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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens +2 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 76 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh needs to win this game and get some extra help to make the playoffs. It's not impossible, just unlikely. The Ravens have already clinched home field advantage and they'll be turning to RG 3 under center. Regardless of all of these facts, I still like the Ravens to find a way to get the job done here and stick it to their division rival. Devlin Hodges had two INT's vs. the Jets last weekend and I think he'll struggle here in this difficult road venue. The Ravens turn to RG 3 and he'll be playing with a chip on his shoulder. I expect the veteran to run this offense seamlessly, as he and Lamar Jackson do in fact have very similar play styles. Key Trends: - The Ravens concede just 18.1 PPG, good for third in the league. - Baltimore is 8-1 ATS in its last nine following a SU victory. - Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite. The verdict: Clearly I believe the outright win is in the cards, but let's grab the points! |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 76 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Oakland Raiders. The Broncos are out of the playoffs and their only motivation today is to play spoiler vs. the Raiders here, who need to win and get some outside help before they can earn a playoff spot. The Raiders were disastrous last year and not much was expected of them this season either, so I think it is in fact a big testament to Jon Gruden's coaching skills that the team is in the position that it's in at the moment. The Raiders come in with momentum as well after a win over the Chargers last weekend. QB Derek Carr has a decent 20 TD's to just eight INT's. RB Josh Jacobs is a difference maker as well, as he has 1,150 rushing yards and seven TD's this year. Denver's looked a bit better of late, winning three of its last four, but it's clearly too little too late. Last week they got destroyed 23-3 on the road in KC. Key Trends: - Oakland is already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of seven points or less. - Denver is a terrible 6-13 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite. The verdict: I like Gruden and Carr to continue to surprise people this season witn another victory in this crucial spot (that said, let's grab the points!) |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 63 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Clemson/OSU. A couple of 13-0 teams collide in the Fiesta Bowl and the winner will be headed to the Championship Game. It's going to go one of two ways obviously, either a low-scoring defensive battle, or a high-scoring shootout. And in my opinion, obviously it's going to be the latter. Both teams rank among the best of the best in the country on both sides of the ball, but I've been most impressed by each team's offense. Note that Clemson has averaged 54.2 PPG over its last six games. Note that Ohio State is the No. 1 ranked offensive team in the nation by averaging 48.7 PPG. Key Trends: - The Tigers have interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of their last four after two straight covers as the favorite. - The Buckeyes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of their last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 56.5 and 63. The verdict: They say defense wins championships, and while that may be true, to reach the championship game, I expect these two teams to open up the playbook and push the pace from the opening kickoff, until the final whistle; play the over! |
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12-28-19 | Nets v. Rockets -9 | Top | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Houston Rockets. Both teams are coming off poor efforts. The Nets though are injured and have zero momentum and I think that trend of futility gets carried over here. Most recently Brooklyn fell 94-82 to the lowly Knicks. The lone bright spot was Spencer Dinwiddie, who had 25 point sin the setback. Overall Brooklyn averages and concedes 111 PPG. The Rockets won four in a row before an X-Mas Day upset at Golden State, falling 116-114. Russell Westbrook had 30 points in the setback: "We were up by 13 in the first half and for some reason we decided to start fouling them and putting them on the line and that cost us," coach Mike D'Antoni said. "Defensively we gave up 64 points in the first half and that's not good enough." Key Trends: - Houston is 9-1 ATS in its last ten when playing on two days rest. - The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of more than ten points. - Brooklyn is only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The verdict: The Rockets were embarrassed on National TV in front of the whole world just a couple of days ago and now they get a chance to annihilate this injured Nets team. Expect a blowout! |
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12-28-19 | Memphis +7 v. Penn State | Top | 39-53 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* BEATDOWN is on Memphis. The Tigers are a good team. They've won seven in a row. That includes a 29-24 victory over Cincinnati in the AAC Championship a couple of weeks ago. QB Brady White has 3,560 yards passing to go along with 33 TD's and only nine INT's. RB Kenneth Gainwell has 1,425 yards rushing, which is sixth best in the country. Overall the Tigers post a whopping 39.3 PPG. Penn State opened with eight straight victories, but it closed by losing two of three. The Nittany Lions ended their season with an uninspiring 27-6 win over Rutgers. QB Sean Clifford has 2,521 passing yards with 22 TD's and only six INT's. Overall the Nittany Lions average 30.3 PPG and concede 14.7. Key Trends: - Memphis is interestingly 4-0 ATS in its last four after a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Penn State is already just 2-3 ATS this year after a win by 21 points or more. The verdict: I think Memphis has a very realistic chance of winning this one outright. I believe that Penn State's defense is going to be pushed to the brink. That said, let's grab the points! |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68 | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER WSU/Air Force. Yes the Cougars stumbled in their final game of the year vs. Washington, managing just 13 points in the setback, but I think that Anthony Gordon and this "Air Raid" offense take out their frustrations on the Falcons today. Gordon had 5,228 passing yards with 45 TDs and just 16 INTs. Air Force's defense is ranked better than its offense (20th and 40th respectively). The Falcons are the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in the nation with 292.5 YPG. WSU has a weak defensive front and I expect the Cougars to be "on their heels" from start to finish. Key Trends: - WSU has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a two weeks or longer break. - Air Force has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as the favorite. The verdict: With WSU throwing the ball to the cows come home and with Air Force exploiting this weak Cougars' defense, look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later! |
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12-27-19 | Kings v. Sharks -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the San Jose Sharks. Two teams which are hungry for a victory collide after the X-Mas Break. LA has lost three in a row and SJ has lost nine of ten. A date vs. the Kings is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though, as SJ has already taken the first two meetings of the year between the clubs. And in a case like this, I don't think that the "home ice advantage" can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Key Trends: - The Kings are just 5-11 (-3.9 units) vs. the division this year. - The Sharks are still 10-4 (+5.7 units) this season vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: The Sharks match up well vs. this Kings team and I expect that trend to continue again tonight; lay the price! |
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12-27-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST is on the Milwaukee Bucks. After getting embarrassed on X-Mas Day in Philadelphia, I look for the Bucks to bounce back here and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hawks. Whether Giannis Antetokounmpo plays or not tonight, I like Chris Middleton and the Bucks to deliver the goods here. Milwaukee has incredible depth and it's defense is going to be able to slow down this weak Hawks' attack. ATL most recently lost in Cleveland and it enters the post-X-Mas break with zero momentum. Overall the Hawks concede 118.6 PPG, the worst in the NBA. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 off an upset loss as a favorite (including 3-1 ATS this season.) - ATL is just 3-5 ATS this year revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: This one has all the makings of an epic blowout; lay the points! |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wake Forest. Michigan State was 6-6 this year. It closed out by beating bottom feeders Rutgers and Maryland to reach eligibility. Brian Lewerke leads an offense that averages 238.5 yards per game through the air. MSU's run game is poor though, averaging only 123 YPG, which ranks it outside the top 100. The Deacons though average 297.8 YPG through the air. MSU hasn't been nearly as sharp in defending the pass this year, conceding 210.6 YPG. QB Jamie Newman has 2,693 passing yards with 23 TDs and ten INTs. Key Trends: - Michigan State is just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season. - The Spartans are 2-4 ATS in their last six when playing on two or more weeks of rest. - The Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after allowing 37 points or more in their previous outing (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that Newman keeps his team competitive throughout and while clearly the outright isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 220 | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGERS is on the UNDER Blazers/Jazz. Two teams hungry for a victory collide in this one and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe this one will fall well below the posted number. Portland comes to town rested after its four game win streak was snapped inexplicably by the New Orleans Pelicans. The Jazz though are in the exact same boat, as their five-game win skein came to a crashing halt with a blowout loss to the Heat in their last outing. From an overall "situational" stand point, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this year when the total is greater than or equal to 220. - Utah has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a run and gun "shootout." Play the under! |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +11.5 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on EMU. Pitt lost its final two games of the year, including a 26-19 home loss to Boston College. EMU also lost its finale, falling 34-26 to Kent State. Pitt' QB Kenny Pickett has a weak 10:9 TD:INT this year. The Panthers average only 20.1 PPG, while conceding 21.8. Eastern Michigan is averaging 29.1 PPG and it's conceding 30.3. But QB Mike Glass III won't be going down without a fight today in my opinion. Note that Glass finished with a 22:10 TD:INT. Key Trends: - The Panthers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. - The Eagles are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 following an ATS loss. - EMU is a sharp 17-5 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games. The verdict: I think the offensively challenged Panthers have a difficult time keeping pace and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything definitely points to a much closer battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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12-26-19 | Wizards v. Pistons -6 | Top | 102-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* REVENGE U OF THE U is on the Detroit Pistons. They say "revenge is a dish best served cold." Washington has already taken the first two meetings between these teams and it enters off a rare road win over the Knicks in its last game. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Detroit on the other hand enters off another terrible peformance, this time falling at home to the 76ers. The Pistons are desperate for a victory and they play with the "double revenge" factor. I think the revenge angle works here tonight. Key Trends: - Washington is an unbelievably bad 10-21 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days rest. - Detroit is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. The verdict: The stage is set for a massive lop-sided blowout for the home side here; lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Nuggets | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Pelicans. The Pelicans come in under the radar today. Yes it's Christmas Day, but I believe that works in favor of the visitors, who won't be around familiar faces to distract them earlier in the day. New Orleans enters off an impressive 102-94 road win at Portland as well and I believe it carries that momentum over. After seven straight victories, I believe the Nuggets do indeed get caught flat-footed here. To sum it up, this one has "trap" written all over it for the home side in my opinion. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after holding its previous opponent to 95 points or less. - Denver is only 3-4 ATS as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range already this season. The verdict: I think the Pels hang on X-Mas day; grab the points! |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers -2 | 111-106 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the LA Lakers. This is a revenge game for the Lakers after they fell to the Clippers in these team's respective season openers. Clearly it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but the Lakers have come a long way since that first game and with the entire team expected to be given a clean bill of health, I believe the "revenge factor" works tonight. Key Trends: - The Clippers are 0-3 ATS already this year after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. - The Lakers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season. - The Lakers are 9-4 ATS in revengin a loss vs. an opponent (including 6-1 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as the favorite.) The verdict: I like The King to get the better of The Claw tonight; play on the Lakers! |
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12-25-19 | Rockets -11 v. Warriors | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Rockets The Warriors are coming off two straight victories. Golden State's success these days revolves around the play of D'Angelo Russell and while he's playing admirably, I think he'll be completely short-handed here to handle the red hot Rockets, who have won four straight. The Rockets have plenty of fire-power with James Harden and Russell Westbrook, but the issue has been making the two "gel" and have a working chemistry. That does seem to be finally happening now, which is scary for the rest of the league. With a chance to put on a show for the World, I look for these two polarizing players to take over this contest. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-1 ATS already this season after four or more SU victories. - GS is only 6-8 ATS at home this year. - The Warriors are a poor 40-61 ATS in their last 101 after covering the spread in their previous game (including just 4-9 ATS this season.) The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the 76ers. Milwaukee comes in off a 117-89 home win over Indiana, while Philadelphia crushed Detroit 125-109 on the road on Monday. This is the first matchup of the year between these Eastern Conference heavyweights and while the Bucks did take two of the three meetings last season, I think that the home court advantage on X-Mas Day can't be ruled out as a major deciding factor once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Bucks are also interestingly only 1-3 ATS this year after three straight covers as the favorite. - Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a home dog. The verdict: It wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but after losing two of three last year, I think the 76ers offer great value to steal this one at home on X-Mas day; play on Philly! |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -3.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Boston Celtics. I like Boston to find a way to get the job done here. The C's come in focussed after their 119-93 destruction of the Hornets on Sunday, while the Raptors enter off a tough 120-115 OT loss on the road in Indiana. Boston already beat the Raptors 112-106 at home earlier in the year and I expect a similar result here as well. Overall the C's are averaging 111.2 PPG and conceding 103.2. THe Raptors are averaging 112.1 PPG and conceding 106.4. The Raptors though are playing with injuries to key players, including Paskall Siakam and Marc Gasol. Key Trends: - Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a win percentage above .600. The verdict: The Celtics have had a couple days off to prepare for this game and I look for the surging visiting side to deliver the goods on the national stage; lay the points! |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Hawaii. Both teams were on quite the role until their final contest, losing badly in their finales. BYU had won five in a row and averaged 39.8 PPG during, however it came up short 13-3 vs. SDSU in its final game of the year. Hawaii lost 31-10 to Boise State in the MWC Championship Game. The Warriors average 33.6 PPG and they allow 31.7. QB Cole McDonald led his team to a 6-2 record at home as well. BYU only allows 24.4 PPG, but it only averages 28. QB Zach Wilson has 2,108 passing yards and 11 TD's. Key Trends: - BYU is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 0-6 ATS this season.) - The Cougars are only 2-4 ATS on the road this year. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes the Warriors are terrible defensively, but I think that Wilson and this Cougar offense will struggle to keep pace down the stretch with the home side; grab the point/s! |
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12-23-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland is quietly dominating right now and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. The Blazers enter having won four in a row and five of their last six. Damian Lillard has scored 27 or more in his team's five straight victories, while big man Hassan Whitesite has double double efforts in ten straight games. The Pelicans are coming off a loss to Golden State on Friday and with an X-Mas day matchup which was supposed to showcase their dynamic rookie up next, I believe they suffer a predictable letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage bleow .400. - New Orleans is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. The verdict: The Blazers last six victories have come by at least seven points or more; expect that strong trend to continue tonight vs. the hapless Pels! |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 47 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH is on the OVER Packers/Vikings. Green Bay travels to Minnesota in a pivotal matchup on Monday night. The Packers can wrap up the division tonight with a victory. The Vikings though have earned a playoff spot already with the 49ers' victory over the Rams, but they still have a shot at earning the division crown as well. As long as they win tonight. These teams feature two dynamic QB's and when the dust does finally settle at the end of this one, I think they'll have "stolen the show." Note that Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has a sharp 24:2 TD:INT, while Vikings' pivot Kirk Cousins has a 25:5 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last seven after completing a two-game home stand (including both such instances this season.) - Minnesota has seen the total soar over in four of five already this year vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: The Vikes play with revenge here. Cousins plays with a chip on his shoulder as he's 0-8 on Monday Night games in his career. The first game of this series went "under" the number, but the numbers and the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into this contest all point to the "over" as the savvy call tonight! |
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12-23-19 | Capitals v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Caps/Bruins. Two Eastern Conference heavyweights go head to head here and in my opinion, this one has "goaltenders battle" written ALL over it! For Washington it's Braden Holtby in net and he backs a defense which is ranked seventh in the league in goals allowed per game on the road. The home side counters with veteran Tuukka Rask, who anchors a defense which is ranked fourth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - The Bruins have seen the total go under the number in 11 of their last 14 after three straight losses in OT or the shootout. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six home games following a home win by two goals or more. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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12-23-19 | Marshall v. Central Florida OVER 60 | Top | 25-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BONANZA is on the OVER Marshall/UCF. I'm expecting a complete shootout from start to finish between the 8-4 Marshall Thundering Herd and the 9-3 UCF Golden Knights this afternoon. Note these two teams had a similar opponent this year, as Marshall lost 42-17 to Cincinnati and the Knights fell 27-24 to the Bearcats. The Herd average 24.8 PPG and I think they're going to have to open things up here to keep pace with the high-flying Knights, who average 43 PPG. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 as an underdog (including in two of three this season.) - UCF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when the total falls between 56.5 and 63 points (including in three of four this season.) The verdict: I think these defensive units take a back seat to these capable offenses; play the over! |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears OVER 44 | Top | 26-3 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* SLAUGHTER-FEST is on the OVER Chiefs/Bears. Kansas City has clinched the division, but home field advantage in the playoffs is still up for grabs. The Bears are now out of playoff contention though and are just playing for pride and to play "spoiler" here. Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky though will be plenty motivated here to try and finish out the season on a high note after struggling to start it. The Chiefs though will be looking to deliver the knock out blow on the National stage, note that they come in averaging the fourth most points in the NFL at 28.1 per contest. Key Trends: - Kansas City has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year as a road favorite of seven points or less. - Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after having won two out of its last three games SU. The verdict: I believe Mahomes and Trubisky will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles +2 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys come in off a big 44-21 win at home over the Rams last weekend. Previous to that they'd dropped three straight. This isn't a letdown spot for Dallas, as a win today will clinch it the division. I just think it's terrible inconsistency in its play from week to week once again comes back to haunt it here. The Eagles' are 7-7 also and if they want to earn the division crown, they have to win this game today and also next week vs. the Giants. That's obviously a very "doable" task and I think that the home field advantage does matter in this instance. The Eagles pulled away for a crucial 37-27 win over Washington last week and I believe they carry that momenumt over here. Key Trends: - The Cowboys are a poor 2-3 ATS in their last five as a road favorite of three points or less (including 0-1 ATS this year.) - Philadelphia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: I like Carson Wentz and the home side to grind out a victory in front of the home town crowd; that said, grab the points! |
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12-22-19 | Jaguars v. Falcons -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Both teams come in off rare victories, but neither will be involved in the post-season. In this meaningless Week 16 contest, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. The Falcons though have won four of their last six games, while the Jags had lost six in a row before picking up a win over the hapless Raiders last weekend. The Jags needed a miracle to come from behind at 16-3 at halftime. Atlanta QB' Matt Ryan is a difference maker for me, as the veteran has 3,749 passing yards, to go along with 24 TD's and 12 INT's. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. - Jacksonville is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games (including 0-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: As mentioned above, I like Ryan to easily outduel his rookie counterpart; lay the points! |
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12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -125 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Titans. Here's another one where I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. New Orleans is in the playoffs, but it's still fighting for home field. The Titans though lost to Houston last weekend, meaning that this is a "must win" contest. And I believe that matters today. It sets up as a letdown/trap for the Saints, who saw veteran QB Drew Brees break Peyton Manning's all time TD record in last week's 34-7 blowout victory at home over the Colts. Ryan Tannehill isn't given much credit, but I think the Titans' QB is a difference maker today, so far he has 2,272 yards and a sharp 17:6 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Interestingly, the Saints are just 1-3 ATS in the last two weeks of the regular season over the last two years. - The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home dog (including 1-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Look for the "hungrier" team to pull it off this afternoon; that said, grab the points! |
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12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | 10-16 | Win | 105 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the New York Jets. Following a pattern here with this all early three-game NFL report, sees the "home field advantage" as a deciding factor in this contest in my opinion. Pittsburgh "has" to win this game if it has any hopes of a playoff spot. Last week the Steelers fell 17-10 to the Bills and another loss here will be the final nail in the coffin to their season. Of course, Devlin Hodges will get the call under center for Pittsburgh today, its third string QB, who looked terrible last week at home vs. the Bills. Sam Darnold has looked decent at times this year and with a game in Buffalo next weekend to finish off the 2019/20 campaign, I believe he'll be given the green light to test this now weary Steelers' defenese, which has had to shoulder the load all year. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. - New York is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think this one sets up nicely for the home side; that said, grab the points! |
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12-21-19 | Blues v. Sharks +122 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the San Jose Sharks. I like the Sharks to pull off the slight upset at home over the defending champs. St. Louis has won four in a row after a 2-1 win in Edmonton, but I think it'll finally come up short here. Overall St. Louis is averaging 3.03 GPG and conceding 2.58. San Jose comes in as the hungrier team after a 3-2 loss to Arizona last time out. The Sharks are 1-6-1 in their last eight and I believe the desperation level in which they play with tonight will turn out to be the difference. Key Trends: - St. Louis is already a poor 2-3 (-1.2 units) this year after playing three straight home games. - San Jose is 4-1 (+3 units) this season after playing three straight home games. The verdict: All signs point to a letdown here finally for the Blues, while I expect the Sharks to risk life and limb tonight in an attempt to get off the schneid; play on SJ! |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -101 | 80 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the San Francisco 49ers. While the 49ers' surge has slowed down over the last month, I think they bounce back here and destroy this "on again, off again" Rams team. San Francisco will be plenty motivated here after falling at home to the lowly Falcons last weekend. It was a difficult spot though, as they had just come off a massive shootout road win over the the Saints. But I think the home side gets back on track in this favorable spot and lays the hammer down early and often. The Rams were crushed by the Cowboys last weekend and I think they'll have a hard time mustering up much of an attack here either. LA's defense has been stout so far this season, but I believe it takes a step back here vs. Jimmy Garoppolo and company. Key Trends: - LA is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as an underdog. - The Rams are a poor 2-3 ATS in their last five following a road loss. - San Fran is 5-1 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I like the focussed 49ers to deal the knock out blow to the Rams frustrating season; lay the points! |
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12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 123-102 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks fell 129-114 in Miami, but I think the offer great value here to push the Bucks to the limit here. Milwaukee enters off a highly satisfying win at home over LeBron James and the Lakers and with a game the following night at home vs. Indiana, before their X-Mas day game at Philadelphia, would anyone fault the Bucks for having a letdown/look-ahead?! Key Trends: - Milwaukee is only 4-7 ATS this year after a non-conference game. - New York is 7-2 ATS already this season in revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: It's a "trap game" for the Bucks in my opinion and I like the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State UNDER 49.5 | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on the UNDER WSU/Boise State. These are two mediocre offenses and two very good defenses going head to head. When you add it all up, I think this number is too high. Washington beat Washington State 31-13 in its regular season finale. Note though that Huskies' QB Jacob Eason had just two TD passes over his last three games. Boise State is led by Jaylon Henderson, who became the starter in mid November and who finished with 1,032 yards and 11 TD's.  But as stated off the top, it's been each team's defense which has been its strength, with the Broncos allowing only 20.6 PPG and leading the MWC with 37 sacks, while the Huskies concede 20.4 PPG, most recently holding the Cougars air raid offense to 308 yards. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 13 off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. - Boise State has seen the total dip below the posted number in its last four games when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: Look for these defensive units to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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12-21-19 | North Florida v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Syracuse. I like 6-5 Syracuse to lay the hammer down on the North Florida Ospreys today. Elijah Hughes and Joseph Girard III led the way in a 74-62 victory against Oakland in the Dome on Wednesday. Hughes had 23 points, while Girard III added 20 points to go along with seven assists. Note that the Orange are 21st in assist turnover ratio (1.36). North Florida is 7-6 and it enters off a 98-81 loss to FSU last time out. Four players average more than ten points for the Ospreys, but I still think they'll have difficulty keeping pace with the Orange in the Carrier Dome tonight. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference home games as a 13 point or higher favorite. The verdict: This is a bad matchpu for the Ospreys, who struggle against good three-points shooting teams (note that Hughes is fourth in 3-point field goals made (40) and fifth in 3-point field goals per game (3.64) in the country.) Lay the points! |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 37.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Bills/Patriots. Buffalo plays with revenge here after falling at home to the Patriots earlier in the season. The Bills though come in off a big win over the Steelers and they now have ten victories in a season for the first time in two decades. Early on it was Buffalo's stifiling defense which "stole the show," but over the last month it's also been the improved play from QB Josh Allen and the offense. With nothing to lose today, I look for Buffalo to open up the playbook. The Patriots are 11-3, but many have doubts about the play of QB Tom Brady. New England's defense has shown some cracks in the armor of late and I believe it'll be pushed here by this hungry visiting side. Brady plays with a chip on his shoulder as well today as he tries to guide his team to two more victories and a final 13-3 record. Key Trends: - Buffalo has seen the total go over in six of its last eight after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. - NE has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season after covering as a double digit favorite. The verdict: The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stats, does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one in my opinion! |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 11-48 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CMU. I think the Chips throw everything at this stiny Aztecs team and while I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, I'll in the end take the points in a contest which I think'll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last. CMU was 1-11 last year, but it finished 8-5 this season. The Chips won three in a row before falling 26-24 to Miami Ohio in the MAC Title game. So far the MAC has dominated early in these Bowl games and I like that trend to continue here with Quinten Dormady leading the charge. Dormady had 2,148 passing yards with a 14:6 TD:INT. RB's Kobe Lewis and Jon Ward each finished with 1,000 yards rushing this season. SDSU only allows 12.8 PPG, but I think the Aztecs struggle to contain this balanced offense of CMU. SDSU does not have a big running game, which makes Ryan Agnew, who had 2,175 passing yards and an 11:5 TD:INT, very one dimensional here. Key Trends: - CMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. - The Chips are 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. - SDSU is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-20-19 | Penguins v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Pens/Oilers. Pittsburgh's won three straight, while Edmonton has gone just 1-5 in its last six. The visitors are out to keep the momenutm rolling and the home side is desperate to get off the schneid. The Pens average 3.29 GPG and they allow 2.65. The Oilers are averaging 2.89 GPG and they're conceding 3.00. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 17 non-conference games already this season. - Edmonton has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five after scoring one goals or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I think the Oilers are going to have another hard-time finding the back of the net tonight. I'm wary of laying the price on the road favorite, but considering all of the above situational and trend based factors, I absoultely feel that the "under" is the savvy call in this situation! |
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12-20-19 | Mavs v. 76ers -8 | Top | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the 76ers. I base my picks on many different things. This one has to do primarily with common sense. Dallas won its first game over the Bucks without star player Luka Doncic in the line-up, but the team has predictably struggled since. I believe that trend continues here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Mavs are fresh off a 109-103 loss at home to Boston. And the 76ers come in focussed, as after a five-game win streak, they enter having lost two straight. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. - Dallas is interestingly just 5-7 ATS in non-conference games this year. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Utah State. This is only the third time in Kent State's history that it's been to a bowl game. The Golden Flashes finished only 6-6, but a three-game win streak at the end likely helped in their cause ultimatley. Utah State though has the much better defense and I think that the unit will prove to be the difference maker here. Aggies' QB Jordan Love is also a key factor here, as he's projected to be a top 10 QB in the upcoming NFL draft. The Flashes counter with Dustin Crum, who has 2,333 yards passing this year (Love has 3,085.) Key Trends: - Kent State is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) - Utah State is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 5-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think Love will go ballistic on this suspect Kent secondary and I like the Aggies to shut down Crum; lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the LA Clippers. The Rockets got out to an 11-3 start, but they've since fallen off, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Russell Westbrook is struggling to find chemistry with James Harden as he's averaging only 22.8 percent shooting. Also note that the visitors come to town with significant injuries to key players (Eric Gordon and Gerald Green.) Houston's defense has been atrocious this year and I think that the home side is going to go for the jugular tonight. The Clippers are 21-8 and they play with revenge here after falling to the Rockets in Houston earlier in the year. Paul George didn't play in that one and LA has had to deal with several injuries to open the season. But all key players are back and available to go in this contest. Key Trends: - LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home. - Houston is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict: Chemistry issues, poor defense and injuries come back to haunt the Rockets tonight; lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Habs/Flames. Montreal is 5-4-1 in its last ten and it enters off a big win. The Flames are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Montreal's Carey Price has been much better this season than last, but the biggest difference in my opinion in the "up tick" in play for the Habs has been on the offensive end this year, currently ranked eighth in the away from friendly confines. Calgary's recent turnaround has come on the defensive end, as the team is still only ranked 20th in the league on the offensive end. That said, clearly the team has looked a lot better during its recent winning streak and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas again here. Key Trends: - Montreal has seen the total go over in four of its last five after a win by two goals or more. - Calgary has seen the total soar over the number in four of its last five home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: I exepct a wide-open, faster paced contest between these two hungry non-conference opponents; play the over! |
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12-19-19 | William & Mary v. St. Joe's +1.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on St. Joes. William & Mary enters at 8-3, while the St. Joseph's Hawks are just 2-9. After winning four of five though, I think the visitors come in complacent. However, the Hawks have lost five straight and I believe they'll be risking life and limb, pulling out all the stops as they try to get off the schneid and back into the winners circle. The bottom line though is that the Tribe have played a very weak schedule, and the Hawks have played a more difficult one. Key Trends: - St. Joe's is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 85 or more points (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - W&M is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after having won four of its last five SU. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at home; grab the short points! |
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12-18-19 | Oilers v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the under Oilers/Blues. Edmonton is just 3-6-1 in its last ten. The Blues come in having won three straight. Edmonton averages only 2.79 GPG on the road, while ranked fourth in the NHL in goal allowed while on the road. The Blues rank 17th at home in goals per game average, while ranked ninth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - Edmonton has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine road games in which the total is set at either 5.5 or 6. - St. Louis has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 12 home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Look for these goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play on the under! |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -121 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Colts. The Saints have locked up the NFC South, but they're still playing for better positioning. The Colts' red hot start to the season is firmly in the rear view mirror, but they can still make a wild card spot with a victory today. The Saints' defense was exposed early and often by the 49ers last week and I think that Jacoby Brissett and the Colts' offense will have their opportunities today. Clearly the Colts' defense will have its hands full, but I expect the visitors to fight until the final whistle. Key Trends: - Indy is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after allowing 30 or more points in its last game (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - New Orleans is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I do indeed feel that the Colts can keep this one competitive throughout vs. a very shaky Saints' secondary; grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Avs/Blues. The Blues are 10-4-3 at home and they've won two straight. The Avs are 8-1-1 in their last ten. Colorado has the No. 2 ranked offense on the road. The Blues are only ranked 18th on offense at home, but that unit has started to come together of late and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - St. Louis has seen the total soar over the posted number in three of its last four home games where the total is six or higher. The verdict: Both teams push the pace and this one flies over sooner, rather than later! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on Western Illinois. EIU claimed a 68-66 OT win over WIU last year. Suffice it to say, I think that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Panthers come in a 5-4, while the Leathernecks are 2-7. EIU averages 78.3 PPG, but defense has been a liability. WIU comes in off a hard-fought 90-86 loss to Evansville, but I think it carries that momentum over here as it looks to break the three game slide in this series. Key Trends: - WIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as an undredog. - WIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning SU record. - EIU is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road. The verdict: Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but let's grab the points! |
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12-15-19 | Bills +1.5 v. Steelers | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on the Bills. These teams play similar styles, but I think that the Bills have a much better QB in place in Josh Allen, over Steelers third-stringer Devlin Hodges. Hodges had 147 yards and a TD last week vs. the Cardinals, but I believe the Steelers' offense will struggle to do anything today vs. a Bills' defense which is conceding only 16.3 PPG. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five after posting less than 150 passing yards in its previous game. - Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven on the road. - The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a road dog. The verdict: Look for Allen to be the key to our victory today; play on the Bills! |
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12-15-19 | Wild v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Wild/Hawks. Both teams come in off games just last night and because of that, I believe each will play more of a defensive style of play in the second game of the back to back scenario. Minnesota skated away with a 4-1 win in Philadelphia, while Chicago lost 4-3 in St. Louis, falling apart late and letting the defending champs come from behind. Minnesota though only averages 2.60 GPG on the road this season. The Hawks only average 2.82 GPG at home. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 after three straight home games. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 21 of its last 29 home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: Two tired teams which have troubles scoring collide on Sunday night and in my opinion, the savvy wager is on the under! |
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12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers OVER 40 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL is on the OVER Bears/Packers. Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide in the frigid confines of Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written all over it. The Packers have been stalling of late, but they still have a chance for the No. 1 seed in the NFC at 10-3. The Bears though are 7-6 and they need to win this one to keep pace for a wildcard spot. Chicago though has won three in a row now, including probably its most impressive performance of the year in last week's 31-24 win over Dallas. More than anything, it's QB Mitchell Trubisky who has finally started to perform at a much higher level (244 passing yards and three TD's.) Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has 23 TD's and only two INT's this season. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total go over in 11 of its last 14 off a home victory. - The Packers have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: Despite the conditions, I think it'll be these two competent QB's which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Titans. Houston is 8-5. Tennessee is 8-5. Two teams enter, only one will leave with a victory. This is obviously a big game. Momentum is a big part of sports success and right now, the Titans have a ton of it. The Texans on other hand have been floundering of late. Suffice it to say, I expect both these trends to continue over in a big way here. Houston lost 38-24 at home to Denver last weekend, while Tennessee enters having won four in a row behind the resurgent play of QB Ryan Tannehill. Key Trends: - Tennessee is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Houston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The verdict: I think Tannehill is playing as good or better than Texans' QB DeShaun Watson. However, I like the Titans in every other aspect here and that makes the home side the correct call for sure; lay the short points! |
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12-14-19 | Fresno State v. Cal Poly OVER 134.5 | Top | 62-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Fresno State/Cal Poly. These are two teams hungry for a win. Fresno State is 2-7 and Cal Poly is 2-8. The Bulldogs come in off a tight 69-63 loss to Cal on Wednesay, led by 21 points from New Williams. For the season the Bulldogs average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.2. The Mustangs broke a five-game slide with a 70-66 win over Sienna last time out and I think that first year coach John Smith's team can build off that performance at home. Key Trends: - Fresno State has seen the total go over the number in all three games it's played in this year as a favorite. - Cal Poly has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 16 as a home dog. The verdict: This one has the feel of a wide open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced "chess match." Play the over! |
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12-14-19 | Blackhawks v. Blues -190 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
My 6* ANNIHILATION is on the St. Louis Blues. I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Blues come in off a 4-2 win at home over Vegas, a big win after they had dropped three straight previously. Chicago comes in off a terrible 5-2 loss to Arizona and I have a hard time seeing the Hawks getting much by Blues' netminder Jordan Binnington today either. Key Trends: - St. Louis is interestingly 41-19 in its last 60 when playing on one days rest. - The Blackhawks are an atrocious 1-6 in their last seven vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: No need to overanalyze this one. I think St. Louis comes in focussed and builds off its latest win over Vegas; lay the price! |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-14-19 | Evansville v. Green Bay -2 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay. Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd. The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far. Key Trends: - The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more. - The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points! |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy OVER 40 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy. Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak. Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2. Key Trends: - Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest. - Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over! |
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12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Devils/Avs. I think these teams easily combine to go over the number here this evening. New Jersey is desperate for a win here after six straight losses. The Avs have won seven of their last eight, so they'll have to be careful not to look past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Jersey' netminder Mackenzie Blackwood is just 8-9-4 this season with a 3.00 GAA and the Devils are 30th in the league in GAA with 3.57. The Avs' defense hasn't been particularly sharp, but its offense has. Especially at home. Key Trends: - The Devils have already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest. - The Avs have seen the total go over in six of their last eight non-conference games. The verdict: I expect a wide open, high-scoring shootout at the Pepsi Center tonight; play the over! |
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12-13-19 | Colorado v. Colorado State +5.5 | Top | 56-48 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Colorado State. I think the 7-2 Colorado Buffalos will have their hands full with the 7-5 Colorado State Rams. CSU comes in off a win, while Colorado enters off two straight losses. Most recently the Buffs fell 79-76 to Northern Iowa. Tyler Bey leads the way for Colorado with 13 points, 11 boards and 2.1 assists per game. CSU is led by Nico Carvacho with 13.3 points, 9.9 boards and 2.2 assists per night. Carvacho had 12 points in his team's most recent 72-68 home win over South Dakota State. Key Trends: - The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. - The Buffaloes are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games. The verdict: The Rams are not a push over this year and they come in off a confidence building victory which I believe gets carried over here. The outright is possible, but let's grab up the points! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -148 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -148 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the San Jose Sharks. No need to go to into depth on this one. I think all things considered that this is a very fair price for the home side, one which I have no issues at all in laying. The Rangers beat the Golden Knights 5-0, then fell to the Kings 3-1. San Jose on the other hand will be risking life and limb tonight to secure a win after five straight losses. Key Trends: - The Rangers are a terrible 1-11 in their last 12 vs. the Pacific Division. - San Jose is still 7-3 in its last ten at home. The verdict: New York allows the second most shots on net in the league, so I look for the Sharks' beleaguered offense to finally wake up here; lay the price! |
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12-12-19 | Jets +16.5 v. Ravens | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -125 | 86 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the New York Jets. I'll be the first to tell you that LaMar Jackson is deserving of the MVP award this year. The dynamic QB continues to set the league on fire and now his team is starting to play better on the defensive side of the ball as well. But the Jets have won four of five after last week's 21-20 win over Miami. In that contest, RB Le'Veon Bell did not play, but he's ready to go tonight. New York' QB Sam Darnold has looked brilliant one week and pretty ordinary the next, but the pivot is playing his best of the season right now, going for nine major scores and just two picks over his last five games. The Jets have to run the table to earn a wild card spot, so tonight's contest is "do or die" for New York. Key Trends: - The Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last eightafter two or more consecutive losses vs. the spread. - The Ravens are only 8-15 ATS in their last 23 at home (including just 2-4 ATS this season.) The verdict: I believe the "hungrier" team throws a big scare into the entitled home side; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! |
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12-11-19 | Bruins +117 v. Capitals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Boston Bruins. Boston comes in as the "hungrier" team and I think that'll be the difference today. The Bruins have lost three in a row. They also play with revenge after losing the first game in this series 3-2 earlier in the year. Boston is too talented to be kept down for too long. It still has the third ranked power play unit with a 28 percent success rate, while being No. 4 in the NHL with an 84.5 percent penalty kill rate as well. Boston netminder Tuuka Rask is still 13-3-3 with a 2.19 GAA. I like to play against teams that have been on an extended win streak, and which have just suffered their first loss to break that slide. The Capitals' six-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. Columbus and I think it's primed for another letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Boston is 8-4 this year following a divisional contest. - Washington is just 1-4 (-4.9 units) this season after a divisional game. The verdict: Revenge is a dish best served cold and as mentioned off the top, I think it's an angle that works today for the desperate Bruins. Play on Boston! |
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12-11-19 | Cornell +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Cornell. The Cornell Big Red are just 1-7 and the Colgate Raiders are 6-4. The Big Red though won't be lacking for motivation as they attempt to snap a seven-game skid, including four losses by three points or less, vs. the reigning Patriot champion. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging team bests of 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds for Cornell, numbers that raise to 23.3 ppg. and 12.0 rpg over the last three. Colgate is 5-0 at home, but it comes in off a 93-82 OT loss at Niagara, which snapped a five-game win streak. How will the Raiders respond? I think another letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - Cornell is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a five games or more unbeaten streak. - Colgate is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 following an OT loss of ten points or more. The verdict: I think the Big Red match up well here; grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the under Leafs/Canucks. Toronto's already been through a lot of drama this year with the firing of their head coach and a rocky peformance from night to night. The Leafs continue a difficult West Coast road trip tonight in Vancouver, followed by upcoming contests in Calgary and Edmonton. Before a road win over St. Louis, the Leafs had lost two straight, scoring one goal in each of the setbacks. Frederick Anderson is 14-7 with a 2.54 GAA this year. Vancouver comes in off a wild back and for 6-5 OT win over the Sabres, but I expect a much more subdued pace in this one. No. 1 netminder Jacob Markstrom is expected in net and he's 8-7-3 with a 2.70 GAA this season. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of ten non-conference games. - Vancouver has seen the total go under in six of its last ten non-conference contests. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring goaltenders battle; play the under! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on Texas Tech. The mighty 9-0 Louisville Cardinals are going to have a fight from start to finish on their hands here from the 5-3 Texas Tech Red Raiders in my estimation. Texas Tech has lost three straight, so clearly it'll be desperate for a win here and what better opponent to try and pull the upset against? Louisville averages 77.1 PPG and it concedes 57.6. Eight different players hit a three-pointer in the Cardinals most recent win over Pittsburgh. Texas Tech most recently lost 65-60 in OT to DePaul (Terrence Shannon Jr. was a bright spot in a losing cause with 24 points.) Note though that Texas Tech hasn't lost four straight non-conference games since 1991. Overall the Red Raiders average 79 PPG and concede 65.1. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 non-confernece games (including only 3-4 ATS this season.) - Texas Tech is 21-15 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think the home side matches up well and I think its determination bridges the gaps; that said, grab the points! |
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12-09-19 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. Oklahoma City comes in off a 108-96 win at Portland just last night, so I think it'll predictably struggle to put up much of a fight in this difficult road venue and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Would anyone blame the Thunder for having a letdown here either after winning four of five? The Jazz have taken a step back on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they're still conceding only 106 PPG on average. Utah got back on track after a three-game slide with a win over the Grizzlies last time. With three whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the Jazz to come out and lock down on the defensive side. Key Trends: - The Thunder have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Jazz have seen the total go under in all three games vs. division opponents already this year. The verdict: The numbers and the overall situation all point to the "under" as the savvy call here in my opinion! |
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12-09-19 | Giants +10.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* WINNER is on the New York Giants. Can the Giants win this one outright? Anything's possible of course, but I don't think it's likely. That said, with extended time off and with one last chance to prove himself, I think that Giants' veteran QB Eli Manning has an effecient enough game to keep his team in this one late. Manning has a lot to play for here, not only pride but with a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of the Eagles' playoff hopes. Manning has 566 passing yards, two TD's and two INT's this year in his limited time. Philly doesn't allow many rushing yards (91), but keep your eyes on RB Saquon Barkley all the same, as he has 544 rushing yards and two TD's this year. Philly has Washington on the road next weekend, followed by a home game vs. Dallas and then on the road vs. these very Giants to finish it off. Can Carson Wentz and the home side stay focussed on the task at hand? Key Trends: - New York is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 as a road dog. - The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games. - The Eagles are 0-3 ATS in their last three as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Bengals' QB Andy Dalton responded with a big game in his first game back after being benched and I think that Manning has the same effort here; that said, grab the points! |
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12-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Jackets/Capitals. Columbus had difficulty in its opening game of its four game road trip, falling 4-1 in Florida and frankly I think this inconsistent CBJ's offense will struggle to find the back of the net in the Nation's Capital as well. Washington is fresh off a hard-fought 3-2 win over Anaheim and I think a similar final combined score is in the cards for this one. Key Trends: - CBJ No. 1 goalie Joonas Korpisalo enters Monday with a 2.85 GAA and 0.90 save percentage in 22 games. - Washington netminder Braden Holtby has a 2.78 GAA and 0.91 save percentage. - The Jackets only average 2.42 GPG on the road. The veridct: I think every puck is contested and in a contest like that and when also taking into account the rest of the above factors, I think this one stays well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 48 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 131 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Hawks/Rams. What's the first thing you think about when you look at these two teams? Clearly it has to start with each side's QB. LA turns to Jared Goff, who took the Rams to the Super Bowl last year and who will need to have a big day if his team is to win here. The Hawks turn to Russell Wilson, who has won a Super Bowl and is one of the favorites to win the MVP this season. Each team has an underrated defense though. The Rams allow 245 passing yards per game and 104 rushing. The Hawks allow 281 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Seattle has interestingly seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing on Monday Night Football. - LA has seen the total go under in its last five games in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 28 or more points. The verdict: This is a big game for both teams. If Seattle wins, it clinches the division. The Rams HAVE to win to stay alive. I think each team tries to control the tempo of this one and put an added emphasis on ball control. These styles of contests invariably lead to lower-scoring games and that's exactly what I expect here; play the under! |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -135 | 102 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Patriots. KC beat Oakland 40-9 last week, but I think the Chiefs will have their hands full with a Patriots team coming off a listless 28-22 setback to the Texans. The annual parade of Tom Brady nay-sayers is out in full force now that the Pats' offense has been pretty lacklustre over the last month or so. Both teams are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, but I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor today. Key Trends: - KC is only 9-10 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with winning records (including only 2-3 ATS this season.) - NE is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: This is a spot in which Brady and New England have dominated in over the years and with their backs against the wall, I look for them to deliver in front of the home town crowd; lay the short points! |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Ravens/Bills under. The Ravens have won eight in a row behind the great play of QB Lamar Jackson and a steadily improving defense. The Bills are also putting together an exceptional season, behind a stellar defense and an improving offense. There are many story lines to this contest, but I think that in the end, this one will fall below the posted number. Key Trends: - The Ravens rank fifth in the league in points allowed with just 18.2. - Buffalo has given up just 38 points over its last three games. The verdict: Both teams depend on the run to score, with Baltimore ranked No. 1 and Buffalo ranked No. 5. Five of these team's last seven in the series have fallen under the number and everything points to another low-scoring battle on Sunday; play the under! |
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12-08-19 | Broncos v. Texans -9 | 38-24 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Houston Texans. Houston is 8-4 and still looking for more as it tries to lock down a playoff spot. Denver is coming off a 23-20 win over the hapless Chargers, but at 4-8 it literally has less than a 1 percent chance of making the playoffs. The Texans are firing on all cylinders in winning four of their last five. QB DeShaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins are both ranked in the Top 5 in their respective positions. The defense catches a break here as well facing a Denver unit which has struggled with offensive consistency all year. Key Trends: - Denver is just 8-14 ATS in its last 22 on the road. - The Broncos are only 7-9 ATS in their last 16 vs. teams with winning reocrds. The verdict: With tough upcoming games to end the year, this is a contest which the Texans can ill afford to look past. Lay the points, expect a rout! |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -107 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New Orleans Saints. The 49ers are now 10-2 after falling 20-17 to Baltimore last week. San Francisco faces a 10-2 Saints team which enters off a big 26-18 victory over Atlanta. In the early going all the talk has been about the 49ers' defensive play, which has been pretty good for the most part this season. But note that the Saints are actually fourth in the league in sacks with 40 so far this year. New Orleans has also scored at least 26 points in ts last three games, with QB Drew Brees throwing for 726 yards and seven TD's in that span. Key Trends: - The 49ers are only 1-4 ATS in their last five off a road cover where it lost SU as an underdog. - The Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 off a road victory (including 3-1 ATS this year.) The verdict: I think San Francisco stumbles in this difficult road venue; lay the short points! |
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12-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Bengals. The Bengals would love nothing more than to play spoiler on the Browns here, as another loss will essentially be the nail in the coffin as far as their playoff hopes are concerned. Cleveland is 5-7 and Cincinnati is 1-11. The Bengals destroyed the Jets 22-6 last week for their first win of the year and after that impressive performance on both sides of the ball, I look for them to carry that momentum over here. Last week the Browns lost 20-13 to the Steelers and I think they struggle once again with consistency on both sides of the ball. Key Trends: - The Bengals are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 as a road dog (including 4-1 ATS this season.) - The Browns are only 9-11 ATS in their last 20 at home (including only 2-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: I like Bengals' veteran QB Andy Dalton to severely outplay Browns' QB Baker Mayfield and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one coming down to the wire; grab the points! |
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12-07-19 | Islanders v. Stars -145 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Dallas Stars. After winning three of their last four, I think the Isles come up short vs. this hungry non-confernece opponent. Dallas clearly won't be taking anything for granted here after a win last time out snapped a four game slide. The Isles come in off a 3-2 OT win at home over the Golden Knights and I believe they're primed for a letdown here. Dallas has won eight of its last nine at home and is 10-4-1 overall in its own barn. Key Trends: - New York is just 28-40 (-13.4 units) after a non-conference game. - Dallas is 44-31 (+9.5 units) in its last 75 following a divisional contest. The verdict: I look for New York to stumble on its first road game in this tough Western Conference building; lay the price! |
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12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Suns/Rockets. These teams play little defense and each gets out and pushes the pace. That said, I still believe this number is too high. The Suns come in off a high-scoring OT win over the Pelicans in New Orleans, but they're still only 2-3 in their last five. After the marathon last time out, I think Phoenix takes a predictable step back here. The Rockets' James Harden is averaging 38.7 PPG this year. Russell Westbrook is coming off a triple double in a victory at Toronto. After the big win over the defending champs on the road, this does also potentially set up as a bit of a trap. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seeen the total go under in four of five thi syear when the total is greater than or equal to 230. - Houston has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 in the same position. The verdict: Addmitedly, these two teams are trash on defense. But I think the situation that each finds itself in coming into this one will help in contributing it to finally being a bit more of a defensive battle; play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson UNDER 54.5 | 17-62 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 3 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the UNDER UVA/Clemson. Clemson is 12-0 and it's led by QB Trevor Lawrence and RB Travis Etienne. The Tigers rolled through the confernece with a pefect 8-0 record, scoring 370 points in the process. However Clemson was more known for its defensive prowess, conceding just 84 points in those contests. Virginia is just lucky to be here after losing meetings to Notre Dame, Miami and Louisville. After upsetting Virgina Tech last weekend, I think the Cavs have a predictable letdown here. I also have a hard time seeing their offense genrating any sort of an attack vs. this nation leading Clemson defensive unit. Key Trends: - UVA has seen the total dip under the number in six of its last seven after a home win vs. a conference rival. - Clemson has seen the total dip below in its last three as a neutral field favorite. The verdict: Look for the Tigers to control this one on both sides of the ball; play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Cleveland State +18.5 v. Kent State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* D vs G is on Cleveland State. Am I predicting an outright upset for the 4-5 Cleveland State Vikings vs. the 7-1 Kent State Golden Flashes? I'm not. I simply feel that Kent will get caught looking past this hungry Vikings team. Most recently the Flashes beat Detroit 92-57. Cleveland State won't be rolling over here. Note that the Vikings had won three in a row before losing at home to Toledo 80-65 on Wednesday. The Vikings' offense has been better of late, topping 65 points in their last three games, led by Algevon Eichelberger, who averages in double figures. Key Trends: - Cleveland State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home loss. - Kent State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points in the process. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team keeps this one more competitive that what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 54 | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the OVER Georgia/LSU. Georgia is in its third straight SEC Conference Championship Game. The Bulldogs only allow ten PPG on average, but I think they'll get pushed here by the LSU Tigers. Georgia lost a double OT game to South Carolina as a 21-point favorite. It struggled at times to put points on the board, but I think that Jake Fromm and company carry over the momentum from last week's 52-7 destruction of Georgia Tech. LSU won't be resting on its laurels obviously as it makes its first Conference Championship appearance since 2011. Ed Oregon's offense is ranked No. 2 in the country and it enters off a 50-7 thrashing of Texas A&M. Key Trends: - Georgia has seen the total go over the number in its last two as a neutral field dog. - LSU has seen the total go over in three of four this year after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: I expect a competitive game which flies well above the posted number once it's all said and done; play the over! |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis UNDER 57.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 102 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Cincinnati/Memphis UNDER. The 10-2 Bearcats meet the 11-1 Tigers for the AAC Championship and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "shootout." Note that the Tigers actually defeated the Bearcats 34-24 in these team's respective regular season finales. The victory earned Memphis the right to host this game. Bearcats' starting QB Desmond Ridder was held back in that loss because of an injured shoulder and if he does get the call today, one has to wonder about his health/form obviously? His backup Ben Bryant struggled for 229 passing yards and two INT's, while also getting sacked five times. Look for the Bearcats to once again run the offense through RB Michael Warren II. Memphis' QB Brady White has 3,307 passing yards this season with 32 TD's and eight INT's. But with the visitors looking to control the clock while they have the ball, I think today's re-match definitely sets up as much more of a defensive affair. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 15 as an underdog. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 31 points or more in five straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -118 | 99 h 34 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Redhawks won't be able to keep pace with the Chips in my opinion down the stretch. CMU has won six of its last six, including destroying Toledo 49-7 this past weekend. Miami on the other hand lost to Ball State 41-27 to close out its regular season at 7-5. I think Chips' senior QB Quentin Dormady is a difference maker here. He enters on top form, having posted 250 passing yards in each of his past five games. RedHawks' QB Brett Gabbert has passed for under 150 yards in three straight games. Key Trends: - Miami Ohio is only just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road loss. - CMU is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win by 20 points or more. The verdict: Detroit is only a two hour drive from Pleasant Hill, so the Chips will have a sizeable "home field" advantage. I think the experience that senior Dormady brings to the table wins the day; lay the points! |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 38-45 | Push | 0 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Lafayette. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as App State has won seven straight in this series (is 4-3 ATS in those games.) UL Lafayette held on for a win over UL Monroe last week, with QB Levi Lewis going for 270 yards and three TD's. I think he'll have enough to keep his team in this one late. And he'll of course be leaning heavily on a run game which averages a whopping 274 YPG this season, led by Raymond Calais. The Mountaineers like to run the ball as well behind the strong play of Darrynton Evans. QB Zack Thomas though has also been great, with ten TD's and no picks over his last three games. Key Trends: - The Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road dog of seven points or less. - Louisiana Lafayette is 4-0 ATS in its last four in revenging an upset loss against an opponent as the favorite. - App State is an unimpressive 3-3 ATS at home this year. The verdict: App State smashed UL Lafayette in the 2018 Sun Belt Championship game by 49 points. Look for the Cajuns to keep this one competitive until the very end; grab the points! |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-06-19 | Kings v. Oilers -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Oilers. I'm not expecting any upsets here. The Kings are downright terrible on the road, conceding 4.15 GPG so far. And unfortunately for LA's goaltenders, the offense has been just as bad, averaging only 2.00 GPG on the road. The Oilers average 3.47 GPG at home. The problem has been on the defensive side, conceding 3.27 on home ice. But forutnately the Oilers catch a break here facing the Kings' worst offense. Key Trends: - LA is just 5-7 (-1.6 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. - Edmonton is 11-6 (+5.2 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: I like the revenge-minded home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish; great price, so lay it! |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah OVER 45.5 | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Oregon/Utah. How will Justin Herbert and the Ducks upset the defensive minded Utes in the Pac 12 Championship Game? Definitely not by playing it safe and hoping for Tyler Huntley and company to make the first mistake. That'd be a recipie for disaster for Oregon. Instead, with the underdog airing it out from start to finish, I'm expecting a faster-paced affair overall and I ultimately believe this will then lead to a high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four vs. schools with winning records. - The Utes have seen the total soar over in four of its last five after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Faster paced = more points in my opinion. This number is low, play the over! |
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12-05-19 | Sabres +145 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Buffalo Sabres. I think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the hungry underdog. Both teams have had dissapointing starts, but each has shown signs of life. The Sabres are 13-15 and the Flames are 13-16. The Sabres got back on track with a 7-1 destruction of the Devils last time out. Keep your eyes on Buffalo's Jack Eichel, who has 38 points, including 17 goals thus far. Also watch goalie Carter Hutton, who is 6-5-3 with a 2.84 GAA this year. Yes Calgary has won three of its last four, but previous to that it was outscored 13-11 over five games. The Flames power play is ranked 23rd. Goaltender David Rittich is 12-7-4 with a 2.68 GAA. Key Trends: - Buffalo is already 3-1 (+2 units) this year when playing with two days rest. - Calgary is a poor 6-9 (-4.1 units) in its last 15 when playing with three or more days rest. The verdict: Look for these trends to continue and for the Sabres to build off their latest blowout win! |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 60 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Chicago Bears. This line has fluctuated from 2.5 to 3 throughout the week. I have 2.5. I think the Bears will win this one outright, but I'm going to grab the points in what should be a competitive battle until the end. Dallas got throughouly beatdown by the Bills at home on Thanksgiving. The offense wasn't horrible, as Prescott had 355 passing yars, but I believe the pivot takes a step back on the short week and at chilly Soldier Field. Chicago on the other hand won 24-20 over Detroit on Thanksgiving Day, coming from behind to win. QB Mitchell Trubisky finally showed some signs of life and I don't think there's any reason he won't carry that momentum over here. Key Trends: - The Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC North. - Dallas is only 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a loss by ten points or more. - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a home underdog. The verdict: The Bears HAVE to win this one to keep pace in their division, while Dallas enters with a one game lead in the NFC East. I like Trubisky to outplay Prescott, but that said, let's grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | Oklahoma v. North Texas +6 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on UNT. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-05-19 | Coyotes v. Flyers -142 | 3-1 | Loss | -142 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the FLYERS. Philly comes in under the radar here in my opinion. After a slow start to the campaign, the Flyers are arguably the hottest team in the NHL with five straight victories. Most recently the destroyed the Leafs 6-1. The Coyotes broke a two-game slide with a 4-2 win in Columbus last time out. Darcy Kuemper leads the NHL with a 1.97 GAA and the Coyotes are second in the league behind the Bruins with 2.31 GPG allowed. However that defense hasn't looked as great over the last few weeks. And it's been better at home than on the road as well. The Flyers' red hot offense has potted 16 goals over the last three games and I think the visitors get caught on their heels. Key Trends: - Philly is interestingly 17-10 (+7.2 units) in its last 27 following a three-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Philly to keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game; lay the price! |
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12-05-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -139 | 3-2 | Loss | -139 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Jackets are off two straight losses. The Rangers have lost two of three, including a 4-1 setback to the Knights most recently. New York is 5-5-1 on the road so far, with Artemi Panarin leadin the way with 12 goals and 33 points. Netminder Alexandar Georgiev is 6-4-1 with a 3.08 GAA this year and for his career he's 1-1-1 with 4.18 GAA vs. CBJ. The Jackets are a poor 11-12-4 overall, but a more respectale 8-7-1 on home ice. Pierre-Luc Dubois has ten goals and eight assists. Goaltender Joonas Korpisalo is 11-9-1 with a 2.84 GAA overall this year, while going 2-2-1 with a 3.17 GAA vs. NY. Key Trends: - The Rangers are just 4-6 (-2.4 units) vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I like Korpisalo to get the job done in this one and help his team break its two game slide vs. a Rangers team which has struggled with consistency on the road; lay the reasonable price! |
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12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Blues/Pens. The Blues come to Pittsburgh off a 4-0 win at Chicago and they're now 18-5-6 on the season. Note that St. Louis has been exceptional on the road thus far, going 10-1-3. St. Louis netminder Jordan Binnington is 13-4-4 with a 2.26 GAA this season and he's 2-0-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens. Pittsburgh has lost two straight, falling 5-2 to these very Blues in St. Louis, before a 5-2 defeat at Columbus. Clearly the revenge minded home side will be doublding down on the defensive end this evening after back-to-back beatdown losses. Goaltender Matt Murray is now 9-5-4 on the year with a 2.84 GAA. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 already this season vs. clubs with winning records. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last ten non-conference games. The verdict: I'm banking on a slower-paced goaltenders battle between these two non-conference opponents; play the under! |
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12-04-19 | Tulane v. Southern Miss | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Southern Miss. USM returns from the Bahamas hungry for a win in this rivalry game. The Golden Eagles though return home battle tested, having already played heavyweights No. 7 Gonzaga, No. 13 Seton Hall and Alabama in consecutive nights. One player to watch out for for the home side is LaDavius Draine, who had back-to-back double digit games to open the Bahama tournament. Tulane was only 4-27 last year, but first year head coach Ron Hunter has the Green Wave looking like a completely different team in the early going, thanks in large part to some key transfers. That said, I think Tulane will get caught off guard here from this hungry home side. Key Trends: - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Green Wave a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven off a home win by ten points or more. - Southern Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: Clearly the outright is in the cards here, but let's grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | VMI +18 v. Duquesne | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on VMI. I think the 6-0 Duquesne Dukes get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. The VMI Keydets though come in under the radar here, as they've quietly won three of their last four. These teams haven't played since 2017 and the Dukes scored the 77-61 win. Duquesne is riding high after big wins over Indiana State, Air Force and Loyola Marymount in the Junkanoo Jam in Bihimi.  Key Trends: - VMI is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the +18.5 to +24 points range. - Duquesene is only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite. The verdict: VMI had three losses by three or fewer points in its first five games, so its win/loss record could in fact be a lot better. No outright, but considering everything I believe that this is far too many points to be giving up to the Keydets; grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Evansville | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Western Illinois. Western Illinois' two-game win streak came to an end vs. KC last time out, falling 68-67. That was after being down by as many as 18 in the firs thalf. Ben Pyle scored a game-high 21 points in a losing cause. I think the Leathernecks carry that momentum over here though as they try to score their five ever SU victory over Evansville. Four starters are averaging double figures for the visitors though: Kobe Webster (16.3 PPG), Zion Young (15.4), Ben Pyle (12.7), C.J. Duff (10.8) Key Trends: - Note that five of WIU's games have been decided by seven points or less this year. - The Purple Aces are just 2-4 ATS this season as a favorite. - Evansville is only 1-3 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I believe the Purple Aces are going overlook their lowly, but hungry opponent today; grab the points! |
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12-03-19 | Senators v. Canucks -160 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
My 8* DESTROYER is on the Vancouver Canucks. I play underdogs, totals and favorites. I don't rarely suggest playing juice this high, but in this case I think it's warranted. Vancouver beat the Oilers in Edmonton 5-2, before then falling to them at home 3-2 last time out. One player to keep a look out for for the home side tonight is leading goal scrorer J.T. Miller, who has six points over the last five games. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Sens have lost four straight and they average only 2.56 GPG. This is a tough, late night West Coast matchup and I think Ottawa struggles to put the biscuit in the basket vs. this talented home side. Key Trends: - Vancouver is 7-3 in its last ten home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than .400. - Ottawa is interestingly just 3-7 in its last ten vs. the Pacific Division. The verdict: I think that the writing is on the wall and a home side blowout is in the cards; lay the price! |
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