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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Nationals @ Dodgers 8:37 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Steven Strasburg has made 5 career starts at Dodger Stadium and compiled an excellent 1.97 ERA in addition to a 0.78 WHIP while doing so. Strasburg has displayed superb form over his last 3 starts overall, posting a 0.95 ERA 0.68 WHIP during those outings. Walker Buehler has made 2 home starts versus Washington this season and pitched a combined 13.0 innings of scoreless baseball. That included his NLDS Game 1 performance in which he went 6.0 innings and allowed just 1 hit. Buehler has recorded a sparkling 2.68 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and struck out 120 in 97 1/3 inning pitched during 15 home starts this year. Buehler’s control in those home starts has been impeccable which is proven by his 1 walk per 7.5 innings pitched. These teams have seen only 1 of their 12 games played against one another at Dodger Stadium go over the total since 2017. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Browns @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10*) The Browns are coming off an excellent performance last week at Baltimore in which they won by a decisive 40-25 margin. The win evened their record at 2-2. Cleveland has won road games in consecutive weeks since 2002. They had one opportunity to accomplish the feat last season, but they lost at Houston 29-13. The Browns will be without the services of 2 of their young star defensive backs in Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. The 49ers are in a rare situation in which they’re playing at home on a Monday following a bye week. San Francisco is coming off a 24-20 win over Pittsburgh in their home opener 2 weeks ago that improved their season record to 3-0. They won that game against Pittsburgh despite turning the ball over 5 times. Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 to 9.0-points that’s coming off a bye week, and they won their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those Monday home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. They won those 6 contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. The 49ers have been strong defensively thus far while allowing only 18.0 points and 283.3 yards per game. During their last games San Francisco has amassed a combined 1008 yards of total offense. Any non-division home favorite of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a straight up win by 17 points or fewer, and they possess a winning record, Versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The average victory margin in those 12 contests came by 13.3 points per game. Bet on the 49ers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Hill) @ Nationals (Scherzer) 6:40 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) The Dodgers have used Rich Hill in small doses over his last 4 starts and he’s responded nicely to that new role. During those 4 starts, Hill has allowed 1 earned run on only 1 hit while striking out 13 men in 6 2/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen has posted an excellent 1.08 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Max Scherzer has made 4 starts against the Dodgers since 2017 and was very dominant while doing so. During those 4 outings Scherzer recorded a sparkling 1.67 ERA and struck out 43 batters in 27.0 innings of work. I like this game to be a low scoring affair relative to the current total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -11 | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 12 m | Show | |
Colts @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Chiefs -11.0 (5*) Kansas City defeated Indy twice last season by decisive margins of 30-14 on the road and 31-13 during a home playoff game. That’s when the Colts had Andrew Luck at quarterback. All due respect to Jacoby Brissett who’s played well thus far in 2019, but he’s not in the elite status that Andrew Luck was prior to retirement. The Colts defense that was torched by Oakland last week will be in for a rough ride against a Kansas City offense averaging 33.7 points and 474.0 yards per game. Kansas City is coming off a 34-30 win at Detroit but failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. Indianapolis is coming off a 31-24 home favorite of -6.0 straight up loss against Oakland. The point-spread parameters and these previously mentioned results creates a rare but unbeaten betting angle. Any home favorite of 10.5 to 13.5 that’s coming off an away favorite ATS loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Colts) coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 28 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. Those double-digit home favorites won by an average of 25.4 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (10*) Denver is coming off a 26-24 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. The loss dropped the Broncos season record to 0-4. Adding insult to injury, Denver lost Bradley Chubb to a season ending injury in that loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are of to their usual slow start and are 2-2 thus far. They’re coming off a 30-10 win at Miami last Sunday in a game they covered as a 14.5-point favorite. Los Angeles will get an extra boost by the return of star running back Melvin Gordon following a holdout. Any NFL home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite of 3.0 or greater ATS win in which they scored 21 points or more, and they have at least 1 loss on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 20 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 2002. The average victory margin in those 14 contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-19 | Falcons v. Texans UNDER 50.5 | 32-53 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Under 50.5 (5*) Houston has seen each of their previous 6 home games go under the total and there was a combined 31.5 points scored per contest. Houston has also gone under the total in their last 3 games overall and there was a combined 32.7 points scored per contest. The Falcons have gone under in 3 of 4 games this season. The Falcons are averaging a robust 312 yards per game passing, but they’ve been plagued by 8 turnovers. Additionally, Atlanta is averaging only 70 yards rushing per contest. Going into this week, Atlanta has seen 71% of their offensive plays be passing attempts. They’ve become one-dimensional in part due to their inability to run the football and having to play from behind late in games. Houston is coming off a home favorite 16-10 straight up loss to Carolina. Atlanta is coming off a 24-10 home favorite straight up loss to Tennessee. Any NFL team coming off a straight up favorite loss in which they scored 23 points or fewer, and there’s a total of 43.0 to 50.5, versus an opponent coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more and they scored 12 points or fewer, resulted in those games going 13-0 under the total since 2011. There was a combined average of 41.4 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Washington -14.5 v. Stanford | 13-23 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Washington -14.5 (5*) This isn’t your typical David Shaw coached Stanford team that we are used to seeing in the Top 25. The Cardinal are 2-3 and their only 2 wins have come against teams (Oregon State, Northwestern) that are a combined 1-6 this season. As a matter of fact, one of those wins came in their previous game against perennial PAC-12 cellar dweller Oregon State by a narrow 31-28 margin, and that failed to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. Now they return home to face a red-hot nationally ranked Washington team in a game which they’re tabbed as a better than 2-touchdown underdog. Speaking of Washington, since a Week 2 upset loss at home against California, the Huskies have gone 3-0 SU&ATS and cashed in as a favorite on each occasion. Washington is 4-1 and has also gone 16-6 in its last 22 games. Any conference away favorite of 14.0 to 21.0-points (Washington) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games, and they covered as a favorite on all 3 of those occasions, and they won 19 or fewer of their last 22 contests,, versus an opponent (Stanford) with a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those sizable road favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.4%) since 2000. Any college football home underdog of 13.5 to 21.5-points (Stanford) that’s coming off an away win by 17 points or fewer, versus an opponent that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games, resulted in those home underdogs going 0-9 ATS, and they lost by an enormous average of 40.0 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Rays v. Astros -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rays (Snell) @ Astros (Cole) 9:07 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Astros -1.5 (-135) Houston has won 13 straight games with Gerrit Cole as their starting pitcher and 11 of those wins came by 2 runs or more. During that stretch Cole had a dominating 1.51 ERA and struck out 133 men in 89 2/3 innings pitched. The Astros will be facing Tampa Bay left Blake Snell tonight. Houston has gone a terrific 38-11 (.776) against left-handed starting pitchers in 2019. They’re also 61-21 at home this season and that includes an even better 49-12 when facing teams that average 1.25 or more home runs per game. By the way, Tampa Bay enters today averaging 1.35 home runs hit per game. Bet on the Astros as a run line favorite for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Duke | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Duke 8:00 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Pittsburgh +5.0 (5*) Pittsburgh has beaten Duke in each of their last 4 meetings. The Panthers enter this week with a 3-2 (.600) record. Their only 2 defeats came at the hands of #12 Penn State and #23 Virginia. The Panthers did manage to upset #18 UCF 2 weeks ago. Duke is coming off a 45-10 blowout win at Virginia Tech in a game they were a 2.5-point underdog. After losing their season opener to #1 Alabama, the Blue Devils have rebounded to win 3 straight games. Duke has ran the ball on 58% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll be challenged by a Pitt defense that’s allowing a mere 2.9 yards per rush in 2019. Any conference away underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent (Duke) that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a conference away underdog straight up win by 3 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2005. Those underdogs also won 13 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -20 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 391-392 Play On: Ohio State -20.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a lackluster 40-31 home win against Indiana but failed to cover as a 14.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, that was a 34-31 game until the Spartans scored a defensive touchdown on the last play of the game. Comparatively, Ohio State owns a 51-10 road win at Indiana on 9/14. The Spartans have also suffered a 10-7 home loss to Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. Ohio State is clicking on all cylinder. Offensively they’re averaging 52.4 points scored and 537.2 yards gained per game on their way to a perfect 5-0 start. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 8.6 points and 223.8 yards per game. Ohio State has covered each of their last 4 games with all coming as a favorite and won by a massive average of 48.8 points per contest. Any conference home favorite of 18.5 to 36.0 with a win percentage of .600 or better (Ohio State), and they’re coming off an away favorite of 14.0 or greater ATS win in which they covered by 3.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that failed to cover their previous contest, resulted in those large home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2002. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-05-19 | Eastern Michigan -6 v. Central Michigan | 16-42 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 3:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Eastern Michigan -6.0 (5*) Central Michigan is 2-3 (.400). Their only 2 wins have come over Albany who plays at the FCS level and winless Akron. The Chippewas have turned the ball over an alarming 11 times in their 5 games. Eastern Michigan is coming off wins over Central Connecticut State 34-31 and at Illinois 34-31 during its last 2 games. That improved their season record to 3-1. Their only defeat came at Kentucky in Week 2. I look for a solid Eastern Michigan passing attack to have its way against a Central Michigan defense that’s allowing 275 yards passing per game. Any conference away favorite of 10.5 or less that’s coming off a week of rest (Eastern Michigan), and has non-conference wins in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 34 points or more during their previous contest, versus an opponent (Central Michigan) with a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those away favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1994. Bet on Eastern Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
UCF @ Cincinnati 8:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Cincinnati +4.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off an inspiring 52-14 win at Marshall last Saturday and easily covered as a 4.0-point favorite. The Bearcats will enter this huge conference showdown with #18 UCF having won 9 straight home games. That adds to the betting value for the home underdog Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 this season with their lone defeat coming at #4 Ohio State. As a matter of fact, during their 3 wins over Marshall, UCLA, and Miami-Ohio, Cincinnati has allowed 14 points or fewer and 256 yards or less on each occasion. The Cincinnati offense is averaging an enormous 34:16 in time of possession which has aided its defense in a big way. Conversely, UCF averages 25:16 in time of possession per game which speaks mostly to their quick strike explosive ability. I look for Cincinnati to minimize UCF chunk plays on offense, and to win the time of possession battle. The Bearcats will also be out to revenge 3 losses in a row to UCF. Any college football home underdog of 9.5 or less, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 27.5 points or more, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1990. The home underdogs also won 9 of those 10 games straight up. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Twins (Berrios) @ Yankees (Paxton) 7:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+105) (10*) Minnesota’s Jose Berrios has a large 9.39 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in 2 starts against the Yankees since 2017. Minnesota is an outstanding 79-44 (.642) versus right-handed starters this year. However, they’ll be facing left James Paxton this season, and they’re just 22-17 (.564) versus southpaw starters in 2019. Since 2017, the Yankees have gone a dominating 10-1 at home versus Minnesota and 8 of those 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more. The Bronx Bombers are also a tremendous 40-12 (.769) at home this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. James Paxton has been in excellent form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.05 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Paxton has made 3 starts versus Minnesota since 2017 and had an impressive 1.80 ERA in addition to a 0.87 WHIP in those appearances. Bet the Yankees as a run line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-04-19 | Cardinals -106 v. Braves | 0-3 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Flaherty) @ Braves (Foltynewicz) 4:37 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Cardinals -106 (5*) Mike Foltynewicz has made 3 career home starts against St. Louis with all coming since 2017, and he registered a terrible 14.18 ERA during those outings. Atlanta has lost 6 of their last 8 games including the opener of this NLDS at home last night. Since the 1997 postseason, teams that have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games have gone a dismal 15-34. Jack Flahery has been the hottest starting pitcher in baseball since August 1st. During that time he’s made 12 starts and recorded a microscopic 0.68 ERA while doing so. Flaherty made 2 starts against Atlanta this season and posted a stellar 2.25 ERA. The Cardinals have gone an outstanding 36-21 during days games in 2019. Bet on the Cardinals for a 5* money line wager. |
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10-03-19 | Nationals +156 v. Dodgers | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 8:37 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Nationals +156 (5*) The only thing consistent about the Dodgers starting pitcher Walker Buehler this season has been his inconsistent. He’s either very good or bad and seldom anything in between. Case in point, Buehler has amassed 6 double-digit strikeout games including 5 without issuing a walk, in addition to seeing 8 of his 30 starts this season not get beyond 5.0 innings. Buehler had 1 home start against Washington this season on 7/28 and allowed 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Washington enters this NLDS red-hot having won 9 straight games. Nationals starter Patrick Corbin had plenty of success in 5 starts against the Dodgers since last season began. During those outings, Corbin compiled a dominating 0.59 ERA, and includes a 0.53 ERA in 3 starts at Dodger Stadium. The Nationals bullpen which struggled for a much of this season has drastically turned things around recently. Over their last 7 games, Washington relieved have recorded a combined 1.63 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. Lastly, since 7/28, the Nationals have gone an extremely profitable 9-4 as a money line underdog, and that includes 2-0 when +141 or greater. Bet on the Nationals for a 5* money line underdog. |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show | |
Rams @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Seahawks (Pick) (5*) The highly touted Rams defense was thrashed during last Sunday’s 55-40 home loss to Tampa Bay. Jerad Goff did throw for an enormous 517 yards in the loss. However, he also threw 3 costly interceptions and the Rams also lost 1 fumble. Since 2012, Seattle has gone 50-13 straight up at home. No matter how you slice it, that qualifies for a strong home field advantage. Included in those results was the Seahawks going 12-3 ATS as a pick or favorite of 5.0 or less. Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s convincing 27-10 win at Arizona. Any NFL home team (Seahawks) that’s coming off a win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a loss in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 46-11 (80.1%) straight up since 1983. Considering the current line, the straight up results in this betting angle take on added significance. Bet on the Seahawks for a 5* wager. |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rays (Morton) @ A’s (Manaea) 8:09 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Oakland finished their regular season slate by going under 6 straight times, and there were only a combined 4.3 runs scored per game. Oakland starter Sean Manaea has made 5 starts this season with all of them coming since 9/1. The A‘s lefty had an extremely impressive 1.21 ERA and 0.78 WHIP during those outings while 4 of those 5 games stayed under. Manaea has made 3 career starts against Tampa Bay while posting a very good 2.70 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in those appearances. The Oakland bullpen has a sparkling 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Charlie Morton has displayed superb form over his last 3 starts which is evidenced by him recording a 2.45 ERA and 0.93 WHIP thru that span. Morton has started twice against Oakland in 2019 and 0.68 ERA during 13 1/3 innings of work. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has also been highly effective during its previous 7 games while registering a 2.82 ERA. Neither of tonight’s starting pitchers have been susceptible to the long ball this season. Morton has allowed just 1 home run per 13.0 innings, and Manaea is surrendering 1 per 9.9 innings pitched. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Nationals (Scherzer) 8:08 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) Brandon Woodruff has made 2 starts against Washington since 2017 while and posted a dominating 1.38 ERA in addition to a 0.54 WHIP during those outings. The Brewers are currently a money line underdog of +171 in this NL Wild Card game. Milwaukee is 34-18 (65.4%) under the total this season when they’re a money line underdog of +100 or greater. The Brewers will be facing Max Scherzer in today game and he’s posted a brilliant 1.03 WHIP during 27 starts this season. Milwaukee has gone 19-6 (76%) under in 2019 when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Speaking of Max Scherzer, he’s made 3 starts against Milwaukee since 2017 and compiled an impressive 1.59 ERA in those appearances. The Washington bullpen was much maligned for the better part of 2019, but they’ve shown huge improvement in September when it counted most. As a matter of fact, the Nationals bullpen had an exceptional 1.90 ERA and 0.76 WHIP over their final 7 regular season games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers OVER 44.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) The Steelers have inexplicably had trouble running the football during their first 3 games. However, they’ll be facing a Bengals defense tonight that’s allowed a combined 434 yards rushing to Buffalo and San Francisco during their previous 2 games. If ever the Steelers running game is going to get well it’s going to be tonight. The Steelers establishing the run will help aid 2nd year quarterback Mason Rudolph with some advantageous play action pass opportunities. Pittsburgh has gone 12-2 over the total in their last 14 games as a home favorite and that includes 6-0 if the number was 45.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 62.5 points scored per game. With the first half against Buffalo last week being an exception, Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is off to a solid start this season. Dalton should have his way through the air while facing a Pittsburgh defense which has allowed opponents to amass 303 yards per game passing against them. Cincinnati is currently a 3.0-point away underdog in tonight’s contest. The Bengals saw all 3 of their games go over last season when they were an underdog of 3.0 or less and there were a combined 60.7 points scored per contest. This will be their first time in that precise role this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Saints +3.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 31-6 home rout of hapless Miami which improved their season record to a perfect 3-0. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 33-27 upset win at Seattle as a 5.5-point underdog. Even more impressive about that New Orleans victory is they did so with backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center like we’ll continue to see in the imminent future due to Drew Brees being sidelined. That victory enabled the Saints to start this season 2-1. Any regular season home underdog of 2.0 to 5.5-points (Saints) that’s coming off a away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a home win, and they own a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an outstanding 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 1988. Those home underdogs also won 25 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs v. Lions +7.5 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Lions +7.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off 2 straight upset wins over the Eagles and Chargers. They enter this week with a 2-0-1 record. Kansas City is off to a 3-0 start which surprises very few if any. It’s never as easy as it looks when it comes to wagering on elite NFL teams, and the never lost betting angle illustrated below is indicative of such. Any home underdog (Lions) after their 3rd game of its season that’s coming off an upset win in their previous outing, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1996. Better yet, those home underdogs won all 8 contests straight up and did so by a decisive 16.4 points per game. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills +8.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Bills +8.5 (5*) Both teams have started the season 3-0. Experts have made light of the Bills perfect start due to their opponents having a cumulative record of 1-8. However, New England’s wins have come over teams that have gone a combined 0-9. The Patriots defense has yet to give up a defensive touchdown this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo has allowed 17 points or fewer in all 3 of their wins, and they return 10 starters from a stop unit that was #2 in total defense a season ago. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Titans v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Titans @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Under 46.0 (5*) Tennessee is coming off a 20-7 loss as a 2.0-point road favorite loss at division rival Jacksonville in their previous game. Since 2017, the Titans have gone under in all 6 of their away games following a contest against a AFC South Division opponent in which they scored 22 points or fewer. Those 6 contests averaged only a mere 23.7 points combined being scored per game. The Falcons are coming off a 27-24 loss at Indianapolis last Sunday. Atlanta has gone under in their last 7 home games when there’s been a total of 44.5 to 51.5 after scoring 30 points or fewer during its previous contests. Those 7 contests have averaged just a combined 37.6 points scored per game. Both defenses have played well during the first 3 weeks of NFL regular season action. Tennessee is allowing just 17.3 points per game while limiting their opponents to 308.7 yards per contest. Atlanta’s first 3 opponents have amassed only 311.3 yards per contest. Any team (Titans) that’s coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, and there’s a total of 46.5 or less, resulted in those road teams going 27-3 under the total during regular season action since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State +6 v. Utah | 13-38 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Utah 10:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington State +6.0 (5*) Washington State is coming off a stunning 67-63 home loss to UCLA as an 18.0-point home favorite which dropped their season record to 3-1 (.750). Since 2015, Washington State has gone 6-0 ATS following a loss in their previous game in which they scored 28 points or more. They also won 5 of those 6 contests straight up and were an underdog on 4 separate occasions. Since the start of last season, Washington State has gone a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS during true road games. Additionally, since 2013, the Cougars are 6-1 straight up and 7-0 ATS as an away underdog of 16.0 or less following a loss in their previous game, and all under the guidance of current head coach Mike Leach. Furthermore, the Cougars are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games against Utah. Utah is coming off a 30-23 upset loss at USC as a 3.5-point favorite. The Utes have lost 3 straight at home to Washington State. Any college football away underdog of 3.5 to 7.0-points (Washington State) with a win percentage worse than .800, and they’re coming off a home straight up loss as a favorite of 14.0 or greater in which they allowed 22 points or more, versus an opponent 9Utah) possessing a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1992. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State +5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State 7:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 Play On: Kansas State +5.0 (5*) Oklahoma State is coming off last Saturday’s 36-30 loss at Texas, but they managed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their record to 3-1. The Cowboys defense has surrendered 396 yards or more to all 3 of their 2019 FBS opponents while allowing a lofty 31.0 points per game. Oklahoma State will be out to revenge last year’s loss at Kansas State. Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference game after having last week off. The Wildcats last played 2 weeks ago when they came away with a 31-24 win over Mississippi State as a 7.0-point away underdog. Since last season, Kansas State is an unblemished 6-0 ATS as a conference underdog of 10.5 or less. Kansas State has averaged an enormous 280.0 yards per game rushing per game during their 3-0 start. Conversely, Oklahoma State has allowed 158 yards or more rushing in all 4 of their games this season. Any college football conference away underdog of 5.5 points or fewer that’s coming off a win and possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) with a win percentage of .250 or better and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-1 ATS since 1992. Those away dogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Mississippi State +10 v. Auburn | 23-56 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 167-168 Play On: Mississippi State +10.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a 28-20 win at Texas A&M and did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Mississippi State is coming off a 28-13 win over Kentucky and they covered as a 6.0-point home favorite. Any college football conference away underdog of 3.5 to 13.0 points that’s playing before Game 10 of their season, and they’re coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 9.5 points or more while scoring 21 points or greater, versus an opponent (Auburn) coming off an away conference straight up win as an underdog, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 6 of those 11 contests straight up. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-28-19 | Indiana +14 v. Michigan State | 31-40 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 3:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Indiana +14.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a decisive 31-10 road win at Northwestern while easily covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Up next for the Spartans is #5 Ohio State. This has all the making of a flat spot for Michigan State. The last Spartans home game saw them being upset 10-7 by Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. They’ve now gone an uninspiring 4-4 in their last 8 home games. Indiana has no issues in a 38-3 win over Connecticut in their previous game and covered with no sweat as a 27.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are 3-1 with their lone defeat coming against Ohio State. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-19 | Penn State v. Maryland +7 | 59-0 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Maryland 8:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Maryland +7.0 (5*) Penn State has been less than impressive in my humble opinion relative to their current #12 national ranking. This will be their first road test of the season after opening with 3 consecutive home games. They held on to beat Pittsburgh 17-10 and trailed Buffalo 10-7 at halftime before eventually pulling away. They’ve shown a defensive vulnerability against the run thus far and look for Maryland to exploit that early and often. Speaking of Maryland, they’ll enter their Big 10 Conference opener on a week of rest. They were upset at Temple 20-17 in their previous outing. However, we must keep in mind that in wins over then nationally ranked Syracuse and Howard they outscored them by a combined score of 142-20 while racking up an enormous 1273 yards of total offense. Maryland will also be out to revenge lopsided losses to Penn State during each of the previous 2 seasons. Any conference home underdog of 9.0 or less (Maryland) that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 3 points or more, and is also playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1999. Even more compelling is the fact that those home underdogs won 12 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +6 | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Bears @ Redskins 8:15 PM ET Game# 489-490 Play On: Redskins +6.0 (5*) The Redskins defense has been extremely porous in their first 2 games of the season against division rivals Dallas and Philadelphia. They’ll have a chance to redeem themselves this evening against a Bears offense that’s averaged 9.5 points scored and 262.5 yards of total offense per game during the season’s first 2 weeks. Chicago is also averaging a pathetic 4.5 yards per offensive play through their first 2 games. Washington quarterback Case Keenum has been very good in his first 2 starts for Washington while completing 69.1% of his past attempts for 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Washington is coming off last week’s 31-21 home loss to Dallas. Since 2016, the Redskins are 4-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or less following a home loss. Since 2016, Chicago is 0-5 ATS as a non-division away favorite of 7.0 or less when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. The Bears lost 3 of those 5 contests straight up. Bet on the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
Rams @ Browns 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Browns +3.5 (10*) If the Browns want to prove they aren’t overhyped this is certainly a spot to do so against the reigning NFC champion Rams. They will also be out to atone for a 43-13 embarrassing loss to Tennessee in their home opener. On a positive note they’re coming off last Monday night’s convincing win or the Jets in a game they easily as an away favorite of 6.5-points. Since 1988, home teams coming off a Monday night away favorite ATS have gone an outstanding 51-16 straight up. That’s surely a compelling statistic considering Cleveland will be a home underdog on Sunday night. This is the first time this season that Cleveland will be an underdog. The Browns were a very profitable 7-2 ATS a year ago as an underdog of 7.0-points or less. The Rams are coming off a convincing 27-9 home win over New Orleans in what was a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game. That realistically opens the possibility of a flat spot for Los Angles this week. Any non-division home underdog of 3.5 or less (Browns) that’s coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) coming off a win in which they scored 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Those home underdogs also won 12 of those 14 contests straight up. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-19 | Saints +5 v. Seahawks | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Saints @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Saints +5.0 (5*) Teddy Bridgewater was or will never be mistaken for an injured Drew Brees. Nevertheless, let we not forget that Bridgewater was 11-5 as a starter for Minnesota in 2015, and led the Vikings to an NFC North Division title. Unfortunately, during the following training camp, Bridgewater suffered a gruesome knee injury that sidelined home for over a year. We also mustn’t dismiss that New Orleans still has more than enough supporting offensive talent to make Bridgewater’s start a successful one. Additionally, under the guidance of head coach Sean Peyton, New Orleans has gone an extremely profitable 12-0 ATS as an away underdog of 3.0 or more after Game 2 of the season. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s disappointing 27-9 road loss to the Rams. The Saints have won their last 7 games following a straight up loss and that can’t be ignored considering they’re an underdog in this contest. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -8 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Vikings -8.0 (5*) Backing the Vikings at home since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach in 2014 has unequivocally paid huge dividends. During that time, the Vikings have gone 31-12 ATS (72.1%) at home. Even more compelling during that stretch was Minnesota going 15-0 ATS in games 1 through 13 as a home favorite of 11.0 or less. The Vikings are coming off last Sunday’s 21-16 loss at Green Bay. However, once again with Zimmer as their head coach they’re a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division favorite following a straight up loss, and their average victory margin was a decisive 15.3 points per contest. Oakland jumped out to a 10-0 lead at home last week against Kansas City, but they allowed 28 unanswered points in a 28-10 home loss. Since John Gruden became the Raiders head coach last season, Oakland is 0-3 ATS as an away underdog of 9.5 or less and they lost by a convincing 21.7 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 31 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Arizona State 10:00 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Arizona State -7.0 (10*) Colorado is coming off a 30-23 home loss in overtime to Air Force. That defeat thwarted the Buffalos from starting 3-0. This will be Colorado’s first road test of the season. They’re a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or greater. They’ve allowed 30 points or more in each of their first 3 contests, and they’ll be facing an Arizona State team which has allowed exactly 7 points in each of its first 3 games on their way to a 3-0 start. Former New York Jets head coach Herman Edwards has done a more than admirable job since taking over at Arizona State. The Sun Devils have gone 10-5 in regular season games under Edwards and that includes 6-1 at home. Arizona Sate is coming off a 10-7 upset win at Michigan State last Saturday in a game they were a sizable 16.0-point underdog. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home versus Colorado since the Buffaloes joined the PAC-12 and with an enormous victory margin of 26.0 points per contest. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 62 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Illinois 8:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Nebraska won last season’s meeting 54-28 in Lincoln and that game went over the massive total of 72.5. I expect more of the same on Saturday night in what will be the Big 10 opener for both teams. During their last 2 games Nebraska has averaged 37.5 points scored and 492 yards of total offense per game. Illinois is 2-1 and is averaging 34.7 point scored and 407 yards of total offense per game. Nebraska has allowed 21.0 points per game on their first 4 contests. Conversely, Illinois has given up 20.0 points per game in their first 3 games. This statistical data qualifies for a very successful college football totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 that involves teams allowing 16 to 21 points per game, resulted in those contests going 30-6 (83.3%) over the total since 2010. The average total in those 36 contests was 59.2 and there were a combined 73.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Ohio | 45-25 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Ohio 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette is averaging a robust 8.1 yards per offensive play on their way to a 2-1 start. As a matter of fact, in their last 2 games they amassed 593 and 748 yards of total offense during blowout wins over Liberty and Texas Southern. Ohio has begun the season 1-2 and is allowing opponents to average 6.4 yards per offensive play. Any road team (UL-Lafayette) that collected 575 yards or more of total offense during each of its last 2 games, and they’re averaging 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, versus a team (Ohio) which is allowing opponents to gain 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, resulted in those road teams going 30-1 straight up (96.8%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance because they back the road underdog in this instance. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Michigan is 2-0 but failed to cover each contest by 17.0-points or more. They narrowly escaped with a 24-21 home win over Army in overtime and didn’t come close to covering as a 22.0-point favorite. Wisconsin is 2-0 while covering both games as a favorite and holding each of their opponents scoreless. They outscored South Florida and Central Michigan by a combined score of 110-0 and covered each of those contests by 26.0-points or more. Since 2004, Wisconsin has gone a superb 90-12 (.882) at home. Considering how small a spread we’re being asked to cover, that outstanding record at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin takes on special significance. Any conference home favorite of 5.5 or less (Wisconsin) that coming off 2 straight covers as a favorite in which it held their opponents scoreless, and they covered each of those contests by 11.5-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1981. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-19 | Utah v. USC +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
Utah @ USC 9:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: USC +4.5 (5*) USC was caught in a trap game last week. They had just come off an emotional 45-20 win over Stanford in their PAC-12 opener and was set to host #10 Utah next. In between those pair of PAC-12 contests was a non-conference road game at BYU. The Trojans fell to BYU 30-27 in overtime as a closing 5.0-point favorite. USC will also be out to revenge a 48-17 blowout loss at Utah last year. Backup quarterback Kedon Slovus has more than held his own while replacing injured starter J.T. Daniels. In 2 plus games, Slovus is 58-75 (77.3%) passing while throwing for 5 touchdowns. Utah is coming off a 31-0 home win over Idaho State who plays at the FCS level. The Utes failed to cover that contest as a 36.5-point favorite. Since 2015, Utah is 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference road favorite of 7.5 or less when facing an opponent off a straight up loss by 17 points or fewer. The Utes lost those 4 contests by an average of 9.3 points per game. Any conference home underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in game 2 through 9 of their season, coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 3 points or more in which they failed to cover by 8.0 or more, versus an opponent (Utah) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Those home underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 38.5 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Titans @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 38.5 (5*) These AFC South rivals have witnessed 5 of their previous 7 meetings going over the total. Last week’s NFL schedule saw 13 of 16 games played going under the total. NFL betting history has proven throughout the past 3 decades, that when a lopsided trend such as the previously mentioned on occurs, it tends to go in an opposite direction during the following week’s action. I firmly believe that will be the case in Thursday night’s game. The Jaguars rookie quarterback has Gardner Minshew has been impressive after being thrown into the fire due to Nick Foles going down with a broken clavicle. Minshew has gone 45-58 (77.6%) passing for 488 yards for 3 touchdowns and just 1 interception. He’s also shown a surprising ability to run the ball with 7 rushing attempts for 62 yards. The Jaguars are coming off a 13-12 divisional loss at Houston this past Sunday. Tennessee is coming off a 19-17 home loss to Indianapolis. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any NFL team (Jaguars) with a total of 37.5 to 42.0, coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer in which they scored 22 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Titans) coming off a game that they scored 10 points or more, resulted in those contests going 33-5 (86.8%) over the total since 2008. Here’s an additional NFL totals betting angle. Any Thursday night home team (Jaguars) with a total of 35.0 to 43.0 that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Titans) who’s coming off a straight up loss, resulted in all 9 of those contests going over the total since 1993. The average combined points scored in those 9 games was 52.6 per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Tulane -4.0 (5*) Houston is a team that’s run the ball on 61.2% of their offensive plays in 2019. During its first 3 games, Tulane’s experienced defense has allowed only 95 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per attempt. The Green Wave matches up very well in this game and will also be out to revenge last year’s 48-17 loss at Houston. Tulane is coming off last week’s 58-6 home win over Missouri State in a game they easily covered as a 31.5-point home favorite. Houston is coming off last Friday’s 31-24 home loss to Washington State. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle which is exhibited below. Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or more (Tulane) that’s coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 45 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Houston) that scored 19 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2001. Bet on Tulane minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets OVER 45 | 23-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Browns @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 289-290 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) Since 2017, the Jets have seen 7 of their 8 games as a home underdog go over. Furthermore, if there was a total of 43.0 or greater then all 5 of those contests went over with a combined 60.2 points scored per game. The Jets will be without 2 of their defensive studs in LB C.J. Mosely and rookie DT Quinnen Williams who started in last week’s 17-16 home loss to Buffalo. The Browns are coming off a humiliating 43-13 home loss to Tennessee in their season opener. Since 2017, Cleveland has gone over in 6 of 7 on the road when there’s been a total of 40.0 to 47.0. Those 7 contests averaged a combined 57.4 points scored per game. Since 2010, any NFL underdog (Jets) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off a division loss by 7 points or fewer during its previous contest, versus a winless opponent (Browns), resulted in all 8 of those games going over the total. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 54.1 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 18 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Falcons 8:15 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Falcons +2.0 (5*) The Falcons are coming off a dismal performance in last week’s season opening 28-12 loss at Minnesota. After last year’s very disappointing campaign, Atlanta can ill afford to start 0-2 from a confidence standpoint. Philadelphia overcame a 17-0 deficit at home last week to defeat Washington 32-27 but failed to cover as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. Although it’s very early, urgency and desperation should clearly be in favor of Atlanta in their home opener. Additionally, the Eagles allowed an alarmingly high 370 yards passing last week. That’s concerning when considering they’ll be facing an all-pro caliber quarterback in Matt Ryan and a terrific group of Falcons receivers on Sunday night. Bet on the Falcons plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos OVER 40 | 16-14 | Loss | -109 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
Bears @ Broncos 4:25 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: Over 40.0 (5*) Dating back to last season, Chicago has gone under 6 times in a row while Denver has done the same during their previous 10 games. As a result, at the time of this writing 77% of betting tickets have been placed on the under in this contest. It’s rarely that easy folks. The Bears opened their season with a 10-3 home loss to Green Bay in the annual Thursday NFL opening game of the season. Conversely, Denver fell 24-16 at Oakland last Monday. Any NFL game involving a team that played their previous game on Monday (Broncos), and they’re facing an opponent (Bears) coming off a Thursday contest, resulted in those games going 26-3 (89.7%) over the total since 1992. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders +7.5 | 28-10 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 9 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Raiders +7.5 (5*) The Chiefs are coming off a season opening 40-26 win at Jacksonville last Sunday while easily covering as a 3.0-point favorite. Now they’re installed as an away favorite again this week which creates a rare betting situation siding with the home underdog. Any NFL away favorite playing in their second game of the season, and they covered their opening contest as an away favorite, has gone 0-4 ATS since 1986. Furthermore, those road chalks lost 3 of those 4 contests straight up. Additionally, NFL away teams playing in game 2 of their season and they opened on the road have gone a dismal 2-14 straight up and 1-15 ATS since 2015. Oakland is coming off an impressive 24-16 home win over Denver this past Monday night and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. Their improved speed on defense was apparent while allowing Denver’s only touchdown with just 2:08 left to play. Derek Carr was brilliant in the win while going 22-26 for 259 yards passing. Moreover, rookie running back Josh Jacobs out of Alabama ran for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns in his NFL debut against a stout Denver defense. They’ll be facing a Kansas City defense that was torched by a rookie quarterback last week. The Chiefs stop unit continues to be a lingering issue and ultimately cost them a trip to the Super Bowl last season. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-15-19 | Jaguars v. Texans -8 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 11 m | Show |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Texans -8.0 (10*) Jacksonville took a huge hit for their chances of contending for a playoff spot this season after their prized offseason acquisition Nick Foles suffered a broken clavicle. Their chances now ride on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew out of Washington State. Minshew was impressive in relief last week while going 22-25 passing for 275 yards during a 40-26 home loss to Kansas City. However, the Texans will have ample time to prepare for Minshew in addition to tape on him while the Chiefs didn’t have that luxury. Houston lost a heartbreaker 30-28 at New Orleans last week with the winning points coming via a 58-yard field goal as time expired. I look for a huge effort out of the Texans in their season opener. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or more that’s coming off an away straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 8.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contents came by a massive average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State +9.5 v. Western Michigan | 10-57 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Georgia State @ Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 177-178 Play On: Georgia State +9.5 (5*) Western Michigan turned in a dismal performance last week during a 51-17 loss at Michigan State while not coming close to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. They surrendered an alarmingly high 582 yards of total offense to the Spartans who failed to reach 300 yards in their season opening win over Tulsa. It’s apparent in year 3 of the Tim Lester era, he’s not close to the master recruiter that former head coach P.J. Fleck (Minnesota) is and was, and the steady decline of talent has been obvious. Georgia State opened their season with a 38-30 massive upset win at Tennessee as a 24.0-point underdog. As to be expected, they were flat during last week’s 48-42 home win against Furman in a game they failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. On a positive note, they rallied from a 20-3 first half deficit in that contest and displayed plenty of character while doing so. With their 2-0 start, the Panthers have already equaled its win total from a season ago. Any college football away underdog of +1.5 to +13.5 that’s coming off a non-conference home win in which they scored 45 points or more but failed to cover, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2011. Those road dogs also won 11 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | Memphis v. South Alabama +19 | 42-6 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Memphis @ South Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: South Alabama +19.0 (5*) Memphis opened their season with an emotional 16-10 home win over Ole Miss. They followed that up with last week’s 55-24 home win over Southern University who plays at the FCS level. Now they go on the road for a first time this season and are laying a substantial number to boot. Keep in mind, up next for Memphis is their conference opener at home versus Navy, and they’ll be out to revenge last year’s 22-21 upset loss at Annapolis. This appears to be a potential flat spot and trap game for the Tigers. South Alabama deserved a better fate during its season opening 35-21 road loss at Nebraska. The Cornhuskers scored 2 touchdowns via interception returns and another on a punt return. South Alabama held a formidable Nebraska offense to just 276 yards in that loss. The won their home opener last Saturday over Jackson State by a score of 37-14 and held them to a mere 265 yards of total offense. The Jaguars will also be out to avenge last season’s 52-35 loss at Memphis while covering comfortably as a 31.5-point underdog. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -3 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Wake Forest 6:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Wake Forest -3.0 (5*) North Carolina a dismal 1-9 in their last 10 and 0-7 during its previous 7 conference road games. Dating back to last season, Wake Forest enters this week with a modest 4-game winning streak. Wake Forest is coming off last week’s 41-21 win at Rice. North Carolina has opened the season with 2 consecutive straight up wins as an underdog, and the last of which came over ACC rival Miami. These results set up an extremely strong college football ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any conference home favorite of -2.0 to -31.0 that’s coming off a road win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more win in a row, and they’re last victory came as a conference home underdog by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those conference home favorites going 28-3 ATS (90.3%) since 1981. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 55 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Panthers 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 49.5 (5*) Since 2016, these NFC South Division rivals have seen 5 of their 6 meetings go under the total. Furthermore, if there was a total of 53.0 or less, all 5 contests stayed under with a combined 33.2 points scored per game. Additionally, Carolina has witnessed 7 of their previous 8 division home games go under when the number was 54.0 or less, and there was a combined average of 37.8 points scored per contest. Tampa Bay is coming off a 31-17 home loss to San Francisco in a game in which they were a 1.0-point favorite. The 48 points scored were extremely deceiving. Both teams had less than 300 yards of total offense. There were 3 interception returns for touchdowns with the 49ers accounting for 2 and Tampa Bay the other. Carolina held the Rams explosive offense to just 349 yards in their season opening 30-27 loss at home. The Panthers were plagued by 3 turnovers which directly led to their demise. Any NFL team (Tampa Bay) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more has gone 47-19 (71.2%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Raiders 10:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) I’m not sold on quarterback Joe Flacco and I’m not on the bandwagon that predicts Denver’s offense will dramatically improve because of him. He lost his starting job to rookie Lamar Jackson in Baltimore a season ago and for good reason. Denver has gone 1-8 during its last 9 division away games and scored 23 points or fewer in each of those contests. Each of their 3 division road games last season stayed under the total. One thing I am sold on in respect to Denver is their defense. The Raiders offense will be average at best this season and will hard pressed to move the ball with any consistency tonight. Denver went under in all 12 games last season when there was a total of 43.0 or greater. Besides that compelling statistic, the Broncos went under in their last 9 games in 2019 regardless of the total. The Last 5 meetings between these AFC West rivals have all gone under the total, and there was a combined average of only 34.2 points scored per game. The average total during those 5 contests was 42.2. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Texans @ Saints 7:10 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Texans +7.5 (5*) You may be surprised to know that New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in season openers since 2014. Furthermore, they’ve gone 0-4 SU&ATS during their last 4 home openers and lost by an average of 8.0-points per game. All those contests came under the guidance of current head coach Sean Peyton. The Saints were also a favorite in each of those contests. New Orleans was a favorite in all 9 of their home games last season and went just 3-6 ATS in those contests, and that includes 1-5 ATS when they were -6.5 to -10.0. Houston began last season by losing their first 3 games, and then went on to finish regular season action by winning 11 of its next 13. Both teams won their division titles a season ago with Houston finishing regular season action at 11-5 and New Orleans was 13-3. Since 2008, any NFL away underdog of 5.5 to 9.5 that’s playing in their opening game and won 11 games or more the year before, versus an opponent that won 11 or more regular season contests the season before, resulted in those away underdogs going 6-0 ATS. The underdogs also won 3 of those 6 games straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 14 m | Show |
Steelers @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Patriots -5.5 (5*) Betting against the Patriots at home during the past 4 seasons has been a recipe for claiming bankruptcy. New England has gone an extremely profitable 26-9-3 ATS in Foxboro since 2015, and that includes an even better 12-2 ATS (83%) when they closed as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New England has also had the Steelers number in recent seasons. Specifically, since 2013, the Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 head to head meetings versus Pittsburgh, and they also went 4-1-1 ATS in those contests. Those results include New England going 3-0 at Gillette Stadiums while winning by a decisive average of 16.7 points per contest. Counting the postseason, New England went 14-5 a season ago. Conversely, Pittsburgh went 9-7 and didn’t qualify for postseason actions. Those 2 records sets up a successful NFL season opener betting angle listed below. Any NFL team (New England) playing in their season opener that’s a home favorite of 7.5 or less, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that won 12 games or fewer during the previous year, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 11-0 ATS since 2005. The average victory margin in those 11 contests was 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -3.5 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 72 h 0 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Vikings -3.5 (5*) Atlanta is a dismal 1-5 ATS during its last 6 games as an underdog of 2.0 or more. The Vikings have been very profitable at home in recent years by going 27-10 SU&ATS in their last 37 at Minnesota, and that includes 11-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 4.5 or less. They won those 11 home contests by a comfortable average margin of 10.4 points per game. Furthermore, the Vikings are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 home openers. Lastly, since 2014, Minnesota is 10-0 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 4.5 or fewer and won by an average of 11.4 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars OVER 51.5 | 40-26 | Win | 100 | 72 h 59 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Over 51.5 (5*) The Chiefs offense remains virtually intact from the explosive unit they were a season ago. Kansas scored 30 points or more in 14 of 18 games last season, and their lowest scoring output came during a 26-14 home win over Arizona. Furthermore, Kansas City saw 7 of their 8 road contests go over the total, and there was a combined average of 72.9 points scored per game. On a negative note, Kansas City allowed 34.6 points per away game. I don’t see them being vastly improved on that side of the ball. Jacksonville has endured their fair share of struggles offensively in recent years with former quarterback Blake Bortles as their starter. Nevertheless, they go into this season with a significant upgrade at that position after Nick Foles came over in an offseason trade from Philadelphia. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
Rams @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Panthers +3.0 (5*) The defending NFC champion Rams will enter this season with a target on their heads. They will certainly be in tough as a small road favorite against a very good Carolina team. Panthers head coach knows how to get the most out of players in home openers which is evidenced by Carolina going 5-0 straight up and 4-0-1 ATS during the past 5 seasons. As a matter of fact, the Carolina defense allowed 8 points or fewer during 3 of those last 5 home openers while allowing an average of just 12.4 points per game in those contests. Additionally, Carolina is 8-2 straight up and 7-2-1 ATS during their first 2 games of the season since 2014, and all those contests were played with current head coach Ron Rivera in charge. Bet on the Panthers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | Western Michigan +16.5 v. Michigan State | 17-51 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Michigan @ Michigan State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Western Michigan +16.5 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a listless 28-7 home win over Tulsa in their season opener and failed to cover as a 22.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Spartans have now gone a dismal 0-5 ATS as a home favorite. Their defense certainly has held up its end of the bargain and did so once again in their season opener. However, the offense continues to struggle as they amassed just 303 yards gained against Tulsa. They’ll be facing a Western Michigan defense that returns 10 starters from a season ago. This looks like a trap game for the home favorite. The Spartans will host Arizona State in their next game. They will be playing with revenge after suffering an upset loss at Arizona State last year. After that it’s their Big 10 schedule for the rest of 2019. Michigan State has gone just 14-8 over its previous 22 games. Western Michigan is coming off a 48-13 win over Monmouth and they covered as a 26.5-point home favorite against their FCS opponent. Any college football non-conference away underdog of 4.5 or greater (Western Michigan) that’s coming off a home favorite of -15.5 or more ATS win, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that’s coming off a straight up win, and they’ve won 8 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-0 ATS since 1988. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 55.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
LSU @ Texas 7:30 PM ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Both starting quarterbacks are coming off impressive performances during their team’s season opener last Saturday. Joe Burrow of LSU was extremely sharp while completing 23 of 27 pass attempts for 278 yards and 5 touchdowns in a 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Burrow exited the game early because of the Tigers huge lead. He gave way to backup Myles Brennan who threw for an additional 72 yards on 12 pass attempts. It’s quite apparent the Tigers switching to a fast tempo spread offense has paid early dividends. The LSU defense was dominant against a one-dimensional Georgia Southern offense that relies heavily on its triple option rushing attack that ran the ball on 39 of their 43 offensive plays from scrimmage. That won’t be the case when facing Texas on Saturday. Texas is coming off a 45-14 rout of Louisiana Tech. The Longhorns star quarterback Sam Ehlinger was 28-38 for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns. Like Burrows, he was pulled from the game early because of the lopsided score and airing on the side of caution to prevent possible injury. Texas also runs an up-tempo spread offense that ran 73 offensive plays in last week’s victory. On a negative note, the Longhorns defense allowed 340 yards passing to Louisiana Tech. The accelerated pace of this game will lead to much better than average offensive possessions for both teams. We should see somewhere between a combined 150 to 160 offensive plays run in this contest. Both quarterbacks are capable of amassing huge passing yards. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska v. Colorado +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Colorado 3:30 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Colorado +4.5 (5*) Nebraska hardly looked like a Top 25 team during their season opening 35-21 home win over South Alabama. The Cornhuskers didn’t come close to covering as a 35.0-point favorite. They only scored 2 offensive touchdowns in that victory and amassed only 276 yards of total offense. Dating back to 2017, Nebraska has lost 7 straight on the road and allowed an average of 45.4 points per game while doing so. Colorado is coming off a season opening 52-31 win over Colorado State and easily covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Buffaloes have a solid senior quarterback in Steven Montez. Any college football non-conference home underdog of 5.0 or less (Colorado) that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nebraska) that’s coming off a straight up win by 5 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 22-7-1 ATS since 1982. Those home dogs also won 20 of those 30 contests straight up. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri -13 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
tWest Virginia @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Missouri -13.0 (5*) West Virginia narrowly escaped with a 20-13 win against James Madison. I expect this inexperienced Mountaineers team to suffer through some early growing pains with former Troy head coach Neal Brown in his 1st year in Morgantown. Since 2015, West Virginia is 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and lost all 6 contests straight up by a decisive average of 22.7 points per game. Missouri is coming off a 37-31 upset loss in their season opener at Wyoming and did so as a sizable 15.5-point favorite. Since 10/21/2017, Missouri has gone 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 9.0 or more and won all 7 games straight up by a substantial average of 31.2 points per contest. I look for former Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant to have a huge game for the Tigers. Any college football non-conference double-digit home favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 37 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a massive 39.6 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-06-19 | Marshall +11 v. Boise State | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
Marshall @ Boise State 9:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Marshall +11.0 (5*) Since 10/24/2015, Boise State has gone a lousy 5-15-1 ATS as a home favorite, and that includes 0-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 to 17.0-points. The Broncos are coming off a stirring 36-31 upset win at Florida State last Saturday in which they overcame a 31-13 deficit. Now they return home on short rest to face a very respectable Marshall team that has no problems in their season opener last week during a 56-17 home win against overmatched VMI. I firmly believe Boise State will suffer some type of emotional letdown from last week’s huge comeback win on the road. Marshall is a good enough team to stay inside this current point-spread with all being considered. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears -3 | 10-3 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 28 m | Show | |
Packers @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Bears -3.0 (5*) Since 12/17/2017, Green Bay has gone 1-9 straight up on the road, including 0-7 SU and 0-6-1 ATS as an underdog of 7.0 or less. Since 2017, the Packers are a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS during division away games which includes 0-3 SU&ATS last year. Chicago went 7-1 SU&ATS at home during last year’s regular season schedule. Their only loss at Soldier Field came against eventual Super Bowl champion New England by a score of 38-31. As a matter of fact, they were a perfect 6-0 ATS as a regular season favorite and they won by a decisive average of 13.8 points per game. Since the beginning of the 2005 NFL season, opening game Thursday night home favorites of 7.5 or less have gone 9-1 ATS and 10-0 SU while winning by an average of 12.8 points per game. Bet on the Bears minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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09-04-19 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
White Sox (Nova) @ Indians (Bieber) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: White Sox +1.5 (+138) (5*) Shane Bieber has been terrific for the Indians this season. However, he’s been uninspiring during his 2 starts against the White Sox while posting a lofty 5.68 ERA and surrendering 5 home runs in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Furthermore, the Cleveland bullpen has compiled a terrible 6.75 ERA and 1.90 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Ivan Nova has made 3 starts against Cleveland this season and recorded a sparkling 2.14 ERA over that span. Nova also went 7.0 innings on each of those occasions. The White Sox have gone an extremely profitable 9-3 in 2019 as a money line underdog of +150 or greater. Those 9 wins came at average money line odds of +201. Despite the disparity in these team’s records, the White Sox are 8-6 against Cleveland this season. Bet on the White Sox for a 5* run line underdog wager. |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville | 35-17 | Push | 0 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 217-218 Play On: Notre Dame -18.0 (5*) Louisville finished last season by going 0-7 SU&ATS while losing by an average of 34.3 points per game. During that futile 7-game stretch, they allowed an enormous 57.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since 2016, the Cardinals are 0-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog and lost by an average of 38.8 points per game. Former Appalachian head coach takes over the reigns at Louisville. I think he’s an excellent hire, but it will take time for him to turn things around at a program which has gone 8-22 during its last 22 games. He’ll have the unenviable task of facing a Top 10 team in his head coaching debut at Louisville. Notre Dame returns 13 starters from a team that went 12-1 a season ago. Their lone loss came in the College Football Playoffs semifinal game to eventual national champion Clemson. Since 2017, the Irish went 5-1 ATS as an away favorite of 6.0 or greater and won each of those contests straight up by an average of 20.0 points per game. Since 1992, any college football away favorite of 7.0 or greater (Notre Dame) that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Louisville) who’s won 6 or more of their previous 22 contests, resulted in those away favorites going 5-0 ATS. Those 5 road chalks won by an average of 35.4 points per game. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | Oregon +4 v. Auburn | 21-27 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Auburn 7:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Oregon +4.0 (5*) Auburn’s true freshmen starting quarterback Bo Nix has drawn comparisons to former Texas A&M Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel. Before we get carried away, let’s see how he fares against an Oregon defense that possesses a ton of talent and has a chance of being very good. By the way, Oregon signal caller is senior Justin Herbert is projected to be the first quarterback taken in the 2020 NFL draft. He may have even been a first round choice this year if he had forgone his senior season. Herbert will be protected by one of the best offensive lines in the country. He’ll also have the luxury of a gifted group of wide receivers. This has all the makings of a game that goes down to the wire. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Oregon win straight up, but I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | 30-14 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Pittsburgh +3.0 (5*) Virginia seems to be the popular pick to win the ACC Coastal Division. Now they open the season as a road favorite against the defending Coastal Division champion Pitt Panthers. Pitt finished last year by going a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games. On the other hand, Virginia is an abysmal 5-31 SU on the road since 2012, and that includes 1-8 SU since current head coach Bronco Mendenhall took over in 2017. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-31-19 | SMU v. Arkansas State -2.5 | 37-30 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
SMU @ Arkansas State 7:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Arkansas State -2.5 (5*) With this small of a point spread, picking the straight up winner is nearly as import as covering the spread. As a matter of fact, college football teams that were +2.5 to -.2.5 that won the game straight up have gone 2636-76 ATS (97.2%) since 1980. Furthermore, this is a SMU football program which has gone 1-33 SU as a non-conference away under since 1997. Additionally, the Mustangs are 0-11 SU&ATS as a non-conference away underdog of 9.5 or less since 2014 while losing by 22.7 points per game. Conversely, Arkansas State is 39-8 at home since 2012. Additionally, during that exact time frame, the Red Wolves went 16-1 SU and 14-2 ATS as a home favorite of 2.0 to 14.0-points. Bet on Arkansas State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa v. Michigan State UNDER 48 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Tulsa @ Michigan State 7:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 48.0 (5*) Both teams return 8 starters on defense. Tulsa went a dismal 3-9 a season ago but they allowed fewer than 30 points 8 times. The Golden Hurricane has gone under in 10 of its last 13 as an underdog and 7 of their previous 9 away games. Tulsa average just 19.0 point scored per game in 6 road contests in 2018, and they’re about to face a defensive powerhouse on Friday. Michigan State’s offense was terrific a season ago and figures to be even better in 2019. Their offense returns 9 starters from a unit that was anemic last year. The Spartans have scored 19 points or fewer in 8 of their last 12 home games. Michigan State also finished 2018 by going under in 8 straight and those contests averaged only a combined 26.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-29-19 | Florida International v. Tulane -2.5 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
FIU @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Tulane -2.5 (5*) FIU went 9-4 last season under head coach Butch Davis and they return 16 starters. However, they faced only 3 teams that finished with a winning record. As a matter of fact, their 2018 regular season opponents finished with a dismal 53-82 (.393) record. Will Fritz is set to begin his 4th season as head coach at Tulane. The Green Wave have improved in every year with Fritz in charge. They started 2-5 a season ago and finished by winning 5 of its last 6 games to finish 7-6 which included a 41-24 bowl win over UL-Lafayette. It marked just a 2nd time in 14 seasons that Tulane finished with a winning record. Any home favorite of 7.0 or less that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 7 or more games during the year before, versus an opponent that won 9 games more fewer in the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 14-2 ATS (87.5%) since 2010. Bet on Tulane minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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08-28-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Indians (Civale) @ Tigers (Zimmerman) 7:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Indians -1.5 (-118) (10*) The Tigers Jordan Zimmerman has displayed good form over his last 3 starts. However, each of those outings occurred on the road. Zimmerman is 0-7 in his team starts at home this season with a terrible 8.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Zimmerman is also 0-5 in his career home team starts against Cleveland and compiled a horrible 10.38 ERA while doing so. Detroit is a miserable 17-44 at home in 2019, and that includes an abysmal 1-15 if they were facing an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or better. The Tigers were outscored in those 16 games by a massive average of 5.6 runs per outing. By the way, the Indians pitcher today is slated to be Aaron Civale, and he’s collected an exceptional 0.91 ERA in 5 starts this season. Speaking of Civale, he’s recorded a sparkling 1.82 ERA in those 5 previously mentioned. That includes an appearance against Detroit in which he pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Cleveland has gone a dominating 13-1 versus Detroit this season, and 12 of those 13 victories came by 2 runs or more. Detroit enters today having averaged 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019. Cleveland is an extremely profitable 18-1 this season against American League teams that average 3.9 or fewer runs scored per game and they averaged outscoring those opponents by 4.2 runs per outing. Bet on the Indians for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
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08-27-19 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 9-0 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Padres (Quantrill) 10:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) The Dodgers have gone under in 5 of their last 6. During that time, they scored 3 runs or fewer and had 7 hits or less in all 6 games. The Dodgers Walker Buehler has displayed solid form thru his last 4 starts while recording a 2.08 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Since 2018, Buehler has seen all 3 starts versus San Diego go under and his 0.82 ERA had much to do with those low scoring affairs. That included a complete game performance this year in which he struck out 15 hitters and didn’t issue a walk. The Padres Cal Quantrill is 5-1 under in his last 6 starts while collecting a terrific 2.08 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has a super 2.35 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in their last 7 games. The Padres bats have been silent over that exact 7 games stretch while averaging a paltry 2.6 runs scored per outing and having a horrible .514 OPS. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-27-19 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Yankees (Tanaka) @ Mariners (Kikuchi) 10:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 9.5 (5*) Masahiro Tanaka has made 5 career starts and Seattle and had a terrific 2.10 ERA in addition to 0.84 WHIP during those outings. It also resulted in 4 of those 5 games going under. Tanaka has witnessed his last 3 starts overall go under and his shiny 0.84 WHIP was a major reason why. The Yankees bullpen has been unhittable during their last 7 games as evidenced by a 0.82 ERA and 0.68 WHIP in that stretch. Seattle’s Yusei Kikuchi has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Kikuchi has made 1 career starts against the Yankees and it came this season. During that start at Yankee Stadium, Kikuchi was dominant in allowing just 1 earned run on 3 hits while walking 1 in 7 2/3 innings of work. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-27-19 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rangers (Minor) @ Angels (Heaney) 10:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 8.5 (5*) Mike Minor has seen 11 of his 13 road starts go under the season while posting a stellar 2.68 ERA while doing so. If Texas was an underdog of +100 or greater in those games then Minor went to 8-1 under the total. By the way, at the time of this writing, Texas is a money line road underdog of +135. The Rangers bullpen has been very good over their previous 7 games while compiling a sparkling 2.38 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Texas has averaged just a mere 2.9 runs scored per game throughout its last 7 while amassing a horrible .538 OPS. Andrew Heaney has been in very good form thru his previous 3 starts. During that stretch, the Angels southpaw hurler had a 2.41 ERA and brilliant 0.64 WHIP. Heaney has started twice against and collected a superb 2.08 ERA, 0.54 WHIP, and struck out 22 men in 13.0 innings pitched. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-26-19 | Reds v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Reds (Gray) @ Marlins (Lopez) 7:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) We have a pair of starting pitchers in this game who’ve both shown excellent form over each of their last 4 starts. During that stretch, Sonny Gray has compiled a microscopic 0.38 ERA. Conversely, Pablo Lopez has posted a brilliant 0.80 ERA and 0.88 WHIP throughout those previous 4 starts. Cincinnati has averaged a paltry 3.3 runs scored per game during their last 7 outings while collecting a poor .688 OPS while doing so. The Reds bullpen has an impressive 1.00 WHIP thru its past 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL +7.5 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Miami Fla. 7:00 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Miami Fla. +7.5 (5*) Miami has gone 14-1 in their last 15 home games. They’re also 16-0 straight up and 12-4 ATS in their previous 16 non-conference home games. The Hurricanes have also gone 31-2 in their last 33 home openers and that includes winning its last 12 home debuts. Miami has gone 22-6 straight up in their last 28 at home. Any college football home underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s won 22 or more of its last 28 at home and they’re playing in their season opener has gone 7-0 ATS since 2008. Those underdogs also won 6 of those 7 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-23-19 | Blue Jays -103 v. Mariners | 4-7 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Thornton) @ Mariners (Sheffield) 10:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Mariners -103 (5*) Toronto’s Trent Thornton has been in awful form during his last 6 starts while posting a 6.92 ERA throughout that period. Toronto bullpen has been pathetic over its previous 7 games while recording a 8.49 ERA and they allowed an alarmingly high 13 home runs in 35.0 innings. Toronto has lost 5 straight games and scored a grand total of only 9 runs. Seattle will be facing a Toronto team that’s been outscored by 0.5 runs per game this season. The Mariners have gone an extremely profitable 21-8 in 2019 when facing teams that have been outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game. Putting that record into perspective, Seattle has gone an abysmal 33-66 in all of the rest of its games. The Mariners bats have been red-hot of late while averaging 6.1 runs scored per outing during its last 7 games and their 13 home runs was a major reason why. Bet on the Mariners for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-23-19 | Rockies v. Cardinals -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Rockies (Lambert) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 8:15 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (-120) (5*) Colorado’s Pete Lambert has been horrible over his last 3 starts while recording a 9.64 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. The Rockies bullpen has a terrible 7.13 ERA and 1.75 WHIP throughout its last 7 games. The Rockies are a dismal 25-41 on the road in 2019. The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has been terrific over his last 4 starts as evidenced by him compiling a 0.35 ERA during that time. Flaherty has also collected a sparkling 2.89 ERA and 0.87 WHIP during 12 home starts this year. The Cardinals are averaging a lofty 5.7 runs scored per game thru their previous 7 outings. Bet on the Cardinals for a 5* run line wager. |
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08-23-19 | Royals v. Indians UNDER 9 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Royals (Junis) @ Indians (Plesac) 7:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 9.0 (5*) Jake Junis has seen all 5 of his starts at Cleveland go under the total throughout his young career and his stellar 2.67 ERA was a major contributing factor to those low scoring games. Junis has displayed good form during his last 3 starts overall while posting a 2.95 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Kansas City has scored 1 run or less in 5 of their last 8 games, and 7 of those 8 went under the total. The Indians starter Plesac has made 3 starts against Kansas City this season and compiled a shiny 2.87 ERA while doing so. Plesac has collected a solid 3.25 ERA during 8 home starts in 2019. Cleveland is coming off a 2-0 loss to the Mets. They’ve gone 20-6 under the total this season following a loss by 2 runs or less in their previous game. Since 2017, these 2 AL Central rivals have seen 16 of their 25 games (64%) played against one another in Cleveland go under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-22-19 | Jaguars +3 v. Dolphins | 7-22 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Dolphins 8:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Jaguars +3.0 (5*) Jacksonville has gone 0-2 SU&ATS in their first 2 preseason games while being outscored 53-10. Miami lost 16-14 at Tampa last week which evened their 2019 preseason record at 1-1. These results set up a powerful NFL preseason betting angle which is displayed below. Any preseason away underdog of 3.0 or less that playing in their 3rd game (Jaguars), and they’re coming off SU&ATS losses during their previous 2 contests, versus an opponent (Dolphins) coming off a loss by 28 points or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-2 ATS (89.4%) since 1992. Those away underdogs also won 15 of those 19 games straight up. Bet on the Jaguars plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-22-19 | Redskins -2.5 v. Falcons | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Falcons 7:30 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Redskins -2.5 (5*) If this game was in Week 1 of the regular season, the Falcons would be somewhere around a touchdown favorite on their home field. However, under head coach Dan Quinn this is an Atlanta team which has gone 0-11 SU&ATS during preseason games since 2017 and that includes 0-3 ATS in 2019. Even more compelling is their 0-5 ATS record at home during that time while losing by a substantial average of 13.8 points per game. Furthermore, Atlanta has scored 14 points or fewer in 9 of its last 10 preseason games. The Redskins have gone 0-2 SU&ATS in their first 2 preseason games and have been outscored 53-23 while doing so. Yet, oddsmakers had no qualms with making them a road favorite in this contest. They’ve set the trap for bettors to be lured into taking the home underdog that will clearly be the better of the 2 teams when regular season action consummates. I’m going to think like a bookmaker and goes with the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-22-19 | Panthers +3.5 v. Patriots | 3-10 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Patriots 7:30 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Panthers +3.5 (5*) Carolina is coming off last week’s 27-14 home loss to Buffalo. Nevertheless, under head coach Ron Rivera, the Panthers are 8-0 SU&ATS in preseason action following a loss in their previous game. New England won each of their first 2 preseason games and accomplished both as an away underdog. The Patriots won 22-17 at Tennessee last week and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. This sets up a rare but unbeaten NFL preseason betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL preseason away underdog of 4.5-points or less (Panthers), versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off 2 straight away underdog straight up wins in which they covered each by 8.0-points or greater, and they scored 30 points or less in their previous game resulted in those away underdogs going 6-0 SU&ATS since 1996. Those 6 road underdogs won those games by a decisive 14.3 points per contest. Bet on the Panthers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -111 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Yankees (Happ) @ A’s (Fiers) 10:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: A’s -111 (10*) The Yankees southpaw J.A. Happ has been in lousy form throughout his previous 5 starts while posting a 7.56 ERA. You may be surprised to know that since 2018 the Yankees are a dismal 3-16 as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150. Oakland is a terrific 41-22 (.651) at home this season. Since 2017, the A’s are 7-1 at home against the Yankees. The A’s are also a very profitable 21-10 in 2019 when facing southpaw starting pitchers. Oakland’s Mike Fiers is a prfect 5-0 in his previous 5 team starts with a stellar 2.78 ERA. Fiers is also an unscathed 9-0 since 2018 during his team starts in August. The veteran right-hander is also a terrific 25-6 during his home team starts since 2018. Bet on the A’s for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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08-20-19 | Yankees v. A's +122 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 122 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Yankees (German) @ A’s (Bailey) 10:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: A’s +122 (10*) The Yankees Doming German has enjoyed a spectacular 2019 season in which he’s presently 16-2. However, during his lone career start at Oakland last year he allowed 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Oakland has gone a terrific 40-22 (.645) at home in 2019 and that includes 9-2 in their previous 11. The A’s are coming off a loss their last time out, and they’ve gone a perfect 6-0 in their previous 6 games following a loss. Homer Bailey was terrific in his only start of 2019 against the Yankees, he allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits while walking just 1 in 6.0 innings pitched. Bailey has displayed good form over his last 3 home starts with a 3.37 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bet on Oakland for a 10* Top Play money line underdog wager. |
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08-19-19 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 10 | 6-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
White Sox (Nova) @ Twins (Gibson) 8:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 10.0 (5*) Ivan Nova has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while collecting a microscopic 0.49 ERA and tossing 2 complete games. Nova has made 2 starts against Minnesota in 2019 and had a stellar 3.00 ERA and 0.83 WHIP during those outings. His pitching adversary tonight will be Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson. The Twins right-hander has made 2 starts at home against Chicago since 2018 and posted a superb 1.38 ERA while striking out an impressive 18 batters in 13.0 innings pitched. |
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08-17-19 | Cowboys v. Rams +3.5 | 14-10 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Rams 10:00 PM ET Game# 421-422 Play On: Rams +3.5 (5*) The so-called sharps have hammered the Cowboys to the point they’ve moved from an opening 4.0-point underdog to a 3.5-point favorite. This massive a move is something you will never witness in regular season action. Whatever betting value the sharps perceived Dallas to possess has dissipated with this current point-spread. Besides, the Cowboys have lost 13 straight preseason away games under head coach Jason Garrett. The Rams are 5-1 SU&ATS in their previous 6 preseason home games. Los Angeles is coming off a 14-3 loss at Oakland in a game they were outgained by 217 yards. Any NFL preseason team (Rams) that’s coming off a game in which they were outgained by 150 yards or more has gone 24-8 ATS since 2015. They also won 21 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-17-19 | Patriots v. Titans +1.5 | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Titans 7:00 PM ET Game# 419-420 Play On: Titans +1.5 (5*) Since 2012, New England is 0-4 SU&ATS as a preseason away favorite and all with Bill Belichick. The Patriots are coming off a 31-3 win at Detroit and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. Tennessee is coming off a 27-10 win at Philadelphia. Any NFL preseason underdog of 1.5 to 2.5-points (Titans) that scored 9 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off a double-digit win in which they scored 33 points or fewer, resulted in those preseason underdogs going 15-0 ATS and 13-2 straight up since 2010. Bet on the Titans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-17-19 | Browns +3 v. Colts | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Browns @ Colts 4:00 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: Browns +3.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off a 30-10 home win over Washington. Indianapolis is coming off a 24-16 loss at Buffalo. Since 2014, Indianapolis is a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS in preseason home games versus teams off a straight up win that scored 21 points or more. Conversely, since 2017, Cleveland is 8-1 SU&ATS in preseason and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS during away games. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs OVER 42 | 14-16 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Miami @ Tampa Bay 7:30 PM ET Game# 415-416 Play On: Over 42.0 (5*) Since 2015, Miami has gone over the total in all 8 of their preseason road games. Those 8 contests averaged a combined average of 48.3 points scored per game. The Dolphins hung 34 points on Atlanta in their preseason opener last week. The bad news is their defensive units allowed Atlanta to put up 28 points of their own. Tampa Bay is coming off a preseason opening 30-28 loss at Pittsburgh. Despite that defeat, the Buccaneers racked up an enormous 479 yards of total offense. Since 2018, Tampa Bay has gone over the total in all 5 of its preseason contests, and there was a combined average of 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-15-19 | Jets +2.5 v. Falcons | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Jets @ Falcons 7:35 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Jets +2.5 (5*) Since 2017, Atlanta is an abysmal 0-10 SU&ATS in preseason games. All those defeats and non-covers occurred with current Falcons head coach Dan Quinn in charge. Those results include going 0-4 SU&ATS at home while losing by a decisive average of 14.7 points per game. Atlanta will be playing in their 3rd preseason game of 2019, and they’re coming off losses to Denver and Miami in their first 2. Any NFL preseason home favorite of 3.5-points or fewer that’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they scored 6 points or more on each occasion, resulted in those home favorites going 3-17 straight up and 2-18 against the spread since 2005. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-15-19 | Cardinals v. Reds -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Wacha) @ Reds (Gray) 7:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Reds -150 (5*) Michael Wacha has been uninspiring this season while posting a lofty 5.52 ERA during 15 starts. Wacha has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts in which compiled a 7.71 ERA and allowed 6 home runs during only 14.0 innings pitched. All 3 of those starts occurred on the road. That’s troublesome when considering he’ll be facing a Reds team that’s on pace to smash 231 home runs in 2019. Furthermore, Cincinnati has amassed 17 home runs hit over their previous 7 games. The Reds Sonny Gray has collected a brilliant 1.59 ERA throughout his previous 7 starts. Bet on the Reds for a 5* money line wager. |
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08-14-19 | Mets v. Braves -145 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Mets (Matz) @ Braves (Keuchel) 7:20 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Braves -145 (5*) Steven Matz is 4-8 in his 12 team starts on the road with a 6.79 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Matz has started 3 times against Atlanta in 2019 and had an uninspiring 6.23 ERA. The Mets are currently a money line underdog of +138. They’re a dismal 8-21 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150. Dallas Keuchel has made 4 home starts since signing midseason with Atlanta and collected a superb 2.96 ERA in addition to an 0.84 WHIP. The Braves are an extremely profitable 36-11 (.766) this season as a money line favorite of -125 to -175. During their previous 7 outings, the Braves are averaging 7.0 runs scored per game while smacking 14 home runs thru that period. Bet on the Braves as a 5* money line favorite. |
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08-14-19 | Pirates +116 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Pirates (Archer) @ Angels (Peters) 8:07 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Pirates +116 (5*) The Angels Dillon Peters has shown poor form over his last 2 starts while gathering a 7.20 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has a sizable 6.98 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, the Angles have allowed an average of 7.3 runs per outing during its last 18 games. The Pirates have won the first 2 games of this series while scoring a combined 20 and pounding out 30 hits. Since 2014, Chris Archer has made 5 starts at the ballpark in Anaheim and posted a microscopic 0.84 ERA during those appearances. You may be surprised to know that the Pirates are 12-4 this year versus American League teams. Bet on the Pirates for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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08-14-19 | Dodgers v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Marlins (Hernandez) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 8.0 (5*) Clayton Kershaw has made 4 career starts at Marlins Park in Miami and compiled a terrific 1.85 ERA while doing so. Additionally, Kershaw owns a 1.74 ERA throughout his previous 5 starts overall. The Dodgers bullpen has been rock-solid over its last 7 games as evidenced by their 2.61 ERA thru that time span. Miami will go with Elsier Hernandez on the mound tonight. Hernandez has made 4 home starts in 2019 and posted a sparkling 2.53 ERA plus 0.94 WHIP during those outings. Miami is coming off yesterday’s 15-1 blowout loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday. The Marlins have gone under in 10 of 12 this year Immediately following a game in which they allowed 9 runs or more. Conversely, the Dodgers have gone under in all 7 of their road games this season after allowing 1 run or fewer in their previous game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-13-19 | Mets +119 v. Braves | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Mets (Wheeler) @ Braves (Fried) 7:20 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Mets +119 (5*) The Mets are coming off a 7-4 home loss to Washington on Sunday. Despite that defeat, New York has won 8 of its last 9 and 15 of their previous 17 games. Additionally, the Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss and won by a substantial average of 4.0 runs per game. Zack Wheeler will be today’s starting pitcher for the Mets. Wheeler is 3-0 during his previous 3 starts with an excellent 1.33 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been outstanding over their last 7 games while compiling a collective 1.07 WHIP throughout that span. The Mets have cracked 17 home runs during that identical 7-game stretch. Max Fried has enjoyed a fine season to this point. However, during 7 starts against NL East rivals this season Fried has a large 6.21 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. The Atlanta bullpen has an atrocious 8.71 ERA and 2.23 WHIP thru its last 7 games. Bet on the Mets for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
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08-13-19 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 10.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Cubs (Quintana) @ Phillies (Vargas) 7:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 10.5 (5*) Jason Vargas has seen 7 of his 8 home starts go under the total and his 2.28 ERA in those outings contributed heavily to those low scoring affairs. The Phillies offense has struggled of late indicated by their poor team OPS of .689 during their previous 7 games. The Cubs Jose Quintana will be working on 5 days rest. He’s 16-2 under the total since 2017 when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. In his only start against Philadelphia this season, Quintana pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball. The Cubs bullpen has a stellar 2.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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08-12-19 | Reds -102 v. Nationals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Reds (DeSclafani) @ Nationals (Fedde) 7:05 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Reds -102 (10*) Erick Fedde has made 5 home starts this season and posted a sizable 6.85 ERA along with a terrible 1.97 WHIP during those outings. Couple that with the Nationals 6.11 ERA bullpen ERA at home in 2019 and it presents an unfavorable situation for Washington. Additionally, the Nationals have gone a poor 2-5 during its last 7 at home. The Reds are a horrible 16-31 in day games this season. However, they’ve been a more than respectable 40-29 at night. Cincinnati is coming off yesterday’s 6-3 loss to the Cubs. The Reds are 5-0 following their last 5 losses and won by 2 runs or more in each of those games. Throughout their previous 7 games, Cincinnati has averaged 6.3 runs scored per outing, hit 17 home runs, and amassed an impressive .920 team OPS. The Reds pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has made 4 career starts against Washington and compiled a very good 2.49 ERA in those appearances. Bet on the Reds for a 10* money line Top Play. |
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08-09-19 | Bucs +3 v. Steelers | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.0 (5*) Bruce Arians will be making his head coaching debut for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Prior to his current gig, Arians was head coach of the Arizona Cardinals. His teams in Arizona went a solid 6-3-1 ATS during preseason away games and that includes 5-1-1 ATS when they were an underdog of 1.5-points or more. The Tampa Bay franchise has gone 13-4 SU&ATS in their previous 17 preseason away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Since 2013, Pittsburgh has gone 2-6 SU&ATS during preseason action as a home favorite of 2.0-points or greater, and 0-3 SU&ATS (-11.7 PPG) if it was their 1st or 2nd game. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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08-09-19 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Braves (Teheran) @ Marlins (Smith) 7:10 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Julie Teheran has stated 3 times against Miami this season and allowed 0 earned runs during 18.0 innings pitched. It then comes as no surprise to learn all 3 games went under the total. Teheran has displayed terrific form over his last 6 starts while posting a 2.04 ERA. Caleb Smith is 4-1 during his last 5 team starts while compiling an outstanding 2.40 ERA. Additionally, Smith has collected a superb 2.28 ERA and 0.87 WHIP during 8 home starts this year. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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