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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-17 | Virginia v. Navy +1 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Military Bowl ATS HEAVY HITTER  on Navy + I like the value here with the Midshipmen at basically a pick'em at home against Virginia in the Military Bowl. Navy is simply not getting enough respect here, especially given that this game is being played on their home field, which is a big advantage in these bowl games. The perception is that these triple-option teams are at a disadvantage in bowl games, as their opponents have ample amounts of time to prepare for their unique offensive attack. What gets overlooked is just how much the opponents hate preparing and playing these triple-option attacks. It's also worth pointing out that Navy has been a covering machine of late in bowl games, as they are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. That includes a trip to this same bowl in 2015, where they knocked off Pitt 44-28 as a mere 3-point favorite. Virginia surprised a lot of people by getting to a bowl game this year, as they were coming off a 2-10 season in 2016 and picked by many to finish in the basement of the ACC. While they had some nice wins, including a 42-23 victory over Boise State, for the most part they struggled against the better teams they faced and it's also important to note they went just 1-5 over their final 6 games. This is also not a great matchup for Virginia. While the Cavaliers finished a respectable 36th in total defense, giving up just 357.9 ypg, they were just 82nd in the country at stopping the run, allowing 178.3 ypg. I just don't see them stopping this Midshipmen rushing attack, that rushed for an average of 343 yards/game and 5.5 yards/carry. Virginia also had their struggles offensively, as they were 126th in rushing (98.8 ypg). If they don't throw it well, their defense is going to be on the field the entire game and that's just not a recipe for success against the Midshipmen. Take Navy! |
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12-27-17 | Mavs v. Pacers -6 | 98-94 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pacers - I like the value here with Indiana laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Mavericks. The Pacers simply didn't have it last night in Detroit, as they got annihilated 107-83. The good news for Indiana is the lopsided score allowed them to limit their starters minutes, as not a single one of the five starters played more than 26 minutes. That leaves little doubt in my mind that we are going to get a big time effort here from the Pacers at home. Dallas on the other hand comes in off an impressive 98-93 home win over the Raptors as a 6-point dog. I just think it's asking a lot of this team to bounce back from that huge victory with another big effort on the road playing on no rest. Keep in mind the Mavericks haven't won back-to-back games since Thanksgiving and are a miserable 2-14 on the road this season. Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs a bad team like Dallas, who has won fewer than 40% of their games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Take Indiana! |
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12-27-17 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Rhode Island -11.5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rhode Island - I got no problem laying the big number here with the Rams at home against Florida Gulf Coast. Rhode Island is one of the better teams that no one knows about. They brought back 4 seniors, including a legit NBA talent in guard E.C. Matthews. Their only 3 losses have come against the likes of Nevada, Virginia and Alabama and two of those were without Matthews, who missed 6 games before returning for the last two. With him on the floor, the Rams should have little to no problem winning here by 15+ points. The Eagles are just 7-7 and come in having gone just 1-5 in their last 6 games. Last time out they were able to keep it within 10 at Wichita State as a 16.5-point dog and I believe that's created some line value here. Take Rhode Island! |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Pinstripe Bowl ATS NO BRAINER on Iowa - I think we are getting some great value here with the Hawkeyes laying less than a field goal against the Eagles. Iowa has had a really rough stretch in bowl games, as they have lost 5 straight postseason games after starting out 6-3 under head coach Kirk Ferentz. I believe a big reason for the Hawkeyes recent struggles is they have consistently been picked for bigger bowl games because of how well their fans travel and it's forced them to play a much tougher opponent than them. Note that all 5 losses have come with Iowa being the underdog, as their last 5 opponents in bowl games have been Florida, Stanford, Tennessee, LSU and Oklahoma. No disrespect to Boston College, but this is finally an opponent that is on the Hawkeyes level and one I believe that Iowa matches up very well against. The Eagles are a team that needs to be able to run the ball to have success offensively, but that plays right into the strength of the Iowa defense. At the same time, the Hawkeyes are a team that needs to be able to run the ball to have success offensive and BC finished the year ranked 101st in the country vs the run, giving up 198.4 ypg, while giving up 5.0 yards/carry (first time since 2012 they have allowed more than 4.0 yards/carry). The Hawkeyes should own the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and that should be more than enough for them to win here by at least a field goal. Take Iowa! |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss +17 v. Florida State | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 33 m | Show |
5* Independence Bowl VEGAS INSIDER on Southern Miss + I absolutely love the value here with the Golden Eagles catching a big number against the Seminoles in the Independence Bowl on Wednesday. This is simply too many points given the circumstances for Florida State, which watched head coach Jimbo Fisher jump ship for Texas A&M at the end of the season. I just don't see the Seminoles being motivated for this contest, especially not to the point where they win in blowout fashion. All you have to do is look at the injury report for FSU to see how little interest there is in playing this game, as there's a laundry list of players who are questionable and several others, including star defensive player Derwin James that aren't going to take the field. The defense that kept them competitive is simply missing too many players and when you add in the lack of motivation, I think Southern Miss is going to move the ball with ease here. The other big key here is this Seminoles offense is not very good. Sure they put up 42 in their final game against ULM, but the Warhawks have one of the worst defenses in the country. FSU finished 83rd in rushing (150.8 ypg) and 92nd in passing (192.8 ypg). Southern Miss comes in with one of the most underrated defenses in the country. The Golden Eagles were 28th against the run (132.2 ypg) and 26th vs the pass (189.8 ypg). Not only do I think they can keep this within the number, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see them win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! |
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12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL DOMINATOR on Pistons UNDER I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's NBA action that has two Central Division rivals going at it. Usually these division games are spread over the season, but that's not the case with these two teams. This will actually be the 4th and final meeting between these two sides this season. That familiarity with one another will give the edge to the defenses. It's also worth noting that each of the last two meetings both saw fewer than 208 points. Indiana comes in allowing 106.9 ppg on the season and 107.0 ppg on the road, but are only giving up 101.4 ppg against division opponents. I think they can slow down a struggling Detroit offense that has shot 44% or worse from the field in 9 of their last 11 games. Pistons defense has been playing well of late, as the additions of Reggie Bullock and Anthony Tolliver in the starting lineup have given them a boost on that side. We should also get a big effort here from Detroit, as they will have fresh legs playing only their 2nd game in the last 6 days. UNDER is 27-11 in the pacers last 38 against a team with a winning record, 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 5-0 in their last 5 division games. UNDER is also 4-0 in the Pistons last 4 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs a division opponent. Take the UNDER! |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois v. Duke -5.5 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Quick Lane Bowl ATS ANNIHILATOR on Duke - I like the value we are getting here with the Blue Devils laying less than a touchdown against Northern Illinois in the Quick Lane Bowl. Duke got off to a red-hot 4-0 start to the season, which included a 41-17 blowout win over Northwestern. They would then proceed to lose 6 straight and sitting at 4-6 needed to win their final 2 just to become bowl eligible. They did just that. Knocking off Georgia Tech 43-20 at home and closing out the year with a 31-23 win at Wake Forest. I like the Blue Devil's chances of carrying over that momentum here in their bowl game against the Huskies. While Northern Illinois posted an 8-4 record, I just don't think this is that good of a team. Sure they knocked off Nebraska in non-confernece, but that turned out to be a pretty bad Cornhuskers team. The MAC was also way down this year and it's shown in bowl play so far with conference champ, Toledo, losing 34-0 to Appalachian State. East Division winner Akron lost 50-3 to FAU in the Boca Raton Bowl and Central Michigan, who posted a 6-2 mark in MAC play lost 37-14 to Wyoming in the Idaho Potato Bowl. On paper these look like to very similar teams with sub-par offenses and really good defenses, but when you factor in the much tougher strength of schedule for Duke it's clear that the Blue Devils are the superior side. Take Duke! |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +10 | 34-6 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Steelers/Texans MNF VEGAS INSIDER on Texans + I think we are getting a great price here on the Texans at home in Monday's Christmas Day showdown against the Steelers. I know Houston played is coming off an ugly 7-45 loss at Jacksonville, but that wasn't a huge surprise given how limited the Texans are offensively and how good the Jaguars are defensively. I expect a much more motivated Houston team to take the field at home in a prime time game. The biggest thing here isn't this is a horrible spot for the Steelers, who are coming off about as painful a loss as you can have in their 24-27 defeat at home to the Patriots, which likely cost them the No. 1 seed in the AFC. On top of that, they lost star wide out Antonio Brown to a calf injury. While they played well without him against New England, that's a massive loss. Brown was playing at an MVP level this season. At the same time, this Pittsburgh offense has a history of underperforming on the road (almost a TD less per game on the road compared to at home this season) and I think it could be in for a long day without Brown in this one. Steelers are also just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points, while the Texans are a solid 22-10 ATS in their last 32 when coming off back-to-back games where they scored 17 or fewer points. Take Houston! |
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12-25-17 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 209 | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Knicks UNDER These Christmas NBA games have a strong tendency to go UNDER the totals set by the books, as the intensity level gets turned up a notch on the defensive side of the ball. I think that's exactly what we have here in the first game on the board with the 76ers and Knicks. These are two teams that are better defensively than they get credit for and we should see the offenses struggle here with such an early start time. UNDER is 10-1 in the Knicks last 11 home games off a road cover where they lost outright as an underdog, UNDER is also 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 home games overall. UNDER is also 6-1 in the 76ers last 7 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Take UNDER! |
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12-24-17 | Houston v. Fresno State UNDER 49 | 27-33 | Loss | -102 | 106 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Hawaii Bowl Total NO BRAINER on Fresno State UNDER I think we are getting some great value here on the UNDER in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, which features the Houston Cougars and Fresno State Bulldogs. There's a lot to like in this matchup when it comes to a low-scoring game. The Bulldogs are a perfect team to back when it comes to an UNDER. The Bulldogs feature one of the best defenses in the country that not many people know about. Fresno State finished 9th in the country, giving up just 17.2 ppg and were 16th in total defense, allowing just 319 ypg. Keep in mind that's with playing non-conference games against the likes of Washington and Alabama, where they allowed a combined 89 points and 917 yards. Take away those two teams and this team only surrendered around 296 ypg and 12.3 ppg against their other 11 opponents. Houston averaged 28.4 ppg, but were far from a great offensive team and I think the best supporter of that is they only had 16 points against Arizona and 24 against Texas Tech. A lot of their high-scoring games in the AAC game against teams that like to play at a fast pace, which increase the number of possessions. I think the Cougars have a really hard time scoring here, especially with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson having left the program to join Dan Mullen at Florida. As good as the Fresno State defense has been, there offense is very limited and really struggled to score against the better teams they played. Houston has a legit defense, led by one of the best defensive players in the country in Ed Oliver and should be able to keep them in check. Take the UNDER! |
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12-24-17 | Giants +3.5 v. Cardinals | 0-23 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NFL Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Giants + I just think there's too much value here with New York in this one. I know it's been a miserable season for the Giants, but I liked how they came out and competed last week against the Eagles. Most importantly, the offense finally showed us something, scoring 29 points with over 500 yards of total offense against a very good Eagles defense. Eli Manning had his best game of the season by far, throwing for 434 yards and 3 scores. Arizona simply has no business laying more than a field goal in this matchup. While the Cardinals will get back Drew Stanton at quarterback, it's just a minor upgrade over Blaine Gabbert in my opinion. Stanton takes over an offense that hasn't scored a TD in 10 quarters and I wouldn't be shocked if they failed to score one here against a Giants team that I think has some new life now that they have parted ways with McAdoo. We also have a strong system in play backing the Giants. Road underdogs who are a bad team that's being outscored by 4+ points/game on the season are 227-149 (60%) ATS after a loss by 6-points or less since 1983. Take New York! |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars -4 v. 49ers | 33-44 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Jags - I like the value here with the Jaguars laying a short number on the road against the 49ers. Jacksonville has been one of the big surprises of the season, as they have already locked up their first playoff appearance in 10 years. They come into this game on an absolute roll, as they have won 3 straight  and 7 of their last 8 overall. Early in the year this team was winning games just with their defense, but that's no longer the case. Blake Bortles has been playing at an MVP level over the last few weeks and the Jaguars have scored 30, 30 and 45 points over their last 3 games. I think a big reason we are getting value here with the Jaguars is the 49ers come in having won 3 straight and it's all come after Jimmy Garoppolo has taken over the starting quarterback job. Garoppolo has put up some great numbers in his 3 starts, but it's come against the Bears, Texans and Titans. The problem here with Garoppolo and the 49ers is that their offense has really relied on his ability to throw the ball and attacking this Jaguars defense through the air is not a recipe for success. Jacksonville's defense is the real deal and they have completely shutdown opposing passing attacks, as they lead the NFL, allowing just 168.9 ypg, which is 30 yards better than the next best team. I just don't think San Francisco will be able to score enough to keep this within the number. Take Jacksonville -4! |
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12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals OVER 43.5 | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Lions OVER I think we are getting some decent value here on the OVER in Sunday's NFL total between the Lions and Bengals. The last two games for Cincinnati have been a complete embarrassment to the players and franchise. They lost at home to the Bears 7-33 and then followed that up with a 7-34 loss at Minnesota. Couple of things to note about those two performances. The first is the game against Chicago was a major letdown spot after their crushing loss to the Steelers at home the week before, which all but eliminated them from playoff contention. Then last week prior to their game against the Vikings it was reported that head coach Marvin Lewis was going to resign and I don't think it sat well with players that they had to learn of the news via the media. With all that behind them, I think we are going to see a much better effort from Cincinnati in what will be the final home game for Lewis. The players might not like him leaving, but he's done a lot to get this franchise back on the map and I think they will want his final home game to be one to remember. I'm really expecting a big game from the offense here. Keep in mind that it didn't help matters they were going up against two really good defenses in the Bears and Vikings. Detroit comes in ranked 27th in the league in total defense, giving up 362.3 ypg and are 28th against the pass (251.2 ypg). Look for Andy Dalton and A.J. Green to get going. As for the Lions offense, I think we see them put up some points as well. It's looking less and less likely that star linebacker Vontaze Burfict will suit up and he's the guy that really makes this defense click. There's also several other key guys on that side of the ball banged up. Detroit has scored at last 20 points in 7 straight games and should eclipse that mark here, which I think will be more than enough to push us over the mark. Take the OVER! |
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12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals +5 | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bengals + The last two games for Cincinnati have been a complete embarrassment to the players and franchise. They lost at home to the Bears 7-33 and then followed that up with a 7-34 loss at Minnesota. Couple of things to note about those two performances. The first is the game against Chicago was a major letdown spot after their crushing loss to the Steelers at home the week before, which all but eliminated them from playoff contention. Then last week prior to their game against the Vikings it was reported that head coach Marvin Lewis was going to resign and I don't think it sat well with players that they had to learn of the news via the media. With all that behind them, I think we are going to see a much better effort from Cincinnati in what will be the final home game for Lewis. The players might not like him leaving, but he's done a lot to get this franchise back on the map and I think they will want his final home game to be one to remember. Not only are we seeing Cincinnati undervalued because of their recent showings, but the books have certainly inflated this line on the Lions, as the public will look to back Detroit, given they are the only team with something to play for. Detroit might still be in the playoff hunt, but I'm just not sold on this team being a threat to make the playoffs in the NFC and it would be typical Lions fashion for them to lay an egg here on the road. Keep in mind Detroit is a mere 9-25 ATS in their last 34 road games as a favorite of 7 points or less and 9-27 ATS in their last 36 road games when they come in having won 2 or more straight games. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 30+ points and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Cincinnati! |
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12-24-17 | Chargers v. Jets +7 | Top | 14-7 | Push | 0 | 98 h 29 m | Show |
5* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Jets + I think we are getting excellent value here with the Jets catching a touchdown at home against the Chargers on Sunday. The public loves to focus all their attention on the teams that are still in the playoff mix and as a result I think we are seeing a drastically inflated line on Los Angeles here. While the Chargers are mathematically still alive, their playoff hopes all but came to an end last week in their loss to the Chiefs, who will likely wrap up the AFC West with a win over the Dolphins. At the same time, I don't think it's going to be as easy as people think for LA to bounce back off that crushing loss to Kansas City, especially on the road. Keep in mind in mind this is their second straight on the road and a dreaded spot for West Coast teams playing on the East Coast in an early game. I know the Jets are down to backup QB Bryce Petty, but this is a New York team that has shown a tremendous amount of fight this season and have been a much more competent team at home, where they are 4-3, compared to 1-6 on the road. Not only do I think the Jets can keep this close enough to cover, but I actually give them a decent shot at winning this game outright. Jets are a solid 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games dating back to last season and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss. Chargers on the other hand are a mere 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss and are now just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in the month of December. Take New York! |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 98 h 28 m | Show |
5* NFL Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Titans + I absolutely love the value here with Tennessee catching a touchdown at home against the Rams. The perception on LA couldn't be much higher right now, as they just laid an absolute beating on the road against Seattle last Sunday, crushing their division rivals 42-7. That win put the Rams 2-games up on the Seahawks for the NFC West title and all they need to do is win one of their final two games (host 49ers in Week 17) or have have Seattle lose one of their final two (play at Dallas this week). Either way, this is not a must-win game for the Rams and with them coming off that huge win, I think they are primed for a letdown here in what will be their second straight road game. I know the Titans come in having lost back-to-back games, but those both game on the road and they were a couple breaks away from winning both of those games. What you have to keep in mind with Tennessee is they are a different team at home. The Titans are 5-1 at Nissan Stadium compared to just 3-5 on the road. It's been night and day offensive for Tennessee offensively, as they are averaging 26 ppg at home compared to a mere 17.5 ppg on the road. This is also a must-win game for the Titans, who need to win to just have a shot at making the playoffs. The big key here is I think the Titans will be able to slow down this Rams offensive attack. While LA puts up big numbers both on the ground and through the air, their offense is at its best when they can establish the run. That won't be easy against Tennessee. The Titans feature one of the leagues top run defenses and are giving up just 74 ypg and 3.4 yards/carry on the ground at home. I think all this adds up to a closely contested battle and one that I wouldn't be shocked if the Titans won outright. Take Tennessee! |
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12-24-17 | Falcons +6 v. Saints | 13-23 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NFL Undervalued UNDERDOG on Falcons + I like the value here with the Falcons catching almost a touchdown against division rival New Orleans on Sunday. These two teams just played in Atlanta in Week 14, which the Falcons prevailed 20-17 despite Matt Ryan having one of his worst games with just 221 yards and 3 interceptions. I would expect a much better showing here from Ryan and wouldn't be shocked if Atlanta pulled off the upset. Keep in mind that Atlanta was a 3-point favorite at home against the Saints, which based off that line means New Orleans should be a similar 3-point home favorite in this one. I think that just shows how overvalued the Saints are right now. It's also worth noting that in the last 11 meetings in the series, only once has New Orleans managed to beat the Falcons by more than 6 points and that was a mere 10-point win back in 2015. When these two teams square off, more times than not it's a closely contested game that comes down to a play or two in the 4th quarter. Falcons did play on MNF last week, which for some teams is a negative, but they are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when playing on Sunday after playing their previous game on a Monday. Falcons are also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Atlanta! |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 81 h 32 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Bowl TOTAL OF THE MONTH  on Toledo UNDER I think we have an inflated total here in the Dollar General Bowl. The public is going to see two teams that have put up some big numbers offensively behind two talented senior quarterbacks in Toledo's Logan Woodside and Appalachian State's Tyler Lamb. No question these two signal callers are talented, but I don't think the defenses are getting near enough respect here. The Mountaineers only gave up 21.9 ppg and showed well in non-conference play against two quality opponents. They limited Georgia to just 31 and 368 total yards on the road and Wake Forest to just 20 points and 344 total yards. Toledo allowed 24 or fewer points in 8 of their 13 games and I think they are more than capable of slowing down Appalachian State. While the Mountaineers put up big numbers in Sun Belt play, they only scored 10-points in that game against Georgia and 19 against the Demon Deacons. Another key factor here is that these two teams are going to be extremely familiar with one another, as they actually played against each other last bowl season. A game that only featured 59 points and that was with a 28-point outburst by the two teams in the 3rd quarter. Note that 7 of those 59 points came on a kickoff return for a TD. I just think given the familiarity here there's a good chance we see an even lower-scoring affair this time around. Take the UNDER! |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 58 m | Show | |
4* Colts/Ravens NFL VEGAS INSIDER on Ravens - You won't see me laying this many points often in the NFL, especially early on in the season. I think you have to handicap these big spreads a little differently this late in the season, as you have some teams like Baltimore with everything to play for and other teams like the Colts who have little to play for. You can't just blindly go against teams who are out of the playoffs, as some teams do keep fighting to the end. Indianapolis isn't one of those teams in my opinion. This has been a lost season from the start for the Colts, who have had to play the entire year without star quarterback Andrew Luck. They come in having lost 5 straight and I just get the feeling that this team is ready for the season to be over. It's also worth noting that the Ravens are not a team to overlook an opponent and the spot sets up well for them to not only win but win big. Baltimore has one of the best defenses in the NFL and are allowing just 16.5 ppg at home this season. They should have no problem shutting down this Colts offense, which has now gone 5 straight games where they have scored 17 or fewer points. The other big key here is that while the Ravens are limited offensively, this is a defense they should be able to exploit, as Indy is giving up 29.9 ppg and 6.1 yards/play on the road this season. Take Baltimore! |
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12-23-17 | Long Beach State v. Colorado State -7.5 | 66-68 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Colorado State - I like the value we are getting here with the Rams laying single-digits at home against the 49ers. While Colorado State is just 6-6, a big reason for that is their schedule, which has had them go up against the likes of FSU, Colorado, Arkansas and Oregon. The big key here is that all 6 of their losses have either come on a neutral site or in a true road game, as they are a perfect 6-0 at home. Long Beach State comes in at 5-9 and while they too have played a tough schedule, they are simply not on the same level as the Rams. The 49ers have really struggled on the road, where they are 3-9 and getting outscored by 13.7 ppg. Last time out Long Beach State was embarrassed in a 42-point (60-102) loss at Michigan State and that was on Thursday, so they are playing their 2nd big road game in just 3 days in the thin air of Colorado. On top of that, the 49ers are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a loss. Take Colorado State! |
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12-23-17 | Army v. San Diego State -6.5 | 42-35 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Armed Forces Bowl ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Diego State - I like the value here with the Aztecs laying less than a touchdown against the Black Knights in the Armed Forces Bowl on Saturday. I think this is a perfect matchup for San Diego State, as they are very familiar with how to stop the triple-option attack given they play Air Force in the MWC. The Aztecs have owned these one-dimensional offenses, posting a 13-2 record straight up and a 12-3 mark against the spread. This year shouldn't be any different, as San Diego State is once again stout on the defensive side of the ball. The Aztecs ranked 9th in the country against the run, giving up just 110.4 ypg and only allowed 3.5 yards/carry. On the flip side of this, San Diego State is also a team that really likes to run the football, as they were 11th in rushing (252.3 ypg) compared to just 118th in passing (157.9 ypg). Big key here is they at least offer a threat of throwing, plus they will be facing an Army defense that was just 68th vs the run, allowing 166.1 ypg. Take San Diego State! |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 66 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 74 h 32 m | Show | |
3* Birmingham Bowl Total DOMINATOR on Texas Tech OVER I think we are getting some great value here on the total in Saturday's Birmingham Bowl that features Texas Tech and South Florida. These are two high-powered offenses that like to play at a fast pace and aren't exactly stout on the defensive side of the ball. The Red Raiders put up 34.3 ppg and were 17th in the country at 468.4 ypg. USF was even better at 38.3 ppg and ranked 9th in total offense at 508.7 ypg. We also have two really good passing attacks going up against defenses that are much better at stopping the run than they are the pass, which I believe is going to lead to a lot of big plays and quick scores. I believe a big reason this total isn't north of 70 is the fact that the Bulls have a good defense, at least on paper. USF only gave up 22.5 ppg and ranked 28th in the nation, allowing just 342.6 ypg. Those are very misleading numbers, as the Bulls played a cupcake schedule, which included a lot of bad teams that struggled to score, including San Jose State, UConn, Illinois, Cincinnati and Tulane. The one legit offense they faced was in their last game of the season against UCF and they allowed 49 points in a game that featured 91 combined points. I think that's a lot closer to what we are going to see here. Take the OVER! |
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12-22-17 | Texas v. Alabama -3 | 66-50 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Alabama - I like the value here with the Crimson Tide laying a short number against the Longhorns. While not a true home game for Alabama, it's going to certainly feel like it, as this game is being played just a short drive from their campus in Birmingham at Legacy Arena. Both teams are off to a solid 8-3 start, but I've really liked what I have seen from this Crimson Tide team. They can really get after you both inside and out on the offensive side of the ball and that balance has them averaging just under 80 ppg. Texas doesn't punch near the fire-power on offense and I think that with this being on the road the Longhorns are going to struggle to keep pace. Note this is not a spot where Texas has fared well. The Longhorns are just 10-27 in their last 37 neutral court games as a dog of 6-points or less. They are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 away from home after two straight games that went under the total. Take Alabama! |
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12-22-17 | Clippers v. Rockets OVER 218.5 | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Rockets OVER Houston will be without Chris Paul and Clint Cappella tonight and I think it's resulted in some great value here on the OVER in their showdown tonight with the Clippers. The Rockets still have James Harden and are still going to play their same style of jacking up 3-pointers left and right. This team is also use to playing without Paul, so I don't think it's going to affect their scoring output as much as some might think. Keep in mind this is a team that averages 116 ppg at home and will be facing a Clippers team that has been decimated with injuries and just gave up 109 in their last road game against the Spurs. Big key here is I don't think the Rockets are going to offer a ton of resistance on the defensive end. Paul is a big spark plug on that side of the ball and Cappella is their best rim protector. Not to mention that Houston likely doesn't want to go all out with their huge showdown against at OKC looming next on Christmas Day. OVER is 21-9 in the Clippers last 30 road games when they are playing their 6th or more game in a 10 day span and 22-8 in their last 30 when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Take the OVER! |
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12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio UNDER 58.5 | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 50 h 2 m | Show | |
3* Bahamas Bowl Total ANNIHILATOR on UAB UNDER This might seem like a low total given that Ohio comes in ranked 8th in the country at 40.6 ppg and are facing a UAB team that averages a respectable 29.6 ppg. I just think that given the style of  play of these two teams they will struggle to eclipse this total. Both of these teams are are looking to establish the run and don't offer much of a passing threat. The Bobcats ranked 17th in rushing at 244.2 ypg, compared to just 97th in passing at 186.8 ypg. The Blazers were 37th in rushing at 190.2 ypg and 106th in passing at 174.4 ypg. I just don't think that there will be enough possessions for these two teams to light up the scoreboard. There's typically a lot less explosive plays on the ground than there are for teams that like to air it out and throw it deep. At the same time, by running so much, the clock is going to be running constantly. Add in the extra time that each team has had to prepare for these fairly one dimensional offenses and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a defensive battle. Keep in mind that these two have to average more than two touchdowns a quarter to eclipse this mark. UNDER was 7-1 in the Blazers last 8 games this season and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 8-3-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games played on a neutral field and 18-7-2 in their last 27 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! |
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12-21-17 | Gonzaga -5 v. San Diego State | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Gonzaga - I like the value here with the Bulldogs as a short road favorite against the Aztecs on Thursday. San Diego State has been a great program for a long-time, but took a big step back last year in the first season without Steve Fisher at the helm. While they are off to a respectable 7-3 start a big reason for that has been the schedule. They do have a win over Georgia on a neutral court, but they also lost by 22 at Arizona State, by 7 on a neutral court to Washington State and most recently a 62-63 loss at home to Cal as a 16.5-point favorite. Gonzaga is loaded once again and have started out 10-2 with their only losses coming against big time powers in Florida and Villanova. While the home court edge might help the Aztecs make this competitive early, I look for the Bulldogs to pull away and win this one comfortably. Take Gonzaga! |
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12-21-17 | Buffalo +12.5 v. Texas A&M | 73-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Buffalo + I like the value here with the Bulls as a double-digit dog against the Aggies. Buffalo comes in with a respectable 7-4 record and has shown well against the two big time opponents they have played. The Bulls lost by just 6-points in a neutral site game against Cincinnati as a 16-point dog and last time out they lost by just 7 as a 10.5-point dog in a true road game at Syracuse. While Texas A&M is off to an impressive 10-1 start and clearly the better team, I think this is a clear letdown spot for the Aggies, who are playing their final non-conference game and have a long  8-day layoff before starting SEC play. Another big factor here is the home court edge isn't as strong this time of year, as you not only have people busy with the holidays, but the majority of the students aren't on campus over Christmas break. I think it's enough to allow the Bulls to keep this a lot closer than expected. Take Buffalo! |
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12-21-17 | Temple -7 v. Florida International | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
5* Gasparilla Bowl NO LIMIT Top Play on Temple - I like the value here with the Owls laying a touchdown against the Golden Panthers in the Gasparilla Bowl. FIU had a great turnaround in their first season under Butch Davis, going 8-4 after finishing at 4-8 last year, but I also think it has the Owls getting too much respect here. A big reason for the turnaround with FIU is they played a couple of cupcakes in UMass and Alcorn State in non-conference play and C-USA was way down this year outside of FAU, who they lost to by 28 points. Temple only went 6-6 in the first year under new head coach Geoff Collins, but were a much better team down the stretch, as they closed out the year winning 3 of their last 4, which included a 34-26 win over Navy and 43-22 victory at Tulsa in the regular-season finale. A big reason this team got things going is Frank Nutile took over as the starting quarterback. He threw for over 200 yards in each of his 5 starts and figures to be in store for a big game here against a FIU defense that ranked 94th in the country against the pass, giving up 242.8 ypg. The Panthers also were 79th against the run (173.8 ypg), so the Owls should also have balance with their offensive attack. I just don't see FIU being able to keep pace in this one. Give me Temple -7! |
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12-21-17 | Southern Miss +22.5 v. Florida State | 45-98 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Southern Miss + I like the value here with the Golden Eagles as a massive road underdog against the Seminoles on Thursday afternoon. I just don't think we are going to see an all that motivated Florida State team here, as this is their final non-conference matchup before getting 9-days off. You also have to keep in mind that with students off for Christmas break and this not being a big time opponent, they aren't going to have that same home court edge. Southern Miss isn't on the Seminoles level, but do come in having won 4 straight, including an impressive 89-71 win over Troy as a 3-point underdog. They also showed well earlier this season in a true road game at Michigan, losing by just 14 as a 24 points dog. The big thing I like here with the Golden Eagles is they get after it defensively, as they are only giving up 64.9 ppg. Look for a lot closer game than the books are expecting. Take Southern Miss! |
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12-20-17 | Northwestern State v. Utah -23 | 62-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Utah - I like the value here with the Utes at home against the Demons from Northwestern State. Utah is a bit undervalued right now, as they come in off a 12-point loss at BYU and have lost 2 of their last 3 overall. They also are expected to be without Donnie Tillman. Even without Tillman, this team should have no problem winning here by 25+ points over the Demons, who are in a brutal spot here playing on the road with no rest after last night's ugly 68-105 loss at Oklahoma, where the Sooners shot 59% from the field. This is also a team that lost by 46 to both Texas and SMU. Take Utah! |
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12-20-17 | Pacers v. Hawks +4.5 | 105-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Hawks + The betting public is all over the Pacers here as a short road favorite against the Hawks, but I like Atlanta to not only cover but win this game outright. The Hawks come in off an impressive 110-104 win at home over the Heat last time out as a 1.5-point favorite and are now 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games, as they continue to get undervalued by the books. Indiana is a quality team, but have lost 3 of their last 4 and last time out suffered a crushing 111-112 loss at home to the Celtics, where they basically gave the game away. Now they are on the road playing what will be their 3rd game in 4 days in a major letdown spot. Take Atlanta! |
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12-20-17 | Wagner v. Seton Hall -19.5 | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Seton Hall - I don't think the books have set the bar high enough here. Seton Hall is coming in off an upset loss at Rutgers as a 8.5-point favorite and are going to be highly motivated to get back on track. That was just the second loss of the season for the Pirates. The first came in a heartbreaking 74-75 neutral court loss to Rhode Island and they came back in their next game and rolled Vanderbilt 72-59 as a 6.5-point favorite. I don't think it's going to take a lot here for Seton Hall to win by 20+ points, as this is not nearly as good a Wagner team as their 7-2 record would suggest. The Seahawks haven't played a lot of top teams. The one step up game they had was road contest at Missouri, which they lost by 44-points as a similar 19.5-point dog to what we see them at here. I expect a similar outcome here with this one well in hand early. Take Seton Hall! |
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12-19-17 | Cavs -2 v. Bucks | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs - This is simply too good a price to pass up on Cleveland. The Cavs have lost just once in their last 19 games, as they are on ridiculous 18-1 run. With this being basically a pick'em with the Cavs laying less than 3, I think you have to roll the dice with Cleveland. They have already beat the Bucks twice this season, including a 116-97 win in their previous visit to Milwaukee. The Bucks are also not playing great basketball right now. They have lost 3 straight and in their last home game they lost outright 109-115 to the Bulls as a 8.5-point favorite. I think a big key here is that this game is the only one being nationally televised on NBA TV and that should be enough motivation for LeBron and company to get the win. Take Cleveland! |
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12-19-17 | Buffalo +10.5 v. Syracuse | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Buffalo + I like the value here with the Bulls as a double-digit dog against the Orange. While not a huge rivalry, these are two teams from the same state of New York. I think that's a big motivator edge here for Buffalo, who would love nothing more than to upset Syracuse on their home floor. As for the Orange, I don't think they are getting anywhere close to as excited about playing this game and I actually think they could be in for a letdown after their big overtime win on the road over Georgetown on Saturday.   Keep in mind this is a Bulls team that is expected to compete for the MAC title. They have a big-time play-maker in CJ Massinburg, who is averaging 20 ppg and 8 rpg. He's not the only scoring threat, as they have 4 active players that are averaging in double-figures. They could also be adding another big weapon in Missouri transfer Wes Clark, who hasn't been eligible to this point because of transfer rules. Either way, I think the Bulls give the Orange a scare here and keep this well within the number. Take Buffalo! |
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12-19-17 | Akron v. Florida Atlantic OVER 65 | 3-50 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Boca Raton Bowl Total NO-BRAINER  on Akron OVER There's a strong tendency for these bowl games to go OVER the total and I think we are going to see a very high scoring game tonight between Akron and FAU. We are expecting the Owls to do the heavy lifting here, though we also expect the Zips to have a strong showing on the offensive side of the ball. Florida Atlantic comes in averaging 39.8 ppg and have a big advantage with this bowl game being played on their home field, where they put up 42 ppg and 535 ypg in the regular season. Akron simply doesn't have the defense to slow down this offensive attack. The Zips are 100th in the country against the run, giving up 197.2 ypg and will be facing an Owls offensive attack that ranked 6th in the nation with 283.2 ypg on the ground. FAU is also a fast-striking offense and it wouldn't shock me to see them have close to 40 points in the 3rd quarter. Akron's offense isn't anything special, but I think they can score close to 30 here, and don't be surprised if a lot of those points come late after this one is out of hand. The Zips have a decent passing attack that likes to throw deep, which should lead to some quick scores, as they face an FAU defense that was much better against the run than the pass. The Owls finished a mere 92nd against the pass, giving up 242.5 ypg. Give me the OVER! |
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12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs OVER 48.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Falcons/Bucs MNF Total NO BRAINER on Falcons OVER These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the mark set by the books here tonight. Typically division games are a little more low scoring, but that's simply not the case with these two teams. Each of the last 3 games in this series have seen these two teams combine for at least 54 points, including a recent meeting in Week 12 at Atlanta and that was with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting at QB for the Bucs. Jameis Winston has since returned to the line. While turnovers continue to be a problem for Winston, there's a good chance if those mistakes happen tonight, it's going to set up the Falcons with a short field. Either way, I think the Bucs offensively are going to put up a big number and they are going to need it, as the Falcons should score early and often. In that recent meeting in Week 12, Atlanta had 516 total yards and had 20 points at the half. OVER is 5-1 the last 6 times the Falcons have been on Monday Night Football. OVER is also 15-5-1 in Atlanta's last 21 off a win and 10-0-1 in their last 11 against a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! |
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12-18-17 | Quinnipiac +11.5 v. Drexel | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Quinnipiac + I like the value here with the Bobcats as a decently priced road dog against the Dragons. While Quinnipiac is just 3-7 and Drexel comes in at 5-6, the Bobcats have played the tougher schedule up to this point and I simply don't see as big a game between these two teams as this line would suggest. The Dragons have been hit hard with injuries this year. Only 4 players have played in all 11 games this season and they have 4 guys out tonight. Bobcats have also been great in this spot, going 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. At the same time, the Dragons are a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 off a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following 3 straight on the road. Take Quinnipiac! |
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12-18-17 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Kansas -31.5 | 64-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas - It's been a rough stretch here for the Jayhawks who followed up back-to-back losses against Washington and Arizona State with a mere 1-point win on the road over Nebraska as a 12-point favorite. It's still not enough to keep me from laying this big number here with Kansas at home against the Mavericks. Winning my more than this spread at home wouldn't be out of the ordinary for the Jayhawks. They have a 38-point win at home over Toledo, 43-point win over Oakland, 43-point win over Texas Southern, 34-point win over South Dakota St and 36-point win over Tennessee State. Nebraskas-Omaha comes in off back-to-back wins, but are not a good team. Earlier this season they lost by 33-points at TCU. With the Jayhawks pissed off with their recent play, I think the Mavericks are in for an absolute beating at Allen Fieldhouse tonight. Take Kansas! |
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12-17-17 | Pacers v. Nets UNDER 217 | 109-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Nets UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Nets hosting the Pacers. These two teams have been playing much better defensively here of late. Brooklyn is allowing 111 ppg on the season, but are only giving up just 105 ppg over their last 5. Indiana is only giving up 103.6 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 6-1 in the Nets last 7 games and 4-1 in the Pacers last 5. Indiana has also scored less than 100 in two straight, while Brooklyn is only averaging 96.6 ppg over their last 5. Take the UNDER! |
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12-17-17 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 53 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pats OVER I think we are going to see a lot of offensive fireworks in Sunday's huge AFC showdown between the Steelers and Patriots. Forget about how bad New England's offense looked last week against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. The Patriots didn't show up ready to play and Brady played about as poorly as he has all season. The great players almost always rebound from a bad showing like that with one of their best games. Let's also not forget he was without a big time weapon in tight end Rob Gronkowski. I also think this Steelers defense is no where close to what it was early on in the season, as they recently lost their best player on that side of the ball in Ryan Shazier. He doesn't get the respect as some of the big time players in this league, but I think his importance to this defense is similar to that of Luke Kuechley with the Panthers. In the very first game without him last week against the Ravens, they let Baltimore put up 38 points and nearly 415 yards of offense. That's not a good Ravens offense and keep in mind they held Baltimore to just 9 points and 288 total yards on the road earlier this season. On the flip side of this, I think we are going to see Big Ben and the Steelers offense have a lot of success here. While the Patriots defense has been playing better, they too have lost some key players on defense and have several others who are questionable to play this week. I think we get more than enough here from Pittsburgh to push this well past the total set by the books. Take the OVER! |
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12-17-17 | Rams +127 v. Seahawks | Top | 42-7 | Win | 127 | 81 h 42 m | Show |
5* Rams/Seahawks NFC West GAME OF THE YEAR on Rams + I think the fact that Seattle is laying less than a field goal at home tells you everything. Even though I think most would agree that the Rams are the better team at this point in the season, the Seahawks are not a team the public likes to bet against at home, especially after what they did in their last home game, beating the Eagles convincingly 24-10. On top of that, the public isn't going to be as confident with LA off that loss last week at home to the Eagles. I just think that given the Seahawks injury situation and how these two teams stack up, the Rams have a big enough edge here to overcome the home field advantage for Seattle. Let's first look at the injuries with the primary focus on defense. Seattle has lost 3 starters for the season in defensive end Cliff Avril, corner Richard Sherman and safety Kam Chancellor. Those are substantial losses, but ones they have been able to overcome to some degree. The two big names on the injury report for this game are linebackers Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright, who would be extremely difficult to replace. Wagner would be the bigger loss of the two and you would think he would have a hard time getting back on the field with a hamstring injury. Also listed as questionable are defensive ends Dion Jordan and Sheldon Richardson, as well as defensive tackles Nazair Jones and Quinton Jefferson. I think simply losing Wagner would be enough do make it near impossible for this defense to stop the Rams high-powered attack and it only gets worse the fewer number of these guys that play. As we saw last week with Seattle loss in Jacksonville, this Seahawks offense really struggles when their offensive line is up against a top notch defensive front. Aaron Donald and the Rams defensive lineman have owned Seattle of late and I expect them to make things very difficult on Russell Wilson. He'll find a way to make some plays, but I don't think it will be enough to secure the victory. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs +1 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 61 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Chargers/Chiefs NFL ATS NO BRAINER on Chiefs + I think we are getting some exceptional value here with Kansas City as an underdog at home to the Chargers. The stakes couldn't be much higher for this one. The winner takes complete control of the AFC West, while the loser would be sitting at 7-7 and needing to likely win out just to have a chance at making the playoffs as a Wild Card. This is going to feel like a playoff game for both teams and I simply don't think the Chiefs home field edge is getting enough respect here. This is one of the toughest places to play in general and Arrowhead can be electric in these types of games. I also think it's huge that Kansas City is coming into this game off not just a win but an impressive win at home against the Raiders in what was also a huge game for this team. The Chiefs dominated their rivals from Oakland, taking a 26-0 lead into the 4th quarter. It could have been a lot worse, as KC missed some golden opportunities in the red zone and had to settle for field goals. They scored on 5 straight possessions to start the game if you ignore the drive right before the half where there was only a minute left and they ran out the clock. Keep in mind that was an equally big game for Oakland, as both teams were sitting at 6-6. I think that's the kind of performance that could propel them back to the form that had them start out 5-0. You also can't ignore the success that KC has had against the Chargers team. They beat them by 14 in LA earlier this season and have won 7 straight overall. It's also worth noting the Chiefs haven't lost a home division game since Week 2 of the 2015 seasons. Take Kansas City! |
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12-16-17 | Ohio v. Marshall -2.5 | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Marshall - I like the value here with Marshall as a short home favorite against the Bobcats. The Thundering Herd come in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. The most recent was an impressive 93-87 win at Toledo as a 5-point dog. As for Ohio, they are just 5-4 overall and have struggled away from home against better competition. Last time they were on the road was at Maryland on 12/7 and they lost by 25. Bobcats are giving up a staggering 85.2 ppg on the road and that's going to be a problem here against Marshall, as they come in averaging 89.3 ppg. Thundering Herd are 25-13 ATS in their last 38 as a favorite, 10-2 in their last 12 after playing a game as a road underdog and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Take Marshall! |
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12-16-17 | Clemson v. Florida -5 | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida - I like the value here with the Gators laying a short number against Clemson on Saturday. While this is technically a neutral site game, it's going to feel like a home game for Florida, as it's being played in their home state at the BB&T Center. The Gators were able to right the ship after losing 3 straight with a 66-60 win over Cincinnati last time out. I look for this team to carry over that momentum here against the Tigers. Gators are a solid 35-19 ATS in their last 54 games away from home when they come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4 and are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Clemson on the other hand is a mere 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Florida! |
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12-16-17 | Northern Iowa +2.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Iowa + I absolutely love the value here with UNI as a dog in Saturday's neutral site showdown against in-state rival ISU. My power rankings show that the Panthers should be the ones favored in this contest. The big reason they aren't is the fact that the Cyclones come in having won 7 straight, but the best wins for ISU are a neutral site game against Boise State and a home win over Iowa. The Cyclones are also way down this year, as they lost a ton from last year's team and are likely headed for a finish near the basement of the loaded Big 12. UNI is an experienced team that has proven itself against some of the big boys early. The Panthers are 8-2 with the two losses coming away from home against the likes of UNC and Villanova. They also have some impressive wins, knocking off the likes of SMU, NC State and UNLV. Panthers are 10-1 ATS in their last 12 against the Big, while ISU is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against the Missouri Vally. Panthers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games played on a neutral site and 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 off a win. Take Northern Iowa! |
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12-16-17 | Oregon -7 v. Boise State | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
5* Boise St/Oregon Las Vegas Bowl Top Play on Oregon - A lot of people are taking Boise State here and I think a big reason for that is fact that Oregon head coach Willie Taggart left for Florida State. There's also concerns if star running back Royce Freeman will play. I believe it's created some great line value here with the Ducks, who I think are the far superior team. Oregon replaced Taggart with offensive coordinator Mario Cristobal, so there's no going to be no changes to how they run their offense. They also still have defensive coordinator Jim Leavitt around, so no changes on defense. Not having Taggart isn't going to hurt this team. In fact, I think it adds some incentive for them to play well for their new head coach. As far as Freeman is concerned, it would be great if he played, but at the same time I don't think they will miss him. Backup Kani Benoit was arguably more productive, though he only had 573 yards to Freeman's 1,475. Benoit has only got 80 carries, where Freeman has 244. Benoit actually averages 1.2 more yards/carry and at his current pace (10) would have close to 30 TD's if he produced the same over the same number of carries as Freeman. On top of that, it's sophomore quarterback Justin Herbert who is the most important offensive player for Oregon. This team averaged right around 50 ppg with him in the lineup and around 15 without him and that was over a 5-game stretch. Boise St has a solid defense, but it hasn't seen anything like the speed of the Ducks and I think they struggle to slow this high-powered offense down. As for the Broncos offense, I'm also not all that impressed with what I've seen and they could be without their best back in Alexander Mattison, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Either way I don't see Boise State keeping pace here. Take Oregon! |
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12-15-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Celtics - After going on an absolute tear, Boston has come down to earth a little bit here of late, as they are just 2-2 SU in their last 4 and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5. I think it's led to a great price to back the Celtics at home here against the Jazz. Utah has been up and down this season, but are not playing well right now. The Jazz have lost 4 straight with the most recent being a 100-103 loss at Chicago. Prior to that they lost by double-digits to both the Bucks and Rockets. This is now their 3rd straight on the road and while Boston is a legit opponent, I think upcoming games against the Cavs and Rockets are ones they will be more excited for. Celtics have also owned bad road teams at home, going 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 off a straight up win. Take Boston! |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers OVER 212 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Sixers OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Friday's NBA action that has the 76ers hosting the Thunder. Philadelphia comes in off an impressive 118-112 road win over the Timberwolves. The 76ers are now averaging 108.6 ppg, while allowing 108.9 ppg. In Philadelphia's last 5 games, the average final combined score has been 223 points. OKC has had all kinds of problems offensively, but I don't think this 76ers defense is going to be good enough to slow them down. I also think we don't see the best from the Thunder defensively off that emotional game on Wednesday at the Pacers, where Paul George made his return to Indiana. Look for these two teams to light up the nets tonight on ESPN. Take the OVER! |
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12-15-17 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 210 | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA action between the Clippers and Wizards. The Clippers just can't seem to stay healthy. Going into tonight's game they will be without Patrick Beverley, Blake Griffin, Danilo Gallinari and Austin Rivers. They will be taking on a Wizards team that has been playing well defensively, as they are only giving up just 98.8 ppg over their last 5, while also holding their opponents to just 43% from the field. As for the Wizards, they are coming off a couple of poor showings offensively. First they only managed 98 on the road against the Nets and then in John Wall's return against Memphis, they only finished with 93. Clippers have held each of their last 2 opponents to 95 or less and really have no choice be to try and slow the game way down to stay competitive. I think these two will be lucky to hit 200. Give me the UNDER! |
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12-14-17 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 211 | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Warriors OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Warriors hosting the Mavericks. Golden State is still without Steph Curry and aren't expected to have Draymond Green, Zaza Pachulia or Nick Young for this one. I think those players not being available is playing into this short number on the total. The Warriors still have two prolific scorers in Durant and Thompson. I also think the loss of Green hurts them defensively, especially with Pachulia also out. They will have no choice but to play small. Dallas isn't a great offensive team, but a big part of why they don't score a ton is they like to play at a slow pace. They will have no choice here but to play with the Warriors tempo on the road and I think we see a slightly higher scoring output from them here. OVER is 13-6 in the Warriors last 19 vs teams from the Western Conference and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 against a bad team like Dallas that has won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts OVER 40.5 | 25-13 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
3* Broncos/Colts TNF Total ANNIHILATOR on Colts OVER I really like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's NFL action that has the Colts hosting the Broncos. It's no secret that Denver has a great defense. Those that forgot, the Broncos reminded them of how good they are last week against the Jets, who they shutout and held to 100 total yards. I believe that strong effort combined with the Colts struggles on offense has this total way to low. The biggest thing here is that neither team has anything to play for right now and it's no secret how much these players hate these Thursday night games. I just don't see either team being all that motivated in this one and we continue to see teams struggle defensively in these Thursday games. As good as the numbers say Denver's defense is, they had allowed at least 20 points in 8 straight prior to last week and are giving up a staggering 30.5 ppg. As far as the Colts defense is concerned, they aren't very good. I also think we see both teams take a lot more shots down the field with this game not meaning anything. Wouldn't be shocked at all if these two hit 50 points. Take the OVER! |
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12-13-17 | Hornets v. Rockets OVER 220 | Top | 96-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
5* NBA Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets OVER I just don't think the books have set the bar high enough for tonight's total with the Rockets and Hornets. Houston is playing out of their minds right now. The Rockets are 21-4 through their first 25 games and have not lost a game with Chris Paul in the lineup. They are doing it behind an offense that averages 115 ppg, shoots 47% from the field (48% at home) and averages 16 made 3-pointers per game. They should have their way here against the Hornets, who come in allowing 107.4 ppg on the road. I think we see Houston eclipse 120 and that would mean all we need out of Charlotte is for them to score a measly 100 points. I think give us more than that. The Hornets are coming off a 116 point showing at OKC on Monday, where they hit 53% from the field. I also think we don't see a big effort here from Houston defensively off a big come from behind win over the Pelicans on Monday and a huge game against the Spurs on deck Friday. Take the OVER! |
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12-13-17 | Grand Canyon +11.5 v. Boise State | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grand Canyon + I like the value here with the Antelopes as a double-digit dog against the Broncos. Most people haven't even heard of Grand Canyon and will just assume they aren't any good, but this is a legit threat to make the NCAA Tournament, as they are considered the team to beat in the WAC. They are off to a strong 7-2 start and are locking down teams on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 59 ppg (nearly 11 points less per game than what their opponents average). Boise is averaging 78 ppg, but that's come against teams that on average allow 75.7 ppg. I'm not saying the Antelopes will win this game outright, but it's not out of the question. Take Grand Canyon! |
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12-13-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock +11.5 v. Bradley | 46-86 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Ark-Little Rock + I like the value here we are catching with the Trojans as a double-digit dog against the Braves. Arkansas-Little Rock comes in at just 2-7 while Bradley is sitting at 7-2 with a perfect 5-0 record at home. Most will just lay the points here with the Braves, but I think this is going to be a tough spot for them to play well. That's because Bradley hasn't played since 12/3 and this will be just their 3rd game in the last 18 days. It's just not the same practicing as it is playing in real games and I think we see a rusty Braves squad here, especially with the Trojans not being a team to get all that excited to play. Take Arkansas-Little Rock! |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas -5 | 59-52 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas - I like the value here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a short number here at home against the Wolverines. Michigan comes in with a respectable 8-3 record, but I haven't been all that impressed with this team. Last time out they got an extremely fortunate win and cover at home against UCLA, as they overcame a 15-point deficit to beat the Bruins 78-69 as a 7-point favorite in overtime. Wolverines have played 2 true road games and neither went well, as they lost by 15 at UNC and by 9 at Ohio State. Texas has started out 6-2 and are a team I think is flying under the radar in 2017. The Longhorns went just 11-22 in the first year under Shaka Smart. They are a vastly improved team and we have already seen evidence of that. Texas' only two losses are neutral site games against Duke and Gonzaga, who are both ranked in the Top 15. Keep in mind they had the Blue Devils on the ropes, as they blew a 16-point lead in an overtime loss. I not only think the Longhorns win here, but I could see this turning into a blowout. Take Texas! |
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12-12-17 | Wizards -3.5 v. Nets | 98-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Wizards - I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Nets. The Wizards have played better than expected while John Wall has been sidelined and I look for them to have no problem here putting away Brooklyn. One of the reasons Washington has continued to play so well is they are shooting lights out. They finished each of their last two games hitting 50% from the field. While the Wizards are clicking offensively, the Nets are struggling with their shot. Brooklyn only managed 89 points on 41% shooting in their last game against the Heat and have hit 44% or worse from the field in 3 of their last 4 overall. Wizards are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100+ points and 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss. Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 off a double-digit loss at home and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Washington! |
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12-12-17 | Charleston Southern -5 v. South Carolina State | Top | 88-91 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston Southern - I really like the value here with the Bucs as a short road favorite against the Bulldogs. Charleston Southern comes in having won 4 of their last 5, including a road win at Illinois State. South Carolina State is projected to finish near the bottom of the MEAC and are off to a poor 2-9 start with their only wins coming against the likes of Morris College and Brevard College. Last time out they lost to Furman by 29 points. This is simply a much bigger mismatch than the books are suggesting with this line. Take Charleston Southern! |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins +11.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Patriots/Dolphins MNF ATS NO BRAINER on Dolphins + This is simply too many points to pass up with on the Dolphins at home against a division rival, even when that opponent is the Patriots. No surprise here that New England is being way overvalued by the books in this one. The Patriots come in having won 8 straight and have covered the spread in each of their last 6. Just two weeks ago they beat these same Dolphins 35-17 as a massive 16.5-point home favorite. It all adds up to Miami getting way too points given the circumstances. The Dolphins will have Jay Cutler at quarterback, who missed the previous game. As for the Patriots, they have all kinds of guys banged up right now and arguably their biggest weapon in tight end Rob Gronkowski is suspended. The Dolphins are going to play their hearts out here and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Note that Brady and the Pats have lost 3 of their last 4 trips to Hard Rock Stadium. Take Miami! |
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12-11-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +7.5 | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls + I like the value here with Chicago catching a decent number here at home against the Celtics. The Bulls are a miserable 5-20 on the season and it's no surprise given the rebuild they are undergoing. The thing is, some key injuries kept them from being all that competitive early on. They have got quite a few of those guys back and are starting to form some chemistry. Chicago has won 2 straight and are playing with a ton of confidence. As good as Boston has been playing, it won't be easy for the Celtics to take this Bulls team all that seriously. This also isn't a great spot for Boston, who just played in Detroit last night and will be playing their 3rd straight on the road in a span of just 4 days. Keep in mind that this is a team that gets their opponents best just about every time they take the floor. Wouldn't be shocked if the Bulls took control early and the Celtics found a way to win late. At the same time, I also wouldn't be surprised if Boston lost this game outright. Take Chicago! |
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12-10-17 | Mavs v. Wolves OVER 207 | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Mavs OVER Books have set the bar too low for Sunday's total between the Mavs and Timberwolves. Dallas doesn't have great offensive numbers on the season, but are averaging 105.2 ppg over their last 5, which includes a 122-point outburst against the Nuggets. Minnesota's not a good defensive team, as they allow 107 ppg. The Wolves are a good offensive team and are averaging 109 ppg over their last 5. I think these two teams easily hit the 215 mark. Take the OVER! |
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12-10-17 | Arizona State v. Kansas -11 | 95-85 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas - I like this Arizona State team, but my money is on the Jayhawks to not only win but to win convincingly on Sunday. Kansas started to get a big head after their 7-0 start and simply didn't come to play in their last game, which they lost 65-74 to Washington at the Sprint Center as a 22-point favorite. I believe that loss will have the Jayhawks locked in for this one. The Sun Devils are a perfect 8-0 on the season, but have had a pretty easy schedule and the big key here is that this will be their first true road game of the season. Take Kansas! Â Â |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 42 | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 115 h 43 m | Show | |
4* NFL Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Giants UNDER I think we are getting some great value here on the total for Sunday's NFC East showdown between the Cowboys and Giants. With last week's impressive 38-14 win over the Redskins, Dallas improved to 6-6, keeping their playoff hopes alive. New York lost 17-24 at Oakland and following the loss the team fired head coach Ben McAdoo. They also stated that after not starting against the Raiders, Eli Manning would take back the starting job. It might seem like the Giants are a mess right now, but I'm pretty confident they are going to show up to play on Sunday. Simply put, these NFC East teams hate each other and New York would love nothing more than to play a part in keeping the Cowboys out of the playoffs. I expect a huge effort here from the Giants and I think that defense can keep the Cowboys in check. Keep in mind that Dallas had really struggled offensively in the first 3 games without Ezekiel Elliot and a big reason they scored 38 against the Redskins is Washington was decimated with injuries and playing on the road in a short week of rest. As for the Giants' offense, there's not a lot this unit can do right now. No matter how hard they play, they are still going to be extremely limited on that side of the ball. They still don't have any threat of a running game and the offensive line can pass block. I look for a highly motivated Dallas defense to keep them in check and for this to finish well below the mark set by the books. Take the UNDER! |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
5* NFL Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Panthers I love the value here with Carolina getting points at home. The Panthers are one of the better teams in the league and simply shouldn't be a dog on their home field. Minnesota is simply overvalued right now, as the Vikings have won 8 straight and covered each of their last 7. The big key here is that this is a really tough spot for Minnesota, who will be playing their 3rd straight on the road. It doesn't come up a ton in the NFL, but teams tend to really struggle in that 3rd straight game away from home. I think that will be the case here for the Vikings, who are off two tough games on the road against the Lions and Falcons. Panthers come in off a loss at New Orleans, but had won and covered 4 straight prior to that. They have bounced back nicely, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a SU loss. Take Carolina! |
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12-10-17 | Lions v. Bucs OVER 43 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Lions OVER I think we are getting some great value here on the total in Sunday's NFL action between the Lions and Bucs. Both these teams can score points in a hurry. Detroit's one of the higher scoring teams in the league at 26.2 ppg. Tampa Bay comes in averaging 23.3 ppg over their last 3 and the big key here is they will be going up against a Lions defense that allows 25.7 ppg. OVER is 10-4 in the Lions last 14 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 5-0 in their last 5 vs the NFC. Take the OVER! |
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12-10-17 | Lions v. Bucs +127 | 24-21 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NFL Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Bucs + I like the Bucs to win outright at home against the Lions on Sunday. The public is going to be all over Detroit, as they see them as the only team with something to play for, but Tampa Bay isn't just going to lay down on their home field. I expect the Bucs to come out and play well here. There's also a reason the Lions are in the spot they are, as they simply aren't as good as people think. The offense can put up points, but the defense hasn't been very good, allowing 74 points over their last two games. Look for the Bucs offense to put up a big number here and win this one going away. Take Tampa Bay! |
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12-09-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Western Illinois +3.5 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Illinois + I like the value here with the Leathernecks as a home dog against the Panthers. Western Illinois has been in this spot before, as they were just a 2-point home dog to IUPUI and they went onto to win that game outright 90-77. They also beat Eastern Illinois as a 4.5-point home dog. Milwaukee has started out 6-3, but this isn't a good team and are expected to finish near the basement of the Horizon League. Simply not the kind of team that should be laying points on the road against a quality team. The Leathernecks pack quite a punch offensively, as they come in averaging 76.6 ppg (83.2 at home), while shooting 51% from the field (54% at home). The Panthers haven't had a lot of success against teams like this, as they are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 against a team that's shooting 45% or better from the field. Take Western Illinois! |
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12-09-17 | Lakers +6 v. Hornets | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Lakers + I think the books have made a big error here with Saturday's NBA line on the Lakers and Hornets. Los Angeles shouldn't be getting this many points, as it should be much closer to a pick'em given the circumstances. The Lakers have struggled, but come in off an impressive road win over a good 76ers team and I look for them to build off that with another good showing against Charlotte. Hornets are a perfect team to fade here. Not only are they not playing well, but they are in a terrible scheduling spot after last night's overtime game against the Bulls. All 5 of Charlotte's starters logged big minutes and they are a deep team at the moment, as they got a few key guys banged up. I look for the Hornets to struggle to keep up with the fast pace of the Lakers and wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-09-17 | UCLA v. Michigan -4.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Michigan - I really like the value here with the Wolverines laying a short number at home against the Bruins. UCLA comes in at 7-1 and overvalued in my opinion. They have a couple of close wins over Georgia Tech and Wisconsin, but I don't think those wins are as impressive as people think. The best team they faced was Creighton and they lost by 11. Michigan isn't an elite team, but one that I think will give these Bruins a lot of problems. Big key here is that this will be UCLA's first true road game of the season. Wolverines are a perfect 5-0 at home, where they are outscoring their opponents by 20 ppg. I look for Michigan's defense to be the difference here. Wolverines are allowing just 63.3 ppg against teams that average nearly 77, while the Bruins are allowing 75.1 against teams that average 76. UCLA is also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a cover and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Michigan! |
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12-08-17 | Oklahoma v. USC -1.5 | 85-83 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on USC - I think we are getting the Trojans at a great price here in basically a pick'em against the Sooners. While this game is technically being played on a neutral court at the Staples Center in LA, I expect it to feel like a home game with how close it is to USC's campus. On top of that, I think the Trojans are the far superior team in this matchup. Oklahoma comes in at 6-1 and a lot of people are taking notice of this team because of the play of freshman Trae Young, who leads the nation at 28.7 ppg and is 3rd in assists at 8.7 apg. I just think the Sooners rely too much on Young and it's going to be hard for them to compete with a loaded USC team that is strong top to bottom. Not to mention the Trojans will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after losing their last two. Nothing to be ashamed about with those two defeats, as one was against Texas A&M and the other a true road game at SMU. Trojans bounce back in a big way here. Take USC! |
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12-08-17 | Raptors -6 v. Grizzlies | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto I like the value here with the Raptors laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Grizzlies. Toronto is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. The Raptors have won 4 straight and are 10-3 in their last 13, yet no one is talking about them. They have been especially good on offense here of late, scoring 120 or more points in 3 straight games. I just don't see the Grizzlies being able to keep pace. Memphis has scored more than 95 points just once in their last 10 games and are a mere 1-12 over their last 13. The Grizzlies deserve to be a much bigger dog here, even with this game on their home court. Memphis is just 13-24 ATS in their last 37 against the Eastern Conference and a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a loss. Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a win more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Toronto! |
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12-07-17 | Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -7 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Fran I like the value here with Dons at home against a struggling Eastern Washington team. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5, with the most recent being a 19-point loss at Seattle. One of the reasons Eastern Washington is hitting a wall here is they have been on the road since they opened the season at home against Walla Walla. Since that game they have played 7 straight on the road, with 5 of those being true road games. San Francisco has won 4 of their last 6 and are fresh off a win over Central Arkansas at home. Unlike the Eagles, the Dons have enjoyed playing the majority of their games at home, as they have had just 1 game on the road. The Dons have been a great bet against bad teams, as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take San Francisco! |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons +2 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Saints/Falcons TNF ATS NO BRAINER on Falcons + I really like the value here with Atlanta as a home dog against the Saints on Thursday Night Football. It does look like the books are adjusting to the bad line they put out and I would gladly back the Falcons at anything less than a field goal. We are simply seeing a big overreaction here to last week, where Atlanta failed in a similar spot at home as a 3-point favorite against the Vikings. The Falcons lost 9-14 to Minnesota, despite the offense playing about as poorly as they have all season. Atlanta had to settle for 3 field goals and were a miserable 1-10 of 3rd down. I expect a big bounce back effort here from that Falcons offense. I know the Saints' defense has been playing much better, but we often see the defense for the road team struggle in these Thursday games, as they just don't have the time to prepare on the short rest. While a lot of teams hate these Thursday night games, the Falcons have played some of their best football in these matchups, as they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Thursday. The Falcons are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs the NFC and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 after scoring less than 15 points. Take Atlanta! |
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12-07-17 | Lakers +7.5 v. 76ers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Lakers + I'll go against the public here and back the Lakers as a decently priced dog here in Thursday's TNT showdown with the 76ers. LA has lost 5 straight, but it's been a brutal stretch where 3 of the 5 were on the road and the two home games were against the likes of the Warriors and Rockets. I think it has the Lakers way undervalued here against Philadelphia. At the same time, the public is fully on board with this 76ers team now and are now way overvalued because of it. These two teams played in LA about a month ago. While the 76ers won that game, it was a mere 6-point win and that was with the Lakers shooting a horrible 38.5% from the field and Philadelphia hitting on 49% of their attempts. I think that we get a big enough effort here from LA to give the 76ers a scare and keep this within the number. Last time out Philadelphia lost 101-115 at home to a bad Suns team and the 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-06-17 | Pacific +5.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacific  + I love the value here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog against the Aggies. Pacific went just 11-22 last year in the first season under head coach Damon Stoudamire. This should be a much improved team in 2017 and they are off to a strong 5-4 start and come in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. The Tigers did lose to UC Davis at home in their second game of the season 58-62, which I think is playing into this line here. Pacific was a 4-point favorite in that game and based off that line you would only expect them to be around a 2-3 point dog on the road against the Aggies. I'll take my chances here with the Tigers getting their revenge, plus this is a great spot to fade UC Davis off their big upset win on the road over Washington State, where they won 81-67 as a 7.5-point dog. Tigers are 32-15 ATS in their last 47 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, while the Aggies are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home non-conference games. Take Pacific! |
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12-06-17 | Heat v. Spurs -7.5 | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NBA Sharp Action ATS NO BRAINER on Spurs - I'm backing San Antonio here at home against the Heat on Wednesday, as I look for the Spurs to win here by double-digits. San Antonio has gotten off to a respectable 16-8 start given they haven't played a single game with their best player in Kawhi Leonard. The big key here is the Spurs haven't missed Leonard at all on their home floor, where they are a dominant 11-2 SU and 8-4 ATS on the season. Miami came in with big expectations after their strong finish last year, but are just 11-12 and come in having lost 3 of their last 4. The Heat will also be without one of their best players in Hassan Whiteside. I just don't think Miami is a team that's capable of competing at less than full strength on the road against a team like the Spurs. Take San Antonio! |
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12-06-17 | Brown v. Providence -20.5 | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence - The Friars should have no problem here winning in blowout fashion over Brown at home. Providence comes in at 6-2 with their only two losses coming against a very good Minnesota team at home and a good Rhode Island team on the road. The most recent was that loss to the Rams and I think that will have the Friars not looking past the Bears and coming out with one of their best efforts. Brown simply isn't a good team. They were picked by most experts to finish near the basement of the Ivy League and are off to a 4-4 start with their only wins coming against J&W-Providence, Quinnipiac, Long Island and Bryant. They have ugly losses to to the likes of St Francis-NY, Stony Brook and Central Connecticut State. They also lost at Rhode Island by 24, which is a pretty clear sign of how big a gap we have here from the Friars to the Bears. Take Providence! |
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12-06-17 | Buffalo v. Delaware +3.5 | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Delaware + I like the value here with the Blue Hens as a home dog against the Bulls. Delaware comes in having lost their last 2, but are 4-4 on the season. The Blue Hens have experience with 4 returning starters, while also getting big time contributions from a couple of freshman in Kevin Anderson (12.3 ppg) and Ryan Allen (11.6 ppg). They are 2 of 5 players for Delaware that are averaging in double-figures. Buffalo is a team that a lot of people had picked to win the MAC East and I think it has them a bit overvalued here on the road. The Bulls just lost at home to St Bonaventure by 11 as a 1-point favorite. Buffalo lost their two best players and only returned 4 starters. That lack of experience will make it tough for them to win on the road here against a balanced Blue Hens offensive attack. Take Delaware! |
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12-06-17 | Toledo v. Detroit +4 | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Detroit + I like the value here with the Titans catching points at home against the Rockets. Detroit comes in off back-to-back losses at IUPU-Fort Wayne (82-91) and UCLA (73-106). That most recent 33 point loss to the Bruins has them way undervalued here against a pretty average Toledo team that is expected to finish near the bottom of the MAC standings. Playing at home is a big time advantage for the Titans, who are 2-0 at home this season, but what I really like is this teams ability to score the basketball. Detroit comes in averaging 91.1 ppg on 46% shooting from the field. They will be going up against a Toledo defense that is allowing 82.7 ppg and 53% shooting on the road. I just don't see the Rockets being able to keep pace and will call for the outright win here for the Titans. Take Detroit! |
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12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers OVER 203 | 106-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Blazers hosting the Wizards. I just feel like we are getting value here due to Washington coming off an absolutely dreadful offensive showing in a 69-116 loss at Utah. That's a Jazz team that's playing some of their best basketball and they just got back their defensive ace in big man Rudy Gobert. Simply put the Wizards didn't have it last night. I think we see a completely different team take the court tonight off that embarrassing loss. Keep in mind they had scored 100+ without John Wall in each of their previous two games against the 76ers and Pistons and will be up against a Blazers team that is giving up 109.4 ppg over their last 5. While the offense should be better, I think we get another poor showing from the Washington defense, as they play in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just let Utah shoot 57% from the field last night. Take the OVER! |
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12-05-17 | Texas A&M v. Arizona +2 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH  on Arizona + Love the value here with Arizona catching points in Tuesday's game against Texas A&M. While this game is technically being played on a neutral site at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, it's going to feel like a home game for the Wildcats. I believe this line is a direct result of the Wildcats struggles in the Battle 4 Atlantis, where they lost 3 straight to NC State, SMU and Purdue. They have since responded with a 30+ point win over Long Beach State and a outright win on the road against a very good UNLV team. This is a statement game for Arizona and I think they get it done against the Aggies, who are getting a little too much respect here after their 7-0 start. The Wildcats have owned the SEC, going a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs teams from the SEC. On the flip side of this Texas A&M is a mere 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs the Pac-12. Take Arizona! |
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12-05-17 | Montana State v. Central Michigan -2 | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Central Michigan - I like the value here with the Chippewas at basically a pick'em at home against the Bobcats. Central Michigan comes in at 6-1 and have won 5 straight. While the schedule hasn't been all that challenging for the Chippewas, they did show some of their potential in a mere 7-point loss at Michigan as a massive 22.5-point dog. Montana State is 6-3 but their two toughest games this season have come at Louisiana Tech and Fresno State and they lost both by double-digits. The Bobcats are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 against a team with a winning record, while the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs a team with a winning record. Take Central Michigan! |
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12-04-17 | Bucks +6 v. Celtics | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Bucks + I like the value here with Milwaukee catching a decent number here at Boston on Monday. The Celtics are a great team and playing as well as any team to start the year, I think this team is getting a little too much respect and are going to struggle here to put away a red-hot Bucks team that has won 3 straight and 8 of their last 11. Keep in mind that these two teams have already played twice this season and Milwaukee has played them tough both times, including a 108-100 win at Boston. That was back before they made a huge upgrade by trading for Eric Bledsoe. Celtics have been shooting lights out, but are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% or more of their shots. Take Milwaukee! |
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12-04-17 | Appalachian State v. Western Carolina +3 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Western Carolina + I like the value here with the Catamounts as a home dog against the Mountaineers. Western Carolina is just 2-6 to start the year, but have played a brutal schedule with non-conference games against the likes of Clemson, Cincinnati and Minnesota (all on the road). I just don't feel this team is getting enough respect here at home against Appalachian State. The Catamounts returned all 5 starters from last year and will be playing only their second home game of the season. Mountaineers are just 1-4 on the road, where they are giving up a staggering 90.4 ppg. App State is also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games off a home win, while the Catamounts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 at home after losing 3 of 4. Take Western Carolina! |
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12-04-17 | Michigan v. Ohio State -2 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State - I like the value here with the Buckeyes laying a short number at home against the Wolverines. This Ohio State team is flying under the radar and I'll gladly back them at basically a pick'em here against what I think is an overrated Michigan team. The Buckeyes just won outright 83-58 at Wisconsin as a 7.5-point dog, which just goes to show how undervalued they are right now. Michigan was able to knock off Indiana by 14 at home, but this is simply not as good a team as they had a year ago and I think they struggle a lot on the road this season. We already have seen them lose on a neutral floor to a pretty bad LSU team and got blown out on the road by UNC. Take Ohio State! |
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12-03-17 | Spurs +4.5 v. Thunder | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Spurs + I like the value here with San Antonio as an underdog against the Thunder. The Spurs have are quietly off to another great start and come in having won 4 straight and are 10-3 over their last 13. OKC is still trying to figure things out and I just don't think they can be trusted here against an efficient Spurs offense. The Thunder are just 5-9 SU and 3-10-1 ATS over their last 14 games. I'll take the points here, but I think we see the Spurs win outright. Take San Antonio! |
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12-03-17 | Giants v. Raiders -7 | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 103 h 13 m | Show |
5* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR on Raiders - I absolutely love this spot for Oakland, as I think the Giants are a massive fade right now. New York showed some life with a surprising win over Kansas City at home and while they didn't cover in their last game against the Redskins, they were in a great position to late. The thing is the Chiefs couldn't be playing much worse right now and Washington is decimated with injuries, which really showed up in their game on Thursday against the Cowboys. New York played about as well as they could in those two games and easily could have lost both. I just don't see the same effort going forward, especially after the team announced they were benching Eli Manning for Geno Smith. That's a pretty clear picture to the players and coaching staff that the goal from here on out isn't to win games. It's not like they are playing Smith to see if they have something for next year. They are downgrading at the most important position on the field on purpose. Oakland hasn't been playing up to expectations this year, but this is still a decent team that when they are right can light up the scoreboard. They also desperately need to win this game to keep any hope alive of making the playoffs. I only see one team showing up to play on Sunday and any time that happens, that's a recipe for a blowout. Take Oakland! |
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12-03-17 | Lions v. Ravens -140 | 20-44 | Win | 100 | 75 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Ravens - I'm going to play Baltimore on the money line here at home against the Lions on Sunday. The Ravens are a team I think is poised to make a run down the stretch. Jim Harbaugh coached teams usually get better as the season moves along and the defense in Baltimore is the real deal. I just don't see them losing on their home field in a game that I think will a playoff atmosphere to it. I know the Lions are 6-5, but I just don't trust this team at all right now, especially on the road. The offense is one dimensional, as they continue to struggle to run the ball. They also aren't a great defensive team and more times than not the non-elite defenses tend to struggle a lot more on the road. Lions rank in the bottom 10 in the league against both the run and the pass. As bad as Flacco and that Ravens offense has been, I think this is a defense they can have success against. As for the Lions and that pass dependent offense, this is a horrible matchup for them. The Ravens strength defensively is stopping the pass. Baltimore ranks 2nd in the league, giving up just 189.9 ypg though the air. Stafford is going to have to force it into coverage and I think that leads to a few turnovers, which could turn this into a bit of a blowout. Take Baltimore! |
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12-03-17 | Texans v. Titans OVER 42.5 | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NFL Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Texans OVER Everyone knows the Texans aren't anywhere close to the same offensive team with Tom Savage at quarterback. After their struggles on MNF last week against the Ravens, I don't know that the perception can get much worse with Houston's offense. No one is going to be in a hurry to place a bet on the OVER in a game involving the Texans, especially against a pretty average offense like Tennessee. I think the books are well aware of this and have set the total too low for this matchup. While Savage threw 3 picks and the Texans only scored 16 points against the Ravens, I think they showed some positive signs. Savage did complete 22 of 37 for 252 yards, as he was able to get something going with DeAndre Hopkins, who had 7 catchers for 125. Keep in mind that was against a Baltimore secondary that is giving up the 2nd fewest yards. The week before Houston put up 31 on the Cardinal. Savage had 230 yards and Hopkins had 4 for 76. The Titans come in ranked 20th against the pass, giving up 234.3 ypg. I think Savage has a decent day here and the Texans score well into the 20's. I also think Tennessee's offense will produce here. The Titans are a different offensive team on their home field, as they are scoring 26.4 ppg at home this season. Houston's defense is good but not great and I think they get a little too much credit on that side of the ball. IN their last two games they let an awful Baltimore offense put up 23 and the week before gave up 21 to a Cardinals team that was starting a 3rd stringer at QB. Marcus Mariota should play well and it wouldn't shock me if the Titans hung a 30 spot here. Take the OVER! |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin UNDER 52 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Wisconsin UNDER I like the value here the total in Saturday's Big Ten Championship Game between Ohio State and Wisconsin. I just think the mark here has been set way too high for this matchup. I know the Badgers have had an easy schedule and haven't faced a lot of great offenses, but this defense has been up to the task and I think they are for real on that side of the ball. As good as the Buckeyes have been offensively, I think they struggle here. While Ohio State put up great offensive numbers on the season, they did a lot of their damage against bad teams. This is also a team that only scored 16 on a Oklahoma defense that allowed 52 in a game and 30 or more 5 times. I just think that if you can take away the Buckeyes ground game, there offense struggles to move the ball. J.T. Barrett is not a great pocket passer and gets a lot of his big plays throwing deep against teams that have to load the box to stop the run. Wisconsin ranked 1st in the country, giving up only 80.5 ypg on the ground and held teams to just 2.6 yards/carry. The other key here is that even if the Buckeyes are able to move, I don't think they score enough to push this over the mark. That's because I think the Badgers are going to have a miserable time running the ball. Wisconsin relies even more than Ohio State on the running game and the Buckeyes are simply too good up front on the defensive line to get pushed around. Urban Meyer and his defense will take away the running game and I just don't think Hornibrook can make enough plays for the Badgers to put together more than a few scoring drives. Take the UNDER 52! |
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12-02-17 | Fresno State +9.5 v. Boise State | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 58 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Fresno + I think the books are taking full advantage of the public's love for Boise State and thus have created some great value here on Fresno State. The Bulldogs beat the Broncos last week 28-17 as 7-point home dog, but most just throw that game away because both teams had nothing to gain, as each had already secured their division titles and knew they would be facing each other again this Saturday. I also think people are slow to give this Fresno State any love because of how big bad they have been. The Bulldogs went just 1-11 last year and weren't expected to be any good. The key for me is I don't think this a fluke at all. Former Cal head coach Jeff Tedford went 82-57 in 11 seasons with the Golden Bears and is why this team is where it is. He's going to have a great game plan here and I love that he gets to beat into his players head all week that no one thinks they are any good. You also have to give props to defensive coordinator Orlondo Steinauer, who has completely transformed the Bulldogs on that side of the ball. Fresno State finished the year 12th in the country, allowing just 17.3 ppg and 16th in total defense, giving up just 317 ypg. That's with returning just 6 starters from a defense that allowed 30.9 ppg and 415 ypg. They also went from allowing an average of 248 rushing yards/game to giving up just 117.3 ypg. I think they have more than offense here to win this one outright. Take Fresno State! |
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12-02-17 | Arkansas -4 v. Houston | 65-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas - I really like this Razorbacks team this year, as they returned 6 seniors with playing experience and brought in an excellent freshman class. Arkansas has been led by senior Jaylen Barford to start, as he's scoring 20.8 ppg. Fellow senior Daryl Macon is right behind him at 16.3 ppg and freshman Daniel Gafford is averaging 12.8 ppg and 5.7 rpg and 1.5 bpg. The only loss so far for the Razorbacks is a loss to UNC. They have impressive wins over Oklahoma (92-83) and UConn (102-67). Houston is a good team and might flirt with making the NCAA Tournament, but I don't think that playing at home is going to be enough for the Cougars to keep this one competitive. Take Arkansas! |
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12-02-17 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Kansas | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Syracuse + I really like the value here with the Orange catching double-digits on a neutral floor against the Jayhawks. Kansas has started out 6-0 and are the No. 2 team in the country. I think they are way overvalued here against a good team. The only legit opponent they have played is Kentucky and they were lucky to leave with a 65-61 win. Syracuse is also 6-0, but because they haven't beat anyone, they aren't getting a ton of love just yet. I think the zone of the Orange can really cause some problems for the Jayhawks and keep this much closer than expected. Take Syracuse! |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show |
5* NCAAF SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgia + It wasn't pretty for the Bulldogs in the first meeting against the Tigers. Georgia went into Auburn sitting at 9-0 and ranked No. 1 in the country. The Bulldogs jumped out to a 7-0 lead, scoring on their first drive, but it was all downhill from there. Auburn led 16-7 at the half and pushed lead up to 40-10 midway through the 4th quarter. I'm not saying the Tigers aren't a great team, I just think they caught Georgia by surprise in that game earlier this season. I also think that was a Bulldogs team that was starting to get a little too cocky with how they were dominating teams. Georgia simply didn't have the same fire that Auburn did, who at that time was already in win or their season is over mode. I think we get a much different looking Bulldogs team here and I like their chances of winning this game outright. Another thing here is I just think Auburn could be running on fumes here. They have been in do or die mode since losing to LSU back in the middle of December. The biggest of them all was last week against rival Alabama, which secured their spot in the SEC title game. This will be their 3rd game against a Top 10 team in their last 4 games, while Georgia hasn't been tested since that loss to Auburn. I think the Tigers will be out of gas. Take Georgia! |
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12-02-17 | Hawks v. Nets OVER 219 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hawks OVER I don't think the books have set the total high enough for Saturday's NBA action that has two of the league's worst going at it when the Nets host the Hawks. Neither of these teams are any good defensively and I don't see them giving a big effort on that side given the opponent. Brooklyn comes in allowing a staggering 115.4 ppg at home this season, so while the Hawks only average 102.8 ppg, look for them to eclipse that mark easily. Not that on the season the Nets are allowing teams to score close to 7 points more per game than what they average. Atlanta's defense isn't much better, as they are allowing 108.8 ppg and while the defense isn't any good for Brooklyn, this Nets team can put it in the basket, as they enter averaging 110.1 ppg on the season and a healthy 115 ppg at home. Take the OVER! |
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12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on TCU + I know the Sooners cruised to a 38-20 win over TCU just a few weeks ago (Nov. 11th), but I think the Horned Frogs are going to put up a much better fight and could even win this game outright. In that first meeting the game was at Oklahoma, which has a huge home field edge. This game will be played at the home of the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. It was also a game where the Sooners struck early and had TCU reeling. Oklahoma was up 24-7 in the first 20 minutes of the game and had a 38-14 edge at the half. Some will say the Sooners called off the dogs in the second half, but I don't think that was the case. A 24-point lead against a good team in the Big 12 is not something to fill safe about in the 3rd quarter. I believe Gary Patterson and his staff made some big adjustments and will be something they can carry over to this second meeting. Patterson is a great coach and brilliant defensive mind. I expect this TCU defense to make life miserable for Baker Mayfield and the Sooners offense. At the same time, I think we see a better game plan here from the Horned Frogs offense and this Oklahoma defense isn't all that good. Take TCU! |
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12-01-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +5 | 95-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies + The public is going to be all over the Spurs here, as San Antonio just beat these Grizzlies 104-95 as 8-point home favorite on Wednesday, as these two play a home-and-home set. It's really hard to win back-to-back games over the same team in a short period of time and keep in mind that it took 41 points from Aldridge for the Spurs to pull away from the Grizzlies a couple days ago. I know Memphis is still without point guard Mike Conley, but they still have some talent and I'm confident they show up with a big time effort here at home in the rematch. It's also worth pointing out the Spurs are just 4-5 on the road compared to 10-2 at home and are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 away from home. Take Memphis! |
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12-01-17 | Davidson v. North Carolina -10.5 | 75-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Non-Conf ATS NO BRAINER on North Carolina - The Tar Heels should have no problem here cruising to a win over the Wildcats in this neutral site meeting at Time Warner Cable Arena. North Carolina's only loss came to Michigan State, who is absolutely loaded this year, as they have started out 6-1 with impressive double-digit wins over the likes of UNI, Arkansas, and Michigan. Davidson has started out 3-2, but their 3 wins are against the likes of Charleston Southern, UNC-Wilmington and Charlotte. They lost by 13 to Nevada and had an ugly 16-point loss to Appalachian State as a 10-point favorite. I just don't see the Wildcats being able to keep this within 20. Take North Carolina! |
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12-01-17 | Stanford v. USC -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
3* Pac-12 Championship ATS ANNIHILATOR on USC - I like the value here with USC laying less than a touchdown in Friday's Pac-12 Championship Game against rival Stanford. The Trojans whooped up on the Cardinal early on in the regular-season, beating the Cardinal 58-34 and it was every bit a blowout as the final score would suggest. USC put up 623 yards while holding Stanford to just 342, as they outgained the Cardinal by a ridiculous 281 yards. I think the perception here is that the Cardinal are a much better team, as they have closed out the season winning 8 of their last 9, including wins over No. 9 Washington and No. 8 Notre Dame in their last 3 games. I'm just not buying them being improved enough to be all that competitive with the Trojans. Like they did a year ago, USC has saved their best football for the end of the year  and are clearly motivated to win the Pac-12 title. Take USC! |
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11-30-17 | San Diego State -4.5 v. San Diego | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Diego State - I like the value here with San Diego State against in-state rival San Diego tonight. The Aztecs are off to a respectable 5-2 start with the only two losses coming at Arizona State and a natural site defeat to Washington State. The most recent loss to the Cougars looks bad on paper, but I also think it's playing into this favorable line here against the Toreros. Another factor in this line being shorter than what I think it should be is the fact that San Diego has started out 5-0, but it's nothing to get too excited about given their best win is against San Jose State, who is one of the worst teams out of the MWC. The Toreros could be a surprise player in the West Coast this season, but they are simply outclassed in this non-conference matchup. Take San Diego State! |
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11-30-17 | Bucks v. Blazers OVER 202.5 | 103-91 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bucks OVER With both of these teams coming off great defensive efforts in their last game, I think it's created some great value here with the total and this one going OVER the mark set by the books. Last time out the Bucks held the Kings to just 87 points, while the Blazers limited the Knicks to just 91. I just think there's too much offensive fire-power here. Milwaukee has scored 108 or more in each of their first 3 games on their 4-game road trip, while the Blazers have scored at least 103 in each of their last 3. OVER is 9-3 in the Bucks last 12 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 5-1 in the Blazers last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 in their last 11 against the Central Division. Take the OVER! |
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