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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-20 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +10 | 45-3 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Pittsburgh +10.0 (5*) The Panthers have held their own against Notre Dame over the past decade. This year should be no different. The offensive strength for Notre Dame is their running which is evident when looking at its 261.0 rush yards per game average. Conversely, the Pittsburgh defense allows a mere 62 rushing yards per game which includes an outstand 1.9 yards per attempt. As a matter of fact, the Panthers defense is allowing just 20.3 points and 275.0 yards per game. Notre Dame is coming off an uninspiring 12-7 home win over Louisville in a game they were never close to covering as a 15.5-point home favorite. The Irish do not meet my eye test pertaining to their current #3 nationally ranking. The Panthers defense will get enough stops to keep their time inside the number. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +11 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Wake Forest +11.0 (5*) This line opened at 7.0 and has skyrocketed to 11.0 as Virginia Tech seems to be a public darling. Make no mistake, the Hokies are very good but their chemistry has taken time to shape hold due to many positive COVID-19 tests. As a matter of fact, their defense has performed poorly thus far. The only reason they were not further exposed during last Saturday’s 40-14 win over Boston College is because it was able to force 5 turnovers. The Wake Forest defense is also a weakness. Nevertheless, the Demon Deacons offense will be more than productive enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Bet on Wake Forest plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Iowa State +3 v. Oklahoma State | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 Game# 349-350 Play On: Iowa State +3.0 (5*) Since Matt Campbell has taken over as head coach of Iowa State, he has had his Cyclones ready to play when facing elite competition. This will be another one of those instances on Saturday when facing #6 Oklahoma State. Iowa State has been stout against the run defensively and that will be one of the keys in getting this cover. The Cyclones are also an extremely balanced offense between run and pass. It’s close to a 50/50 balance between running and passing plays in addition to yards gained doing each. Oklahoma State has been superb defensively but has not faced the level of competition that Iowa State has played thus far. The other key to our cover will be Iowa State junior quarterback Brock Purdy who can beat you with his arm or legs. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | NC State v. North Carolina -14.5 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
NC State @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: North Carolina -14.5 (10*) The first thing that jumped out at me was the double-digit point-spread. Especially when consider North Carolina heads into this week ranked 14th and NC State comes in at #23. It seems the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. I know that a high percentage of bettors will take the bait considering North Carolina was upset at Florida State last week as a 14.0-point favorite, and NC State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS since losing to Virginia Tech 45-24. Speaking of Virginia Tech, North Carolina beat them 56-45 just 2 weeks ago while racking up an enormous 558 yards of total offense. NC State turned the ball over 3 times in their previous game. Since 2018, the Wolfpack have gone 0-7 SU&ATS following a game in which they committed 3 or more turnovers and lost by an average of 23.1 points per contest. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Rays (Morton) 8:08 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The first 2 games of this World Series have easily gone over the total. I believe we are going to witness a lower scoring affair tonight. The Rays pitcher Charlie Moron has made 5 postseason starts since 2019 and posted an excellent 0.70 ERA in those outings. Additionally, Morton made 2 starts in the 2018 World Series against the Dodgers while with Houston. He pitched 10/1/3 innings during those appearances while compiling an outstanding 1.74 ERA and 0.58 WHIP. The Dodgers Walker Buehler has already made 10 postseason starts in his young career with all coming since 2018 and with Los Angeles. Both bullpens are much better than what they have displayed during the first 2 games of this series. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Giants @ Eagles 8:20 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Giants +4.5 (5*) The Eagles have been ravaged by injuries during the early part of this season. Since 2018, Philadelphia has been a huge fade as a home favorite while going 3-10 ATS in that role. The Eagles are a dismal turnover margin of -7 this season and their offense has been extremely erratic. Since 2018, the Giants are an extremely profitable 15-4 ATS in away games and that includes 3-0 ATS this season. New York has also covered in their last 3 trips to Philadelphia. The Giants are feeling good about themselves after attaining their first win last Sunday in a 20-19 victory over Washington. Any NFL team that is playing on a Thursday night and is coming off a division win by 7 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those teams going an outstanding 28-8 (77.8%) straight up since 1983. This straight up NFL betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the underdog. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-20 | Rays +124 v. Dodgers | 6-4 | Win | 124 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Rays (Snell) @ Dodgers (Gonsolin) Game# 953-954 Play On: Rays +124 (5*) The Dodgers Tony Gonsolin struggled mightily in his only 2020 postseason start while allowing 5 earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings versus Atlanta. The Rays Blake Snell has a more than respectable 3.20 ERA over 4 postseason starts thus far. I am looking for a Snell to turn in a minimum 5.0 innings of solid work, the Rays to have the lead upon his exit, and the excellent back half of their bullpen to shut down the powerful Dodgers batting order to close out a win. Do not count Tampa Bay out just yet and especially so tonight. Bet on the Rays for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-20-20 | Rays v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Rays (Kershaw) vs. Dodgers (Kershaw) 8:11 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Clayton Kershaw gets the start tonight and his statistical performance line has been outstanding in 2020. During 13 starts, Kershaw has allowed just 4.4 hits and 0.77 walks per outing. Since 2019, Tampa Bay is 23-11 (67.6%) to the under when facing a starting pitcher who allows 1.75 or fewer walks per outing. The Rays are also 21-10 to the under this season when facing a starting pitcher who allowed 5.5 hits or less per outing. Furthermore, the Rays are 8-1 to the under in their previous 9 and averaged a mere 5.6 hits per game. Considering they are in the World Series, speaks to how good their pitching has been during this offseason. The Dodgers have allowed 3 runs or less in each of their previous 3 games. Since 2019, the Dodgers are 46-25 to the under after allowing 3 runs or fewer in 2 straight games. This World Series will be played at the new ballpark in Arlington, Texas. As opposed to the old Texas Rangers home, this new venue has proven to be pitcher-friendly. Both of these teams bullpens have been excellent in 2020 and for the better part of this postseason. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Dallas 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Arizona +1.5 (5*) Dallas will have to go with Andy Dalton at quarterback after a season ending injury to Dak Prescott last Sunday. You can do a lot worse than Dalton as your backup quarterback but expecting the Cowboys offense to fire on all cylinders like it had been with Prescott under center is an unrealistic expectation. The Cowboys defense has proven to be less than playoff caliber over their first 5 contests while allowing 36.0 points and 404.4 yards per game. Additionally, over their previous 4 games, Dallas has an alarming -9 turnover differential. Arizona is off to a 3-2 start and there is one thing that stands out to me pertaining to their record. When the Cardinals amass 400 yards or more of total offense this season they have gone 3-0. Considering Dallas has allowed 400 yards or greater in all 3 of their games this season when facing opponents who currently have a winning record, this matchup certainly favors Arizona. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +1.5 (10*) The Tampa Bay defense has been stout against the run since Bruce Arians took over as their head coach. They were #1 in the NFL pertaining to that category last season and they led the league this year as well while yielding a scant 58 yards per game. The Packers Aaron Rodgers is going to get his yards in the air. However, Rodgers has been aided by the stellar performance of running back Aaron Jones who has averaged 93.5 yards rushing per game during the Packers 4-0 start. The production by Jones has made the Packers play action passing game extremely effective. Nevertheless, I like the Bucs defense ability to shut down the run and make Green Bay a one-dimensional offense on Sunday. Green Bay is a perfect 4-0 this season. However, all 4 wins have come against teams who currently have a win percentage of less than .500 and sport a cumulative record of 4-15. Conversely, Tampa Bay is 3-2 and their first 5 opponents currently have a combined 14-10 record. Additionally, legendary Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady will have his full compliment of wide receivers available for a first time since Week 1. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants UNDER 43 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Washington/NY Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) The last 3 meetings between these teams in the Meadowland have gone under the total and there was just a paltry 29.3 points combined scored per game. Washington is dead last in the NFL when it comes to total offense while averaging just 263.0 yards per game. They are also 30th in scoring offense while scoring only 17.8 points per game. Conversely, the Giants are last in scoring offense at 16.2 points per game and 30th in total yards at 282.2 yards per contest. The Giants are coming off a 37-34 loss at Dallas last Sunday. It was by far their highest scoring output of the season. However, they just amassed 300 yards of offense and Dallas turnovers accounted for about half their scoring. Washington is coming off an embarrassing 30-10 home loss to the Rams in a game they had an anemic 108 yards of total offense. Any home team (Giants) with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that allowed 400 yards or more in their previous game, and is facing an opponent (Washington) that gained 200 yards or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 25-5 (83.3%) under the total since 1983. The average total in those 30 contests was 44.5 and there were a combined 37.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Bears +1.5 v. Panthers | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Bears @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Bears +1.5 (5*) Carolina has become the darlings of the NFL recently following a 3-game win streak which was preceded by an 0-2 start to the season. The preseason consensus among NFL pundits was this was a team destined for a 3 or 4-win season. Nevertheless, their 3 wins have come over teams with a combined 4-11 record. Conversely, Chicago is a perfect 4-0 against NFC opponents thus far and they have also gone 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. As a matter of fact, since 2018, Chicago is a more than respectable 11-7 straight up on the road. The Bears are coming off a Thursday night 20-19 upset win over Tampa Bay. Since 2018, Chicago is 8-1 straight up following a win by 6 points or fewer. On the other hand, since the start of last season, Carolina is a poor 3-7 straight up at home. I am going against public sentiment here. Bet on the Bears for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Lions @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Lions -3.0 (5*) The Detroit Lions are 1-3 but their 4 opponents currently have a combined 13-6 record. As a matter of fact, during the Lions 3 defeats this season they led by 14 points or greater on all those occasions. The quality of those opponents are vastly superior to the 1-4 Jaguars. After winning their season opener, Jacksonville has lost 4 straight contests. Furthermore, Jacksonville 0-3 ATS in their previous 3 games and their 3 opponents presently have a cumulative record of 3-11-1. There is a reason why Detroit is a road favorite which has very seldom transpired in their recent history. Bet on the Lions minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Browns +4.0 (5*) The Browns come into this contest red-hot having won 4 consecutive games while scoring 32 points or more on each occasion. Yes, Cleveland has been dominated for years when visiting Heinz Field. Nonetheless, I believe this Cleveland team is well equipped to give their arch nemesis all they can handle. The Browns offense is very balanced between run and pass. The loss of star running back Nick Chubb was a huge loss, but you can do a lot worse than former all-pro Kareem Hunt as a backup. The Cleveland running game currently ranked 2nd in the NFL with only Baltimore being better. Granted Pittsburgh is 4-0 heading into this week. However, their 4 wins have come over opponents who presently have a combined 2-17-1 record. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia +5 v. Alabama | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Georgia @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 Play On: Georgia +5.0 (5*) In my professional opinion Georgia is unequivocally the best defense in college football this season. During their 3-0 start they have defeated Arkansas, Auburn, and Tennessee while allowing just 12.3 points and 236.7 yards per game. This 2020 version of the Alabama defense is not what we have been used to witnessing during recent seasons. The Crimson Tide is a perfect 3-0 but they are allowing 30.0 points and 473.0 yards per game. As a matter of fact, during their 63-48 win over Ole Miss last Saturday they surrendered 647 yards to the Rebels. Georgia is not a dynamic offense, but they are extremely efficient and effective. The Bulldogs are averaging 36,0 points and 430.0 yards per game. I would not be shocked at all to see Georgia win this game, but I will not get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 Bet On: Mississippi State +5.5 (10*) This is a dangerous spot for Texas A&M after they pulled of a home upset over then #3 Florida last week. As a matter of fact, the Aggies last 2 games have come against #2 Alabama and the previously mentioned contest versus Florida. Now they face a Mississippi State team which is coming off a pair of disappointing losses to Arkansas and Kentucky after beginning their season with an upset win at LSU. As the old cliché goes, “beware of the wounded animal”. I just can not envision Texas A&M coming close to the same intensity level they had in their last games which came against Top 10 ranked teams. Despite suffering 2 straight losses, the Bulldogs outgained both those opponents by 125 and 136 yards. The problem was, they committed an alarmingly high 10 turnovers in those defeats and now have 14 in their first 3 games. I just do not see the volume of mistakes continuing to occur on Saturday. Furthermore, despite the offense putting their defense in tough sports because of turnovers, the Bulldogs are allowing only 285.7 yards per game to their opponents. They have been especially strong against the run while allowing only 39 yards rushing per game. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-17-20 | Central Florida v. Memphis +3 | 49-50 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5*) These are two quality teams who are both coming off a loss. The difference being UCF blew a 23-5 lead at home to Tulsa and eventually fell 34-26. On the other hand, SMU overcame a 24-0 deficit at SMU and then lost when SMU kicked a field goal as time expired resulting in a 30-27 defeat. I see that as a momentum advantage of Memphis over UCF based on how both teams finished their previous game. Additionally, since 2017, Memphis is 21-2 straight up at home and that includes winning 11 consecutive times. That alone creates ample betting value on the home underdog in this matchup. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -16.5 | 7-12 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Notre Dame -16.5 (5*) Louisville opened the season with a home win over Western Kentucky. Since that time, they have gone 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS with all those defeats coming against ACC opponents. The most disappointing of those losses came in their 46-27 loss to Georgia Tech last week in a game in which they were a 4.0-point road favorite. After a 2-week layoff due to COVID-19 issues, Notre Dame returned to action last Saturday with an easy 42-26 home win over Florida State. The Notre Dame defense was a bit rusty but settled down as the game progressed. Speaking of the defense, they are allowing 13.0 points per contest during a 3-0 start to the season. Look for the Notre Dame stop unit to take advantage of a Louisville team which has committed a whopping 11 turnovers through their first 4 games. Notre Dame is averaging outrushing their opponents by an average of 160 yards per game during their 3-0 start. During their previous 2 games they averaged 6.2 yards per rushing attempt against South Florida and 8.4 yards per try versus Florida State. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle below which supports a pick on Notre Dame. Any college football home favorite of 10.5 to 21.0 (Notre Dame) that is outrushing their opponents by an average of 60 or more yards per game on the season, and they are coming off 2 straight contests in which they averaged 6.0 or more yards per rushing attempt, resulted in those teams going 41-14 ATS (74.5%) since 1992. The average line for those 55 teams was -16.3. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -12.5 | 19-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Miami 12:00 PPOM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Miami -12.5 (5*) After a 3-0 start and a high national ranking, Miami was humbled in their blowout loss to Clemson last week in a game they were dominated on both sides of the ball. I look for the Canes to bounce back with a vengeance this week against a Pittsburgh team which comes off a pair of heartbreaking 1-point losses to NC State and Boston College who are both average at best. Miami has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite while winning by a decisive 24.0 points per contest. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5 | 43-26 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
BYU @ Houston 9:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Houston +5.0 (5*) BYU is 4-0 and nationally ranked but none of those victories have come against a team the caliber of what they will face tonight. BYU blew out their first 3 opponents, but they turned in an unimpressive performance in their last game versus UTSA. They were a massive 33.0-point home favorite in that contest but escaped with a just a narrow 7-point win. Houston finally was able to play their first game of the season last week after having several dates scheduled due to COVID-19. They got off to a slow start after falling behind 24-7 versus Tulane, then stormed back to win going away 49-31 and cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. Furthermore, they won that came handily despite committing 5 turnovers while forcing none from Tulane. This is a very experienced roster that is in year 2 of the head coaching tenure of Dana Holgorsen. I am of the opinion this is a very good Houston team that is flying under the radar at this still early juncture. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +7 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
SMU @ Tulane 6:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Tulane +7.0 (5*) SMU squandered a 24-0 lead in their previous game against Memphis and needed a last second field goal to ultimately win that contest 30-27. Tulane is coming off a similar type fate having blown a 24-7 lead versus Houston last week in a game they were held to a season low 70 yards rushing. However, in their prior 3 games the Green Wave rushed for 203, 265, and 430 yards. Conversely, SMU has allowed 189 yards or more rushing in al 3 games versus FBS opponents this season. I look for Tulane to lean heavily on their running game to control time of possession and limit the number of possessions for an explosive SMU offense. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* underdog wager. |
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10-14-20 | Rays -137 v. Astros | 3-4 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rays (Glasnow) vs. Astros (Greinke) 8:40 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Rays -137 (5*) The Rays are 11-0 in their last 11 games this season when Tyler Glasnow has been their starting pitcher. The Rays bullpen has inherited 20 men on base during the first 3 games of this series and not one of them scored. The Astros have scored a combined 5 runs during the first 3 games and left an alarmingly high 31 men on base. At this point it is in the head of Astros hitters regarding their failures to produce runs when they have men in scoring position. Houston pitcher Zack Grienke has an awful 6.17 ERA over his last 6 starts. Greinke made 2 starts against the Rays last season and allowed 11 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings pitched while also surrendering 5 home runs. Bet on the Rays for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-13-20 | Rays v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Rays (Yarbrough) vs. Astros (Urquidy) 8:40 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) The Astros have scored just a combined 3 runs during the first 2 games of this series. However, it is not like they were not creating scoring opportunities. Houston had an alarmingly high 20 men left on base in those first 2 games. There are too many quality hitters with substantial postseason experience in the Houston lineup for that trend to continue. Jose Urquidy was prone to give up the long ball in his only other start this postseason which came against Oakland. During that outing, Urquidy allowed 4 home runs in just 4.0 innings pitched. The rays have cracked 17 home runs in 9 postseason games while Houston went yard 15 times during these 2020 playoffs. Bet this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3 v. Titans | 16-42 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Bills @ Titans 7:00 PM ET Play On: Bills -3.0 (5*) The Titans will be without 10 players due to COVID-19 including starting wide receivers Corey Davis and Adam Humphreys. Those 2 have combined for 30 receptions and over 200 yards during the Titans 3-0 start. Speaking of that hot start, Tennessee has won those contests by only a combined 6 points. Furthermore, their 3 wins came over opponents that currently have a cumulative record of 3-11. During their previous games, the Titans defense has allowed exactly 30 points on each occasion while surrendering 480 total yards to Jacksonville and 464 to Minnesota. The Tennessee stop unit is also permitting their opponents to run for 166 yards per game and average a robust 5.8 yards per rushing attempt. Buffalo has begun the season 4-0 and that includes 3-1 ATS while being a favorite in all of those games. The Bills offense is clicking on all cylinders in averaging 30.8 points and 409.8 yards per game. Dating back to last year, the Bills have gone an impressive 8-2 straight up in regular season road games. Bet on the Bills minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Saints 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Saints -6.5 (5*) The Saints are coming off a 35-29 win at Detroit last week to even their record up at 2-2. They overcame an early 14-0 deficit in that game. I look for the Saints to carry that momentum over into the game tonight. The Saints defense has been solid and especially so against the run where they rank 6th in the NFL. They will be facing a Chargers offense that will be sorely missing their starting running back Austin Ekeler. Their first full game without Ekeler last week produced a dismal 46 yards on 23 rushing attempts. The Chargers will also likely be without starting right guard Tai Turner and starting right tackle Brian Bulaga. The Chargers have lost 3 in a row and had a miserable -5 turnover margin during that stretch. Bet on the saints minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Braves (Fried) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 8:08 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) If the Braves have any realistic hope in winning this series, it is paramount they win with their ace Max Fried on the mound. Atlanta has gone a terrific 12-1 with Fried as their starter. Having said that, I am counting on Fried coming up with a quality start tonight more than relying on Atlanta winning. Furthermore, Atlanta is a perfect 5-0 this postseason and post shutouts in 4 of those victories. The Braves bullpen has collected a microscopic 0.44 ERA in 20 1/3 innings of work this postseason and is averaging better than 1 strikeout per inning. On a negative note, Atlanta has a poor .294 team OBP during this postseason. The Dodgers will counter with their young right-hander Walker Buehler. The Dodgers hurler has seen each of his previous 3 starts go under the total while compiling a stellar 2.2 ERA. The Dodgers bullpen is arguably the best in baseball, and they have a combined 1.65 ERA this postseason. The powerful Dodger lineup has hit just 2 home runs in 5 postseason games and that comes after averaging 1.97 home runs per outing during regular season action. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | Top | 43-17 | Loss | -106 | 49 h 5 m | Show |
Dolphins @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: 49ers -9.0 (10*) The 49ers are coming off a disappointing 25-20 home loss to Philadelphia in a game in which they were a sizable 7.5-point favorite. They suffered that defeat despite outgaining the Eagles 417-290 but were plagued by committing 3 turnovers. San Francisco starting Jimmy Garoppolo returns is probable to return from injury after a 2-week absence due to injury. Garoppolo will be facing a Miami defense which has allowed 24.0 points and 410.0 yards per game. I am sure that Miami will receive their fair share of public action since San Francisco has gone 0-2 SU&ATS at home thus far. With that in mind, then why is San Francisco such a large favorite? The sportsbooks just are not so generous and they are begging you to take the underdog in this contest. I am not taking the bait. Bet on the 49ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-11-20 | Rams v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | 30-10 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Redskins +8.5 (5*) This is one of those uncomfortable picks that need to be made on occasion to be successful. That is especially the case when it comes to NFL betting. The Rams will be making their 3rd trip in 4 weeks to the Eastern Time Zone. They are coming off a listless performance last Sunday when they defeated the 0-4 Giants 17-9 and failed to cover as a double-digit favorite. As a matter of fact, the Giants outgained them 295-240. The Redskins defense is an underrated group that is seldom supported out by an anemic offense. It must be noted that Kyle Allen will get the start this week at quarterback. That speaks volumes when considering Dwayne Haskins was the Redskins #1 draft choice in 2019. However, new head coach Ron Rivera has seen enough of Haskins to possibly deem him as not his guy. There is also a comfortability level with Kyle Allen who was with Rivera during his head coaching tenure in Carolina. During his limited opportunities to start in Carolina, Allen was 4-1 SU&ATS. I look for the Washington defense to keep this game competitive while their offense will make just enough plays for the cover. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-20 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Texans | 14-30 | Loss | -125 | 46 h 0 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Jaguars +6.5 (5*) I have heard may say this week that the Texans will respond in a positive manner this week for interim head coach Romeo Crennel who takes over for the recently fired Bill O’Brien. I don not share that opinion. I am also not in favor of laying this many points with an 0-4 team which has frankly played uninspiring football thus far. Besides, Crennel has been the defensive coordinator in Houston since 2014, and since last season that unit has shown a steady decline in their performance. During this 0-4 start, Houston is allowing 31.5 points and 182 yards rushing per game. Since 2018, Houston is a poor 5-11 ATS as a home favorite and they lost 6 of those contests straight up. Conversely, Jacksonville is averaging 27.2 points and 454.5 totals yards per game in their only 2 road contests. Jags quarterback Gardner Minshew is averaging 284 yards per game in the air while tossing 8 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions. I also see Jacksonville having success running the ball and controlling time of possession, thus protecting their porous defense. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset, but I will not get greedy and gladly take the points. Bet on the Jaguars plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Charlotte v. North Texas +3 | 49-21 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ North Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 Play On: North Texas +3.0 (5*) Although North Texas is just 1-2, their offensive numbers suggest otherwise. The Mean Green are averaging a robust 41.0 points scored and 573.7 yards gained per game. However, they have been plagued by turnovers, undisciplined penalties, and shoddy defensive play. North Texas is averaging 239 yards per game rushing. Conversely, Charlotte is allowing an average of 232 yards rushing per game and an alarmingly high 6.2 yards per carry. Sometimes the best defense is an potent offensive running game. This looks to be a textbook example of just that. Charlotte is 0-2 but covered both of those contests as an underdog. Recent college football betting history suggests teams in this precise situation have been a fade when cast as a favorite. Any college football home team that is facing an opponent off 2 consecutive losses which they covered as an underdog on both occasions, resulted in this home teams going 31-5 straight up since 2016. The straight up results take on added significance since this betting angle backs the home underdog. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -14 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 48 m | Show |
Miami @ Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Clemson -14.0 (10*) Both teams come in with unblemished 3-0 records. Nonetheless, Miami is 3-0 ATS during those contests while Clemson failed to cover as a double-digit favorite on each occasion. However, it must be noted, the defending ACC Champion Tigers were a favorite of 28.0 or greater in all those contests. Truth be told, they sleepwalked through each of those victories and obviously looked uninspired while playing vastly inferior opposition. That will not be the case with #7 Miami and their star transfer quarterback D’Eriq King coming to Death Valley. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State +2 v. Kentucky | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 56 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Mississippi State +2.0 (5*) After stunning the defending national champion LSU Tigers as a 17.0-point underdog in their season opener Mississippi State was on the opposite side of that spectrum in a stunning loss to Arkansas as a 17.0-point home favorite. Even more humiliating for the Bulldogs is it enabled Arkansas to snap an abysmal 20-game SEC losing streak. Now they find themselves as a road underdog against an 0-2 Kentucky team that has been a bit of a disappointment to start the season. Kentucky has an extremely strong rushing attack. However, the defensive strength of the Bulldogs defense has been their ability to stop the run evidenced by them allowing just 1.9 yards per rushing attempt in their first 2 games. Furthermore, Mississippi State has passed for an abundant 946 yards thus far. Conversely, the Kentucky defense is allowing an atrocious 9.9 yards per pass attempt thus far. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Tennessee +12.5 (5*) This is the chance Tennessee has been looking for. A chance prove they are indeed for real. Since starting last season 2-5, Tennessee has reeled off 8 consecutive wins which includes conference wins over South Carolina and Missouri in 2020. They will be facing a highly ranked SEC opponent in Georgia that may be getting caught in a vulnerable spot. The #3 Bulldogs are coming off a dominating win at home over Auburn last week and they travel to Tuscaloosa a week from Saturday to take on #2 Alabama. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +4.5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Virginia Tech +4.5 (5*) North Carolina has hardly appeared to me as a #8 team in the country from what I witness during their first 2 games. They beat a below average Syracuse team in their season opener 31-3. However, that was a 10-6 game headed into the final quarter. Last week they narrowly escaped with a 26-22 win at Boston College. Virginia Tech is 2-0 after wins over Duke and NC State to start the season. The Hokies ran for over 300 yards in both of those contests. Additionally, they will get their #1 quarterback Hendon Hooker back for a first time this season after being forced to sit out under COVID-19 protocol regulations. Despite the defense being hit hard by COVID-19, the Hokies still lead the nation in sacks. That is not good news for highly touted North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell who has played below the standard he displayed last season to this point. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Bucs @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Bears +4.0 (5*) The public is in love with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since Tom Brady arrived in town this past offseason. That will be even more the case this week following a 5 touchdown passing performance during their 38-31 home win over the Chargers last Sunday. However, they have an unenviable task of traveling on short rest to face a 3-1 Bears team who is coming off their first loss of the season. I love the home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-20 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Oakland vs. Houston 3:35 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) The current Oakland active roster has gone a dismal 3-26 (.115 BA) lifetime against Houston starter Jose Urquidy. Conversely, the current Houston roster is an uninspiring 9-43 (.209 BA) lifetime versus Jesus Lazardo. Urquidy has seen all 3 of his game starts go under and his stellar 2.76 ERA had much to do with those low scoring affairs. Houston has allowed just a combined 9 runs in 4 postseason game and 3 of the 4 have stayed under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-20 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Marlins (Lopez) @ Braves (Anderson) 2:08 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) There will be 2 outstanding young right-handed starting pitchers going at it today. The Braves Ian Anderson has a brilliant 1.64 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Additionally, just 1 of those 7 games went over the total. Anderson has faced the Marlins twice in 2020 and allowed just 1 earned run in 8 2/3 innings pitched. The Marlins Pablo Lopez enters today in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 1.56 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. One of those outings saw Lopez pitch 5.0 scoreless innings against Atlanta. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers v. Heat OVER 218.5 | 102-96 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Lakers vs. Heat 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Over 218.5 (5*) There is a betting pattern that pertains to the total in this contest which I deem to be pertinent. The last game in this series on Sunday went under the total. The Lakers have seen their last 5 go over following an under in their previous game. Those 5 games averaged a combined 226.8 points scored per contest. Conversely Miami has gone over the total in their previous 4 following an under in their previous game. Those 4 games all had a combined 230 or more points scored. During the previous 2 games of this series, Miami has shot a combined 77-151 (51%). The Heat are also an exceptional 63-71 (88.7%) during the first 3 games of this NBA Finals. The Lakers are averaging 114.7 points scored per game in the NBA Finals and despite shooting a mediocre 46.7%, they have had produced numerous 2nd chance opportunities by virtue of averaging 12.0 offensive rebounds per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers UNDER 57 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Packers 8:50 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Under 57.0 (5*) This is one of those uncomfortable bets that are necessary at time in order to be successful. Each of these teams has gone over the total in all 3 games they have played. Atlanta games have averaged a combined 66.0 points scored per contest. Green Bay games have averaged a combined 69.0 points per contest. Additionally, the Falcons have allowed 30 or more points in all 3 games played while Green Bay has scored 37 or greater 3 consecutive times. It just can not be that easy to make the obvious call as this seems to be. Furthermore, both wide receiver groups and are banged up heading into this Monday night affair. Any NFL team with a total of 49.5 or greater that is coming off a loss versus an opponent coming off 3 or more consecutive win, resulted in those contests going 17-o to the under since 2018. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7 | 9-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ Rays (Snell) 8:07 PM ET Game#901-902 Play On: Under 7.0 (5*) Both starting pitchers in this game have been in excellent form. During his last 4 starts Gerrit Cole has a brilliant 1.29 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, and struck out 37 batters in 28.0 innings pitched. The Yankees bullpen has been shaky of late but Cole always seems to eat up a lot of innings while being dominant at the same time. Cole has been magnificent in 8 postseason starts since 2018 with a 2.22 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and he fanned 77 batters in 56 2/3 innings of work. The Rays lefty Blake Snell has a stellar 1.63 ERA over his last 4 starts. He will be facing a Yankees team which has a dismal .215 team batting average in 15 games versus lefty starters this season. The Rays bullpen has been outstanding in 2020. Bet on under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-20 | Bills -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
Bills @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Bills -3.0 (10*) Buffalo has started 3-0 and covered 2 of those contests. They were a favorite on each of those occasions and their only ATS loss came when Miami was able to back door them on a touchdown with 0:49 left in the game. The Buffalo defense has not played well during their previous 2 games. However, this is the same core group of players that was one of the best stop units in the NFL last year. I look for a much better performance from the defense last week and more of what we were used to seeing a season ago. The Buffalo offense has been terrific through the first 3 weeks. Quarterback Josh Allen has been especially good and has taken a giant leap thus far in his 3rd season. Allen has thrown for over 1000 yards in 3 games in addition to tossing 10 touchdown passes and ran for 2 scores as well. The Raiders defense has not exactly been stellar during their 2-1 start. They are allowing 30.0 points and 406.0 yards per game. Conversely the bills offense is averaging 31.0 points and 434. Yards per game. Bet on Buffalo minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-11 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
Colts @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) The Colts defense has been terrific through 3 games. During that stretch, they have allowed only 15.0 points and 225.3 yards per game. The Bears defense is much better than they have shown thus far. The weather forecast is calling for wind at 16 MPH throughout the game on Sunday at Soldier Field. It all stands to reason that will deeply affect the passing game of each team. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-20 | Browns +5 v. Cowboys | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Oklahoma @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 123-12 Play On: Iowa State +7.5 (10*) I know many college football bettors will not be courageous enough to fade Oklahoma following a loss. However, I am not only willing to do so but it is going to be my largest wager on Saturday. Oklahoma had a commanding 35-17 lead in the 4th quarter against Kansas State last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Wildcats scored 24 unanswered and came away with a huge 38-35 upset win as a 27.5-point road underdog. Now Oklahoma has not lost 2 consecutive regular season games since 1999. As a result, public betting has favorited Oklahoma big time thus far. Yet, this line went from Oklahoma opening as a 9.5-point favorite down its current state of -7.5. This is a chance for redemption on many fronts for Iowa State. First, they will be out to atone for a poor showing in their home opener when they were knocked off by UL-Lafayette 31-14 in a game they closed as a 13.0-point favorite. Secondly, they will be out to revenge a narrow 42-41 loss at Oklahoma last year in a game they were a 14.5-point underdog, and failed on a 2-point conversion late in that contest which would have earned them an upset over the eventual Big 12 champion. Despite Oklahoma winning 5 straight Big 12 titles and making it to the College Football Playoffs the last 3 years, Iowa State has played the Sooners extremely tough. As a matter of fact, since Matt Campbell took over the head coach duties at Iowa State in 2016, The Cyclone have gone just 1-3 against Oklahoma but all 3 losses came by 10 points or less. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn v. Georgia -7 | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Georgia 7:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Georgia -7.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a 29-13 home win over then nationally ranked Kentucky. However, they were beneficiaries of a +3 turnover margin and were outgained by 60 yards in that contest. Georgia got off to a shaky start as a 4-touchdown favorite last week and actually trailed 7-5 at the half. The Bulldogs came out and dominated 2nd half action and left with an easy 37-10 win. I look for the Bulldogs to be much sharper this week against the #7 Tigers and put together a consistent 60-minute effort. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas State | 21-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Kansas State 3:30 ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (5*) Kansas State is coming off a huge upset win over then #3 Oklahoma last Saturday in a game they overcame a 17-point 4th quarter deficit. It would be hard to imagine them coming close to matching their intensity they exhibited a week ago. There is a more than reasonable chance that the Wildcats will have an emotional letdown this Saturday. It is just a matter of to what degree. Keep in mind, this is the same Kansas State team which was knocked off in the home opener by Arkansas State 35-31 as a sizable 15.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off a gut wrenching 63-56 overtime loss to #9 Texas. The Red Raiders blew a 56-41 lead with less than 4 minutes to play in that contest. Texas Tech has long been known for their explosive pass happy offense and this year is no different. Tech has passed for a combined 755 yards in their first 2 games. They will be sure to attack a vulnerable Kansas State secondary which has surrendered 717 yards passing in their first 2 contests. Additionally, this is a Texas Tech team that has run the ball with some success in the early going while averaging 155.0 rushing yards per game. Look for there to be a role reversal this week when both teams square off. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points as a 5* wager. |
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10-03-20 | TCU +11 v. Texas | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
TCU @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: TCU +11.0 (5*) Texas is coming off an emotional come from behind road victory over Texas Tech last week. The Longhorns overcame a 56-41 deficit with just 3:41 to play and forced overtime where they eventually prevailed 63-56. They will be facing a TCU team which is coming off a tough 37-34 home loss to a solid Iowa State team. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs torched the Cyclones defense for 400 yards passing in defeat. They should be able to move the ball against a Texas defense which looked soft a week ago and stay inside the number. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-02-20 | Cardinals v. Padres -115 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Padres 10:08 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Padres -115 (5*) The Padres overcame a pair of 4-run deficits to win last night in a game they were facing elimination. That bodes well in terms of confidence for a young team like San Diego that possesses little if any postseason experience. Jack Flahery gets the start for St. Louis and he has been inconsistent this season compared to last. The Cardinals were able to score 9 runs yesterday in a losing effort. However, since the start of last season they have gone a dismal 11-20 following a game in which they scored 9 runs or more. The Padres have gone a profitable 21-11 at home this season and that includes 16-6 during its previous 23 at Petco Park. Bet on the Padres for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +1.5 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Broncos +1.5 (5*) Both teams come into this game with 0-3 records. The difference being is Denver has covered in 2 of those 3 losses while the Jets are 0-3 ATS. The Jets are coming off a 36-7 blowout loss at Indianapolis during a game they were -3 in the turnover department. Since 2018, the Jets are 0-4 SU&ATS following a game in which they were -3 or worse in the turnover department and were outscored by an average of 19.5 points per contest. Brett Rypien will be making his first ever NFL start at quarterback tonight for Denver. The former Boise State start came off the bench last week and was 8-9 for 53 yards in a 28-10 defeat at Tampa Bay. Any NFL road team (Broncos) that is coming off a loss by 14 points or more versus an opponent who has a -3 or worse turnover margin during their previous game, resulted in those road teams going 20-5 straight up since 2011. Bet on the Broncos for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-20 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 9 | 9-11 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Wainwright) @ Padres (Davies) 7:08 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) Adam Wainwright is a perfect 5-0 in his team starts during day games this season while posting a brilliant 2.16 ERA, 0,81 WHIP, and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched. The Cardinals bullpen has been terrific over the past week with a 2.66 ERA as a staff and they struck out 34 batters in just 20 1/3 innings pitched. Kyle Davies has seen his last 5 starts go under the total and recorded a stellar 2.89 ERA during those outings. The Padres have a miserable .210 team batting average over their past 7 games and at times relies too much on the long ball. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | 98-116 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Heat vs. Lakers 9:00 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Heat +5.0 (5*) The Lakers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games this season as a favorite of 2.0 to 12.0 versus Eastern Conference opponents. They also lost 7 of those 12 games straight up. Conversely, Miami is 7-2 SU&ATS in their last 9 as an underdog, and all those contests have taken place in the playoffs. Miami has faced the stiffer competition in these played compared to the Lakers. They knocked of Indiana, Milwaukee, and Boston while going an outstanding 12-3 SU&ATS while doing so. The Heat have also gone 3-0 SU&ATS in series openers during this postseason. The Lakers are just 1-2 SU&ATS in series openers in these 2020 NBA Playoffs. Bet on the Heat plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-20 | White Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
White Sox (Keuchel) @ Athletics (Bassitt) 3:10 PM ET Game# 945-946 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The current White Sox active roster is 9-59 (.186 BA) against the Oakland starting pitcher Chris Bassitt. Speaking of Bassitt, he has been brilliant over his previous 4 starts while recording a microscopic 0.34 ERA in 26 2/3 innings pitched. Additionally, Bassitt has compiled a superb 0.72 ERA in 6 home starts this season and each of those games went under the total, Oakland has gone 19-10-2 to the under at home this season. The White Sox will go with veteran Dallas Keuchel on the mound today. Keuchel has an exceptional 0.45 ERA during his last 4 starts. During 7 road starts this season, Keuchel has collected a terrific 1.60 ERA and 5 of those games went under. Bet on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-20 | Yankees -103 v. Indians | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ Indians (Bieber) 7:00 PM ET Game# 931-932 Play On: Yankees -103 (5*) The Indians Shane Bieber is enjoying a terrific season which barring something unforeseen should culminate with an American League CY Young Award. However, Bieber has made 2 career starts against the Yankees in his career with one coming in 2018 and the other last year. During those 2 outings, Bieber recorded an awful 8.30 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. The Indians will be facing a starting pitcher today in Gerrit Cole who has a shiny 2.84 ERA in 10 starts this season. Since 2018, Cleveland is a dismal 9-24 when facing American League starting pitchers with an ERA of 2.90 or better for the season. If the Yankees hope to win this best-of-3 series, it is imperative they come away victorious tonight with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. Cole was brilliant in 5 postseason starts with Houston in 2019 with an exceptional 1.72 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 47 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched. As a matter of fact, he went 7.0 innings or more during each of those 2019 postseason starts. Cole was also excellent in his last 4 regular season starts with a 1.00 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. Since 2018, the Yankees are a terrific 77-41 when their money line is -100 to -150. Play on the Yankees as a 5* money line wager. |
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09-29-20 | White Sox -111 v. A's | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
White Sox (Giolito) @ Athletics (Luzardo) 3:00 PM ET Game# 937-938 Play On: White Sox -111 (5*) The White Sox will face lefty starter Jesus Luzardo this afternoon. Chicago has gone an incredible 14-0 versus left-handed starters this season and won by 3.7 runs per game. The Oakland bullpen was shaky during their final 7 regular season games while compiling a lofty 5.16 ERA and allowed an alarming 6 home runs in 22 2/3 innings of work. Lucas Giolito of the White Sox has gone 4-1 in his team starts on the road and posted and stellar 2.75 ERA and 1,03 WHIP while doing so. The White Sox are a profitable 51-26 since 2019 as a money line favorite of -110 or greater. Bet on the White Sox as a 5* money line favorite. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 34-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 489-490 Play On: Ravens -3.0 (5*) The Ravens defense will be in for a huge test tonight against a high-powered Chiefs offense led by all world quarterback Patrick Mahomes. However, they have allowed just and average of 11.0 points and 305.0 yards per game during its first 2 contests. My point being is they will be up to the task. Conversely, the Kansas City defense has been porous in their first 2 games while allowing 419.5 yards per game. More importantly, the Kansas City stop unit is allowing 150 yards rushing per game and that is not good news when facing the most potent running attack in football since the start of last season. Sometimes the best defense is a stellar running game on offense. I look for Baltimore to successfully run the ball, thus dominating the clock, and in turn limit the offensive possessions for Kansas City. By the way, dating back to last season, Baltimore is on a 14-game regular season winning streak heading into tonight. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 485-486 Play On: Cowboys +5.5 (10*) Despite playing poorly last week Dallas overcame a 29-10 halftime deficit to miraculously beat Atlanta 40-39 and avoid an 0-2 start. I look for them to carry that momentum into their game at Seattle this week. The Seattle defense has been getting bailed out by some off the chart numbers from their star quarterback Russell Wilson during its 2-0 start. Nonetheless, the fact still remains, their pass defense is horrible, and it was last season as well. During their first 2 games, Matt Ryan has passed for 450 yards and Cam Newton went for 397 in the air against them. They will be facing a good one in Dak Prescott on Sunday who threw for 450 yards last week against Atlanta. Bet on the Cowboys plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-27-20 | Panthers v. Chargers -6 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (5*) The Chargers defense is vastly underrated. They will be a key component in us getting the win and cover on Sunday. Especially since Carolina will be without their best offensive player in running back Christian McCaffery (ankle). Rookie 1st round draft pick Justin Herbert was brilliant in his NFL debut last week against the world champion Kansas City Chiefs. Herbert threw for 311 yards and a touchdown while running for another. Carolina is coming off a 31-17 loss at Tampa Bay last Sunday. Since 2018, the Panthers are 0-5 SU&ATS on the road following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more, and they lost by an average of 12.0 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Titans v. Vikings +3 | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
Titans @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Vikings +3.0 (5*) Tennessee is 2-0 but failed to cover on both occasions. Those pair of victories came by only a combined 5 points over Denver (0-2) and Jacksonville (1-2). As a matter of fact, in their Week 2 narrow 33-30 win over Jacksonville they were outgained in total yards by a decisive margin of 490-354. That was the same Jacksonville team which was blown out at home by Miami 31-13 this past Thursday night. You do not have to be an NFL guru to know that Minnesota was horrible during their first 2 games. It must be note, since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 25-7 SU&ATS in non-division home games. As the great Yogi Berra once said, “it is getting late early” for the Minnesota Vikings. I look for a high degree of desperation and urgency on Sunday from Minnesota. Bet on the Vikings plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Washington Football Team v. Browns -7 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Browns -7.0 (5*) Washington allowed 160 yards rushing in their loss at Arizona last week. That is not good news for Redskins backers considering they will be facing in my opinion the best 1-2 running back duo in football. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 210 yards and 3 touchdowns on 32 carries in their 35-30 win over Cincinnati during Week 2 action. Furthermore, that game was played on a Thursday night which affords Cleveland an additional 3 days rest than Washington will have. The Browns defense was exposed through the air the past 2 weeks. However, I am not a big fan of Washington quarterback Dwayne Haskins. In Haskins defense, besides Terry McLaurin he does not have much to work with at the skilled positions. Bet on the Browns minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -11 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Miami 7:30 PM ET Game# 39-396 Play On: Miami -11.0 (5*) Miami has opened the season with wins over UAB and at Louisville while covering both contests as a favorite. Florida State is coming off a 16-13 upset loss at home to Georgia Tech. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle shown below. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Miami) that is coming of 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and is facing an opponent (Florida State) coming off a conference loss by 3 points or less, resulted in those favorites going 30-8 ATS since 1992. The average line in those 38 games was 14.5 and the favorites outscored the underdogs by 22.7-points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +4 | 31-27 | Push | 0 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ South Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 405-406 Play On: South Carolina +4.0 (5*) #16 Tennessee returns 17 starters from a team that finished last season on a 6-game win streak. However, head coach Jeremy Pruitt enters his 3rd season in Knoxville and his first 2 Volunteers teams both got off to slow starts. Specifically, during Pruitt’s 2-year tenure, Tennessee has gone a combined 3-7 in their first 5 games of the year, and that includes last year’s 38-30 loss to Georgia State as a 23.5-point home favorite in their opening contest. The bad news is South Carolina was 4-8 a season ago. The silver lining was that when it was all said and done, they played the toughest schedule in all of college football. The Gamecocks were horrible offensively last year. Head coach Will Muschamp brings in former Colorado State head coach Mike Bobo as his new offensive coordinator. Bobo was able to convince senior graduate transfer Colin Hill to join him at South Carolina. Hill spent the last 3 years under center for Bobo at Colorado State. I would not be surprised whatsoever to get the outright upset in this one. Moreover, I will take the points as an additional bonus and not be greedy. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Mississippi State +17 v. LSU | 44-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 433-434 Play On: Mississippi State +17.0 (5*) I know high profile SEC football programs like LSU reload as opposed to rebuilding. However, the defending national champion LSU Tigers need to replace an inordinate amount of talent that from last year’s team who are now making their livelihoods playing on Sundays. Besides the fact they will be facing a Mississippi State team who is now coached by passing game guru Mike Leach formerly of Texas Tech and Washington State. SEC defensive coordinators will need time to adjust to Leach’s complex passing game. Additionally, Leach was able to persuade former Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello to come on board as a senior graduate transfer. Costello spent 3 seasons as Stanford’s starting quarterback and threw for 6,251 yards and 9 touchdowns despite having his season cut short by injury in 2019. I am not going to be bold enough to predict an outright upset. Nevertheless, LSU fans will witness this game being way too close for comfort. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -12.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Army @ Cincinnati 3:30 PM ET Game# 435-436 Play On: Cincinnati -12.5 (10*) Army has looked terrific in 2 blowout wins over Middle Tennessee State and UL-Monroe. Their vaunted triple option rushing attack has looked in midseason form while racking up 390 yards per game on the ground and averaging 36 minutes in time of possession per game. Nonetheless, they will be stepping up in class considerably in their first road game of the season against a Cincinnati team that has gone a superb 22-5 during the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats return 8 starters on defense and 15 of its top 17 tacklers from a year ago. The Cincinnati defensive line may be the best in the AAC this season. I look for the Bearcats to open an early lead and give Army a taste of its own medicine by controlling the tempo of this game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 10* Top Play |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | Top | 114-108 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Lakers @ Nuggets 8:20 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Under 215.0 (10*) The Lakers went over the total in their previous game. They have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this postseason following a game which went over. The Lakers allowed Denver to shoot a sizzling hot 54% during their Game 3 loss. Los Angeles is 4-0 to the under this season when the total is 222.0 or less and their previous opponent shot 50% or better. Those 4 contests had an average total of 216.1 and there were a combined 189.0 points scored per game. Conversely, Denver is 9-0 to the under this season when the total is 219.5 or less and they shot 52% or better in their previous game. There was an average total of 212.9 in those 9 contests and a combined 199.2 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play total. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Miami +3.0 (5*) Miami put up over 400 yards of offense against a solid Buffalo defense last Sunday during a 3-point defeat. Jacksonville has surprised in how good they looked thus far in 2020. However, they were outgained by over 200 yards in their win over Indy and their defense is allowing an alarmingly high 399.5 yards per game over their first 2 contests. Miami is coming off a 31-28 home loss to Buffalo. Jacksonville is coming off a 27-20 win over Indianapolis and a 33-30 loss to Tennessee during its first 2 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting system displayed below. Any NFL road team (Miami) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that is coming off a game in which there was a combined 50 or more points scored, and they are facing an opponent (Jacksonville) who scored 25 points or greater in each of their previous 2 games, results in those road teams going 55-20 ATS since 1983. Bet on the Dolphins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
UAB @ South Alabama 7:30 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: South Alabama +7.0 (5*) UAB opened the season with an uninspiring 45-35 win over Central Arkansas that plays at the FCS level. They followed that up with a 31-14 loss at nationally ranked Miami in a game they failed to cover as a 15.0-point underdog and were outgained by 207 yards. Since the start of last season UAB has gone 10-6. However, 2 of those wins came over FCS opponents. Additionally, 7 of their wins versus FBS opponents last year were against teams that finished a combined 15-69 (.178). South Alabama enters this game with a record of 1-1. They covered both of those contests as a double-digit underdog. They won at Southern Miss 32-21 in their season opener as a 12.0-point underdog. Their last game resulted in a narrow 27-24 loss as an 11.5-point home underdog to Tulane. Unfortunately, South Alabama blew a 24-13 lead in the 4th quarter of that game that prohibited them from pulling off another huge upset. The Jaguars have amassed an impressive 669 yards passing in their first 2 games of the season. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Celtics vs. Heat 8:30 ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Heat +3.5 (5*) Miami is coming off a 117-106 loss in Game 3 in which they shot a poor 38.8% from the floor. The good news for Heat backers is their team is 8-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shot 40.5% or worse. Furthermore. Miami has gone an impressive 23-7 straight up and 22-8 ATS this season following a loss. Bet on the Heat plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Lakers vs. Nuggets 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Lakers -6.5 (10*) The Nuggets are coming off a deflating buzzer beating loss in Game 2. They have also expended a lot of energy in their last 2 series coming back from 3-1 deficits on each occasion. By the way, that’s never been done in NBA Playoff history. I doubt they have much gas left in the tank going forward. Conversely, the Lakers needed only 10 games in their last 2 series to advance to this point. Lastly, Lebron James knows the value of having additional rest at this time of the season `since he possesses plenty of experience in advancing to the NBA Finals. Getting this series over sooner rather than later coincides with that thought process. The Lakers are coming off a narrow 102-100 win in Game 2 of this series while failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Including regular season action, the Lakers are 62-21 (.747) and Denver 54-35 (.607). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is displayed below. Any NBA favorite coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those favorites going 70-21 ATS (76.9%) since 1996. The average line in those 91 games was -5.1 and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 11.1 points per contest. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Saints @ Raiders :1 PM ET Game# 289-290 Play On: Raiders +6.0 (5*) Despite covering as a home favorite last week against Tampa Bay, Sean Payton is a dismal 10-19 ATS during the first 2 weeks of the season during his tenure with New Orleans. The Raiders will play in the new stadium for a first time. Regardless of there being no fans in attendance, it should provide the home team with an additional spark, and especially as an underdog versus one of the elite teams in football. By the way, the saints will be without star wide receiver Michael Thomas (ankle) tonight who led the NFL in pass receptions a season ago. Any NFL underdog in September who is facing a team coming off a home win, resulted in those underdogs going a very profitable 69-32 ATS since 2016. Additionally, underdogs in this identical situation are an even better 18-6 ATS (75%) since 2018. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Patriots @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (10*) I said it before the season, and I will say it again, anytime you get an opportunity to catch a Seattle game that has a total of 49.5 or less you should give strong consideration to bet the over. Last week in their season opener against Atlanta the total closed at 49.5 and the Seahawks prevailed 38-25 which easily surpassed the number. The Patriots are coming off a 21-11 win over Miami. However, now they are going to face on of the best quarterbacks in football with Russell Wilson as opposed to the Dolphins Ryan Fitzpatrick. You will not get many to disagree that Wilson is a huge step up in class compared to the former Harvard quarterback. Seattle is also vastly superior at the offensive skilled positions in comparison to Miami. The Patriots defense is still a formidable group. Nevertheless, they lost some key personnel from that exceptional unit from last season. It did not show up against Miami, but it will against this Seattle offense. I would be shocked if the New England offense does not expose the biggest defensive weakness for Seattle and that is their secondary. Matt Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 450 passing yards last week and 3 receivers went over 100 yards for the day. The Seattle pass defense has been a major issue for them dating back to last season. There is no more “Legion of Boom”. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens v. Texans +8.5 | 33-16 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Texans 4:25 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Texans +8.5 (5*) The Texans are coming off a 34-20 loss at Kansas City in their season opener. On a positive note, Houston will enter this contest with an additional 3 days rest than Baltimore due to the Kansas City game being a Thursday night affair. Furthermore, since 2018, the Texans are a perfect 8-o straight up after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson is a profitable 12-6 ATS in 18 career starts as an underdog. Despite the huge loss of star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins the Texans still have an ample amount of talent at their offensive skilled positions. The squares will be lining up to bet on Baltimore. I will not be standing in that line. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles | 37-19 | Loss | -123 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
Rams @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Eagles (Pick) (5*) This sets up to be a betting situation that I have thrived in over the past 2 decades. The Eagles are coming off blowing a 17-0 lead at Washington last week and fell 27-17. The Rams are coming off a Sunday night nationally televised 3-point win over Dallas. The public has a short memory and more times than not use shortcuts when handicapping NFL games. The shortcut here in the Rams are the play from a perception standpoint just because of what they witnessed last week. This will also be the Rams first trip east for an early kickoff which is also a tough adaption for any team. Bet on the Eagles for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Vikings v. Colts -3 | 11-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Somehow the Colts lost to Jacksonville last Sunday despite outgaining them by a substantial 204 yards. I have heard a lot of criticism directed at Colts quarterback Philip Rivers this week mostly due to his 2 costly interceptions in the Jacksonville loss. However, he was also 36-46 passing for 363 yards. Now Rivers will face a Vikings defense which was torched last week for 43 points and 522 total yards. Additionally, their defense was so bad that the time of possession in the game was 41:16 to 18:44 in favor of Green Bay. Furthermore, since 2018, the Colts are 7-2-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less and that includes 5-0-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 or less. Their average victory margin as a home favorite of 3.0 or less was by a decisive 14.3 points per game. |
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09-20-20 | Falcons +4.5 v. Cowboys | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Falcons +4.5 (5*) The Cowboys quality depth will be tested after losing the services of 3 starters during last week’s loss to the Rams. The defense turned in a terrible performance in that defeat and they are about to face another explosive offense on Sunday. Despite suffering a 38-25 home loss to Seattle last week, Atlanta piled up 506 total yards and has 3 receivers go for 114 yards or greater. The catalyst behind that passing attack was veteran quarterback Matt Ryan who was an outstanding 37-54 for 450 yards passing. Due to Atlanta playing catchup for most of the afternoon, new running back Todd Gurley was underutilized but still managed 56 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. I look for Gurley to be more of a factor on Sunday. Atlanta just ran into a red-hot quarterback in Russell Wilson last week who was an incredible 31-35 for 322 yards and 4 touchdowns. Dak Prescott is a quality quarterback who is very capable of putting up huge passing yards. But expecting him to top what Russell Wilson did last week is a sizable ask. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-20 | SMU -14 v. North Texas | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: SMU -14.0 (*) SMU is coming off a 31-24 win at Texas State in a game in which they piled up 544 yards of offense. They should have scored much more if not for 3 costly turnovers. North Texas defeated Houston Baptist 57-31 in their season opener. The good news is they amassed over 700 yards of total offense. The bad news is they allowed their FCS opponent to rack up 569 yards of total offense and that includes 480 coming through the air. SMU will have a field day passing the ball against a porous North Texas secondary and should be able to score at will. The Mustangs defense will give up their share of yards and points but will get enough stops for us to get the cover. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-20 | SMU v. North Texas OVER 69 | Top | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Over 69.0 (10*) The enormous total in this game is for good reason. It still is not enough to scare me away. North Texas had over 700 yards of offense and allowed more than 500 in a 7-31 win over Houston Baptist in their season opener. They now will face one of the more prolific passing attacks in college football during recent years when they take on SMU this Saturday. The SMU secondary is vulnerable against good passing attacks and North Texas has exactly that. This will be an extremely high scoring game in which they winning team will most likely have to score 50 points or more. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-19-20 | Boston College +6 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Boston College @ Duke 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Boston College +6.0 (5*) Duke has gone an abysmal 0-12 ATS in their last 12 conference home games when the line was +5.0 to -10.0. They even lost 11 of those 12 games straight up. Conversely, Since 2014, Boston College has gone a perfect 7-0 as an away underdog and they won 4 of those 7 contests straight up. Duke hung in there in a 14-point loss at Notre Dame last week. However, that was a talented Notre Dame team that appeared extremely flat as a 3-touchdown favorite. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals +6 v. Browns | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Browns :1 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Bengals +6.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off an embarrassing 38-6 loss at Baltimore last week in a game they closed as a 7.0-point underdog. This sets up an NFL betting angle below that strongly supports the road underdog. Any NFL away underdog of 9.5 or less versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, and they failed to cover by 10.0 or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 46-12 ATS (79.3%) since 1981. Bet on the Bengals plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Celtics vs. Heat 7:00 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Under 209. (10*) These teams went over the total in the opening game of this series on Tuesday night. Miami has gone under 5 consecutive times following an under in their previous contest and those games went under by an average of 1. Points per game. Boston has gone 9-3 to the under during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and 2 of the 3 overs were due to a pair of games going overtime. As a matter of fact, both games that required extra time were tied by an identical score of 98-98 at the end of 4 quarters, and that includes Game 1 of this series. Furthermore, Boston has allowed 101 points or fewer in regulation time during 10 of their 12 postseason contests. Despite the double overtime thriller on Tuesday won by Miami, both teams combined for an extremely low 173 field goal attempts. These teams witnessed all 3 of their regular season matchups go under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-16-20 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Mets (DeGrom) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 7:10 PM ET Game# 96-966 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) What can you say about Jacob DeGrom that hasn’t been said already? He is probably the most dominating starting pitcher in baseball. DeGrom has made 9 starts this season and posted an excellent 1.67 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. During his last 4 starts against Philadelphia, DeGrom has compiled a brilliant 0.87 ERA in 31.0 innings pitched. This current Phillies active roster has gone 29-141 (.206 BA) against DeGrom while striking out 51 times. The Mets have scored only a combined 6 runs over their previous 3 games. Phillies pitcher Zach Wheeler has been terrific in 5 home starts while registering a shiny 1.97 ERA. Wheeler has also averaged a healthy 6.4 innings pitched per outing this year which encompasses 8 starts. That’s an important note considering how horrible the Phillies bullpen has been this season. The Phillies have only accounted for a combined 8 runs and 17 hits throughout their last 8 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 208.5 | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Nuggets vs. Clippers 9:00 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Under 208.5 (10*) Since 2004, all NBA Playoff Game 7’s have gone 34-19 (64.2%) under the total. Furthermore, since the 201 NBA Conference Final Round, all 8 Game 7’s went under the total. Those contests had an average total of 208.0 and there was only a combined 182.0 points scored per game. There already has been 3 Game 7’s during these 2020 NBA Playoffs and there was a combined average of 181.0 points scored per game. The first 6 games of this series have gone 4-0-2 to the under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 105 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Titans @ Broncos 10:10 PM ET Game# 480-481 Play On: Denver +3.0 (5*) Denver has the confidence in knowing they defeated Tennessee 16-0 at home last season and held the Titans to a paltry 204 yards of total offense. Star running back Derek henry was completely stymied in that contest while rushing for only 28 yards on 15 carries. The Broncos will sorely miss Von Miller tonight while he starts this year on the IL. However, the stop unit is still a formidable one and especially at home where they allowed just 17.9 points per game a season ago. The Broncos will go with 2nd year quarterback Drew Locke tonight. Locke was an impressive 4-1 in 5 starts last season. Denver finished last season by winning each of their final 4 home games. Bet on the Broncos plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 45 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Giants 7:10 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) Since the start of the 2017 season, Pittsburgh is 17-0 to the under in road fames that have a total of 43.0 to 51.0. The Giants have gone under in each of their previous 6 home openers. Since 2016, New York has also gone 13-7 to the under in non-division home games. The Steelers defense was terrific a season ago despite posting just an 8-8 record. The Giants defense will run an entirely different scheme under new head coach Joe Judge. That should require the Steelers offense at least a half before figuring things out. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys -2 v. Rams | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 37 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Cowboys -2.0 (5*) I believe this will be a great season for Dallas under former Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy who takes mover for the ousted Jason Garrett. Despite Dallas going just 8-8 last season and vastly underachieving, they open their 2020-2021 campaign as a road favorite against an opponent who was 9-7 last year. NFL betting history has proven then when these rare types of situations occur, the road favorite has enjoyed a high degree of success. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Patriots | 11-21 | Loss | -140 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Dolphins +7.5 (5*) After getting off to a horrendous 0-7 start last season in which they were not competitive on most occasions, the Dolphins did not quit on first year head coach Brian Flores and went 5-4 in their last 9 games. One of those 5 victories came in their regular season finale when they upset New England as a 16.5-point road underdog. That Patriots loss cost them a #1 seed and 1st round bye. Miami is 3-2 in their last 5 against New England and all 3 wins came as an underdog of 9.0 or greater. The Dolphins will be in this game throughout and I would not be shocked to see an outright upset. However, I will take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on the Dolphins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-13-20 | Packers v. Vikings -1 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -128 | 37 h 19 m | Show |
Packers @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Vikings -1.0 (10*) I am not impressed whatsoever with the 2020-2021 version of the Green Bay Packers. The oddsmakers must agree because after a 13-3 2019-2020 regular season their win total this year was set at 9.5. They lack quality depth at wide receiver. I also question their recent draft and the lack of moves to upgrade the roster during this past offseason. For starters, since 2015, Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 22-7 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 or less, and that includes 13-1 ATS in the first 7 games of the season. Additionally, the Vikings are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 home openers. Considering the small point-spread they are being asked to cover, it makes for an attractive betting value on the home favorite. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
09-12-20 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State -12 | 16-13 | Loss | -117 | 56 h 35 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Florida State 3:30 PM ET Game# 399-400 Play On: Florida State -12.0 (5*) Geoff Collins begins his 2nd season as the head coach of Georgia Tech. Collins is slowly transitioning his spread offense from the triple option attack that was employed during the Paul Johnson era. The Yellowjackets were 3-9 a season ago which included a loss to Citadel and 6 other defeats by 16 points or greater. They do have 9 returning starters on offense. However, that unit was among the worst nationally in many statistical categories. Florida State is an experienced team with a terrific young new head coach in Mike Norvell who comes over from Memphis. Norvell has proven to be a brilliant offensive mind and he inherits 7 returning offensive starters. The Seminoles also return 10 defensive starters and that type of continuity is sure to pay dividends early on. Especially when considering the shortened offseason because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Florida State finished 6-7 a season ago which marked a second consecutive losing season which was preceded by 42 straight winning campaigns. I look for Florida State to be back on its way to prominence and it starts with an emphatic statement on Saturday. Any college football conference home favorite of 7.0 to 14.5-points that is playing in their season opener, and they won 6 or more games the year before, versus an opponent who won 4 or fewer games during the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. More importantly, the average margin of victory in those 5 contests was 33.0 points per game. Bet on Florida State minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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09-12-20 | Arkansas State v. Kansas State -12.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
Arkansas State @ Kansas State 12;00 PM ET Game# 427-428 Play On: Kansas State -12.5 (10*) Arkansas State hung tough last week at Memphis last week in a 37-24 loss in which they covered as a 17.0-point underdog. However, they allowed the quick strike Memphis offense to have 34 minutes in time of possession. They also allowed Memphis to rack up 502 yards of total offense in that contest. That is not good news since Kansas State was one of the best teams nationally in time of possession last season. Furthermore, since 2015, Arkansas State is 0-6 SU&ATS after their season opener as a non-conference away underdog. The average line in those 6 contests was 17.5 and they lost by an average of 34.8 points per game. Since 2017, Kansas Sate is 3-0 SU&ATS as a non-conference home favorite when facing an opponent from a Group of 5 Conference. The average line in those 3 contests was 25.7 and the Wildcats won by 41.3 points per game. Kansas State will be a tad bit inexperienced on offense, but they do have a good one in senior dual threat quarterback Skyler Thomson who passed for 2315 yards while also running 405 yards and 11 touchdowns. Play on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 56 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET Game# 415-416 Play On: UL-Lafayette +11.5 (5*) This game has trap written all over it. We have the #23 ranked Power 5 Conference school like Iowa State Cyclone as just an 11.5-point home favorite versus a team from the lowly Sun Belt Conference. However, when digging deeper the picture becomes a wee bit clearer. Iowa State is coming off a disappoint 7-6 season in which they had high expectations. UL-Lafayette went 11-3 a season ago with 2 of their losses coming against national ranked Sun Belt champ Appalachian State and the other in their season opener versus Mississippi State. The Rajun Cajuns return senior quarterback Levi Lewis who passed for over 3000 yards last season and their top two running that combined to rush for 1967 yards. I like the Rajun Cajuns to take this game right down to the wire and an outright upset would not shock me in the least. But we will gladly take the points as an added bonus. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 20-34 | Push | 0 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
Houston @ Kansas City 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.0 (10*) These teams met twice last season and both games went over the total with a combined average of 68.5 points scored per contest. This game will feature two of the most exciting quarterbacks the NFL has to offer in Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson. Watson threw for 3852 yards and 26 touchdowns last season. He added an additional 635 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 postseason games. That includes 388 yards and 2 touchdowns passing in the AFC Divisional Round 51-31 loss at Kansas City. Watson also ran for 413 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 regular season games. During 30 regular season starts over the past 2 regular season, During the past 2 regular seasons, Patrick Mahomes has combined to throw for an astronomical 9128 yards and 76 touchdowns. During that identical time span, Mahomes also ran for 490 yards and 4 touchdowns. Although Mahomes is not the running threat that Watson is, he is still very mobile and has an uncanny ability to extend plays with that attribute. The Chiefs have gone over in their last 5 home openers and there was a combined 57.6 points scored per contest. The Texans defense was a huge liability a season ago and that was further exposed in their 2 postseason games against Buffalo and Kansas City. I see nothing to suggest there has been any offseason changes made that would indicate any significant improvement. Houston was 28 in total defense last season while allowing an enormous 388.3 yards per game. Kansas City was in the middle of the pack when it came to defensive statistics. Since 2008, any NFL home favorite of 1.5 or great that is playing in their first 3 games of the season, and there is a total of 52.0 to 55.5, has gone 13-1 (92.9%) over the total. There was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-10-20 | UAB v. Miami-FL -14 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 46 m | Show | |
UAB @ Miami Fla. 8:00 PM ET Game# 393-394 Play On: Miami Fla. -14.0 (5*) UAB is coming off an uninspiring 45-35 home win over Central Arkansas last Thursday. The Blazers are coming off a successful 9-5 season in 2019 which saw them lose 49-6 to Florida Atlantic in the CUSA Championship Game. When researching further, UAB had 7 wins over FBS opponents last season that finished with a combined 15-69 record. Additionally, they also squeaked out a 24-19 home win over Alabama State team that plays at the FCS level and finished last season with a 5-6 record. In their last 4 losses last season they were outscored by an enormous margin of 147-32. The Blazers do return 18 starters but sometimes experience can be deceiving and especially so when stepping up in class to play a Power 5 Conference team on the road. Miami is coming off last year’s disappointing 6-6 regular season. However, all 6 losses came by 10 points or fewer and an average of 6.2-points per game. The most disheartening defeat came in a 14-0 bowl game loss to Louisiana Tech. What has been sorely missing for Miami in recent years has been consistent productivity at quarterback. Well that is about to change with redshirt senior D’Eriq King a transfer from Houston. During his only full season as the starting quarterback at Houston in 2018, king completed 63.5% of his passes for 2982 yards, 36 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He also ran for 675 yards and 14 touchdowns. As a matter of fact, during the previous 3 seasons at Houston, King threw for 50 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions and ran for an additional 28 scores. Despite going a mediocre 13-13 the past 2 seasons, Miami was still able to haul in the 13th best recruiting class nationally in 2020. Bet on Miami Fla. Minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-20 | Lakers v. Rockets +5 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Lakers vs. Rockets 9:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Rockets +5.0 (5*) The top seed in the Western Conference Los Angeles Lakers find themselves in a difficult matchup style wise against a smaller and quicker Houston Rockets team. The Lakers managed to win and cover Game 2, but it was far from a dominating performance. The Rockets stormed back from a 16-point 2nd half deficit to take a 2-point lead heading into the final stanza. However, they expended a lot of energy during that furious rally and ran out of gas down the stretch while ultimately losing by 8 and fell just short of cover as a 5.5-point underdog. I look for Houston to bounce back with a top performance in Game 3 on Tuesday. Since the 2014 NBA Playoffs, Game 3 underdogs of 5.5 or less that are coming off a loss that evened a series at 1-1, and they are facing a #1 seed, resulted in those underdogs going 4-0 SU&ATS since 2014. The underdogs won those 4 contests by a decisive 14.2 points per game. Bet on the Rockets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-20 | White Sox -126 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -126 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
White Sox (Cease) @ Pirates (Musgrove) 7:05 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: White Sox -126 (5*) Pirates pitcher Joe Musgrove has exhibited bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a sizable 7.50 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. The current active roster he will be facing this evening is 15-for-36 (.421 BA) against him. Pittsburgh is coming off a 3-2 win in their previous game. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win in their previous outing and lost by an average of 3.7 runs per game. The White Sox are a red-hot 16-4 in their last 20 which includes a current 4-game win streak. They faced the Pirates twice this season and won both games while outscoring them by a decisive margin of 14-3. The Sox are also a stellar 15-6 in road games this season. Dylan Cease has a solid 3.29 ERA and 1.34 WHIP during 8 starts this season. The White Sox bullpen has recorded a sparkling 2.87 ERA during away games in 2020. Bet on the White Sox for a 5* money line wager. |
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09-07-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Clippers vs. Nuggets 9:00 ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Clippers -8.5 (5*) The bad news for Clippers supporters is their team is coming off an upset loss to Denver on Saturday. The good news is their team is 7-0 SU&ATS in their last following a loss and won by an average of 21.9 points per game. Denver hel the Clippers to a dismal 40% shooting performance on Sunday. The Nuggets have not allowed their opponent to shoot 42% or worse in consecutive contests for 30 straight games. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-20 | BYU v. Navy +1 | Top | 55-3 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
BYU @ Navy 8:00 ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Navy +1.0 (10*) BYU recently had 10 of their originally scheduled 12 games cancelled to reasons pertaining to COVID-19. Their schedule has been reduced from 12 to 8 games. As a result, the coaching staff and players were just notified a few weeks ago that they would be traveling cross country to play Navy in Annapolis, Maryland. Instead of having an entire offseason to prepare for the highly efficient Navy triple option rushing attack, they had all of 3 weeks to do so. That certainly is not an easy task since it will be extremely difficult to simulate the efficiency and speed that the Navy offense operates at. Besides the short preparation time for BYU, they will also be facing a Navy team that went 11-2 last season with their only 2 defeats coming against #17 Memphis and #12 Notre Dame which both took place on the road. The Midshipmen also defeated #22 Air Force (11-2) and SMU (10-3). Navy finished at #20 in the final 2019-2020 AP Poll. Navy has gone 29-4 in their last 33 at home. Furthermore, the Midshipmen are 12-0 in their last 12 at home against non-conference opponents. Bet on Navy for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-07-20 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Royals (Keller) @ Indians (Plesac) 6:10 ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Both starting pitchers have been outstanding this season. The Indians Plesac has a terrific 1.33 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. Plesac has made 5 career starts against Kansas City and compiled a sparkling 2.30 ERA during those outings. The Indians bullpen staff is among the best in baseball. Brad Keller has flown under the radar this season. Keller has made 5 starts and registered an excellent 1.93 in those outings. Keller has started once against Cleveland in 2020 and allowed only 1 earned run on 3 hits while walking just 1 in 6 1/3 innings pitcher. Since 2018, Keller has gone 12-2 under in 14 starts versus AL Central teams. Bet in this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-06-20 | Rangers v. Mariners -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Rangers (Lyles) @ Mariners (Dunn) 4:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Mariners -124 (10*) Texas pitcher Jordan Lyles has been in horrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a 12.46 ERA and 2.23 WHIP. Texas is 3-16 during its last 19 games and is also a abysmal 1-10 in their previous 11 road games. Seattle is 9-3 during their last 12 and that includes a current 4-game win streak. The Mariners are also 7-1 in their previous 8 at home. Seattle will be facing a Texas team which has been outscored by an average of 1.8 runs per game this season. Since the start of last season, Seattle is tremendous 14-1 at home versus opponents being outscored by 1.0 or more runs for the season. Seattle pitcher Justin Dunn has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts which is evidenced by a 0.93 WHIP during that stretch. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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09-06-20 | Brewers v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Brewers (Anderson) @ Indians (Bieber) 1:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Shane Bieber has been a monster this season and has seen 7 of his 8 starts go under the total. The Cleveland ace posted a magnificent 1.20 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and struck out 84 in 52 2/3 innings pitched during those outings. The Brewers current active roster has gone 4-27 (.148 BA) lifetime when facing Bieber. The Indians will be facing Milwaukee left Brett Anderson today. Cleveland is 6-1 under this season when facing lefty starters. Anderson has made 2 starts against Cleveland since 2019 including 1 in 2020 and had an excellent 0.87 ERA. Milwaukee is 14-4 under this season when there’s a total of 7.0 to 8.5. Since 2018, the Brewers are 14-3 under as a road underdog of +150 or greater like they will be today. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-06-20 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 1-14 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (DeGrom) 1:10 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) During his last 4 starts against the Mets, Aaron Nola has recorded a terrific 0.33 in 27.0 innings of work. Nola has made 7 starts this season with a 2.45 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and struck out 57 batters in 44.0 innings. Jacob DeGrom has displayed super form during his last 3 starts with a 0.95 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 35.0 innings. During his last 3 starts against Philadelphia, DeGrom has a 0.75 ERA and averaged 8.0 innings pitched per outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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