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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 111-87 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Portland -3.0 (5*) This isn’t a favorable matchup for the Pacers. They will be facing a Portland team which has connected on an impressive 39.1% of its 3-point shot attempts this season, and that includes 40.8% over their previous 5 games. Conversely, Indiana has struggled to defend their opponents 3-point shooting thus far and have allowed them to make 39.7% of those long distance tries. Today will be the Pacers 3rd road game in 4 days. Portland enters this game on a 4-game win streak and covered on 3 of those occasions. Portland has scored 105 points or more in each of their previous 5 contests. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA campaign, Portland is 32-14 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 5 straight games, and that includes 3-1 ATS in their last 4 in that role this season. Portland is also a perfect 11-0 in their last 11 at home against Indiana and that includes 9-2 ATS in those contests. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-21 | Washington v. USC -13 | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington @ USC 9:30 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: USC -13.0 (5*) Washington is enduring a brutal season thus far. They are 1-9 with their only win coming against Seattle. They have also lost to teams such as UC-Riverside by 15 and Montana by 8. The Huskies are 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 while losing by an average of 16.0 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve gone 0-6 SU&ATS in away and neutral site games. USC has won 4 in a row. That win streak began by going 3-0 SU&ATS against Utah, Arizona, and Arizona State with a decisive average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. Then in their last game they were a bit flat in a 5-point home win over UC-Riverside. Now it’s back to conference play tonight and I look for the Trojans to turn in a strong performance. USC is a tremendous defensive team that allows just 63.5 points per game and opponents have shot a dismal 36.0% against them. USC will also have a huge advantage on the boards against a Washington team that is at a -10 rebound per game differential while the Trojans are at +8 per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-21 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | Top | 45-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*) Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting. The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below. Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-21 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (10*) Texas A&M is a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in neutral site or away games. They were blown out in all 3 of those contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. Mississippi State has been a somewhat overlooked team thus far. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games this season as a favorite. They are also off to a 3-1 start in SEC action and made a terrific 43.6% of its 3-point shot attempts while doing so. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-21 | Mavs v. Hornets +4.5 | 104-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Charlotte +4.5 (5*) Dating back to last season, Charlotte has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a home underdog. That includes 2-0 SU&ATS as a home dog this season. The Hornets also come in red-hot having gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 games while winning by 11.3 points per contest. During that winning run, Charlotte has held opponents to 99.2 points per game and 40.5% shooting. Furthermore, Charlotte is a spotless 5-0 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 9.0 or less and won by an average of 9.0 points per game. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Pacers @ Warriors 10:35 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Under 228.5 (5*) Golden State has gone 3-0 to the under during its previous 3 games and all of those took place at home. The average combined points scoring during those 3 contests was 216.7 per game. Indiana has allowed its last 3 opponents to shoot 48.1% or higher in each occurrence. Offensively the Pacers are shooting an impressive 48.6% for the season. They will be facing a Golden State team that has shot an uninspiring 44.2% from the field this season. The combination of this data qualifies for a high percentage NBA totals betting angle listed below. It’s a textbook example of sometimes having to make an uncomfortable bet while exercising a contrarian mindset. Any NBA team (Indiana) with a total of 210.0 or greater this is hooting 47.5% or better on the season, and they allowed their previous 3 opponents to shoot 47% or better, versus a team that shoots 43.5-45.5% for the season, resulted in those contests going 31-8 (79.5%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 39 contests was 219.5 and there were a combined 208.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 222.5 | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Rockets 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Under 222.5 (5*) The Lakers are 5-0 to the under on the road this season and there was a combined average of 210.0 points scored per game. The Rockets are 4-0-1 to the under in their previous 5 and there was a combined average of 214.8 points scored per game. The Lakers have defeated Houston in each of the previous 5 games they have played them. Furthermore, during the last 4 encounters, the Lakers have held Houston to 102 points or less. Houston is averaging 85 field goal attempts per game which equates to a moderately slow tempo by current NBA standards. These teams just played in Houston on Sunday and the Lakers walked away with a decisive 120-102 win. The Lakers are 7-0 to the under this season following a win, and there was a combined average of 212.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Nets | 116-122 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Nuggets @ Nets 7:35 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Nuggets +1.5 (5*) The Nets are just 4-4 at home this season and will once again be without the services of their star guard Kyrie Irving. Conversely, Denver is 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 on the road and they won by a sizable margin of 17.3 points per game. Denver is coming off a 114-89 blowout win over New York at Madison Square this past Sunday. The Brooklyn Nets have scored 110 points or greater in each of their previous 5 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle with an ample sample size and which has withstood the test of time. Any NBA road team with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that is coming off a win by 20 points or more, versus an opponent that has scored 105 points or greater in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those road teams going 23-4 SU&ATS (85.2%) since 1996. Bet on the Nuggets for a 5* wager. |
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01-12-21 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 54-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Michigan -3.5 (10*) Michigan is a perfect 10-0 and that includes 5-0 in Big 10 Action. They covered in 4 of those 5 conference wins and had a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, 9 of 10 wins recorded by Michigan this season have come by 10 points or more, and they shot 50% or better in 7 of those 10 games. Michigan is coming off an 84-59 home blowout win over Minnesota in their previous game. The Wolverines are 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the 2018-2019 season following a conference win by 10 points or more, and they won by a substantial average of 17.7 points per game. The #9 Wisconsin Badgers are a solid team. However, they are just 1-1 in true road games, and their loss came as a 4.5-point favorite versus an average at best Marquette team. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Ohio State +9.0 (10*) The Buckeyes will continue to play with a chip on their shoulders tonight after being heavily criticized for making the College Football Playoff despite playing only 6 games at the time. Ohio State is one of the few and maybe even the only team in the country that can match Alabama’s offensive explosiveness. The Buckeyes defense has given up its share of yards this season, but they have also forced an eye-popping 18 turnovers in just 7 games. Ohio State has racked 254 yards or more rushing in each of its last 4 games. The Buckeyes have outrushed their opponents this season by a substantial 184 yards per game. This qualifies by a high percentage college football betting angle which is shown below. Any neutral field underdog that has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their last 3 games, and they’re outrushing their opponents on the season by 100 or more yards per contest, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 30-7 ATS (81.1%) since 1992. The average point-spread in those 37 games was 7.1, and the underdog also won 18 of those 37 games straight up. This precise betting angle came up in the previous game for Ohio State and they came away with a 49-28 blowout win over Clemson as a 7.5-point underdog. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) The total is this high for good reason. Alabama (12-0) has averaged 48.2 points score and 535.0 yards gained per game this season. The Crimson Tide has 2 totals this year of 74.0 or greater and both easily went over the number0. Those pair of contests resulted in wins of 63-48 versus Ole Miss and 52-46 against Florida. The Buckeyes (7-0) are 4-0-2 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 59.5 or greater. Ohio State has racked up an enormous 491 yards or more of total offense in each of their 7 games this season. Any college football team (Ohio State) with a total of 70.0 or greater that’s playing after game 7 of the season, and both defensive units in the contest are allowing 330 to 390 total yards per game, resulted in those games going 31-7 (81.6%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 38 contests was 73.2 and there were a combined 85.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Grizzlies v. Cavs UNDER 206.5 | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Under 206.5 (5*) This is a low total by modern-day NBA betting standards. However, it’s for good reason. Both teams have been terrific defensively over each of their previous 5 contests. During that stretch, each team is surrendering less than 100 points per game. The Cavaliers have also strolled offensively during that span while averaging a wee 91.4 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, Cleveland has gone under in all of their previous 8 contests and there was just a combined 194.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 88-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
New York @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Under 212.0 (5*) Charlotte has seen all 4 of their home games stay under the total this season. Those 4 contests stayed under by an average of 11.2 points per game. Conversely, New York is gone under in each of their previous 7 games. The Knicks allowed a mere 98.1 points per game during that low scoring stretch. Obviously, the addition of new Knicks head coach and defensive guru Tom Thibodeau has had an impact. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 47 | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Over 47.0 (5*) The vaunted Steelers defense hasn’t been very good against the run of late. Specifically, over throughout their previous 3 games, Pittsburgh has allowed their opponents to rush for 157 yards per contest. Conversely, Cleveland is one of the best offensive rushing teams in football led by their dynamic duo of backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. It will also open things up to have a successful play action passing game for the Browns. Pittsburgh has become a pass happy team this season. That is mostly due to them not having any semblance of a running game. The Steelers have rushed for 86 yards or less in 9 of their last 10 games, and the only exception was just 106 yards versus 1-15 Jacksonville. We must also keep in mind, these teams met in the final week of the regular season, and Cleveland escaped with a 26-24 win over Pittsburgh backup players. One of those starters sitting out was Steelers starting quarterback Ben Rothliesberger. Even without “Big Ben”, Pittsburgh still racked up 394 yards of total offense which included 309 through the air. Pittsburgh is 12-5 to the over in their last 17 at home when there been a total of 41.0 to 49.5. That includes 7-1 to the over is they were a favorite of between 4.0 and 10.0-points. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | 9-21 | Loss | -118 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears @ Saints 4:40 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Bears +10.5 (5*) I know the Bears backed their way into the playoffs, but I do like the vast improvement they have shown offensively down the final stretch of regular season action. Chicago will also be out to atone for a narrow 26-23 home loss to New Orleans back on 11/1. The Bears did mange to cover that game as a 5.0-point underdog. Since 2018, New Orleans is a dismal 0-4 ATS in 4 home playoff games. The Saints were laying an average of 6.3 points in those postseason home tilts and lost 2 of those straight up. Additionally, since 2014, the Saints are a poor 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10.5 and they lost 4 of those contests straight up. Those results all came with current head coach Sean Peyton roaming the sidelines. I know I am in the minority with this choice but that’s just fine with me. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 42 m | Show |
Ravens @ Titans 1:05 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Titans +3.5 (10*) I hear a lot of talking heads giving a lot of love to Baltimore. One team that surely isn’t buying it is the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee has beaten Baltimore in both of their meetings since last season and did so as an underdog on each occasion. During last year’s Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the Titans knocked off Baltimore 28-12 as a 10.0-point road underdog. That was a Ravens team that entered the playoffs on a 12-game win streak, and they were favorite to win the Super Bowl. Then earlier this season, Tennessee turned the trick again by winning at Baltimore 30-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. There was a constant theme in those 2 victories. Tennessee and namely Derek Henry gashed the Baltimore defense on the ground for a combined 390 yards and 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. The Ravens stop unit will once again be hard pressed to stop Henry who rushed for over 2000 yards this season. They will also be challenged by an improved Titans passing game. Since 1980, NFL Playoff home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Titans) that have a win percentage of .687 or better, and they are facing a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .764 or worse, resulted in those postseason home dogs going a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by a decisive 16.7 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:15 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington +8.0 (5*) Washington seemed to have won the NFC East by default with a 7-9 record and the current point-spread is reflective of such. Washington clinched the division with a 20-14 win at Philadelphia in their regular season finale. Since 2018, Washington is 6-0 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer. The Washington defense has allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their previous 7 games and will be good enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Furthermore, Ron Rivera is a playoff tested head coach who led Carolina to the Super Bowl not too long ago. The betting public has been huge supporters of Tom Brady and the 11-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs were 5-5-1 ATS in their first 11 games but went 4-1 ATS during its last 5. As a matter of fact, Tampa Bay closed its regular season slate with 4 straight wins and scored 44 and 47 points during their final 2 outings. So, I don’t see the public being scared of laying a substantial number on the road even if it’s during postseason action. As most of you already know, I have no issues going against majority betting numbers when I like the other side. Home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have been extremely profitable throughout the previous 41 seasons. Since 1980, home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have gone an outstanding 28-14 ATS and won 24 of those 42 contests straight up. If those postseason home teams were an underdog of 4.5 or greater, they improved to a perfect 5-0 ATS, and they even won straight up 3 times. Tampa Bay has piled up 484 and 588 yards of total offense in their last 2 games. The Bucs also average a lofty 6.2 yards per offensive play. Any NFL home underdog (Washington) that is facing an opponent that has gained 450 yards or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Tampa Bay) average 5.5 or more yards per offensive play, resulted in those home underdogs going 35-10 ATS (77.8%) since 1983. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-09-21 | USC -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
USC @ Arizona State 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: USC -2.5 (10*) USC has shot the ball extremely well in their last 2 games which resulted in comfortable wins over Utah and at Arizona. The Trojans are one of the best defensive teams in the country while allowing just 62.5 points per game and limiting them to a mere 35.4% shooting from the field. There were high expectations to start the season for Arizona State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games and lost by an average of 10.7 points per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 42.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points. Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home. Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-21 | Clippers -5.5 v. Warriors | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: LA Clippers -5.5 (5*) The Clippers have been a solid 4-1 SU&ATS on the road to start this season. That includes a 108-101 win at Golden State on Wednesday. During those 5 road tilts the Clippers shot a blazing hot 42.5% from beyond the 3-point line. The Clippers have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at Golden State. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-21 | Raptors v. Kings +5 | 144-123 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Sacramento +5.0 (5*) Toronto has begun the season by going 0-4 SU&ATS on the road. Furthermore, the Raptors have gone 0-5 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 7.5 or less. Conversely, Sacramento is 3-1 at home. Sometimes it is best not to overthink a picture that is crystal clear. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-21 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 131-118 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Utah @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Milwaukee -5.0 (5*) Milwaukee is 4-0 at home this season with an enormous victory margin of 23.5 points per game. During their previous 5 contests the Buck are averaging a robust 126.6 points scored per game while shooting 50.9% and that includes a sizzling hot 46.7 from 3-point range. Milwaukee has also gone 3-0 SU&ATS (+18.3 PPG) in their last 3 games and all were following a disappointing 2-3 start to the season. Conversely, during its previous 5 outings Utah has allowed their opponents to shoot 47.6% and make an alarmingly high 40.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. This will be Utah’s 3rd road game in 4 days. They lost those previous by 12 at New York and by 34 at Brooklyn. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Dallas @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Under 223.5 (10*) Dallas has seen 4 of their last 5 stay under the total and there was only a combined 205.8 points scored per game. During that stretch the Nuggets allowed a mere 98.4 points per game. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They faced each other 3 times a season ago and all went under the total with a combined score of 212.7 points scored per contest. Denver is coming off a 123-116 division win over Minnesota. Dallas is coming off a 113-100 win at Houston. The combination of these two results qualifies for a very profitable NBA totals betting angle displayed below. Any NBA home team that is coming off a division win, and they are facing an opponent coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 83-41 (66.9%) to the under since 1996. The average combined score in those 124 contests was 208.2 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-21 | Illinois v. Northwestern +6.5 | 81-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET Game# 757-758 Play On: Northwestern +6.5 (5*) Illinois is coming off home wins and covers in their previous 2 games. The Illini head coach Brad Underwood has done a terrific job in building Illinois into a Top 25 program. Nevertheless, under Underwood’s current tenure, Illinois has gone a dismal 14-32 ATS mark following an ATS cover. Northwestern is coming off back-to-back losses, but both those contests came on the road. The Wildcats upset both Ohio State and Michigan State during their previous 2 games at home. This appears to be one of the better and talented Northwestern teams we have witnessed in recent years. The home team in this matchup has sneaky good underdog betting value. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | USC v. Arizona UNDER 139 | 87-73 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
USC @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 755-756 Play On: Under 139.0 (5*) USC has been ridiculously good on the defensive side of things over their previous 5 games. During that span, they’ve held their opponents to 59.6 points scored per game and limited them to just 35.2% shooting which includes 24.2% from 3-point land. The Trojans have gone under in both contests played against conference opponents and there was only a combined 122.6 points scored per game. Arizona has been explosive offensively in some games thus far. Nonetheless, they did so by their above average offensive pace, and an inept ability to get to the free throw line with a high degree of regularity. The latter might be difficult to attain against a USC team that allows only 16 free throws per game against them, and that includes a wee 12 per contest in conference play. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-21 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 73-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Wisconsin -8.5 (5*) Indiana’s strong suit to start this season was their defensive prowess. However, that part of their game has tailed off a bit during its last 5 games. Since Archie Miller has taken over as head coach of Indiana, the Hoosiers are a miserable 2-10 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 to 12.0-points. Wisconsin has owned an extremely strong home court advantage over the past 2 decades or so. This year is no different despite having little to no fans in attendance. The Badgers are 8-1 in Madison this year and have outscored opponents by an average of 18.4 points per game. Wisconsin has shot the ball extremely well over their last 5 games by making 48.2% of its field goal attempts and that includes a terrific 43.4% from 3-point range. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Jazz v. Knicks UNDER 215 | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Utah @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Under 215.0 (5*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 4 of their last 5. During that successful stretch, they have played excellent defense while allowing just 101.2 points per game and their opponents converted a mere 29.6% of its 3-point attempts. Additionally, New York has gone under in each of their previous 4 contests and there was a combined average of only 198.3 points scored per game. The Knicks are coming off a 5-point win at Atlanta in their previous outing and did so as a sizable 7.0-point underdog. Since the beginning of the 2018-2019 NBA season, New York has gone 21-6 to the under following a straight up underdog win in their previous outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -6.5 | 136-141 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Philadelphia -6.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has been sensational at home by going 33-2 straight up and that includes a profitable 23-12 (65%) ATS. As a matter of fact, they have reeled off 19 consecutive home wins and went a huge money making 15-4 ATS while doing so. They are 4-0 this season at home and covered 3 of those 4. Their lone non-cover came in their season opener when they ironically enough faced Washington, won by 6, and barely failed to cash in as a 7.0-point chalk. Washington is a terrible defensive team that is allowing 120.3 points per game and has allowed their opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 48.1%. The Wizards have gone 0-8 in their last 8 trips to Philadelphia and failed to cover in 6 of those contests. Their only 2 covers in those contests came by only a combined 1.5 points. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-06-21 | Rockets v. Pacers -2 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Houston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Indiana -2.0 (5*) Houston (2-3) appears to me as a talented team with little chemistry to speak of. On the other hand, Indiana isn’t the most talented team in the NBA by any means. Nevertheless, they play well together and are very disciplined. Despite their recent rebounding woes, the Pacers will be facing a Houston team that is -8 per game in that department. Indiana averages 114.9 points scored per game and is shooting a solid 49.3%. Indiana has been hammered on the boards in their last 2 games as they were outrebounded by 23 and 20. However, this sets up an extremely favorable NBA ATS betting angle that supports teams like Indiana in this exact situation. Any NBA home team coming off 2 consecutive games in which they were a -15 or worse rebound differential on each occasion, resulted in those teams going 23-5 (82.1%) straight up since 2016. Considering the small number were being asked to cover, this straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on the Pacers minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | Missouri v. Mississippi State OVER 134 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Over 134.0 (5*) During their previous 5 games played, Mississippi State is averaging a robust 81.2 points scored and 66 field goal attempts per contest. Furthermore, in that identical stretch they shot a stellar 49.2% and made an excellent 39.8% of its 3-point attempts. Since the start of last season, Mississippi State has gone 15-5 (75%) to the over in SEC games and there was a combined average of 146.1 points scored per contest. Missouri has struggled offensively at home but not in away or neutral site games. They have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in those games not played in Columbia, Missouri while averaging 78.7 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | Iowa State +13 v. Texas | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Iowa State +13.0 (5*) Texas is coming off an extremely impressive 84-59 win at #6 Kansas. After tonight, their next opponent is #13 West Virginia. Sandwiched between those games against highly ranked teams is a date with 2-5 Iowa State. This looks to be a textbook flat spot for the #4 Longhorns. Although Iowa State is off to a bad start, they have covered as double-digit underdogs in the last 2 times they’ve been in that situation. They lost to #13 West Virginia by 5 as a 14.5-point road underdog. They also covered as a 15.5-point road underdog versus #2 Baylor. The Cyclones actually led Baylor in the 2nd half of that contest before a 13-0 Bears run derailed their bid for a huge upset. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-21 | NC State v. Clemson OVER 136.5 | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
NC State @ Clemson 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Over 136.5 (5*) Clemson is a good defensive team that is known for playing at a deliberate and methodical offensive pace. However, they have gone over the total in all 3 of their conference games this season. The Tigers will be facing a 6-1 (.857) NC State team. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Clemson has gone 14-5 to the over when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better. Speaking of NC State, unlike their opponent this evening they prefer to push the tempo as evidence by their 62 field goal attempts per game. They’ve also shot a solid 49.2% and made 37.1% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-04-21 | Knicks +7 v. Hawks | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
New York @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: New York +7.0 (10*) Don’t look now but the Knicks have won 3 of their last 4 which includes 2 of 3 on this current road trip. The Knicks are beginning to take on the personality of their new head coach Tom Thibodeau who has a reputation of being a defensive guru. During the last 3 games, New York is holding their opponents to 96.0 points per game and 39.2% shooting. They are also +11.3 rebounds per game throughout that stretch. Atlanta is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 start to the season. However, they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 8 days. While the Knicks will be playing just their 2nd in 4 days. Bet on New York plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 44 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 44.0 (10*) Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output. Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent. Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year. |
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01-03-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 35-16 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Chicago 4:25 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Bears +4.5 (5*) Green Bay can clinch the NFC #1 seed and first round bye with a win. Conversely, Chicago needs a win to make the postseason. I am sure much will be made of the Packers dominance in winning 18 of the past 21 in this division series. However, since 2016, the Bears are 14-5-1 ATS and 9-11 straight up as a home underdog. That home underdog record improves to 4-0 SU&ATS during that identical time frame if Chicago was facing an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better just like the 12-3 (.800) Packers currently are. Chicago has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, and that marks the first time they have done so since 1965. The offensive surge seems to have coincided with the reinsertion of former Bears 1st round draft pick Mitchell Turbisky at quarterback. Green Bay does enter on a 5-game win streak. Nevertheless, Chicago is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 and won by a decisive margin of 19.7 points per game. |
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01-03-21 | Falcons +7 v. Bucs | 27-44 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Atlanta +7.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this contest on a 4-game losing streak. However, all 4 of those defeats came by 5 points or fewer. One of those losses occurred just 2 weeks ago and came at home against Tampa Bay. The Falcons squandered a 17-point lead in that contest and eventually lost 31-27 but did cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since Bruce Arians took over as head coach in Tampa Bay last season, his Bucs have gone a dreadful 1-6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less and lost 5 of those 8 contests straight up. Just because a team like Tampa needs a win to secure the NFC #5 playoff seed which will assure them of facing the NFC East Champion, doesn’t mean they are a lock to cover as a sizable favorite. Atlanta is coming off a narrow 17-14 defeat at Kansas City last Sunday. Any NFL road pick or underdog that is coming off a road loss by 3 points or fewer, and they are playing in the final 2 weeks of regular season action, resulted in those teams going 17-0 ATS since 1997. Those teams also won 12 of those 17 contests straight up. Bet on Atlanta for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
North Carolina vs. Texas A&M 8:00 PM ET Game# 497-468 Play On: North Carolina +7.5 (10*) Whenever I get a winning team with an explosive offense as an underdog like North Carolina is in this contest it always prompts me to do further investigation. This situation qualifies in the regard. North Carolina is 8-3 and they averaged 43.0 points scored and 556.5 yards gained per game. They have also scored 41 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games which includes a regular season finale 62-26 win at nationally ranked Miami. I like to use the boxing analogy when it comes to these high scoring underdogs. I compare them to knockout artists in boxing, you are never out of it because you have a punchers chance. Texas A&M is 8-1, winners of 7 straight, and ranked #5 in the country. However, Aggies players and coaches alike were perplexed by being snubbed by the college football playoff committee. One school of thought is they will be out to make a statement in this matchup. In my experience, it’s quite the contrary, and college teams that have been snubbed in either football or basketball more times than not come out flatter than a pancake in their following game. This will be a textbook example of such. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-02-21 | Purdue v. Illinois -7 | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Illinois 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Illinois -7.0 (5*) Illinois is 7-3 and ranked #15 in the country for good reason. Their 3 losses have come at the hands of #1 Gonzaga, #12 Missouri, and #14 Rutgers. None of those defeats came on their home floor where they’ve gone a perfect 5-0 this season while winning by a massive average of 31.8 points per game. This is an experienced and extremely talented Illini team that swept Purdue a season ago in domination fashion while winning by 17 and 26 points. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Butler v. Seton Hall OVER 137.5 | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Butler @ Seton Hall 4:30 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Over 137.5 (5*) Butler has been terrible defensively this season in allowing opponents shoot 50.2% which includes 39.1% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Seton Hall team that averages a robust 77.5 points scored per game. The Pirates are 3-0 to the over during their previous 3 games in which there was a combined 151.7 points scored per game. These teams met twice a season ago and both went over the total with 146 and 148 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -3.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Iowa State 4:00 PM ET Game# 495-496 Play On: Iowa State -3.5 (5*) Oregon filled in for Washington (COVID issues) in the PAC-12 Title Game and upset then 5-0 USC. However, the Ducks were only able to amass 241 yards of total offense in that win and were beneficiaries of 3 USC turnovers. Oregon also sustained 2 bad losses this season to Cal as a 9.5-point favorite and Oregon State while being a 13.5-point chalk. Conversely, Iowa State is 8-3 and all 3 of their defeats came against current Top 25 teams. This has been a special year for Iowa State football. It was their first time winning a Big 12 regular season title and they debuted in the Conference Championship Game where they fell to Oklahoma 27-21. Furthermore, Saturday will be the first time that Iowa State has ever played a January bowl game. The Cyclones will be amped up and will cover. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -1.5 | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ Oklahoma 4:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Oklahoma -1.5 (5*) This is a textbook trap play where the sportsbooks are enticing you to take the #9 ranked Mountaineers as an underdog over an unranked team like Oklahoma. As I stated on many occasions, trust the oddsmakers over those who vote in the national polls. Oklahoma is coming off a 2-point home loss to #13 Texas Tech but still managed to cover as a 4.5-point underdog. Oklahoma has been solid offensively this season while averaging 82.7 points per game while shooting a more than respectable 47.0% and they have converted on an excellent 78.5% of its free throws. The Sooners have also been disciplined defensively which is evidenced by their opponents only averaging 12 free throws per game when facing them. Conversely, West Virginia relies on their relentless in your face defensive style to produce turnovers and unnerve the opposition. The strongest offensive asset and a Bob Huggins coached team trademark is their ability to rebound their own missed shots which creates a plethora of 2nd chance opportunities and wears opponents down. Otherwise, they aren’t a good shooting team and if you can keep them off the offensive glass it exploits their offensive weaknesses. Bet on Oklahoma for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana OVER 65 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Indiana 12:30 PM ET Game# 493-494 Play On: Over 65.0 (5*) The good news for Ole Miss is they average 40 points scored per game. The bad news is they also allow 40 points per contest. Ole Miss has gone 3-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of less than 70.0 and those contests averaged a combined 81.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Indiana has gone 4-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 53.0 or greater. To say that Ole Miss plays at a lightning quick pace is an understatement since they average 79 offensive plays per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -2.5 v. NC State | 23-21 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
NC State vs. Kentucky 12:00 PM ET Game# 491-492 Play On: Kentucky -2.5 (5*) We have a Kentucky team which is 4-6 as a favorite over #23 ranked NC State who enters this bowl matchup with an 8-3 record and winners of their last 4. The line doesn’t make sense and when that occurs, I side with the oddsmakers. Case in point with my winner yesterday on Mississippi State with a losing record defeating Tulsa with a winning mark 28-26. Bet on Kentucky plus the points. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Clemson 8:00 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Ohio State +7.5 (10*) For starters, Clemson head coach Dabo Sweeney gave the Ohio State locker room plenty of motivational press clippings after voicing his displeasure on Ohio State being included in the 4-team playoff field despite playing only 6 games. The Buckeyes will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season college football playoff loss to Clemson 29-23. Ohio State squandered a 16-0 lead in that contest and lost despite having an edge in total yards of 516-417. Ohio State also held almost a 7-minute edge in time of possession advantage and current quarterback Justin Fields outplayed highly prized Clemson signal caller Trevor Lawrence. Ohio State is allowing 97 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, Clemson is averaging 164 yards rushing per contest. These rushing stats leads us to an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football neutral field non-conference underdog (Ohio State) that allows 100 or less rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent (Clemson) that averages between 140 to 190 yards rushing per game, resulted in those underdogs going 22-11 (66.7%) straight up since 1992. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this matchup it takes on added relevance. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for my “College Football Game of the Year”. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama UNDER 66 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Under 66.0 (5*) Notre Dame has gone under the total in all 4 of their games this season when there’s been a total of 57.0 or greater. Those 4 contests had an average total of 62.3 and there was only a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Alabama has gone 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games this season that had a total of 64.0 or more. Notre Dame is averaging 218 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Alabama defense has yielded only 108 yards per game rushing on the season. This leads us to an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team playing in a non-conference game that has a total of 63.0 or greater, and they average between 190 to 230 yards rushing per game, versus an opponent (Alabama) who surrenders between 100 to 140 rushing yards per contest, resulted in those games going 33-10 (76.7%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 43 games was 68.1 and there were a combined 60.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Cincinnati +7.5 (5*) Undefeated Cincinnati is the Group of 5 representative for the New Year’s 6 Bowl Games. Like those that came before them, the Bearcats will be a more motivated team than their SEC adversary. The Bearcats want to prove that their unblemished record is no fluke and what better way to do so than against one of the huge brands in college football. Additionally, Cincinnati has been one of the better defensive teams in all of college football while allowing just 16.0 points and 314.4 yards per game. Georgia has gone 7-2 this season but they only earned 1 win over a team that currently has a winning record and that was Auburn (6-4) way back on 10/3. Their only other games versus teams that currently have a winning record were against Florida and Alabama. They not only lost and failed to cover both games but were outscored 85-52 while doing so. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah @ UCLA 7:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: UCLA -7.0 (10*) This is a veteran UCLA team that returned all 5 starters from a season ago. Their only 2 losses this season came versus #25 Ohio State 77-70 at a neutral site and at San Diego State in its season opener. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on their home floor this season and won by an average of 20.5 points per game. UCLA will have a huge rebounding edge in this contest based on the fact they are +7 per game in that department while Utah is at a -6. This will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Utah. In their only other away contest, they were blown out 82-64 at BYU. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
Army vs. West Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: Army +7.0 (5*) Let me start by saying that I am fully aware of West Virginia having play a much more difficult schedule this season in comparison to Army. However, the Mountaineers were originally slate to play Tennessee in this bowl game, but the Volunteers had to pull out due to COVID issues. Now they are playing a service academy instead of an SEC opponent. I can’t help but think that the Mountaineers are surely disappointed in that regard and it will have a direct affect on their emotional state headed into this matchup. Furthermore, West Virginia was a perfect 5-0 in Morgantown this season but a dismal 0-4 when playing anywhere else. They averaged just a tad over 14 points scored per game in those 4 losses. Army is 9-2 with 1 of their losses coming at #6 Cincinnati 24-10. The Black Knights have allowed only 14.0 points and 271.1 yards per game this season. Additionally, West Virginia goes from playing all the pass happy offenses in the Big 12 to facing a highly efficient triple option rushing attack and having to prepare for that element on short notice. West Virginia closed their regular season with a 42-6 blowout loss at Iowa State. Conversely Army defeated Navy 15-0 and Air Force 10-7 in their final 2 regular season games. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle shown below. Any college football team (Army) that allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games and is facing an opponent (West Virginia) that scored 6 points or less during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 43-4 (91.5%) straight up since 2011. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this game it takes on added betting value. Bet on Army plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Ball State vs. San Jose State 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Ball State +10.0 (5*) These two teams ended up being surprise conference champions. San Jose State has gone 7-0 and that includes 6-0-1 ATS. However, they were an underdog in 4 of those 7 conference games and a short 2.5-point favorite in another. Ball State reeled off 6 straight wins after a season opening loss versus Miami-Ohio. The last of those wins came over Buffalo (6-1) in the MAC Championship Game and they did so as a 12.0-point underdog. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals also pulled off a double-digit underdog upset win at Toledo as well. So, they are very much comfortable in this sizable underdog role. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State +1.5 v. Tulsa | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Tulsa 12:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (5*) Mark this down in the point-spread that doesn’t make sense category. We have the #24 team in the country Tulsa (6-2) as just a 1.5-point favorite against a 3-7 Mississippi State team. Furthermore, the only 2 Tulsa losses came at the hands of #6 Cincinnati (10-0) by 3 in the AAC Championship Game and at #21 Oklahoma State (8-3). When it looks this easy in sports betting it very rarely is. This looks to be another prime example of such. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Tennessee -4 v. Missouri | 73-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Missouri 9:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Tennessee -4.0 (5*) Missouri is coming off home wins over Illinois 81-78 and Bradley 54-53 in their last 2 games played. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off home wins over USC-Upstate 80-60 and against St. Joseph’s 102-66 during its previous 2 contests. This sets up a highly profitable college basketball betting angle displayed below. Any college basketball favorite that is coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of its previous 2 games and is facing an opponents coming off home wins by 5 points or fewer in their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 43-12 ATS (78.2%). Those favorites were also 51-4 straight up in those games and outscored their opponents by an average of 14.1 points per contest. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +6 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Lakers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (10*) The Spurs are 2-1 so far but they have covered each of those 3 contests. San Antonio will be playing on 2 days rest. The rest factor is significant since this will be the Lakers 3rd game in 4 days and 4th game in 6 days. The Lakers will be playing their first road game of the season. They opened their 2020-2021 campaign with 4 consecutive home games and came away with just a 2-2 split. Bet on the Spurs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-20 | Arkansas v. Auburn OVER 147 | 97-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: Over 147.0 (5*) Since the start of last season, Arkansas has gone 17-2 to the over in Southeast Conference action and those 19 contests produced a combined 154.1 points scored per game. The Razorbacks have also gone over in each of their last 3 while there was a a combined average of 165.0 points scored per game. Auburn has been red-hot offensively over its last 5 games while averaging 77.6 points scored per outing and the Tigers shot and excellent 50% during that stretch. Auburn has scored 79 points or more in each of their last 4 games against Arkansas. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-20 | Richmond v. Davidson | 80-74 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Richmond @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Davidson (Pick) (5*) When it’s all said and done, each team figures to beat near the top of the Atlantic 10 standings. Davidson is just 5-3 at this point. However, one of their losses was by 2 to #8 Texas and another by a narrow 1-point margin versus a formidable Rhode Island Rams team. Davidson is the significantly better rebounding and defensive team in this matchup. Case in point, Richmond has allowed their opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 49.5% throughout their previous 5 games. Bet on Davidson for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -11 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Iowa 9:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Iowa -11.0 (5*) A higher percentage of money and individual bets have come in on Northwestern plus the points thus far. It comes as no surprise to me considering Northwestern has begun its Big 10 slate by going a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS, and they were an underdog on each of those occasions. Conversely, after starting 6-0 Iowa has lost 2 of their last 3 games. However, those defeats came against #1 Gonzaga (7-0) and #21 Minnesota (8-1). The sportsbooks are begging you take the red-hot double-digit underdog and be rest assured that many college basketball bettors will be enticed into what I consider a trap. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Celtics v. Pacers | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Boston @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Indiana (Pick) (10*) The Pacers are 4-0 straight up in their last 4 at home versus Boston. That needs to be considered and especially so with this current point-spread. The Pacers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS so far this season and have won by a decisive margin of 11.3 points per game. Indiana has shot 51% or better in each of their previous 2 games. Boston is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games and have allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in all 3 of their contests this season. Any NBA home team that shot 50% or better in each of their last 2 games, and they are facing team that allowed each of their previous 2 opponents to shoot 50% or better, resulted in those home teams going 67-19 straight up since 1996. Bet on Indiana for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Raptors v. 76ers -1.5 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Philadelphia -1.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone an incredible 30-2 straight up at home. As a matter of fact, the 76ers have won 15 straight home games headed into today. Philadelphia will look to rebound from Sunday’s 118-94 loss at Cleveland in a game they closed as a 6.0-point road favorite. Toronto has began the season 0-2 SU&ATS with both defeats coming as a favorite. They lost those contests by an average of 9.5 points per game and are at a poor -9 rebounds per game differential. Any NBA team that is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those teams going 33-9 (78.6%) straight up since 1996. Bet on Philadelphia for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Miami 5:30 PM ET Game# 295-296 Play On: Miami +2.5 (5*) Miami quarterback D’Eriq King will be the difference in this game. The Hurricanes received a huge emotional lift when King was granted a 6th year of eligibility and will return for another season in 2021. The Hurricanes suffered 2 losses this season and they came against #2 Clemson and #13 Clemson. Oklahoma State doesn’t present the challenges as those 2 teams and that’s especially true offensively. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (10*) Both teams have looked impressive in their 2-0 starts to the season. However, Cleveland has shot the ball much better than the 76ers have. The Cavs shot 50.5% during their opening 2 wins in addition to converting on a red-hot 45% of their 3-point attempts. Philadelphia has been fabulous at home since the start of last season. However, they have been anything but good on the road during that identical time frame by going 10-24 straight up and 11-23 ATS. Since 10/28/2019, Philadelphia has gone 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 8.0-points, and they are coming off a win in their previous game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | Top | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Seahawks have been beneficiaries of a soft non-division schedule. As a matter of fact, 9 of its 10 non-division games this season came against opponents that currently have a losing record. The lone exception was at Buffalo (11-3) on 11/8 and they lost that contest 44-34 in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. The Rams should be plenty motivated this week after coming off an embarrassing 27-17 home loss as a 14.0-point favorite to the then 0-13 Jets. That defeat dropped their season record to 9-5 and forced them to relinquish first place in the NFC West back to Seattle (10-4). On a positive note, since 2018, the Rams are 11-4 SU&ATS on the road and immediately following a home game. Additionally, the Rams are 4-0 straight up this season following a loss and won by an average of 9.7 points per game. Quality NFL teams coming off embarrassing losses have historically responded with a strong performance more times than not in their next contest. The Rams did win the first meeting with Seattle this season 23-16. It’s simple for the Rams, win and their chances to win the AFC West remains alive. Or lose and possibly end up as low as a #7 in the NFC come playoff time. If that occurs it would be a first-round playoff game at either Green Bay or New Orleans. Desperation and urgency will be the difference in this contest on Sunday which surely favors the Rams. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | Bears -8 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Bears @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Bears -8.0 (5*) After having no semblance of running game for most of the season, Chicago’s rushing attack has come alive of late. During their previous 4 contests, Chicago has averaged a robust 31.0 points scored and 411.8 yards gained per game. That includes averaging 157.5 yards per contest on the ground and an impressive 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. Conversely, Jacksonville has allowed a whopping average of 190.0 rushing yards per game during their previous 4 contests. The Jags have been outscored by a combined 71-24 in their last 2 games and enter this week on a 13-game losing streak. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Giants +10 v. Ravens | 13-27 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Giants @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Giants +10.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a pair of SU&ATS losses during its last 2 games against the Cardinals and Browns. Both contests took place at home and they were outscored by a combined score of 46-13. However, since 2018 the Giants have been a fabulous road underdog while going 16-3 ATS in that role. As a matter of fact, this season alone the Giants are 6-0 ATS as a road underdog. The Ravens have looked like the team they were a season ago over the past 3 weeks in wins versus Dallas 34-17, at Cleveland 47-42, and over Jacksonville 40-14. On paper these teams certainly look as if they are going in opposite directions. Nevertheless, the NFL is a week-to week-league and we see surprising results often. I am not going to be brave enough to call for an outright upset here, but I am extremely confident about covering considering the lofty number we will receive. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Falcons +11 v. Chiefs | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Falcons +11.0 (5*) The Falcons have the offensive firepower to hang in this game throughout. The Chiefs enter this week on a 9-game win streak, but they are a dismal 0-5-1 during their previous 6 outings. Additionally, Kansas City won all those 6 contests by 6 points or fewer. Atlanta is 4-10 but 7 of their 10 defeats came by 7 points or fewer. Bet on the Falcons plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +2.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Raiders +2.5 (5*) Since 2018, and all under current head coach Jon Gruden, the Raiders are 6-2 SU&ATS when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. If the Raiders offense doesn’t kill themselves with turnovers, they will be able to run the ball on this overrated in my opinion Dolphins defense. Miami will be facing a 7-7 Raiders team. The Dolphins have played only 5 teams this season that currently have a .500 or better record. During those contests they allowed 28.6 points and 465.2 yards per game. My case in point regarding their defense being overrated. The Raiders have filed to cover in each of their previous 4 games. Conversely, Miami has covered in each of their last 4 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL team that is +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off 3 or more ATS losses (Raiders), versus an opponent (Dolphins) has covered in 2 or more consecutive games, resulted in those teams going 36-9 (80%) ATS since 2011. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Liberty +7.0 (5*) Both teams are battle tested. Liberty went 2-1 versus ACC teams this season. They easily handled Syracuse 38-21, defeated Louisville 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog, and lost 15-14 to #24 NC State. #23 Liberty (8-1) had a game tying field goal attempt blocked on the final play of the game in that loss to NC State. That’s how close they came to an undefeated regular season. Liberty has not only gone 8-1 straight up this season, but they also covered in 8 of those 9 games. The Flames offense has been extremely productive while averaging 39.4 points scored and 497.6 yards gained per game. #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0) has enjoyed a memorable and massively successful season regardless of what happens in this game. Their signature wins came over #13 BYU 22-17 and over #16 UL-Lafayette (9-1) 30-27. The Chanticleers completed their regular season barely escaping with a 42-38 win over Troy in a game they were a 12.5-point favorite, and they scored the winning touchdown in the dying seconds of the 4th quarter. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Liberty) that is coming off a conference win by 10 or more points, and they are facing an opponent who scored and allowed 30 or more points during its previous game, resulted in those underdogs going an outstanding 56-22 ATS (71.8%) since 1992. Bet on Liberty plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies UNDER 238.5 | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Memphis 5:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Under 238.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a season opening 124-104 win at Chicago. Memphis is coming off a 131-119 home loss to San Antonio. Since the start of last season, Memphis is 12-1 to the under following a game which had a combined 245 or more points scored. Those 13 contests produced a combined average of only 215.9 points scored per game. Any NBA team (Hawks) with a total of 230.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a win by 20 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 115 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 42-16 (72.4%) to the under since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | UL-Lafayette -14 v. UTSA | 31-24 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
UTSA vs. UL-Lafayette 3:30 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: UL-Lafayette -14.0 (5*) Just in case you are wondering why UL-Lafayette is such a substantial in this First Responder Bowl, they are 10-1 on the season while currently being ranked 19th by the college football playoff committee, and 16th nationally in the AP Poll. Their only loss this season was by 3 to #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0). Furthermore, the Rajun Cajuns opened this season off with a huge 31-14 at #12 Iowa State who just lost a close game to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game. UL-Lafayette has also played the tougher schedule which included 6 teams that have accepted a bowl game invitation. Conversely, UTSA has gone just 2-4 against bowl game participants. Additionally, since 2018, the Roadrunners have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21.0-points. They were outscored in those 10 contests by an average of 25.7 points per game. Bet on UL-Lafayette minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State -3.5 | 21-39 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State 3:30 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Georgia State -3.5 (5*) Western Kentucky has gone just 5-6 this season and went 0-5 versus this season’s bowl teams while being outscored by 17.6 points per game. Moreover, one of their wins came by a slim 3-point margin at home versus an FCS team in UT-Chattanooga. This is also an anemic Western Kentucky offense which averaged only a mere 18.8 points and 290.9 yards per game. Georgia State is 5-4 and has averaged a healthy 32.7 points scored and 417.7 yards gained per game. As a matter of fact, the Panthers have scored 30 points or more in 7 of their 9 games this season. By comparison, today’s opponent (WKU) has scored 14 points or fewer in 6 of their 11 games. Bet on Georgia State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-25-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 226 | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Denver 10:30 PM ET Game# 585-586 Play On: Under 226.0 (5*) It doesn’t seem that long ago that Denver overcame a 3-1 playoff series deficit to the Clippers and won in 7 games. As a matter of fact, it was just a little over 4 months ago when that transpired. That series resulted in 5 games going under the total and the other 2 ending up being a push. Those 7 Western Conference Playoffs contest averaged only a combined 203.0 points scored per game. Even more telling was the slow pace of those contests which averaged just a combined 164.3 field goal attempts per game which is well below modern day NBA standards. Furthermore, Denver held the Clippers to only 97.3 points scored per contest during the final 3 games of that series. The Clippers limited the Lakers to just 81 field goal attempts in their season opening 116-109 win over their in-city rival. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, all 3 meetings between these teams played in Denver stayed under the total. |
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12-25-20 | Nets v. Celtics +3 | Top | 123-95 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
Brooklyn @ Boston 5:00 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Boston +3.0 (10*) Brooklyn is sure to be a public betting darling in the early going with all the hype surrounding the Nets duo of Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. Additionally, that will be even more enticed after watching Brooklyn dismantle Golden State 125-99 in their home opener on Wednesday night. However, Boston was no slouch in defeating Milwaukee 122-121 in their season opener as a 4.5-point home underdog. The Celtics have been money as a small underdog. Specifically, since 4/3/2019, Boston has gone 13-4 ATS of 4.0 or less, and that improved to 9-2 ATS if they are coming off a win. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Saints 4:30 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Vikings +7.0 (5*) If I were a Saints fan, I would be concerned after watching Drew Brees perform last week. His passes lacked velocity and he was short on a few attempts to the wide side of the field. The combination of injuries to his ribs and diminishing arm strength is painfully evident with no pun intended. The Saints will once again be without the services of their #1 wide receiver Michael Thomas. Which leaves aging veteran Emmanuel Sanders as their top target and behind him are a bunch of unproven NFL wide receivers. This group struggled with getting any consistent separation on their routes in last week’s loss to Kansas City. Minnesota’s playoff hopes took a huge hit after losing their previous 2 games which dropped their season record to 6-8. They must now win their remaining 2 games and hope for a lot of help from other teams to qualify for the final NFC wildcard spot. However, they still possess highly skilled offensive weapons with running back Delvin Cook plus wide receivers Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielein. Minnesota is 4-2 ATS on the road this season and won 3 of those contests straight up. Conversely, you may be surprised to know that New Orleans is just 9-15 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2018-2019, and that includes an even worse 5-10 ATS if the number is 3.0 to 9.5. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-25-20 | Pelicans v. Heat -3.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Miami 12:00 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Miami -3.5 (5*) Miami was ambushed in a season opening loss at Orlando on Wednesday in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. They now return to action in their season opener against a New Orleans team which pulled off an opening night 113-99 upset win at Toronto as a 4.0-point underdog. This looks like an ideal spot for a Miami team to bounce back with a huge effort. The Heat showed a ton of resiliency last season on their way to an NBA Finals appearance. That type of character building will pay huge dividends in this match. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston -9 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Hawaii vs. Houston 3:30 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Houston -9.0 (5*) Houston enters this bowl game with just a 3-4 record. Yet, they are a sizable favorite over a 4-4 Hawaii team. Simply put, the Cougars have faced a far more difficult schedule than Hawaii has. Their 4 losses all were against bowl teams in BYU (11-1), Central Florida (7-4), Tulane (6-6), and Memphis (8-3). Furthermore, Hawaii is coming off a 38-21 victory over winless UNLV. The Rainbow Warriors are 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 19.0 points per game. The game will be played in Frisco, Texas which certainly will provide Houston an edge when it comes to travel and fans in attendance. Bet on Houston minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-20 | Mavs v. Suns | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Phoenix 10:30 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Phoenix (Pick) (5*) Dallas will start the season without star forward Kristaps Prizingis who is still recovering from a knee injury sustained in the Western Conference Finals. Star point guard Luka Doncic just stated publicly, "It's true I'm not in my best shape," Doncic said. "I will get there for sure. But, you know, I've never been a muscular guy, so what can I say?" Phoenix comes into this season with a ton of momentum. The Suns were good enough to be invited in the Bubble, and then preceded to go a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 regular season games. Unfortunately, it wasn’t good enough to make the playoffs. Nonetheless, they enter this season about as fresh as a team can possibly be under the current climate in which we live. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-20 | Northwestern v. Indiana UNDER 140.5 | 74-67 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Indiana 8:30 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Under 140.5 (5*) Northwestern has been a hot shooting team. The Wildcats are coming off a 79-65 upset win over Michigan in a game they were an 8.5-point home underdog. Nonetheless, they will be facing a terrific defensive team in Indiana who is allowing just 61.0 points per game while holding their opponents to 37.2% shooting and includes a mere 27.5% from 3-point territory. The Hoosiers have gone under in 5 straight games this season when there was a total of 134.0 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged only a combined 128.0 points scored per game. Speaking of good defensive teams, Northwestern isn’t so bad either. The Wildcats are allowing only 59.8 points per game and have held their opponents to 34.8% shooting. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-20 | Heat v. Magic +5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Orlando +5.0 (5*) The good news is the Heat surprised a lot of people when they advanced to the NBA Finals that ended just a couple of months ago. The bad news is they will be starting the season with the shortest offseason a team has encountered in NBA history. Orlando was a playoff participant as well but were quickly eliminated in the opening round. I like the underdog value playing in their home opener. Bet on Orlando plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-20 | Wizards v. 76ers -7 | 107-113 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Philadelphia -7.0 (5*) Philadelphia was a fabulous home team a season ago in going an incredible 29-2 in that role. Furthermore, before transitioning to the Bubble, the 76ers won 15 consecutive games on their home floor and covered in 12 of those contests. Philadelphia has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Washington and won by a decisive average of 18.0 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-20 | Providence v. Butler OVER 133 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Providence @ Butler 6:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Over 133.0 (5*) Butler has been terrible defensively thus far while allowing their opponents to shoot a combined 51.0% and that includes an alarmingly high 46.1% from 3-point range. The Bulldogs have converted on an impressive 38.2% of their 3-point shot attempts. Butler has gone over in 3 of 4 games this season and the only under came against Indiana who is one of the best defensive teams in the country. Conversely, Providence has gone over in each of their previous 4 contests and there was a combined average of 152.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-20 | West Virginia +2 v. Kansas | Top | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
West Virginia @ Kansas 9:00 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: West Virginia +2.0 (10*) This current point-spread tells me everything I need to know. It’s extremely rare when Kansas is this short of a favorite on their home floor. The Jayhawks are 7-1 but 4 of their wins have come by a combined 9 points and none of those opponents are as good as West Virginia. These teams have something in common with both suffering their only loss of the season to #1 Gonzaga. West Virginia was defeated by the Bulldogs 87-82 while Kansas lost 102-90. Bet on West Virginia for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida +6 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
BYU vs. Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Central Florida +6.0 (5*) BYU comes in with an outstanding 10-1 record while UCF is 6-3. However, despite the records disparity, UCF has unequivocally played a tougher schedule. The Golden Knights suffered losses to #22 Tulsa by 8, #6 Cincinnati by just 3, and at Memphis by 1. BYU has faced just 1 nationally ranked opponent this season and they lost 22-17 at #11 Coastal Carolina in a game in which they closed as a 10-0-point favorite. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this one. Nevertheless, I will surely take the points and not be greedy. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Bengals 8:15 ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Under 40.5 (5*) Cincinnati has been atrocious offensively since the loss of star rookie quarterback Joe Burrow to a season ending injury. During their previous 4 contests the Bengals have averaged a pathetic 10.0 points and 233.0 yards gained per game. It should come as no surprise that all 4 of those games went under the total. Cincinnati has seen each of their last 5 home games against Pittburgh all go under the total. Pittsburgh has had an awful time trying to establish a running game. As a matter of fact, the Steelers have rushed for 68 yards or fewer during 7 of their last 8 games. Like their opponent today, the Steelers have gone under in each of their previous 4 games. Additionally, since 9/25/2016, Pittsburgh has gone 20-2 to the under during its last 22 games as a road favorite and with a total of 36.0 or greater. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-20 | Southern Illinois +9 v. Butler | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Southern Illinois @ Butler 7:30 PM ET Game# 779-780 Play On: Southern Illinois +9.0 (10*) Butler is coming off a loss by 8 to Indiana on Saturday. This isn’t one of the vintage Butler teams we have seen in years past. That’s not to imply they are horrible by any means. However, all you need to look at is their defensive statistics that indicates opponents are shooting 49.7% against them and is making an alarmingly high 45.6% of their 3-point attempts. Butler is only making 59.7% of their free throws thus far, and that must be considered if their opponent is trying to extend a game when playing from behind. Southern Illinois hasn’t played nearly as tough a schedule to this point compared to Butler. Nevertheless, the Salukis are 5-0 while putting up some impressive offensive statistics while doing so. They have shot 49.6% including 43.6% from 3-point territory and have converted on an excellent 78.5% of their free throws. Bet on Southern Illinois plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
Browns @ Giants 8:20 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Giants +6.5 (5*) This is unequivocally the most important game of the season for the Giants. They trail Washington by 1.0 game in the NFC East, and they have a difficult game on Sunday versus Seattle. The Giants are coming off an awful performance during last Sunday’s 26-7 home loss to Arizona which ended their 4-game win streak. It also marked their worse loss since a 36-9 defeat to San Francisco. Their previous 4 losses this season had come by just a combined 14 points. I look for the Giants to bounce back with a strong effort on Sunday night and make this a much more competitive game than the 9-4 Browns would ask for. Speaking of the Browns, they are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Baltimore this past Monday night in what was an exciting and emotion packed game. It would be hard to imagine them reaching that intensity level on Sunday night. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | Top | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
Kansas City @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: New Orleans +3.0 (10*) The Saints had their 8-game win streak snapped during last Sunday’s 24-21 loss at Philadelphia. They were not only defeated by an Eagles team that entered that contest with a dismal 3-8-1 record but was also starting a rookie quarterback who was making his first start of his career. In my estimation they were clearly looking ahead to this Sunday’s game against the defending world champion Chiefs (12-1) in what many have been tabbing as a Super Bowl preview. On a much more positive note, New Orleans has gone an outstanding 11-1 straight up in their last 12 following a loss in their previous game. New Orleans will also get an emotional lift as Drew Brees returns from injury to make the start. Nevertheless, I would have liked New Orleans in this spot with Brees or Taysom Hill under center. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots +2 v. Dolphins | 12-22 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Patriots +2.0 (5*) The Patriots are coming off a poor effort in a Thursday night 24-3 road loss to the Rams and their record fell to 6-7. The good news, they will have 3 additional days of rest compared to Miami, and they have gone 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up following a loss. Bill Belichick will be game planning for a rookie quarterback for a 2nd time in 3 games. The last time it occurred was against the odds-on favorite for Rookie of the Year in Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert. New England walked away with a 45-0 win in that contest, and Herbert went 26-53 for 209 yards while throwing 2 interceptions and being sacked 3 times. I look for more of the same against Tua on Sunday. Any NFL road team that is +3.0 to -3.0 who is coming off a road loss and has a losing record, resulted in those road teams going 41-17 ATS (70.7%) since 2016. Bet on the Patriots for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -2.5 | 33-27 | Loss | -121 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Bears @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 357-358 Play On: Vikings -2.5 (5*) The Bears are coming off a 36-10 home win over Houston last Sunday in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. That win snapped a 6-game Bears losing streak and improved their season record to 6-7 (.461). The Bears are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and lost by an average of 12.3 points per game. The Vikings are coming off a 26-14 loss at Tampa Bay last week in a game they held a time of possession advantage of 39:03 to 20:57. Unfortunately their placekicker Dan Bailey went 0-3 on his field goal attempts and missed an extra point. On a more positive note, they were able to amass 162 yards rushing against a Bucs defense which has been #1 in the NFL in stopping the run for 2 years running. Any NFL home favorite that is facing an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 10 points or greater, and that opponent had a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those home favorites going 35-10 ATS (77.8%) since 1983. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | 49ers -3 v. Cowboys | 33-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
49ers @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: 49ers -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off last Sunday’s 30-9 win at Cincinnati which improved their season record to 4-9. Unfortunately for Cowboys backers, their team is 0-3 SU&ATS following a win this season and lost by an average of 20.0-points per game. The 49ers are coming off a disheartening 23-15 home loss to Washington last week in which they allowed 2 defensive touchdowns against them. That defeat dropped their season record to 5-8 (.385). Any road favorite (49ers) that is coming off a straight up favorite loss, and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus a team with a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 36-10 ATS (78.2%) since 1983. The average line in those 46 games was 4.0 and the road teams outscored their opponents by an average of 11.5 points per contest. Bet on the 49ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-20 | Arizona State v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 46-33 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 18 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Oregon State 10:30 PM ET Game# 225-226 Play On: Oregon State +7.5 (10*) Arizona State is coming off a 70-7 shellacking over their winless in-state rival Arizona last Saturday. The Sun Devils have played just 3 games this season and last week marked its first win. Now they travel to Oregon State against a 2-4 Beavers team that in recent years has been a PAC-12 doormat. However, this is a better than advertised Beavers team whose 4 losses came by just a combined average of 6.3 points per contest. Arizona State has allowed an average of just 20 points per game this season despite surrendering 423 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has bailed themselves out by forcing a whopping 11 turnovers in their 3 games played. However, they will be facing an opponent on Saturday which has only committed 6 turnovers in 6 games. Oregon State also averages a healthy 31.0 points and 450.3 yards per game in their 4 contests played at home. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET Game#343-344 Play On: Carolina +8.5 (5*) Green Bay clinched the NFC North last week following a 31-24 win at Detroit. I look for a bit of a flat spot here for the Packers. I am predicting this game to be much closer and competitive than most will think. After getting off to a surprising 3-1 start to the season, Carolina has lost 7 of its last 8 games. However, they did manage to go 4-4 ATS during that futile stretch which indicates they continue to play hard for 1st year head coach Matt Ruhle. Additionally, despite the Panthers going just 2-3 in their previous 5 road games, the covered on all 5 of those occasions. Bet on Carolina plus the points. |
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12-19-20 | North Carolina v. Kentucky UNDER 141.5 | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Kentucky vs. North Carolina 2:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Under 141.5 (5*) Both teams are tremendous rebounding teams. With that being said, each team will limit their opponents effectiveness on the offensive glass and minimize second chance opportunities. Kentucky has seen all 5 of their games go under the total and there were a combined 132.2 points scored per contest. Both teams are terrible 3-point shooting teams with North Carolina (4-2) converting 27% of its attempts and Kentucky at an even worse 24%. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-20 | Gonzaga -3 v. Iowa | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Gonzaga vs. Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game#603-604 Play On: Gonzaga -3.0 (5*) Gonzaga has played the much tougher schedule of these two highly ranked teams. The #1 Bulldogs are 3-0 while defeating the likes of #8 West Virginia, Auburn, and #5 Kansas. All 3 contests took place on a neutral floor like they will be playing on this Saturday at the Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Gonzaga has shot a blistering hot 55.3% in those 3 wins. Iowa is 6-0 with their lone notable win coming by 13 over #22 North Carolina. Bet on Gonzaga for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-20 | Louisville v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 48-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Wisconsin -5.5 (5*) The #12 Badgers have traditionally had a very strong home court and this year will be no different. Additionally this is a veteran laden Wisconsin team that is used to winning. Louisville is off to a fast 4-0 starts but all those victories took place on their home floor. Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this contest will be Wisconsin's ability to make their 3-point shots. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
Oregon @ USC 8:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Oregon +3.5 (5*) Oregon takes the place of Washington in this PAC-12 Title Game after the Huskies were bombarded with COVID-19 issues. In my professional opinion, the game becomes more appealing with the Ducks involved and they will matchup better against USC than Washington would have. USC is 5-0 but 3 of their wins against UCLA, Arizona, and Arizona State came by way of a winning score with less than a minute to play. Without some fortunate luck that came their way, the Trojans came very easily be 2-3 at this juncture. This line speaks volumes as well. We have an undefeated team playing on their home field as a small favorite vessus an opponent that has lost twice in a Power 5 Conference Championship game. Basically, the sportsbooks are telling you if this contest were played at a neutral site it would be the line would be a pick. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Chargers +3.5 (5*) The Raiders are 1-3 in their last 4 games and have virtually played themselves out of postseason consideration. Their only win in that sequence was 31-28 over the winless New York Jets by way of a miracle 45-yard Derek Carr to Henry Ruggs touchdown pass with less than 10 seconds to play. During that stretch they are allowing 37.5 points and 399.0 yards per game. Additionally, through that identical period the Raiders have committed an alarming 11 turnovers. The Raiders have been a good road team this season evidenced by a 5-2 record in that role. However, they are a dismal 1-4 during their previous 5 home games. The Chargers are a better team than their 4-9 record indicates. They have seen 7 of its 9 losses come by 8 points or fewer. One of those occurred in a 31-26 home defeat against the Raiders. That was a game statistically dominated by the Chargers as they had a 440-320 totals yards edge and 34:44 to 25:16 time of possession advantage. The Raiders are coming off a 44-27 home loss to Indianapolis in a game they were -3 in the turnover department. The Chargers are coming off a 20-17 home win over Atlanta and had a +2 turnover margin. Any NFL team (Chargers) that had a +2 or betting turnover margin in their previous game, and they are facing an opponent (Raiders) who had a -3 or worse turnover margin in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 54-26 (67.5%) straight up since 2011 and 29-9 (76.3%) straight up since 2016. Bet on the Chargers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (10*) Kansas is # 5 in the country but in my humble opinion is getting more respect for their brand than the worthiness of their ranking for this current Jayhawks team. Yes, their only loss has come against #1 Gonzaga by 12 in their season opener. However, they also only defeated North Dakota State by 4 as a 24.0-point home favorite, beat a Kentucky team that is currently on a 4-game losing streak by just 3, and escaped with a 1-point home win over #9 Creighton. This will be the Jayhawks first true road game of the season. Texas Tech is 6-1 and their lone defeat came against #6 Houston on a neutral floor. The Red Raiders are a perfect 5-0 straight up at home and covered 4 of those contests while winning by a decisive margin of 31.4 points per game. Texas Tech is also an excellent defensive team that is allowing only 51.6 points per game and has held its opponents to a mere 35.5% shooting. Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-20 | Mercer +4.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
Mercer @ Georgia State 6:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Mercer +4.5 (10*) These teams met once already this season and Mercer came away with a convincing 86-69 win as a 3.0-point home underdog. Mercer outrebounded Georgia State 51-31 while also hauling in 15 offensive rebounds. They also held the visiting Panthers to a dismal 36.8% shooting and forced an alarmingly high 19 turnovers. Mercer also owns an impressive 10 points road win over Georgia Tech in a game they were a substantial 12.0-point underdog. There’s nothing apparent to me to suggest that Georgia State will be able to turn the tables on Mercer this time around. Bet on 6-0 Mercer plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-20 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State OVER 135.5 | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Florida State 8:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Over 135.5 (5*) Both teams have shown they like to play at a fast tempo in the early going of this season. Neither team has been good at defending the 3-point shot. Florida State is allowing their opponents to convert on 38.5% of those long-range attempts while Georgia Tech is at an even worse 39.2%. Florida State is 3-0 and all those wins came at home. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Florida State has gone 6-0 to the over following 2 straight home wins, and those contests averaged a combined 151.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-20 | Minnesota v. Illinois -8 | 65-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Illinois 7:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Illinois -8.0 (5*) Illinois is 4-2 but their losses came against #2 Baylor and at #19 Missouri by 3. They have gone 3-0 at home and won at Duke 83-68 as a 3.0-point underdog. Minnesota has started 6-0 but against less than stellar opposition. Their signature win if you will, came at home over Boston College by 5 in a game that went overtime, and they needed to overcome a 2nd half double digit deficit. That is the same Boston College team that was routed by 38 at home by unranked Syracuse this past Saturday. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-20 | Clemson +2 v. Virginia Tech | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Virginia Tech 6:30 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Clemson +2.0 (5*) Clemson has been extremely impressive thus far by going 5-0 SU&ATS during their previous 5 games and won by a decisive margin of 16.8 points per contest. It’s not as if they faced creampuffs with 4 of those victories coming over Mississippi State, Alabama, Purdue, and Maryland. On the other side of the ledger is a Virginia Tech team that’s coming off a 20-point home blowout loss to Penn State. The Hokies also struggled the game before Penn State when winning at home by just 7 over VMI as a 20.0-point favorite. The Hokies earlier season upset over Villanova is looking more like an aberration at this point. Bet on Clemson for a 5* wager. |
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