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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-25-18 | Indiana State v. TCU OVER 147 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Indiana State vs TCU 9:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Over 147.0 These teams met once already this season at TCU on 12/16 and the Horned Frogs won 90-70. That game easily went over 147.0 with is precisely the total as we speak. TCU has scored 82 points or more in each of their previous 4 games while averaging a lofty 66.5 field goal attempts per contest. Indiana State has shot the ball extremely well over their last 5 games by knocking down 49.5% of their shot attempts and that includes 48.6% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver @ Oakland 8:15 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) Denver has seen each of their previous 7 games stay under the total. The broncos have also witnessed their last 4 games against Oakland all staying under and there was only a combined 32.5 points scored per contest. Denver is also 4-0 under this season when facing fellow AFC West teams. Since 2016, Oakland is 8-2 under the total during the final 4 weeks of regular season action, and that includes 5-0 under (36.0 PPG) when facing fellow AFC West teams. The Raiders are also 11-2 under in their last 13 division games and that includes 5-0 under when there’s a total of 45.0 or less. Since 2011, NFL Monday night division home underdogs playing after game 5 of the season and they possess a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those contests going 10-0 under the total. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 34.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Seahawks +2.5 (5*) I have huge issues with Kansas City’s defense and firmly believe it sets them up for another postseason disappointment. During the Chiefs 3 losses this season they have scored an average of 35.3 points per game, but they also allowed 42.0 points per contest during those defeats. Kansas City has also won 4 games this season while allowing 27 points or more. That’s not a recipe for success during this late part of the season when facing quality opposition. The Chiefs are coming off a gut wrenching 29-28 home loss to the Chargers last week. By the way, Kansas City is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as an away favorite of 10.0 or less following a straight up loss. Conversely, since 1/2/2011, Seattle is 7-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of between 2.0 and 5.0-points. Furthermore, the Seahawks have gone 18-2 straight up in their last 20 at home following a loss in their previous game. Bet on the Seahawks plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 53 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Saints 4:25 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Under 53.0 (5*) The high-powered Saints offense has stalled during their last 3 games. During that time, they averaged just 16.7 points and gained only 273.3 yards per game. On a positive note, the saints defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 6 games. Pittsburgh has gone under the total in each of their last 5 road games this season. Moreover, the Steelers are 18-1 under the total in its last 19 away games when facing non-division opponents, and if there was a total of 46.0 or greater in those contests it improved to 14-0 under. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +5 | 14-9 | Push | 0 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Bears @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: 49ers +5.0 (5*) The Bears are coming off an emotional home win last week over their bitter rival the Green Bay Packers. They not only defeated Green Bay for the first time in 9 tries at Soldier Field, but it also clinched its first NFC North crown since 2010. My professional experience has led me to firmly believe that on most occasions teams in this situation suffer from a huge emotional letdown in their following game. Despite putting together an outstanding 2018 regular season campaign thus far, we can’t ignore the fact that since 2016, Chicago is 5-17 on the road. The 49ers will be playing in their 3rd home game in as many weeks. They’re coming off straight up underdog wins in their previous 2 games versus Denver and Seattle. Additionally, since Kyle Shanahan became the 49ers head coach in 2017, they’ve now gone a perfect 6-0 straight up during the last 4 weeks of regular season action. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 46.0 (10*) Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less. New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis -3 | 37-34 | Loss | -114 | 64 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis vs. Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET Game# 221-222 Play On: Memphis -3.0 (5*) Memphis star running back Darrell Henderson declared for the 2019 NFL Draft and in doing so will not play in this Bahamas Bowl Game. Granted, Henderson was a huge part of the success this explosive Memphis offense has had this season, but there’s still plenty of talent at the offensive skilled positions. After all, this is a Memphis team which is averaging a robust 43.6 points scored and 534.3 yards gained per game. They’ll be facing a porous Wake Forest defensive unit which is surrendering 33.2 points and 465.3 yards per game this season. Memphis went 8-5 this season and advanced to the American Athletic Conference Championship Game. They suffered 2 of their losses against #8 and undefeated Central Florida (12-0). Play on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-18 | Pacers v. Nets +3 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Brooklyn +3.0 (5*) Indiana will be playing in their 3rd game in nights on Friday. The Pacers dropped each of their previous 2. Conversely, Brooklyn enters today’s contest riding a red-hot 7-game winning streak. The Nets have been sizzling hot offensively during their last 3 at home while averaging 128.0 points scored per game and they’ve shot 52.1% from the field. Bet on Brooklyn plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-18 | Towson v. Tulane UNDER 138 | 73-55 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Towson State vs. Tulane 5:00 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Under 138.0 (5*) This game will be played on a neutral floor in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Tulane is 3-7 (.300) and Towson State is 4-6 (.400) this season. Towson has averaged a mere 63.1 points scored per game this season on the road or at a neutral site. Tulane is averaging just 65.0 per game on the road or at a neutral site. Towson scored 80 points during a home win in their previous game. Towson is coming off a road underdog 80-76 upset win at Maryland-Baltimore County in their previous game. However, they’ve gone under the total in all 6 of their road and neutral site games during the past 2 seasons after scoring 80 points or more in their previous contest. Any neutral site team (Towson State) that’s coming off a road underdog straight up win and they have a win percentage of .200 to .400, versus an opponent (Tulane) who has a losing record, resulted in those games going 30-6 (83.3%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 36 contests was 137.0 and there were a combined 129.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida +3 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
Marshall vs South Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: South Florida +3.0 (10*) South Florida won their first 7 games and then when on to lose its last 5 regular season contests. Before jumping to conclusions, keep this in mind, any team entering a bowl game that lost 5 or more games in a row has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. By the way, all 4 of those contests occurred since 2011. The average margin of victory was 13.5 points per game. In the Bulls defense, the 5 losses were to Houston (8-4), Tulane (7-6), Cincinnati (10-2), Temple (8-4), and Central Florida (12-0). Those 5 teams are currently a combined 45-16 (.737) this season. This 2018 Gasparilla Bowl will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is South Florida’s home field. Moreover, teams playing in a bowl game on their home field have gone 21-12 straight up and 20-13 ATS since 1998. If those teams were an underdog and faced an opponent with a win percentage of .636 or better, they improved to 6-1 ATS and 5-2 straight up. Marshall enters this bowl game having finished 8-4 (.666) during regular season play. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-18 | Nets -1.5 v. Bulls | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Nets @ Bulls 8:05 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Bulls +1.5 (5*) The Bulls are 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 conference home games which included blowout loss by 56 points against Boston and 39 to Toronto. Chicago is a horrible 3-15 during its last 18 games played. Conversely, the Nets enter today on a 6-game winning streak and have been sizzling hot offensively during that stretch. They’ll be facing a Chicago team which has averaged just a mere 90.2 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests. Bet on the Nets minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
Ohio vs. San Diego State 8:00 PM ET Game# 213-214 Play On: Ohio -2.5 (5*) San Diego State started the season by winning 6 of their first 7 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 1-4 to finish their regular season schedule at 7-5. Additionally, all 6 of the Aztecs wins against FBS opponents this season have come by 8 points or less. They also sustained bad home losses to Eastern Michigan as a 10.0-point favorite and against UNLV (4-8) as a mammoth 24-point chalk. Despite not making it to the 2018 championship game, Ohio was arguably the best team in the MAC down the final stretch of regular season action. As a matter of fact, they were 7-2 in their final 9 games and the 2 losses came by a combined 5 points. They also easily defeated a very good 10-3 Buffalo team 52-17 in November. During their previous 6 games played, Ohio was a +13 in the turnover department, and they scored 49 points or more 5 times. Earlier this season they faced quality non-conference opponents in Cincinnati (10-2) and Virginia (7-5). They were very competitive on both occasions and their offense had no issues moving the ball on each occasion. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-18 | Penn State v. Duquesne +5.5 | 73-67 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Duquesne 7:00 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Duquesne +5.5 (5*) Penn State is 0-2 SU&ATS in their only true road games played to this point. As a matter of fact, the Nittany Lions have lost 3 of their last 4 and failed to cover on each occasion. Duquesne is a perfect 8-0 at home this season. The Dukes are also an unscathed 6-0 ATS during the last 2 seasons as a home underdog of 6.0-points or less. Bet on Duquesne plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets +2.5 | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Nets 7:35 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Nets +2.5 (5*) The Lakers will be playing in the finale of a 4-game in 6-day road on Tuesday. They’ll also be embarking on their 3rd game in the last 4 days. The Lakers will be facing a Brooklyn team with a 13-18 season record. They’re a dismal 4-12 ATS this season versus teams with a losing record. The Lakers are coming off a 128-110 loss in Washington on Sunday in a game they trailed at the half 71-51. The Nets are on a 5-game win streak and they’ve also covered 6 straight times. They’ve been on fire offensively during their last contests while averaging 132.0 points scored per game and shooting a sizzling hot 54.1%. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 5* wager. Any team (Nets) that’s coming off a game in which there was 245 or more points being scored, versus an opponent that trailed at halftime of their previous game by 20 points or more, resulted in those teams going 26-8 (76.5%) straight up since 1996. |
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12-18-18 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 238 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Wizards @ Hawks 7:35 ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Under 238.0 (10*) Atlanta enters today’s game with a terrible 6-23 season record. Conversely, Washington is 12-18 (.400). The Wizards are coming off a 128-100 home win over the Lakers on Sunday. Washington is 23-9 under the total during the past 2 seasons following a win, and there were an average of 212.1 points scored per game. Any road team (Washington) with a total of 220.0 or greater that’s coming off 1 or more wins and possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Atlanta) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 29-3 (90.6%) under the total since 1996. The average combined score in those 32 contests was 209.6 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-17-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | 131-127 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Portland @ LA Clippers 10:35 ET Game# 543-544 Play On: LA Clippers -2.0 (5*) The Clippers are a very good 9-3 at home this season. Portland has also been a strong home team while going 11-4 in the role. However, the Timberwolves have gone an uninspiring 5-9 straight up and 4-10 ATS on the road. The Clippers are coming off a 100-104 loss at Oklahoma City but did mange to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. That defeat made the Clippers season record 17-12 (.586). Any home favorite (Clippers) coming off an ATS win and they have a win percentage of .510 to .600 has gone 90-39 ATS (69.8%) and 102-27 (79.1%) straight up since 2014. Bet on the LA Clippers for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-18 | Pepperdine v. Oregon State OVER 154.5 | 67-82 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Pepperdine @ Oregon State 10:00 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Over 154.5 (5*) Oregon State is averaging 72.7 points scored per game and is coming off a 67-64 loss to Texas A&M. Furthermore, the Beavers are averaging 85.3 points scored per game at home while shooting a sizzling 53.8% and converting 44.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Pepperdine is allowing 76.4 points per game this season. Both teams have proven to like playing a faster paced game thus far. Any home team (Oregon State) with a total of 150.0 to 159.5 that averages 67 to 74 points scored per game, and they’re coming off a loss by 6 points or less in their previous game, versus an opponent (Pepperdine) which is allowing 74 to 78 points per contest resulted in those games going 33-6 (84.6%) over the total since 2014. The average total in those 39 games was 153.6 and there were a combined 166.9 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Carolina 8:15 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Carolina +7.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 28-14 road win over Tampa Bay in their previous game. That win improved the Saints season record to 11-2 (.846) and they’ve also gone 23-9 during their previous 32 games played. Carolina has gone 25-7 in their last 32 home games and that includes 10-1 during its previous 11. Since the start of last season, Carolina is 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Any NFL home underdog of 7.0-points or less that’s won 25 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .750 or better that’s coming off a win by 7 points or more, and they’ve won 24 or fewer of their previous 32 games played, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-1 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Those home underdogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -12.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Rams -12.5 (5*) Stick a fork in the defending world champion Eagles because they’re deflated and done after last week’s overtime loss at Dallas. Not to mention, the earlier week’s news of Carson Wentz being out for the season due to a back injury. Since 2016, Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 4.0-points or more when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or better. They lost those 4 contests by a decisive 16.3 points per game. The 11-2 (.846) Rams certainly qualify in that regard. Since the start of last season, the Rams are a perfect 3-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite and they won by a whopping 24.7 points per game. Any regular season double-digit home favorite (Rams) with a win percentage of .571 or better, coming off an away favorite of 2.0-points or more straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Eagles) with a losing record, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was a substantial 23.9 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Raptors v. Nuggets +3.5 | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Denver 8:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Denver +3.5 (5*) Toronto will be playing a finale of a 4-game in 6-day road trip tonight. Conversely, Denver will be playing in just their 3rd game in 7 days and all will have been played at home. Additionally, Denver has gone 5-0 SU&ATS during their previous 5 at home and won by a dominating 23.8 points per game. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Dallas 7:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Dallas -5.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a disappointing loss at Phoenix in their previous outing. However, the Mavericks are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss. Furthermore, Dallas is an outstanding 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Their only non-cover in that stretch was as a 10.0-point favorite during a 7-point win over Atlanta. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Steelers 4:25 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Steelers +3.0 (5*) Pittsburgh is in a rare home underdog role. Since the turn of the century, the Steelers have been a home underdog on 18 separate occasions and have gone a very profitable 11-5-2 ATS in those games. Pittsburgh enters this week on a 3-game losing streak but those defeats occurred by a combined 13 points and that includes the previous 2 each coming by a narrow 3-point margin. Pittsburgh was 7-2-1 at one time and appeared to be a mortal lock to be in the playoffs. Now they find themselves in a desperate situation against the most domination NFL franchise over the past 20 years. On a positive note, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home this season but are a very beatable 3-4 during away games. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Ravens 1:00 ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Baltimore -7.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 2-14 in their last 16 away games and that includes 1-7-2 ATS if they were an underdog of 9.5-points or fewer. As a matter of fact, after winning their season opener at New Orleans, Tampa lost their next 5 on the road and allowed a enormous 39.8 points per game while doing so. Baltimore has maintained a strong home field advantage since John Harbaugh has taken over the head coaching duties. Under the guidance of Harbaugh, Baltimore is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 5.5 to 10.5 points when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. They won those 7 contests by a substantial 20.6 points per game. Baltimore’s playoff hopes will be hanging in the balance during the final 3 weeks of regular season action. They can ill afford to lose a game like this against a Tampa team that struggles on the road and comes in with a lousy 5-8 record. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Vikings -7.5 Sometimes it’s better not to overthink a situation and to keep things simple. That’s exactly the case for me when handicapping this contest. Miami has gone an awful 1-0 in their last 11 road games dating back to last season, and they failed to cover on 9 of those 11 occasions. Furthermore, during that exact stretch of road futility, they were 0-6 SU&ATS as a road underdog of 8.0-points or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or worse. Currently, Minnesota is 6-6-1 (.500). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 16-1 ATS in their last 17 regular season games as a non-division home favorite of 11.0-points or fewer. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Packers @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Packers +6.0 (5*) Despite their disappointing 5-7-1 record, the Packers are very much alive in the race for the final NFC wild card berth. However, it all starts with them winning their final 3 regular season games. Considering their last 2 games come against the Jets and Lions, Sunday’s game at Chicago will be far and away their toughest challenge. Packers backers can be optimistic in knowing that their team has won each of their last 8 trips to Soldier Field in Chicago. They’ve also beat the Bears in 10 of its last 11 and 15 of their previous 17 meetings overall. The Bears offense has been far from dynamic over their last 4 contests while gathering 308 yards or less on each occasion. The Bears defense has been their calling card and that’s especially evident by forcing an enormous 34 turnovers through 13 games. However, Green Bay has been very good at protecting the football. The Packers have committed 1 turnover or less in 10 of 13 games. They also turned the ball over only a combined 2 times throughout their last 5 games. The Bears have a comfortable 2.5-game lead in the NFC North with just 3 games left to play. Urgency and desperation will be the Packers cashing in as an underdog. Bet on the Packers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Don’t look now but the Cowboys are on a 5-game win streak while improving to 8-5 and have a commanding 2.0-game lead in the NFC East with just 3 regular season games remaining. They also have the security of knowing if they lose on Sunday their final 2 games are against the Buccaneers (5-8) and Giants (5-8). Additionally, the 2 teams that are the closest to them in the standings in Washington and Philadelphia have recently lost their starting quarterbacks (Alex Smith, Carson Wentz) for the season. On the other side of the table is an Indianapolis team which is 7-6 (.538) and playing for their playing for their playoff lives. The Colts are in a 4-way tie with Baltimore, Tennessee, and Miami for the final AFC wild card spot. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Colts) that’s playing after game 12, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Cowboys) that have won 2 or more games in a row, and they have a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 38-9 ATS (80.9%) since 1983. Bet on the Colts minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 6 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State vs. Appalachian State 8:00 PM ET Game# 209-210 Play On: Middle Tennessee State +7.0 (5*) Middle Tennessee State lost to UAB by 2 points in the Conference USA Championship Game on 12/1. The Blue Raiders are 14-2 during its last 16 and 10-1 in their previous last 11 following a loss in their preceding game. Included in those results following a loss is 4-0 SU&ATS when they were an underdog 3.0-points or more and they won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. I also look at senior quarter Brent Stockstill as being an “X factor” in this contest. The southpaw passer is a 4-year starter for MTSU and has amassed 12,165 yards passing while completing 65.5% of his attempts for 105 touchdowns against just 33 interceptions during his illustrious college football career. MTSU enters this New Orleans Bowl with an 8-5 record. However, 3 of those defeats came on the road versus SEC opponents (Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Georgia) that will be participating in bowl games with 2 of those teams currently being nationally ranked. Bet on Middle Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 16 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Denver 8:20 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Denver -2.5 (5*) Cleveland’s win at Cincinnati on 11/25 snapped their embarrassing 25-game road losing streak. However, they regressed in a lopsided loss at Houston during the previous road game. Considering what the current point-spread is on Saturday in Denver, I would be remiss to ignore Cleveland’s road futility despite their marked improvement of 5-7-1 this year compared to a pathetic 1-31 record over the prior 2 seasons. Denver’s 3-3 home record is extremely deceiving. Their 3 home defeats came against the Chiefs, Rams, and Texans. Those 3 teams have combined to go 31-8 this season. Furthermore, those 3 home losses were by a combined 9 points. At 6-7, Denver is still alive for the final AFC wild card berth. The only thing within their control is to win its remaining 3 games and let the chips lie where they may. Bet on Denver minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Georgia Southern | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 38 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern 5:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.5 (5*) Georgia Southern went an impressive 9-3 during their regular season slate. However, just 2 of those 9 victories came over an FBS opponent that currently has a winning record. They did manage to not get totally blown out during a 38-7 loss at #2 Clemson, but their other 2 non-conference games came against inferior opponents in Massachusetts and South Carolina State who plays at the FCS level. They’re far from a dynamic offense that relies heavily on their triple option rushing attacks that accounts for 76% of their yardage gained this season. As a matter of fact, there are as one dimensional as they come which is evidenced by 84.5% of their offensive plays being rushing attempts. Eastern Michigan enters this Crampton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama sporting a 7-5 record. Nevertheless, 4 of their 5 defeats came by a combined 16 points with all 4 of those coming by 7 points or fewer, and they also own a quality road win at Purdue. Their only defeat that came by more than one possession came against #22 Army 37-22. It must be noted, they held Army’s explosive offensive rushing attack to less than 4.0 yards per attempt and 104 yards below their season average per game. That’s a good sign since they’ll be facing a very similar offensive run game from Georgia Southern. Eastern Michigan’s defense was dominant during its final 3 regular season game while allowing just 11.3 points and 205 yards per contest. EMU has trailed at the half in only 1 of their last 6 games. Conversely, Georgia Southern trailed at the half in just 3 of their 12 games and each time it resulted in a loss. Putting that into perspective, the Georgia Southern run heavy offense isn’t built to play from behind. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -104 | 70 h 24 m | Show | |
Texans @ Jets 4:30 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Under 41.5 The Jets enter this week sporting a disappointing 4-9 (.307) record. They’ll be facing a Houston team that’s going under the total in 7 straight away games when the total is 40.0 to 47.5 and after failing to cover in their previous contest. Since 2016, Houston is 19-2 (90.5%) under the total during the final 4 weeks of the regular season when there’s a total of 40.0 or greater. Any home team (Jets) with a total of 40.5 to 48.5 and they have a win percentage of .615 or worse, resulted in those games going 41-6 (87.2%) under the total since 2014. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 9 m | Show | |
North Texas vs. Utah State 2:00 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: North Texas +8.5 (5*) Despite losing their regular season final at Boise State 33-24 that cost themselves a berth in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, Utah State finished with an outstanding 10-2 record. Nonetheless, the Aggies only faced 2 FBS teams all season that currently have a winning record and lost both of those contests against Michigan State (7-5) and previously mentioned Boise State (10-3). North Texas enters this New Mexico Bowl matchup with a shiny 9-3 record of their own, and their 3 lone defeats came by only a combined 11 points. That’s surely a powerful prerequisite for underdog betting value. Since 10/31/2015, North Texas has gone an unscathed 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 5.0-points or more when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. The Green Wave won those 5 contests by a decisive 12.8 points per game. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (North Texas) that’s playing after game 7 of their season, and they own a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off a conference road loss in their previous game, and they (Utah State) have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 15-1 ATS since 1994. Those underdogs also won 9 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-18 | Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +3.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -106 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette vs. Tulane 1:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.5 (5*) Tulane managed to win 4 of their last 5 regular season games to finish at 6-6 and become bowl eligible. Nevertheless, the Green Wave have gone 0-4 ATS and just 2-2 straight up this season as a favorite of 3.0-points or more when facing an FBS opponent. Their only 2 straight up wins in those 4 games came against Navy (3-10) 29-18 and over East Carolina (3-9) 24-18. UL-Lafayette is much better than their mediocre 7-6 record may indicate. They’ve seen 5 of their 6 losses come against Appalachian State (10-2) twice with one of those occurring in the Sun Belt Championship Game, #1 Alabama (13-0), #17 Mississippi State (8-4), and Troy (9-3). Those 4 teams currently have a combined 40-9 (.816) record this season. They’ve also gone an extremely profitable 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-14-18 | Raptors v. Blazers +3.5 | 122-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Portland +3.5 (5*) Toronto will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days on Friday. They’re coming off an extremely impressive 113-93 blowout win at Golden State on Wednesday and they did so as a 7.0-point underdog. It would be hard to imagine they can be anywhere near as stoked or mentally sharp than they were against the defending world champions. Conversely, Portland is a very good 10-4 straight up and 9-5 ATS at home thus far. This will be just the 2nd time this season that Portland will be a home underdog, and the first time that occurred was on 11/6 against Milwaukee and they walked away with a 118-103 win on that occasion. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 | 29-28 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
Chargers vs. Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Chiefs -3.5 (5*) Since 9/22/2016, Thursday NFL home favorites have gone an extremely profitable 21-5-2 ATS. If those contests were played after the opening week of the season then the results improved to 21-3-2 ATS during that precise time frame. The Chargers have won their last 9 games against the Chargers and covered in 7 of those contests. Kansas City has also gone a dominating 20-1 straight up in their last 21 games against fellow AFC West teams and that includes 9-0 at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a division home favorite of 7.0 or less and won by a decisive 13.8 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-18 | Raptors +7 v. Warriors | Top | 113-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Toronto +7.0 (10*) Toronto is coming off last night’s impressive 123-99 road win over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Raptors are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS this season when playing with no rest. Toronto is also a very good 11-3 this season in away games. That road record also includes 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS when facing Western Conference opponents. Toronto is 22-7 over all this season, and their last 5 losses have all come by 7 points or less. This will be the 4th time that they’ll be facing Golden State since last season, and the other 3 meetings were all decided by 5 points or less. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State +8 v. Wichita State | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State @ Wichita State 8:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 Play On: Jacksonville State +8.0 (5*) This is a decent Wichita State team but no where near the caliber of where they’ve been over the past decade. The Shockers have already sustained a loss at home this season during a 13-point defeat at the hands of Louisiana Tech. The Shockers enjoy playing an up-tempo style which is evidenced by their average of 61 field goal attempts per game. They’ll have a willing dance partner tonight in Jacksonville State that also is hoisting up 61 shot attempts per contest. Jacksonville State began the season by losing its first 3 games. Since that time, they’ve won 5 straight and cover in all 3 lined games during that stretch. They’ve also held each of their last 3 opponents to 35.8% shooting or worse. Any college basketball road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s held each of their previous 2 opponents to a 37% or worse field foal shooting percentage, and each team in the contest is averaging 60 or more shot attempts per game, resulted in those road underdogs going 29-6 ATS (82.9%) since 1997. Those road underdogs also went a stellar 22-13 straight up in those contests. Bet on Jacksonville State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-11-18 | Villanova v. Pennsylvania OVER 138 | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Penn 7:00 PM ET Game# 601-602 Play On: Over 138.0 (5*) Penn has gone over the total in all 3 of their lined home games this season and there was a combined average of 161.3 points scored per game. The Quakers have shot50.9% or better in 7 of their 10 games this season and they’re converting on a superb 39.8% of their 3-point attempts. Conversely, Villanova has gone 13-4 over the total during the past 2 seasons when facing an opponent who makes 37% or better of their 3-point shot attempts. Those 17 contests averaged a combined 160.0 points scored per game. When these teams have met during the last 3 seasons each of those contests went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-18 | Heat v. Lakers -6 | 105-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Heat @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Lakers -6.0 (5*) Miami will be playing in their 3rd road game in 4 days. The Lakers have gone 14-5 in their last 19 games and are also 8-1 during its previous 9 played at home. These teams have already met this season in Miami and the Lakers walked away with a convincing win. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-18 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -2 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Grizzlies @ Nuggets 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Denver -2.0 (5*) Denver has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last at home and won by an enormous average of 30.0 points per game. The Nuggets will be out to revenge a 89-87 loss at Memphis the last time these teams met on 11/7/2018 in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. During the past 3 seasons, Denver has gone 9-0 SU&ATS at home when revenging an upset loss as a road favorite and won by 18.6 points per game. Memphis has struggled offensively of late having scored 96 points or less in 3 of their previous 4 games. On the other hand, Denver is averaging 114.1 points scored per home game this season. Bet on the Nuggets for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 46 | 7-21 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Over 46.0 (5*) Seattle’s defense has allowed 475 and 452 yards during its last 2 games. The Seahawks have seen of their previous 4 contests go over the total and there were a combined 58.5 points scored per game. Furthermore, Seattle has scored 27 points or more in each of its last 4 and 7 of their previous 8 games. The Vikings currently a 3.0-point road underdog in this contest and there’s a total of 46.0. Since 2016, Minnesota has gone 7-0 over the total during its last 7 road contests when their point spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and there’s a total of 47.5 or less. Those 7 contests averaged a combined 54.0 points scored per game. The Vikings defense allowed a substantial 471 yards in last week’s 24-10 loss at New England. Any team (Seattle) that’s allowed 375 yards or more in each of its last 2 games and is facing an opponent (Minnesota) who allowed 450 yards or more in their previous contest, resulted in those games going 35-10 over the total since 2014. The average total in those 45 contests was 48.8 and there were a combined 54.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-18 | Pistons v. 76ers -10 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Pistons @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: 76ers -10.0 (5*) The 76ers have gone an outstanding 13-1 at home this season. Today will be just their 3rd game in 8 days for Philadelphia. Conversely, Monday will be the Pistons 3rd game in 4 days. Detroit has been in a funk of late which is evidenced by them going 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears +3 | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Rams @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Bears +3.0 (5*) As good as the 11-1 Rams have been this season, they’re just 2-5-1 ATS in their previous 8 games. The Bears are 5-1 SU&ATS at home this season with their only defeat coming against New England. Furthermore, the Bears have forced 30 turnovers on their way to an 8-4 record. That serves well for a prerequisite to home underdog value. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Bengals v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Cincinnati enters this contest with a 5-7 (.416) record. The maligned Bengals defense will be facing a Chargers offense that averages gaining 399.4 yards per game. Under the tutelage of current head coach Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati is 10-1 under the total after game 8 of their season when facing an offense that averages 375 yards or more per game. The LA Chargers are coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games over Pittsburgh and Arizona. The Chargers defense has allowed 19 points or fewer in 5 of its last 7 outing, and that includes 10 or less when facing a team with a losing record. The Chargers are 5-0 under (33.6 PPG) the total in their previous 5 games following SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 contests. Since 2014, the Chargers are 13-3 under the total during the final 4 weeks of the regular season which includes 9-0 under (39.8 PPG) if there was a total of 44.5 or more. Any regular season home team (Chargers) playing after game 7 with a total of 44.5 to 49.0 who’s win percentage is .750 or better and is facing an opponent (Bengals) that has a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those games going 16-0 under the total since 1992. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Dolphins +9.0 (10*) You may be very surprised to know that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against New England, and that includes winning 4 of the last 5 meetings straight up. Miami has been awful on the road this season but has fared extremely well at home. Miami is 5-1 SU&ATS at Hard Rock Stadium in 2018. Conversely, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home but a beatable 3-3 on the road. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns UNDER 48 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Under 48.0 (5*) Cleveland has played its last 2 games on the road against Cincinnati and Houston. The last of which resulted in a 29-13 loss to the Texans. Carolina began the season 6-2 but has since lost 4 straight games and now find themselves at 6-6. Any NFL home team (Browns) that’s playing in the final 4 weeks of the regular season which is coming off away games in each of their previous 2 contests, and there’s a total of 41.0 to 48.5, resulted in those games going 46-12 (79.3%) under the total since 2014. If those homes team allowed 28 points or more in their previous game, and if they were facing an opponent (Panthers) that possess a win percentage of .833 or worse, this exact betting angle improves to a perfect 20-0 under the total during that precise time frame. |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -4.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Green Bay -4.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a shocking 20-17 loss to Arizona last Sunday in a game they were an enormous 13.5-point home favorite. That defeat was a final straw for long time head coach Mike McCarthy who was fired less than 24 hours later. Green Bay will be out to revenge last season’s 34-23 loss at Atlanta. The Packers are an extremely profitable 15-2 ATS since 2010 as a home favorite of 10.0 or less while playing with revenge. Atlanta is a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS during away games this season. Any home favorite of 8.0-points or less that’s playing after game 6 of their season and is coming off a home favorite of 9.5 or greater straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since 1983. Bet on the Packers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Giants @ Redskins 1:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Giants -3.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 overtime win over Chicago. The Redskins are coming off road losses in each of their last 2 games at Philadelphia and Dallas. The Redskins are down to their 3rd string quarterback Mark Sanchez who’s been with the team for less than 3 weeks. Any NFL road favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points that’s coming off a home game in which each team scored 24 points or more, versus an opponent (Redskins) that lost their last 2 games with both taking place on the road, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2008. Those road favorites won by a decisive average of 17.7 points per game. Bet on the Giants minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-18 | Navy +8 v. Army | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Navy vs. Army 3:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Navy +8.0 (5*) We have a 3-9 Navy team facing #23 Army who’s 9-2, yet, Army opened as just a 6.5-point favorite in this contest. This line has since moved to 8.0 due to the public’s money being wagered heavily on Army. Besides their near upset of #4 Oklahoma this season, Army has played an extremely weak schedule. Case in point was their final 2 regular season games against Colgate and Lafayette. Conversely, Navy plays in the very respectable American Athletic Conference in which they faced #8 Central Florida (11-0), and they also had a non-conference game against #3 Notre Dame (12-0). This is a battle tested Navy team despite their uninspiring record. The Midshipmen will also being playing with revenge after losing the last 2 against Army by a combined 5 points. This will also be the first time since 2001 in which Navy will be an underdog in this annual classic rivalry game. Bet on navy plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Titans | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Tennessee 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Jacksonville +5.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off last Sunday’s 6-0 home win over Indianapolis. That win ended a Jaguars 7-game losing streak and improved their season record to 4-8 (.333). Furthermore, Jacksonville is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5-points or greater. Conversely, Tennessee is 0-6 SU&ATS during its previous 6 games when their point-spread is +3.5 to -6.5. Any team (Jacksonville) that’s playing on a Thursday and is coming off a division win by 6 points or less while allowing 23 points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .333 or better, resulted in those teams going 16-0 straight up since 1991. Since this betting angle supports the underdog in this contest it takes on additional value. Bet on Jacksonville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-18 | Spurs v. Lakers -8.5 | Top | 113-121 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Spurs @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Lakers -8.5 (10*) |
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12-04-18 | Spurs v. Jazz -8 | 105-139 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Utah -8.0 (5*) |
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12-04-18 | South Dakota State +4 v. Memphis | 80-88 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
South Dakota State @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 747-748 Play On: South Dakota State +4.0 (5*) |
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12-04-18 | Wofford +16.5 v. Kansas | 47-72 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Wofford @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 745-746 Play On: Wofford +16.5 (5*) |
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12-04-18 | Miami-FL v. Pennsylvania +6.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Fla. @ Penn 7:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Penn +6.5 (5*) |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Eagles 8:15 PM ET Game# 379-380 Play On: Redskins +6.0 (5*) The Eagles have gone a dismal 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a come from behind 25-22 home win over the Giants which improved their season record to 5-6 (.454). However, the Eagles have yet to be victorious in 2 straight games this season while going 0-4 SU&ATS following a win. Furthermore, Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS and 1-3 straight up during its previous 4 home games. Washington is coming off a Thanksgiving Day loss at Dallas which dropped their season record to 6-5 and 15-17 over their last 32 games played. Nevertheless, the Redskins are a very profitable 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, and they won 5 of those contests straight up. Any away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Redskins) that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’ve won 7 or more of its last 32 games played, versus an opponent (Eagles) playing after game 8 of their season and is coming off a division win by 3 points or less, and they (Eagles) possess a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 1983. Bet on the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
Minnesota @ New England 4:25 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Minnesota +5.5 (10*) New England is coming off a 27-13 win over the Jets in a game they covered as a 13.0-point road favorite. Minnesota is coming off a 24-17 win over Green Bay in a game they covered as a home favorite. That win improved their season record to 6-4-1 (.600). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 35-9 ATS (79.5%) in their last 44 non-division games and all under current head coach Mike Zimmer. Any regular season NFL away underdog of 10.0-points or fewer with a win percentage of .600 or better, and is playing after game 8 of their schedule, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 25.0 or less and allowed 17 points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-1 ATS since 1984. Those road underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-02-18 | Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Buffalo +3.5 (5*) Buffalo has gone a very profitable 7-3 SU&ATS against Miami over the past 5 seasons. The Bills are coming off 2 straight wins over the Jets and Jaguars which has improved their season record to 4-7 (.363). By the way, they were an underdog on both occasions. Buffalo’s offense which was so anemic this year has woken up during those 2 wins and has averaged 32.5 points scored per game. Miami began the season by winning their first 3 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 2-6 and now sit at 5-6 (.454). The Dolphins are coming off a disheartening 27-24 loss at Indianapolis last Sunday in a game in which they squandered a 10 point 4th quarter lead. Any NFL away underdog of 5.5-points or less that has a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent coming off a road loss with a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those away underdogs going 31-7 ATS (81.6%) since 1983. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Panthers v. Bucs +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.0 (5*) Carolina is 1-7 straight up in their last 8 road games. That road futility isn’t exactly a successful prerequisite for betting on an away favorite. Furthermore, the Panthers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, and that includes 0-4 ATS if they were facing a fellow NFC South Division team. They also lost 3 of those 4 games straight up. The Panthers are coming off straight up favorite losses to Seattle and Detroit in their previous 2 games. After going 6-2 to start the season, Carolina finds itself on a current 3-game losing streak. Tampa Bay has gone a profitable 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and they won 4 of those contests straight up. The Buccaneers are coming off last Sunday’s confidence building 27-9 home win over San Francisco. That victory improved their record to 4-7 (.363). Any NFL home underdog of 6.5-points or less that allowed 28 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent coming of back-to-back straight up favorite losses, and they (Carolina) possess a winning record, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The underdogs also won 10 of those 12 games straight up. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Ravens +2.5 v. Falcons | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 357-358 Play On: Baltimore +2.5 (5*) Baltimore is coming off last Sunday’s 34-17 win over Oakland. Atlanta is coming off last week’s 31-17 loss at New Orleans in a game they trailed 17-3 at halftime. This sets up a highly successful NFL straight up betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL team coming off a win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a game in which they trailed at halftime by 14 points or more, resulted in those teams going 51-12 (81%) straight up since 2014. Considering what the point-spread is in this contest, the straight up betting angle carries much more value. Bet on Baltimore for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Northwestern vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Northwestern +15.0 (10*) Northwestern has thrived in the underdog role under current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. Since the latter part of the 2014 season, Northwestern has gone an outstanding 20-7 ATS (74%) as an underdog and that includes 18-3 ATS (85.7%) when facing an opponent that’s not undefeated. Northwestern lost their Big 10 opener to Michigan and then preceded to win its last 7 conference games. Ohio State is coming off a huge upset win against Michigan in their regular season finale. By doing so the Buckeyes have keep their college football playoff hopes alive. It would be difficult for me to imaging they will be able to match the intensity level they displayed a week ago. Ohio State may come out on top but this game will be much closer than people will anticipate. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State +1 v. Boise State | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Fresno State @ Boise State 7:45 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Fresno State +1.0 (5*) It’s very rare that I will ever fade a team with a strong home field like Boise State possesses in a virtual pick game. However, this is an exception to the rule. Fresno State will be playing with double revenge stemming from losses to Boise State in last year’s Mountain West Championship Game and in an earlier game this season. Fresno State’s top-notch defense will be the deciding difference tonight. Bet on Fresno State for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-18 | Celtics v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | Top | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Boston @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Under 215.5 (10*) Minnesota has gone under the total in 7 straight games. The Timberwolves have allowed 103 points or fewer in each of their previous 8 games played. Minnesota has gone 11-1 under the total this season when facing an opponent with a winning record like they’ll be doing tonight. The Timberwolves are coming off an impressive 128-89 win over San Antonio in their previous game and they led at the half of that contest 57-34. Boston is also coming off a lopsided win having routed Cleveland last night by a score of 128-95. Any team (Boston) coming off a win by 30 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) who led at the half of their previous game by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 50-12 (80.6%) under the total since 1996. The average combined points scored in those 62 contests was 190.6. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-18 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Detroit +5.0 (5*) Detroit has gone 8-2 in their last 10 and that includes heading into tonight on a 4-game win streak. That hot run has improved the Pistons record to 12-7 (.632). Golden State is coming off a 131-128 loss at Toronto in their previous game. However, the Warriors did cover that contest as a 9.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 15-8 (.652). Any home team (Detroit) with a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Golden State) coming off a straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, and they also have a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home tams going 62-11 (84.9) straight up since 1996. Considering the home underdog is an underdog in this contest, the straight up NBA betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma -8 | 27-39 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Oklahoma 12:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Oklahoma -8.0 (5*) Oklahoma will be playing with big time revenge after suffering their lone regular season defeat at the hands of Texas earlier this season. The Sooners aren’t only seeking the win but won’t hesitate to do so in a convincing manner if given the opportunity to do so. Style points will go a long way in convincing the college football playoff committee to allot the Sooners one of the 4 slots. I don’t like the lackluster manner which Texas finished the regular season. Case in point was a narrow 7-point win in their last game against lowly Kansas. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-18 | Utah +6 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
Utah vs. Washington 8:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Utah +6.0 (5*) Despite Washington’s stellar 9-3 regular season, they were a dismal 3-9 against-the-spread in those contests. Furthermore, The Huskies have gone an even worse 0-7 ATS during their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Furthermore, it would be difficult for me to fathom Washington matching their intensity level and focus they exhibited in last week’s huge road win over then #7 Washington State. Especially when considering they already have beaten Utah 21-7 on the road in their PAC-12 opener. Ironically enough, it was the Huskies only conference ATS cover of the regular season. Utah has averaged a lofty 202 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Utes defense is only allowing 100 yards rushing per game and less than 3 yards per attempt. No matter how you cut it, that equates to a winning formula. Utah has outgained their opponents on the ground by an average of 102 yards per game. Anytime there’s been a |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Dallas 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) There’s no questioning the offensive juggernaut that New Orleans has been this season. However, their defense has been overlooked as a result. As a matter of fact, the Saints are allowing a mere 12.7 points and 282.0 yards per game during its previous 3 contests. New Orleans is coming off a 31-17 win over Atlanta on Thanksgiving night and they forced 4 Falcons turnovers in that contest. They’ve gone 5-1 under the total in their last 6 away games when there’s a total of 47.0 or greater and they scored 24 points or more in their previous game. The Cowboys defense has been consistently good all season. There are allowing just 19.1 points and 331.1 yards per game. Dallas is currently a 7.0-point underdog in tonight’s contest, and they’ve gone 18-9 under the total during their last 27 games as an underdog including 6-1 under if there was a total of 48.0 or greater. Dallas is coming off a Thanksgiving Day 31-23 home win over Washington during a game in which they forced 3 Redskins turnovers. Any team (Dallas) that forced 3 turnover or more in their previous contest, and there’s a total of 49.5 or greater, versus an opponent (New Orleans) who forced 4 turnovers or more during its last outing, resulted in those games going 25-6 (80.6%) under the total since 1983. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-18 | Montana +7 v. Creighton | Top | 72-98 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 799-780 Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*) Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain. Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games. Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-18 | Jazz v. Nets +3.5 | 101-91 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Utah @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Brooklyn +3.5 (5*) Utah is coming off an embarrassing 121-88 home loss to Indiana in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite. This will be the 2nd time in 9 days that Utah will be playing in its 3rd game in 4 days. Brooklyn is coming off a 127-125 home loss to Philadelphia in their previous game. This will be only the 2nd game in 5 days for the Nets. Any home team (Brooklyn) off a home loss by 3 points or less, versus an opponent (Utah) coming off a home favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home teams going 22-4 (84.6%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering the home team is the underdog in this specific instance, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on Brooklyn plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-27-18 | Pittsburgh v. Iowa OVER 153.5 | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Iowa 9:00 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Over 153.5 (5*) Both teams have been red-hot offensively during their past 5 games. Each team has also been adept in getting to the free throw line during that time. During their last 5 contests Pittsburgh has averaged 84.2 points scored per game, shot 49.1% from the field, and converted on 37.9% of its 3-point attempts. Furthermore, the Panthers have averaged a lofty 29 free throws per game and made 74.7% of those attempts. Conversely, Iowa has averaged 88.6 points scored per outing throughout its previous 5 games while shooting 48.9% from the field. During that exact time frame, the Hawkeyes averaged a massive 36 free throws while converting a terrific 79.1% of those attempts. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-27-18 | Hurricanes -113 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Montreal 7:35 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Carolina -113 (5*) Carolina is coming off an 4-1 road loss to the Islanders in their previous game. That defeat ended their modest 3-game win streak. The Hurricanes will be facing Montreal for a first time this season and they’ve won 4 straight in this head-to-head series. Montreal is coming off a 3-2 home loss to Boston and it was their 4th straight loss. The Canadiens have gone a dismal 3-12 since the start of last season following a home 1-goal loss. The usually reliable Carey Price has struggled at home this season by going 3-6 in 9 starts while compiling a poor .879 save percentage. Any team that’s coming off a division loss by 3 or more goals and is facing an opponent (Montreal) which is coming off a home 1-goal loss in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 25-10 (71.4%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Carolina for a 5* money line wager. |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Houston 8:15 ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Tennessee +4.0 (10*) After staring the season 0-3, Houston has reeled off 7 straight wins and will be seeking a franchise record 8-game winning streaks tonight. Houston is coming off a narrow 23-21 win at Washington in their previous game but failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off an embarrassing 38-10 loss at Indianapolis last week which dropped their record to 5-5. Yet, the sportsbooks have Tennessee currently listed as just a 3.5 or 4.0-point underdog for tonight’s game. It’s never that easy when it comes to sports betting and that’s especially so as it applies to NFL wagering. Any Monday night NFL road team with a point-spread of +4.5 to -4.5, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a non-division ATS loss and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those road teams going 16-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The road teams won those 16 contests by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Giants @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Giants +5.5 (5*) The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s 38-35 home win over Tampa Bay. That victory improved their season record to 3-7 (.300) and they’ve also gone 9-23 during their last 32 contests. Conversely, Philadelphia took a 48-7 thumping at New Orleans last week and now find themselves with a disappointing 4-6 record. Any road underdog (Giants) of 6.5-points or less with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that’s playing after Game 7 of their season, and they won 18 or fewer of its last 32 games, versus an opponent (Eagles) coming off a road loss by 11 points or more, and they (Eagles) possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those road underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1980. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Panthers -3.0 (10*) Carolina has gone 28-6 during its last 34 home games and that includes a current 10-game win streak in Charlotte. On a negative note, the Panthers are coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 27-24 home win over Green Bay. That victory evened the Seahawks season record at 5-5. Any non-division home favorite of 2.0 to 5.0-points that’s coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games played, versus an opponent who’s coming off a win and that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory was 14.2 points per game. Bet on the Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-25-18 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 46 | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Browns @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Over 46.0 (5*) Cincinnati has gone over the total in 7 of 10 games this season, and there’s been a combined average of 56.8 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, each of their last 3 contests have gone over the total with a combined 60.3 points being scored. The Bengals defense has been horrendous this season and that’s been especially apparent during their last 3 games. During that span they’ve allowed 36.3 points and 496.0 yards per game. Since 2016, Cleveland is 9-2 over the total during road games when there’s a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and that includes 4-0 over if the total is 45.5 to 49.0. Cleveland’s 4 road games this season have averaged a combined 56.4 points scored per contest. The Browns defense has been less than aspiring in 2018 while allowing 26.3 points and 419.7 yards per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -2.5 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
Game# 181-182 Play On: Boise State -2.5 (5*) Since 1999, Boise State has gone an incredible 118-8 (.937) on their home field. The Broncos are also 14-1 in their last 15 versus Utah State and that includes 8-0 at home. Considering the small point-spread we’re being asked to cover those outstanding straight up records can’t be ignored. Boise State is coming off a 45-14 blowout win over New Mexico and they covered as a 22.0-point away favorite. That victory improved their season record to 9-2. Conversely, Utah State enters this regular season finale on a 10-game win streak. Their only defeat this season came in overtime during their opening game at Michigan State. Any conference home favorite of 3.5-points or less (Boise State) playing after Game 8 of their season that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 5.5 or more, versus an opponent (Utah State) with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 1980. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Arizona State -1.5 v. Arizona | 41-40 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Arizona 3:30 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: Arizona State -1.5 (5*) Arizona State is coming off last Saturday’s narrow 31-29 loss at Oregon. That defeat dropped their season record to a mediocre looking 6-5. However, all 5 of the Sun Devils losses this season have come by 7 points or less. Conversely, Arizona was destroyed at Washington State 69-28 in its last game. The Wildcats are now 5-6 and 3 of those defeats have by come by 27 points or more. Any away favorite of 3.0 or less that scored 27 or less in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 39-points or more and failed to cover by 23.0 or more, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a sizable 16.5 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Troy v. Appalachian State -10.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Troy @ Appalachian State 2:30 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: Appalachian State -10.5 (5*) This will be the regular season finale for both teams and the winner of this game will advance to the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. Appalachian State enters this contest with an outstanding 8-2 record and has now gone 17-5 over their last 22 games. The Mountaineers will be out to revenge last season’s 28-24 loss at Troy. Appalachian State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 20.0 or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .857. They won those 6 contests by an average of 27.3 points per game. Troy is coming off a 12-7 win over Texas State which improved its season record to a stellar 9-2 (.818). Any conference home favorite of 10.0 to 17.0-points (Appalachian State) who’s won 17 or fewer of its last 22 contests, and that’s playing with revenge in their last home game of the season, and currently has a win percentage of .444 or better, versus an opponent (Troy) coming off a straight up win in which they scored 33 points or less, and they (Troy) have a win percentage of less than .900, resulted in those home favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1998. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Ohio State 5.0 (10*) Since 2011, Michigan is a dismal 2-12 straight up in away games against teams with a win percentage of better than .666. Conversely, since 2012, Ohio State has gone a terrific 28-1 during conference home games. Furthermore, Ohio State has won 13 of their last 14 against Michigan and is a perfect 6-0 against the Wolverines with Urban Meyer as their head coach. There’s just way too much home underdog value on the Buckeyes in this contest to pass up on. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 1 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Iowa -9.5 (10*) Nebraska is coming off last Saturday’s 9-6 home win over Michigan State. That victory improved the Cornhuskers record to 4-7 and all 4 wins occurred on their home field. Iowa is coming off a 63-0 blowout win at Illinois in a game in which they covered as a 16.0-point road favorite. The combination of these teams results in their last games sets up an extremely successful college football point-spread betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference home favorite of 34.0-points or less (Iowa) that’s coming off a conference ATS win as an away favorite of 7.0-points or more in which they held their opponent scoreless, and they’re facing a team (Nebraska) that wasn’t shutout in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 32-2 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13 v. Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 31 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Falcons +13.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an extremely impressive 48-7 win over the defending world champion Philadelphia Eagles, and they easily covered the game as a 7.0-point home favorite. That victory improved their season record to 9-1 (.900). However, it must be noted, since 2014, the Saints are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 8.0-points or more when facing a team with a losing record, and they lost 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Atlanta is coming off a disappointing 22-19 home loss to Dallas this past Sunday. The Falcons now find themselves at 4-6 (.400) and in an urgent mode if they hope to stay alive for a NFL Wild Card berth. On a positive note, the Falcons are 10-5 ATS and 9-6 straight up in their last 15 games as an underdog, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS if they were facing an opponent coming off a favorite ATS win. Atlanta won those 3 contests by a decisive average of 12.3 points per game. Despite their losing record thus far, Matt Ryan is still enjoying a fine season. Through the Falcons first 10 contests, Ryan is completing 71% of his attempts while passing for 22 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions and has averaged a robust 330 yards passing per game. Any division away underdog of 3.0 to 14.5-points with a win percentage of .22 or better that’s playing after Game 3 of their season and they allowed 31 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 5.5-points or more and scored 31 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .66 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going a very profitable 23-3 ATS (88.4%) since 1998. Those away underdogs also won 15 of those 26 games straight up. Bet on the Falcons plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
Redskins @ Cowboys 4:30 ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Redskins +7.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a thrilling 22-19 road win at Atlanta while doing so as a 3.0-point underdog. That win evened the Cowboys record at 5-5 (.500). Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games as a favorite this season, and they lost 2 of those contests straight up. The Redskins are coming off a 23-21 home loss to Houston. Although they covered that contest as a 3.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 which is still good for 1st place in the NFC East standings. Adding insult to injury with no pun intended, they lost their starting quarterback Alex Smith for the year in that contest after he suffered a gruesome leg injury. Colt McCoy will assume the starting quarterback and he’s proven to be very capable when given the opportunity which included nearly rallying the Redskins to a win in that loss against Houston. By the way, Washington is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS (+12.7 PPG) if they’re coming off a loss in their previous game. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Detroit 12:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Detroit +4.5 (5*) Chicago has the unenviable task of having played the Sunday night nationally televised game that ended around 11:30 PM ET. Furthermore, they’re asked to play an early 12:30 PM ET game at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. No matter how you cut it, that’s an extremely difficult assignment. This also a Bears team which has gone 4-16 on the road since the 2016 season commenced, and that includes 0-12 if there was a total of 42.5 or greater. The total on their upcoming game at Detroit is 45.5. On a positive note, the Bears defeated Minnesota 25-20 in that Sunday night contest and covered as a 3.0-point home favorite. Detroit is coming off Sunday’s 20-19 upset win over Carolina in a game they closed as a 4.0-point home underdog. The Lions are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 2-0 SU&ATS at home. Any NFL home underdog of 4.5-points or less that’s coming off a non-division home underdog of 4.0 or less straight up win, versus an opponent (Bears) coming off a SU&ATS win, and they (Bears) have a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Take the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams -3 | Top | 51-54 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Rams -3.0 (5*) After running several NFL handicapping algorithms on this game, it was clear that games played in this precise situation clearing favorited the home favorite. Additionally, according to one major offshore sportsbook, 72% of point-spread betting ticket have gone the way of the underdog Chiefs. Since I’m not a big fan of siding with public betting, it’s just added that much more sugar to my spice. Let’s start with all the betting parameters I used for the 3 extremely successful betting angles illustrated below. For starters, both teams enter this game with identical 9-1 (.900) records. The Rams suffered their only loss 2 weeks ago during a 45-35 setback at New Orleans. Kansas City is coming off last Sunday’s 26-14 home win over Arizona. Any NFL home favorite (Rams) of 5.0-points or less that’s playing after game 9 of their season, and own a win percentage of .900 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 16.4 points per game. Any home favorite (Rams) that’s won 3 of its last 4 games and is facing an opponent (Chiefs) that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 contests, resulted in those home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2009. Any Monday night home favorite (Rams) that’s playing after game 9 of the season with a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off a win and has a win percentage of .643 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 22.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints -7.5 | 7-48 | Win | 106 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: New Orleans -7.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 51-14 blowout win at Cincinnati and easily covered as a 5.5-point favorite. Conversely, Philadelphia is coming off last Sunday night’s 27-20 home loss to Dallas in a game they were a 7.5-point favorite. Any home favorite (New Orleans) of 7.0-points or more that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Philadelphia) coming off a home favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 2011. The average margin of victory in those contests came by an enormous 24.6 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins +3 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Houston @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington +3.0 (10*) Houston enters this week on a red-hot 6-game winning streak. However, none of those 6 opponents currently have a winning record. It will get much tougher on the road this Sunday against a 6-3 Redskins team. Speaking of the Redskins, they have plenty of successful experiences as a home underdog since 2015. Excluding season openers, Washington is 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS if they were facing a non-division opponent. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | 22-19 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Atlanta -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a 27-20 win at Philadelphia and did so as a 7.5-point underdog. However, the Cowboys are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as an away underdog when they won it previous game. Atlanta is coming off a disappointing 28-16 loss at Cleveland. The Falcons are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in its previous 5 games at home following a road loss. Atlanta closed as a 5.5-point road favorite in that contest. The Falcons are now 19-13 in their last 32 games. Atlanta also enters this week having gone 20-12 during its last 32 home games. Any NFL home favorite (Atlanta) of 8.5-points or less that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss, they’ve won 20 or less of its last 32 games played, and has won 25 or less of their last 32 home games, versus an opponent (Dallas) coming off an away underdog straight win, resulted in those home favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since 1982. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Central Florida -7.0 (10*) Central Florida is coming off last Saturday’s 35-24 win over Navy. That victory improved their season record to a perfect 9-0. Cincinnati is coming off last week’s 35-23 win over South Florida. The Bearcats head into this huge American Athletic Conference showdown with an impressive 9-1 record. Any home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0-points (UCF) with an undefeated record that’s playing after Game 9 of the season, and they’re coming off a win by 38 points or less while scoring 21 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 loss on the season, and they’re coming off a win in which they scored 31 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 54 | 41-17 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina 5:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Under 54.0 (5*) Coastal Carolina is coming off a 44-16 loss to Arkansas State in their previous game and they allowed a hefty 8.7 yards per play. Coastal is averaging 6.0 yards per offensive play this season. Conversely, Georgia Southern is surrendering 5.7 yards per play this year. Any college football team (Coastal Carolina) with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that averages 5.6 to 6.2 yards per offensive play, and they allowed 7.25 or more yards per play during its previous game, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) that gives up 5.6 to 6.2 yards per play, resulted in those games going 27-2 (93.1%) under the total since 2009. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -6 v. Wake Forest | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Pittsburgh -6.0 (5*) Wake Forest is coming off a huge conference upset of NC State in their previous game and they did so as a sizable 18.5-point road underdog. That upset victory improved the Demon Deacons season record to 5-5 (.500). Pittsburgh enters this week on a 3-game win streak which bettered its season record to 6-4 (.600) in addition to 4-1 in ACC action. That recent surge has put the Panthers in the driver’s season for a berth in the ACC Championship game as longs as they win their final 2 regular season games. That seemed highly improbable after they were shellacked by Central Florida 45-14 and Penn State 51-6 during the non-conference portion of their schedule. The Panthers will be a highly motivated bunch on Saturday. Any conference road favorite (Pittsburgh) of 3.5-points or more with a win percentage of .500 or better that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .222 or better that’s coming off a conference away underdog of 13.5-points or greater straight up win, resulted in those road favorites going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 1980. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +8.5 | 28-18 | Loss | -102 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Memphis @ SMU 9:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: SMU +8.5 (5*) SMU is coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more. The Mustangs have now gone 10-12 during its last 22 games played. Any home underdog of 1.5 to 12.5-points that’s coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more on each occasion, and they’ve won 10 or more of their previous 22 games played, resulted in those home underdogs going 46-9 ATS (83.6%) since 1982. Those home underdogs also went an outstanding 37-18 during those 55 contests. Bet on SMU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-18 | Packers +3 v. Seahawks | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Seattle 8:20 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Green Bay +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s 36-31 home loss to the Rams. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off last week’s 31-12 win over Miami in a game they covered as a 12.0-point home favorite. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rogers has gone 4-1 ATS against Seattle since Pete Carroll became their head coach. Any team (Green Bay) coming off a game in which they covered as a double-digit favorite, versus an opponent (Seattle) coming off a road contest in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those teams going an unbeaten 19-0 straight up since 2003. Considering this NFL straight up betting angle backs the road underdog in this contest, it takes on additional betting value. Play on Green Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-18 | Tulane +10 v. Houston | 17-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Houston 8:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Tulane +10.0 (5*) Houston is coming off conference straight up favorite losses to Temple and SMU during its last 2 games. The Cougars also allowed an alarming 104 points combined during those 2 defeats. Tulane is coming off last Saturday’s 24-18 win over East Carolina. That win marked a 3rd straight victory which evened their record at 5-5, and the Green Wave has now gone 10-12 throughout its last 22 games played. Any conference away underdog of 10.5-points or less that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, and they’ve won 10 or more of its previous 22 games played, versus an opponent coming off straight up favorite losses in each of their last 2 games, and they (Houston) own a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 19-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1982. Those underdogs also won 15 of those 20 games straight up. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings +3 | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Sacramento +3.0 (5*) San Antonio is coming off a 96-89 win over division rival Houston and they do so as a 3.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Sacramento is coming off a 101-86 division loss to the Lakers. Any home team (Sacramento) that’s coming off a division loss by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (San Antonio) coming off a division home underdog straight up win, resulted in those home teams going 24-6 straight up since 1996. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | 27-23 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
NY Giants @ San Francisco 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: San Francisco -3.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming off a 34-3 home win over Oakland and did so as a 1.0-point underdog. That win improved their season record to 2-7 (.222). This sets up a straightforward and unbeaten NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team that’s +2.5 to -4.5 with a losing record and is coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The average margin of victory during those 14 contests was 10.3 points per game. Take San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne OVER 153 | Top | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Illinois-Chicago @ Duquense 8:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Over 153.0 (10*) During the past 3 seasons, Illinois-Chicago is 7-0 over the total during away games when the total is 150.0 to 154.5. Those 7 contests have averaged a combined 167.7 points scored per game. Through their first 2 games of the season, Illinois-Chicago has allowed 86.0 points per contest and their opponents has 31 free throw attempts par outing. Those 2 contests were played at a very fast pace as indicated a combined 121 field goal attempts per game. Duquense is coming off a season opening 84-70 win over William & Mary. They attempted a lofty 61 field goal attempts in that win and made an impressive 52.5% of those attempts while converting on a superb 46.2% of its 3-point shots. According to the current college basketball odds at Bookmaker, Duquense is listed as a 6.0-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Dukes have gone over the total in all 6 of their games as a home favorite of 6.0-points or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams -9 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Seattle @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -9.0 (10*) The worst thing that happened for Seattle regarding this matchup is the Rams suffering their first loss of the season last Sunday at New Orleans. Since 10/15/2017, the Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a loss in their previous contest and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. They’re also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS during their previous 6 games as a home favorite and their winning margin was 14.5 points per contest. The Rams have outscored Seattle 75-38 during the last 2 times these division rivals have met while winning both of those contests. The Seahawks defense had no answer for stopping Todd Gurley in those 2 losses to their division rival. Gurley rushed for a combined 229 and scored 7 touchdowns in those Rams wins. I look for more of the same on Sunday. Take the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-18 | Chargers v. Raiders +11 | 20-6 | Loss | -128 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Oakland 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Oakland +11.0 (5*) Oakland is coming off an embarrassing 34-3 straight up favorite loss at san Francisco last Monday. They’ll also be out to revenge a 26-10 road loss to the Chargers earlier this season. Any NFL home underdog of 8.5-points or more that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss, and is playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1995. Those sizable home underdogs also won 9 of those 12 contests straight up. Take Oakland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Cincinnati +6.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off last week’s 45-35 home win over the then undefeated Rams and they did so as a 2.0-point underdog. After Sunday’s game at Cincinnati they’ll be hosting the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. This look like a potential flat spot for a high-flying Saints team that’s won 7 games in a row. Cincinnati is coming off a bye week. They were a 37-34 home winner over Tampa Bay in their previous game. That win improved the Bengals season record to 5-3 (.625). Cincinnati has gone 8-1 ATS and 7-2 straight up in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 2.5-points or more, and if they were facing a non-division opponent it improves to 5-0 SU&ATS. Any NFL home team with a winning record that’s coming off a win by 23 points or less, versus an opponent that coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they scored 17 points or more, and they also have a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 31-1 (96.9%) straight up since 1985. Take the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points. |
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11-11-18 | Redskins +3 v. Bucs | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
Washington @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Washington has gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games as an away underdog of 4.0-points or less. The Redskins are coming off last Sunday’s embarrassing home favorite 38-14 loss to Seattle. Tampa Bay has gone a miserable 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a non-division home favorite of 2.5-6.0-points. Additionally, they lost 8 of those 11 games straight up. The Bucs are coming off last Sunday’s 42-28 loss at Carolina. After getting off to a 2-0 start, Tampa has lost 5 of its last 6 games, and their only win came at home in overtime against Cleveland. Any NFL away team that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 21 points or more and is facing an opponent with a win percentage of .111 or better, resulted in those away teams going 17-0 ATS since 1999. Take Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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