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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-18 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -16.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. We had a play on the Bearcats yesterday morning and they came up short in their 61-51 win over SMU. Memphis enters off an upset 67-64 victory over Tulsa yesterday and suffice it to say, I think it’s tournament run comes to an end here. Memphis averages only 71.2 PPG and it allows 71.2. Clearly the margin of error is pretty slim for the Tigers each night. The Bearcats average 75.2 PPG, but they allow only 57.1 (ranked second only behind Virginia.) Cincinnati did not have the type of performance it was hoping for to open the Conference Tournament, but the quick turnaround here offers them a golden opportunity to get untracked against this weary/contented SMU side. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Oregon (11:30 EST). USC moved onto this stage of the PAC 12 Tournament with a 61-48 win over Oregon State, before Oregon held on for a 68-66 win over Utah. The Ducks last eight games have been decided by single digits and all sign once again point to a nail-biter this evening. Oregon lost to USC 72-70 in mid February and suffice it to say, we think its now “payback” time this evening. The Trojans looked stout against the lowly Beavers, but note that they’re still just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when allowing 50 points or less in their previous contest. Conversely, note that the Ducks are a solid 3-0-1 ATS in their last four against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Oregon is battle tested and won’t be going down without a fight. Play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets -6.5 | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 32 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Denver Nuggets. Denver’s big win streak is a thing of the past as it comes in having lost four of its last six, including two straight. Most recently the Nuggets fell 113-108 to the Cavaliers. With Sacramento coming to town next, followed by a game at the Lakers again, the Nuggets have a legitimate shot at getting back into the winners circle and going on another run. The Lakers have been one of the hottest teams in the league of late, with victories in seven out of their last ten, including a 108-107 victory over Orlando in their most recent. But with a game at home against Cleveland on Sunday, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the young visiting side getting caught “looking ahead.” Note as well that the Lakers are interestingly just 5-8 ATS against the Northwest division this year, while Denver is 27-21 ATS in its last 48 against the Pacific. Lay the points, play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | SMU v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 51-61 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Cincinnati. We had a play on SMU yesterday afternoon in its 80-73 win over UConn, but we think the Mustangs will come up short here in on the short turnaround. The Bearcats won’t be taking anything for granted here, as they’d end the regular season with a tough 62-61 road win over Wichita State. Note that these teams met twice in the regular season and the Bearcats smashed the Mustangs in both contests (by 20 and 25 points respectively.) SMU averages 70.1 PPG and it allows 64.2. Cincinnati averages 75.6 PPG and it allows just 57.3, ranked second in the country. Despite the win and cover yesterday, note that SMU is still just 17-37-1 ATS in its last 55 neutral site games, while Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, unless you yourself are a “great” team. The Bearcats probably don’t classify as “great,” but we feel that they’re going to benefit tremendously from the extra time off against the winded Mustangs. All signs point to a comfortable cover, lay on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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03-08-18 | SMU -2 v. Connecticut | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on SMU. UConn comes in off an 81-71 loss at Houston to finish 7-11 in league play, whole SMU also backed its way into the Conference Tournament with a 6-12 league record and a 65-54 setback on the road at USF. Note that this is a revenge game for SMU after the Huskies won the lone meeting of the year 62-53. UConn averages 68 PPG and it allows 72.9. The Huskies defense has been terrible down the stretch though, conceding 79.3 points over their last seven. SMU averages 69.7 PPG and it allows just 63.9. SMU’s offense has stalled in league play, but we look for it to avenge the earlier loss and to ride its top ranked defense to a solid win and cover. Lay the points, play on SMU. AAA Sports |
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03-07-18 | Fordham +6.5 v. George Washington | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Fordham. George Washington smashed Fordham 72-56 last week and suffice it to say, we think its “payback time.” The Rams fell 83-58 to VCU in their finale. Fordham averages 62 PPG and it’s given up over 70 points in all six recent setbacks. Fortunately the Colonials simply aren’t that much better, despite what the lop-sided result from last week suggests. After beating Fordham, George Washington quickly reverted to form in an 88-78 loss at Dayton on Saturday. Note that Fordham is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while George Washington is just 4-6 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports |
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03-07-18 | Louisville +1 v. Florida State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Louisville. Louisville finished 19-12 overall, while Florida State finished 20-10. Louisville plays with revenge after FSU got the 80-76 road win. Note that the Cardinals were 12-6 ATS against the conference this year, while Florida State was just 6-10 ATS. Louisville averages 76.6 points and it allows 70.3. FSU averages 82 PPG and it allows 74.2. Both teams disappointed this year, but the conditions favor the revenge-minded CARDINALS on Wednesday afternoon. AAA Sports |
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03-06-18 | 76ers v. Hornets +2 | Top | 128-114 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets. Philadelphia has won seven of its last ten, but it’s coming off a 118-110 loss at Milwaukee. It’s a tough part of the schedule for the 76ers, with a game at Miami up next on Thursday. Charlotte plays with revenge here after falling 110-99 to the 76ers just last week. The Hornets are the much hungrier team though as they come in having lost three straight. With upcoming home games against the Nets and Suns though, Charlotte has a big opportunity to start a new win streak this evening. Note that Philadelphia is already just 3-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last five against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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03-05-18 | Bowling Green +7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Bowling Green. Bowling Green is 16-15 overall and CMU is 18-13. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for the Falcons after they fell 84-75 to the Chippewas on the road in January in the lone meeting in the regular season between the schools. Bowling Green averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 77.7. Central Michigan averages 78 PPG and it allows 71.9. Note though that Bowling Green is 10-6 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-4 ATS on the road, 11-7 against the conference and a perfect 5-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while CMU is just 2-3 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on BOWLING GREEN. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Lakers v. Spurs -4 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing seven of their last ten. San Antonio most recently fell 121-116 to New Orleans at home. Note the San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling to the Lakers 93-81 in January 11th. LA has been playing its best ball of the year, getting consistent scoring up and down the line-up, but we feel that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the young Lakers, who enjoy a night off before a date at home against the red hot Blazers. Note that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a four games or more unbeaten streak, while San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 82 points or less. For all the reasons listed above, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Pacific +2.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* WCC CONF-TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Pacific. The victor of this will advance to the semifinals to take on Gonzaga or the winner from Loyola Marymount and Portland. San Francisco finished 17-14 and Pacific was 14-17. The Dons’ three-game win streak was snapped in loss to San Diego last time out. San Francisco averages 68.9 PPG and it allows 67.8. Pacific averages 71.3 PPG and it allows 72.4. The Tigers have lost three straight and come in razor focused in our opinion. Note that Pacific is 9-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while San Francisco is just 6-10 ATS as a favorite. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Canadiens v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Boston Bruins. We base our picks on many things. This particular selection has been made using common sense. Montreal has been a disaster all year and it’s been even worse on the road. To make matters worse, it comes in dog tired after a game at Long Island just last night. Boston on the other hand seems rejuvenated since the acquiring Rick Nash with two straight victories, posting 12 goals and allowing 7 in the wins. Boston hammered Montreal 4-1 in mid January and all signs point to a repeat here in our opinion. Play on BOSTON on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Xavier v. DePaul +7 | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* UPSET SPECIAL on DePaul. Xavier is 26-4, while DePaul is 11-18. Xavier pulled away for an 84-74 home win over Providence on Wednesday, while DePaul comes in off a humbling 82-57 loss to Creighton. Not surprisingly, this is a revenge game for the home side after it fell 77-52 on the road in the first matchup. The Musketeers average 85.2 PPG and they allow 75.4. The Blue Demons average 72.4 PPG and they concede 74.2. DePaul has plenty of motivation as it tries to avenge the earlier loss and to try and play spoiler, as a victory today will seal the No. 1 seed outright for Xavier throughout the upcoming conference tournament. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a closer than expected battle. Grab the points, play on DEPAUL. AAA Sports |
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03-02-18 | Wolves v. Jazz -6.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Wolves enters off a 108-99 loss in Portland just last night and all signs point to another letdown here in our opinion. Note that Minnesota won’t be able to help itself looking ahead to its five day lay off before welcoming Boston and Golden State to town on back-to-back nights. Utah plays with revenge here after falling to the Wolves 109-98 in mid November. The Jazz have split their last four contests, but with a game at Sacramento tomorrow night, clearly Utah won’t want to leave anything to chance this evening. Note that the Wolves are just 8-10 ATS as an underdog this year, while Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. Minnesota is without offensive star Jimmy Butler this time around as well (lost to injury). All signs point to a rout, lay the points with confidence on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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03-02-18 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -10.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RND 3 BIG TEN CONF TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State. Wisconsin upset Maryland 59-54 on Thursday to advance to the quarterfinals of the Big 10 Conference Tournament and it now faces No. 1 seed Michigan State. The Spartans have to be liking their chances today as they’d take both regular season meetings between the schools. Wisconsin averages 67.1 PPG and it concedes 66.1. Michigan State averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 64.6. We like MSU to take advantage of this favorable matchup against this satisfied and fatigued Badgers team. Lay the points with confidence, play on MSU. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | NC State v. Georgia Tech +2.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Georgia Tech. We think NC State, which comes in having won and covered in four straight, gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to its finale at home against Louisville. Georgia Tech is 11-18 overall and 12-13 in league play, but it won’t be going down without a fight today obviously. Note as well that NC State is just 3-5 ATS on the road this year, while Georgia Tech is 7-6 ATS at home and 5-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. We think the hungrier team will at the very least keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on the YELLOW JACKETS. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | Lakers v. Heat -5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Miami Heat. Miami comes in off consecutive victories and with dates at home against Detroit and Phoenix, the Heat will be looking to string some victories together against some lower-seeded competition. But first up is a potentially dangerous Lakers side which comes in hot having won three in a row, including two straight away from friendly confines. But with a day off before a game at San Antonio, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. Note that LA is just 3-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams that score 106-plus points per night. Lay the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Pacers v. Hawks +4.5 | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. Indiana had its four game win streak snapped in a 109-103 defeat at Dallas in its most recent action and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here as well. The Hawks won’t be playing in the postseason, but they they do enter this game as the “hungrier” team after four straight losses. And with Golden State coming to town next on the 2nd, tonight’s contest clearly takes on added importance for the home side. Note that the Pacers are just 36-43 ATS the last two seasons after a non-conference game, while ATL is already 10-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Bucks v. Pistons -2 | 87-110 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons (7:05 EST). Milwaukee played and lost 107-104 at home to the Wizards just last night and we predict a predictable letdown here. The Pistons have already lost two of three in this season series, including in the most recent, a 104-100 setback in early December. The Pistons are still in the playoff picture despite losing six of their last seven. Detroit will be especially motivated here after a humbling 123-94 setback at Toronto. Note that Milwaukee is just 4-6 ATS against the division this year, while Detroit is 6-4 ATS against the division. We like the rested home side to “right the ship” with a big effort tonight. Play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Ole Miss +11.5 v. Kentucky | 78-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi. Ole Miss is 12-17, while Kentucky is 20-9. Kentucky has won three straight, most recently an 87-66 home victory over Missouri. Mississippi comes in off a 73-65 home loss to Tennessee. Ole Miss averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 77.1. Kentucky averages 76.6 points and it allows 70.6. With a game at Florida up next, we think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Note that Ole Miss is a powerful 20-7 ATS in its last 27 off a loss against a conference rival, while Kentucky is just 4-5 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on MISSISSIPPI. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Providence v. Xavier -11 | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Xavier. Providence is 18-11 and Xavier is 25-4. The Friars lost 74-69 to Georgetown in their most recent action, while the Musketeers beat the Hoyas 89-77 on the road last week. Note that this is a revenge game for Xavier after Providence scored the 81-72 upset in early January. Providence averages 74.4 PPG and it allows 72.9. Xavier averages 85.2 PPG and it allows 75.4. Note that Providence is 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU victory, while Xavier is 4-1 ATS in its last five against the conference. Also note that the home side 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Revenge factor and the tournament positioning factor push XAVIER to a big win on Wednesday night. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | LSU +4 v. South Carolina | 74-83 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. LSU is 16-12 and South Carolina is 15-14. The Tigers come in off a 93-82 road loss to Georgia, while South Carolina fell 72-68 in OT to Mississippi State last weekend. Note that this is a revenge game of sort for LSU after it fell in the only meeting between the schools 88-63 last year. LSU averages 77.7 PPG and it concedes 74. South Carolina averages 69.3 PPG and it concedes 68. Note that LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss. Also note that the road team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 in this series. LSU has put up some big offensive numbers over its last two games (88 points and 82 respectively) and we’re fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Play on LSU. AAA Sports |
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02-27-18 | Miami-FL +11.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida. Miami comes in off a narrow 79-78 win over Boston College at home in its latest action. UNC has won six in a row, most recently beating Syracuse 78-74. Miami averages 74.1 PPG and it allows 66.8. UNC averages 83.4 PPG and it allows 73.4. Note though that Miami is 7-4 ATS on the road this year, wile UNC is already 0-2 ATS this season when playing with five or six days of rest. With the Blue Devils up next on Saturday night to end the season, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead to that big matchup and in the process, it’s going to leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Lakers v. Hawks +2.5 | 123-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 9* EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that LA is still just 13-14 ATS in its last 27 after playing to three consecutive OVERS, while ATL is 15-5 ATS in non-conference games and 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: LA has been playing very well of late with two straight wins out of the break, but with three whole days off before a game in Miami, we think the visitors finally have a letdown here. ATLANTA won’t be taking anything for granted and while the outright upset isn’t out of the question, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Grizzlies +12 v. Celtics | Top | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics/trends: As note that Memphis is 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after allowing 115 points or more, while Boston is just 18-27 ATS in its last 45 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: The Grizzlies are wounded and tanking, but we think they’re going to give the Celtics much more of a fight than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Boston returns home after back-to-back road victories, but we expect a bit of a lapse here against the hungry visitors. No outright upset, but all signs point to a battle, so grab the points. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Marquette v. Georgetown +1 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Georgetown. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Marquette is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine when playing on one days rest and only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road fav of three points or less or pick, while Georgetown is 7-2 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: We like the hungry/desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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02-25-18 | Pistons +4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 98-114 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is 13-10 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories and only 14-16 ATS at home. The bottom line: Detroit comes in hungry and focused after losing four of its last five, including a 110-98 setback to Boston in its most recent action. It also plays with revenge after falling to the Hornets 118-107 back in mid January. And with a game tomorrow night in Toronto, the Pistons can not afford to take anything for granted here. The Hornets have won three straight and get caught complacently looking ahead to their game at home against the lowly Bulls on Wednesday night. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Magic +10 v. 76ers | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Orlando is 16-13 ATS on the road already this year and 7-1 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is already just 4-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories. The bottom line: Orlando plays with revenge, but it comes in healthier than its been all year as Nikola Vucevic returned in the last game. The Magic play with revenge and they catch a 76ers side looking ahead to its game at Washington tomorrow night. Grab the points, play on ORLANDO. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -4.5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Oakland. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 15-15, while Oakland is 17-13. Oakland will be ultra-motivated here after back-to-back setbacks, most recently to Wisconsin-Green Bay. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses since late January and most recently comes in off a 72-49 road victory over Detroit. Note though that Wisconsin Milwaukee is just 6-7 ATS on the road this year and only 3-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Oakland is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three games as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. We look for the “hungrier” home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon. Play on OAKLAND. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Tulane -5 v. South Florida | 79-68 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Tulane. The Tulane Green Wave are 13-14, while the USF Bulls are 8-20. The Green Wave enter off a 93-86 road loss to Wichita State on Wednesday, while the Bulls fell 73-61 to Tulsa in their latest action. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for Tulane after USF scored the 85-70 road upset earlier in the season. Tulane averages 74.6 PPG and it allows 74.4. The Green Wave looked competitive in their 93-86 road loss to Wichita State and we expect that momentum to get carried over here. USF averages 62.2 PPG and it concedes 71.3. We think the revenge-minded GREEN WAVE find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-23-18 | Mercer -8 v. The Citadel | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Mercer. The Bulldogs are 10-18 and the Bears are 16-13. The Citadel Bulldgos come in off an 84-82 win over East Tennessee State in their most recent action, while the Mercer Bears got the better of Western Carolina 81-64 in their previous outing. Mercer owns the 24th ranked offense, which doesn’t bode well for the Bulldogs who come in with the 316th ranked defense. Citadel won the first matchup this year, but that was then and this is now. The revenge minded Bears are 5-3 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while the Bulldogs are just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Lay the points, play on MERCER. AAA Sports |
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02-22-18 | 76ers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
his is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bulls. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Philadelphia is already just 4-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten when playing with three or more days rest and 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games. The bottom line: Chicago comes in focused after the break. The Bulls struggled up to the half way point, but the team looks to take advantage here against a 76ers side which gets caught looking ahead. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a highly competitive battle. Play on the BULLS. AAA Sports |
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02-22-18 | Delaware v. Drexel -2.5 | 83-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT on Drexel. Both teams are tied for last place in the CAA at 5-11. Delaware looks ready for a letdown here though after it broke its nine-game slide in a 72-57 victory over Elon at home last Saturday. Conversely, Drexel will be risking life and limb here after dropping four straight, most recently an 88-76 loss at Hofstra on the weekend. Also note that this is a revenge game for the Dragons after they fell 72-66 to the Blue Hens on January 11th. Delaware averages 70.7 PPG and it concedes 73.2. Drexel averages 74.4 PPG and it concedes 79.2. Note though that Delaware is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games, while also note that the home side of a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five in this series. The revenge and home floor factors can’t be overlooked in this one. Play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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02-20-18 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -14 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Ohio State. The 13-16 Rutgers Scarlet Knights are at Ohio State to take on the 22-7 Buckeyes on Tuesday and all signs point to a blowout in our opinion. Rutgers has lost eight of its last nine. The Scarlet Knights average 65 PPG and they’ve not scored more than 58 in their last four games. The Buckeyes smashed Rutgers by 22 points earlier in the season and we’re anticipating an even larger rout this time around. The Buckeyes are still hanging on to a Top 25 position, but they come in off consecutive losses. Ohio State is 14-2 SU at home this year though. Also note that Rutgers is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Ohio State has been sharp against the conference of late, going 11-5 ATS in its last 16 against Big Ten opponents. The Buckeyes need to get things turned around and here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Lay the points, play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-20-18 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +6.5 | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on La Salle. Rhode Island is 21-4 and La Salle is 11-16. The Explorers play with revenge here after falling 74-62 to the Rams in early January. The Rams though are caught in a “trap” here in our opinion after their 16 game win streak was snapped last time out in a 77-74 setback to St. Bonaventure. Rhode Island averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 66.8. La Salle averages 72.6 PPG and it allows 74.3. Note though that Rhode Island is just 13-19 ATS in its last 32 on the road and a poor 5-9 ATS in its last 14 following a loss to a conference rival. La Salle has struggled in most ATS statistical categories the last few season, which makes it important to note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge an in-season loss to an opponent in which is scored 62 points or less in. For all the reasons listed above, play on LA SALLE. AAA Sports |
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02-19-18 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Florida. The 18-8 Miami Florida Hurricanes are at Notre Dame to take on the 16-11 Fighting Irish on Monday. Miami will be hungry here, having lost three straight. ND looks poised for a letdown though after winning three of four. This is a crucial game for these two teams stuck in the middl of the ACC standings. Note though that Miami is already 6-4 ATS this year on the road, while Notre Dame is just 4-5 ATS at home and only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 when playing with one or less days rest. The Irish defense is not nearly as tough as the Orange’s. We look for the “hungrier” team to risk life and limb tonight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Utah v. Washington State +7.5 | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Utah is 15-9, while Washington State is 9-15. The Utes allow 69.2 PPG, while the Cougars concede 78. Utah most recently beat Washington 70-58 and we predict a letdown here against the lowly Cougars. We had a play on Washington State when it beat Colorado 73-69 on Thursday and suffice it to say, we’re expecting the team to carry that momentum over here as well. The pressure is on Utah sitting a game behind in the race for second place, but with a tough home game against UCLA up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors “looking past” their lowly opponent tonight. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +8.5 | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 9* ART OF WAR on Northwestern. Michigan State is poised for a letdown here after winning its ninth straight, most recently an 87-57 drubbing of Minnesota on the road on Tuesday. Northwestern on the other hand will be risking life and limb to try and score an upset and take advantage of home floor after dropping its second straight, most recently a 67-58 OT setback at Rutgers on Tuesday. Michigan State averages 83.3 PPG and it concedes 65. Northwestern averages 69.9 points and it allows 65.9. Note though that we think MSU gets caught looking ahead to its game at home against last place Illinois. Northwestern is in a dogfight with Indian right now and after its recent shoddy play, there’s no having to worry about the home sides “motivation levels.” While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a very competitive battle. Grab the points, play on NORTHWESTERN. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma -5.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 9* BIG TIGER on Oklahoma. The Texas Longhorns are 15-11, while the Oklahoma Sooners are 16-9. Oklahoma has lost four straight, most recently falling 88-78 to Texas Tech on Tuesday. Texas comes in off a 74-73 OT loss to Baylor in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Oklahoma after it fell 79-74 in Texas last month. The Longhorns average 72.4 PPG and they concede 68. The Sooners average 88.4 PPG and they concede 82.2. Note though that Texas is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after losing an OT contest which was decided by one point or less, while Oklahoma is 2-1 ATS in trying to revenge an in season loss to an opponent, and 3-1 ATS after four or more consecutive SU losses. The SOONERS have won five of their last six conference home games and they’ll be playing with desperate on both ends of the court this afternoon. The Longhorns though look poised for a letdown after their latest OT setback. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-16-18 | Oakland -6 v. Cleveland State | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. We jumped on this line early and it’s since moved the other way on us, but regardless, we still love this selection as we look for the hungry visitors to do more than enough to secure a comfortable ATS victory here. Oakland had its two game win streak snapped in a humbling 75-73 upset road loss at Youngstown State on Wednesday night and it clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here. Cleveland State though looks poised for a letdown in our opinion after winning its second straight, most recently a tougher than expected 75-72 home win over the lowly Detroit Mercy on Wednesday. Oakland took the previous meeting this year at home 81-68 between the teams and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Oakland averages 80.1 PPG and it allows 78.2. Cleveland State averages 68.3 PPG and it allows 74.9. Note though that Oakland is 24-11 ATS in its last 34 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Cleveland State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after back-to-back SU victories. After their latest defeat, look for the high-flying GRIZZLIES to push the pace and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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02-15-18 | Colorado v. Washington State +4 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Colorado has won three straight to move to 7-6 in league play and 15-10 overall. Most recently the Buffs beat Utah by 12 on the road. Suffice it to say, all signs point to a letdown here in our opinion. Certainly it wouldn’t be too hard to imagine the streaking visitors in some small way looking past their lowly opponent tonight, as the Cougars come in having lost seven straight, as they now sit with a 1-11 record in conference action. Note though that Colorado is a terrible 2-5 ATS on the road already this year and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Washington State is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 60 points or less in its previous outing. We think the Buffs have a letdown and we look for the hungry COUGARS to step up and take advantage. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Suns +11.5 v. Jazz | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Phoenix is 8-7 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 5-4 ATS following a divisional contest (also 13-11 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing), while Utah is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after five or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Jazz have won ten straight and we believe they’ll be caught looking past their lowly opponent here. The Suns though come off a humbling defeat to the Warriors and are just 1-11 in their last 12. No outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest. Play on Phoenix. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | NC State +4.5 v. Syracuse | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that NC State is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Syracuse is just 6-8 ATS at home this year, only 4-7 ATS after a conference game and just 5-7 ATS this season against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on NC State. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Hawks v. Pistons -8.5 | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against clubs with losing records, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: It’s the final game before the All Star Break. Atlanta has lost three of its last four and its only victory in that span was a 118-115 win over these very Pistons last week. Detroit is going to be desperate here to close the first half strong after three straight losses and it’ll be out to avenge the setback as well. Overwhelming factors working in favor of the home side does indeed make the PISTONS the savvy move in this contest. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Clemson v. Florida State -2.5 | 79-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Florida State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Clemson is just 3-4 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival and only 2-4 ATS on the road, while FSU is 5-3 ATS at home, 9-5 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival (also 11-6 ATS against teams with winning records.) Play on Florida State. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Iowa is 5-2 ATS its last seven after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Michigan is just 2-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival. Play on Iowa. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 126-108 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Houston is just 11-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 3-6 ATS following a divisional contest, while Minnesota is 12-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent this season (fell 116-98 to Houston on November 18th) and 8-6 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: The Wolves broke a two-game slide with a tougher than expected victory over the Kings, as they likely were caught “looking ahead” to this game. But now that this contest has arrived, we look for the focused and revenge-minded home side to find a way to get the job done. Grab the points, play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Heat +8 v. Raptors | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Miami is already 2-0 ATS this year when playing with three or more days of rest and 13-9 ATS against teams with winning records, while Toronto is a poor 11-14 ATS this season against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: Miami beat the Raptors 90-89 at home back on January 9th. The Heat though won’t be taking anything for granted here as they finally broke a five-game slide with a tough 91-85 victory at home over the surging Bucks in their most recent action. And with a game at Philadelphia tomorrow night before the break, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the visitors. Toronto though has won eight of ten and five straight and gets caught looking ahead to its game in Chicago tomorrow night. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much more competitive affair than was Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 81-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pittsburgh. The 15-10 Boston College Eagles are in Pittsburgh to take on the 8-18 Panthers. Boston College looks poised for a letdown here after getting the better of then No. 25 Miami 72-70 on Saturday, while Pittsburgh is out to atone for a humbling 94-60 loss to Louisville on Sunday. BC averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 72.8. Pittsburgh averages 63 PPG and it concedes 72.2. Note though that BC is just 1-2 ATS this year against schools with losing records (also just 2-5 ATS on the road), while Pittsburgh is 6-4 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less. We think the “hungrier” team takes this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Suns +15.5 v. Warriors | Top | 83-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Phoenix is already 8-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 3-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State is just 3-7 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games and only 4-6 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Phoenix plays with revenge here, as Golden State took all four meetings last year. The Suns are a mess as they come into this one having lost five straight. But we think they’ll fly under the radar here and keep this one closer than expected. The Warriors have now won two straight after a two-game slide, but head coach Steve Kerr has already said that his team is “gassed,” and that they can’t wait to get to the All Star break. With a game at red hot Portland to finish the first half, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight to that more notable matchup. Also note that Kerr will likely elect to rest several starters tonight. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Baylor v. Texas -2.5 | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas. Both teams come in at 15-10. Note that Texas plays with revenge here after the Bears took a 69-60 home win back on January 6th. Baylor come in contented here after a big 80-64 home win over then No. 10 Kansas on Saturday. The Longhorns on the other hand will be eager to return to form here after an 87-71 setback to TCU over the weekend. Baylor averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 69.2. Texas averages 72.4 PPG and it allows 67.7 PPG. Note though that Baylor is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival and 3-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Washington State +15 v. Oregon | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH on Washington State. Washington State is the “hungrier” team here at 9-14. Oregon comes in a 16-8. The Ducks are poised for a letdown after their 65-40 win over Washington. The Cougars on the other hand will be out to atone for their humbling 94-62 defeat to Oregon State. Note that Washington State is 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per night, while Oregon is just 8-11 ATS as a favorite this season. With a game at USC up at the end of the week, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. No upset, but a tighter than expected battle. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Pistons v. Hawks +3.5 | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is just 11-17 ATS as a favorite this year, only 4-5 ATS after playing three consecutive home games and a horrible 6-14 ATS against teams with losing records, while Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog and 8-5 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: Detroit’s five game win streak was snapped in its 108-95 setback to the Clippers and we think it’s primed for another letdown here as well, especially with a tough game at home tomorrow night against Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Pelicans. The Hawks play with revenge after falling to the Pistons in mid December and they clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing two straight and eight of their last ten. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Raptors v. Hornets +3 | Top | 123-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Toronto is already just 3-5 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and only 2-3 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Charlotte is 4-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 6-2 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Raptors come in complacent after four straight home victories in our opinion. The Hornets on the other hand have lost three straight and they also play with revenge here after falling in Toronto back in December. While the upset is definitely “in play” here, we’re going to grab the points. Play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | California +13.5 v. Utah | 43-77 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on California. Cal is hungry for a win, as it comes in having dropped ten of its last 11, most recently a hard-fought 68-64 loss at Colorado on Wednesday. Utah broke a two game slide with a 75-60 win over Stanford on Thursday. Cal averages 70.3 PPG and it allows 78.3. Utah averages 74.3 PPG and it allows 70.3. Note though that Cal is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Utah is interestingly 0-2 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per night. CALIFORNIA is desperate and its recent “near misses” is evidence that the team isn’t going down without a fight. We think Utah looks past its lowly opponent just enough for the Bears to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | Lakers v. Mavs | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that LA is still just 47-60 ATS in its last 107 on the road, while Dallas is 7-4 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Dallas has lost two straight and eight of ten. Clearly it won’t be looking past the Lakers today. It also plays with revenge after falling to LA 107-101 in OT in mid January. The Lakers are playing their best ball of the season right now with four straight victories, but the recent off-court turmoil involving trades, combined with a three day layoff after tonight in our opinion absolutely sets this up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visiting side. Play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | 79-88 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on UCLA. UCLA comes in playing its best basketball of the season after downing No. 13 Arizona 82-74 on the road Thursday, the Bruins fourth straight victory. Arizona State has won stow straight, most recently a tight 80-78 victory over USC at home on Thursday. The Bruins average 82.9 PPG and they allow 75.7. The Sun Devils average 84.8 PPG and they allow 74.6. Note though that UCLA is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven against a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Arizona State is a horrible 0-5-1 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. UCLA takes this one down to the wire, so grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | Rutgers +10 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers. Rutgers comes in motivated after dropping its sixth straight, most recently a 65-43 setback at home to Indiana on Monday. Nebraska on the other hand comes in complacent after four straight wins, most recently a 91-85 road victory over Minnesota on Tuesday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Scarlet Knights after the Huskers took the first game this year 60-54 on January 24th. Rutgers doesn’t score many points, averaging only 65.9 PPG, however the Scarlet Knights make up for it on the other end by allowing just 63.8 (ranked 15th in the nation.) Nebraska averages 74 PPG and it allows 69.5. Note that Rutgers is already 3-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Nebraska is just 2-3 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. Grab the points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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02-09-18 | Bucks v. Heat -1.5 | 85-91 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Milwaukee is just 11-15 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 1-5 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Miami is 12-9 ATS against clubs with winning records this season and 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing to five or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Miami enjoys a couple of nights off before a short two-game road trip before the All Star break. The Heat welcome back Dwayne Wade and will be pumped and determined here after five straight losses. Milwaukee looks poised for a letdown here after three straight wins and with a much more “winnable” game tomorrow night in Orlando. Great value, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-07-18 | Wolves v. Cavs +4 | 138-140 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is already just 8-13 ATS in non-conference games this year, only 7-8 ATS after scoring 115 points or more and 0-1 ATS when playing with three or more days of rest, while Cleveland is 6-5 ATS as an underdog this season. The bottom line: The Cavs lost to the Wolves 127-99 back on January 8th and they come in off another poor effort just last night, falling 116-98 in Orlando (after having an 8-point half-time lead.) All the talk in the NBA right now is about how disastrous the Cavs are playing and clearly it would be hard to argue that the team doesn’t have major issues right now. We simply feel that despite all of its issues, Cleveland hasn’t forgotten how to play basketball. King James is still probably the best player on the planet. The Wolves have chemistry, but they come in complacent after B2B wins in our opinion. And with a game at Cleveland up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead as well. While an outright upset is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to grab the points in the end. Play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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02-06-18 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Notre Dame. BC is 4-6 in ACC action, while ND is 3-7 in league play. We think the Eagles suffer a predictable letdown here after beating Georgia Tech 80-72 at home on Sunday. The Irish will be risking life and limb today though as they try to break a seven-game slide. BC averages 75.7 PPG and they allow 71.9. ND averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 71.9. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but note that the Irish are 4-2 ATS in their last six after six or more consecutive SU losses, while BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on NOTRE DAME. AAA Sports |
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02-05-18 | Bulls -2 v. Kings | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Bulls. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Chicago is 8-6 ATS already this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent (The Bulls come in having lost six in a row, while also falling to Sacramento 107-106 at home back in early December), while Sacramento is just 9-14 ATS at home and interestingly only 12-16 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: Chicago enjoys three nights off before finally returning home and we’re expecting the visitors to lay everything they have on the line. The revenge factor combined with overall desperation makes the BULLS the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 322 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Philadelphia Eagles. Nick Foles isn’t Carson Wentz, but clearly the guy knows how to play. Often in games like this it simply comes down to execution and that’s all the Eagles will be asking of their competent back-up in this one. Tom Brady has a huge edge over Foles in experience, but let’s be fair, not in too many other departments at this stage of his career. Foles can pretty much match Brady throw for throw. Philadelphia has the stronger run game and the better defense as well and that top notch defensive play was on full display in their beatdown of the Vikings last weekend. The Patriots’ also looked sharp defensively in their victory over the Jags. These are two evenly matched teams, but we ultimately feel that Philadelphia’s defense is playing at such an extremely high level right now, that we have a hard time seeing Brady being as effective this week as he was last. That swings the value to the underdog. Grab as many points as you can, play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Davidson v. George Washington +6.5 | 87-58 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on George Washington (4:00 EST). Davidson is 11-9, while George Washington is 9-13. The Colonials are the “hungrier” team here as they’re now just 1-7 in their last eight. The Wildcats look poised for a letdown however after going 6-2 in their last eight and stoping a two-game slide with a win over La Salle in their latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game for the home side after it was blown out 72-45 at Davidson back on January 10th. Note though that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing, while George Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last six when trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was help to 45 points or less in the setback. For all the reasons listed above, play on the COLONIALS. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Duke v. St. John's +11.5 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on St. John’s. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we think No. 4 Duke gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent this afternoon. The Blue Devils bounce back nicely with an 88-66 win at home over Notre Dame after falling 65-63 to No. 2 Virginia in its previous outing. But with a game at North Carolina up next, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a classic look ahead spot for the mighty Blue Devils. St. John’s is 0-11 in Big East play after falling 73-68 to No. 6 Xavier on Thursday. The Red Storm started the season 10-2 in non-conference action, but they’ve since come back down to Earth. Note though that St. John’s is 5-1 ATS in its last six against the ACC, while Duke is just 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 against the Big East. Play on the RED STORM. AAA Sports |
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02-02-18 | Heat v. 76ers -3.5 | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous outing (just fell 91-89 in Cleveland), while Philadelphia is already 6-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Philly comes in having lost three straight. The Heat have been playing fantastically, but we think they get caught looking ahead to their matchup in Detroit tomorrow night. All signs point to a blowout, play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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02-02-18 | Hawks +9 v. Celtics | 110-119 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is already 6-4 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent (fell 110-99 to Boston at home in mid November) and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing (fell 123-110 in Charlotte, the Hawks fourth loss in their last five games), while Boston is just 1-2 ATS this year after allowing 85 points or less (note that the C’s come in off back-to-back wins, most recently a 103-73 thrashing of the Knicks.) The bottom line: ATL is dealing with injuries, but with two nights off to prepare for this one, we expect the hungry visitors to lay everything on the line and to keep this one much competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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01-30-18 | Wolves v. Raptors -6 | 104-109 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 2-4 ATS in its last six in the second game of a back-to-back scenario in which it scored 100 points or less in the first outing, while Toronto is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, as Minnesota comes in tired after a 105-100 setback in Atlanta just last night. The Raptors have been alternating good games with bad lately, but they come in off a win over the Lakers and they also play with revenge here after falling to the Wolves 115-109 in Minnesota a couple of weeks ago. All the pieces are in place for a big time blowout. Lay the points, play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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01-30-18 | Ball State +8 v. Toledo | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Ball State. Ball Sate comes in off a 111-106 double OT win at home over Akron, while Toledo enters off a 101-75 victory at home over Bowling Green. Ball State averages 76.8 PPG and it allows 76. Toledo averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 75.1. Note though that Ball State is already 4-2 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog and 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Toledo is just 4-6 ATS as a favorite this year. For all the reasons listed above, play on BALL STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-29-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -2.5 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin (9:00 EST). Wisconsin will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six. Nebraska has been successful this year, but less so on the road. Note that this is a revenge game for the home side after the Cornhuskers won the first meeting 63-59 earlier in the season. Nebraska’s defense looked pretty ordinary in its 98-84 win over lowly Iowa in its last game. The Hawkeyes beat the Badgers earlier in the year, as this simply has not bee Wisconsin’s year. That said, this situation sets up fantastic for it as we think that the Cornhuskers come in a bit complacent here. Also note that Nebraska is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Wisconsin is 6-5 ATS at home and 3-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. For all the reasons listed above, play on the BADGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-29-18 | Wolves v. Hawks +6.5 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 6-12 ATS in non-conference games this year (also interestingly, just 1-5 ATS against the Southeast division), while ATL is 13-5 ATS in non conference games (and interestingly, 5-1 ATS agains the Northwest division. The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Toronto, it’s not too difficult to impinge the visitors in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Atlanta on the other hand will be desperate as its lost six of ten, including three straight. The numbers and the overall situation all do indeed point to the HAWKS as the savvy call in this one. AAA Sports |
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01-28-18 | Seton Hall -5 v. DePaul | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Seton Hall. Seton Hall is 15-5. DePaul is 9-11. The Pirates will be desperate here as they’ve lost three of four. The Blue Demons are just 1-3 in their last four, but they look poised for a predictable letdown here after a one-point victory at Georgetown on Wednesday. Note as well that Seton Hall is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 off a loss against a conference rival, while DePaul is 4-7 ATS at home and 5-6 ATS as an underdog. Lay the points, play on SETON HALL. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Portland +22.5 v. St. Mary's | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. Portland started off its conference slate by going 0-6, but it comes in with momentum here by winning two of its last three. Perhaps met impressively is that the Pilots have won both games on the road, most recently a 72-65 victory at Loyola Marymount. Saint Mary’s comes in complacent here in our opinion after winning 15 straight to move to 20-2 overall. Note though that Portland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 on the road and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a double-digit loss at home, while St. Mary’s is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a ten game or more unbeaten streak. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what Las Vegas wants us to think. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Stanford v. UCLA -7.5 | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Cardinal are 11-10, while the Bruins are 14-7. Stanford opened conference play with five straight wins, which included a shocking 107-99 double OT win over UCLA. Stanford though has lost its momentum as it comes into this one having lost two straight. The Cardinal can score, but they rank 239th on the defensive side of the ball. The Bruins rank 27th in the nation in scoring and 269th on the defensive end. Stanford is 2-2 on the road this year, while UCLA is 10-2 at home. Note that Stanford is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while UCLA is 4-2 ATS when playing on one days rest and already 1-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Long Beach State v. CS-Northridge +5 | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cal State Northridge. Long Beach State looks primed for a letdown here in our opinion after wining two straight, most recently an 87-71 victory on the road at Cal Poly on Thursday. CSU Northridge on the other hand lost 63-56 to UC Davis on Thursday. Note though that this is a big time revenge game for the Matadors, who fell to the 49ers 80-70 in the first matchup between the schools back on January 10th. LBSU averages 75.9 PPG and it concedes 80.3. CSU Northridege averages 65.5 PPG and it concedes 70.9. Note though that LBSU is already just 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year and only 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival, while CS Northridge is 4-1 ATS this year off a conference game and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. Play on CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +3.5 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that OKC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after six or more consecutive SU victories, while Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after six more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Detroit does indeed come in having lost eight of ten and six straight. With a home and home set starting in Cleveland tomorrow night agains the Cavs, this game this evening essentially becomes a “must win” for the Pistons. OKC on the other hand comes in complacent here after its latest win streak and with a game at home tomorrow night against the 76ers, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to the difficult matchup. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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01-26-18 | Wisconsin +17 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Wisconsin. Wisconsin enters this one off an 85-67 road loss to Iowa, while MSU comes in off an 87-74 victory over Illinois. The Badgers average only 63 PPG, while allowing 68.4. Wisconsin’s defense has been solid all year, but it was a “no show’ in the setback to the Hawkeyes. Suffice it to say, we believe the unit will return to form here. Michigan State averages 85.3 PPG and it allows 64.1. Note that the Badgers are 4-2 ATS in their last six after scoring 68 points or less in their previous contest, while the Spartans are just 1-2 ATS in their last three after scoring 85 points or more in their previous outing. The Badgers have allowed just 65.9 PPG on the road. In a “tighter than expected” matchup, we’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on WISCONSIN. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Long Beach State -2 v. Cal Poly | 87-71 | Win | 100 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LBSU. LBSU has won three of its last four, while Cal Coly has dropped four in a row. The 49ers have been averaging 75 points over four straight games, most recently edging Cal State Fullerton 81-73 on Saturday. LBSU was 11 of 21 from 3-point land and held a 37-30 edge on the boards. Cal Poly has been held to 54 points or less in two of its last three games, most recently falling 72-54 to CS Northridge. The Mustangs are now averaging just 66.8 PPG. Note that the road team is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 in this matchup, while Cal Poly is just 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games against teams with losing road records. LBSU’s offense comes in firing on all cylinders, while Cal Poly can’t buy a bucket right now. All signs point to a rout, play on LBSU. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Pacific v. San Francisco -3.5 | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on San Francisco. Pacific is 5-3 in conference play, while San Francisco has struggled for the most part. The Dons do come in off a much needed win against Pepperdine though and we expect them to carry that momentum over here. Pacific has been the surprise of the conference this year, but after its 72-69 loss to conference leader St. Mary’s in its last game, we’re expecting a predictable “letdown” here. San Fran is already 2-1 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Pacific is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog of 3.5 to six points. We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN FRANCISCO. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Colorado +15 v. Arizona | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado. Colorado looks to get back on track here after falling 72-62 to Washington Saturday. The Buffs have struggled on offense this year, but make up for it with a tough defense (ranked fourth after eight conference games.) We think the Wildcats, who enter having won 13 of their last 14, come in complacent here. Arizona has struggled this year by turning the ball over on 19.2 percent of its offensive possessions. Note as well that Colorado is 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this year and 6-3 ATS against good offensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Arizona is just 2-10 ATS this year against schools with winning records and just 3-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd. No outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to a bit of a battle. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Wizards +5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
This is 10* EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is already 5-0 ATS this year off a loss by ten points or more (just fell 98-75 in Dallas) and 2-0 ATS after scoring 85 points or less in its previous outing, while OKC is just 13-27 ATS as the favorite this year, only 9-14 ATS at home and just 7-13 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: These two teams have been moving in opposite directions of late, which puts added weight to our argument in our opinion. The Wizards are desperate for a win here, while the Thunder come in contented after their recent win streak. The table is set for the outright upset, but in the end we’ll grab the points. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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01-24-18 | DePaul +4.5 v. Georgetown | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER SHOCKER on DePaul. The Blue Demons are 8-11 and the Hoyas are 13-6. DePaul is the “hungrier” team today though as it’s lost six of its last seven, most recently falling to Butler at home on Saturday. Max Struss had 27 points in the setback to the Bulldogs. DePaul had lost six in a row in this series before upsetting the Hoyas at home last year. Georgetown broke a two-game slide with a much tougher than expected OT win over St. John’s last weekend. Georgetown’s Marcus Derrickson had 27 points in the two OT win over the Red Storm. Note though that DePaul is already 2-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 3-2 ATS in true road games, while Georgetown is just 2-4 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and only 4-7 ATS in home games. Grab the points, play on the BLUE DEMONS. AAA Sports |
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01-24-18 | Rhode Island v. Fordham +14.5 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Fordham. Rhode Island is 15-3 and Fordham is just 6-13. Rhode Island enters off an 88-74 win over Dayton on Saturday, while Fordham fell 68-46 at St. Joseph’s in its latest action. We’re not calling for the outright upset and we won’t try to convince you that Rhode Island is a decent team which has gotten some lucky breaks, while Fordham is a good team which has had things go the other way on it at times. As that’s not the case. Rhode Island is a great team and Fordham is a poor one.We however simply feel this sets up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors, who enter this one on a ten-game win streak. So far Rhode Island averages 77.4 PPG and it concedes 66.7. EC Matthews is averaging 13.9 PPG during league action. Fordham averages just 61.6 PPG and it concedes 68.6. Prokop Sianina had 11 points and eight boards in the loss to the Hawks. Note though that Rhode Island is still just 11-17 ATS in its last 28 road contests, while Fordham is 11-9 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 60 points or less. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports |
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01-23-18 | Clemson +10 v. Virginia | Top | 36-61 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Clemson. Clemson has alternated wins and losses over its last five games. The Tigers most recently beat Notre Dame 67-58, holding the Irish to 8 of 31 from range, while also giving up just two free throws. In contrast Clemson would go 12 of 15 from the charity stripe. The Cavs nudged past Wake Forest 59-49 on Sunday, but it was a tighter battle for most of the game than what the final score would indicate. Note that Clemson is already 4-1 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Virginia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs do point to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas wants us to think. Grab the points, play on CLEMSON. AAA Sports |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 151 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. Minnesota has been playing with a “back up” QB all year, but Case Keenum has an opportunity to play in the Super Bowl with a victory today. Keenum has a talented group of receivers, a strong run game and a league leading defensive unit. Philadelphia is down to its backup QB in Nick Foles, as Carson Wentz got injured near the end of the regular season. Foles didn’t have any TD passes last week, but he didn’t have any INT’s either. In two games against the Vikes over his career Foles has 550 yards, five TD’s and an INT. The Eagles are also tough defensively and they also possess a strong run and have a group of dynamic receivers as well. in a contest which we envision being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we’re going to grab the points. Play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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01-21-18 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +9 | Top | 59-49 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Wake Forest. Virginia has a bit of a letdown here in our opinion after winning nine straight. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Wake Forest as it comes in having lost six of its last seven. The Cavaliers own the Nation’s No. 1 defense with just 52.6 PPG given up. Virginia beat Georgia Tech 64-48 last time out despite going a poor 3 of 13 from range. Wake Forest was just 4 of 17 from downtown in its most recent 72-63 loss to NC State. Note though that Virginia is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 50 points or less, while Wake Forest is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 after three or more consecutive losses. We think Virginia comes in complacent and gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to a home game against 16-3 Clemson on Tuesday, followed by a contest at Duke next weekend. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this one. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Patriots | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 147 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Jacksonville Jaguars. We think that Blake Bortles and Leonard Fournette present difficult matchup issues for the Pats, who allow 18.9 PPG. The Jags allow just 16.9 and own the league’s No. 1 ranked pass defense. Jacksonville looked poor defensively last week in a shootout, but performances like that have been few and far between. That said, the Jags offense looked unstoppable. Tom Brady looked great in his win over Tennessee last week, but the Jacksonville defense is a completely different animal. Note that Jacksonville is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 7.5 to ten points range, while New England is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the same points range (including 0-2 ATS this season.) We’re expecting the JAGUARS to give the Patriots their stiffest battle so far in the postseason, so grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Long Beach State. LBSU is 9-12 and CS Fullerton is 11-6. LBSU comes in off an 84-75 road loss to UC Davis on Wednesday. CS Fullerton also suffered a road loss, falling 83-64 at UC Santa Barbara in its latest action. The Titans average 74.4 PPG and allow 72.4. The 49ers average 75.1 PPG and allow 81.1. Note though that CS Fullerton is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off a loss against a conference rival, while LBSU is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 off a loss against a conference rival. Play on LONG BEACH STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | Boise State v. Nevada -6.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nevada. Boise State is 16-3 and 6-1 in Mountain West action, while Nevada is 17-3 overall and 6-0 in league play. Boise State has an exceptional defense, but aside from Chandler Hutchinson, the offense is middle of the pack. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but note that Boise State is just 2-3 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival, while Nevada is 10-6 ATS as a favorite and 7-5 ATS against teams with winning records (also 9-3 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 60 points or less.) We bank on this one being a classic and we look for the deeper home side to pull away down the stretch. Play on NEVADA. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | Cal Poly v. CS-Northridge +3.5 | 54-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CS Northridge. Cal Poly is 6-11 overall and 1-2 in conference action, while CS Northridge is 4-14 overall, looking to build off its first conference win in a 66-57 effort over Riverside. The Mustangs average 68.1 PPG and allow 71.6, while the Matadors average 65.7 points and allow 72.3. Note though that Cal Poly Slo is just 9-16 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite and already just 1-4 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest, while CS Northridge is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 after a win against a conference rival and already 1-0 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less in its previous outing. CSUN won’t be going down without a fight. In a tight battle, we’re going to grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors -5 | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that San Antonio is just 8-14 ATS on the road this year and only 6-9 ATS against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Toronto is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 in front of the home town crowd and 9-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Toronto beat Detroit last time out, after dropping three of four previous. The Raptors lost to the Spurs in San Antonio back in late October and Toronto has in fact dropped four straight in the series. The Spurs come in off a win at Brooklyn, but they’ve been alternating wins and losses over the last ten. San Antonio is tired and injured (Kawhi Leonard out again) and it is playing the finale of an extended trip. All signs point to a home side blowout, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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01-19-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. Davidson | 73-83 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on St. Bonaventure. St. Bonaventure is 12-5, while Davidson is 9-7. The Bonnies look to get untracked after an 87-73 road loss in Rhode Island. Davidson looks poised for a letdown though after thrashing Fordham 75-45. Note that this a revenge game for St. Bonaventure after Davidson posted the 68-63 win in the lone meeting last year. The Bonnies average 76.7 PPG and allow 69.2. The Wildcats average 76.1 PPG and allow 67.7. Note though that St. Bonaventure is already 3-2 ATS this year as an underdog, while Davidson is just 24-27 ATS in its last 51 against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the BONNIES. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Washington State v. Colorado -7.5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado. WSU broke a four-game slide with a quality win over Cal at home on Saturday. Suffice it to say, we expect an immediate letdown here. The Cougars ranks among the worst offensive teams in the Pac 12 with just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. The Buffs have averaged only 96 points per 100 possessions, but they look to build off an impressive 68-59 road win over UCLA. Note that Washington State is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning straight up record, while Colorado is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven at home. Colorado has struggled at times this year, but it does have some big victories under its belt already. We look for the BUFFS to continue their defensive pressure and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. NC State | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. We think the Demon Deacons are the much “hungrier” team here, coming in at 8-9. The NC State Wolfpack are 12-6 and we think they’re poised for a letdown here. Wake Forest comes in off three straight losses to three good teams, falling to Boston College, Virginia Tech and Duke. NC State comes in off a humbling defeat at the hands of Virginia and we think it gets caught a little flat footed here as well. Note that Wake Forest is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after three or more consecutive losses and 4-2 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while NC State is just 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year and only 2-3 ATS against the conference. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Orlando is already just 1-6 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog (just beat the Wolves at home to snap a seven game slide), while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after four or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: No need to overthink this one. Cleveland comes in off four straight losses and anything but a decisive blowout tonight will be considered an utter failure. For all intents and purposes, this has become a must win game for the CAVALIERS. The numbers and the situation both point to the home side as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Elon v. James Madison +3 | 74-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on James Madison. Elon is 12-7, while James Madison is just 4-15. We think the Phoenix come in contented here though after starting league play at 4-2. JMU on the other hand will be desperate as it’s opened CAA action at 0-6. Elon also comes in off a big 63-58 home win over CAA preseason favorite Charleston on Saturday. The Dukes meanwhile lost another heartbreaker in a 61-60 setback to Delaware at home on Saturday. From a motivational stand point, there’s no question that JMU has the advantage. Also note that Elon is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while JMU is 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. Note that the dog is also 5-1 in the last six in the series. Play on JAMES MADISON. AAA Sports |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is 22-15 ATS in its last 37 off an upset loss as favorite (lost 104-95 as a 5.5 point fav at home to Milwaukee most recently) and a stupendous 11-3 ATS when playing the role of underdog this year, while Charlotte is just 3-7 ATS this season off a win by ten points or more (just beat Detroit 118-107) and only 10-11 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Washington is the more desperate team today and it also plays with revenge after falling to the Hornets 129-124 in OT in November. Play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-18 | Duke v. Miami-FL +4 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Florida. The Blue Devils are 15-2 and the Hurricanes are 13-3. Duke enters off an 89-71 win over Wake Forest, while Miami Florida comes in off a 72-63 road loss at Clemson. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year, with each winning on its home floor. The Blue Devils average 93.2 PPG and they allow 73.8. Miami averages 73.1 PPG and it allows only 60.7. Note that Duke is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten following an ATS setback. We think the HURRICANES are the more motivated side here and we look for their nation leading defense to prove to be too much for Duke to handle down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-15-18 | Maryland +8 v. Michigan | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Maryland. Maryland is 14-5, while Michigan is 15-4. Michigan looks poised for a letdown here after winning eight of its last ten, most recently a big upset 82-72 win over rival Michigan State on Saturday. Maryland though will be eager to return to form after a listless 91-69 setback to Ohio State on Thursday. Note though that Maryland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Michigan is just already just 2-3 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Maryland has some injuries to contend with, but we think the TERRAPINS can keep this one competitive against a complacent Michigan side. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-14-18 | Utah +6 v. USC | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Utah. Utah has lost three straight, but it has to be feeling confident for a bounce back today as it’s won eight straight in this series. USC has won three of four. USC looked decent in its latest outing, but it hasn’t be overly impressive on the defensive side, conceding 72.8 PPG. Note though that the Utes are already 2-1 ATS this year (and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 overall) after allowing 80 points or more in their previous outing, while USC is just 1-2 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in its previous game. We think the more desperate team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on UTAH. AAA Sports |
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