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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-25-20 | Arsenal v. Southampton | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) over Southampton at 1 pm et on Thursday. Bettors are understandably a little jittery when it comes to Arsenal, which has been a big disappointment in the EPL this season, currently sitting in 11th place. The Gunners haven't looked good since the restart, going 0-1-1 including an awful loss to Brighton & Hove Albion last time out. It is worth noting that the Gunners did control the pace of that match for the most part, but simply couldn't capitalize on their opportunities. Here, I look for a different story to unfold against Southampton. It sits 14th in the EPL standings and is in for a letdown coming off a 3-0 victory over Norwich City. That marked just its second victory in its last eight matches overall. Take Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) 10*. |
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06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth +1 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Bournemouth +1 goal over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Bournemouth sits a miserable 18th in the EPL and is coming off a less-than-inspired 2-0 loss to Crystal Palace in its return to the pitch this past Saturday. Still, I'll grab the one-goal cushion with the underdog side here as it takes on a Wolves squad in for a letdown off a 2-0 victory over West Ham. Note that the Wanderers have just 11 outright victories in 30 EPL matches this season. Covering the goal spread is a bridge too far on this day. Take Bournemouth +1 goal (10*). |
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06-24-20 | Everton v. Norwich City +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Norwich City +0.5 goals over Everton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the bounce-back spot for Norwich City here as it aims to rebound from an awful showing in a 3-0 loss to Southampton this past Friday. Meanwhile, Everton is in a letdown spot of sorts coming off a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Liverpool on Sunday. Norwich City certainly doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence given its 20th place standing but it has shown the ability to rise to the occasion at times this season and it's worth noting that it has suffered only six outright losses in 30 EPL matches. I'm not as high on Everton as most here on Wednesday. Take Norwich City +0.5 goals (10*). |
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06-24-20 | Sheffield United v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | 0-3 | Win | 103 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over 2.5 goals between Sheffield United and Manchester United at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the value being offered with the 'over' in this match on Wednesday. Man U is coming off a 1-1 draw against Tottenham last Friday as the Red Devils got bogged down and were ultimately fortunate to come away with a draw (even if the result could have been better were it not for a reversed penalty call late). Here, I look for Man U to get loose against Sheffield United, which is fresh off a disappointing 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Newcastle. I'm not willing to lay the big price here, so will instead look to the total as I look for both sides to find the scoresheet and ultimately push this one 'over' the reasonable number. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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06-23-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Levante +1 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Levante +1 goal over Atletico Madrid at 1:30 pm et on Tuesday. Atletico Madrid narrowly escaped with a 1-0 victory on Saturday against Valladolid, improving to 2-0-1 since the La Liga restart earlier this month. That less than inspiring performance has me wondering whether they'll avoid disappointment against upstart Levante on Tuesday, however. Levante sits 11th in La Liga but has gone undefeated in three matches since the restart. Keep in mind, this is a squad that defeated Real Madrid and suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Barcelona back in February. I like it's chances of staying with in arm's reach of Atletico Madrid on Tuesday afternoon and will gladly grab the insurance goal. Take Levante +1 goal (10*). |
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06-14-20 | Kevin Harvick -140 v. Chase Elliott | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
NASCAR Play of the Week. My selection is on Kevin Harvick over Chase Elliott at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. Kevin Harvick has had plenty of success here at Homestead, having finished top-four or better in six consecutive races here going back to 2014. Meanwhile, Chase Elliott has just four races under his belt at this track, never finishing better than fifth and 15th in last year's race here in Miami. Harvick has nine top-10 finishes in 11 races so far this season but will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 15th place finish in Martinsville earlier this week. I like his chances and will back him at a very reasonable price against the fan favorite Elliott here on Sunday afternoon. Take Harvick (10*). |
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06-13-20 | Chase Briscoe -150 v. Dale Earnhardt Jr | 0-1 | Loss | -150 | 32 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chase Briscoe over Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 3:35 pm et on Saturday. Dale Earnhardt Jr. will make his lone scheduled appearance in the Xfinity Series on Saturday in Homestead but I don't expect it to be a triumphant one. He made single appearances in each of the last two seasons, finishing fourth and fifth place - impressive showings to be sure. I'm not convinced he'll keep up his string of top-five finishes here, however, while I feel that Chase Briscoe has an excellent chance of grabbing the checkered flag. Briscoe has been incredibly consistent this season, winning a pair of races outright while finishing top-five on four occasions and top-10 six times in eight races. Give me youth over experience in this case. Take Briscoe (10*). |
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06-13-20 | Brandon Jones -150 v. Justin Haley | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brandon Jones over Justin Haley at 3:35 pm et on Saturday. We successfully faded Brandon Jones a week ago, backing Harrison Burton in their head-to-head matchup. Here, I'll go the other way and back Jones in a matchup with Justin Haley. The 23-year old Jones has certainly held his own once again this season, recording his season career victory while finishing top-10 in five of eight races, and top-four on three different occasions. He brings excellent form into this race having finished third and eighth place in his last two races. Justin Haley is coming off a season-best third place finish last time out but prior to that had failed to finish better than 10th place in his last three races. He has four top-six finishes in eight races this season but three of those came prior to the restart last month. Take Jones (10*). |
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06-11-20 | Jon Rahm -125 v. Justin Thomas | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Jon Rahm over Justin Thomas at the Charles Schwab Challenge (Thursday at 9 am et). Jon Rahm is arguably one of the most competitive players on the PGA Tour, some would say to a fault. Here, I fully expect a strong showing from Rahm after he surprisingly missed the cut at last year's event at Colonial Country Club. I say surprisingly because Rahm had finished T5 and T2 in his previous two appearances at the Charles Schwab Challenge. You can be sure he'll be highly-motivated, and focused on rectifying last year's disastrous performance as the PGA Tour returns this week. Justin Thomas will be making his debut here at Colonial. While I'm not about to count out a player of Thomas' caliber, I do feel he's at a disadvantage to Rahm in this instance. Note that Thomas spent some of his 'time off' working for TNT on the broadcast of 'The Match Part Two' between Tiger, Peyton, Phil and Tom. I simply believe we'll see Rahm in better form than Thomas throughout the weekend in Texas. Take Rahm (10*). |
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06-10-20 | Kyle Busch -155 v. Martin Truex Jr | 0-1 | Loss | -155 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kyle Busch over Martin Truex Jr. at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Kyle Busch has yet to take the checkered flag this NASCAR Cup Series season but it's coming. He's finished top-four or better in four of the last five races and I like him in this head-to-head matchup with fellow veteran Martin Truex Jr. on Wednesday night. Note that Truex Jr. has just one top-five finish to his credit this season, and that came in Sunday's QuikTrip 500, when he still finished behind Busch. I'll pay the tariff to back the driver with much higher upside here. Take Busch (10*). |
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06-10-20 | Chase Elliott v. Denny Hamlin -145 | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denny Hamlin over Chase Elliott at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Chase Elliott was on a nice run having finished at least top-four in three of four races prior to settling for 22nd and 8th in his last two. While Denny Hamlin has had a bit of an up-and-down Cup Series season, he has still managed to deliver two outright victories and is coming off a strong fifth place finish in Atlanta on Sunday. Here, I like the advantage Hamlin has in his Toyota against Elliott's Chevrolet. Â I expect to see Hamlin build on his most recent performance as he outpaces Elliott on Wednesday night. Take Hamlin (10*). |
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06-10-20 | Aric Almirola -135 v. Matt Kenseth | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 33 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Aric Almirola over Matt Kenseth at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. It's been a tough run for Aric Almirola and his Ford lately as he's finished 15th or worse in four consecutive races. I'm not ready to give up on him yet though, and I like the way this head-to-head matchup sets up with Matt Kenseth. Note that two races back at Bristol, Almirola was in the hunt for the checkered flag before wrecking late in the race. Here, as the scene shifts to Martinsville Speedway, I look for him to figure things out. Matt Kenseth has finished 23rd or worse in three of six races since returning to the NASCAR Cup Series following the season restart. After finishing 10th in his first race back, he has failed to do any better than 15th in five races since. Take Almirola (10*). |
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06-07-20 | Brad Keselowski v. Joey Logano +110 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 96 h 26 m | Show |
NASCAR Play of the Month. My selection is on Joey Logano over Brad Keselowski at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. We unfortunately missed the mark with our head-to-head matchup play on Joey Logano over Denny Hamlin last Sunday, only due to a late run-in with Chase Elliott. That was Logano's race to win until the final turn while Hamlin ended up finishing 17th but fortuitously four spots ahead of Logano. Here, I look for another strong performance from Logano and will back him at a value price against Penske teammate Brad Keselowski. We've already succeeded in fading Keselowski off an outright race win once since Nascar's return and we'll do the same here. It's only a matter of time before Logano secures another Cup Series victory as he's been right there in virtually every race. Look for him to challenge for top spot once again on Sunday. Take Logano (10*). |
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06-01-20 | Noah Gragson -120 v. AJ Allmendinger | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Noah Gragson over AJ Allmendinger at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'm high on Noah Gragson even if he hasn't regained the form that saw him win the season-opening race at Daytona back in February. Since then, Gragson has managed to post three top-seven finishes in five races. Here he will be looking to bounce back after finishing a somewhat disappointing 11th in Charlotte last week. I like the matchup with Allmendinger, who will be behind the wheel for the first time in 2020. The veteran may appear to have the upper hand here at Bristol but starting 27th in the grid won't help matters. I like Gragson to continue his impressive season as a 21-year old. Take Gragson (10*). |
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06-01-20 | Harrison Burton v. Austin Cindric -145 | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Austin Cindric over Harrison Burton at 7:05 pm et on Monday. It's only a matter of time before Austin Cindric wins his first Xfinity Series race this season after finishing top-four in four of six races. He's in tremendous form right now, coming off fourth-place and third-place finishes at Darlington and Charlotte, respectively. Meanwhile, Harrison Burton has placed in the top-10 in all six races this season but has only managed ninth in each of his last two. Look for Cindric to edge out Burton on this night in Bristol. Take Cindric (10*). |
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06-01-20 | Chase Briscoe -160 v. Ross Chastain | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chase Briscoe over Ross Chastain at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I expect to see a strong bounce-back performance from Chase Briscoe on Monday night at Bristol after a disappointing 20th place finish in Charlotte last time out. Keep in mind, just two races back, Briscoe earned his second checkered flag of the NASCAR Xfinity Series season - an emotional victory to be sure after he and his wife suffered tragedy days earlier. Note that Briscoe has four top-six finishes in six races this season. Ross Chastain has split his time between the Cup Series, Xfinity Series and Truck Series and is certainly capable of a quality performance here but I'm willing to pay the tariff to back the favored Briscoe. Take Briscoe (10*). |
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05-31-20 | Denny Hamlin v. Joey Logano -105 | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Joey Logano over Denny Hamlin at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. We've cashed our share of tickets with Joey Logano in head-to-head NASCAR matchups this season and we'll aim to do it again on Sunday afternoon. We actually won with Denny Hamlin in the most recent NASCAR race on Wednesday night as we faded Brad Keselowski off his fortunate victory a few nights earlier. Here we'll fade Hamlin as I'm simply higher on the Penske team and Logano's Ford in particular entering Sunday's race. Note that Logano has two outright wins and four top ten finishes this season and I believe it’s only a matter of time before he grabs another checkered flag. Take Logano (10*). |
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05-27-20 | Brad Keselowski v. Denny Hamlin -115 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denny Hamlin over Brad Keselowski at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. This is more of a fade of Keselowski than anything else after he was victorious in Sunday's marathon Coca-Cola 600 in Charlotte. Keselowski was an unlikely winner based on how that race played out - here I don't expect him to fare so well. In fact, I'm far higher on his two teammates Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney. Meanwhile, Denny Hamlin had to settle for a 29th place finish on Sunday after a pre-race error that resulted in a lost ballast and ultimately led to three members of his crew being suspended. Despite that distraction, I expect him to bounce back on Wednesday night and outpace Keselowski in the process. Keep in mind, Hamlin has two outright victories and four top-10 finishes in seven races this season. Take Hamlin (10*). |
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05-26-20 | VfL Wolfsburg v. Bayer Leverkusen -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Bundesliga Game of the Month. My selection is on Bayer Leverkusen over VfL Wolfsburg at 2:30 pm et on Tuesday. While Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund receive much of the hype, Bayer Leverkusen continues to fly a little below the radar despite carrying tremendous form into Tuesday's match against Wolfsburg. Leverkusen is coming off an impressive 3-1 victory over Monchengladbach on Saturday and will use this as another tune-up ahead of a looming date with Bayern Munich coming up on June 6th. With this contest followed by a match against SC Freiburg on Saturday the path is there for Leverkusen to keep its undefeated streak intact before running into Bayern. Note that Leverkusen hasn't dropped a decision since February 1st and its only blemish over its last 12 matches was a draw with RB Leipzig on March 1st. Wolfsburg sits sixth in the Bundesliga but was outclassed against Dortmund on Saturday and has just one victory in its last five matches overall. Take Bayer Leverkusen (10*). |
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05-24-20 | Ryan Blaney -115 v. Jimmie Johnson | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ryan Blaney over Jimmie Johnson at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. A change of track should serve Ryan Blaney well after he struggled at a pair of races at Darlington Speedway. I like the value being offered here with Blaney matched up against veteran Jimmie Johnson, who has shown flashes of brilliance here in his final Nascar season but has also shown vulnerability over the course of long races such as this one. Give Blaney the considerable edge as he looks to get his race season on track. Take Blaney (10*). |
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05-24-20 | Ryan Newman v. Matt DiBenedetto -120 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Matt DiBenedetto over Ryan Newman at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. If you've followed my Nascar plays regularly you know that I'm generally high on Matt DiBenedetto and actually feel it's only a matter of time before he secures his first outright victory. While I'm not sure this will be the race he gets his first career win, I am confident that he can outpace veteran Ryan Newman, who has proven to be a great story returning from that frightening crash at Daytona at the start of the season. Solid value being offered with the upstart DiBenedetto here. Take DiBenedetto (10*). |
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05-24-20 | Joey Logano -105 v. Denny Hamlin | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Joey Logano over Denny Hamlin at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. Joey Logano hasn't performed as well as he would like since Nascar's return but I look for him to get back on track in the Coca-Cola 600 on Sunday night. This is an ideal matchup to fade Denny Hamlin, who is coming off a victory this past Wednesday night. That win was of course basically handed to him thanks to a late wreck of Chase Elliott who appeared poised to take the checkered flag. Hamlin also benefited from that race being shortened due to rain. Here, look for Logano to finish near the top of the pack and ahead of Hamlin. Take Logano (10*). |
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05-22-20 | Union Berlin +0.5 v. Hertha Berlin | 0-4 | Loss | -153 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Union Berlin +0.5 goals over Hertha Berlin at 2:30 pm et on Friday. As we all know by now you can essentially throw home field advantage out the window as clubs play in front of empty stadiums in Bundesliga action for the foreseeable future. Here, I'll gladly grab the half-goal with Union Berlin as it looks to bounce back from a tough but hard-fought 2-0 loss to Bayern Munich last weekend. FC Union has suffered just three outright losses in 26 Bundesliga matches this season. Hertha BSC sits ahead of Union in the overall standings and is coming off an impressive 3-0 win over 1899 Hoffenheim last week. Keep in mind, that marked its first victory in its last four matches. The last match between these two clubs resulted in a 1-0 FC Union victory back on November 2nd. Expect another tight battle here with a draw the 'at worst' expectation for Union by my estimation. Take Union Berlin (10*). |
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05-20-20 | Joey Logano -125 v. Kurt Busch | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 58 m | Show |
Nascar Play of the Month. My selection is on Joey Logano over Kurt Busch at the Toyota 500 at Darlington Speedway on Wednesday May 20th. Joey Logano settled for an uncharacteristic 18th place finish at the Darlington 400 on Sunday, dropping back significantly in the latter stages of the race after starting in 9th position. Meanwhile, Kurt Busch turned in an impressive third place showing - a somewhat surprising result to see three Chevrolet drivers in the top four. We can use that to our advantage as far as matchups and pricing goes here as it's not often we have the opportunity to back Logano against what I would consider a middle-tier driver like Busch. Not only that but we're only being asked to pay a small tariff to support him (at the time of writing). Keep in mind, Logano is already a two-time winner this season. Best of luck and enjoy the race! Take Logano (10*). |
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05-17-20 | Chase Elliott -120 v. Alex Bowman | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chase Elliott over Alex Bowman in Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series Darlington 400. In addition to this play, I also like Elliott as a value-priced outright race winner on Sunday afternoon (the official play is on the head-to-head matchup). While I generally stick to backing Toyota's in NASCAR today, I'm more focused on the driver in this particular matchup and Elliott ranks near the top of my overall rankings entering this race (keep in mind both Elliott and Bowman drive Chevrolet's). After finishing 19th in last year's race at Darlington look for Elliott to make amends here.. Good luck and enjoy the race! Take Elliott (10*). |
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05-17-20 | Ryan Blaney -115 v. William Byron | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 56 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ryan Blaney over William Byron in Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series Darlington 400. I've been high on Ryan Blaney since last season and believe he has an outside shot at winning this race outright on Sunday. Here, I'll back him matched up head-to-head with William Byron who has simply been too inconsistent for my liking. Prior to the layoff, Blaney was racing well, certainly highly competitive in the early going this Cup season. Byron actually won the pole at Darlington last year but could only parlay it into an 18th place finish. Good luck and enjoy the race! Take Blaney (10*). |
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05-17-20 | Kevin Harvick v. Joey Logano +100 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 56 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Joey Logano over Kevin Harvick at Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series Darlington 400. Joey Logano is one of the lower-priced options to win Sunday's long-awaited race at Darlington Speedway, and for good reason. Logano already has a Cup Series win under his belt this season and while this is a tough matchup against Kevin Harvick, I do like the return we're being offered. Logano is probably my favorite play to win this race outright so I won't hesitate to back him in this matchup. Good luck and enjoy the race! Take Logano (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Senators v. Kings -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Ottawa at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Kings are playing with a ton of confidence right now and while they're not going to be a playoff team this year, they are building something substantial for next season and I look for them to keep things rolling against the Senators on Wednesday night. Despite their poor overall record this season, the Kings remain a solid home team having gone 18-13-2 at Staples Center. Contrast that mark with the Sens ugly 7-20-6 record away from home. Ottawa is coming off an ugly 5-2 loss to the Ducks in Anaheim last night - a game in which it was never competitive. I just don't see the Sens picking themselves up off the mat against the surging Kings tonight. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Indiana | 64-89 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nebraska plus the points over Indiana at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. This is simply far too many points for a mediocre Indiana squad to be laying against Nebraska on Wednesday night. The Huskers have been mired in another down season, winning just seven of 31 games to date but this is essentially their national championship game and I do expect them to leave it all on the floor. After consecutive beatdowns at the hands of Michigan and Minnesota on the road I look for them to relish the opportunity to face an Indiana squad they stayed within eight points of back in January. The Hoosiers have won just four games since the start of February. take Nebraska (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I look for the Mavs to bounce back from last night's double-digit loss at the hands of the Spurs as they return home to host the Nuggets on Wednesday. Denver is without question a formidable opponent but I like the significant edges Dallas holds in pace, three-point shooting and rebounding in this matchup. This is an important, albeit brief two-game homestand for the Mavs off back-to-back losses. The Nuggets haven't won consecutive games since February 23rd and 25th and while they're off a victory over the Bucks last time out, that wasn't quite as impressive as it appears on paper as Milwaukee was without Giannis. Take Dallas (10*). |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Mary's plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab the points with the Gaels as they try to defeat the Zags for the first time in three tries this season in the WCC Championship Game on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, St. Mary's suffered its worst home loss in the Randy Bennett era, falling by a 90-60 score earlier this season. The Gaels did do a better job last time against the Zags, going on the road to face them on Senior Night and ultimately falling by just 10 points in a game that was within five points in the latter stages of the second half. The Gaels went six minutes without hitting a field goal during one second half stretch in that game. The fat that they still only lost by 10 points was telling. Off a thrilling one-point win over favored BYU last night, I look for the Gaels to hang tough in this one. Take St. Mary's (10*). |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies UNDER 223 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Magic have exploded for 132 and 126 points in posting consecutive wins in Minnesota and Houston but I believe they'll be in for a stiffer challenge in Memphis on Tuesday. Going back to February 26th, Orlando has actually scored 130+ points on two other occasions as well, but those performances came against the T'Wolves (again) and the Hawks - one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Memphis has been playing pretty solid defensive basketball lately, save for a poor performance in Dallas last Friday. Outside of that, the Grizz have allowed 104 points or less in five of their last six games. Note that the 'under' has gone an incredible 54-15 going all the way back to 1996 when the total has been set at 220 or higher and both teams are coming off blowout wins (by 15+ and 20+ points). This trend has cashed at a 14-5 clip this season. Take the under (10*). |
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03-09-20 | Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks | 138-143 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I think there's reason to be optimistic when it comes to the Hornets right now. Of course, it would be easy to dismiss Saturday's upset win over the Rockets as a fluke - or that they simply caught Houston a down night. However, we've seen a positive trend from Charlotte as it has been competitive in each of its last six games since suffering an embarrassing blowout loss in Indiana on February 25th. This will be the Hornets first road test this month. They've actually won four of their last five games away from home. The Hawks have lost three straight games and Trae Young has cooled considerably, scoring 25 points or less in each of his last four games. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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03-09-20 | Capitals -168 v. Sabres | 2-3 | Loss | -168 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Capitals are arguably my favorite team in the NHL to back right now and they draw a favorable road matchup with the reeling Sabres on Monday. Washington suffered back-to-back losses against the Flyers and Rangers before responding with a dominant 5-2 win over Pittsburgh on Saturday. Every game matters at this stage of the season and I really don't think we're going to see the Caps overlook the lowly Sabres on Monday. Note that Buffalo hasn't won a game since February 23rd against Winnipeg. We picked a fine spot to fade the Sabres last week when they hosted the Penguins and this is another terrific opportunity to do the same thing. Take Washington (9*). |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over the LA Lakers at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers have certainly posted some statement wins lately with those including Friday's victory over Giannis and the Bucks. I look for them to fall short on Sunday, however, as they take on the rolling Clippers at Staples Center. The Clips have won six games in a row and enter this one well rested having last played on Thursday night in Houston - a game where they didn't really need to expend a ton of energy after building a 23-point halftime lead. Kawhi and co. got the better of the Lakers in their last meeting on Christmas Day and I expect more of the same here. Take the LA Clippers (10*). |
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03-08-20 | East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 | 62-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCF minus the points over East Carolina at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a tough spot for East Carolina to get up for after suffering a blowout loss against UConn last time out. The Pirates recently enjoyed a four-game ATS winning streak (we cashed with them twice over that stretch) but the bloom is off that rose after the lopsided loss to the Huskies. UCF should be confident having already gone on the road and defeated East Carolina earlier this year and also coming off a big home win over SMU. Keep in mind, East Carolina has won just once in 11 tries away from home this season. Look for the Knights to win this one going away. Take UCF (10*). |
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03-07-20 | Butler v. Xavier -2.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Xavier minus the points over Butler at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Musketeers as they look to end the regular season on a high note against Butler on Senior Night on Saturday. I like the motivational edge for Xavier here coming off a loss against Providence and facing a Bulldogs squad that is riding high off back-to-back wins. Note that Butler has won just four times in 10 tries away from home this season, with no victories in their last three road tilts. Take Xavier (10*). |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Duke at 6 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this is too many points to be giving North Carolina in what is essentially its 'National Championship Game' in a rare non-NCAA Tournament appearing year. The first game between these two teams was an instant classic in Chapel Hill and while this one may not be quite as tight, we're still dealing with a boatload of points in our back pocket. There's no denying the Blue Devils are the superior squad in this rivalry this season but motivation will play a factor here and I'm confident the Tar Heels can hang. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Coyotes v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Flames woke up in the third period and ultimately foiled our play on the Blue Jackets two nights ago, securing a 3-2 overtime win. Here, I anticipate a higher-scoring affair as Calgary welcomes the Coyotes on Friday night. Arizona is fresh off a 4-2 win over the Canucks two nights ago and riding high off back-to-back wins. The Yotes will be looking to avenge a 5-2 loss to the Flames in their most recent meeting back on December 10th. Look for both teams to find success offensively in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Hawks v. Wizards OVER 246 | 112-118 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This has all the makings of a track meet, hence the extremely high posted total - although not exorbitant by today's standards. Both teams are coming off rare subpar offensive performances and that leads me to believe we'll see a big bounce-back here. Neither defense will offer anything in the way of resistance and I'm confident we'll see both offenses push the tempo from start to finish. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -4.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Loyola-Chicago minus the points over Valparaiso at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Ramblers on Friday night as they look to advance in the MVC Tournament. Loyola-Chicago has been one of the conference's elite teams all season (along with Northern Iowa) and should be on a collision course to face the Panthers in St. Louis this weekend. It was an up and down season for Valpo and I just don't see it rising to the occasion against a superior opponent here. The line has shifted in favor of the Ramblers for a reason but I think we still have some value to take advantage of. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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03-05-20 | Penguins -155 v. Sabres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Buffalo at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Penguins finally snapped their losing skid last time out against Ottawa and now they catch another favorable matchup to keep things rolling in Buffalo on Thursday. Keep in mind, the Sabres own no home ice advantage whatsoever, having gone 10-19-4 at home this season. After a brief surge, they've clearly gone back in the tank, dropping each of their last four games. I don't see this as the spot for them to turn things around against a highly-motivated Penguins squad. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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03-05-20 | Illinois State +3 v. Drake | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Drake at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. There is a pretty big gap between these two teams when it comes to overall record, but much of Drake's success came earlier in the year. In fact, the Bulldogs last victory away from home came way back on January 22nd at Evansville - arguably the MVC's worst team. Illinois State went 3-4 over its last seven games but it's worth noting two of those losses came by exactly three points while two others came against two of the conference's elite teams in Northern Iowa and Loyola-Chicago. The Redbirds do have some injury/illness concerns with Keith Fisher III possibly slated to miss this game but that has been factored into the line with Drake favored. Early round 'upsets' aren't uncommon in the MVC Tournament. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Pelicans +7 v. Mavs | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pelicans suffered a disappointing loss at home against the T'Wolves last night but should bounce back on Wednesday night in Dallas. Zion and the Pelicans should have no trouble getting up for a game against Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Last night was simply a brutal motivational spot for New Orleans coming off Sunday's showdown with Lebron and the Lakers - a ho-hum Tuesday night home game against the lowly Wolves. Different story here. Expect a competitive game. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Blue Jackets +150 v. Flames | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Columbus over Calgary at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Blue Jackets have at least shown signs of turning things around, coming off a 5-3 win over the Canucks on home ice. Meanwhile the Flames are in a difficult scheduling spot here, returning home following a long eastern road swing that was capped off by consecutive games in Florida (they split two games against the Lightning and Panthers). Look for a bit of a sluggish effort from Calgary opening the door for a Blue Jackets victory. Take Columbus (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Florida -2.5 v. Georgia | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida minus the points over Georgia at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Georgia has gotten itself on a bit of a roll but I think the Dawgs will be in tough when they host the Gators on Wednesday night. While Georgia has won three of its last four games, keep in mind two of those wins came against Vandy and struggling Arkansas. Florida has lost consecutive games away from home but those defeats came at the hands of Kentucky and Tennessee. The Gators should be in a foul mood here coming off that narrow five-point setback against the Vols. Take Florida (10*). |
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03-03-20 | Wolves v. Pelicans OVER 246.5 | 139-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is the highest total on Tuesday's NBA board but it's high for a reason. The Pelicans are a big favorite here but they're in a definite letdown spot off Sunday night's showdown with Lebron James and the Lakers. We can anticipate them letting their guard down defensively and the T'Wolves are certainly able to take advantage. On the flip side, Minnesota won't have any answers for the Pelicans steadily-improving offense led by mighty Zion. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic -7 | 130-107 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Portland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic have a lot of upside right now and I look for them to easily brush aside the Blazers on Monday night. Orlando checks in sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over its last five games. While it sits just 20th in defensive rating over that stretch, the Blazers have been even worse, ranking 24th. Portland is also just 22nd in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take Orlando (10*). |
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03-01-20 | Wichita State v. SMU -1 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Wichita State at 4 pm et on Sunday. Travel day on Sunday. Full analysis will return on Monday. Take SMU (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Memphis v. Tulane +5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Memphis at 8 pm et on Saturday. Memphis is in a letdown spot here off consecutive down-to-the-wire big games against Houston and SMU, splitting those two contests. We know Tulane is capable of rising to the occasion at home, where it has defeated the likes of SMU and Cincinnati. Look for the Green Wave to rise up once again here as they take down the Tigers in an underdog role. Take Tulane (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Arkansas v. Georgia +1 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over Arkansas at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is playing excellent basketball right now with its lone blemish over its last three games coming in overtime at South Carolina last time out. With tough games against Florida and LSU on deck, it's imperative that the Bulldogs earn a 'W' in this spot. We won with Arkansas last Saturday at home against Missouri but that win didn't come easy, and this is obviously a much tougher matchup, on the road no less. Take Georgia (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Drake | 70-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Iowa minus the points over Drake at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Panthers continue to fly well beneath the national radar but there's no question, they're as good as it gets in the Missouri Valley Conference this season and while they draw a tough matchup on the road on Saturday, I'm confident we'll see their surge continue. Drake enters having dropped each of its last two and six of its last nine games overall. Northern Iowa took the previous meeting between these two teams by double-digits back in early February. Take Northern Iowa (10*). |
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02-28-20 | Penguins -173 v. Ducks | 2-3 | Loss | -173 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Penguins appear to be reeling right now but there's absolutely no sense of panic on this veteran-laden squad. Pittsburgh easily could have snapped its losing skid on Wednesday night but fell just short in a 2-1 loss to the Kings. That should only increase the Pens motivation level as they make the short trip to Anaheim to face the struggling Ducks on Friday. Note that Anaheim is a miserable 1-10 after posting a one-goal victory this season - outscored by nearly two goals per game in that situation. They're also 0-5 after scoring at least three goals in consecutive games this season. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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02-28-20 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 215 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up as a high-scoring affair on Friday night. The Raptors are in an obvious emotional letdown spot here, coming off that tough loss to the Bucks on Tuesday night and now facing the lowly Hornets. Note that the 'over' is 26-15 when the Hornets have played with double revenge over the last two seasons with those games averaging over 222 total points. The 'over' is 14-3 when the Raptors face opponents that get outscored by at least three points per game this season, with those contests totaling an average of just under 233 total points per game. Two previous meetings between these teams this season have totaled 228 and 222 points. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -101 | 5-3 | Loss | -101 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Maple Leafs rebounded from Saturday's embarrassing loss to the Hurricanes on Tuesday night, skating past the Lightning in Tampa. Here, I look for the Panthers to get the better of the Leafs as earning a sweep in Florida is easier said than done. Note that Toronto is 1-7 coming off a one-goal victory this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in those games. The Panthers are 16-6 playing their second game in five days this season, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average. Take Florida (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. With both of these teams playing the second of back-to-back nights (and both coming off losses), I don't think either will be looking to get involved in a track meet here. Keep in mind, the 76ers are down a couple of bodies in Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Philadelphia allowed the Cavs to shoot 52.6% from the field in last night's upset loss in Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Knicks shot better than 50% but still managed only 101 points against a bad Hornets team in Charlotte. Here, I'm confident we'll see the Sixers focus on the defensive end of the floor, and they've been outstanding in that regard here at home, giving up just over 102 points per game while holding the opposition to 43.8% shooting. The Knicks have held six of their last seven opponents below 50% shooting, which is a step in the right direction given their struggles this season. Away from home they're limiting the opposition to 46.4% shooting this season. Take the under (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Week. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a solid bounce-back spot for the Boilers as they aim to snap a four-game losing streak against an Indiana squad coming off back-to-back wins. Purdue's big issue lately has been its inability to knock down shots. The Boilers have shot worse than 40% from the field in three straight games entering this contest. Keep in mind, two of those games came on the road against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Here at home, Purdue shoots better than 47% on the season. Indiana is a miserable 2-10 ATS when revenging a home loss over the last three seasons, outscored by nearly nine points per game on average in that situation. The Hoosiers are also just 44-74 when on the road after winning two of their last three games going all the way back to 1997. Take Purdue (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Boise State +3.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boise State plus the points over UNLV at 11 pm et on Wednesday. The choice to fade UNLV is an easy one for me tonight. The Runnin' Rebels are coming off a monumental upset win on the road against then-undefeated San Diego State on Saturday. There's no question UNLV has been playing well, but it still owns a mediocre 15-14 overall record this season and sits 5th in the Mountain West Conference, one spot behind tonight's opponent, Boise State. The Broncos have lost only two games since January 18th, one on the road against Utah State and one at home against aforementioned San Diego State - two teams that own a combined 50-8 record this season. Boise State took the first meeting between these two teams by a 73-66 score back on January 8th. Look for the Broncos to at the very least take this one down to the wire as well. Take Boise State (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Penguins -175 v. Kings | 1-2 | Loss | -175 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. This is an ideal bounce-back spot for the Penguins following Sunday's tough loss to the rival Capitals - their third straight loss overall. The Pens fall into a 26-10 angle that supports road teams coming off a loss by two goals or more against a divisional rival in the second half of the season. It's also worth noting that Pittsburgh has gone an incredible 14-2 when facing opponents that average 2.55 goals per game or less over the last two seasons, winning those games by an average margin of 1.2 goals. Los Angeles is a miserable 7-23 at home against opponents that outscore opponents by at least 0.3 goals per game over the last three seasons. The Kings are also just 11-26 when playing their third game in five days this season. Take Pittsburgh (9*). |
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02-26-20 | Oilers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 0-3 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton +1.5 goals over Vegas at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We're getting excellent value with the Oilers on the puck-line here, largely due to the fact that they're road-weary after suffering an overtime loss in Anaheim last night. There's no reason to get too down on Edmonton here, however, noting that it has gone a perfect 6-0 in the second of back-to-backs this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 4.5-2.5 in those contests. Also take note that the Golden Knights are just 4-10 when coming off a road win and 3-8 after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games this season, as is the case here. We'll grab the insurance goal with the Oilers but hopefully we won't need it. Take Edmonton +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Sabres v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Colorado at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring games last time out and Colorado has seen the 'under' cash in nine of its last 10 games overall. With that being said, I look for both offenses to bust out on Wednesday night. Note that the 'over' has gone 8-2 when the Avs return home off a road game this season, with those contests totaling an average of 8.2 goals. The Sabres are allowing four goals on average when hitting the road following a home win this season. The last 34 times the Avs have faced an opponent that averages at least 2.85 goals per game, those contests have totaled an average of 6.8 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Magic -2 v. Hawks | Top | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks came roaring out of the All-Star break, delivering consecutive wins over the Heat and Mavericks on their home floor. They fell back to Earth on Monday, however, suffering a 17-point loss in Philadelphia, giving up a whopping 129 points in the process. I look for the Magic to add to their woes on Wednesday night in Atlanta. Note that Orlando is 13-5 ATS when facing teams that own a winning percentage of between 25% and 40% this season and 22-11 ATS when facing opponents that are outscored by at least three points per game over the last two seasons. In both of those situations, they've outscored the opposition by an average margin of nine points. It's also worth noting that the Hawks are a miserable 1-8 ATS after winning two of their last three games this season - outscored by a margin of nearly 16 points in that situation. The Magic have certainly been a streaky team and they come in having won three of their last four games overall, with the lone loss coming in an underdog role at home against Dallas. Take Orlando (10*). |
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02-25-20 | Celtics -7 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics are coming off a loss to the Lakers on Sunday but that doesn't take away from the fact they've been playing terrific basketball, winners of three in a row ATS entering this contest. We successfully faded the Blazers in their last game - a narrow three-point win over the lowly Pistons at home. Keep in mind, in their first game following the All-Star break they suffered a double-digit loss against the Pelicans. Portland is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, outscored by over nine points on average in those contests. Despite the Blazers reputation as a team that likes to play fast, they've gone a miserable 11-23 ATS when facing teams that attempt at least 88 shots per game this season, with Boston falling in that category. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-25-20 | Flames +1.5 v. Bruins | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Bruins when these two teams squared off in Calgary last week but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Flames on the puck-line as they head East on Tuesday night. Note that Calgary checks in 20-10 on the moneyline on the road after scoring at least three goals in three consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals per contest. They're also a solid 18-12 on the road facing opponents that own winning records over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Boston is just 11-16 playing for the fourth time in seven nights this season. Factoring in the 1.5-goal cushion, I believe we're getting excellent value with the Flames here. Take Calgary +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-25-20 | Sharks v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Jose and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Tuesday night as the reeling Sharks face the surging Flyers. Note that the 'under' has gone 18-5 when the Sharks come off a loss by two goals or more this season with those games totaling just 5.3 goals on average. Meanwhile, the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 when the Flyers revenge a loss by four goals or more against an opponent with those contests reaching an average of only 4.1 total goals. This isn't a high-energy spot for either team with the Sharks wrapping up a four-game eastern road swing and the Flyers looking ahead to a home-and-home set with the division rival Rangers. Take the under (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Rockets here on their home floor but they do draw a 'get right' matchup with the Suns on Monday night. Note that Utah has gone 40-22 ATS the last 62 times it has played at home following a double-digit home loss. Phoenix is a miserable 19-35 ATS playing on the road against a winning team in the second half of the season over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of nearly 14 points in those games. The Jazz desperately need to turn things around before facing what will be a highly-motivated, and championship-contending Celtics squad in their next game. Meanwhile, Phoenix could have one foot on the plane as it prepares to return home for its next six games after completing this three-game in four-night stretch. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas UNDER 134.5 | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma State and Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Kansas enters this game having shot better than 50% from the field in back-to-back games, including a huge win at Baylor in a revenge spot on Saturday. Note that Oklahoma State hasn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% from the field since back on February 1st against Oklahoma. That stretch includes a game in which the Cowboys held the Jayhawks to 38.9% shooting, albeit in a 15-point loss (that game totaled only 115 points). Note that the 'under' has gone 79-49 when Kansas comes off back-to-back games shooting at least 50% from the field going all the way back to 1997. The 'under' is also 16-5 when Oklahoma State comes off a double-digit win over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 241 | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. This total indicates the high potential for a track meet on Monday night, just as we saw the last time these two teams met back in January when they combined to score a whopping 282 points in Milwaukee. Note that the Wizards have posted a 9-1 o/u record after failing to cover the spread in consecutive games this season with those contests totaling an average of nearly 243 points. There's no reason to shy away from playing 'over' these high totals with the Wiz involved as the 'over' has gone 19-10 in their games where the total has been set at 230 points or higher, with those contests finishing with an average of just under 244 total points. The Bucks have come storming out of the All-Star break with back-to-back blowout wins over the Pistons and 76ers but I could certainly envision a bit of a letdown here, and that should open the door for a competitive, high-scoring affair in the nation's capital. Take the over (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' as the surging Pelicans head to San Francisco to take on the reeling Warriors on Sunday evening. Most will be expecting a track meet here, especially with the Pelicans coming off a 128-115 win and the Warriors off a 135-105 loss in their respective first games following the All-Star break. Note that the 'under' has gone 21-9 when the Warriors face an opponent with a losing record this season, with those games averaging just 113 total points. The 'under' has also gone 13-4 when the Warriors have lost at least four straight losses this season, with those games averaging right around 118 total points - again far south of the total we're working with. New Orleans has seen the 'under' go 131-99 when on the road revenging a same season loss. The Pelicans have allowed just one of their last 11 opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field. Take the under (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Blues v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Minnesota at 7:35 pm et on Sunday. The Blues are coming off a five-goal outburst in a win in Dallas while the Wild just got done scoring nine goals in notching back-to-back victories in western Canada. I expect defense and goaltending to be the story of the day on Sunday, however. Note that the 'under' has gone 13-4 when the Blues are on the road coming off a win by at least three goals over the last two seasons, with those games totaling an average of 4.9 goals. The 'under' has gone 8-1 in Wild home games after consecutive games where at least seven goals were scored over the last two seasons. Those nine games averaged a total of just 4.6 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina +3 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Temple at 12 noon et on Sunday. East Carolina has been playing well but has nothing to show for it, having lost each of its last three games. The Pirates last two games came against two of the conference's best teams in Cincinnati and Memphis and they went a perfect 2-0 ATS, losing by a grand total of seven points. Here, the Pirates draw a winnable game against a Temple squad ripe for a letdown following a 93-89 overtime win over Connecticut (we won with the Owls in that game). Note that Temple has gone a miserable 5-15 ATS coming off a home victory over the last two seasons. Take East Carolina (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Sharks +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Jose +1.5 goals over New York at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the spot for the Sharks here as they catch the Rangers playing their second of back-to-back games following a big win in Carolina last night. Here, we play against New York coming off consecutive wins by three goals or more, facing an opponent that scored one goal or less in their most recent game. That angle doesn't even factor in the insurance goal we're catching with the Sharks here. While San Jose is coming off a 2-1 loss to the Devils in Newark on Thursday, it has still won four of its last five contests away from home. Take San Jose +1.5 goals (9*). |
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02-22-20 | Nets -3 v. Hornets | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nets aren't going to be a popular bet as a road favorite in Charlotte on Saturday night but I see this as a great spot to back them coming off that overtime loss in Philadelphia on Thursday. Charlotte has surprisingly won three straight games following a five-game losing streak but those three wins, albeit coming on the road, came against the likes of Detroit, Minnesota and Chicago. Here, we play against underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins in February, a trend that has gone 59-29 ATS since 1996. The Nets fall into an excellent 47-21 ATS situation in which teams are revenging a loss as a favorite of seven points or more against a team coming off at least two straight wins as an underdog. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +3 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Georgia at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is coming off a big upset win at home against Auburn earlier this week and as a result could get caught flat-footed on the road against Vanderbilt here. We won with Vandy against Tennessee last time out, as the Commodores took the Vols down to the wire in Knoxville. Note that Georgia has gone a miserable 4-12 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Bulldogs were outscored by 11 points per game in those contests. Vandy has dropped back-to-back meetings in this series but remains 14-5 straight-up against Georgia going back to 1997. At 5-2 ATS over their last seven games, but with only one outright win to show for it, look for the Commodores to get back in the win column here. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +6 | 87-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Texas Tech at 6 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Iowa State in this matchup. The Cyclones are coming off a blowout loss at the hands of Kansas on Monday, but that puts them in a good spot here, noting that they've gone a perfect 6-0 ATS after suffering a 20+ point loss over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 13 points per game. Texas Tech is a miserable 26-46 ATS the last 72 times it has hit the road after winning five or six of its last seven games, as is the case here. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Georgia Tech at 4 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Orange here as they return home to host Georgia Tech on Saturday afternoon. Note that the Orange have gone 41-29 ATS under the guidance of Jim Boeheim when losing four or five of their last six games, outscoring the opposition by nearly seven points per contest. Georgia Tech has been outscored by over eight points per game when revenging a same season loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Syracuse has faced a brutal recent schedule, look for it to shake loose with a much-needed win here. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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02-22-20 | North Carolina v. Louisville -9 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisville minus the points over North Carolina at 4 pm et on Saturday. Louisville shook off the cobwebs following back-to-back losses and absolutely throttled Syracuse last time out and I look for it to build off of that positive momentum here. North Carolina is simply playing out the string at this point, on the heels of six straight losses. Note that the Cardinals have gone 26-14 ATS, outscoring the opposition by nearly 10 points per game, after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons. North Carolina is just 1-7 ATS when facing teams that allow 64 points or less per game this season, outscored by over seven points per contest in that situation. Take Louisville (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Houston v. Memphis +2.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Houston at 2 pm et on Saturday. The Memphis bandwagon has all but cleared following a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS stretch, including a narrow four-point win over East Carolina last time out. That was a clear flat spot against ECU but Saturday's game against Houston is another matter entirely. The Cougars are fresh off a 30+ point win in a revenge game against Tulsa. Note that Memphis has gone 10-2 ATS after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons. Houston has won back-to-back meetings in this series, but Memphis remains a solid 28-13 straight-up int he last 41 matchups between the two. Take Memphis (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Missouri v. Arkansas -6.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arkansas minus the points over Missouri at 1 pm et on Saturday. This is a terrific bounce-back spot for Arkansas as it looks to snap a five-game losing streak. Note that Missouri owns just one road win this season. The Tigers have gone a miserable 5-14 ATS when facing a winning opponent at least 15 games into the season over the last few years, getting outscored by an average margin of over 12 points in those contests. The Razorbacks have gone 58-36 ATS in all home games following a road loss going all the way back to 1997, outscoring opponents by more than eight points per game. Take Arkansas (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -2 | 64-61 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Saturday. Maybe if these two teams meet again at some point down the road in March I'll re-evaluate my position but for now, I believe Baylor owns a significant edge over Kansas. Note that the Bears have gone 10-3 ATS following a double-digit win this season, outscoring the opposition by over 10 points per contest. They're an even stronger 6-0 ATS following a double-digit road win over the last two seasons. Kansas is coming off back-to-back wins as a double-digit favorite against Oklahoma and Iowa State. The Jayhawks are in a much different position here and I look for them to fall short. Take Baylor (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Predators -120 v. Blackhawks | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nashville over Chicago at 8:35 pm et on Friday. We won by fading the Predators in their last game - a 4-1 home loss to the Hurricanes. That was a difficult game for them to get up for, hosting a non-conference opponent after posting three straight wins. This is a different story as the Preds hit the road to face the rival Blackhawks on Friday night. Note that Nashville has gone 17-4 in road games playing an opponent with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last three years. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are a miserable 1-8 this year when revenging a a loss where their opponent scored at least four goals, outscored by an average of 1.7 goals in those games. Take Nashville (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Pacers as they head to Manhattan to square off against the Knicks. Indiana finally 'got right' with a much needed win over the Bucks in its last game prior to the All-Star break. Now the Pacers fall into a couple of terrific situations. They've gone 42-25 ATS after losing two of their last three games over the last three seasons. They're also 15-4 ATS the last 19 times they've given up 105 points or more in five consecutive games, as is the case here. The Knicks certainly haven't shown that same type of resiliency, going 35-52 ATS after losing two of their last three over the last three seasons. New York enjoyed a brief surge earlier this month but has since gone right back into the tank with losses to the lowly Hawks and Wizards. This is precisely the type of game the Pacers need to get up for and not overlook, as they begin a grueling stretch that will see them play seven of their next nine games on the road. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Niagara v. Fairfield -3 | 60-61 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fairfield minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. We've had some success fading Niagara this season and we'll go back to the well on Friday night as they hit the road to face Fairfield. The Purple Eagles actually enter this game riding a rare winning streak having defeated Canisius and Monmouth over their last two games. Don't get too excited though, both of those games could have gone either way and they still own just nine wins in 25 games this season. Fairfield has dropped three of its last four games overall but three of those contests were played on the road. I look for the Stags to bounce back in this revenge spot after suffering a 75-66 loss at Niagara back on January 3rd. Take Fairfield (10*). |
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02-20-20 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -17.5 | 54-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over San Francisco at 11 pm et on Thursday. When it comes to a team like Gonzaga laying a big number like this, you have to put a lot of weight in motivational factors. The Bulldogs have lost just one game all season and that came way back in November. The question becomes whether they're content to sleepwalk their way to another victory, or whether they want to go all out and win in blowout fashion. Here, I look for the Zags to bring their 'A' game. They come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season over their last few contests. They faced a rare situation where they were actually a road underdog against Pepperdine last time out, but still won by double-digits. I do think San Francisco will draw plenty of motivation, noting that Gonzaga only managed to beat the Dons by four in their previous meeting this season. Their last matchup on this floor, however, was not close at all with the Zags rolling to a 30-point win last February. San Francisco is in a tough spot here, trying to get rolling from a standing start having not played in a full week. The Dons have dropped three of their last four games overall. They'll be looking to win consecutive games for the first time since January. The last time they did that, the second game was an essential layup against lowly San Diego. Different story here. Take Gonzaga (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Rockets v. Warriors +10 | 135-105 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Houston at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. It's easy to forget that the Warriors were actually playing a little better prior to the All-Star break, having gone 7-5 ATS over their last 12 games. They're hosting a Rockets team that will be looking for revenge after suffering a 116-104 loss on this floor back on Christmas Day. Keep in mind, Houston has gone just 56-84 ATS the last 140 times it has gone on the road revenging a double-digit loss. This game presents an opportunity for somewhat of a fresh start for the Warriors coming out of the break. The Rockets will need to get rolling again from a standing start after shooting 46.3% or worse while allowing opponents to shoot 48.8% or better in three of their last four contests. Take Golden State (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Panthers -140 v. Kings | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Panthers last night in Anaheim and we'll come right back with them again here as they continue their push toward the playoffs. Florida had lost six of its last seven games entering this road trip but has now gone a perfect 2-0 out west and should be in good position to keep it going against the lowly Kings. Los Angeles played its Stanley Cup game for all intents and purposes last Saturday night, as it came up with a 3-1 win over the Avalanche outdoors in Colorado Springs. Tyler Toffoli scored all three goals for the Kings in that game, and he has since been dealt to Vancouver. Los Angeles doesn't own a significant home ice advantage to speak of and will be playing its third game in the last six nights, in three different cities/time zones. The Panthers know this trip will get tougher with stops in Las Vegas and Glendale, Arizona to follow. Look for them to take advantage of the opportunity in front of them tonight. Take Florida (10*). |
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02-20-20 | UCLA v. Utah -2 | Top | 69-58 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over UCLA at 10:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with the Utes as they look to earn a little revenge against UCLA on Thursday night. Note that Utah is 57-32 ATS the last 89 times it has avenged a same season loss in which it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here (UCLA beat Utah 73-57 on February 2nd). Fresh off back-to-back losses at Oregon and Oregon State, the Utes find themselves in a favorable spot here, having gone 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games following two ore more consecutive losses. UCLA enters this game off three straight victories but that puts it in a difficult situation having gone 0-8 ATS the last eight times it has won three of its last four games, and a miserable 2-13 ATS following up two or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons. The Bruins hadn't come all that close to sniffing out a three-game winning streak in conference play prior to their recent surge. Now they're in uncharted territory as they go for their fourth straight win in Pac-12 play. I expect them to come up short. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Murray State -4 v. Eastern Illinois | 60-63 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Murray State minus the points over Eastern Illinois at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I don't expect to see any sort of letdown from Murray State in this very winnable road game on Thursday night. The Racers have actually split their last four games following a long winning streak, but those last two losses came against two of the conference's best teams in Belmont and Austin Peay. Murray State successfully bounced back with a rout of Morehead State on Saturday and I look for it to keep things rolling here. Eastern Illinois has just one win to its credit over its last six games and that came against Morehead State as a six-point home favorite. While it's true its last two games (both losses) could have gone either way, there's really no excuse for dropping those two winnable games against SIU-Edwardsville and Tennessee-Martin. After taking the last meeting in this series by just three points at home back in January, the Racers will have their guard up in this one. Take Murray State (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Heat v. Hawks +6 | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Heat took the spotlight on All-Star Saturday night last weekend with Bam Adebayo winning the Skills Challenge and Dennis Smith Jr. winning the Slam Dunk Contest. It's back to business for the Heat on Thursday as they head to Atlanta to face the lowly Hawks. I like the way this spot sets up for Atlanta, noting that it has gone 32-19 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Hawks also fall into a strong revenge angle in which teams that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, and coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more (Atlanta lost its last game by 22 points as a three-point favorite against Cleveland) have gone an incredible 36-10 ATS the last 46 times that situation has come up. The Heat have been sleepwalking lately, going 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games and I look for the Hawks to take advantage of that lull here. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Connecticut v. Temple | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Temple over Connecticut at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this spot sets up for Temple. Connecticut enters this game off a big win over Memphis last time out. Prior to that, the Huskies faced Cincinnati and SMU so it's obviously been a tough stretch and they managed to go 2-1. A letdown could certainly be in order on Thursday as they head on the road to face Temple. The Owls suffered a disappointing 20-point loss against Villanova on Sunday, bringing an end to a two-game winning streak. I like their chances of rebounding against a UConn squad that has gone 0-7 ATS after winning four or five of its last six games over the last three seasons. Temple has gone 64-43 ATS the last 107 times at home revenging a loss, as is the case here after it suffered a 15-point defeat against the Huskies earlier this season. Take Temple (9*). |
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02-19-20 | Panthers -127 v. Ducks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Anaheim at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'm not sure how easy it will be for the Ducks to get up for this Wednesday night, mid-February game against a non-conference opponent. Anaheim is back home following a 1-1 split on its most recent road jaunt through Vancouver and Calgary. The Ducks are a mediocre home team at best, having gone 12-11-3 here this season. Meanwhile, Florida snapped its two-game losing streak with a confidence-building 5-3 win in San Jose on Monday afternoon. The Panthers have held their own on the road this season, going 15-10-4. Currently sitting on the outside looking in, four points back of the Hurricanes, Islanders and Blue Jackets for the final Wild Card playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, they need all the points they can get right now. This trip will get tougher with matchups against Vegas and Arizona looming later this week. I don't expect the 'Cats to overlook the Ducks here. Take Florida (10*). |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Rutgers minus the points over Michigan at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up not just as a play on Rutgers but as a fade of Michigan. The Wolverines ride a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into this one. Keep in mind, two of those wins came at home and the other came at a weak 6-19 Northwestern squad that sits 14th in the Big East. The Scarlet Knights will certainly be up for this matchup after suffering a 69-63 loss on the road against Michigan back on February 1st. The Knights have yet to post consecutive wins here in February, but their schedule has been tough with three of five games coming on the road. They remain undefeated at home this season and I expect them to keep that flawless record intact tonight. Take Rutgers (10*). |
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02-18-20 | Hurricanes +108 v. Predators | 4-1 | Win | 108 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The time to bet on the Predators is generally when they're in an underdog role, not when they're favored here at home. We find Nashville in a prime letdown spot tonight off back-to-back wins over the defending champion Blues, who have been stumbling. Carolina is a capable road team, and will certainly be up for this one after dropping a 3-0 decision in its first meeting with Nashville this season. Also note that the Canes are coming off an overtime loss against the Oilers on home ice, adding further motivation here. Take Carolina (10*). |
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02-18-20 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Tennessee | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Tennessee at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Vandy in this matchup. The Vols crushed the Commodores by 21 points on the road back in January but I do expect to see Vandy hang a little tougher this time around. The Commodores have lost three games in a row since their stunning upset at home against LSU. Note that those three games came at Mississippi State, home against Kentucky and at Florida. Vandy's prospects of ending that losing streak here aren't great, but I certainly expect it to get up for this rivalry matchup. The Vols have been more down than up lately, dropping five of their last seven games overall including a disheartening two-point loss at South Carolina on Saturday. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-17-20 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Kansas | 71-91 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Kansas had no trouble disposing of Iowa State in their most recent meeting in January, rolling to a 26-point victory. I look for the Cyclones to provide a little more resistance this time around, however. Note that Iowa State is an impressive 49-29 ATS the last 78 times revenging a loss where it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here. The Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 ATS revenging a home blowout loss by 20 points or more. Kansas enters this game on a three-game ATS winning streak. The last time it won three in a row ATS it followed that up with a narrow six-point win as a 13-point favorite against Tennessee on January 25th. Given the Cyclones history against the Jayhawks (14-7 ATS last 21 meetings), I believe this line will prove too steep. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-17-20 | Islanders +118 v. Coyotes | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over Arizona at 4:05 pm et on Monday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Islanders. They're coming off back-to-back losses but that should be looked at as a positive, not a negative from a betting perspective. Note that New York is 17-6 after suffering two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by over a goal per game. They're also an impressive 22-10 after playing two of more consecutive road games over that same time frame. Arizona, meanwhile, has not been good in this price range over the last two seasons, going 13-21 when priced at -150 or less. The Isles have owned this series in recent years, taking four of the last five meetings. Look for their dominance to continue here. Take New York (10*). |
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02-16-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -3 | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana State minus the points over Missouri State at 4 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Sycamores on Sunday afternoon as they host a Missouri State squad that finds itself in a major letdown spot. The Bears have just two wins over their last six games and both came at home, with the most recent coming by 35 points against Drake. Note that they're a miserable 2-8 on the road this season. Indiana State will be in a foul mood here after suffering back-to-back losses on the road. Here at home, the Sycamores have gone a perfect 10-0 and I fully expect them to keep that flawless record intact. Note that Indiana State took the most recent meeting between these two teams by 10 points earlier this month. Take Indiana State (10*). |
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02-16-20 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11.5 | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Cincinnati at 12 noon et on Sunday. I'm willing to bet against Cincinnati getting up for this early start matchup at East Carolina - a team it already defeated by 25 points earlier this season - coming off games against Houston, Wichita State, Connecticut and Memphis so far in February. East Carolina is a double-digit win team, with eight of its 10 victories coming on its home floor. The Pirates are a respectable 8-5 at home this season while Cincinnati has gone 3-5 on the road. Unlikely to win their next game on the road against Memphis on Wednesday, the Pirates will get up for this one. Take East Carolina (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Tenn-Martin +2.5 | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Tennessee-Martin plus the points over Eastern Illinois at 5 pm et on Saturday. The Skyhawks have only been able to sprinkle in a few wins in-conference this season, largely struggling including back-to-back losses entering this contest. With that being said, they haven't dropped more than two games in a row since losing four straight from January 11th to the 23rd and I do expect them to bounce back against Eastern Illinois here. Save for a four-game winning streak in mid-January, EIU has also struggled in conference play. Its last ATS victory came back on February 1st in a four-point loss at Austin Peay. Here Tennessee-Martin falls in a strong situation that has gone 45-12 over the last five season and a perfect 2-0 this season where we back small underdogs revenging a double-digit road loss coming off a loss by three points or less in their last game. Take Tennessee-Martin (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Morehead State +13.5 v. Murray State | 57-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Morehead State plus the points over Murray State at 5 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for Morehead State here as it has gone 27-12 ATS in its last 39 games following a home loss and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games following an upset home loss in-conference. The Eagles do check in coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games were close, decided by seven points or less. Following a red hot run, Murray State has cooled off a bit, dropping two of its last three contests. Its last win by double-digits came back on February 1st as a 17-point favorite against SIU-Edwardsville. Take Morehead State (9*). |
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