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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-26-17 | NC-Wilmington v. James Madison +10 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on James Madison. REASONING: While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, we think the high-flying Seahawks will come in a bit complacent here and get caught “looking past’ the lowly Dukes this evening. UNCW is poised for a letdown after opening CAA play at 8-0. James Madison is on the other end of the spectrum, desperate for a victory after two straight setbacks, most recently a 73-60 road defeat at Charleston on Saturday. Note that this is a double revenge scenario for the home side as well after dropping both games last year, including a 78-73 home defeat on January 28th. The Seahawks average 86.3 PPG and allow 73.8, while the Dukes average just 64.5 and allow 67.9. Note though that this is a spot in which the Seahawks have struggled in mightily for bettors this year, going just 4-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a spot in which the Dukes have dominated in, going 5-3 ATS against the conference and 2-1 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. We think the desperate home side sneaks in through the back door down the stretch, play on JAMES MADISON AAA Sports |
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01-25-17 | St. John's +8.5 v. Providence | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG EAST ATS BLOWOUT on St. John’s. REASONING: St. John’s will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six, most recently falling to Seton Hall on Sunday. Providence had won two in a row, but comes into this one off a loss at Villanova last weekend. The Red Storm have struggled defensively, but continue to get good play from guard Marcus Lovett, who finished with 22 points against Seton Hall. The Friars play six of their next nine at home and we think come in a bit complacent here, note that Providence has already struggled in this spot for bettors this year, going just 5-6 ATS as a favorite and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a position in which the Red Storm have excelled, going 4-3 ATS on the road and 6-5 ATS against teams with winning records. We think the desperate visiting side keep this a lot closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Play on ST. JOHN’S. AAA Sports |
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01-24-17 | Villanova v. Marquette +5.5 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marquette. REASONING: While we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely feel that revenge minded home side can take this one down to the wire. Villanova comes in off a fifth straight win in a 78-68 win over Providence on Saturday, while Marquette won for a third time in four games in a 102-94 upset over No. 7 Creighton on the road. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the Golden Eagles to carry over that momentum here. In fact, Marquette has dropped nine straight in this series, including the 93-81 road loss back on January 7th. The Wildcats are ranked 68th in the nation in scoring with 78.6 PPG, while ranked 13th in scoring defense in allowing 62 PPG. The Golden Eagles are ranked 18th in the country in scoring with 84.6 PPG, while not nearly as good on the defensive end in allowing 74.1 per contest. Note that Villanova is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after holding its opponent to 68 points or less, while Marquette is 2-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. Grab the points, play on MARQUETTE. AAA Sports |
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01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks +4.5 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks. REASONING: Both teams come in struggling. The Rockets had lost four of six before beating Memphis 119-95 on the road on Saturday. Milwaukee though is going to the more motivated side tonight in our opinion as the team looks to snap a five game slide, most recently a 109-97 setback to the Heat on Saturday. Note that this is a revenge game for Milwaukee as well after it fell 111-92 in Houston back on January 18th. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nice for Milwaukee, but it’s also great from a trend based stand point, as note that the Rockets are just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Milwaukee is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 after playing three consecutive road games and 8-4 ATS in all non-conference contests this season. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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01-23-17 | Spurs v. Nets +12 | Top | 112-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests which we are constantly on the look out for. Off an epic 118-115 OT win in Cleveland against the defending champs, the Spurs now have to “get up” for a game against lowly Brooklyn, before then travelling to Toronto for a game tomorrow night against the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference. The Nets have been all over the map as far as their game-to-game consistency is concerned, blowing out New Orleans 143-114 on the road, before then falling 112-105 at Charlotte after that. Brooklyn though does play with revenge after a blowout loss to San Antonio in December. Note that the Spurs are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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01-23-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern -7 | Top | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT SIDE OF THE WEEK on Georgia Southern. REASONING: The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers had their four game win streak snapped with a 76-56 loss to Georgia State last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. Georgia Southern is 13-6 overall and 6-0 in conference action. The Chanticleers looked horrible in the second half of their last game, scoring only 17 points in the second half and give up 15 three pointers on 33 attempts overall. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the conference’s top offense which shot 53 percent from the floor in its latest victory. Keep your eyes on Tookie Brown, who had 32 points, four boards and two assists in that one. And note that Coastal Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Georgia Southern is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss. Coastal Carolina just loss by 20 points to Georgia State. All signs point to an even bigger blowout tonight. Lay the points, play on GEORGIA SOUTHERN. AAA Sports |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Steelers. REASONING: Many sharps are likely on the Patriots today, but we think the Steelers can match pace with Tom Brady and company and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Ben Roethlisberger is as experienced as they come and he has the superior RB in Le’Veon Bell today, as well as the best receiver in Antonio Brown. The playing field is even on the offensive end in our opinion. The Pats have the better defense, but not by much. Pittsburgh looked sharp in its 18-16 win over the Chiefs last weekend, while it took New England a full half of football before finally kicking into full gear against the Texans. The Steelers will have their chances and that’s all they can ask for. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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01-22-17 | Lakers +5.5 v. Mavs | 73-122 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BEATDOWN on the LA Lakers. REASONING: The Lakers broke a five-game skid with a convincing 108-96 win over the Pacers on Friday night. We had LA in that one. The Mavs enter off two straight losses, most recently a deflating 112-107 setback in OT at home to the Jazz on Friday. To say this is a revenge game would be a big understatement as Dallas has taken 12 straight in the series, including a 101-89 victory on the road back on December 29th. LA shot 47.1 percent from the floor in the win over Indiana. Note the Lakers are ranked 17th in scoring at 104.7 PPPG. LA though allows 110.2 per night. Dallas’ offense though is atrocious in averaging a league worst 96 PPG. The Mavs are also last in rebounding. Note though that Dallas is pretty good defensively in allowing 100.7 PPG. We’re expecting LA to build off its last performance and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we definitely feel there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Avalanche v. Sharks -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION is on the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Colorado is just 7-12 (-1.9 units) against teams with a winning record and only 3-8 (-2.5 units) after three or more consecutive losses, while SJ is 14-9 (+1.5 units) against teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Avs have been horrible in every facet of the game this season but been particularly brutal on the road. This is the opener of a home and home set and we’re expecting the Sharks to set the tone with a convincing beatdown tonight. Lay the 1.5 goals for the pick em price, play on SAN JOSE on the PUCK LINE. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | LSU v. Arkansas -12.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that LSU is just 4-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Arkansas is 6-4 ATS against teams with winning records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a home fav in the 12.5 to 15 points range. The bottom line: Arkansas averages almost 82 PPG and we have a hard time seeing the Tigers matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points, play on ARKANSAS. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Duke -9 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Duke. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is just 1-2 ATS in true road game thisyear and only 3-8 ATS against teams with winning records, while Duke is 6-4 ATS in its last ten after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 20-8 ATS in its last 28 against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The bottom line: The Blue Devils won’t be taking the Hurricanes lightly today, who are 7-0-1 the L8 as the road team in this series. We think the above trends continue, play on DUKE. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Portland +28.5 v. Gonzaga | 52-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Portland is 5-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 4-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Gonzaga is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 24.5 to 30 points range. The bottom line: The Bulldogs are 13-2 ATS overall this year and have yet to lose a game SU. We think the numbers are working against Gonzaga today though. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Troy State v. Arkansas State -5.5 | 80-82 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 12-19 ATS in its last 31 off a loss against a conference rival, while Arkansas State is already a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year, 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. The bottom line: We think home court advantage also can’t be overlooked in this particular matchup. All signs point to these strong trends continuing, play on ARKANSAS STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Drake +18.5 v. Illinois State | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Drake. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Drake is 6-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 4-0 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while Illinois State is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home fav of 15.5 to 18 points and just 1-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. The bottom line: Looks like a prime letdown spot for the high-powered Redbirds. While we’re not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset, we’re definitely expecting the above trends to continue and for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very generous spread afforded to them in this one. Play on DRAKE. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don’t normally “flip-flop” on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it’s only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests. Conversely, this is a spot in which the C’s have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we’re expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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01-20-17 | Pacers v. Lakers +3 | 96-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana is just 1-5 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-9 ATS in non-conference games, while LA is 10-8 ATS in non-conference games and 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: With a much tougher game in Utah tomorrow night, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pacers getting caught looking past the lowly Lakers today. Play on LA. AAA Sports |
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01-20-17 | Nets +10 v. Pelicans | 143-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: Brooklyn will be desperate to get off the schneid after losing its 11th straight, most recently a 119-109 home loss to Toronto on Tuesday. New Orleans most recently snapped a two-game slide with a 118-98 victory over Orlando on Wednesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement, as New Orleans has taken the last six straight in the series, including a 104-95 road win in the first matchup this year back on January 12th. The Nets have no issues scoring, averaging 105.3 PPG, but are the worst on the defensive end in conceding 115 PPG. Brooklyn catches a break though as New Orleans averages just 102.6 PPG, ranked 22nd overall. The Pelicans aren’t overly special defensively either in allowing 104.8 PPG. Note that Brooklyn is 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with losing records, while New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four in the same position. With two whole nights off before a home game against the defending champions, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pelicans getting caught looking ahead. Grab the points, play on BROOKLYN. AAA Sports |
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01-20-17 | Blazers v. 76ers | 92-93 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* plays on the Portland Trailblazers. REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. The Trailblazers come in having lost three straight, most recently a 107-85 setback at Charlotte on Wednesday. Philadelphia enters on the other end of the spectrum, having won five of its last six after upsetting the Raptors 94-89 on Wednesday. Portland averages 107.4 PPG, but allows 110.6. Despite the recent turnaround in play of late, note that Philadelphia still averages just 99.3 PPG, while conceding 104.9. From a trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this as Portland is 5-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Philadelphia is just 3-5 ATS after a dvisional contest. We think the hungrier team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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01-19-17 | Gonzaga v. Santa Clara +14 | Top | 88-57 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Santa Clara. REASONING: Gonzaga is the No. 4 ranked team in the nation at 17-0. It’s also covered the spread in ten straight. We think the Bulldogs come in a tiny bit complacent here finally in facing the lowly Santa Clara Broncos and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely think that the home side can keep it closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Gonzaga most recently hammered St. Mary’s 79-56 last weekend, while Santa Clara enters off a 75-61 road win over Pepperdine. Not surprisingly, this one is a revenge scenario for Santa Clara, which dropped both games to Gonzaga last year. We won’t try to convince you that Gonzaga is an overrated team which has seen a lot of bounces go its way this season, or that Santa Clara is actually a lot better than what its record would indicate, as that’s not the case. The Bulldogs are a great team and the Broncos are not. This pick sets up great for Santa Clara situationally though. Also note that Gonzaga is in fact just just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points, while the Broncos are 4-2 ATS this season against teams with winning records and 3-1 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77-plus points per contest. Play on SANTA CLARA. AAA Sports |
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01-19-17 | Portland +9 v. San Francisco | Top | 50-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Portland. REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. The Pilots enter having lost three straight and will be eager to return to the winners circle. The Dons come in off a win over Pacific last Saturday, a victory which halted a four-game slide. The Pilots look to get back on track here after falling 74-33 to Saint Mary’s and 79-78 to Loyola Marymount. Keep your eyes on Portland’s talented backcourt feating Alec Wintering and Jazz Johnson. Wintering is the third-leading scorer in the WCC with 20.1 PPG, while Johson is tied for fifth with 17.3. That ranks the duo as the country’s fifth-highest scoring backcourt. We’re not reading too much into the Dons win over the struggling Tigers. San Fran came into that one struggling itself with four straight losses. Also note that San Francisco has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less and just 3-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd, while Portland has excelled by going 3-2 ATS in conference games and 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road. We think Wintering and Johnson keep their team competitive tonight. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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01-18-17 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Tech. REASONING: TCU appears primed for a letdown here in our opinion after back-to-back victories, most recently an 84-77 win over Iowa State. Vladimir Brodziansky had 25 points in the victory. He leads the team with an average of 12.6 PPG. So far the Horned Frogs average 77.5 PPG. Texas Tech has split its last six games, most recently coming off an 84-75 loss to Oklahoma. Keenan Evans had 16 points in the setback and leads the teams with an average of 14 PPG. Note that Texas Tech averages 78 points on the ninth-best field goal percentage in the country at 50.3 percent. Also note that TCU is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after scoring 80 points or more, while Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and 4-2 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. TT is actually undefeated at home and we don’t think that will change tonight. We’re banking on the hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night, play on TEXAS TECH. AAA Sports |
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01-17-17 | Rockets v. Heat +8 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Houston is just 7-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Miami is already 11-9 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 8-5 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: With a home game against the Bucks tomorrow night and a date against the red hot Warriors on Friday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to those ones and past the lowly Heat. Grab the points, play on MIAMI. AAA Sports |
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01-17-17 | Kentucky -13 v. Mississippi State | 88-81 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Kentucky. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Kentucky is 10-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite this year and 7-5 ATS against teams with winning records, while Mississippi State is just 2-3 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven in front of the home town crowd. The bottom line: We simply have a hard time seeing Mississippi State matching pace down the stretch. Play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports |
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01-16-17 | Jazz v. Suns +5.5 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns. REASONING: We think this sets up as a bit of a trap for the Jazz, who come to Talking Stick Resort Arena on a four-game win streak. Conversely, the Suns will be looking to continue to build momentum after they halted a two-game skid by upsetting the Spurs in Mexico City on Saturday. From a trend based stand point though, they simply don’t set up much better for the underdog home side, as Utah is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road and interestingly 0-6 ATS against the Western conference, while Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records. With three whole nights off before a game at lowly Dallas on the weekend, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their cellar dweller opponent tonight. Grab the the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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01-16-17 | Cleveland State +14.5 v. Oakland | 76-65 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS HURRICANE on Cleveland State. REASONING: The Golden Grizzlies are 4-1 in league action, while the Vikings are just 1-5 in conference play. Both teams enter off a loss. Cleveland State fell 78-67 to Valparaiso on Saturday. The Vikings so far average just 66.4 PPG. Oakland on the other hand averages 79 PPG. The Grizzlies look poised for a letdown here after one of their only losses of the season, this time 93-88 to Detroit on Friday. Note that Cleveland State is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while Oakland is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 off a loss against a conference rival. Play on CLEVELAND STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs -2 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 148 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Kansas City Chiefs. REASONING: Are the trio of Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown the most feared in the league? There’s no doubt that they are a dynamic group, but something doesn’t add up when you look at Pittsburgh’s offensive stats, as the team averaged a pedestrian 24.9 PPG, ranked 11th overall. Defensively the Steelers concede an average of 20.4 PPG, ranked tenth. The Chiefs posted almost identical offensive numbers, 24.3 PPG which ranked them 13th. Defensively though the team was a cut above the Steelers, allowing 19.4 PPG, good for seventh overall. The Steelers beat the Chiefs 43-14 in Week 4 and suffice it to say, we think it’s payback time! KC is well rested and has a huge advantage of playing in front of the home town crowd tonight. Play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 144 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have been on an unbelievable run to reach this point, but we think they’ll finally have a letdown here. The Cowboys aren’t the greatest in defending the pass, but overall the unit finished in the Top 5 in almost every statistical category. Rodgers won’t have Jordy Nelson in the lineup, which is very significant in this playoff game. His experience in these types of situations simply can’t be downplayed in our opinion. The Cowboys are dominating on both sides of the ball and come in refreshed and focused. Note that Green Bay is just 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Dallas is 5-3 ATS at home. Lay the points, play on the COWBOYS. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 56-79 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-SIDE on Saint Mary’s. REASONING: St. Mary’s is ranked No. 21, while Gonzaga checks in at No. 5 in the nation. The Gaels come in having won nine straight, most recently hammering Portland 74-33 on the road. The Bulldogs are 16-0 after beating Loyola Marymount 93-55 at home on Thursday. Whenever these teams get together, it’s a battle. Note that Saint Mary’s took both regular season contests last year, but Gonzaga would pull off the 85-75 victory in the WCC Tournament. These teams are very similar, in that they both primarily get the job done with suffocating defensive play. Note that St. Mary’s allows just 56.6 PPG, while Gonzaga allows 64.4. Note though that St. Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 10-2-1 ATS in its last 12 following a straight-up victory over more than 20 points, while Gonzaga is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home fav of 6.5 to nine points. Also note that the road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. St. Mary’s has the personnel to hang with Gonzaga and while we wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing the points. Play on the ST. MARY’S. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Seattle Seahawks. REASONING: You’d be hard pressed to find a team with as much playoff experience as the Seahawks over the last five years. Atlanta hasn’t won a playoff game since 2012. The Hawks come in with a ton of momentum after dismantling the Lions 26-6 last week. The defense allowed just two field goals and QB Russell Wilson finished 23 of 30 for 224 yards and two TD’s. Seattle finished the regular season allowing only 18.2 PPG, ranked third overall. Will “rest lead to rust” for Atlanta? Possibly. The Falcons finished with the No. 1 offense in the league with an average of 33.8 PPG. The defense though was a disaster, allowing an average of 25.4 PPG, ranked 27th overall. Seattle is too deep and experienced and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | Lakers +10.5 v. Clippers | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* THROWDOWN on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Lakers are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 following a loss by ten points or more, while the Clippers are just 5-8 ATS after a non-conference game and just 5-7 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: With Oklahoma City on deck on Monday, it’s not too hard to imagine the Clippers getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. Grab the points, play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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01-13-17 | Hornets -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Charlotte Hornets. REASONING: The Hornets are going to be the much “hungrier” team today as they’ve lost three straight and five of their last six, most recently a 121-114 road defeat to Houston on Tuesday. Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot for suddenly over-acheiving Philadelphia, which has won two straight and four of its last five. From a motivational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for Charlotte. From a trend based stand point, it becomes an even stronger play on the Hornets, as they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 100 points or more and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing home record, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home and only 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. As primiarly a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of scenarios that we’re always on the look out for, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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01-13-17 | Toledo v. Central Michigan +1 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER DESTRUCTION on Central Michigan. REASONING: The Rockets enter off a deflating 90-74 loss at WMU, while the Chippewas enter off an 89-85 home loss to Akron. Toledo is 2-1 in conference action, while the Chippewas are 0-3. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the home side to risk life and limb tonight as it desperately tries to avoid the 0-4 conference record. Momentum is a difficult thing to gain and once lost, it’s even harder to get back. After winning five straight, we think the Toledo has a letdown here after its first conference loss. In the loss to the Broncos the Rockets would allow them to shoot 70 percent overall, including 70 percent from range. Toledo averages 82.3 PPG, which puts it in the Top 50 in the country, but it’s defense is horrible, allowing 77.8 PPG, ranked 294th. CMU averages 88.6 PG and allows 81.7. These are two evenly matched teams, ones which push the pace from start to finish and rarely put much effort on the defensive end. Note though that Toledo is just 2-3 ATS on the road this year and 0-3 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Central Michigan is 2-1 ATS at home this season and 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. We’re banking on the desperate home side to do just enough to secure the victory today, play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -2.5 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Miami Florida. REASONING: Notre Dame enters off a 75-70 home win over Clemson, while Miami comes in off a lacklustre 70-55 setback to Syracuse. The Hurricanes have to be liking their chances for a bounce back today though, as last year would see them taking both meetings with the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame averages 82.3 PPG, while conceding just 66.7. Miami-Florida averages 73.6 PPG, while allowing just 59.7. Note that Notre Dame is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six against a team with a winning home record, while Miami-Florida is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a home fav of three points or less or pick. The Hurricanes are holding the opposition to under 30 percent shooting from beyond the arc, which we think spells trouble for the Irish today. MIAMI FLORIDA’s defense proves to be just too much, lay the short points. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Drexel +11.5 v. Northeastern | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Drexel. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Drexel is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 5-3 ATS in its last eight when playing with five or six days rest, while Northeastern is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a home fav of 9.5 to 12 points. The bottom line: The Dragons are the “hungrier” team and while we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Ohio State +11 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-89 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Ohio State. REASONGING: Wisconsin is coming off its first conference loss after a lacklustre 66-55 defeat at Purdue on Saturday. Ohio State though is much more desperate as it comes in having lost three straight, most recently a 78-68 setback to Minnesota on the road on Sunday. Note that the Buckeyes play with revenge here after falling to the Badgers 79-68 in their only meeting last year. OSU comes in averaging 74.2 PPG, while allowing just 65.6. The Badgers average 76 PPG and allow 59.8. Note though that Ohio State is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 off a loss against a conference rival and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, while Wisconsin is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a loss against a conference rival. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-11-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Clippers | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. REASONING: Orlando was competitive in a 100-93 setback at Houston to open their Western road swing, but then came out flat in a 111-95 setback to the Lakers on Sunday. The Magic benefit in not having to change hotels for this road game as they get ready to face the Clippers, who we think could be caught a little complacent here after winning four straight. Note that LA will once again be without the services of Blake Griffin. LA gets caught looking ahead to a couple nights off after this one, while it’s going to be all hands on deck for the visiting side as it tries to bounce back after the poor performance against the lowly Lakers. Note that Orlando is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while LA is just 4-9 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 11-12 ATS against clubs with losing records. While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, all signs point to a much tighter affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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01-11-17 | NC State -6 v. Boston College | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on North Carolina State. REASONING: NC State will be looking to break an 0-3 road slide today and take out its frustrations on the lowly Eagles after getting crushed 107-56 by North Carolina on Sunday. Guard Dennis Smith Jr. averages 19.1 points, 6.4 assists and 2.2 steals per game. So far the Wolf Pack average 82.7 PPG and concede 76. BC comes in off an 11 point loss to Duke, led by Jerome Robinson with 21 points. So far the Eagles average 74.6 PPG and allow 74 per. Note that NC State is already 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year and 2-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while BC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more. We think NC State is the deeper and more motivated side today. Lay the points, play on the WOLF PACK. AAA Sports |
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01-10-17 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC SIDE OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. REASONING: The Hokies beat Duke at home by 13 to close the 2016 calendar year, but have started 2017 with back-to-back losses, most recently to NC State by 26 and to FSU by 15 on the road on Saturday. VT will be desperate to return to form here, sitting at just 1-2 in the ACC thus far. Conversely, the Orange look poised for a letdown after beating Pittsburgh 77-66 on Saturday to push their conference record to 2-1. Note that the Hokies also play with revenge today after falling to Syracuse 68-60 in OT last season. Syracuse has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency has been concerend, it opened 2017 with a loss to lowly Boston College on the road, but bounced back with a 70-55 win over Miami Florida on January 4th. The Orange average 76.6 PPG and allow 65.8. Virginia Tech though averages 83.3 points, while allowing 72.1. We think the Hokies high-powered offense will prove to be just too much for the Orange to contend with today. And note that Syracuse is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following a straight-up victory, while VT is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 following an ATS loss. VIRGINIA TECH’s desperation proves to the be the difference, lay the short points. AAA Sports |
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01-09-17 | Troy State v. Georgia State -5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 11-19 ATS in its last 20 after a loss against a conference rival and only 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Georgia State is already 2-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. The bottom line: The Panthers have not just lost three straight ATS, they’ve also dropped three straight SU. Combined with the 54-53 loss to Troy last year, all signs point to a big bounce back tonight. Play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-08-17 | UCF v. Connecticut -1 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Connecticut. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that UCF is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while UConn is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season against good defensive teams which allow less than 64 points per game. The bottom line: It’s desperate times for the Huskies, who have lost four straight and five of their last six. Conversely, the Knights look poised for a letdown after five straight victories in our opinion. Play on CONNECTICUT. AAA Sports |
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01-08-17 | 76ers v. Nets -2.5 | 105-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Brooklyn Nets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and the “revenge factor.” Not only does Brooklyn play with revenge after falling 108-107 to Philadelphia back on December 18th, but note that the 76ers are 0-4 ATS this year following a divisional contest and just 4-6 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. And note that the Nets are 10-7 ATS at home this year 7-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. The bottom line: Looks like a great spot for the NETS to score a solid win at home, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-07-17 | Missouri +14 v. Georgia | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Missouri. REASONING: Missouri is the only team in the conference with an overall losing record, most recently coming off an 88-77 loss to LSU in Columbia. It was a frustrating setback for the desperate Tigers, who actually had a 40-35 halftime lead. Jordan Barnett was a bright spot with 18 points. Georgia is 9-5, but comes in off a 67-61 loss to South Carolina on Wednesday and we think it will get caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Yante Maten was a standout in the setback with 18 points. Note that Missouri is 3-1 ATS in its last four after giving up 85 points or more, while Georgia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after scoring 68 points or less. This is a revenge game as well, as the Bulldogs would take both contests last year. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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01-05-17 | Pacific +2 v. San Diego | Top | 56-53 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Pacific. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends: As note that Pacific 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more and 10-6 ATS in its last 16 games played in the month of January, while San Diego is just 6-12 ATS in its last 18 in January and only 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: The Toreros return home to a “trap” game. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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01-04-17 | Rutgers +13.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 65-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Rutgers. REASONING: Rutgers is clearly the hungrier team today. After going 11-2 in non-conference action, the Scarlet Knights have dropped back-to-back conference games, most recently a 60-47 setback to Penn State. Rutgers has won just three conference games over its first two seasons in the Big Ten, and neither came on the road. We’re not suggesting to play this one on the money-line, we simply feel that MSU will got caught “looking past” the lowly Scarlet Knights today to their road contest at PSU this weekend. Note that Rutgers is seventh nationally in rebounds per game (43.27). MSU has looked better of late, it comes in having won three straight, but there’s no question that it’s struggled with consistency this year. The home loss to Northeastern was particularly poor. This is also a transition game for the Spartans offense, which welcomes back Miles Bridges. He’s been out for seven games with an ankle injury, but was averaging 16.6 points and 8.8 boards. Coach Tom Izzo has already said that he needs to give Bridges time to get back into “game shape.” Note that Rutgers is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Michigan State is just 1-3 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. We’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up to this desperate visiting side. Play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Lakers +3 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Memphis is 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 12-8 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think the surging Grizz finally have a letdown here and the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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01-03-17 | Texas A&M +14.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 58-100 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* SEC SIDE OF THE MONTH on Texas A&M. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: This is a revenge game for the Aggies after they fell to the Wildcats in the SEC Championship Game last March. Also note that Texas A&M is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Kentucky is 2-3 ATS in its last five off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Aggies had won five straight before getting derailed by Tennessee in their conference opener. We think the visitors are the hungrier side and while we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we are definitely loving all of these points. Play on TEXAS A&M. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | Hornets v. Bulls | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
his is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls. REASONING: The Hornets had won two straight and five of six before falling 121-109 at home to the Cavs on Saturday. The Bulls come in off their second straight loss and fifth in their last sixth after an embarrassing 116-96 setback at home to Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bulls play with revenge though today, as the Hornets have won three straight in the series, including a 103-91 victory at home in the first matchup this year on December 23rd, 2016. Charlotte is ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 104.9 PPG and ranked eighth in scoring in allowing 102.6. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with an average of 100.5 PPG. Note that the Bulls are first in rebounding with 47.7 PPG. The Bulls are tough defensively as well, ranked sixth in allowing 100.6 PPG. Note that Charlotte is just 1-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 3-1 ATS as a home fav of three points or less. We think the home side is much “hungrier” today and look for this determination to pay dividends once it’s all said and done. Play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | Troy State v. South Alabama -1.5 | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on South Alabama. REASONING: This is South Alabama’s Sun Belt Conference opener and we think it makes the most of familiar surroundings: “I think it certainly helps when you're playing your in-state rival to start conference play," USA head coach Matthew Graves said. "The added bonus to it all is that you're starting a new season. I think that's the biggest incentive in my opinion. Everybody is 0-0 and we'll lay it all out on the line Monday. From a defensive standpoint, we've identified that that's where our bread is buttered. We really need to be a defensive-focused group. We've had some extremely good moments defensively and we need to continue to improve in some areas, especially rebounding. Offensively, we've got to step up and make some shots. We're taking care of the ball better and we're taking better shots, we just have to relax and make a few open shots." The Jaguars most recently fell to Ole Miss on December 22nd, Nick Stover led the way with 17 points three 3-pointers. Troy is averaging 80.9 PPG, Jordon Varnado led the way in a victory over Chicago State last time out with a 21-point, eight rebound performance. The Trojans have won five of their last seven, but we think the team is ripe for a letdown here. Note that Troy is 0-2 ATS in its last two when playing with seven or more days rest and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog of three points or less, while South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home fav of six points or less and 10-7 ATS in its last 17 after allowing 80 points or more. Play on SOUTH ALABAMA. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 672 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State. REASONING: USC closed the season with eight straight wins, including beating Notre Dame 45-27 at home in its finale. Penn State started the year 2-2, but then rattled off nine straight victories. Ultimately we think that Penn State’s explosive offense will do just enough to take this one down to the wire. The Trojans actually started the year 1-3, including a 52-6 loss by No. 1 Alabama. USC is ranked 42nd in scoring offense with 32.9 PPG and tied for 24th in scoring defense in allowing 22.2 PPG. The Nittanly Lions are putting up 430 yards of offense and 36.2 PPG, which is ranked 26th in the FBS. Penn State is 35th in the FBS in scoring defense, allowing 23.4 PPG. Note that USC is 0-4 ATS in its last four games played on a neutral field, while Penn State is 4-2 ATS in the same position. These teams are very similar and all signs point to this one being decided by whoever has their hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on PENN STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-01-17 | Giants v. Redskins -8 | Top | 19-10 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washignton Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New York is just 1-3 ATS this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and only 2-4 ATS on the road, while Washington is 4-3 ATS at home and 4-0 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Giants will be resting the majority of their starters today, as win or lose, the team is locked into its current playoff position. The Redskins still have a shot at a Wildcard, but need to win today. We’re expecting the home side to win big. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State -3 v. Clemson | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 626 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. REASONING: Back in 2014, No. 11 Clemson upset Ohio State 40-35 in the Orange Bowl. That game featured a couple of great QB’s in Taj Boyd and Braxton Miller, and so too does this one, with Clemson’s DeShaun Watson and OSU’s JT Barrett. Both teams have just one loss on the year. Barrett finished with 3,275 yards, 33 TD’s and just five picks, while RB Mike Weber led the way with 1,072 yards and nine TD’s. Ohio State ranks amont the best in the country on the offensive end (42.7 PPG, ranked fourth) and on the defensive end. Watson is 30-3 as a starting QB for Clemson. Watson had a mediocre season though, finishing with 37 TD’s and 15 picks. Clemson posts 506 yards per game, but is about to face the toughest defense it’s seen all year. Note that Ohio State is 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Clemson is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the same position. We think Watson struggles against this top ten defense and look for Barrett to do just enough to secure the victory today. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Wyoming v. UNLV +1 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on UNLV. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primiarly on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Wyoming is just 7-14 ATS in its last 21 off a win against a conference rival, while UNLV is 8-2 ATS at home this season and 13-8 ATS in its last 21 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: We think surging Wyoming finally has a letdown here and the underacheiving Runnin Rebels find a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd. Play on UNLV. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Washington +17 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Push | 0 | 622 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington. REASONING: We got down on this one early and have Washington at +17 and it’s since dropped. Regardless, we think the high-flying Huskies can test Alabama’s nation leading defense and keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Washington hammered Colorado 41-10 in the Pac-12 Champ game, while Alabama cruised to a 54-16 win over Florida in the SEC title contest. The Crimson Tide are No. 1 in points allowed this year, allowing just 11.8 per contest. But there were two offenses which Alabama was unable to contain, beating Ole Miss 48-42 on September 17th and Arkansas 49-30 later on. Washington has steamrolled every opponent this year with its dominant offense, except in its only loss, falling 26-12 to USC on November 12th. QB Jake Browning has 42 TD’s this year, to go along with just seven picks. But Washington’s defense is vastly underrated in our opinion, as it concedes only 17.2 PPG, ranked ninth overall. Bama QB Jalen Hurt was 11 of 20 for 137 yards and one score in the win over the Gators. Hurts has 33 combined rushing/throwing TD’s and nine picks. Note that Alabama is just 1-2 ATS in its last three dome games, while Washington is 2-0 ATS in its last two in the same position. With a month off to prepare, we think Chris Peterson has the Huskies ready to play today. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Flyers +1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -205 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Philadelphia Flyers on the PUCK-LINE. REASONING: The Flyers are 20-13-1-3 and the Sharks are 22-12-1-0. Philadlephia will be the “hungrier” team today though in our opinion, as it’s lost two straight and four of its last five. This sets up as a classic “trap” game for San Jose though, which comes in contented after three straight wins and can’t help but get caught “looking ahead” to its conference matchup against the Kings tomorrow night. Lay the price and grab the extra goal and a half of insurance, play on the FLYERS on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Florida State v. Michigan -7 | 33-32 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Michigan. REASONING: Michigan is looking to take out its frustrations on Florida State after falling 30-27 in double OT to No. 2 Ohio State in its regular season finale, a loss which would knock the Wolverines out of the College Football Playoff. FSU won six of seven to close the year, including a 31-13 home win over No. 15 Florida in its finale. Michigan though is the “angrier” team today in our opinion, as it led the Buckeyes 17-7 in the third quarter. Despite the setback, the Wolverines come in ranked 12th in the country with 40.8 PPG and second in the nation in scoring defense in allowing only 12.5 PPG. Wilton Speight was 183 of 293 for 2,375 yards, 17 TD’s and six INT’s. If he’s unable to play, then the competent John O’Korn is next in line, he is 20 of 34 for 173 yards and two TD’s. The Seminoles are 32nd in the nation in scoring offense at 35.3 PPG, while ranked 43rd in scoring defense in allowing 24.4. FSU is led by QB Deondre Francois, who had 3,128 yards passing, 18 TD’s and six INT’s. Note that Michigan is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a SU loss, while FSU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games. Francois is a redshirt freshman and is about to face the toughest defense he’s seen all year. We look for the WOLVERINES to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 76-50 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Oklahoma. REASONING: The 12-0 Baylor Bears are poised for a bit of a letdown here in our opinion as we expect the 6-5 Oklahoma Sooners to give them everything they can handle. Baylor comes in off an 89-63 win over Texas Southern, while Oklahoma enters off a tough 74-70 loss to Auburn. If recent history is any precedence though, then the Sooners have to be loving their chances today, as they’d go on to take both meetings last year. Baylor is scoring an average of 79.6 PPG, which is ranked 70th overall, while allowing just 58.7. Oklahoma averages 80.1 PPG, while allowing 73. Clearly the Bears have the better defense, but the Sooners are the more motivated side here and have the advantage of playing at home. Note that Baylor is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 after scoring 80 points or more, while Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. We think the situation favors the home side, play on OKLAHOMA. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Bulls v. Pacers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Indiana Pacers. REASONING: We think the Bulls have a letdown here after winning their second straight, most recently a narrow 101-99 victory over the lowly Nets at home on Wednesday. Conversely, the hungry Pacers will be eager to return to form after dropping their fourth in a row, a 111-105 setback in the nation’s capital on Wednesday. The Pacers beat the Bulls 111-94 at home back on November 5th and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with 100.7 PPG and fifth on the defensive end in allowing 99.8. The Bulls are led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 24.5 points and 6.6 boards per game. Note that Chicago is last in the league from behind the arc, shooting 30.6 percent. Indiana got 34 points from Paul George in the loss to the Wizards. Note that the Pacers are 18th in the league in scoring with 103.9 per night and 20th on the defensive end, allowing 106 per contest. Note that Indian is 12th in the league from behind the arc, hitting 35.6 percent. Note that Chicago is just 1-4 ATS this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range and just 6-10 ATS against teams with losing records, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive losses. We like the desperate PACERS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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12-29-16 | Oklahoma State v. Colorado -3 | 38-8 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oklahoma State is just 3-4 ATS in its alst seven when playing with two weeks or more of rest and just 3-5 ATS in its last eight off a loss against a conference rival, while Colorado is 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year and a perfect 3-0 ATS in non-conference games. The bottom line: Both teams lost in their respective championship games. These teams are similar in both offensive and defensive statistics, but the Buffs’ defense is better and ultimately, we think their Top 25 unit will be the difference maker in the end. Lay the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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12-29-16 | Thunder v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Thunder are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of three points or less (including 0-2 this year) and just 3-5 ATS against teams with winning records, while Memphis is 5-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 7-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: After some recent suspect play, we expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and for the strong trends listed above to continue. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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12-29-16 | Green Bay v. Cleveland State +1 | Top | 76-75 | Push | 0 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Cleveland State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Wisconsin Green Bay is already 1-3 ATS this season when playing the role of favorite, just 4-6 ATS after a non-conference game and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Cleveland State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. The bottom line: We think the Phoenix come in complacent and expect the hungrier home side to risk life and limb. Play on CLEVELAND STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-28-16 | Pacers +4 v. Wizards | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana has been money in the bank in this spot for bettors, going 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after scoring 85 points or less and 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after three or more consecutive losses, while Washington has struggled in this spot, going just 5-7 ATS this season against clubs with losing records and just 50-56 ATS in its last 106 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: After three straight losses, we’re expecting the visitors to risk life and limb today and while the outright win is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to grab the points in the end. Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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12-28-16 | Nebraska +16.5 v. Indiana | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Nebraska. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Nebraska is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, while Indiana is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: This also sets up as a “look ahead” spot for the Hoosiers, who play ranked Louisville in a neutral site game this weekend. We think the home side gets caught “looking past” the lowly Huskers today. Play on NEBRASKA. AAA Sports |
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12-27-16 | Kent State +11 v. Texas | Top | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Kent State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Kent STate is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with five of six days of rest and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after scoring 60 points or less, while Texas is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 80 points or more and just 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing with six or less days rest. The bottom line: We’ve been saddled with an early poor line (+11), but regardless, we still think this one sets up beautifully for Kent State. Texas starts league play on the weekend and we think will get caught “looking ahead” and past its lowly non-conference opponent today. Grab as many points as you can, play on KENT STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Detroit looked horrible in its loss in New York last week as QB Matt Stafford’s offense posted just six points. If the Lions have had one weakness this year, it’s clearly been their play away from friendly confines where they’ve gone just 3-4 this season. Dallas has already earned a first-round bye, but won’t be rolling over and will clearly want to finish off the season on a high note. Dallas has struggled against the pass this year, but catches a break in that Stafford’s offense isn’t what it used to be in year’s past. Dallas fell to the Giants for a second time this season, but then bounced back with a 26-20 win over the Bucs on Sunday Night Football last week. QB Dak Prescott was 32 of 36 for 279 yards, while Ezekiel Elliot had 159 yards and a TD. Note that Detroit is just 3-4 ATS on the road this year and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of December, while Dallas is 4-3 ATS in its last seven in front of the home town crowd. We don’t see DALLAS taking the foot off the gas at this point of the season, so lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt v. NC State -5.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State. REASONING: NC State earned bowl eligibility in its final game of the season. So too did Vanderbilt. The Wolfpack would beat UNC 28-21 in their regular-season finale. The team was paced by RB Matthew Dayes, who had 103 yards rushing and two TD’s in the victory over the Tar Heels. In all Hayes would finish with 1,119 rushing yards and ten TD’s. Also note that NC State has five receivers collecting at least 400 receiving yards, led by Stephen Louis with 657. The Wolfpack average just 25.5 PPG, ranked 88th overall, but they’ve been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 23.2 PPG, which is ranked 33rd in the country. The Commodores would beat Tennessee 45-34 in their regular season finale. QB Kyle Shurmur had a big day with 416 yards passing and two TD’s. RB Ralph Webb is the focal point of the offense though, he finished with 1,172 rushing yards and 12 TD’s. These teams are similar in many respects, as note that Vanderbilt averages only 23.5 PPG, while conceding just 22.6 (ranked 28th). Note though that Vanderbilt is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and only 1-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while NC State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. We think the numbers all point to NC STATE as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-25-16 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* X-MAS DAY PRESENT on the Baltimore Ravens. REASONING: This is essentially a contest for the AFC North Title. If the Steelers win, they go to the playoffs and win the division. If the Ravens win, they have to beat the Bengals on the road next weekend to claim the title. Baltimore comes off a 27-26 win over Philadelphia, while the Steelers held on for a 24-20 win over the Bengals last weekend. Both teams enter into this one on top form, but if recent history is any precedence, then the Ravens have to be loving their chances today, as they’ve won four straight and six of the last seven in the series. In the first game against the Steelers this year, QB Joe Flacco was 18 of 30 for 241 yards, one TD and a pick. The Ravens average 347.1 YPG on offense and are also ranked fifth overall in yards allowed per game at (312.6). For the most part the Steelers have been solid on both sides of the ball this year, but note that QB Ben Roethlisberger completed just 50 percent of his passes for 264 yards in the first game against the Ravens. And note that Baltimore is 4-0 ATS against the divsional already this season, while Pittsburgh is only 1-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The RAVENS always play the Steelers tough and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another hard-fought battle that will likely come down to whoever has his hands on the ball last. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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12-25-16 | Stephen F Austin +13 v. Utah | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Stephen F. Austin. REASONING: It’s the final non-conference game for both teams and we’re expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent on Christmas Day as it gets caught looking ahead. Leading the way in scoring for Stephen F. Austin this year is Ivan Canete, with 13.1 PPG and 2.7 rebounds. Utah is 8-3 overall this season, but is just 4-3 over its last seven. Sedrick Barefield leads the charge for the Utes with an average of 19 PPG. Note though that Stephen F. Austin is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning straight-up record and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight-up win, while Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a straight-up win and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS victory. With three ranked opponents on the horizon, we think this one sets up as a classic spot bet against the home side. Grab as many points as you can, play on STEPHEN F. AUSTIN. AAA Sports |
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12-24-16 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Green Bay Packers. REASONING: Green Bay needs to win its last two games for a shot at the postseason and it’ll be gunning for a fifth straight victory overall. We think Aaron Rodgers and the home side find a way to get the job done at the end of the night against this patchwork Minnesota Vikings team. The Packers most recently beat Chicago, while the Vikes enter having lost seven of their last nine after falling to the Colts last week. Minnesota is ripe for the picking, last week’s 34-6 loss to Indinapolis was its worst performance of the year. RB Adrian Peterson returned and looked horrible, going 22 yards on six carries and a lost fumble. The Vikes would need a miracle at this point to make the postseason. Rodgers was 19 of 31 for 252 yards, but had no TD’s last week. Rodgers though hasn’t thrown an INT since mid November, a span of five games. And note that the Vikes are just 1-4 ATS their last five on the road, while the Pack is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at home in this series. Over his last five games, Rodgers has ten TD’s and no INT’s. It’s hard to imagine the deflated an undermanned Vikes putting up much of a fight at Lambeau this afternoon. Lay the points, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers +1 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is just 6-11 ATS on the road this year and just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 105 points or more, while Indiana is 4-2 ATS this season already in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 8-6 ATS when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: This is Indiana’s final game before the Christmas break, but the Celtics have one more game tomorrow night against the Thunder. We’re expecting the visitors to get caught looking ahead and expect the revenge minded home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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12-22-16 | Southern Miss +20.5 v. San Diego State | 51-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Southern Miss. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Southern Miss is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 after scoring 60 points or less, and 12-9 ATS in its last 21 after three or more consecutive SU losses, while SDSU is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of December and just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against teams with losing records. The bottom line: We think that home side gets caught looking ahead to the Christmas break and then conference play the lowly SOUTHERN MISS EAGLES keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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12-21-16 | Wolves v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: Both teams come into this one off a victory. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here though in our opinion after winning for the second time in three games in getting the better of Phoenix 115-108 at home on Monday. The Wolves are in the middles of the pack on the offensive end, averaging 104.3 PPG, which ranks them 14th overall. Defensively though the team has been a big disappoinment in allowing 106.9 PPG, ranking it 23rd. The Hawks returned to form in a big road win over the Thunder to push them back over the .500 mark and we’re expecting them to keep the momentum rolling. ATL would shoot 54.7 percent from the floor and go 9 of 20 from behind the arc. So far the Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring at 102.6 PPG and 16th on the defensive end in allowing 104.4 PPG. Note though that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference, while ATL is already 3-1 ATS this year as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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12-21-16 | Illinois v. Missouri +7.5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Missouri. REASONING: The 5-5 Tigers get ready to battle the 9-3 Fighting Illini and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end grab up the points in the 36th Annual Bud Light Braggin’ Rights Game. Note that the past three Braggin’ Right contests have been decided by a combined nine points. Illinois has won all three. Last year the Fighting Illini won 68-63. The Tigers have been playing decently despite the win/loss record, holding their opposition to an average of 10.3 points below their season scoring average. Illinois comes in complacent after five straight wins. And note that Illinois is just 7-9 ATS when playing on a neutral court, while Missouri is 13-8 ATS in its last 21 vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on “revenge-minded” MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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12-20-16 | Fresno State v. Oregon -14.5 | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Oregon. REASONING: We think Fresno State has a letdown in its final game before conference action. The Bulldogs enter contented after three straight wins. Oregon though is on a monster roll and we think that momentum carries over here, as the Ducks enter on the backs of an eight game win skein. Four players average ten points for the Bulldogs, but we think they’ll have their hands full at the Matthew Knight Arena, a venue considered one of the toughest to play in in the country. Oregon is 7-0 at home and is led by Chris Boucher, with 14.1 points and 7.8 boards per game. Boucher is expected to be sidelined, but the Ducks are deep and it’s just “next man up.” Note that Fresno State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Oregon is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. Oregon is primed for another conference title run, but has some big obstacles in its way, including No. 2 UCLA and No. 18 Arizona. With the tough conference schedule upcoming, we’re expecting the home side to come in razor focused and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on OREGON. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | College of Charleston v. LSU -5 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on LSU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the College of Charleston is just 11-19 ATS in its last 30 after scoring 60 points or less, while LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and 12-7 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 80 points or more. The bottom line: LSU also plays with revenge today after College Of Charleston scored an outright upset last season. It’s payback time! Lay the points, play on LSU. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Central Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and “common sense:” As note that Central Michigan is 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this year and 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a loss against a conference rival, while Tulsa is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest and just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games. The bottom line: We think Cooper Rush can keep this one close and look for the trends listed above to continue over into the Beach Bowl. play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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12-18-16 | Western Michigan v. Washington -12 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Washington. REASONING: Both teams are below the .500 mark, with the Broncos checking in at 3-6 overall and 0-2 away from home. The Huskies are 4-5 overall and 3-2 at home. Washington averages 80 PPG, while WMU posts 74.2. You’ll want to keep your eyes on the Huskies’ Markelle Fultz, who is averaging 22.8 points, 6.9 boards and 6.1 assists this year. The Broncos ended a two game slide with a win over James Madison on Saturday, but we’re expecting an immediate return to mediocrity tonight. Despite winning, note that the Broncos allowed James Madison to shoot a season high 52 percent from the floor. The Huskies on the other hand will be desperate here, they’ve lost four straight after getting edged 87-85 at home to Nevada as 5 point favorites. Fultz had 21 points, eight assists, five boards and three steals. Note that the Broncos are just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 following an ATS victory and just 2-5 ATS in their last seven against teams with a losing SU record, while Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive contests. We think these trends continue and like the Huskies to win going away with a big game in front of the home town crowd. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-17-16 | Fresno State v. Pacific +1.5 | Top | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Pacific. REASONING: Pacific has struggled this year, but is a perfect 3-0 at home to open the season. Fresno State is 7-3, while the Tigers broke a three-game slide with a win over North Carolina AT&T last time out. So far the Bulldogs average 75 PPG, while Pacific posts 69. Fresno concedes 68 PPG and the the Tigers allow 74. Fresno State is led by three players which average between 13 and 13.5 points. Anthony Townes leads the way for the Tigers along with Ray Bowles, who is posting 14 PPG average thus far. Note that Fresno State is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 60 points or less, while Pacific is already a perfect 3-0 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Looks like a classic letdown spot for the Bulldogs and we expect the home side to make the most of it. Play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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12-17-16 | Houston -4 v. San Diego State | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Houston. REASONING: SDSU finished 10-3, while Houston was 9-3. The Aztecs defeated Wyoming 27-24 in the Mountain West Championship game, while the Cougars finished 5-3 in conference and third overall in the AAC West. Aztecs QB Christian Champan had just 85 yards, no TD’s and one INT in the win over the Cowboys, as it was RB’s Donnel Pumphrey and Rashad Penny carrying the offensive load, the former finishing with 110 yards and the latter posting 117 yards and two TD’s. SDSU is solid defensively, conceding 21 PPG, which ranks 19th overall. That defense though is about to be tested by the high-flying Cougars. Houston was on a three-game win streak before losing 48-44 to Memphis in its final regular season game. The Cougars are led by QB Greg Ward Jr, who finished with 3,328 yards passing and a solid 22:9 TD to INT ratio. Houston averages 38 PPG, which ranks it 21st in the nation and the defense has been almost as good, allowing an average of just 22.6 PPG, ranked 27th. Note that the Cougars are 3-0 ATS in non-conference games this year and 10-3 ATS in the same position over the last three, while SDSU is just 2-3 ATS in non-conference games this season and just 5-9 ATS in the same position over the last three. Pumphrey is amazing, but I think Ward Jr. is the difference maker today. The Cougars are the complete package and we can’t see the Aztecs keeping pace down the stretch. Play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports |
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12-16-16 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami (Fla) -19 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Miami Florida. REASONING: No need to overthink this one in our opinion, as we expect the FAU Owls to have a predictable letdown here after their epic 79-77 OT win over Ohio State last time out. The Hurricanes took care of business against SC State, hammering it 82-46 and we look for the home side to come in focused tonight as well. The Owls were actually trailing by 11 points midway through the second half but rallied for the improbable comeback against the Buckeyes. The FAU offense is ranked 153rd overall in averaging 75.5 PPG, while the defense allows 71.9 PPG, ranked 184th. Ja’Quan Newton led the Hurricanes last time out and has reached double-digits in points in every game this year. So for Miami averages 74.2 PPG. The Hurricanes though are amongst the best in the nation on the defensive end allowing just 57.3 PPG, good for fifth overall. Note that FAU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest, while Miami Florida is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more. FAU isn’t going to surprise anyone anymore and now faces the toughest defense it’ll likely see all season. Because of all the various situational, motivational and trend based factors listed above, we’re expecting a lop-sided wire-to-wire beadown. Play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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12-15-16 | Rams +14.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -130 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Rams. REASONING: LA has many issues and after getting blown out 42-14 at home by Atlanta last Sunday, the team would fire head coach Jeff Fisher. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the rest of the team to respond in a big way tonight. Don’t get us wrong, we don’t think that the Rams are going to be able to suddenly “throw a switch” now and become a fantastic team, but we do think that in this first game back, everyone on the field today will be shaken up by the drastic measure and we’re expecting that focus to translate into some positive production. When these teams met earlier in the year, LA managed a 9-3 win. At 8-4, the Seahawks have the division wrapped up for the most part, so it’s not too hard to imagine the home side coming in a bit complacent here as well. Seattle’s defense has been great this year, once again in the top 10, but the offense has been hit-or-miss all season and it certainly looked poor in last week’s 38-10 loss in Green Bay, one which QB Russell Westbrook threw a career high five INT’s. Note that LA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against the division, while Seattle is just 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year. We aren’t going to predict an outright upset, but do think that the determined visitors can keep this one competitive. Play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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12-14-16 | UC-Irvine +11 v. Nevada | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cal Irvine. REASONING: UC Irvine has played some tough opponents so far in facing three ranked teams. Most recently the Anteaters fell 84-53 at no. 12 Saint Mary’s. Fortunately for Cal Irvine, there are no more ranked teams left on the schedule. They’ll now look to reverse their fortunes with a big effort against the Nevada Wolf Pack, who look like one of the best out of the Moutain West. So far UCI averages just 61.8 PPG. The Anteaters though are among the best on the defensive end, conceding just 65.4. Jaron Martin is the leader with 12.5 points and 3.3 assists per contest. Nevada is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after its big 87-85 upset win at Pac 12 Washington on Sunday, as Marcus Marshall would hit a 15 foot runner with no time left on the clock for the victory. Marshall leads the MWC in scoring with an average of 20.4 PPG. Note though that UC Irvine is already 2-1 ATS this year after scoring 60 points or less and it’s also 4-0 ATS in its last four after allowing 80 points or more. And note that Nevada is just 5-9 ATS in its last 14 against teams with losing records and interestingly, just 3-6 ATS in its last nine vs. poor offensive teams which score 64 points or less per contest. Grab the points, play on UC IRVINE. AAA Sports |
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12-14-16 | Green Bay +22.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Wisconsin Green Bay. REASONING: We think the Badgers, who have won five straight, come in a tiny bit complacent tonight and leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. After losing to UNC, Wisconsin has bounced back with five straight wins, most recently over Marquette. The Phoenix have had over a week off after falling at CMU last Tuesday. The silver lining in the loss though was that Wisconsin Green Bay did post a season-high points total in the eventual 107-97 setback. Five players finished in double figures, led by Kerem Kanter, who had 23. Last year the Phoenix fell by just five points at the Kohl Center, as Wisconsin would hold on for the 84-79 win. Nigel Hayes had 24 points in that one. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similarily hard-fought and competitive battle tonight. Note that the Phoenix are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine following a SU loss, while the Badgers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 at home in this series. Grab the points, play on the PHOENIX. AAA Sports |
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12-12-16 | Auburn v. Boston College +7 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Boston College. REASONING: We jumped on this line early and unfortunately have an unfavorable one (+7), but regardless, we love this play and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Auburn is 6-1 to open the year, but we think is primed for a letdown finally. Conversely, the BC Eagles have more losses than wins (4-5) and we think they’ll be the “hungrier” team. Boston College most recently fell 65-63 at home to Hartford. Auburn hasn’t played since December 3rd when it beat UAB, so we’re expecting “rest” to lead to “rust.” This one also sets up nicely for the Eagles from a trend based stand point, as note that Auburn is just 7-17-2 ATS in its last 26 neutral court games, while BC is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a neutral court underdog in the seven to 14 points range. Play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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12-11-16 | Saints +3 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -115 | 150 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Saints. REASONING: New Orleans is sitting two games back in the NFC South and a loss today would essentially be the “nail in the coffin” for the Saints. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. New Orleans will be desperate after losing three of its last four, most recently falling to the surging Lions 28-13. QB Drew Brees had an “off” night, but overall the veteran has been spectacular this season and we’re expecting a big time bounce back performance this afternoon. Tampa Bay on the other hand is poised for a letdown after four straight wins in our opinion. Most recently Tampa stormed back to take a seven point win in San Diego, QB Jameis Winston going for 280 yards, a TD and a pick. Note that New Orleans is already 2-1 ATS against the division and a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road, while Tampa is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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12-10-16 | Army +6 v. Navy | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Army. REASONING: Havy QB Will Worth was injured early in the AAC Title game loss to Temple last week. Navy relies on Worth’s run threat to set up the rest of the offense. Backup Zach Abbey will look to air it out, but the Black Knights only allow 165 passing yards per game. Army has had three weeks off after annihilating Morgan State 60-3. The Black Knights have a balanaced offense which averages 30 PPG. Army’s defense is a big difference maker today, it concedes only 19.1 PPG, which is ranked 14th overall. The Midshipmen looked shaky on defense last week, allowing 388 total yards. Note that Navy allows 30.4 PPG, ranked 82nd overall. And note that Army is 3-1 ATS in its last four neutral field contests, while Navy is just 2-4 ATS against teams with winning records this season. The stage is set for an outright upset and ARMY’s first win in the series since 2001, so don’t forget to sprinkle a little on the “money line,” but in the end, grab as many points as you can. AAA Sports |
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12-10-16 | Penn State v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pittsburgh. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Penn State is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 80 points or more and just 1-4 ATS in its last five neutral court games, while Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four after consecutive ATS losses. The bottom line: We think PITTSBURGH’s depth will prove to be the difference down the stretch, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-09-16 | Georgia Southern v. Minnesota -13.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota. REASONING: We jumped on this one early and have a poor line compared to the one currently available as of writing (we have -13.5, as of writing we have seen this one down closer to -12). Despite that though, we still love this selection as we’re expecting the home side to jump out to an early lead and to put the foot on the gas until the final horn. Georgia Southern enters off a disheartening 85-82 home loss to Florida Gulf Coast, while the Gophers beat NJIT 74-68 in their last outing. The Eagles looked horrible defensively in their last game, allowing Florida Gulf Coast to shoot 61 percent from the field. Georgia Southern was also out-rebounded 40-26 in the setback. Ike Smith was a bright spot, finishing with 23 points. So far the Eagles are scoring 78.6 PPG and allowing 71.9. Minnesota’s Akeem Springs had a big night off the bench in the Golden Gophers’ last game, finishing with a team-high 19 points on 6 of 12 shooting. Minnesota averages 75.7 PPG, but concedes just 66, which is ranked 75th overall. Note that Georgia Southern is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 80 points or more, while Minnesota is already a perfect 2-0 ATS against the Sun Belt this year and 3-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The Eagles looked atrocious defensively against a weak Florida Gulf Coast team and now transition to play in an extremely hostile environment, against one of the best defenses they’ll see all year. Minnesota can hardly be happy with its performance over NJIT last time out, so we’re expecting the home side to be ultra-focused from start to finish tonight. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout, play on the GOLDEN GOPHERS. AAA Sports |
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12-09-16 | Hawks +2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: The Hawks snapped a seven game slide in a 103-95 victory over the Heat on Wednesday and they’ll clearly be looking to keep the momentum rolling. Milwaukee on the other hand is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after winning five of its last six, most recently a 115-107 home victory over the Blazers on Wednesday. Atlanta has already beaten the Bucks this year, prevailing 107-100 back on November 16th. Atlanta held a 47-34 advantage on the boards over the Heat last time out, big man Dwight Howard would led the way with 23 points, 17 boards, four assists and two blocks. Note that ATL is ranked 24th in scoring at 100.3, but makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing 102 PPG, ranked 12th. Milwaukee owns the 18th ranked offense at 103.8 PPG. The Bucks also have an above average defense, conceding 101.8 PPG, ranked 10th. Note though that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS against winning teams this year and 3-1 ATS following a divisional contest, while Milwaukee is just 3-4 ATS after a non-conference game and only 4-5 ATS against clubs with losing records. We think the home side gets caught looking ahead to its road trip, which starts tomorrow night in Washington, followed by a game in Toronto on Monday. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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12-07-16 | Detroit v. Toledo -13 | 65-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Toledo. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Detroit is laready just 1-4 ATS in non-conference games this year and 1-3 ATS as an underdog, while Toledo is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 against teams with losing records and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 non-conference contests. The bottom line: The Titans have struggled on the road, we’re expecting the home side to make the most of this situation. Play on TOLEDO. AAA Sports |
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12-06-16 | East Carolina v. Virginia -21.5 | Top | 53-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Virginia. REASONING: East Carolina is 7-2, while Virginia is 7-1. That’s where the similarites end between these teams though, as we expect the Cavaliers smothering nation leading defense to be just too much for the Pirates to handle tonight. ECU comes in off a 69-56 home win over North Carolina Central, while Virginia looks to take out its frustrations on someone after falling 66-57 at home to WVU this past weekend. Note that the Pirates average just 69.4 PPG which is 277th overall. ECU has so far done a great job defensively, conceding an average of just 59.6 PPG, ranked 11th overall. The Cavs are coming off their first loss of the year and will clearly be looking to erase the stink of that sub-par performance from memory. Senior guard London Perrantes leads the team with 10.6 PPG. Note that the Cavs average 69.6 PPG, but allow only 46.9, the No. 1 mark in the country. Also note that ECU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, while Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss and 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 against teams with a winning record. The conditions are right for a blowout of epic proportions, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Hornets -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Charlotte is 5-3 ATS in its last eight on the road and 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas is just 7-11 ATS as an underdog this season and only 4-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The bottom line: Charlotte looks to take advantage of this favorable matchup after a recent stretch of shoddy play. We’re expecting the home side to have a letdown and for these strong ATS trends to continue. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Spurs -5 v. Bucks | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that San Antonio is 8-2 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is just 5-6 ATS at home and already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: We think the Bucks will get caught off guard by this high-powered West Coast team and expect the deeper Spurs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN ANTONIO. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Cavs +1 v. Raptors | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four following a divisional contest and 25-18 ATS in its last 43 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less. The bottom line: The Raptors have been on quite the role, having won five straight and they’ve already lost the Cavs this year. But that said, we think CLEVELAND, which has scuffeled a bit of late, will once again find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Siena v. Rider +4 | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAAC SIDE OF THE WEEK on Rider. REASONING: Siena is 3-5 overall and 0-5 on the road. Rider is 3-3 and 0-1 at home. We think the Broncos finally get off the schneid in MAAC action. Both teams played Fairfield just last week and Siena won by seven, while Rider fell by nine. Despite that, we like the Broncos to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. This is a “revenge” game for the home side, as Siena has won three straight in the series, including both last year. The year before that though, Rider beat Siena at home. The Saints have five players averaging double figures and are led by Marquis Wright with 18 points, 4.3 boards and 4.6 assists per game. The Broncos are led by Jimmie Taylor and Kahil Thomas, both who average 13 PPG. Three Rider players average double figures. It’s true that Siena averages 75.1 PPG, but it also gives up 76.4. Rider averages just 69.2, but concedes only 68.3. Note that the Saints are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road fav of 3.5 to six points and just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 when playing on one or less days rest, while Rider is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog of 3.5 to six points and 9-7 ATS in its last 16 off a loss against a conference rival. We think the conditions are right for an outright upset, but we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on RIDER. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Magic +7 v. Pistons | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:” Orlando played and lost to Detroit 108-82 back on November 28th. Clearly the Magic will be out to atone for that lacklustre effort. Detroit has won five of its last six and we think will come in a bit complacent here. The bottom line: Note that Orlando is already 5-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Detroit is 0-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. Play the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 144 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Arizona Cardinals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Washington is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog of three points or less and just 1-3 ATS in its last four “dome” games, while Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last eight played in the month of December, just 2-1 ATS after two or more consecutive losses and interestingly, a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five against the NFC East. The bottom line: This is a must win game for both teams to keep their already extremely slim playoff hopes alive, as each will essentially need to win-out for any chance whatsoever. We think that home field advantage can’t be overlooked in this position, so we’re laying the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 140 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Baltimore Ravens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of December and interestingly, just 1-4 ATS against the AFC North, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a win against a division rival and 4-1 ATS against the AFC East. The bottom line: The Dolphins have reeled off five straight wins, but we think are ripe for a letdown here. The Ravens play in New England next weekend, meaning that this game becomes almost a “do-or-die” scenario for the home side. We’re laying the points, play on BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | UNLV v. Arizona State -5 | Top | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Arizona State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that UNLV is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 80 points or more and just 10-13 ATS in its last 23 road games, while ASU is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of December and interestingly, 2-0 ATS against the Mountain West the last two seasons. The bottom line: We expect the WILDCATS to come out extremely focused after some recent shoddy play and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | Nets +10.5 v. Bucks | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:” Brooklyn lost at home to Milwaukee just last week so is out to avenge that setback and note that it’s 2-0 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent thi sseason and 14-10 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 9 1/2 to 12 points. And note that Milwaukee is just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after three or more consecutive SU victories and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: Great situational and trend based factors make the NETS the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | Florida v. Alabama -24 | Top | 16-54 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Florida is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog (including just 1-2 ATS this year), while Alabama is 8-4 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Gators have a top 15 defense, but the offense is a disaster. And that doesn’t bode well for an Alabama team which leads the nation on defense in allowing under 12 PPG. The Crimson Tide also rank in the top 10 offensively. On the national stage, we look for the No. 1 team in the FBS to send a resounding message to the rest of the country. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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