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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-18 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Pacers | 83-111 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense: We think the Pacers will be a popular pick, as they were one of the most improved teams last year. Memphis on the other hand declined perhaps more than any other team from last year to the season previous. The Grizzlies come in with a HUGE chip on their shoulder this year and they also come in healthy. On opening night, we’re expecting a battle. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +2 | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets. Milwaukee features one of the best young talents in the NBA, but we think a healthy Charlotte with Kemba Walker will defend home court. The Bucks achilles heel the last few seasons has been their play on the road (just 41-46 ATS last two seasons away from friendly confines and only 39-51 ATS as a favorite in the same span.) Grab the points, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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10-16-18 | Thunder +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 54 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC was 48-34 last year and fourth in the Western Conference, while Golden State was 58-24, eventually going on to win its second straight championship. These teams split four games last year, which includes a 111-107 road win for the Warriors back on April 3rd. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similarly hard fought and competitive battle here as well. OKC averaged 107.9 PPG and it allowed 104.4. Golden State averaged 113.5 PPG and it allowed 107.5. The cast of characters is well known on both sides, but we think there are many external distracting factors working against the Warriors. We like the hungry THUNDER to take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 30-33 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Green Bay Packers. Both teams have plenty of issues. The 49ers come off their first win of the year, but Green Bay can deliver the knock out blow to their season with a bounce back victory here after a poor effort last week. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers’ detractors are out in force right now, but we look for the all star pivot to once again step up in this pressure packed situation and to deliver a signature performance on the national stage. San Fran is down to CJ Beathard running the show and we expect the backup QB to stumble. Note that the 49ers are just 13-16 ATS in their last 29 as an underdog, while the Packers are still 14-9 ATS in their last 23 as a favorite (and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range). Lay the points with confidence, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -125 | 70 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bears. Chicago enters off a 48-10 home win over Tampa Bay, while Miami comes in off a 27-17 road victory over Cincinnati. The Bears are getting fantastic play on both sides of the ball and I look for the team to continue that progression, averaging 27.8 PPG and allowing only 16.2. Miami enters off a 27-17 road loss in Cincinnati, unable to hold on to an early 17-0 lead. The Fish average only 19.8 PPG and they allow 23.4. Note as well that the Dolphins are just 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 following an ATS loss, while Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after posting more than 350 total yards in the air in its previous game. All signs point to a rout, play on the BEARS. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7.5 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -106 | 58 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Colorado is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 on the road and interestingly 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in games played in Week 5 through 9, while USC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Buffs are 5-0 and undefeated and they enter off their bye week. USC has looked susceptible at times already this season. We’re expecting a very tight battle, one which will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Boise State -16.5 v. Nevada | 31-27 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Boise State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Boise State 8-5 ATS in it last 13 as a road favorite, while Nevada is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. The bottom line: We look for BOISE STATE to bounce back and lay a beating on Nevada this weekend. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Hawaii +11.5 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 9* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Hawaii. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while BYU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against teams with winning records and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 home games. The bottom line: BYU needs this game desperately and while the Cougars defense has been decent, we have a hard time seeing the home side matching pace with the Warriors high-flying offense. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, play on HAWAII. AAA Sports |
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10-13-18 | Purdue v. Illinois +10.5 | 46-7 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on Illinois. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Illinois is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with losing records and 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: These teams are fighting for a bowl game still and Illinois is 2-1 in conference action, while Purdue is just 1-1. We think the Boilermakers get caught looking past their lowly opponent today though and while we’re not predicting an outright upset, everything points to a “war till the end!” Grab the points, play on ILLINOIS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New York Giants. The Eagles are only allowing just over 20 PPG, but the Giants are only allowing 21. Each offense has struggled to this point, but at 1-4, New York is still within striking distance of 2-2 Washington. Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense is struggling, which doesn’t bode well heading into this difficult road venue on the short week. Note that the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on field turf and only 2-4 ATS in their last six as a road favorite of three points or less, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive losses. We like the veteran Manning to take advantage. Play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 15-13 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas State. Georgia Southern is the better team and it’s looking for a third straight victory against lowly Texas State, but we think the home side will keep it interesting against an Eagles team which we predict will get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. Georgia Souther is averaging just 30.8 PPG, so Texas State is going to have its opportunities to match pace here. Keep your eyes on Bobcats’ QB Tyler Vitt, who has a 3:2 TD:INT. Texas State’s weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, but as mentioned above, the unit definitely catches a break here facing the Eagles somewhat less than spectacular offense. Note as well that Georgia Southern is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive wins and only 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road favorite, while Texas State is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on TEXAS STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-11-18 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -205 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the WINGS on the PUCK-LINE. We think this game is going to be more competitive than what the bookmakers would try to lead us to believe. Detroit is hungry here, it’s 0-3 and it’ll be desperate to break the slide. Toronto on the other hand comes in off back to back road wins (7-6 OT victory in Chicago, before a 7-4 win in Dallas.) But with a game in Washington on Saturday night, we absolutely expect Toronto get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent tonight. It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of DETROIT tonight. AAA Sports |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | Top | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New Orleans Saints. We expect Drew Brees and the Saints to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in this one. Brees needs just 201 passing yards to become the NFL’s all time passing leader (passing Peyton Manning.) The potent New Orleans’ offense got even more so this week with the return of RB Mark Ingram. The combination of Ingram and Kamara is a formidable one and it opens things up even more for Brees. The Redskins come out of their bye, but we think that rest will lead to rust. Note as well that Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four MNF games , while New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories. Lay the points, play on the SAINTS. AAA Sports |
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10-08-18 | Senators +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-6 | Loss | -131 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Ottawa Senators. The Senators have been unbelievably competitive to open the year, falling 4-3 in OT at home to Chicago, before then getting the better of the Leafs in Toronto 5-3 on Saturday. Ottawa features a balanced team up front and in the back and it possesses a great goaltender in Craig Anderson. The Bruins on the other hand have been all over the map with their performance so far, getting routed 7-0 in Washington on Opening Night, before then bouncing back with a 4-0 win in Buffalo the following night. In a contest which we envision being decided late or in extra time, we’ll gladly lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Play on the SENATORS on the PUCK LINE. AAA Sports |
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10-07-18 | Raiders +6 v. Chargers | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Oakland Raiders. We’re sure many have the Chargers here. We’re banking on the hungry Raiders though taking this one down to the wire. Derek Carr and the Oakland offense finally broke out in a big way in their 45-42 home win over the Browns. The Chargers on the other hand would barely hold on for the 29-27 home win over San Francisco. Philip Rivers has been fantastic so far this season, but clearly LA’s defense is still a work in progress this season (what’s new about that?!) Marshawn Lynch has looked strong of late as well for Oakland and we do indeed believe that the visitors have a very real shot of taking this one outright. Note as well that Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 40 points or more in its previous contest. Grab the points, play on the RAIDERS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs. Jacksonville is 3-1 and it comes in off a victory over the lowly Jets last week, but we don’t think it’ll have enough in the tank this afternoon to hang with red hot Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes, who has a 14:0 TD:INT ratio. Mahomes is surrounded by a plethora of talent and while the defense is clearly the weak point to this point, there’s no question that that unit catches a break today facing this rather one-dimensional Jags offense. Jacksonville’s defense has been tremendous, but we’re expecting the unit to take a step back back in this difficult venue. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Fresno State -11 v. Nevada | 21-3 | Win | 100 | 147 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Fresno State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a favorite and a perfect 10-0 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records, while Nevada is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: We look for the Bulldogs to continue to roll; play on FRESNO STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Washington State v. Oregon State +16 | 56-37 | Loss | -106 | 146 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that WSU is just 9-10 ATS in its last 19 off a conference game and only 6-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Oregon State is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a home underdog in the 14.5 to 17 points range and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: We think that WSU gets caught looking past the lowly, but very hungry Beavers. That’s a big mistake, as the numbers/stats and situation definitely point to OREGON STATE as the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | SMU +25.5 v. Central Florida | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SMU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that SMU is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 21.5 points or more and 6-3 ATS in its last nine on the road, while UCF is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back SU and ATS victories. The bottom line: The stage is set for the high-powered home side to “look past” its lowly opponent today, and that’s a major mistake. No outright, but the numbers/stats point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on SMU. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Indiana +25.5 v. Ohio State | 26-49 | Win | 100 | 141 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana is 2-0 ATS in its last two as an underdog in the 21.5 to 31 points range, while Ohio State is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 against teams with winning records and only 7-12 ATS in its last 19 following a conference contest. The bottom line: Sets up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the home side. Grab the points and expect a solid back door cover with INDIANA. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Boston College +3.5 v. NC State | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 137 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that BC is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 against the conference, while NC State is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched. Each is hungry and we expect a fight until the final whistle. Grab the points, play on BOSTON COLLEGE. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 137 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Pittsburgh. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Orange are just 1-3 ATS in their last four against teams with with losing records and only 3-6 ATS in their last nine off a loss against a conference rival, while Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records and 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog in the 3.5 to seven points range. The bottom line: The outright isn’t out of the question, but the numbers point to the points as the savvy move in the end. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Tulane +7 v. Cincinnati | 21-37 | Loss | -107 | 137 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tulane. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Tulane is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and 10-6 ATS in its last 16 against the conference, while Cincinnati is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and only 3-12 ATS in its last 15 at home. The bottom line: The numbers point to a letdown here for the Bearcats. Grab the points, play on TULANE. AAA Sports |
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10-06-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -3.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 137 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Western Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that EMU is already 0-2 ATS this year against the conference and just 2-6 ATS in its last eight, while WMU is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 after two or more consecutive SU wins and 4-2 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: Home field turns out to be the difference. The numbers point to a convincing blowout for the home side here. Play on WMU. AAA Sports |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU. BYU plays with revenge here after falling 40-24 to Utah State on the road last year. Utah State has been great so far, averaging 51.5 points and allowing 23.8. The numbers are a little skewed because of the competition. BYU comes in off a loss to Washington, but overall the Cougars have made significant strides, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they’re allowing just 20.6 PPG (ranked 35th). We think this sets up as a trap for Utah State, which is still a poor 1-7 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, wile BYU is interestingly 6-3 ATS in its last nine against the Mountain West Conference. Lay the points as BYU finds a way to get the job done at home. AAA Sports |
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10-05-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Marshall | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MTSU. Marshall is 3-1, while MTSU is 2-2, losing to Vanderbilt and No. 2 Georgia. MTSU QB Brent Stockstill had 259 yards passing, one TD and an INT in last week’s win over FAU. Stockstill so far has 971 yards, eight TD’s and just three INT’s. So far the Blue Raiders are averaging 25 PPG ad conceding 36.2. Marshall is averaging just 26.8 PPG and its allowing only 24.5. QB Isaiah Green had two TD’s, 288 yards passing, but also was picked off three times in last week’s tight 20-17 win over WKU. Note that Marshall is 0-5 ATS in its last five at home as well. I think the Herd play to another tight affair here; grab the points, play on MTSU. AAA Sports |
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10-05-18 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville +3.5 | 66-31 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Louisville. Georgia Tech lost three in a row and then smashed Bowling Green 63-17 last week. Clearly the Yellow Jackets are somewhere in between. QB TaQuon Marshall had a big week last week and he’s been a bright spot for Georgia Tech on the offensive side of the ball. The Yellow Jackets looked decent defensively last week, but the unit is clearly a weak point. Louisville is out to avoid a three-game losing streak. Last week Jawon Pass had 306 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s in a tight 28-24 loss to Florida State. Note that Georgia Tech is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six against the ACC and only 0-4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. Georgia Tech is 0-2 on the road this year with losses to USF and Pittsburgh. Look for the hungry CARDINALS to keep this one close. AAA Sports |
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10-04-18 | Georgia State +17 v. Troy | Top | 20-37 | Push | 0 | 97 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgia State. This is a revenge game for Georgia State after it fell 34-10 in this game at home last year. The Panthers enter with plenty of momentum though off a 46-14 win over UL Monroe. They had 308 yards on the ground and they’re now ranked ninth in the nation in rushing. Troy is ranked 82nd in the nation in defending the pass, so we think the visitors will have their opportunities today. Troy’s been rolling behind Kaleb Baker, who has completed 71.6 percent of his passes, but we think this sets up as a classic “trap” game for the Trojans. Note as well that Troy is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against teams with losing records and only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 at home, while Georgia State is interestingly 8-1 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of October. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the point, play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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10-03-18 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP PLAY on the Montreal Canadiens on the PUCK-LINE. Toronto finished 49-26-5-2 and made it to the playoffs last year. Montreal finished 29-40-7-6, missing the postseason for a second straight campaign. The Habs won’t be going down without a fight here, especially with such a tough opening schedule, with upcoming games at Pittsburgh two nights later, along with at home against the Kings followed by a game at home against the Pens again. The Leafs enjoy two nights off after this one before a game at home against the lowly Sens. In a contest which we envision being decided late or even in extra time, we’re going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Play on the CANADIENS on the PUCK LINE. AAA Sports |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 144 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New England Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong/relevant ATS statistics. As note that Miami is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 against the division, while New England is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, 8-4 ATS its last 12 against the division and 14-5 ATS in its last 19 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: After starting the year 3-0, it’s a natural letdown spot for Miami. At 1-2 though, we’d argue that this is the most important game of Tom Brady’s career. If the Pats fall to 1-3, they’re almost virtually eliminated from playoff contention. Brady comes in off a horrible outing in Detroit and the critics are ready to jump all over the best QB in the World if he falters again here. The spot light is on Brady to execute and we expect the veteran to deliver. Lay the points, play on the PATRIOTS. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | BYU v. Washington -16.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 122 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that BU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Washington is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records and 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: We have a hard time seeing the BYU offense keeping up. Lay the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Utah v. Washington State | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Utah. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Utah is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a loss against a conference rival and 7-1 ATS in its last eight against a team with a winning record, while WSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five off a loss against a conference rival and only 6-7 ATS in it last 13 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Look for Utah’s tough defense to be too much for WSU to contend with. Play on UTAH. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Old Dominion v. East Carolina -5 | 35-37 | Loss | -104 | 117 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on East Carolina. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that ODU comes in off a big upset over VT and we think it’s ripe for the picking here in this classic “letdown” spot. Note as well that ECU is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. Lay the points, play on ECU. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Pittsburgh v. Central Florida -15.5 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 117 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCF. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Pittsburgh is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten non-conference games and just 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while UCF 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference games and 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a favorite. The bottom line: We look for Pittsburgh to take a step back in this difficult venue. Lay the points, play on UCF. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Western Michigan +2.5 v. Miami-OH | 40-39 | Win | 100 | 117 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Western Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that WMU is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after two or more consecutive SU wins and 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite, while Miami Ohio is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 at home and only 13-16 ATS in its last 29 games played on turf. The bottom line: We think Miami Ohio takes a step back after its win last week, while we look for WMU’s depth on both sides of the ball to prove to be the difference here. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Temple v. Boston College -14 | 35-45 | Loss | -105 | 113 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Temple is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games, while BC is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games. The bottom line: We have a hard time seeing the “streak” Owls’ offense keeping up with a BC team looking to bounce back after a loss last weekend. Lay the points, play on BOSTON COLLEGE. AAA Sports |
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09-29-18 | Indiana v. Rutgers +17.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 113 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 on the road and only 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road favorite, while Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. The bottom line: No outright upset, but look for RUTGERS to sneak in through the back door against an Indiana team that gets caught looking past. AAA Sports |
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09-28-18 | Dodgers v. Giants +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* FIST-FIGHT on the Giants on the RUN-LINE. We think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Madison Bumgarner and the Giants on the RUN-LINE. The Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu (6-3, 2.00 ERA) who has been “lights out” this season, but we think regression is imminent. He was 5-9 with a 3.97 ERA last year and the Giants and Bumgarner (6-6, 3.20) who has been almost untouchable at home by going 4-2 with a 1.34 ERA. We’re banking on this one being very competitive, decided late or in extra innings. Play on the GIANTS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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09-28-18 | UCLA +11.5 v. Colorado | Top | 16-38 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on UCLA. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that UCLA is 3-1 ATS in is last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Colorado is 0-3 ATS in its last three following its bye-week. The bottom line: UCLA is desperate and its down men, but head coach Chip Kelly will have his team ready to compete in our opinion. They catch Colorado at a great time out of its bye-week. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. Play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 80 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the LA Rams. Minnesota’s looked terrible. Kirk Cousins has looked decent at times and completely lost in others. The run defense was No. 1 last year, but it’s No. 15 this year. The Vikes looked “OK” in the Week 1 win over the 49ers, much better in its 29-29 tie with the Packers in Week 2, but downright terrible at home in a 26-7 loss to the Bills as a 17-point favorite last weekend. The defense is out of sync, the offense is out of sync and now that struggling unit hits the road on a short week to face the league’s No. 1 offense and one of the best overall defensive units as well. The Rams feature Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, along with many other skilled offensive weapons. LA’s offensive and defensive lines are two of the best as well. The Rams have a chance to all but eliminate the Vikes from Super Bowl contention here, as a 1-2-1 record is almost as difficult as 0-3. We’re banking on the Rams going for the jugular and embarrassing the Vikes on the National stage. Lay the points, play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -18 | Top | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 81 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Florida. Miami Florida roared out to a 31-3 lead over FIU last week and then it took the foot of the gas and held on for the convincing 31-17 victory. UNC opened the year 1-2, but it salvaged its season with a big 38-35 win over Pitt at home last Saturday. Can anyone say letdown spot? In our opinion, this one sets up as a trap for UNC. The Hurricanes though won’t be taking anything for granted we feel. The Tar Heels are averaging 24.7 PPG and allowing 33.3, while Miami Florida is averaging 43.5 PPG and allowing 18.5. Note that the Hurricanes are 21-15 ATS in their last 26 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Lay the points and expect a rout; play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Chargers v. Rams -7 | 23-35 | Win | 102 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that the Chargers are just 12-14 ATS in their last 26 games layer on a grass field, while the Rams are already 2-0 ATS on a grass field this year and 8-2 ATS in their last ten as a favorite overall. The bottom line: The Chargers’ suspect secondary is in for a surprise today. The RAMS are just too tough on both sides of the ball. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Bengals +3 v. Panthers | 21-31 | Loss | -111 | 44 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that the Bengals are 10-8 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog (including 2-0 this year), while Carolina is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite. The bottom line: Carolina’s defense was exposed in last week’s loss to Atlanta. The Panthers are one-dimensional, as the Bengals have the fourth ranked rush defense. Cincinnati not getting enough respect considering how well the offense is performing. Grab the points, play on the BENGALS. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Titans +10.5 v. Jaguars | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 44 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that Tennessee is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 against the division and 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Jacksonville is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range still just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 at home despite last week’s victory over the Pats. The bottom line: The Jags’ overconfidence proves to be their downfall here. Grab the points and the TITANS in a much closer than expected battle. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | Raiders +3.5 v. Dolphins | 20-28 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog on the road of three points or less and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 when the line in the game is set between -3 and +3, while Miami is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a favorite and just 2-3 ATS in its last five off a win against a division rival. The bottom line: Miami looks primed for a letdown here after starting 2-0, while the RAIDERS are in “must win” mode after starting 0-2. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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09-23-18 | 49ers v. Chiefs -6 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that San Francisco is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 as an underdog, while KC is 6-4 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range, and 18-11 ATS in its last 29 played on a grass field. The bottom line: We think the 49ers’ suspect offense struggles in this difficult road venue. Lay the points, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Stanford -2 v. Oregon | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 124 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Stanford is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road favorite and 6-4 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records, while Oregon is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as an underdog, only 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home and 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Ducks were smashed by the Cardinal last year. The Stanford defense looks even better this season. The Oregon offense has looked decent early, but we think it stumbles against the step up in competition. Play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -12.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Texas Tech is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 10.5 to 14 points range, while OK State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games played on turf. The bottom line: Texas Tech pulled away for the cover last week, but we think the Red Raiders will have a hard time keeping pacing with the high-flying Cowboys down the stretch. Lay the points, play on OKLAHOMA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Rice v. Southern Miss -14 | 22-40 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Southern Miss. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Rice is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Southern Miss is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. The bottom line: The extra week off for each side benefits the home side in this one. Lay the points, play on SOUTHERN MISS. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Arizona -6.5 v. Oregon State | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 120 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with losing records, while Oregon State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six against teams with losing records. The bottom line: We think Arizona’s offense will prove to be too much for the home side to keep up to down the stretch. Lay the points, play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -15.5 | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on West Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that K-State is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 on the road and only 7-11 ATS against conference opponents, while WVU is 11-9 ATS in is last 20 as a favorite (including 2-0 ATS this year.) The bottom line: WVU comes in rested after its game was cancelled last week because of the Hurricane. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Ohio +8.5 v. Cincinnati | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Ohio is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games, while Cincinnati is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and ust 3-11 ATS in its last 14 at home. The bottom line: We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we do definitely feel that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle, as we look for the undefeated Bearcats to come in a bit complacent against their lowly opponent. Grab the points, play on OHIO. AAA Sports |
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09-22-18 | Buffalo v. Rutgers +6 | 42-13 | Loss | -104 | 116 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Buffalo is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite and only 5-8 ATS in his last 13 on the road, while Rutgers is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 at home and 4-2 ATS in its last six non-conference games. The bottom line: We think the Bulls take a small step back after last week’s big win. Grab the points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13.5 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 35 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Central Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that UCF didn’t even play last week because of the Hurricane. FAU looks poised for a letdown here after its satisfying 49-29 win over lowly Bethune-Cookman this past weekend. Note that FAU is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games, while UCF if 6-3 ATS in its last nine non-conference games. Lay the points, play on CENTRAL FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Chicago Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: First off the Seahawks lost top WR Doug Baldwin to injury in last week’s 27-24 setback at Denver. Seattle’s offensive line is a mess as well, which doesn’t bode well facing the Bears’ aggressive front seven, which was unable to hold on in last week’s 24-23 setback in Green Bay. Chicago looked much more complete through all three phases and we think it’ll pull away down the stretch in this one. Note as well that the Bears 6-2 ATS in their last eight MNF games, while the Hawks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last ten on grass. Lay the points, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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09-16-18 | Colts +6 v. Redskins | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Colts are 6-3 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, while Redskins are just 7-8 ATS in their last 15 at home. The bottom line: The Colts looked good for a half last week, before then imploding. Andrew Luck was decent though with 300 yards passing and three TD’s. The Redskins looked awfully good in their road win over Arizona, but we’re not going to over-react, as the Cards clearly have issues through all three phases of the game right now. We’re expecting a tight battle, so grab the points. Play on the COLTS. AAA Sports |
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09-16-18 | Panthers +7 v. Falcons | 24-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog and 9-7 ATS in its last 16 on the road, while Atlanta is just 12-13 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. The bottom line: The Falcons had their golden opportunity to deliver the knock out blow to the Eagles in Week 1, but once again Matt Ryan and company came up empty. Ryan is completely over-rated in our opinion. Carolina has a major advantage in almost every skill position today, and especially on the defensive side. Grab the points, play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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09-16-18 | Dolphins v. Jets -2.5 | 20-12 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New York Jets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten against the division and only 7-10 ATS in its last 17 on the road, while New York is 6-4 ATS in its last ten against the division and 9-5 ATS in it last 14 at home. The bottom line: Both teams come in off victories, but the Jets really impressed behind the spectacular play of Sam Darnold. New York looked great defensively as well against a dangerous QB in Detroit. The Dolphins’ achilles heel has been their play on the road, and we expect that trend to carry over here against the surging JETS. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-16-18 | Vikings v. Packers +5 | 29-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Minnesota is a poor 7-9 ATS in its last 16 on the road, just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 against the division and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games played on a grass field, while Green Bay is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 as a favorite, 10-8 ATS in its last 18 at home and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 off a divisional contest. The bottom line: This is an important early season game for both teams. Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins looked decent in last week’s victory and while Minnesota does have one of the most feared defenses, we still think that regression is in order in this difficult road venue. Whether Rodgers plays or not, we like the home side to find a way to get the job done here. Play on the PACKERS. AAA Sports |
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09-16-18 | Chiefs +5.5 v. Steelers | 42-37 | Win | 100 | 43 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the KC Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 on the road, while Pittsburgh is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and only 8-9 ATS in its last 17 at home overall. The bottom line: Chiefs’ QB Patrick Malhomes impressed in his debut and we think he’ll have his opportunities today as well. The Chiefs also looked sharp defensively for the most part in Week 1. The Steelers are still without Bell at RB and we think the offense stalls because of it. Grab as many points as you can, play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Oregon State +4 v. Nevada | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 101 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oregon State is till 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog, while Nevada is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten games played in the month of September. The bottom line: Both teams come in at 1-1. These teams are in fact very evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the bookmakers. In a contest which we envision being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, we’re going to grab the points. Play on OREGON STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Houston v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 98 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Houston is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 on the road and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Texas Tech is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite, 7-5 TS in its last 12 at home and 5-3 ATS in its last eight non-conference games. The bottom line: We think that Houston finally stumbles in this difficult road venue. Look for the “hungrier” team to get the job done. Play on TEXAS TECH. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | BYU v. Wisconsin -21 | 24-21 | Loss | -106 | 55 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wisconsin. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that BYU is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of September and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 17.5 to 21 points range, while Wisconsin is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range and 12-7 ATS in its last 19 after two or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Cougars have looked inept offensively and decent defensively. But that defense doesn’t match up very well against the Badgers’ well balanced offense. We like WISCONSIN to come in focused and to take advantage. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Miami-OH +14.5 v. Minnesota | 3-26 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami Ohio. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami Ohio is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 on the road, while Minnesota is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. The bottom line: The Golden Gophers are 2-0, but last week they lost their star RB Rodney Smith to injury. The Redhawks are winless, but clearly desperate. No outright, but closer than expected. Play on MIAMI OHIO. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Ball State v. Indiana -14 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Ball State is still just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 games played on field turf, while Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games in which its failed to cover the spread over the first two games of the season. The bottom line: The Hoosiers are 2-0 SU, but they’ve get to cover the spread. And with a difficult matchup at home against Michigan State next weekend, we think the home side takes nothing for granted here. Lay the points, play on INDIANA. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Temple +16.5 v. Maryland | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 94 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Temple. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Temple is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog, while Maryland is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 at home and only 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Owls are 0-2 and desperate. The defense returns several starters from a solid unit, so the ability to return to form is there. The Terps have looked great on both sides of the ball in the early going, but with a game at home against Minnesota next weekend, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the home side. Grab the points, play on TEMPLE. AAA Sports |
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09-15-18 | Hawaii +7 v. Army | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Hawaii is already 2-0 ATS this year as an underdog and 6-4 ATS in its last ten non-conference games, while Army is 0-2 ATS in its last two as home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and already 0-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. The bottom line: The Warriors well oiled offense continues to get zero respect. But the Warriors defense has quietly been getting the job done as well. We think the Knights are going to be forced to play catch up and get out of their overall game-plan, which will leave the back door open for HAWAII to come away with a solid cover at the very least. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Steelers -3.5 v. Browns | 21-21 | Loss | -118 | 96 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. This play for us comes down to “chemistry.” We feel that Cleveland will take some time to see chemistry on the offensive side of the ball, despite all of the talent it’s assembled. The Steelers won both games in the series last year, but neither was “easy” (28-24 and 21-18.) Ben Roethlisberger had 4,200 yards and a 28:14 TD:INT. Le’Veon Bell likely won’t be suited up for this one, but we don’t think it’ll matter. The Steelers only allowed 19.3 PPG last season and the unit looks poised for another productive campaign. The Browns are going to be a lot better this season than last, but “chemistry” won’t happen over night. We expect a spirited battle from Tyrod Taylor, Josh Gordon and company, but we think they’ll fall short down the stretch. Overall the Cleveland defense allowed 25.6 PPG last year, ranked 31st overall and while it will definitely be improved this year, clearly it faces a stiff test right out of the gate. Note that Cleveland is just 4-14-2 ATS in its last 20 Week 1 contests , while Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five in this series. Lay the points, play on the STEELERS. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Bengals +3 v. Colts | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals were 7-9 last year, while the Colts went 4-12. Cincinnati had Andy Dalton under center, but the Colts did not have Andrew Luck. Luck is finally back for Indianapolis, but we think he’ll struggle to begin the season. The Bengals allowed only 21.8 PPG last year and they were particularly effective against the pass. Dalton is back under center for Cincinnati and he had a 25:12 TD:INT last year. AJ Green had 1,078 receiving yards and behind a re-worked offensive line, the Bengals are expected to take a step forward on the offensive side this year after only averaging 18.1 last season. The Colts struggled without Luck last year, but he’ll be able to instantly make an offense which average only 16.4 PPG last season, much better. The run game was poor last year though, ranked 22nd and it looks to be a weak point again this year with Marlin Mack as the as the No. 1 RB (Mack is questionable with a ham string issue as well.) Note that the Colts are just 1-9 ATS in their last ten Week 1 contests, while Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last ten road games. Grab the points, play on the BENGALS. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7 | 3-47 | Win | 100 | 96 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. Both teams have question marks heading into the season, but the Bills look like a a complete train-wreck on the offensive side of the ball and we think they’ll stumble in this difficult road venue. The Bills go with Nathan Peterman under center, with Josh Allen waiting in the wings. Peterman had 431 yards, three TD’s and one pick in the preseason. LeSean McCoty had 1,138 rushing yards last year for Buffalo, but he can’t do it all by himself. Buffalo was an absolute disaster defensively last year, giving up 124.6 YPG on the ground and 230.5 in the air. The Ravens were 9-7 last year with Joe Flacco posting a poor 18:15 TD:INT. RB Alex Collins was exceptional in his limited time for Baltimore last year (973 rushing yards and six TD’s) and he’s expected to step up immediately. The Ravens struggled defensively last year, but a lot of that was due to injury. We expect the unit to return to form this year. And certainly that unit catches a break in Week 1 facing the Bills patch-work offense. Look for the veteran Flacco to come out fired up on Day 1 and for the RAVENS to pull away down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -100 | 96 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New York Giants. We like the Giants to find a way to win in Week 1 as we think the Jags are poised to take a step back this season, after they’ve made a few steps forward the last couple years. Blake Bortles is back under center for the Jags and he was good, but note great last year. Jacksonville also lost TE Marcedes Lewis and WR Allen Robinson i the offseason, so the passing attack has some question marks. The ground game once again looks solid with Leonard Fournette, who had 1,040 rushing hards and nine TD’s. The defense was the strength of the team last year and it will once again this season, but we still think it’ll have its hands full with this hungry opponent. The Giants were just 3-13 last year. New York drafted Saquon Barkley, who will keep defenses honest for a now fully healthy Odell Beckham Jr. New York struggled on both sides of the ball last year, but a lot of that can be chalked up to injury. We like New York’s offense over Jacksonville’s and we think that’s the difference in this one. Grab the points, play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Bucs v. Saints -9.5 | 48-40 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jameis Winston isn’t playing for the Bucs in this one and Drew Brees will be play for the Saints. End of story. Clearly the Saints are going to want to send an early message and take full advantage of the fact that Winston isn’t there and kick the Bucs while they’re down. Last year the Saints smashed the Bucs 30-10 at home and we think an even bigger rout is in the cards this time around. Tampa was just 5-11 last year, as Winston had 3,504 yards and a pedestrian 19:11 TD:INT. Veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start today for the visitors and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a predictable meltdown here. The Saints were 11-5 last year, anchored by one of the best offenses in the league. Drew Brees has plenty of weapons at his disposal, including Michael Thomas, who had 1,245 yards and five TD’s last season. Alvin Kamara is featured in a strong run game as well. The Saints were ranked 30th in the league on defense in 2016, but last year they were tenth, but allowing 20.4 PPG. Expect that unit to be even better this year and for it to also play a big part in this blowout. Lay the points, play on the SAINTS. AAA Sports |
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09-09-18 | Texans +7 v. Patriots | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 95 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. These teams met in Foxborough last year and the Pats had to hold on for sear life in the 36-33 victory. Houston was just 4-12 overall last year, but QB DeShaun Watson is back from injury. So to is defensive star JJ Watt. In just seven games last year Watson had 1,699 passing yards, 19 TD’s and eight INT’s. DeAndre Hopkins is back as well and he had 1,378 receiving yards and 13 TD’s last year. Lamar Miller had 888 yards on the ground last season. The Pats’ once again have Tom Brady under center. He will be without Julian Edelman until Week 5 due to suspension, so the Brady will once again have to work his magic with patchwork receivers. The ground game looks decent with Rex Burkhead, Mike Gillislee and Sonny Michel. The Pats were ranked No. in total offense last year and only allowed 18.5 YPG. New England though is just 1-4 ATS in its last five Week 1 affairs. Too many question marks for the Pats on both sides of the ball and we don’t think Brady just being on the field will be enough this time. Grab the points, play on the TEXANS. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | San Jose State +35.5 v. Washington State | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on San Jose State. San Jose State will be desperate here after getting embarrassed 44-38 to FCS UC Davis. Washington State comes in complacent after its impressive 41-19 road win over Wyoming. Clearly we don’t think there’s an outright upset going to happen, but we do think the conditions are right for the hungry Spartans to sneak in through the back door with the massive spread they’ve been afforded. Washington State has another “cream puff” at home against Eastern Washington next week, before then getting into the Pac 12 for real with a game at USC. After beating the Cowboys, the Spartans are an after-thought here for the Cougars, who can afford to already start looking ahead to next week and beyond. San Jose State does not have that same luxury though and after its embarrassing performance last week, we’re expecting a much better all around effort. Grab the points, play on SAN JOSE STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Purdue -14.5 | Top | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Purdue. EMU smashed Monmouth 51-17 last week and it comes in contented, knowing it faces a stiff challenge today. Purdue though fell 31-27 at home to Northwestern as a favorite last week, so it’ll be risking life and limb today to punch its first one into the win column. An 0-2 start to the year, with consecutive setbacks at home would be disastrous for a Boilermakers’ team with big expectations. With a much more “winnable” and important conference matchup at Buffalo next week, would anyone fault the Eagles “looking ahead” here either. But Clearly the Boilermakers don’t have that same luxury. They’ll be looking to take out their frustrations on someone and because of that, we’re expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to roll this score up as much as possible. Note that Purdue is 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference game and 8-2 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while EMU is just 4-17 ATS in its last 21 after scoring 40 or more points in its previous game. With the Bulls up next, we look for the visitors to pack up their tents early in this one. Lay the points, play on PURDUE. AAA Sports |
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09-08-18 | Arizona +4.5 v. Houston | Top | 18-45 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Arizona. This is a revenge game for Arizona after Houston won 19-16 on the road last year. The Wildcats are hungry after falling 28-23 at home to BYU, while the Cougars come in complacent after their 45-27 him win over Rice. Kevin Sumlin came up short in his first game as head coach for the Wildcats, but with 16 starters returning from last year’s squad that went 7-6 and lost to Purdue 38-35 in their bowl game, we think they have a very real shot at bouncing back and winning this one outright. Arizona had an unstoppable offense last year that put up over 41 PPG and with seven starters back on that side of the ball, including QB Khalil Tate, we’re expecting a much more efficient effort from the unit in Week 2. Houston was 7-5 last year and it lost to Fresno State its Bowl game. Houston has five starters back on offense and they’d anchor a unit which put up 581 yards of offense against Rice. QB D’Eriq King had 320 yards and three TD’s. We think this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last and in a scenario like that, we’re grabbing the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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09-07-18 | TCU v. SMU +21.5 | Top | 42-12 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on SMU. We think the improved home side can catch the complacent high-powered Horned Frogs a little complacent here. TCU smashed Southern 55-7 last week and it has to be feeling pretty good about itself. TCU QB Shawn Robinson had an easy time of it last week, going for 182 yards and three TD’s. Last year TCU averaged 33.7 PPG and it allowed only 19 PPG. Clearly the Horned Frogs are an elite squad, we simply feel that the visitors will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. SMU feel 46-23 on the road to North Texas. QB Ben Hicks started slowly and put up some numbers in garbage time, but the final stat line was decent with 252 passing yards, two TD’s and an INT. Last year he had 3,500 yards passing and a sharp 33:12 TD:INT. SMU looked impotent defensively last week and it’s going to have its hands full in this one as well, but after going up big early, we look for the Horned Frogs to take the foot off the gas. We like SMU to cover easily with this large spread. AAA Sports |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 12-18 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play has been released early and will have an updated analysis closer to game time. After making it to the Super Bowl and losing to the Pats, the Falcons endured an “up and down” season last year. The team’s core remains in tact and it’s made some significant moves in the offseason on the defensive side. The Eagles have a hang over in our opinion after their Super Bowl victory last season. While an outright win is not out of the question, we’re going to ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can. Play on the FALCONS. AAA Sports |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3.5 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Miami Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense, as note that Miami Florida returns it’s starting QB and most of its key pieces on offense. It’s defense is also stacked and should be only better this season. LSU though has a change at QB this year and we think that fact alone will be the difference here in Week 1. We’re expecting an absolute blowout from start to finish. Lay the points, play on MIAMI FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | BYU v. Arizona -11.5 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -106 | 303 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona. BYU was 4-9 last year. Six new assistants were hired and another rebuilding year is expected for the Cougars. BYU QB Tanner Magnum is back, but he’s played in just 13 games over the last two years due to injury. Arizona has a Heisman hopeful in QB Khalil Tate who finished with 1,591 passing yards, 1,441 rushing while being responsible for 26 TD’s himself. The defense was a weak point last year, but it returns nine starters this season. We think the combination of Tate and the Wildcats’ improvement on defense will prove to be too much for BYU to overcome. Lay the points, play on Arizona. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | Cincinnati +16.5 v. UCLA | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* UNDERDOG UPSET on Cincinnati. This is a great situational play. The Bearcats were horrible last year and the Bruins were great. But UCLA QB Josh Rosen is gone and Cincinnati returns a lot of players on both sides of the line, including QB Hayden Moore, who had 2,561 yards and 20 TD’s last year. UCLA is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine non-conference games and only 1-8 ATS in its last nine played in the month of September. Sprinkle a little on the money line as well, but grab the points and CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | Appalachian State v. Penn State -23 | 38-45 | Loss | -105 | 296 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Penn State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that App State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven road game as an underdog of 21.5 points or more, while Penn State is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a favorite and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home games. The bottom line: The Nittany Lions’ depth at the key skill positions proves to be too much for App State to overcome. Lay the points, play on PENN STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-01-18 | Washington +2 v. Auburn | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 9* BLOCKBUSTER on Washington. Jake Browning is back for his senior year for the Huskies. Washington was 1-2 last year. Browning keeps the Dogs in this one and we think h’ell be the difference. Auburn has a great defense, but the big question mark surrounds QB Jarrett Stidham. We think Washington pushes the pace and gets the better of Auburns defense in an upset. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State +14.5 v. Stanford | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -103 | 755 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego State. We like the Aztecs to keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. SDSU went 10-2 last year with an entirely new offensive line. Now that line returns in full much more experienced. Stanford had a great regular season, but stumbled in its final two games, including a heartbreaking 39-37 loss in the Fiesta Bowl to TCU. Stanford has dynamic RB Bryce Love, who will surely have a huge game here, but SDSU now has the fire-power to match pace against a Cardinal defense with a small question mark coming into the new season. We’re grabbing the points, play on SAN DIEGO STATE. AAA Sports |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State -14 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -106 | 149 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Colorado State. It’s a conference match-up on Saturday night between Hawaii and Colorado State. The Rams were 7-6 last year, while Hawaii went 3-9. Last year Colorado State hammered the Warriors 51-21 in Hawaii. Hawaii has just nine starters back from a 3-9 year and it draws another tough matchup on opening night on the road. Last year Hawaii averaged 22.8 PPG, but with so much turnover on offense, we have a hard time seeing the Warriors mustering much of an attack tonight. It’s going to be a rebuilding year for the Rams as well, but we still think they’ll have more than enough to dispatch Hawaii easily. The defense though has five starters back from a group which allowed 27.8 PPG. Last year the Rams were 11th in the country in total offense. Clearly there is going to be a major drop off this season, but we think the depth COLORADO STATE brings to the table will turn out to be the difference in the end. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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08-24-18 | Packers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR”on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers opened as a 3-point dog (the line which we have), but it’s since gone up to a full 7 points. Regardless, we still love the Packers here. Green Bay comes in off a 51-34 thumping of the Steelers, while the Raider fell 19-14 to the Rams last week. Green Bay backup QB Brett Hundley is making the most of his time in the preseason, last week going 6 of 9 for 77 yards. TE Jimmy Graham made an appearance and hauled in a TD pass as well for the Pack. Green Bay QB DeShone Kizer had 108 yards and a TD additionally. Several starters sat out for the Raiders 19-15 road loss to the Rams last Saturday. Backup QB EJ Manuel was decent by going 10 of 16 for 89 yards. But this lack of chemistry from the starting unit leads to a major setback in front of the home town crowd in our opinion. Note that Oakland is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five on grass, while Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six preseason games. Green Bay has posted 82 points over the first two games and we have a hard time seeing the home side slowing the Pack down. Grab the points, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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08-18-18 | Seahawks v. Chargers +1 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR on the LA Chargers. When we released this pick the Chargers were the underdog. Regardless, we think that this one favors the home side in a significant enough way to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude. Both teams are 0-1. The Hawks fell by two at home to the Colts, while the Chargers lost 24-17 at Arizona. LA has a battle at the back-up QB position between Cardale Jones and Geno Smith. Jones was 6 of 12 for 50 yards, while Smith finished 14 of 23 for 218 yards, one TD and one INT. It’s the second pre-season game of the year, arguably the most meaningless of the entire thing. With a tough Week 3 matchup in Minnesota next weekend, we think the Hawks simply go through the motions today. After dropping their first game in Arizona, the Chargers have two games in a row at home, including next week’s Week 3 matchup against the Saints. No better time than now to get the momentum rolling in the correct direction. Lay the points, play on the CHARGERS. AAA Sports |
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08-02-18 | Bears +2 v. Ravens | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS SIDE WINNER on the Chicago Bears. Anything can happen in the preseason. Baltimore’s backup QB’s in Lamar Jackson and Robert Griffin III look a lot better on paper than the Bears backup’s in Tyler Bray and Chase Daniel. But Chicago’s QB’s are backed by a strong run game this year in Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard. The Bears also had the No. 10 defense last year. Both teams have plenty of new faces in the WR position, so we’ll call that area a “wash” for now. Baltimore’s strength will also lie on the defensive side this year. We think the BEARS strong run game, combined with their superior defense makes Chicago the correct call here. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: as note that Calgary is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Saskatchewan is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. We’re expecting a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the ROUGHRIDERS. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -5.5 | 21-15 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hamilton Tigercats. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa is already 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while Hamilton is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 following two more straight up losses. Lay the points, play on the TI-CATS. AAA Sports |
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07-26-18 | Royals +1.5 v. Yankees | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Kansas City Royals. While we don’t think that the outright win is out of the question, we’re going to recommend to grabbing the 1.5 runs of insurance. The home side sends Jake Junis (5-10, 5.03 ERA) who gave up one run off four hits with six strikeouts over four innings in a no-decision to Minnesota on Saturday. It was his first start back from the DL and he’d throw 53 of his 77 pitches for strikes. Junis now looks rested/injury-free and we think he’ll return to the form which saw him throw quality outings in six of his first seven of the season, before tweaking his back. The home side goes with Sonny Gray (7-7, 5.34) who gave up three runs and three walks over 5.1 innings in what turned out to be a victory over the Mets in his first start back from the break. Gray is coming off back-to-back victories, but note that he’s still a terrible 3-3 with a 7.62 ERA at home this season. KC has looked better offensively over the last month, so we expect the hungry visiting side to keep this one competitive this evening. Play on the ROYALS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-24-18 | Nationals v. Brewers +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Brewers on the RUN-LINE. We like the Brewers to build off yesterday’s 6-1 victory. The visitors go with Jeremy Hellickson (4-1, 3.29 ERA) who put together a fantastic first half showing. So far he has a 1.05 WHOP and 49:12 K:BB over 63 innings. These numbers seem unsustainable to us though, considering the veteran was a poor 8-11 with a 5.43 ERA last year. Regression is imminent for Hellickson moving forward in our opinion. The home side goes with Junior Guerra (6-6, 3.23) who was placed on the ten-day DL prior to the mid summer classic. He’s had extra time off and he’s ready to go in the second half; note that he’s 3-3 with a 2.55 ERA at home thus far. While the outright isn’t out of the question, we’ll ultimately lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; play on the BREWERS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-24-18 | Dodgers v. Phillies +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Phillies on the RUN-LINE. We had a play on the Dodgers last night and feel a bit fortunate that they managed to gut out the victory. With their ace on the mound though, we look for the Phillies to fight back on Tuesday. The visitors hand the ball to ace Kenta Maeda (7-5, 3.12 ERA) who for the most part was solid for LA over the first half. Wrong place, wrong time for Maeda though here in our opinion. As note that Aaron Nola (12-3, 2.30 ERA) comes in having thrown five straight quality starts and 16 overall during the first half for the Phillies. Note that Nola has been “lights out” at home with an 8-0, 1.71 ERA as well. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; play on the PHILLIES on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE “BIG TIGER” on the Baltimore Orioles. We had a play on Boston yesterday, but we think the home side will keep it competitive facing Drew Pomeranz tonight. Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) returns for his first action since May 31st. He’s thrown six minor league re-hab starts, but clearly there’s going to be some rust to shake off at the MLB level. Note that he’s 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA on the road. The home side goes with Yefry Ramirez (0-3. 3.09) who finished the first half with an unfortunate no-decision to Texas, going five scoreless while striking out seven. Over 23.1 innings he’s posted a very respectable 24:9 K:BB. While the outright isn’t out of the question in our opinion, we’re going to lay the pick em price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in the end; play on the ORIOLES on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-23-18 | Pirates v. Indians -1.5 | 7-0 | Push | 0 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indians on the RUN-LINE. This is a clear mismatch on the mound, one so large that we feel more than comfortable in laying the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price. The visitors hand the ball to Trevor Williams (7-7, 4.36 ERA) who blanked Washington over five innings in his final outing before the mid summer classic. Williams though has just 71 strikeouts over 99 innings and he’s just 2-3 with a 4.79 ERA on the road this year. Corey Kluber (12-5, 2.76) gets the nod for the home side and he gave up six runs to the Yanks in his final start before the break. He’d go seven innings and strikeout nine though. Starts like that have truly been few and far between for Kluber this season though; note that he still owns the tiny 0.91 WHIP while posting an enormous 132 strikeouts over 133.2 innings. Note as well that he’s 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA at home. Lay the 1.5 runs, play on the INDIANS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-23-18 | Braves v. Marlins +1.5 | 12-1 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Marlins on the RUN-LINE. Atlanta pitcher Sean Newcomb has struggled over the last month and we expect further regression here. Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) posted a 9.75 ER with seven strikeouts and 12 walks over three July appearances. The home side goes with Jose Urena (2-9, 4.39) who has endured plenty of bad luck and poor run support this season. He hasn’t been perfect this season obviously, but he still sports a respectable 3.45 ERA in all “night” contests. We like Urena to out duel Newcomb at home and for the MARLINS to cover with extra RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan +11.5 v. Hamilton | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Saskatchewan is 2-2, but it’s yet to win the road. The Roughriders were dealt a blow with an injury to starting QB Zach Collaros, as Brandon Bridges has so far struggled in his place. The Roughriders though have been stout defensively this season, allowing only 23.8 PPG. Hamilton has looked decent offensively this year, as QB Jeremiah Masoli has 1,378 yards, four TD’s and our INT’s. The Tigercats have looked pretty good on the defensive side as well, allowing 21 PPG. The Ti-Cats have the advantage offensively, but Saskatchewan matches up well on special teams and on the defensive side. The Tigercats are likely going to win this one, but there’s no way they should be a double-digit favorite at this point of the season. Grab the points, play on the ROUGHRIDERS. AAA Sports |
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07-06-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mariners | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 6* ART OF THE GAME on the ROCKIES on the RUN-LINE. Colorado had the night off on Thursday, while Seattle would close out its series with the Angels with a 4-1 win last night. While we wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset here, in a contest which we envision being decided late or in extra innings, we’re going to lay the steeper price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez (6-8, 5.14 ERA) who gave up one run over eight innings in a win over the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing two hits and striking out nine. Marquez has been solid away from Coors this year with a 3.07 ERA. The home side goes with Felix Hernandez (8-6, 5.11) who gave up three runs off six hits over five innings in a win over the Royals on Saturday. Hernandez has been better at home than on the road, but we think his inconsistency from one game to the next comes back to haunt “The King” again here. We think Seattle comes in complacent after last night’s win and we expect Marquez to easily match his erratic counterpart tonight. Play on the ROCKIES on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-06-18 | France v. Uruguay +0.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 64 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Uruguay +0.5 goals -109. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play however is based primarily on “common sense.” With the recent news that Uruguay star Edinson Cavini is likely going to miss this game with an injury (or if he does play, he clearly won’t be at 100% form), normally stingy Uruguay will have to become even more so against this opportunistic French side. With its offensive star likely sidelined, Uruguay will be forced to sit back and wait patiently for an opening, while going to penalties wouldn’t be a bad strategy either. We’re playing URUGUAY +0.5 goal. AAA Sports |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE OF THE MONTH on the Montreal Alouettes. The Als play with the “double revenge” factor on Friday night after Winnipeg swept the season series last year. Both games were close tough, as the Blue Bombers won 41-40 in the first one, followed by a 34-31 OT victory in the second. Winnipeg would stumble in a 33-30 setback to Edmonton, as backup QB Chris Streveler was 15 of 28 for 178 yards and three TD’s. Montreal fell 22-10 at BC in Week 1. The Als though looked decent by posting 19 first downs and 337 yards of offense. 14 penalties for 125 yards was the difference for Montreal though. Both teams have more questions than answers right now, but we think that home field advantage will be significant in the final score tonight. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MONTREAL. AAA Sports |
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