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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-21-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Dallas 8:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (10*) Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off losses in each of the previous 2. Conversely, this will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a red-hot 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 and 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 games. Throughout their last 5 contests, Minnesota has scored a lofty 126.8 points per game, shot 48.3% from the field, made 41.1% of its 3-point attempts, and went 88.1% at the free throw line. Give me Minnesota plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-21-22 | Ohio v. Abilene Christian UNDER 144.5 | 86-91 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Abilene Christian vs. Ohio 8:30 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Under 144.5 (5*) Ohio has seen each of their last 5 go under the total with a combined 134.6m points scored per game. Abilene Christian went over the total in their opening round 82-71 CBI Tournament victory over Troy. However, Abilene has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 after going over in their previous contest and there was a combined 129.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
TCU vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: Arizona -9.5 (10*) TCU is coming off an extremely impressive 69-42 win over Seton Hall on Friday. However, the Horned Frogs have gone just 1-5 SU&ATS during their last 6 following a win in its previous game. Additionally, there’s a sizable disparity in the opponent they’ll face today compared to a Seton Hall team that was average at best over the 2nd half of their season. TCU has scored less than 70 points in each of its last 5 and 9 of their previous 11 games. That’s problematic when it comes to this matchup when considering Arizona has scored 81 points or more during its last 7 and 11 of their previous 12 games. The Wildcats have also shot 49% or better during 11 of its previous 13 games. Arizona is far the better team in this game and will walk away with a decisive win and cover. Give me Arizona minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Purdue 8:40 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Purdue -3.5 (5*) The Longhorns 1st round win came over a Virginia Tech teams that needed 4 wins in 4 days in the ACC Tournament to just make it to the “Big Dance”. That win over the Hokies also halted an 0-3 SU&ATS Texas skid. As good as Texas’ overall defensive number are, they did allow opponents to shoot 48% or better in 5 of their last 10 games. Purdue easily disposed of Yale during their 78-56 win in 1st round action. The Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards all season long which is further proven by their +10 rebound per game average. Purdue is also an excellent 3-point shooting team who has converted on 38.9% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 53-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech 7:10 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Texas Tech -7.5 (5*) Notre Dame will struggle versus an extremely physical Texas Tech team that is outstanding defensively. This will also be the Fighting Irish’s 3rd game in the past 5 days after coming off wins over Rutgers in overtime and a slumping Alabama team on Friday. As I previously mention, Texas Teach is outstanding on the defensive end of the floor. Throughout their previous 5 games the Red Raiders have allowed just 56.8 points per game and held their opponents to a mere 36.6% shooting. Texas Tech dismantled the Big Sky Conference champion Montana State in their opening round game 97-62 while shooting a blistering hot 66.2% in that contest. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. Wisconsin 6:10 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Wisconsin -4.5 (5*) The #11 seed Iowa State Cyclones upset LSU on Friday to advance. However, that was a LSU team that had their head coach and top assistant fired just a week prior to the start of the NCAA Tournament. They’ll be facing a more stable and better team on Sunday who won’t be vulnerable. Colgate gave Wisconsin all they can handle on Friday before the Badgers pulled away late for a 7-point win. For all intent and purposes, this will be a Wisconsin home game that will be played in Milwaukee. That specific factor will play a large part not only in the outcome of this game but also aid in a decisive win and cover for the Badgers. Give me Wisconsin minus the points. |
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03-20-22 | Houston -4.5 v. Illinois | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Houston vs. Illinois 7:45 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Houston -4.5 (5*) This line tells me all I need to know. We have the lower seeded Houston Cougars as a 4.5-point favorite over #4 seed Illinois (23-9). Illinois was lucky to advance after a narrow 54-53 win over #13 seed UT-Chattanooga. The Illini led for just 30 seconds in that contest and in my eyes was thoroughly outplayed with all being considered. Illinois has been in an offensive funk over its last 4 contest while averaging only 62.8 points scored per game and shoot a poor 38.2%. That’s not good news for Illinois backers when considering their team will be up against one of the best defensive teams in the country that holds opponents to 59.1 points per game and a mere 37.6% shooting. #5 seed Houston (30-5) is coming off an extremely impressive 82-68 win over a very good UAB team. The Cougars have gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a favorite of 3.0 or more and outscored those opponents by an average of 17.4 points per game. Houston has also gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS this season on a neutral court. Give me Houston minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | 70-60 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
St. Peter’s vs. Murray State 7:45 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Murray State -8.5 (5*) Most people cheer for a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament, St. Peter’s certain qualifies in this regard. The #15 seed Peacocks are coming off a monumental upset over Kentucky in a game they closed as an 18.0-point underdog. Since the1990, NCAA Tournament teams with a seed of #13 or worse that are coming of a 1st round upset have been a huge fade in the following game. St. Peter’s will be facing a 31-2 Murray State team that survived and advance in an opening 92-87 overtime win over San Francisco. Any 2nd Round NCAA Tournament #13 through #16 seed that’s an underdog of 6.0 or greater, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better has gone 0-12 ATS since 1990. Additionally, they were beaten in those contests by an average of 16.8 points per game. Give me Murray State minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | St. Mary's v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs. UCLA 7:10 PM ET Game# 797-798 Play On: UCLA -2.5 (10*) St. Mary’s looked terrific in their 82-53 rout of Indiana on Thursday. Conversely, UCLA closed the game on a 15-4 run in their narrow 57-53 win over Akron in a game they were a sizable 13.5-points favorite. As a result, we’ve seen a plethora of early bets and money being wagered on St. Mary’s. I’m predicting UCLA will bounce back with a huge performance on Saturday. This is an experienced UCLA team that advanced to the Final Four a season ago and that will pay dividends in this matchup. Give me UCLA minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee -5.5 | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Tennessee 5:15 PM ET Game# 787-788 Play On: Tennessee -5.5 (5*) Michigan overcame an early 15-point deficit to beat #6 seed Colorado State on Thursday 75-63. However, the Wolverines are a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS during their last 5 following a win in their previous contest and were outscored by an average of 9.8 points per game. Additionally, they allowed an alarmingly high 78.6 points per game throughout those 5 losses. That’s not good news for Wolverine backers when considering they’ll be facing a very good defensive team in Tennessee. The Volunteers have held their last 5 and 10 of their previous 11 opponents to 39.6% shooting or less. Tennessee has also allowed 64 points or fewer in 11 of its last 13 games. Tennessee has gone 13-1 SU in their previous 14 contests which includes a current 8-game win streak (+12.8 PPG). Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor OVER 148.5 | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
North Carolina vs. Baylor 12:10 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Over 148.5 (5*) This is rarified air for Baylor with regards to the total. The Bears have only seen 4 of their 33 games this season having a total of 146.5 or greater. They played 3-1 to the over in those contests and averaged 84.8 points scored per game while doing so. North Carolina is coming off Thursday’s 95-63 blowout win over Marquette on Thursday and that contest went over the total of 153.0. The Tar Heels have now played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 this season whenever there the number was 146.5 or more and there was a combined 165.3 points scored per game. The Tar Heels have chosen to play at a frenetic offensive pace of late while averaging a substantial 68 field goal per contest throughout its previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-18-22 | Colgate v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 60-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Colgate vs. Wisconsin 9:50 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Wisconsin -7.5 (10*) This is an experienced Colgate team that took Arkansas down to the wire in last year’s NCAA Tournament. However, this game will be played in Milwaukee which will for all intents and purposes be a Wisconsin home game. Unlike last year when a neutral site crowd energized the sizable underdog Colgate Raiders, that won’t be the case on Friday night. The Badgers were regular season co-champion in a conference that sent 9 teams to the “Big Dance”. Don’t expect them to be flat on Friday. It will be quite the contrary. Give me Wisconsin minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-18-22 | Iowa State v. LSU -4 | 59-54 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Iowa State vs. LSU 7:20 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: LSU -4.0 (5*) I was on the local ABC and Fox networks here in Western New York for my predictions for the NCAA Tournament. When asked about this game, I not only predicted LSU would win, but they would hold Iowa State in the high 40’s to low 50’s while doing so. I stand by that statement as bold as that may have sounded. Much ado will be made about LSU firing their head coach and top assistant right after the SEC Tournament. However, this isn’t the spot that the Tigers will be affected by those decisions. Iowa State has been held to 54 points or fewer on 7 separate occasions this season and includes 2 of their previous 3 games. Conversely, LSU has held 7 opponents this season to 59 points or fewer. The Tigers have held opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting this season. Iowa State started the season 12-0 but has gone just 8-12 since. By the way, LSU went 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS in non-conference games this season. Give me LSU minus the points. |
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03-18-22 | Miami-FL +2 v. USC | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Miami vs. USC 3:10 PM ET Game# 755-756 Play On: Miami +2.0 (5*) USC is just 1 of 3 PAC-12 teams that made the NCAA Tournament. The other 2 were UCLA and Arizona who the Trojans went a combined 1-4 SU against. The strength of USC is their defensive play. Although, over their last 6 contests USC has allowed 76.0 points per game. Despite it being a down year for the ACC, I still consider Miami as being a vastly underrated team. The Hurricanes were knocked off in the ACC Tournament Semifinals when losing to #9 Duke 80-76. However, Miami has been resilient this season which is evidenced by them going 8-1 SU following a loss. During their last 6 games, Miami averaged 76.3 points scored per contest and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% from the field. Give me Miami plus the small number. |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -16 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Yale vs. Purdue 2:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Purdue -16.0 (5*) The Ivy League champion Yale Bulldogs are in over their heads in this matchup. During their non-conference portion of their schedule, Yale went 0-4 versus teams in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field (Seaton Hall, Vermont, St. Mary’s, Auburn) and lost by an enormous 23.3 points per game. Additionally, the Bulldogs were a -10.3 rebounds per game during those lopsided defeats. That’s not good news for Yale backers considering Purdue is one of the nation’s leading rebounding team at +9 per contest. Speaking og Purdue, they finished 3rd in the Big 10 regular season standing and only 1.0 game behind co-champions Wisconsin and Illinois. The Boilermakers also made it to the Big 10 Conference Tournament final where they fell to the red-hot Iowa Hawkeyes. Purdue went an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in non-conference games versus teams (North Carolina, Villanova, Wright State) in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. Give me Purdue minus the points. |
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03-17-22 | Vermont +5.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
Vermont vs. Arkansas 9:20 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Vermont +5.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the screen at first glance. Here we have the #17 Arkansas Razorbacks from the powerful SEC 25-8 as just a 5.0-point favorite versus a team that won the America East Conference. However, this is a Vermont Catamounts team that has an outstanding 28-5 record and that includes 22-1 during its previous 23 games. The Catamounts also went 2-1 in non-conference play versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field. Their wins came versus the Ivy League champion Yale Bulldogs and the other against the Patriot League automatic qualifier the Colgate Raiders. Their loss came at #13 Providence by 10. The Catamounts defeated UMBC in the conference title game by a lopsided 82-43 score. Since the start of last season, Vermont has won 8 games by 30 points or more, and they followed the previous 7 by going 7-0 SU&ATS while winning by a substantial 24.6 points per contest. Give me Vermont plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-17-22 | Richmond v. Iowa -10 | 67-63 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Richmond vs. Iowa 3:10 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Iowa -10.0 (5*) Richmond entered the Atlantic Conference Tournament with just an 18-12 record and no whispers of being considered for an NCAA Tournament at-large-bid. So, they just went out and won 4-games in 4 days to capture an automatic bid. The only other A-10 team in the NCAA Tournament is Davidson. The Spiders didn’t face any team in the non-conference part of their schedule that is part of this year’s NCAA Tournament field. Iowa enters the dance having gone 12-2 in their last 14 games which included being the Big 10 Conference Tournament champions. That’s a noteworthy item since there’s 9 Big 10 teams in this NCAA Tournament field. The Hawkeyes are an offensive juggernaut and especially recently. Iowa has scored 80 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Give me Iowa minus the points. |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State +2.5 v. Providence | 57-66 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
South Dakota State vs. Providence 12:40 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: South Dakota State +2.5 (5*) This line confirms what I have believed for the past 2 months. The #13 Providence Friars aren’t as good as their #13 ranking indicates. Yes, they won the Big East regular season title which is no easy feat. However, in their conference tournament they were upset in the conference semifinals 85-57 by unranked Creighton in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. When doing a quick study on KenPom it further validates that Providence is a flawed team despite their stellar 25-5 record. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Providence is an abysmal 1-11 ATS when playing on a neutral court and were outscored by an average of 9.9 points per game. The Friars have gone 1-7 SU since 1997 in the NCAA Tournament. Speaking of stellar records, South Dakota State is 30-4 which includes a current 21-game win streak. The jackrabbits can flat out shoot the basketball which is proven by them shooting 50% or better in 23 of their previous 28 games. If the prerequisite for an NCAA upset in an underdog’s ability to make 3-point shots. Then South Dakota State emphatically checks that box while making 44.9% of their 3-point shot attempts for the season. The Jackrabbits are also averaging 86.7 points scored per game this season. With those types of offensive numbers, your seldom out of any game no matter the deficit. Give me South Dakota State plus the small number. |
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03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +1.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Colorado State 12:15 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Colorado State +1.5 (5*) Michigan somehow received an NCAA Tournament bid and 1st Round bye with an uninspiring 17-14 record. Furthermore, there are even a favorite in this matchup versus the #24 Colorado State Rams (25-5). This is a simple case of ignoring the recognizable brand in Michigan State and going with the underdog that I firmly believe is the better team. Colorado State is 1 of 4 Mountain West Conference teams made the NCAA Tournament field. They also captured non-conference wins over #18 St. Mary’s (25-7) and Creighton who is the #9 seed in the Midwest region. They also won both regular season meetings versus conference rival and #23 ranked Boise State Broncos. The Rams are very good! Give me Colorado State plus the small number. |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame -113 v. Rutgers | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Rutgers 9:10 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Notre Dame -113 (5*) Rutgers has gone 1-7 SU during the past 2 season in non-conference neutral site or away games. That includes a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS this season in which they were outscored by a decisive margin of 13.5 points per game. After going through a recent stretch in which they won 4 consecutive games with all coming versus team that are in this 2022 NCAA Tournament, Rutgers has gone 2-4 SU including both wins coming by a combined 3 points. Notre Dame started the season 4-5 but has gone 18-5 since. They're coming off an an ACC Tournament loss to a red-hot Virginia Tech team. Notre Dame is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a loss. During their previous 5 contests, Notre Dame has averaged 79.4 points scored per game, shot an impressive 49.3% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point territory, and 79.3% from the free throw line. Give me Notre Dame on the money line. |
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03-16-22 | Dayton v. Toledo +100 | 74-55 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Toledo +100 (5*) Dayton comes off the disappointment of being passed over by the NCAA Tournament committee after being in serious contention over the past month. Teams in that situation are generally flat and lack motivation in their NIT opening round game. Toledo is coming off a 70-62 loss in the MAC Tourney Semifinals. However, the Rockets have gone a perfect 6-0 SU this season following a SU loss and won by a substantial margin of 15.2 points per game. Toledo has also gone an outstanding 13-1 SU at home this season while outscoring opponent by an average of 18.7 points per game. It’s not often that a MAC team has an opportunity to host a non-conference game versus a quality team the likes of Dayton. I expect them to be fully engaged both mentality and physically as a result. Give me Toledo on the money line. |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming +4.5 | Top | 66-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Wyoming vs. Indiana 9:10 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Wyoming +4.5 (10*) Indiana is certainly the bigger brand than Wyoming and plays in a better Conference. Which aligns itself with an enormous amount of early money being wagered on the Hoosiers. However, the Mountain West Conference was vastly underrated this season which is evidenced by their 4 NCAA Tournament berths and 2 of those teams (Boise State, Colorado State) being currently being ranked in the Top 25. It must be noted, Indiana has gone 2-8 SU in their last 10 games versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field. Wyoming is coming off a loss against #23 Boise State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Nevertheless, the Cowboys have been resilient this season which is proven by their 6-1 SU record following a loss. They were also an extremely profitable 7-3 ATS as an underdog. Give me Wyoming plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-14-22 | Bucks v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 117-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Utah 10:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Utah +1.5 (10*) You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 4-11 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. The Bucks defensive play has left much to be desired of late as they’ve allowed 117.2 points per game while allowing their opponents to shoot 49.5% and convert on 38.5% of its 3-point shot attempts. Utah has won 9 consecutive home games and that in itself gives the underdog Jazz ample betting value. Utah has outscored their opponents by an average of 6.4 points per game this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Milwaukee is a bankroll draining 11-27 ATS on the road when facing opponents with a +4.0 or greater point per game differential on the season. Utah won at Milwaukee 107-95 in late October. Give me Utah plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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03-14-22 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 231 | 134-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Over 231.0 (5*) Charlotte has scored 119 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 6 of their previous 8 games. However, the Hornets have been terrible defensively throughout their previous 4 games while allowing 121.0 points per game. Charlotte has played 18-7 (72%) to the over this season when facing an opponent with a losing record and there was a combined 239.1 points scored per game. Oklahoma City has played 10-1 to the over in their last 11 games. Their previous 3 contests all went over the number with an average total of 231.5 and a combined 244.6 points scored per game. The Thunder are coming off yesterday’s 125-118 home loss to Memphis. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Oklahoma City has played 11-2 to the over at home when playing with no rest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M +6.5 v. Tennessee | 50-65 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Texas A&M +6.5 (5*) The Texas A&M Aggies have caught fire at the right time evidenced by them going 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games. They were a longshot to make the NCAA Tournament at the end of regular season play. However, here they are playing their 4th game in 4 days and on an improbable run to winning a conference tournament championship and automatic NCAA Tournament bid. During the 3 games in the SEC Tournament the Aggies have held opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting. A&M has also shot a blistering hit 25-48 (52.1%) from beyond the 3-points line in 3 conference tournament games. Tennessee won both regular season games versus Texas A&M by comfortable margins of 10 and 14 points. The Volunteers were double-digit favorite on both occasions. Now they’re just a 7.0-point favorite versus the Aggies with 1 more day of rest and with a chance to win a SEC title. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the favorite in this spot. Thank you but no thank you. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-12-22 | UCLA v. Arizona OVER 142.5 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
UCLA vs. Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Over 142.5 (5*) These teams went under the total in their 2 regular season meetings. However, the totals in those contests were 148.5 and 150.5 compared to today’s number of 143.0. Arizona has shot 50.9% or better from the field in 8 of their last 10. The Wildcats have played 9-0 to the over during its previous 9 contests when there was a total of 153.0 or less and a combined 159.0 points scored per game. Conversely, UCLA has played 4-1 to the over during its previous 5 games. Throughout that stretch, the Bruins averaged 78.0 points scored per game, shot 49.5%, and made an excellent 45.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-12-22 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Duke | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Virginia Tech +6.0 (5*) I haven’t been overly impressed with Duke’s performances in the ACC Tourney thus far. They’ve failed to cover on both occasions and each contest was in jeopardy heading into the final 2 minutes. That’s not to say they aren’t a great team because that would be a ludicrous statement. The Blue Devils have been less than stellar in their 2 games since arriving in Brooklyn while allowing 79 points to an undermanned Syracuse team and 76 to Miami last night. Duke has gone over the total in their last 5 games. Since the start of last season, Duke is 2-10 ATS after going over the total in each of their previous 3 contests and outscored those opponents by just 2.3 points per game. Virginia Tech has played with a high degree of desperation and urgency the last 3 days with the NCAA Tournament hopes hanging in the balance. They were dominant in last night’s semifinal 13-point win over a red-hot North Carolina team. The Hokies held the Tar Heels to just 59 points and 36.7% shooting. During their 3 ACC Tournament contests Virginia Tech has averaged 78.3 points per game and shot 49.3%. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points. |
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03-12-22 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Kansas 6:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (10*) I may be in the minority when I say that Texas Tech is the overall better team in this matchup. I also like their chances of a deep NCAA Tournament run far better than that of the higher ranked Kansas Jayhawks. These teams split the 2 games during regular season action with the home side posting blowout victories on each occasion. During their 2 Big 12 Tournament games versus Iowa State and Oklahoma the Texas Tech Red Riders have been dominant defensively. They held those opponents to only 48.0 points scored per contest and a mere 34.7% shooting. During their 2 regular season meetings versus Kansas, Texas Tech averaged 83.0 points scored per contest and shot an impressive 48.3%. Give me Texas Tech plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-11-22 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. North Carolina | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina 9:30 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Virginia Tech +2.5 (5*) North Carolina won both regular season meetings versus Virginia Tech by 8 and 10-point margins. Despite the #25 Tar Heels have 1 more additional day of rest than the Hokies and being the higher seed, they opened as just a 2.0-point favorite. The sports books are begging you to take the favorite in this matchup but I’m not obliging. Virginia Tech will be the more desperate and urgent team in this matchup as they need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points. |
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03-11-22 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky OVER 142.5 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky 8:30 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Over 142.5 (5*) Kentucky is coming off a 71-63 win at Florida in their regular season finale and that contest went under 139.0. The Wildcats have played 9-1 to the over during its last 10 following an under in their previous game. Kentucky has averaged 77.6 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.2% over its previous 5 contests. Vanderbilt is coming off yesterday’s 82-76 upset win over Alabama. Since the 2019-2020 season began, the Commodores have played 16-2 to the over (148.5 PPG) following a game in which they scored 80 points or more and that includes 4-0 this season (145.8 PPG). Since the start of last season, these teams have played on another 4 times and each of those contests produced a combined 144 or more points being scored. During their 2 meeting this season, Vanderbilt went 19-46 (41.3%) from 3-point territory while Kentucky was an even better 14-30 (46.7%). The last encounter occurred at Adolph Rupp Arena in Lexington and there was an alarmingly high 58 free throw attempts. Furthermore, in the Commodores win over Alabama yesterday there were an astronomically high 79 free throw attempts by both teams. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Miami vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Duke -8.5 (10*) This is a Duke team which has shoot 48% or better in each of their last 6 games. Conversely, Miami has allowed its opponents to shoot 48% or better during 5 of its previous 6 contests. Duke will be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 76-74 home loss to Miami earlier this season in a game they closed as a 15.0-point favorite. The Blue Devils had a scare yesterday before pulling away late in a 9-point win over an undermanned Syracuse team that they blew out twice during regular season action. That’s not likely to occur again. Miami narrowly escaped with a 2-point overtime win over a hapless Boston College team in yesterday’s conference quarterfinals. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-11-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 | 69-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin 6:30 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Michigan State has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 2-7 SU&ATS during its previous 9 games versus all teams not named Maryland. Speaking of Maryland, Michigan State defeated them yesterday 74-70. However, since the start of last season, the Spartans are an abysmal 1-10 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer and were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game. Wisconsin is an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in neutral site games this season with victories over #17 St. Mary’s, #18 Houston, and Texas A&M. Those 3 teams currently have a combined 73-23 (.760) record this season. Furthermore, Wisconsin has gone 8-0 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread was anywhere from +3.0 to -3.0. Give me Wisconsin minus the points. |
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03-11-22 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -9 | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Texas A&M vs. Auburn 12:00 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Auburn -9.0 (5*) Texas A&M enters this SEC Tournament Quarterfinal on a 5-game win streak. However, they escaped with an overtime win over Florida yesterday in a contest they blew a 10-point lead with exactly 1:00 to play in regulation and had a 16-point lead with 10:45 left. Furthermore, all their wins on this current win streak came over unranked teams. Keep in mind, prior to their present 5-game win streak, Texas A&M went a dismal 1-9 in their previous 10 contests. The #4 Auburn Tigers enters the SEC Tournament with an outstanding 27-4 record and were the regular season conference champion. They lost 2 games in overtime against #20 Connecticut and #15 Arkansas. They also lost by 5 at #9 Tennessee and were upsets 63-62 at Florida. My point being, with a break or two the Tigers could have easily gone undefeated in regular season action. Auburn played Texas A&M just once during regular season action and won 75-58 at home while covering as a 12.0-point favorite. Additionally, they held the Aggies to a miserable 27.1% shooting day and were +7 on the boards. Give me Auburn minus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama OVER 147.5 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt vs. Alabama 8:30 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Over 147.5 (5*) Alabama has seen their last 6 go over the total when the number was 153.0 or less and there was a combined average of 163.5 points scored per game. The Crimson Tide have been less than inspiring defensively over their last 5 contests while allowing 80.0 points per game and their opponents shot 40.2% from 3-point territory. On a positive note, during that identical stretch Alabama has averaged 11 three-point makes per game and converted on an excellent 84.0% of their free throws. Vanderbilt has played 9-3 to the over in their last 12. The Commodores have also averaged 11 three-point makes per game throughout its last 5 contests and connected on a stellar 38.5% of those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-10-22 | Virginia Tech -125 v. Notre Dame | Top | 87-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame 7:00 PM ET Game# 725-726 Play On: Virginia Tech -125 (10*) Virginia Tech’s NCAA Tournament chances continue to be on life support after yesterday’s thrill buzzer beating 3-point shot in a 1-point win over Clemson. I look for them to carry that momentum into today. The Hokies are now 10-2 in their last 12 games. Since the start of last season, Virginia Tech is 3-0 SU in their games versus Notre Dame. Virginia Tech is an excellent defensive team that has allowed only 61.7 points per game. Conversely, Notre Dame is 1-7 SU this season versus opponents who allow 64 points or less per game. The Fighting Irish are also 0-3 SU&ATS in lined neutral site games this season. Barring something unforeseen, Notre Dame is a lock to make “The Big Dance”. On the other hand, Virginia tech needs at least 1 more if not 2 more wins in this ACC Tournament to possibly get there. I’m going with the team that will surely exhibit more desperation and urgency in this matchup. Give me Virginia Tech. |
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03-10-22 | Rice v. North Texas -10.5 | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rice vs. North Texas 6:30 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: North Texas -10.5 (5*) For starters, Rice has gone a dismal 1-4 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog. The Owls were hammered in their 2 regular season games versus North Texas by scores of 67-44 and 75-43 while shooting a cumulative 31.8% from the floor. They were also -37 in the rebounding department in those 2 defeats. North Texas is coming off a 70-68 upset loss at UTEP in their regular season finale. That setback halted a 14-game North Texas winning streak. North Texas is 19-2 SU and 14-7 ATS in their last 21 games. The Mean Green finished 16-2 in CUSA play and allowed just 55.9 points per game while doing so. Give me North Texas minus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina OVER 137.5 | 73-51 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. South Carolina 6:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Over 137.5 (5*) Mississippi State is a horrible 3-point shooting team. However, they make up for that glaring weakness by their ability to get to the free throw line. During their 2 regular season meetings versus South Carolina the Bulldogs attempted 26 free throws on each occasion which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through their previous 5 outings Mississippi State averaged 25 free throw attempts per game. The Bulldogs will be facing a South Carolina team that averages 21 three-point shot attempts per game. They’ve played 8-2 to the over since game 16 of their season when facing opponents that average 21 or more 3-point shots per game. Conversely, South Carolina has allowed an average of 25 free throw attempts per contest over its last 5 games. By the way, South Carolina has played 10-1 to the over in their last 11 and that includes 5-0 over if the number was 139.0 or less (143.2 PPG). Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-10-22 | Oregon v. Colorado +1 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET Game# 777-778 Play On: Colorado +1.0 (5*) You can make a strong case for Oregon being among the top underachieving teams in college basketball this season. The Ducks limp into the PAC-12 Tournament having lost 5 of their last 7 games. Conversely, Colorado finished regular season action on a 7-1 SU run and that included a lopsided 16-point win over #2 Arizona. The Buffaloes have averaged 78.1 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests and shot 48% or better on 6 of those occasions. Give me Colorado in this one. |
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03-10-22 | Florida v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Texas A&M +2.5 (5*) After going through an 8-game losing streak, Texas A&M finished the season on a 5-1 run which included 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. Florida went just 3-4 SU during its last 7 regular season contests. What really sticks out to me is the Gators previous 5 games in which they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.0% and make 40.8% of their 3-points shot attempts. Conversely, Texas A&M shot 50% from the field over their last 5 outings. Give me Texas A&M plus the points. |
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03-10-22 | Indiana v. Michigan -2 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Indiana vs. Michigan 11:30 AM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Michigan -2.0 (5*) Michigan has dominated their head-to-head series versus Indiana which is evidenced by 9 straight wins over the Hoosiers. The last 8 of those wins came by 11 points or more including an 80-62 victory at Indiana this season. The Wolverines figure to get an extra boost with head coach Juwan Howard returning from a 5-game suspension. During the 5 games without Howard, Michigan averaged 77.8 points scored per contest while shooting 49.0%, making 38.2% of its 3-point attempts, and 82.9% of its free throws. Conversely, Indiana finished their regular season by going a dismal 2-7 SU over its last 9 games. Give me Michigan minus the small number. |
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03-09-22 | Fairfield v. St. Peter's -5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Fairfield vs. St. Peter’s 9:30 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: St. Peter’s -5.0 (5*) St. Peter’s dominated Fairfield in both regular season matchups while winning by scores of 57-41 and 70-59. They held Fairfield to a combined 34-112 (30.3%) shooting in those contests. Speaking of good defense by St. Peter’s, they held their last 3 opponents to a mere 42.7 points per game and 26.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, St. Peter’s finished regular season action on a 4-0 SU&ATS run and won by a substantial 17.5 points per game. Conversely, Fairfield is coming off yesterday’s 72-50 win over Canisius. Since the 2019-2020 season, the Stags are 3-14 ATS after allowing 55 points or fewer in their previous outing and was outscored by 8.6 points per game. Give me St. Peter’s minus the points. |
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03-09-22 | Hawks v. Bucks OVER 239.5 | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Milwaukee 7:40 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 239.5 (10*) This is certainly a high total even by modern day NBA standards. However, it’s for good reason and isn’t going to deter me from going over the number. Atlanta is coming off an under in their previous game. However, the Hawks have played 6-0 to the over during its last 6 following an under in their previous game. Additionally, those 6 contests produced a combined 242.5 points scored per game. Milwaukee has played 13-3 to the over in their last 16 games. Furthermore, the Bucks have averaged 126.7 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 games and allowed 119.2 points per contests over its previous 11 contests. To steal a boxing analogy, styles make fights. These 2 teams will produce a high scoring and extremely entertaining game tonight. Give me this contest to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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03-09-22 | Ole Miss v. Missouri +4 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Missouri 6:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Missouri +4.0 (5*) Let me preface my analysis by saying that both teams aren’t very good. Nevertheless, I feel strongly that the lesser of 2 evils is clearly the underdog in this matchup. Ole Miss is 1-8 SU in their last 9 which includes a current 4-game losing streak. Their only win during that stretch came over a terrible 6-25 Georgia team. Furthermore, Ole Miss has gone an abysmal 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season as a pick or favorite. Conversely, Missouri is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a pick or underdog of 5.5 or less. Missouri won and covered both regular season meetings versus Ole Miss. During those wins, Missouri averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 58.2%, made 52.4% of its 3-point shot attempts, and was a +9.5 rebounds per contest. Give me Missouri plus the points. |
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03-08-22 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -12.5 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Gonzaga -12.5 (10*) It’s apparent by current betting patterns that the public is wagering on St. Mary’s plus the sizable number like it’s an absolute cinch. After all, these teams just met on 2/28 in the regular season finale for both teams and St. Mary’s walked away with a convincing 10-point win as a 10.5-point home underdog. Additionally, the Gaels held Gonzaga to a season low 57 points and 36.7% shooting. I’m here to tell you that’s not happening again. Gonzaga was caught in a flat spot, and the Bulldogs will bounce back with vengeance tonight. The oddsmakers were certainly not deterred by that previous result based on the opening number of 13.5. Gonzaga will show their upper echelon class tonight in a revenge situation. Give me Gonzaga minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-08-22 | Canisius +3.5 v. Fairfield | 50-72 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Canisius vs. Fairfield 7:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Canisius +3.5 (5*) Fairfield won both regular season matchups versus Canisius. However, those wins came by just 4 and 6 points so it’s not as if they dominated them. Fairfield has been anemic offensively over their last 5 contests while averaging just 57.8 points score per game and shooting a terrible 37.6% from the field. The Stags are coming off a 57-41 loss at Saint Peter’s in their regular season finale. Since the start of last season, Fairfield is a dismal 1-8 ATS following a contest in which they scored 55 or less and were outscored by an average of 11.2 points per game. On the other hand, Canisius comes into to the MAAC Tournament riding the momentum of having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. Give me Canisius plus the points. |
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03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
New Orleans vs. Memphis 7:30 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Memphis -6.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 138-130 loss to Denver which ended a 4-game win streak. Conversely, Memphis is coming off an embarrassing 123-122 loss at Houston in a game they closed as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. However, the Grizzlies are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a favorite of 2.0 or more following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 15.4 points per game. Memphis is also a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS this season following a road loss by 10 or more and won by an average of 12.1 points per game. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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03-08-22 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville UNDER 135 | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech vs. Louisville 7:00 PM ET Game #607-608 Play On: Under 135.0 (5*) Georgia Tech is coming off an 82-78 home win over Boston College in their regular season finale. That contest easily sailed over the total of 134.0. Nevertheless, the Yellowjackets have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 immediately following a contest that went over and there was only a combined 125.5 points scored per game. Louisville has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever the total was 138.5 or less and there was just a combined average of 122.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have scored 63 points or fewer in 5 of its previous 7 games. These teams met once during regular season action and Louisville walked away with a 67-64 win and that contest went under the total of 137.5. These ACC rivals have now witnessed their last 8 meetings all going under the total and there was a combined 124.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-08-22 | Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -115 | 72-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-615 Play On: Northern Kentucky -115 (5*) Northern Kentucky is coming off a 14-point win over IPFW in last night’s Horizon League Tournament Semifinal. Quite frankly, the game wasn’t even as close as the final score may indicate. Northern Kentucky has now gone 14-0 SU&ATS in their last 14 games versus all teams not named Detroit who they lost to twice. Northern Kentucky is also 7-0 SU&ATS this season when coming off a conference win by 10 or more and won by an average of 11.6 points per game. They defeated Wright State in both regular season matchup and shot a combined 54.1% while doing so. Northern Kentucky has won 5 straight and the last 4 have all come by 14 points or more. Northern Kentucky has averaged 69.5 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Wright State is allowing 71.1 points per game this season. Any college basketball neutral site pick or favorite that’s coming off 3 consecutive wins by 10 points or more, and they average between 67 to 74 points scored per game, versus an opponent that allows between 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those teams going an extremely profitable 85-14 (85.9%) against the money line since the 1996-1997 season. Give me Northern Kentucky on the money line. |
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03-06-22 | Iowa +4 v. Illinois | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Illinois 7:30 PM ET Game# 817-818 Play On: Iowa +4.0 (5*) I love the way Iowa is playing right now. The Hawkeyes have won their last 5 and includes 3-0 ATS in road games. All 5 wins have come by double-digit margins with the average margin of victory being by 16.2 points per game. Illinois is 4-2 SU in their last 6 at home but was just 1-5 ATS in those contests. Iowa lost to Illinois 87-83 at home in early December but is a much better team cuurently than they were 3 months ago. The great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is their ability to make 3-point shots. During their current 5-game win streak, Iowa has converted on an excellent 40.3% of their 3-point attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. This is nothing new for a Hawkeyes team which averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Since Game 16 of their season, Illinois is 0-6 ATS versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per game. Give me Iowa plus the points. |
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03-06-22 | Lehigh v. Colgate OVER 145 | 61-81 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Lehigh @ Colgate 2:00 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Over 145.0 (5*) Lehigh has been highly efficient on the offensive end of the floor throughout their previous 3 games. During that stretch they’ve averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.3%. Lehigh has converted on an excellent 41.9% of its 3-point shot attempts in conference play this season. Colgate has witnessed each of their previous 3 games going over the total and there was a combined 152.0 points scored per contest. Colgate is averaging a robust 76.6 points scored per game, shot 49.7%, and made 40.9% of its 3-point attempts in Patriot League contests this season. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-06-22 | Michigan +4.5 v. Ohio State | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:30 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Michigan +4.5 (5*) Michigan is coming off an 82-71 home loss to #24 Iowa. The Wolverines have gone a perfect 6-0 SU in their last 6 following a loss in their previous game. During its last 3 contests, Michigan has averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.9% from the field. Ohio State has allowed 75.5 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 47.1% over their last 4. The #23 Buckeyes are a mediocre 6-5 SU in their last 11 games which included a home loss to last place Nebraska on 3/1. Give me Michigan plus the points. |
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03-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M -2 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 8:30 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Texas A&M -2.0 (10*) Mississippi State has gone a dismal 1-8 SU in SEC road games this season with their only win coming versus a Missouri team which has a poor 4-13 conference record and is 10-20 overall. The Bulldogs are coming off a disheartening home overtime loss to #5 Auburn that for all intent and purposes eliminated them from a possible at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. It’s hard to imagine the Bulldogs recovering emotionally from that loss just 3 days later. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 0-4 SU&ATS this season within the point-spread parameter of pick to +4.0. Texas A&M starter the season 15-2 then proceeded to lose 8 straight games. Since that time, the Aggies have rebounded to win 4 of their last 5 and includes a present 3-0 SU&ATS run. As a matter of fact, Texas A&M is coming off a 10-point road win over #25 Alabama in a game they closed as a 16.0-point underdog. During their current 3-game winning run, the Aggies scored 84.7 points per contest and shot a blistering hot 55.8% from the field. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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03-05-22 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 153.5 | 94-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Duke 6:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Over 153.5 (5*) The last 5 times these teams have met each contest went over the total and with a combined average of 171.0 points scored per game. North Carolina has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when the total was 150.0 or greater and with a combined 166.6 points scored per game. Duke is averaging 82.8 points scored per game, shot 51.2%, and made 42.6% of their 3-point shots in conference play. North Carolina has averaged 77.8points scored per game in conference play. The Tarheels have seen 8 of their last 10 games go over the total. Both teams are very good free throw shooting teams. This is a high total by college basketball standards but rightfully so. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-05-22 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State -2 | 78-71 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Kansas State 4:00 PM ET Game# 679-680 Play On: Kansas State -2.0 (5*) Oklahoma is an abysmal 1-8 SU in conference away games this season. During their previous 3 road games, Oklahoma allowed their opponents to shoot a combined 59.2% which is just atrocious defense. During those last 3 away games, the Sooners averaged a paltry 55.0 points scored per contest. Kansas State does come in on a 4-game losing streak. However, 3 of those 4 losses came by a combined 9 points. The Wildcats will be out to revenge a narrow 2-point loss at Oklahoma earlier this season. Give me Kansas State minus the small number. |
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03-05-22 | Kentucky v. Florida +5 | 71-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Florida 2:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Florida +5.0 (5*) #7 Kentucky has gone a perfect 18-0 at home this season. However, they’re a mediocre 6-5 in true road game which includes dropping its last 2 at Tennessee and Arkansas. Florida is attempting to make a late push for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They’ve won 3 of their last 4 including a home upset win over #5 Auburn. The Gators will also be out to avenge an embarrassing 21-point loss at Kentucky earlier this season. Expect a superb effort from Florida in front of a boisterous home crowd against an extremely talented opponent. Florida has won 6 of their last 7 at home and it’s lone defeat in that stretch came versus #14 Arkansas who’s won 14 of its last 15 contests. Give me Florida plus the points. |
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03-05-22 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -6.5 | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Tennessee 12;00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Tennessee -6.5 (5*) Arkansas has gone 14-1 in their last 15 games and their lone loss in that stretch was a 1-point defeat at #25 Alabama. Yet, here they are as a sizable underdog versus an opponent that’s only ranked 1 spot higher than them in the national polls. Furthermore, Arkansas defeated Tennessee 58-48 at home earlier this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot underdog in this spot. I’m not getting lured in. Tennessee Is an unbeaten 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, the Volunteers are 8-1 in their last 9 with their only loss coming versus Arkansas. The combination of senior day, revenge, and a raucous crowd will inspire Tennessee to a statement win and cover. Give me Tennessee minus the points. |
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03-04-22 | Morehead State v. Belmont -4.5 | 53-51 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Morehead State vs. Belmont 10:30 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Belmont -4.5 (5*) Morehead State (22-10) won an Ohio Valley Conference Tournament opening round game yesterday over Tennessee Tech. It must be noted, Morehead State is 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. Conversely, Belmont had an opening round bye due to a superb 15-3 conference record. Belmont (24-6) enters this postseason contest having gone 11-1 in their last 12 games with their lone defeat coming against Murray State (28-2) who is ranked #22 nationally. Give me Belmont minus the points. |
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03-04-22 | Richmond v. St Bonaventure -3.5 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure 5:00 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: St. Bonaventure -3.5 (5*) St. Bonaventure is coming off a blowout loss at VCU which halted a 7-game win streak. However, the Bonnies are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home and won by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Bonnies are also 25-10 (71%) ATS in their last 35 games as a conference home favorite. St. Bonaventure will also be out to revenge a 10-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. Give me St. Bonaventure minus the points. |
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03-04-22 | The Citadel v. East Tennessee State UNDER 152.5 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Citadel vs. ETSU 5:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Under 152.5 (5*) These teams met twice during regular season action and both games went under the total with a combined average of 146.0 points scored per contest. ETSU has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6. The average totals in those 6 contests were 152.5 and there was a combined 145.0 points scored per game. Citadel lost to their last meeting with ETSU 77-67 on 2/19. Citadel has played 6-0 to the under this season when playing with same season revenge and there was a combined 141.1 points scored per contest. This Southern Conference Tournament game will be played on a neutral court in Evansville, Indiana. Citadel has a season field goal percentage defense of 43.1 and ETSU is at 44.9. Any neutral site contest played between teams with a field goal percentage defense of 42.5 to 45.5, and each team is playing after Game 15 of their season, resulted in those contests playing 28-2 (93.3%) to the under since the 2017-2018 season began. The average total in those 30 contests was 154.9 and there was just a combined 138.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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03-03-22 | Iowa +2 v. Michigan | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Iowa +2.0 (5*) Michigan is coming off an 87-70 convincing win over in state rival Michigan State which revenge an earlier season 16-point defeat at East Lansing. The Wolverines exhibited a high degree of intensity and emotion during that victory as a result. It would be hard to imagine they can come close to matching that fever pitch tonight. Additionally, Michigan has gone 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Furthermore, keep in mind that win over Michigan State came versus a Spartans team that is now 2-6 during their previous 8 outings. Michigan State will be facing an Iowa team that has won 7 of their last 8 and each of its last 4. During the Hawkeyes current 4-game win streak they’ve won by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per contest. Iowa is also 3-0 in their last 3 road contests and won by 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Iowa will be out to revenge a 5-point home loss to Michigan in their first encounter of the season. Give me Iowa plus the points. |
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03-03-22 | Heat v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Miami @ Brooklyn 7:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Over 221.5 (10*) Miami will be playing with no rest after last night’s disheartening 1-point loss at Milwaukee. The Heat have played 9-1 to the over this season when playing on no rest. During their previous 5 games played, Miami has scored 118.0 points per contest, shot 47.3%, and made good on 38.3% of their 3-point attempts. They will be facing a Nets team that has allowed 122.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 51.2% and make an alarmingly high 42.4% of their 3-point shots over its last 5 contests. Brooklyn is coming off a 109-108 loss at Toronto and that game went under the total of 218.0. Brooklyn has played 12-2 to the over in its last 14 following an under in their previous game. Brooklyn has also permitted opponents to shoot 50%$ or better in 10 of their last 14 games. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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03-03-22 | Cincinnati v. SMU -7 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ SMU 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: SMU -7.0 (5*) SMU will be playing with big time revenge this evening versus a Cincinnati program that has defeated them in each of the last 10 meetings. One of those defeats came at Cincinnati earlier this season. However, SMU is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and with an average victory margin of 14.8 points per game. The Mustangs will be facing a Bearcats team that is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Cincinnati is also a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog while losing by 15.3 points per game. Give me SMU minus the points. |
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03-03-22 | Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 139.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Under 139.5 (5*) Michigan State is coming off an 87-70 loss at Michigan in a game that easily sailed over the total. Nevertheless, the Spartans have played 7-0 to the under during its last 7 following an over in their previous game. Those 7 contests averaged just a combined 130.0 points per game. Furthermore, 5 of those 7 contests had a total of 143.5 or less and there was only a combined 123.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Ohio State has played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games. |
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03-02-22 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 225 | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City @ Denver 9:10 PM ET Game# 597-598 Play On: Over 225.0 (5*) Oklahoma City has gone over the total in each of its last 5 and there was a combined average of 238.6 points scored per game. The Thunder allowed 123 points or more in 4 of those 5 games. Furthermore, those last 5 Oklahoma City outings averaged a robust 192 field goal attempts per game which equates to extremely fast paced contests. Denver has averaged 121.0 points scored per contest, shot 49.7%, and made 38.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Nuggets have played an attention getting 15-1 to the over in their last 16 at home when there was a total of 235.0 or less. Those 16 contests averaged a combined 232.1 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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03-02-22 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +4 | Top | 81-68 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Auburn @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Mississippi State +4.0 (10*) Auburn has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Their only 2 SU wins came against the 2 worst teams in the SEC in Missouri and Georgia. As a matter of fact, those 2 wins came by a combined 3 points and they were favorites of 14.0 and 14.5 in those contests. Conversely, Mississippi State has gone 7-1 SU in conference home games this season. The Bulldogs have shot 49% or better in each of their previous 5 at home. Give me Mississippi State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-01-22 | Providence v. Villanova -9.5 | Top | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Providence @ Villanova 6:30 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Villanova -9.5 (10*) We have the higher ranked team in #9 Providence (24-3) as close to a double-digit underdog against #11 Villanova (21-7). Just as I expected, public money has been overwhelmingly in favor of Providence. I seldom if ever go with what can be perceived as the obvious choice. This betting situation certainly qualifies in the regard. Furthermore, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers more than those voters participating in the national polls. These teams met just 2 weeks ago at Providence and Villanova walked away with a 5-point win. This is one of those times that the revenge factor means very little to me. The Friars just don’t match up well against Villanova. I’m calling for a decisive win and cover by the home favorite Wildcats. Gove me Villanova minus the points for my Big East Game of the Year”. |
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02-28-22 | UCLA v. Washington +8.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Washington 11:00 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Washington +8.5 (5*) Washington was just 3-4 in their first 7 home games. However, since conference play began the Huskies are 6-1 at home and their only loss came to #2 Arizona. Conversely, UCLA is just 2-4 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games. Washington will also be out to revenge a 26-point loss at UCLA earlier this season. UCLA is clearly the better team on paper. Nevertheless, give me Washington plus the points. |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming OVER 129.5 | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
San Diego State @ Wyoming 9:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Over 129.5 (5*) Wyoming has gone under in each of their previous 2 games. The Cowboys have played 4-0 to the over this season following back-to-back unders and there was a combined 151.5 points scored per game. Wyoming has also played 7-0 to the over at home this season whenever there was a total of 144.0 or less and there was a combined 146.4 points scored per game. San Diego State has gone over the total in their last 3 and there was a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-28-22 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -12.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Texas Tech -12.5 (5*) Texas Tech is coming off a 69-66 loss at TCU. The #12 Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by 16.0 points per contest. Texas Tech will also be out for revenge after sustaining a 62-51 loss at Kansas State earlier this year. Give me Texas Tech minus the points. |
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02-28-22 | Wolves v. Cavs +3.5 | Top | 127-122 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Cleveland +3.5 (10*) Cleveland has won 8 straight home games, so they possess plenty of betting value as an underdog in this contest. Furthermore, they allowed less than 100 points in each of their previous 7 at home. Conversely, Minnesota has lost 7 consecutive away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Timberwolves have been dominated on the glass in their last 5 by an average of 9 rebound per game. Give me Cleveland plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-27-22 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 223.5 | 123-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ LA Lakers 10:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Under 223.5 (5*) The Lakers have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 conference home games and there was only a combined 200.7 points scored per contest. New Orleans is currently a 1.5-point underdog in this matchup. The Pelicans have played 19-6 to the under as a road underdog this season and that includes 9-0 to the under if their point-spread is +6.0 or less. Those previously mentioned 9 contests averaged a combined 208.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-27-22 | Wichita State v. Memphis -8.5 | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Wichita State @ Memphis 2:30 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: Memphis -8.5 (5*) After being a major disappointment for the first half of the season, Memphis is playing like the team experts thought they would be down the final stretch of regular season action. The Tigers are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Furthermore, Memphis is 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a favorite of 3.5 or greater and with an average victory margin of 15.4 points per game. The Tigers are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference home games and won by 17.5 points per contest. Conversely, Wichita State has lost its last 4 conference away game. The Shockers also suffered a 82-64 blowout home loss to Memphis on New Year’s Day. Wichita State started the season 10-3 and has gone 4-8 since that time. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Boise State v. UNLV +1 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Boise State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: UNLV +1.0 (5*) UNLV has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. UNLV will also be out to revenge a 6-point loss at Boise State on 2/11. Boise State is 13-2 in conference play and UNLV is 9-6. Despite the Broncos being 4.0 games better than UNLV in the conference standings, the oddsmakers have virtually made this an even game. It’s seldom as easy as it looks when it comes to sports betting. Give me UNLV on Saturday. |
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02-26-22 | Grizzlies +115 v. Bulls | Top | 116-110 | Win | 115 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Memphis @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Memphis +115 (10*) Memphis enters today on a 2-game losing streak. The Grizzlies haven’t lost 3 consecutive games since 12/23/2021. Despite that mini slump, the Grizzlies are still an outstanding 22-6 in their last 28 games. Their most recent loss came at Minnesota. Memphis is an outstanding 8-1 SU this season following a road loss. These teams met once this season and Memphis walked away with a convincing 119-106 home win and covered as a sizable 9.0-point favorite. Chicago is on a 6-game win streak which includes their last 5 coming at home. Yet, the oddsmakers see this game as an even contest. That itself speaks volumes to me. Give me Memphis for a money line wager. |
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02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas @ Baylor 8:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Baylor -3.0 (5*) I may be in the minority, but I don’t think Kansas is as good as their record or ranking indicates. This is a golden opportunity for Baylor to make a huge statement and send a message to other Big 12 teams regarding the upcoming conference tournament. Baylor will be playing with big time revenge after sustaining an embarrassing 24-point loss at Kansas on 2/5. The Bears are coming off a 2-point win at Oklahoma State in a game they shot just 36%. However, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shote less than 40% and won by an average of 10.7 points per game. The oddsmakers are undeterred by Baylor’s blowout loss at Kansas based on this line and I concur with that mindset. Give me Baylor minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Florida State v. Virginia -7 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5*) These are two teams clearly headed in opposite directions. Florida State has gone any abysmal 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games. That includes going 0-5 SU&ATS during its previous 5 road contest and they lost by an average of 14.8 points per game. Virginia is coming off a narrow 4-point loss to Duke. Nonetheless, the Cavaliers are 10-0 this year following a loss which includes 7-0 ATS in the last 7 with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game. Virginia is also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite. Give me Virginia minus the points. |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
Auburn @ Tennessee 4:00 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (10*) This line jumped right off the page to me since #3 Auburn comes up as an underdog versus #17 Tennessee. Especially when considering, if this game were being played at Auburn, the Tigers would only be no more than a 3.0 or 4.0-point favorite. Since Auburn was ranked #1 for a first time in program history in late January, they’ve been dominant at home but very beatable on the road. Specifically speaking, during that time span Auburn is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS on the road. Additionally, their only 2 SU road wins in that stretch came over Missouri by 2 as a 14.0-points favorite and by 1 over Georgia as a 14.5-point chalk. Those 2 opponents are arguably the worst teams in the SEC this season. Conversely, Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. The Volunteers are #36 nationally out of 358 Division 1 teams in terms of home court advantage. Tennessee is also #3 nationally in defensive efficiency in giving up just 87.9 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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02-26-22 | Kentucky v. Arkansas -2 | 73-75 | Push | 0 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Arkansas 2:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Arkansas -2.0 (5*) Kentucky comes in with a stellar 23-5 record. Nevertheless, they’re just 1-4 SU&ATS in true road games when their point-spread is between -4.5 and +4.5. Arkansas is an outstanding 15-1 at home this season with an average victory margin of 15.1 points per game. Their most notable home wins coming over #3 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. The Razorbacks are a red-hot 12-1 SU&ATS in their last 13 games overall. Give me Arkansas minus the small number. |
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02-26-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Detroit -3 | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
IPFW @ Detroit 1:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Detroit -3.0 (5*) IPFW is 19-10 this season. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog versus a 13-13 Detroit team. Which is sure to give some public bettors a false sense of security when taking the underdog. I had Detroit on Thursday as a 1.5-point home underdog and they defeated Cleveland State (19-8) by 7. That win improved their record in lined home games to 7-0 SU&ATS this season and with a decisive victory margin of 13.0 points per contest. To use an overused cliché, “if it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Give me Detroit minus the points. |
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02-25-22 | Mavs v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Dallas @ Utah 9:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Utah -5.5 (10*) Utah has gone 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home versus Dallas. The Jazz are also 6-0 SU&ATS in their previous 6 at home and won by an average of 18.5 points per game. During that 6-game home win streak, Utah has held opponents to 99.2 points per game. Since the start of last season, Utah has gone 16-4 (80%) ATS in the month of February and outscored their opponents by 13.8 points per contest. Give me Utah minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-25-22 | 76ers v. Wolves +2.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (5*) This will be the highly anticipated debut of James Harden for the Philadelphia 76ers. As a result, the public has been pounding the 76ers in this matchup. However, this isn’t a Minnesota team that’s just going to lay down and will be highly motivate. The Timberwolves have gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 home games. That includes last night’s 119-114 home win over a very good Memphis Grizzlies (41-20) squad who currently holds down the #3 seed behind only Phoenix and Golden State in the Western Conference standings. The lack of rest won’t be as much a factor as usual considering Minnesota recently had plenty of time off due to the all-star break. Give me Minnesota plus the points. |
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02-24-22 | Warriors v. Blazers +10 | 132-95 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Portland 10:00 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Portland +10.0 (5*) Golden State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games and all were as a favorite. Additionally, the Warriors return from the all-star break having lost 4 of their last 5 straight up. Conversely, Portland is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games and they were an underdog on each occasion. The last 2 of those wins occurred against defending world champion Milwaukee and versus a Memphis team who entered that contest winners of 6 straight and 9 of their last 10. Give me Portland plus the points. |
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02-24-22 | Cleveland State v. Detroit +1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Cleveland State @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Detroit +1.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a 19-7 Cleveland State team as just a short favorite versus a 12-13 opponent. As a result, Cleveland State will undeniably be a heavily bet public side. However, going with the perceived obvious pick more times than not is the wrong decision. Besides, Detroit is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in line home games this season and with a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. The Titans average 81.9 points scored per game at home while shooting 47.0% and converting on an excellent 45.1% of their 3-point attempts. As a matter of fact, Detroit has averaged 14 makes from 3-point territory per game at home. Detroit will also be out to revenge a 2-point loss at Cleveland State earlier this season. Give me Detroit plus the small number. |
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02-23-22 | LSU v. Kentucky OVER 142 | Top | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
LSU @ Kentucky 9:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On” Over 142.0 (10*) LSU has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and that includes 4-0 over (145.5 PPG) on the road. Kentucky has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home when there was a total of 141.5 or greater and a combined 163.7 points were scored per game. Kentucky is ranked #4 national in offensive efficiency while scoring 120.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. The last 5 Kentucky games have seen a combined average of 127 field goal attempts per game which equated to an extremely fast pace by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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02-23-22 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota OVER 134.5 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Over 134.5 (5*) Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 144.7 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers have allowed opponents to shoot 48.4% and make 42.9% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. On a positive note, Minnesota has made 38.8% of their 3-point shot attempts in those 5 contests. Wisconsin has played 4-1 to the over this season in true road games when facing teams that are currently unranked and there was a combined 142.8 points scored per game. The Badgers have played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 outings and with an average of 140.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-23-22 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina +2.5 | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ South Carolina 6:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: South Carolina +2.5 (5*) South Carolina has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 while averaging 78.0 points scored per game and they shot an impressive 49.7%. The Gamecocks have held opponents to a mere 41.3% shooting this season and that’s noteworthy when it comes to today’s contest. Mississippi State is an abysmal 1-8 SU this season when facing teams that hold their opponents to 42% or less shooting on the year. Mississippi State is a terrible 1-7 SU in true road games this season and their lone win came in their previous outing by a slim 2-point margin versus Missouri who’s currently the 2nd worst team in the SEC. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Mississippi State is 0-6 ATS immediately following a conference win by 3 points or fewer and was outscored by a sizable 12.2 points per game. Give me South Carolina plus the small number. |
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02-22-22 | Villanova v. Connecticut OVER 136.5 | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Villanova @ Connecticut 8:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Over 136.5 (10*) Villanova has played 7-1 to the over in conference away games this season and there was a combined average of 147.1 points scored per contest. The Wildcats have also gone over the total in 5 of its last 6 overall with a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Villanova averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Conversely, Connecticut has played 7-1 to the over this season versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per contest and there was a combined 160.0 points scored per game. During the first meeting of the season, Villanova walked away with an 85-74 home win and that contest easily sailed over the total of 128.5. The adjustment has been made to their 2nd matchup, but it still won’t prevent this game from surpassing the number. Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager. |
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02-21-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +5 | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: Oklahoma State +5.0 (5*) Oklahoma State is 3-0 in their last 3 and 5-1 during its previous 6 at home. The Cowboys have been extremely efficient offensively while shooting 47% or better in 7 of its last 8 games. Since 2019, Oklahoma State is 10-0 SU at home in February. As good as Baylor is, they’ve gone a disappointing 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. The Bears also lost to Oklahoma State on their home floor earlier this season in a game they were a substantial 14.0-point favorite. Give me Oklahoma State plus the points. |
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02-21-22 | West Virginia v. TCU OVER 132.5 | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
West Virginia @ TCU 8:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: Over 132.5 (5*) West Virginia has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 away games and there was a combined 144.7 points scored per contest. West Virginia is coming off a 71-58 home loss to Kansas and that contest went under 147.5. The Mountaineers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under. TCU has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home. |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -5.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Ohio State -5.5 (5*) Ohio State is coming off a 75-62 home loss ti Iowa on Saturday. It was the Buckeyes 1st home loss of the season. Ohio State is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Additionally, Ohio State will be playing with revenge stemming from a 67-51 loss at Indiana earlier this season. The Buckeyes have made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Indiana started the season 16-5. However, they’ve gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 while averaging a mere 59.0 points scored per game and a combined 37.8% shooting. The Hoosiers are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at Ohio State. Give me Ohio State minus the points. |
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02-21-22 | UTEP v. Middle Tennessee -5 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee State 7:00 Game# 865-866 Play On: Middle Tennessee State -5.0 (5*) MTSU is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Furthermore, the Blue Raiders 8-0 SU&ATS in their previous 8 as a favorite of 8.5 or less with an average victory margin of 10.9 points per game. UTEP has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to shoot 51% or better. That’s not good news since they’ll be facing an MTSU team which has averaged 76.6 points scored per game, shot 49.8% from the field, made 41.2% of their 3-point attempts, and converted on 81.1% of its free throws over their previous 5 contests. Give me Middle Tennessee State minus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Colorado v. Stanford OVER 134 | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Over 134.0 (5*) Colorado has gone over the total in their last 4 and there was a combined 148.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, Colorado averaged 81.7 points scored per game, shot 50.5% from the field, and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point shot attempts. Stanford has played 3-0 to the over in its last 3 when the total was 137.5 or less and there were 148.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-19-22 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Vanderbilt -3.5 (10*) Vanderbilt was very competitive in road losses at #2 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. They covered the Tennessee game and fell just short in a 14-point loss to Auburn as a 13.5-point underdog. The Commodores return home where they’ve won 3 straight and a much-improved team than we saw earlier this season. Conversely, Texas A&M started the season 15-2 and then since that time they’ve gone 1-8. Their lone victory in that sequence came by 1 at home over Florida. These are two teams heading in opposite directions. Give me Vanderbilt minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-19-22 | Tennessee v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-58 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Arkansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Arkansas -2.5 (5*) Tennessee is an unbeaten 0-4 at home this season but an uninspiring 5-6 SU in games played away from Knoxville. Arkansas is 14-1 at home this season and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6. Arkansas has held 9 of their last 11 opponents to shoot less than 40% and held them to 60 points or fewer 7 times. Give me Arkansas minus the small number. |
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02-19-22 | Auburn v. Florida +3.5 | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Florida 2:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Florida +3.5 (5*) We have unranked Florida (16-10) as just a 3.0-point underdog versus #2 Auburn (24-2) who is near perfect if not for sustaining 2 overtime losses. They’re begging you to take Auburn as a short favorite in this spot but I’m declining the invitation. Florida is in desperate need of a resume building win over a top opponent and the chance won’t get much glorious than this one. The Gators have won their last 5 at home. Furthermore, this will be the 4th road game for Auburn since they were ranked #1 for a first time in school history. They looked anything but dominant in the previous 3 while escaping with a 1-point win at Missouri and 2-point victory at Georgia. Those are arguably the 2 of the worst SEC teams this season. The Tigers also lost in overtime at Arkansas. Give me Florida plus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Alabama v. Kentucky -6.5 | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Kentucky 1:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Kentucky -6.5 (5*) #4 Kentucky will be in a sour mood after suffering a 13-point loss at Tennessee in their previous outing. The Wildcats return to the comforts of Adolph Rupp Arena where they’re 15-0 this season and outscoring opponents by 24.5 points per game. #25 Alabama has gone just 2-5 SU in true road games this season which included terrible losses to Missouri as a 14.0-point favorite and as a 14.5-point chalk at Georgia. We know that Alabama can beat of the best of the best when considering they have wins over 5 teams currently ranked in the Top 25. However, the only thing consistent about the Crimson Tide is their inconsistently. Give me Kentucky minus the points. |
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02-19-22 | Texas Tech v. Texas -3 | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Texas 12:30 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Texas -3.0 (5*) Texas is a terrific 15-1 at home this season and outscored their opponents by a decisive average of 19.8 points per game. Texas Tech is 16-0 at home this season but they’re only 2-5 SU in true road games. As a matter of fact, the Red Raiders have scored 60 points or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games. That can be highly problematic when facing a Texas team which is allowing a mere 50.6 points per game at home. Texas will also be playing with big time revenge after suffering a 13-point loss at Texas Tech. I’m betting the Longhorns even the score in this one by a comfortable margin. |
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02-18-22 | Ohio v. Kent State -120 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Ohio @ Kent State 7:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: Kent State -120 (5*) Kent State comes in on a red-hot 7-0 SU&ATS run in which it outscored those opponents by a sizable 10.6 points per game and they shot an impressive 48% or better in 6 of those contests. Additionally, Kent State has shot a blistering hot 43.6% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. At the time of this writing, Kent State is a 1.0-point favorite over Ohio. The Golden Flashes are also an extremely profitable 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS this season when their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5. Furthermore, Kent State is coming off a 72-59 win at Toledo in a game they closed as an 8.5-point underdog. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Kent State has gone an unbeaten 9-0 SU following a straight up underdog win. Speaking of that Toledo win, it completed a 2-0 series sweep this season versus the Rockets. Ironically enough, 2 of the 4 losses for Ohio this season came versus Toledo. Kent State will also be playing with revenge stemming from an 80-72 loss at Ohio earlier this season. The table will turn in this matchup. Give me Kent State on the money line. |
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02-17-22 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 229.5 | 111-142 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston @ LA Clippers 10:40 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Over 229.5 (5*) Houston will be playing with no rest following last night’s 124-121 loss at Phoenix. This will also be their 3rd game in 4 days. Houston has played 7-1 to the over this season when playing with no rest and 8-1 to the over when playing its 3rd game in 4 days. Furthermore, Houston has played 9-1 to the over during its last 10 overall while allowing 120 points or more in 8 of those contests. Additionally, the Rockets have allowed each of their last 10 opponents to shoot 51.2% or better. The Clippers are coming off a 103-96 loss at Phoenix in a game that went under the total of 222.0. However, Los Angeles has gone over in 4 straight after playing under in their previous contest, and there was a combined 236.3 points scored per game. The Clippers are also 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home and with a combined 241.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-17-22 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington +3.5 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Towson State @ UNC-Wilmington 6:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: NC-Wilmington +3.5 (10*) NC-Wilmington continues to not get much respect from oddsmakers despite going 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 games versus Division 1 opponents. Furthermore, the Seawolves have gone a superb 9-0 ATS and 8-1 SU in their last 9 as an underdog. Wilmington is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in lined home games this season, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Give me UNC-Wilmington plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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