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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-20 | Stanford v. UCLA +2.5 | 74-59 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on UCLA +2½ -110 Most will look to back Stanford here as a small road favorite at UCLA, as the Cardinal come in having won 7 of 8 and covered 3 straight, while UCLA has lost 5 of 6 and have just one cover in their last 7 games. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this number. Big thing to keep in mind with Stanford and their impressive 14-2 start to the season is 12 of their 16 games have come on their home floor and their only true road game to this point was a matchup at San Jose State, who is ranked 285th in KenPom. Even with games against Butler and Kansas, the Cardinal's non-conference strength of schedule was a mere 300th in the nation. I get UCLA has been a big disappointment in the first season under Mick Cronin, but I'm confident we get a big effort here from the Bruins at home off that ugly home loss to USC. Note that the Bruins are 5-2 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home, while Stanford is 0-6 ATS last 6 off a home win by 10 or more (beat Washington St 88-62) and 2-6 ATS last 8 on the road after playing 3 straight at home. Take UCLA! |
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01-15-20 | Blazers v. Rockets -8 | 117-107 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rockets -8 -109 Easy play here on the Rockets laying single digits at home against the Blazers. Houston will be playing on no rest after last night's 110-121 setback at Memphis, but keep in mind they played that game without one of their best players in Russell Westbrook, as he continues to sit out the first of back-to-backs. Any time the Rockets are off an ugly loss they are worth a look and they come into this one having covered 5 straight off a loss by 10 or more. As for the Blazers, they just aren't playing good basketball right now. They nearly blew a huge double-digit lead in their last game, as they squeaked out a 115-112 win at home over a bad Charlotte team playing on no rest. Blazers are now a miserable 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games. They are also just 2-7 ATS last 9 on the road, 1-7 ATS last 8 as a dog and 1-8 ATS last 9 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Houston! |
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01-15-20 | Boise State v. Air Force | 78-85 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Boise State PK -109 I really like the value here with Boise State at basically a pick'em on the road against the Falcons. The Broncos are going to be extremely motivated to get a win after an ugly 18-point loss at San Diego State last time out. Boise State has been rock-solid coming off a loss of late, covering each of their last 5 games in this spot. Air Force has a solid home court edge, but I just don't think it will be enough for them to get a win. This is just not a good matchup for the Falcons. Air Force is a very small team and because of that have no protected the rim well. In fact, they are 334th out of 353 teams in opponents finish rate at the rim. Boise State is 12th nationally in finishing at the rim, which means the Broncos should have a field day inside. Bronces are also 20-9 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come in having failed to cover 2 of their last 3. Take Boise State! |
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01-15-20 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 230 | 106-115 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wizards/Bulls over 230 -103 I look for the Bulls and Wizards to easily surpass the big total set for tonight's matchup. It's really hard to not like the OVER with Washington as long as Bradley Beal is in the lineup. Wizards are obviously a better offensive team with Beal on the floor, but what people don't realize is how he negatively impacts the defense. Wizards defense is 14.4 worse per 100 possessions with him on the floor. On the season Washington is giving up 121.6 ppg away from home and the Bulls can and should hit that mark. Chicago had 110 at the Wizards when these two played about a month ago and shot just 40% from the field in that game. Other key here is the Bulls who had been playing solid defense are struggling on that side of the ball since Wendell Carter Jr went down. In Chicago's last 6 games they have given up 111 or more points in 5 of those games and the only exception was a game against a depleted Pistons squad. Also, Bulls have gone 8 straight games allowing the opposition to shoot 46% or better from the field. Take the OVER! |
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01-15-20 | Iowa State +10.5 v. Baylor | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa State +10½ -110 I love the value here with the Cyclones as a double-digit road dog against the Bears. Baylor is getting praise everywhere the look and after back-to-back road wins last week at Texas Tech and Kansas, they are now the No. 2 ranked team in the country. No question the Bears are legit, but this just feels like the perfect spot to sell high, as they are just a few days removed from that impressive upset win at Kansas. Note they also had a big game against rival Texas before defeating the Red Raiders, so it was really a 3-game stretch where they laid it all on the line. Iowa State is off an impressive 81-68 win over Oklahoma that was much more lopsided than the final score would indicate. Cyclones are clearly a step below the top tier teams in the conference, but are far from a pushover. Their 8-7 record is also a bit misleading given the difficult schedule they have faced. ISU has also been a solid bet in this spot, covering 5 of their last 6 as a road dog. As for the Bears, they are just 4-9-1 ATS last 14 as a home favorite and 0-7 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Iowa State! |
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01-15-20 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Blackhawks/Canadiens under 6 +100 The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's NHL matchup that has the Blackhawks visiting the Canadiens. UNDER has cashed in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games and it's easy to see why when you look at the results. Canadiens have scored 2 or fewer goals 7 of their last 8 games with a mere 3-goal outburst being their highest output in this stretch. Hard to see them getting it turned around against a Chicago defense that has held 4 of their last 5 to 2 or fewer. UNDER is 15-2 over the last 2 seasons in Montreal's home games in the month of January, 7-1 in their last 8 at home in a non-conference game and 6-0 in their last 6 at home after going UNDER in their previous two games. Take the UNDER! |
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01-15-20 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on 76ers -7½ -109 I got no problem laying the points with Philadelphia at home against the Nets. This is a great spot to buy low on the 76ers, as there's a lot of doubt surrounding this team with Embiid out after back-to-back ugly road losses at Dallas (91-109) and Indiana (95-101). Sure the 76ers aren't as good without Embiid, but you also can't read to much into how bad this team plays on the road. They weren't a good team away from home with Embiid. Philadelphia beat Boston 109-98 without Embiid in their last home game and are now 18-2 at home this season. This is also a great spot to fade Brooklyn. Nets recently got back Kyrie Irving, but it wasn't enough for them in last night's home game against the Jazz, which they lost 118-107. I don't see it going any better on the road on no rest tonight. Brooklyn is just 6-13 ATS last 19 in the second of a back-to-back and have failed to cover 5 straight as a road dog. Take Philadelphia! |
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01-14-20 | Mavs v. Warriors +9 | 124-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Warriors +9 -110 Golden State is worth a look as a near double-digit dog at home against the Mavs. Warriors come into this game having lost 8 straight, but we have seen this team sneak up on opponents at home. Mavs are a team that caught the attention of a lot of people early on this season, but they are just 3-5 SU and 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games. As good as Doncic has been, this is not the same caliber a team without Porzingis, who is dealing with a knee injury. Dallas did beat the Warriors 141-121 at Golden State earlier this season, but that's a positive here, as it should spark a big effort from the Warriors and they are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 10 or more. Take Golden State! |
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01-14-20 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Wake Forest | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS DESTROYER on Virginia Tech -2½ -109 Easy play here on the Hokies as a small road favorite against the Demon Deacons. Some might be willing to give Wake Forest a pass in their last two games, which saw them lose by 10 at home to FSU and by 31 at Duke, as those are not teams they are expected to beat. Thing is the Demon Deacons are down one of their best players in Chaundee Brown and they just aren't the same team when he's not on the floor. I just think it's asking a bit much for Wake to win this game at home against a red-hot Hokies team. Virginia Tech is off a 72-58 win at home over NC State and are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games overall. Hokies defense has been great of late and when they are clicking on that side it's a good idea to jump on board. Va Tech is 11-3 ATS last 14 after giving up 65 or fewer in 3 straight games. Wake is also just 17-31 ATS last 48 as an underdog and the road team has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series. Take Virginia Tech! |
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01-14-20 | Akron v. Northern Illinois +3 | Top | 72-49 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - MAC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Northern Illinois +3 -109 I love the value here with Northern Illinois as a home dog against the Zips. Akron comes in with an impressive 13-3 record, are riding a 4-game win streak and sitting at 3-0 in MAC play. Most won't hesitate laying the short number here with the Zips, but I think they lose outright to the Huskies. Northern Illinois is a 1-point loss at Central Michigan away from being 3-0 themselves in MAC action. Zips are just 2-5 ATS last 7 times they have been listed as a road favorite and the home team is a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. Huskies also just seem to play their best against the best, especially later on in the season. In fact, they are 31-13 ATS in their last 44 games 15+ games into the season when facing a team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. Take Northern Illinois! |
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01-14-20 | Kings v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Kings/Lightning under 6½ +115 The books have set the total way too high for tonight's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Kings. Both of these offenses are really struggling coming into this game and both are pretty locked in defensively. LA has scored 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 5 games and will be facing a Tampa Bay defense that has held 5 of their last 7 to 2 or fewer goals, including two shutouts in their last 3 games. Lightning have scored just 1 goal in each of their last two games and Kings have held each of their last 3 opponents to exactly 2 goals. Take the UNDER! |
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01-14-20 | Kent State v. Miami-OH +4.5 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS LINE MISTAKE on Miami-OH +4½ -105 The Redhawks are worth a look here as a home dog against the Golden Flashes. Good spot here to back Miami as we can bank on a max effort here after a rough 0-3 start to MAC play. Thing to note is two of those were on the road against quality teams in Bowling Green and Central Michigan the other was a home game against a good Buffalo squad. Not to say Kent State isn't another quality opponent, but it's never easy playing on the road in conference play on short rest. Golden Flashes will have had just 2 days off for this one. I also look for Miami to get their offense going. Redhawks are scoring 80.1 ppg and Kent State is giving up 74.9 ppg on the road. On the flip side, Flashes only score 72.6 ppg on the road and Miami allows just 66.1 ppg at home. Kent State is just 3-11 ATS last 14 times they have played on the road after a game as a home favorite and a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when they come in having won 3 or more games in a row. Take Miami! |
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01-14-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Louisville -4½ -109 I really like the value here with Louisville laying what I think is a short number on the road against the Panthers. These two teams played once already and the Cardinals made easy work of Pitt at home in a 64-46 win. I don't think playing at home is going to be enough for Pitt to overcome the difficulties they had scoring against this Louisville defense. Cardinals are also on a bit of a roll, as they have won two straight after a couple of losses to Kentucky and FSU. Panthers are simply getting a little too much love from the books because of their 11-5 record, but they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Pitt is also just 5-15-1 ATS last 21 games as a dog and 3-13-1 ATS last 17 off a loss. Cardinals are 6-2-1 ATS last 9 games as a favorite and the favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Louisville! |
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01-14-20 | Ball State -3.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 69-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Ball State -3½ -109 I really like the Cardinals here to cover as a small road favorite against the Eagles. This is simply an ideal matchup for Ball State and their unselfish offense that has knockdown shooters all over the floor. Cardinals should get plenty of open looks from deep against Eastern Michigan's zone defense, which comes in the 24th most 3-pointers in the country. I just don't think the Eagles can keep pace with all that shooting, as they just aren't a very good offensive team. Eastern Michigan is only averaging 60.3 ppg in conference play and shooting just 38% from the field in those 3 contests. Eagles are also just 1-5 ATS last 6 as a dog. Take Ball State! |
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01-13-20 | Hornets v. Blazers UNDER 217 | 112-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Blazers under 217 -105 The UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. I just don't see these two teams playing with the kind of pace needed to go over a total of this magnitude. Charlotte has to be running on fumes as they flew across the country for a game at Utah on Friday and then were at Phoenix last night before making another long trip up north for this game on no rest. Blazers had to return home from a 4-game road trip to face one of the league's best in Milwaukee and will be on just 1-day of rest for this one. Portland has been playing at a slower pace of late with all the travel and have scored no more than 102 in their last 3 games. Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league and we saw how that can impact a game last night against the Suns. Phoenix shot 50% from the field and yet the game only saw a 192 combined points. Same thing in their game against Utah. Jazz shot 51% and the two combined for only 201 points. Take the UNDER! |
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01-13-20 | Portland State v. Montana -6.5 | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Montana -6½ -109 Easy play here on the Grizzlies to cover at home against the Vikings. Montana is in the midst of their best stretch of basketball. The Grizzlies have won 4 of 5 and just put it on a good Eastern Washington team 90-63 as a 5.5-point dog last time out. Montana's defense held Eastern Washington 23 points under their season average and are giving up just 63.4 ppg in conference play. Portland State is scoring 77.5 ppg, but it's come against teams who on average are allowing 73.5 ppg, so definitely expect them to struggle to get anywhere close to that. Defensively they are giving up 76.5 ppg on the road and could really struggle to bring it on that side of the ball. Vikings will be playing their 4th straight road games and this one comes on just one day of rest off a grueling 77-76 win against Montana State. Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS last 15 at home after 2 straight on the road and are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Montana! |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 68.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - National Championship NO LIMIT Top Play on Clemson/LSU under 68½ -110 I love the value here with the UNDER in the title game between Clemson and LSU. After watching LSU score at will against Oklahoma in the semifinal matchup, I think the perception here is that there's just no stopping Joe Burrow and that offensive attack. I'm not about to say Clemson is going to shutdown LSU's offense, but they are definitely going to offer a lot more resistance than Oklahoma, who keep in mind was not a great defensive team and missing some key guys on that side of the ball. It's no secret that LSU's offense is built around Burrow and the passing game, but that plays right into the strength of the Clemson defense, which was No. 1 in the country against the pass, giving up just 138.5 ypg. As for the LSU defense, it's been a lot better of late and they definitely got the talent on that side of the ball to keep Clemson's offense in check. I also think the long layoff from the semifinal games to this contest really benefits both defenses and there's simply not enough being made of the two mastermind defensive coordinators in this matchup with LSU's Dave Aranda and Clemson's Brent Venables. UNDER is 13-1 in Clemson's last 14 games played in a dome and 7-0 over the last 3 seasons when playing on 2 or more weeks of rest. UNDER is also 20-5 in LSU's last 25 after 3 or more consecutive covers and 16-5 under Orgeron after a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER! |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Clemson/LSU ATS Vegas INSIDER on Clemson +6½ -110 I like the value with Clemson as a dog in the title matchup with LSU. I just think Clemson is a very scary team when they are a dog and I definitely think LSU's blowout win over Oklahoma has inflated this number to the point where you got to take a shot with Clemson. I just think people are failing to realize how big a game there was between Oklahoma and the other 3 teams. I don't doubt for a second that Ohio State and Clemson would have destroyed the Sooners had they played them. LSU's offense is great, but people were hyping Ohio State's offense just as much and Clemson held them to 23 and didn't even play their best. When Clemson has had 2 or more weeks to prepare for a game over the last 3 seasons, they are giving up a mere 12.0 ppg in these matchups. While I think LSU will definitely surpass that, I don't see them eclipsing 30+ points in this game. Clemson is 7-0 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record, 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a team that averages 31 or more points/game and 10-1 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages 450 or more total yards/game. Take Clemson! |
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01-13-20 | Ducks +195 v. Blues | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line SHOCKER on Ducks +195 There's simply too much value here with Anaheim to pass up a play at this price. I get the Blues have won 8 straight at home and the Ducks are far from a good road team, but St Louis is simply due for a bad showing and this just feels like a really flat spot after a couple of blowout wins against Buffalo (5-1) and New York (5-2). Big thing to note is that Anaheim has enjoyed quite a bit of success of late at the Enterprise Center as they have won each of the last 4 meetings on the road against St Louis. Take Anaheim! |
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01-13-20 | Flames v. Canadiens -101 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Canadiens -101 The Canadiens are worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Flames. Montreal was able to snap their 8-game losing streak with a win at Ottawa last time out and I like the Canadiens to carry over that momentum at home. Keep in mind that 4 of the 8 losses were on the road and only one of the 8 losses was by more than 1-goal, so they are not playing nearly as bad as you would think given their recent win/loss record. It's the exact opposite for Calgary. Flames have won 5 straight, but all 5 wins have been by a single goal. Value is with the home team. Take Montreal! |
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01-13-20 | Islanders v. Rangers +110 | 2-6 | Win | 110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Rangers +110 I like the value with the Rangers as a dog in the battle for New York as they host the Islanders on Monday. For me I think the price is too good to pass up given how much better the Rangers offense has been of late. Rangers have scored 5 or more goals in 5 of their last 8 games and each of their last 4 games at home. Islanders have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 9 and have scored 2 or fewer in 6 of those. Islanders have also allowed at least 3 goals in each of their last 3 road games. Take Rangers! |
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01-13-20 | Pelicans v. Pistons | 117-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pistons PK -109 Even though New Orleans comes in off an ugly 35-point loss at Boston, most will be looking to take the Pelicans in this one, as they have been playing well and there's not much to get excited about with how Detroit has been playing. I just think the poor showing against the Celtics was a sign of a tired team and I look for them to struggle to bounce back in another tough scheduling spot. New Orleans will be playing their 3rd straight road game in a span of just 4 days. Real easy for them to just go through the motions here, especially knowing they got the next two days off before two big home games against the Jazz and Clippers. Pelicans are just 2-6-1 aTS last 9 after giving up 125 or more points (allowed 140 to Boston) and 0-3-1 ATS last 4 after a loss by more than 10 points. Take Detroit! |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Seahawks/Packers ATS DESTROYER on Seahawks +4½ -110 The Seahawks are definitely worth a look here as a 4.5-point dog against the Packers. Green Bay may have ended up with the No. 2 seed in the NFC, but I'm not buying for a second that this is the second best team in the NFC. Packer went 13-3 because of a really soft schedule and that's evident by the fact that they had a mere +63 point differential for the season. Green Bay only played 5 games all season against a team that made the playoffs. They went 3-2 in those games, but two of those wins were against a similarly fraudulent Vikings team and the other was against the Chiefs when they were without Mahomes. Their two losses were by 7 at home to the Eagles and by 31 at San Francisco. Seattle has a great home field edge, but that doesn't mean they aren't a good road team. Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS last 15 road games and 22-8-2 ATS last 32 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 34-16-3 ATS last 53 as a dog. Take Seattle! |
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01-12-20 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 221 | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Grizzlies over 221 -109 Easy play on the OVER in Sunday's NBA matchup that has Memphis hosting the Warriors. The books are having a terrible time setting the total high enough in Grizzlies' games of late. The OVER is 12-3 in Memphis' last 15 games. A big part of that is the Grizzlies' offense, which is absolutely on fire right now. Memphis is averaging 127.4 ppg in their last 5 and have scored 110 or more in 10 straight games. Not only is their offense lighting it up, but they are allowing a ton of points. Grizzlies have given up 112 or more in 5 straight. OVER is 10-1 in Memphis' last 11 home games and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 at home against a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! |
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01-12-20 | Spurs v. Raptors -3 | Top | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* NBA - Vegas No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Raptors -3 -110 Love the value here with the Raptors laying a small number at home against the Spurs. While Toronto likely won't get back Siakam and Gasol until later this week, they will be welcoming back Powell to the mix. Regardless of who has been in and out of the lineup, Raptors continue to play at a very high level, especially on the defensive end. Spurs simply can't be trusted on the road with how little defense they play. San Antonio just lost at Memphis and gave up 134 in the process. Spurs are now a mere 5-12 on the road this season, giving up 117 ppg. San Antonio is also just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 after giving up 125 or more in their previous game, while Raptors are 16-7 ATS last 23 vs a team with a losing record and 5-1 ATS last 6 off a game where they failed to cover. Take Toronto! |
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01-12-20 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -2.5 | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Miami-FL -2½ -110 Really like the value here with the Hurricanes laying a small number at home against the Panthers. Perfect spot to buy low on Miami off back-to-back losses. While they were completely outclassed in a 33-point home loss to Duke, they were down just 5 with 5 minutes to play before losing 58-74 at Louisville last time out. Either way this is the ideal bounce back spot and a great price against a Pitt team that is getting too much love for a road win against a bad UNC team. Prior to that upset of the Tar Heels, the Panthers had gone just 1-4 ATS in their previous 5 games. One thing Pitt really thrives on is forcing turnovers and that's a problem here, as Miami simply doesn't turn it over. Hurricanes have the 12th best turnover rate in the country. Last time out against Louisville they only turned it over 5 times. Panthers are also just 2-9 ATS last 11 road games after playing two straight conference games, 2-9-1 ATS last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 3-14-1 ATS last 18 as a dog. Take Miami! |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 150 h 57 m | Show |
5* NFL Divisional Round PLAY OF THE YEAR on Chiefs -9½ -110 I got no problem laying the big number with Kansas City on Sunday at home against the Texans. I think a lot of people will be drawn to Houston here, simply because Houston won at Kansas City earlier this season. Thing is, the Chiefs were up 17-3 in that game and this is really a different team than when they met back in Week 6. Most notably on the defensive side of the ball. Another common thought process for people is that Andy Reid is not a good coach in big games and while he's had his fair share of failures in the playoffs, you simply don't bet against him when he's got two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He's 18-3 ATS off a bye in the regular-season and 4-1 ATS off a bye in the playoffs. I think this Chiefs offense has been holding back a lot of things for the playoffs and this Texans defense is one they can exploit. Houston finished with the 29th ranked pass defense, giving up 267.3 ypg. Mahomes will have a field day and that much improved Chiefs defense will do their part behind an electric home crowd. Take Kansas City! |
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01-11-20 | Weber State +5.5 v. CS Sacramento | 57-71 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ODDSMAKER ERROR on Weber State +5½ -110 I like the value here with the Wildcats catching a decent number on the road against CS-Sacramento. I just think we are getting a great price on Weber State due to the fact that they have gone just 1-4 in their last 5 games, as this is a much more evenly matched game than the number suggest. Sacramento State comes in at 9-4, but their only win against a team in the top 200 of the KenPom rankings is a mere 5-point win over No. 170 Pepperdine. Weber State has only played 3 teams outside the Top 200. The other big thing is the Hornets just can't be trusted laying points with how bad they are on the offensive side of the ball. CS-Sacramento is averaging a mere 61.8 ppg which is really bad when you consider how easy the schedule has been. Wildcats are 23-10 ATS last 33 after dropping 4 of their last 5, while the Hornets are 0-6 ATS last 6 at home after winning 2 of their last 3. Road team has also only failed to cover 4 times in the last 14 meetings between these two. Take Weber State! |
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01-11-20 | CS-Northridge -5.5 v. Cal Poly | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS DESTROYER on CS-Northridge -5½ -110 Easy play here on CS-Northridge laying a short number on the road against Cal Poly. While the Matadors are just 6-11 overall, they come in having won 3 straight as the schedule has finally started to get easier (8 of their 11 losses have come against teams ranked 170 or better in KenPom. Cal Poly is 337th. The Mustangs are 3-12 overall with two of their wins coming against non division 1 teams and the other a mere 4-point win over Siena. On top of all that, CS-Northridge is 13-4 ATS last 17 conference games and the Matadors have owned Cal Poly in recent meetings, covering 9 of the last 11 meetings. Take CS-Northridge! |
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01-11-20 | Boise State +11.5 v. San Diego State | 65-83 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Boise State +11½ -110 I like the value here with the Broncos as a double-digit road dog against the Aztecs. San Diego State comes in at 16-0 and there's no doubt in my mind the number on the Aztecs has been inflated quite a bit here because of their strong start. I'm not saying they won't win at home, but I think Boise State can definitely make a game of this. The Broncos have won 5 of their last 6 and are 7-2 ATS last 9 times vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS last 8 when facing a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Aztecs are just 1-5 ATS last 6 at home as a favorite and 0-5 ATS last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Boise State! |
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01-11-20 | Florida -1.5 v. Missouri | 75-91 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Florida -1½ -110 The Gators are worth a look at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Florida has been impressive to start out SEC play, rallying from 20 down to stun Alabama in OT in their conference opener and then going on the road and whooping South Carolina 81-68 as a mere 4.5-point favorite. Missouri has started out 0-2 and while one of those is an excusable loss at Kentucky, the other was a home setback against a struggling Tennessee team that had lost 4 of 5. Also the Tigers are 6-2 at home, but all 6 wins have come against teams ranked 119th or worse in KenPom. Florida is No. 23. Florida's offense finally seems to be rounding into form and I just think it will be too much for a Missouri offense that is only averaging 66.7 ppg and a mere 59.0 ppg in SEC play. As for the Tigers defense, it's not been nearly as good of late. Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference road games and 8-2 ATS last 10 as a road favorite. Tigers are 2-5 ATS last 7 vs a team with a win percent of 60% or better and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Florida! |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10 v. Ravens | Top | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 91 h 20 m | Show |
5* NFL - VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Titans +10 -110 I love the value here with Tennessee as a double-digit dog against the Ravens. The betting public can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and Baltimore right now and I think the number here has been inflated to the point that this is a no-brainer on the Titans. Tennessee might have made it in as the No. 6 seed in the AFC, but this team likely would have won the AFC South had they started the season with Ryan Tannehill and not Marcus Mariota. Everyone likes to focus on what Derrick Henry is doing and it's hard to not get caught up that, but Tannehill has been outstanding for the Titans. No question the Patriots offense was broken, but New England's defense is the real deal and they had no answer for the 1-2 punch of Henry and Tannehill. As good as Baltimore was against the run, there's just no slowing down Henry. I think they are going to be able to shorten up the game and most importantly keep Jackson and that Ravens offense off the field. On the flip side of this, I think Tennessee has the defense to at least slow down Lamar Jackson and that high-powered Ravens run game. I think in doing so they can get Baltimore to press a little and really make this thing interesting. Give me the Titans +10! |
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01-11-20 | Marshall +1.5 v. UABÂ | 50-61 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Marshall +1½ -115 Easy play here on the Thundering Herd at basically a pick'em at UAB. Marshall has really been a different team over the last month. They are 6-2 SU and 5-2 ATS. They did fail to cover last time out at Middle Tennessee, but that was an unfortunate non-cover as they had a 9-point lead with less than a minute to play and ended up winning by 4 as a 4.5-point favorite. Marshall should be able to get a lot of easy baskets in this one. UAB is one of the worst teams in the country in turnover rate ranking 336th and the Herd are 30th nationally in steal rate. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 at least 15 games into the season who are a good offensive team (74-78 ppg) and facing a bad offensive team (63-67 ppg) are a dominant 42-16 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Marshall! |
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01-11-20 | Bulls v. Pistons -3.5 | 108-99 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Pistons -3½ -109 I like the value here with Detroit laying a small number at home against the Bulls. Chicago just keeps getting all kinds of respect from the books despite the fact that they haven't been playing well or covering. Bulls have lost 6 straight and failed to cover all 6. I just don't see it getting better for Chicago in this one. Bulls are really missing big man Wendell Carter Jr, whose absence negatively impacts the team on both sides of the ball, especially on defense. This is also a really tough scheduling spot for the Bulls. Chicago played at New Orleans on Wednesday, quickly flew back home for a game against Indiana last night and then had to turn around and head to Detroit. Not ideal at all for a young team like the Bulls, who are short handed and lacking confidence. Take Detroit! |
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01-11-20 | Old Dominion +3.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 47-53 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion +3½ -110 I love the value here with the Monarchas as a small road dog against the 49ers. Both of these teams like to play slow and really grind it out defensively. Thing is Old Dominion has thrived against these kind of opponents, going a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a strong defensive team that is allowing 64 or fewer points/game. This is also a great spot to fade Charlotte. The 49ers have won 5 of 6 and are off a win over Middle Tennessee where they had a huge lead at the half. Charlotte is 8-20 ATS last 28 at home after winning 4 of their last 5 and are 8-28 ATS last 36 after a game where they led by 15 or more at the half. The Monarchs have also owned this series. They have swept the two-game season series each of the last 2 years and 3 of the 4 wins have come by double-digits. No way should they be a dog here. Take Old Dominion! |
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01-11-20 | Texas A&M +6 v. Vanderbilt | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Texas A&M +6 -115 I like the value here with the Aggies as a road dog against the Commodores. Texas A&M got off to a really tough start to the season, as they opened up just 3-5. Things have got much better of late, as they are 4-1 SU and have started out 2-0 ATS in SEC play. I like this matchup for Texas A&M, as Vanderbilt is a team that lives on 3-pointers and free throws. That's going to be a big problem for the Commodores, as the Aggies are holding opponents to just 28.9% shooting from deep and give up only 13 free throw attempts per/game (16th best defensive free throw rate). Just to give ya a comparison, Vanderbilt's opponents are averaging 21 free throw attempts. Texas A&M averages 20 attempts, so the Aggies should be able to keep this close and even win outright simply from the edge at the charity line. Commodores are also 1-8 ATS last 9 conference home games and 4-13 ATS last 17 off a cover. Take Texas A&M! |
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01-10-20 | Hornets v. Jazz UNDER 213 | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Jazz under 213 -109 I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has Utah hosting Charlotte. I just think this is too big a number given how strong the Jazz are defensively and how poor the Hornets are on offense. Utah ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and in their last 5 games are giving up just 101 ppg on 43% shooting. Charlotte ranks 22nd in offensive efficiency, as they are scoring just 104.6 ppg on 44% shooting and that drops to 102 ppg on 43% shooting when on the road. Another thing here is pace. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with Charlotte the slowest team in the league. UNDER is also 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a home win and 36-18 in their last 54 at home off 2 straight games where they scored 110 or more points. UNDER has also cashed in 7 of their last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. and is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Utah. Take the UNDER ! |
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01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa +1.5 | Top | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Iowa +1½ -103 I love the value here with Iowa as a home dog against the Terps. I just feel we are getting an exceptional price on the Hawkeyes due to the fact that they come in off an upset loss at Nebraska. A poor game against the Cornhuskers was to be expected off a devastating loss to Penn State just a few days earlier. Iowa is also not the same team on the road as they are at home, where they are 6-1 this season. This definitely feels like a must win for the Hawkeyes as they are sitting at 1-3 in Big Ten play. Big thing to note is only one of their first 4 conference games have come at home and that was a 72-52 blowout win over a good Minnesota team. Maryland 10-0 at home, but just 3-2 on the road and just 1-2 in true road games. Terps have also failed to cover all 3 of their true road games. Maryland is also in a massive letdown spot off a huge home win over then No. 11 Ohio State, which they won 67-55. Terps are just 1-8 ATS last 9 road games off a home win by 10 or more. Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS last 5 off a loss and 5-0 ATS last 5 at home. Take Iowa! |
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01-09-20 | BYU +4 v. St. Mary's | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - West Coast GAME OF THE MONTH on BYU +4 -110 I love the value here with BYU as a small road dog against the Gaels. While the Cougars have had all kinds of problems in recent trips to St. Mary's, this is the best BYU team in years. The Cougars come in having won 6 straight with the most recent being a 25-point beatdown at home against Loyola-Marymount. While BYU was coasting in their last game, St Mary's found themselves in an exhausting 4 overtime game at Pacific, which they wound up losing 99-107. Four different players played 37 or more minutes, with both Ford and Kuhse hitting the 50-point mark. Ford, teams leading scorer, logging 58 out of possible 60 minutes of game time. I just don't think 4 days will be enough for them to come out with the kind of energy needed against a really good Cougars team. Take BYU! |
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01-09-20 | Arizona v. Oregon -3 | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Oregon -3 -110 I really like the value here with the Ducks laying a short number at home against the Wildcats in Thursday's huge Pac-12 showdown. Both teams come in ranked in the Top 25 and have just 3 losses on their resume. However, Oregon has played the much tougher schedule, has the more impressive wins and one of the top home court advantages in the country. Arizona started out the season 9-0, but only one of those wins was against a team ranked in the Top 75 and that was a home victory against Illinois way back in early November. Since that perfect 9-0 start the Wildcats are just 2-3. Books have also been giving Arizona way too much love, as they are just 2-6 ATS last 8. Oregon on the other hand is 11-4 ATS on the season and have won all 8 of their home games this season. Another factor is that Arizona has only played one true road game all season and that was back on Dec. 7th. I just think this is going to be too tough a spot for the Wildcats to keep it close. Take Oregon! |
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01-09-20 | Cavs +7 v. Pistons | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Cavs +7 -109 The Cavs are worth a look here as a big road dog against the Pistons. These two teams are in the second leg of a home-and-home split as they just played at Cleveland on Tuesday. Detroit won that game 115-113, but needed to outscore the Cavs 31-18 in the 4th quarter to do so. It's not easy beating a team twice in a row in such a short period of time, even against a bad team like the Cavs. Detroit also has no business laying this big of a number right now. Pistons are down 4 of their best players in Blake Griffin, Reggie Jackson, Luke Kennard and Markieff Morris. Prior to beating Cleveland, Detroit had gone just 2-9 in their previous 11 games and only covered the spread in 3 of those contests. Cavs are 20-7-1 ATS last 28 games vs a team like the Pistons that have won fewer than 40% of their games and Detroit is a mere 3-9-1 ATS last 13 off a win and 1-5 ATS last 6 games at home. Take Cleveland! |
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01-08-20 | UC-Santa Barbara -8 v. Cal Poly | 63-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on UC-Santa Barbara -8 -109 UC-Santa Barbara is worth a look here laying single-digits on the road against Cal Poly. These two teams aren't even close in terms of talent. The Gauchos are ranked 145th in KenPom, while the Mustangs are way back 331st. All 3 of Cal Poly's wins this season have come at home, but two of those are against non-Div 1 schools. They lost to Fresno State by a score of 62-37 (Bulldogs No. 133) and to CS-Bakersfield by a score of 72-50 (No. 236). On top of that, UC-Santa Barbara has won 11 of the last 12 meetings in the series (covering 9 of the 12) and their average margin of victory is 11 ppg. The Mustangs are also 20-9 ATS last 29 off a home win and 8-1 ATS last 9 on the road after winning 4 or more games in a row. Take UC-Santa Barbara! |
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01-08-20 | Long Beach State +6.5 v. CS-Northridge | 77-95 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on Long Beach State +6½ -109 I really like the value here with the 49ers as a decently priced road dog against the Matadors. These two teams come in with identical records at 5-11, but note that Long Beach State has a win over Providence, while CS-Northridge's best win is against Fresno State. This isn't just a game the 49ers can cover, but they can win here outright. Something they have done in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Long Beach State has also gone 4-0-1 ATS last 5 times they have faced a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. They are also 55-34 ATS last 89 on the road vs teams who are allowing opponents to shoot 45% or better and 24-10 in their last 34 vs teams who are getting outrebounded by 4+ boards a game. Take Long Beach State! |
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01-08-20 | Arkansas v. LSU -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on LSU -5 -109 LSU is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Razorbacks. Arkansas comes with an impressive 12-1 record, but a lot of that is a favorable schedule. Only two of those wins have come against a team ranked in the Top 100 of the KenPom rankings. They have repeatedly been overvalued because of their strong record, as they come in a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Also, they come in allowing just 59.8 ppg, but that number sky rockets to 69.7 ppg on the road and they will be facing a LSU team that ranks in the Top 10 in offensive efficiency, scoring 81 ppg on 50% shooting. Not to mention the Tigers are only giving up 62 ppg and 38% shooting at home and Arkansas is only hitting 40% from the field away from home. Razorbacks are 11-34 ATS last 45 road games vs a team that is shooting 48% or better from the field and 10-22 ATS in their last 32 overall vs a team that averages 77 or more points/game. Take LSU! |
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01-08-20 | Vanderbilt +16 v. Auburn | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Weeknight PLAY OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt +16 -109 I love the value here with the Commodores catching a huge number on the road against the Tigers. No question Auburn is the better team, but they are simply way overvalued right now due to their perfect 13-0 record. It's not always easy getting up for a conference game against a bottom feeder like Vandy and I think that will be the case here, as the Tigers are off a huge road win against Mississippi State in their SEC opener and have a big home game on deck against Georgia. Vandy doesn't get a ton of love with a mere 8-5 record, but note that all 5 of their losses have come against teams ranked in the Top 110 of the country and all 5 have come by 9 or fewer. That includes two overtime losses to Richmond and SMU. Tigers are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 as a home favorite with the only cover coming against Lipscomb, who is ranked 225th. Take Vanderbilt! |
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01-08-20 | George Washington +11.5 v. St. Louis | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on George Washington +11½ -109 I really like the value here with the Colonials as a double-digit dog against the Billikens. St Louis just hasn't been the same team since they lost sharpshooter Gibson Jimmerson. They are 4-1 without him, but two of those wins have come by a mere 3-points and the other was a 10-point win against Bethune-Cookman. Thing is they are still getting a ton of love from the books because they are 12-3 on the season. Also, George Washington has gone just 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last 4, but did only lost by 5 to St Bonaventure in their last game and did so shooting just 9 of 27 from deep. Even when they are at full strength St Louis is not a team to back as a big favorite. Over the last 2 seasons the Billikens are a mere 1-10 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more. They are also 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS last 6 at home. Colonials are 8-3 ATS last 11 as a road dog vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take George Washington! |
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01-08-20 | Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 209 | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NBA -Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Raptors/Hornets under 209 -110 The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Hornets hosting the Raptors. UNDER has cashed in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games and a big reason for that is they have had to really slow things down with all the injuries. They have been without Siakam, Powell and Gasol for a while now and just recently lost VanVleet. Last night they played at home against the Blazers and that game finished with a combined 200 points with a total of 221. Note that Portland had seen each of their previous 6 games see a combined score of 210 or more with 5 of those going for at least 225. With Toronto playing on no rest, expect them to slow things down even more and Charlotte will have no problem joining in, as they are dead last in the NBA in pace of play and rank in the bottom 10 in offensive efficiency. Take the UNDER! |
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01-08-20 | St Bonaventure +3 v. George Mason | 61-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on St Bonaventure +3 -110 Easy play here on the Bonnies getting points at George Mason. St Bonaventure got off to a shaky start this season, going just 1-4 in their first 5 games, but have gone 8-1 in their last 9 with the only loss coming on the road against a good Buffalo team by just 5. George Mason comes in with an impressive 11-3 record, but they are not as good as that mark would lead you to believe. The Patriots played a super easy non-conference schedule. Their only win against a team in the Top 150 was a 4-point victory against New Mexico State. The other two games against top teams resulted in a 23-point loss to Maryland and a 34-point loss to TCU. George Mason opened up conference play against VCU this past weekend and lost 72-59 at home to VCU in a game that wasn't as close as the final score. Simply put the wrong team is favored in this one. Take St. Bonaventure! |
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01-07-20 | Iowa v. Nebraska +8 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Nebraska +8 -110 I love the value here with the Cornhuskers as a near double-digit home dog against the Hawkeyes. This might seem like a fair price given how good Iowa has looked early on and the fact that Nebraska just got smoked by 17 at home as a 4.5-point dog to Rutgers, but this is all about the spot. These two schools don't really like each other and I'm confident we get a max effort here from the Cornhuskers at home. As for Iowa, they could be in for a bit of a letdown in this one. Hawkeyes let a late lead slip away in an emotional and heated 86-89 loss to Penn State on Saturday. Starting guard CJ Fredrick went down with an ankle injury in the 1st half and wasn't able to return and while listed as questionable probably doesn't play. That makes an already weak bench that much weaker and let's not forget they are playing on just 2 days rest and in their first true road game since going to ISU back on Dec. 12th. Hawks are just 6-18 ATS last 24 on the road and Nebraska has faired well at home against high-scoring teams like Iowa, going 19-9 ATS in their last 28 at home vs a team that averages 77 or more points/game. Take Nebraska! |
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01-07-20 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -3 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies -3 -109 These two teams come in with similar records, as Memphis is 15-22 and the Wolves are 14-21. However, it's not a surprise for the Grizzlies to be struggling and that's why I think there's value with Memphis in this game. Grizzlies come in having won 3 of 4 and have been covering at a very high rate over the last month. Since Dec. 9th Memphis has gone 10-4-1 ATS with an average cover margin of +6.5 ppg. As for Minnesota, they have won 4 of 6 since losing 11 straight, but those wins have come against the Kings, Nets, Warriors and Cavs. Wolves are also just 3-7-1 ATS last 11 vs a team with a losing record. Grizz are 7-3 ATS last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS last 5 at home. Take Memphis! |
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01-07-20 | Tennessee +6 v. Missouri | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Tennessee +6 -110 The Volunteers are worth a look here as a dog against the Tigers. It's been rough sledding for Tennessee since losing starting point guard Lamonte Turner. Vols have lost 4 of 5, but it has come against some stiff competition (Memphis, Cincinnati, Wisconsin and LSU). I just think it led to an inflated line on Missouri, who just can't be trusted to lay this kind of number with how they struggle to score and their methodical pace. Tigers are 120th in offensive AdjO and 290th in tempo. Not to mention this is a bit of a flat spot for Missouri after laying it all on the line in their last game against Kentucky, who everyone gives their best shot. Vols have gone an impressive 10-3 ATS last 13 road games after playing 3 or more games in a row at home. Take Tennessee! |
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01-07-20 | Providence +8 v. Marquette | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence +8 -109 I like the value here with the Friars as a near double-digit dog against the Golden Eagles. Even though Providence comes in off 3 straight impressive wins over Texas, Georgetown and at DePaul, I still think they are a bit undervalued due to their poor 6-6 start to the season. We are also seeing Marquette a bit overvalued here at home after they just had their way with No. 10 Villanova 71-60, improving them to 8-0 at home. No question the Golden Eagles should be favored, but this is too many points in a game they could easily suffer a letdown after that big win over the Wildcats. Marquette is just 2-5 ATS last 7 home games vs a team with a losing road record, while the Friars are a31-16 ATS last 47 off an upset win as a dog. Take Providence! |
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01-07-20 | Florida v. South Carolina +5.5 | 81-68 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on South Carolina +5½ -109 The Gamecocks are definitely worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Gators. South Carolina comes in off a shocking 56-63 loss at home to Stetson as a 22.5-point favorite. Gamecocks have had a problem not showing up against lessor teams this year, but there's no concerns of them not coming to play in this one. One thing to note about that loss to Stetson is it came way back on Dec. 30th, not an ideal time for teams playing during the holidays and that was their only game since Dec. 22nd. No doubt head coach Frank Martin has had their full attention in practice over the last week. We know the talent is there. This team went on the road and beat Virginia as a 10-point dog and also has a 13-point win at Clemson as a 6-point dog. Gators have been overvalued all season, as they are just 4-9 ATS and have lost both of their true road games at UConn and Butler. Take South Carolina! |
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01-06-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans +3.5 | Top | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
5* NBA - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pelicans +3½ -115 I love the value here with New Orleans getting points at home against the Jazz. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pelicans, who are as healthy as they have been all season and playing their best stretch of basketball this year. New Orleans is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The only loss coming by 10-points at the Lakers. I get Utah is also playing some of their best basketball. Jazz have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11, but this is not a good spot. Utah is playing their 3rd and final game of a 3-game road trip and have already secured a winning trip with wins at Chicago and Orlando. The other thing to note with the Jazz and their recent run is the majority of these wins have come against bad teams. In fact, only one of the 10 wins in their 10-1 run have come against a team that has a winning record. Take New Orleans! |
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01-06-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 146 | 81-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on UL - Lafayette/Appalachian State under 146 -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's Sun Belt matchup between UL-Lafayette and Appalachian State. I think we are getting value with the total due to the fact that the Ragin' Cajuns come in averaging 73 ppg while giving up 74.6 ppg. Thing is Lafayette was playing much faster in non-conference than they are early on in Sun Belt play. Ragin' Cajuns are averaging just 67.2 ppg and allowing 67.5 ppg in their 4 conference games. You combine that with the fact that the Mountaineers are giving up just 63.8 ppg overall and 61.6 ppg at home and you can see why the books have completely missed the mark in this one. UNDER is 22-7 in Lafayette's last 29 games vs a team that is giving up 64 or fewer points/game 15+ games into the season. UNDER is also 9-3 in Appalachian State's last 12 games overall, 9-1 in their last 10 at home and 9-1 in their last 10 as a favorite. Take the UNDER! |
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01-05-20 | Carla Suarez Navarro +136 v. Daria Kasatkina | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - ASB Classic 1st Round CASH COW on Carla Suarez Navarro +136 I'm taking Carla Suarez Navarro to upset Daria Kasatkina in first round action out of the ASB Classic. Navarro is the 54th ranked player and the much more experienced player at 31 years of age. Kasatkina is just 22 and ranked 70th. Take Carla Suarez Navarro! |
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01-05-20 | Wolves -2 v. Cavs | 118-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Wolves -2 -109 I like the value here with Minnesota as a small road favorite against the Cavs. Minnesota has some key guys hurt right now, but Cleveland is a complete mess and are an easy fade at any line close to a pick'em. Timberwolves have also done a nice job with the recent injuries, as they have won 3 of 5 and are 4-1 ATS during this stretch. Cavs are 8-19 ATS last 27 home games off a home loss and 4-13 ATS last 17 after losing 4/5 of their last 6. We also see that home dogs who are getting outscored by 9+ points/game are a mere 48-82 (37%) ATS since 1996 when coming off a game where both teams scored 105 or more points. Take Minnesota! |
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01-05-20 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH on Northwestern +9½ -108 Love the value here with the Wildcats as a near double-digit dog against the Gophers. I just think we are getting a great price on Northwestern because of the fact that they come in having lost 3 straight. However, they just as easily could have won all 3, as all 3 losses came by 5 or less points. Minnesota is a good team, but should not be laying this big a number inside Big Ten play. Gophers have already lost twice at home to Oklahoma and DePaul, two teams I think are pretty similar in terms of talent to the Wildcats. Minnesota also has a history of playing down to their competition, as they are just 8-21 ATS last 29 vs a team with a losing record. Road team has also covered 7 of the last 9 meetings in the series. Take Northwestern! |
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01-05-20 | Panthers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Panthers/Penguins under 6½ -120 Easy play here on the UNDER 6.5 in Sunday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and the Panthers. Both teams failed to get their offense going in their last game, as Florida scored just 2 at Buffalo and Pittsburgh managed just 3 at Montreal. Penguins have also held each of their last 3 opponents to 3 or fewer. UNDER is 29-19 in the Penguins last 48 home games in the second half of the season, 40-29 in their last 69 at home when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and a dominant 20-9 in their last 29 at home off a road game. Take the UNDER! |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 46 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 125 h 29 m | Show |
5* NFL - Seahawks/Eagles Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on Seahawks/Eagles under 46 -110 I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC Wild Card matchup between the Eagles and Seahawks. These two teams met up in Week 12 of the regular-season and the two combined for just 26 points in a 17-9 Seattle win at Philadelphia. It's hard to expect nearly double the offense in the rematch, especially with the problems both of these teams are facing offensively. Seattle's offensive line has been decimated with injuries and things got so bad at running back they had to bring back Marshawn Lynch. Eagles defense has played really well down the stretch and should continue that trend at home in this one. At the same time, Philadelphia's offense has been decimated with injuries and while Seattle's defense has struggled some down the stretch, they should be able to keep Wentz and the Eagles in check. UNDER is 15-5 in the Seahawks last 20 road games after a loss by 6 or less and 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs a NFC East team. UNDER is also 24-9 in Eagles last 33 home games and 7-0 in their last 7 at home off a division win. Take the UNDER! |
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01-05-20 | Manhattan +1 v. Niagara | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Manhattan +1 -109 Easy play here on the Jaspers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Purple Eagles. Manhattan comes in at just 5-5, but opened up MAAC play with a 76-67 win at Canisius as a 5-point dog. They should have no problem cashing another win and cover on the road against a bad Niagara team that has won just 3-games all season. Manhattan is 9-3 ATS last 12 off a win and are 12-5 ATS last 17 as a dog. Jaspers should have their way inside against a small Purple Eagles team with their big duo of Warren Williams and Pauley Paulicap. Not only should they get a lot of easy looks, but they also should get a ton of second chances with offensive rebounds. Niagara did win and cover last time out against Fairfield, but are just 4-10 ATS last 14 off a cover and 2-5 ATS last 7 as a favorite. Take Manhattan! |
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01-04-20 | Idaho State +8.5 v. CS Sacramento | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - CS-Sacramento/Idaho St ATS WINNER on Idaho State +8½ -110 The Bengals are worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Hornets. This is just too good a price to pass up with Idaho State, who just knocked off Eastern Washington 75-69 as a 7.5-point home dog. Sacramento State on the other hand is coming off back-to-back losses and are in the midst of a major offensive slump. The Hornets have shot 36% or worse from the field in each of their last 4 games and when you can't score it's hard to cover a big number like this. Bengals are have covered 5 straight games on the road and are 6-0-1 ATS last 7 as an underdog. Take Idaho State +8.5! |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Titans/Patriots Wild Card NO-BRAINER on Titans +5 -105 I like the value here with Tennessee in this one. I just think the perception a lot of people have is that now that it's the playoffs the Patriots are going to flip a switch and become this unbeatable team at home. I'm just not buying it. There's clearly something wrong with New England. For them to lose at home to the Dolphins in Week 17 with what was at stake, that says it all. Tom Brady and that offense are not anything close to what they use to be and as good as the defense is, they can only do so much. I think the Titans can pound Derrick Henry here as the New England defense is more built to stop the pass than it is the run and really make life miserable for Brady on the other side of the ball. Even if it's not enough to win the game, I don't see the Pats winning here by more than a field goal. Take Tennessee! |
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01-04-20 | Oral Roberts +1.5 v. Nebraska-Omaha | 67-74 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Oral Roberts/Neb-Omaha ATS WINNER on Oral Roberts +1½ -109 Oral Roberts is definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against Nebraska-Omaha. This is a great buy low spot on the Golden Eagles after losing their last two on the road against BYU and South Dakota State. At the same time, it's a good spot to sell on the Mavericks, who are off back to back wins. While Nebraska-Omaha was able to win their last two, the defense continues to be a huge problem. The Mavs have now allowed 78 or more points in 5 straight games. That's a bit of problem here against a Oral Roberts squad that can light you up. Golden Eagles are averaging 78.4 ppg and have done so despite shooting just 42% from the field for the season. Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games and 17-6 ATS last 23 off 2 or more consecutive losses. Nebraska-Omaha on the other hand is a mere 10-22 ATS last 32 after covering 3 of their last 4. Take Oral Roberts! |
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01-04-20 | Pacers -6 v. Hawks | 111-116 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Big Money ATS DESTROYER on Pacers -6 -109 I got no problem laying this kind of number with Indiana at Atlanta on Saturday. Pacers are going to be motivated to get a win after losing their last game at home to the Nuggets and the Hawks are the perfect team for them to get right against. Just when it looked like Atlanta was going to be at full strength for the first time in a long time, John Collins tweaked his back and is out of the lineup. Even if Collins had been able to play, this was going to be a tough spot for the Hawks playing on no rest after laying it all on the line in a hard fought 106-109 loss at Boston last night. Hawks are just 4-13 ATS last 17 games when listed as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 2-10 ATS last 12 off a cover and 1-6 ATS last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest. Take Indiana! |
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01-04-20 | Jazz -3.5 v. Magic | 109-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Jazz -3½ -109 Easy play here on Utah as a small road favorite against the Magic. Orlando is missing a number of key guys to injury and are in an absolute awful scheduling spot. Magic were clearly motivated in their game last night at home against Heat, but given their lack of depth it will be hard to bounce back with another strong effort on no rest. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights. Utah on the other hand is in the midst of their best stretch of the season. Jazz have won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They have covered each of their last 5 and have won 4 of the last 5 meetings with the Magic, including a 7-point home win earlier this season. That earlier result is worth noting, as Orlando is a miserable 0-10 ATS when revenging a road loss this season. Take Utah! |
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01-04-20 | Islanders v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Islanders/Maple Leafs under 6½ -115 I really like the value with the UNDER 6.5 in Saturday's NHL clash between the Islanders and Maple Leafs. I get Toronto comes in having scored 4 or more in 9 straight games, but all good things must come to an end and this New York defense is up to the task. Islanders have allowed just 6 goals in their last 3 games combined and are giving up a mere 2.5 goals/game on the road. They are only scoring 2.4 goals/game in their last 5, so you can see how there's value with the UNDER at 6.5 for the total. UNDER is 15-5 in Toronto's last 20 home games after playing each of their last two against non-conference opponents. It's also 34-17 in NY's last 51 road games in the 2nd half of the season and 9-1 in their last 10 when playing their 4th game in 7 days. Take the UNDER! |
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01-04-20 | UABÂ v. Old Dominion -3 | Top | 52-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - C-USA PLAY OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion -3 -109 I love the value here with the Monarchs as a small home favorite against the Blazers. Don't be fooled by Old Dominion's 5-9 record, as they have played a really tough non-conference schedule. It also has them undervalued and we have seen that of late with them going 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Most recently they won and covered in a 70-60 win at home over Middle Tennessee. UAB has lost 3 straight true road games. Most recently falling 44-51 at Charlotte in their last game. To only score 44 points against the 49ers tells you a lot about the struggles of this Blazers offense and this another tough matchup for them. Not only does ODU make it tough on teams to score inside they dominate the glass. Simply playing good defense won't be enough for UAB in this one. Monarchs are 6-0 ATS last 6 times they have played a team like the Blazers that are giving up 64 or fewer points/game. Blazers are also 1-6-1 ATS last 8 times they have matched up with a team with a losing record. Take Old Dominion! |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets -1 | 121-102 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Nets -1 -105 This is a great spot to fade the Raptors and take Brooklyn here at basically a pick'em on their home floor. Toronto is still down 3 starters in Siakam, Powell and Gasol and while they played well without these guys for a while, they are struggle at the moment. Raptors have lost 4 of their last 6 and will be playing on just 1 day of rest after a grueling defensive game against Miami last time out. In total it's Toronto's 6th game in a 9 day stretch. So while the Nets have lost 4 in a row, they should be the fresher and more motivated team in this one. Raptors are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after a contest where they allowed 90 or fewer points. Nets are 28-15 ATS last 43 when they come in having lost 4 of t 5 and 23-10 ATS last 33 when revenging a road loss. Take Brooklyn! |
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01-04-20 | Middle Tennessee +8 v. Charlotte | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK on Middle Tennessee +8 -109 I really like the value here with the Blue Raiders as a near double-digit dog at Charlotte. It's been a real tough go for Middle Tennessee to start the year as they are just 4-10 SU and 1-9 ATS with a 0-7 ATS mark on the road. I believe the books have finally adjusted the number on the Blue Raiders, as this is a really good price to back them against the 49ers. Charlotte just isn't a good enough team to be laying this kind of number, especially with how they are shooting the ball right now. After hitting just 33% from the field in a loss at ECU, they shot just 37% at home in a 51-44 win against UAB. 49ers are just 7-19 ATS last 26 off a win and a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 after holding a team to 50 or fewer points. Charlotte is also just 8-19 ATS last 27 at home after winning 4 of their last 5. Take Middle Tennessee! |
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01-04-20 | East Tennessee State +3.5 v. Furman | 56-65 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on East Tennessee State +3½ -109 East Tennessee State is worth a look here in a massive revenge spot against the Paladins. Last year Furman laid it on the Bucs 91-61. Thing ETSU has everyone back and have made it clear they want to make amends for what happened last season. Hard to bet against the Buccaneers with how well they are playing. East Tennessee State has won 4 straight and 10 of 11 overall. They are 13-2 on the season and one of those losses is a road game at Kansas (by just 12 points). ETSU will be hitting the road after playing their last 3 at home and that's worth noting as they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games following 3 or more consecutive home games and a perfect 9-0 ATS last 9 times after playing 3 straight at home as a favorite. Furman is just 2-5 ATS last 7 overall and 1-4 ATS last 5 as a home favorite. Take East Tennessee State! |
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01-04-20 | Texas State -4 v. Arkansas State | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Texas St/Arkansas St ATS WINNER on Texas State -4 -108 If you just look at the records this line won't make a lot of sense. Texas State is 7-7 overall and 1-6 on the road, yet are laying a decent number here at Arkansas State, who is 10-4 overall and 7-2 at home. Trust the books in this one. Bobcats are the better team. They got the better offense and the better defense. Note that Texas State has played the likes of Air Force, Baylor, Houston on the road and all 3 of those losses were by single digits. In fact, this team has only one loss all season by more than 10 points and that's a mere 12-point loss at Georgia State. Arkansas State hasn't been nearly as competitive against good teams and just lost at home by 19 to Texas Arlington. Bobcats are 22-9 ATS last 31 road games after failing to cover their last 2 games and the favorite is a dominant 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Take Texas State! |
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01-04-20 | North Texas v. Marshall -3.5 | 67-64 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Marshall -3½ -109 The Thundering Herd are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Mean Green. Marshall comes into this game having won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss coming on the road against a UNI team. They are perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, which has coincided with the addition of Andrew Taylor to the lineup. Since he's been added the Herd have scored a minimum of 80 points. That offense is simply going to be too much for North Texas, who despite a recent surge of scoring in their last few games are averaging just 60.6 ppg away from home, where they are 1-6 on the season. Books simply haven't caught up to this new look Marshall team, plus we are seeing the Mean Green still a bit overvalued from their recent string of 6 straight covers. A streak that came to an end in their last game when they gave up 93 points on the road to WKU. Take Marshall! |
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01-04-20 | Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina +1.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Georgia St/Coastal Carolina ATS WINNER on Coastal Carolina +1½ -109 The Chanticleers are worth a look here as a small home dog against the Panthers in Saturday's Sun Belt play. Georgia State comes in having won 9 of 10 and are fresh off a 69-60 win as a 2-point dog at Appalachian State. Thing is the Panthers will only have one day off between that game against the Mountaineers and this one. I just think it's asking a bit too much of the Panthers against a good Coastal Carolina team that has been playing well with 5 wins in their last 7 games. Georgia State is also just 2-6 ATS last 8 as a road favorite, while the Chanticleers are 5-2 ATS last 7 as a dog. Take Coastal Carolina! |
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01-04-20 | NC State v. Clemson +2 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Clemson +2 -109 The Tigers are definitely worth a look here as a small home dog against the Wolfpack. The books are absolutely begging you to take NC State in this one. Wolfpack come in at 10-3 and are facing a Clemson team that is just 6-7 overall and a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. What people will overlook is the Tigers are poised to get things going. They just recently got back one of their better players in Clyde Trapp, who returned 3 games ago (recovering from offseason ACL surgery) and was just inserted into the starting lineup in their last game against Miami. NC State simply doesn't play good enough defense to be trusted away from home. Wolfpack are allowing 80.2 ppg on 48% shooting in their 4 road games this season. That's a big problem against a Clemson defense that only gives up 58.8 ppg and 38% shooting at home. Tigers are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-2 ATS last 7 as a dog. Home team is also a strong 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Take Clemson! |
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01-04-20 | Tulane -6.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 581 h 10 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Tulane/S Miss ARMED FORCES BOWL Top Play on Tulane -6½ -110 Easy play here on Tulane in Saturday's early bowl action against Southern Miss in the Armed Forces bow. While the Green Wave ended up finishing the season with a mere 6-6 record, it was more a result of the brutal schedule they had to navigate. Tulane's 6 losses were against Auburn, Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU. Four of which won 10 or more games. No disrespect to Southern Miss, but I just think they are outclassed here. Despite the tough schedule, Tulane still managed to finish 24th in the country in total offense at 456.8 ypg. They were also a respectable 55th in total defense. Golden Eagles are a very pass-happy team, which is evident by the fact that they finished 118th in rushing. Tulane on the other hand is a ball control team that ranked 11th in rushing at 251.4 ypg. I think the Green Wave are going to play keep away, which is going to wear down the Southern Miss defense and keep the Eagles offense out of sync. Take Tulane! |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans +11 v. Lakers | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on Pelicans +11 -110 I really like the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Lakers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pelicans right now. New Orleans comes in playing their best basketball of the season, as they have won and covered 4 straight, including outright wins as road dogs against both the Blazers and Nuggets. Lakers are clearly the more talented team, but I think they are so good that they have a hard time getting up for a team like the Pelicans. Same can't be said for New Orleans. With all the former Lakers' on the Pelicans roster, this is one they are going to give everything they got. Pelicans are 31-17 ATS last 48 after 2 or more consecutive wins, while LA is a mere 2-7 ATS last 9 overall, 2-6 ATS last 8 as a favorite and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a game where they failed to cover. Take New Orleans! |
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01-03-20 | Temple -3 v. Tulsa | Top | 44-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Temple -3 -110 I love the value here with the Owls as a small road favorite against the Golden Hurricane. Temple will be riding a wave of momentum after closing out their 56-49 win on the road against UCF on a 12-2 run. Their defense held the Knights scoreless for the last 3.5 minutes. That win really speaks volumes to what this Owls team is capable of. Temple nearly won by double-digits despite shooting a mere 37.7% from the field and turning it over 17 times. I look for them to not only shoot the ball better, but take better care of it against a struggling Tulsa team that has lost 3 straight. Golden Hurricane are just 4-13 ATS last 17 home games after 3 or more consecutive losses. Owls on the other hand are 7-2 ATS last 9 overall and 11-4-1 ATS last 16 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Note that while Tulsa is 7-2 at home, they are just 4-5 ATS in those games. Take Temple! |
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01-03-20 | Blazers -5.5 v. Wizards | 122-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Blazers -5½ -109 The Blazers are definitely worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the deplete Wizards. Public will have a tough time backing Portland after many were on them in their last game, which they lost by 24 on the road to the Knicks as a 4-point favorite. That only makes me like them that much more given they are laying an even bigger number in an almost the same spot against the same caliber a team. I just think the Blazers ran out of gas after making the lengthy trip across the country over the New Years holiday. I expect a much more focused and energized Portland team in this one. As for the Wizards, they are decimated with injuries and there's a decent chance they won't have their best player in Bradley Beal. Either way I don't think they have any shot of keeping this close. Take Portland! |
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01-03-20 | Delaware -3 v. Drexel | 55-61 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Delaware -3 +100 The Blue Hens are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Dragons. Delaware should be extremely motivated to get a win here after letting one slip away in their most recent game against Charleston. The Blue Hens let a 6-point halftime lead turn into a 12-point loss. I think that setback is definitely giving us some value here, as they are definitely the more talented of the two teams here. Drexel has also been overvalued by the books, especially at home. Dragons are 5-9 ATS overall and just 2-5 ATS at home. They have failed to cover 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Blue Hens have also been sensational in this spot, going 6-0 ATS last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Dragons are also a mere 2-5 ATS last 7 as a dog and 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take Delaware! |
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01-03-20 | Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Ohio/Nevada IDAHO POTATO BOWL on Ohio -7½ -107 Easy play here on the Bobcats as a big favorite against the Wolf Pack in Friday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Ohio finished the season with a mere 6-6 record, which might have some wondering why they are laying such a big number with how bad the MAC was. Thing is, the Bobcats were really close to a double-digit win season. They had 5 losses decided by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 3 or less. In terms of talent, this may have been the best team in the MAC this year. Either way, they should have no problem winning by double-digits against a Nevada team that is very fortunate to be in a bowl. Wolf Pack went 7-5, but that was largely due to their schedule. Nevada had just one win against a FBS team that finished with a winning record. This is a team that lost by 71 points to Oregon and 51 to Hawaii. They really got no business even playing in a bowl game. Take Ohio! |
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01-02-20 | Blackhawks v. Canucks -140 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canucks -140 Easy play here on Vancouver as a home favorite against the Blackhawks. Canucks come into this one having won 5 straight and are getting it done on both sides of the ice. During their 5-game winning streak Vancouver is outscoring opponents by 2 goals/game (4.2 to 2.2). Chicago has been playing well of late, but own a losing record on the road and are in a dough spot here playing their 3rd straight on the road and doing so on just 1 day of rest. Note that while the Blackhawks have to be fatigued, Canucks are on 3 days of rest and own a 11-4 ATS mark in their last 15 when playing on their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Vancouver! |
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01-02-20 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota State -1.5 | 79-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on South Dakota State -1½ -110 This is too good a price to pass up with the Jackrabbits at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. All you have to do is look at the home/away splits to see the value in this one. South Dakota State is a perfect 8-0 at home compared to 2-7 on the road. Oral Roberts is 1-6 on the road compared to 6-0 at home. The Golden Eagles are simply getting too much love here because they come in having covered 3 straight and each of their last 5 lined games overall. Thing is they are just 8-21 ATS last 29 on the road when they come in having covered 4/5 of their last 6. Jackrabbits have been undervalued a lot lately, as they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. They are also 31-14 ATS last 45 off a conference loss and 4-0 ATS last 4 as a home favorite. Take South Dakota State! |
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01-02-20 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 218.5 | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Thunder/Spurs under 218½ -109 Easy play on the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Thunder. Oklahoma City likes to play at a slow pace and that combined with a mediocre offense and solid defense is a great recipe for low-scoring games. UNDER has cashed in each of their last 5 games. Spurs inability to lock down defensively was a big reason for their early season struggles, but they have been much better on that side of the ball. San Antonio has held 9 of their last 14 opponents to 44% or worse from the field and will be facing a Thunder offense that has shot no better than 45% in their last 4 games. UNDER is 10-5 in OKC's 15 road games this season, 27-12 in their last 39 as a dog and 11-2 in their last 13 with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! |
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01-02-20 | Jazz v. Bulls +4 | 102-98 | Push | 0 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Bulls +4 -109 I really like the value here with Chicago as a home dog against the Jazz. The Bulls have been an absolute money-maker over the last month. Chicago is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games and have covered 7 of their last 9 as an underdog. Bulls do come into this game off an ugly 123-102 home loss to the Bucks, but that's actually a big positive here, as they are a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 times they have been coming off a loss. Jazz have won 8 of 9, but it's come against a very favorable run in their schedule. Utah is still a mere 8-9 on the road this season. Jazz won 104-81 at home against Detroit in their most recent game, but that's also a positive for us, as Utah is a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Take Chicago! |
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01-02-20 | Troy State +4 v. Louisiana-Monroe | Top | 63-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Sun Belt PLAY OF THE MONTH on Troy State +4 -110 Absolutely love the value here with the Trojans as a road dog against ULM. While both teams come in with similarly poor records, Troy is 4-2 over their last 6 and working on a 5-1 ATS run. Warhawks have lost 5 straight and their 4 wins this season have come against the likes of Louisiana College, Alcorn State, Northwestern St and Millsaps College. Two of those games didn't have a line and the other two they were double-digit favorites. No way should ULM be favored here. Warhawks are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 home games and 0-5 ATS last 5 as a favorite. Trojans are also 7-3 ATS last 10 games when listed as a dog. Take Troy! |
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01-02-20 | Nuggets v. Pacers -1 | 124-116 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pacers -1 -109 This is just too good a price to pass up with Indiana at home. The Pacers have been outstanding on their home floor this season with a 15-3 SU mark. They are outscoring opponents at home by 7.3 ppg and just won in a very similar spot in their last game, beating the 76ers 115-97 as a mere 3.5-point home favorite. Denver is just getting too much love here, especially with how they have been playing. While the Nuggets are 9-2 in their last 10, they are just 2-2 in their last 4 and off a ugly 130-104 loss at Houston. They are also a mere 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Denver is also 1-6-2 ATS last 9 road games vs a team with a winning record and have not covered any of their last 5 games when coming off a loss by 10 or more. Pacers are 5-1 ATS last 6 as a favorite and 5-1 ATS last 6 at home. Take Indiana! |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee -2.5 v. Indiana | 23-22 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Tennessee/Indiana GATOR BOWL on Tennessee -2½ -114 I think we are getting a great price here with the Vols laying less than a field goal against the Hoosiers in the Gator Bowl. Tennessee might be one of the worst in the SEC, but I still think there's no doubt they are the more talented team. I also love how the Vols finished the season with 5 straight wins and were 6-1 ATS over their last 7. Indian went 8-4, but really struggled against the better teams in the Big Ten. In fact, the Hoosiers didn't have a single win all season over a FBS team that finished with a winning record. Playing on a neutral field hasn't been kind to Indiana, as they are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 times on a neutral site. Vols are 6-1 ATS last 7 on a neutral site as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games when laying points. They have also covered 4 straight against the Big Ten. Take Tennessee! |
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01-02-20 | Georgia State v. Appalachian State -2 | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Appalachian State -2 -110 Really like the value here with the Mountaineers at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Panthers. For starters, this is a great buy low spot on Appalachian State coming off a 12-point loss to NC State. The Mountaineers have thrived in this spot, going 12-2 ATS last 14 times after a loss by 10 or more points. App State had also been playing well prior to the setback, as they had won their previous 4 games. Mountaineers are 22-10 ATS last 32 at home when they come in having won 4 of 5. Georgia State is off to a strong 9-4 start and are 8-1 in their last 9 games, but are in a tough scheduling spot playing on just 2 days of rest. Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS last 4 as a favorite and 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team with a winning record. Take Appalachian State! |
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01-02-20 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -1.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS LINE MISTAKE on Coastal Carolina -1½ -110 The books have completely missed the mark in this one. These two teams come in with identical records, but are simply not giving the Chanticleers the kind of respect they deserve at home, especially with how much worse the Eagles have been on the road. Georgia Southern is a perfect 6-0 at home, but are just 2-5 on the road. Coastal Carolina is also playing well with 5 wins over their last 6 games and a 3-1 ATS mark in their last 4. Chanticleers should have their way on the offensive end in this one. They are averaging 82 ppg and shooting 47.3% from the field. They will facing an Eagles defense that has an effective field goal percentage of 53.4% (295th) on the defensive end. Chanticleers are a dominant 20-9-1 ATS last 30 games off a SU win, while the Eagles are 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road dog and 0-4 ATS last 4 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Coastal Carolina! |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico -10 v. San Jose State | Top | 85-88 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play on New Mexico -10 -110 I love the Lobos winning by double-digits and covering the spread on the road against the Spartans. This is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. New Mexico is 13-2 and come into this one having won 8 straight. San Jose State is a mere 4-10 and are 1-8 in their last 9 games. Spartans really don't do anything well. They are shooting a worthless 39.3% from the field on offense and are allowing opponents to shoot 45% from the field. New Mexico is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 against teams that are shooting 42% or worse and allowing 45% or better. San Jose State did cover in a home win over Pepperdine in their last game, but that's a positive here, as the Spartans are 0-6 ATS last 6 home games off a cover and 1-10 ATS last 11 overall off a cover in general. Take New Mexico! |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 518 h 27 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Baylor/Georgia SUGAR BOWL on Georgia -7 -110 I know Georgia has a lot of players down on both sides of the football, but I just don't think it's going to be enough to keep them from winning this game. Baylor gets a lot of love for how tough they played Oklahoma, but after watching how overmatched the Sooners were in their semifinal matchup with LSU, there's clearly a massive gap from the top of the SEC to the top of the Big 12. I get Georgia wasn't as elite as they have been in previous years, but this is still a really talented football team. They are absolutely loaded with talent, so while some key guys will be out I don't think they will be missed in this one. I get this isn't a great spot for Georgia after losing the SEC title game to miss out on the playoffs, but it's the same thing with Baylor. I actually think the Bulldogs will be fine, as they can look back at last year and how poorly they played in their bowl game after losing the SEC title game to Alabama. Simply put, Baylor just isn't good enough to keep this close. Take Georgia! |
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01-01-20 | Blazers v. Knicks +4 | 93-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on Knicks +4 -105 I really like the value here with the Knicks as a home dog against the Blazers. New York has really improved over the last 3+ weeks. They are 5-4 in their last 9 games after starting the season 4-20. They have covered 6 of their last 9 games and I like them to win this one outright. Portland has lost 4 straight and it just keeps getting worse for the Blazers. After really dominating the Suns for 3 quarters in their last game they got outscored 39-27 in the 4th to lose 116-122. I just don't trust the Blazers on a mere 1-day of rest after having to travel clear across the country (nearly 3,000 miles) for this game, especially with it being over New Years. Blazers are a mere 1-10 ATS last 11 games after a contest with a combined score of 235 or more and the Knicks are 12-2 ATS last 14 at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Take New York! |
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01-01-20 | Connecticut +3 v. Cincinnati | 51-67 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Connecticut +3 -109 The Huskies are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Bearcats. Cincinnati is just getting a little too much love here at home. Bearcats have lost 3 of their last 4, including an ugly home loss to Colgate as a 12.5-point favorite. Not to mention Cincinnati has been one of the worst bets in the country early on, as the Bearcats are 3-9 ATS. It's the exact opposite for Connecticut. Huskies come in having won 3 straight and 8 of their last 10. They are also a dominant 9-3 ATS on the season, including a 3-1 ATS mark away from home. Turnovers should be a key part in the Huskies cover here. UConn ranks 28th in defensive turnover rate, while the Bearcats are 238th in offensive turnover rate (average 15 turnovers/game). There's also a great system here favoring the Huskies. Road teams off 3 or more consecutive home wins with a line of +3 to -3 are a dominant 97-52 (65%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take UConn! |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon UNDER 52 | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 466 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Wisconsin/Oregon ROSE BOWL on Wisconsin/Oregon under 52 -110 I'm expecting a defensive showdown in the Rose Bowl between Oregon and Wisconsin. While both teams ranked in the Top 40 in total offense and Top 25 in scoring, they will both be facing two of the nations best defenses. Wisconsin was 8th in total defense (295.2 ypg) and 10th in scoring (16.1 ppg). While Oregon ranked a little further back at 24th in total defense (331.1 ypg) they were 9th in scoring defense (15.7 ypg). The other big thing here is that Oregon's defense is built to stop a team like the Badgers that is built around their running game. Ducks were 59th against the pass, but ranked 12th against the run, giving up just 107 ypg and 3.2 yards/carry. Wisconsin's defense was great against both the run (8th) and the pass (16th). They only gave up 3.4 yards/carry and opposing QB's completed a mere 50.8% of their pass attempts against them. It's just going to be really tough for both teams to get a lot going offensively and when they do move the ball I could see both having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the UNDER! |
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01-01-20 | South Dakota -1 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | 59-70 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on South Dakota -1 -111 The Coyotes are worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against IUPU-Ft Wayne. I just feel we are getting value with South Dakota due to the fact that they come in off 3 straight losses as a favorite. The recent struggles for the Coyotes can be pinpointed to the absence of starting point guard Triston Simpson. He had missed 7 games before returning for their last contest. He just had a bad first game back going 3 of 14 from the field. He should be much better in game two. South Dakota is 13-4 ATS last 17 after playing 3 straight games as a favorite. Mastodons are just 2-5-1 ATS last 8 off a loss and 2-5-2 ATS last 9 as an underdog. Simply put the Coyotes should be laying a much bigger number here. Take South Dakota! |
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01-01-20 | Predators +110 v. Stars | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Predators +110 I like the value here with Nashville in the only NHL matchup on the board, as the Predators get ready to take on the Stars from Cotton Bowl Stadium. Predators defense has slipped some in their last couple of games, both against the Penguins. They allowed 5 at home and then 6 at Pittsburgh. That's actually a positive here, as Nashville is 35-12 in their last 47 after giving up 3 or more goals in 2 straight games. Predators are also a strong 21-8 in their last 29 against a team with a winning record in the 1st half of the season. Take Nashville! |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn UNDER 52.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 511 h 43 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Minn/Auburn OUTBACK BOWL Top Play on Minnesota/Auburn under 52½ -110 I really like the UNDER in the Outback bowl, which has No. 12 Auburn facing off with No. 18 Minnesota. While both offenses were decent, the strength of the both of these teams was their defense. Both units ranked in the Top 20 in total defense. Auburn was 19th, giving up just 323.9 ypg and Minnesota was 14th, allowing just 312.8 ypg. The other thing here is that both of these teams really like to run the football. Minnesota averaged 43 rush attempts per game compared to just 24 pass attempt and Auburn put it on the ground an average of 44 times compared to 31 through the air. All that running combined with the talent on defense is really going to make it tough for this game to eclipse the total. The clock is going to be running constantly and there just isn't going to be a ton of possessions for either side. UNDER has cashed in 11 of Auburn's last 14 non-conference games. It's also 24-11-1 in their last 36 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 in their last 6 bowl games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Minnesota's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 511 h 40 m | Show |
5* NCAAF -Alabama/Michigan New Year's BOWL OF THE YEAR on Michigan +7½ -110 I love the Wolverines getting a touchdown and the hook against Alabama in the Citrus Bowl. While both teams ended the year with losses to their biggest rival, the Crimson Tide's was a lot more costly. Alabama's crushing 45-48 loss to Auburn knocked them out of the playoff race and for the first time since the playoff format was introduced they are not one of the 4 teams participating. I just think that makes this a really tough spot for Alabama to show up and it's not like we haven't seen this before when the Crimson Tide missed out on the BCS with a late loss and didn't show up in their bowl. On top of a lack of motivation, the Crimson Tide have a number of guys sitting out and are really decimated on the defensive side of the ball. Michigan had hopes of making the playoff, but those were put to rest a long time ago and I think they will have no problem here getting up for a shot at Alabama. Michigan's defense won't have to worry about facing Tua, which is a big plus, but more than anything I think a Wolverines offense that got better and better as the season went on will be able to do more than enough to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Michigan! |
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12-31-19 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Panthers/Blue Jackets over 6 -118 I look for Florida and Columbus to fly past the total set by the books. Florida comes into this game on an absolute tear on the offensive end. Panthers have scored 4 or more goals in 5 of their last 6 games. While Columbus hasn't been scoring at near the same clip, Florida's defense is giving up a ton of goals of late. Panthers have allowed 15 goals in their last 3 games, so this is one where the Blue Jackets can also go off. OVER is 31-15 in Florida's last 46 road games with a total of 6 or more, 21-7 in their last 28 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 14-2 in their last 16 when they come in having won 5/6 of their last 7. Take the OVER! |
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