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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 47 | Top | 47-42 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Browns 8:15 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Under 47.0 (10*) These division rivals have seen the last 3 games played against one another in Cleveland all go under the total. These teams are run heavy offenses in what is now a pass happy league. The Browns have run the ball on 53.3% of their offensive plays this season while Baltimore does it at a 55.9% clip. It’s no coincidence that they rank #1 and #2 in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Conversely, Baltimore is dead last in the league in passing yards per game and Cleveland is #27 in that category. The weather forecast on Monday nigh is calling for winds of 17 to 20 MPH. That will certainly affect the teams passing games when going against the wind. Cleveland enters this game with a stellar 9-3 (.750) record. The Browns will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Baltimore in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable Monday night totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 43.0 or greater that has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those games going 22-1 (95.6%) to the under since 1980. If those home teams were an underdog of 4.0 or less this betting angle improves to a perfect 16-0 to the under since 1980. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles UNDER 43 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 0 m | Show | |
Saints @ Eagles 4:25 PM ET Game# 173-174 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) New Orleans has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 16 points or fewer on each occasion. Now they’re about to face Eagles rookie quarterback Jalen Hurts who will have his hands full against a Saints defense that allows only 288.8 yards per game which is 2nd best in the NFL. Philadelphia has gone under the total in all of its previous 6 games. Their offense has particularly struggled of late while scoring 17 points or fewer in each of their last 4 games. The Eagles defense allowed a substantial 8.7 yards per play in last Sunday’s 30-16 loss at Green Bay. However, since 2018, Philadelphia is 10-0 to the under following a game in which their defense allowed 6.0 or more yards per play. All of those contests took place with current defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz in place. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Giants +3.0 (5*) These two teams are headed in opposite directions. Arizona is 1-4 straight up and 0-5 ATS during its last 5 games. Furthermore, if not for a Hail Mary miracle pass being hauled in by Deandre Hopkins in the waning seconds versus Buffalo, Arizona would be on a current 5-game losing streak. Conversely, the Giants are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games which has them atop the NFC East. The last 3 losses they sustained all came by 3 points or fewer. Simply put, the Giants are a better team than their record indicates. The question then beckons, why are they an underdog in this game? That is certainly fair to ask. However, the red flag just isn’t bright enough for me to be scared off. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears +2 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
Texans @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 159-160 Play On: Bears +2.0 (5*) Chicago is coming off division losses to Detroit and Green Bay in their previous 2 games. They enter this week having lost 6 straight after getting off to a promising 5-1 start. As bad as things have been of late for Chicago, at 5-7 (.416) they remain in contention for the final wildcard berth in the NFC. The 4-8 Texans have no such incentive and are coming off a gut-wrenching home loss to Indianapolis last week. They turned the ball over on the Colts 2 during a 2nd and goal play with a minute left to play. Any NFL team (Bears) that has a win percentage of .400 to .490 and is coming off back-to-back losses to division opponents, versus an opponent (Texans) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, resulted in those teams going 20-5 (80%) straight up since 1983. Bet on the Bears for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Vikings +7 v. Bucs | 14-26 | Loss | -114 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Vikings +4.0 (5*) The Vikings have won 5 of their last 6 to even their record at 6-6. They currently are tied for the final NFC Wildcard spot. Minnesota has been good on the road thus far while going 3-1 straight and 4-0 ATS. Their lone road defeat came by the narrowest of margins 27-26 at Seattle. On the other side of the table, the overly hyped Bucs have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home. This one will go right down to the wire and the betting value lies with the underdog in this spot. Bet on the Vikings plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 15-33 | Win | 100 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Virginia Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*) This opening line and the ensuing movement make little if any sense at all. When that occurs, I am notorious for taking a contrarian approach and being right a lot more times than not. Virginia enters this rivalry game having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Conversely, Virginia Tech is 0-4 SU&ATS in its previous 4 contests. Yet it’s the Hokies who opened as a 1.5-point home favorite and that line has since moved to 2.5. They are begging you to take the hot team as an underdog. I see it as a trap. Virginia Tech will be playing with revenge stemming from last season’s loss at Virginia 39-30. That defeat ended a 15- game Virginia Tech win streak over Virginia. Nevertheless, the Hokies still have a 10-game home unbeaten streak against their instate rival. Bet on Virginia Tech for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | USC v. UCLA +3 | 43-38 | Loss | -113 | 48 h 50 m | Show | |
USC @ UCLA 7:30 PM ET Game# 421-422 Play On: UCLA +3.0 (5*) One team (USC/4-0) isn’t as good as their record indicates. The other (UCLA/3-2) is better than its record shows. The Trojans needed a bit of luck and improbable occurrences to occur in their first 2 games against Arizona and Arizona State. UCLA lost to currently unbeaten Colorado in their season opener. They also were narrowly defeated at Oregon 38-35 in a game they were a sizable 18-point underdog. They are a confident bunch heading into this matchup of teams playing for city bragging rights. Bet on UCLA plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Boise State v. Wyoming +11.5 | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 46 h 7 m | Show | |
Boise State @ Wyoming 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Wyoming +11.5 (5*) Wyoming is coming off an upset loss at New Mexico 17-16. On a positive note, they have gone 2-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. This will only the 2nd home game for the Cowboys. They were an easy 31-7 winner over Hawaii in their home opener in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. Playing a game in Laramie, Wyoming during the 2nd week of December is pretty much unchartered waters. The team who able to run the ball most effectively is likely to get the cover. I like Wyoming’s chances to do so and in turn makes them a viable home underdog betting value in this spot. Play on Wyoming plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Utah +2 v. BYU | Top | 64-82 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Utah @ BYU 6:00 PM ET Game# 704-705 Play On: Utah +2.0 (10*) BYU opened the season with 3 straight wins, and all were against less than stellar competition. Since that time, they went 2-2 while stepping up in class considerably. They were blown out on a neutral court by USC by 26 points. They also lost at home in their previous game played versus Boise State. Utah is an experienced team that is off to a 2-0 start. They have looked solid in those wins over Washington by 13 and Idaho State by 16. They held those 2 opponents to just 35.9% from the floor and a mere 21.2% from 3-point range. Additionally, those opponents averaged just 11 free throw attempts per game. The Utes also converted on 40% of their 3-point shots in those contests. Play on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-12-20 | Wisconsin -2 v. Iowa | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 1 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 3:30 PM ET Game# 385-386 Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (10*) This opening line and the following substantial line movement really caught my eye. Wisconsin opened as a 3.0-point road underdog and at the time of this writing they have moved all the way to a 2.0-point road favorite. Of curse I checked Iowa’s injury list and COVID-19 situation to see if something within those categories prompted this large of a move but there was nothing of the sort. Iowa enters this contest on a 5- game win streak. However, their wins have come over 5 Big 10 Conference opponents that enter this week with a cumulative 10-20 record and all currently have losing records. Wisconsin has lost 2 straight and scored only a combined 13 points in those defeats. However, they were plagued by 7 turnovers committed during those 2 games. Another words, they stopped themselves more so than opposing defenses did. On a positive note, the 2-2 Badgers have been outstanding on defense while allowing a mere 12.3 points and 229.3yards per game. Iowa is solid offensively, but they are far from a juggernaut. Bet on Wisconsin for a 10* Top Play. |
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12-12-20 | Georgia v. Missouri +13.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show | |
Georgia @ Missouri 12:10 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Missouri +13.5 (5*) Let me start by saying that Georgia is unequivocally the more talented team in this matchup. However, the Bulldogs had higher aspirations before the season began than what they have attained heading into their regular season finale. Yes, they are 6-2, but they won’t be playing in the SEC Title Game and or the College Football 4-Team Playoff which was their main 2 goals. Conversely, Missouri has rebounded from an 0-2 start to win 5 of its last 6 games. By doing so they catapulted themselves into the AP Poll Top 25. Since losing their home opener to #1 Alabama, Miami has won 4 straight at home. This will be a Tigers team that will be highly motivated and inspired. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 45 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) New England has seen each of their previous 4 contests go under the total and they allowed a mere 15.3 points per game. Don’t get mislead by the 45 points they scored on the road versus the Chargers last week. The Patriots only accounted for 291 yards of offense despite that high scoring output. Since 2018, New England is 7-1 to the under in the second of back-to-back road games. Those 8 contests had a combined average of only 33.9 points scored per game. The Rams are coming off a 38-28 win at Arizona last week. Since 2018, they have played 11-3 to the under following a road win. The Rams have one of the top defenses in the NFL and this season’s statistics will validate that claim. The Rams have seen all 5 of their home games go under the total this season and there was a combined average of only 35.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-20 | Eastern Illinois -3.5 v. Evansville | 65-68 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois @ Evansville 7:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 Play On: Eastern Illinois -3.5 (5*) Evansville has gone 0-3 SUATS to start the season while 2 of those defeats have come at the hands of Prairie View A&M and UT-Martin. The Aces have been the gang that can’t shoot straight while making a pathetic 36.6% of its field goal attempts during those previously mentioned 3 losses. Evansville opponents have also shot 48.3% from the field and converted on 39.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. Eastern Illinois has rebounded to win 2 straight since beginning the season 0-3. However, those 3 defeats all were on the road while coming against Wisconsin, Dayton, and Marquette. Furthermore, they covered 2 of those contests during a 10-point setback at Wisconsin and losing by just 6 at Dayton. Bet on Eastern Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-20 | Central Arkansas v. St. Louis OVER 150 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Central Arkansas @ St. Louis 8:00 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Over 150.0 (5*) Since the 2018-2019 season, Central Arkansas is 10-0 to the over and thiose contests averaged a combined 166.2 points scored per game. Central Arkansas has seen each of their first 2 games go over this season and there were a combined 161.0 points scored per contest. Those 2 outings averaged a cumulative 121 field goal attemts and a whopping 55 free throws per game. St. Louis has seen each of its first 3 games go over with a combined 156.0 points scored per contest. During that start to the season, St. Louis averaged 93.7 points scored per game, shot a red-hot 55.6% from the field, and converted on an extremely impressive 49.2% of their 3-point attempts. Since last season, the Billikens are 9-2 to the over in non-conference home games and there were a cumulative 153.9 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Washington @ Pittsburgh 5:00 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) Washington has allowed a mere 17.7 points per game throughout their previous 6 contests. Conversely, Pittsburgh has allowed only 11.5 points per game over their previous 4 outings. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is #3 in total defense and Washington is #4. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Giants +11 v. Seahawks | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show | |
Giants @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET The Giants have won 3 straight and are a +7 in the turnover department while doing so. On the other side of the coin, Seattle is at a -5 turnover differential throughout their previous 4 games. Despite starting quarterback Daniel Jones being sidelined, you can do a lot worse than veteran Colt McCoy as your backup. Besides, the Giants running game has been on fire over their previous 6 games while averaging 142 rushing yards per contest. The biggest improvement for the Giants from a season ago has undoubtedly been their defense. They have held 7 of their first 11 opponents to 22 points or fewer, and that includes 4 times when they surrendered exactly 17 points. Additionally, since 2018, the Giants are an extremely profitable 15-3 ATS as a road underdog. The Giants last 4 losses this season were all one possesion games and came by only a combined 14 points. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Colts v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Houston 1:00 PM ET Houston is coming off a 41-25 win over Detroit. That win improved their season record to 4-7 (.363). Indianapolis is coming off a 45-26 loss to Tennessee. The combination of these results provides with a NFL betting angle which has won 85.1% of the time since 2011. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .363 or better that's coming off a win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or worse, and that opponent (Indy) is coming off a loss by 14 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 63-11 (85.1%) straight up since 2011. |
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12-06-20 | Browns +5.5 v. Titans | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Tennessee will be feeling their oats after blowing out Indianapolis 45-26 last week. Cleveland has quietly gone 8-3 this season and is right in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race. The Titans will have the best running back on the field in Derrick Henry. However, the Browns have arguably the best 1-2 punch at running back in the NFL with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Browns will be able to run the ball effectively against a suspect Titans defense. That will be the key to us keeping the game close throughout and I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Browns won this game straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons +3 | 21-16 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET This game appears to be the sucker play of the week. Bettors will be line up to take the Saints who are riding a current 8-game win streak over a 4-7 Falcons team. However, Atlanta has gone 4-2 since interim head coach Raheem Morris has taken over for the fired Dan Quinn. They have progressively improved on defense during this successful run. Ask yourself this, why is Atlanta just a 3.0-point underdog given the disparity of these teams records? I trust the oddmakers to set a honest and accurate line. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-20 | Fresno State +6.5 v. Nevada | 26-37 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Fresno State @ Nevada 9:00 PM ET Nevada is coming off their first defeat of the season in a 24-21 upset loss at Hawaii which spoiled their surprising 5-0 start. Fresno Sate also suffered their only loss to Hawaii in their season opener. However, since that time they've gone 3-0 SU&ATS and won by 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs also haven't played since 11/14 due to a pair of COVID-19 related cancellations. The positive thing to take away from that layoff is they should be fresh and relatively healthy. Fresno will also be out to reveng last season's 35-28 home loss to Nevada. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I won't get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Fresno State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-20 | BYU -10 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina @ BYU 5:30 PM ET This is a situation that I have to trust my eyes and professional intuition. I firmly believe that BYU could have at the very least competed for a title in any Power 5 Conference if afforded the oppotunity. Regarding strength of schedules neither of these teams rates highly. However, my personal eye test indicates that BYU is the more physical team on both sides of the ball and especially so on the interior line. BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is an NFL quarterback waiting to happen. Coastal Carolina relies heavily on their run game to move the ball with 65% of their offensive plays this season being rushing attempts. Conversely, BYU allows a mere 88 yards per game on the ground and just 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. This line speaks volumes to me with the #9 Cougars as a double-digit road favorite against the #14 and undefeated Coastal Carolina. Bet on BYU minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ TCU 5:00 PM The Oklahoma State defense that looked so stout at the beginning of the season has exponentially regressed of late. Specifically, they allowed 41 points or greater in 3 of its last 4 games. The #19 Cowboys are 2-2 in their previous 4 games and failed to cover on each occasion. After starting 1-3, TCU has rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 games. They are coming off a 59-23 blowout win over Kansas. Any college football home team playing after Game 7 of their season, and is coming off a conference win by 35 points or more, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) that is not undefeated, resulted in those home teams going 45-4 (91.8%) straight up since 2017. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it supports the home underdog in this contest. Bet on TCU for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-20 | Memphis +3 v. Tulane | 21-35 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Tulane 12:00 PM ET Memphis is coming off wins by scored of 56-14 and 10-7 during their previous 2 games. Conversely, Tulane is coming off a 30-24 loss to Tulsa. The combination of those 3 results sets up a an unblemished straight up betting angle displayed below. Any college football road team (Memphis) coming off 2 straight games in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, and they are facing a conference opponent (Tulane) coming off a loss by 6 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 24-0 straight up since 2013. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-04-20 | Wisconsin v. Marquette +5 | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: Marquette +5.0 (10*) This series has been about as even as you can get in recent years with each team winning 8 times since 2004. Marquette will be smarting after an 8-point home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous outing. Marquette has gone 45-3 straight up in their last 48 non-conference home games following a loss. Wisconsin is 3-0 but all those contests were played on their home floor and came against weak competition. There has been one common opponent for these teams and that was Eastern Illinois. Wisconsin defeated them by 10 in their season opener while Marquette won by a decisive 25-point margin. |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC OVER 136.5 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
USC @ Connecticut 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Over 136.5 (10*) Both teams have displayed offensive explosiveness in the early going. USC has averaged a lofty 83.3 points scored per game while shooting a red-hot 53.5% through its first 3 contests. The Trojans also averaged an enormous 28 free throw attempts per game. UConn gas averaged 85.5 points scored per outing while shooting an impressive 50.5% during its first 2 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-02-20 | North Dakota -2 v. Dixie State | 73-74 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
North Dakota @ Dixie State 9:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: North Dakota -2.0 (5*) Dixie State is not only playing in their season opener but it will be their first game at the Division 1 level. They come up from the Division 2 ranks which they established themselves as a national power at that level. Thus, the respect they received from oddsmakers by being installed as just a 1.0-point underdog to open. North Dakota is not a great team by any stretch, but they will be good enough tonight to capture the win and cover. Bet on North Dakota for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-20 | South Carolina State v. Clemson OVER 139.5 | 38-75 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
South Carolina State @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Over 139.5 (5*) South Carolina State is 0-2 thus far but registered an enormous 75 field goal attempts per game. They also allowed 91.0 points per game in those pair of defeats. Clemson is coming off an impressive 81-70 win over Purdue in which they had 59 field goal attempts and made an outstanding 49.2% of those. The pace promises to be brisk in this contest. I am predicting Clemson to score in the high eighties to low nineties in this game. South Carolina State will do just enough offensively to hold up its part of the successful equation. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-20 | St. John's +1.5 v. BYU | 68-74 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
St. John’s vs. BYU 5:00 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: St. John’s +1.5 (5*) St. John’s is 3-0 and has played a much tougher schedule than BYU to this point. BYU opened the season with 3 wins over less than stellar competition. The yesterday when stepping up in class versus USC was blown out 79-53 as a 3.5-point favorite. Bet on St. John’s for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-20 | Mississippi Valley State v. Grand Canyon UNDER 161 | 49-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Mississippi Valley State @ Grand Canyon 9:00 PM ET Game# 167-168 Play On: Under 161.0 (5*) The pace in which both teams have shown they prefer to play at thus far is indicative of where this current total is. Mississippi Valley State has allowed 97 points or greater in each of its first 3 games. However, they have only averaged 61.7 points scored per game and shot an awful 35.0% from the field throughout their first 3 contests. Grand Canyon has been stellar defensively in their first 2 games. Nevertheless, in their only game against a Division 1 opponent (Grambling) they were able to score just 69 points and shot only 41.9%. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-20 | USC +3.5 v. BYU | 79-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
USC vs. BYU 2:30 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: USC +3.5 (5*) My power ratings indicate that USC should be a 2.0-point favorite in this game and not a 3.5-point underdog. |
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11-30-20 | Stanford +2.5 v. Alabama | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Stanford vs. Alabama 9:30 PM ET Game# 877-878 Play On: Stanford +2.5 (5*) This game will be played on a neutral floor in Asheville, North Carolina. My personal power numbers indicate that Stanford should be a 1.0-point favorite on a neutral floor. The Cardinal return 4 starters from last season and tonight will be their season opener. Bet on Stanford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-20 | Texas Southern +9.5 v. Wyoming | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Texas Southern @ Wyoming 9:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Texas Southern +9.5 (5*) This line opened with Wyoming being a 6.0-point favorite by has shot up to 9.5. My personal power index indicates that original line was spot on. Let us not get carried away with the 97-61 win by Wyoming over Mississippi Valley State in their season opener. That beaten opponent is attempting to incorporate a extremely high tempo offensive style and does not presently have the personnel fitting that identity. Texas Southern is the preseason favorite to win the Southwestern Conference and will make this game more interesting than Cowboys backers would care to see. Bet on Texas Southern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-20 | Texas Southern v. Wyoming UNDER 147.5 | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas Southern @ Wyoming 9:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Under 147.5 (5*) Like I just alluded to in my pick on the side in this game. Do not be mislead by the 97-points scored by Wyoming in their season opening win. Mississippi State is going to make a lot of teams look explosive offensively because of the lightning quick pace they prefer to play at. My personal numbers indicate the total in this contest should be 142.0. That is precisely what the opening number was at. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-20 | Indiana v. Providence OVER 137 | 79-58 | Push | 0 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Indiana vs. Providence 2:30 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Over 137.0 (5*) Each team will be playing in their 2nd game of the season and both shot the ball very well during their openers. Indiana defeated Tennessee Tech 89-59 while 56.9% from the field. Conversely, Providence beat Fairfield 89-59 while shooting 48.6% from the field, 43.7% from 3-point territory, got to the free throw line an enormous 29 times and made 22 of those attempts for 75.9%. Additionally, both teams played at a frantic tempo with Indiana amassing 65 field goal attempts and Providence 70. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Buccaneers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has been a resilient team thus far. Despite their somewhat disappoing 6-4 record thus far, they have shown an ability to bounce back strong from a poor performance. The Bucs are coming off a Monday night 27-24 home loss to the Rams in a game they were only able to muster 251 yards of offense. However, Tampa Bay has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by an enormous 21.7 points per game. Included in those 3 wins was a 38-10 rout of the 7-3 Green Bay Packers. I may be in the minority and that’s okay when I say that Tampa Bay may matchup better against Kansas City than any other NFC team. They have an outstanding wide receiver corps, quality tight ends, and running back Ronald Jones is having a career year. Their defense is #1 against the run for 2 seasons running, #6 in total yards allowed, and #4 in sacks with 32. Their linebackers are extremely athletic and that always helps when facing a mobile quarterback, the caliber of Patrick Mahomes. If the Chiefs have a weakness it has been their ineffectiveness in consistently stopping opposing running games. They rank #27 in that specific category while allowing 133.5 yards per game. The combination of Jones and Leonard Fournette are more than capable of exposing that potential weakness. That will open up the play action passing game for Tom Brady and his star-studded wide receivers. |
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11-29-20 | Alabama A&M v. Samford UNDER 151 | 78-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Alabama A&M @ Samford 3:00 PM ET Game# 99-100 Play On: Under 151.0 (5*) The projected total I have on this game is 144.0. Neither of these teams play at a consistent torrid pace that should be considered when evaluating this fairly high total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Under 49.5 (5*) Arizona has gone 4-0-1 to the under in their 5 road games this season. Conversely, New England has gone 4-1 to the under in their home games and there were just a combined 40.5 points scored per contest. Arizona is coming off a 28-21 loss to Seattle in their previous game which dropped its season record to 6-4 (.600). New England is coming off a 27020 loss at Houston last Sunday in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. That defeat dropped the Patriots record to 4-6 (.400). This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below. Any team with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that is coming off an away favorite straight up loss and is playing after Game 9 of their season, versus an opponent that has a win percentage of .666 or worse, and that opponent allowed 35 points or fewer in its last game, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Titans v. Colts -3 | 45-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Titans @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Both teams have almost identical offensive statistics when it comes to points scored and yards gained per game, It is not the case defensively where Indianapolis surrenders 98 yards per game less than a the porous Titans stop unit. These teams met just recently on 11/12 and the Colts dominated that contest while coming away with a 34-17 road win and outgaining Tennessee 430-294 in total yards. Under the tutelage of head coach Frank Reich, the Colts are 8-1 straight up and 7-1-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.0 or less and outscored the opposition by 10.0 points per contest. Bet on the Colts minus the points for 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Dolphins v. Jets +7 | 20-3 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Jets +7.0 (5*) There are times you need to make uncomfortable picks to be a successful sports handicapper. This is a prime example of such. Yes the Dolphins are 6-4 and the Jets 0-10. However, this is a Miami team which has thrived in in underdog role for the most part this season. As a matter of fact, this will be only a 2nd time they will be a road favorite. The first was last week at Denver and they failed miserable during a 20-13 defeat as a 4.0-point chalk. It was their first loss in 6 games. Miami exceeded more than 300 yards of total offense just once over their previous 5 games, and even then, it was just 312 in their upset win at Arizona. Furthermore, they were able to produce just 212 yards of total offense last week in Denver against a Broncos defense which allowed an average of 36.0 points per game during its previous 4 contests. The Dolphins have created ways to score points through their defense and special teams. They must certainly be commended for that. Nonetheless, it is highly improbable to be sustainable over a course of an entire season. The Jets have been brutal this season and there is no way to sugarcoat it. However, they have covered 2 of their previous 3 games with the lone exception coming against defending world champion Kansas City. They also will see their starting quarterback Sam Darnold return on Sunday after being sideline for a couple of weeks due to injury. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -14.5 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
LSU @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Texas A&M -14.5 (10*) Thee first college football playoff rankings came out this week and 5-1 Texas A&M is #5. The Aggies can justify their ranking with a decisive win over defending national champion LSU on Saturday night. LSU is a mediocre 3-3 and is a shell of the team they were a season ago. The Tigers are coming off a gratifying 27-24 win at Arkansas. However, they are 0-2 SU&ATS this season following a win and allowed a combined 93 points in those losses to Missouri and Auburn. As a matter of fact, LSU has allowed 44 points or more and 506 yards or greater in all 3 of their losses this season. They will be facing a Texas A&M offense which has averaged 39.8 points scored and 460.0 yards gained during their current 4-gamee win streak. The Aggies only loss this season came at the hands of #1 Alabama. Texas A&M will also be out to revenge a humiliating 50-7 loss at LSU last season. The Aggies will enter this game with plenty of rest as they take the field for a first time in 3 weeks. Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-20 | Rutgers v. Purdue -11 | 37-30 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
Rutgers @ Purdue 4:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5*) After starting the season with what was then a huge upset win at Michigan State, Rutgers has preceded to lose its next 4 games. The latest of which was a gut wrenching 48-42 home loss in overtime versus Michigan in a game they squandered a 17-0 lead. After winning their first 2 games, Purdue has lost 2 straight by narrow to #11 Northwestern 27-20, and then last week at Minnesota 34-31 in a game they outgained the Golden Gophers by 98 yards. The Boilermakers will be reenergized on Saturday with star wide receiver Rondell Moore back into the mix. In his season debut at Minnesota last week, Moore amassed 15 receptions for 116 yards. If there was a silver lining during his absence it was fellow wide receiver David Bell who has hauled in 39 catches for 425 yards and 6 touchdowns during the Boilermakers first 4 games. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Idaho State v. UC-Davis UNDER 144 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Idaho State vs. UC-Davis 4:00 PM T Game# 713-714 Play On: Under 144.0 (10*) My personal numbers that I use on this contest indicates the total should be 136.0 That’s a sizable 8.0-points below the current total which from my experiences in using these calculations is significant. Idaho State has gone under in their first 2 games and there was only a combined average of 116.0 points scored per game. They were key contributors to those low scoring affairs due to playing at snail’s pace offensively which has seen them average just 44 field goal attempts per contest. Even more compelling is they shot a horrible 34.8% while doing so and made a subpar 64.1% of their free throws. Any neutral court team (UC-Davis) with a total of (140.0 to 149.5) that had a win percentage of .400 to .490 in the previous season, versus a team that had a losing record during the season before, resulted in those games going 71-28 (71.7%) under since 1997. The average total in those 99 contests was 144.6 and there were a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-20 | Auburn v. Alabama -24 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 229-230 Play On: Alabama -24.0 (5*) The Crimson Tide will also be playing with big time revenge due to a 48-45 loss at Auburn last year. The Auburn defensive unit has not been the dominant force they were in recent years evidence by the allowing 402.9 yards per game. The Tigers stop unit will bee facing an Alabama offense that averages 49.4 points scored and 548.6 yards gained per game. After a shaky start to the season, the Crimson Tide defense has been dominant over their previous 3 outings while allowing 6.7 points and 227.0 yards per game. Alabama enters this week 7-0 and as the top ranked team in the country. Additionally, there last 3 wins have com by 31 points or mor and they outscored those opponents by an enormous margin of 152-20. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 21.5 to 31.0 that is coming off 3 straight wins by 21 points or more and is playing after Game 5 of their season, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State +0.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State 12:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Georgia State (Pick) (5*) This line jumped off the page at me when I saw 4-4 Georgia State open as a small favorite versus a Georgia Southern team that is 6-3. Upon further investigation, mainly through my trusted and powerful 4D handicapping software, it certainly made sense. Georgia State is coming off a 31-14 away win over South Alabama and easily covered as a 3.5-point favorite. Georgia State enters this week having gone 14-14 straight up in their last 28 home games. This creates a powerful college football betting angle listed below. Any college football conference pick or favorite of 13.5 or less that is playing after Game 8 of their season, and they are coming off a an away favorite ATS win in which it covered by 4.0 or more, and they have won 13 or more of their last 28 at home, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) with a win percentage of .444 or better, resulted in those home teams going 26-1 straight up (96.3%) and 24-3 ATS (88.9%) since 2017. Bet on Georgia State for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Maryland +12 v. Indiana | 11-27 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 191-192 Play On: Maryland +12.0 (5*) Maryland is coming off straight up wins in their previous 2 games and both came as a double-digit underdog. This will also be a Maryland team which that is playing its first game in 3 weeks on Saturday following 2 straight cancellations due to positive COVID-19 tests. On the other hand, Indiana is coming off an emotional 7-point loss at Ohio State in a game they were a large 21.0-points underdog. The Hoosiers also expended a ton of emotional energy while rallying and nearly overcoming a 35-7 second half deficit. Prior to that they had knocked off long-time nemesis Michigan State and Michigan. Up next for the #12 Hoosiers is a date at #18 Wisconsin. Can you say flat spot? Maryland is coming off 2 consecutive wins which improved their season record to 2-1 (.667). They will be facing an Indiana team coming off a 42-35 loss at #3 Ohio State. This sets up an outstanding college football betting angle that is shown below. Any college football away underdog of 8.0 to 14.0 with a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Indiana) coming off a conference loss by 7 points or fewer, and that opponent (Indiana) also has a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-3 ATS (85%) since 2000. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-27-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Eastern Illinois @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Under 150.5 (10*) Although the tempo is in this game will not be anywhere near a snail’s pace, it also won’t be far from blazingly fast. When crunching my numbers, I came up with a total of 142.0 on this game which is well below the current number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager |
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11-27-20 | Oregon v. Oregon State +13.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Oregon State 7:30 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Oregon State +13.5 (5*) Despite their 1-2 record, Oregon State appears to me as an improved team compared to what we witnessed in recent seasons. Oregon State has averaged a respectable 26.4 points scored and 354 yards gained per game. Conversely, notwithstanding of their #9 ranking and 3-0 record, Oregon has shown a vulnerability defensively. The Ducks defense has allowed their first 3 opponents to rack up an average of 432.0 yards per game. Oregon State is also coming off a momentum building 31-27 home win over California in their previous outing in a game they were a 1.0-point underdog. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3 | 41-16 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Dallas -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a 31-28 upset win at Minnesota last Sunday in a game they closed as a 7.5-point underdog. That win improved the Cowboys season record to 3-7 (.300). Washington is coming off a 20-9 win over Cincinnati this past Sunday. That victory made their record also 3-7 (.300). Any NFL favorite of 3.0 to 11.0 (Dallas) who possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 30 points or greater and covered by 3.0 or more, versus an opponent (Washington) with a win percentage of .166 or better, and that opponent scored 20 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 2014. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 17.0 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions UNDER 51.5 | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Texans @ Lions 12:30 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Under 51.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 20-0 loss at Carolina last week in a game in which they were a 3.0-point favorite. This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below. Any NFL home team with a total of 52.0 or less that is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 28-1 (96.6%) to the under since 2016. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-20 | UCLA v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
UCLA @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: San Diego State +3.0 (10*) My preseason power ratings indicate that San Diego State should be a 4.5-point favorite in this game instead of a 3.0-point underdog. That is a huge 7.5-point overlay that favors the home underdog Aztecs. UCLA is an experienced team that returns all 5 starters and is #22 in the college basketball preseason poll. However, it is extremely difficult for opponents to win at Viejas Arena in San Diego. How difficult is it? Since the start of the 2008-2009 season, San Diego State has gone 174-24 (.879) straight up at home. That lends itself well to home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rams @ Buccaneers 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) The Rams have gone under in their last 6 contests and there were just a combined 37.3 points scored per contest. The Rams are #5 in total offense but just #17 in points scored per game. Despite having a plethora of talent at the offensive skilled positions, Tampa Bay is just #17 in total offense. Both these defenses are vastly underrated units. The Rams are #1 in total defense while Tampa Bay is #3. Both teams have heavily applied consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks with the Rams amassing 32 sacks thus far and Tampa Bay with 31. The Rams are #2 in points allowed while Tampa Bay is a more than respectable #9. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Packers v. Colts -1 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Indianapolis 4:25 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Indianapolis -1.0 (5*) The difference in this game will be the Colts defense which is far superior compared to the Green Bay stop unit. Indianapolis is #1 in total defense (290.4 YPG), #4 in point allowed (19.7 PG), 2nd against the pass (19.7 YPG), and 3rd against the run (91.8 YPG). Green Bay is 7-2 but has been a beneficiary of a soft schedule with 7 of those contests coming against teams which currently have a losing record. The Colts are coming off a huge divisional 34-17 win at Tennessee in their previous game. That contest was played on a Thursday night and they will have an additional 3 days of rest than Green Bay has been afforded. Since 2018, the Colts are a perfect 5-0 straight up in non-division home games following a contest against a division opponent, and all with Frank Reich as their head coach. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off a home win over Jacksonville last Sunday. Since 2018, the Packers are 3-7 straight up in away games following a home win, and that includes 0-4 if their line was +3.0 to -3.0. Considering what this current point-spread is, those recent team trends take on added significance. Bet on Indianapolis for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team -1 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington -1.0 (10*) For starters, Cincinnati is an abysmal 0-16-1 straight up during their last 17 away games. Considering what this point-spread is, it would be difficult to ignore the Bengals most recent futility on the road. Cincinnati will be facing a vastly underrated Washington defense which goes overlooked because of its current 2-7 record. However, the Washington stop unit ranks #7 in yards allowed per game (320.7), #5 in sacks with 28, and surrenders an NFL best 194.7 yards passing per game. What has been even more encouraging for Washington backers is their team has shown some life offensively of late. During their last 3 outing, Washington has averaged 24 points scored and 421 yards gained per game. Veteran 36-year-old quarterback Alex Smith made his first start in a 27-24 loss at Detroit last Sunday. He was magnificent in going 38-55 for 390 yards passing. His story is well documented and serves as an additional inspiration for a team that is still in contention for a NFC East Division title. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Cleveland -2.0 (5*) The Eagles are 1-3 SU&ATS on the road this season. Philadelphia is also 0-3 this season against teams which currently have a winning record like Cleveland (6-3). The Eagles defense has allowed 148 yards rushing per game and 4.8 yards per attempt over its last 3 outings. That will be problematic considering they are facing a running team in Cleveland led by star running back Nick Chubb and a superb backup in Kareem Hunt. I also look for the Cleveland defense to force a minimum 2 turnovers in this contest which will be critical to the outcome of this contest. The Eagles have committed 7 turnovers in their first 9 games of the season and are at a -7 margin in that department. Bet on Cleveland for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -5 | 30-24 | Loss | -121 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Baltimore -5.0 (5*) After getting off to a 5-0 start, Tennessee has dropped 3 of its last 4 games. In all 3 of those losses the Titans had less than 300 yards of total offense and now they are about to face one of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Additionally, Tennessee has been porous defensively as evidenced by them giving up 398.1 yards per game. The Titans are 2-1 on the road by all 3 contests came against team who currently have a losing record, and their 2 wins came by just a combined 3 points. Baltimore will be in a sour mood after losing at New England last Sunday night in front of a national television audience. Furthermore, the Ravens will be playing with big time revenge after being upset at home against Tennessee last season during the AFC Divisional Round. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 7:30 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Oklahoma State +7.0 This will be the toughest defense that Oklahoma would have faced this season. The Cowboys have allowed 21 points or fewer in 5 of its 6 games this season. The only exception came in their lone loss which came in overtime versus Texas. The Oklahoma State offense has been as high scoring as we have seen under head coach Mike Gundy, but still has gained a sizable 461 yards or more in 3 of its last 4 games. Spence Sanders is a better than average quarterback and star running back Chuba Hubbard is an absolute stud. The Oklahoma defense has shown improvement from a season ago but at the same time remains vulnerable. The Sooners have allowed 37 points or greater on 3 separate occasion this year and 400 yards or more 4 times. Oklahoma State has gone a profitable 3-1 ATS in their last 4 visits to Norman. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Liberty v. NC State -3.5 | Top | 14-15 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Liberty @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: NC State -3.5 (10*) If NC State even contemplated taking Liberty lightly all they need to do is use Virginia Tech as a lesson not to do so. Liberty went into Blacksburg earlier this season and defeated Virginia Tech 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog. This certainly will be a bigger game for upstart Liberty while seeking their 2nd win over a Power 5 Conference school this season. However, NC State has unequivocally played the tougher schedule and combined with my previous point made should have no excuse on Saturday to come up with nothing less than a huge effort. Liberty is coming off a 58-14 blowout win over West Carolina and that improved their season record to 8-0. Conversely, Virginia Tech is coming off a 38-22 win over Florida State which now makes them 5-3 this season. The combination of this data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 2.0 or more that has at least 1 loss on the season, and they scored 22 points or greater during its previous game, versus an undefeated opponent that is playing after Game 8 of their season who allowed 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was 20.3 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-21-20 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Northwestern 3:30 PM ET Game# 395-396 Play On: Northwestern +7.5 (5*) Northwestern is off to a 4-0 start which includes quality road wins at Iowa and Purdue. Wisconsin has played only 2 games due to COVID-19 outbreaks but has been extremely impressive in win over Illinois 45-7 and Michigan 49-11. However, Northwestern has held their own against Wisconsin over the past 25 years. Since 1995, Northwestern has gone 14-5 ATS against the Badgers and won 9 of those 19 encounters straight up. As a matter of fact, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS and 3-3 straight up in their last 6 games versus Wisconsin and all under the watchful eye of current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats have allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their 4 games and all have come against fellow Big 10 Conference teams. They have also forced an impressive 10 turnovers during those 4 wins. Northwestern will be able to stay in this game throughout due to the stellar play of their stingy defense. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this game, but I will not be greedy or foolish and take the points. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Central Florida +6.0 (5*) This will be unequivocally the best defense that UCF has faced this season. Conversely, this will also be the most dymamic offense that Cincinnati has faced so far. As a matter of fact, UCF is # in the country in total offense while gaining 619.1 yards per game. Another factor to consider in the speed of which the UCF offense plays. The Golden Knights average an enormous 87 offensive plays per game. On the other hand, the most offensive plays that the Cincinnati defense has been asked to defend this season was 85 against SMU. As a matter of fact, Cincinnati opponents this season have averaged only 71 offensive plays per game against them. Central Florida is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Temple in their previous game. Since 2017, the Golden Knights have gone 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Furthermore, UCF enters this week having won 25 straight home games against all team not named Tulsa. Finally, my wild card is this contest will be Central Florida quarterback Dillon Gabriel. The left-handed sophomore is averaging a plentiful 396.3 passing yards per game while throwing for 23 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -4 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Coastal Carolina -4.0 (5*) Coastal Carolina is coming off a 23-6 conference win over South Alabama. That win improved their season record to a perfect 7-0. Appalachian State enters this week on a 5-game win streak and their last 4 all came against fellow Sun Belt Conference teams. Any college football conference home favorite of 3.5 to 9.0 that is coming off a conference win, and owns a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better that is coming off 3 or more wins in a row including the most recent one coming against a conference opponent, resulted in those home favorites going an outstanding 50-13 ATS (79.3%) since 1997. Bet on Coastal Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks | 21-28 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 8;20 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Cardinals +3.0 (5*) Although the Seahawks are 4-0 at home this season, their average margin of victory has been only 5.7 points per game. Despite the hot start at home, the Seahawks are only 15-10 straight up during their previous 15 home games. Conversely, since 2015, Arizona has gone an outstanding 11-4 straight up and 11-3-1 ATS in division road games. That includes going 6-1 SU&ATS during that identical time span as a division road underdog of 8.0 or less. At the end of the day, the Seattle defense has been porous all season long and will continue to struggle against an Arizona offense that has scored 30 points or more in each of its previous 5 games. Arizona has gone 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Seattle. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +7 | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Eastern Michigan +7.0 (5*) The last 3 meeting between these teams were all decided by 5 points or fewer. Eastern Michigan is coming off back to back conference road losses by scores of 27-23 and 38-31. They covered on each of those occasions as an underdog. Toledo is coming off an excruciating 41-38 loss at Western Michigan. The Rockets inexplicably blew a 38-27 loss with less than a minute to play in that contest. That loss now makes Toledo 0-5 SU&ATS in conference away games since the start of last season. Any college football home team that is coming off conference losses by 7 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-22 straight up since 2011. Considering this college football straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this game it takes on added significance. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 44 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Bears 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Under 44.0 (5*) These teams have seen 5 of their last 6 meetings in Chicago go under the total. Minnesota is coming off a 34-20 win over Detroit in their previous game. The Vikings have gone under in 10 of their last 12 after scoring 34 points or greater in their previous game. Minnesota has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 away when there was a total of 44.0 or less. Chicago has gone under in 12 of their last 15 at home and that includes all 5 if there was a total of 44.0 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 36.7 points scored per game. The Bears are #9 in total defense and #7 in scoring defense. Conversely, they are an awful #30 in both yards gained and points scored per game. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 45.0 or less has gone 12-2 (83.3%) under the total since 2011. If they were facing an opponent that scored 31 points or more in their previous contest, then all 7 of those contests stayed under while just a combined average of 32.4 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams -2 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Rams -2.0 (10*) The Seahawks defense has been brutal this season and especially against opposing passing games. They rank dead last in total defense having allowed 455.8 yards per game and that includes an NFL worst 362.1 yards per contest. How bad is their defensive passing numbers? The next worst is Atlanta who surrenders 51.8 passing yards fewer per game than Seattle. The Seahawks have been bailed out by the heroics of their quarterback Russel Wilson. However, Wilson turned the ball over via interception or fumbles 7 times over the Seahawks last 3 games of which 2 of those contests resulted in losses. The Rams are unequivocally the more balanced team in this matchup in terms of offense and defense. They are #2 in total defense and #6 in total offense heading into this game. Head coach Sean McVay is a brilliant offensive mind and will have a field day calling plays that will thoroughly exploit this inept Seattle defense. By the way, since 2018, the Rams are 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less. Los Angles is coming off their bye week and benefit from that extra time to prepare and rest for this huge game against a team they trail by a mere 1.0 game in the NFC West standings. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-15-20 | Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | 21-29 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Dolphins 4:05 Game# 277-278 Play On: Chargers +1.5 (5*) The Dolphins enter this contest red-hot by having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. To their credit, Miami is finding ways to win games by being more opportunistic rather than good, and that has been especially evident in their previous 2 contests against the Rams and Cardinals. They were outgained by a margin of 471-145 versus the Rams and 442-312 against Arizona. The Dolphins were beneficiaries of two long defensive fumble returns for touchdowns and returned a punt 88 yards for another score. Winning by those methods over an extended period is unsustainable. The Chargers are 2-6 and continue to be creative in finding ways to lose games they should have won. All 6 of their defeats have come by 7 points or fewer. The last 2 weeks they fell in gut wrenching fashion. The blew a 24-3 second half lead at Denver and ultimately lost on a Denver touchdown on the final play of that contest. Last week they seemingly turned the trick by scoring a touchdown on the final play of the 4th quarter to beat the Raiders, only to have that score be overturned by video review. Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert continues to play at an extremely high level. During the Chargers last 3 outings, their offense 31.7 points scored and 469.7 yards gained per game. Bet on the Chargers for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs v. Panthers +6 | 46-23 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Panthers 1: PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Panthers +6.0 (5*) Carolina has lost 4 in a row, but they have been in all those games. In fact, 5 of the Panthers 6 losses this season have come by 8 points or fewer. Ironically, the other loss that did not fit the parameter came in Week 2 when they fell at Tampa Bay 31-17. Nonetheless, they outgained the Bucs in that game 427-339 but were plagued by committing 4 turnovers. Yes, the Panthers will once again be without star running back Christian McCaffery due to a shoulder injury sustained in a 33-31 loss at Kansas City last Sunday. Nevertheless, all 3 of their wins this season were without McCaffery being available. The Bucs are coming off an embarrassing 38-3 home loss to New Orleans which was witnessed by a Sunday night national television audience. After looking like they were starting to gel offensively during previous weeks action, Tampa Bay was only able to amass 194 yards of total offense against a mediocre at best Saints defense. Any NFL underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 which allowed 31 points or more in their previous game, and they are facing a division opponent that scored 21 points or fewer during its last game, resulted in those division underdogs going 31-3 ATS (91.1%) since 1992. |
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11-15-20 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Giants +4.0 (5*) The Giants have lost to the Eagles 8 straight times. However, they were a profitable 5-3 ATS during those contests. As a matter of fact, 6 of those 8 losses came by 6 points or less including an earlier season 22-21 defeat at Philadelphia. New York has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog this season. Furthermore, the Giants last 5 games overall have all been decided by 3 points or fewer. The Giants are coming off an away underdog 23-20 straight up win at Washington last Sunday. The New York defense has been solid of late. They have allowed 93 yards or fewer rushing in 6 of its last 7 game and are #6 in the NFL in that specific category. As has been the case in recent games, the Giants will keep this game extremely close at the very worst and have a very realistic chance of winning straight up. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-14-20 | Arkansas v. Florida -17 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Florida -17.0 (10*) At first glance when looking at this line on Monday, my initial feeling was Florida would be in for an emotional letdown after defeating Georgia for a first time in 4 tries during its previous game. However, that win catapulted them to #6 in the country, and if they aspire to be in the SEC title game or the College Football 4-team Playoff, they have no room for error. Additionally, they are going to need some style points along the way. Arkansas has been a nice story this season under first year head coach Sam Pittman. After being an SEC laughingstock for the past few seasons, the Razorbacks are a respectable 3-3 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those contests. It is highly improbable that Florida will overlook this game in lieu of what they have at stake and how competitive of an opponent they will be facing. Furthermore, the Razorbacks will be without head coach Sam Pittman who tested positive for COVID-19 this week. Former Missouri head coach and now Arkansas defensive coordinator will take on the temporary head coaching duties. From an emotional standpoint, that will affect the Razorbacks in some way, shape, or form. I look for Florida to make a further emphatic statement in “The Swamp” on Saturday night. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -2 | 25-24 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Miami @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 155-157 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.0 (5*) Virginia tech was a substantial 17.0-point home favorite last week as an unranked team against upstart #25 Liberty. The Hokies let their guard down and were knocked off by Liberty 38-35. Nevertheless, they has not deterred the books from making them an unranked favorite again this week and this time versus #9 Miami. The Hurricanes are enjoying a 6-1 season to this point with their lone defeat coming at Clemson. They barely escaped with a 44-41 win at NC State in their last game and needed a late rally to win as a road favorite of -11.0. The Canes have allowed an alarmingly high 39.0 points and 492.0 yards per contest throughout their 3 road games this season. They will be facing a balanced and explosive Virginia Tech offense. I look for the Hokies to bounce back with a huge effort on Saturday. Bet on Virginia Tech for a 5* wager. |
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11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Michigan State +7.5 (5*) Indiana is coming off an emotional 38-21 win over Michigan. In doing so, they snapped a 24-game losing streak versus Michigan and won for a first time since 1987. Now they go on the road as a touchdown favorite against a Michigan State team that was embarrassed last week during a 49-7 defeat at Iowa as just a 5.0-point underdog. Additionally, Indiana has #3 Ohio State up next. This looks like the proverbial flat spot for #10 Indiana. Bet on Michigan State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 48.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Colts @ Titans 8:20 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Indianapolis is #1 in total defense which includes #3 against the run. Although the Tennessee defensive statistics are poor, they have thwarted off many offensive drives by their opponents by forcing 14 turnovers through 8 games. Conversely, the Titans offense has averaged a mammoth 35:29 in time of possession during their previous 3 games. You can cover up a lot of defensive deficiencies when you can minimize your opponent’s offensive possessions. Any NFL team playing on a Thursday after Game 8 of their season, and they are facing a division opponent (Colts) that is coming off a SU&ATS loss, resulted in those games going 18-0 to the under since 1991. Those 18 contests had a mere combined 32.3 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Western Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Western Michigan -2.0 (5*) Toledo has gone an abysmal 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an away underdog, and that includes 0-7 ATS if they scored 28 points or more during their previous game. Conversely, Western Michigan has won 7 straight at home and that includes going 5-1 ATS versus FBS opponents. Western Michigan will be seeking big time revenge after going 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games against Toledo. Both teams are coming off blowout wins in their season openers played last Wednesday. Toledo defeated Bowling Green 38-3 and covered easily as a 23.5-point home favorite. Western Michigan shellacked Akron 58-13 while covering comfortably as a 20.5-point away favorite. These results set up a profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football conference home favorite of 9.5 or less that is coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, and they are facing an opponent coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they also covered by 10.0 or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-8 ATS (72.4%) since 1984. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Play On: Jets +10.0 (5*) I know the Jets are horrible which is fully evidenced by their 0-8 record. What makes matters worse from a betting perspective is they failed to cover in 7 of those 8 contests and have been outscored by an average of 18.0 points per game. However, they will be facing a 2-5 New England team that is 0-3 in away games this season. The Patriots have endured their fair share of offensive struggles this season. As a matter of fact, they enter today having lost 4 in a row while averaging only 12.3 points and gained a mere 283.8 yards per game during that stretch. Additionally, NFL betting history clearly favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any NFL home underdog of between 10.0 and 14.0 that possesses a win percentage of worse than .200, and they are facing an opponent coming off a loss and has a win percentage of worse of less than .700, resulted in those sizable home underdogs going 17-5 ATS (77.3%) since 1995. Furthermore, those double-digit home underdogs won 6 of those 22 games straight up. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4 | 38-3 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
Saints @ Buccaneers 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Buccaneers -4.0 (5*) Tampa Bay will be out for revenge after losing their season opener at New Orleans 34-23. The Bucs were plagued by being -3 in the turnover department and wasted a stellar effort by their defense who held New Orleans to a mere 271 yards. Since that loss, Tampa Bay has gone 5-1 and had a substantial +9 turnover margin while doing so. The Bucs will get a boost at wide receiver with Chris Godwin returning from injury and former all-pro Antonio Brown set to make his 2020 debut. The Tampa defense is a vastly underrated unit that has been #1 in the NFL against the run during the past 2 seasons. New Orleans is 4-0 but those wins have come by a combined 15 points. As a matter of fact, they won their previous 3 games by exactly 3 points on each occasion. Bet on Tampa Bay minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Cardinals 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Cardinals -4.5 (10*) Miami is coming off a 28-14 home win over the Rams. However, they were outgained in that game by a decisive margin of 471-145. The Dolphins scored 2 touchdowns in that win via a 78-yard fumble return and an 88-yard punt return. The Rams also committed 4 turnovers and 2 of which set the Miami offense up with a short field to work with. Tua Tagovailoa made his much-anticipated NFL debut last Sunday and was an uninspiring 12-23 for 90 yards passing. This will be his first career start on the road. Arizona is coming off their bye week and is coming off a thrilling 37-34 overtime win over NFC West Division leading Seattle (6-1). Bet on the Cardinals minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills +3 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Bills +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off a 37-27 home win over San Francisco. Buffalo is coming off wins over the Jets and Patriots in their last 2 games played. The Bills have now gone 20-12 during their previous 32 games. Any NFL home team that is coming off 2 straight wins with the last being against a division opponents, and they have won 17 or more of its previous 32 games played, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 70-9 (88.6%) since 1982. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Ravens v. Colts | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Colts (Pick) (5*) The Colts are coming off an impressive 41-21 win at Detroit. Baltimore is coming off a 28-24 home favorite straight up 28-24 loss to their bitter division rival Pittsburgh. This sets up a strong NFL betting angle which supports the home team and is displayed below. Any NFL home team that is coming off an away win by 10 points or more and has a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 22-2 (91.7%) straight up since 1986. This straight up betting angle takes on added value in lieu of the current line. Bet on the Colts for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Bears v. Titans UNDER 47.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show | |
Bears @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) Chicago is coming off a 26-23 overtime loss to New Orleans. Tennessee is coming off a 31-20 loss to Cincinnati in a game in which they were a 7.0-point favorite. Any NFL home team playing after Game 2 of its season with a total of 50.5 or less, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed greater than 23 points, versus an opponent which allowed 13 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 29-0 under the total since 2016. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Baylor v. Iowa State -13.5 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Baylor @ Iowa State 7:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Iowa State -13.5 (10*) It is clear at this point that Baylor is nowhere near the caliber of team that they were a season ago under current Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Ruhle. Iowa State is better than their present 4-2 record indicates. Iowa State is averaging 433.3 yards of total offense per game. The Cyclones are coming off a 52-22 blowout win at Kansas in a game they outgained the Jayhawks by 302 total yards. Baylor is allowing 371.8 yards per game. The combination of this data sets up a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of between 10.5 to 21.0 points that is coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by 125 yards or more, and that home favorite is facing an opponent which is allowing between 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home favorites going 25-2 ATS since 2011. The average line in those 27 contests was 15.2 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by a substantial 24.9 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-07-20 | Florida +3 v. Georgia | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Florida +3.0 (5*) Georgia has been excellent defensively this season except in their 41-24 loss to Alabama. The Crimson Tide racked up an enormous 564 yards of total offense in that contest which included 417 through the air. Now Georgia has the task of attempting a red-hot Florida offense led quarterback Kyle Trask that has averaged 42.0 points scored and 476.5 yards gained per game. The Gators defense has been suspect thus far but they are coming of its best effort of the season in holding Missouri to 248 yards during a 41-17 win. The Gators will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Georgia in each of the previous 3 seasons. Georgia has also committed 7 turnovers over the past 3 games and has received inconsistent play from quarterback Stetson Bennett. Florida will be able to score on this stout Georgia defense and the Bulldogs will not have the offense to keep up. Bet on Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech -16.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Liberty @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Virginia Tech -16.5 (5*) We have an unranked team like Virginia Tech as a better than 2 touchdown chalk against an opponent like Liberty who is presently ranked #25 in the AP Poll. That tells me everything I need to know. As I have stated on many occasions over the past 2 few weeks, you should trust the oddsmakers implicitly over those who vote in college football national polls. Sure, Liberty is 5-0, but their wins have come over opponents that currently have a combined record of 4-26. The Hokies will totally outclass the upstart Liberty Flames and will cover this large number. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 349-350 Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a stunning upset win at in state rival Michigan last Saturday and they did so as a mammoth 21.5-point underdog. However, this is the same team which opened their season two weeks ago with an equally stunning 38-27 loss to Rutgers in a game they were a home favorite of 9.5. I say equally as stunning because Rutgers had entered that contest on a 22-game Big 10 losing streak. The Spartan committed 7 turnovers in that defeat. Iowa is currently 0-2 but those defeats came by only a combined 5 points. Additionally, those 2 losses came against Purdue and Northwestern who have begun their seasons with a cumulative 4-0 record. My handicapping software goes back to 1980 and shows Iowa never beginning a season 0-3 over that 40-year span. Iowa head coach Hayden Frye has been in his current position and same locale since 1999. During his tenure, Iowa has gone 4-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 8.5 or less following 2 consecutive losses, and they won by a decisive margin of 28.5 points per game. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3.5 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
BYU @ Boise State 9:45 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Boise State +3.5 (5*) I always look find home underdogs with a strong home field. This is certainly one of those situations. Since 1987, Boise State has gone an outstanding 156-31 (.834) straight up at home. More recently, the Broncos have gone 25-3 (.893) straight up at home since 2016. BYU is 7-0 but their schedule has been far tough. Those 7 victories have come over opponents that have a current combined 18-27 (.400) and none of those games were against teams from a Power 5 Conference. Since 1999, Boise State is a very profitable 27-12 ATS (69.2%) as an underdog. Boise State is coming off 2 straight covers with both coming as a double-digit favorite. This sets up a tremendous college football straight up betting angle which is applicable to this game and supports the home underdog. Any college football home team which is coming off back to back covers as a double-digit favorite has gone 41-5 (89.1%) straight up since 2016. Bet on Boise State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-20 | Miami-FL v. NC State +11 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: NC State +11.0 (5*) NC State is coming off a 48-21 loss at North Carolina in their previous game and failed to cover as a 16.0-point underdog. That loss dropped their season record to 4-2 (.667). Miami is coming off wins over Pittsburgh and Virginia in their previous 2 games played. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home underdog of 5.0 to 16.0 points that is coming off a conference away underdog ATS loss, and they possess a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent that won each of their previous 2 contests, resulted in those home underdogs going 24-5 ATS (82.7%) since 2000. Additionally, those home underdogs won 13 of those 29 games straight up. Bet on NC State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-20 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 62 | 3-38 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Bowling Green 8:00 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Toledo had an abysmal defense a season ago evidenced by them being ranked 123rd nationally in that category. The Rockets offensive running game should be able to be extremely successful against a suspect at best Bowling Green defense. This has all the ear marks of a wildly entertaining and high scoring game. Toledo should be able to get out to a comfortable lead in the 2nd half thus making Bowling Green to rely on their passing game. I look for the Falcons to have success via their passing game when that situation arises mostly due to Toledo most likely reverting to a soft cover two shell. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 53 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
49ers @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Over 53.0 (5*) The Seahawks offense is Super Bowl caliber, but the defense resembles that of a 2-14 team. Seattle has surrendered 415 yards or more in all 6 of their games this season. As a matter of fact, despite an impressive 5-1 record so far, Seattle is allowing 28.7 points and 479.2 yards per game. They have been the most vulnerable through the air evidenced by their 6 opponents averaging 369 yards per game passing against them. I am not so much enamored with the 49ers 3-0 SU&ATS road record while allowing just 9.3 yards per game. After all, those 3 wins have come over opponents that currently possess a combined record of 3-17. Nonetheless, they did average 33.6 points scored per game in those victories. The 49ers top 3 running backs are sidelined by injuries, but they will be able to move the ball regardless and specifically so through the air. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +7 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
Titans @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Bengals +7.0 (5*) The Titans are coming off an extremely physical game last week during a 27-24 heartbreaking home loss to Pittsburgh. That was a battle of unbeaten AFC teams at that time and the intensity level was high on both sides. I can not envision anyway humanely possible that Tennessee can maintain the emotion it expended last week on their upcoming game against a 1-5-1 Cincinnati team. Despite their dismal record, Cincinnati has covered 5 of their 7 games. Cincinnati is just 1-2 at home but has averaged 26.7 points scored and 422.7 yards gained per game. Conversely, Tennessee has allowed 25.5 points and 401.8 yards per game this season. If not for the fact that the Titans have forced 12 turnovers in 6 games those defensive numbers would be much worse. Cincinnati is coming off a gut wrenching 37-34 home loss to Cleveland last week. Any NFL team coming off a a game in which they scored and allowed 30 points or more, and they are facing an opponent coming off a loss by 6 points or fewer, resulted in those teams going 22-7 (75.9%) straight up since 2016. This is an outstanding straight up betting angle when considering it is back a 7.0-point home underdog in this contest. Bet on the Bengals plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Colts v. Lions +3 | 41-21 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Colts @ Lions 1:00 ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Lions +3.0 (5*) The Colts defense had allowed 12 points and 236 yards per game through their first 4 contests this season. However, in their last 2 outings they have allowed 29.5 points and 391.5 yards per game to Cleveland and Cincinnati. Detroit is coming off 2 straight wins at Jacksonville and at Atlanta. Those victories evened their record at 3-3. During all 3 of their losses they blew double-digit leads. Nonetheless, the Lions first 4 opponents of the season currently have a combined record of 21-9 so they certainly were not going against creampuffs. Any NFL team (Lions) that is coming off back to back road wins in their previous 2 contests, and they are playing a non-conference opponent (Colts), resulted in those teams going 33-6 (84.6%) straight up since 2011. This straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the underdog. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -125 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Baltimore -3.5 (10*) Pittsburgh is coming off a very physical game last week at Tennessee in a game in which they nearly squandered 20-point 2nd half lead before holding on for a 27-24 win. That win improved their season record to an unblemished 6-0. I am sure a good portion of public action will back the undefeated Steelers as an underdog this week. However, I am not one of those individuals. Especially when considering they will be facing a 5-1 Ravens team which is coming off their buy week and one that may be even more physical than Tennessee. Furthermore, since 2002, Baltimore has gone a terrific 15-3 straight up and 14-4 ATS following a bye week. During that time, the Ravens have had only two head coaches in Brian Billick and John Harbaugh. There is something to be said for continuity when making sense of those extremely profitable results. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Penn State +12.5 (10*) Despite losing being upset 36-35 at Indiana last week as a 7.0-point favorite, Penn State outgained the Hoosiers 488-211. Ohio State is coming off a season opening home blowout win over Nebraska. However, the Cornhuskers were able to move the ball evidenced by its 370 yards of total offense in that contest. Any college football conference home underdog of 14.0 or less that is coming off an away favorite of 7.0 or greater straight up loss in which they allowed 22 points or greater, and they are facing an opponent coming off a home win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 2009. The home underdogs also won 6 of those 11 games straight up. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-31-20 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Louisville | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Louisville 4:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Virginia Tech -3.0 (5*) The difference in this game will be the Virginia Tech offensive rushing attack. The Hokies are averaging a robust 292.0 yards per game rushing and that includes a sizable 6.5 yards per attempt. They will be facing a Louisville defense which has allowed their opponents to rush for 230 yards per contest including a lofty 5.6 yards per attempt over their previous 3 games. Virginia Tech is coming off a 23-16 loss at Wake Forest in a game they closed as a 10.5-point favorite. Conversely, Louisville is coming off a 49-16 blowout win ober Florida State while easily covering as a 5.0-point home favorite. The combination of those results and this current point-spread produces an unbeaten college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football road favorite of 1.5 or greater that is coming off a straight up loss as an away favorite of 12.5 or less, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite cover and they have a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those road teams came by a decisive 22.8 points per game. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -3.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: West Virginia -3.5 (5*) This is a classic example of an unranked team like West Virginia being installed as a favorite versus a ranked (#16) team in Kansas State. I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers evaluation of team than those individuals voting in the weekly polls. West Virginia is a perfect 3-0 at home this season and that includes 2 wins over Big 12 opponents. They have been stingy on defense since the season began but even more so at home where the Mountaineers have allowed 16.0 points and 206,0 yards per game. Contrarily, the Kansas State defense has allowed 427.6 yards per game during their 4-1 start to the season. The West Virginia offense is more than capable of exploiting the weaknesses of a defense that has stopped opponents more so because of turnovers than anything else. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 59.5 | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 44 m | Show | |
Hawaii @ Wyoming 9:45 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Over 59.5 (5*) Hawaii is coming off a season opening 34-19 win at Fresno State last Saturday. During that victory they amassed a substantial 554 yards of total offense. Hawaii also surrendered 409 yards to the Fresno State offense but were bailed out by 4 forced turnovers. Wyoming lost their season opener 37-34 at Nevada. That game easily sailed over the total of 53.0. The Cowboys defense allowed Nevada to produce 496 yards of total offense which included 420 in the air. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama +4.5 v. Georgia Southern | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 7:30 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5*) Georgia Southern is coming off a 28-14 loss at Coastal Carolina which dropped their season record to 3-2 (.600). South Alabama is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games which improved their season mark to 3-2 (.600) and that includes 4-1 ATS. Any college football away underdog that is playing before Game 11 of their season, and has a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a road loss who owns a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-1 ATS (.954) since 1991. The away underdogs also won 13 of those 22 games straight up. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-20 | Rays +121 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rays (Snell) vs. Dodgers (Gonsolin 8;08 PM ET Play On: Rays +121 (108) The Rays sense of urgency will be at peak capacity tonight as they face elimination. They are 2-0 this postseason when facing elimination with wins over the Yankees and Astros. Tampa is coming off a 4-2 loss in Game 5. The good news is they are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 games this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater following a loss. The rays will have an excellent opportunity to jump out to a lead tonight against Tony Gonsolin who has struggled in 2 postseason starts. The Rays Blake Snell is a former American League Cy Young winner and I look for a strong 5.0 innings out of him. Bet on the Rays as a 10* Top Play money line underdog. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Bears @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Bears +6.0 (5*) After careful research, this looks to me as a game that will go down to the wire. The Bears have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in away games this season and all came as an underdog. The Rams are 2-0 at home but their wins came over the Cowboys and Giants who currently have a combined 3-11 record. The Rams are also 0-2 SU&ATS this season versus opponents that currently have a winning record. Chicago has committed only 1 turnover in each of their previous 3 games. The Rams failed to force a turnover during their previous game which resulted in a 24-16 loss to San Francisco. This sets up a string NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 that committed 1 turnover or fewer in their previous game, and they are facing an opponent that forced no turnover during its last contest, resulted in those away underdogs going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 2016. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5*wager. |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 38 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cardinals 8:20 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Cardinals +3.5 (10*) The Seahawks offense has been Super Bowl caliber thus far led by star quarterback Russell Wilson and an extremely talented group of wide receivers. Nevertheless, their defense has been another story and has shown no signs of improvement at this point. The Seattle stop unit is allowing 27.2 points and an atrocious 471.2 yards per game. They are especially inept against the pass which is indicated by them surrendering 280 yards per game in that specific category. Moreover, they allowed Minnesota (1-5) to rush for over 200 yards last week in a game they narrowly escaped with a 27-26 win as a home favorite of 6.5-points. That porous Seattle defense will have their hands full on Sunday night against an Arizona offense that averages 27.7 points and 402.5 yards per game. You also may be surprised to know that the Cardinals defense has been stellar as well while allowing just 18.7 points per game which is 4th best in the NFL. The Cardinals are coming off an impressive 38-10 home win at Dallas. If they hope to be a serious contender in the NFC West race, then this is an early must win situation. A win moves them to within 1.0 game of Seattle, and a loss would put them in a substantial 3.0 game hole. Any NFL team (Arizona) which is coming off a road win by 21 points or more and is facing an opponent (Seattle) coming off a home game in which both teams scored 24 points or greater, resulted in those teams going 41-11 (78.8%) straight up since 1983. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the home underdog. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-25-20 | Jaguars v. Chargers -7 | 29-39 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Chargers -7.0 (5*) The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed 30 points or more in each of their previous 5 games. They have also failed to cover in 4 straight contests and lost by an average of 15.0 points per game. Since 2018, the Jaguars are 2-10 ATS after allowing 30 or more points in their previous game, and that includes 0-4 SU&ATS this season. The Chargers just need to finish what they started. During their last 2 games, they lead at halftime 24-14 at Tampa Bay and 20-10 at New Orleans. The Chargers last 4 games have come against teams with a combined 16-7 record. While the Jaguars last game have been versus opponent who currently have a cumulative record of 7-15-1. The moral of the story is the Chargers are not as bad as their 1-4 record indicates. While Jacksonville is every bit as bad as their 1-5 mark shows. Any NFL favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 that scored 17 points or more in the 1st half of their previous 2 games, and they are facing an opponent that allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 2 contests, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 26-6 ATS (81.2%) since 1983. The average line in those 32 contests was 6.7 and the favorite outscored the underdogs by an average of 17.0 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders +4 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Raiders +4.0 (5*) Tampa Bay has been a public darling since the season began and for obvious reasons. They will especially be so after hammering then undefeated Green Bay last week 38-10 while doing so as a 2.5-point home underdog. As a matter of fact, I had Tampa Bay as my NFL 10* Top Play of the week. However, this appears to me as a vulnerable spot for the Bucs with all being considered. They will be facing a Raiders team off a bye week and a 40-2 upset win at Kansas City as an 11.0-point underdog which improved its season record to 3-2. Furthermore, Las Vegas has been able to accomplish that winning record despite facing opponents that presently have a combined 18-10 record. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Cincinnati v. SMU -2.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ SMU 9:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: SMU -2.5 (5*) The Cincinnati defense is superior to that of SMU. The SMU offense is far more explosive compared to their Saturday night opponent. The difference for me in this played is an experienced senior quarterback Shane Buchelle who has played in plenty of big games as a starter for both SMU and Texas. As a matter of fact, Buchelle was a 5* recruit coming out of the elite Texas high school football ranks. The Mustangs come in as the lower ranked team despite playing the tougher schedule and a perfect 5-0 record. Any college football home team that is coming off 5 or more straight up wins in a row, and both teams in the contest have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home teams going 28-3 straight up since 2016. The home teams outscored their 31 visiting opponents by an average of 14.9 points per game. Considering the small number we are being asked to cover, this college football straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on SMU for a 5* wager. |
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