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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy UNDER 40.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Army and Navy at 3 pm et on Saturday. Another year, another Army-Navy 'under'. We've been in on virtually all of the 'unders' during the current streak in this series and there's no reason to jump ship here. Yes, Navy put up some gawdy offensive numbers this season but that was largely schedule-based. Army showed flashes of brilliance at times, but really struggled when stepping up in class, as is the case here. These two teams couldn't be any more familiar with one another and that familiarity leads to low-scoring results every year. If anything things are getting tighter, with each of the last five meetings totaling 38 points or less and all five of those games being decided by a touchdown or less. Take the under (10*). |
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12-13-19 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 210.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these offenses got loose last time out and I expect to see some progression from those performances here as the Warriors and Jazz do battle in Utah. Keep in mind, the last five meetings in this series have all eclipsed the total we're dealing with here. There's little reason to believe the Warriors will be able to do anything to slow down a Jazz offense that averages close to 110 points per game at home. While Utah has held its own defensively this season it is still allowing north of 105 ppg on its home floor. Take the over (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Jose over New York at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I'm not a big proponent of backing a team following a head coach firing but in this particular situation, I do think the Sharks are in excellent position to start turning things around. The talent is there, there's no question about that. Things simply haven't gone San Jose's way this season but perhaps the firing of Pete DeBoer will be the wake-up call they need. This is a fine matchup for them to exploit, facing a young Rangers squad playing on the other side of the country. The Rangers have been inconsistent at best lately, going 3-4 over their last seven games. Meanwhile, for as bad as the Sharks have been this season, they still own a winning record on home ice. Take San Jose (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Cavs v. Spurs -11 | 117-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Cleveland at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Cavs last night but I won't hesitate to fade them as they hit the road to face the Spurs on Thursday. San Antonio has been a general disappointment this season but finds itself in an absolutely gorgeous spot against the lowly Cavs playing on no rest. The Spurs have been playing better lately, winners of three of their last four games, including a 2-0 mark on their current homestand. Playing their third straight at the AT&T Center, they're in excellent shape to keep their good fortune on Thursday night. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -15.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over New York at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I don't need to tell you that this is an absolutely amazing spot for the Ravens offense as they should shred a hapless Jets defense that is likely going to be without a pair of key cogs in Jamal Adams and Quinnen Williams. Even with Ravens QB Lamar Jackson dealing with an injured quad, there's no chance that the Jets slow him down here. Look for Jackson to run wild, while also feeding Hollywood Brown in what amounts to a blowout in the making. I do think the Jets will find some success offensively, simply due to the fact that the Ravens can't stop the run, but playing in catch-up mode, look for QB Sam Darnold to make enough mistakes to ultimately put this game out of reach for Gang Green. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens OVER 44.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Baltimore at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. Everyone seems to be assuming the Jets aren't going to be able to score much at all in this game but I'm not sure that will be the case at M&T Bank Stadium on Thursday night. The Ravens are allowing just shy of five yards per rush this season which opens the door for Jets RB Le'Veon Bell, who should have the backfield all to himself with Bilal Powell expected to miss. Meanwhile, the Ravens should score at will in this mismatch. The Jets defense is undermanned and quite simply banged up, likely missing both Jamal Adams and Quinnen Williams for this one. That opens the door for another monster performance from QB Lamar Jackson. Also look for a re-introduction to WR Hollywood Brown on Thursday night as the Ravens run up the score on the Jets. Take the over (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 234 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Milwaukee at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. I fully expect to see a track meet between these two teams on Wednesday night. The Pelicans are coming off a lower-scoring game than expected against the Pistons Monday. I don't think they have any hope of slowing down the high-octane Bucks offense here. As much as they don't want to trade baskets with Milwaukee, they're going to have to if they want to keep this one even remotely competitive. Note that the last three times these two teams have met they've combined to score at least 238 points. Expect more of the same here. Take the over (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Rockets v. Cavs +11.5 | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Houston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets have failed to cover the double-digit spread in each of their last two games, most recently losing outright against the Kings, at home no less. Here, I believe they're once again overvalued, noting that they've lost two of their last three games here in Cleveland and check in just 11-12 ATS on the season. The Cavs are reeling right now but that's to be expected. Let's face it, they're not going to win many games this season. After getting blown out on the road against Philadelphia and Boston I do think they'll benefit from returning home, and from facing a weak defensive team in the Rockets. Houston is simply laying too many points in this flat spot in its schedule. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Lakers v. Magic +7.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I don't like this spot at all for the road weary Lakers. They of course swept a three-game trip through Denver, Utah and Portland last week before returning home to blow the doors off the T'Wolves on Sunday. Now they have to head way east to face the Magic, who are no pushovers, winners of four of their last five games. The Lakers obviously own the far better straight-up record this season but the Magic have a very similar ATS mark. Look for a tightly-contested affair. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-10-19 | Ducks v. Wild -150 | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Anaheim at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Wild care coming off a blowout loss in Carolina but should bounce back here at home against the reeling Ducks. Anaheim has dropped four of its last five games with the lone win over that stretch coming against the lowly Kings on home ice. The Wild have won five of their last six contests. In fact, Minnesota has lost just one game in regulation time going all the way back to November 12th. We're being asked to lay a reasonable price with the Wild on home ice here. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles OVER 44.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
NFL NFC East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Philadelphia at 8:15 pm et on Monday. This is an unappealing Monday night matchup between two downtrodden NFC East squads. With that being said, I do think we'll see some offensive fireworks in this one. The Giants will trot out QB Eli Manning for what could be his last ride. While Manning does present a great deal of upside, I do think he can do some damage working with a strong group of receivers, not to mention a returning TE Evan Engram. Keep in mind, the Eagles secondary is bottom of the barrel as far as I'm concerned. On the flip side, this is a smash spot for Eagles QB Carson Wentz coming off a much-needed breakout against the lowly Dolphins last Sunday. Wentz's wide receiver corps is getting healthier and he has a two-headed monster to work with at TE in Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert. Throw in dynamic rookie RB Miles Sanders and I'm confident we'll see the Philadelphia offense move the football and score at will against a weak Giants defense that doesn't generate any sort of pass rush. Take the over (10*). |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles -9 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over New York at 8:15 pm et on Monday. The Eagles are a downtrodden football team but they have to feel pretty good about the fact that they're just a game behind the Cowboys for the NFC East lead and a very winnable matchup presents itself as they host the lowly Giants on Monday night. The G-Men are simply playing out the string at this point and will trot out QB Eli Manning in place of an injured Daniel Jones. Manning really is a wild card at this point but it's worth noting that the Philadelphia defense is capable of generating a ferocious pass rush. Manning hasn't been good under pressure in the latter stages of his career. Meanwhile, Eagles QB Carson Wentz should absolutely light up a weak Giants defense that has shown no semblance of a pass rush this season. The Eagles offense is getting healthier with WR Alshon Jeffery coming off a tremendous bounce-back performance against the Dolphins last week. I'm high on Philadelphia rookie RB Miles Sanders as well. He has shown flashes of brilliance in recent weeks and could be in for another big game here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-09-19 | Pistons v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 105-103 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Monday. This is a track meet waiting to happen as the Pistons travel to face the Pelicans on Monday night. Detroit checks in sporting the league's third best offensive rating over its last five games. That spells trouble for a New Orleans squad that sits 27th in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. A positive for the Pelicans, however, is the fact that they continue to push the tempo, ranking top eight in pace rating over their last five contests. The Pistons are virtually in the middle of the pack in defensive rating over that stretch, sitting 16th in the Association. Take the over (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Titans -2.5 v. Raiders | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Oakland at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. It seems that the Titans have found their quarterback in Ryan Tannehill even if the real story has been RB Derrick Henry, who is absolutely running rampant right now and should continue his torrid pace against a weak Raiders defense on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee isn't about to overlook any opponent, even a reeling one such as the Raiders. Oakland is in a tough spot traveling back home following a beatdown at the hands of the Chiefs last Sunday. Look for the Titans to ultimately pull away for a comfortable win on Sunday afternoon. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | Top | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills continue to get no respect in the betting marketplace, even after last week's rout of the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day. Here, I look for Buffalo to keep things close at the very least, and quite possibly win outright. Motivation will obviously be high for the Bills, not only are they hosting this year's 'it' team in the Ravens, but they'll have Doug Flutie making a rare appearance in Orchard Park to be honored as a Bills legend. Last week, Baltimore was able to overmatch the 49ers at home in a bad weather game, in an early start no less. The shoe is on the other foot this time around. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-08-19 | Redskins v. Packers -13 | 15-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over Washington at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is an absolutely terrific 'get right' matchup for the Packers as they host the lifeless Redskins at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon. I don't see Washington offering any sort of resistance on the defensive side of the football while the Packers defense will be eager to bounce back and should feast on a miserable Redskins offensive line. The Redskins aren't the type of team capable of coming back and making things interesting after falling behind big, as I expect them to on Sunday afternoon. Look for a big game from Pack RB Aaron Jones, guiding Green Bay to a lopsided victory. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Virginia at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Clemson enters this game playing its best football of the season. We won with the Tigers in last week's rout of South Carolina and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. As has often been the case in recent years, the ACC Championship Game amounts to a complete mismatch. The Tigers should be able to dominate this game on both sides of the football. This is certainly a difficult spot for the Cavaliers coming off an outright underdog win over rival Virginia Tech last week. We won with Virginia in its rout of Liberty two weeks ago but I have no problem jumping ship here. Take Clemson (10*). |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over LSU at 4 pm et on Saturday. If you've followed my plays regularly this season you know that I've been high on Georgia. After cashing with the Bulldogs in last week's rout of Georgia Tech I see this as another excellent spot to back them as they check in as an underdog against mighty LSU. The Tigers obviously possess an explosive offense but I do think Georgia is capable of at the very least keeping them in check. I also like the Bulldogs ability to effectively shorten this game with their tremendous ground attack. QB Jake Fromm hasn't had to be great this season but I'm confident he'll turn in a solid performance here in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Take Georgia (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. At the surface, this may have appeared to be one of the more obvious wins on the Lakers current road trip but now that they've gotten off to a 2-0 start with impressive wins in Denver and Salt Lake City, I believe this is a tricky spot for Lebron James and co. The Blazers are still a losing team on the season but they've been playing better basketball lately, checking in fifth in the league in offensive rating and top 10 in pace rating over their last five games. Their defensive play leaves something to be desired but the Lakers are certainly in a tough spot here, playing for the third time in four nights off back-to-back games in altitude. I'lll grab all the points I can get with the Blazers here. Take Portland (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 46 | 37-15 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oregon and Utah at 8 pm et on Friday. This is a relatively low total but I believe it's warranted. Oregon hasn't been the offensive juggernaut we've been accustomed to seeing in previous years this season, even with top NFL QB prospect Justin Herbert at the helm of the offense. On the flip side, the Ducks defense has held its own - this isn't a team that got involved in a ton of track meets this season. Utah meanwhile closed out the regular season with some strong performances offensively, but the story is its elite defense, which I believe can handle this matchup with the Ducks. The Utes come in having allowed a grand total of 25 points over their last three contests. Take the under (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oregon plus the points over Utah at 8 pm et on Friday. I can't help but feel there is a lot of undue added pressure on the Utes heading into this one as they aim to secure their best season since 2008 and put themselves into the conversation for a College Football Playoff spot with a victory on Friday night. I simply feel the Ducks are being overlooked, largely due to their collapse against Auburn in front of a national audiences way back in Week 1 (we won with the Tigers in that game) and a stunning upset loss to Arizona State two weeks ago. Oregon has a terrific shot at earning an ounce of redemption, not to mention improving its Bowl standing with a victory here. I'm not overly concerned by the Ducks less than impressive low-scoring win over Oregon State last time out. There was certainly a hangover effect at play in that one as they were coming off what could have been a season-wrecking loss to the Sun Devils. Oregon faces a tough challenge here but I don't think there's any reason intimidation factor at play with the Ducks having taken four of the last six meetings since 2013 and falling by just a single touchdown in a true road game last year. Take Oregon (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Coyotes v. Penguins OVER 5.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Coyotes are riding high following another win last night in Philadelphia and I look for them to find continued offensive success against a Pens squad that is fresh off a low-scoring victory over the Blues on Wednesday. There's no reason to jump ship from the Pittsburgh 'over' train because of one result. The Pens didn't need to be great offensively against St. Louis as they played an air tight defensive game. Here, I believe they'll have their hands full with the upstart 'Yotes and that lends itself to a higher-scoring affair - even as we deal with a lower posted total. Take the over (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Michigan minus the points over Iowa at 6:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Wolverines as they look to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last time out. That loss wasn't a big surprise as Michigan was in tough on the road in an underdog role against Louisville. This is a far more favorable spot as the Wolverines are back home to host the Hawkeyes in their Big Ten opener. Note that Iowa is coming off a stunning 14-point win on the road against Syracuse. The Hawkeyes have taken care of business against the teams they should this season but have also suffered double-digit losses at the hands of DePaul and San Diego State. They're ripe for a letdown here and I believe we're being asked to lay a reasonable number with UM. Take Michigan (10*). |
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12-05-19 | Sabres v. Flames -160 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over Buffalo at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. The Flames have been playing loose since moving on from the Bill Peters fiasco and I look for them to pick up another victory on home ice Thursday night. Buffalo is a poor 5-7-2 on the road this season while Calgary checks in 7-3-2 at the Saddledome. Look for the Flames offense to bust out and help secure this 'W'. Take Calgary (10*). |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Chicago at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. After watching a thrilling, high-scoring affair on Monday Night Football, look for completely the opposite on Thursday as the Cowboys and Bears do battle at Soldier Field. The Bears defense has sagged lately but I'm not convinced Dallas' disjointed offense can take full advantage. RB Ezekiel Elliott will get his but Dak Prescott may struggle in hostile territory on Thursday night. Meanwhile, Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky played fairly well on Thanksgiving Day in Detroit but figures to regress once again versus an aggressive Cowboys defense here. The Bears have become completely one-dimensional on offense and that doesn't serve them well against a better than advertised Dallas secondary coming off a poor showing against the Bills last week. Take the under (10*). |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors UNDER 231.5 | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. No surprise at all that we're dealing with a sky-high total between the high-flying, defense optional Rockets and the defending champion Raptors on Thursday night. I simply feel that we'll see the Raptors do a pretty good job of locking down the Houston offense, while I'm not certain that Toronto has the offensive ability to really expose the Rockets defensive inefficiencies, at least not given its current form. The Raps are coming off an extremely rare home loss against the Heat on Tuesday so you can be sure they'll be jacked up for this one. Expect a tighter affair than the total would seem to indicate. Take the under (10*). |
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12-05-19 | Sharks v. Hurricanes -155 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over San Jose at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I like the Canes here at home in bounce-back mode following a shutout loss at the hands of the Bruins in Boston. It wasn't a successful road trip by any means, but the Canes are solid in Raleigh where they've gone 8-5 this season. The Sharks don't travel particularly well, posting six wins in 13 road games this season, and check in off a lopsided home loss against the Capitals. Take Carolina (10*). |
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12-05-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -141 | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Columbus over New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This is an excellent 'get right' spot for the Blue Jackets as they host the reeling Rangers on Thursday night. Columbus checks in 8-7-1 on home ice this season which is markedly better than its awful 3-5-3 mark on the road. The Blueshirts have dropped two of their last three games following a three-game winning streak. Take Columbus (10*). |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz OVER 209 | 121-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a predictably low-scoring game involving the Lakers last night as they came up with a big 105-96 road win in Denver. Here, I look for the offense to flow a little more freely as Los Angeles continues its road trip in Utah. The Jazz have been involved in their fair share of high-scoring games lately with the 'over' going 5-2 over their last seven contests. They should be in a foul mood coming off back-to-back losses to the Raptors and 76ers on the road and catch a favorable spot with the Lakers playing on no rest in altitude no less. The Lakers are shooting just shy of 49% from the field on the road this season and should find continued success at the offensive end of the floor in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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12-04-19 | Wolves v. Mavs OVER 229.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. We're in for a track meet in Dallas on Wednesday night as the Mavs return home on no rest to host the T'Wolves. Dallas barely broke a sweat in rolling to a 118-97 win over the Pelicans last night but should face a stiffer challenge here. Minnesota comes in highly-motivated following a 115-107 home loss to the lowly Grizzlies. Keep in mind, the T'Wolves have actually been a better team on the road this season, where they've gone 7-2 straight-up. Take the over (10*). |
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12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins OVER 6 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Pittsburgh at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers really can't set the totals high enough in games involving the Penguins right now. After giving up 10 goals in consecutive road losses, including a 5-2 setback against these same Blues, I expect a positive response from the Pens on Wednesday. However, I have little confidence that they can keep the puck out of their own net against a Blues squad that has potted 16 goals over the course of their current four-game winning streak. Take the over (10*). |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | 105-96 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Los Angeles at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Lakers may own the better overall record and get a lot more press than the Nuggets, but I believe the jury is still out as to whether they're actually the better team. Denver always owns a solid home court advantage and this season has been no different as it checks in with an 8-2 mark. The Lakers are in bounce-back mode off a 14-point loss at home to the Mavericks on Sunday. I'm just not sure this is an ideal bounce-back spot - in fact, I know it's not. The home team has taken eight of the last nine meetings in this series with Denver taking the most recent meeting in Los Angeles last March. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-03-19 | Stars v. Jets +100 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg over Dallas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is a quick revenge spot for the Jets after suffering a 5-3 loss in Dallas back on November 21st. The Jets will be happy to be back home after a successful west coast road trip that ended on a sour note with a 2-1 loss in Los Angeles. Winnipeg has notched six wins in its last eight games overall. Dallas was one of the hottest teams in hockey in November but has since cooled off, dropping three straight games while scoring only three goals in the process. A streaky team, I don't expect to see the Stars pick themselves up off the mat in hostile territory on Tuesday night. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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12-03-19 | Pistons -2 v. Cavs | 127-94 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Pistons check in top-nine in the league in both offensive and defensive rating over their last five games and while they're not going to run away and hide in this matchup, I do think they should be laying more than a bucket against the lowly Cavaliers. Cleveland has been particularly bad at the defensive end of the floor of late, ranking 29th in the league in defensive rating over its last five contests. Neither team will look to really push the pace in this one and that serves Detroit just fine as it should cruise to a comfortable road win. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Seattle at 8:15 pm et on Monday. There's not a lot separating these two teams so it's no surprise that we're dealing with a very tight field goal line ahead of their Monday night showdown. I'll grab the points with the underdog Vikings as they come in well-rested and poised to take advantage of a very beatable Seattle defense. The Seahawks own a tremendous home field advantage at CenturyLink Field but it's certainly worth noting that they've already lost games against the Saints and Ravens here at home this season. I don't feel that intimidation will be a real factor against an experienced Vikings group. Seattle comes in riding its longest winning streak of the season, which stands at four games. I believe there's a good chance it ends here. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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12-01-19 | Jets -3 v. Bengals | Top | 6-22 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 10 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on New York minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Jets are in excellent position to add to the winless Bengals' misery on Sunday afternoon in Cincinnati. The New York offense has been quietly racking up points in recent weeks and is an absolute smash spot against a very beatable Bengals defense on Sunday. Cincinnati has been one of the worst teams in the league defending the run this season which really opens things up with the Jets offense and RB Le'Veon Bell in particular. Jets QB Sam Darnold is on a redemption tour after a brutal start to the season and he's in line for another big performance here. Meanwhile, the Jets quietly own the league's best run defense which should severely limit what the Bengals can do offensively. QB Andy Dalton is back as the starter and while he may give Cincinnati a bit of a spark, I'm not sure it really matters at this point. His supporting cast is seriously lacking with WR Tyler Boyd one of the only bright spots. RB Joe Mixon has had a nice run the last couple of games but I don't expect him to play a big role in this one. Take New York (10*). |
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11-30-19 | Georgia -28 v. Georgia Tech | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 63 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Georgia Tech at 12 noon et on Saturday. We won with Georgia Tech in last week's narrow victory over N.C. State while missing the mark with Georgia as they won but failed to cover against Texas A&M. I do feel I have a pretty good read on both of these squads as they close out the regular season with this annual in-state rivalry matchup, and I'm confident laying the big number with the Bulldogs in what should be an old-fashioned blowout. Credit the Yellow Jackets for not giving up on the campaign but there's no question it's been a long season with eight losses in 11 games. They'll try to muck things up on Saturday and turn this into an ugly affair but I don't see them succeeding. The Bulldogs have been a little uneven offensively in recent weeks but they can absolutely get loose against this Georgia Tech defense. I certainly don't expect to see Georgia take it easy on the Jackets. Take Georgia (10*). |
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11-30-19 | Clemson -27 v. South Carolina | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 63 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over South Carolina at 12 noon et on Saturday. Despite its flawless 11-0 record and despite the fact that it has scored 50+ points in four straight games, it almost seems as if Clemson is flying under the radar a little bit with the likes of LSU, Alabama and Ohio State garnering much of the national attention this season. The Tigers have certainly rounded into form after a relatively slow start to the season and they're in excellent position to absolutely annihilate an overmatched South Carolina squad here. This is the end of the line for the four-win Gamecocks, whose season highlight was undoubtedly a stunning 20-17 win over Georgia between the hedges back on October 12th. Since then, the Gamecocks have just one win to their credit and that came at home against lowly Vanderbilt. Take Clemson (10*). |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +8 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -107 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State plus the points over Washington at 4 pm et on Friday. Washington has owned the Apple Cup in recent years, taking each of the last six meetings but I believe that streak is in jeopardy this year. The Cougars and Huskies check in sporting identical 6-5 records but it's Washington State that comes in with some positive momentum off back-to-back wins, scoring a whopping 103 points in the process. The Cougars defense has reverted to old form, giving up a ton of points this season, but I actually feel they can hold their own in this particular matchup. Even two weeks ago against one of the worst defenses in the nation in Oregon State, Washington managed to score only 19 points. Despite the pro-Huskies crowd, I look for the Cougars to stay inside the number in this one. Take Washington State (10*). |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Missouri minus the points over Arkansas at 2:30 pm et on Friday. This is a true 'get right' spot for Missouri and it couldn't come at a more opportune time as the Tigers need a victory to become Bowl eligible. It's easy to forget that Missouri got off to a terrific 5-1 start this season before the wheels came off in October. A tough schedule has led them to five straight losses but all is not lost. I like the Tigers chances of absolutely going off in this smash spot against a very weak Arkansas defense. The Razorbacks have lost eight games in a row and have been outgained by 240+ yards in four of their last five contests. They're unsettled at quarterback and I just don't see them keeping up in a potential shootout on Friday. Keep in mind Arkansas is allowing a staggering 5.8 yards per rush this season. This one could get out of hand in a hurry. Take Missouri (10*). |
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11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
NFL Turkey Day Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Atlanta at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. The Saints had a tough time pulling away from the Panthers on Sunday but ultimately did secure the victory thanks in large part to miscues in Carolina’s kicking game. I expect a much cleaner performance from the Saints this week as they travel to face the division rival Falcons in the friendly confines of Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. I like the way the Saints offense has rounded into form with a healthy Drew Brees. There’s reason to believe they can even improve on their recent strong performances with Alvin Kamara in particular in line for a big breakout performance here. Meanwhile, the cupboard is getting pretty bare for the Falcons offense with a number of key cogs banged-up and now forced to play on a short week. The Saints have been able to generate a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and I’m confident they’ll be able to force Falcons QB Matt Ryan into some key mistakes in this contest as well. Atlanta’s ground game is by no means imposing with RB Devonta Freeman once again questionable to suit up. I don’t think there’s any question the offense is missing the likes of Mohamed Sanu and Tevin Coleman right now. I’m not convinced Atlanta can stay in this game for four quarters. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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11-28-19 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Detroit at 12:30 pm et on Thursday. It might be time for the NFL to reconsider giving the Lions their annual home game on Thanksgiving Day. In fact, that time probably passed years ago. Mired in another disappointing campaign, there's little reason to have much confidence in Detroit here as it hosts Chicago. Of course, the Bears don't have a great deal of upside either but they do have more going for them than the Lions right now. The Chicago defense should feast on the Lions Jeff Driskel-led offense, with Driskel playing on a bad hamstring and coming off an absolute beating at the hands of the Redskins defense on Sunday. The Bears have done an excellent job of keeping opposing quarterbacks in the pocket and as long as they can continue to do that against Driskel, they'll be in fine shape on Thursday as he simply hasn't proven he can consistently move the chains through the air. There are obviously concerns when it comes to the Chicago offense but I'm not sure it will be asked to do too much in this one. QB Mitchell Trubisky is coming off one of his better performances, even though it did come against the lowly Giants. He draws another favorable matchup here against a banged-up Lions defense. Based on how I expect the Chicago defense to perform in this one, I think we will see Trubisky given some short fields to work with and do just enough to secure the win and cover. Take Chicago (10*). |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 51.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Western Michigan and Northern Illinois at 7 pm et on Tuesday. There's little reason to have much faith in either of these offenses even though the 'over' has cashed in each of Western Michigan's last two games and six straight contests involving Northern Illinois. Keep in mind, Broncos QB Jon Wassink had thrown for under 200 yards in four straight games prior to last week's 322-yard, three-touchdown outburst against Ohio. On Senior Night, I do expect to see the Northern Illinois defense show up as the Huskies wrap up what has been a highly-disappointing campaign. NIU QB Marcus Childers has been ineffective since taking over for Ryan Bowers, who continues to recover from a concussion. Childers has thrown for more than 100 yards just once this season. While he is gaining 6.5 yards per rush, that's largely due to a relatively small sample size. In the last two seasons he averaged 3.3 and 2.7 yards per rush. Both offenses are capable of moving the football on the ground with terrific lead backs. That should only serve to keep the clock moving in this one, however, as Western Michigan looks to pick up a win and move on to postseason play. Take the under (10*). |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47.5 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
NFL MNF Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Monday. This is being pegged as a potential shootout based on the total we're working with but I don't expect this non-conference affair to play out that way on the field. The Ravens will be hard-pressed to match their last two performances, in which they scored 49 and 41 points against far inferior defenses in the Bengals and Texans. The Rams defense does match up well with the Ravens dynamic offense as they allow just 3.5 yards per rush this season and don't give up a lot of big passing plays downfield. Baltimore and QB Lamar Jackson in particular is certainly in line for a 'come back to Earth' game as it travels across the country for this primetime affair. On the flip side, there's little reason to have a lot of confidence in the Rams offense at this point. This is a unit that has underachieved due to injuries and otherwise all season long and that's unlikely to change against an underrated Ravens defense. Baltimore will give up yardage on the ground but I'm not convinced Los Angeles will be able to take full advantage. The Ravens have been generating a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and have a shutdown tandem in the secondary capable of containing the likes of Kupp, Woods and Cooks. Take the under (10*). |
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11-25-19 | Flames +146 v. Penguins | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Flames finally busted out of their slump with a 3-2 shootout win in Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon and I look for them to take another step forward in Pittsburgh on Monday. Things looked pretty grim for the Flames following a second period in which they were outshot 18-3 against the Flyers on Saturday but they rallied with two third period goals before ultimately securing the win in a shootout - their first victory since November 7th. It will be all for not if they can't keep things going on Monday, however. The Penguins successfully bounced back from consecutive losses against the red hot Islanders, skating to a 4-1 win over the Devils on Friday. It's worth noting they've notched just two regulation time wins over their last 10 games. Take Calgary (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 52 | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 58 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Winnipeg at 6 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in the Ti-Cats blowout win over the Eskimos last week (but won with Hamilton) and cashed with the Blue Bombers in their minor upset win over the Riders in Saskatchewan. Here, I see value in the 'under' as the Ti-Cats and Bombers do battle with the Grey Cup on the line in Calgary. The Ti-Cats exploded for 36 points in last week's victory, although it's worth noting that QB Dane Evans actually completed only 21-of-36 passes while throwing only one touchdown and one interception. Their leading rusher in that game was Cameron Marshall with just 31 yards on the ground. They'll be facing a much tougher defense this week. The Bombers have turned the offensive reins over to former Ti-Cats QB Zach Collaros and while he has played well, I really feel he's more of a game manager than the dynamic Chris Streveler, who is still a big part of the offense. Note that it was Streveler who completed 31-of-42 passes for over 300 yards the last time these two teams met. If you've followed my plays regularly, you know that I'm high on the Ti-Cats defense - arguably the best in the CFL. I'm confident they can keep the Bombers offense in check on Sunday. Note that two regular season meetings between these teams totaled just 38 and 46 points. Take the under (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New England minus the points over Dallas at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Dallas bounced back with a win in Detroit last Sunday but it will find the going a lot tougher as it stays on the road to face the Patriots in Foxborough this week. Poor weather conditions are expected, which doesn't generally suit QB Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense well. While Dallas RB Ezekiel Elliott draws a favorable matchup on paper, I feel the Pats will be content to concede yardage on the ground once again, but ultimately do another nice job of keeping the opposition out of the end zone. Offensively, the Pats are banged-up right now but the 'next man up' philosophy has always served them well, and I expect no different here. The Cowboys defense, while elite on paper, has disappointed for much of the campaign, including last week when it allowed Lions backup QB Jeff Driskel to move the football up and down the field. New England QB Tom Brady isn't 100% healthy but I'm anticipating a big performance from the GOAT once again. This is precisely the type of game Bill Bellichick's Patriots get up for and win by margin. Take New England (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 41.5 | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Jacksonville and Tennessee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. This is by no means a shootout on paper but I do think the Jaguars and Titans can find their way 'over' the relatively low posted total in what could be a sneaky-entertaining affair on Sunday afternoon. Last week, we saw Jags QB Nick Foles throw the ball 47 times in a blowout loss in Indianapolis and I expect him to be let loose once again here as the Titans are likely to stymie the Jags ground attack. That's not to say that Jags RB Leonard Fournette won't be a factor as he should certainly play a role in the Jacksonville passing game. Titans RB Derrick Henry is coming off a big performance last week and should absolutely run wild against a Jags defense that has somewhat surprisingly been torched by opposing ground games for over 5.4 yards per rush this season. QB Ryan Tannehill has played well but still doesn't instill a great deal of confidence. With that being said, since dealing away CB Jalen Ramsey, the Jags are beatable through the air and the Titans coaching staff appears to have full confidence in Tannehill. Take the over (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Broncos v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Denver at 1 pm et on Sunday. With Denver nearly pulling off an outright upset as a double-digit underdog at Minnesota last week, it's understandable that the Broncos are only a short underdog against the Bills on Sunday. I believe the Bills are once again undervalued. There's little chance we'll see Buffalo overlook Denver, not after the Broncos gave the Vikings such a serious run last week. I don't like the scheduling spot at all for Denver as it stays on the road for a second straight week, heading to a less than appealing destination in Buffalo. The Bills defense should absolutely feast on the Broncos leaky offensive line, noting that Denver ranks bottom-five in the league in sacks per QB dropback allowed. For their part, the Bills are inside the top 10 in terms of sacks this season. QB Brandon Allen has held his own to this point, but I look for him to get exposed by Buffalo here. This isn't exactly an eruption spot for the Bills offense against a quality Broncos defense, but I do think we'll see them be given enough short fields to inflict some damage on the scoreboard. Based on how I expect the Bills defense to perform in this game, I really don't think we're going to need a whole lot from the offense to ultimately stretch out the margin and put this one out of reach. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles are in desperation mode as they host the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon off last Sunday's disappointing narrow loss to the Patriots. I believe Philadelphia will be hard-pressed to bounce back as it deals with a number of key injuries on the offensive side of the football. That's not to say the Eagles can't find some success offensively against a very beatable Seahawks defense, but with RT Lane Johnson officially out and RB Jordan Howard all but ruled out, they'll need a peak performance from QB Carson Wentz. Of course, Wentz doesn't have his full compliment of wide receivers at his disposal. The Seahawks offense has been outstanding all season and QB Russell Wilson should have a field day picking apart the Eagles overmatched secondary. I'm still not sure the Seahawks WR duo and now trio of Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Josh Gordon get nearly enough credit. Take Seattle (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks v. Eagles OVER 47 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
NFL NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. We're being given a favorable total here thanks to the Eagles low-scoring result in poor weather conditions at home against a suddenly punchless Patriots offense last week. Here, I'm anticipating a shootout as the Seahawks roll into the Linc to face the Eagles. Seahawks QB Russell Wilson should enjoy a ton of success against a very beatable Eagles secondary in this one. I continue to profess that Seattle's wide receiver duo (and now trio) of Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Josh Gordon is one of the most underappreciated units in the entire NFL. Also look for Seahawks RB Chris Carson to get involved heavily in the passing game in this one as the Eagles have had no success defending opponent's short passing attacks this season. On the flip side, likely forced into comeback mode for much of this game, I do expect a big game from Eagles QB Carson Wentz. The Philadelphia wide receiving corps is undermanned right now but it can involve the running backs and certain the tight ends, who draw a favorable matchup here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-23-19 | Troy v. UL-Lafayette OVER 71 | 3-53 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Troy and Louisiana-Lafayette at 5 pm et on Saturday. Regardless how this game plays out, I expect it to find its way 'over' the lofty total. We won with Troy last week as it rolled to a 63-27 win over what I consider to be one of the nation's worst teams in Texas State. Here, the Trojans should find the going a lot tougher, although I do have faith in QB Kaleb Barker to get them into the end zone early and often. Barker has now thrown for at least 330 yards in four straight games, racking up 14 touchdowns compared to just one interception over that stretch. Louisiana-Lafayette will pose a challenge defensively to be sure, but with Troy likely to be forced into comeback mode, I'm confident we'll see Barker bomb away with his excellent group of receivers all afternoon long. The Ragin' Cajuns have more of a run-oriented offensive attack with Elijah Mitchell and Trey Ragas leading the way. With that in mind, they should be able to run wild against a very beatable Troy defense here. We're talking about a Troy defense that even against a usually punchless Texas State offense allowed around 400 yards of total offense and 27 points last week. Note that Louisiana-Lafayette has scored over 30 points in eight of 10 games this season and should be able to better than number here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M v. Georgia -13 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
CFB SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Texas A&M at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Georgia has quietly strung together four straight quality wins, allowing a grand total of just 31 points in the process, since suffering that stunning home loss to South Carolina back on October 12th. Here, I believe the Bulldogs are in a smash spot against Texas A&M. The Aggies are off to a 7-3 start but they've certainly struggled when stepping up in class this season, going winless against the likes of Clemson, Auburn and Alabama. This is another big step-up spot and I look for them to struggle once again. The Aggies will undoubtedly need more from QB Kellen Mond in this one as Georgia will focus on shutting down A&M's vaunted ground attack. Note that Mond hasn't thrown for over 300 yards since September. Georgia's offense hasn't had to be great over the last month or so but I'm confident it can rise to the occasion when needed in this game, which features a relatively low total. Bulldogs QB Jake Fromm completed only 13 passes and threw for just 110 yards in last week's win over Auburn. That was on the road against a better defense than he'll face here, however. Expect a strong bounce-back performance. Take Georgia (10*). |
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11-23-19 | Liberty v. Virginia -16 | Top | 27-55 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Virginia minus the points over Liberty at 12 noon et on Saturday. While the Cavaliers defense stood out early in the season it has been their offense that has really taken off over the last couple of weeks with QB Bryce Perkins rounding into form, RB Wayne Taulapapa remaining a touchdown-machine and WR Terrell Jana developing into a gamebreaker over the last few games. Upstart Liberty has already gained Bowl eligibility but it will be hard-pressed to even stay competitive in this one. While Liberty has won six games, it has also shown some inconsistency, giving up 40+ points against FCS squad Maine and losing outright to lowly Rutgers. After traveling to Provo for a loss to BYU last week, now they stay on the road for a fourth consecutive game - a stretch that has taken the Flames all over the map. I don't think there's any chance Virginia overlooks Liberty here, not after almost suffering an upset loss at the hands of an improving Georgia Tech squad (we won with Georgia Tech on Thursday) last week. Take Virginia (10*). |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wyoming minus the points over Colorado State at 9:30 pm et on Friday. Wyoming became Bowl eligible with a blowout win over Nevada back on October 26th but has gone winless since. That's not overly concerning though as its last two losses came on the road against Boise State and Utah State, and those two setbacks came by a combined eight points. Colorado State can still gain Bowl eligibility by running the table over the final two weeks of the season but that's highly unlikely with this date followed by a home game against Boise State. Simply put, I feel Colorado State owns one of the weakest defenses in the nation and even though Wyoming is by no means an offensive powerhouse, and currently going with backup QB Tyler Vander Waal, who threw three interceptions last time out, I'm confident the Cowboys can inflict some damage here. RB Xzavian Valladay has taken over since the Cowboys starting QB went down, shouldering the bulk of the load on offense running for 444 yards over the last three games. This is a smash spot for him against a Rams defense that allows over five yards per rush this season. Take Wyoming (10*). |
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11-22-19 | Rangers +106 v. Senators | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Ottawa at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Rangers are in a solid revenge spot here after suffering a 6-2 blowout loss on home ice against the Senators back on November 4th. Since that loss, the Rangers have gone 4-3 over their last seven contests, culminating with a big win over the Capitals on home ice on Wednesday. This is a clear letdown spot for the Sens after they pulled out an overtime win over the rival Canadiens in Montreal on Wednesday. That marked their second consecutive win, although the first of those came against the lowly Red Wings. Note that the road team has now won each of the last three meetings in this series. Take New York (10*). |
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11-22-19 | Hawks +6.5 v. Pistons | 103-128 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have struggled out of the gates but I believe the Hawks have a little more upside heading into Friday night's contest in Detroit. Atlanta has had the Pistons number in the Motor City in recent years, winning each of the last two meetings here outright and four straight ATS. Neither team checks in sporting solid form offensively. The Hawks sit 23rd in the league in offensive rating over their last five games while the Pistons are just two spots ahead of them over that same stretch. Atlanta actually pulls up the league rear in terms of defensive rating over its last five games but the Pistons haven't been much better in that regard either, sitting 26th. The reason I believe the Hawks can put one over on Detroit here is the fact that they are second in the league in pace rating over their last five contests while the Pistons rank in the league's bottom-eight. If Atlanta can effectively push the pace here it should be able to really expose a struggling Detroit defense. The Hawks don't play much 'D' themselves, but I'm simply not convinced the Pistons can take advantage. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Houston at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Colts in a matchup where home field rarely means much and the underdog has thrived, going 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. What more could you want from the Colts on the road this season? They opened the campaign with an overtime loss against the Chargers in Los Angeles before upsetting the Titans and Chiefs and then falling by just two points in Pittsburgh. Now they square off against a Texans squad reeling off last week's annihilation at the hands of the red hot Ravens in Baltimore. Save for a blowout win over the Falcons, Houston hasn't had an easy time finding the win column at home, with two of its three victories coming by a combined four points. I don't like the way the Texans defense matches up at all against the Colts passing game, which could get WR T.Y. Hilton back on the field on Thursday night. While the Colts defense will have its hands full with QB DeShaun Watson and WR DeAndre Hopkins, I really don't feel that the Texans offense is all that imposing. Watson will need a monumental effort to bounce-back from last week's rough ride against the Ravens. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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11-21-19 | Flames +1.5 v. Blues | 0-5 | Loss | -188 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary +1.5 goals over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Flames are sliding right now, having lost five games in a row - a skid that started with an overtime loss to these same Blues at home on November 9th. They easily could have folded the tent after falling behind 3-0 against Colorado on Tuesday but didn't, battling back but falling just short in a 3-2 loss. It's not as if the Flames have been losing to bad teams. Their five-game losing streak has come at the hands of the Blues, Stars, Coyotes, Knights and Avalanche. The Blues have actually been struggling as well, having dropped three of their last four games, but they did bounce back with a 3-1 win over the Lightning last time out. You would have to go back six games to find the last time they scored more than four goals in a game The Flames are a good hockey team. I don't believe they'll stay down for long, and I certainly think they'll be up for this revenge spot against the defending Stanley Cup champions. Take Calgary +1.5 goals (10*). |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
CFB ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia Tech minus the points over N.C. State at 8 pm et on Thursday. N.C. State may own the better overall record, but its a dead heat between these two struggling squads from an ATS perspective with both checking in at a miserable 2-8. I simply feel that the Yellow Jackets have a lot more upside at this point of the season and should defend their home field successfully on Thursday night in Atlanta. N.C. State has lost four games in a row both SU and ATS with its last victory coming in an ugly 16-10 affair against a disappointing Syracuse squad way back on October 10th. The Wolfpack's only other win over the course of their current 2-6 slide came in a non-cover against Ball State. Even though Georgia Tech is coming off a 45-0 drubbing at the hands of Virginia Tech, it hasn't given up on the season, as evidenced by its 2-2 ATS record over its last four games, including a stunning overtime win at Miami and a narrow five-point loss at Virginia. I expect a strong bounce-back from the Jackets here in what is essentially their last shot at a victory this season before taking on Georgia in their annual regular season finale. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Detroit at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Bulls have only been installed as a short favorite in this one but I believe there's a good chance they run the Pistons off the floor at United Center on Wednesday. Note that Detroit does check in showing excellent form offensively, ranking sixth in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. There are a couple of problems, however. The Pistons are 26th in pace rating over that same stretch and face a Bulls squad that sits in the top half of the league in defensive rating over their last five games as well. Chicago impressively sits atop the league in pace rating over that same period and should be able to take full advantage of a Pistons team that ranks 26th in defensive rating. Take Chicago (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | 135-127 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. This is an absolute smash spot for the Bucks as they head to Atlanta to take on the Hawks. Milwaukee's offense has lagged a little of late, and we took advantage of that fact by playing the 'under' in its last game in Chicago on Monday night. However, this is a true 'get right' spot against a Hawks squad that ranks dead last in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. Note that over that same stretch, no team ranks higher in pace rating than the Bucks. While Atlanta likes to push the pace as well, and sits right behind the Bucks in pace rating over its last five contests, I'm not sure it will be able to find much success given Milwaukee ranks best in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. Atlanta's offensive efficiency is lagging right now as it ranks 26th in offensive rating over its last five games. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Akron plus the points over Miami-Ohio at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. Akron is winless on the season, not just straight-up but against the spread as well. I believe the Zips end their streak of futility here, however, as they travel to face a Redhawks squad that couldn't be blamed for being a little complacent in this the back-half of consecutive home games against the MAC's two worst teams. The one positive I'll point to as far as Akron goes is QB Kato Nelson. He has actually managed to throw for over 1,600 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions this season and has now tossed 33 touchdowns compared to just 16 interceptions over the course of his three-year career with the Zips. When these two teams met last season the Redhawks were actually the underdog. Akron has delivered the cash in three of the last four meetings in this series. Take Akron (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 54.5 | 30-49 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toledo and Buffalo at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. Toledo is coming off a string of high-scoring games, with the 'over' cashing in each of its last four contests. I look for that streak to end here, however, as the Rockets face a tough challenge in the form of the Buffalo Bulls on Wednesday night. Note that the Rockets offense has been far better at home than on the road this season. Save for a big performance at Colorado State (who owns one of the weakest defenses in the nation), Toledo has scored just 45 points combined in its other three road tilts. Last year, Buffalo went into the Glass Bowl and held the Rockets to only 17 points in a game that featured a closing total of 63 points. The 'over' has cashed in the Bulls last three games, with their offense getting loose against the likes of Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan and Kent State. They should find the going a little tougher here, even if Toledo hasn't looked particularly stout on the defensive side of the football over its last few games. Take the under (10*). |
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11-20-19 | Spurs v. Wizards OVER 237 | 132-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. This may look like an exorbitantly high total on paper, but it's warranted in my opinion. This one sets up nicely from all angles. The Spurs rank top-10 in offensive rating and second-last in defensive rating over their last five games. Meanwhile, the Wizards have been near the top of the chart in terms of offensive rating all season, currently sitting fifth over their last five contests. They're 28th in defensive rating over the same stretch. The Wiz are also tied for fourth in pace rating over their last five games and while the Spurs check in 18th in that category, I think the sheer ineptness of the Wizards defense, and the fact that San Antonio may be playing catch-up most of the night, plays in our favor with an 'over' ticket in hand. Take the over (10*). |
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11-19-19 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Northern Illinois | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Eastern Michigan minus the points over Northern Illinois at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. Northern Illinois pulled out a win at Toledo last week to keep its slim hopes of reaching a Bowl game alive. Of course, those hopes aren't quite as slim now as they need to win out over their final two regular season games to get to six victories. I believe they'll be hard-pressed to string together a second straight win here, however. Eastern Michigan can likely pick up its sixth win at home against Kent State on Black Friday, but will certainly be motivated to take care of that on Tuesday night in DeKalb. The Eagles are an even 3-3 on the road this season, including a notable win at Illinois and a tough three-point loss at Toledo. I like the progression we've seen from Eagles QB Mike Glass III. While he was throwing more touchdowns earlier in the season he was also throwing a lot more interceptions. In fact, he hasn't tossed a single interception in his last three games. Huskies QB Ross Bowers is back healthy but has thrown just two touchdowns compared to three interceptions since returning and hasn't thrown multiple touchdown passes in a game since August 31st against FCS opponent Illinois State. Take Eastern Michigan (10*). |
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11-19-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 54.5 | Top | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
CFB MAC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Eastern Michigan and Northern Illinois at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in Northern Illinois' 31-28 win over Toledo last week but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday night as the Huskies return home to host Eastern Michigan. I did like what I saw from the Huskies defense for the first three quarters in that game anyway. Northern Illinois allowed a touchdown with just under six minutes remaining in the first quarter against Toledo but then didn't give up any more points until a minute into the fourth quarter. The Huskies know they can't become complacent defensively in this one after giving up 21 fourth quarter points before kicking a game-winning field goal in the closing seconds last week. Eastern Michigan will certainly be up for this one, knowing that a win would make it Bowl eligible with a game to spare. Note that Northern Illinois has scored 24 points or less in six of 10 games this season. The Huskies put up 26 points the last time they faced the Eagles last season, but that was a stronger NIU squad that won eight games. Take the under (10*). |
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11-19-19 | Islanders +111 v. Penguins | Top | 5-4 | Win | 111 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year. My selection is on New York over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. There have been times where the Penguins have actually had more success with either Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin sidelined and right now Crosby is on the shelf (and the Pens are fresh off a 6-1 dismantling of the Maple Leafs on Saturday night). Here, however, I believe there is a class difference that is not being properly reflected in this line. The Islanders are red hot, but have some unfinished business here with their most recent loss coming at the hands of Pittsburgh (in overtime). While the Pens are dealing with a number of key injuries, the Isles are relatively healthy nearly two months into the season. This will only be New York's second game in the last six days so it does come in well-rested as well, having made the short trip from Philadelphia on Saturday. For the Penguins, this marks their third game in the last five days. Take New York (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -9.5 | 88-90 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Oklahoma City at 10:35 pm et on Monday. This is a favorable spot for the Clippers as they aim to build off of Saturday's incredible 150-point outburst against Atlanta. That win snapped a two-game skid for Los Angeles so this is not time to get complacent. Note that the Thunder check in 17th in offensive rating and 25th in defensive rating over their last five games. That's not to mention their less than impressive 19th standing in pace rating over that stretch. Meanwhile, the Clips are top-12 in offensive rating and top-3 in defensive rating while also sitting an impressive sixth in pace rating. It should only be a matter of time before L.A. pulls away in this one. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
NFL AFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark (barely) with the Chargers last week as they fell by just two points in Oakland. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Los Angeles here, however, even if this does appear to be an even tougher matchup. First of all, I'm not sure it actually is a tougher matchup. The Raiders are far better than anyone could have anticipated and last week the Chargers found that out first hand. Unlike the Raiders, the Chiefs don't possess a quality defense. Nor does Kansas City have a consistently productive ground attack. QB Patrick Mahomes returned from injury and looked very 'Mahomes-like' in last week's narrow loss in Tennessee, throwing for a season-high as far as pass yards goes. I simply feel that the Chargers, with their excellent offensive balance led by the re-emergence of RB Melvin Gordon, can go blow-for-blow with Andy Reid's Chiefs, just as they did in their most recent meeting last season - a wild 29-28 victory at Arrowhead Stadium on a Thursday night in December. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 228 | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Monday. It may seem a little odd playing the 'under' in a game between the two teams that rank first and second in the league in pace rating over their last five games. But neither squad in is peak form offensively, with Milwaukee sitting a surprising 23rd in the league in offensive rating over its last five contests and Chicago nearly pulling up the rear in 29th. The Bucks check in second in defensive rating while the Bulls are a solid fifth in that department over their last five games. Take the under (10*). |
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11-18-19 | Blazers v. Rockets -7 | 108-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Portland at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the surging Rockets as they host the Blazers on Monday night. Portland is coming off a hard-fought road win in San Antonio two nights ago but should find the going a little tougher in this matchup. The Rockets check in top-10 in the league in offensive rating and first overall in defensive rating over their last five games. Not surprisingly they also land top-10 in pace rating. For the Blazers part, they barely land in the top half of the league in offensive rating, bottom-10 in defensive rating, and 16th in pace rating over their last five contests. Take Houston (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Chicago at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. The Bears pulled out a 20-13 win over the Matt Stafford-less Lions last Sunday but now find themselves in a miserable spot traveling west to face the Rams in primetime on Sunday night. Chicago's offense is still broken as far as I'm concerned and the Rams have the ability to make the Bears completely one-dimensional by taking away their ground attack altogether. The addition of Jalen Ramsey gives the Rams the ability to take away their opponents' best weapon in the passing game and in this case, if they can limit WR Allen Robinson they should be able to absolutely cripple the Bears offense. Rams QB Jared Goff has been far from great this season and will likely be under duress for much of the night on Sunday. With that being said, I'm not sure Los Angeles will need to score points in bunches to pull away for a comfortable win here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. Saskatchewan | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. The Riders miserable 1-3 start to the season has long been forgotten as they've been one of the best teams in the CFL for months now, doing it largely on the strength of a stellar defense that has come up big time and time again. Here, however, I believe they're up against it facing a Blue Bombers squad that has really come together over the course of three consecutive battles with the Stampeders, culminating with last week's stunning 35-14 rout in Calgary. QB Zach Collaros has stepped in and given the offense a nice balance with Chris Streveler still contributing as well. Defensively, it doesn't get much better than holding Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell to 12-of-28 passing for 116 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions last week. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair all the way on Sunday and will gladly take the points with the Bombers. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 36 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Hamilton at 1 pm et on Sunday. Both regular season meetings between these two teams went 'over' the posted total we're dealing with on Sunday and the Eskimos are coming off a wild, high-scoring 37-29 win over Montreal last week to earn a spot in this Grey Cup semi-final matchup. I'll gladly take the contrarian route, however, and call for a lower-scoring game than expected as the Eskimos and Tiger-Cats do battle on Sunday afternoon in Hamilton. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris has appeared in just two games since the first week of September but certainly looked to be in excellent form in last week's win over the Alouettes. He was afforded a clean pocket for much of the afternoon and took full advantage, completing 36-of-39 passes for 421 yards and a touchdown. The fact that he was only able to throw one touchdown was telling, however, as the Eskimos have struggled to finish drives with 7's on the board for much of the season. Here, look for Harris to be under duress all afternoon long as the Esks take a big step up in class against the Ti-Cats defense. Hamilton QB Dane Evans has done a tremendous job leading the offense since taking over the starting job for an injured Jeremiah Masoli, but I do wonder how he'll handle the big stage on Sunday. Note that the Eskimos defense will be getting their third look at Evans since September 20th. Take the under (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton -5 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 75 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Edmonton at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eskimos have gone winless in two meetings with the Tiger-Cats this season and while it's awfully tough to beat any opponent three times in the same season, I do think Hamilton will be up for the challenge on Sunday. The Ti-Cats defense has really stepped up down the stretch, allowing fewer than 20 points in seven of their last 10 games. With Edmonton struggling to finish drives with touchdown all season long, there's reason to believe the Hamilton defense will thrive once again on Sunday afternoon. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris was afforded a clean pocket all afternoon long in Montreal last week but won't be so fortunate here. The Ti-Cats have proven to have the ability to not only score on offense, but on special teams and defense as well. That could prove to be the difference here. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens -4 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday. While this is being pegged as a tightly-contested shootout between MVP candidates DeShaun Watson and Lamar Jackson, I expect it to fizzle with the Ravens imposing their will and winning this one going away. This is arguably the toughest matchup Watson has faced this season, on the road no less. I question whether head coach Bill O'Brien's play-calling can get them there against an elite opponent like the Ravens, to be completely honest. This is a game where the Texans defensive absences, most notably J.J. Watt will really come back to haunt them. At 6-3 I do consider Houston to be a bit of a paper tiger while Baltimore is the real deal, having already taken down the mighty Patriots. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
NFL NFC South Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. This game has shootout written all over it in on Sunday afternoon. The Saints got caught looking right past the Falcons last week as they could muster only nine points in a blowout loss, at home no less. This is an ideal bounce-back spot, however, as Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense should absolutely ether a weak Bucs defense. WR Michael Thomas has quietly been putting together a record-setting campaign and he should go off in this particular matchup. Meanwhile, the Saints defense is dealing with a number of key absences right now, the least of which being CB Marshon Lattimore, who would have likely shadowed Bucs standout WR Mike Evans. The New Orleans defense simply hasn't lived up to expectations this season and could be in for another rough ride against an increasingly aggressive Bucs offense on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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11-16-19 | UCLA v. Utah -21 | 3-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over UCLA at 8 pm et on Saturday. UCLA has strung together three straight wins to put itself back in the Bowl conversation but it faces an uphill battle, starting with Saturday's game at Utah. The Bruins have scored 30+ points in four straight contests but are highly unlikely to approach that number here. The Utes have given up a grand total of just 33 points in five home games this season. Their lone loss came way back in mid-September at USC. I like the consistency the Utes have shown on both sides of the football, with QB Tyler Huntley having thrown just one interception all season. By contrast, UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson already thrown a whopping eight picks. The last time these two teams met it was no contest as Utah rolled to a 41-10 victory last season. Expect another dominant performance from the Utes on Saturday. Take Utah (10*). |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa minus the points over Minnesota at 4 pm et on Saturday. This is obviously a massive letdown spot for Minnesota coming off that huge win over Penn State last Saturday. The Golden Gophers enter this game with a perfect 9-0 record but it's not as if they're been slaying giants all season. This will certainly be a tough test against a terrific Iowa defense that has held its own against the best of the best this season. The Hawkeyes check in 6-3 on the campaign but have dropped three of their last five overall. That has had more to do with their schedule than anything else as they've suffered losses at Michigan, vs. Penn State and last week by just two points at Wisconsin. I look for the Iowa offense to finally get going a bit today, while the defense does its thing and guides the Hawkeyes to a big victory. Take Iowa (10*). |
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11-16-19 | Troy -6.5 v. Texas State | Top | 63-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
CFB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Troy minus the points over Texas State at 3 pm et on Saturday. Troy has its work cut out for it in order to gain Bowl eligibility this season but it all starts with this very winnable game against Texas State. With the Trojans highly-unlikely to beat both Louisiana-Lafayette and Appalachian State over their final two games, this almost becomes a must-win. I'm confident we'll see the Trojans perform accordingly. If you follow my plays regularly, you know that I'm not very high on Texas State, even though it has shown up and battled on occasion this season, even managing to win three games outright. I still believe the Bobcats have one of the weakest offenses in the entire FBS. They did score 30 points in a win last week, but that came against lowly South Alabama (1-8). Troy possesses a far more dynamic offense with QB Kaleb Barker having thrown for over 300 yards on five different occasions, while tossing at least two touchdown passes in eight of nine games this season. RB DK Billingsley has made the most of relatively limited touches, rushing for over 100 yards on four different occasions. He's coming off his best performance of the season last time out, running for 163 yards and two touchdowns on only 14 carries. The Trojans defense leaves a lot to be desired but I'm not convinced Texas State will be able to take full advantage. Take Troy (10*). |
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11-15-19 | Celtics -7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boston minus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Friday. This is the start of a five-game western road swing for the Celtics as they look to extend their winning streak to 10 games and I'm confident we'll see them do so in convincing fashion on Friday night. Note that Boston ranks tops in the league in offensive rating over its last five games, and by a considerable margin. Golden State on the other hand sits 28th over that same stretch. Really the only thing the Warriors have going for them right now is the fact that they've been pushing the tempo, sitting 12th in pace rating over their last five contests, but that should only open the door for the Celtics to really get loose offensively. Boston is in the top half of the league in defensive rating over its last five games while Golden State is just one spot shy of pulling up the rear, sitting 29th in that department. Take Boston (10*). |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall UNDER 55 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'under' between Louisiana Tech and Marshall at 7 pm et on Friday. Louisiana Tech has been absolutely mowing down the competition in C-USA play, but has also faced an extremely light schedule recently. Since the start of October, the Bulldogs have gone bye week, UMass, Southern Miss, UTEP and North Texas. Those four opponents represent four of the weakest defensive teams in the country. While the Bulldogs have absolutely scored at will over the last month, this is the same team that was held to 20 points against Grambling State and put up only 23 points at Rice. Marshall isn't likely to blow the doors off of Louisiana Tech here, and that should lend itself to a lower-scoring affair than the oddsmakers are calling for. The Thundering Herd were in an absolute smash spot offensively last time out against Rice, but could only muster 20 points. QB Isaiah Green has proven to be a game manager more than anything else, throwing for fewer than 270 yards in all but one game this season, while managing more than single touchdown pass on just three occasions. Take the under (10*). |
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11-14-19 | Nets v. Nuggets OVER 221.5 | 93-101 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Brooklyn and Denver at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Denver on Thursday night. Brooklyn checks in ranking sixth in the league in offensive rating and fourth in pace rating over its last five games. This is certainly not an ideal matchup, however, as the Nets face a Nuggets squad that ranks third in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. I do feel that given the pace and efficiency we've seen from Brooklyn offensively in recent games that it will be able to find some success in this matchup, noting that there's a good chance it will be in comeback mode much of the way. Denver ranks a miserable 23rd in the league in offensive rating and 29th in pace rating over its last five contests but this is a true 'get right' spot against a Nets squad that ranks 28th in defensive rating over that same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NFL AFC North Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Cleveland at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I have no confidence in the Browns to string together consecutive wins at this stage of the season. Meanwhile, the Steelers have found their identity as a hard-nosed team that runs the football and plays an aggressive, opportunistic brand of defense. Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph certainly doesn't instill a great deal of confidence, but he is expected to have RB James Conner back at his disposal on Thursday night and WR JuJu Smith-Schuster is in line for a big breakout performance against a Browns defense that has had no success defending receivers in the slot. The Browns have a quality defense and should be able to get after Rudolph in this one, but what about their offense? It's been a sputtering, turnover-prone unit and while RB Kareem Hunt gave them a boost in his debut, I'm not ready to say that the offense is back. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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11-14-19 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh OVER 50 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between North Carolina and Pittsburgh at 8 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams come in well-rested having not played since November 2nd, giving them ample time to gameplan for this key mid-November showdown. North Carolina QB Sam Howell has thrown for over 340 yards in three of his last four games, compiling an incredible 15 touchdown passes over that stretch. That's not to mention the Tar Heels very capable backfield tandem of Javonte Williams and Michael Carter. Pitt's offense has left a lot to be desired over its last few games, all of the lower-scoring variety, but I expect a big bounce-back here. QB Kenny Pickett has thrown four interceptions over his last two games, but I don't expect him to simply be a game manager in this contest. The Panthers know they'll need to go on the attack to keep pace with an improving Tar Heels offense, and I look for them to find some success with the Pickett-to-Ffrench connection. Maurice Ffrench hasn't hauled in a touchdown in his last two games, but should find the end zone against a beatable Tar Heels secondary here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-14-19 | Buffalo -5.5 v. Kent State | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Kent State at 7 pm et on Thursday. I've said it on a few occasions this season and I'll say it again here; Kent State is one of the nation's weakest teams, particularly on the defensive side of the football, and I look for the Golden Flashes to get gashed once again here. Most jumped off the Buffalo bandwagon early this season as the Bulls dropped their first two MAC contests. Since then, all they've done is reel off three straight wins, outscoring the opposition by an incredible 107-34 margin. Of course their opposition has left a lot to be desired but you can only play the teams in front of you, and they catch another favorable matchup here, noting that the Bulls routed the Golden Flashes 48-14 in their most recent meeting last November. Buffalo will undoubtedly gain Bowl eligibility at some point, but it would certainly rather take care of that right here tonight. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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11-13-19 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo UNDER 53 | 31-28 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Northern Illinois and Toledo at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Toledo has been involved in back-to-back high-scoring shootouts, flaming a couple of bad defenses in Eastern Michigan and Kent State in posting consecutive victories. I expect the Rockets to face a little more resistance against rival Northern Illinois here. The Huskies are fresh off a beatdown at the hands of Central Michigan but will undoubtedly get up for this game, knowing they need to run the table over their final three games to become Bowl eligible. With a win here, that would certainly still be well within the realm of possibility, noting they have two home games to close out the regular season. Note that Northern Illinois has held five of nine opponents this season to 27 points or less. The Huskies biggest issue has been their lack of consistent offensive production, scoring 24 points or less in seven of nine contests. Take the under (10*). |
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11-13-19 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 225.5 | 133-140 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Boston at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this one sets up as a track meet at TD Garden on Wednesday night. The Wizards check in ranking seventh in the league in offensive rating over their last five games while sitting dead last in defensive rating over that same stretch. While Boston does rank eighth in defensive rating over its last five, I think the Wiz can overcome that somewhat and contribute to our cause thanks to their up-tempo style of play. Washington sits fifth in the league in pace rating over its last five games. For the Celtics part, they rank third in offensive rating over their last five and should be able to blowtorch a struggling Wiz defense here. Take the over (10*). |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 46 | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Eastern Michigan and Akron at 6 pm et on Tuesday. Akron has scored a grand total of just nine points over its last four games but here the Zips have a fine opportunity to bust out against a weak Eastern Michigan defense. The Eagles have allowed 30+ points in five of nine contests this season, while also giving up 29 points against FCS opponent Central Connecticut State. Prior to its current lull, Akron had scored 60 points over its previous three games. Defensively, the Zips have only managed to limit their points allowed thanks to game script. Make no mistake, this is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation. Eastern Michigan is in a clear 'get-right' spot offensively after getting trounced by Buffalo at home last time out. Take the over (10*). |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +6.5 v. 49ers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over San Francisco at 8:15 pm et on Monday. The 49ers have a giant target on their backs now as they remain undefeated heading into the second week of November. While the Seahawks and their lagging defense will face a tough challenge here, I'm confident they can at the very least take the Niners down to the wire in Santa Clara. We saw some vulnerability from the Niners defense last week against Arizona and I expect that to continue to be the storyline here on Monday as the Seahawks should find considerable success both on the ground and through the air. The San Francisco run defense in particular is in a tough spot with LB Kwon Alexander sidelined for the season with torn pec. That really opens things up for the Seahawks, whose offense is far more effective when it is able to mix in consistent gains on the ground. Offensively, the 49ers are coming off a fine performance but this is by no means a juggernaut. The Seahawks defense has been a swinging gate at times, but should rise to the occasion in this divisional affair. Take Seattle (10*). |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | 28-24 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Minnesota at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. The Cowboys are on an uptick right now fresh off a win over the Giants on Monday night. They're in another favorable spot here, back at home in a primetime affair against a solid but vulnerable Vikings squad. I expect the Minnesota offense to struggle at times in this one as it tries to deal with a healthy and improving Cowboys defense. Offensively, Dallas went through a bit of a lull but things appear to be back in order now and at home in a favored role, I look for it to open things up and ultimately pull away for a convincing victory on Sunday night. Take Dallas (10*). |
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11-10-19 | Giants v. Jets +3 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on the Jets plus the points over the Giants at 1 pm et on Sunday. Things literally can't get any worse for the Jets after they lost at the hands of the winless, supposedly taking Dolphins last week in Miami. I fully expect to see Gang Green bounce back against the rival Giants on Sunday, noting we cashed a ticket fading Big Blue just this past Monday night with the Cowboys. This is an absolute smash spot for the Jets offense against a vulnerable Giants defense playing on a short week. Jets QB Sam Darnold has not played well at all but I still believe he has the tools to succeed in the NFL and I'm confident he'll enjoy a breakout performance against the G-Men and their non-existent pass rush and swiss cheese secondary. Not only is Darnold and the Jets passing game in line for a bounce-back but we should see a big performance from RB Le'Veon Bell as well. Game script kept him from exploding against the Dolphins last Sunday but if the Jets are able to build a lead here, Bell should go off. Take the Jets (10*). |
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11-09-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kentucky minus the points over Tennessee at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Kentucky controls its own destiny as far as Bowl eligibility goes with a relatively light schedule remaining. The Wildcats have won two of their last three games following a three-game slide and enter this contest off their bye week. While they were idle last week, Tennessee was steamrolling a solid UAB squad by a 30-7 score at home. Even off back-to-back wins, I'm not convinced the Vols are all the way back after a rough start to the season. With only three games left on the schedule and in need of two victories, they're facing an uphill battle toward Bowl eligibility. When these two teams met last year the Vols secured a 24-7 victory but I won't be surprised if the script is flipped this time around. Take Kentucky (10*). |
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11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama -5.5 | 46-41 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Alabama minus the points over LSU at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. We've picked our spots going against the Crimson Tide in recent years, but not during the regular season. Once again, I look for Alabama to prove itself in this massive showdown with LSU. Yes, this is the best Tigers squad we've seen in years but I'm not sure that means they can hang with the Tide for 60 minutes. The key here should be the Alabama defense, as it will clamp down on LSU QB Joe Burrow. The Tigers haven't had to play from behind much at all this season but that's almost a certainty on Saturday afternoon at Bryant-Denny Stadium. All indications are that Alabama will have Tua back at its disposal and I look for him to lead the Tide to another convincing win over an SEC rival. Take Alabama (10*). |
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11-09-19 | UTSA v. Old Dominion UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
CFB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between UTSA and Old Dominion at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'm not anticipating much in the way of offensive fireworks in this matchup on Saturday afternoon. The UTSA defense hasn't been performing well lately but has also faced the likes of UAB and Texas A&M in two of its last three games. Here, it takes a big step down in class against a punchless Old Dominion offense. The Monarchs battled hard but ultimately fell a touchdown short in a 24-17 setback at Florida International last week. ODU has now been held to 17 points or less in five consecutive games. The Monarchs haven't always been stout defensively this season but catch a favorable matchup against a banged-up and talent-shy Roadrunners offense. Take the under (10*). |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State +10.5 | 19-7 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
CFB Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oregon State plus the points over Washington at 10:30 pm et on Friday. This isn't the same Washington squad we've seen in years past, as evidenced by the fact that the Huskies have already dropped four games in Pac-12 play. They should be on upset alert again on Friday night as they face an upstart Oregon State squad that needs two victories in its final four games to become Bowl eligible. Given it still has to play Arizona State, Washington State and Oregon, with the latter two matchups coming on the road, this game is virtually a must-win. The Beavers are fresh off a 56-point explosion at Arizona last week. While their defense leaves a lot to be desired, their offense has shown the ability to score at will. I'm comfortable grabbing a generous helping of points with the home side here. Take Oregon State (10*). |
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11-07-19 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 219 | 124-108 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this one sets up as a lower-scoring affair than the oddsmakers are calling for on Thursday night. Miami checks in an impressive fifth in the league in defensive rating over its last five games while sitting 17th in pace rating over that same stretch. On the flip side, the Heat rank bottom 10 in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. The upstart Suns rank ninth in offensive rating over that same stretch but it's also worth noting they're surprisingly in the top half of the league in defensive rating. They will look to push the tempo here, but I'm not anticipating a track meet. Take the under (10*). |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -123 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
NFL TNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over Oakland at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. The Chargers have suddenly found their footing, registering back-to-back wins at Chicago and at home against Green Bay and I look for them to keep it rolling as they face the rival Raiders in Oakland on Thursday night. I really like the way things have come together for the previously underachieving Chargers offense, most notably with RB Melvin Gordon busting out with a big performance against the Packers last Sunday. The door is wide open for this unit to really explode against a beatable Raiders defense on a short week. Oakland does pose a challenge with its own emerging offense but I'm confident the Chargers defense will rise to the occasion. RB Josh Jacobs is the front-runner for offensive rookie of the year but the offense can still only go as far as QB Derek Carr takes it as far as I'm concerned. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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11-06-19 | Bucks +1 v. Clippers | 129-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I fully expect to see the Bucks take it to the Clippers on Wednesday night at Staples Center. Milwaukee checks in ranking first in offensive rating and sixth in defensive rating over its last five games. It also ranks ninth in the league in pace rating over that same stretch. Meanwhile, the Clippers sit in the middle of the pack in both offensive and defensive rating over their last five games and bottom-eight in pace rating. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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