texas is also injured, but QB Sam Ehlinger, who has thrown for more than 200 yards in 11 straight games, is primed for a big day vs. this porous Red Raiders' secondary in my opinion. Key Trends: - Texas Tech is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. - The Red Raiders are only 1-3 ATS in their last four off a close loss by six points or less. - Texas is 2-0 ATS in its last two after two or more consecutive SU setbacks. The verdict: I like Ehlinger to help the home side break its three game skid with a big win over their hated rival; lay the points! |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on Mississippi State. Mississippi State has one last chance to become bowl eligible. At 5-6 the Bulldogs still need one more victory to earn a chance at a Bowl berth. Well, what better opponent than 4-7 Mississippi, who has now officially been eliminated from contention? The only two victories for the Rebels in conference play this year have come against the two worst teams (Vanderbilt and Arkansas.) Ole Miss just gave up 58 points to LSU and it struggles to put points on the board most weeks. MSU has had a difficult campaign as well, but with senior Tommy Stevens back under center, I think the home side delivers the goods in the Egg Bowl. Key Trends: - Ole Miss concedes 298.7 YPG through the air. - Mississippi State is still 15-6 ATS in its last 21 at home. The verdict: Ole Miss ranks among the absolute worst vs. the pass and I think Stevens is going to take full advantage; lay the short points! |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys OVER 45 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Bills/Cowboys. This is a big game for both teams. Buffalo has been riding its red hot defensive play all year, as the Bills concede just 288.6 YPG, behind only the 49ers and Patriots. But of late it's been the more confident play of QB Josh Allen which has stuck out to me; Allen now has 2,360 yards passing with 15 TD's and eight INT's. Dallas is coming off a heart-breaking loss to the Patriots and at 6-5, this has essentially become a must win game. The Cowboys clearly can't sit back and hope that Buffalo makes the first mistake. I absolutely think this one sets up as a high-scoring game, rather than a defensive war. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. - The Cowboys have seen the total soar over in interestingly six of their last seven after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think Rosen can match pace with Dak Prescott and the home side this afternoon. In what I expect to be a faster-paced game, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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11-28-19 | Providence v. Long Beach State +17 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on LBSU. Providence is 4-2, most recently defeating Merrimack 93-56. LBSU enters off a humbling 104-67 loss on the road in Arizona. The Friars average 80 and the 49ers allow 77. Key Trends: - However note that Providence is just 14-24 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-3 ATS this season). - The Friars are also a poor 3-6 ATS in their last nine after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court affairs. The verdict: The 49ers won't be going down without a fight here. LBSU has faced some tough opponents in the early going and I don't think it'll be intimiated here; grab the points! |
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11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* START-UP is on the Lions. Whether it's Jeff Driskel or David Blough under center for Detroit today, I think the home side takes the inconsistent Bears down to the wire (at the very least.) Does Mitchell Trubisky have the advantage at the QB position today over his counterparts? While Chicago did beat Detroit earlier in the year, it's gone 2-5 since, due in large part to an offense which averages just 17.1 PPG. Statistically these defenses are similar in many categories as well. Key Trends: - Chicago is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year. - The Bears are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven as a road favorite of seven points or less. - Detroit is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think home field does matter in this one; grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes -147 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Arizona Coyotes. Anaheim broke a three-game slide with a 3-0 win over the Isles, but I believe it'll predictably struggle here. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NHL in scoring, but Arizona has the second best goals against. The Coyotes also play with revenge here after falling in Anaheim 2-1 at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Anaheim is just 4-6 (-2.3 units) after a non-conference games. - Arizona is 3-1 (+2.2 uits) this year after allowing four goals or more. - The Coyotes are 4-1 (+3 units) when playing with two days rest. The verdict: All things considered, I believe this price could/should in fact be much larger; lay it! |
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11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! |
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11-27-19 | Kings +9.5 v. 76ers | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Sacramento Kings. This is the Kings third game in their last four days, the final of their four-game swing. Sacramento will be fired up here to finish up strong in my opinion and take down a vulnerable looking 76ers side which comes in off a humbling defeat in Canada. Most recently Sacramento fell 103-102 to Boston on Monday. Buddy Hield had 11 3-pointer in the setback. 76ers star Joel Embiid was held scoreless in his team's loss in Toronto. Key Trends: - Sacramento averages 105.3 PPG. - Philadelphia averages 109 PPG. The verdict: Sacramento is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. non-conference opponents, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. Sacramento is playing a lot better of late and it has five players averaging in double figures. This one has "battle" written all over it, grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Pistons/Hornets. The Pistons beat the Magic last time out, allowing a season-low 88 points. Orlando was in a bad spot there though with a recent injury to star player Nikola Vucevic. Charlotte won't be resting on its laurels here though as it looks to break a five-game slide. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here as well afer a 109-106 loss to Charlotte at home at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go over in four of five this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - Charlotte has seen the total go over nine of its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the overall situation finally points to more of a "shootout" between these two clubs which normally struggle to put points on the board; play the over! |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! |
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11-26-19 | Stars v. Blackhawks +100 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* BODY-CHECK is on the Chicago Blackhawks. Dallas won a 2-1 shootout over these very Blackhawks last week and the Stars also come in off a 4-2 victory over the Golden Knights at home just last night. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up FANTASTICALLY for the revenge minded home side. Key Trends: - Chicago is 2-0 (+3.9 units) this year when playing with two days rest. - The Blackhawks are 3-1 (+2 uints) in their last four after three or more consecutive losses. The verdict: I like the rested home side to push the pace and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the price! |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Western Michigan. Western Michigan is 7-4 and NIU is only 4-6. The Huskies need to sweep their remaining games to become eligible, but WMU is looking to better its bowl berth as well. I think the Mustangs deliver the knock out blow for the Huskies here though as they enjoy significant advantages both on the field of play and in the stats/trends. WMU needs to win this game have CMU lose this week to earn the MAC West title. WMU comes in out of its bye week as well, rested and focussed on the task at hand. The Huskies have lost two of their last three in blowout fashion, most recently a 45-17 home loss to EMU. Key Trends: - NIU is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on Tuesday. - WMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. The verdict: Expect the Mustangs' superior offense to be the difference in this one; lay the points with confidence! |
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11-25-19 | Golden Knights v. Stars -121 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
My 8* BIG TIGER is on the Dallas Stars. Las Vegas is 11-10-4 on the year. Dallas is 14-8-2. The Golden Knights have been a popular pick by NHL bettors over the last two seasons, but I'm not buying into them this year. Vegas comes in on terrible form, having dropped two straight. Overall Las Vegas averages only 2.43 GPG, while conceding 2.46. Dallas is 8-3-1 at home. The Stars average 2.83 GPG at home and their defense is No. 1 in the league by allowing just 1.92 GPG. Key Trends: - Dallas is 6-0 in its last six as a favorite. - Las Vegas is only 1-5 in its last six vs. the Western Conference. The verdict: This line could/should be much higher in my estimation. As Bob Barker used to say: "The Price Is Right!" |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Ravens/Rams. The Ravens are in the midst of a five-game win streak and they come to the West Coast with an 8-2 record. A prime-time game on the West Coast after such an extended run of stellar play could be viewed by some as a classic "trap" game. The Rams have won three of their last five, most recently holding on for a 17-7 win over the Bears. Clearly the last thing these Rams can do is get into a "shootout" with Lamar Jackson and company. With the home side trying to limit mistakes and control the ball on offense, all signs point to a lower-scoring under in my opinion. Key Trends: - Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in interestingly ten of its last 14 after allowing 14 points or less in its previous contest. - LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four at home already this season. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done! |
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11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! |
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11-25-19 | Alabama State +27 v. VCU | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Alabama State. Alabama State faces its second straight ranked opponent here today, most recently taking on Tennessee, both contests part of the Emerald Coast Classic. Alabama State has also faced Gonzaga this year, so to say its "battle tested" in the early going would be a big understatement. Tobi Ewuosho leads Alabama State in scoring at 14.8 points per game. VCU is 5-0 and it already has a win over then No. 23 LSU by a score of 84-82. The Rams also just posted a 30-point victory over Florida Gulf Coast. However with a game against Purdue on Friday, I think the Rams get caught looking past their opponent today. Key Trends: - VCU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a 25 points or more favorite following a four-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Alabama State to keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-25-19 | Wright State v. Weber State +8.5 | 72-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* ANNIHILATOR is on Weber State. The Weber State Wildcats are 1-2 to open the year. Weber State lost to a couple of pretty good schools though in Utah State and San Diego, before then bouncing back with a 130-50 destruction of West Coast Baptist. This is the team's sixth straight seaosn in a preseason tournament. Wright State comes in off a less impressive 81-55 win over Urbana on Wednesday. I think Wright State will have its hands full here vs. a Weber State team picked to finish second in the Big Sky by the media this year. Key Trends: - Wright State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Weber State is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after playing two straight at home. The verdict: I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | 8-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* ROUT is on the 49ers. San Fran is 9-1 and Green Bay is 8-2. Green Bay beat the Panthers two weeks ago, but I think it'll struggle here after its bye week. San Francisco's road ahead becomes very difficult, making this a very important home game. Key Trends: - The Packers are a poor 6-13 ATS in their last 19 after a SU win. - The 49ers are 3-0 ATS this year in all games when the line is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: As stated above, I think the time off will in fact hurt the Pack here, while I expect the home side to return to form; lay the points! |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +4 | Top | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Since taking over as QB for the Blue Bombers, QB Zach Collaros has won all three of his starts and posted a 109.1 passer rating, while also 9.2 yards per attempt. Combined with the CFL's number 1 rushing game, which averages 148 per contest, I think the Bombers have a legitimate shot at winning this contest outright. Dane Evans took over as QB for the Ti-Cats in Week 8 and the team never looked back. The Bombers have the second best run defense in CFL history, conceding just 64.2 YPG. The Ticats love to air it out, but a one-dimensional offense on the biggest stage isn't going to get the job done in my opinion. Key Trends: - Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Blue Bombers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, including 6-2 ATS this season. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. |
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11-24-19 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Titans. The Jags come in off a loss to Indianapolis, while the Titans come in off their bye week. Jacksonville welcomed back QB Nick Foles last week, but the offense only put up 13 points. Tennessee on the other hand scored a huge win over the Chiefs before its bye week and it's still now very much back in the playoff hunt with QB Ryan Tannehill under center. Key Trends: - Jacksonville is 0-3 ATS in its last three off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. - Tennessee is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a win by three points or less. The verdict: The Jags are in trouble as they continue to make changes at QB. Tennessee has had a week off to game plan and I expect it to execute; lay the points! |
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11-24-19 | Broncos v. Bills -3.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Bills. I like the Bills to lay the hammer down here. New England has a tough game at home vs. the Cowboys and if it does happen to falter, then Buffalo has a golden opportunity this weekend to make up some ground. Buffalo's schedule ahead is a difficult one as well, so this is a contest in which it simply can't "look ahead" in. Buffalo posted 424 yards of offense vs. the Dolphins last weekend. Denver came close to defeating the Vikings last weekend, but an epic second half collapse has the team still reeling from it on Sunday in my opinion. Rookie Brandon Allen will get the call under center for the Broncos and while he looked decent last week vs. the Vikes, I think he'll struggle in this difficult road venue and vs. this tough Buffalo defense. Key Trends: - The Broncos are only 2-8 ATS in their last ten off a non-conference game (including 0-2 ATS this season.) - The Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as a favorite. The verdict: Buffalo's defense is ranked third in the league and I expect it to play a pivotal role in a lop-sided home destruction; lay the points! |
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11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 37.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Steelers/Bengals OVER. Pittsburgh won five in a row before falling apart in Cleveland last weekend. JuJu Schuster Smith is questionable for this start, but I think Mason Rudolph, who had four INT's vs. the Browns last week, will push the pace and try to put the ugly fight with Myles Garrett behind him. The Steelers are still in the hunt for a playoff spot. The Bengals are clearly planning for next year and for the draft. That said, the organization doesn't want to go winless either. If ever this team was going to post a victory, I believe it's today. The Bengals have nothing to lose but another game. Last week they fought hard on the road vs. a tough Oakland team and came up short, but I think today's contest sets up as more of a shootout. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a loss by ten or more points in its previous outing. - Cincinnati has seen the total eclipse the posted number in all three home games this year. - The Bengals have seen the total go over the number in five of their last six as a home dog. The verdict: I look for these teams to comfortably go over this extremely low total; play the over! |
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11-24-19 | Giants v. Bears -6 | 14-19 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Chicago Bears. The Giants are coming out of their bye week and I think they'll struggle to get much production here vs. this hungry home side. Chicago comes in off a loss on the road to the Rams and essentially needs to win this game or its playoff hopes are done. New York QB Daniel Jones has shown some flashes of brilliance, but he's been poor for the most part, posting eight INT's and fumbling it 13 times already. Jones is getting little help in the run game either, as Saquon Barkley has only 402 rushing yards and two TD's in seven games. Yes Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky has taken a step back this year, but he has a big opportunity this weekend to turn things around. While the offense has been more "miss" than "hit" this year, the defense remains a strong point, conceding only 17.4 PPG. Key Trends: - Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record. - The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. - New York is a pathetic 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 30 or more points in its previous outing. The verdict: The turnover prone Jones is in for another rude awakening at chilly Soldier Field this afternoon; lay the points! |
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11-24-19 | Panthers +11 v. Saints | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Carolina Panthers. This is essentially a do or die game for the Panthers as they try to keep pace with the 8-2 Saints. New Orleans comes in off a 34-17 victory over the Bucs. Carolina' QB Kyle Allen had four INT's in a loss to the Falcons last weekend. Allen though will be given the green light here vs. a banged up Saints' secondary which is conceding 250 yards per game through the air. The Saints have a great pass rush and the Panthers have been susceptible in allowing sacks, but Carolina can keep opponents honest with RB Christian McCaffrey. Key Trends: - The Panthers are 2-0 ATS in their last two off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. - Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog. - New Orleans is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I'm banking on a competitive war until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | Islanders v. Sharks -103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* BIG BOSS BLOWOUT is on the San Jose Sharks. The Isles are 9-0-1 in their last ten, but note that their last three victories have come in extra time. Now New York hits the road for a tough Western swing and think the Isles predictably struggle in this late night contest and in this difficult venue. The Sharks though are 7-1 in their last eight and with a victory today, they can move back to .500. Situationally this one sets up beautifully for the home side. Key Trends: - The Isles are just 3-7 in their last ten in this series on the road. - The favorite is 11-5 the last 16 in this series. The verdict: Not only do the Sharks have all of the above situational and trend based factors working in their favor, but as Bob Barker used to say: "The price is right," as well! Lay the short price. |
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11-23-19 | CS Bakersfield +27.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 49-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Cal State. Gonzaga is 5-0 overall this year and 4-0 at home, while CSUB is 2-3, losing both of its road games. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely feel that the Bulldogs will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. CSUB is coming off a 100-70 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Taze Moore, who is averaging 15 points and 3.4 RPG. Gonzaga enters off a tougher than expected 72-66 win over UT Arlington on Tuesday. The 72 points were a season low thus far. Key Trends: - CSUB is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - Gonzaga is interestingly just 27-30 ATS in its last 57 after playing two straight games as a favorite. The verdcit: Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter contest that what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech OVER 55 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT OF THE NIGHT is on the K-State/Texas Tech OVER. K-State is 6-4. The Wildcats have beaten heavyweights Oklahoma and Mississippi State, but lost to Texas and West Virginia. Texas Tech is 4-6 and it needs to win out to become eligible. K-State though will look to stop the two-game slide this week vs. an atrocious Red Raiders' defense. The Wildcats have a balanced attack with Skylar Thompson under center, so far he has a 10:3 TD/INT ratio, while the run game produces 192.9 YPG. Texas Tech QB Jeff Duffey has only played in six games and he already has 2,100 passing yards and 14:3 TD:INT. Overall the Red Raiders put up 470.2 YPG on offense ranked 17th in the country. Defensively though TT allows 480 yards per game, including 309.8 per game through the air. Key Trends: - The over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders last seven conference contests. - The over is 9-3-1 in TT's last 13 at home. The verdict: I look for a faster-paced, wide open shootout between these two hungry schools; play the over! |
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11-23-19 | Nebraska -5 v. Maryland | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER on Nebraska. Nebraska is 4-6 and it only has two games left to become eligible. At 3-7, Maryland is officially out of contention for a bowl berth now. Yes the Terps would love to play spoiler here, but I don't see it happening vs. the desperate Huskers, who I expect to risk life and limb today to pull off the victory. Nebraska has lost four straight, most recently falling to Wisconsin last tie out. Maryland has lost five straight after getting crushed by Ohio State last year. The Huskers looked decent in defeat last week, falling 37-21 to a strong Wisconsin side. QB Adrian Martinez is going to be a difference maker here in my opinion. He has 1,712 passing yards and an 8:7 TD:INT. But he also has nearly 500 rushing yards and another seven TD's on the ground. The Terps come out of their bye week with nothing to play for. In their 73-14 loss to Ohio State they only attempted 17 passes compared to 32 rushing attempts. Key Trends: - Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. - Maryland is a pathetic 3-11 ATS in its last 14 following its bye week. The verdict: As mentioned above, I believe that Huskers' QB Martinez has a big opportunity here and I expect the senior to make the most of it; lay the points! |
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11-22-19 | Montana +13.5 v. Washington | 56-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Montana. The Montanta Grizzlies are 1-3 and the Washington Huskies are 3-1. Montana comes in off a shocking loss to Montana Tech, so it'll be extra focussed here after that embarrassing performance. Senior guard Sayeed Pridgett leads the Grizzlies with 18.5 points per game. UW comes in off a 72-53 victory over Maine. Freshman forward Jaden McDaniels averages another 12.3 points per game. Key Trends: - The Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. The verdict: After its wake up call in its last game, expect Montanta to press the pace of this one from start to finish. And also expect that to result in a comfortable ATS cover for the underdog; grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming OVER 50.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Colorado State/Wyoming. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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11-22-19 | Houston +7.5 v. Oregon | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* play on Houston. The Cougars are 3-1 and the Ducks are 4-0. Houston averages 84 PPG in the early going and I think it'll push Oregon to the brink here. Most recently Houston came back from a 7-point deficit at half time to beat Rice 97-89, led by 32 points from Quentin Grimes. Overall Houston averages 84 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Oregon averages 81.5 PPG and it allows 63.2. Payton Pritchard is averaging 20.2 points per game to lead the Ducks. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. - Oregon is just 13-16 ATS in its last 29 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing all these points! |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Spurs/76ers UNDER. What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it different for every sport? I use a number of different handicapping methodolgies when making my selections, but I think the overall "situation" that each of these teams finds itself in coming into this contest is going to lead to more of a defensive affair. The Spurs have lost seven straight and they'll be doing everything they can to try and get off the schneid. Clearly getting into a "shootout" with the home side is NOT what Greg Popovich and company will want though. San Antonio is thin after LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan, so instead the visitors will have to control the pace of this one throughout. And for the 76ers, they have the Heat coming to town tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. This is a "trap game" for the home side and I do think it'll get caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - SA has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 off a win vs. a division rival. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a wide open "shootout." Play the under! |
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11-22-19 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Washington Wizards. This is the Hornets fourth straight on the road and they come in having lost two in a row, most recently at Brooklyn. Washington will look to take advantage and I think it comes in under the radar here after winning two of three. Charlotte's offense looked particualry horrible last time out, scoring just 40 points in the second half vs. Brooklyn. Washington on the other hand exploded for 75 points in the second half of its most recent victory over San Antonio. Key Trends: - Washington has the best offense in the NBA, averaging 119.7 PPG. - Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams which average over 106 PPG. The verdict: Washington is just as hungry and desperate as Charlotte is here for a victory and I think it's playing much better on both sides of the ball that its opponent today; lay the points! |
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11-22-19 | Utah State v. LSU +1 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on LSU. Utah State comes in off a relatively easy victory over UTSA, but I think it'll have its hands full with this Power 5 team. LSU comes in off a blowout victory over UMBC in its most recent matchup, its second straight win. Sam Merrill paces the Aggies with 17.4 PPG. LSU is led by SKylar Mays with 17 points and 6.8 boards per game. Key Trends: - Utah State is only 12-16 ATS in its last 28 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per game. - LSU is 2-0 ATS this year already off a home victory. The verdict: This final game of the opening day of the Jamaica Classic favors the high-powered offense of the Tigers in my opinoin. Grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the OVER Pelicans/Suns. New Orleans is finally starting to find its footing after having to start the campaign with Zion Williamson. New Orleans comes in off an upset win at home over Portland and I like it to keep the foot on the gas here as it looks to take advantage of a suddenly struggling Suns side which has dropped three of five. Brandon Ingram has been playing strong offensively for the Pelicans, as he averages a team-best 25.4 PPG. Note though that NO's still allows an atrocious 118.9 PPG on average. The Suns' once rosey start to the 2018/19 campaign is gone. Phoenix will be leaning heavily on guard Devin Booker to help them break the slide here; so far Booker leads the nightly charge with 25.4 PPG. Key Trends: - NO's has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a road underdog. - Phoenix has seen the total soar over in six of its last seven home games. The verdict: This one has wide open "shootout" written all over it; play the over! |
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11-21-19 | Green Bay +18 v. Wisconsin | 70-88 | Push | 0 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Wisconsin Green Bay. This is a second round matchup of the Legends classic and note that both teams will be moving on to the next round despite the outcome of this contest. The Phoenix have been off since a competitive 93-78 loss to New Mexico in the first round. Green Bay forced 18 UNM turnovers. Note that PJ Pipes averages 13.3 PPG. Wisconsin posted a 77-61 win over Marquette in its last outing. Brevin Pritzl led the way with 15 points in the victory. Note though that the Badgers are getting uneven production on both ends of the court to open the 2019/20 campaign, shooting 40 percent fro the floor and 33 percent from range. Key Trends: - Wisconsin Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its last ten as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - The Badgers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by 15 or more points. The verdict: No outright, but look for the Phoenix to post another solid effort and comfortable cover; grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -117 | 37 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Colts/Texans. I expect a shootout. The Colts are coming off a convincing win at home over the Jaguars and they have Jacoby Brissett back under center. True RB Marlon Mack is out, but fortunately the Colts still have capable RB's in Nyheim Hines, Jordan Wilkins, and Jonathan Williams. Indianapolis' defense has been stout of late, but I think the unit will definitely get tested here on the short week and vs. a Texans team which was embarrassed 41-7 last week by Baltimore. Yes Houston hasn't looked the same since losing JJ Watt to injury, but this has essentially become a "must win" for DeShaun Watson and company. The Texans also play with "in season revenge" after falling by 7 in Indy earlier in the campaign. Key Trends: - The Colts have seen the total go over in three of their last four after a home win by ten or more points. - The Texans have seen the total soar over in eight of their last ten vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Both teams are 6-4. To say this is a crucial matchup would be an understatement. I think the offenses "steal the show" on Thursday night; play the over! |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech OVER 49 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER NC State/Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech is coming off a terrible 45-0 road shutout loss at Virginia Tech and it's now just 2-8 on the year. Tech is only averaging 16.5 PPG this year, but it'll do its best to play the role of spoiler here, as 4-6 NC State has to win out for eligibility. This is it for the Wolfpack, who limp in having lost four straight. Both teams struggle offensively, but I think we'll have a shootout on our hands once it's all said and done tonight. Key Trends: - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight after a loss by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. - GT has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The verdict: I think the home side opens up the playbook here to try and pull off the upset. And with the Wolfpack also laying everything on the line to keep their playoff hopes alive, I look for this one to indeed sneak above the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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11-21-19 | Ducks v. Panthers -180 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
My 6* SMASH-JOB is on the Florida Panthers. I play underdogs, totals and favorites. And when the situation calls for it, I have no issues at all in laying larger chalk. And that's the case here in my opinion. The Ducks are 10-10-2 this year and the Panthers are 11-5-5. Anaheim only averages 2.30 GPG on the road, while allowing 2.90. Florida averages 3.89 GPG at home, while allowing 3.33. Key Trends: - Florida is 4-0 in its last four vs. clubs with losing records. - Anaheim is just just 8-17 in its last 25 vs. the Eastern Conference. The veridct: The Ducks are terrible on the road, so Florida goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky catches a break. I expect the Panthers red hot offense to take care of the rest; lay the price with confidence! |
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11-21-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +21 v. Pittsburgh | 41-66 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Arkansas Pine Bluff. This is the second of four games as part of the Rocket Mortgage Fort Myers Tip-Off. Pittsburgh comes in off a relatively easy win over Monmouth on Monday, but I think it gets caught looking past lowly 0-4 Arkansas Pine Bluff in this one. After this game the Panthers travel to Fort Myers Florida for the championship rounds of this tournament and I think it's the foot in the door that Pine Bluff needs to pull off the comfortable cover. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference home games as a favorite of 19.5 points or more. - Arkansas Pine Bluff is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more SU losses. The veridct: Expect this one to be competitive well into the second half and grab up all these points! |
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11-21-19 | Duquesne v. Indiana State +6 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Indiana State. Duquesne is 3-0, but I think it'll have its hands full with the 0-3 Indiana State Sycamores tonight. This is the opening round of the Junkanoo Jam. The Dukes are allowing 53 PPG in the early going and averaging 72.7. Baylee Steele averages 12.7 PPG for the Dukes. Indiana State has so far averaged only 68 PPG, while conceding 82.0. Jordan Barnes has been a bright spot by averaging 12.7 PPG. Key Trends: - Duquesne is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral court games. - Indiana State is 4-0 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: Competition for each side has skewed these team's early offensive and defensive numbers. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! |
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11-20-19 | Troy State +18 v. Texas A&M | 52-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Troy. Troy is 1-3 and it comes in off its first win of the season, an 84-57 victory over Carver. While I'm clearly not expecting an outright upset, I do think the Trojans will keep this one close till the end. The Aggies come in off a terrible performance, getting destroyed 79-49 by Gonzaga. Key Trends: - Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. - Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: I think the Aggies come in dejected and still caught up on that performance and I look for Troy to take advantage; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is Akron. Akron is 0-10 and playing out the tail end of a miserable season. But the Zips catch a complacent Miami Ohio team tonight that's won four straight, including a 44-3 win over Bowling Green last week to earn the Mac Eastern division title. Akron has terrible numbers, but I think the home side goes up early and then coasts the rest of the way as it looks to avoid any serious injuries. Key Trends: - Akron is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning records. - Miami Ohio is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. - The RedHawks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. The verdict: This line is out of control. Yes the Zips are horrible, but the overall situation and this massive spread makes the visitors the correct call here in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Cornell +20.5 v. Syracuse | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Cornell. I like three big underdogs in CBB on Wednesday night, including this play on 1-3 Cornell at 2-1 Syracuse. The Big Red lost to DePaul by 21 points, but I think they'll put up more of a fight here. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging 15.3 PPG for Cornell in th eearly going. Elijah Hughes and Buddy Boeheim lead the way for the Orange. Four players average in double-digit for Syracuse and while it most recently beat Seattle by 22 points I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Key Trends: - Cornell is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a blowout loss by 20 points or more in its previous outing. - Syracuse is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The verdict: The Orange have one more "cream puff" after this before it gets into the meat of its regular season. I think the home side takes the foot off the gas and I expect the hungry Big Red to cover comfortably; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Columbia +9.5 v. St. John's | 63-82 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Columbia. St. John's comes in with a 3-1 record and Columbia enters with a 1-3 record. The Scarlet Knights come in off their first loss of the year though in an upset setback to Vermont. Columbia has already faced some stiff competition, most recently falling to the defending National champs in their last outing. The battle tested Lions have also faced Lafayette and Wake Forest: "Obviously, I'm not happy with the result, but this was a great experience for our guys to go up against the defending national champions," said coach Jim Engles. Suffice it to say, I believe this early experience is going to help in keeping this game competitive until the final moments. Key Trends: - Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. - St. John's is just 15-23 ATS in its last 38 as the favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that this one sets up very well for the Lions and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much closer battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to belive; grab the points! |
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11-19-19 | Montana State v. Grand Canyon -6.5 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on Grand Canyon. Carlos Johnson and the Grand Canyon Lopes are just 1-3, while Montanta State is 4-1. But overwhelming ATS trends/numbers lead me to believe that Johnson and the home side are about to break out in a big way tonight. Key Trends: - Montana State is 0-2 ATS in its last two after scoring 55 points or less. - Grand Canyon is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less. The verdict: I'm banking on the hungrier team finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the points! |
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11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 222 | Top | 114-95 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Warriors/Grizzlies. The Warriors have lost seven straight, most recently a 108-100 loss to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Grizz have been better than expected this year, but they come in off a terrible 131-114 home loss to Denver. There's nothing positive to say about Golden State, as all of its star players are injured. The Warriors are terrible on both ends of the court, but especially on the offensive side. Memphis has also struggled defensively this year, but the hungry Grizz clearly catch a break here facing this terrible Warriors' offense. Key Trends: - Memphis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 24 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: With each side doubling down defensively, expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-19-19 | Furman v. Alabama -4 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Alabama. Furman is 4-0 to open the season, but I think it'll have its hands full here with 1-2 Alabama. Furman won its most recent game, 83-81 at home over Southern Wesleyan, but now they face a Tide team in a foul mood after its 93-79 loss at Rhode Island most recently. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 22.3 PPG this year for Alabama and I think he's a big matchup issue for the Mid Major today. Key Trends: - Furman is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog. - Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: This is a big test for Alabama first year head coach Nate Oates, but I think he has the personel to get the job done here; lay the short points! |
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11-19-19 | Senators v. Red Wings -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* SMASH-JOB is on the Detroit Red Wings. After horrendous starts, both the Senators and Red Wings have been playing better of late. But Ottawa has been terrible on the road and I think it'll predictably struggle here in this difficult away venue. Key Trends: - The Sens average 2.75 GPG and they concede 3.25. - The Wings average 2.32 GPG and they allow 3.68. The verdict: The Senators though are already 0-2 (-2 units) this year when playing with two days rest as well. If not now, when for the Wings? As Bob Barker used to say: "The price is right!" Lay the short price. |
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11-19-19 | Ohio v. Bowling Green +18 | Top | 66-24 | Loss | -107 | 35 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Bowling Green. At 4-6, Ohio needs to sweep its remaing games for a shot at Bowl eligibility. At 3-7, Bowling Green has already been eliminated. That won't stop the home side from trying to play spoiler here though. I think the Falcons do indeed use the thought of eliminating Ohio from contention as motivation today and I expect them to keep this one close until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a terrible 44-3 loss to Miami Ohio last week, a setback which put it out of Bowl contention. With nothing to lose though, I expect the home side to try and push the pace throughout. Ohio battled WMU and earned an OT period after it punched a last second TD in regulation. However, its hopes were then dashed in the 37-34 loss ultimately. It was the second straight loss by three points or less and I believe the mentally down-trodden Bobcats come out flat here. Key Trends: - Ohio ranks eight in the MAC allowing 432.6 YPG. - The Bobcats are a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference contests. The verdict: The Falcons are a bad team, but the overall situation highly favors them in this situatoinal spot bet in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Chiefs/Chargers. Clearly with Patrick Mahomes and Philip Rivers under center for these teams, points shouldn't be too hard to come by. But I think the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring battle on Monday night. First off, this game is being played in Mexico City, which is difficult for players. Neither team's defense has been great, but there are significant O/U trends that support our theory as well. Key Trends: - As note that KC has seen the total dip under the number in three of its last four after allowing 35 points or more in its last game. - LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after an extremely close road loss by three points or less. The verdict: Both teams come in off high-scoring losses and each is hungry for a victory here. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a "shootout." Play the under! |
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11-18-19 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 108-132 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Blazers. Portland's lost three of its last five, but it comes in off a convincing full four quarter effort vs. the Spurs and I look for that momentum to get carried over here. Note that the Rockets will not have star Russell Westbrook in the line-up tonight. Overall the Blazers average 112.8 PPG. The Rockets continue to get unreal play from James Harden, but Houston gets rather thin after that. Key Trends: - Portland is already 3-0 ATS this year as a road underdog. - The Blazers are 62-47 ATS in their last 109 after one or more SU victories. - The Rockets are already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done here; grab the points! |
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11-18-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +16.5 v. South Dakota | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on SIU Edwardsville. SIUE came back from an 11-point second-half deficit to post a 57-55 victory away from friendly confines Saturday at Incarnate Word. Mike Adewunmi led the way with 12 points. South Dakota comes in off a relatively easy 88-69 win over Texas Southern, but I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent after improving to 4-0. Key Trends: - SIU Edwardsville is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after holding its previous opponent to 55 points or less. - South Dakota is only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 off a home win by ten or more points. The verdict: I think SIUE matches up better vs. South Dakota than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-18-19 | Ducks v. Capitals -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Capitals on the PUCK LINE. Anaheim is just 4-5 in its nine road games. The Ducks come to the Nation's capital off a rare road win over the defending champs as well, so can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Key Trends: - The Ducks average only 2.33 GPG on the road. - Washington averages 3.70 GPG. The verdict: Note that Washington goaltender Braden Holtby is 9-0-1 in his last ten games and I have a hard time seeing the Ducks mustering much of an offensive attack here. Lay the 1.5 goals and expect a blowout of epic proportions! |
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11-17-19 | Bears +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Bills/Dolphins. Miami has won two in a row and it'll now look to build and to try and give the Bills a second straight loss in a row. For Buffalo, it's blazing start to the season is going to be in the rear view mirror if it can't start putting some production on the board. When these teams met earlier in the year though, it was Buffalo that laid the hammer down in the 31-21 victory and I believe a similar final combined score is on deck here as well. Key Trends: - The Bills have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight after a loss by six points or less. - The Fish have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: Buffalo's pissed about its last second loss in Cleveland last weekend and knows it has to get out and push the pace here. The Dolphins are riding high after a two-game win streak and Ryan Fitzpatrick and company won't be backing down either. This one could go OVER by half time! Chicago Bears +6 1/2 @ LA Rams 8:20 EST RICKY'S 10* SUNDAY NIGHT ATS 'BLOOD-BATH!' |
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11-17-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Sabres/Hawks. I think this is a great situational play. Buffalo broke a five-game slide last night with a 4-2 win at home over Ottawa, while Chicago beat the Predators 7-2. With both teams coming off high-scoring victories just last night, I believe that from a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair. Each will be tired, and neither will want to make the first mistake. Key Trends: - Blackhawks had 14 shots on net yesterday and scored 7 goals. They were outshot 41-14 and won 7-2. The verdict: I base my selections on many different things. I feel that being flexible with my approach works best. This total is high considering the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this contest; play the under! |
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11-17-19 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGERS is on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets come in off a win over the Nets at home and I think they'll get the better of the home side in this one. Memphis has won three straight, but it doesn't match up well at all here vs. Denver. Nuggets' center Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 5.8 assists per game this season. Ja Morant has been great for Memphis during this win streak, but I believe the rookie will have his hands full with Denver's Jamal Murray. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing straight up record. - Memphis is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Memphis comes back down to Earth here after its big upset win; lay the points! |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge +13 v. Richmond | Top | 62-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on CSUN. The 0-4 CSUN Matadors come in under the radar here and steal one comfortably ATS in my opinion vs. the Richmond Spiders. Terrell Gomez led the scoring for CS-Northridge with 23 points in a 116-70 loss to Auburn most recently. The Spiders come in content after an OT win over Vanderbilt last time out. Note that both of Richmond's victories have come in OT, meaning that the team is having difficulties closing out and it could easily be 0-2 right now as well if not for a few lucky bounces. Key Trends: - CSUN is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing with one or less days rest. - Richmond is a terrible 6-14 ATS in its last 20 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think Richmond is going to have a fight on its hands until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 40.5 | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Bills/Dolphins. Miami has won two in a row and it'll now look to build and to try and give the Bills a second straight loss in a row. For Buffalo, it's blazing start to the season is going to be in the rear view mirror if it can't start putting some production on the board. When these teams met earlier in the year though, it was Buffalo that laid the hammer down in the 31-21 victory and I believe a similar final combined score is on deck here as well. Key Trends: - The Bills have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight after a loss by six points or less. - The Fish have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: Buffalo's pissed about its last second loss in Cleveland last weekend and knows it has to get out and push the pace here. The Dolphins are riding high after a two-game win streak and Ryan Fitzpatrick and company won't be backing down either. This one could go OVER by half time! |
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11-16-19 | Arizona v. Oregon UNDER 68.5 | Top | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Arizona/Oregon. Arizona is 4-5 and it's running out of time to qualify for a berth. The magic number is of course six and winning on the road vs. the 8-1 Ducks likely isn't going to happen. Clearly though the only way that the Wildcats could pull off a monumental upset in this one would be to try and control the pace of this game. And that means keeping the ball out of Oregon's hands as much as possible. Arizona needs two more victories. After this its Utah and Arizona State. The Ducks are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has a 24:2 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in three of four already this year after playing a game at home. - Oregon has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. The verdict: Neither team plays great defensively, but I think the overall situation each finds itself coming in, combined with the above trends, do indeed make the "under" as the correct call here! |
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11-16-19 | Hawks +13 v. Clippers | Top | 101-150 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Atlanta Hawks. Paul George is out for this one for the Clippers, so the Kawhi Leonard/George first game together is going to have to wait a little longer. The Clippers are only 7-5 and the Hawks are just 4-7. The Hawks are short-handed, but they still have Trae Young and I look for desperate Atlanta to try and take advantage of a Clippers team which also enters without key pieces. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 50-30 ATS in its last 80 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. - LA is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game which gets decided in the closing moments. As such, grab as many points as you can! |
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11-16-19 | St Bonaventure +7.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are 0-3 to open the year, while the Scarlet Knights are 3-0. Note though that Rutgers does not actually have the true "home court advantage" here, as this game is being played in Toronto as part of the James Naismith Classic tournament. The Bonnies enter off a 78-65 oss at Siena, with Dominick Welch a bright spot with 21 points. The Scarlet Knights were 7-13 in conference play last year and only 14-17 overall. Rutgers first three opponents are suspect though (Bryant, Niagara and Drexel.)Â Key Trends: - The Bonnies are 2-0 ATS in their last two after going 65 points or less in three straight games. - St. Bonaventure is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after faling to cover the spread. - The Scarelt Knights are only 2-7 ATS in their last nine after conceding 65 points or less in two straight games. The verdict: I think this one comes down to the wire and as such, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Capitals v. Bruins -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* DESTROYER is on the Boston Bruins. Both teams played last night. Washington lost 5-2 to Montreal, while Boston won 4-2 in Toronto. Clearly the second game of the back to back favors the home side here. Additionally note that the Bruins play with the added incentive of revenge here as the Capitals have won seven straight on their home ice. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well for Boston. Key Trends: - Washington is 13-16 (-3.8 units) the L2 years when playing on back-to-back days. - Boston is 16-10 in its last 26 when playing on back-to-back days. The verdict: And finally, as Bob Barker used to say: "The price is right!" I love Boston to finally prevail and get its revenge! |
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11-16-19 | Air Force v. Colorado State +10.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 36 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on Colorado State. Air Force is 7-2 and looking to improve its bowl position, but Colorado State is just 4-5 and it's running out of time. The Rams though enter on top form, having won three straight and averaging 37.6 PPG in that span. Rams' QB Patrick O'Brien has five TD's and one INT in that span. Air Force had its game vs. New Mexico postponed last weekend because of an accidental death on NM the night before the game. Key Trends: - The Falcons average 34.4 PPG and they concede 20.9. - The Rams average 31.7 PPG and they allow 32.0. The verdict: However note that the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five following their bye week and 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference contests, while the Falcons are only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with losing records. I like the desperate home side to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Tulane -5.5 v. Temple | Top | 21-29 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* WAKE-AND-MAKE is on Tulane. Tulane broke its two game losing streak with a win last weekend to become bowl eligible and I like the Waves to carry that momentum over here. Tulane's ground game ranks in the top ten in the country, averaging 261.2 rushing yards per game. The Owls also broke a two-game slide to become eligible, but with a game vs. Cincinnati up next, I think the home side gets caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - Tulane is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road favorite of seven points or less. - The Green Wave is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with two or more weeks of rest. - Temple is only 3-4 ATS in its last seven after conceding 14 points or less in its last contest. The verdict: I like Tulane's ground game to slowly break down Temples defense; lay the points! |
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11-15-19 | Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 v. Mercer | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on the Florida Gulf Coast. The FGCU Eagles won't be lacking for motivation here after they fell 55-49 to Dartmouth last time out. FGCU went into half tied at 29-29 as well. Sophomore Zach Scott leads the nightly charge with 16.3 PPG. Mercer is only 515 miles from the Mercer Campus. Mercer has won two in a row, but over lowly Columbia International and Kennesaw State (the Bears did lose their opener at Saint John's 109-79.) Ethan Stair leads Mercer with 20.3 points and 9.7 rebounds. Key Trends: - FGCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games after two or more SU losses. - Mercer is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games after back to back SU victories. The verdict: I think the hungry Eagles matchup well here. This spread is low and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Spurs/Magic. The Magic did much better than everyone expected last year and Orlando had high hopes coming into this season. But the Magic haven't looked good to open the 2019/20 campaign. That said, Orlando enters off its best performance of the year in pulling away for a 112-97 win over the 76ers. Nikola Vucevic posted a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds. The Spurs come in off back-to-back terrible efforts, allowing 135 points in a loss to Boston, before then falling 129-114 to the Wolves. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 27 points, five rebounds, and a couple of blocks. Key Quote: Spurs' coach Gregg Popovich clearly frustrated by his team's lack of defensive effort of late and said this after his team's last loss: "They executed, they were unselfish, and they made 3s. They had a lot of guys that played well, and they were aggressive. From our end, I think we were very challenged defensively, another poor outing." The verdict: I think both teams double down on the defensive end and I look for this competitive match to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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11-15-19 | Penguins v. Devils +120 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* CRUCIAL INFO PLAY is on the New Jersey Devils. Sidney Crosby will miss up to six weeks with an abdominal injury for Pittsburgh and stand out Kris Letang also was left behind because of an injury. I think the Pens get caught flat footed here in their first game without Crosby. The verdict: Clearly the Penguins are the "better" team. But this is a tough spot for any club to deal with and I think the home side takes full advantage. In my opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value!" |
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