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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -2.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Marshall. All good things have to come to an end. Louisiana Tech is 8-1 and it's won eight games in a row. Facing a hungry 6-3 Marshall side that's looking to better its bowl positioning itself, I think the Bulldogs finally stumble on the road here. Overall Louisiana Tech averages 38.1 PPG. The Herd have won four in a row and they're 4-1 at home. Marshall only allows 371 yards of offense per game. Key Trends: - Note that Louisiana Tech is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing three straight conference games. - Marshall is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a cover as a double digit favorite. The verdict: I think the Bulldogs finally take a step back here in this difficult venue vs. this top notch defense; lay the short points! |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yes the Browns REALLY need this game to stay alive in the playoff hunt. But guess what? The Steelers REALLY need this game to stay alive in the playoff hunt as well. Both "Faker" Mayfield of the Browns and Mason Rudolph of the Steelers have been pretty bad this year, so I'm classifying these pivots as a "wash" today. But Pittsburgh's defense has been tremendous during its four game win streak and I believe it'll be the difference maker tonight as well. Ever since the Steelers acquired Minkah Fitzpatrick, the defense has been "lights out" and I expect that trend to continue here. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog, including 3-1 ATS this year. - Cleveland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a favorite including only 1-3 ATS this season. The verdict: As stated throughout my analysis, I believe Pittsburgh's defense will step up and win the game here; grab the points! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. I like the hungry Bulls to put up a fight and to take this one down to the final moments. The Bulls are actually playing their best ball of the year so far, having won two of their last three, including a 113-93 road victory over the Hawks in their most recent. I think this is a "trap" for the Bucks, who return home for their first game after a four-game trip, most recently barely holding on for the 121-119 victory over the lowly Grizzlies. Key Trends: - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a home win by ten points or more (just hammered the Knicks.) - Milwaukee is interestingly only 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after three consecutive non-conference contests. The verdict: Chicago is dealing with a couple injury issues, but the Bucks get caught looking past their lowly opponent. Grab the points and expect a competitive affair! |
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11-14-19 | Jets v. Panthers -150 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Florida Panthers. The Jets are coming off an 4-0 loss at home to Colorado and I think they'll stumble again here in this difficult road venue on the other side of the continent. Winnipeg is averaging a weak 2.58 GPG, while Florida averages 3.38. Key Trends: - The Panthers are 7-1 in their last eight home games as a favorite in the -125 to -165 range. - Winnipeg is a poor 3-6 in its last nine in this building. The verdict: Florida has gotten points in eight of its last ten games. Expect the hungry home side to take advantage and lay this price with confidence! |
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11-14-19 | Buffalo -5.5 v. Kent State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* BLOOD-BATH is on Buffalo. The Bulls go on the road as the favorite here looking for their sixth win of the year. Kent State needs to win out to become bowl eligible. Buffalo has won four of the last five in this series though and I expect the Bulls to continue that run of success today. The Bulls dominate defensively, allowing only 22.3 PPG overall and just 11.3 over the last three. Buffalo has also looked a lot better with QB Kyle Vantrease under center, as he's gone 3-1 with five TD's and a 61 percent completion rate since taking over for the injured Matt Myers. Kent State's been better at home than on the road this year and QB Dustin Crum, who leads the team in rushing, has only one INT. Key Trends: - Note though that Buffalo is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 vs. the conference, including 4-1 ATS this season. - The Bulls are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. - Kent State is only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 at home, including just 1-2 ATS this season. The verdict: I like the Bulls to dominate this one defensively and to punch their ticket to eligibility vs. this "on again, off again" Kent State side; lay the points! |
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11-14-19 | Alabama A&M +35 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ATS BLOWOUT is on Alabama A&M. I think that the Bearcats get caught looking past the lowly Bulldogs tonight. Alabama A&M enters off a 74-52 loss to UAB, while Cincinnati comes in off an 81-59 victory over Drake. Key Trends: - Alabama A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing and as a 30 or more point underdog. - The Bearcats are a poor 2-7 ATS in their last nine at home. The verdict: With another cream puff vs. Illinois State up next before a game vs. UCLA, I think Cincinnati coasts in this one; grab all these points! |
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11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -3 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* BEATDOWN is on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers got caught "looking ahead" to this game last night in Sacramento, falling 105-94 to the surging Kings. But I think that Damian Lillard and company will rebound here and take advantage of a depleted Raptors side. After beating the Lakers, the Raptors wound up losing 98-88 to Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers. Both Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry were out with injury and each is questionable here as well. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous game. - The Blazers are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: I think the desperate home side lays everything on the line and I believe that effort will be more than enough to cover the handful of points tonight; play on Portland! |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +10.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Grand Canyon. I think SDSU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The Lopes hit the road for the first time this year after two straight losses at home. Most recently GCU fell to Illinois 83-71: "We just are trying to get better every day," Lopes head coach Dan Majerle said. "It was better (vs. Illinois) but we've still got a long way to go. The schedule doesn't get any easier so we have to find a way." SDSU on the other hand comes in off a satisfying 76-71 win at BYU and a 77-42 victory over Texas Southern. As stated off the top, I think this one sets up as a "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the home side. Key Trends: - GCU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a win by six points or less. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected! Grab the points! |
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11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Hawks/Knights. Chicago has won three of its last five, including a 5-4 win over the Leafs three nights ago. With two whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the hungry Hawks to keep the good on the gas here. Vegas on the other hand has lost three of its last five, including three straight. The Knights have also had two nights off to prepare for this one. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 25 when playing on two days rest. - Las Vegas has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 when playing on two days rest. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends are both pointing to the "over" as the savvy call in this one in my opinion! |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Spurs. The Wolves barely held on for a 120-114 win over the Pistons on Monday and I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. this Spurs team which has dropped two in a row. In fact note that San Antonio has lost four of its last five. San Antonio has looked shaky of late, but I think the visitors match up well today vs. Minnesota and I like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge to bounce back tonight. Anthony Wiggins and Karl Anthony Townes have been bright spots for the Wolves, but Minnesota gets pretty thin after them. Key Trends: - The Spurs are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 after two or more consecutive SU losses. - The Wolves are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: I expect San Antonio to finally "show up" tonight in this very winnable game; grab the points! |
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11-13-19 | Bowling Green +18.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Bowling Green. Miami Ohio is in need of just one more victory to become bowl eligible. But at 3-6, the Bowling Green Falcons are still three victories away. Outright victory here? Likely not! But Bowling Green's post-season aspirations are in the balance here and I think it'll have enough to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a momentum building 35-6 win over Akron in its last action as well. The Redhawks revolve around QB Brett Gabbert, who has three TD's and no INT's over his last three games. Note though that Miami's last three victories have come by seven, three and seven points respectively. Key Trends: - Bowling Green is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after playing three consecutive conference contests. - Miami Ohio is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. The verdict: The Falcons come in out of their bye week and with the extra time off to prepare, I look for them to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample points they've been afforded tonight; play on Bowling Green! |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine v. CS-Northridge +5.5 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CS Northridge. This is the Matadors home opener and I expect them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. CSUN lost 87-67 at Oregon State and then 97-70 at New Mexico. A little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion though. Terrell Gomez is averaging a team-high 16.5 points so far for the Matadors. But if recent history is any precedence, then CSUN has to be loving its chances as it won this game 90-83 last year. After falling 87-71 at Cal, the Waves bounced back with a 77-73 win over UC Irvine last Saturday, but I believe they'll struggle to contain this determined home side. Key Trends: - Peppderine is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a win by six points or less. - The Wave are only 1-3 ATS in their last four as a road favorite. - CSUN is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 3.5 to six points range. The verdict: Expect this one to come down to the wire and grab as many points as you can! |
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11-12-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
My 9* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Brooklyn Nets. I think the Nets matchup well against the Jazz here and I think the visitors have a real shot at pulling off the outright upset. That said, in the end I'll grab the points. This is going to be Donovan Mitchell vs. Kyrie Irving and in that matchup, I give Irving the big advantage. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Utah is just 38-39 ATS the L2 years as a home favorite. The verdict: The Nets defense is its weak point, but the Jazz aren't known for running up the score. This is a great matchup and situational play in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs v. 76ers -11 | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavs broke a three-game losing slide by responding with back-to-back victories. Cleveland's wins though have been over the Wizards and Knicks. The 76ers struggled on their Western road swing, doing half of it without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up. Philly then returned home to bea the Hornets. Now fifth in the East, the 76ers won't be taking anything for granted here. Key Trends: - The Cavs average 107.1 PPG and the Sixers allow 106.2. - The 76ers average 111.00 PPG and Cleveland concedes 108.0. The verdict: Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive upset victories as an underdog and I'm not reading too much into its minor win streak here. After their sub-par road trip, look for the 76ers to keep the foot on the gas at home vs. this "lesser" competition; lay the points! |
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11-12-19 | Panthers v. Bruins -170 | 5-4 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
My 6* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Bruins. The Panthers come in off a shootout road victory in The Big Apple, but I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. the Bruins who enter in a foul mood after three straight defeats, including at home to the Flyers in their last one. Key Trends: - Florida averages 3.53 GPG and Boston concedes 2.41. - The Bruins average 3.53 GPG and the Panthers allow 3.53. The verdict: Enough is enough! Note as well that Florida is a pathetic 2-7 in its last nine after a victory, while Boston is still 10-4 in its last 14 as a home favorite. The verdict: Expect the Bruins to come in razor focused and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night; play on Boston! |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron +17 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Akron. EMU is 4-5 and desperate for some victories as it looks to run down a bowl berth. The Eagles are just 1-4 in conference play, while the Zips are 0-9 overall and 0-5 in league action. Note that Akron will not only be relishing the thought of playing spoiler here vs. the Eagles, but it's also out for revenge after dropping this game last year by a score of 27-7. The Zips have the second worst offense in the nation, but they actually have a decent defense, allowing only 390 YPG. Eastern allows 455 YPG. Key Trends: - EMU is a poor 6-9 ATS in its last 15 as a favorite (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) - Akron is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a two-game road trip. The verdict: Outright victory? I doubt it. But the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +7 v. 49ers | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Seattle Seahawks. So far everything has gone perfectly for the 49ers, in that almost every bounce and every close call has gone their way during their perfect 8-0 start. But they certainly didn't look like "World beaters" in their 28-25 win over Arizona last weekend. Seattle hasn't been perfect, but it's been damn close this year. And to me, it only appears as if Russell Wilson and company are only getting better. On both sides of the ball. San Francisco is starting to show signs of fatigue and teams appear to be "figuring them out." And now they face Wilson, who has 22 TD's and only one INT. Key Trends: - Seattle is 4-0 ATS in its last four road game vs. teams with winning SU home records. - San Francisco is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite, including a money-burning 3-3 ATS this season. The verdict: I think the Hawks' veteran experience in this contest could in fact help in posting an outright upset. That said, let's grab the points in what appears to be a very highly competitive matchup! |
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11-11-19 | DePaul v. Iowa -9 | Top | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. DePaul is 3-0 and Iowa is 1-0. The Blue Demons started off hot last year as well, before then stumbling and finishing 15-15 overall. Now DePaul is re-working its team after losing most of its core group last year. Charlie Moore was picked up from Kansas and he's averaged 19 PPG, but beyond that the Blue Demons are thin. Iowa went to the NCAA tournament last year and it would advantage to the round of 32 before falling to Tennessee in OT. Luke Garza is now the main man in Iowa, he's put up 20 points and 12 boards in the opening win. Key Trends: - DePaul is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road underdog or pick. - Iowa is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 non-conference contests. - The verdict: I like Iowa to pull away comfortably in the second half as I look for its depth to ultimatley prove to be too much for DePaul to hang with; lay the points! |
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11-11-19 | Coyotes v. Capitals -168 | 4-3 | Loss | -168 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
My 6* SMACK-JOB is on the Capitals. No need to overthink this one. The Coyotes are floundering now after three straight losses. They still have impressive defensive numbers, but they still are unable to score. And now their defense is starting to wear down as well. The Capitals on the other hand enter on top form, having won six in a row. Arizona averages 2.48 GPG, while Washington average 4.01. Key Trends: - The Coyotes are 0-6 in their last six road games vs. a home team with a win % of greater than .600. - Washington is 5-0 its last five at home. The verdict: The Capitals are going to suffer a letdown at some point, but not against this pathetic Coyotes team; lay the price with confidence! |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ROAST is on the UNDER Raptors/Lakers. The Lakers face a stretch of "easy" competition after the Raptors tonight. Toronto comes to town with star Kyle Lowry injured as well. After this LA faces the Suns in Phoenix, followed by home games vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta. The Lakers aren't even at full health, but clearly the biggest difference from last year's team to this seasons is the tough defensive play. LA's defense is being vastly under-rated here vs. this under-manned Raptors side in my opinion. Toronto's road ahead is MUCH more difficult. After this they're vs. the Clippers in the same arena, followed by contests in Portland and Dallas. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - LA has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 16 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Toronto is also without the services of big man Serge Ibaka due to injury. I have a hard time seeing the visitors adjusting and I believe they're going to get shutdown; play the under! |
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11-10-19 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 104 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is the Oilers/Ducks over. At 5.5, I think the "over" offers great value here. In this day and age, 5.5 is a very low total in the NHL. Both teams have winning records and each will be pushing the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Edmonton averages 2.83 GPG, while conceding 2.50. - Oilers power play is second best in the league with 27.5 percent. - Anaheim averages 2.65 GPG and it allows 2.53. The verdict: Both teams have been better than average defensively and very average offensively. That said, I believe the conditions are now finally right for a high-scoring affair and I'll take full advantage of this low-number; play the over! |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Vikes/Boys. I think this is a great "situational spot bet" on the total. These two teams absolutely dominate in stopping the run, so as such I'm fully expecting this to be a "shootout" at the OK Corral on Sunday night! The Vikes enter off a 26-23 loss to Kansas City and they can't afford to take the foot off the gas obviously. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins was a bright spot in defeat, going for three TD's and 222 passing yards. The Cowboys are rolling right now though and there's no reason not to think that they can't keep the momentum trending in that direction. In last week's 37-18 win over the Giants, Dallas' QB Dak Prescott had three TD's. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in its last two after two or more straight losses vs. the spread. - Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 12 home games as the favorite. The verdict: With each offense focussed on airing it out, I do indeed expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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11-10-19 | Pacific v. Florida A&M +9.5 | Top | 76-54 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Florida A&M. This is the second game for both teams at the Outrigger Resorts Rainbow Classic in Hawaii. The Florida A&M Rattlers will be eager to get off the schneid here after starting 0-2. The Pacific Tigers are 1-1. FAMU lost 77-48 to USC in its opener, before then also losing 65-52 to host Hawaii to open this tournament (Kamron Reaves and Rod Melton had 11 points each in the setback.) Good news though is the face the Tigers, whose only win was a 69-47 victory over Division II Stanislaus State. Pacific then followed that up with a ten point loss to South Dakota to open this tournament. The verdict: FAMU outscored host Hawaii by seven points in the second half of its first game and I look for it to carry that momentum over here; grab the ample points! |
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11-10-19 | Chiefs v. Titans +6 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Tennessee Titans. It's do or die essentially for the Titans this week as they look to move back to .500. Titans' backup QB Ryan Tannehill is 2-1 in his three starts with a 99.7 passer rating. Patrick Mahomes could get the start for the Chiefs here. Then again, maybe he won't and backup Matt Moore will get the nod. Moore is 1-1 with a 100.9 passer rating so far in filling in for the injured Mahomes. The uncertainty surrounding the pivot position, whether Mahomes does in fact get the call here, isn't doing the visiting side any favors in my opinion. KC is dealing with significant injuries to its defense as well, with CB Kendall Fuller and DE's Frank Clark and Alex Okafor all listed as questionable. Key Trends: - The Titans are 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. - KC is a poor 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 following a SU victory. The verdict: I like Ryan Tannehill at home to give the Chiefs everything they can handle. The public and the books are sleeping on Tannehill and how good he's playing right now; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | CS-Fullerton v. Stanford OVER 139 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Cal State/Stanford. The three-point line in College Basketball was moved back at the start of the season. Has this truly effected totals early? Also note that the shot clock has been reduced to just 20 seconds on offensive rebounds, which is supposed to hurry the game up. Cal State Fullerton lost in a poor showing to BYU in its opener, so there's no question it'll be pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn here. The Cardinal enter off a victory over Montana to start their season. Cal State allowed BYU to shoot 49.1 percent from the field in its opener though, including 45.8 percent from range. Stanford is deep and I think its entire bench can produce today (note the Cardinal bench had 23 points in the season opening victory.) Key Trends: - Cal State has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten road games when the total is set between 135 and 140 points. - Stanford has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six home games when the total falls between 135 and 140 points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a "shootout" is in the cards; play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Predators v. Sharks +109 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* UPPER-SHELF BLOWOUT is on the San Jose Sharks. The Predators aer coming off a 9-4 road loss in Colorado and I think they're going to be mentally ripe for the picking here as well for the hungry Sharks. Nashville looks horrible defensively in the early going, allowing 3.16 GPG, which balloons to 4.33 on the road. Key Trends: - San Jose is killing 96 percent of its powerplays at home, which is tops in the NHL. - The Predators just 3-9 in their last 12 as a road favorite. The verdict: San Jose's early poor numbers can be attributed to injury. The Sharks have been getting healthier though and they've been playing better; expect that trend to carry over here! |
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11-09-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State OVER 38.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -114 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/SDSU. SDSU is 7-1 and it comes in with plenty of momentum after having won four straight. Nevada won't be rolling over here though at 5-4 as it tries to pull off the upset and gain eligibility at the same time. Nevada beat New Mexico 21-10 last weekend, with Carson Strong going for 305 yards and two TD's. Overall Nevada averages only 19.3 PPG though, while conceding an awful 34.6. Last year the Aztecs won this game 28-24 and I expect a similar high-scoring affair here. SDSU is also rested out of its bye week. Key Trends: - Nevada has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after a home victory. - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as a home favorite in teh 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I look for this total to fly well over the number, perhaps even before half time. This number is much too low, play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL TOMAHAWK is on the UNDER Mavs/Grizz. Dallas lost outright at home to the Knicks last night and I think the offense will struggle to score here as well. If you can't score againt the Knicks, then who can you score on? The Mavs get really thin after Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and playing the second game of a back-to-back just doesn't bode well for the Mavericks already struggling offense. The Grizzlies don't have many offensive weapons either behind Ja Morant (Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 11 PPG.) If Memphis is going to pull off the slight upset here, it's going to because they clamped down and grinded it out. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go under in 57 of its last 90 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 31 vs. division opponents. The verdcit: I expect a lot of half court sets from the home side while its on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above information, I'm absolutely expecting a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair. Play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Rockets v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is coming off its best performance of the year in beating the Hawks on the road in Atlanta. After a lacklustre start to the season, Chicago's young and extremely talented pieces are finally starting to figure things out. Houston has two dynamic talents itself in Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the Rockets have already struggled with consistency on the road this year (a 155-154 OT loss in Washington.)Â Key Trends: - Houston is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after a cover as a double-digit favorite. - Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: The Bulls will view this as a real test and they'll be eager to build off their last performance. Their efforts tonight may not result in a SU victory, but I do think the stage is set for a battle until the end; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the UNDER Flyers/Leafs. Toronto started out on fire this year, but it enters this one sitting a 9-8. The Flyers were a mess to open the 2019/20 campaign, but they enter at 8-5-2 and off back-to-back victories over Carolina (4-1) and Montreal (3-2 in OT.) The Flyers have responded well defensively of late and I expect that trend to carry over here. Philly also plays with revenge here after falling to Toronto 4-3 last week. Key Trends: - The Flyers have seen the total go under the number in four of their last five in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in The verdict: I love this under. Philly comes to town confident and it's playing a lot better defensively. Look for the visitors to slow this one down and for this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Utah Valley v. Denver +3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* MID MAJOR MAULING is on Denver. Denver plays with revenge after allowing the Utah Valley Wolverines to score 98 points in last year's 23 point loss. Denver most recently fell 74-63 to Colorado State, but I expect a bounce back performance in this revenge spot. Key Trends: - Utah Valley is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 on the road. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog or pick. The verdict: Look for the home side to catch Utah Valley flat-footed here and to avenge last year's humbling setback, with the core of that group on the floor tonight; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | Maryland +44 v. Ohio State | Top | 14-73 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Maryland. I think this spread is WAY too large. Ohio State doesn't need to run up the score on this one to win obviously. The 8-0 Buckeyes are rolling towards the finish line and the 3-6 Terrapins will be just another speed bump in their grand prix season. Maryland QB Josh Jackson is a gun-slinger though and I think he'll have his opportunities vs. this complacent home side. Maryland has been decent against the pass as well of late, most recently holding Michigan QB Shea Patterson to just 151 total yards. OSU QB Justin Fields could also be limited here after he went to the injury tent last time out late in the game. Key Trends: - The Buckeyes are interestingly just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points. - Maryland is a decent 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a blowout loss of 21 or more points to a conference rival. The verdict: This spread is ridiculous. Look for Maryland to put up a fight until the final quarter; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Washington/Oregon State. Washington is 5-4 and it's looking to snap a two-game slide. The Huskies come off consecutive losses to Oregon and Utah, so while the Beavers won't be afraid to open up the playbook, the Huskies clearly catch a break in the overall level of competition this weekend. I think the Huskies defense steps up here vs. Beavers' QB Jake Luton. Washington has already posted 20 sacks this year and the Beavers have conceded 16 thus far. Oregon State allows 176 rushing yards per game, so expect to see the visitors hand off to Salvon Ahmed early and often, to take off some of the pressure on QB Jacob Eason, who has been sacked 12 times this year, but who faces a Beavers unit which has produced 25 sacks this season. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - Oregon State has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: I don't think the Huskies take many risks here. Instead I look for the visiting side to try and control this contest as to limit the time the Beavers have the ball on offense. This number is high, play the under! |
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11-08-19 | Heat v. Lakers -8 | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* BEATDOWN is on the LA Lakers. Miami won three in a row before dropping a game in Denver in the first game of its trip. The Nuggets were desperate for a win in that one, but the Heat bounced back nicely in Phoenix last night, destroying the Suns 124-108. The Lakers are dominating themselves, leading the Western Conference at 6-1. LA is playing with a chip on its shoulder this year as it tries to bury last season's disappointing effort. LeBron James is going to be playing with a chip on his shoulder as well tonight as he faces his former team which he won two championships with. I believe that Miami does come in tired and I absolutely expect the Lakers to have no mercy in this one. Key Trends: - Miami is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 off a win by ten point or more as an underdog. - LA is 53-40 ATS in its last 93 vs. good offensive teams which average over 106 points per game. The verdict: The conditions and the trends/numbers all point to a home side rout here in my opinion; lay the points! |
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11-08-19 | Canucks v. Jets -125 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Winnipeg Jets. Vancouver's great start to the year is starting to slowly fade after last night's 5-2 loss in Chicago. The 8-7 Jets will now look to take advantage of their road weary visiting side. The Jets will be in a foul mood as well after losing at home to the Devils in a shootout in their last contest, snapping a three-game win streak. Key Trends: - Vancouver is only 2-5 in its last seven vs. clubs with winning records. - Winnipeg is 13-6 in its last 19 when playing on two days rest. The verdict: As Bob Barker used to say: "The Price Is Right!" All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!" |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. A couple of hungry 2-5 teams battle it out on Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. Cleveland is desperate for sure after losing three in a row. The Wizards on the other hand look poised for a letdown after they broke a three-game skid with a win over the Pacers last time out. The Cavs got smoked at home by Dalls, but they looked much better even in defeat to the Celtics, eventually succumbing 119-113. I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this "on again, off again" Wizards side. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off two or more consecutive home losses. - Washington is a terrible 16-21 ATS in its last 35 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think these teams are evenly matched, but I believe the Cavaliers are "hungrier." Grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami-FL -12 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
FAU is 1-0 and Miami Florida is 0-1. The Hurricanes got thrashed by Louisville on Opening night, while the Owls beat Division II Flagler College. The Hurricanes have dominated this series though, coming in with a 23-1 all time record, which includes a convincing 75-55 decision last season. I expect a similar result here. FAU is coming off its worst season season 2010/11, finishing 17-16 last year and while it does return four starters, it still does not match up well at all here vs. Miami. The Hurricanes finished 14-18 last year, so after the opening day loss, posting a convincing blowout victory here is basically essential for Jim Larranaga's team. Key Trends: - Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. - FAU is only 8-20 ATS in its last 28 following a SU win. The verdict: Miami has too much size and talent for the Owls to keep up with. Throw in last year's sub-par campaign and the opening night loss and I expect this one to be ugly from start to finish; lay the points! |
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11-07-19 | Canucks v. Blackhawks +104 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 104 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Chicago Blackhawks. Vancouver is 2-0-2 in its last four games. The Canucks come in off a 2-1 loss to the Blues and I think they'll struggle as well here vs. the hungry home side. The Hawks come in off a 4-2 loss to the Sharks. Key Trends: - Vancouver is just 32-42 (-8.2 units) in its last 74 vs. clubs with losing records. - Chicago is 7-2 in its last nine home games following a loss by three or more goals. The verdict: I think Vancouver gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today and I expect the desperate home side to pull off the minor upset; play on Chicago! |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders +1.5 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 55 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Oakland Raiders. The Chargers and Raiders are both desperately in need of a victory here. LA has won back-to-back games over the Bears and Packers, while Oakland is coming off a pivotal win over the Lions, keeping them in second place in the division. Oakland's defense and especially its secondary has been suspect this year, but Derek Carr and the offense has been much better than expected. TE Darren Waller and RB Josh Jacobs have both been great and I think LA's defense is going to struggle here to contain them. Green Bay's offense looked horrible last week, but it did in Week 1 as well vs. the impotent Bears. I'm not convinced that LA's defensive numbers over the last two games are completely indicative of how the unit will perform moving forward. And on the short week, I absolutely believe this one favors the home side. Key Trends: - LA is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. - Oakland is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: I think the Raiders' defense does just enough and I look for Carr to continue to progress with the dynamic young pieces around him; play on Oakland! |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has won five straight and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here as it takes to the road to face the lowly Hornets. Charlotte however has quietly been playing much better of late, coming in having won three straight, most recently an OT victory over the Pacers. Key Trends: - The Celtics average 110.3 PPG, and they allow 104.7. - The Hornets average 107.9 PPG, and they allow 113.6. The verdict: Note though that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference, while Boston is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. This is Kemba Walker's first game played in Charlotte since he abandoned the team and I expect him to struggle in this hostile environment; grab the points! |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on USF. Temple is hoping to snap a three-game losing streak here, but I think the 4-4 home side does just enough to secure the small upset on Thursday night. The Bulls enter off a big 45-20 win over ECU and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Temple QB Anthony Russon now faces one of the nation's best pass defenses, as the Bulls are ranked 17th in that department. The road ahead doesn't get any easier for USF either, with games against heavyweights Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF to finish up the regular season. If not now for the Bulls, when? Key Trends: - Temple is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five "Thusday" night games. - USF is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a win by 21 or more points. The verdict: These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I expect those trends to continue; play on the Bulls! |
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11-07-19 | Kings v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Kings/Sens. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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11-06-19 | Long Beach State +16.5 v. UCLA | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT is on LBSU. Both teams are looking to rebuild. UCLA has new faces and a new head coach after a down year. LBSU finished strong, but it also have for the most part an entirely new line-up. I think UCLA has some growing pains under new coach Mick Cronin and with nothing to lose, I expect the 49ers to take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - UCLA is just 8-16 ATS in its last 24 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think chemistry is an issue for UCLA early; grab the points! |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio -7 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Ohio. This is a big game. Both teams are 4-4, but 3-1 in MAC action. The winner of this one will take control of the conference. Last year Miami Ohio won this game 30-28, snapping a five game win streak in the series for the Bobcats. These teams are contrasting in styles, with the RedHawks getting the job done on the defensive side of the ball, and Ohio getting big offensive production (Bobcats have won two straight and scored 78 points in the process.) Miami QB Brett Gabbert has been decent this year, throwing for 1,360 pasisng yards, but with five TD's and five INT's. Note that Gabbert has also been sacked 16 times this year. Key Trends: - The Bobcats have 14 sacks this season. - Ohio QB Nathan Rourke has 1,743 passing yards with ten TD's and five INT's. The verdict: The RedHawks weakness on the defensive side is against the pass. Look for the home side to air this one out early and often and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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11-06-19 | Red Wings v. Rangers -148 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the New York Rangers. New York jumped out to a 2-0 lead over the Senators in its last game, but then lost 6-2. A date for the Red Wings, who have dropped 11 of their last 12 is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Wings' netminder Jimmy Howard is 2-7-0 with a 3.90 GAA this year, while New YOrk goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 2-3-0 with a 3.58 GAA. Key Trends: - Note that Lundqvist is 7-5-6 with a 2.01 GAA lifetime vs. the Wings. - The Rangers won't be taking anything for granted here, as Detroit has won three of the last four of this series in The Big Apple. The verdict: I look for the Rangers to lay the hamme down from start to finish; lay the short price! |
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11-06-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Pittsburgh. Last year FSU was a four seed in the NCAA Tournament and it made it to the Sweet 16. FSU though starts with back-to-back tough road games, tonight in Pittsburgh followed by one at Florida. I think this sets up well for us on Opening Night, as the hungry home side will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. FSU's top two scorers and rebounders left fo the NBA as well. Pitt won two of its final three games to end the season last year and it returns three of its four top scorers. Key Trends: - FSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite or pick. - Pittsburgh is interestingly 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of November. The verdict: It's opening night for these teams and I believe the situational factors working in favor of the home side are the difference maker; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Coyotes v. Flames -153 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Calgary Flames. Don't overthink every play you make. It's not necessary. Arizona earned an OT win in Edmonton just last night and I think it has a predictable letdown here vs. the hungry Flames' side. The Flames had won two in a row before a 4-2 setback to the Capitals last time out. Key Trends: - The Flames are 4-1-1 at home. - The Coyotes are 8-16 (-4.2 units) in their last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. The verdict: I think the hungrier home side takes advantage of this contented Coyotes side and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price; play on Calgary! |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Chicago Bulls. I think the hungry home side takes the Lakers down to the wire in this one. LA comes in off a win vs. the Spurs. Chicago enters off a loss to the Pacers. Anthony Davis and LeBron James have been great in the early going for LA, but after the fantastic duo, the Lakers are kind of thin due to continued injuries. Chicago has six players averaging in double figure and its disappointing start to the year gives the home side an added sense of urgency. Key Trends: - The Lakers are still just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Bulls are 15-10 ATS in their last 25 as a home dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Expect Chicago to come in focussed and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 33-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* MAC TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the UNDER Kent State/Toledo. Kent STate is 3-5 and in dire need of some victories if its going to go "Bowling." The Golden Flashes though have faced some incredibly tough competition this season in Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin. Kent State is led by QB Dustin Crum, who has ten TD's and one INT. Toledo though has a good pass defense, but a poor rush defense. That works well for Kent State, as it's run game is solid, led by the versatile dual-threat Crum. Toledo needs just one more win to become eligible and it did just enough to score a victory over EMU in OT last week. So far the Rockets have won five of seven games by six points or less. Toledo is also down to third string QB Eli Peters, who was an unremarkable nine of 18 for 138 yards last weekend. Key Trends: - Kent State has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six road games when the total is set between 56.5 and 63 points. - Toledo has seen the total go under in its last three off an extremely close win at home by 3 points or less. The verdict: Look for these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done! |
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11-05-19 | Appalachian State +18.5 v. Michigan | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Appalachian State. Both teams have new head coach's as we open the season. I think the transition will effect the Power 5 school more than the mid major though. Michigan is now led by Juwan Howard, while App State is led by Dustin Kerns. App State does return four starters though, which is a major advantage to open the season. Michigan has three returning starters. Key Trends: - App State is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - Michigan is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the same points range. The verdict: I like th experience that App State brings to this one and on Opening Night, I believe that's the difference maker in this matchup; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Western Illinois +21.5 v. Indiana | Top | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* play on Western Illinois. Western Illinois returns its top scorer in Kobe Webster, who averaged 17 PPG. Western Illinois is small compared to Indiana, but it shot the ball well from thee point range last year. The Hoosiers finished 19-16 last year, so expectations are tempered somewhat this season. Key Trends: - Western Illinois is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 non-conference games. - Indiana is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 non-confernece contests. - I think the Hoosiers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Louisville v. Miami-FL +7 | 87-74 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Miami Florida. Outright win? Probably not. But I do think that Miami Florida has enough firepower to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Miami is coming off its first losing season under head coach Jim Larranaga, who enters his tenth year as boss. Louisville went 20-14 last year and it was ousted in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The Cardinals have an awesome line-up this season and they've been ranked as No. 5. Note though that it starts the year without junior forward Malik Williams and highly touted freshman David Johnson. Miami has new faces in the line-up, but it returns the ACC's second leading scorer from a year ago in Chris Lykes. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. - Miami Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five at home. The verdict: Miami lost to Louisville by 17 last year, so the revenge factor also comes into play; grab as many points as you can! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Phoenix Suns. I like the under-rated home side to push the pace and to take care of business vs. Philadelphia, which narrowly escaped in its first road game of the year in Portland. The Suns are already 5-0 ATS this year. Joel Embiid is once againg out for Philly though as he serves the final game of his suspension for fighting. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is the seventh worst in the NBA in defending the three point shot, allowing 37.6 percent. - The Suns score 19.5 percent of their points off turnovers, tied for the third most in the NBA. - Phoenix allows the second least 3-pointers in the league (9.1 PG). The verdict: With games at Utah and Denver upcoming, I think this Eastern Conference power house that's already down its main offensive weapon, comes in and "looks past" this vastly improved Suns side; grab the point/s! |
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11-04-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* total of the week is the UNDER Arizona/Edmonton. Arizona is coming off a 3-0 win over Colorado. The Oilers earned a 2-1 OT win over the Pens in their latest action. The goaltenders tonight are Antti Raanta for Arizona and Mike Smith for Edmonton and each has been exceptional of late. Key Trends: - Arizona has allowed just 28 goals this year, No. 1 in the Western conference. - Edmonton has already seen the total go under in seven of its last nine after a non-conference game. The verdict: Look for these two goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries and play the under! |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 48 | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 60 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Cowboys/Giants. The Giants are 2-6, but Daniel Jones and the home side won't be rolling over this weekend after falling 31-26 to the Lions in their last game. Dallas destroyed the Eagles 37-10 in Week 7 and they've had their bye week off to prepare for this matchup. Key Trends: - The Giants have allowed 121 points so far this year. - Dallas has seen the total go over in its last two following its bye week. The verdict: In Week 1 the Cowboys crushed New York 35-17. Look for the home side to play with pride and to make Dallas work for this "W." When you take into account all of the above factors, I'm playing the over! |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Bucks/Wolves. I believe the Wolves struggle with their offense here without Karl Anthony Townes in the line-up, who is serving a three-game suspension for fighting. The Bucks are 4-2, while the Wolves are 4-1. When making my O/U picks (in all sports), for the most part I look at the overall "situation" that each team finds itself in coming into the contest. The Wolves won their first game without Townes, but the last thing they can do here is turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Bucks. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. clubs with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in interestingly 23 of its last 30 contests played in the month of November. Does this stat matter? Probably not...but it doesn't hurt! The verdict: I expect the home side to try and slow the pace of this one down and as such, I'm on the "under!" |
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11-04-19 | Penguins v. Bruins -154 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Boston Bruins. Boston's won five straight and I think the home side will keep the foot on the gas in this one. Pittsburgh's two game win streak was snapped in an OT loss to the Oilers at home in its most recent action. The Pens average 3.36 GPG, but the Bruins concede only 2.00 GPG, which ranks No. 1 in the NHL. Key Trends: - Boston is averaging 3.54 GPG this year. - Bruins' netminder Tuukka Rask is 7-0-1 with a 1.49 GAA. - Pittsburgh is 0-4 in its last four vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Boston has won nine of ten in this series at TD Garden; expect that trend to carry on this evening! |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -3 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 49 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on the New England Patriots. If Tom Brady can put together a perfect season and then win the Super Bowl, do you think he'd retire? It would be the perfect ending to a legendary career. New England is well on its way to doing that this season and backed by the league's No. 1 defense, which is putting up historic numbers, I think the Patriots come in and take care of business on the national stage. Brady has a solid offensive unit around, but his O-line has been exceptional. The Ravens enter hungry for a victory, but they're off their bye-week, so I expect the home side to be a bit "flat" to open this one. Ravens' QB Lamar Jackson has already struggled vs. some of the elite defenses he's seen and I expect that trend to continue here. Key Trends: - New England is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 after allowing 14 points or less in its last outing. - Baltimore is only 4-6 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten or more points. The verdict: I don't even expect this one to be close at all, as I think Jackson and company stumble against the No. 1 defense in the league; lay the short points! |
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11-03-19 | Blackhawks v. Ducks -153 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -153 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on the Anaheim Ducks. The Hawks are coming off a 4-3 OT loss to the Kings just last night and I think they'll predictably struggle here vs. a Ducks team which has won two in a row. Key Trends: - Chicago has allowed 16 goals and scored nine over its last five games. - The Ducks have outscored their competition 17-13 this season. The verdict: Anaheim is also 9-1 in its last ten at home. All things considered, I think the Ducks should/could in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot; lay the price! |
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11-03-19 | Mavs v. Cavs +5 | Top | 131-111 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think the Mavericks come to Cleveland still "hung over" after their 119-110 OT loss at home to the Lakers. Luke Doncic had a huge night, but I think he'll be gassed and disinterested in this one vs. the perceived "lowly" Cavaliers. Note that Dallas onyl has three players averaging in double-digit points, so road trips and OT contests have an effect on team's like this. The Cavs enter off a 102-95 road loss to Indiana, a contest in which they held the lead for most of. Kevin Love was exceptional in a losing cause with 22 points and 17 boards. Jordan Clarkson was also impressive with 20 points off the bench. Key Trends: - Dallas is only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Mavericks are only 19-23 ATS in their last 42 following a SU home loss. - Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a division rival. The verdict: The Cavaliers have experienced big men which can challenge Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and I think the deeper bench of Cleveland is the difference in the end; grab the points! |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders UNDER 51 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Lions/Raiders. Oakland is 3-4 and it's lost two straight. Oakland catches a break here though this weekend facing this "on again, off again" Lions offense. Detroit broke a three-game slide with a 31-26 win over the Giants. The Lions defense has been shaky the last few weeks as well, but the unit also catches a break facing this Raiders' offense which averages just 21 PPG (the Lions average 25.7). Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go under in its last two after playing a two-game home stand. - Oakland has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of its last 11 when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. The verdict: The conditions, the situation and the trends/numbers are all point to the "under" as the correct call here in my opinion! |
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11-03-19 | Jets -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* TOILET BOWL is on the New York Jets. Miami only averages 11 PPG, while New York averages 11.1. The Dolphins though have the worst defense in the league, allowing an average of 34 PPG. Miami got out to a decent start vs. the Steelers last weekend, but then it got blown out in the end. Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick committed four fumbles last weekend. Key Trends: - New York is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games. - Miami is just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 after a loss by ten points or more. The verdict: Jets' QB Sam Darnold won AFC player of the week in New York's only victory this year and now facing the leagues worst defensive unit, I believe he'll be the difference maker in the end; lay the short points! |
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11-02-19 | Wolves v. Wizards | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the Wizards. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. Clearly Minnesota is the "better" team, but after losing star player Karl-Anthony Towns to suspension for fighting in its previous outing, I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Minnesota also can't help but get caught "looking ahead" to its home game vs. the Bucks on Monday. Washington comes in off a 159-158 loss to the Rockets and it won't be lacking for motivation or confidence after that close setback. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 14-21 ATS in its last 35 as a road dog of six points or less. - Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two straight losses by six points or less. The verdict: I love Washington to battle tooth and nail here and take advantage of this temporarily "rudderless" Wolves team! |
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11-02-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina OVER 46.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the over UVA/UNC. This is a big game for both teams and because of that, I think this total will go over the number sooner, rather than never. The Cavs are 5-3 and hungry for that sixth victory so that they can become bowl eligible. The UNC Tar Heels are 4-4 and they're also looking for a couple more victories. Virginia averages 30 PPG and it concedes 20.8. UNC averages 27.5 PPG and it allows 25.8. Key Trends: - UVA has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight as a road dog. - UNC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four off a victory vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UVA has won two straight in this series, including a 31-21 win last season. I expect an even higher-scoring affair here; play the over! |
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11-02-19 | Maple Leafs -124 v. Flyers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Toronto Maple Leafs. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. The Flyers come in off a tough 4-3 win in New Jersey just last night and I think they're going to have "heavy legs." No need to overthink this one as hungry Toronto looks to take advantage. Key Trends: - The Leafs are a sharp 11-5 (+4.5 units) in their last 16 when playing with three or more days rest. - The Flyers are just 2-6 in their last eight after scoring five goals or more in a road victory in their previous contest and playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: I like the rested visiting side to take full advantage of this now weary and contented Flyers side; lay the price! |
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11-02-19 | Marshall -10.5 v. Rice | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Marshall. Rice is 0-8, while Marshall is 5-3. The Herd are desperate for one more victory to become eligible and a date vs. the hapless Owls, who post only 15.9 PPG is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Marshall enters off a hard-fought 26-23 win over WKU and it is now in control of the West Division standings. Rice QB Wiley Green doesn't have much to work with and his numbers reflect that, as he's thrown for 161 yards or fewer in all seven of his appearances. The Herd though have the top rushing attack in the conference, led by Brenden Knox with 803 rushing yards and seven TD's. Key Trends: - Marshall is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 on the road (including 2-1 ATS this year.) - The Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a SU home victory (including 2-1 ATS this season.) The verdict: The Owls are down for the count. Marshall comes in off its biggest win of the year, but it has much bigger aspirations than just earning a bowl berth. I think the Herd lay the hammer down from start to finish and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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11-02-19 | NC State +7.5 v. Wake Forest | 10-44 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 60 m | Show | |
My 9* ATS BLOWOUT is on NC State. Wake Forest is 6-1 and I think it has enough of a letdown here after becoming eligible to let the hungry WolfPack sneak in through down the stretch. Will rest lead to rust? The Demon Deacons have had a week off after falling to Louisville, a setback which also saw starting QB Jamie Newman go down with injury. NC State is moving to Devin Leary as QB, who played well in defeat to BC a copule of weeks ago, throwing for 259 yards and three TD's. Wake Forest's defense is in question here, it has held its opposition to 24 points or fewer in five of its victories, but allowed a whopping 62 points to Louisville at home two weeks ago. Key Trends: - The Demon Deacons are 0-4 ATS in their last four following a bye week. - NC State is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a loss to a conference rival. The verdict: Three of Wake Forest's victories this season have come by six points or less. NC State is also coming out of its bye week, so I think it's defense will look a lot better after the hiccup vs. the Eagles. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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11-01-19 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 127-110 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Warriors. The Spurs struggled to score points in their 103-97 setback at the Clippers just last night. The Warriors are now without star Steph Curry after he broke his hands in their last game. The Spurs will try to take advantage, but the home side is going to have to go through some adjustments here as it looks to find an identity. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match," with a lot of "half court sets" being run on the offensive end. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a road favorite of six points or less. - Golden State has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 21 as an underdog. The verdict: San Antonio is tired and Golden State is "shell shocked." For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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11-01-19 | Navy v. Connecticut OVER 54.5 | Top | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on Navy/UConn OVER. UConn broke a six-game losing streak with a 56-53 win over UMass and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as well as it looks to pull off bac-to-back victories. Navy is 6-1 after holding on for a 41-38 win over Tulane and it'll also be out for another victory here, feeling confident after having won six straight in this series. Navy QB Malcom Perry has 18 TD's already this year and last week the Midshipmen had 453 total yards of offense. Overall Navy averages 37.9 PPG and it allows 19.7. The Huskies had 539 yards of offense vs. the Minutemen last weekend. Key Trends: - The Huskies have allowed at least 35 points in four of their last six matchups. - The Midshipmen have four 40-point games this year, including in two of their last three. The verdict: The overall situation and the numbers both point to a "shootout" in my opinion; play the over! |
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11-01-19 | Cavs +8 v. Pacers | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Without Victor Oladipo, the Indiana Pacers are only an average team. Cleveland is at 100% health and it has veteran players performing at a high level right now. Most recently the Cavs beat the Bulls 117-11 at home, with six players scoring in double figures. Indiana comes in off its first win of the year, a 118-108 road victory over the Nets. Note though that the Indiana bench scored just 11 points in that victory. Key Trends: - Indiana is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. - The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. - The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory. The verdict: Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are both playing well for the Cavs and while I would not in fact be shocked by an outright upset here, in the end I'm going to grab all these points! |
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11-01-19 | Flyers v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the Flyers/Devils under. I think goaltenders Carter Hart of the Flyers and Corey Schneider of the Devils will be the story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Carter already blanked the Devils at home earlier this month and he's been solid all year for the Flyers, who won't be lacking for motivation here as they come in having gone 0-2 in their three-game trip. New Jersey has lost two straight as well and it enters having posted the least amount of goals in the league so far with just 28. Key Trends: - Philly has already seen the total go under the number in all four games this year when playing with two days rest. - New Jersey has seen the total dip under in 30 of its last 46 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. The verdict: I think Hart steps up again here vs. this Devils side which has been consistently inconsistent on the offensive end of the ice. Look for Schneider to buckle down at home as well; this number is a tad high, play the under! |
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11-01-19 | Lightning v. Islanders +110 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the New York Islanders. Tampa's 6-6 and New York is 8-3. After losing two straight the Lightning bounced back with a 7-6 OT win over the Devils in their latest outing. The Isles come in on top form though, having won seven straight. The Bolts average 3.42 GPG, while the Isles concede 2.45. New York averages 3.00 GPG and Tampa allows 3.50 GPG. Key Trends: - New York is 4-0 in its last four at home. - Tampa is only 2-6 in its last eight as a road favorite. The verdict: Over its last seven games the Isles have allowed more than two goals only once; look for New York to dominate from start to finish and to keep the strong run alive vs. this over-priced Lighting side! |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under 49ers/Cards. Arizona enters off a tough loss against the Saints and it's now 3-4. San Francisco is 7-0 and it'll be trying to not get caught looking past the Cards to its big matchup vs. the Seahawks next weekend. Arizona had won three straight until last week's setback. Cards' rookie Kyler Murray though is going to now face the NFC's top defensive unit on a short week and I believe he'll struggle. The 49ers have been blowing teams out this year, but I also think that the short amount of time to prepare will be detrimental to the visitors offense as well. Key Trends: - San Fran has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 after playing a game at home (including in both such instances this year.) - Arizona has seen the total dip under in 19 of its last 30 vs. the conference. The verdict: Look for this divisional battle to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done! |
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10-31-19 | Flames v. Predators -145 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -145 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Nashville Predators. These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue. Calgary has lost two in a row and it's playing it's third straight on the road. The Predators are 8-3-1 and they enter having won four straight. Calgary was one of the highest scoring teams in the league last year, but this season it's so far only averaging 2.50 GPG. The Predators have outscored their competition 15-4 during their recent win streak and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Key Trends: - Calgary is a poor 18-23 (-10.4 units) in its last 41 after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. - Nashville is 40-26 in its last 66 following a victory by two goals or more.f The verdict: Look for the Predators' dominant offense to lead the way to another commanding victory; lay the price! |
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10-31-19 | Flames v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 104 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is the OVER Flames/Preds. These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue. Calgary has lost two in a row and it's playing it's third straight on the road. The Predators are 8-3-1 and they enter having won four straight. Calgary was one of the highest scoring teams in the league last year, but this season it's so far only averaging 2.50 GPG. The Predators have outscored their competition 15-4 during their recent win streak and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Key Trends: - Calgary has seen the total soar over in seven of its last nine road games after scoring one goals or less in two or more straight outings. - Nashville has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 18 after shutting out its previous opponent. The verdict: Calgary is desperate and is going to be forced to match the high-flying pace of the home side; this one has over written all over it! |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 57 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER WVU/Baylor. Baylor averages 38.9 PPG, which ranks it 12th in the country. The Bears have a balanced offense, which I believe will concentrate on the run today vs. a WVU team that's lost three straight, but which will also try to keep the Bears offense off the field of play today by controlling the ball while on offense. Baylor only allows 19.1 PPG and I think the Mountaineers have a difficult time mounting much of an offensive attack tonight (WVU is predictable and one-dimensional on offense with a run game which averages only 89 PPG.)Â Key Trends: - WVU has seen the total dip under in four of its last five following its bye week. - Baylor has seen the total dip under in five of its last six after scoring 37 points or more in its last game. The verdict: I expect more of a "chess match," than a "shootout;" play the under! |
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10-31-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 216.5 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Heat/Hawks. Despite the Hawks not having star Trae Young in the line-up, I think we'll see a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this particular matchup. The Hawks lost to Miami on Tuesday 112-97 and they'll be out for some immediate revenge. The Heat though will be looking to take advantage and to build on their 3-1 start to the season. Overall Miami is averaging 118 PPG, while conceding 110. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after scoring 105 points or more in four straight game. - Atlanta has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 61 of its last 100 following a SU loss. The verdict: I like Atlanta to push the pace from start to finish as it looks to avenge the loss to the Heat on Tuesday; play the over! |
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10-30-19 | Panthers v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Panthers/Avs. Both teams come in off high-scoring losses and because of that, I'm expecting a much more defensive mind-set from each of these teams. The Panthers lost 7-2 in Vancouver, while the Avs fell 5-2 at home to the Ducks. Panthers' netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 4-2-3 with a 3.79 GAA this year, while Avs goalie Phillipp Grubauer is 6-1-1 with a 2.59 GAA. Key Trends: - Florida has seen the total go under in six of its last eight road games after allowing six or more goals in a loss in its previous outing. - Colorado has seen the total dip under in 32 of its last 52 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring UNDER in this one! |
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10-30-19 | Wild v. Blues -161 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Blues. I think the defending champs are worth the price of admission in this spot. The Wild are off a horrible bad beat loss in Dallas just last night. Minnesota has lost three straight in St. Louis and I don't foresee that trend changing tonight either. The Blues lost to Boston, but then bounced back with a 5-4 OT victory in Detroit the following night in their latest action. Key Trends: - The Wild are 0-4 on the road this year. - St. Louis goaltender Jordan Binnington is 5-2-3 this year with a 2.67 GAA. The verdict: Look for St. Louis to take advantage and for the Wild to suffer a predictable letdown here; lay the price! |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are still without Victor Oladipo, but I think the 0-3 visiting side finds a way to get the job done vs. the 1-2 Nets. Indiana enters off a 96-94 loss at Detroit, while the Nets come in off a poor 134-133 OT road loss to the Grizzlies. There are reports from Nets' officials that star Kyrie Irving's off-court antics and "mood swings" are very real and a major distraction. I believe the "hungrier" and more focussed side finds a way to get the job done tonight. Key Trends: - Indiana won't be lacking for confidence here as it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten in this series. - Brooklyn is 34-38 ATS in its last 72 vs. teams with losing records, including 0-2 ATS already this season. The verdict: Look for the more desperate team to deliver the goods, but in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Oilers v. Blue Jackets -137 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -137 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Blue Jackets. After falling 3-1 in Detroit just last night, I think the visiting Edmonton Oilers stumble again here vs. this hungry home side. The Blue Jackets six game point streak has come to an end after a loss to Philadelphia, but Columbus has clearly looked a lot better after a slow start. And conversely, after a great start to their year, regression does now seem imminent for the Oilers. Key Trends: - Edmonton is a poor 8-14 (-4.3 units) in its last 22 when playing on back-to-back days. - Columbus is 35-17 in its last 52 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. The verdict: Expect CBJ to lay the hammer down here and take advantage of this weary Edmonton side; lay the short price! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks +9 v. Magic | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks are 1-3 and the Magic are 1-2. New York comes in off its first win of the year and I think the hungry visiting side will carry some of that momentum over here vs. a Magic team that's struggling with consistency in the early going. New York got the better of Chicago 105-98, while the Magic fell 104-95 in Toronto on Monday. RJ Barrett has been a stand out for the Knicks early an dhe had 19 points and 15 boards in the victory over the Bulls. Orlando opened the year with a win over the Cavaliers, but since then it's struggled and it's the only team in the league which hasn't scored 100 points in a game thus far. Key Trends: - New York is already 2-0 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Orlando is 30-39 ATS in its last 69 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think New York is finally figuring things out and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being extremely competitive throughout; grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Wolves v. 76ers UNDER 225 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Wolves/76ers. Minnesota is 3-0. Philadelphia is 3-0. Two teams enter with a perfect record, but only one will leave with that mark in tact. Whoever comes out on top, I think the competitive nature of this one will help in driving this total well under the posted number once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Wolves have seen the total go under in 11 of their last 17 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The 76ers have seen the total dip uner in 20 of their last 32 home games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Both teams are in the middle of the pack in scoring, but in the bottom half in three-point percentage. Expect this "war" to fall under at the end of the night! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Dallas Mavericks. Denver comes in off a 101-94 win at Sacramento just last night, while Dallas had a night off after suffering its first loss of the year in a 121-119 home setback to the Blazers. Dallas will look to push the pace here vs. this tired Nuggets side; note that the Mavericks average 116.7 PPG. Denver averages 108. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are interestingly only 9-21 ATS in their last 30 vs. the Southwest division. - Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. The verdict: Dallas is a vastly improved team with two dynamic European players which are difficult to stop. While the situation could even give the visitors an outright win here, in the end I'm going to grab the generous amount of points; play on the Mavericks! |
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10-29-19 | Wild v. Stars -149 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Dallas Stars. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net this year, with Dallas ranked last (1.92 GPG), while Minnesota is third to last by averaging just 2.36. The Wild earned a 5-1 win over the Kings on Sunday, but they've been terrible on the road. Also, LA is the worst defensive club in the league this year. The Stars had won three in a row before a 3-0 loss to the Penguins. Key Trends: - The Wild average just 1.43 GPG on the road. - Dallas has made up for its lack of offense with a strong defensive game, led by goalie Ben Bishop, who has posted a 2.34 GAA thus far. The verdict: Minnesota turns to its backup goalie Alex Stalock, so I'm giving a big nod to the Stars' Bishop. All things considered, I believe this is the very definition of "great line value," play on the Stars! |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Nats/Astros. Justin Verlander has been terrible in the playoffs so far for the Astros, losing three of four. That included giving up four runs to the Nationals in his last start. Clearly the veteran has the tools and pedigree in place to turn things around and if not now, when? The Nationals are struggling at the plate over the last two games, so Verlander has a big opportunity to shine here. But Nationals' starter Stephen Strasburg also has a big opportunity here to help his team rebound. And Strasburg has been brilliant in the playoffs, winning four of his last five. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 15 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range. - Houston has seen the total dip below the number in 13 of its last 20 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I believe the men on the mound will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-28-19 | Nuggets v. Kings OVER 218 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play on the OVER Nuggets/Kings. I think the 0-3 Kings push the pace from start to finish in this one. The Kings average 96 PPG and they concede 120. The Nuggets average 108 PPG and they allow 104. Key Trends: - Denver has seen total go over in 20 of its last 30 after a win by six points or more. - Sacramento has seen the total go over in nine of its last 13 after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I expect a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this one! |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers -14 | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -102 | 37 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Dolphins are 0-6 and they have nothing to play for. They almost won last week vs. the Bills, but after that setback and once again making a switch at QB to Ryan Fitzpatrick again, I simply can't see the visiting side putting up any sort of fight whatsoever this evening. The Steelers are coming off their bye-week, which couldn't have come at a more opportune time for QB Mason Rudolph, who was dealing with concussion like symptoms. Look for the home side to lean heavily on dynamic RB James Conner again as the offense looks to limit mistakes and control the game. Key Trends: - Miami is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 as a road dog. - Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four MNF games. The verdict: I look for the above scenario to play out this evening; lay the points! |
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10-28-19 | Cavs +15.5 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
My 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams are 1-1. Am I calling for an outright upset here? I definitely AM NOT. That said, I do think that Kevin Love and the hungry Cavaliers can keep this one a lot closer than what this monster spread would suggest. So far the Cavs average 98 PPG and they concede just 97. The Bucks have scored 122 PPG in the early going and allowed 121. Key Trends: - Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. - The Bucks are just 13-14 ATS in their last 27 after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think the Cavs' tough defensive plays keep them in this contest late; grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Magic +5 v. Raptors | 95-104 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Orlando Magic. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Magic, who got bounced in the first round by the Raptors in the playoffs last year. Orlando is 1-1 after hammering Cleveland at home, before then falling to the Hawks on the road. So far Orlando is averaging 96.5 PPG and it's conceding 94.1. Toronto has so far averaged 114.0 PPG, while allowing 116.0. Those early numbers are skewed from a couple high-scoring contets, including an OT affair though. Key Trends: - Orlando is 10-5 ATS in it slast 15 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. - Toronto is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing. The verdict: So far Toronto has looked pretty good without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but I think that the depth that Magic bring here, along with the motivational factors working in their favor, proves to be too much for the defending champs to handle tonight; that said, grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Pacers -1.5 v. Pistons | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are 0-2 and the Pistons are 1-2. Indiana is playing without Victor Oladipo again, but it plays with revenge here after falling 119-110 at home to Detroit in its opener. The Pacers come in desperate and revenge minded and I believe those motivational factors will be more than enough to take out the "on again, off again" Pistons, who are playing without their star Blake Griffin. Key Trends: - Detroit is 0-7 ATS In its last seven when playing on one days rest. - The Pistsons are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. - The Pacers are 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive losses. The verdict: Look for the above situational and trend based factors to be more than enough for Indiana to get the job done tonight; lay the short points! |
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10-28-19 | Bulls v. Knicks +1 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the New York Knicks. The Bulls are 1-2 and are coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors. The Knicks are 0-3 and they'll be desperate to get off the schneid here. If not now, when? This is the perfect opponent to get untracked against and I expect the desperate home side to deliver the goods. So far on the year the Bulls are averaging 104.9 PPG and conceding 113.8. New York is averaging 104.6 and allowing 113.4. Key Trends: - The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. - The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four after a double-digit loss at home. The verdict: The Bulls have lost eight of their last 11 at MSG and I think that strong trend carries over here vs. this hungry home side; grab the point/s! |
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10-27-19 | Ducks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the under Ducks/Knights. Anaheim comes in off an impressive 5-2 win in Colorado just last night, but I expect a more defensive affair in its second game of the back to back scenario. The Knights won't be taking anything for granted here either after they got blown out at home by the Avs in their last game. Anaheim comes in average only 2.27 GPG, while conceding only 2.18. The Knights are averaging only 2.92 GPG, while allowing 2.83. Key Trends: - The last five in this series have fallen under the number. The verdict: The overall situation and the recent history of lower-scoring affairs whenever these sides meet makes the under the correct call here! |
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10-27-19 | Heat +6 v. Wolves | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF BEST OF THE BEST is on the Miami Heat. Miami went to OT with the Bucks in Milwaukee last night and it left with a 131-126 victory. If this was even one month from now, I'd definitely be going against Miami here as the second game of a back-to-back vs. a red hot Wolves team which returns home after a 2-0 road trip to play its first in Minnesota is clearly not an easy task. But we're still in the first week of the season and these are the top athletes in the World. I'll argue that the victory yesterday will in fact help Miami in this one and while the outright victory may not happen, I'm definitely expecting a war until the final bucket. Conversely, I think the Wolves have a letdown here in their first game in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - Miami is 14-10 ATS in its last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. - Minnesota is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a blowout victory of 20 points or more. The verdict: I like Miami's depth to carry the team to another solid cover at the very least in this one; grab the points! |
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10-27-19 | Browns v. Patriots OVER 45.5 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Browns/Pats. This is a big game for the Browns. Not so much for the undefeated defending champs. The Patriots love beating up on the Browns whenever they can, but Cleveland is in dire need of a victory and it enters off its bye week. I simply can't see the Browns sitting back and looking for the Pats to make the first mistake. Cleveland has to be aggressive from start to finish in this one if it has any hopes of pulling of an upset. Both teams sport awesome defenses, but the overall situation in my opinion points more to a "shootout," than a "chess match." Key Trends: - The Browns have seen the total eclipse the posted number in their last three after having lost three of their last four games. - The Patriots have seen the total go over the number in six of their last nine as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: Taking into account the situational and trend based factors above, I'm definitely on the over in this one! |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Carolina Panthers. Carolina is 4-2 and it's coming out of its bye week hungry for a victory and to give the 6-0 49ers their first loss of the season. Carolina has won four straight with rookie pivot Kyle Allen under center. San Francisco has averaged 172 yards per game in the early going and its defense has been tremendous. Carolina averages 27 PPG and it concedes 22. San Fran averages 26 PPG and it allows only ten. Key Trends: - Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog (including 2-0 ATS this season.) - San Francisco is 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite, including a money-burning 2-2 ATS this year. The verdict: Yes the 49ers sport better seasonal averages, but Carolina's early numbers are skewed with Newton having played the first two games. Carolina comes in rested and red hot and while I wouldn't be surprised by an outright victory, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! |
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10-27-19 | Giants +7.5 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 119 h 14 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on the New York Giants. The Lions "hot start" is firmly in the rear view mirror. At 2-5, the Giants are also looking at another miserable season, but that doesn't mean that they won't be fighting tooth and nail here. New York QB Daniel Jones has something to prove this week. Last weekend Giants' RB Saquon Barkley had 72 yards and a TD. The Lions' though looked terrible in their 42-30 loss to the Vikes this past Sunday. Matt Stafford has been decent for Detroit, but he's not going to have top RB Kerryon Johnson to help him. Key Trends: - New York is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a road underdog of 7 points or less. - The Giants are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three off an upset loss as a favorite. - Detroit is a terrible 4-7 ATS in their last 11 off a division game. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up the points! |
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10-27-19 | Chargers +4.5 v. Bears | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 119 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* TOP DOG is on the LA Chargers. The Chargers had three chances to punch it in from the 1 yard line last week to win vs. the Titans, but Melvin Gordon and Philip Rivers were unable to get the job done. The Chargers' season literally hangs in the balance in this one after starting 2-5. The Bears have been all over the map from week to week with their consistency, and they enter this one at 3-3. For the most part I'm basing this selection on the starting QB's. Mitchell Trubisky has taken a major step back this year. That's due to a number of different reasons, but regardless I absolutely like Rivers to come in focussed and to deliver the goods. Key Trends: - Chargers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 on the road. - Bears are just 1-3 ATS in their last four following a SU home loss. The verdict: This is a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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10-27-19 | Eagles v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -125 | 119 h 13 m | Show |
My 8* SMASH-JOB is on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills offense has been "good enough" this year, but their defense has been exceptional. Overall Buffalo averages only 20.2 PPG, but it concedes just 15.2. Buffalo' QB Josh Allen had two TD's vs. the Dolphins last weekend. The Eagles are down and out in my opinion after their 37-10 loss to the Cowboys. They aren't coming to a friendly place to face a team that's going to "look past" them either. After years of missing the playoffs, the Bills are on a mission this season. Besides, Eagles' QB Carson Wentz has looked horrible this year and he continues to suffer from a poor running game and weak offensive line. Key Trends: - Buffalo has scored 121 points so far this year and it's allowed an AFC low 91 against. - The Eagles are a poor 1-4 ATS this year following an ATS loss. The verdict: I think the home side can smell the blood in the water and I look for it to deliver the knock out blow to Philadelphia's season this weekend; lay the short points! |
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10-26-19 | Washington State v. Oregon -14 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -109 | 105 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Oregon. 4-3 Washington State is going to get overwhelmed here today by 6-1 Oregon in my opinion. WSU posted a 41-10 win over Colorado last weekend, while the Ducks got over a major hurdle last week by taking out Washington. WSU QB Anthony Gordon leads a passing game which is No. 1 in the country with 440.7 YPG. Yes the defense held Colorado to 320 yards last week, but the week prior it conceded 532 to ASU. Ducks' QB Justin Herbert has 21 TD's and no INT's so far this season. Oregon's defense though is among the best in the country, allowing only 11.9 PPG. The Ducks have also forced 12 INT's this year. Key Trends: - Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. the Conference. - The Cougars are interestingly just 1-4 ATS in their last five after posting 280 yards or more in their previous game. The verdict: For me, the WSU defense is the weak point for the visitors and I look for Herbert to light it up. Combined with the home side's improved defensive play this season, all signs do indeed point to a Ducks ATS rout; lay the points! |
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