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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-18 | Baylor v. Iowa State -14.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Iowa State -14.5 (5*) Baylor is coming off last Saturday’s 35-31 win over Oklahoma and they did so as a 6.5-point home underdog. That victory improved the Bears season record to 5-4 (.555). Conversely, Iowa State is coming off last week’s 27-3 win at Kansas which made them 5-3 (.625) this season. Any home favorite (Iowa State) of 4.0 to 24.0 points that’s coming off a conference win by 13 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent (Baylor) coming off a conference home underdog of 6.5-points or more upset win in which they scored 10.0 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .181 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 42-2 ATS (95.4%) since 1985. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | North Carolina v. Duke -10.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Duke 12:20 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Duke -10.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a 20-12 upset win at Miami and did so as a sizable 9.0-point underdog. That victory improved the Blue Devils season record to 6-3 (.666). North Carolina will be out to revenge last season’s 27-17 home loss to Duke. The Tar Heels currently have a miserable 1-7 record. Any conference home favorite (Duke) of 10.0 to 23.0-points that’s coming an underdog of 8.5-points or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .375 or better, versus an opponent (North Carolina) with a losing record that’s playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1988. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -16.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: Missouri -16.5 (5*) Missouri is coming off last Saturday’s 38-17 win at Florida. The Tigers have now gone 12-10 during their previous 22 games. Vanderbilt is coming off a 45-31 win at Arkansas in their last outing. The Commodores are 9-13 in their last 22 games. These results and 22-game records fit nicely into a highly successful college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home favorite (Missouri) that’s coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, and they’ve won 12 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an opponent coming off an away game in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, and they (Vanderbilt) have won 15 or fewer of their last 22 games, resulted in those home favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2012. Those home teams also won all those 18 contests straight up and did so by a substantial average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers -3 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Pittsburgh 8:20 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0 (5*) Carolina has performed substantially better at home than on the road through their first 8 games of the season. The Panthers are 5-0 at home and averaged 31.6 points scored per game in those contests. Contrarily, they’ve gone an uninspiring 1-2 on the road and averaged just 20.7 points scored per game. The dip in scoring on the road has much to do with losing the time of possession battle by a wide margin more than offensive production itself. During those 3 away games opponents have held a 33:28 to 26:32 time of possession edge over Carolina. Carolina is coming off last Sunday’s 42-28 home win over Tampa Bay. They now have the unenviable task of going on the road and playing on just 3 days rest against a quality opponent. NFL ATS betting history has proven that teams have failed miserably in this scenario, and especially so as a non-division underdog. Pittsburgh has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during its last 4 games. Furthermore, during the Steelers previous 3 games, the Steelers have a significant time of possession edge of 34:32 to 25:25. The Steelers are coming off an impressive AFC North Division 23-16 win at Baltimore last Sunday in a game which wasn’t nearly as close as the final score may indicate. Any NFL Thursday non-division home favorite (Pittsburgh) that’s playing after Game 8 of their season, and they allowed 36 points or fewer in the previous game, versus an opponent (Carolina) which scored 10 points or more in its last contest, resulted in those home favorites going 33-6 ATS (84.6%) since 1980. If they were home favorites of 6.5-points or less, they improved to 9-0 ATS and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -17 | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: NC State -17.0 (5*) NC State quarterback Ryan Finley and the Wolfpack offense should have a field day against a porous Wake Forest defense. During 5 ACC games this season the Demon Deacons defense has allowed 43.6 points and 532.0 yards per contest. Wake Forest is 0-4 SU&ATS this season versus teams that currently have a winning record and lost by 28.3 points per game. Conversely, NC State has faced just 2 teams that currently have a losing record and was 2-0 SU&ATS while winning by 26.5 points per game. Wake Forest is coming last Saturday’s 24-17 home loss to Syracuse and they failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped the Demon Deacons season record to 4-5. Conversely, NC State is coming off last week’s 47-28 home win over Florida State in a game they covered as a 9.5-point favorite. The combination of these results in addition to the Wake Forest season record creates a never lost college football ATS betting angle illustrated below. Any conference favorite of 25.0 points or less that’s coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they scored 24 points or more and allowed 28 or fewer, versus an opponent with a losing record and who’s coming off a conference home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 12.0-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous 29.1 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-18 | Raptors v. Kings +8.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Sacramento +8.5 (5*) Toronto is coming off Monday’s 124-11 win at Utah and they did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Tonight will be the finale of a 4-game in 6 day road trip for Toronto and they be facing a Kings team playing on 2 days of rest. Sacramento has got off to an encouraging 6-4 start to the season despite playing 7 of those 10 games on the road. As a matter of fact, the Kings are an impressive 5-1 SU&ATS through its previous 5 games. Any non-conference underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points who’s facing an opponent (Toronto) that’s coming off a road underdog straight up win, resulted in those underdogs going 67-27 ATS (71.3%) since the start of the 2014-2015 season. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-18 | Spurs v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 88-95 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
San Antonio @ Miami 7:35 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 217.0 (10*) Miami enters tonight with a 4-5 record and they’ve seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 236.2 points scored per game. San Antonio is coming off a 117-10 home loss to Orlando which dropped their season record to 6-3 (.666). Nevertheless, that game easily went over the total of 207.0. Any team (San Antonio) with a total of 210.0 or greater that went over the total in their previous game by 18.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Miami) with a losing record, resulted in those contests going 43-16 (72.9%) over the total since the 2014/2015 season. The average total in those 69 contests was 218.1 and there were a combined 223.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-06-18 | Bucks v. Blazers +1.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Portland +1.5 (5*) Portland is 7-3 this season and has outscored their 10 opponents by an average of 9.4 points per game. Milwaukee is coming off a 144-109 blowout win over Sacramento in their previous game. Any home team (Portland) that’s averaging outscoring their opponents by 9.0 or more points per game, and they’re facing a team (Milwaukee) that scored 115 points or more during its previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 27-3 (90%) straight up throughout the past 5 seasons. Furthermore, this precise NBA straight up betting angle is also 3-0 this season and 51-13 (79.7%) since 1996. Keep in mind, when considering what this current point-spread is, the straight up results on this betting angle take on added significance. Bet on Portland for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-18 | Duke v. Kentucky UNDER 157.5 | 118-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Duke vs. Kentucky 9:30 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Under 157.5 (5*) Duke is a very talented young team. However, they have no returning starters from last year’s club that went 29-8. Kentucky was 26-11 a season ago. This game will be played at Bakers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana and provides neither team with a home court advantage. Any neutral court team (Duke) with a total of 150.0 to 159.5 that has 1 or fewer starters returning from a season ago, and both teams has winning records during their previous seasons, resulted in those games going 23-4 (85.2%) under the total since 1997. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-18 | Golden Knights +115 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Las Vegas +115 (10*) The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-0 win at Pittsburgh on Saturday and are now a perfect 6-0 on the road this season. However, they’ve gone just 3-5 at home and that includes losing 4 of its last 5 at the Air Canada Centre. Conversely, Las Vegas is coming off a 3-0 home win over Carolina in their previous game. Any NHL money line road underdog of +100 to +150 that’s coming off a home shutout win, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a road win, resulted in those road underdogs going 25-9 (73.5%) since 1997. Bet on Las Vegas as a money line underdog for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-05-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Denver -1.0 (5*) Denver is off to an outstanding 8-1 start to the season and has outscored their opponents by an average of 9.6 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve won all 5 of their home games and did so by a decisive average margin of 12.8 points per contest. The Nuggets are coming off Saturday’s 103-88 home win over Utah. Denver is 21-4 at home the past 2 seasons following a win in their previous game. Any team with a +9.0 or better point per game differential, and they allowed 90 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 69-15 (82.1%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering the current point-spread in this game, the straight up results in this betting angle take on added meaning. Bet on Denver for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys UNDER 40.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Dallas 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 40.5 (5*) Tennessee has scored 20 points or less in 6 of their first 7 games. The only time they exceeded that amount was in a 26-23 overtime win against Philadelphia and clinched that victory by scoring a touchdown. Conversely, the Titans have allowed 23 points or less in each of their previous 6 games. Tennessee has gone under the total in its last 3 contests and there was just a combined 28.3 points scored per game. During that low scoring stretch, the Titans scored 12 points or fewer on every occasion while also giving up 13 points or less in each instance. They’ve also gone under in 4 consecutive regular season road contests and there was a combined 20.0 points scored in each game. Dating back to last season, Dallas has gone under the total in 9 of its previous 11 games. The Cowboys have gone under in 4 straight contests when they’re a favorite and the total is 43.0 or less. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 29.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +2.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
LA Rams @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an impressive 30-20 win at Minnesota last Sunday night. That marked their 6th straight win following a loss to Tampa Bay in their season opener. The Saints are also a very good 21-11 during their previous 32 games overall. The Rams remained unbeaten following last week’s 29-27 home win over Green Bay. Any home team (New Orleans) that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, and they’ve won 24 game or fewer of their previous 32 contests. versus an opponent (LA Rams) who’s coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 70-9 (88.6%) straight up since 1983. Considering the home team is an underdog in this spot, the straight up results in this betting angle take on an enormous amount more significance. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Seattle 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) The Chargers are coming off a 20-19 win over Tennessee in their previous game, and it improved their record to 5-2 (.714). Dating back to last season, they’ve gone under the total in 5 straight games after scoring 21 or less and allowing 19 or fewer point in their previous contest. Those 5 contests averaged a combined average of just 34.4 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 28-14 win at Detroit in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. That win improved the Seahawks season record to 4-3 (.571). The Seattle defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Seattle has gone under the total in 5 straight games this season when the number is 49.5 or less. Any team (Seattle) playing after Game 7 of their season who’s coming off a straight up underdog win by 14 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .777 or worse, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse and they allowed 17 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those games going 24-1 (96%) under the total since 2014. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Lions +6 v. Vikings | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Detroit +6.0 (5*) Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s disappointing 28-14 home loss to Seattle. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-4 (.428). However, the Lions have gone 4-0 in their last 4 division away games and ironically 2 of those wins transpired at Minnesota. The Lions front office traded away leading wide receiver Golden Tate to Philadelphia on Tuesday. The Lions players should be motivated by the fact that their own front office personnel don’t consider them a legitimate playoff threat based on this transaction. Minnesota is coming off last Sunday night’s 30-20 home loss to New Orleans and they failed to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped the Vikings home record to 2-2-1. Their only 2 home wins have come against Arizona and San Francisco who’ve combined to go 4-13 this season. They also lost to Buffalo (2-6) as a 16.0-point home favorite earlier this season. Any division away underdog of 2.5 to 6.0-points (Detroit) that’s coming off a non-division game, and their facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a non-division home underdog ATS loss, resulted in those away underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1993. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 47 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 47.0 (5*) The last 4 times these AFC North rivals have met in Baltimore each of those games went under the total. Pittsburgh has gone 20-5 under the total during their previous 25 away games and that includes 16-1 under when there’s a total of 42.0 to 48.0. Conversely, Baltimore is 9-2 under the total in their last 11 division home games when there’s a total of 41.0 or greater and that includes 5-0 under during the previous 5. Pittsburgh is coming off last Sunday’s 33-18 home win over Cleveland. Meanwhile, Baltimore sustained a 36-21 loss at Carolina in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. Any home team (Baltimore) with a total of 42.0 to 51.0 that’s playing after game 4 of their season, and who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10-points or more which dropped their season win percentage to .500 or worse, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) who allowed 13 points or more in their previous contest, resulting in those games going 25-2 (92.6%) under the total since 2009. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | California +10 v. Washington State | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show | |
California @ Washington State 10:45 PM ET Game# 373-374 Play On: California +10.0 (5*) California has won its last 2 games played against Washington 12-10 and Oregon State 49-7. Washington State is coming off a thrilling come from behind 41-38 win at Stanford last Saturday. The combination of these previously mentioned results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any road team that’s coming off 2 straight up wins in a row and they allowed 14 points or fewer on each occasion, versus an opponent that allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those road teams going 62-22 ATS (73.8%) since 2008. The road teams were also an even better 67-17 (79.8%) straight up in those contests. Considering this college football betting angle sides with the double-digit road underdog in this contest, the straight up results take on greater relevance. Bet on California plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | 29-0 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 8 m | Show | |
Alabama @ LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 419-420 Play On: LSU +14.5 (5*) Obviously, Alabama is been completely dominant in obliterating their opponents this season. The Crimson Tide has won all 8 of their games this season by 22 points or more. However, this will be the first time this season they’ll face a ranked opponent on the road. Their previous 3 road wins have come over Ole Miss, Arkansas. Those 3 opponents have combined to go a dismal 2-12 this in SEC games. LSU is coming off impressive conference wins over Mississippi State and Georgia during their previous 2 games. Those 2 opponents have combined to go 12-4 this season. Those wins improved LSU to 7-1 this season, and they’re currently #3 in the college football playoff rankings. Additionally, the home underdog Bayou Bengals are a terrific 58-8 at home since 2009. The Tigers defense has yielded just 15.1 points per game through their first 8 contests. Any college football home underdog of 14.5 points or more who’s coming off conference win in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2001. Furthermore, those double-digit home underdogs pulled the outright upset in 8 of those 17 games. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern v. UL-Monroe +7.5 | 25-44 | Win | 100 | 48 h 33 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ UL-Monroe 3:00 PM ET Game# 377-378 Play On: UL-Monroe +7.5 (5*) Georgia Southern is coming off a huge 34-14 upset win over Appalachian State and did so as an 11.0-point home underdog. That win improved their record to 7-1 (.875). Conversely, UL-Monroe is coming off conference wins over Coastal Carolina and Texas State during its previous 2 games played. Any college football home team (UL-Monroe) that’s coming off conference wins during its previous 2 games played, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a home underdog upset win by 34 points or less, and they (Georgia Southern) possess a win percentage of .888 or worse, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 96-12 (88.9%) straight up since 1992. By the way, if those home teams were a pick or underdog they went 10-0 ATS and 9-1 straight up. Bet on UL-Monroe plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Maryland 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Maryland +3.0 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a tough 3-game stretch in which they went 2-1 against Penn State, Michigan, and Purdue. Furthermore, following Saturday’s game at Maryland they’ll be hosting Ohio State and will be presented with an opportunity to squelch the Buckeyes national championship aspirations. With that in mind, this shapes up for a potential flat sport for a Spartans team which has already endured 3 losses this season. Maryland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Granted the competition in those wins was less than stellar. However, they defeated Minnesota, Rutgers, and Illinois by an average of 28.7 points per game. The Terrapins also upset #15 Texas earlier this season and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Maryland enters this week with a solid 5-3 record. The Terrapins racked up 712 yards of total offense in last Saturday 63-33 home win over Illinois. Maryland is averaging 377.6 yards of total offense per game and they’ll be facing a Michigan State defense which is yielding 353.2 yards per contest throughout its first 8 games. Which leads us to a powerful college football betting angle illustrated below which heavily favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any college football home underdog playing after Game 6 of their season that averages 330 to 390 yards of total offense per game, and they amassed 475 yards or more of total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that surrenders 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home underdogs going 39-4 (90.7%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-02-18 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -7 | 23-13 | Loss | -114 | 33 h 19 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Virginia 7:30 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5) Virginia has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games. That current win streak has improved their season record to 6-2 (.750) and catapulted them into a Top 25 national ranking. The Cavaliers are also 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season and they won by an average of 16.5 points per game. Their most recent win came in last Saturday’s 31-21 victory over North Carolina and they covered as an 8.0-point home favorite. Virginia will be playing with big time revenge after having lost 3 straight games to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is coming off a 54-45 home win over Duke last Saturday and they did so as a 2.5-point home underdog. That win evened the Panthers season record at 4-4. The Panthers defense has been shaky all season long and they yielded 619 yards in that win over Duke. The Panthers stop unit has also allowed 37 points or more in each of their previous 4 ACC games. Any home favorite of 6.5 to 19.0-points that’s playing with revenge and they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games, and they possess a win percentage of .875 or worse and is coming off a home favorite ATS win during their previous game, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) coming off a SU&ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-31-18 | Pistons v. Nets -2.5 | 119-120 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Brooklyn -2.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a very tough loss at Boston last night. The Pistons now face perennial Eastern Conference doormat a day late and have another Eastern Conference quality team in Philadelphia up next. Last night’s loss dropped Detroit’s season record to 4-2. However, it must be noted, that 3 of the 4 Detroit wins have come by 3 points or less, and the other was 7-point victory. Brooklyn will enter tonight’s game with an uninspiring 2-5 record. It’s very important to keep in mind, the Nets went a profitable 5-2 ATS in those contests, and that includes 2-0 ATS at home. This looks to be a prime spot to take the Nets at home. Bet on Brooklyn plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-30-18 | Flyers v. Ducks -115 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Anaheim 10:05 ET Game# 17-18 Play On: Anaheim -115 (5*) Something must give in this battle of 2 ice cold teams. Anaheim has lost 5 straight and allowed 3 goals or more on each of those occasions. On a bright note, the Ducks #1 goaltender John Gibson has compiled a sparkling .937 save percentage in 10 starts this season. Conversely, Philadelphia has lost 3 straight and all those losses came by 3 goals or more. As a matter of fact, the Flyers were outscored in those games by an aggregate score of 13-2. The Flyers #1 goaltender Brian Elliott has posted a poor .886 save percentage in 8 starts this season. Any money line favorite that’s allowed 3 goals or more in each of their previous 5 games, versus an opponent which is coming off 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more on each occasion, resulted in those money line favorites going 29-3 (90.6%) since 1996. Those 32 favorites average money line was -135. Bet on Anaheim for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-30-18 | Wizards v. Grizzlies UNDER 218 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Washington @ Memphis 8:05 ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Under 218.0 (10*) This is a Memphis Grizzlies team which has allowed 97 points or fewer in each of their previous 3 games. Since last season, Memphis has gone 10-1 under at home when there’s a total of 210.0 to 219.5 and there was a combined average of 205.6 points scored per game. Washing has allowed 55 points or more during the 1st half in each of their first 5 games this season. The Wizards have started this season a disappointing 1-5 and are being outscored by an average of 10.3 points per game. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any road team with a total of 210.0 to 219.5 that’s being outscored by an average of 9.0 or more points per game, and they allowed 55 points or more during the 1st half of each of its last 2 contests, resulted in those games going 27-8 (77.1%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those 35 contests was 214.0 and there were a combined 206.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills +14.5 | 25-6 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Buffalo +14.5 (5*) Buffalo is coming off an embarrassing 37-5 loss at Indianapolis. That defeat dropped the Bills season record to 2-5. Conversely, New England is coming off last Sunday’s 38-31 win at Chicago in which they covered as a 3.0-point favorite. That victory improved New England to 5-2. Bovada currently has Buffalo as a 14.5-point home underdog. The combination of both team’s records, what occurred in each of their games last Sunday, and the current point-spread made for some very interesting ATS findings that all support tonight’s home underdog. I’ve researched NFL ATS histories extensively is they’re applicable to tonight’s game. Every query that I inputted into my NFL handicapping software heavily favored Buffalo covering this game. Here are a few examples of such illustrated below. Since 2004, any Monday night NFL home underdogs of 9.5-points or greater that’s facing an opponent with a winning record has gone 7-0 ATS. Those sizable Monday night dogs also won 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Since 1980, any away favorite of 3.0-points or more that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored and allowed 30 points or more, resulted in those away favorites going 0-5 ATS, and they lost 3 of those 5 contests straight up. Since 1995, NFL home underdogs of 10.5 to 14.5-points have gone a very profitable 51-25 ATS (67.1%). If those home underdogs are coming off a straight up loss by 4 points or more, and they have at least 1 win on the season, versus an opponent coming an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win, those home underdogs of 10.5 to 14.5-points improve to 14-0 ATS. Furthermore, 4 of those 14 underdogs won the game straight up. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-29-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +2.5 | 109-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Milwaukee +2.5 (5*) This is unequivocally the best matchup on Monday’s NBA card with both teams sporting perfect 6-0 records. However. It must be noted, Toronto has played 5 of their first 6 games at home and their only road win came against 1-4 Washington. Conversely, after a narrow 1-point win in their season opener, Milwaukee has beaten its last 5 opponents by 11 points or more on each occasion. The explosive scoring Bucks (119.3 PPG) will be facing a Toronto team which is allowing a sizable 106.0 points per game thus far. Any home team that’s won their previous 4 games played and did so by 10 points or greater on each occasion, versus an opponent that’s allowing 99.0 points or more per game, resulted in those home teams going an outstanding 26-2 (92.9%) during the past 5 seasons. The home teams outscored the visitors in those 28 contests by a decisive average of 13.2 points per game. Considering this betting angle supports the home underdog, those straight up results takes on an added significance. Bet on Milwaukee plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | Top | 27-29 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Green Bay @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -8.5 (10*) This is largest underdog role that Aaron Rogers has seen since he’s been Green Bay’s starting quarterback. Hence, the public has been hammering the sportsbooks with Packers bets like they’re stealing money from an open safe. The Packers enter this week with a mediocre 3-2-1 record and they’ve gone just 14-18 during their last 32 away games. The Rams are a perfect 7-0 thus far and are coming off last Sunday’s 39-10 win at San Francisco while easily covering as a 9.0-point favorite. Any undefeated NFL non-division home favorite (LA Rams) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they won straight up by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Green Bay) with at least 1 loss, and they’ve won 14 or less of its last 32 away games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive margin of 21.0 points per game. Bet on the LA Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +3 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Baltimore @ Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Carolina +3.0 (5*) This is a Carolina Panthers team which has gone 26-6 during its last 32 home games. The Panthers are coming off a stirring come from behind 21-17 win at Philadelphia and overcame a 17-0 fourth quarter deficit in that contest. That victory improved the Panthers season record to 4-2 (.666). Baltimore is coming off a gut wrenching 24-23 home loss to New Orleans. Ravens placekicker Justin Tucker missed an extra point in the final minute that would’ve tied the game, and it was his first ever point after touchdown miss in his illustrious career. Baltimore now enters this week with a mediocre 4-3 (.571) record. This is also a Ravens team which has gone 4-13 straight up in their last 17 non-division away games. Any home team (Carolina) which is playing before game 11 of their season that possesses a win percentage of less than .800, and they won 14 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent (Baltimore) coming off a home loss, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those home teams going 15-1 SU&ATS since 2011. If those home teams were an underdog they improved to 5-0 SU&ATS during that exact time frame. Bet on Carolina plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants +1.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ NY Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: NY Giants +1.5 (5*) Washing is coming off 2 straight up home underdog wins in their last 2 games against Dallas and Carolina. Those victories improved their season record to 4-2 (.666). The Giants are better than their 1-6 record indicates, and they’ll be out to prove it on Sunday. The Giants have gone 13-19 during their last 32 home games. Any home team (Giants) with at least 1 win on the season and they’ve won 13 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent coming off home underdog straight up wins in each of its last 2 games played, and they (Washington) possess a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those home teams going 32-3 (91.4%) straight up since 1982. Considering this current point-spread, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on the Giants for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Browns +8 v. Steelers | 18-33 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Cleveland +8.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off last week’s 26-23 road loss at Tampa Bay. That makes the Browns 0-3 on the road this season and of those defeats came by exactly a 3-point margin. These teams met on opening day in Cleveland and it resulted in a 21-21 tie. The Browns covered that contest as an underdog and have now gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Pittsburgh. The Steelers enter this week sporting a 3-2-1 (.600) record. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5 to 8.5-points (Cleveland) that’s coming off a non-division road loss, and they possess a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1987. Those road underdogs also won 9 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars +3.5 | 24-18 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville 9:30 AM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Jacksonville +3.5 (5*) Jacksonville’s offense has been anemic during their current 3-game losing streak. The Jags have scored 14 points or fewer in each of those 3 losses, and that includes exactly 7 points during apiece during its last 2 contests. This is the 7th consecutive season that Jacksonville has played in England. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their last 3 trips abroad and have scored 30 points or greater in each occasion. Philadelphia continues to suffer from a Super Bowl hangover after last Sunday’s 21-17 home loss to Carolina. The Eagles blew a 17-0 fourth quarter lead in the contests and now finds themselves 3-4. Any NFL team that’s +4.0 to -4.0 (Jacksonville) who scored 9 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, and they have at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those teams going 16-1 ATS (94.1%) since 2009. Bet on Jacksonville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers -139 | 9-6 | Loss | -139 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Rodriguez) @ Dodgers (Hill) 8:09 PM ET Any money line home favorite of -125 to -170 that has a team batting average of .240 or worse throughout their last 20 games, and their bullpen pitched 8.0 innings or more in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 89-28 (76.1%) since 2014. The average money line for those 117 favorites was -145.4 and they outscored the underdogs by an average of 2.2 runs per game. Bet on the Dodgers for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-27-18 | Navy v. Notre Dame -23.5 | Top | 22-44 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Navy vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -23.5 (10*) The only team that will prevent Notre Dame from winning this game by 4 touchdowns or more is Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a bye week and look for them to put forth an inspired effort after barely surviving against Pittsburgh in their previous game. As a matter of fact, that narrow 20-14 win as a 20.0-point home favorite may have been the worst thing for Navy. I look for Notre Dame to be a focused and hungry team in this nationally televised primetime matchup. This has been a down year for Navy this far and look for a continuation of just that on Saturday night. The Midshipmen won’t be able to match the physicality of Notre Dame’s offensive and defensive line. They’ll be worn out by the time 2nd half action rolls around. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -2.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Stanford 7:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*) Washington State is coming off an emotional home win over 34-20 home win over a very good Oregon Ducks team. That victory improved their season record to 6-1 and catapulted to them to #14 in the country. Stanford enters this matchup with a 5-2 record and ranked #24 in the land. Yet, it’s the lower seeded Cardinal that’s the favorite in this spot. Since 2008, Stanford has gone 60-9 (.870) at home and that includes an extremely profitable 43-26 ATS (62.3%). The Cougars are in for a letdown while Stanford keeps itself alive in the PAC-12 title chase with a win. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Purdue v. Michigan State -1 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET Game# 187-188 Play On: Michigan State -1.0 (5*) Both teams enter this week with identical 4-3 (.571) records. Purdue is coming off a shocking 49-20 upset of then #3 and undefeated Ohio State while doing so as a 12.5-point home underdog. Any home favorite of 14.5-points or less that possesses a winning record and is playing after Game 2 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record and they’re coming off a home underdog of 7.0-points or greater straight up win in which they scored 17 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2009. Those 13 home favorites won by an average of 22.7 points per game. Bet on Michigan State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Clemson v. Florida State +17 | 59-10 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Florida State +17.0 (5*) Since 2010, Florida State has gone 48-10 at home, and Saturday will be just the 4th time during this stretch that they’ll be an underdog in Tallahassee. The Seminoles have won 3 of their last 4 and their only loss in that sequence was 28-27 at Miami in a game they squandered a 17-point second half lead. Clemson handed NC State their first loss of the season last week during a 41-7 home blowout win. I like this game to be much close than expected. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Red Sox (Porcello) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 8:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The Dodgers Walker Buehler has seen just 1 of his 13 home starts go over the total this season. His brilliant 1.67 ERA and 0.77 WHIP at Dodger Stadium in 2018 was a major contributor to those low scoring games. Buehler will have to be very good tonight when considering the Dodgers offensive struggles of late. During their last 7 games, the Dodgers are averaging a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing while amassing a mere .564 OPS. The Dodgers will be facing veteran right-handed starter Rick Porcello this evening. Porcello will be working on a plentiful 8 days of rest. Porcello has witnessed all his 4 starts against National League teams go under the total, and he collected a stellar 2.74 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in those appearances. Both bullpen staffs have been very good of late. Boston relievers have posted a 2.56 ERA over their last 7 games. The Dodgers bullpen has gathered a super 1.65 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-26-18 | Bucks v. Wolves +2 | 125-95 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Minnesota 8:05 ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Minnesota +2.0 (5*) Minnesota has lost all 3 of their road games this season. However, the Timberwolves are 2-0 at home. Minnesota has lost 2 of its last 3 overall. They’ve gone a sparkling 28-7 straight up after losing 2 of their last 3 games since the start of last season. Furthermore, Minnesota has gone under the total in each of its last 2 games, and they’re an extremely profitable 11-1 ATS at home since last season following 2 or more games in a row that stayed under the total while outscoring opponents by an average of 14.0 points per contest. Bet on Minnesota plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans -7.5 | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 55 h 39 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game#103-104 Play On: Texans -7.5 (5*) Houston is coming off a 20-7 win at Jacksonville this past Sunday. After losing their first 3 games of the season, Houston has now won 4 straight games. The Dolphins are coming off a 32-21 loss to Detroit and failed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 4-3 (.571). Since 10/26/2017, Miami has gone a dismal 0-7 ATS as a road underdog when facing an opponent with at least 1 loss. They lost those 7 contests by a substantial 21.0 points per game. Miami will once again go with backup quarterback Brock Osweiller on Thursday. Osweiller is a terrible 2-9 ATS in his career team starts as a road underdog. Any non-division home favorite of 2.5 to 11.0-points (Texans), versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 31.0 points or less, and they (Dolphins) possess a win percentage of better than .500 but worse than .666, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 25-0 ATS since 1983. The average victory margin in those 25 contests was 16.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers +133 v. Red Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Ryu) @ Red Sox (Price) 8:09 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Dodgers +133 (5*) David Price is coming off his best postseason start of his career in Boston’s ALCS clinching win over Houston. However, the fact remains, Price’s overall body of work during 12 career postseason starts has been extremely shaky, and his teams have gone a dismal 2-10 when he’s their starting pitcher. The Dodgers lost 8-4 at Fenway Park last night. However, the Dodgers are 13-2 during its previous 15 games following a loss, and that includes 5-0 in their last 5 when cast into that precise role. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid in 6 career postseason starts while posting a very good 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. All of those starts came as a member of the Dodgers. Bet on the Dodgers for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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10-24-18 | Maple Leafs +116 v. Jets | 4-2 | Win | 116 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Winnipeg 8:05 PM ET Game# 1-2 Play On: Toronto +116 (5*) After a 6-1 start, Toronto lost each of their past 2 games to Pittsburgh 3-1 and its most recent outing 4-1 versus St. Louis. However, both of those games occurred at home, and the Maple Leafs are 4-0 on the road this season and have averaged a massive 5.7 goals per game while doing so. Conversely, Winnipeg has won 3 straight and scored exactly 5 goals in each of their previous 2 wins. Any NHL team (Toronto) that scored 1 goal or less in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Winnipeg) that scored 5 goals or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those teams going 50-24 (67.6%) against the money line during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 74 teams was +121.2. Bet on Toronto for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-23-18 | Dodgers +142 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Red Sox (Sale) 8:09 ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Dodgers +142 (5*) A couple of top notch left-handed starting pitchers will square off in Game 1 of the 2018 World Series. The Dodgers have gone a solid 43-28 (.606) this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers. Conversely, if the Red Sox have the slightest of flaws it’s when facing southpaw starters. Although their 24-16 record when assuming that role is anything but terrible, it’s still pale in comparison to their superb 91-40 (.695) record against right-handed starters. Since 8/13, Chris Sale has made just 6 starts and logged only 21/ 1/3 innings pitched due to nursing an injury. Sale was also hospitalized last week for a short time with an undisclosed illness. Clayton Kershaw will be in an uncharacteristic position of being on a pitch count this evening. Kershaw recorded the last 3 outs in Saturday’s Game 7 win over Milwaukee. However, he can take solace in knowing the Dodgers bullpen has posted an outstanding 1.30 ERA during this 2018 postseason. The Dodgers are currently a money line underdog of +142 for the opening game of this “October Fall Classic”. Los Angeles hitters are averaging exactly 4 walks per game. Any money line underdog of +125 to +175 playing in October and their hitters are averaging 4 or more walks per game, resulted in those underdogs going 29-14 (67.4%) since 1997. The average money line for those 43 underdogs was +141.1. By risking $200 per game on those underdogs you would’ve realized a profit of $5380. Bet on the Dodgers for a 5* money line underdog wager for a 5* wager. |
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10-23-18 | Sharks +116 v. Predators | 5-4 | Win | 116 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
San Jose @ Nashville 8:05 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: San Jose +116 (5*) Nashville is coming off a 3-0 road win over Edmonton in their previous game. Since last season, the Predators are 0-5 at home following a road win by 3 goals or more and they lost by an average of 2.4 goals per outing. San Jose is coming off a 4-1 home win over the Islanders on Saturday. Since last season, the Sharks are 7-1 on the road following a home win by 2 goals or more. Any NHL money line underdog (San Jose) that’s coming off a home win by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nashville) coming off a road shutout win, resulted in those underdogs going 28-14 (66.7%) since 1996. Bet on San Jose for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 51.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Giants @ Falcons 8:15 ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 51.5 (5*) Atlanta has seen each of their last 5 games go over the total and there was a combined 65.8 points scored per contest. The Falcons have scored 31 points or more in 4 home games this season and there were a combined 67.7 pints scored per contest. Furthermore, Atlanta is 10-1 over the total at home since 2016 when there’s a total of 49.5 or more and that includes 7-0 over (61.9 ppg.) when facing non-division opponents. New York has gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games and there was a combined average of 55.5 points scored per contest. Additionally, the Giants faced very good defenses in those last 2 contests while facing Philadelphia and Carolina. New York was able to accumulate 432 yards versus Carolina and 401 yards of total offense against Philadelphia. Atlanta is allowing their opponents to amass 417.5 yards of total offense per game this season. The Falcons defensive unit has surrendered 381 yards or more in each of its last 3 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which makes plenty of sense, and it’s exhibited below. Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 49.5 or greater that’s allowing opponents to average 360 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’ve given up 375 yards or more in each of their previous 3 contests, resulted in those games going 27-8 (77.1%) over the total since 2009. The average total in those 35 contests was 52.2 and there was a combined average of 56.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-18 | Knicks v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 113-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Knicks @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 225.5 (5*) Both teams have shown a tendency to play at a torrid pace thus far with The Knicks averaging 94 field goal attempts per game and Milwaukee at 89 per contest. New York is averaging a tad better than 100 points scored per game during its first 3 outings of the season. The Bucks are averaging a robust 155.5 points per game during its first 2 outings while shooting 48.3% and converting 38.7% of its 3-point shots. As a matter of fact. Milwaukee has made an average of 15 three-point shots. Furthermore, 44.9% of Milwaukee’s field goal attempts have come from 3-point territory. New York is coming off a 103-101 home loss to Boston. Conversely, Milwaukee defeated Indiana 118-101 in their previous game. Any road team (Knicks) with a total of 210.0 or more that’s coming off a straight up loss by 3 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who scored 115 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those games going 44-18 (71%) over the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +9.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
LA Rams @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: San Francisco +9.5 (10*) San Francisco gave Green Bay all they can handle this past Monday night at Lambeau Field before losing 33-30 on a last second field goal. The 49ers easily covered that contest as a sizable 9.0-point road underdog. The Rams came away with an uninspiring 23-20 road win at Denver last week and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point road favorite for a second consecutive week. In any event, they improved their season record to a perfect 6-0. Since 1983, NFL teams playing in their 3rd consecutive road game they gone just 81-152 straight up. If those teams are coming off a straight up win they’ve gone 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ATS since 2014. Any NFL home underdog of 10.0-points or fewer that scored 19 points or fewer in their previous game, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent playing in Game 7 of their season, and that opponent scored 36 points or less in their previous outing, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Detroit -3.0 (5*) Detroit is coming off their bye week and is riding the momentum of a 31-23 home win over Green Bay. They also cover that NFC North Division battle against the Packers as a 1.5-point favorite. Conversely, Miami is coming off a home 31-28 overtime win against Chicago. Backup quarterback Brock Osweiller was superb during that victory and will be under center once again this week. I’m willing to go out on a limb and say Osweiller won’t coming close to duplicating last week’s performance. Any NFL road favorite of 8.0-points or fewer that’s coming off a bye week (Detroit) that’s playing after Game 5 of their season, and they covered their previous game as a favorite while scoring 31 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Furthermore, if that road favorite is facing an opponent who scored 21 points or more in their previous contest, they improved to 10-0 ATS and won by 12.1 points per game. Bet on Detroit minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +3 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
New England @ Chicago 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Chicago +3.0 (5*) Chicago has been an extremely profitable home underdog in recent seasons. Specifically, since 10/31/2016, the Bears are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS as an underdog at Soldier Field, including 3-0 SU&ATS (+10.0 PPG) when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better. Chicago is coming off last Sunday’s 31-28 overtime loss at Miami in a game they closed as a 7.0-point favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-2 (.600). New England is coming off a thrilling 43-40 home win this past Sunday night over previously undefeated Kansas City. That victory improved New England to 4-2 (.666). You may be surprised to know, since 2012, New England has gone 1-8 SU&ATS as an away favorite of 4.0-ponts or less following a straight up win. Any NFL non-division home underdog of 5.0-points or less (Bears), coming off an away favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 26 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 or worse, versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off a straight up win where it allowed 7 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a sizable 10.5 points per game. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-18 | Texans +4.5 v. Jaguars | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Houston @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Houston +4.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off 2 straight losses to Kansas City and Dallas and were outscored by a combined 70-21 margin. The Jags are now 3-3 and have gone 16-16 during their previous 32 games. Houston is coming off a 20-13 win against Buffalo. That victory was Houston’s 3rd in a row and evened their record at 3-3. Any division road underdog of 6.0-points or fewer that scored 20 points or less in their previous game, and they own a win percentage of .500 or worse, versus an opponent coming off 2 straight losses and they have a win percentage of .500 or better, they also win 16 or more of their previous 32 games, resulted in those road underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 1983. Those 9 underdogs also went 8-0-1 straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Brewers (Chacin) 8:39 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Brewers +105 (10*) The Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler has been ineffective during his 2 postseason starts against Milwaukee and Atlanta. Buehler posted a lofty 6.75 ERA during those 2 outings and the Dodgers lost on each occasion. Buehler was superb at home this season but not up to that standard during his road starts. Milwaukee surely has a lot going for them heading into Game 7. The Brewers are 55-31 (.640) at home, 75-48 (.610) versus right-handed starting pitchers, and 70-37 (.654) during night games this season. Milwaukee was able to rest star reliever Josh Harder last night due to their convincing 7-2 win. Regardless of the score tonight, Harder will pitch and that’s been a good sign for Milwaukee in 2018. When Harder has pitched for the Brewers this season the Brewers have gone an incredible 55-8 (.873). Furthermore, Jhoulys Chacin has made 2 postseason starts in addition to starting the NL Central Division tiebreaker against the Cubs. Chacin compiled a brilliant 0.56 ERA during those trio of appearances and pitched 5.0 innings or more on each occasion. Bet on the Brewers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Oregon @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington State -2.5 (10*) Washington State is coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games. They barely coved in their previous game as an 18.5-point favorite during a 56-37 victory at Oregon State. That win improved the Cougars season record to 5-1 (.833). Oregon is coming off last Saturday’s thrilling 30-27 overtime win over then #7 Washington and they did so as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Ducks also enter this contest with a 5-1 (.833) record. I entered previously mentioned data into my college football handicapping software and it spit out a never lost ATS betting angle which is detailed below. Any college football home favorite of 5.5-points or fewer that owns a win percentage of .833 or less after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off SU&ATS win in each of their previous 2 contests, and they covered their previous game by 32.0 or less while scoring 24 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a straight win and who possesses a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 19 contests was 20.1 points per game. Bet on Washington State as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State v. LSU -6 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 7:00 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: LSU -6.0 (5*) LSU is coming off a 36-16 home upset win over then #2 Georgia last week. After facing Mississippi State on Saturday night, the Tigers have a date with top ranked Alabama. Mississippi State is also coming off a 23-9 home upset win over Auburn and did so as 3.0-point underdog. Any home favorite of 9.5-points or fewer (LSU) who’s coming off a straight up win in which they scored 24 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent that coming off a bye week, and they’re (Mississippi State) coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they covered by 5.5-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 12 contests was 20.2 points per game. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | UTSA v. Southern Miss -16.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
UTSA @ Southern Miss 7:00 PM ET Game# 393-394 Play On: Southern Miss -16.5 (5*) Southern Miss is coming off losses to North Texas and Auburn in their last 2 games. Conversely, UTSA is coming off a 31-3 loss to Louisiana Tech during their previous contest. Those results create an unbeaten college football betting angle which is listed below. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points (Southern Miss) that’s coming off straight up loss in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re facing an opponent (UTSA) that allowed 13 points or more in its previous game, resulted in those favorites going 27-0 ATS since 2009. Bet on Southern Miss minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Penn State -14 v. Indiana | 33-28 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Indiana 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Penn State -14.0 (5*) Penn State was shocked at home by Michigan State last week during a 21-17 and it transpired with the Nittany Lions being a sizable 13.5-point favorite. Indiana is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games to Iowa 42-16 and Ohio State 49-26. These results create a perfect college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference away favorite of 11.0-points or greater (Penn State) that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they failed to cover by 11.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Indiana) that allowed 42 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests and scored 7 points or more during its last game, resulted in those favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. Those 10 favorites won by a decisive average of 34.6 points per game. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Virginia v. Duke -6.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Duke 12:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Duke -6.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a 28-14 ACC road win at Georgia Tech and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Virginia is coming off last Saturday’s 16-13 upset win against Miami and did so as 7.0-point home underdog. This sets up a rare but never lost college football angle which is displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 3.0 to 18.5-points (Duke) that coming off a conference away underdog straight up win, versus an opponent (Virginia) coming off a conference home underdog of 5.0-points or more upset win, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2006. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a substantial 24.8 points per game. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Ryu) @ Brewers (Miley) 8:39 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Hyun-Jin Ryu of the Dodgers has collected a microscopic 0.89 ERA and 0.79 WHIP through his previous 5 starts. Wade Miley of the Brewers has been terrific this season while posting a sparkling 2.27 ERA during 15 starts. Both bullpen staffs have been lights out throughout the postseason. Milwaukee has gone 6-1-1 under the total during this postseason while the Dodgers are 5-2-2 under. As a matter of fact, none of the last 4 games this NLCS have gone over the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Stanford @ Arizona State 9:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*) After winning its first 4 games the Stanford Cardinal has lost their last 2, including a latest 40-21 defeat to Utah as a 4.0-point home favorite. The Cardinal had last week off to recover from that embarrassing loss in Palo Alto. Arizona State has lost 3 of its last 4 games and it dropped their season record to 3-3. Stanford is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a conference road favorite of -15.5-points or lees versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or worse. Any conference road favorite of 7.0-points or fewer that’s coming off a conference straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 21 points or more, and they’re coming off a week of rest, versus an opponent that’s coming off straight up loss, resulted in those road favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by a decisive margin of 18.5 points per game. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 8-6 | Win | 113 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Porcello) @ Astros (Morton) 8:39 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 8.5 (5*) Since 2017, Rick Porcello has made 4 starts against Houston and compiled a sizable 6.43 ERA during those outings. During that precise time frame, Charlie Morton has made 4 starts against Boston and collected a lofty 5.31 ERA while doing so. These teams have gone 8-2 over the total in 2018 when facing each other, and that includes 3-0 over in this ALCS. Mark Carlson is scheduled to be the home plate umpire today. Carlson has seen just 10 of his 30 games go under the total this season when he’s been assigned as home plate umpire. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Brewers (Gonzalez) @ Dodgers (Hill) 9:09 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Milwaukee’s pitching has been outstanding during a majority of their 6 postseason games. The Brewers are allowing a paltry 1.8 runs per game during that span and has shutout their opponents on 3 of those occasions. Milwaukee starter Gio Gonzalez has exhibited very good form through his last 4 starts while posting a 2.12 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Since 2014, Gonzales is a perfect 6-0 in his team starts against the Dodgers with a stellar 2.78 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Rich Hill has made 2 outstanding starts against Milwaukee this season and his 1.50 ERA in addition to a 0.89 WHIP in those appearances fully supports that claim. Hill has also displayed sparkling form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.47 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has been terrific during their 7 postseason games and it’s evidenced by their staff 1.21 ERA. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers +9.5 v. Packers | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
49ers @ Packers 8:15 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: 49ers +9.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off last Sunday’s 31-23 loss at Detroit. That defeat dropped their season record to 2-2-1. San Francisco suffered a 28-18 loss to NFC West Division rival Arizona last week and did so as a 3.0-point home favorite. The combination of these results and Green Bay’s current win percentage sets up an extremely profitable betting angle which is displayed below. Since 2011, any NFL away underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s playing after Game 2 of their season, and they’re coming off a division away favorite straight up loss, versus an opponent (Packers) with at least 1 loss while possessing a win percentage of .600 or worse, and they (Packers) allowed 24 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS. Furthermore, those away underdogs won 11 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on the 49ers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Brewers (Chacin) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 7:35 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The Brewers Jhoulys Chacin has displayed excellent for during his previous 3 starts while compiling a 1.15 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. All 3 games stayed under the total. Chacin has been solid on the road with a stellar 3.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 3 starts. Walker Buehler has been lights out in his 12 starts at Dodger Stadium this season. Just 1 of those 12 outings went over the total and Buehler’s outstanding 1.34 ERA and 0.76 WHIP was a major reason for those low scoring affairs. Both these bullpen staffs are top notch. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 54 h 46 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Patriots -3.0 (10*) New England has historically been a huge money maker as a home favorite since Bill Belichick took over as head coach. That’s been especially evident during recent years. Since the 2013 season began, New England has gone an extremely profitable 35-13 ATS (73%) as a home favorite. Moreover, during that identical time frame, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5-points or fewer when facing a non-division opponent, and they won by 14.6 points per contest. The current total on Sunday’s game against the Chiefs is 59.5, and that’s significant. Since 11/18/2012, New England is 14-0 SU&ATS at home when there’s a total of 50.5 or greater, and they won by an enormous 20.7 points per game. The Chiefs are coming off last Sunday’s 30-14 win over Jacksonville and they covered as a 3.5-point home favorite. That victory improved Kansas City to a perfect 5-0 in 2018. New England is coming off a 38-24 home win over Indianapolis and they covered as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. This previously mentioned data sets up a rare but unblemished NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any home favorite of 4.5-points or fewer (Patriots) that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0-points or less, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent (Chiefs) who’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Those 9 home favorites won by an average of 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-14-18 | Rams -6.5 v. Broncos | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
Rams @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Rams -6.5 (5*) Denver enters this week on a 3-game losing streak. They were awful during last Sunday’s 34-16 lopsided road loss against the Jets in which they allowed a whopping 323 yards on the ground. That’s not good news since they will be facing arguably the league’s premier running back on Sunday in the Rams Todd Gurley. If they stack the box to prevent Gurley from going off, then they’ll leave themselves vulnerable to a Rams dynamic aerial attack spearheaded by quarterback Jared Goff. All Goff has done thus far in 2018 is throw for 345.4 yards per game, complete an absurd 72.3% of his passing attempts while also tossing for 12 touchdowns. The Rams are coming off their closest call to date in last weeks 33-31 win at Seattle. Denver is presently sporting a 2-3 record. The Broncos are 21-11 during its last 32 at home but an uninspiring 12-20 in their last 32 games overall. These results and records set up a never lost NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL non-division road favorite of 3.0-points or greater (Rams) who’s coming off an away game in which they scored 33 points or more, versus an opponent (Broncos) with a losing record and they’ve won 17 or fewer of its last 32 games in addition to winning 15 or more of their previous 32 home games, resulted in those road favorites going 14-0 ATS since 1984. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was a substantial 20.9 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chargers v. Browns +1 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 31 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Browns +1.0 (5*) The Chargers are coming off last Sunday’s workmanlike 26-10 home win over the mistake prone Oakland Raiders. That win improved their season record to 3-2 (.600). Nevertheless, they’ll have their hands full on Sunday against a Browns team with momentum. This will be the 2nd of only 3 games that the Chargers will play in the Eastern Time Zone. They managed to win at Buffalo earlier this season after jumping out to a 28-6 halftime lead. However, they faded and were outplayed badly in the 2nd half of that contest. Cleveland is coming off a confidence building home win over its AFC North Division rival Baltimore last Sunday, and they did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Despite that victory, they’re a dismal 3-29 during their previous 32 games played. The Browns enter this week having gone 2-0-1 straight up and 3-0 ATS at home this season. You can make a very strong case that Cleveland should be 5-0. All 5 of Cleveland’s games have been decided by 4 points or fewer, and 3 of those went to overtime. Make no mistake about it, the Browns are battle tested when it comes to close games. Cleveland is also a terrific +8 in the turnover department thus far. Any NFL home team who’s +2.5 to -1.5 (Browns) who’s playing after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off a home underdog straight up win, and they’ve won 19 or fewer games during its last 32 contests, versus an opponent (Chargers) coming off a straight up win and who has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those home teams going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 9.6 points per game. Bet on the Browns for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3.5 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Loss | -103 | 47 h 31 m | Show | |
Bears @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Bears -3.5 (5*) So much for the 3-0 start by Miami. They were blown out 38-31 at New England 2 weeks ago, and last Sunday squandered a 17-point lead at Cincinnati while falling 27-17. The Dolphins are now 17-15 during their last 32 games played. Chicago will be well rested after enjoying their bye week. The Bears have won 3 straight and that includes a 48-10 rout of Tampa Bay in their previous game. The vaunted Chicago defense has forced 11 turnovers during its first 4 games of the season, and they’ll be facing a Miami team that’s turned the ball over 9 times in 5 contests. Any regular season NFL road favorite of 3.0 to 9.5-points (Bears) who’s coming off a bye week, and they allowed 7 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Dolphins) coming off a straight up loss by 9 points or more and they’ve won 19 or fewer of their previous 32 games played, resulted in those road favorites going 17-0 ATS since 2002. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests was a decisive 17.6 points per game. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Bucs +3 v. Falcons | 29-34 | Loss | -100 | 46 h 30 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Buccaneers +3.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this NFC South Division battle on a 3-game losing streak. As a mater of fact, 2 of those losses came as a home favorite. They reached a low point in last Sunday’s 41-17 loss at Pittsburgh. Regardless of their dynamic offensive capabilities, it’s been nullified by a defense which has allowed 37 points or more in each of its last 3 games. Tampa Bay is coming off their bye week and looks to rebound from an embarrassing 48-10 loss at Chicago during its previous outing. Despite that dismal performance and low scoring output, the Bucs are still averaging 28.0 points scored and 432.7 yards of total offense per game. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5-points or less (Buccaneers) who’s coming off a loss by 14 points or more, versus an opponent that’s lost 3 or more games in a row, and they (Falcons) surrendered 24 points or greater during their previous contest, resulted in those road underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 1990. Furthermore, those underdogs won 8 of those 9 games straight up. Bet on the Buccaneers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-18 | Astros +107 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-2 | Win | 107 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Astros (Verlander) @ Red Sox (Sale) 8:09 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Astros +107 (10*) This is a premier starting pitching matchup in Game 1 of the ALCS. However, in terms of postseason experience Justin Verlander has a huge edge over Chris Sale. Not only does Verlander possess extensive postseason experience, he’s proven himself to be a huge clutch performer at this time of year. Since the 2013 postseason, Verlander has made 9 starts against Boston and compiled a dominating 1.55 ERA during those outings. Conversely, Chris Sale has made 3 starts against Houston since 7/2/2016 and had a poor 7.50 ERA in those appearances. The Astros have gone a sizzling hot 31-9 through their last 40 games. They’ve also been the best road team in baseball this season while currently sporting a 58-24 (.707) record in away games. Bet on the Astros for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Ryu) @ Brewers (Miley) 4:09 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) The Dodgers Hyun-Jin Ryu has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts while posting a microscopic 0.35 ERA. Milwaukee’s Wade Miley has started 2 games against the Dodgers this season and allowed 0 earned runs on 6 hits during 13.0 innings pitched. Miley has compiled a stellar 2.57 ERA and 1.03 WHIP during his last 7 starts overall. The Brewers southpaw hurler also has allowed a home run in his last 8 starts which encompassed 40.0 innings pitched. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-18 | Michigan State +13.5 v. Penn State | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Penn State 3:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Michigan State +13.5 (5*) Penn State will look to rebound from a disheartening 27-26 home loss to #3 ranked Ohio State. It marked the 2nd straight season in which they lost to the Buckeyes by exactly 1 point. They did have last Saturday off, but it’s still a huge emotional hurdle to overcome. It’s worth noting, this is a Penn State team that barely survived as a 24.5-point home favorite during a 45-38 overtime win over Appalachian State in their season opener. Since 2014, Penn State is 0-4 ATS in conference games following a home loss and they lost straight up on 3 of those occasions. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 197-198 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Georgia is undefeated at 6-0 thus far and have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 257-78. The Bulldogs have allowed 17 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 contests while they scored 38 points or more on all 6 occasions. Georgia doesn’t beat themselves and that’s evidenced by them committing just a combined 3 turnovers in 6 games. Since 10/18/2014, Georgia has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as a conference away favorite of 3.0 to 16.5-points when facing an opponent coming off a straight up loss. That’s applicable to Saturday’s game at LSU and the Bulldogs won those 6 contests by an average of 21.2 points per game. LSU has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference underdog of 9.5-points or less after scoring 17 points or fewer in its previous contest. The Tigers lost those 4 contests by an average of 15.5 points per game. Georgia is coming off home wins over Tennessee 38-12 and Vanderbilt 41-13 in their last 2 games they’ve played. Conversely, LSU is coming off a 27-19 SUATS loss at Florida and did so as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 3 results leads us to a a unbeaten college football betting angle which is shown below. Any away favorite (Georgia) playing after Game 3 of the season who’s coming off home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (LSU) coming off a conference SU&ATS loss in which it failed to cover by 8.0 points or more while they also scored 23 points or less, resulted in those away favorites going 15-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was a sizable 29.9 points per game. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Duke v. Georgia Tech -2.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Duke @ Georgia Tech 12:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Georgia Tech -2.5 (5*) Duke had off last week and is coming off a terrible performance during a 31-14 home loss to Virginia Tech. That’s the same Virginia Tech team that sandwiched that Duke win between a 42-28 loss at Old Dominion and the last Saturday’s 45-23 home blowout loss to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils are a mediocre 12-10 during its last 22 games played and that includes 4-1 in 2018. Georgia Tech is coming off 2 dominating wins in a row which has evened their record at 3-3 while 2 of those 3 defeats came against #23 South Florida and #4 Clemson. Those 2 teams have combined to go 10-0 thus far in 2018. The Yellow Jackets latest win came during last Saturday’s 66-35 rout of Louisville and they covered as a 5.5-point road favorite. It marked the 2nd straight game that Georgia Tech cracked the 60-point barrier. They also crushed Bowling Green 63-17 2 weeks ago. The only 2 home losses the Yellow Jackets have suffered since last season came against Clemson and Georgia. Both those teams were part of the 4-team College Football Playoffs last season. Any conference home pick or favorite of 4.5-points or less that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 16.0 points or more in addition to scored 46 points or greater, and they’re playing after Game 6 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record who scored 6 points or more in their previous game and has won 16 or fewer of it last 16 games, resulted in those home teams going 18-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Florida Gators @ Vanderbilt Commodores 12:00 PM ET Game# 191-192 Play On: Vanderbilt +7.5 (5*) The #14 Vanderbilt after last Saturday’s huge win over then #5 LSU, and further knowing that #2 Georgia is on tap next. Florida’s overconfidence may come into play on Saturday. After all, they’ve gone 26-1 in their last 27 games against the Commodores. This is a classic trap game and flat spot for the road favorite Gators. Speaking of Georgia, Vanderbilt traveled to Athens last Saturday and got hammered 41-13. Despite their two decades plus of futility against Florida, the Commodores are a respectable 14-10 ATS during the previous 24 meetings. Any college football conference home underdog of 4.0 to 10.0 points (Vanderbilt) that’s coming off an away loss by 28 points or more, versus an opponent (Florida) who’s won their previous 3 games played and all of which were against conference foes, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 12-0 ATS since 1994. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +143 | 5-6 | Win | 143 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Brewers (Gonzalez) 8:09 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Brewers +143 (5*) The Dodgers are currently a money line favorite of -158 in this NLCS opening game. The Dodgers have gone just 44-42 this season as a money line favorite of -125 to -175. MLB bettors that wagered $200 per game on the Dodgers in those 86 situations lost $4000. Los Angeles will go with their starting pitching ace Clayton Kershaw in this opening game of the series. Kershaw has struggled during his previous 3 road starts while posting a sizable 6.60 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Milwaukee enters the NLCS riding a sizzling hot 11-game win streak. Brewers scheduled starter Gio Gonzalez has gone 5-0 in his previous 5 team starts with an outstanding 2.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Furthermore, Gonzalez has gone 16-3 in his career team starts when pitching on 7 or more days rest. The Brewers southpaw hurler last pitched on 9/30 in a home starts against Detroit and allowed 0 earned runs on 3 hits while walking 1 in 5.0 innings of work. Any MLB money line home underdog of +100 or greater that’s playing in October, and their bullpen allowed 0 earned runs during their previous 2 games, resulted in those postseason underdogs going 41-23 (64.1) since 1997. MLB bettors who risked $200 a game on those 64 money line home underdogs have shown a profit of $5440. Bet on the Brewers for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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10-11-18 | Eagles -3 v. Giants | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 8:20 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Eagles -3.0 (5*) Philadelphia is unequivocally suffering from a Super Bowl hangover during their 2-3 start to the season. However, it’s not the Eagles defense which has underachieved. Philadelphia has allowed 77 yards or less rushing in each of their first 5 games. Conversely, the Giants have rushed for 65 yards or fewer in 3 of its 5 games. Making Eli Manning and the Giants offense one dimensional is Philadelphia’s recipe for success in this NFC East Division matchup. The Eagles will enter this Thursday night contest on a 2-game losing streak. The Giants are coming off a gut wrenching 33-31 loss at Carolina last week which dropped their season record to 1-4. Carolina’s Graham Gano connected on a massive 63-field goal on the last play of the game which was a tough pill to swallow. Even the best of NFL teams would be hard pressed to immediately recovering from that kind of painful defeat. Make no mistake, the Giants may be better than their 1-4 record indicates, but they’re not classified as one of the league’s best teams. Any NFL road favorite of 2.0-points or more (Eagles) that’s coming off 2 straight losses, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent (Giants) coming off a defeat in which they allowed 34 points or fewer, resulted in those road favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1983. Bet on the Eagles minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-09-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -119 | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Porcello) @ Yankees (Sabathia) 8:05 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Yankees -119 (5*) Rick Porcello has made 8 starts against the Yankees since 2017. However, only 2 of those starts came at Yankee Stadium, and he posted a sizable 7.71 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. He’s also collected a lofty 4.90 ERA and 1.60 WHIP during his previous 4 road starts overall. If Boston has any flaw this season, it pertains to facing left-handed starting pitchers. They’ll be facing Yankees southpaw C.C. Sabathia tonight. The Red Sox have gone a remarkable 88-39 (.693) versus right-handed starters and not nearly as impressive 22-16 against southpaws. Speaking of C.C. Sabathia, since 2017, he’s compiled a very good 2.16 ERA during 4 home starts against Boston. The Yankees are 24-8 in their last 32 home games with C.C. Sabathia as their starting pitcher. The Yankees are on the brink of elimination after yesterday’s 16-1 embarrassing home loss to Boston. Nevertheless, the Yankees have gone 43-15 (.741) in their last 58 games this season following a loss, and that includes winning 6 straight when cast into that precise situation. Bet the Yankees for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-08-18 | Dodgers -145 v. Braves | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Hill) @ Braves (Foltynewicz) 4:35 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Dodgers -145 (5*) Atlanta’s Mike Foltynewicz has made 2 starts against the Dodgers this season that included the opening game of this series, and he collected a large 10.29 ERA in those outings. Atlanta avoided a sweep in yesterday’s 6-5 win. However, the Braves were only able to amass 4 hits in that contest, and 5 of their 6 runs were a result of 2 home runs. Atlanta had 6 hits or fewer in each of their previous 5 and 7 of its last 8 games. The Braves will be facing Dodgers left-handed starting pitcher Rich Hill today. They’ve gone a very good 70-46 (.603) versus right-handed starters in 2018 but are just 21-28 (.429) against lefties. Speaking of Rich Hill, his lone start against the Braves this season took place in Atlanta, and he pitched 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing only 3 hits while striking out 8 and walking just 1. I look for the Dodgers to close out this series today and avoid a win or take all Game 5 in Los Angeles. Bet on the Dodgers for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-07-18 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
Brewers (Miley) @ Rockies (Marquez) 4:37 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Milwaukee southpaw pitcher Wade Miley has been very good in 9 road starts this season while posting a 2.50 ERA during those outings. Milwaukee enters today on a red-hot 10 game winning streak. Any road team that’s playing in October and is coming off 3 or more wins in a row, resulted in those games going 71-29 (71%) under the total since 1997. Milwaukee has seen just 1 of their 10 games played at Coors Field in Denver go over the total since 2016. The Brewers bullpen has compiled an excellent 1.62 ERA and 0.75 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Colorado has gone 38-20 (65.5%) under the total this season when facing southpaw starting pitchers. The Rockies have scored a paltry 2 runs or less in each of its last 4 games. Colorado pitcher German Marquez has displayed superb during his previous 3 starts while collecting a 1.93 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Marquez has recorded an eye-catching 70 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched through his last 6 starts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks +8.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Seahawks +8.5 (5*) Since 1/2/2011, Seattle has gone an unblemished10-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3.0-points or greater. It also must be noted that they won 9 of those 10 contests straight up. The Rams enter this NFC West Division game sporting a perfect 4-0 record and have now gone 16-16 during its last 32 games. The Seahawks are coming off last Sunday’s 20-17 division win at Arizona. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL division home underdog of 1.5 to 10.5-points that’s coming off a division road win in which they allowed 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Rams) with a win percentage of .636 or better and they’ve won 12 or more of its 32 games played, resulted in those home underdogs 23-3 ATS (88.3%) since 1990. Those home underdogs also won 17 of those 26 games straight up. Bet on the Seahawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Giants @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Panthers -6.0 (10*) Carolina will enter this game well rested after enjoying a bye week. The last time the Panthers took the field they defeated Cincinnati 31-21 and cover as a 3.0-point home favorite. The Giants are coming off a 33-18 home loss to New Orleans. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Panthers) that’s coming off a bye week, and their previous game was a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Giants) who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 ATS. The 9 home favorites won by a substantial average of 20.3 points per game. Bet on the Carolina Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -2.5 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Chiefs -2.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off a decisive 31-12 home win over the Jets, and improved their season record to 3-1. Since the start of last season, Kansas City is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite of 8.0-points or less versus an opponent coming off a straight up win. The Chiefs won those 5 contests by an average of 11.0-points per game. Furthermore, Kansas City is 8-0 SU&ATS during its last 8 regular season games as a favorite of 3.5-points or less when facing an opponent off a win who’s not undefeated. The Chiefs won those 8 contests by an average of 14.4 points per game. Kansas City has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their first 4 games of the season. Any NFL home favorite of 5.0-points or less that’s playing in Game 5 of their season and who scored 24 points or more in their previous contest, and they’ve gone 4-0 SU&ATS to start the season, versus an opponent that allowed 10 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 10.5 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets | 16-34 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Broncos (Pick) (5*) The Jets are coming off road losses at Jacksonville and Cleveland during their last 2 games played. After a season opening win Detroit the Jets have preceded to lose 3 straight games Any NFL away favorite or pick playing after Game 4 of their season, versus an opponent coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Jets) possess a win percentage of .333 or worst, resulted in those road teams going 26-1 straight up (96.3%) and 25-2 ATS (92.6%) since 2013. Bet on the Broncos for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Packers @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Lions +1.0 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a 22-0 home win over Buffalo which improved their season record to 2-1-1. Detroit was a 26-24 loser at Dallas last Sunday and the now find themselves at 1-3. Any NFL home team that’s +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing after Game 3 of their season, and they’re coming off a loss by 3 points or less, versus an opponent (Packers) who allowed 9 points or fewer during their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 26-3 straight up (89.7%) and 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 1996. Bet on the Lions for a 5* point-spread wager. |
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10-06-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Yankees (Tanaka) @ Red Sox (Price) 8:15 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Over 9.0 (5*) The Yankees have gone over the total in 8 straight games. The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka has made 5 starts against Boston this season while compiling a sizable 7.58 ERA during those outings. The opening game of this ALDS played last night saw Boston defeat New York 5-4, and it went over the total of 7.5. New York has now gone over the total in their last 6 games against Boston David Price is 2-8 in his postseason career which includes 9 starts and 8 relief appearances. He posted a lofty 5.03 ERA throughout those 17 outings. Furthermore, Price has made 4 starts against the Yankees this season and collected a massive 10.34 ERA while doing so. Boston is 10-1-1 over the total during its previous 12 and 6-0 over in their last 6 games. The Boston bullpen has struggled during its last 7 games and that’s evidenced by their combined 6.75 ERA during that time. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-18 | Kentucky +6 v. Texas A&M | 14-20 | Push | 0 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Kentucky +6.0 (5*) Despite their 5-0 record, #13 national ranking, in addition to quality wins at Florida, Mississippi State, and South Carolina, Kentucky still is getting no respect from the oddsmakers. As a matter of fact, this will mark a 3rd time in 6 games that the Wildcats are dubbed as an underdog. Granted, Texas A&M suffered it’s only 2 losses this season to #1 Alabama and #4 Clemson. However, their 3 wins have come against Northwestern State, UL-Monroe, and narrowly escaped with a 24-17 home victory last week against Arkansas in a game they closed as a substantial 19.0-point favorite. Any undefeated college football away underdog of 3.0 to 7.0-points that’s playing in their 6th game of the season, and they won by 26 points or fewer in their previous contest, versus an opponent that allowed 14 points or more in its last outing, resulted in those undefeated away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1996. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-18 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic -13.5 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 52 h 45 m | Show | |
Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic 5:00 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Florida Atlantic -13.5 (5*) This is one of those tricky situations in which the underdog is an enticing option. After all, we have a double-digit favorite in FAU that’s coming off s straight losses which dropped its season record to an uninspiring 2-3 (.400). Meanwhile Old Dominion upset nationally ranked Virginia Tech 2 weeks ago as a 29.5-point underdog, and then barely fell short in last Saturday’s 37-35 loss at East Carolina while covering as a 7.0-point underdog. Nonetheless, recent college football ATS betting history strongly suggests taking the favorite in this precise scenario. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points that lost each of their previous 2 games, and they own a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent which allowed 13 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those favorites going a perfect 26-0 ATS since 2009. The average margin of victory in those 26 contests was 28.4 points per game. Bet on Florida Atlantic minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -9 | Top | 48-42 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Oklahoma State -9.0 (10*) Iowa State is coming off a 17-14 loss at TCU last Saturday in a game they were held to 198 yards of total offense. Since 1996, Oklahoma State is 32-11 ATS (74.4%). Since 1996 as a home favorite when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. If that opponent covered that previous game as an underdog the Cowboys improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%) in that identical situation. Oklahoma State is an explosive offensive team that’s averaging 44.4 points and 545.4 yards per contest. Conversely, Iowa State averages a paltry 17.5 points scored and 299.5 of total offense per game. Oklahoma State is coming off a 48-28 win at Kansas and they covered as a 17.0-point favorite while doing so. The win improved the Cowboys season record to 4-1 (.800). The loss to TCU last week dropped Iowa State to 1-3 (.50) this year. These records and last week’s Oklahoma State SU&ATS winning result creates an extremely profitable college football betting angle that sides with the favorite in this matchup. Any home favorite of 9.0-points or more that’s coming off a favorite of 15.5-points or greater ATS win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Iowa State) with a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 43-9 (82.7%) ATS since 1992. Bet on Oklahoma State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-18 | Tulane v. Cincinnati -7 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Cincinnati 12:00 PM ET Game# 339-340 Play On: Cincinnati -7.0 (5*) The Cincinnati Bearcats have quietly gone 5-0 to start their 2018 regular season campaign. The Bearcats are coming off last Saturday’s 49-7 blowout win at Connecticut and they covered easily as a 16.0-point favorite while doing so. Cincinnati has allowed 17 points or fewer in 4 of their 5 games. If there was any chance of the Bearcats taking Tulane lightly forget about it. Tulane pulled off a huge upset over previously undefeated Memphis in their last game when they won 40-14 and did so as a hefty 14.0-point home underdog. Nevertheless, that victory improved the Green Wave season record to just 2-3. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 points (Cincinnati) that’s coming off an away win by 10 points or more in its previous game, versus an opponent (Tulane) coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive margin of 28.2 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Braves (Sanchez) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 9:37 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) (5*) I know that Clayton Kershaw has endured a shaky postseason history. However, all the starts seem like they line up in a row for a Dodgers blowout win. The Dodgers have won 5 straight and that includes winning the opening game of this NLDS 6-0 on Thursday. All 5 of those wins have come by 2 or more runs and they outscored their opponents by a combined 63-9. Furthermore, Clayton Kershaw is a perfect 8-0 in his team starts against Atlanta since 2013 while compiling a microscopic 0.68 ERA. Atlanta’s Anibal Sanchez has a uninspiring 4.63 ERA in 2 starts against the Dodgers in 2018. The Dodgers are currently a money line favorite of -215 in tonight’s game and enter tonight averaging 4.9 runs scored per game. Clayton Kershaw has a superb 1.04 WHIP during 26 starts in 2018. Anibal Sanchez has posted a stellar 2.90 ERA during 24 starts this season. Any National League money line home favorite of -175 to -250 that’s averaging 4.7 or more runs scored per game, and their starting pitcher has a season WHIP of 1.25 or better, versus a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 46-4 (92%) since 1993. Those favorites averaged outscoring their opponents by a sizable 2.9 runs per game. Bet on the Dodgers on the run-line for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-18 | Rockies v. Brewers -156 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Rockies (Anderson) @ Brewers (Chacin) 4:15 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Brewers -156 (5*) Colorado’s Tyler Anderson has made 1 start this year and 1 last season against Milwaukee and collected a massive 11.17 ERA while doing so. Anderson is 0-5 in his last 5 road team starts while posting a large 8.20 ERA. The Rockies have gone a dismal 2-10 in their last 12 games when Anderson has been their starter. The Brewers Jhoulys Chacin has a very good 2.92 ERA and 0.77 WHIP throughout his last 5 starts. Chacin has made 4 starts against Colorado since 2017 and gathered a more than respectable 3.20 ERA during those outings. Milwaukee enters today having won 11 of its last 12 and that includes a current 9-game win streak. The Brewers bullpen has been lights out of last while amassing a brilliant 1.84 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and amassing 49 strikeouts in 34 1/3 innings pitched. Bet on the Brewers for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-04-18 | Colts +10.5 v. Patriots | 24-38 | Loss | -114 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
Colts @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Colts +10.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, New England is 0-4 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 7.5-points or more after scoring 35 points or greater during its previous contest. Conversely, since 10/29/2017, Indianapolis is 4-0 ATS as a non-division road underdog of 6.0-points or more. Indianapolis is coming off last Sunday’s disheartening 37-34 overtime loss to AFC South Division rival Tennessee. That defeat dropped the Colts season record to 1-3 (.250). Meanwhile, New England improved to 2-2 (.500) in 2018 following last Sunday’s 38-7 home blowout win over Miami. Any road underdog (Colts) of 4.0 to 10.5-points with a win percentage of .400 or worse, who’s playing after Game 4 of the season, and they’re coming off a division loss by 3 points or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) with a win percentage of .454 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 40-7 ATS (85.1%) since 1987. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-02-18 | Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rockies (Freeland) @ Cubs (Lester) 8:05 PM ET Game# 937-938 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Colorado southpaw Kyle Freeland has exhibited very good form during his previous 3 starts. Freeland has posted a superb 1.83 ERA throughout those outings and all 3 games stayed under the total. Freeland was solid in his lone start at Wrigley Field. During that appearance, Freeland allowed 3 earned runs on 6 hits and walked only 1 during 7.0 innings pitched. Colorado has gone 37-20 (64.9%) under the total this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The Cubs Jon Lester has gone 3-0 in his previous 3 starts with a brilliant 1.00 ERA. Lester has made 4 starts against Colorado since 2015 and compiled a stellar 2.42 ERA. All of those starts resulted in those 4 games going under the total. Chicago is 47-34 (58%) under the total at home in 2018. Whenever handicapping a game being played at Wrigley Field it’s imperative to take wind conditions into account. Tonight’s forecast calls for very mild winds of 4 MPH blowing in from right-centerfield. Obviously, the wind won’t be a factor in the outcome of this National League Wild Card game. Bet on this game to go under the total. |
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10-01-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 4:09 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Colorado’s German Marquez has seen just 4 of his 16 road starts go over the total in 2018 while compiling a 3.00 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Marquez has made 2 starts at Dodger Stadium this year and both went under the total. His brilliant 1.20 ERA and 0.40 WHIP during those outings were a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Furthermore, Marquez has collected a terrific 1.87 ERA and 0.83 WHIP during his last 9 starts. The Dodgers Walker Buehler has a superb 1.48 ERA and 0.78 WHIP during his 11 home starts in 2018. Just 1 of those 11 home starts went over the total. Buehler has also exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts overall while gathering a paltry 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. Although both teams have recently been red-hot offensively, this has all the earmarks of an old fashion starting pitching duel. Bet on this game to stay under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-30-18 | 49ers +11.5 v. Chargers | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ LA Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: San Francisco +11.5 (5*) Los Angeles is off to a slow 1-2 start to the season and that’s seems to be an annual tradition for them in recent years. As a matter of fact, since 2015, the Chargers are 4-11 SU&ATS during their first 4 games of the season, and that includes 0-5 SU&ATS during its last 5 at home in that exact scenario. The Chargers are also a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in its previous 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-points following a loss, and when playing an opponent with a losing record. The Chargers are coming off last week’s 35-23 loss to their crosstown rivals the Los Angeles Rams, and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. The 49ers are coming off a 38-27 loss at 4-0 Kansas City, and they failed to cover as a 6.0-point underdog. That defeat was even a tougher pill to swallow due to starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo going down with a season ending injury. Although they’ll certainly be a drop off, backup quarterback C.J. Beathard did start 5 games a season ago. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS during their last 5 games as an underdog of 2.0-points or more versus an opponent coming off a loss. Any NFL away underdog of 2.0 to 13.5-points (San Francisco) that’s playing in games 2 through 15 of the season, and they’re coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 31 points or more, versus an opponent (LA Chargers) coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they scored 19 points or greater and failed to cover by 23.0-points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 21-0 ATS since 1983. Furthermore, those underdog won 18 of those contests straight up, and all 3 straight up losses came by an exact 3-point margin. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-18 | Browns +3 v. Raiders | 42-45 | Push | 0 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Oakland 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (5*) Cleveland Browns should be 3-0 if not for the ineptitude of their placekicker in their first 2 games. The Browns are an amazing +9 in turnover differential through its first 3 games and have forced an enormous 11 turnovers during that stretch. Contrarily, Oakland is at a -4 turnover differential thus far and they’ve managed to force only 2 turnovers. Granted, it’s highly improbable Cleveland will be able to continue dominating the turnover department by such a huge disparity as the season progresses. Nevertheless, against an undisciplined and mistake prone team like Oakland I look for their dominance in that category to continue. It’s been well documented and chronicled, if you win the turnover battle in an NFL game there’s a better than average chance you’ll come out on top. Cleveland is coming off a 21-17 home win over the Jets and they covered as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Oakland is coming off last Sunday’s 28-20 road loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. These 2 results lead us to a rare but yet powerful NFL ATS betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL non-division away underdog of 2.5 to 6.0-points that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 12.5-points or less and allowed fewer than 28 points, versus an opponent (Oakland) coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 18.0-points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. Those away underdogs won those 10 contests by an average of 7.9 points per game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Miami @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: New England -6.5 (10*) We have a 1-2 team in New England who’s favorite against the 3-0 Miami Dolphins. An impulse reaction would lead you to taking the underdog in this spot just based on common sense alone. However, solely relying on common sense when it comes to NFL handicapping is the shortest route to betting poverty. New England has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS during their last at home against Miami, and they won those contests by an average of 21.6 points per game. After beginning the season with a home win over Houston, New England preceded to lose 2 straight road games to Jacksonville and Detroit. Since 2011, New England is 4-0 SU&ATS following back to back losses and won by a decisive margin of 16.7 points per game. The Patriots are also 7-0 SU&ATS (+18.8 ppg) in their last 7 as a home favorite when facing an opponent who’s won 3 or more games in a row. Miami is 0-6 SU&ATS since 2015 as an away underdog of 6.0 to 13.0-points and when going up against an opponent who’s recorded at least 1 win on the season. Bet on New England minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-30-18 | Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) Dating back to last season, Dallas has gone under the total in 7 straight contests, and there was a combined average of only 30.0 points scored per game. Since 2014, Detroit has gone 15-4 under during road games if there was a total of 45.0 or less. Furthermore, if the Lions allowed 19 points or fewer in their previous contest, they improved to 8-0 under in that precise situation. Detroit is averaging 393.3 yards of total offense per game. The Lions are coming off a dominating performance during a 26-10 win over New England in which they outgained the Patriots by a massive 205 yards. The Cowboys offense has been anemic thus far. However, the Dallas defense is allowing just 17.7 points and 281.0 yards per game. All this statistical data sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL team (Detroit) that averages 370 yards or more of total offense, and they outgained their previous opponent by 200 yards or more, versus a team (Dallas) who’s allowing the opposition 265 to 295 yards per game, resulted in those games going 25-4 (86.2%) under the total since 1983. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-18 | Toledo +9.5 v. Fresno State | 27-49 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 7 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Fresno State 10:35 PM ET Game# 155-156 Play On: Toledo +9.5 (5*) Fresno State is coming off a 38-14 road win at UCLA. But let’s not get carried away with that victory since UCLA is 0-3 to start the season. The Bulldogs will enter Saturday’s game having gone an uninspiring 15-13 during its last 28 home games. Toledo is coming off a 63-44 win over Nevada in which they covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Rockets are 16-6 during its last 22 games played. Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points (Toledo) that coming off an ATS favorite win in which they scored 42 points or more, and they’ve won 11 or more of their last 22 games played, versus an opponent (Fresno State) coming off a win by 17 points or more, and they’ve won 11 or more of its previous 28 home games, resulted in those underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 2014. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on Toledo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -5.5 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
Stanford @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -5.5 (10*) Stanford was extremely fortunate to come away with a 38-31 overtime win at Oregon last week. Granted, kudos to them for overcoming a 4th quarter 24-7 deficit. However, that comeback was more of a byproduct of a bevvy of Oregon turnovers and a botched coaching decision by in the last minute that resulted in a fumble, when essentially all they needed to do was take a knee. That brain cramp by Oregon’s coaching staff allowed Stanford to mount a drive which led to a last second field goal that sent the contest into overtime. The win improved #7 Stanford to 4-0. Notre Dame head coach made a bold move last week by replacing former starting quarterback Brandon Winbush with Ian Book. The move paid off handsomely as Book passed for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns in addition to running for an additional 3 touchdowns during a 56-27 rout at Wake Forest. The Irish easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That victory improved #8 Notre Dame to 4-0. Any home favorite of 8.0-points (Notre Dame) or less that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 32.0-points or less and scored 52 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 win, resulted in those home favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1997. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-18 | Utah -1.5 v. Washington State | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show | |
Utah @ Washington State 6:00 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Utah -1.5 (5*) Washington State is coming off a 39-36 loss at USC and now finds themselves at 3-1 (.750) this season. Conversely, Utah is coming off a 21-7 home loss to Washington and their 2018 record now stands at 2-1 (.667). Any road team (Utah) which is +2.0 to -2.0 that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Washington State) with a win percentage of .600 to .800, and they’re coming off a conference loss by 7 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1992. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was 10.9 points per game. Bet on Utah for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-18 | Army v. Buffalo -7.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
Army @ Buffalo 12:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Buffalo -7.5 (5*) Army is coming off a gut wrenching 28-21 overtime loss at #5 Oklahoma. After nearly pulling off a stunner as a 29.0-point underdog before over 87,000 fans in Norman, they now travel to Buffalo play in front of a sparse crowd. I know the Cadets are extremely disciplined, but it’s hard to imagine they won’t be in for a letdown. This is a Buffalo team that’s flown quietly under the radar during their 4-0 start and dating back to last season they’ve won 7 straight games. The Bulls are coming off a 43-14 blowout win at Rutgers in a game in which they covered as a 5.5-point favorite. They also own a win at Temple 36-29 and did so while being a 4.0-point underdog. Buffalo will be out to revenge last season’s 21-17 loss at Army in which they nearly pulled off an upset as a substantial 16.0-point underdog. Any home favorite of 12.5-points or less (Buffalo), coming off an away favorite of 7.5-points or less ATS win in which they covered by 24.0-points or fewer and scored 21 points or more, versus an opponent (Army) coming off a straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog by 5.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 19.1 points per game. Bet on Buffalo minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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