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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-20 | Eastern Kentucky v. Austin Peay -12 | 85-93 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Austin Peay minus the points over Eastern Kentucky at 5 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating a blowout in this matchup as Austin Peay takes on what I would consider a 'paper tiger' Eastern Kentucky squad. After reeling off nine straight ATS wins, Austin Peay has now dropped the cash in three of its last four games overall. This looks like a smash spot, however, as the Governors have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS against opponents that shoot below 42% from the field this season, outscoring them by an average of 13 points per game. They've also gone 8-0 ATS against teams that allow the opposition to shoot 45% or better, outscoring those teams by over 16 points per contest. While Austin Peay will be playing its second straight home game, this will mark Eastern Kentucky's fourth straight on the road. Take Austin Peay (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Predators v. Blues -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Nashville at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the Blues to get back on track as they return home for the first time following the scary incident involving defenseman Jay Bouwmeester earlier this week. St. Louis followed up that postponed game in Anaheim with a wild 6-5 loss in Las Vegas on Thursday. That marked its third consecutive loss. The Preds are fresh off a 5-0 blowout win over the Islanders on home ice on Thursday but that win only served to snap a two-game skid. The Blues fall into a favorable situation here as we play on teams that are coming off a game in which they allowed five goals or more and facing an opponent that is off a blowout victory by four goals or more. This situation has gone 102-61 on the moneyline over the last five seasons and a highly profitable 16-9 this season. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Florida Atlantic +11.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 68-81 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida Atlantic plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 3 pm et on Saturday. This has been a tight series with each of the last four meetings being decided by single-digits. The Owls have certainly held their own against the Bulldogs with the two teams splitting the last eight meetings ATS. I simply feel this line will prove too high on Saturday afternoon. Note that under coach Konkol, the Bulldogs have gone just 14-26 ATS when playing on one day or less rest, as is the case here. Louisiana Tech's last two games have been decided by a grand total of just seven points. Florida Atlantic has lost three games in a row, but the last two could have gone either way. Expect the Owls to put forth a strong effort here. Take Florida Atlantic (9*). |
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02-15-20 | San Jose State v. Air Force -9.5 | 86-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Air Force minus the points over San Jose State at 2 pm et on Saturday. There should be lots of excitement in Colorado Springs on Saturday as later in the evening the Kings and Avalanche will do battle outdoors in the NHL Stadium Series. In the afternoon, I expect it to be all Falcons as they host San Jose State. Note that the Spartans are a miserable 0-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in two consecutive games over the last two seasons and they've been outscored by a whopping average of 30 points in those contests. Likewise, they're 0-10 ATS in late season games against opponents that commit less than 15 turnovers per game over the last two seasons - outscored by over 31 points on average in those games. The Falcons do enter this game off seven straight losses but they were favored in only two of those games. Keep in mind, this is a team that beat Utah State by 19 points on this floor this season. Off back-to-back losses as double-digit underdogs they'll relish the opportunity to get loose against a beatable opponent - in a revenge spot. Take Air Force (9*). |
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02-14-20 | World v. USA OVER 298 | 131-151 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between World and USA in the NBA All-Star Rising Stars Game at 9:05 pm et on Friday. Last year's Rising Stars Game reached 305 total points. I don't believe they've set this year's total high enough as this will be the ultimate track meet. Team USA is favored by around five points in this one, and rightfully so with an absolutely loaded roster led by Trae Young and Zion Williamson. I don't expect the World Team to back down, however, not with Luka Doncic leading the way. No need to overthink this one, this will be one of the highlights of All-Star Weekend, as it always is. Take the over (10*). |
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02-14-20 | IUPU Ft Wayne +12.5 v. North Dakota State | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on IUPU-Fort Wayne plus the points over North Dakota State at 8 pm et on Friday. IUPU-Fort Wayne enters this game off an outright underdog win at Denver last time out and that puts the Mastodons in a solid play-on situation here as they stay on the road to challenge North Dakota State. Note that the Mastodons are on a long-term 84-57 ATS run in an underdog role. They've gone 27-13 ATS the last 40 times they've come off an outright underdog win. On the flip side, North Dakota State is a miserable 5-17 ATS the last 22 times it has scored 80 points or more in consecutive games, as is the case here. North Dakota State comes in riding a season-long five-game winning streak. Headed into uncharted territory, I believe it is laying too many points in this matchup. Take IUPU-Fort Wayne (10*). |
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02-14-20 | Sharks v. Jets -143 | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg over San Jose at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We'll back the Jets on home ice here as they look to bounce back from a disappointing 4-1 loss to the Rangers last time out. Note that Winnipeg has gone an incredible 16-2 the last 18 times it has faced a team that gets outscored by at least 0.65 goals per game (San Jose falls into this category)Â in the second half of the season. The Jets are also 10-3 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game this season. The Sharks have been awful on the road this season, winning only 10 times in 27 games while getting outscored by 1.1 goals per contest. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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02-13-20 | Capitals +119 v. Avalanche | 3-2 | Win | 119 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. I love the way this situation sets up for the Capitals as they look to bounce-back following a poor showing in a 5-3 loss to the Islanders on home ice last time out. Note that the Caps fall in a 61-27 situation where we back quality teams (that win 60% or more of their games) that are revenging a home blowout loss by three or more goals (Caps lost 6-3 at home against the Avalanche back in October). This situation has gone a perfect 6-0 this season. Take Washington (10*). |
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02-13-20 | Marshall v. Texas-San Antonio | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas-San Antonio over Marshall at 9 pm et on Thursday. I like the bounce-back spot for UTSA here as it returns home off a loss to Charlotte on the road last time out. Marshall has won just three of 10 road games this season and falls into a letdown spot here after posting victories in each of its last two contests - both at home. Note that UTSA has gone an incredible 18-8 ATS in lined games against losing opponents over the last three seasons and has fared well against high-quantity three-points shooting teams such as Marshall as well, going 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games against opponents that attempt over 21 three-point shots per game. Take Texas-San Antonio (10*). |
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02-13-20 | Clippers +2 v. Celtics | 133-141 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Boston at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. This is a big step-up game for the Clippers as they come off a poor showing in Philadelphia two nights ago. I fully expect to see Los Angeles' best effort in this nationally-televised TNT affair. Note that the Clippers have gone an impressive 31-19 ATS in non-conference games over the last two seasons. They're also an incredible 24-7 ATS off a road loss over that same stretch. Here we play against the Celtics as they fall into a situation that is a miserable 8-33 ATS since 1996 and 3-8 ATS this season where teams that outscore the opposition by 6+ points per game come off three consecutive games allowing 105 points or more. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-12-20 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Week. My selection is on Villanova minus the points over Marquette at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. Villanova enters this game having lost three games in a row but that was certainly a tough stretch as it faced Creighton, Butler and Seton Hall. Here, it faces another stiff test in the form of Marquette but with revenge on its mind and with three consecutive road games on deck, I expect Jay Wright to get the most from his Wildcats as they win this one going away. Marquette has won two Big East road games but those wins came by the narrowest of margins - a combined six points. The Golden Eagles enter this game riding a three-game winning streak - matching their longest win streak in Big East play this season. I believe it ends here. When Marquette defeated Villanova back in early January it was in a much stronger motivational spot - fresh off a 17-point drubbing at the hands of Creighton three days earlier. Here, it's the Wildcats that will play a more desperate brand of basketball. I'm not convinced Marquette will match 'Nova's intensity here. Take Villanova (10*). |
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02-12-20 | Hornets v. Wolves -7.5 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Charlotte at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. This game has blowout written all over it as the T'Wolves return home to host the Hornets on Wednesday night. Minnesota finally brought an end to its long losing streak with a blowout win over the Clippers at home on Saturday but couldn't follow it up as it dropped a 12-point decision in Toronto on Monday. I do feel that game was closer than the final score indicated, however, and I'm confident we'll see the new-look T'Wolves come out with plenty of energy back home on Wednesday night. Charlotte picked up a rare victory on Monday night, but that came at the expense of the lowly Pistons who are in full tank mode after dealing Andre Drummond at the trade deadline. The Hornets are just 9-19 on the road this season and I don't expect them to hang with the Wolves on Wednesday. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-11-20 | Utah State v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado State plus the points over Utah State at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday. This line makes some sense when you consider Utah State rolled Colorado State by 16 points in their most recent meeting back on January 25th. The Aggies were nine-point favorites in that game. Colorado State has posted three straight wins since then. In fact, the loss to Utah State is the Rams only setback going back to January 4th. Here, I look for the Rams to earn an ounce of revenge at home. Utah State has managed to win only two games on the road in conference play, with those victories coming against two teams with a combined 13-36 record this season. Take Colorado State (10*). |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards UNDER 230 | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I can understand the logic behind this lofty total but I feel it will prove too high on Tuesday night at Capital One Arena. The Bulls have not been the same team offensively on the road this season, where they rank 23rd in the league in offensive rating. On the flip side, they check in a very respectable ninth in defensive rating away from home. While Washington is known for its up-tempo offense, the fact is it sits middle of the pack in offensive rating at home (15th in the NBA). Not surprisingly, the Wiz are near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories but can the Bulls really take advantage? It's not as if Chicago has been performing well offensively in recent games as it ranks 24th in the Association in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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02-10-20 | Wolves +9.5 v. Raptors | 126-137 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Monday. The T’Wolves suddenly have some upside after making wholesale changes prior to the trade deadline last week. Over its last five games, Minnesota has quietly crept into the top-12 in the league in offense rating while also showing some improvement (relatively speaking), with eight teams sitting below them in the defensive rating rankings over that stretch. The Raptors are in the midst of a record-setting winning streak but they’ve narrowly escaped with two of their last three losses and now face a bit of a flat spot in a non-conference matchup before a rematch with the Nets (who they beat 119-118 on Saturday) coming up next. I look for Minnesota to find enough success offensively to keep within arm’s reach tonight. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in the Blazers most recent home game - a high-scoring win over the Spurs. I expect a different type of contest to play out on Sunday, however, as Portland hosts the injury-plagued Heat. Only the Pistons have played at a slower pace than the Heat over their last five games and I expect that trend to continue here as Miami continues to play without Jimmy Butler among others. Note that Miami ranks 27th in the league in pace rating on the road this season as well. Portland sits in a tie for 13th in pace rating over its last five games and finds itself playing its third game in four nights here on Sunday. While I'm not anticipating a defensive slugfest by any means, I do expect this one to stay 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Maple Leafs -117 v. Canadiens | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Leafs bounced back with a sloppy but effective 5-4 overtime win over Anaheim last night and I expect to see them keep it rolling as they head to Montreal to face the Canadiens on Saturday night. While newly-acquired goaltender Jack Campbell didn't turn in his best performance on Friday night, it's not as if the Leafs played all that well in front of him either - at least defensively. I look for a stronger effort in that regard tonight, and I also think we'll see a better performance from Campbell should he get the nod for a second straight game. The Canadiens have been playing better lately but they remain out of the playoff picture and face an uphill climb the rest of the way. Off an overtime win over Anaheim on Thursday I look for them to go back to their losing ways here. Take Toronto (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Mavs v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in Dallas' one-point loss in Washington last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the Mavs continue their road trip in Charlotte. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, the Mavs rank tops in the league in offensive rating on the road this season. Here, they draw another favorable matchup against a Hornets squad that ranks 27th in the league in defensive rating at home this season - only the Cavs, Hawks and Wizards rank worse. While the Hornets rank last in the league in pace rating here at home, I do think they'll make a concerted effort to push the pace on Saturday night with the Mavs in a back-to-back spot, and still playing without Luka Doncic. In Doncic's absence, Dallas continues to struggle defensively, sitting 22nd in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Duke -7.5 v. North Carolina | 98-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Duke minus the points over North Carolina at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Tar Heels are going to be a popular play as a sizeable underdog against rival Duke on Saturday. We've made some money backing North Carolina this season but I won't hesitate to go the other way in this matchup. Duke suffered back-to-back losses against Clemson and Louisville in mid-January but has rebounded since, reeling off four straight victories. The fact that the Blue Devils burned their backers in a win but non-cover against Boston College last time out and are just 2-2 ATS during their current win streak should keep some bettors away. North Carolina had a brief surge in late January, posting consecutive wins over Miami and N.C. State. The Tar Heels have back to their losing ways since then though, dropping their last two games including a 65-59 loss at Florida State on Monday. When there is a class difference in this matchup, as is the case this year, it's rare that we see perception and reality line up as far as the line goes. That remains the case here as Duke could be laying even more points. Take Duke (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Purdue v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Purdue at 2 pm et on Saturday. This one sets up well for us with Purdue coming off a blowout win over Iowa earlier this week and Indiana on the heels of three consecutive losses. Note that the Hoosiers last two setbacks came on the road. Their lone loss at home during their current skid came by just a single point against a quality Maryland squad. In fact, there's no shame in either of the Hoosiers two home losses this season with the other coming against 16-6 Arkansas. Purdue has won on the road just once since the beginning of January and that came against 6-15 Northwestern (by a narrow three-point margin). Indiana will be highly-motivated to snap its season-long three-game losing streak here and Purdue will be hard-pressed to follow up its scorching shooting performance last time out. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Kansas v. TCU +9.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on TCU plus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Saturday. The Horned Frogs enter this game losers of four games in a row. Keep in mind, three of those losses came on the road. Their lone home defeat over that stretch came by a single point against 14-8 Texas. That marked TCU's lone home loss in Big 12 play this season. Kansas has reeled off seven straight wins but the Jayhawks are by no means invincible. We just cashed a ticket fading them this past Monday night as they won by 11 but failed to cover against Texas. I believe we're dealing with an inflated line again in this spot. Note the most recent meeting between these two teams resulted in a narrow five-point Kansas victory. Take TCU (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Utah minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. Let's try this again. We missed the mark with the Jazz in last Saturday's loss in Portland but I won't hesitate to go back to the well here as the spot sets up much better. Portland is coming off a 125-117 win over the Spurs last night (we won with the 'over') but will now be playing its third game in the last four nights, in three different cities - with two of those games being played in altitude (the other was a 127-99 loss in Denver on Tuesday - we won with the Nuggets in that game). Utah plays just its second game since last Saturday. While the Blazers continue to perform well offensively, Damian Lillard has cooled off following an incredible scoring run. After scoring at least 34 points in eight straight games, Lillard has put up just 47 over his last two contests. Note that the Jazz check in third in the league in defensive rating at home this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 13th in the league in offensive rating on the road compared to fourth in that category at home. Portland sits 25th in the NBA in defensive rating on the road. Utah enters having lost five games in a row and this is certainly the game for them to turn things around with a trip to Texas to face the Rockets and Mavs looming. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Mavs v. Wizards OVER 234 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Even with the Mavs injury issues, I'll back the 'over' in Washington on Friday night. The Mavs sit 27th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games - only the Cavs, Bulls and Wizards have been worse over that same stretch. Not surprisingly, that coincides with the injury to Luka Doncic. Despite losing Doncic, the Mavs still sit 12th in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests and should be able to find success regardless whether Kristaps Porzingis suits up after suffering a broken nose last time out. Note that the Mavs rank tops in the league in offensive rating on the road this season and it's really not all that close. The Wizards are fifth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. Only the Cavs are worse than the Wiz in defensive rating at home, again opening the door for an undermanned but still effective Mavs offense here. Expect a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Niagara v. Manhattan -6 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
CBB MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Manhattan minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams check in with losing records but I certainly feel that Manhattan has more upside as we head into the second week of February. The Jaspers snapped a four-game losing streak with a resounding 72-49 rout of Iona last Sunday. Keep in mind, during their four-game skid, three of those games could have gone either way (decided by seven points or less) and the two home losses came against winning MAAC squads Monmouth and Rider. Niagara ended a three-game losing streak with a surprising 16-point win over Quinnipiac last time out. Of course, that victory came at home. The Purple Eagles are a miserable 2-11 on the road this season with those two wins coming by four points at a 10-13 Norfolk State squad mired in a down year and by a single point at 5-12 Iona. Manhattan took the first meeting between these two teams by five points at Niagara in January. Take Manhattan (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 231.5 | Top | 117-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in this key Western Conference showdown on Thursday night. The Spurs were a virtual no-show against the Lakers last time out (we won with Los Angeles in that game) but couldn't really be blamed as they were in a tough back-to-back spot after taking the Clippers down to the wire the previous night. Of course, the Blazers also got blown out in their last game, dropping a lopsided decision in Denver (we won with the Nuggets). Here, I expect both teams to show up and show out, offensively at least. Note that the Spurs rank ninth in the league in offensive rating on the road this season. The downside is they rank 26th in defensive rating away from home, with only the Hornets, Cavs, Hawks and Wizards - four of the league's worst teams - ranking worse. It's a similar story for the Blazers at home. They're fourth in offensive rating here in the Pacific Northwest but 27th in defensive rating with only the Pistons, Wizards and Cavs sitting below them - again, three of the league's weakest defensive teams. The last time these two teams met back in November they smashed this same posted total. Take the over (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +2 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 9 pm et on Thursday. I like the bounce-back spot for Western Kentucky here as it returns home following a tough, winless trip through Florida in which it fell against Florida Atlantic and Florida International - two teams that have combined to go 30-18 this season. Prior to that, the Hilltoppers had won five games in a row. They've suffered just one loss at home this season and that came at the hands of a terrific 16-7 Belmont squad. Louisiana Tech owns a 17-5 record this season but it has beat up on some weak opposition without question. Yes, there have been some impressive victories mixed in as well but I believe the Bulldogs will be in for a tough test here. Keep in mind, the Bulldogs winning streak was nearly snapped last time out as they barely outlasted a 9-14 Old Dominion team by three points in Ruston this past Saturday. Motivation will be high for the Hilltoppers as this veteran-laden squad looks to earn a little revenge after suffering a 12-point loss against Louisiana Tech in their last meeting last January. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Pelicans bandwagon has cleared somewhat following back-to-back losses at Houston and at home against Milwaukee. Neither of those losses were unexpected although it would have been nice if they could have stepped up and stole one of them as a statement victory of sorts. Nevertheless, the Pelicans hit the road on Thursday for a very winnable game against the Bulls. While Chicago has gone 4-1 over its last five home games, note that three of those victories came against three of the league's worst teams in Washington, Cleveland and Minnesota. The other came against another losing team, San Antonio. Only two teams have been worse than the Bulls in terms of defensive rating over their last five games, the Cavs and Wizards. Not exactly good company. Meanwhile, the Pelicans check in sixth in defensive rating over that same stretch, despite a tough schedule. New Orleans also ranks an impressive second in the league in pace rating over its last five contests while the Bulls sit 23rd. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz OVER 216 | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. You have to think the Jazz, who have been idle since Saturday, will be looking to push the pace at every opportunity against a Nuggets squad playing its third game in four days (in three different cities). With that being said, I don't think we'll see Denver back down in this showdown between the Northwest Division's top two teams, noting that the Nuggets managed to score 127 points despite barely breaking a sweat against the previously red hot Trail Blazers last night (we won with Denver in that game). The last meeting between these two teams took place just last week with the Nuggets prevailing by a 106-100 score at home. Expect a higher-scoring affair this time around. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Bradley v. Drake -1 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Bradley at 9 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with Drake last time out as it fell at home against Southern Illinois. For whatever reason, the Salukis have had the Bulldogs number this season. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Drake here, however, as it will undoubtedly get up for this showdown with Bradley. Note that the loss to Southern Illinois was Drake's first home loss this season. To add to the Bulldogs motivation here, they enter having dropped their last two games, with the other being a tight 58-56 setback at Indiana State last week. Bradley hasn't won a road game since January 15th. The Braves two Missouri Valley Conference road wins have come against Evansville and Missouri State - two teams that own a combined 19-27 record this season. Bradley has also dropped road decisions against 4-18 St. Joe's and 9-13 Miami-Ohio. Take Drake (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Hawks v. Wolves OVER 236.5 | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I expect nothing less than a track meet between these 'defense-optional' teams on Wednesday night in Minnesota. The Hawks were already short-handed before getting involved in Tuesday's expansive four-team trade with the Rockets, Nuggets and T'Wolves. There's little doubt Minnesota will look to push the pace against Atlanta here as it looks to finally snap its long losing streak but I don't think we'll see the Hawks shy away from that at all. Note that Atlanta sits in the top half of the league in offensive rating over its last five games, despite three of those contests coming against the likes of Toronto, Boston and Dallas. The Raps and Celtics sit second and third respectively in terms of defensive rating over their last five games. Here, Atlanta should find the going much easier against a T'Wolves squad that ranks 22nd in the NBA in defensive rating over that same stretch. The Hawks check in third in pace rating over their last five contests while the T'Wolves are top 10 in that category as well over the same time frame. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Northern Iowa v. Valparaiso +4.5 | 63-51 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Northern Iowa at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Northern Iowa is the class of the Missouri Valley Conference but does find itself in a bit of a tough spot on the road against Valpo on Wednesday. The Panthers come in looking somewhat invincible having lost just once since the start of January and riding a three-game winning streak. Keep in mind, their last three wins have come in favorable spots, at home against Loyola-Chicago and Missouri State and on the road against one of the MVC's worst teams in Evansville. Northern Iowa has proven to be somewhat vulnerable on the road in conference play, dropping decisions at Illinois State and Southern Illinois. Valpo has been consistently inconsistent since the start of January, alternating wins and losses. Not helping matters has been the fact that the Crusaders have played five of their last nine games on the road. Note that they've lost just once at home this season, that coming against 15-8 Loyola-Chicago. Take Valparaiso (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 216 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pacers continue to struggle defensively, as they sit 20th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. They let the Mavs get whatever they wanted offensively on Monday night (despite missing Luka Doncic), falling for a second straight game at home. That makes this a nightmarish matchup against a surging Raptors squad that ranks sixth in the league in offensive rating over their last five games while also sitting in the top half of the league in pace rating over that same stretch. With that being said, the Pacers are still a quality basketball team and it's only a matter of time before Victor Oladipo settles in and starts knocking down his shots after returning a couple of games back. Here, I do think they'll get baited into an up-tempo affair. It's worth noting that these two teams combined to score 235 points in their most recent meeting back on December 23rd. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Suns -3 v. Pistons | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are injury-ravaged and likely looking at some changes before Thursday's trade deadline. With that being said, I think the Suns have a lot more upside and should have little trouble disposing of the reeling Pistons at Little Caesar's Arena on Wednesday night. Yes, Phoenix has lost three games in a row but did anyone really expect any wins out of a stretch that saw it face Oklahoma City at home (it lost by only four points) and Milwaukee and Brooklyn (noting the Nets have been playing much better lately) on the road? Here, the Suns have a solid opportunity to at least salvage something on their current road trip as they face the undermanned Pistons. Detroit has just one win in its last seven games and it came by way of overtime in an early start against a weary Nuggets squad on Super Bowl Sunday. Phoenix checks in ranking sixth in the NBA in pace rating over its last five games while the Pistons sit 27th over that same stretch. I look for the Suns to run Detroit out of the gym here. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Spurs v. Lakers -12 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over San Antonio at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Spurs gave the Clippers all they could handle last night here at Staples Center but really what else could we have expected given how inconsistent the Clips have been lately? Here, I look for a highly-motivated performance from the Lakers, who struggled in their first game following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant last week but then responded with a blowout win in Sacramento the very next night. While the Spurs have been close in each of their last two road tilts, they remain just 8-15 away from home this season. LaMarcus Aldridge and Demar Derozan accounted for over half of their 105 points last night. Look for the Lakers to use their depth to ultimately pull away from San Antonio on Tuesday. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Portland at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Nuggets as they host the surging Trail Blazers on Tuesday night. Portland checks in having won four straight games after dropping 11 of its previous 16 contests. Of course, the Blazers have been riding the extremely hot hand of Damian Lillard during their current streak. Portland actually ranks number one in the league in offensive rating over its last five contests. I'm just not sure it's sustainable, in fact, I know it's note. As good as they've been offensively, the Blazers check in 24th in the Association in defensive rating over that same five-game stretch. Denver suffered an overtime loss in a matinee affair in Detroit on Sunday, snapping a mini two-game winning streak. The Nuggets are still a solid 11-6 since the start of January. They've gone 17-4 in their last 21 games here in the high altitude of Denver. The last time these two teams squared off in December the Nuggets rolled to a 114-99 victory. Lillard will get his, but I look for Denver to prevail. Take Denver (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Predators v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Winnipeg at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are somewhat surprisingly sitting on the outside looking in as far as the Western Conference playoff picture goes. With that being said, neither is out of the running. The Preds sit four points back of the second Wild Card spot while the Jets are just three points back. With that in mind, I'm expecting both teams to come out flying on Tuesday night and I expect a much different story to unfold after Nashville skated to a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting. The Jets should be high on confidence after scoring five goals against the defending champion Blues on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Preds will be eager to bounce back after getting shut out by the Knights last time out. Prior to that, Nashville had scored 10 goals in regulation time in its last two games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Tennessee v. Alabama -5.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Alabama minus the points over Tennessee at 7 pm et on Tuesday. This is a solid spot to back the Crimson Tide as they host the Vols on Tuesday night. The Tide are coming off back-to-back losses but there was no shame in either of those defeats as they came against two teams that own a combined 33-9 record in LSU and Arkansas. Here, the Tide face a much more manageable opponent in Tennessee - a team that has dropped three games in a row. The Vols have managed to win two road games in SEC play but both of those came against losing teams in Missouri and Vanderbilt. Alabama got off to a slow start this season but has been a different team since the end of November, winning 10 of its last 15 games despite a tough schedule. Take Alabama (10*). |
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02-03-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +7 | Top | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Kansas State plus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. There are few more battle-tested teams in the country than Kansas State right now. The Wildcats have faced an extremely tough schedule since the start of January - at Oklahoma, vs. TCU, at Texas, vs. Texas Tech, vs. West Virginia, at Kansas, at Alabama, vs. Oklahoma and at West Virginia (all winning opponents). While the Wildcats have only managed to win two of those games outright, they've been competitive in the majority of them (four of seven losses came by single-digits) and I expect them to take this one down to the wire as well. Baylor of course hasn't lost a game since way back on November 8th against Washington - its only loss of the season to date. Coming off three straight double-digit wins I do see this as a bit of a letdown spot for the Bears. That marks their longest streak of double-digit wins in-conference this season. There shouldn't be much of an intimidation factor at play here given the setting, and the fact that Kansas State took the most recent meeting 66-60 last March. Take Kansas State (10*). |
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02-03-20 | Mavs v. Pacers -4.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Dallas at 7:05 pm et on Monday. It's been a bit of a struggle for the Mavs lately as they've gone just 3-4 over their last seven games since reeling off four straight wins from January 11th to 17th. They're coming off a blowout win on Saturday night but that came at home against the lowly Hawks. The Pacers were stunned by the Knicks at home on Saturday night so will certainly be highly-motivated to bounce back here. Perhaps they were caught flat-footed following a 115-106 overtime win over the Bulls in Victor Oladipo's long-awaited return to the lineup in their previous game. Whatever the case, I expect to see a much sharper performance from them here. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 226 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over San Francisco at 6:30 pm et on Sunday February 2nd. I'm holding futures tickets on the Chiefs so this is really a no-brainer for me. There's nothing I've seen in the playoffs that has swayed me from the fact that Kansas City is destined to hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy on February 2nd. Yes, San Francisco has impressed and is without a doubt the 'it team' entering this contest - a true upstart that has reached this point far quicker than most expected under the guidance of head coach Kyle Shanahan. I'll give the Niners all the credit in the world for getting here, but let's not get too excited by playoff home wins over extremely flawed Vikings and Packers squads that simply didn't show up in Santa Clara. There's no question, the Niners will get the Chiefs best effort here. Kansas City has been steadily building to this point, with its defense showing up when it matters most and QB Patrick Mahomes taking his game to a completely other level in the postseason. Everything has broke right for the Chiefs in the playoffs with the Ravens getting upset by the Titans, even though I do believe Kansas City would have went into Baltimore and won regardless. Give me the Chiefs at a very discounted number here. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between San Francisco and Kansas City at 6:25 pm et on Sunday February 2nd. Last year’s expected Super Bowl shootout between the Patriots and Rams fizzled but I expect a different story to unfold this year as the upstart 49ers take on the Chiefs in Miami. The hype surrounding the 49ers defense continues to build as this game approaches. Yes, the Niners have an elite defense across the board but I believe their aggressive nature (not necessarily in terms of their blitz packages, or lack thereof) may end up costing them in this particular matchup. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has re-emerged as a true running threat now that he has healed from multiple in-season injuries he suffered. That’s to say nothing of his ability to get the ball to his electric pass-catching corps. As good as the Niners are on defense, they’re unquestionably going to have their hands full on Sunday evening. On the flip side, the Chiefs defense really came into its own down the stretch and came up big when the chips were down in two playoff games – out of necessity mind you, after digging themselves early deficits in both of those contests. I’m just not sure the Niners are getting nearly enough credit for the creativity and explosiveness of their offense, which does match up well with the Chiefs defense here. QB Jimmy Garoppolo hasn’t filled up the stat sheet in these playoffs, but he hasn’t had to. Playing with big leads for much of those two wins over the Vikings and Packers, Garoppolo was limited to ‘game manager’ duty. Here, we should see him pressed into action and I’m confident he can orchestrate some big plays downfield with his highly-underrated group of pass-catchers. Last year’s dud notwithstanding, the Super Bowl has delivered many exciting, high-scoring affairs in recent years and I’m anticipating another instant classic on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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02-02-20 | Marist v. Canisius -7 | 65-66 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius minus the points over Marist at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Golden Griffins on Sunday afternoon. Canisius is a better team than its 8-13 record would indicate as far as I'm concerned. It will be highly-motivated to get back on track here after suffering three straight losses. Note that two of those losses came on the road and its most recent setback came at home against a good Quinnipiac team. Marist checks in just 5-14 on the campaign but has won three of its last four games overall. Keep in mind, two of those wins came at home and the other came on the road against 6-14 Niagara. Take Canisius (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -5 v. Blazers | 107-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Saturday. This has not been a good week for the Jazz as they have dropped three games in a row, starting with a loss as a double-digit favorite at home against a Rockets team that was without Harden and Westbrook. Since then, we've seen Utah drop back-to-back games on the road but I look for it to bounce back here on Saturday as it faces what has to be an emotionally-drained Blazers squad coming off last night's victory over the Lakers in Los Angeles - the Lakers first game following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant. Portland ranks a miserable 28th in defensive rating playing at home this season. Meanwhile, the Jazz have been generally solid on the road, where they rank top-11 in both offensive and defensive rating. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Southern Illinois v. Drake -5 | Top | 79-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Drake minus the points over Southern Illinois at 6 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for Drake on its home floor. The Bulldogs had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 58-56 loss at Indiana State last time out but should bounce back here at home where they have yet to lose a game this season and ride a 15-game winning streak. Southern Illinois has won four games in a row but only one of those victories came on the road, and that came against 7-14 Illinois State. The Salukis have traveled two other times here in January, falling by 19 points at Bradley and 16 points at Loyola-Chicago. This is a quick revenge spot for Drake after dropping a surprising 17-point decision on the road against Southern Illinois back on January 19th. Take Drake (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers -9.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Minnesota at 3:35 pm et on Saturday. Clippers head coach Doc Rivers was disgusted with his team's effort in their most recent game - a blowout home loss to the Kings. I fully expect a return to form from Los Angeles as it hosts the lowly Timberwolves here. Minnesota has lost 10 games in a row and this doesn't appear to be a favorable spot to turn things around. Note that the T'Wolves check in 21st in the league in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating over their last five games. While the Clippers certainly haven't been at their best lately, they do still hold down the 10th spot in defensive rating over their last five contests. This wouldn't ordinarily be a circled game for the Clips but because of their awful performance last time out, I expect them to show up and show out at Staples Center. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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01-31-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -11.5 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Friday. It will undoubtedly be an emotional night for the entire Lakers organization on Friday as they play their first game since the passing of Kobe Bryant. I'm anticipating a strong performance from Los Angeles as it hosts the surging Trail Blazers. While Portland has won three of its last four games overall, keep in mind all four of those contests were played at home. The Blazers check in ranking 25th in the league in defensive rating away from home. By contrast, the Lakers are second in that category here at home. L.A. also checks in top-10 in offensive rating at Staples Center. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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01-31-20 | Dartmouth v. Princeton -4.5 | Top | 44-66 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month. My selection is in Princeton minus the points over Dartmouth at 7 pm et on Friday. This is a fine spot to back the Princeton Tigers on their home floor as they aim for their fifth straight win against a very beatable Dartmouth squad. Princeton has suffered four losses on its home floor this season but all four of those setbacks came against winning opponents. Dartmouth has three wins to its credit on the road this season but only one came in an underdog role and that was way back in its season opener at Buffalo. Note that the Big Green have won only twice in their last 11 games and those two victories came against Maine and Central Connecticut State - two teams that own a combined 8-36 record this season. Princeton's lone loss over its last seven games came against 16-7 Hofstra back on December 19th. Take Princeton (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Jazz +1.5 v. Nuggets | 100-106 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah plus the points over Denver at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. We missed the mark with our free pick on the Jazz last night in San Antonio but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again here. Utah still ranks fourth in the league in offensive rating and seventh in defensive rating over its last five contests. It also checks in just outside the top-10 in 11th place in pace rating over that stretch. The Nuggets have been lagging offensively, ranking 21st in offensive rating and 23rd in pace rating over their last five contests. They're always going to find themselves near the top in most defensive categories, I'm just not sure it will be enough against a highly-motivated Jazz squad here. Take Utah (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Warriors v. Celtics -13.5 | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Golden State at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Celtics in a game that has blowout potential on Thursday night. Golden State continues to struggle, ranking 28th in the league in offensive rating and 23rd in defensive rating over its last five games. While the Warriors do rank top-10 in pace rating over that stretch that could be to their detriment here. That's because the Celtics are rolling again, ranking sixth in offensive rating and third in defensive rating over their last five contests. While they're just middling in terms of pace rating over that stretch, I'm not all that concerned as they should get plenty of transition opportunities against the Warriors. Take Boston (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Raptors -10 v. Cavs | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This game certainly has letdown potential for Toronto coming off back-to-back emotional wins over the Spurs and Hawks following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant but I believe the Raptors will be up to the challenge in Cleveland on Thursday night. The Cavs continue to struggle. They had a glimmer of hope earlier this week as they got past the reeling Pistons in Detroit but couldn't follow it up as they were easily disposed of by the Pelicans the next night. The Raptors enter this contest in fine form, ranking ninth in offensive rating and fifth in defensive rating over their last five games. The lowly Cavs on the other hand sit 24th in both of those categories. Despite the strong showing in the Motor City earlier this week, Cleveland still sits just 22nd in the league in pace rating over its last five contests - a stark contrast to the Raptors seventh ranking in that department. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic +3 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
CBB C-USA Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida Atlantic plus the points over Western Kentucky at 7 pm et on Thursday. Western Kentucky rides a five-game winning streak into this matchup on Thursday night but it's worth noting that only two of those wins came on the road, and they came at the expense of Middle Tennessee State and Marshall, two teams that have gone a combined 14-28 overall this season. The last time the Hilltoppers faced a winning team on the road, they lost by double-digits at UAB earlier this month. Florida Atlantic has lost three straight games but the last two came on the road and its lone home loss over that stretch came against aforementioned 12-9 UAB. That was the Owls lone home defeat this season. The last time these two teams met, FAU prevailed by six points last January. I believe the case can be made that the wrong team is being favored in this one. Take Florida Atlantic (10*). |
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01-29-20 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech -2.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over West Virginia at 8 pm et on Wednesday. This is a big step-up spot for the Red Raiders at home, where they've traditionally owned a strong advantage. Texas Tech comes off back-to-back losses, most recently falling by just two points in overtime at home against Kentucky this past Saturday. The only other home loss the Red Raiders suffered this season came against 17-1 Baylor. It's interesting to note that Texas Tech closed as a 3.5-point favorite in that contest - a steeper number than we're dealing with on Wednesday. West Virginia's last victory against a winning team away from home came back on December 29th at Ohio State. Keep in mind, that game started a stretch that has seen the Buckeyes go a miserable 2-6 over their last eight contests. Outside of that win, the Mountaineers really haven't been all that impressive away from home. Revenge will certainly be on the Red Raiders minds here after falling by 12 points in Morgantown back on January 11th. As we always like to say, revenge is a dish best served at home. Take Texas Tech (10*). |
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01-29-20 | Pistons +6 v. Nets | 115-125 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the Pistons in this same matchup last Saturday as they covered the number in regulation time but ultimately fell by double-digits in overtime. There's really not much separating these two teams at all right now and I'll gladly take all the points I can get with the Pistons in a big bounce-back spot on Wednesday night. Motivation will be especially high for Detroit coming off an embarrassing loss at home against the lowly Cavs on Monday. Meanwhile, Brooklyn went right back in the tank following Saturday's win in the Motor City, falling to the Knicks. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-29-20 | Alabama v. LSU -4.5 | 76-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU minus the points over Alabama at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Alabama enters this SEC showdown having won four games in a row but only one of those victories came on the road, and that came at the expense of an 8-11 Vanderbilt squad. Note that the Crimson Tide's three road wins this season have come against three opponents that own a combined 22-40 overall record. Meanwhile, LSU has climbed back into the national rankings following a big road win at Texas. The Tigers haven't lost a game since falling by just two points at 16-4 USC back on December 21st. LSU has dropped two games at home this season but there was really no shame in either of those losses against 16-6 Utah State and 18-3 East Tennessee State. We got burned on a backdoor cover by Florida at LSU last week but that won't keep me from backing the Tigers again here as we're being asked to lay a very reasonable number. Take LSU (10*). |
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01-28-20 | Wizards v. Bucks -16 | 131-151 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. NOTE: Giannis Antetokounmpo will not play in this game and as a result the line has dropped considerably. The 9* play on the Bucks stands at the current number. We're dealing with a steep pointspread with the Bucks here but just as we did a couple of weeks ago when they hosted the Knicks, we won't hesitate to go back to the well with Milwaukee in another smash spot on Wednesday night. The line would likely be even higher were it not for the fact that Milwaukee is returning home following last Friday's tilt in Paris. The Wizards are coming off an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the lowly Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Only the Blazers have been worse in terms of defensive rating over their last five games. While Washington does rank 12th in offensive rating over that same stretch, it is going to have a tough time keeping pace with Milwaukee in this one. Note that the Bucks sit atop the Association in defensive rating over their last five contests. They also hold top spot in pace rating over that time frame. This is a 'name your score' type of game for the Bucks and I expect a lopsided result. Take Milwaukee (9*). |
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01-28-20 | Hawks v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 114-130 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. We're dealing with an extremely high total here when you consider the Raptors are locked in defensively right now, ranking sixth in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. The Hawks are fresh off an emotional, predictably high-scoring win at home against the Wizards on Sunday but should find the going much tougher as they step up in class here on Tuesday night in Toronto. Despite that offensive explosion on Sunday, the Hawks still sit just 15th in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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01-28-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -1.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Syracuse at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Clemson is coming off a blowout loss on Saturday, but that came on the road against 17-3 Louisville. The Tigers are 4-2 since the beginning of January with both of their losses coming on the road, the other at the hands of a quality 14-7 N.C. State squad. Syracuse has won five straight games here in January, including three in a row on the road. It's certainly worth noting that all three of those road wins could have gone either way. One came by way of overtime at Virginia and the other two by identical two-point margins against Virginia Tech and Pitt. The Orange could get caught looking ahead to a big showdown with Duke at home this coming Saturday. I simply feel that the motivation level will be very high for a Tigers squad that has been playing some pretty good basketball save for that egg laid at Louisville this past weekend. Take Clemson (10*). |
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01-27-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | 65-50 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma State plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Despite having gone winless through its first six Big 12 games this season, Oklahoma State has to feel alright about its chances against undermanned Kansas on Monday night. The Cowboys gained some much-needed positive momentum with a win over Texas A&M, on the road no less, on Saturday. Kansas of course continues to play in the aftermath of last week's brawl with Kansas State, missing a number of key cogs entering Monday's matchup. The Jayhawks played just seven players in Saturday's narrow win (but non-cover) against Tennessee. I simply feel Oklahoma State is catching too many points in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Take Oklahoma State (10*). |
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01-27-20 | Cavs v. Pistons -6.5 | Top | 115-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. This is the perfect storm to back the Pistons as they host the lowly Cavs on Monday night. Detroit has won two of three meetings with Cleveland this season, splitting the most recent two affairs with both of those games going down to the wire. I expect more of a lopsided contest here as the Pistons aim to bounce back from consecutive discouraging losses against the Grizzlies and Nets - both at home - on Friday and Saturday. Note that despite their recent struggles in the w/l column, Detroit actually checks in top 10 in the league in offensive rating and top nine in defensive rating over its last five contests. By contrast, Cleveland sits 24th and 25th respectively in those two categories. Most will want no part of laying points with the Pistons here off Saturday's frustrating overtime loss and non-cover against the Nets. I see this as an ideal bounce-back spot for Detroit laying a very reasonable number against one of the league's worst teams. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-27-20 | North Carolina +5.5 v. NC State | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
CBB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over N.C. State at 7 pm et on Monday. A 94-point outburst in a rout of Miami on Saturday was just what the doctor ordered for North Carolina. That brought an end to the Tar Heels five-game losing streak to open 2020 and now I look for them to build off of that performance as they make the short trip to Raleigh to face in-state rival N.C. State on Monday. The Wolfpack saw their three-game winning streak come to an end in a 64-58 loss at Georgia Tech on Saturday - their second loss in as many games against the Yellow Jackets this season. While they have posted a 4-3 record here in January, that hasn't come easy with three of those four victories coming by six points or less. This is a big game for both teams but I actually think there's a little less pressure on the Tar Heels at this point as they've largely been forgotten thanks to their disappointing start to the ACC campaign. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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01-26-20 | Celtics v. Pelicans +1.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Boston at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Pelicans have gone 0-2 since Zion Williamson made his debut earlier this week but I believe they'll have a good shot at getting back in the win column here against the streaking Celtics. Boston has won three games in a row but prior to that it had dropped six of its last eight contests. The Pelicans will certainly have revenge on their minds after suffering a 35-point beatdown at the hands of the Celtics back on January 11th. Note that prior to losing its last two games, New Orleans had won five of its last seven games. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -4.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Missouri State at 4 pm et on Sunday. We won a big ticket with Missouri State recently but I won't hesitate to go the other way and fade the Bears as they hit the road to face Drake on Sunday. Missouri State is coming off back-to-back wins but those came against Evansville and Valpo, neither of which own a winning record on the season. Drake checks in sporting a solid 14-6 record and has yet to lose a game at home. Off a disappointing split on a two-game road set at Southern Illinois and Evansville I do expect the Bulldogs to get up for this one. Take Drake (10*). |
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01-25-20 | Nets v. Pistons +2 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel that the wrong team is favored in this matchup as the Pistons have been playing some pretty good basketball lately and should be up for the challenge against Kyrie Irving and the Nets on Saturday. Detroit ranks an impressive sixth in both offensive and defensive rating over its last five games while Brooklyn checks in 28th and 23rd in those two categories respectively over the same stretch. While the Nets have undoubtedly faced a tougher schedule than the Pistons over their last five contests and Irving has been injured, the fact is, this has been a disappointing campaign for 18-25 Brooklyn. Coming off a 125-112 loss at home against the Grizzlies, motivation should be high for the Pistons here. They beat the Nets as a four-point underdog here at home back on November 2nd. Brooklyn will be desperate to snap a five-game skid but it hasn't won on the road since way back on December 17th in New Orleans. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-25-20 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State -1.5 | Top | 58-55 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Illinois State minus the points over Southern Illinois at 3 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Redbirds as they aim to snap a six-game skid here in what has been a winless January so far. Keep in mind, their schedule has been tough. Four of those six games came on the road and not a single one of those setbacks came against a team that currently owns a losing record. They own three truly impressive wins here at home this season, coming against Belmont, Little Rock and Northern Iowa - three teams that own a combined 44-16 record. Southern Illinois checks in 4-2 this month but all four of those wins came at home. The Salukis have yet to win a road game this season going winless in eight tries. Off back-to-back impressive wins over Drake and Northern Iowa I expect them to suffer a letdown here. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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01-24-20 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 219 | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Sacramento and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Kings carry a reputation as being an up-tempo offensive team but that simply hasn't been the case, certainly of late. Sacramento ranks 19th in the league in pace rating over its last five games and 20th in offensive rating. Chicago has been even worse, sitting 23rd in offensive rating over that same stretch. It is worth noting that the Kings rank dead last in the league in defensive rating over their last five contests but that's certainly been baked into this total, and I'm just not sure Chicago is capable of taking advantage tonight. For their part, the Bulls sit in the top nine in defensive rating over that same time frame. Take the under (10*). |
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01-24-20 | Niagara v. Monmouth -7.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Monmouth minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. Niagara enters this game off three straight wins but remains just 6-11 on the season. The Purple Eagles have won just two road games this season with those coming against teams that own a combined 12-20 record, not to mention the fact that the two wins came by a combined five points. Monmouth has gone a perfect 3-0 at home in MAAC play, winning each of those games by at least eight points. Despite the fact that the Hawks have gone 4-2 here in January, they should realize the importance of this contest with three of their next four games coming on the road, where they've gone 3-6 this season. Take Monmouth (10*). |
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01-23-20 | Pepperdine v. Santa Clara -4 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
CBB WCC Game of the Month. My selection is on Santa Clara minus the points over Pepperdine at 10 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Broncos as they look to string together consecutive wins for the first time in January on Thursday night. Santa Clara managed to bounce back with an 84-80 win over a good Pacific team last time out, playing the second of back-to-back nights after getting blown out by a whopping 50 points against Gonzaga. It's certainly encouraging that the Broncos were able to put that beatdown in the rear-view mirror so quickly. Note that Santa Clara has yet to lose a game at home this season and should be able to keep that perfect record intact here. Pepperdine fell below the .500 mark with a hard-fought 78-69 loss to St. Mary's last Saturday. The Waves have gone 2-3 since the start of January with their two wins coming against teams that own a combined 15-25 record. You have to wonder if the Waves might be a little weary with each of their last five contests being decided by single-digit margins. The Broncos are still without star big man Guglielmo Caruso but have managed to score 80+ points in both home games without him here in January. Take Santa Clara (10*). |
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01-22-20 | Grizzlies +7 v. Celtics | 95-119 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Celtics are coming off an epic beatdown of the Lakers on Monday night but I believe that only serves to leave them overvalued as they host the Grizzlies on Wednesday. Memphis checks in ranking sixth in offensive rating, 14th in defensive rating and seventh in pace rating over its last five games. While the Celtics do rank fourth in offensive rating over that same stretch, they're a miserable 24th in defensive rating and a middling 12th in pace rating. I simply feel the Grizzlies will be able to keep up with the C's all night long on Wednesday. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-22-20 | Massachusetts v. George Mason -6.5 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
CBB A-10 Game of the Month. My selection is on George Mason minus the points over UMass at 7 pm et on Wednesday. George Mason checks in having lost three games in a row on its home floor but keep in mind, those three losses came against VCU, St. Bonaventure and Richmond, three teams that own a combined 40-15 record this season. Here, they'll be stepping down in class against 7-11 UMass, which has lost three games in a row - all by double-digit margins. In fact, since the start of December, the Minutemen have won just three games and those wins came against teams that own a combined 24-30 record. Their only road win this season came against MAAC squad Fairfield, which owns a losing record on the season. Take George Mason (10*). |
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01-21-20 | Florida v. LSU -2.5 | 82-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU minus the points over Florida at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I'm comfortable laying a short number with the Tigers here as they face a tough challenge in the Florida Gators on Tuesday night. LSU has dropped just four of 16 games this season and there was no shame in any of those defeats. Some will point to the double-digit home loss to East Tennessee State back on December 18th as a bad loss but ETSU has gone 17-3 this season and is no pushover. The Tigers have gone 5-0 since the turn of the new year with the last four victories all coming by four points or less. That only serves to give us a reasonable number to work with here, however. The Gators are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over Mississippi State and Auburn but both of those wins came at home. They've split two SEC road games, beating a middle of the road South Carolina squad and getting blown out by Missouri. Take LSU (10*). |
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01-20-20 | Oklahoma +10 v. Baylor | 57-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. The Sooners will face a tough test on the Big 12 road on Monday night as they head to the Ferrell Center to face 15-1 Baylor. I do think Oklahoma can hang in this matchup. There's been no shame in any of Oklahoma's five losses this season with those coming against Stanford, Wichita State, Creighton, Iowa State and Kansas. On Saturday we saw the Sooners deliver a blowout win at home against a quality TCU squad that had lost just four of 16 games heading in. Baylor hasn't lost a game since falling by three points against Washington way back on November 8th. There aren't many flaws in the Bears' game. I simply believe they're laying too many points against a scrappy Sooners squad here on Monday night. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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01-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -6.5 | 112-107 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Oklahoma City at 5:05 pm et on Monday. We won with the Thunder on Saturday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they hit the road to face the Rockets on Monday afternoon in Houston. Note that the Thunder rank a miserable 26th in defensive rating over their last five games and will be hard-pressed to slow a Rockets offense that ranks third in the league in pace rating over their last five contests. Having dropped four games over that stretch, Houston will undoubtedly be highly-motivated to get back on track here and won't take the upstart Thunder lightly. I had this pointspread pegged a couple of points steeper, so I'll gladly back Houston at a discount here. Take Houston (10*). |
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01-19-20 | Packers +8 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over San Francisco at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. Few are giving the Packers much of a chance here but I will. Green Bay got routed by San Francisco in its regular season meeting but I expect a much stronger performance from the Packers here. I find it a big surprising that the 49ers are actually laying more points in this matchup - a tougher one in my opinion - than they were against the Vikings last week. The Seahawks were a popular pick last week and the Packers managed to outlast them. Don't be surprised if we see a similar story unfold here as QB Aaron Rodgers writes another chapter in his storied career with a big performance against the Niners. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 52.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 53 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Playoff Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Tennessee and Kansas City at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. Even after the Chiefs were involved in an 82-point game against Houston last week, I don't believe the oddsmakers have set the total high enough in this weekend's showdown with upstart Tennessee. RB Derrick Henry will get his for the Titans against a Chiefs defense you can certainly run on, particularly if run-stuffing DT Chris Jones can't go, as expected to be the case. But I don't believe nearly enough people are giving QB Ryan Tannehill any shot at keeping up with Pat Mahomes should this turn into a shootout. I'm actually confidence that Tannehill, who has been one of the league's most efficient passers down the stretch this season, can consistently move the football through the air, and come up with a handful of explosive plays should the Chiefs elect to sell out to slow down Henry. On the flip side, Tennessee doesn't generate nearly enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks to give it any hope that it can contain Mahomes in this one. As we saw in last week's game, albeit against an inferior defense, this Chiefs offense is capable of putting points on the board in a hurry. If the Titans come into this game thinking they can turn it into a slugfest, I think they will be sorely mistaken. I'm anticipating a shootout, just as we saw in the first matchup between these two teams this season. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-20 | Blazers v. Thunder -4.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Portland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Thunder on Saturday night as they look to bounce back following consecutive losses here at home. Portland is in a tough scheduling spot here, playing for the third time in four nights on the road, splitting the previous two including an upset win in Houston and a tough battle in Dallas last night. Despite dropping their last two games, the Thunder still rank ninth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. By contrast, the Blazers sit 19th in that category over the same stretch. While Oklahoma City has struggled defensively, it still ranks two spots ahead of Portland in terms of defensive rating over its last five contests. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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01-18-20 | Old Dominion v. Marshall -4 | 67-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marshall minus the points over Old Dominion at 7 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with Marshall on Saturday night. We missed the mark with the Thundering Herd last time out as they dropped a narrow two-point decision against Charlotte. For the same reasons we backed the Herd in that one, we'll go back to the well here as they face 6-11 Old Dominion. The Monarchs haven't posted a road win since back on November 16th at Northeastern. They've posted just three wins overall since then with those victories coming against three opponents that own a combined 17-37 overall record. This is a big motivational spot for Marshall at home and I look for it to bounce back strong. Take Marshall (10*). |
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01-18-20 | The Citadel v. VMI -3 | Top | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Southern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on VMI minus the points over Citadel at 1 pm et on Saturday. We faded VMI earlier this week as it fell by double-digits on the road against a highly-motivated Mercer squad. I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Keydets as they return home to face Citadel on Saturday, however. VMI checks in having lost seven straight games but winnable contests have been few and far between over that stretch. The fact is the Keydets were competitive in each of their last two games away from home, including a narrow six-point loss against 16-3 East Tennessee State. Citadel has lost five games in a row with its last victory coming against 6-12 Longwood and the Bulldogs needed three overtimes to secure that win. They own just three wins against Division I opponents this season. Take VMI (10*). |
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01-17-20 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -8 | 109-113 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the upstart Grizzlies on Friday night as they host the lowly Cavs. Cleveland did open its current road trip with consecutive wins in Detroit and Denver but it's been all downhill from there as it checks in off back-to-back blowout losses against the Lakers and Clippers in Los Angeles. Memphis ranks 4th and 9th in offensive and defensive rating respectively over its last five games, not to mention 6th in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Cavs have settled back into their woeful ways, sitting 21st in offensive rating, 29th in defensive rating and 25th in pace rating over that same time frame. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-17-20 | Siena v. Canisius +1.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius plus the points over Siena at 7 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Golden Griffins on Friday night as I believe they have plenty of upside despite their disappointing 6-10 overall record. We saw Canisius come up with a hard-fought 72-68 win at St. Peter's last time out. While it did drop its first two games at home this month, those games could have gone either way with the losses each coming by four-point margins. Tonight's opponent, Siena, checks in sporting a 7-7 record but has yet to win a game away from home this season. The Saints have won a couple of conference games at home here in January, but both of those games could have gone either way as well with a three-point margin of victory. Take Canisius (10*). |
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01-16-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans +5 | 132-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Utah at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Jazz are red hot right now, winners of 10 games in a row. I do expect them to face a stiff challenge in New Orleans on Thursday night, however. While the Jazz are on top of the league rankings in offensive rating over their last 10 games, the Pelicans also find themselves inside the top 10 in that category. While New Orleans sits inside the top 10 in pace rating as well, Utah is in 21st over its last five contests. I simply like the way the Pelicans are playing right now and certainly feel they'll be up for this showdown at home. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-16-20 | Charlotte v. Marshall -5.5 | 77-75 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marshall minus the points over Charlotte at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with Marshall in this spot. Charlotte has yet to lose a game in January, going a perfect 3-0. Only one of those wins was of the impressive variety, however. That coming at home against UAB on January 2nd. Note that the 49ers have won just once in five tries on the road this season and that came against 5-14 NC-Wilmington. Marshall has split four games so far this month. Keep in mind, both of the Thundering Herd's losses came against winning opposition including an 11-point setback at aforementioned UAB last time out. Look for them to get back on track here. Take Marshall (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Magic v. Lakers UNDER 211.5 | 119-118 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Staples Center on Wednesday night, noting that these two teams combined to score just 183 total points in their last meeting back in December. The Lakers are tops in the league in defensive rating over their last five games while the Magic aren't far behind sitting in third spot. On the flip side, the Lakers rank an impressive second in offensive rating over that same stretch but keep in mind, three of their last five contests came against three of the league's worst defensive teams in the Pistons, Wizards and Cavaliers. The Magic check in 17th in offensive rating over their last five games. Neither team has been really pushing the pace lately with the Lakers sitting 14th and the Magic 19th over their last five. Take the under (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Blazers v. Rockets -7.5 | 117-107 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Portland at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets are banged up and playing the second of back-to-back nights so it's understandable that they're laying a relatively short number against the Blazers on Wednesday. I believe the line will prove too short. Note that Houston ranks just outside the top 10 in offensive rating over its last five games, sitting in 11th. The Rockets somewhat surprisingly (to some) find themselves in 10th in defensive rating over that same stretch and an even more impressive third in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Blazers have struggled in all three of those departments, ranking 19th, 24th and 18th respectively over that same time frame. There's no shame in the Rockets loss against a steadily improving Grizzlies squad on the road last night. Expect a solid bounce-back performance here. Take Houston (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Bradley v. Missouri State -1.5 | Top | 91-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
CBB MVC Game of the Month. My selection is on Missouri State minus the points over Bradley at 8 pm et on Wednesday. This is a tremendous bounce-back spot for Missouri State on its home floor against Bradley on Wednesday night. The Bears are coming off an 80-57 beatdown at the hands of Northern Iowa on Saturday but keep in mind, the Panthers are among the class of the MVC and own a 14-2 record this season. Prior to that, the Bears had won two of three in MVC play since New Year's Even with their lone loss coming by just four points on the road against a quality 11-6 Loyola-Chicago team. Bradley is fresh off back-to-back blowout wins but could be caught looking ahead to a revenge date with Northern Iowa at home this coming Saturday. Bradley's lone road victory this season came against Evansville - a team that has gone winless in MVC play this season. Take Missouri State (10*). |
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01-15-20 | VMI v. Mercer -6 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Mercer minus the points over VMI at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Mercer has yet to win a game in 2020, dropping three straight games to open the calendar year. Keep in mind, the Bears last three games have come against teams that own a combined 36-14 overall record. VMI checks in having dropped six games in a row. The Keydets have yet to post a victory on the road this season. Note that three of VMI's five wins this season have come against non-Division I opponents. This is the first of two meetings between these two teams this month. Look for the Bears to take round one on Wednesday. Take Mercer (10*). |
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01-14-20 | Missouri v. Mississippi State -3.5 | Top | 45-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Mississippi State minus the points over Missouri at 9 pm et on Tuesday. This is a great spot to fade Missouri off its big blowout win at home against Florida on Saturday. Now the Tigers hit the road where they have posted just one victory this season, that coming against an uneven Temple squad that just got blown out at home against Tulane on the weekend. There's no shame in Mississippi State's current three-game losing streak as those three losses came against SEC opponents that have combined to go 34-11 this season, Auburn, Alabama and LSU - with the most recent two setbacks coming on the road. This is a big motivational spot for the Bulldogs as they aim to make up some ground in the SECÂ in a tough but winnable game at home. Take Mississippi State (10*). |
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01-14-20 | Knicks v. Bucks -16.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over New York at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We're dealing with an extremely high pointspread here in favor of the Bucks but it's warranted in my opinion. New York continues to struggle and checks in last in the league in defensive rating over its last five contests, and the scary thing is, it's not really all that close. The Knicks won't have a hope of slowing down a Bucks squad that sits second in the NBA in pace rating over their last five contests. New York hasn't shied away from playing an up-tempo style lately and I think that backfires here as the Bucks should be able to name their score and will be happy to be back home following a western road trip. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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01-13-20 | Magic v. Kings -1.5 | 114-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Orlando at 10:05 pm et on Monday. This is a great bounce-back spot for the Kings coming off what looked on paper like a blowout loss to the Bucks at home. That game was closer than the final score indicated and we should see a highly-motivated Sacramento squad in rebound mode here on Monday. The Magic battled hard but ultimately fell short in Phoenix on Friday (we won with the Suns in that game). Orlando has now dropped five of its last six games on the road and could get caught looking ahead to a trip to Los Angeles for back-to-back games against the Lakers and Clippers beginning on Wednesday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-13-20 | Coppin State v. Florida A&M -3.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
CBB MEAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida A&M minus the points over Coppin State at 8 pm et on Monday. Not all 3-11 teams are created equal and in this case, I believe Florida A&M is a much better team than its record indicates. The Rattlers faced an absolutely brutal non-conference schedule to open the season, playing just one home game between the start of the season and the second week of January, and that home date came against 14-5 Pacific. We've seen the Rattlers find some success lately, most recently prevailing by a 77-68 score against a quality Morgan State squad on Saturday. Here, they catch a Coppin State team that hasn't won a game since December 3rd, that coming on the road against 8-8 East Carolina. The Eagles have played well on occasion but here I simply feel they're in the wrong place at the wrong time against a highly-motivated Florida A&M squad. Take Florida A&M (10*). |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month. My selection is on Clemson plus the points over LSU at 8 pm et on Monday. If you've followed my plays regularly, you know that I've been high on Clemson all season, and particularly down the stretch. The Tigers have reeled off five straight ATS wins entering this game and I'm confident they can go toe-to-toe with mighty Joe Burrow and the LSU Tigers on Monday night. LSU has looked simply unstoppable, destroying Georgia in the SEC Championship Game before crushing an overmatched Oklahoma squad in the CFP semi-final. This will certainly be the Tigers toughest test since facing Alabama on November 9th, however - a game they won by five points. This one has all the makings of a classic showdown. I'll grab all the points I can get with Dabo Swinney's Tigers. Take Clemson (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Green Bay at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Seahawks in this one as I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair between these familiar NFC foes. Seattle checked all the boxes in last week's mild upset win in Philadelphia and should be well-positioned to continue its march toward the Super Bowl on Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field. RB Marshawn Lynch is only going to get stronger and more comfortable in the Seahawks offense with each passing week. QB Russell Wilson hit a bit of a slump late in the regular season but certainly showed signs of turning things around against the Eagles last week. The Packers earned a first round bye but I'm honestly not sure how good this team actually is. I do like their pass rush and WR DaVante Adams is obviously a beast, but outside of that the jury is out. Can QB Aaron Rodgers regain past form? That remains to be seen. I would rather have my money on Russell Wilson and the Seahawks on Sunday. Take Seattle (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Hawks +7.5 v. Nets | 86-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Brooklyn at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Nets snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win over the Heat on Friday night but that only serves to leave them overvalued as they host the lowly Hawks on Sunday. There really hasn't been much separating these two teams lately. The Nets actually rank a miserable 29th in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. There's reason to believe they could have a tough time keeping up with Atlanta, which ranks top 10 in pace rating over that same time frame. Brooklyn sits in the bottom half of the league in that department over its last five contests. With only eight wins on the season it's been mostly doom and gloom for the Hawks but they have to feel like this is a rare winnable game away from home. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Houston at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. Houston caught an extremely favorable draw last week as it hosted the Bills and ultimately needed everything in its bag of tricks to pull out an overtime victory. Now the Texans have to travel to face the rested Chiefs, who will have revenge on their minds after suffering a somewhat shocking loss against Houston right here at Arrowhead earlier this season. The Chiefs are a different team now than they were then. First of all, they have a defense. Second, Patrick Mahomes is healthy and has his full compliment of weapons at his disposal. The Texans defense doesn't match up well at all with the Chiefs multi-dimensional offensive attack. On the flip side, I fully expect to see Kansas City do a good job of keeping Texans QB DeShaun Watson in the pocket. Unlike the Titans, who came out and stunned the Ravens early in last night's game, the Texans offense will have a tough time getting off the ground here. This one has blowout potential. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Rider -7.5 v. Marist | 69-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Rider minus the points over Marist at 2 pm et on Sunday. I believe this game has blowout potential as Rider travels to face Marist on Sunday afternoon. The Broncs are coming off back-to-back losses in MAAC play but neither of those setbacks were of the demoralizing variety as they came against Quinnipiac and Iona. If anything, those losses should motivate them to put their best foot forward against a very beatable Marist squad here. The Red Foxes have won just twice in 13 games this season and those came against 5-13 VMI and 6-9 Fairfield. They were actually double-digit underdogs against Fairfield last time out so I believe we're getting a bit of a discount here with what I would consider to be a stronger Rider team. The Broncs have already defeated the Red Foxes once this season, taking an 84-74 decision back in December. Take Rider (10*). |
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01-11-20 | 76ers v. Mavs -2 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. The Mavs are coming off another tough loss last night, this one coming at the hands of the Lakers. I do expect Dallas to bounce back on Saturday, however, as it hosts Philadelphia. Despite struggling to find the win column, the Mavs still rank sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. While their defensive play has left a lot to be desired, ranking a miserable 27th over that stretch, Philadelphia hasn't been much better, also finding itself in the bottom-10 over that time frame. Both teams are missing key cogs right now with Joel Embiid sidelined for the 76ers and Kristaps Porzingis out for Dallas. I'll lay the short number with the home side. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9.5 | 28-12 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Tennessee at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I'll gladly lay the points with the Ravens on Saturday night as they begin what they hope will be a Super Bowl run against the Titans in Baltimore. This is an ideal spot to fade the Titans as the betting public is high on them following their stunning upset over the might Patriots in Foxborough last Saturday. I don't believe Tennessee is as good as it looked in that victory over New England. Let's face it, the Pats were a mess down the stretch and nothing changed at all in the Wild Card round. Here, the Titans will face a much tougher challenge, playing on the road for a third consecutive week off back-to-back victories in 'must-win' games. The Ravens weaknesses are few and far between. I don't need to tell you that QB Lamar Jackson is in line for another huge performance on Saturday night. I do think we'll see the Ravens defense move to the forefront after this game as well as they should absolutely dominate Titans QB Ryan Tannehill. RB Derrick Henry will get his but it won't be enough to keep the Titans within arm's reach of the AFC's number one seed. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers OVER 44 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -106 | 54 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and San Francisco at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. This one sets up perfectly as we're dealing with a relatively low total based on all four games last week staying 'under' the total and the fact that the 49ers reputation as a 'defense first' team preceeds them. That's not to mention the notion that the Vikings offense can only go as far as QB Kirk Cousins takes them and the belief that he's in line for a bad game after holding his own in New Orleans last week. I believe the potential is there for a shootout in Santa Clara as the Divisional Round kicks off on Saturday afternoon. The 49ers offense doesn't get nearly enough respect. This is one of the most creative offenses in the NFL today and with extra time to prepare I fully expect Kyle Shanahan's squad to pull out all the stops against a very beatable Vikings defense on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Vikings are riding high after playing a near-perfect road game in New Orleans last Sunday. I'm not a Kirk Cousins doubter. I'm confident we'll see him turn in another strong performance here with all of his weapons likely at his disposal with WR Adam Thielen expected to be good to go. The common narrative is that the 49ers defense is healthy now and poised to dominate the Vikings, but I'm not convinced it will play out that way on the field. Take the over (10*). |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -102 | 54 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over San Francisco at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Vikings in last week's stunning upset of the Saints in New Orleans and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they head to the west coast to face the 49ers. I'm not sure we saw Minnesota's best game at the Superdome last Sunday but it still managed to pull out an overtime win. The overriding narrative here is that the 49ers defense will manhandle the Vikings Kirk Cousins-led offense. I'm just not convinced that will be the case. Yes, the Vikes haven't been as good on the road, and certainly not outdoors. But I believe this is a team with a big chip on their shoulder and that underdog mentality will serve them well again here. The 49ers have enjoyed a terrific season but are largely green when it comes to the postseason. I don't consider Levi's Stadium to be an intimidating venue for the opposition by any means. Give me all the points I can get with the Vikes here. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-11-20 | Clemson v. North Carolina -4.5 | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Clemson at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This is a perfect bounce-back spot for the Tar Heels at home - where they have shockingly dropped consecutive games against the likes of Pitt and Georgia Tech. Clemson is not a good team - we learned that the hard way in a disappointing result in a huge motivational spot at home against Miami a week-and-a-half ago. Look for North Carolina to take the opportunity to flex its muscle in the midst of a down season against a very beatable opponent on Saturday afternoon. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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01-10-20 | Magic v. Suns -3 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Orlando at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We're getting a terrific number with the Suns here considering they were a 6.5-point favorite against the Kings last time out (we won with Sacramento in that game). The Magic have won three of their last four games but all four of those were played at home. They own five road wins this season but those have come against the Cavs (twice), Pelicans and Wizards (twice). This is the start of a long six-game road trip for Orlando. Playing on two days' rest and having not traveled since New Year's Day, I like this spot for the Suns. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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