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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 95-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that San Antonio is already 1-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive wins and 0-3 ATS against the division (also 2-6 ATS on the road), while Memphis is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 95 points or less in its previous contest. The bottom line: The Grizzlies have lost nine straight. They fired their head coach and have doubled down on their support of big man Marc Gasol. They play with revenge after falling to the Spurs at the end of year. Clearly there’s no need to question whether the home side will play with motivation tonight. The Spurs are 14-7 on the year, but just 4-5 on the road SU. With a tough game at OKC up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking past” their determined opponent today either. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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12-01-17 | Purdue v. Maryland +2.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Maryland. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Purdue is still just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 on the road, while Maryland is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog and 16-9 ATS in its last 25 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: Maryland comes in off a tough 72-70 loss to Syracuse and plays with revenge after losing 73-72 to Purdue late last season. That’s enough motivational factors workign in Maryland’s favor for us to pull the trigger on a 10* selection. Play on MARLAND. AAA Sports |
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11-30-17 | San Diego State v. San Diego +3.5 | Top | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on San Diego. SDSU is 5-2, while San Diego is 5-0. A major blow to the Aztecs is the injury to Malik Pope, who sat out the second half of his team’s latest loss to Washington State with a foot injury. Pope’s status is uncertain and if he does happen to find a way to suit up, clearly he’s not going to be at 100%. Note that through seven games the Aztecs are outscoring the opposition by 109 points with Pope on the floor and only by seven when he’s out. The Toreros are dominating defensively ranked second in the country in three-point shooting defense and 12th in points allowed with just 58.6 per contest allowed. Note that SDSU is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games against teams with winning records, while San Diego is 6-0 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Play on SAN DIEGO. AAA Sports |
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11-29-17 | Wofford v. Coastal Carolina -6.5 | Top | 87-81 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Coastal Carolina. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time. |
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11-28-17 | Davidson -7 v. Charlotte | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Davidson. Davidson comes in off a 78-62 loss to App State on Saturday, while the 49ers held on for a tougher than expected 70-67 win over High Point on Firday. When these teams played last year, Davidson came out on top 79-57. We’re expecting a similar final score here as well. The Wildcats have dropped two in a row and will be desperate here. Davidson averages 87 PPG, ranked 33rd in the country. Charlotte averages 81.2 PPG. Note as well that Davidson is 4-1 ATS in its last four against the C-USA, while Charlotte is 0-6 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. We think DAVIDSON’S depth on the offense end is the difference today, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Baltimore Ravens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Houston is just 1-2 ATS in its last three Monday Night games and only 3-4 ATS this season in all games it’s played on a grass field, while Baltimore is 2-1 ATS in its last three MNF contests and 4-3 ATS this year in all games played on grass. The bottom line: Houston came out of its bye week and lost three straight, but somehow managed the 31-21 home win over Arizona last weekend. With a game at division rival Tennessee next Sunday, we think the visitors have a classic letdown here. Baltimore could have easily suffered a letdown itself in its first game back from its bye week, but instead it dominated in last week’s 23-0 victory at Green Bay. All signs point to another dominant effort from the Ravens defense. Lay the points, play on BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Oregon State -10.5 v. Marist | Top | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This ia a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Oregon State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Oregon State is 6-4 ATS in its last ten neutral site affairs and 2-1 ATS in its last three off an upset loss as a favorite, while Marist is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a neutral site dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. The bottom line: The Beavers lost to LBSU 74-69 as 9.5 point favorites to open this tournament. We like Oregon State to bounce back here though against the lowly Red Foxes, who were smashed 84-59 by Nebraska in their opener. The BEAVERS are deeper and have more experience and we’re banking on a big bounce back performance. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Nets v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note the Brooklyn is just 2-5 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while Memphis is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: There are no such things as “must win” games in November in the NBA, but that’s the case for Memphis today, which comes in having lost eight of its last ten and seven straight (both SU and ATS.) Brooklyn’s offense has kept it competitive, but after three straight losses and with a game tomorrow night in Houston, all signs definitely point to a letdown for the Nets. We’re banking on the home side risking life and limb and finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Browns +8 v. Bengals | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 9* UNDERDOG SHOCKER ROUT on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns are running out chances to post a single victory this year. After the Bengals this week they are at the red hot Chargers, the at home to Green Bay and Baltimore, before then finishing off the year at Chicago and Pittsburgh. The odds though are definitely in Cleveland’s favor to win at least one of those games. The upcoming games against Green Bay and Chicago come to mind. But we think that Cleveland will also be competitive this weekend as well. The Browns have been “competitive” at times this year. They lost 12-9 to Tennesse in OT, then 33-16 to the Vikes before their bye, and then lost 38-24 in Detroit, before succumbing 19-7 to Jacksvonille last Sunday. The best way to describe the Bengals this season is that they’ve been consistently inconsistent. Cincinnati comes in off a 20-17 win at Denver, but with a game at home against the Steelers, we think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead” today. This is a few too many points to be giving up in our opinion. Play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Bears +14 v. Eagles | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note the Chicago is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after two or more consecutive SU losses (ncluding 2-0 ATS this season), while Philadelphia is interestingly just 2-6 ATS in its last eight against the NFC North. The bottom line: The Eagles are rolling, but with a three game road trip starting next week in Seattle, we think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Mitch Trubisky has been getting better with each outing for the Bears and we think he and his defensive unit will keep his team competitive late. Grab the points, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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11-26-17 | Dolphins +17 v. Patriots | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Dolphins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Miami is 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog of ten points or more, while New England is just 2-3 ATS at home this year and 0-1 ATS as a favorite of ten points or more. The bottom line: We think the Pats have a letdown here. Well, we’re not going for an outright upset obviously, but we definitely expect the Dolphins to come to play today. New England has a game in Buffalo next week. Miami’s defense has struggled, but the offense has been able to put points on the board. All signs point to this one being more competitive than what Las Vegas is leading us to think. Grab the points, play on the DOLPHINS. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Celtics v. Pacers +2 | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is just 15-25 ATS in its last 40 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Indiana is already 4-2 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. The bottom line: Both teams come in off victories just last night. The Pacers beat the Raptors 107-104 at home, while Boston won 118-103 at home against the Magic. This is an important game for both teams, but we don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real factor in this particular matchup. Grab the points, play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Alabama -4.5 v. Auburn | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Alabama is 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Auburn is just 2-4 ATS as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: Clearly a massive game. Arguably the biggest CFB game of the entire season (including the Championship game.) Alabama doesn’t do anything fancy to get the job done. Dominate the line, run the ball and play smothering defense. Auburn is pretty much the same, but when these team’s played last year, it was Alabama that scored the 30-12 victory. We’re expecting a similar final result here as well. Lay the points and ROLL TIDE ROLL. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Ball State +2.5 v. Indiana State | 93-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Ball State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Ball State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of three points or less or pick, while Indiana State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home fav of three points or less or pick. The bottom line: These teams are clearly very evenly matched, but the numbers point to BALL STATE as the correct call today. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that UConn is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU losses and just 4-5 ATS this year as an underdog, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: Both teams have been terrible this year and neither will be playing in a bowl. The Bearcats play with revenge though after falling to the Huskies 20-9 last year. The revenge factor, combined with home field advantage turns out to be the difference. Play on CINCINNATI. AAA Sports |
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11-25-17 | Indiana +3 v. Purdue | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Indiana. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival, while Purdue is just 1-2 ATS this year against teams with losing records and just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: Both teams are sitting at five wins apiece and need one more to become eligible. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but we think the pressure gets to the home side today. The Boilermakers are likely a pretty popular pick, but we’re going the other way and think the value lies with hungry HOOSIERS. Play on Indiana. AAA Sports |
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11-24-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. The Red Raiders are an absolute disaster right now, most recently falling 27-3 to TCU on Saturday. Texas Tech still needs one more win to become bowl eligibile, but we don’t expect a letdown from the Longhorns here. Texas enters off a 28-14 win over WVU and it’ll look to send off its seniors with a big victory in front of the home town crowd in the season finale. Last week Texas Tech threw for just 153 yards, no TD’s and an INT. The Texas defense just held the high-flying Mountaineers to 14 points, limiting WVU to only 56 rushing yards on 19 carries. Note that Texas Tech is 0-4 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records and just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU loss of 20 points or more, while Texas is 4-1-1 ATS in its las tsix following an ATS victory and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five at home. All signs point to a blowout, play on the LONGHORNS. AAA Sports |
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11-24-17 | Eastern Michigan +8 v. Indiana | 67-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL SHOCKER on Eastern Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that EMU is 2-0 ATS in its last two when playing with five or six days rest and a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Indiana is just 1-2 ATS at home this year and only 3-6 ATS in its last nine when playing with one or less days of rest. The bottom line: Indiana hammered Arkansas State 87-70 on Wednesday, but with a date against Duke up next, followed by Michigan, Iowa and Louisville, we fully expect the Hoosiers to get caught “looking ahead” this afternoon. EMU crushed Arkansas State 76-59 and it has the depth and experience to keep this one interesting. Grab the points, play on EASTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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11-24-17 | Blazers -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 127-125 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Portland Trailblazers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Portland is already 3-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (and that includes going 2-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent), while Brooklyn is just 1-2 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more (just lost 119-109 at Cleveland.) The bottom line: The Blazers do indeed play with revenge this afternoon after the Nets beat them 101-97 back on November 10th in Portland. With a tough Western road swing starting in Memphis on Sunday, we think the home side has another letdown here. Off the embarrassing 101-81 loss in Philadelphia last time out and with an extremely tough game in Washington tomorrow night, we expect the revenge-minded BLAZERS to risk life and limb to secure the victory today. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-23-17 | Giants +7.5 v. Redskins | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MASSACRE on the New York Giants. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New York is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 against the division and already 3-1 ATS this season on games played on a “grass” field, while Washington is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and only 2-6 ATS this year on games played on a grass surface. The bottom line: Washington has lost four of its last five and last week’s 34-31 OT loss at New Orleans was likely the final nail in the coffin for the Skins’ playoff hopes. We certainly think that they’ll be suffering from a “hang over” from the crushing loss still. The short week definitely doesn’t help matters either obviously. The Giants have been out of the playoff picture for a while and could care less about the Redskins problems. They are coming off a solid 12-9 OT home win over the Chiefs though as the New York defense looks stout right now. Grab the points, play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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11-22-17 | Miami-OH v. Tulane -11 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Tulane. The Green Wave are 2-0 at the Devlin Fieldhouse and we expect that trend to continue here with another convincing effort. The Redhawks come to town off a loss against Hartford last weekend in the Jamaica Classic at Montego Bay. Miami Ohio shot just 38.3 percent in the 68-58 setback, including only 5 of 30 from three-point land. The Green Wave beat Fordham 63-55 in the Jamaica Classic to claim their fourth victory of the young season. I think the Redhawks were exposed by Hartford in Jamaica and we have a hard time seeing them matching pace with the deeper and more confident home side. Lay the points, play on TULANE. AAA Sports |
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11-22-17 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is still just 21-28 ATS in its last 49 after three or consecutive SU wings (despite being 11-1 such instances this year!), while Miami is 22-13 ATS in its last 35 after a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: It’s been an amazing run for the Celtics, who have had to claw out of double digit deficits several times during their streak. Miami would love nothing more than to end that streak though and it also plays with revenge after falling 96-90 to the C’s back on October 28th. Miami heads out on a long road trip after this, which makes this game even more important. We’re banking on a nail-biter. Grab the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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11-20-17 | Furman +22 v. Duke | Top | 63-92 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Furman. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Furman is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 against teams with winning records and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 in non-conference contests, while Duke is just 27-31 ATS in its last 58 as a favorite and only 27-33 ATS in its last 60 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Duke has so far steamrolled its competition in non-conference action, but Furman has talent and we expect it to keep this one interesting down the stretch. Grab the points, play on FURMAN. AAA Sports |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +7.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 148 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washignton Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washignton is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and still 17-12 ATS in its last 29 when playing the role of underdog, while New Orleans is interestingly just 1-3 ATS in its last four against the NFC East. The bottom line: It’s hard to say anything negative about the Saints, as they’re obviously the hottest team in the league right now. Drew Brees has been his normal self and now he has a run game and decent defense behind him. But Washington is desperate and it won’t be giving up on the season until its officially mathematically eliminated. The Saints have been fantastic to this point, but even the best have to have a letdown at some point. And New Orleans is far from “the best” quite yet. With a game at the dynamic LA Rams up next, the Saints could very well be caught “looking ahead” here as well. Grab as many points as you can, play on the REDSKINS. AAA Sports |
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11-18-17 | Utah +17.5 v. Washington | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Utah. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Utah is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 against teams with winning records (including 2-1 ATS this year) and 10-5 ATS in its last 15 on the road (including 3-1 ATS this season), while Washington is just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Utes need one more win to become bowl eligible. They also play with revenge after losing to Washington 31-24 last year. The Huskies are reeling from their 30-22 loss at Stanford last weekend and come into this one still “hung over” from that unexpected setback. We’re not calling for the outright win, but we think this one will be decided late. Grab the points, play on UTAH. AAA Sports |
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11-18-17 | Utah State v. Gonzaga -16.5 | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Gonzaga. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Utah State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 82 points or more in its previous contest (is 2-1 to open the year, coming off back-to-back wins, including an 83-47 victory over Mississippi Valley State), while Gonzaga is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 105 points or more in its previous contest (just hammered Howard 106-69.) The bottom line: Utah State does not have the depth to hang with Gonzaga. With a tough game at Ohio State up next, we look for the BULLDOGS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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11-18-17 | Warriors v. 76ers +8.5 | Top | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Philadelphia 76ers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor.” As note that Golden State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after being held to under 90 points in its previous game (just lost 92-88 in Boston), while Philadelphia is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest (just beat Lakers 115-109). The bottom line: Philadelphia recently went on a Western road swing, going 3-2 overall. That included closing with back-to-back wins over the Clippers and Lakers. In the final game of the trip, big man Joel Embiid scored 48 points. The two losses came to Sacramento (109-108) and to Golden State (135-114.) This is the opener of an extended home stand for the 76ers and an important revenge game overall. Golden State can’t help but get caught “looking ahead” to its game in Brooklyn tomorrow night (and then capped off with a big game in OKC to finish its trip.) Grab as many points as you can, play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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11-17-17 | UNLV v. New Mexico -2 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on New Mexico. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that UNLV is just 4-10 in its last 14 against teams with losing records, while New Mexico is already 2-1 ATS this season against teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Runnin’ Rebels are at 4-6 and need to win their last two games to become bowl eligible. Unfortunately for the Lobos though, at 3-7 their postseason hopes are now gone. This is New Mexico’s final home game of the year though and it will be looking to put on a show for the home crowd, while also putting a final nail in the coffin for UNLV’s bowl hopes. We love the LOBOS to play spoiler tonight, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-17-17 | Long Island v. Miami-OH -2.5 | Top | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Miami Ohio. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Long Island is just 1-3 ATS in its last four tournament games, while Miami Ohio is already 2-0 ATS this year in non-conference contests. The bottom line: This is part of the Jamaican Classic, being played in Montego Bay. The Redhawks are off to their first 2-0 start since 2007. The Blackbirds are 1-2 on the season after dropping consecutive games to Tulane and Fordham. We think Miami Ohio will present matchup issues for Long Island and we look for that to also play a contributing role in the final outcome. Lay the points, play on the REDHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on the Tennessee Titans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Tennessee is 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records and 2-0 ATS in its last two “Thursday night” games, while Pittsburgh is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 after two or more consecutive SU wins (incldugin just 1-2 ATS in such instances this year.) The bottom line: These are two hot teams. Tennessee is 6-3, while Pittsburgh is 7-2. Neither team looked great in its latest victory though. Ultimately we think that Tennessee matches up really well against the Steelers in all three phases. We wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but we’re going to grab the points. Play on the TITANS. AAA Sports |
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11-15-17 | CS-Fullerton +28 v. St. Mary's | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL SHOCKER on CS Fullerton. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that CS Fullerton is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 27 points or more, while Saint Mary’s is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 home games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: We’re of course not calling for an outright upset here, but we do that Cal State Fullerton will looked markedly improved after its humbling 84-42 loss to USC in its Opener. The Gaels jump out to an early lead and then take the foot off the gas in the second half as they prepare for a three game road trip starting on Friday. Grab as many points as you can, play on CS FULLERTON. AAA Sports |
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11-14-17 | Raptors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Toronto is already 4-3 ATS this year in non-conference games and 3-2 ATS against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Houston is only 15-22 ATS in its last 37 after three or more consecutive SU victories and just 43-49 ATS in its last 92 against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: Clearly these teams are very evenly matched. Last year they split a pair of games, each winning on the road. The Raptors are skilled and deep. The Rockets are skilled and deep. Each can fill up the basket and both are adept defensively. We think Houston comes out flat here though after six straight wins, while conversely the Raptors look to bounce back after a close 95-94 loss in Boston. The outright win is of course a possibility, but we’re going to grab the points. Play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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11-14-17 | Elon +4.5 v. Furman | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Elon. So far Elon is 1-1, averaging 68 PPG and allowing 97. Not a recipie for success obviously, but the competition figures to be much more manageable tonight. Dmitri Thompson has been a standout for the Phoenix with 13.5 points and seven boars per game, while Tyler Seibring averages 13 points and three asissts. Furman is 1-0, beating Bob Jones 101-48. Devin Sibley had 23 points and two assits. Elon has already played Duke and is an experienced team. The Phoenix won’t be intimidated by Furman’s home success and we look for them to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on ELON. AAA Sports |
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11-13-17 | Troy State v. Hawaii | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Hawaii. The Trojans are 1-1, coming off their first win of the year in an 81-57 victory over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Sunday. In that game Wesley Person Jr. would go six of ten from the floor, including canning four from range., while Javan Johnson added 13 points off the bench. The Warriors are 2-0 to open the season, most recently pull away for an 81-78 win at home over North Dakota last night (we had the UNDER in that one unfortunately.) Michael Thomas led the way with 29 points and 11 boards. Troy is 1-3 ATS in its last four after holding an opponent to under 60 points in its previous game, while Hawaii is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. We like the WARRIORS to push the pace of this one from start to finish and to once again take advantage of home floor. AAA Sports |
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11-13-17 | La Salle v. Pennsylvania -1.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Pennsylvania. La Salle is 1-0, while Pennsylvania is 0-1. This is the Quakers home opener and we’re expecting them to risk life and limb today and to find a way to get back to .500. The Explorers come to town off a 61-40 victory over Saint Peters. Pookie Powell was six of nine from the floor, including hitting four from range, while BJ Johnson added 15 points and 11 boards. Penn looked good early against Fairfield, but then faded in the second half and eventually lost 80-72. Ryan Betley had 20 points, ten boards and two blocks in the setback, while Darnell Foreman added 17 points. Note though that La Salle is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less, while Pennsylvania is 10-8 ATS in its last 18 non-conference game and 3-0 ATS in its last three as a hoem fav of three points or less or pick. The Ivy League is extremely competitive and filled with talent. Play on PENNSYLVANIA. AAA Sports |
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11-12-17 | Patriots -7 v. Broncos | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 after two or more consecutive SU wins (including 2-1 ATS this season) and 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road fav in the 3.5 to seven points range (including 2-0 ATS this year), while Denver is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses (including 0-2 ATS this season) and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. The bottom line: The Broncos are in “free fall” right now. New England comes out of its bye week and we have a hard time seeing the Pats looking past their potentially dangerous opponent today. Denver still owns a respectable defense which will be playing with a chip on it shoulder in front of the home town crowd. But that said, we don’t think it’ll be enough against a Pats team that’s getting healthier, which is well rested and focused on finishing the second half strong. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, play on NEW ENGLAND. AAA Sports |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 151 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Dallas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 9-17 ATS in its last 27 on “field turf,” while Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six against the NFC East and 4-2 ATS in its last six against the conference overall. The bottom line: Dallas has come out of its bye and posted three straight wins, but looks set up for a letdown here with a look ahead game against division rival Philly at home next weekend. Conversely, the Falcons have lost four of their last five and will clearly be risking life and limb today to try and stay in the playoff race. All things considered, we feel this line could be a little higher, swinging the value to the home side. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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11-11-17 | Nets v. Jazz -9.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Utah Jazz. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Brooklyn is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 after playing three consecutive road games and interestingly, only 4-11 ATS in its last 15 against poor offensive teams which average 98 points or less per contest, while Utah is 3-2 ATS this year against clubs with losing records and 5-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd. The bottom line: Utah is clearly missing the scoring touch of Gordon Hayward. The team remains among the league’s best on the defensive end of the floor, but now it’s offense is among the worst. The Jazz opened the season strong, but after four straight losses, including last night’s 84-74 setback to the Heat, the panic button has been pressed in Utah. Brooklyn meanwhile played the fourth game of its five game road trip just last night and came away with a hugely satisfying 101-97 win at Portland. And with two whole nights off before a game at home with league leading Boston on Wednesday, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to all of that. In the end, we’re expecting the home side to risk life and limb today, to continue its strong defensive play and to easily pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover against this disinterested Nets side. Lay the points, play on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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11-11-17 | Eastern Illinois v. Nebraska -10.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Nebraska. We think surprisingly, Nebraska is the only power-conference school without a single NCAA Tournament victory in its entire history. The Cornhuskers are coming off a terrible year, but fifth year coach Tim Miles has a strong incoming group which should be able to start turning things around. College Basketball is not like the NBA, in that there are no “long-term” plans with your line-up. College hoops comes down to recruiting in the end. Nebraska is welcoming three transfers with NCAA Tourney experience in Duby Okeke (Winthrop), James Palmer Jr. (Miami) and Isaac Copeland (Georgetown.) These three have been brought in to play with star Glynn Watson Jr.. Eastern Illinois defeated one power conference school last year (Missouri) and is predicted to finish fifth out of six schools in the OVC. The Panthers do return four senior starters, led by Montell Goodwin, who had 14.3 PPG last season. Nebaska has size this year and we think that’s going to play a big part in the final outcome this evening (note that Okeke rejected 165 shots in three season with Winthrop.) Eastern Illinois would love to score an upset here, but reality is the team lacks overall talent and now faces an extremely focused and determined Nebraska side which is coming out of the gates with something to prove. We’re expecting the CORNHUSKERS to push the tempo from start to fnish and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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11-11-17 | SMU v. Navy -3.5 | 40-43 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on Navy. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that SMU is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records and only 5-6 ATS in its last 11 off a loss against a conference rival (the Mustangs won back-to-back games to become bowl eligible and fought hard last week, but fell short in their 31-24 setback to UCF), while Navy is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range and 14-7 ATS in its last 21 against the conference. The bottom line: The Mids lost QB Zach Abey to injury in their 34-26 loss to Temple last Thursday, but Garret Lewis played well in relief by going 6 of 9 for 110 yards and two touchdowns. SMU has already punched its ticket to the postseason and we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. Look for Lewis to build off last week’s impressive peformance as NAVY lays everything on the line today to try and become bowl eligible. AAA Sports |
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11-11-17 | Texas Tech -7.5 v. Baylor | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
This an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Texas Tech. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against teams with losing records and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, while Baylor is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a win against a conference rival (this sets up as prime letdown spot for the Bears after they got the monkey off their back with their first win of the season in last week’s 38-9 win over Kansas). The bottom line: The Red Raiders still need two more wins to become bowl eligible and can’t leave anything to chance this weekend with tough games to end the year with TCU at home and finishing off at Texas. To punch its ticket to a bowl, Texas Tech will need to win this game and then hope for an upset over the final two. But first things first. And for the Bears, they got off the schneid last week and have absolutely nothing to play for. We’re banking on the hungrier team pulling away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on TEXAS TECH. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Long Beach State +13.5 v. San Francisco | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Long Beach State. LBSU was 15-19 last year, while San Francisco was 20-13. The Dons return four starters from last year’s team, while LBSU returns two. The 49ers had a tough non-conference schedule last year and they lost nine in a row before mid-December and lost Gabe Levin to injury. Levin is back and with two prior seasons with the tam he averaged 12.2 points and 6.2 boards. San Francisco will be leaning heavily on Chase Foster this year after hitting 40 percent from range last season. LBSU will need its transfers to step up this season if it hopes to improve, but on opening night we like the 49ERS to catch San Francisco a little flat footed. Play on LONG BEACH STATE. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Georgia Tech +8 v. UCLA | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. Note that this game is being played in China. Georgia Tech was 21-16 last year, falling to TCU in the NIT title game, while UCLA was 31-5, finally succumbing in the Sweet 16 to Kentucky. The Yellow Jackets got on a roll to open the NIT, winning four straight before then getting blown out in the championship game. With a couple of key players out because of suspension, Ben Lammers (14.2 PPG, 9.2 RPG) will be leaned upon heavily. UCLA lost four of its starters, so coach Steve Alford pretty much has a new team on his hands. Aaron Holiday averaged 12.3 points and he returns now as the Bruins’ top scorer. UCLA has had to deal with some off-court issues though, as LiAngelo Ball, Chris Smith and Jaylen Hands were all caught shop-lifting, meaning that they’ll be sitting this one out. We like GEORIGA TECH to keep this one competitive down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 38 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Stanford. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after holding its previous opponet to three points or less (beat Oregon 38-3 last weekend), while Stanford is already 2-1 ATS at home this year and 4-2 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival (fell 24-21 at WSU last weekend.) The bottom line: The Cardinal became bowl eligible the week before last Saturday’s loss, but suffered a predictable letdown. Washington only has one loss on its resume so far, but we think it’ll have its hands full today in this tough atmosphere. Stanford plays with revenge as well after falling 44-6 in last year’s matchup. Time for the Cardinal to bounce back from last week’s upset loss and to try and avenge last year’s setback to the Huskies, while also dealing Washington a blow to its playoff/bowl rankings. Grab the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | CS-Fullerton +23.5 v. USC | 42-84 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CS Fullerton. Despite finishing 17-15, the CS Fullerton Titans made a post season tournament last year. USC won 26 games and it beat Providence and SMU in the NCAA Tournament before getting bounced 82-77 by Baylor. With Tre Coggins gone, the Titans will be leaning heavily on guard Khalil Ahmad, who put up 11.2 points and four boards last year. The Trojans lost many key pieces as well from their dominant teams last year, so the pressure falls mostly on to Bennie Boatwright’s shoulders to keep the momentum going this season. Last year Boatright had 15.1 PPG. USC clearly has more talent and depth and is better coached. But CS Fullerton also has talent and we think it’ll catch USC sleeping a big on Opening night. Grab the points, play on the TITANS. AAA Sports |
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11-09-17 | 76ers v. Kings +6.5 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on the Sacramento Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that the 76ers are just 11-12 ATS in their last 23 against poor offensive teams which score 98 plus points per contest, while the Kings are 3-1 ATS in their last four after a straight-up win in which they held their opponent to under 88 points in. The bottom line: Sacramento is a bad team, but it’s coming off a momentum and confidence building 94-86 win at home over the Thunder. With two days off before another road trip, the Kings are going to be able to put their full focus onto the floor tonight. 76ers fans are loving life these days, as their team is 6-4 overall and 4-2 on the road. Philadelphia has won five straight, including three on the road, most recently a 104-97 victory in Utah. But with a game at Golden State up next, we think this sets up as a classic letdown/lookahead/trap for the visitors today. We like the KINGS to take this one down to the wire. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-08-17 | Lakers +9 v. Celtics | Top | 96-107 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that LA is 12-7 ATS in its last 19 when playing with two days (including 2-0 ATS this year) and already 3-0 ATS this season against clubs with winning records (interesting to note as well that LA is 13-11 ATS in its last 24 against good defensive teams which allow 98 plus points per contest), while Boston is just 8-12 ATS in its last 20 against the Pacific division and only 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing three consecutive road games. After nine straight wins, we think the C’s are poised for a letdown here as they return home. Conversely, the LAKERS have won two straight and rested and focused. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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11-07-17 | Akron +5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Akron. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Akron is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 off a win against a conference rival (including 2-1 ATS in that position this year) and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against teams with losing records (including 3-0 ATS this season), while Miami Ohio is just 1-3 ATS at home this year and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine against teams with winning records (including just 1-2 ATS in that positoin this season.) The bottom line: The Redhawks need to win out for a chance at a bowl, while the Zips, who come in off a 21-20 win over Buffalo last week, need just one more victory to become eligible. With the daunting task of having to “run the table” ahead of it, we think that Miami Ohio stumbles here. AKRON has several strong ATS stats working in its favor and won’t be lacking for motivation. AAA Sports |
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11-07-17 | Bucks v. Cavs -4 | Top | 119-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Milwaukee is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten when playing on three days rest and only 17-20 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Cleveland is 4-3 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: Milwaukee has lost three straight and four of its last five. Cleveland has gone just 4-6 in its last ten, including only 1-5 in its last six. The Cavs beat the Bucks in Milwaukee 116-97 earlier in the year and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similar final score here as well. These are two teams which are clearly underachieving at the moment. But beyond Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee remains thin. It’s going to be all hands on deck for the CAVALIERS today as they look to break their string of bad play with a convincing victory in front of the home town crowd. AAA Sports |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers +3 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have Brett Hundley under center and clearly he’s no Aaron Rodgers. Hundley is no Matthew Stafford either. However, the game of football is played with three different units and in our opinion, Green Bay has the advantage in two of those three phases. Clearly the Lions have the advantage on offense with Stafford. He looked pretty average in last week’s 20-15 loss to the Steelers though, putting up 423 passing yards, but not able to find the endzone at all. Detroit is one-dimensional as well, averaging just 82.1 YPG on the ground, ranked 28th. Hundley will be leaning heavily upon RB Aaron Jones today, who had 131 yards on 17 carries in his team’s 25-16 home loss to New Orleans two weeks ago. It was Hundley’s first action as starter and he didn’t look too great, going 12 of 25 for 87 yards, no TD’s and a pick. But with a week off to properly prepare and focus, clearly Hundley is going to perform better today. The PACKERS are 4-1 ATS in their last five in this series and we expect that strong trend of dominance to carry over here. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Kansas City is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog of three points or less and only 1-2 ATS in its last three after playing on Monday Night Football, while Dallas is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Chiefs are 28th against the run, which doesn’t bode well in facing determined Cowboys’ RB Ezekiel Ellliot, who could be headed for suspension after this one. This is a huge mid season game for Dallas, which desperately needs a victory to stay in reach of the NFC East leading Eagles. Lay the points, play on the COWBOYS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Redskins v. Seahawks -7.5 | 17-14 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Washignton is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records (including 0-2 ATS this season) and only 2-4 ATS in its last six when playing the role of underdog, while Seattle is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 against clubs with losing records (including 2-0 ATS this year) and 2-1 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 7.5 to ten points range. The bottom line: Washington’s defense is a major issue right now, especially against the pass. Which clearly doesn’t bode well in facing a red hot Russell Wilson who has led his team to a combined 65 points over the last two games. Play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Tampa is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range and interestingly, 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of November, while New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven games played in November and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. The bottom line: Tampa opened the year by winning three of four, but has since dropped four straight. Clearly the “panic button” has been pressed by the Bucs at this point. It’s been the exact opposite for the Saints, who opened the season with two straight losses, before then rattling off five straight wins. Losing breeds determination, while winning often leads to complacency. Divisional games are always the “toughest” and they almost always “mean more” to the home side, but in this case we feel this one does indeed set up as a classic “trap” for the contented Saints. The Bucs are reeling, but won’t be going down without a fight. While we wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +4 | 51-17 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New York Giants. Both teams come out of their bye weeks. The Giants’ offense is a mess, as the line is injured, as well as their top two receivers in Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall. But with Eli Manning under center and an above average defense (plus a week off to prepare. Both teams in fact come out of their bye weeks), we believe that the focused home side has more than just a “punchers chance” in this one. It would be easy to take Jared Goff, Todd Gurley and the 5-2 Rams, but the NFL is clearly anything but predictable week to week. We’ve been impressed with LA to this point, but note that it’s still just 2-4 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU victories, while New York is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 against clubs with winning records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games played in the month of November. We’re banking on Manning keeping his team competitive, play on the GIANTS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Falcons v. Panthers +1 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. These teams will also face each other in the final game of the season. Carolina is 5-3, while ATL is 4-3. After two straight losses, the Panthers bounced back with a 17-3 win over the Buccaneers last weekend, while Atlanta broke a three-game slide by holding on for a 25-20 win over the Jets. The road ahead for both teams is a difficult one. Divisional contests are always the toughest and they almost always mean more to the home side. This is a matchup which favors Carolina, especially at home. Also note that Atlanta is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 against teams with winning records (including 0-2 ATS this year) and just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 against division opponents, while the Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six off a win against a division rival and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a divisional contest. Play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Ravens v. Titans -3 | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. Baltimore gets caught “looking ahead” here to its bye week, complacent after a 40-0 win over Miami. Tennessee on the other hand entered its bye week after two straight victories, comes in focused, rested and healthier. A great situational play in our opinion. Also note that the Ravens are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Tennessee is already 2-1 ATS this year at home. Play on the TITANS. AAA Sports |
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11-04-17 | Minnesota +15.5 v. Michigan | 10-33 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Minnesota is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 off a loss against a conference rival (just fell 17-10 at Iowa) and 11-4 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog, while Michigan is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 at home and only 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win against a conference rival (35-14 over Rutgers.) The bottom line: With that victory, the Wolverines have now won six games and have become bowl eligible. We’re expecting an immediate letdown this week. Minnesota on the other hand is coming off the loss still needing two more wins before it reaches the six win mark. The Golden Gophers can leave nothing to change with games against Nebraska, Northwestern and Wisconsin up next. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we do expect a competitive affair. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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11-04-17 | Hawaii v. UNLV -7.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Hawaii is just 1-12 ATS in its last 13 when playing against a team with a losing record and only 4-17 ATS in its last 21 against the conference (including 0-5 ATS this season), while UNLV is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 7.5 to ten points range and already 2-1 ATS this season against schools with losing records. The bottom line: A couple of bottom feeders going head to head here. The only difference is, UNLV is coming off its best performance of the year and will look to close strong in front of the home town crowd. Hawaii’s been a mess and is dealing with injuries. We’re expecting a rout, play on UNLV. AAA Sports |
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11-03-17 | Celtics v. Thunder -6 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* “RED DRAGON” on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is just 28-32 ATS in its last 60 after playing a non-conference game, while OKC is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 when playing on two days rest. The bottom line: OKC and Boston are the top two defensive clubs in the league. The Celtics face a stiff test tonight though in trying to slow down the Thunders’ three offensive super stars. The Thunder have been amazingly good on the defensive side of the ball this year and we think they’ll be able to slow down Kyrie Irving and company just enough to escape with the ATS victory. Play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-02-17 | Lakers +7 v. Blazers | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that the Lakers are already 3-1 ATS this year against good offenses which score 106-plus points per contest, while the Traiblazers are just 16-18 ATS in their last 34 when playing on back-to-back days and only 15-17 ATS in its last 32 following a divisional contest. The bottom line: The Lakers come in off a big win at home against the surging Pistons and will look to keep the momentum rolling here, before a tough game at home against the high-flying Nets toorrow night. The Blazers have lost two straight, including a disheartening ten point OT loss in Utah just last night. Grab the points, play on LA. AAA Sports |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -3.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC ASSASSIN on Western Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that CMU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four following its by week and just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a win against a conference rival, while WMU is 3-1 ATS in its last four following its bye week and and 14-11 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. The bottom line: With a chance to punch its sixth win of the year, we look for WMU to rally here after losing its starting QB and to find a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd. Play on WESTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -11 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Indiana is just 12-23 ATS In its last 35 when playing on back-to-back days (enters off a very satisfying 101-83 victory at home over Sacramento last night) and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 85 points or less, while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: After three straight losses, including to the Knicks at home, this has become a “do or die” game for the Cavs. Indiana has looked better than expected, but we think it folds up shop early against what will be an extremely motivated LeBron James and company. Lay the points, play on CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks +2.5 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and scheduling: As note that OKC is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 85 points or less and still just 1-2 ATS on the road this year, while Milwaukee is 22-17 ATS in its last 39 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Thunder destroyed the Bulls last time out and this is the finale of their Eastern road swing before a couple of days off an extended home stand. Can anyone say classic letdown spot? The Bucks take advantage here behind another big game from Giannis Antetokounmpo. Play on MILWAUKEE. AAA Sports |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Lions. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Pittsburgh is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU wins and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 following a divisional contest, while Detroit is 2-0 ATS in its last two following its bye week and 2-1 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: The Lions are the most “desperate” team, while Pittsburgh looks primed for a letdown here. Grab the points, play on the LIONS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-17 | Falcons -4.5 v. Jets | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 147 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Atlanta is still 11-8 ATS in its last 19 on the road and 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with losing records, while New York is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. ATL is struggling in all facets, but Matt Ryan and company haven’t forgotten how to play. Conversely, the Jets are coming off a crushing loss at hom to Miami in the final moments and look primed for a letdown here. Play on the FALCONS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-17 | Vikings v. Browns +7.5 | 33-16 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Browns. We think the 0-7 Cleveland Browns can catch the 5-2 Minnesota Vikings a little “flat-footed” across the pond this weekend. Minnesota comes in off 24-16 home win over the Vikes, while the Browns lost 12-9 in OT to the Titans last weekend. We had a play on Cleveland in that one and clearly its defense looked tremendous in slowing down Tennessee’s high-flying offense. Suffice it to say, we expect that defensive momentum to get carried over here. The Vikes looked great defensively as well, but QB Case Keenum looked pretty average, finishing with 188 yards, zero TD’s and one INT. The Browns turned to Cody Kessler under center he was 10 of 19 for 121 yards, no TD’s and a pick. But as mentioned off the top, the Browns defense looked great, as top pick Myles Garrett collected another sack. Note that the Vikes are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight on the road, while the Browns are 2-1 ATS in their last three as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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10-28-17 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | 96-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. A great situational play in our opinion, as Boston comes in complacent after three straight wins. Converely, Miami is just 2-2 out of the gates (0-4 ATS) and can’t at all be happy with the way that it’s been playing of late. Note though that Boston is a poor 10-27 ATS in its last 37 after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Miami is 21-12 ATS in its last 33 after a loss by ten points or more. We think the home side protects its own floor and catches the contented Celtics a little “flat footed” tonight. Play on MIAMI. AAA Sports |
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10-28-17 | Rutgers v. Michigan -23.5 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Michigan. The 3-4 Rugers Scarlett Knights are 5-2 ATS, while the 5-2 Michigan Wolverines are 2-4-1 ATS. Rutgers comes in off a 14-12 win over Purdue on Saturday, while Michigan comes in humbled after a 42-13 setback to Penn State. When these teams played last year, it was the Wolverines that pulled off the 78-0 smoke job. While we’re not expecting quite the lop-sided destuction this season, we still do feel that the home side has significant advantges across the baord and that this spread could/should easily be a lot larger. Scarlett Knights’ QB Givanni Rescigno was 9 of 18 for 87 yards and one TD last week. Rutgers’ RB Gus Edwards had 94 yards on 14 carries. So far Rutgers has looked stout defensively, but clearly the unit is about to face a stiff test in a hostile environment this weekend. Wolverines’ QB John O’Korn will be especially motivated this weekend after finishing 16 of 28 for 166 yards. The offense has been hit or miss this season, but the defense was downright horrible last Saturday, surrendering 506 yards, which however has not been the norm whatsoever. Michigan’s strength still lies on the defensive side of the ball, allowing only 18.6 PPG. I’ll point out that Rutgers is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against teams with winning records and only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 against the conference, while Michigan is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a favorite. Play on the WOLVERINES. AAA Sports |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Baltimore Ravens. After beating the Falcons 20-17 on the road last week, the injured Dolphins look ripe for the picking by the hungry Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore enters off a 24-16 loss at Minnesota. Dolphins’ QB Jay Cutler went down with injury and backup Matt Moore led his team to the comeback victory. Th Fish though rank just 32nd in total offense with just 261.8 YPG, while looking a better on the defensive end on allowing 18.7. The Ravens averages just 18.3 PPG, while ranked in the middle of the pack defensively. Joe Flacco didn’t have much help last week, but he still managed to go 27 of 39 for 186 yards, one TD and no picks. Note that Miami is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 against teams with losing records and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 following a divisional contest, while Baltimore is 2-1 ATS in its last three after two or more consecutive SU losses. Despite his struggles this year, I’m giving Flacco the nod in this QB matchup and to us, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the home side. Play on the RAVENS. AAA Sports |
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10-23-17 | 76ers +3.5 v. Pistons | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Philadelphia 76ers. We base most of our picks on situations and which team we feel will be more “motivated” than the other. And in this case, we have no doubt that the 0-3 Philadelphia 76ers are “hungrier” than the 2-1 Pistons. Detroit could easily be caught “looking ahead” here as well with the T-Wolves on deck at home before a lengthy West Coast road trip. Additionally note that Philadelphia is 27-10 ATS in its last 37 against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while Detroit is just 16-19 ATS in its last 35 against poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG. While an outright victory is clearly a possibility, we’re still going to recommend to grab the points. Play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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10-22-17 | Titans v. Browns +6 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 90 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland is 0-6. The Browns never thought they’d make the playoffs, but even they’d have to be pretty disappointed that they don’t have at least one win at this point of the season. Cleveland is playing with pride here as it looks to snap the slide, while we think Tennessee gets caught “looking ahead” to its bye week next week. Also note that the Titans are 0-2 ATS in their last two as a road favorite of 3.5 to seven points and just 3-13 ATS against teams with losing records, while the Browns are 3-1 ATS in their last four after five or more consecutive ATS losses. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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10-21-17 | West Virginia v. Baylor +9.5 | 38-36 | Win | 100 | 73 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Baylor. We’re not going to predict an outright upset, but we do definitely believe this is a few too many points to be giving up to the hungry/desperate 0-6 Baylor Bears. WVU gets caught looking past their lowly opponent today after its 46-35 home win over Texas Tech, while the Bears risk life and limb today in trying to secure a victory overgetting annihilated by OKS 59-16 last weekend. Note that this is a revenge game for Baylor after WVU edeged 24-21 last year. Also note that the Mountaineers are just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 on the road and only 5-6 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Baylor is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 against teams with winning records and 6-4 ATS in its last ten off a loss against a conference rival. Play on BAYLOR. AAA Sports |
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10-21-17 | BYU -5.5 v. East Carolina | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. The 1-6 BYU Cougars are 0-7 ATS. The East Carolina Pirates can empathize, they’re an almost equally as horrible 1-6 SU/ATS to open the year. It’s a battle of cellar dwellers on Saturday night, but we think this one favors the visitors. The Cougars most recently fell 35-10 to Mississippi State this past weekend, while the Pirates were smashed 63-21 at UCF. BYU QB Tanner Mangum was 16 of 26 for 145 yards, ont TD and one INT. The Cougars offense was horrible, but their defense was decent in comparison. ECU gave up 600 yards of offense last week, including five TD’s. QB Thomas Sirk had 91 yards, two TD’s and an INT. Note though that BYU is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against a team with a losing home record, while East Carolina is 1-8 ATS in its last nine after allowing 40 or more points in its previous game. BYU’s offense finally catches a break this week. I think the Cougars defense is slightly better than the Pirates and in the end, that’s going to be the difference maker once the smoke finally clears. Lay the points, play on BYU. AAA Sports |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders +3 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 61 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BIG TIGER on the Oakland Raiders. Looks like a classic letdown spot to us for the Chiefs, who suffered their first loss of the year at home, falling 19-13 to the Steelers. Conversely, the Raiders will be desperate, risking life and limb as they try to break a four-game slide. It’s an important divisional matchup, one which means much more to the home side in our opinion. KC lost the services of speedy WR Tyreek Hill in the setback to Pittsburgh as well. KC looked pretty one dimensional as well, posting just 28 rushing yards total. The Raiders have averaged just 13.2 PPG during their slide, but played one game without the services of QB Derek Carr. Carr is back under center today in what has turned into a “must win” game for the Raiders. We’re not counting out Oakland quite yet. Grab the points, play on the RAIDERS. AAA Sports |
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10-18-17 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver was 40-42 last year and missed the playoffs, while the Jazz were 51-31 and eliminated in the second round by Golden State. The Nuggets got off to a slow start and then got hit by the injury bug. The team is expected to make major strides this year though with its core group of players now healthy in Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets also signed Paul Millsap. Denver averaged 111.7 PPG, but gave up 111.2. Utah will take a major step back in our opinion now that Gordon Hayward is gone. Last year the team averaged just 100.7 PPG, so it’s difficult to imagine where the offense is going to come? The defense was excellent though, ranked No. 1 in conceding just 96.8 PPG, led by big man Rudy Gobert in the middle. Note though that Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last five on teh road and 5-1 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference, while Utah is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven home games. We think the Nuggets’ offense is a difference maker tonight and while an outright upset isn’t out of the question, we’ll recommend to grab the points. Play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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10-18-17 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -3 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Pelicans will try to make the postseason in the tough Western Conference with Anthoy Davis and DeMarcus Cousins ready to go to battle, while the Grizzlies will be looking to move farther into the postseason after getting eliminated by San Antonio in the first round two straight times. Rajon Rondo is also in New Orleans now. Rondo though is out for at least six more weeks with injury. Jrue Holiday averaged 14.5 PPG for the Pelicans. Memphis though is still too deep in our opinion for New Orleans to properly hang with. Marc Gasol can handle the two big men for the most part (certainly he’ll have enough enery on Opening Night, perhaps not next April though), while Mike Conley and Tyreke Evans also help in leading the nightly charge. Note that New Orleans is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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10-18-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense. The Celtics fought hard and managed a cover in last night’s game in Cleveland, but took a massive blow with the season ending injury to Gordon Hayward. The organization has to be reeling right now. The Bucks will be looking to take advantage. We got down on this one fairly early and have a favorable line, but regardless, we still like Milwaukee to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. We’re banking on the visitors taking advantage of the Celtics misfortune and the fact that they’re playing the second game of a back-to-back. Play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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10-18-17 | 76ers +7 v. Wizards | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Philadelphia has been rebuilding for a number of years now and the fruits of its hard labor could pay off finally this season. We think it will on Opening Night anyways. While we’re not going to call for an outright upset, we do think that the undervalued visiting side will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The 76ers averaged 102.4 PPG last year and allowed 108.1. The majority of last year’s team is back, but with more experience and a lot healthier. Finally we’re going to get to see big Joel Embiid in action tonight. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on Jahlil Okafor and Dario Saric for the visiting side this evening. The Wizards averages 109.2 PPG and allowed 107.4. John Wall led the team with 23.1 PPG, while Bradley Beal averaged 23.1. We think the improved visiting side takes this one down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the 76’ERS. AAA Sports |
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10-17-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -3 | Top | 99-102 | Push | 0 | 73 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Isaiah Thomas won’t be suited up for the Cavs tonight, but Kyrie Irving will be in the lineup for the Celtics. Boston also added All Star Gordon Hayward to its lineup. The Cavs made plenty of moves as well in the offseason, additionally acquiring Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, Jeff Green and Jae Crowder. Hayward averaged 21.9 points, 5.4 boards and 3.5 assists in Utah last year. Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown are expected to fill holes for the C’s this season as well. Wade and Rose are on the tail ends of their careers, but add depth to an already deep Cavaliers team. Whether LeBron James plays or not tonight (injured ankle), we think that the home side has a major advantage. Irving is now the focal point of the C’s offense, which puts a burden both on himself and his teammates as well. It’s going to take some time for the new look Celtic offense to build chemistry and we think that’s going to spell trouble in “The Land.” In our opinion, this is a great situational play. Lay the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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10-15-17 | Steelers +5 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 93 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Pittsburgh Steelers. An outright Steelers win isn’t out of the question here obviously, but in a contest which we foresee being decided late or perhaps even in an extra frame, we’re going grab the points in the end. Pittsburgh is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS, while KC is 5-0 SU/ATS to this point. KC will be out to atone for a 30-9 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while KC could potentially be caught in a classic “trap” here after winning its fifth straight, most recently a 42-34 victory at Houston. Note that this is a revenge game for Pittsburgh, as it lost at KC in the divisional round of the playoffs 18-16 last season. Steelers’ veteran QB Ben Roethlisberger had a horrible game last time out, throwing five picks. While obviously Roethlisberger is on the decline of his career, we think its safe to assume that he’s going to bounce back and perform much better here. And a date against the Chiefs is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as he’s gone 5-1 and thrown for 1,433 yards, 13 TD’s and just three INT’s while posting a superb 118.7 QB rating lifetime against KC. It’s hard to say anything negative about Alex Smith and the Chiefs right now, so we won’t bother. As stated off the top though, we simply feel that the contented Chiefs looked poised for a bit of a letdown here, or perhaps even get caught “looking ahead” as well to their game at Oakland next weekend. We like the “hungrier” side to keep this one competitive, play on the STEELERS. AAA Sports |
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10-14-17 | East Carolina +35 v. Central Florida | 21-63 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on East Carolina. While we’re obviously not calling for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we think the 1-5 Pirates can comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. ECU comes in off a 34-10 loss at home to Temple, while UCF smashed Cincinnati 51-23 last weekend. The Pirates actually rank 20th in the FBS in passing with 307.7 YPG, but do average just 22.2 PPG, while ranked 130th in scoring defense in allowing 47.8. QB Thoms Sirk has 1,382 yards, seven TD’s and seven INT’s. Davon Grayson has 535 yards receiving and five scores. The Knights average 46 PPG and allow 15.8. QB McKenzie Milton has 1,165 yards, 13 TD’s and two picks. Adrian Killins Jr. had 239 rushing yards and two scores. With a game at 5-0 Navy next week, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine UFC getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more difficult matchup. All things considered, this is indeed too many points to be giving up here, play on EAST CAROLINA. AAA Sports |
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10-14-17 | Connecticut +12 v. Temple | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 139 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Connecticut. UConn is the “hungrier” team here as it’s lost four straight. Temple comes in off its best performance of the year with a 34-10 win over East Carolina and looks primed for a major letdown in our opinion. But not only is this a “letdown” spot, this is also is a bit of a “look-ahead” spot for the home side with a much more difficult game at Army next weekend. It’s a classic “trap” for Temple and it’s the main reason why we love this play so much. For UConn, a bowl trip is likely out of the question, but if the team has any hopes whatsoever it’s going to need to win this game straight up. The Owls picked up the decent victory last weekend, but QB Logan Marchi would post just his first 300 yard game of the year. Temple has already struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going 1-2 ATS at home and 1-2 ATS as a favorite. UConn has struggled in almost every ATS statistical category there is over the last few seasons, which makes it important to note that it’s 4-1 ATS in its last five after surrendering 600 yards or more in its previous contest. While we’re not calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable back door cover. Play on CONNECTICUT. AAA Sports |
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10-08-17 | Chargers +4 v. Giants | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 147 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chargers are 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS, while New York is 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS. Something’s got to give on Sunday afternoon and while we obvoiusly wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the desperate/hungry visiting side to leave it all on the field today and at the very least, to come away with a comfortable cover once it’s all said and done. Chargers: LA fell 26-24 to Philadelphia last week. QB Philip Rivers had 347 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. So far Rivers has 1,107 passing yards, six TD’s and four INT’s. WR Keenan Allen was unstoppable in that one with 138 yards on five catches. The defense was bad, allowing 454 total yards, including 214 on the ground. That unit though does catch a bit of a break in facing this one dimensional New York offense. Giants: New York fell 25-23 in Tampa Bay last week. It was a second straight week that the team was defeated by a FG at the end of the game. QB Eli Manning was 30 of 49 for 388 yards, two TD’s and zero INT’s. So far he has 1,113 yards passing and a 6/4 TD/INT ratio. WR Odell Beckham Jr. has 205 receiving yards in three games. The defense looked horrible, falling apart down the stretch and ultimately conceding 434 yards, including 323 through the air, which clearly doesn’t bode well in facing Rivers and the pass happy Chargers. The bottom line: Note that LA is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 on the road, while New York is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 against clubs with losing records. We like Rivers to keep his team in this one late and we believe it will be decided by no more than a FG. Play on the CHARGERS. AAA Sports |
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10-08-17 | Jets v. Browns -1.5 | 17-14 | Loss | -115 | 147 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Last week we had a play on the Jets as our GAME OF THE MONTH and they’d go on to score the 23-20 home win over the Jaguars in OT. Cleveland looks to get off the schneid with a much better effort after getting clobbered 31-7 by the previously winless Cincinnati Bengals. After back-to-back victories though we think that New York is primed for a classic “letdown” here. The Jets have back-to-back divisional games on deck, including at home to rival New England and then on the road at Miami. It’s not too hard to imagine the over-acheiving visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more important/gruelling part of their schedule. If ever DeShone Kizer and the Browns were going to pull off a victory in the early going, then this is it. We look for the home side to take advantage of this situation and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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10-08-17 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 147 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Cardinals. The Cards are 2-2 SU, but are 0-4 ATS. The Eagles are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The Cardinals come in off an 18-15 OT win at home over San Francisco, while Philadelphia hung on for a 26-24 road victory over the Chargers last weekend. Arizona: The Cards and Carson Palmer ranked second in the NHL in passing with 292.3 YPG, while last in rushing with just 57 per contest. So far Arizona ranks in the middle of the pack in both scoring and on the defensive side of the ball, averaging 185 PPG and conceding 20.8. Plamer has 1,282 yards, five TD’s and five INT’s thus far. WR Larry Fitzgerald has 276 receiving yards and two major scores. Philadelphia: The Eagles had a 13-0 lead in the second quarter last week and had to hold on for dear life over the Chargers. So far Philadelphia ranks seventh in the league with an average of 25.8 PPG, while ranked 21st on the defensive side in allowing 23 PPG. QB Carson Wentz has 1,058 yards, six TD’s and two INT’s thus far, while RB LeGarrette Blount has 249 yards and a TD. The bottom line: Note that Arizona is 2-1 ATS in its last three against the NFC East, while Philadelphia is 0-2 ATS in its last two against the NFC West. We think Palmer can match pace with Wentz. Grab the points, play on the CARDINALS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-17 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +17 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on North Carolina. These teams come in on completely different ends of the spectrum, as Notre Dame is 4-1 SU/ATS, while UNC is 1-4 SU/ATS. Last week the Tar Heels fell 33-7 at Georgia Tech, while the Fighting Irish rolled to a 52-17 win over Miami-Ohio. ND: Josh Adams had 159 yards and two TD’s against the Red Hawks on the ground. The defense looked poor though, giving up 377 total yards to a rather weak Miami-Ohio offense. Note that Notre Dame averages just 166.6 yards passing per contest, while conceding 241.6 yards per game through the air. UNC: QB Chaz Surratt was 18 of 30 for 141 yrds, no TD and a pick last week. But other than last week, the Tar Heels haven’t played horrible, losing 47-35 to Louisville, 35-30 to Cal and 27-17 Duke. Surratt has 988 yards passing, five TD’s and two INT’s on the year. The bottom line: Note that Notre Dame is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten games played on grass, while UNC is interestingly 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of October. Grab the points, play on NORTH CAROLINA. AAA Sports |
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10-07-17 | Western Michigan -6.5 v. Buffalo | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Western Michigan. Two teams with similar records collide in this one, as WMU is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS. However, Buffalo is 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS. The Broncos smahed Ball State 55-3 last week, while the Bulls rolled to a 27-13 victory over Kent State on the road. When these teams played last year, it was WMU that posted the commanding 38-0 win and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a repeat performance here. The Broncos: WMU was 13-1 last year, it’s only loss was to Wisconsin in the Cotton Bowl. Broncos’ QB John Wassink so far has 763 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s on the year. So far WMU ranks 31st in the nation in scoring with 37.2 PPG, while ranked 58th on the defensive side in conceding 24.4. The Bulls: Buffalo averges just 23.6 PPG, but makes up for it on the defensive side in conceding just 18.4 PPG. Emmanuel Reed had a big game last week, rushing for 144 yards and three TD’s. Starting QB Tyree Jackson has been sidelined with injury and is questionable here. Backup Drew Anderson was 11 of 18 for 142 yards, a TD and an INT last week. The bottom line: Note that WMU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while Buffalo is just 2-3 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records. We have a hard time seeing Buffalo’s offense keeping pace. Lay the points, play on WESTERN MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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10-05-17 | Louisville -3 v. NC State | 25-39 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Louisville. Both teams are 4-1 SU/ATS. Only one team has Lamar Jackson on it though and suffice it to say, we expect the Cardinals’ talented pivot to be the difference tonight. Louisville smahsed Murray State 55-10 last week, while NC State hung on for an exhausting 33-25 home victory over Syracuse. If recent history is any precedence, then Louisville has to be liking its chances today, because when these teams met last year, the Cardinals destroyed the Wolfpack 54-13. So far Louisville is 23rd in scoring and 63rd defensively in conceding 24.6 PPG. Jackson already has 1,636 passing yards with 13 TD’s and three INT’s, while also rushing for 437 and five TD’s on the ground. NC State is ranked 43rd in scoring, and 55th in the nation on the defensive side in conceding 23.4. The Wolfpack jumped out to an early 26-7 lead last week, but then completely fell apart in the second half allowing Syracuse to go on an 18-7 run. NC State only outgained the Orange by 18 yards in the end. QB Ryan Finley was 20 of 33 for 186 yards and a TD. Note though that the Cardinals are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record, while NC State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games against a team with a winning road record. Admittedly this is a much better Wolfpack team this year than last, but regardless, we can’t see Finley keeping pace with Jackson. Lay the points with confidence, play on LOUISVILLE. AAA Sports |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs -7 | 20-29 | Win | 101 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the KC Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time. |
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10-01-17 | Jaguars v. Jets +4 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 143 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Jets. We had a play on the Jets last weekend in their 20-6 upset win at home over the Dolphins. We feel this is another great situational spot to take advantage of as the Jacksonville Jaguars come to town, fresh off their big 44-7 destruction of the Ravens in England last weekend (we also had Jacksonville in that one.) But now the team transitions back across the pond and in our opinion, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the road-weary Jags. Jacksonville won 29-7 at Houston in Week 1, only to then “lay an egg” in Week 2 at home against Tennesse. And with another tough road game at Pittsburgh next weekend, it’s also not too hard to imagine the visiting side in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more difficult matchup. Also note that the Jags are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven when playing the role of favorite, while the Jets are 2-0 ATS in their last two as a home dog in the 3.5 to seven points range. A great “situational” play on the NEW YORK JETS. AAA Sports |
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10-01-17 | Bengals v. Browns +3.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -120 | 99 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER SHOCKER on the Cleveland Browns. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points in a contest which we foresee coming down to the wire. The Bengals are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, while the Browns come in sporting the identical records as well. The Bengals fell apart and lost a heart-breaker in Green Bay last weekend though and we’re expecting the disappointment from that loss to linger over here. It’s the perfect situation for the equally as hungry Browns to take advantage of. Bengals’ QB Andy Dalton looks completely out of sorts so far this year and it’s not going to get any easier against this opportunisitc Browns’ defense. Cleveland rookie QB DeShone Kizer has seven INT’s, but he’s also been the victim of several dropped balls. At this point, neither team has an advantage in any of the three phases, so in our opinion, the value swings to the home dog. Play on the BROWNS. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | California v. Oregon -13.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 86 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Oregon. Both teams are 3-1 SU. Cal is 3-1 ATS, while Oregon is 2-1-1 ATS. Both teams come in off losses. The Ducks won three in a row before falling 37-35 in Arizona State last Saturday. It was the first time this year that Oregon had been held under 40 points. Cal lost to USC, also handing the team its first setback of the season. Note though that this is a revenge game for the Ducks after they fell 52-49 in double OT at Cal last year. Bears’ QB Ross Bowers hasn’t looked overly spectacular, throwing eight INT’s over four starts thus far. Oregon committed 14 penalties for 100 yards last week and suffice it to say, we’re not expecting the Ducks to play so sloppy this time around. Note that Cal is just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against teams with winning records, while Oregon is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 against teams with winning records. The DUCKS are the more complete team through all three phases and all signs point to a blowout. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | Florida State -7.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 26-19 | Loss | -104 | 122 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida State. Florida State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Wake Forest is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Despite those lop-sided numbers which would suggest that the Demon Deacons have the upper-hand in this contest, we believe that FSU has enough situational factors working in its favor to finally get off the schneid in a big way on Saturday afternoon. Our September CFB “GAME OF MONTH” was on Appalachian State, which fell 20-19 at home to Wake Forest last week, securing the easy cover. The Seminoles come to town the hungrier team for sure after they fell 27-21 at home to NC State in their last game. FSU QB James Blackman was 22 of 38 for 278 yards, a TD and no INT’s. RB Cam Akers led the way on the ground with 57 yards. Auden Tate has 180 receiving yards over his last two games. FSU’s defense wasn’t horrible either, allowing 365 total yards. With last week’s contest cancelled due to Hurricane Irma, the visiting side comes in focused. Wake needed a cluth blocked FG to even earn the victory last week. John Wolford was 14 of 27 for 176 yards and two TD’s. Akeem Byrd so far has 233 yards rushing for the season. The defense looked suspect though in our opinion, allowing 501 total yards. Note as well that the Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a loss against a conference rival, while Wake is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories. Blackman looked great in his role as starter and we think he’ll carry that progression over here. Lay the points, play on FLORIDA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | New Mexico State v. Arkansas -17 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 9* RED DRAGON on Arkansas. New Mexico State is 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS so far, while Arkansass is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The Aggies most recently crushed UTEP 41-14 at home, while Arkansas opened conference action with a tough 50-43 OT loss to Texas A&M in the Southwest Classic last weekend. New Mexico State outgained lowly UTEP 462-227. NMSU also forced five turnovers, including a pick six. The Aggies are tied for 60th in scoring offense with 31.5 PPG with QB Tyler Rogers going for 1,413 yards, 12 TD’s and four INT’s (NMSU is tied for 74th in scoring defense by conceding 26.5 PPG thus far.) Arkansas is tied for 53rd in scoring offense in conceding 33 PPG and 86th on scoring defense in conceding 28.3. QB Austin Allen has 502 yards, four TD’s and two INT’s. RB Chase Hayden leads the way on the ground with 198 yards and two scores. Note that NMSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range, while Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a loss against a conference rival. We think NMSU finally comes into this one a bit flat and we like ARKANSAS to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Georgia Tech | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS SUPER-BLOWOUT on North Carolina. UNC is 1-3 SU/ATS, while Georgia Tech is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. Last week the Tar Heels fell 27-17 to Duke, while the Yellow Jackets pulled away for a 35-17 victory over Pittsburgh. With the exception of last week though, UNC’s offense has looked good overall. QB Chazz Surratt has 840 yards and 5:1 TD:INT. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on WR Anthony Ratliff-Williams, who made five catches for 125 yards and one TD last week. Georgia Tech got 112 rushing yard from QB TaQuan Marshall last Saturday. So far he has 280 passing yards and a 3:0 TD:INT ratio. RB KirVonte Benson has 346 yards through three games. The Yellow Jackets defense has been hit or miss, looking good against Pittsburgh, but horrible in giving up 41 points to Tennessee in Week 1. Note that UNC is 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home, while Georgia Tech is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. We think the “hungrier” team keeps this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on NORTH CAROLINA. AAA Sports |
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09-29-17 | USC -3.5 v. Washington State | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on USC. Both teams come into this one at 4-0 SU, with USC at 1-3 ATS and WSU at 2-2 ATS. USC comes in off a 30-20 road win over Cal, while Washington State rolled for a 52-23 home win over Oregon State last weekend. USC QB Dan Darnold already has seven INT’s through the first four games, but he’s still 4-0 to this point. Last week he was 26 of 38 for 22yards, two TD’s and one pick. The Trojans posted 356 total yards, including 133 yards on the ground. Cal had 416 total yards, but USC had four INT’s and recovered two fumbles. USC WR Deontay Burnett so far has 462 receiving yards. Overall the Trojans are averaging 492 yards on offense and conceding 370.2. The Cougars are 4-0, but the talent level has definitely been suspect. The win over Boise State was decent. QB Luke Falk was 36 of 47 for 478 yards and five TD’s in that one. Falk already has 1,378 yards, 14 TD’s and just one INT this season. The Cougars average 432.5 passing yards per game and just 72.8 rushing yards per contest, while conceding 263.2 YPG. Note though that USC is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road fav in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Washington State is 0-2 ATS as a home dog in the same points range. Additionally note that the road team is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. The Cougars have yet to be truly tested, while USC has already beaten the likes of Texas and Cal on the road. We’re laying the points, play on USC. AAA Sports |
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09-28-17 | Texas -5 v. Iowa State | Top | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 84 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. We think that Texas is going to be the “hungrier” side tonight, a factor which we foresee resulting in a comfortable cover for the visiting team. The Longhorns lost 27-24 to USC in OT last time out, while Iowa State rolled to a 42-14 win over Akron. Note though that when these teams faced each other last year, Texas scored the 27-6 road victory. But it was oh-so-close for the Longhorns against the No. 4 ranked Trojans last time out. Sam Ehlinger was 21 of 40 for 298 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s. One other Texas offensive player to keep your eyes on this weekend is WR Collin Johnson, who had seven catches for 191 yards against USC. Ultimately though we feel that the Longhorns’ defense is flying under the radar in this one, as it looked great against the Trojans, holding them to 468 yards, while also making three sacks and two INT’s. The Cyclones’ Jacob Park had 317 yards and two TD’s last week. RB David Montgomery had 127 rushing yards. The defense looked sharp against the MAC team, but lining up against this Longhorns’ line (on both sides of the ball) is clearly a huge step up in overall caliber and size. We like TEXAS to step up defensively and to pull away for the cover. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Arizona Cardinals. Both teams are 1-1 SU. Dallas is also 1-1 ATS, while Arizona is so far 0-2 ATS. Are the Cowboys as bad as their 42-17 loss at Denver last week would indicate? Of course not. But we still believe Dallas has issues. Arizona on the other hand lost its Week 1 matchup in Detroit, only to then bounce back in Week 2 with a 16-13 victory over the Colts. It’s been a bit of a grind for Carson Palmer and company to open the year, but it’s time to open up the playbook with their first game in front of the home town crowd. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys’ offensive line all had a poor game last week. But the Dallas defense was supposed to be a strength again this year. Broncos’ QB Trevor Simien simply isn’t as good as what his numbers would indicate from last week’s blowout victory. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to grab the points with the CARDINALS, as we believe that Arizona is the more complete team right now through all three phases of the game. AAA Sports |
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09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 143 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the New York Jets. Both teams leave something to be desired, but we think this one definitely favors the home side. Miami managed a 19-17 win over San Diego last weekend, while New York enters off a 45-20 road loss to Oakland. Note that this is a double-revenge scenario for the home side after the Dolphins took both games last season. Miami QB Jay Cutler was 24 of 33 for 230 yards and a TD last week, while RB Jay Ajayi had 122 rushing yards. Note though that the Dolphins defense looked poor in conceding 470 yards of offense. Jets’ QB Josh McCown had 166 yards passing last week along with two TD’s and no picks. New York’s ground game also looked sharp in posting 125 yards on 25 carries, led by Matt Forte with 53. The defense looked poor, but catches a break this week compared to last (Cutler is no Carr.) Note that Miami is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against the division, while New York is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 against divisional opponents. We truly believe that the hungry JETS have a very legitimate shot at stealing this one outright. That said, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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09-24-17 | Saints +6 v. Panthers | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 143 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the New Orleans Saints. Here’s a great situational play. We’re all about finding great “situations.” Are the Saints really as bad as their 0-2 record? Are the Panthers really as good as their 2-0 start would indicate? We think the answer to both questions is: “no.” New Orleans struggled on defense last year and so far it’s also been an issue this season. QB Drew Brees and the offense has also gotten out to bit of an uncharacteristically slow start. But what better opponent to get re-energized and focused for than division rival Carolina? The Panthers got bad news in last week’s listless 9-3 win over Buffalo, as TE Greg Olsen broke his foot. QB Cam Newton’s performance to this point can best be described as “serviceable.” So far he has 399 yards, two TD’s and one INT, to go along with just 30 rushing yards. Note that New Orleans is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 on the road, while Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. At 0-3 to open the year, combined with a division loss here, you may as well just go ahead and stick a fork in the Saints, because their season is going to be completely done. We think the desperate visting side keeps this one competitive late. Grab the points, play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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