For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-30-17 | Bucks v. Blazers OVER 202.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bucks OVER With both of these teams coming off great defensive efforts in their last game, I think it's created some great value here with the total and this one going OVER the mark set by the books. Last time out the Bucks held the Kings to just 87 points, while the Blazers limited the Knicks to just 91. I just think there's too much offensive fire-power here. Milwaukee has scored 108 or more in each of their first 3 games on their 4-game road trip, while the Blazers have scored at least 103 in each of their last 3. OVER is 9-3 in the Bucks last 12 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 5-1 in the Blazers last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 in their last 11 against the Central Division. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-30-17 | Pacific -2 v. UC Riverside | 57-55 | Push | 0 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pacific - I like the value here with the Tigers, who are showing signs of improvement in year two under head coach Damon Stoudamire. While Pacific is just 3-4 to start, they have showed they can compete against some good teams, most notably a 15 point loss to a very good Nevada team. As for UC-Riverside, they just recently lost by 45 points to Michigan and are just 1-3 in their last 4 overall, which also includes a 12-point loss at home to Portland State, who I think is right on par with this Pacific squad. I think the difference in this one is going to come down to the Tigers being the much more efficient offensive team. Pacific comes in averaging 75.9 ppg and are shooting a blistering 47.1% from the field. The Highlanders on the other hand average just 67.4 ppg and are connecting on just 40.7% of their attempts. Note that overall I think the schedules have been pretty even between the two, so it's easy to see the value here with the Tigers laying such a short number. Take Pacific! |
|||||||
11-30-17 | Missouri -2.5 v. UCF | Top | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Missouri - I like the value here with Missouri laying a short number on the road against the Knights. The Tigers suffered a huge blow when freshman and potential No. 1 overall pick Michael Porter Jr. was lost for the season, but I think it has them undervalued right now. While Porter Jr. was a special talent, there's still enough pieces in place for Missouri to have a decent season and they have showed they can compete without him. Last time out they only lost by 4 on a neutral court against a very good West Virginia team. As for UCF, there missing some key pieces too. Most notably junior guard B.J. Taylor, who led the team in scoring a season ago at 17.4 ppg and is good enough to take home the AAC Player of the Year honors. He's out indefinitely with a knee injury. The Knights started out 4-0, but have since lost 2 straight. The first coming against the same West Virginia team Missouri almost beat and UCF lost to Mountaineers by 38 points. The other was a 3-point loss to St John's who the Tigers beat by 8. These two teams simply aren't as close as this line would suggest. Take Missouri! |
|||||||
11-30-17 | Redskins v. Cowboys +115 | 14-38 | Win | 115 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NFL Redskins/Cowboys TNF BEST BET on Cowboys + No one wants anything to do with Dallas in this one, as the Cowboys have went from being a short home favorite to a road dog. Forget the spread in this one, I'm taking Dallas to win outright on the money line here for a little bigger payout. As bad as it's been for the Cowboys in their first 3 games without Ezekiel Elliott, let's not overlook who they played in those games. The first loss was to Atlanta, who is playing their best football of the season. The other was against the Eagles, who own the best record in the league and the most recent a home loss to a Chargers team that is clicking right now. Washington isn't a bad team, but they aren't playing as well as those 3 teams. Like the Cowboys, the Redskins are also dealing with a ton of injuries right now. The biggest key here is I just don't think Washington is as good defensively as the last 3 teams the Cowboys have faced and we are finally going to see Dallas get that running game going, which in turn is going to make life a lot easier on Dak Prescott. This is a statement game for the Cowboys and I expect them to deliver on their home field in prime time. Take Dallas! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -7.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs - The Grizzlies are a complete mess right now. Memphis has lost 8 straight and things got so bad after their most recent loss, a 88-98 loss to the Nets at home, head coach David Fizdale was fired. With starting point guard Mike Conley, arguably their most important player to them having success on the court, still out with a Achilles injury, I just don't see Memphis putting up much of a fight here against the Spurs. San Antonio hasn't been as dominant to start the season as years past, as they continue to wait for Kawhi Leonard to make his debut, but are still playing really well at home. Spurs are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS at home, compared to just 4-5 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. I think this gets ugly in a hurry and the Spurs win here via a blowout. Take San Antonio! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Austin Peay v. Oklahoma State -20.5 | 63-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma State - This isn't a top tier Oklahoma State team that will be competing for a Big 12 title this season, but I've liked what I've seen from the Cowboys early on and simply put are the far superior team in this matchup. Austin Peay is a middle of the pack team out of the Ohio Valley Conference, who went just 11-19 a year ago and only returned 1 starter. They have played a couple Power 5 teams and it hasn't been pretty, losing by 19 to Vanderbilt and by 44 to Virginia. The Governors are simply going to struggle to keep pace with this high-powered Cowboys offense, which comes in averaging 80.2 ppg and 88.2 ppg at home. The only hope for a team like Austin Peay in this spot is to hit a lot of 3's and that's just not their strength, as they come in averaging just 4 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting just 28.6% from long distance. Adding to this is the fact that the Cowboys have owned teams that can't shoot from deep, as they are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs teams who are hitting 31% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Take Oklahoma State! |
|||||||
11-29-17 | Wofford v. Coastal Carolina -6.5 | 87-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina - I like the value here with the Chanticleers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Terriers. While the competition hasn't been great, Coastal Carolina has absolutely dominated their opponents at home this season winning by 52 and 36. They also have a 14 point win over UTSA as a short 3-point favorite and also beat Iona by 5 as a 4-point dog. Wofford is 3-4 on the season and have really struggled on the road. The most recent being a 65-85 loss at UNC-Asheville in a game that didn't even have a line. They also lost by 23 at Texas Tech and 14 at Cal. While CC isn't quite on the level of the Red Raiders and Bears, they should have no problem here winning by double-digits in this one. Chanticleers also fall into a great spot, as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games off a home win. Take Coastal Carolina! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Nuggets v. Jazz OVER 206.5 | 77-106 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NBA Late Night Total DOMINATOR on Jazz OVER I like the value here with the total and it going OVER the mark set by the books in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. Utah simply isn't the same top tier defensive team without big man Rudy Gobert, who is out with a Tibia injury. At the same time, the Jazz have found a new spark plug offensively in rookie Donovan Mitchell. He's a big reason why Utah is putting up 109.8 ppg over their last 5. Denver is an ideal team for a high-scoring game, as they like to get up and down the floor and come in averaging 107.8 ppg on the season and 113.6 ppg over their last 5. At the same time, the Nuggets are not a great defensive team. They are allowing 106.5 ppg overall and 110.2 ppg on the road. OVER is 12-3 in Utah's last 15 games over a home win by 10 or more and 15-4 in the Nuggets last 19 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. San Francisco -4.5 | 79-72 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Fran - I really like the value here with the Dons as a short home favorite against UC-Santa Barbara. San Francisco was one of the great stories from last year that no one talked about. In his first year as the head coach, Kyle Smith guided the Dons to a 20-13 record with a make-shift roster that only had one senior. San Francisco should be even stronger in year two under Smith and I just don't see them losing at home here against the Gauchos. Santa Barbara returned 4 starters and should be improved, but this is also a team that went just 6-22 a year ago. Gauchos won last time out, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a win. They are also just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs a team with a winning road record. Take San Francisco! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Maine +24.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 55-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
5* LATE INFO INSIDERÂ No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERSÂ |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Northwestern v. Georgia Tech | 51-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Money Line VEGAS INSIDER on Northwestern I'm taking the Wildcats here on the money line in Tuesday's game at Georgia Tech. While the Yellow Jackets have started out 3-1, the 3 wins have come against bad teams, two of which didn't even have lines. Georgia Tech will be a good team and should finish near the top of the ACC standings, but aren't that team right now, as they continue to play without their best player in sophomore Josh Okogie. Northwestern hasn't had the start some expected, but there two losses have come against a couple of quality teams in Creighton and Texas Tech. The big key here is the Wildcats have the veterans to  go on the road and win  in a tough venue like this. Look for seniors Bryant McIntosh and Scottie Lindsey to carry the load and guide the Wildcats to victory. Take Northwestern! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Davidson -6.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Davidson - I really like this spot for the Wildcats, who I think are way undervalued here on the road against the 49ers. Charlotte is just 3-2 to start the year, with their 3 wins over the likes of Methodist, Presbyterian and High Point and two of those they won by just single digits. They also lost by 9 at home to College of Charleston. Davidson enters off back-to-back losses, as they fell 68-81 at Nevada and 62-78 at Appalachian State. This is still a talented Wildcats team and we are catching them laying a shorter number than they should due to their recent struggles. Note that these two teams played last year and the Wildcats won by 22, as they held the 49ers to just 28% shooting from the field. 49ers are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Davidson! |
|||||||
11-28-17 | Baylor v. Xavier OVER 146.5 | 63-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Baylor OVER I think we see Xavier and Baylor fly over the total here. The Musketeers feature one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Xavier comes in averaging 91.2 ppg, scoring on average nearly 16.5 ppg more than what their opponents give up. The fewest the Musketeers have scored in any single game is 80 and that was on the road against a good Wisconsin defense. So while the Bears come in allowing just 59 ppg, I look for Xavier to continue to keep rolling on offense, especially with this game at home. As for the Baylor offense, they are putting up 78 ppg and should be able to hit that mark here against an Xavier defense that gave up 70 to the Badgers and 102 to Arizona State in their only two teams against good competition. OVER is 41-22 (65%) in Xavier's last 63 home games with a total of 140 to 149.5 and 33-14 in Baylor's last 47 as a road dog of 6 points or less. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-27-17 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 214.5 | 115-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Lakers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's total between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams don't like each other and we can expect a big time effort from both sides on the defensive side of the ball. That was certainly the case in the first meeting between these two teams this season, as they combined for an even 200 with a total of 219.5. While the books have adjusted the number quite a bit from that contest, I still think it's way too high. The Clippers have really struggled offensively of late. In their last 4 games they have scored fewer than 100 points 3 times, twice failing to reach 90. The lone exception was against a horrible Hawks team, where they had 116. Lakers are giving up 107.1 ppg, but have shown flashes of being a decent defensive team and are currently 6th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. UNDER is 17-5 in the Clippers last 22 home games off a road win and 10-2 in their last 12 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Lakers last 5 on the road and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in the series. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-27-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
3* Texans/Ravens MNF ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texans + I like the value here with Houston catching over a touchdown against the Ravens on Monday Night Football. The Texans were finally able to get something positive going with Tom Savage at quarterback, as they rallied late to knock off the Cardinals 31-21 last week to snap a 3-game skid. I look for Houston to carry over that momentum here against a Ravens team that I think is getting way too much respect. Baltimore is coming off a 23-0 shutout win on the road over the Packers. Their second shutout in their last 3 games and third of the season. No denying this is a great defensive team, but I'm willing to bet Houston is able to put points on the board. The big reason the Ravens shouldn't be laying more than a touchdown against a quality team like the Texans is they are far from a great offensive team. They can't run the football and aren't great at attacking teams deep, which makes them easy to defend. Houston's defense is missing some big names, but still a ton of talent on that side and I think they not only help the Texans keep this close enough to cover but potentially even win the game outright. Take Houston! |
|||||||
11-27-17 | South Carolina v. Florida International +19 | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida International + I like the value here with FIU catching a big number at home against the Gamecocks. South Carolina has started out 4-1, but I've not been all that impressed with what I have seen. The lone loss was a 65-69 defeat to Illinois State on a neutral court where they shot just 29.5% from the field. Keep in mind that the Gamecocks are going to be down from last year, as they lost 3 starters, who all averaged double-digits, including one of the best players in the country in Sindarius Thornwell. Now I know this FIU team isn't anything to get excited about, but this is a ton of points for the Gamecocks to be laying on the road. The Panthers have a couple of guys who score the basketball, as junior Erick Lockett is averaging 16 ppg and sophomore Trejon Jacob is putting in 15.8 ppg. Keep in mind no one on South Carolina is averaging more than 12 ppg. Gamecocks are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, while the Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take FIU! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | UC-Davis +7 v. Washington | 70-77 | Push | 0 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Late Night ATS SHOCKER on UC Davis + I like the value here with the Aggies on Sunday against the Huskies. UC Davis has started out 3-1 and are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their 3 lined games this season. Washington is improved over last year's disastrous 9-22 campaign, but are far from a NCAA Tournament caliber team. They are 3-2 to start the season, which includes an ugly 24-point loss to Virginia Tech. They have also struggled against lessor competition, as they only beat Eastern Washington by 10 and most recently only beat Seattle by 5 at home in a game they were expected to dominate so much that their wasn't even a line posted. Huskies are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team that has a winning record, while the Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take UC-Davis! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Nets v. Grizzlies UNDER 212 | 98-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Nets UNDER I like the value here with this high total for Sunday's NBA action that has the Grizzlies hosting the Nets. The UNDER has been a great bet with Memphis at home, as it's 8-2 so far this season. A big reason for that is the Grizzlies aren't a great offensive team and even when going up against a bad defense like Brooklyn tend to struggle to score. Memphis is also a great defensive team at home, as they are only giving up 99.3 ppg. The Nets are averaging nearly 4-points less on the road than they are for the season and I look for them to struggle here. UNDER is 13-3 in Brooklyn's last 16 games when they come in having scored 105 or more points in 3 straight games. UNDER is also 23-11 in the Grizzlies last 34 as a home favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -2.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 90 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NFL Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Rams - New Orleans has won 8 straight and are 7-1 ATS during this 8-game winning streak. Needless to say the Saints have becoming a team the public loves to back and I think the books have finally started to adjust. I see big time value here with the Rams laying less than a field goal at home. Los Angeles struggled on the road at Minnesota last week, but so did the Saints when they played the Vikings on the road earlier this season, losing 19-29. This is definitely a much improved Saints team from the past few years, but I'm still not quite convinced they are as good as everyone thinks. They should have lost at home last week to the Redskins, as Washington gave the game away in the final minutes. A lot of the wins for New Orleans have come against bad teams. LA is their biggest test since they opened the season with losses to the Vikings and Patriots. I just think the Rams balanced offense and defense will be too much to overcome on the road. Take LA! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NFL Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on 49ers + I like the value here with San Francisco catching a touchdown at home against division rival Seattle on Sunday. The 49ers may be just 1-9, but could easily have a few more wins, as they had a 5-game stretch earlier this season where they lost all 5 games by 3-points or less. This team was finally able to close out a game last time out, defeating the Giants 31-21 for their first win of the season. That was a huge confidence boost going into their bye week and I think they come out and play one of their best games against the Seahawks. As for Seattle, they have been decimated with injuries on both sides of the ball and I just don't think they deserve to be laying this many points on the road against any team right now outside of maybe the Browns. The Seahawks are down two of their elite players from their secondary with both Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor on IR. They also have lost started defensive end Cliff Avril for the year and might not have linebacker Bobby Wagner (questionable). Offensively they don't have a lot of great options at running back with most of their top guys going down and they could be without starting left tackle Duane Brown. Seattle is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record. 49ers have saved their best football for their division opponents and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs the NFC West. Take San Francisco! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Bears +14 v. Eagles | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 53 m | Show |
5* NFL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Bears + This is the time to go against the Eagles. Philadelphia is flying high after their 37-9 blowout win over rival Dallas on Sunday Night Football and now return home for a game against the 3-7 Bears before going back on the road for another huge game against the Seahawks. I think the Eagles are going to have a really tough time giving the Bears the respect they deserve and that could prove costly, as this is much better Chicago team than their record would suggest. The Bears haven't lost a game by more than 8-points since September back before Trubisky took over at quarterback. Chicago is able to keep game close because of their ability to run the football and a defense that is much better than anyone realizes. I look for the Bears to grind out every possession to eat up the clock and limit the number of possessions for the Eagles offense, while the defense does a good job of getting off the field on 3rd down. Chicago is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games played in November and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take Chicago! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Bucs +10 v. Falcons | 20-34 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Tampa Bay + I like the value here with Tampa Bay catching double-digits against division rival Atlanta. The Bucs finally have some confidence to work with, as they have won two straight behind veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is filling in for the injured Jameis Winston. Given Winston's poor decision making that led to costly turnovers, I don't think it's as big a drop off as people think with Fitzpatrick starting. As for Atlanta, they come in off a huge 34-31 road win over the Seahawks on Monday Night Football, which followed that impressive 27-7 win over Dallas the week before. With home games against two of the NFC's best in Minnesota and New Orleans on deck, this has the making of a flat spot for the Falcons. I look for Atlanta to struggle to pull away here and if they aren't careful, they might lose this game outright. Take Tampa Bay! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts +3.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NFL Undervalued UNDERDOG on Colts + I like the value here with the Colts catching points at home against division rival Tennessee. Indianapolis has gotten better with each week, especially on the offensive side of the ball, where Jacoby Brissett finally seems comfortable with the system the Colts run. Last time out they should have beat the Steelers at home, but let the game get away late and lost 17-20. They also had a 23-24 loss at the Bengals a few week back. Had those two gone their way, they would be riding a 3-game winning streak right now. Tennessee is sitting at 6-4, but I'm just not sold on this team being a legit threat in the AFC. They had a chance to prove themselves in their last game and instead got embarrassed in a 17-40 loss at Pittsburgh. After that loss they are now just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS away from home this season. Overall the Titans are just 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games and are a mere 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Indianapolis! |
|||||||
11-26-17 | Dolphins +17 v. Patriots | 17-35 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
3* NFL Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Miami + This is simply too many points for even the Patriots to be laying against a division rival. I know the Dolphins have had some ugly losses this season, but I like their chances of keeping this one closer than expected. Jay Cutler isn't expected to play, but I don't see that as a huge loss and you could even argue the team has a better chance with backup Matt Moore, who looked good in relief last week. I also think the Dolphins are catching the Patriots at the right time, as New England is coming off a two game road trip where they had to play both in high altitude. The first in Denver against the Broncos and then last week against the Raiders in Mexico City. On top of the Patriots potentially coming out a little flat here, they are also dealing with a number of injuries. They are down two starters on the offensive line with both center David Andrews and right tackle Marcus Cannon ruled out. They also might not have safety Patrick Chung and defensive tackle Malcom Brown. Take Miami! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Bucks v. Jazz UNDER 200 | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Jazz UNDER The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's non-conference clash between the Bucks and Jazz. Both of these teams are strong defensively and the biggest key here is that neither of these teams like to push the pace. Utah ranks 26th in pace of play and the Bucks are right behind them at 27th. Milwaukee comes in averaging just 97.8 ppg over their last 5 and will be facing a Jazz defense that is only giving up 95.3 ppg at home this season. UNDER is 9-2 in the Bucks last 11 against a team with a losing record and 12-4-1 in their last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in Utah's last 5 when playing a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 off a straight up win. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Thunder -5 v. Mavs | 81-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder - I like the value here with OKC laying a short number on the road against the Mavs. It's only a matter of time before the Thunder get this thing figured out with Westbrook, George and Anthony. We a glimpse of their potential earlier this week when they absolutely laid it on the Warriors 108-91. They weren't able to follow it up, losing last night at home to the Pistons 98-99, but I think that puts them in a great spot here to make easy work of a bad Mavericks team. These two teams played earlier this month and the Thunder won easily 112-99. Dallas is just 2-11 ATS this season when revenging a loss and 0-7 when revenging a loss where they allowed more than 110 points. Take Oklahoma City! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Idaho v. New Mexico State -8 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAAF Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on New Mexico State - I like the value here with the Aggies laying single-digits at home against the Vandals. While Idaho is sitting at 3-7 and out of the bowl picture, New Mexico State is 4-6 and still can reach bowl eligibility with a win here and victory over Georgia State in their finale next week. The key here is the Aggies are a much better team than their 2-4 conference mark would suggest, as they could very easily be 6-0. All 4 losses have come by 6-points or less, including mere 3-point losses against Sun Belt powers Appalachian State and Troy. Another key here is that Idaho just recently lost starting quarterback Matt Linehan. In the first game without him against Coastal Carolina last week, the Vandals managed just 7-points, 277 total yards and 14 first downs. That's just too big a loss for this team to overcome, as they aren't any good at running the ball. Idaho is 104th in the country, averaging just 130.7 ypg on the ground. There is a chance New Mexico State could be without starting quarterback Tyler Rodgers, who is questionable with a shoulder injury. I think he plays, but even if he doesn't the Aggies should be able to generate more than enough offense to win here by double-digits. Take New Mexico State! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. East Tenn State -3 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on East Tennessee State I think we are getting some great value here with the Buccaneers laying this short number at home against Fort Wayne. ETSU is one of the top teams out of the Southern Conference and should have no problem here winning and covering against the Mastodons, who have had all kinds of trouble away from home. Fort Wayne is just 3-14 ATS over the last 2 seasons and just 1-8 in their last 9 road games after playing their previous game on the road. ETSU was upset in their last game, but are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 off an upset loss as a favorite and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take East Tennessee St! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | North Texas -10 v. Rice | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 63 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Afternoon VEGAS INSIDER on North Texas -  This has been a breakout season for the Mean Green, who have already secured the C-USA West title and will play in next week's C-USA championship game. Typically this isn't a spot where I would take a team that really has nothing to play for, but I don't think the Mean Green are going to just lay down with a chance to reach double-digit wins this year. On top of that, North Texas could play their "C" game and still beat Rice by more than two touchdowns. The Owls are 1-10 and have lost 9 straight since beating UTEP way back in Week 2 of the season. Keep in mind that UTEP is awful, as the Miners are 0-11 on the season. I just don't see Rice has enough talent to keep this close even if they were to treat this like their bowl game. I look for North Texas to try and get as big a lead as possible early on and coast to a comfortable win on Saturday. Road favorites who have a winning record and have covered the spread in at least 5 of their last 7 are 95-49 (66%) ATS when playing a team with a losing record over the last 10 seasons. Take North Texas! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Duke v. Wake Forest OVER 58.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Duke OVER I think we are getting some decent value here with this total, as I see these two teams combining for at least 60 points on Saturday. Wake Forest has scored at least 30 in 4 straight games, including a 64 point outburst at Syracuse a couple weeks ago. Duke's offense snapped out of a major funk with 43 in their last game against Georgia Tech. With not a ton here for the Demon Deacons to play for, I don't see them being at the top of their game defensively here and they have  struggled on that side of the ball, giving up 38.3 ppg over their last 3. We also have a strong system in play. The OVER is 144-81 (64%) in the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 56.5 to 63 in the month of November with a team that's failed to cover 2 of their last 3. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | East Carolina +28.5 v. Memphis | 13-70 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Early Bird ATS SHOCKER on East Carolina + I like the value here with the Pirates catching a huge number against the Tigers on Saturday. Memphis has already locked up a spot in the AAC title game, as they will take on the winner of the UCF/USF game on Friday next week. I just don't see the Tigers having any interest in running up the score here on East Carolina. I look for them to be extra cautious with their starters and to keep the game plan as vanilla as possible. The only priority here is to get a win without getting anyone hurt and not exposing any more of the playbook than they need to. As for East Carolina, I look for them to treat this as their bowl game, as no matter the outcome their season comes to an end when this one is over. The Pirates showed they aren't going to just lay down, as they just defeated Cincinnati 48-20 at home. The big key here is the Pirates have an offense that can put points on the board, so even if things get ugly early, the backdoor will be wide open for them in the 2nd half. It's also worth noting that last time out the Tigers put up 66 points in their win over SMU. Any time Memphis has come off a big offensive outburst like that, they have been a great fade, as the Tigers are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 50 or more points. They are also just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 after outgaining their previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. Take East Carolina! |
|||||||
11-25-17 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +11 | 38-7 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Oddsmakers ERROR on Georgia Tech + I like the value here with the Yellow Jackets as a big home dog against in-state rival Georgia. There's nothing more that Georgia Tech would rather do than play a part in potentially keeping the Bulldogs out of the playoffs. I think they have what it takes to not only keep it close, but pull off the upset. The Yellow Jackets triple-option will be tough for even this great Georgia defense to stop and most importantly I think Georgia Tech has the talent on defense to slow down that high-powered Bulldogs rushing attack. Don't be worried about the Yellow Jackets ugly loss to Duke, as they were looking ahead to this game and are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 after a loss by 21 or more points. Take Georgia Tech +11! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Raptors -118 v. Pacers | 104-107 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational HEAVY HITTER on Raptors - I like the value here with Toronto on the money line against the Pacers Friday. The Raptors lost last time out at New York 100-108, snapping a streak of 4 straight wins and covers. I look for them to get right back to their winning ways against Indiana. The Pacers have been playing well, as they come in having won and covered each of their last 4, but are now paying the price with this line at basically a pick'em. Indiana simply isn't on the same level as Toronto and while they likely keep it close, the Raptors should pull away for the win late. Note that each of the Pacers last two wins have come on the road as an underdog and that puts them in a bad spot, as they are just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 off 2 or more upset wins as a road dog. Take Toronto! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Oakland +20 v. Kansas | 59-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oakland + I like the value here with the Grizzlies catching a big number against the Jayhawks on Friday. Oakland is the clear-cut favorite to win the Horizon League, as they return 4 starters from last year's 25-9 team. No denying that Kansas is an elite team, but they are young and still learning how to play together. I just question how motivated the Jayhawks will be for this game during Thanksgiving break, while there's no question the Grizzlies are going to lay it all on the line against the No. 3 ranked team in the country. Kansas gets the win, but it's a lot closer than expected. Note that the Grizzlies are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Oakland! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Missouri v. Arkansas +11 | Top | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 31 m | Show |
5* NCAAF SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Arkansas + I like the value here with the Razorbacks as a double-digit dog at home against the Tigers. Missouri has caught fire here in the 2nd half of the season and have won 5 straight and covered their last 7. I think they are way overvalued here because of it. While the wins have come by large margins they have also come against bad teams. Arkansas has had a down year, but there's still a lot of fight in this team and they showed it last week in their near upset at home over Mississippi State. They are going to want to go out with a fight on senior day and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won outright. Razorbacks are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 at home when they come in having failed 2 of their last 3, 15-6 in their last 21 home games against a team with a winning road record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 off a loss. It's also worth noting that the home team has dominated in this series. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Arkansas! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Missouri v. Arkansas UNDER 71.5 | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on MISSOURI UNDER I just think we are seeing an inflated total here based on Missouri lighting up the scoreboard over their last 5 games, but those all came against either bad teams or teams that have thrown in the towel on this season. I think they have a lot harder time scoring on the road against a motivated Razorback defense that will have a little extra fight on senior day. Most people focus on all the points Missouri is scoring, but they have been lights out defensively as well of late. The Tigers have held each of their last 4 opponents to 17 points or less. Arkansas is far from a potent offense and aren't exactly clicking right now, having scored just 31 in their last two games combined. UNDER is 12-3 in Arkansas' last 15 home games as an underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. UNDER is also 10-2 in Missouri's last 12 off a SU win by more than 20 points, 14-5 in their last 19 vs a team with a losing record and 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-24-17 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh +14 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Undervalued UNDERDOG on Pitt + I like the value here with the Panthers as a two touchdown dog at home against the Hurricanes. Miami came out flat last week at home against Virginia and failed to cover. No question the Hurricanes are the better team, but the pressure is really starting to build on this team and they could have a hard time not looking ahead to the ACC title game next week against Clemson. Pitt on the other hand has nothing to lose and with no shot at getting to bowl eligibility, they are going to treat this like their bowl game. They would enjoy nothing more than ruining the Canes perfect season. Even though the Panthers have lost their last two, they were right there in both. Another big key here is I think this is a good matchup for Pitt's defense, as their strength has been stopping the run. The Panthers rank 49th in the country, allowing just 151.3 ypg. On top of that, we should see one of their best efforts defensively here at home against a ranked opponent. I don't think Pitt pulls of the upset, but it's not out of the question. Take Pittsburgh! |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Giants +7.5 v. Redskins | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NFL Giants/Redskins VEGAS INSIDER on Giants + I think we are getting some great value here with the Giants catching over a touchdown against Washington in this NFC East showdown on Thanksgiving night. New York finally had that kind of response we have been waiting to see, as they looked like a different team in last week's 12-9 upset win as a huge dog at home against the Chiefs. I see no reason why the Giants won't bring that same intensity here on the road against a division rival. As for Washington, they come in off a devastating loss at New Orleans, where they managed to blow a 31-16 lead in the final 5 minutes and ended up losing 31-34 in overtime. That loss not only feels like the final straw in the Redskins playoff hopes, but once again this team is dealing with all kinds of injuries. Most notably on the offensive line, where Washington will have guys that have barely been on their team for more than month starting at left guard and center. Not to mention left tackle Trent Williams is playing on one leg. They also have numerous injuries along the defensive front 7 and even a horrible Giants offense should be able to muster together some scoring drives. The key here is that even with the Redskins in a horrible spot and likely without several key players, no one wants anything to do with this Giants team right now and as a result we have an inflated line on Washington in a prime time game. Redskins are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a division opponent. Take New York! |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 65.5 | 31-28 | Win | 105 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Thanksgiving Total NO BRAINER on Ole Miss UNDER We are getting great value here with the UNDER in Thursday's Thanksgiving showdown between these two SEC West and in-state rivals. This total is calling for these two teams to score close to 70 points and I just don't see it happening. Mississippi State's defense didn't play great last week and still managed to hold Arkansas to just 21 points. It continued a trend of dominance on defense against the lesser teams in the SEC and there's no question that Ole Miss falls into that category. Not to mention we just saw the Rebels struggle against a quality defense at home last week, scoring just 24 against Texas A&M and this Bulldog defense is a class above the Aggies. Another key factor here is that the defensive intensity is going to be turned up a notch for both sides with this being a rivalry game. I know Mississippi State put up 55 on the Rebels last year, but that should only add fuel to fire for the Rebels and I'm willing to bank they show up and keep the Bulldogs from putting up anywhere close to that many points. UNDER is 22-8 in the Rebels last 30 road games after winning 2 of their last 3. It's also 20-8 in Mississippi State's last 28 off a came where they won but failed to cover as a favorite and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Vanderbilt v. Virginia -6 | 42-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia - I like the value here with the Cavaliers against the Commodores. Vanderbilt has already dropped two games in the early going and the most recent was a crushing 89-93 overtime loss at home. The Commodores are a team that relies a lot on the outside shot and that's just not a good recipe for success against Virginia, who plays as good a defense as any team in the country. The Cavaliers are holding teams nearly 20 points below their season average and teams are shooting just 37.5% against them overall and just 26.2% from behind the 3-point line. Vanderbilt doesn't provide near the threat defensively and that has this one likely turning into a blowout. Take Virginia! |
|||||||
11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
5* NFC North (Thanksgiving) GAME OF THE MONTH on Lions + I like the value here with Detroit catching a field goal at home against the Vikings on Thanksgiving Day. Minnesota had been flying under the radar up until last week's convincing 24-7 win over the Rams. Now I feel like the Vikings are overvalued here as a division road favorite against a good but not great Detroit team that knows a thing or to about playing on Thanksgiving. Keep in mind these two teams played on Thanksgiving last year and the Lions were a 1.5-point favorite and won 16-13. On top of that, Minnesota was only a 3-point favorite at home earlier this season, which they lost 7-14. Based on that spread, this line should be closer to a pick'em and you could argue that Detroit should be favored. As good as Case Keenum has been playing, the Lions still have the edge in this one at quarterback with Matthew Stafford. The other key thing here is that while the Vikings have a great defense, it's going to be hard for them to play up to their true potential after laying it all on the line against the Rams and having just 3 days to prepare. Note that Detroit is averaging 27.6 ppg and just over 350 ypg at home this season. At the same time the Vikings are giving up 22.2 ppg on the road, well above their season average of 17.2 ppg. Lions have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and are an impressive 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November. Minnesota is a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 division games and just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Detroit! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | SMU v. Northern Iowa +8 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Iowa + I think we are getting some great value here with UNI as a decently priced dog against SMU. The Mustangs have started out 4-0, but that's no surprise given the cupcake schedule they have had. Only one of their games even had a line and they were favored by 17.5 in that one. I believe SMU's strong start combined with the fact that they are coming off a 30-win season, has them overvalued here against a good Panthers team. Keep in mind that the Mustangs lost 3 players who were either drafted or signed by NBA teams, including last year's AAC Player of the Year in Semi Ojeleye. UNI isn't going to wow you with their roster, but Ben Jacobson knows how to get the best out of his team and the Panthers have plenty of talent coming back to finish in the top 4 of the Missouri Valley for a 10th straight season. They showed a lot of that potential in their opener, when they competed in a 17-point loss at UNC. I not only think they can cover the number here, but I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright. Take Northern Iowa! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 208 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs UNDER No team in the NBA plays at a slower pace than San Antonio and when you combine that with how efficient the Spurs are on the defensive side of the ball, you have a perfect recipe for low-scoring games. The key here is we are getting value with this total due to the Pelicans struggles defensively, as they come in giving up 110.4 ppg. However, New Orleans has been much better defensively against division opponents, as they are only giving up 98.5 ppg. At the same time, the Spurs aren't a great offensive team right now, as they continue to play without Leonard and Parker and come in averaging a lousy 94.6 ppg on the road. UNDER is 8-2 in the Pelicans last 10 vs a division opponent and 8-3-1 in their last 12 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 28-15 in the Spurs last 33 road games off a home win. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Raptors -4 v. Knicks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* NBA Atlantic Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto - The Raptors are a team that I think is flying under the radar early on this season and they come into this game red-hot having won 4 straight and are 6-1 over their last 7 with the only loss a 1-point defeat to the Celtics. They have covered each of their last 4 games and I look for them to make it 5 in a row here tonight against a Knicks team they manhandled in a 107-84 win at home last Friday. New York is playing better than expected so far this season, as they are 9-7 through their first 16 games. However, none of their wins are all that impressive, as they have beat up on a lot of bad teams at home during this stretch. I still think this team has a long way to go to compete with the top tier teams like the Raptors. I just feel they are getting way too much respect right now and it's only a matter of time before they return to their losing ways. Toronto has been a covering machine on the road, going 6-3 ATS in their 9 road games this season. The Raptors also seem to save their best for division opponents, as they are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 vs teams from the Atlantic Division. NY on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs team that's won more than 60% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 division games. Take Toronto! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 212.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's total between the Knicks and Raptors. These two teams just played last Friday and combined for just 191 points with a total of 217. While the books have adjusted the total for the rematch, I don't think it's near enough, as I think the two teams struggle to get to 200 points. Toronto is locked in right now on the defensive side of the ball, as they have held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 42% or worse shooting. They also don't mess around when facing a division opponent, as they have held their Atlantic rivals to just 91 ppg this season. New York isn't a great defensive team, but better than they get credit for and are clicking on that side of the ball right now, as they are giving up just 97.6 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 7-3 in the Raptors last 10 division games and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 2 days of rest. UNDER is also 20-7-1 in New York's last 28 against a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-1 in their last 5 vs at team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-22-17 | Toledo v. Syracuse -12 | 64-72 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Syracuse - I like the value here with the Orange laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Rockets. Toledo has opened up 3-0, but all 3 have come at home and against sub-par competition. This is a team that's expected to finish in the middle of the pack in the MAC and simply have no business here against Syracuse. The Orange have started out 4-0 and are fresh off an easy win and cover in a 74-50 win over Oakland as a mere 9-point favorite. Syracuse is really getting after it defensively, as they are holding their opponents nearly 16 points under their season average. That defensive intensity will simply be too much for Toledo to overcome, as the Rockets are a team that wants to try and outscore their opponents. Look for the big athletic guards of the Orange to be the difference in this one, as I see the home team winning here by 20+ points. Take Syracuse! |
|||||||
11-21-17 | Davidson +7.5 v. Nevada | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night Bailout BLOWOUT on Davidson + I like the value here with Davidson catching what I feel is a big number in a game I think they have a great shot at winning outright. The Wildcats lost the A-10's leading scorer in Jack Gibbs, but have the pieces in place to replace him. Senior forward Peyton Aldridge averaged 20.5 ppg and 8.2 rpg a year ago and is one of the best players in the A-10. He's off to a great start, averaging 27.5 ppg to start the year, but he's not the only Davidson player lighting it up, as freshman Kellan Grady is averaging 23.5 ppg and sophomore Jon Axel Gudmundsson is putting in 21.5 ppg. The Wildcats are shooting light-outs as a team from long distance, as they come in hitting 45.3% from long-distance with an average of 19 made 3-pointers per game. Nevada is a good team and one of the best in the MWC, but I think they have their hands full here against the Wildcats. Take Davidson! Â |
|||||||
11-21-17 | Southern Illinois +16.5 v. Louisville | 42-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Southern Illinois + I like the value here with the Salukis catching a big number against Louisville. The Cardinals haven't looked the same without Rick Pitino. While they are 2-0, they failed to cover each of their first two games, beating Georgia Mason by 11 as a 19-point favorite and Nebraska-Omaha by just 9 as a massive 27.5-point favorite. Southern Illinois is a team that has a chance to compete for the top spot in the Missouri Valley now that Wichita State is no longer around and this is a great measuring stick for this program early on. Look for the Salukis to be the more motivated team here and do enough to keep this within the number. Take Southern Illinois! |
|||||||
11-21-17 | Miami-OH v. Ball State UNDER 58 | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Ball State UNDER I know the Cardinals defense hasn't been any good and that the OVER has cashed in each of Ball State's last 5 games. I believe it's created some value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's game against Miami (OH). The big key here is I just don't see the RedHawks being motivated at all for this one, as last week's 24-27 home loss to Eastern Michigan eliminated Miami (OH) from becoming bowl eligible. The RedHawks could also be without their top two running backs, as both Alonzo Smith and Kenny Young are listed as questionable. Without the Miami putting up a big number, it's going to be hard for this one to eclipse the mark set by the books, as this Ball State offense is one of the worst in the country, as they come in averaging just 18.9 ppg and 331 ypg. I look for both teams to just go through the motions here, as the players likely can't wait to get this season over with. UNDER is also 11-1 in the RedHawks last 12 off a SU loss and 25-9 in their last 34 against bad defensive teams who are allowing 31 or more points/game. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Celtics v. Mavs +7.5 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Dallas + I like the value here with the Mavericks catching a big number at home against the Celtics. Boston comes in having won 15 straight and just about everyone is going to be on them here against Dallas, but the longer this streak goes the harder it gets for the Celtics, as the target on their back gets bigger and bigger as each team they play wants to be the ones responsible for ending the streak. Dallas is going to give everything they got here and they should be playing with a ton of confidence after their best showing of the season in a 111-79 win at home over the Bucks as a 6-point dog. Take Dallas! |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Falcons/Seahawks MNF ATS NO BRAINER on Seattle - I think we are getting some great value here with the Seahawks as a slim home favorite against the Falcons. Atlanta comes in off a 27-7 blowout win at home over the Cowboys and I think a lot of people see that performance and think this team is back to where they were a season ago. I'm not one of them. I'm not saying they won't be a good team the rest of the way, but it's asking a lot for a team to win in Seattle in a big game. The Seahawks knocked off Arizona 22-16 on Thursday Night Football last week, but it was't that close, as Arizona scared a garbage touchdown with 20 seconds left. Seattle did lose star cornerback Richard Sherman, which is a big blow, but I think this team has enough talent at the position to make due. They also are expected to get back star safety Earl Thomas, who forms the best safety due in the league with Cam Chancellor. While Atlanta held Dallas to 7-points, that was a direct result of the Cowboys playing their first game without Ezekiel Elliott, who is their most important offensive weapon. Prior to that the Falcons had given up 20 or in 7 straight and this Seahawks offense comes in averaging 28.2 ppg at home. Take Seattle! |
|||||||
11-20-17 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +6 | 72-55 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Oklahoma State + I like the value here with the Cowboys catching a decent number here against the Aggies in Monday's non-conference clash at the Legends Classic in Brooklyn. Both teams have yet to lose this season, but Texas A&M is getting a lot of love for their early blowout win over West Virginia. Oklahoma State doesn't get the same respect, but they have been equally impressive going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS with 3 blowout wins to start the season. I actually think the Cowboys have an excellent shot at winning this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points for a little extra insurance. Take Oklahoma State! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Pistons v. Wolves -5.5 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Wolves - I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a short home favorite against the Pistons. After a slow start Minnesota has caught fire and are 8-2 in their last 10. Detroit has played well, as they are 10-3 on the season, but they have lost 2 straight and are playing their 3rd straight on the road. I just don't see the Pistons coming out with a great effort here, plus the Timberwolves are simply the better team. T-wolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home, 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 when playing on 1 day of rest. Take Minnesota! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7 | 33-8 | Loss | -105 | 113 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NFL Undervalued UNDERDOG on Raiders + I think we are getting some good value here with Oakland catching a touchdown in this neutral side game against the Patriots that will be played at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. The Raiders are coming off of their bye week and this feels like a must-win for them sitting at 4-5. I expect a big time effort here from Oakland and like their chances of keeping this within the number. New England is coming off a 41-16 blowout win over the Broncos in primetime and have now won 5 straight. The way they dismantled Denver on the road has everyone back on the Patriots bandwagon as the best team in the NFL. They just might be, but this is a big number to be laying away from home against a good team and I think we could see Oakland cause some major problems for a Patriots defense that I think is still a bottom-tier unit. Raiders have been a good bet with an extra week to prepare, as they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 off a bye. We also have a great system in play backing the dog, as Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points who have been beaten by the spread by 49 or more combined points in their last 7 games are 27-9 (75%) ATS in Weeks 10 through 13 over the last 10 seasons. Take Oakland! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 110 h 60 m | Show | |
4* NFL Public ATS SHOCKER on Bears + Chicago laid an egg last week at home against the Packers in a game a lot of people expected the Bears to win given how bad Green Bay had played without Aaron Rodgers. Now no one wants anything to do with Chicago at home against the Lions, but I think we are getting some value here with the home division dog. I just think this team is better suited to play as a dog than a favorite and the results back it up, as they are a perfect 4-0 at home as a dog this year with outright wins over both the Steelers and Panthers. Detroit comes in having won 2 straight. The most recent being a 38-24 win over the Browns at home, but I just haven't been all that impressed with this team. Keep in mind that 14-point win over Cleveland is very misleading, as the Browns actually had a 413-345 edge in total yards and 26-16 advantage in first downs. Not to mention they had a 27-17 lead with less than 3 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter. Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning home record. Detroit on the other hand is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Chicago! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Rams v. Vikings -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 110 h 59 m | Show |
5* NFC ATS GAME OF THE MONTH on Vikings - I really like the value here with Minnesota laying less than a field goal at home against the Rams. Los Angeles is the talk of the NFL right now and have absolutely just dominated in their last 3 games, beating the Cardinals 33-0, Giants 51-17 and the Texans 33-7. One thing you will note with all 3 of those game is they came against teams that have been absolutely decimated with injuries, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Hard for this team to not have a big head right now and that's the last thing you want going up against this Vikings team. While the Rams are getting all kinds of love, Minnesota is a team that has played great to start the year and yet no one is talking about them. I think we get a big time effort here from the Vikings in this one, who are much better offensively than they get credit for and certainly have the defensive playmakers to slow down this high-scoring Rams offense. Vikings are also historically a great bet at home under head coach Mike Zimmer, as they are 22-8 ATS at home since he came to Minnesota. He's also got his team to play well against great offensive teams, going 14-4 ATS against teams who average 350 or more yards/game. Take Minnesota! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants +11 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 95 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants + After losing 21-31 to the 49ers and handing San Francisco their first win of the season the perception couldn't be any worse for the Giants, who have now lost 3 straight by double-digits. Most just assume this team has thrown in the towel and aren't going to show up against the Chiefs. At the same time, everyone is going to be on KC coming off a bye. I just feel it's resulted in a drastically inflated line here and I'll take my chances with the Giants doing enough to keep this within the number. One of the big reasons that I think New York can keep this closer than expected is the Chiefs simply aren't a good defensive team, especially on the road where they are giving up 26 ppg and 395 ypg. The loss of Eric Berry is a big reason why they aren't playing at the same level as years past, as well as their inability to pressure on the quarterback on a consistent basis. I look for Eli Manning to have one of his better games here and for the offense to keep them i the game. Giants are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 after giving up 17 or more points in the 1st half in two straight games and that plays right into a great system, as underdogs who have allowed 17 or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 65-31 (68%) against when facing a team that's coming off a loss by 10 or more. Take New York! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 87 h 17 m | Show | |
4* NFL No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Redskins + I like the value here with Washington catching over a touchdown against the Saints. New Orleans comes in having won 7 straight and are now 7-2 after their 0-2 start. The most recent being an absolute beating of the Bills on the road, which saw them win by a final of 47-10. I think the public is finally on board with this team as a legit contender and the books are on top of it, inflating this line to take advantage of all the action that will come in on New Orleans. Keep in mind the Saints were a 7.5-point home favorite against the Bears just a few weeks back and while the Redskins aren't a top tier team, they are in a lot better shape than Chicago. They held their own last week in a 30-38 loss to a very good Vikings team and the week before went on the road and won in Seattle, which doesn't happen often this time of year. I'm not saying they win this game, but I think the Saints might come in a little compliant here and potentially looking ahead to brutal 3-game stretch that has them going at LA, hosting the Panthers and then going to Atlanta. I believe Washington has enough here defensively to keep the Saints from going off and more than enough fire-power to keep it close. The Redskins are also a solid 9-4 ATS in their last 13 off a SU loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Washington! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 87 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NFL Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Texans The perception has quickly changed on Houston. Just a few weeks ago the Texans were a legit playoff contender with rookie Deshaun Watson at quarterback. Then came his season-ending injury and back to Tom Savage under center. The offense went from scoring 33 or more points in 5 straight games under Watson's control to totaling just two over the last two behind Savage. Last week they got rolled at LA 33-7 by the Rams and now no wants anything to do with this team. Yes, the offense is limited with Savage, but I just don't think this team is going to give on their season. I look for a big time effort here at home against the Cardinals and unlike the Rams, who are one of the best teams in the NFL, Arizona is in just as bad a shape. The Cardinals lost their best player in RB David Johnson early and then came a season-ending injury to starting QB Carson Palmer. Now backup Drew Stanton is out and it's third stringer Blaine Gabbert who will start. I believe there's more than enough talent here with Houston's defense to keep Arizona's offense in check and I'll take my chances on the offense providing just enough for the win. Take Houston! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Bucs v. Dolphins OVER 40.5 | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 85 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NFL Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Dolphins OVER I just think this total has been set to low for Sunday's non-conference matchup between two teams that have been major disappointments in 2017. The Dolphins have lost 3 straight and are now just 4-5 and the Bucs are even worse at 3-6. Tampa Bay without starting quarterback Jameis Winston and the Dolphins viewed as one of the worst offense teams in the league. I believe that's playing a big part in this low total, which has created value with two bad defenses facing off. Miami has given up 40 or more in two of their last 3 games and have allowed at least 27 in 4 straight. This is the perfect defense for Tampa Bay's struggling offense to get back on track. As for the Bucs defense, they looked good last week against the Jets, but have allowed 30 or more 4 times already and this horrible Dolphins offense just put up 21 on the Panthers in Carolina and 24 the week before against the Raiders. It's not as bad as people think, and they due are poised for a bit of a breakout performance. Going back to last season the OVER is now 10-1 in Dolphins' games played in the 2nd half of the season. It's also a perfect 7-0 in Miami's last 7 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-19-17 | Monmouth v. Virginia -17.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Virginia - Look for the Cavaliers to make easy work of the Hawks on Sunday. Virginia has come out sharp to start the season and are fresh off an impressive road win and over VCU as a 6.5-point favorite. Monmouth is 2-1, but that lone loss is a double-digit defeat to Seton Hall. I look for the Hawks to struggle to keep this any where close to the number, as this is a clear NCAA Tournament team in Virginia, plus we have a great system in play backing a play on the Cavaliers. Underdogs (MONMOUTH) - good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a mere 15-38 (28%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Virginia! |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Utah v. Washington -17 | Top | 30-33 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 11 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Washington - I think we are getting great value here with the Huskies here at home against the Utes. Most are just assuming that Washington isn't going to show up after last week's loss to Stanford, which all but eliminated them from an invite to the playoffs. The thing is, I don't think this team had a great shot as it was and my money is on one of the best in the business in head coach Chris Petersen to get his team to bounce back in a big way at home. Utah caught the attention of a lot of people with their 4-0 start, which had them ranked in the Top 20, but they have gone just 1-5 since with the most recent being a crushing loss at home to Washington State. Unlike Stanford, who has one of the elite running backs in college football, the Utes don't have that same kind of talent to have success against the Huskies defense, which is still ranked 4th in the country, giving up only 101.5 ypg. That's a big problem for Utah as they are a run-first team and use the run to open up the passing game. I think the Utes find it very difficult to score against a Huskies defense that is only allowing 11.2 ppg at home on the year. Take Washington! |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Kings v. Blazers -12.5 | 90-102 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -12.5) I like the value here with the Blazers at home, even as a big favorite. These two teams just played last night in Sacramento with the Kings pulling out the win 86-82 as a 7-point dog. Revenge is best served in the NBA on short notice and I look for Portland to lay a beating on the Kings Saturday at home after a lackluster showing Friday. This has not only been a great spot to back the Kings, but also a great spot to fade Sacramento. The Blazers are 7-2-1 AT in their last 10 when playing on 0 days of rest, while the Kings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 when playing on 0 days of rest. Sacramento is also just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Portland! |
|||||||
11-18-17 | California +16 v. Stanford | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cal + I like the value here with the Golden Bears catching over two touchdowns in Saturday's rivalry game against Stanford, which is known as the "Big Game." You can never count out the dog in these rivalry games, as this isn't just another game. For Cal it's their biggest game of the season to date. It can be a lot harder for the favorite to bring the same intensity, especially when it's a big spread like this. Making it even harder on the Cardinal is the fact that they are coming off an emotional upset win at home over Washington and have a huge game on deck against Notre Dame. It's no secret that the key to beating Stanford starts with limiting star running back Bryce Love. I'm not saying Cal will shut him down, but head coach Justin Fuente is a defensive guy and I think his ability to game plan and the all-out effort we are going to get from the Bears, will allow them to keep him from having one of those video game type of games. If they can do that, they will be in good shape, as this is not your typical lock down Cardinal defense. Note that Stanford is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games off a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a game in which they covered the spread. Take Cal! |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Connecticut v. Boston College -21 | 16-39 | Win | 100 | 69 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF ATS Vegas INSIDER  on Boston’s College - I like the value here with the Eagles even as a big favorite in Saturday's prime time matchup against the Huskies at Fenway Park. Boston College comes in off a hard fought 14-17 loss at home to NC State. Prior to that defeat the Eagles had been rolling, racking off 3 straight wins, including blowout wins at Virginia (41-10) and at home against Florida State (35-3). I look for BC to return right back to form here and lay a beating on UConn. The Huskies are coming off a 25-point loss at UCF and the week before fell 20-37 at home to USF. Those are the two best teams in the AAC and clearly this team came to play, as they covered the spread easily in both. I think they have a hard time bringing that same energy here against the Eagles. More than anything, I don't think UConn will have an answer for BC's star freshman running back A.J. Dillon, who just put up 196 yards against a great NC State defensive line. At the same time, the Huskies offense is built around their passing game and this Eagles defense is not one you want to have to attack through the air, especially without a threat of a running game. They are 23rd in the country, giving up just 187.1 passing yards/game. Opposing QB's are completing just 50.2% of their attempts against them, which is outstanding. In comparison, the Huskies are have allowed opposing teams to complete 67.9% of their attempts. Take Boston College! |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Princeton v. St. Joe's -2.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR (St. Joe's -2.5) I like the value here with the Hawks laying a short number against the the Tigers. Princeton is way overvalued coming into the season after winning 23 game last year. The Tigers lost and failed to cover their opener at Butler and then lost by 9 as a 3.5-poing favorite against BYU at home. The Hawks won and covered their last game 86-82 over Illinois Chicago as a 2-point dog and that's important to note, as St Joseph's is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 after scoring 80 or more point in their last game. They are also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against the Ivy League and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take St Joe's |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Georgia Tech -6 v. Duke | Top | 20-43 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 22 m | Show |
5* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgia Tech - The Yellow Jackets have been a money making machine in 2017. With last week's 28-22 win at home over Georgia Tech as a 3-point dog they are now 7-1 ATS on the season. I think they keep it rolling here with a convincing road win over a struggling Duke team. After starting out the season 4-0 with an emphatic 41-17 win over Northwestern at home, the Blue Devils have lost 6 straight and the most recent was an ugly 16-21 loss at Army, where David Cutcliffe and his staff had two weeks to prepare for the Black Knights. The extra week didn't exactly help them against the triple-option as Army put up 226 yards on the ground. Now they face an even better triple-option attack led by Georgia Tech's TaQuon Marshall and KirVonte Benson, who have combined to rush for 1,864 yards and 22 touchdowns. The other thing here is the Blue Devils just aren't clicking offensively right now. Duke has scored more than 20 points just once in their last 6 games and that was a mere 21 against Virginia. They are averaging a whopping 14.0 ppg and 308.2 ypg in conference play. Georgia Tech in comparison is averaging 29.1 ppg and 392.3 ypg in ACC action. I just don't think the Blue Devils can score enough to keep this within a touchdown. Take Georgia Tech! *Play was upgraded from a 3* to a 5* |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -7 | 0-39 | Win | 100 | 70 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF ATS NO BRAINER on Northwestern - I like the value here with the Wildcats laying just a touchdown at home against the Gophers on what will be senior day in Northwestern's final home game of the season. The Wildcats are one of the hottest teams in the country right now, as they have won 5 straight, including a 23-13 win over Purdue this past weekend as a similar 6.5-point favorite. Their only losses in conference play are against two of the elite teams in the Big 10 in Wisconsin and Penn State. Minnesota comes in off an impressive 54-21 win at home against Nebraska, but I think that was more of the Cornhuskers throwing in the towel on their season than anything. The Gophers are still just 2-5 in Big 10 play and their other 4 wins have come against the likes of Buffalo, Oregon State, Middle Tennessee and Illinois. Note they only beat a horrible Illini team by 7 at home and also had an ugly home loss to Maryland. Not only do I think Minnesota isn't that good, this is a horrible matchup for the one dimensional Gophers offense. Minnesota is one of the worst teams in the country when it comes to their ability to pick up yards in the passing game. They rank 119th out of 130 teams with just 143 ypg through the air. Even in their 52-point outburst against Nebraska they only had 105 yards passing. They are going to play right into the strength of Northwestern's defense, which ranks 7th in the country, giving up just 109.6 ypg against the run. Not only will it make it tough to score, but if they get behind this could get ugly. Take Northwestern! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Alabama State v. Oregon -31.5 | 56-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night ENFORCER on Oregon - I'm not sure why the books even set a line on this game, but I'll take advantage as I don't think it's going to be close at all. Oregon is a legit NCAA Tournament team and it just seems like they are flying under the radar. yes they lost a lot from last year's 33-win team, but Dana Altman is now 187-70 in 7 years in Eugene. He reloads with the best of them and has done so again, both with the incoming freshman class, as well as some nice grad transfers. They won their last game by 33 over Prairie View A&M and I expect an even bigger blowout here against the Bulldogs, who have already lost by 28 to Mississippi State, 34 to Iowa and 31 to South Dakota State. Take Oregon! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Eastern Washington v. UNLV -11 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on UNLV - I like the value here with the Rebels laying what I feel is a short number against an inferior team. The big reason we are seeing a low price here on UNLV, is the fact that Eastern Washington comes in off a 67-61 win at Stanford as a 16.5-point underdog. That's a nice win, but that's also a bottom-tier Pac-12 team. The previous game they lost by 10 against Washington, who also isn't anything special. Don't let the fact that the Rebels only won 11 games last year fool you. Head coach Marvin Menzies landed a big time recruiting class, headlined by 6'11 forward Brandon McCoy, who was a Top 10 talent in this year's freshmen class. Rebels are 10-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons in November, 10-2 in their last 12 non-conference home games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home off a game where they were listed as a home favorite. Take UNLV! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Middle Tennessee State -3 v. Western Kentucky | 38-41 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 32 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Friday ATS BLOWOUT on Middle Tennessee - I like the value here with the Blue Raiders as a short road favorite against the Hilltoppers. Western Kentucky hasn't been anywhere close to the C-USA power this season and it's not a huge surprise, as they only brought back 10 starters and lost a great head coach in Jeff Brohm. The Hilltoppers are lucky to be 5-5 and come in having lost 3 straight. It hasn't been a great season for Middle Tennessee either, but the Blue Raiders struggles can be pinpointed to the absence of starting quarterback Brent Stockstill for 6 games. In his two games back from injury he's thrown for 445 yards with 6 touchdowns (3 in each game). He's going to make life miserable for a WKU defense that has allowed 30+ points in each of their last 4 games. The other thing here is the Blue Raiders have an underrated defense. Most would be surprised to see that Middle Tennessee ranks 26th in the country, giving up just 334 ypg, ranking inside the Top 40 against both the run and the pass. That secondary that's allowing just 193.9 ypg is key in this matchup, as the Hilltoppers are a one-dimensional passing offense. Take Middle Tennessee! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs UNDER The books have set the total too high for Friday's showdown between the Spurs and Thunder. Without Kawhi Leonard the Spurs aren't the same efficient offense that we have grown accustomed to and OKC is still in the process of trying to figure out to play together. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and I just think given how big a game this is, that both teams will bring it defensively. Note that the Thunder have scored 94 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7 games and the Spurs only give up 98.9 ppg on the season. San Antonio has failed to reach 100 in 3 of their last 4 and twice failed to reach 90 points in this stretch. OKC is giving up just 97.1 ppg on the season and a mere 96.3 ppg on the road. UNDER is 13-3 in Thunder's last 16 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 off a SU win. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Spurs last 5 vs the West and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in San Antonio. Take the UNDER! |
|||||||
11-17-17 | East Tenn State v. Kentucky -23 | 61-78 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Kentucky - I like the value here with the Wildcats, as I don't think the books have set this anywhere close to enough for East Tennessee State to get the cover. Kentucky had their hands full in their first two games against experienced teams in Utah Valley and Vermont and failed to cover both. They then lost the big showdown against Kansas on a neutral court and either covered by a 1/2-point or pushed. I think the perception is down a bit on this team and they are going to struggle against teams who have experience, as they don't have any with 5 freshmen in the starting lineup. The Wildcats also aren't a great 3-point shooting team, which is a big reason why they struggled early. They aren't going to need the 3-point shot, as the Bucs don't have the experience (only 1 returning starter) or talent to keep Kentucky from doing whatever they want. This is the ideal spot off a loss for the Wildcats to lay a beating and we will lay the big number here. Take Kentucky! |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Titans/Steelers TNF ATS NO BRAINER on Titans + I like the value here with the Titans catching a touchdown on Thursday Night Football against the Steelers. Tennessee is a team that is sitting at 6-3 on the season, but are getting zero respect. No one is talking about this team, despite the fact that they come in having won 4 straight. Pittsburgh has also won 4 straight, but it hasn't been pretty the last two games. They were lucky to leave Detroit with a 20-15 win and even more fortunate last week to walk away from Indy with a 20-17 victory, as they trailed 3-17. I know the Titans had to score late to get a 24-20 win at home against the Bengals, but they should have never let it get to that point, as they had a 108 edge in total yards and 27 first downs to Cincinnati's 15. I just feel Pittsburgh is going through the motions right now and that's a recipe for disaster in these Thursday games. It's also worth noting that the Titans come in off 2 straight home wins and that put them in a very profitable spot, as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after 2 straight home wins. Pittsburgh is also a team that has history of not covering this time of year, as they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played in November. Take Tennessee! |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 56.5 | 40-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Thurs TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo OVER For whatever reason the books have repeatedly set the bar way to low on the total for Ball State games. Last week their total was 49.5 against Northern Illinois and the game finished with 80 combined points. The game before they combined for 70 with a total of 47.5. The game before that saw 73 with a total of 55.5 and the contest before that their was 65 with a total of 48.5. I think we are once again going to see the total fly over the mark and it all stems from the Cardinals defense. Ball State is horrific on that side of the ball and even average offenses like Buffalo can score at will against it. The Cardinals have allowed 55 or more points in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6. Buffalo just scored 38 last week and had 68 in a game earlier this season against Northern Illinois. I think the Bulls score close to 50 and we should at least get 14 from the home team. Take the OVER! |
|||||||
11-16-17 | South Alabama +14 v. La Salle | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama + I like the value here with the Jaguars catching a big number here against the Explorers. South Alabama should be a much improved team this year, as they addressed their biggest weakness by adding in Pitt transfer Rozelle Nix, who will help sure up a team that struggled to protect the rim a year ago. This team already went on the road and were more competitive than people expected in a 25-point loss and cover against Texas Tech. La Salle is a team that the Jaguars can keep it close against. While the Explorers like to play at a frantic pace, they aren't known for playing a lot of defense. Last year they ranked 274th in the country, giving up 76.6 ppg. I also think we could see a less than 100% focused La Salle team here, as they have some big games coming up against Northern and Miami on neutral sites. Look for the Jaguars to keep this one closer than expected. Take South Alabama! |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Boise State -3.5 v. UTEP | 58-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Afternoon ATS BLOWOUT on Boise State - I really like the value here with the Broncos laying a short number on a neutral court in the Puerto Rico Tip-Off. Boise State is known for being a small conference football power, but they are quietly having some great success on the hardwood. The Broncos have won 20 or more games in each of the past 5 seasons and this might be the best team yet for head coach Leon Rice, who is in year 7 with the program. Boise has 3 starters back and are led by a legit NBA-talent in 6'7 senior guard Chandler Hutchison. UTEP needed to go on a 13-4 run in C-USA play to close out the season, yet still finished the year at 15-17. With 4 starters back the Miners should be improved, but I just think they are getting way too much respect here against a legit NCAA Tournament team. Take Boise State! |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Nevada -5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 93-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Nevada - I like the value here with the Wolf Pack laying a short number on the road against the Broncos. Nevada went 28-7 last year, taking home both the MWC regular-season and tournament titles. The Wolf Pack lost some key pieces like Cameron Oliver, Marcus Marshall and D.J. Fenner, but are loaded with talent. They have two of the MWC's best players in Lindsey Drew and Jordan Caroline, plus add in four transfers from Power 5 programs. Two of those being twins Caleb and Cody Martin, who have been huge impacts early, as Caleb leads the team at 25 ppg and Cody is 3rd with 14 ppg. Santa Clara is a quality team and have a couple of nice players in K.J. Feagin and Matt Hauser, but the overall depth isn't that great and this is a team that went just 17-16 last year (4th in the WCC). Even with this game at home, I don't think the Broncos have the talent to keep this one competitive against a NCAA Tournament caliber team in the Wolf Pack. Take Nevada! |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Cavs v. Hornets | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cavs I like the value here with Cleveland, as I feel the Cavs are being way undervalued right now due to their slow start. It's only a matter of time before LeBron James has this team playing like one of the elite teams in the league and the latest epic 4th quarter comeback over the Knicks could be just what this team needed to get things going. Charlotte is getting a lot of love here and I'm not sure why, as the Hornets are just 5-7 overall and have lost 4 straight. They do come in off a lengthy 4-day break, but I'm not buying that as a big positive at this point in the season. Charlotte is also just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 against fellow teams from the east. Take Cleveland! |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Texas-San Antonio v. Texas State UNDER 130.5 | 79-78 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDERÂ No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERSÂ |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Kings v. Hawks -4 | 80-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hawks - This is a great spot to jump on Atlanta at home, as the Hawks are up against an equally bad team in the Kings. Atlanta should also be highly motivated here, as they try to get their first home win of the season. Keep in mind that while the Hawks are 2-12, they have only got to play 4 home games as the schedule hasn't been kind early. Kings are the perfect team to get that first home win against. Sacramento has lost 7 straight on the road and most of them haven't been close. Kings are getting outscored by more than 14 ppg on the road, as they are averaging a mere 92.2 ppg away from home, while giving up 106.4. Adding to this, the Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Atlanta! |
|||||||
11-15-17 | Western Michigan +10 v. Northern Illinois | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 45 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Undervalued UNDERDOG on Western Michigan + I like the value here with the Broncos catching more than a touchdown against the Huskies. Western Michigan might not be on the same level as a year ago, but they are still a very respectable 4-2 in MAC play and could very easily be 6-0. They had a fluke 13-14 loss against Akron, where they outgained the Zips by more than 200 yards. In their other loss they had a 28-14 lead going into the 4th quarter of a 28-35 loss. Even with those setbacks, the MAC West title is still within reach if they can knock off Northern Illinois and Toledo in their last two games. The Huskies are a good team, but aren't built to blow quality teams like the Broncos out. Northern Illinois is built more to win close games with their strong rushing attack and great defense. The key here is the Western Michigan defense should be able to keep that Huskies rushing attack in check. The Broncos are allowing just 119.3 rushing yards/game in conference play Northern Illinois is also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record, while the Broncos are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 road games. Take Western Michigan! |
|||||||
11-14-17 | San Diego State v. Arizona State +1 | Top | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona State + It's been a couple of tough years for head coach Bobby Hurley at Arizona State, but all signs point to year 3 being a breakout season for the Sun Devils. Arizona State brings back two big time scorers on the perimeter in senior guards Tra Holder (16.2 ppg) and Shannon Evans (15.0 ppg). It's one of the best backcourts in the Pac-12. Last year they just didn't have the size inside and had to play 4 guards, which really hurt the defense. That's no longer an issue, as Hurley's Top 25 recruiting class addressed the issue. Freshmen Vitaliy Shibel and juco transfer De'Quon Lake are going to make a big difference this season for the Sun Devils. Lake had 24 points, 8 boards and 3 blocks in the opener, while Shibel only scored 4, he had 8 boards and 4 assists. San Diego State has quite a history as Steve Fisher really turned this program into a mid-major power over the years. Unfortunately for the Aztecs Fisher retired and while there's some nice talent on the roster, I think it's asking a lot for this team to go on the road and get a win here. Take Arizona State! |
|||||||
11-14-17 | Spurs v. Mavs +6.5 | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Mavs + I like the value here with Dallas as a home dog against the Spurs on Tuesday. There's no denying the Mavs are a bad team, as they come in at just 2-12, but there's a lot in this team and while they are just 1-6 at home, they have been a lot more competitive at American Airlines Center. I think we get a big time effort here and cover against the Spurs. San Antonio is going to be one of the elite teams in the league, but not until Kawhi Leonard returns from injury. He's still out, as is starting point guard Tony Parker. The Spurs could also be without sharpshooter Danny Green, who is questionable with a hamstring injury. San Antonio has won 4 of 5, including a drubbing of the Bulls in their last game, but all of those were at home and they are just 2-3 on the road this season and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 away from home overall. Take Dallas! |
|||||||
11-14-17 | Celtics v. Nets +7 | 109-102 | Push | 0 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDERÂ Â No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERSÂ |
|||||||
11-14-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State +18 | 42-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Tues Night VEGAS INSIDER on Kent State The public will be inclined to lay the big number on the road with Central Michigan here against a Kent State team that is just 2-8, but I think the value is with the Golden Flashes as a big home dog. It might not seem like Kent State has anything to play for, but this is senior night, so I expect a big effort here. As for the Chippewas, they come in off a 42-30 win over Eastern Michigan, which secured bowl eligibility, which is always a big deal for these schools from smaller conferences. I think we see Central Michigan come out a bit flat here. The offense is built around their passing attack, which plays into the strength of the Kent State defense, as the Flashes rank 35th in the country vs the pass, allowing just 197.4 ypg. At the same time, I don't the Chippewas are good enough defensively to keep Kent State from scoring enough to cover this big number. Central Michigan has also struggled in this spot in the past, as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and are also a mere 1-5 ATS mark in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Kent State! |
|||||||
11-14-17 | Wright State -2 v. Miami-OH | 67-73 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Wright State - I like the value here with the Raiders laying a short numbers against the RedHawks. Wright State lost their opener on the road against a very good Loyola (Chicago) team 80-84, easily covering as a 12.5-point dog. The Raiders have two double-digit scorers back from last year's 20-win season, plus some nice new additions that should have them in contention in the Horizon League. Miami (OH) won their opener 55-54 at Fordham, but I believe this team is going to be outmatched here. The RedHawks bring back 4 starters, but los their best player in Michael Weathers, who won MAC Freshman of the Year honors a season ago. They are also in the first year under a new head coach and picked by many to finish near the basement of the MAC this season. Great system in play backing a fade of the RedHawks, as home teams as an underdog or pick'em that are off a win by 6 or less against an opponent that is off a loss by 6 or less are just 28-67 (29.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Wright State! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Coll Of Charleston +17.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 63-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston + Wichita State is getting all kinds of love coming into the season. The Shockers are ranked in the Top 10, which is a big deal for a non-power 5 team. Wichita St looked impressive in their opener, but that was against Missouri-Kansas City. Most will look to back the Shockers here against Charleston, but this is far from another pushover. The Cougars are the clear favorite to win the CAA and are loaded with experience, returning all 5 starters from last year's 25-win team. I don't think the Cougars have enough to pull off the upset, but I see them easily keeping this within the number. Take Charleston! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Charlotte v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Oklahoma State - I think we are catching the Cowboys at a great price here at home against an under matched Charlotte team. Oklahoma State lost Jawun Evans to the NBA, along with two other starters. They also have decided to sit leading returning scorer Jeffrey Carroll due to investigations. All of that and this team went out and rolled Pepperdine 78-47 in their opener at home, as the Cowboys used a balanced attack. Charlotte won their opener 116-76 over Methodist, but that was to be expected. It sets up the 49ers in a great spot to fade, as they are just 9-22 ATS in their last 31 off a win by 20 or more and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when listed as a dog of 10 or more. Take Oklahoma State! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Cavs -4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cavs - I believe all the negative talk early with Cleveland has the Cavs showing great value right now and I really like them here as a short road favorite against the Knicks. While Cleveland is just 3-2 in their last 5, they are painfully close to having a 5-game winning streak, as both losses came by 4-points or less and one of those was at red-hot Houston. New York has been playing well here of late, but most of that has come against bad teams. Everyone knows LeBron loves playing at the Garden and there's extra incentive here for the Cavs after that ugly 95-114 loss at home to these Knicks in the most recent meeting. Look for them to make a statement here. Take Cleveland! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Kings +11.5 v. Wizards | 92-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Kings + I like the value here with Sacramento as a double-digit dog against the Wizards on Monday. While Sacramento got annihilated in their last game at the Knicks, they have been playing better lately, securing wins over both the Thunder and 76ers in their last 3 games. I don't think they have enough here to knock off Washington, but I think the Wizards are going to have a tough time getting up for this one against an inferior team with a big division home-and-home series against the Heat on deck. Wizards are also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 at home and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a win. Take Sacramento! |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Brown -1.5 v. Quinnipiac | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Browns - I cashed in on Quinnipiac in their opener at home against Dartmouth, but I'm going to go against the Bobcats here at home against Brown. The Bobcats were lucky to escape with a win over the Big Green, escaping with a 78-77 win. This is also a spot in which Quinnipiac has not performed well in the past, as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games as a dog of 6 points or less. It's also worth pointing out that Brown has 3 returning starters to the Bobcats 2 and the Bears won the head-to-head meeting a season ago. Take Brown! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Pacific +18.5 v. Stanford | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pacific + I like the value here with the Tigers catching a big number against the Cardinal. I believe this Pacific team is flying under the radar this season, as they enter year two under former NBA point guard Damion Stoudamire. The Tigers are going to play an up-tempo small-ball/position less basketball that you are seeing in the NBA. While they lost a lot from last year, they will be debuting 3 transfers who should make a big impact in Oregon's Kendall Small, St. Louis' Miles Reynolds and Dugquesne's Tyson Powell. I believe they have enough fire-power here to keep this well within the number against a Stanford team that only won by 16 against Cal-Poly in their opener. Note that Cal-Poly is expected to finish in the bottom 3 of the Big West this year, so that's not exactly a great team. It's also worth mentioning that the Tigers have thrived in the role of a big dog, as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when listed as a road dog of 18.5 to 24 points. Take Pacific! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos +7.5 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -105 | 95 h 26 m | Show |
5* NFL Sunday Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Broncos + I like the value here with Denver catching over a touchdown at home against the Patriots on Sunday Night Football. We were going to get a big time effort here from Denver regardless of where or when the game was being played, as they want to snap a 4-game skid, but they should be even more locked in with this being a prime time home game against Brady and the Patriots. There's not many negatives with Brady's remarkable career, but he's struggled to find a way to guide his team to a win at Denver. In fact, Brady is just 3-7 in his last 10 trips to Mile High Stadium. As well as the Patriots have been playing offensively, I think Von Miller and this Denver defense can hold them in check enough to not only cover the number, but potentially win the game outright. The biggest concern here for most people when it comes to taking Denver is whether they can generate enough offense. I think they can, as this Patriots defense is far from elite. New England is 25th against the run (121.5 ypg) and dead last against the pass (295.5 ypg). Take Denver! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Eastern Washington +10 v. Washington | 69-79 | Push | 0 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Eastern Washington I like the value here with the Eagles catching double-digits against in-state foe Washington on Sunday. The Huskies are in a bit of a transition year here under first year head coach Mike Hopkins, who was a long-time assistant at Syracuse under Jim Boeheim and will bring that same zone attack to Washington. I just think it's going to take some time before they can play the zone at the level needed for it to be effective. The defense certainly wasn't sharp in their opener, as they gave up 82 points and allowed Belmont to shoot 49% from the field. Eastern Washington won 22 games last year and have 3 returning starters, including a big time scorer in senior Bogdan Bliznyuk, who averaged 20.6 ppg last season. I think the Eagles can not only score enough to keep this close, but wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Take Eastern Washington! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +18.5 v. Troy State | 57-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG  on Arkansas Pine Bluff I like the value here with the Golden Lions catching a big number against the Trojans. Arkansas-Pine Bluff went just 7-25 last year, but I like the direction of this team in 2017 under long-time head coach George Ivy. While they lost their opener to Hawaii, they lost by just 12 as an 18-point dog and did so despite shooting just 37% from the field, while the Warriors connected on 49%. I look for a much better shooting effort here from the Lions. Troy is a team that is coming off a 22-15 campaign, but I believe it has them overvalued early and it certainly looked to be the case in their opener, as they lost outright to North Dakota as a 7-point favorite. The Trojans likely bounce back with a win here, but I think it's a lot more competitive than the number would suggest. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Falcons - I like the value here with Atlanta laying only a field goal at home against the Cowboys, who won't have star running back Ezekiel Elliott, as he finally has to start serving his suspension. I just don't think the line has been adjusted enough here to make up for his absence. The perception is that Dallas can just plug anyone in at running back and put up big yards on the ground, but we saw in 2015 when they let DeMarco Murray leave the production wasn't the same and didn't pick back up until Zeke arrived. I think a drop off in the running game is going to have a negative impact not only on the offense, which will face a lot more 3rd and long situations, but also the defense. One of the reasons Dallas defense has played so well is the offense could eat up the clock and keep them fresh. That's bad news for the Cowboys defense, as they go up against an Atlanta offense that isn't as bad as everyone is saying and due for a breakout performance. Dallas comes in having covered 3 straight, but are just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games when they come in having covered 3 out of their last 4 games. Take Atlanta! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Texans +12 v. Rams | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NFL Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Texans + I like the value here with the Texans catching double-digits against the Rams. LA is the talk of the NFL right now after their 6-2 start and have quickly become a big public team. That combined with no one wanting to back Houston with Tom Savage at quarterback, has this line inflated. It's a lot harder to win by 10+ in the NFL than people think. A big reason I like the points here with the Texans is I believe their defense can make life difficult for the Rams offense. Two things LA has done very well early on is pick up a ton of yards after the catch and convert on 3rd down. Houston is near the top of the league in both of those categories defensively. We saw Seattle's stop unit hold the Rams to just 10 points and I think we could see the Texans keep them at least under 20 and I'll take my chances that Savage and the offense can do enough to keep it within the number. It's also worth noting that playing at home hasn't exactly been an advantage for the Rams, especially when it comes to covering the spread, as they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. LA is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a losing record. Take Houston! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Heat v. Pistons -3 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
3* NBA Oddsmakers ERROR on Pistons - I like the value here with Detroit laying a short number at home against the Heat. Miami comes in having won 2 straight and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5, but were fortunate to get a win in their last game at Utah, as the Jazz scored just 7-points in the 3rd quarter and a mere 25 in the entire 2nd half of a 84-74 win (Utah led by double-digits at the half). More than anything, we are going against the Heat in a really tough spot, as Miami will be playing it's 6th and final game of their lengthy 6-game road trip that started back on Nov. 3. I think they are going to be looking more forward to returning home and getting two days off than actually playing this game. Detroit on the other hand is rolling. The Pistons have won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8, which includes 5 straight wins on their home floor. Take Detroit! |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills +3 | 47-10 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 23 m | Show | |
3* NFL UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Bills + The public is going to be all over the Saints as a short road favorite, but I like the value here with the Bills catching a field goal at home, where they are a perfect 4-0 on the season. Buffalo laid an egg in their last game, losing badly on the road to the Jets on Thursday Night Football. That loss is magnified because it was a prime time game. The road team is at such a huge disadvantage in those Thursday games that I don't think that we should judge this team on that performance. Keep in mind they had gone 4-1 in their previous 5 games. Not to take anything away from the Saints and their 6-game winning streak, but they haven't exactly played a lot of great teams, especially on offense, during this stretch. I think the offense struggles here on the road, as they should have a hard time running against a stout Bill's front seven and I think we see that defense everyone is praising have some troubles against the strong rushing attack and mobility of quarterback Tyrod Taylor. Saints are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when they come into a game having covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. We also find a strong system going against New Orleans, as favorites that are scoring 27+ ppg are just 7-27 ATS (21%) against the spread after allowing 14 or less points in each of their last 2 games over the last 10 years. Take Buffalo! |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.