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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-23-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa OVER 141.5 | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 7:00 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Over 141.5 (5*) Wisconsin is coming off a 75-50 home win over Illinois. Iowa has allowed 75 points or more in each of their last 7 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable college basketball totals betting angle which has a 82.4% win rate throughout the past 21 seasons and is detailed below. Any road team (Wisconsin) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 that allowed 55 points or less in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent which has allowed 75 points or more in each of its last 5 contests, resulted in those games going 28-6 (82.4%) over the total since 1997. The average combined points scored in those 34 contests was 152.6. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-22-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 211 | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Portland @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Under 211.0 (5*) These teams have met twice this season and both games went under the total. As a matter of fact, those 2 games saw just a combined 187 and 181 points scored. The Nuggets are averaging only 95.2 points scored per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Denver has gone under the total in 6 straight, and those contests fell below the number by an average of 13.8 points per game. Furthermore, during their last 5 outings, Denver has gone under the total by a combined 75.5 points. At the time of this writing, Portland is a 3.0-point favorite. Portland is 12-4 under the total this season when they’re +3.0 to -3.0. Those 16 contests combined to average 201.4 points scored per game. Any home team (Denver) with a total of 210.0 to 219.5 that’s facing a division opponent, and they went under the total in their last 5 games by a combined 42.0 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 34-13 (72.3%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those games was 213.5, and there was a combined 207.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-22-18 | Jazz v. Hawks +3 | 90-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Utah @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a 113-87 home loss to Chicago. Despite that defeat, the Hawks are a respectable 5-2 during its last 7 home games. Monday will be just the 6th game in the last 14 days for Atlanta. This sets up a very profitable NBA betting angle which is detailed below. Any home team coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, and they’ll be playing in their 6th game or less in 14 days, resulted in those home teams going 60-19 (75.9%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. The home teams averaged outscoring those 79 opponents by 6.5 points per game. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Philadelphia 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Philadelphia +3.5 (10*) For starters, this is an Eagles team that’s 8-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came against Dallas in a meaningless Week 17 regular season game. They were also a 2.5-point home underdog during last Sunday’s 15-10 Divisional Round win over the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons. Counting last week’s playoff game, Philadelphia is 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1980, NFL playoff home underdogs have gone an extremely profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%). If those postseason home underdogs had a win percentage of .750 or better, they improved to 9-2 ATS (81.8%) and won straight up on 8 of those occasions. Minnesota is also an identical 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1985, any NFL home underdog of 2.0-points or more that’s playing after Game 5 of their season, possessing a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was 13.5 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ New England 3:05 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Under 46.5 (10*) Despite the Jaguars defense looking less than impressive during last week’s 45-42 Divisional Round win at Pittsburgh, they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Jacksonville has allowed 10 points or less in 9 of 18 games this season, and they’re at or near the top of every defensive category. New England’s explosive offense led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady gets a plethora of attention and rightfully so. Nevertheless, the Patriots defense has allowed 17 points or less in 11 of their last 13 games played, and that includes each of it previous 5 at home. Any road team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a road win in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 31-5 (86.1%) under the total since 1985. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves UNDER 216 | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Minnesota 9:05 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Under 216.0 (5*) Minnesota went under the total in each of its last 2 games played. They’ve gone 11-2 under the total this season following an under in each of their previous 2 contests. Toronto is coming off an 86-83 win against San Antonio, and that game easily went under the total of 204.0. The win improved the Raptors season record to 31-13 (.704). Meanwhile, Minnesota enters today with a record of 29-18. This sets up and straightforward NBA totals betting angle which has been extremely profitable during the past 22 seasons. Any team with a total of 210.0 or more, possessing a win percentage of .600 to .750, and they went under the total by 30.0 points or more during its previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) which owns a winning record, resulted in those games going 25-5 (83.3%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 30 contests was 216.9, and there were just a combined 202.7 points scored per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-18 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 212 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Over 212.0 (5**) The Clippers have averaged 118.8 points scored per game and shot 51.5% during their previous 5 games played. The Clippers have gone over the total in 6 straight away games. As a matter of fact, their last 5 road games have seen a combined 233.4 points being scored per game. Utah is coming off 2 consecutive strong offensive performances in which they averaged 117.5 point scored per game while shooting a blistering hot 51.1% from the field. However, the Jazz have allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 49.7% and 47.9% from 3-point land. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-18 | Heat +5.5 v. Hornets | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Miami +5.5 (5*) Charlotte will be facing a Miami team that forces just 13 turnovers per game. Charlotte is an abysmal 1-10 straight up this season when facing opponents that force 14 or less turnovers per game. The good news is Charlotte is currently on a modest 2-game win streak. The bad news is they haven’t won 3 straight games since way back on 11/22/17, and they’ve turned the trick just twice all season. Miami is coming off an unexpected loss at Brooklyn last night. Nevertheless, the Heat has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. Miami is 15-4 straight up this season when facing teams with a losing record like Charlotte possesses. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-18 | Arizona v. Stanford +5.5 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Stanford 4:00 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Stanford +5.5 (5*) After getting off to a disappointing 6-8 start to the season, Stanford has caught fire of late. The Cardinal have won 5 straight and were an underdog on 4 of those occasions. During this current win streak, Stanford is averaging a robust 84.0 points scored while shooting a sizzling hot 50.0% from the field. The Cardinal will also be out to atone for last season’s embarrassing 91-52 home loss to Arizona and end the Wildcats prolonged dominance in this head to head series. Play on Stanford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -6.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Clemson 4:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Clemson -6.5 (5*) The key injury to Bonzi Colson which has sidelined him for a prolonged period is finally starting to catch up to Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish have lost their last 3 games, and 2 of those occurred on its own home floor. Notre Dame has shot a dismal 38% from the floor throughout its previous 5 games. That’s certainly not good news, and especially considering they’ll be facing an opponent (Clemson) today that’s allowing a mere 61.0 points per game at home. Clemson is a perfect 10-0 (+18.7 PPG) at home this season, and the Tigers were 6-1 ATS games that had a line. Their only non-cover at home came during a 74-69 win over Louisville in a contest in which they were a 6.0-point favorite. The Tigers are also converting on a superb 80.9% of their free throw attempts during its 6 ACC games. Basically, if you need to send Clemson to the free throw line late to extend a game that you trail in, it will be a losing battle with no pun intended. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Cleveland State OVER 140.5 | 87-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Illinois-Chicago @ Cleveland State 3:30 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Over 140.5 (5*) Illinois-Chicago has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that time span, they’ve averaged a lofty 80.4 points scored per game, shot 50.2% from the floor, and knocked down 40.2% of their 3-point shots. Cleveland State is a poor defensive team and Illinois-Chicago should have little trouble keeping their recent torrid shooting and scoring going on Saturday. Illinois-Chicago has gone over the total by a combined 46.5-point during their last 5 games, and they enter today with a 9-11 (.450) record. Conversely, Cleveland State is a dismal 5-15 this season. The combination of that data sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle pertaining to the total in this Horizon League contest. Any team with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 that went over the total by a combined 36.0 points or more during their previous 5 games, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re facing an opponent (Cleveland State) with a losing record, resulted in those contests going 50-19 (72.5%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 69 games was 144.5, and there were a combined 150.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-18-18 | Michigan v. Nebraska +5 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Michigan @ Nebraska 9:00 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Nebraska +5.0 (10*) Nebraska is a stellar 10-1 at home this season, and their lone defeat came by a narrow 1-point margin against #10 Kansas. They will also be out to earn their first victory against Michigan since joining the Big 10 Conference after losing 8 straight in this head to head series. Nebraska is 0-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Michigan barely escaped with a 68-67 win at home versus Maryland in their previous game, and didn’t come close to covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Bet on Nebraska plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-18 | Niagara -2.5 v. Quinnipiac | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Niagara @ Quinnipiac 7:00 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Niagara -2.5 (5*) Quinnipiac is 4-3 at home this season. However, their 4 wins came by a combined 6 points, and its home record can very easily be 0-7. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season, Quinnipiac is 0-7 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 3.0-points or less and lost by 11.9 points per game. The Bobcats have made a paltry 36.8% of their field goal attempts throughout their previous 5 games. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing a Niagara team which ranks 29th in scoring offense at 83.2 points per game. Niagara has won each of their last 6 true road games, and that doesn’t even include a season opening upset victory at St. Bonaventure. The Purple Eagles are a very experienced team that possesses a dynamic backcourt tandem of Matt Scott (21.8 PPG) and Kahlili Dukes (20.8 PPG). Bet on Niagara minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-18 | Arizona State v. Stanford +3.5 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Stanford +3.5 (5*) After getting off to a terrific 12-0 start to the season, Arizona State is just 2-3 during its last 5 games. As a matter of fact, their 2 wins in that 5-game stretch came by just a combined 5 points. Arizona State narrowly escaped with a 77-75 home win over Oregon State in their previous game, and didn’t come close to covering as a sizable 12.0-point favorite. During the past 2 seasons, Arizona is a dismal 1-7 straight up following a conference win. Stanford is an uninspiring 10-8 this season. However, the Cardinal have gained some traction of late by going 4-0 SU&ATS during its last 4 games, and they were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. The Cardinal will be playing with triple revenge after losing all 3 games against Arizona State a season ago. Bet on Stanford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-18 | Spurs v. Nets +7 | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Brooklyn +7.0 (5*) This will be the 2nd and final regular season meeting between these teams. Back on 12/26/17, San Antonio defeated Brooklyn at home by a score of 109-97. Brooklyn is coming off a disappointing 109-94 loss to the Knicks in a game they were a 4.0-point home favorite. San Antonio is an outstanding 15-2 at home this season but an uninspiring 10-14 in away games. Any home underdog (Brooklyn) that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss by 10 points or more, and they’re coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 27-7 ATS (79.4%) since 1996. The home underdogs also won straight up on 19 of those 34 occasions. Bet on Brooklyn plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-18 | Pelicans v. Hawks +2.5 | 93-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Atlanta +2.5 (5*) This will be New Orleans’ 3rd road game in 4 days, and they need to work overtime last night in their 116-113 upset win against Boston. Meanwhile, tonight will be the 2nd game in 5 days from Atlanta and both will have been taken place at home. Despite their poor record Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 home games, and they’ve also been a very profitable 14-5 ATS (73.7%) during their previous 19 contests as an underdog. Any team (Atlanta) that’s +3.0 to -3.0, versus an opponent (New Orleans) playing with no rest and is coming off a road win by 3 points or less, resulted in those teams going 26-5 (83.9) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-18 | Mavs +5.5 v. Nuggets | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (5*) Denver is averaging 106.2 points scored per game this season. However, they’ve been mired in a terrible offensive slump of late. The Nuggets have scored less than 100 points in 6 of their last 7 games. Furthermore, Denver is averaging 88.0 points scored per game while shooting a miserable 37.9% during its previous 3 contests. Dallas has been a recent huge money maker as an underdog. The Mavericks are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, and won straight up on 5 of those occasions. Unlike their opponent (Denver) on Tuesday, Dallas hasn’t had much issue in the scoring department. They’ve scored 101 points or more in 7 of its last 8 games. Denver is coming off a 112-80 blowout loss at San Antonio in their previous game. Meanwhile, Dallas has allowed 107 and 111 points during its last 2 games. The combination of the above mentioned statistical data presents us with a highly successful NBA betting angle which sides with the underdog Mavericks this evening. Any road team that’s scored 105 points or more in its last 2 games, and is facing an opponent coming off a loss by 30 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 22-9 straight up since 1996. The straight up results take on added significance since it sides with the underdog in this contest. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-18 | Pelicans v. Celtics OVER 214 | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Boston 7:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Over 214.0 (5*) New Orleans has gone over the total by a combined 39.0 points in its last 5 games. Conversely, Boston has gone under the total by a combined 113.5 points during their previous 10 games. The combination of this precise statistical data qualifies for an extremely profitable NBA betting angle. Any road team (New Orleans) that’s gone over the total by a combined 36.0 points or more in their last 5 games, versus an opponent (Boston) which has gone under the total by a combined 54.0 points or more, and there’s a total of 210.0 or more in games played between these 2 teams, resulted in those contests going 29-9 (76.3%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 31 contests was 215.1 and there were 222.6 points scored per game. |
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01-16-18 | Cincinnati v. UCF UNDER 121.5 | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Under 121.5 (5*) This low total hasn’t deterred me from ling the under in this American Athletic Conference matchup. After all these are two of the best defensive teams in the country, and each like to play at a methodical offensive pace. Cincinnati is off to a fast 5-0 start in conference play. Much of their success can be attributed to their stout defensive play. The Bearcats allowed 53.0 points scored per game and held those 5 conference foes to a combined 35.1% shooting. Central Florida has gone under the total in all 5 of their conference games this season, and there was just a combined average of 108.0 points scored per contest. They’ll have their hands full tonight against a Cincinnati team which is holding their opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting from the floor this season. UCF has gone 6-0 under the total this seasons versus teams with a defensive field percentage of 42.0% or less. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +6 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Golden State @ Cleveland 8:05 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Cleveland +6.0 (10*) Cleveland is a dismal 1-10 ATS during its last 11 games. However, 8 of their previous 9 games have been played on the road. The Cavaliers will enter tonight’s contest riding a 13-game home winning streak, and has an overall record of 26-16. Monday will be Golden State’s 3rd road game in 4 nights. They’re are coming off a narrow 2-point win at Toronto on Saturday, and nearly squandered a huge 27-point halftime lead in that contest. Golden State enters today with a stellar overall record of 35-9. Any home team (Cleveland) which has failed to cover in 8 or more of their previous 10 games, and they own a winning record, versus an opponent (Golden State) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 31-5 (86.5%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Those 36 home teams also held a decisive +10.8 points per game differential in those contests. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-15-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 203 | 114-123 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Memphis 5:35 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Under 203.0 (5*) Memphis is averaging 98.6 points scored per game this season. The Grizzlies are coming off an 87-78 loss at Denver in their previous game. Memphis has gone under the total in 16 of 21 home contests this season. The Grizzlies have also gone under in each of their previous 3 contests, and there was a combined 191.3 points scored per game. Despite, the Lakers allowing 110.2 points per game this season, they’ve played substantially better defense of late. During its last 5 contests, the Lakers are giving up just 97.8 points per game, held their opponents to only 39.9% shooting, and went under on 4 of those occasions. Any home team (Memphis) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, averaging 98 to 102 points scored per game, and they’re coming off a game in which there was a combined 175 points or less scored, versus an opponent (LA Lakers) allowing 102.0 or more points per game, resulted in those contests going 39-10 (79.6%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those 49 contests was 204.7 and there was a combined average of 195.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 4:40 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Minnesota -4.0 (10*) New Orleans is 8-1 at home this season but a mediocre 4-4 on the road. As a matter of fact, the Saints are a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 away games. Ironically, New Orleans opened the season at Minnesota, and lost that contest 29-19 in a game wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicates. New Orleans was outgained by Minnesota in that game by a decisive margin of 470-344. Since Mike Zimmer has taken over the Minnesota Vikings head coaching duties in 2014, Minnesota is 14-1 ATS as a non-division home favorite. Considering the sample size and continuity pertaining to this precise situation, it’s a team betting trend that I certainly can’t ignore. Additionally, we can’t dismiss how dominating the Vikings defense has been this season, and especially so at home. Minnesota has allowed a paltry 12.5 points and 248.5 yards per game in their 8 home contests this season. Furthermore, the Vikings have given up 10 points or less in 5 of its last 7 games, and that includes in each of their previous 3 outings. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers -7 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 3 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Pittsburgh -7.0 (5*) Jacksonville tried very hard to lose their wild card round home game last week against Buffalo. But their defense carried them to a 10-3 win. They were facing a Buffalo wide receiver unit that was the least productive in the NFL this season. They also had to deal with a mediocre quarterback at best, and a less than 100% healthy LeSean McCoy. That won’t be the case this week against an extremely talented wide receiver group and a future Hall of Fame quarterback. Pittsburgh was embarrassed earlier this season during a 30-9 home defeat against Jacksonville. Since 2014, Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5-points or more when playing with revenge. They did win all 5 of those contests straight up, and did so by a lopsided 18.2 points per game. You can be sure “Big Ben” will be out to atone for a dismal 5 interception performance in that loss to Jacksonville in early October. Any NFL non-division postseason home favorite of 6.0 to 11.5-points, coming off a bye week, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those sizable playoff home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests came by a decisive 15.0 points per game. Bet on the Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-13-18 | San Diego State v. Boise State -3 | 80-83 | Push | 0 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Boise State 10:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Boise State -3.0 (5*) These teams are very evenly matched. The difference comes by way of home court advantage. Boise State is a perfect 9-0 at home this season, and has outscored those opponents by a whopping 23.9 points per game. Bet on Boise State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-13-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 144.5 | Top | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
UL-Monroe @ UL-Lafayette 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Under 144.5 (10*) Any home team with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, averaging 76 points or more scored per game, and they’re coming off 2 straight wins that each came by 15 points or more, versus an opponent which is playing after Game 14 of the season and allows 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 32-7 (82.1%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 39 games was 145.3 and there were a combined 135.6 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-18 | Warriors -4 v. Raptors | 127-125 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Golden State -4.0 (10*) Toronto is an excellent 15-2 at home this season. Nevertheless, 1 of those defeats occurred against Miami this past Tuesday night. They rebounded nicely with a 133-99 blowout win at home over Cleveland in their previous game, and led at the half in that contest by a score of 65-40. Golden State has been better on the road than at home thus far. The Warriors are still a very good 16-6 (.727) at home but an outstanding 18-3 (.857) in away games. As a matter of fact, they’ll enter tonight’s contest riding a red-hot 11-game road winning streak. The Warriors also have outscored their 43 opponents this season by an average of 9.3 points per game. Any road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points with a +3.0 or better points per game differential, and is facing an opponent that led its previous game by 20 points or more at the half, resulted in those road favorites going 36-8 ATS (81.8%) during the past 5 seasons. That also includes 13-1 ATS (92.9%) over the last 3 seasons. Bet on Golden State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 71 h 4 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Philadelphia +3.0 (10*) Granted there’s significant drop off from going with Nick Foles as opposed to Carson Wentz at quarterback. However, Foles is experienced enough to play within himself and not try to do too much. He’s also confident in knowing that this is an Eagles defense which has allowed 13.4 points and 321 yards per game at home this season. Philadelphia was a stellar 7-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came in their meaningless regular season finale to Dallas. The Eagles used primarily backups in that 6-0 loss to ensure it starters could avoid injury. Besides all that I’ve already pointed out, home playoff teams in this precise scenario have won at an extremely high rate over the past 26 years. Any playoff home team (Philadelphia) playing that had a bye the week before, versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off a playoff win, and they possess a win percentage of less than .705 (Atlanta .647), resulted in those home teams going 43-7 (86%) straight up since 1992. Considering the home team is an underdog in this instance, it takes on added betting value. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-18 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Indiana +2.5 (10*) Cleveland has struggled during road losses in their last 2 games played. The Cavaliers were blown out by Toronto 133-94 and Minnesota 127-99 in those contests. As a matter of fact, Cleveland has allowed 129.0 points per game and allowed its opponents to shoot 50.7% over their previous 3 games. Indiana enters this confidence in knowing that defeated Cleveland both times they faced them this season by scores of 124-107 and 106-102. The Pacers have been very efficient offensively throughout its last 3 games. During that span, they averaged a lofty 113.8 points per game shot a sizzling hot 53.8%. Indiana also possessed a dominating +9.3 rebound per contest differential over that 3-game span. Any home team (Indiana) facing an opponent that’s playing with same season double revenge stemming from losses in which they allowed 100 points or more on each occasion, and they’re (Cleveland) coming off road losses by 10 points or more during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in the home teams going 53-7 (88.3%) since 1996. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-11-18 | Clemson -4 v. NC State | 77-78 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Clemson @ NC State 9:00 ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Clemson -4.0 (5*) NC State is coming off a huge upset win over Duke and they did so as a 12.5-point home underdog. If anything, that served up as a warning sign for a 14-1 Clemson team which has won 10 straight. NC State isn’t a very good defensive team. As a matter of fact, they’ve allowed 78 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. The Wolfpack is 11-5 this season and has a lofty +10.8 points per game differential. Conversely, I look for an emotional letdown for NC State tonight after playing with a extremely high level of intensity against Duke. Due to that performance, they certainly aren’t going to catch Clemson napping. Clemson has played the more difficult schedule that NC State has to this point. Clemson has already defeated NC State this season and it came by a decisive 16-point margin. Furthermore, this is a Clemson team that has a stellar +14.4 points per game differential on the season. Any favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Clemson), versus an opponent which has allowed 75 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and both teams have a +8.0 or better point per game differential, resulted in those favorites going 55-17 ATS (76.4%) since 1997. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-18 | Florida Atlantic v. UTEP UNDER 135.5 | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
FAU @ UTEP 9:00 Game# 555-556 Play On: Under 135.5 (5*) FAU has seen its last 3 contests all go under the total, and there was just a combined average of 117.3 points scored per contest. UTEP has allowed 63 points or less in each of their previous 4 home games. FAU is 6-9 this season and has scored 60 points or less in each of their previous 5 games. The Owls are allowing 69.3 points per game while UTEP has given up 69.9 per contest. Any team (FAU) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that’s playing after Game 14 of the season, coming off 3 straight games in which they scored 60 points or less, and both teams are allowing 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 48-14 under the total during the past 5 seasons. There was a combined average of 126.0 points scored per game in those 62 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-18 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota State OVER 152.5 | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State 8:00 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: Over 152.5 (5*) This will be an extremely faced paced game. Both teams average over 60 field goal attempts per game. South Dakota State has scored 85 points or more in 9 straight games, and is averaging a robust 86.6 points scored per game. Meanwhile, Oral Roberts has seen 8 of its last 10 lined games go over the total, and they’re averaging 71 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, in 3 conference games this season, ORU is averaging 93.3 points per contest while converting on an outstanding 41.4% of its 3-point shots. Any home team (South Dakota State) with a total of 150.0 to 159.5 that’s playing after Game 14 of the season, averaging scoring 76 points or more per game, and they’ve scored 80 points or more in each of their previous 3 contests, versus an opponent (Oral Roberts) that averages scoring 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 38-12 (76%) since 1997. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-18 | Louisville +6 v. Florida State | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals @ Florida State Seminoles 9:00 PM ET Game# 769-770 Play On: Louisville +6.0 (5*) Both teams love to play an up-tempo style. Louisville averages 62 field goal attempts per game while Florida State is attempting 63 a contest. Louisville has really locked down defensively during their last 2 games. They held Clemson to 36.8% and Pittsburgh to 34.7% shooting from the floor. Any college basketball road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Louisville) that held each of its last 2 opponents to 37.5% or worse shooting, and both teams average 60 field goal attempts or more per game, resulted in those road underdogs going 28-6 ATS (82.4%) since 1997. The underdogs also went a more than respectable 21-13 straight up in those contests. Numbers don’t lie, and liars don’t figure. Bet on Louisville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-09-18 | Butler v. Creighton -6.5 | 74-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Butler @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Creighton -6.5 (5*) Creighton is a perfect 10-0 at home this season and has outscored those visiting opponents by a decisive average of 28.3 points per game. This is a very good Butler team. However, this isn’t a great matchup for the Bulldogs. Butler has allowed 86 points or more in each of their last 4 games. Meanwhile, they’ll be facing an opponent (Creighton) this evening which has averaged 90.2 points per game and shot 52.1% from the field throughout its previous 5 outings. These teams have recently faced a common opponent in Georgetown. Butler squeaked by the Hoyas with a 91-89 overtime victory on the road. Conversely, Creighton won at Georgetown in their previous game by a lopsided |
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01-09-18 | Magic v. Mavs OVER 214 | 99-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Orlando @ Dallas 8:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Over 214.0 (5*) Dallas has gone 4-1 over the total during its last 5 games and there was a combined 234.2 points scored per contest. During that 5-game span, the Mavericks shot 49.1% from the floor and converted on a superb 44.2% of its 3-point tries. Orlando’s last 5 games have seen a combined 220.9 points scored per contest. During that period, the Magic have averaged a loft 90 field goal attempts per game, and that includes 91 or more in their previous 3 outings. They’ll have a willing dance partner tonight as Dallas has hoisted up 90 or more shots in each of its last 3 games. This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-18 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Under 226.5 (5*) The last time these teams met was on 12/23/17 at Golden State, and Denver came away with a 96-81 win. Golden State is coming off a 121-105 road blowout win against the LA Clippers in their previous game. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA totals betting angle which has withstood a test of time. Any team (Golden State) with a total of 220.0 or more, playing with same season revenge stemming from a home loss by 10 points or more, and they’re coming off a road win, resulted in those teams going 25-5 under (83.3%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 224.2, and there was a combined average of 214.8 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 155-156 Play On: Georgia +5.0 (10*) In my mind, this is an even matchup across the board with a lone exception, Georgia’s passing game is more consistent than Alabama’s aerial attack. This is also a Georgia team that averages 267 yards rushing per game, and has run for 238 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, they torched Oklahoma for 317 yards son the ground in their thrilling double overtime win in the New Year’s Day national semifinal. Any neutral field underdog (Georgia) that averages 225 yards or more rushing per game, and has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those underdogs going 23-3 ATS (88.5%) since 1992. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Minnesota (Pick) (5*) Minnesota is coming off a 116-98 home win over New Orleans which ended a 2-game losing streak. The Timberwolves are 11-1 straight up this season after losing 2 of its last 3 games. Cleveland is coming off a 131-127 road win against lowly Orlando, but failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. Despite that win, Cleveland is still a dismal 1-5 over its last 5 away games. Any home team (Minnesota) coming off a win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Cleveland) who scored 130 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 37-14 (72.5%) straight up since 1996. Considering what the current point-spread is, this straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Minnesota for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-18 | Hawks +3.5 v. Lakers | 113-132 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ LA Lakers 9:35 PM ET Game# 809-810 Play On: Atlanta +3.5 The Lakers have no business being favorite against anyone. They’ve lost 9 straight games and that includes losing by 18 points or more in each of its last 3 contests. Atlanta has a dismal 3-17 road record which includes losing 8 away games in a row. However, during this current road 8-game losing streak, they covered on 6 of those occasions. As a matter of fact, they’re 12-8 ATS (60%) on the road for the season. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
Carolina @ New Orleans 4:35 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Carolina +7.0 (5*) New Orleans has already defeated Carolina twice this season. It’s extremely difficult to be a very good football team 3 times in a season. Make no mistake, the 11-5 Panthers are a very good football team. If not for losing on the road to the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons last week, it would be Carolina hosting this playoff contest on Sunday and not New Orleans. New Orleans is very lucky that didn’t transpire after losing to a then 4-11 Tampa Bay team last Sunday. After going on a torrid 8-game win streak, New Orleans went just 3-3 during its last 6 games. At the very least, I like Carolina to take this game right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | San Diego +13.5 v. St. Mary's | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
San Diego @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: San Diego +13.5 (5*) I like this San Diego team to the point where I believe they’re vastly undervalued. They’re 5-1 in true road games this season and are an excellent defensive team. San Diego is allowing just 62.4 points per game while limiting their opponents to 37.2% shooting and 23.6% from beyond the 3-point line. That matches up very well against a very good St. Mary’s team that relies heavily on their perimeter game. Bet on San Diego plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-18 | Northern Colorado v. Montana -7.5 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Northern Colorado @ Montana 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Montana -7.5 (10*) Montana has opened Big Sky Conference play by going 3-0 SU&ATS and their average victory margin is a decisive 26.0 points per game. Even more impressive is that 2 of those 3 games took place on the road. Both these teams love to play a fast-paced game and put up a lot of points. The main difference is Montana is a vastly superior defensive team in comparison to Northern Colorado. Bet on Montana minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 48.5 | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta @ LA Rams 8:15 ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Atlanta enters this postseason after seeing each of their last 5 regular season games go under the total. As a matter of fact, during the past 3 seasons Atlanta is 19-6 under following an under in their previous game, and that includes 11-1 under if there’s a total of 46.5 to 53.5. The Falcons defense has flown under the radar this season with no pun intended. Atlanta has allowed just 19.6 points and 318.0 yards per game during its regular season slate. This Falcons offense is far from the offensive juggernaut we saw a season ago. Much can be attributed to the loss of last season’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan who accepted the head coaching job in San Francisco. The Rams have been a dynamic offensive team this season. However, they have very little playoff experience on their roster, and this will be the Rams franchise first postseason appearance since 2005. This is an extremely talented Rams defense, and they’re masterminded by one of the best coordinators in football in Wade Phillips. Atlanta concluded its regular season last Sunday with a 22-10 home win over division rival Carolina. That victory improved their final regular season record to 10-6 (.625). They will be facing a Rams team that went 11-5 (.687). Any road team (Atlanta) playing in a playoff game that coming off a division home win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (LA Rams) with a win percentage of .687 or worse, resulted in those postseason games going 12-0 under the total since 2008. There was a combined average of 37.1 points scored per game during those 12 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -8 | 22-21 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Kansas City 4:30 ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Kansas City -8.0 (5*) Tennessee went 2-5 in their last 7 road games with their only wins coming against Cleveland and Indianapolis. Nonetheless, those 2 road victories came by only a combined 7 points, and came against opponents that went a combined 3-29 (.094) this season. After starting the season 8-4, Tennessee lost 3 straight games, and needed last Sunday’s 15-10 home win over Jacksonville to secure a playoff spot. They were able to defeat the Jaguars despite racking up just 232 yards of total offense. Tennessee will be making its first playoff appearance since 2009, and will be without the services of leading rusher DeMarco Murray (MCL). After going through a midseason stretch in which they lost 6 of 7 games, Kansas City regrouped and finished regular season action by going 4-0 SU&ATS. The Chiefs are also 4-0 SU&ATS this seasons as a favorite following a win in their previous game, and versus an opponent coming off a win during its last contest. This will be the 5th playoff game in 5 years for Kansas City in 5 years under head coach Andy Reid. Conversely, this will be the first ever playoff game for Mike Mularkey in 6 years as a head coach in Buffalo and now with Tennessee. Here’s an interesting playoff betting tidbit that makes a lot of sense. Any team playing in its first playoff game as a home favorite of 8.0-points or more (Kansas City), and they finished regular season action by winning and covering its last 4 regular season contests, resulted in those postseason home favorites going 4-0 SU&ATS (+15.0 PPG) since 1982. It’s certainly a rare situation but proves entering the NFL playoffs riding a wave of momentum makes justifies laying a big number. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-18 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Utah @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 813-814 Play On: Under 209.0 (5*) Utah has gone under the total in 6 of their last 7 games. They’re also 9-1 under the total this season against divisional opponents, and those games averaged a combined 194.9 points scored per game. Denver is coming off a 134-11 blowout win against Phoenix, and that game easily went over the total of 218.5. They’ve gone under the total in 5 of its last 6 games following a contest that went over the number. These teams have seen 10 of 11 games played against one another during the last 3 seasons go under the total, and that includes all 5 at Denver. As a matter of fact, this will be the 4th meeting of the season between these Northwest Division rivals, and each of the previous 3 went under the total (191.7 PPG). Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-18 | Wolves +3.5 v. Celtics | 84-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Minnesota +3.5 (5*) Boston will be playing in their 4th consecutive game at home. The Celtics are 4-13 ATS the past 2 seasons in home games after playing their previous 2 contests at home. Minnesota is coming off a narrow 98-97 loss at Brooklyn in their previous game. The Timberwolves are a perfect 8-0 in its last 8 contests following a loss in their previous game. Minnesota is also a respectable 11-9 in road games this season, and that includes 12-8 ATS. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-04-18 | Thunder v. Clippers +2 | Top | 127-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: LA Clippers +2.0 (10*) Oklahoma City has been much better on the road of late, and last night’s 133-96 trashing of the Lakers in indicative of such. However, the fact remains, they’re still only 7-10 straight up and 6-12 ATS in away games this season. The Clippers have really turned it on of late, going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 contests, and 6-0 SU&ATS during its previous 6 home games. They’re also 9-1 ATS during their last 10 games, and are a +69.5-points against the point-spread during that span. Any team (Clippers) that’s +54.0-points or more against the spread over their last 10 contests, and they’re facing an opponent (OKC) that covered their last game by 18.0-points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-10 (73%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Bet on the LA Clippers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-03-18 | Illinois v. Minnesota OVER 152 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Illinois @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Over 152.0 (10*) Both teams love to play a fast-paced game with Minnesota averaging 64 field goal attempts and Illinois at 63 per contest. Minnesota is averaging 83.8 points scored per game and Illinois 80.3 per contest. Minnesota has held its last 3 opponents to 39.4% or less shooting from the floor. However, keep in mind, those opponents included Harvard, Oral Roberts, and Florida Atlantic. The Gophers are converting on 35.9% of their 3-point attempts this season, and Illinois has made 33.3% of its long distance tries. Any team that’s playing after Game 14 of the season with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and they allowed their last 3 opponents to shoot 40% or less from the floor, and both teams have converted 32.0 to 36.5$ of their 3-point attempts on the season, resulted in those games going 25-5 (83.3%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 30 contests was 152.0, and there was a combined 163.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-03-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +7 | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Dallas 8:35 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Dallas +7.0 (5*) Dallas has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. However, they did allow 113 points or more in each of the previous 2 games, and that’s extremely relevant to our betting angle on this contest. Meanwhile, Golden State is coming off an 141-128 win over Memphis during their previous outing. Any home team (Dallas) which has allowed 110 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Golden State) that allowed 120 points or more during their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 37-18 (67.3%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Once again, since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this contest, it makes the home team an even better betting value. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-03-18 | Raptors v. Bulls +5.5 | 124-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Chicago +5.5 (5*) Chicago has gone 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and that includes 4-0 ATS during its previous 4 as a home underdog. The Bulls have scored 110 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Toronto is coming off a 131-127 home win over Milwaukee in their last game. Any home team (Chicago) which has scored 105 points or more during each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Toronto) which scored 130 points or more in their last game, resulted in those home teams going 31-12 (72.1%) straight up since 1996. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this contest, it makes the home team an even better betting value. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-03-18 | Pistons v. Heat -2.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Miami 7:35 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 93-79 home win over San Antonio in their previous game. The Piston have gone a dismal 1-11 straight up on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home win by 10 points or more. Detroit is also a money draining 3-17 ATS on the road the past 2 season when they’re +3.0 to -3.0. Miami is coming off a 117-11 win at Orlando in their previous game. Miami has gone 11-3 straight up the past 2 seasons after scoring 115 points or more in their previous game. Any home favorite (Miami) coming off a game in which there was a combined 225 points or more scored, and they’re facing an opponent (Detroit) coming off a game in which there was a combined 175 points or less scored, resulted in those home teams going 115-30 (79.3%) straight up since 1996. Considering the small point-spread the home favorite is being asked to cover, the straight up results of this betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-18 | Spurs v. Knicks +5 | 100-91 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: New York +5.0 (5*) San Antonio is coming off a 93-79 loss at Detroit in their previous game. The Spurs are just 8-10 on the road this season, and that includes a dismal 6-12 ATS. As a matter of fact, San Antonio is 2-8 on the road this year after playing on the road in their previous game. New York is a stellar 15-6 (.714) at home this season, and that includes an even better 8-2 (.200) when facing a Western Conference opponent. The Knicks were a 105-103 winner at New Orleans in their previous game. Any team (New York) coming off a win by 6 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (San Antonio) that scored 80 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 35-19 (64.8%) straight up since 1997. Since this betting angles sides with the underdog in this contest, it takes on added betting value. Bet on New York plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-18 | Butler +7 v. Xavier | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Butler @ Xavier 7:00 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Butler +7.0 (5*) Xavier has scored 77 points or more in each of its last 2 games. Xavier won each of their previous 3 home games against DePaul, Marshall, and East Tennessee State. However, all 3 of those victories came by 5 points or less, and none of those opponents are nearly as good as Butler. Meanwhile, Butler has scored 91 points or more and allowed 89 points or more during each of their previous 2 games. Any road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Butler), coming off 2 straight games in which they scored and allowed 75 points or more, versus an opponent which has scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 contests, resulted in those road underdogs going 34-10 ATS (77.3%) since 1997. Bet on Butler plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -3 v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Clemson 8:45 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Alabama -3.0 (10*) This line tells me everything. We have the #4 seed Alabama as a favorite against top seeded Clemson in a playoff semifinal game. The Crimson Tide will also be out to revenge last year’s national title game last second loss to Clemson. Alabama is just as good as they were a season ago. Despite what the so-called experts on television are professing, I don’t believe that to be the case for Clemson. Bet on Alabama minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Georgia vs. Oklahoma 5:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Georgia -2.0 (5*) Sometimes it’s just best not to overthink when it comes to sports handicapping. This qualifies as one of those scenarios for me. Both these offenses are very good. However, the big difference comes on the defensive side of the ball, and Georgia is vastly superior in that area. The Bulldogs allowed just 13.2 points and 270.9 yards per game. Bet Georgia for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | LSU v. Notre Dame UNDER 52 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. LSU 1:00 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Under 52.0 (5*) LSU has gone 5-1 under the total this season when playing a neutral site or away game. Those contests averaged just a combined 40.3 points scored per game. LSU finished their regular season schedule with a 45-21 win over Texas A&M. During the past 2 seasons, LSU is 7-0 under the total following a game in which they scored 37 or more, and those contests averaged a combined 38.0 points scored per game. Both these defenses have been solid this season with LSU allowing 18.7 points per game, and Notre Dame giving up 21.8 points per contest. LSU closed the regular season by winning 3 of its last 4 games. Notre Dame has gone 8-2 during its final 10 regular season contests. Any team (LSU) playing on a neutral field with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and they’ve won 3 of their last 4 games, versus an opponent (Notre Dame) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 32-10 (76.2%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 42 games was 52.9 and there was 43.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +11 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Central Florida vs. Auburn 12:30 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Central Florida +11.0 (5*) Motivation is a key element when handicapping college football bowl games. Having said that, I see undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida having a clear advantage in that aspect. The Golden Knights have been given very little respect all season long due to their perceived weak schedule. Now they get an opportunity to silence their critics against one of the top teams from the SEC. Conversely, Auburn blew a golden opportunity to reach this year’s college football playoff resulting from being blown out by Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Their consolation prize is a bowl game against a “Group of 5 School” in a situation they have a lot to lose and very little to gain. Central Florida is the top scoring team in the nation that averages 49.4 points per game. The Golden Knights have scored 45 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. This sets up a very profitable ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (UCF) that averages 31 or more points per game, and they scored 42 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those underdogs going 52-24 ATS (68.4%) since 2008. Those underdogs also won 37 of those 76 games straight up. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-18 | South Carolina v. Michigan OVER 42 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
South Carolina vs. Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Over 42.0 (5*) The Michigan Wolverines have gone 5-1 over the total this season when there’s been a total of 42.5 to 49.0. Those 6 contests average a combined 49.5 points scored per game. In their lone neutral site game, South Carolina defeated NC State 35-28, and that contest easily went over the total of 49.5. The present number of 42.5 will be a 2nd lowest total for South Carolina. The Gamecocks saw a closing total of 41.5 against Florida in a game that saw South Carolina come out on top 28-20. The Gamecocks enter this Outback Bowl having won 5 of their final 7 regular season games. Any college football team (South Carolina) that’s playing in January, with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they won 4 or 5 of their previous 6 games, resulted in those contests going 28-5 (84.8%) over the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 56.8 points scored per game during those 33 contests. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-17 | Bills -2 v. Dolphins | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Miami 4:25 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Buffalo -2.0 (10*) Buffalo is still alive for an AFC Wild Card berth. First and foremost, the Bills must win, or they’ll be eliminated from any postseason possibilities. Buffalo starting quarterback Tyron Taylor has enjoyed much success in his 5 starts against Miami since 2015. Taylor completed 65% of his passes for 1232 yards and 9 touchdowns while throwing 0 interceptions. Taylor also ran for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns in those outings. Buffalo went 3-2 in those games, and their only 2 losses came by just 3 points each. During Taylor’s 14 starts this season, Buffalo turned the ball over just 10 times. Miami quarterback Jay Cutler had a miserable day against Buffalo just 2 weeks ago. Cutler was intercepted 3 times during that 24-16 loss and looked totally disinterested and frustrated for most of the game. Miami has an awful -13 turnover margin this season, and they’ll be facing a Bills team which is +8 in that category. Don’t be surprised if you don’t see Dolphins backup quarterback at some point in this game. Fales has been taking a high volume of first team reps in practice this week. I’m going with the team that will be playing with a sense of urgency. Bet on Buffalo minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-17 | Bengals +10 v. Ravens | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Baltimore 4:25 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Cincinnati +10.0 (5*) Despite their 9-6 (.600) record, Baltimore is an overvalued team. The Ravens 9 wins this season have come against opponents that currently have a combined 45-105 (.300) record. Their only win against a team without a losing record came over a 8-7 Detroit team. The Ravens held on for dear life last week in a 23-16 win over the 3-12 Colts, and they failed to cover as a large 13.5-point favorite. Cincinnati showed some hear in last Sunday’s 26-17 win over Detroit which eliminated the Lions from playoff consideration. This may also be the final game in the 17-year tenure of Marvin Lewis as the Cincinnati Bengals head coach. That surely will spark some added emotion and especially so for some of the Bengals veteran players. Any road underdog with a losing record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .510 to .600, and they’re coming off a straight up win in which it failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those road underdogs going 22-2 ATS (91.7%) since 1985. Play on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-17 | Panthers v. Falcons -3 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Atlanta -3.0 (5*) The 11-4 Panthers have clinched a NFL Wild Card berth and still has a chance of winning the NFC South. They’ll need to win on Sunday and hope Tampa Bay can upset New Orleans. Truth be told, it’s an unlikely scenario to occur. Atlanta is coming off a 23-13 loss at New Orleans last Sunday which ended a modest 2-game Falcons win streak. Atlanta is now 9-6 (.600) on the year and has yet to clinch a NFC Wild Card berth. They can make it easy on themselves by just defeating Carolina on Sunday and it will secure a spot in postseason action. Atlanta will also be out to revenge a narrow 20-17 defeat at Carolina earlier this season. With their playoff lives at stake, and playing at home, it will give the Falcons enough of an emotional edge. Any home favorite (Atlanta) that’s won 2 of their last 3 games, and they have a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Carolina) with a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 31-6 (83.4%) ATS since 2008. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-17 | Cardinals +9 v. Seahawks | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Seattle 4:25 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Arizona +9.0 (5*) Seattle has really struggled offensively in their past 2 games, evidenced by them amassing just 149 and 136 yards of total offense in those contests. Somehow, they came away with a 21-12 win at Dallas last week as a 4.5-point underdog. That victory was aided by 3 Cowboys turnovers while they committed none of their own. Seattle has eclipsed the 100-yard rushing mark in only 7 of its 9 games this season. They’ll be facing an Arizona defense on Sunday which has allowed 91 yards or less rushing in each of their previous 5 games. The Seahawks are a dismal 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this season and includes 0-3 ATS in its last 3. Speaking of Arizona’s defense, they’ve allowed a mere 9.0 points and 238.3 yards per game during its last 3 contests. The Cardinals are coming off a dominating 23-0 win over the Giants last Sunday, and they’re 7-8 heading into their regular season finale. Any underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s playing after Game 10 of the season, versus an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win, and they (Seattle) have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those underdogs going an outstanding 45-11 ATS (80.4%) since 1980. Those underdogs also won 29 of those 56 games outright. |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin v. Miami-FL +5 | 34-24 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Miami 8;00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*) Miami will be playing this Orange Bowl contest on its home field. The Hurricanes have gone a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Conversely, Wisconsin went 5-0 in true road games this year, but all 5 of those wins came against teams that finished with losing records. Miami’s defense has allowed an average of 4.7 yards per play on their way to its current 10-2 record. The Hurricanes have a terrific turnover margin of +16 throughout its first 13 games. Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s offense averaged a robust 6.2 yards per play while putting together an outstanding 12-1 record. Nevertheless, the Badgers are coming off a 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big 10 Championship Game, and were outgained in that contest by 151 total yards. |
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12-30-17 | Heat -1.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami -1.5 (10*) Orlando is coming off a 102-89 home win over Detroit. That victory snapped a 9-game losing streak for the Magic. Orlando is 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win, and they’re overall season record is 12-24 (.333). Miami is coming off an embarrassing 111-87 loss to Brooklyn last night, and the Heat were a 6.0-point favorite in that contest. Miami is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Heat’s season record is now 18-17. Miami is also a stellar 12-2 straight up this season when facing a team with a losing record. Any team (Miami) with a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they’ve failed to cover in 8 of more of its previous 10 games, resulted in those teams going 45-7 (86.5%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-17 | Middle Tennessee -1 v. UAB | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State @ UAB 5:00 PM ET Game# 589-590 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -1.0 (5*) MTSU is 8-4 to start the season. However, all 4 of their losses came by 6 points or less versus quality teams in Miami Fla., USC, Auburn, and Belmont. The Blue Raiders are also a perfect 4-0 in true road games. This is a battle tested club that’s been to the past 2 NCAA Tournaments and accounted themselves extremely well. UAB is 8-0 at home this season. Nonetheless, they’ve feasted on weak competition, and their strength of schedule has been vastly inferior in comparison to MTSU. |
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12-30-17 | Villanova v. Butler +5 | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Butler 4:00 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Butler +5.0 (5*) Butler has traditionally had one of the stronger home courts in college basketball throughout the past decade. This year has been no different as the Bulldogs are a perfect 8-0 at home at Cole Field House, and that includes 6-1 ATS in lined games. Butler has averaged 86.5 points per game, shot a blistering 53.8% from the floor, and converted a very good 39.8% of their 3-point attempts on its home floor this season. I’m not going to poke holes in the 13-0 and top ranked Villanova Wildcats. However, they’ve yet to be seriously tested in anything resembling a close game this season. Bet on Butler plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1.5 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Hofstra @ William & Mary 4:00 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: William & Mary -1.5 (5*) William & Mary is capable of being an explosive offensive team and especially at home. They’re a perfect 5-0 at home this season and have outscored those opponents by an average of 25.0 points per game while averaging 101.0 points per contest, shooting 58% from the floor, and making an off the charts 55.9% of their 3-point tries. Hofstra has played the tougher schedule thus far in comparison to William & Mary. Nevertheless, they’ve suffered 2 bad losses to Siena and Manhattan. Bet on William & Mary for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -4 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
Iowa State vs. Memphis 12:30 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Memphis -4.0 (10*) Memphis will be playing on its own home field and that’s significant. Since 2014, Memphis is 21-4 at home and that includes 10-0 when facing non-conference opponents. The Tigers are also 7-0 at home this season which included wins over bowl teams in Navy, SMU, and UCLA. Memphis has an outstanding season record of 11-2 with their only 2 defeats coming against undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida. Any team playing at home in a bowl game with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’re a favorite of 6.5-points or less, resulted in those teams going 5-0 ATS since 1980. There was a decisive average margin of victory of 18.4 points per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-17 | Clippers -3 v. Lakers | 121-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ LA Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: LA Clippers -3.0 (5*) The Lakers are a miserable 3-12 in their last 15 games and that includes losing their last 4 contests. The Lakers have also lost 6 straight home games. Any road favorite (Clippers) coming off a home win, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent (Lakers) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, resulted in those road favorites going 25-5 ATS (83.3%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on the Clippers minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
USC vs. Ohio State 8:30 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Ohio State -8.0 (10*) Both these teams are offensively explosive. It comes down to who will be better defensively, and my money unequivocally goes to Ohio State in that regard. USC has surrendered 26.0 points and 404.8 yards per game this season. Conversely, the Buckeyes defense is allowing just 19.9 points and 292.3 yards per game. Another key factor will be Ohio State’s potent rushing attack versus the porous run defense of USC. The Buckeyes are averaging 250 yards rushing per game and average a lofty 5.9 yards per carry. USC is allowing 158 yards rushing per contest. This isn’t a good matchup for USC, and I see a similar result to when they faced Notre Dame earlier this season. The Trojans were blown out in that contest 49-14, and they allowed Notre Dame to rush for 377 yards and average 8.0 yards per carry. Bet on USC as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-17 | Bucks v. Thunder UNDER 207 | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City 8:05 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Under 207.0 (5*) Oklahoma City has allowed 107 points in each of their last 2 games. The Thunder has a +3.3 point per game differential this season and Milwaukee is at -0.4. Any home team (OKC) with total of 200.0 to 209.5, possessing a point per game differential of +3 to +7, and they’re facing an opponent (Milwaukee) with a +3 to -3 point per game differential, resulted in those contests going 31-9 (77.5%) under the total during the past 5 seasons. There was an average of 194.2 points combined being scored in those 40 contests. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-17 | Rockets v. Wizards +2 | 103-121 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Washington +2.0 (5*) Don’t look now but Houston has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Their most recent defeat came last night at Boston. The Rockets blew a 24-point halftime lead in that contest and eventually lost 99-98. Washington is coming off a 113-99 loss at Atlanta, and that defeat occurred as a 6.0-point favorite. The Wizards have gone 15-6 during the past 2 seasons following a straight up favorite loss in their previous game. Washington has also gone 5-1 in its previous 6 home games. Any team (Washington) coming off a straight up loss by 10 points or more as a favorite of 6.0-points or greater, and has a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those teams going 20-8 (71.4%) since 1996. Bet on Houston for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky v. Northwestern -8 | 23-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Kentucky vs Northwestern 4:30 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Northwestern -9.5 (5*) Northwestern finished the regular season by going 7-0 SU&ATS during its last 7 games. The Wildcats won their previous 2 games by scores of 39-0 over Minnesota and 42-7 at Illinois. Kentucky enters this Music City Bowl matchup with a respectable 7-5 record. However, they lost their final 2 regular season games by scores of 42-13 at Georgia and were walloped at home by Louisville 44-17. Any non-conference favorite of 6.5-points or more playing after Game 3 of the season, and they’re coming off 2 straight wins which each came by 28 points or more, versus n opponent that allowed 38 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 9-0 ATS since 1993. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests came by a substantial 30.4 points per game. Play on Northwestern minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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