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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-13-18 | Mariners -183 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -183 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners - I have no problem laying heavy juice on the money line with Seattle in Sunday's matchup with the Tigers. The Mariners simply have a massive edge on the mound in this one, as they send out James Paxton, who is coming off a no-hitter, against 31-year-old Blaine Hardy, who is making his first ever career start. Paxton has been throwing at an elite level of late. Last time out he threw a no-hitter on the road against the Blue Jays. The start before that he struck out 16 batters in 7 shutout innings against the A's. Even if he's not on top of his game, he should be able to keep this mediocre Tigers' offense in check. I also think there's a good chance the Mariners provide Paxton with a bunch of run support. Hardy isn't likely too pitch deep in this game and he's well past being a promising prospect at 31. Keep in mind these two teams played a double-header yesterday and Detroit's bullpen had to work 8 2/3 innings. Take Seattle! |
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05-12-18 | Twins +130 v. Angels | Top | 5-3 | Win | 130 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Twins + I'm recommending a play here on Minnesota, as we are simply getting too good of a price to pass up on with the red-hot Twins. Minnesota defeated the Angels 5-4 on Friday and are now 6-1 in their last 7. The surge offensively has been a big reason for their success, as they are scoring 5.9 runs/game during this run. It's not all offense, as they are only giving up 3.3 runs/game. With the way the Twins are swinging the bats, it's hard to not like their chances here with one of their top starters, Kyle Gibson, on the mound. Gibson has only been a part of 2 decisions, but owns a strong 3.49 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also pitched his best on the road, where he has a 2.52 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in 4 outings. Take Minnesota! |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees -179 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Yankees - I'm recommending laying the big juice here and backing the Yankees to win at home over Oakland on Saturday. The A's laid it on New York in the series opener last night in a convincing 10-5 win. I expect a much more focused Yankees team to take the field this afternoon. Keep in mind yesterday's matchup was a prime letdown spot for New York, coming off that big 3-game series against hated rival Boston.  The Yankees manages 5 runs yesterday despite only registering 7 hits. That's how potent this offense can be and they come in averaging 6.4 runs/game. I think the offense is poised for a big day. At the same time, I think it's worth riding New York's starter Domingo German. In his MLB debut the past Sunday he didn't allow a hit, let alone a run in 6 innings, striking out 9. Take New York! |
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05-11-18 | Braves v. Marlins +134 | 3-6 | Win | 134 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins + I like the value here with Miami as a decently priced home dog against division rival Atlanta. So little is expected of the Marlins that they are routinely undervalued and I just feel the price here at home is too good to pass up. The first two starts for Miami's Dan Straily haven't been great, but he did show some improvement in his second outing and I think he's going to continue to trend in the right direction. On the flip side of this the Braves will give the rock to Brandon McCarthy, who has to be second-guessing himself after his most recent outing. In his last start McCarthy gave up 8 runs on 12 hits in just 3 1/3 innings tat home against the Giants. This is a good time for the Marlins offense to produce and they should be able to push across enough runs here to get the win. Take Miami! |
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05-11-18 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +177 | 3-5 | Win | 177 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive home dog against division rival Boston. I know the Red Sox will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, but they were fortunate to win with him on the mound a few starts back at Toronto. Not only do I think the Blue Jays can get to Sale here, but I think this is a great spot to fade Boston coming off their emotional 3-game series against their biggest rivals in the Yankees. Keep in mind this will be the Red Sox's 8th straight game on the road, which I think increases the likelihood of them coming out flat here. Boston is just 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a new series and are 1-4 in Sale's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Toronto! |
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05-11-18 | Mets +144 v. Phillies | Top | 3-1 | Win | 144 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets as a big road dog in Friday's NL East action against the Phillies. Most won't hesitate here to back Philadelphia given the Phillies are 15-5 at home and will have veteran Jake Arrieta on the mound. I just don't think there's that big of an edge here on the mound. New York will send out Steven Matz, who is coming off a great start against the Rockies, where he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings. Matz is 1-3 with a 4.23 ERA, but has pitched much better than his ERA and that's evident by his 1.157 WHIP. I think the Mets have an excellent shot at winning this game and the price here is too good to pass up.  Take New York! |
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05-10-18 | Cardinals v. Padres +142 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Padres + I like the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cardinals. St Louis just got swept in their short 2-game series at home against the Twins and it wasn't pretty. Minnesota outscored the Cardinals 13-1 and I just have big concerns with St Louis going forward without their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina. St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who has pitched very well for the Cardinals this season. However, I think the emotions for Mikolas will be running high in this game, as he was traded by the Padres back in 2013. Not to mention the extra pressure on him to pitch well with how poorly St Louis is swinging the bat. This is simply too good of a price to pass up on the home team. Take San Diego! |
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05-10-18 | Red Sox +136 v. Yankees | 5-4 | Win | 136 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox + I like the value here with Boston as a decently priced road dog in Thursday's series finale against rival New York. The Red Sox had their chances in a 3-2 loss in the series opener on Tuesday. They then blew a 6-5 lead in the 8th of yesterday's 9-6 defeat. I look for Boston to come out here and do whatever it takes to avoid getting swept. On paper the pitching matchup looks to favor the Yankees, who send out veteran C.C. Sabathia and his 1.39 ERA in 6 starts against Eduardo Rodriguez and his ugly 5.29 ERA. The thing is Rodriguez has pitched much better than his ERA would suggest, as he's got a 1.27 WHIP. Boston has also found a way to win all 6 of his starts regardless of how he performs. I look for the offense to stay hot here and propel the Red Sox to the win. Take Boston! |
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05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -1 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics - I like the value here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home against the 76ers in Game 5. Not a big shocker to see Philadelphia avoid getting swept with Game 4 on their home court. As much as the public wants the 76ers to win this series, Boston has proven to be the better team. Too much attention is paid to the Celtics injuries and them not having Irving or Hayward. There's still a ton of talent on this roster and they are deep across the board. The other thing they have that doesn't get the respect it deserves is head coach Brad Stevens. He's the reason Boston is 1-win away from the Eastern Conference Finals despite missing it's two best players. The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 at home in the postseason and I look for them to remain perfect tonight. Take Boston! |
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05-09-18 | Braves v. Rays -101 | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rays - I like the value here with the Rays at basically a pick'em at home against the Braves. Tampa Bay has really been playing well over the last 3 weeks or so. The Rays started out 4-13 in their first 17 games, but have since gone 11-5 with all 5 those losses coming by 1 run or less. I like their chances here against Atlanta, who was fortunate to win the series opener 1-0, as they recorded just 4 hits. I look for the Rays offense to come to life here against Julio Teheran, who has been hit or miss this season. Teheran threw 7 shutout innings in his last start, but couldn't make it out of the 3rd inning in his previous start and owns a modest 3.65 ERA and 1.243 WHIP in 7 starts overall. I'll also take my chances on Rays starter Ryan Yarbrough keeping Atlanta's slumping offense in check. The Braves have scored a total of 6 runs over their last 3 games are are hitting just .218 as at team in their last 7. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-09-18 | Tigers v. Rangers -130 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
5* American League GAME OF THE MONTH  on Rangers - I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Tigers on Wednesday. While Texas ended up on the losing end of yesterday's game against Detroit, the Rangers got a big boost offensively from veteran Adrian Beltre and I look for his return to the lineup to really get this team going. Most are going to look at this pitching matchup in favor of the Tigers, as Detroit sends out Francisco Liriano against the 44-year-old Bartlolo Colon. Both have been sharp early on, but I think Liriano is due for some major regression. He's yet to allow more than 3 runs in a single start. A streak I see coming to an end. In Liriano's last two starts at Texas, he's given up 10 runs on 13 hits (4 HRs) and 6 walks in just 10 2/3 innings of work. Take Texas! |
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05-09-18 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER No Analysis on late releases |
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05-08-18 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Warriors | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pelicans + I like the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 5 on Tuesday. I'm not expecting the Pelicans to win this game outright on the road, but I do think they are going to give Golden State all they can handle. I wasn't all that surprised to see Game 4 turn out the way it did. You just knew the Warriors were going to come out looking to make a statement after how they were embarrassed in a 19-point loss in Game 3. Part of that lopsided result was the effort of Golden State. The other was the Pelicans couldn't buy a basket. New Orleans shot just 36.4% from the field. I look for a few more shots to fall and that should be more than enough to keep the Pelicans within striking distance. Keep in mind they only lost by 5 at Golden State in Game 2 after after a blowout loss in Game 1. Take New Orleans! |
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05-08-18 | Nationals -118 v. Padres | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Nationals - I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Padres on Tuesday. Hard to pass up on the Nationals at this price with how well they are playing. Washington has won their last 2 and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. San Diego has won a mere 13-games all season and are just 6-13 at home. On top of all that, the Nationals have what looks like a clear edge on the mound with Jeremy Hellickson facing off against Clayton Richard. Hellickson will be making his 5th start and has gotten better with each outing. In his last 3 starts he's allowed just 5 runs on 11 hits and 3 walks in 16 1/3 innings. Note that those 3 starts came against quality opponents in the Pirates, Diamondbacks and Dodgers. Richard on the other hand is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.726 WHIP in 7 starts and has been even worse of late with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Washington! |
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05-08-18 | Mets v. Reds -138 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds - I love the value here with the Reds at home against the Mets on Tuesday. New York is trending in the wrong direction. Even with yesterday's 7-6 win over Cincinnati, the Mets are just 1-6 in their last 7 games. This is every bit a play on the Reds as it is a fade of New York starter Jason Vargas. In his first two starts after missing the first month, Vargas has been downright awful. He's given up 15 runs on 20 hits and 5 walks (5 HRs) in 8 1/3 innings. I just don't see him figuring it out on the road in one of the more hitter-friendly parks in the majors. I also think we are about to Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo start to pitch up to his potential. He showed some great signs of turning things around in his last outing, as he allowed just 2 runs over 6 innings against a good Brewers lineup. If Castillo pitches anywhere close to that, this should turn into a blowout rather quickly. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-07-18 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 214 | 93-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Cavs UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Game 4 between the Raptors and Cavs on Monday. After flying over the total in the first two games in Toronto, the two teams combined for just 208 points and finished well below the mark of 214 in Game 3. The deeper the series goes the better the defense gets for both sides, as they know what the other team is trying to do offensively. Throw in this being a big letdown spot for Cleveland with a commanding 3-0 lead and how big this game is for the Raptors, I think we are going to see the lowest-scoring game of the series so far. UNDER is now 5-1 in the Cavs last 6 at home and 5-2 in the Raptors last 7 away from home. Take the UNDER! |
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05-07-18 | Raptors +6 v. Cavs | 93-128 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors + I like the value here with Toronto to keep this within the number and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. I think Cleveland has all the confidence that they can win this series no matter the outcome tonight and it wouldn't be a huge shock to see the Cavs suffer a bit of a letdown here. Either way it will be hard for them to match the intensity of the Raptors, who are facing elimination. It's been an incredible series for LeBron James, but I think a lot of people are overlooking just how close this thing is to Toronto leading the series 2-1. They should have won Game 1 at home and who knows what happens if James doesn't hit that buzzer-beater in Game 3. While no one else believes the Raptors have a shot of coming back in this series, I think they are still very confident they can get it done. Either way, I expect them to keep this close. Take Toronto! |
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05-07-18 | Twins +131 v. Cardinals | 6-0 | Win | 131 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Twins + I really like the value here with Minnesota as a big road dog against the Cardinals on Monday. This is a big time letdown spot for St Louis, who is coming off back-to-back extra inning games against their biggest rivals in the Cubs, with last night's contest going 14-innings. St Louis won both of those games, which only increases the likelihood they struggle to show up with the right mindset for this one. I also think we are going to see the Cardinals start to fall off without their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina. He's especially going to be missed here with a bullpen that's had to put in a lot of work the last couple of days and starter Jon Gant making his big-league debut. With the Twins offense having come to life and starter Fernando Rombero looking sharp in his first outing, I think they get the win here. Take Minnesota! |
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05-06-18 | Marlins v. Reds -111 | 8-5 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MLB No Doubt Money Line BLOWOUT on Reds - I like the value here with the Reds as a short home favorite in Sunday's rubber match against the Marlins. Both starting pitchers have struggled, so this one is likely to which team can put the most runs on the board. While Miami won 6-0 on Saturday, there's little doubt which of these two teams is more potent on offense. I look for the Reds to put up a big number here and help Brandon Finnegan secure his first win of the season. Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and the Marlins are 1-6 in Straily's last 7 rad starts and 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-06-18 | Astros v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros/Diamondbacks UNDER I love the value here with Sunday's interleague showdown between the Astros/Diamondbacks going UNDER the mark set by the books. Both of these offenses have been struggling of late and I just don't see either team getting going here with this pitching matchup. Houston is going to send out veteran Justin Verlander, who is putting up Cy Young type numbers. Verlander is 4-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.671 WHIP in 7 starts. He's yet to give up an earned run on the road this year, which covers 19 innings over 3 starts. Arizona will send out Matt Kock, who has posted a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Take the UNDER! |
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05-06-18 | Warriors -5.5 v. Pelicans | 118-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Warriors - I like the value here with Golden State rebounding from that ugly showing in Game 3, where the Pelicans won going away 119-100. That wasn't a big shocker given how well NO had played against the Blazers in Rd 1 and the Warriors in a bit of a letdown spot after taking a 2-0 lead and getting back Curry. This is still the team to beat and I just don't see them playing anywhere close to as poorly as they did in Game 3. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if the Warriors turned this into a blowout early. Keep in mind they followed up an ugly 13-point loss to the Spurs with a 8-point win and dominant defensive effort, as they held SA to just 37.2% from the field. Pelicans are simply no match when the Warriors are locked in. Take Golden State! |
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05-05-18 | Orioles v. A's -127 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Oakland - I like the value here with the A's as a small home favorite against the Orioles on Saturday. Oakland won the series opener 6-4 last night and I look for them to build off that victory here. The A's will send out Trevor Cahill, who has been a pleasant surprise so far. Cahill has a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts and was sensational in his only outing so far at home, giving up just 5 hits with 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings. Baltimore just hasn't been playing well at all. The Orioles have lost 4 straight and are now 8-24 on the season. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who has a 4.15 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in 6 starts and has give up 7 runs on 15 hits and 4 walks in 10 innings over 2 career starts at Oakland. A's are 6-1 in their last 7 at home and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Oakland! |
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05-05-18 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 207.5 | Top | 101-98 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Game 3 between the 76ers and Celtics. While the first two games of the series have went OVER, the scoring did drop off quite a bit from Game 1 to Game 2. After combining for 118 in Game 1, the two combined for just 111 in Game 2. I look for another drop in scoring here in Game 3. Boston hasn't been nearly as efficient offensively on the road. They scored just 92, 102 and 86 in their 3 games at Milwaukee in the first round. The other big key here is we are going to get everything the 76ers have on the defensive end with the series on the line down 0-2. They also aren't going to take their foot off the gas after blowing that 22 points lead in Game 2. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 100 points in this one. Take the UNDER! |
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05-05-18 | Phillies +131 v. Nationals | Top | 3-1 | Win | 131 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH  on Phillies + I like the value here with the Phillies as a decently priced dog in Saturday's contest at Washington. The Nationals are simply getting too much respect here and the price is too good to pass up on Philadelphia. Washington comes in red-hot, having won 6 straight, including a 7-3 win last night in the series opener. This is talented Phillies team that is going to come out extremely motivated to get a win here and I expect them to do just that. Washington will send out Tanner Roark and have gone just 6-11 when he takes the mound as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Nationals are also just 1-7 in Roark's last 8 starts on 4 days of rest, 1-4 in his last 5 vs a division opponent and 1-4 in his last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Philadelphia! |
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05-04-18 | Angels v. Mariners +115 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT  on Mariners + I like the value here with the Mariners as a decently priced division home dog against the Angels. There's been plenty of hype early on with the Angels because of Ohtani. Now the media is all over this team with Pujols needing just 1-hit to reach 3,000 for his career. The Angels are coming off a sweep of the Orioles, but Baltimore isn't exactly playing well. Seattle has almost an identical record as the Angels and are playing some of their best baseball right now. The Mariners are 7-2 over their last 9 games and are clicking both at the plate and on the mound. Seattle is scoring 6.3 runs/game over their last 7, while giving up only 3.6 runs/game during this stretch. Take Seattle! |
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05-04-18 | Tigers v. Royals -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
5* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals - I love the value here with Kansas City as a short home favorite against the Tigers on Friday. The Royals have won 4 of their last 6, while Detroit is just 3-6 in their last 9. Kansas City's offense is rolling right now. The Royals have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games and have combined for 38 hits over their last 3 games. The Tigers had a decent offensive night last night, but have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 9 games. With no advantage in the starting pitching department, this is an easy play for me at this price on the home team. Take Kansas City! |
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05-04-18 | Warriors v. Pelicans +4.5 | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 60 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pelicans + I like the value here with the Pelicans as a home dog in Game 3 against the Warriors. Most are going to just write-off New Orleans now that Steph Curry is back for Golden State, especially after how well Curry played in his first game back (Game 2), scoring 28 points in 27 minutes. What people are overlooking is just how well the Pelicans played on the road, despite Curry's impressive showing. New Orleans was right there with a chance to win that game in the 4th quarter and ended up losing by just 5. That loss has the Pelicans in a do-or-die scenario. While no one is giving them a real chance to win the series, this is the game they absolutely have to have if they want a chance to pull off the upset. I think New Orleans is going to be the more motivated team and should get a few more foul calls go their way at home. Take New Orleans! |
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05-04-18 | Marlins v. Reds -119 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Reds - I like the value here with the Reds as a short home favorite against the Marlins on Friday. Cincinnati is going to be fired up to get this series started off on the right foot. The Reds were just swept in a 3-game series at home against the Brewers. I know Miami has been playing better, but most of that success has come at home. The Marlins have just 4 wins away from home this season. The bright side for Cincinnati is the offense has been producing of late. The Reds are averaging 5.7 runs/game and hitting .275 as a team over their last 7 games I look for that offense to be the difference here, as starter Sal Romano is trending in the right direction with a 2.87 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-03-18 | 76ers v. Celtics +155 | 103-108 | Win | 155 | 66 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs Bookie BLOWOUT on Celtics + You can grab the points with Boston if you want, but I'm confident the Celtics are not only going to cover but win this one outright. With their convincing 117-101 win in Game 1 over the 76ers, Boston is now a perfect 5-0 on their home floor in the postseason. While everyone else wrote this team off after Irving's injury, this team has continued to believe it has what it takes to make it out of the east. It certainly hasn't hurt that Rozier has really taken his game to the next level and providing that scoring punch they lost with Irving. It's not just how well the young guys are playing, what gets overlooked with the Celtics is just how big of an advantage they have with head coach Brad Stevens. His ability to scheme on both sides of the ball, especially defense, really makes him special. Keep in mind Boston got better and better defensively against the Bucks as the series wore on in the first round. The Celtics should be favored here. Take Boston! |
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05-03-18 | Red Sox -140 v. Rangers | 5-11 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox - I like the value here with Boston on the road in Thursday's series opener against the Rangers. The Red Sox have cooled off a bit from their torrid start, but are still playing really good baseball and have racked up 10+ hits in each of their last 3 games and have scored 21 runs during this stretch. Given how Boston is swinging the bats right now, I got no problem laying a little juice on the road against a bad team like the Rangers, especially with this being a hitters' park. Red Sox starter David Price has a strong 2.29 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 3 road starts this season, while Texas' Mike Minor comes in slumping with a 5.51 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Don't be surprised if the Red Sox blow this thing wide-open early. Take Boston! |
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05-02-18 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 206.5 | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Jazz/Rockets UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Game 2 between the Rockets and Jazz. Game 1 ended up just finishing below the total at 206 points and that was with the Jazz shooting 50% from the field and the Rockets connecting on 17 3-pointers. Houston ended up winning the game by 14 points (110-96). I think we are going to see a much lower-scoring Game 2. Utah is going to lay it all on the line here to try and salvage a split before returning home for Game 3 and simply didn't play up their standards defensively in Game 1. As for the Rockets, everyone pays close attention to their offense, but this is a really good defensive team and I expect them to be a lot better here in Game 2. Take the UNDER! |
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05-02-18 | Pirates +185 v. Nationals | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive road dog against the Nationals. This line suggests that Pittsburgh doesn't have much of a chance of winning this game, but I don't see it that way at all. The Pirates will send out Ivan Nova, who has really thrown the ball well so far in 2018. Nova has a 3.32 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 6 starts overall and is red-hot right now with a 1.74 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Washington will counter with Stephen Strasburg, who is a big name and someone the public loves to back. The thing is, Stasburg hasn't been up to his standards so far in 2018. He's got a 3.63 ERA in his 6 starts and a 5.12 ERA over his last 3. He's really struggled with keeping the ball in the park, as he's allowed 7 home runs. Strasburg might end up with better numbers at season end, but Nova is throwing it better right now. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-01-18 | Padres +118 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 118 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Padres + I like the value here with San Diego as a decently priced road dog against the Giants on Tuesday. The Padres have what I feel is a clear-cut edge on the mound, as they will send out Tyson Ross against Andrew Suarez. Ross has a respectable 3.64 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 5 starts overall, but is trending much better than that. Ross has a 2.55 ERA and 1.188 WHIP over his last 3 starts, which includes two road starts against the Rockies and Diamondbacks. It also includes a start against these Giants, where the only run he allowed in 6 innings of work was unearned. As for Suarez, he's making just his second big league start. The first didn't go so well, as Suarez allowed 4 runs in 5 1/3 innings, giving up 2 homers. Look for Suarez to continue to struggle and he's likely not to pitch deep even if he does throw well. Take San Diego! |
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05-01-18 | Blue Jays v. Twins -135 | 7-4 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays on Tuesday. The Twins have been in a funk of late, but I think the pitching matchup here is going to allow them to get back on track with a win. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson against the Blue Jays' Marco Estrada. Gibson has a solid 3.33 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in 5 starts this season and is coming off his best outing. Gibson allowed just 1 hit with 10 strikeouts in 6 shutout innings at New York (Yankees). As for Estrada, he's got an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 5 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 9.00 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Twins are 11-2 in Gibson's last 13 starts overall and are 7-0 in his last 7 off a Quality Start in his last appearance and 6-0 in his last 6 starts at home. Take Minnesota! |
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05-01-18 | Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 218 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 38 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavs/Raptors UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Game 1 between the Raptors and Cavs. I know these two teams have a lot of offensive fire-power, but this total is way too high for these two teams. Cleveland simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power it's had in the past and really have to rely on their defense to win. I also think we are seeing an inflated total here, as a lot of people think the Cavs won't show up after playing a Game 7 just 2 days ago, but I expect this team to come out ready to play. I actually think Cleveland matches up a lot better with Toronto than they did the Pacers. With that said the Raptors are a strong team and really turned up the defensive intensity over the final 3 games of their series with Washington. I expect an all-out effort defensively from Toronto in this one, as they are well aware of how critical these first two games at home are. UNDER is 22-10 in the Cavs last 32 games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and UNDER is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams in Toronto. Take the UNDER! |
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04-30-18 | Dodgers +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
5* NL West Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers +1.5 I love the value here with the Dodgers on the +1.5 run line in Monday's series opener at Arizona. LA is going to be extremely motivated here to get this series started off strong after losing 3 of 4 over their weekend series at San Francisco. The Dodgers are just 1-5 in their last 6, but it's not like they haven't been competitive, as 4 of the 5 losses have come by 2 runs or less. The only exception being a 5-run loss in the second contest of their double-header on Saturday. Arizona has been playing well and are certainly getting a lot of love given the starting pitching matchup, as they send out Zack Greinke against Ross Stripling. However, Greinke is just 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA in 5 starts and is coming off a poor outing agains the Phillies, where he allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in 6 innings. Greinke has also been very mediocre against the Dodgers over his career, as he's just 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 13 starts. That includes an earlier outing this year where he gave up 4 runs in 6 1/3 innings. I look for LA to win this one outright and worse case keep it within a run. Take Los Angeles! |
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04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 205 | 101-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers/Celtics OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's Game 1 action between the 76ers and Celtics. Boston's defense was the difference down the stretch of their first round series against the Bucks, but this 76ers offensive attack is a whole different beast. On top of that, it's only human nature for the Celtics to suffer a bit of a letdown here after playing in a win-or-go-home Game 7 just two days ago. That should show up a lot more on the defensive side of the ball. Keep in mind that Philadelphia went up against a pretty strong Heat defense in their first round series and Miami couldn't keep them in check. The 76ers eclipsed 100 points in all 5 games, despite shooting under 43% in 3 of the 5 games. Philadelphia's tempo and ability to hit from long-range will be really hard for the Celtics to contain, especially with the 76ers being extremely well rested, as they last played almost a week ago (4/24). I look for both teams to eclipse the 100-point mark, making this an easy play for me. Take the OVER! |
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04-29-18 | Mets v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Padres UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Padres hosting the Mets. A lot of people will focus on the pitching matchup and the poor numbers for today's starters, but this is a huge number for a game at Petco Park. Keep in mind that while the Padres put up 12 runs yesterday, they has scored 2 or fewer in 5 of their previous 6 games and New York's Zack Wheeler is more than capable of shutting this offense down. As for the Mets' offense, they have scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and have recorded single-digit hits in 9 straight as they are hitting a mere .203 over their last 7 games. Take the UNDER! |
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04-29-18 | Jazz v. Rockets OVER 205 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Jazz/Rockets OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Rockets hosting the Jazz in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. I just think the total here has been set way too low given how explosive the Rockets are on offense. Houston wasn't on their game early in their series against the Timberwolves, but they finished off Minnesota by scoring 119 and 124 in the final 2 games. Note they had 119 on the road in Game 4 despite shooting 43.5% from the field. I think a lot of their struggles early had to do with them coasting down the stretch run of the regular-season. The Rockets are locked in and are going to be fresh off a full 3 days of rest. I just don't see the Jazz putting up much of a fight defensively in Game 1, as they just laid it all on the line in their series against OKC, which just ended on Friday. At the same time Utah's offense doesn't get near the respect it deserves. I see this one finishing a lot close to 220 than 200. Take the OVER! |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 53 h 5 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Warriors - I love the value here with the Warriors at this price on their home court in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals against the Pelicans. Regardless if Steph Curry plays or not (added bonus if he does), I expect Golden State to come out looking to send a message to New Orleans that they have no business being in this series. I know the Pelicans looked great in their sweep of the Blazers, but Portland wasn't playing well down the stretch and that was a great matchup with no one on the Blazers who could contain Anthony Davis and Rondo being able to make things difficult on Lillard. While Davis will be to stop, Portland will have no answer for Durant and the depth of the Warriors. Take Golden State! |
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04-28-18 | Bucks +187 v. Celtics | 96-112 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER No Analysis on late releases |
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04-28-18 | Tigers v. Orioles -118 | 9-5 | Loss | -118 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
3* MLB Oddsmaker ERROR on Orioles - I like the value here with Baltimore as a short home favorite against the Tigers on Saturday. The Orioles snapped a 5-game skid with a 6-0 win over Detroit on Friday and it's only a matter of time before this team starts playing up to their potential. They are simply too talented to be sitting at 7-19. The Tigers on the other hand are in a major rebuild and should be a great team to fade on the road. Even more so right now, with the offense in a major funk. Detroit has been shutout in back-to-back games and are hitting just .218 as a team on the road this season. I look for the offense to continue to struggle here against Orioles starter Andrew Cashner, who has posted a solid 3.32 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Baltimore! |
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04-28-18 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Braves/Phillies UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's AL East action that has the Phillies hosting the Braves. If you haven't been following the MLB closely these two starters might not scream pitchers duel when you see them, but that's exactly what I'm expecting. Atlanta will send out Mike Foltynewicz, who has a strong 2.77ERA in 5 starts and has already faced these Phillies twice. In those 2 starts, Foltynewicz has allowed just 3 earned runs on 9 hits with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings of work. Philadelphia will counter with Nick Pivetta, who has a 2.57 ERA in 5 starts overall, 1.89 ERA in 3 home outings and a 2.77 ERA in 5 career starts against the Braves. Take the UNDER! |
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04-27-18 | Mets v. Padres +152 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT on Padres + I like the value here with the Padres as a huge home dog against the Mets on Friday. New York is simply getting way too much respect here because of the fact that they are sending out one of their top starters in Jacob deGrom. The bigger key here is this is going to be a very difficult series for the Mets, who are a long way from home and have already played 3-games sets at Atlanta and St Louis leading up to this trip out west. Keep in mind that New York is just 3-6 over their last 9, as they have really cooled off from that impressive 12-2 start to the season. It won't be easy putting up a big number here on deGrom, but I think the Padres can do just enough here to have a great shot at winning this game. Take San Diego! |
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04-27-18 | White Sox v. Royals -116 | 7-4 | Loss | -116 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Royals - I like the value here with the Royals as a short home favorite against the White Sox on Friday. Kansas City has started out a miserable 1-10 at home and they simply can't continue to play this poorly on their home field. I look for the Royals to get back on track at Kauffman Stadium against an equally poor team in the White Sox. KC will have their ace Danny Duffy on the mound for this one. Duffy is coming off a poor outing at Detroit, but had pitched well in each of his previous 3 outings and it's worth noting that 4 of his 5 starts so far have come in day games. The one night start that Duffy had was at Toronto and he allowed just 2 hits with 8 strikeouts in  6 shutout innings. Look for Duffy to dominate the White Sox  and the Royals secure a victory. Take Kansas City! |
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04-27-18 | Cavs +102 v. Pacers | 87-121 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Cavs + I like the value here with LeBron James and the Cavs to close out this series with the Pacers on the road. I believe James sucked whatever life the Pacers had left in them in that dramatic finish to Game 5, where he blocked Oladipo's shot and proceeded to hit a deep 3-pointer at the buzzer for the win. Unlike the Pacers who failed to control of this series for good when they were playing at home with a 2-1 lead, LeBron and company will step up their game here to finish off Indiana and move on to the next round. Cavs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games when leading in a playoff series. Take Cleveland! |
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04-27-18 | Raptors +2.5 v. Wizards | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 37 h 14 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMINT Top Play on Raptors + I love the value here with Toronto getting points in Game 6 at Washington. The Raptors took back control of the series with a 108-98 win in Game 5 at home and are going to do everything in their power to make sure their next home game is in round 2. This series likely would have been over if the Raptors didn't blow a 14-point 2nd half lead in Washington back in Game 4. I don't see them making that same mistake twice. Look for Toronto to take control of this game early and keep their foot on the gas. The Raptors also seem to have figured out the Wizards offense. After allowing Washington to shot 48% or better in each of the first 3 games, they held them to 46% in Game 4 on the road and 41% in Game 5. Raptors are 25-14 in their last 39 off a double-digit home win, while the Wizards are just 11-22 ATS as a home favorite this season. Take Toronto! |
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04-27-18 | Rangers v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Ranges/Blue Jays UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's AL showdown that has the Blue Jays hosting the Rangers. I know it's been a struggle so far for Toronto starter Marcus Stroman, but he got a late start to spring training and is still working out the kinks. This now his fifth start and I'm expecting to start seeing some real improvement here against a struggling Texas lineup that is averaging just 3.6 runs/game and hitting .231 as a team. The Rangers should be able to keep it close behind another strong outing from starter Mike Minor, who has a solid 3.86 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in his 4 starts to open the season. Minor is also a perfect 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Blue Jays, which includes a start against them earlier this season, where he allowed just 1 run on 2 hits in 6 innings. UNDER is 8-2-1 in Rangers last 11 road games vs a right-handed starter and 4-1 in Stroman's last 5 home starts vs a team with a losing record. Take the uNDER! |
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04-26-18 | Mariners +1.5 v. Indians | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mariners +1.5 I like the value here with backing Seattle on the +1.5 run line against the Indians on Thursday. I'm expecting the Mariners to win this game, but I'm willing to pay some extra juice in case they end up losing by 1 run. Seattle is sending out talented lefty James Paxton, who has the talent to develop into one of the best starters the AL has to offer. It's been a bit of an up and down start to 2018 for Paxton, but he's pitched much better of late, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. While the Indians have a winning record at 13-9, it's not because of their offense. Cleveland is hitting a mere .218 as a team on the season and while it's been slightly better of late, they are hitting just .236 over their last 7. The even bigger key here is there struggles against south paws. The Indians are hitting a mere .163 with a .254 OBP as a team vs left-handed starters this season. Mike Clevinger will take the mound for the Indians and while he's been rock solid in his 4 starts, he's not been nearly as sharp at home, where he's got a 3.97 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 11 1/3 innings of work. Look for the Mariners to put some runs up here and secure the win. Take Seattle +1.5 (-200)! |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Thunder - I love the value here with OKC as a short home favorite in Game 5 against the Jazz. The Thunder find themselves facing elimination down 3-1 in the series and I like their chances of getting a win and cover in this one. You have to give Utah credit for how well they have played up to this point, but it's extremely difficult closing out a team on the road in the postseason, especially for a team like the Jazz that don't have a ton of playoff experience to fall back on. One of the biggest problems for the Thunder has been the early foul trouble of Westbrook. They also aren't getting the kind of production they need out of veteran Carmelo Anthony. I look for both of these two to step up big and for the others to have a big game for OKC at home. Even with their win and cover in Game 2 on the road, Utah is just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to Chesepeake Energy Arena. Take Oklahoma City! |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder OVER 206.5 | 99-107 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Jazz/Thunder OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Game 5 between the Thunder and Jazz. Most times the deeper a series gets the more likely I'm to lean to the UNDER, but this is an exception. These two teams have went OVER the mark in 3 of the 4 games so far this series with the lowest combined total being 197. Each of the other 3 games all seen at least 209 points and I think we easily get to 210 in this one. The reason we are find value is the Jazz are viewed as a great defensive team, but they have went OVER in 11 of their last 15 games, as they are a much better offensive team than they get credit for. Take the OVER! |
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04-25-18 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Twins/Yankees UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's MLB action that has the Yankees hosting the Twins. The books have set a big number here in large part to New York's recent surge at the plate, but with the wind blowing end, I like our chances of staying below the mark in this one. Minnesota will send out Lance Lynn, who has struggled with his command in his first 3 starts. Lynn has walked 15 batters in 14 innings of work. That kind of inability to find the strikeout zone won't continue and Lynn should have a fresh arm, as he's thrown just 3 1/3 innings since April 12th. Yankees will send out Sonny Gray, who is another starter that hasn't pitched up to his potential early on in 2018. I like Gray's chances of breaking out of his slump against a struggling Twins offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. Take the UNDER!  |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 205 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Celtics UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's matchup between the Celtics and Bucks. The series is tied up at 2-2, as each team held serve on their home court. This is a massive game for both sides, as it's now a best of 3 series and whoever takes Game 5 has a huge edge. Needless to say the defensive intensity will be taken up another notch tonight. You also have to factor in that this is now the 5th game between these two teams in the last 10 days. Both teams are extremely familiar with each other's gamelans and the deeper we get into a series the more of an edge it is for the defenses. Look for both teams to struggle to get going offensively in this one. Take the UNDER! |
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04-23-18 | A's -123 v. Rangers | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Oakland - I like the value here with the A's as a short road favorite against the Rangers on Monday. Oakland is one of the hottest teams in the league, as they have won 6 of their last 7, including 2 of 3 against the red-hot Red Sox over the weekend to improve to 11-11 on the season. Texas on the other hand is a mere 4-9 in their last 13 and I look for those struggles to continue. I see a clear edge on the mound here for Oakland with Trevor Cahill facing off against the Rangers' Matt Moore. Cahill was sensational in first start back with the A's, allowing just 5 hits with 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings at Chicago last Tuesday. Moore was strong in his last outing at Tampa, but still comes in with a 1-3 record and 5.59 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 4 starts. He's been especially poor at home, where he's 0-3 with a 8.76 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in 3 starts. Take Oakland! |
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04-22-18 | Raptors -1 v. Wizards | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational NO-BRAINER on Raptors - I like the value here with Toronto as a short home favorite in Game 4 against the Wizards. After a couple of convincing wins at home in games 1 & 2, the Raptors laid an egg in Game 3 and lost 103-122 to Washington. That was the game the Wizards had to have to avoid falling behind 3-0, so that wasn't a complete shocker. I look for the Raptors to bounce back in a big way here and take a commanding 3-1 series lead going back home for Game 5. Note that the Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off a SU win and a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after covering the number in their previous contest. Take Toronto! |
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04-22-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -165 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks - The Diamondbacks should have no problem securing a win at home in Sunday's series finale against the Padres. Arizona will send out Pat Corbin, who has been a pleasant surprise early on in 2018. Corbin is 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.695 WHIP in 4 starts and is fresh off a complete game shutout in his last outing. Corbin has made 3 starts at home this season and in those 3 outings have allowed a mere 2 runs on 9 hits with 28 strikeouts over 22 innings of work. Adding to this is a great system in play backing a fade of the Padres. Road underdogs who are a poor hitting team (team avg. of .255 or worse) are just 16-61 (21%) against the money line when facing an NL team with a starter with a ERA of 2.70 or better and a bullpen that has converted at least 75% of their save opportunities. Take Arizona! |
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04-22-18 | Cubs -114 v. Rockies | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
3* MLB  Money Line DESTROYER on Cubs - I like the value here with the Cubs at this small price on the road in Sunday's series finale against the Rockies. Chicago's offense managed just 2 runs on Saturday after putting up 16 in the series opener on Friday. I look for the Cubs offense to bounce back in a big way here against Rockies' start German Marquez. In 4 starts this season, Marquez has a poor 4.34 ERA and 1.393 WHIP and has really struggled at home, posting a 8.21 ERA and 1.825 WHIP in his 2 outings at Coors Field. Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has had an up and down start to the season. The key here is that Quintana should have his best stuff, as he's had a full 7 days off since his last start. Quintana has also pitched twice at Coors and faired well, posting a solid 3.65 ERA, allowing just 5 runs on 12 1/3 innings of work. Cubs are 14-2 in their last 16 road games with a total of 10 to 10.5 and have won these contests by an average score of 7.4 to 3.9 (+3.5 runs/game). Take Chicago! |
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04-21-18 | Thunder +4.5 v. Jazz | 102-115 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Thunder +4.5 I like the value here with Thunder catching a decent number on the road in Game 3 against the Jazz. OKC blew a 5-point lead going into the 4th quarter of Game 2 and it was a direct result of their 3 stars underperforming in the clutch. Westbrook, Anthony and George combined didn't make a single field goal in the 4th quarter (0-14) and the Thunder managed just 16 points in the period. That's not going to happen again. I look for these 3, especially Westbrook, to come out with a chip on their shoulder and not only keep this game close, but win it outright. Adding to this is a great system in play favoring the Thunder. Teams off a home division loss against an opponent off a division win are 55-25 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Oklahoma City! |
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04-21-18 | Cubs -124 v. Rockies | 2-5 | Loss | -124 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Prime Time HEAVY HITTER on Cubs - I like the value here with the Cubs as a small road favorite against the Rockies on Saturday. Chicago's offense exploded for 16 runs in an 11-run win in the series opener Friday and I look for the offense to lay it on Colorado again. The Cubs will send out You Darvish who is coming off a less than impressive start at Atlanta. Darvish also struggled in his first outing, but fired back with an outstanding performance in his next start, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits in 9 innings at Milwaukee. I look for another strong bounce back here against the Rockies. The bigger key is the Cubs offense, which will be facing Tyler Anderson, who has a 4.74 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in his 4 starts to open the season. Any time the Chicago gets in a a game that's expected to be high-scoring away from home, more times than not they prevail. Cubs are 13-2 over the last 2 seasons on the road with a total of 10 to 10.5 and have won these contests by an average score of 6.9 to 3.8. Take Chicago! |
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04-21-18 | Mets -137 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -137 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Mets - I like the value here with the Mets as a short road favorite against division rival Atlanta on Saturday. New York scored 2 runs in the top of the 12th to take down the Braves 5-3 on Friday. That should give them a lot of momentum going into the 3rd game of the series and making matters even better is they will have one of their best starters on the mound in Jacob deGrom. The Mets have won 3 of his 4 starts this season, as he's 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.080 WHIP. He was really on top of his game in his last start, as he struck out 12 batters in 7 1/3 innings against a good Nationals lineup. I also like his chances of getting some run support, as the Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 4 starts. It's also worth noting that 3 of Teheran's 4 starts have came at home and he's got an even worse 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in those outings. Take New York! |
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04-20-18 | Giants +129 v. Angels | 8-1 | Win | 129 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night DIAMOND DESTROYER on Giants + I like the value here with the Giants as a decently priced road dog against the Angels on Friday. The momentum the Angels had going after their 13-3 start was put to rest by an even hotter Red Sox team, who came into LA and left with a 3-game sweep. I think we could see the Angels struggle to snap out of their funk tonight. San Francisco will be sending out Jeff Samardzija, who will be making his first start of 2018. Samardzija definitely has the stuff to tame this LA offense and he couldn't be getting them at a better time, as the Angels have scored a whopping 3 runs in their last 3 games. As for the Giants offense, I like their chances of getting to LA starter Andrew Heaney, who was hit hard in his first start, allowing 4 runs on 7 hits in just 5 innings. Take San Francisco! |
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04-20-18 | Twins v. Rays -115 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Rays - I love the value here with the Rays as a small home favorite against the Twins on Friday. Minnesota has won 4 of their last 5, but have also played just twice in the last 7 days. Both of those coming in a short 2-game set against the Indians in Puerto Rico, where they scored just 3 runs combined in those two contests. It's really hard on hitters to not be out there every day and I think the lack of games will have the Twins offense struggling to score again tonight. Making matters worse for Minnesota is they will go up against Chris Archer, who has absolutely owned them in his career. Archer has made 7 starts against the Twins and has gone 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.932 WHIP. The even bigger key here is we should get some production offensively from Tampa, as they will be going up against the struggling Lance Lynn, who has really struggled with his command in his two starts this season. Lynn has only pitched 9 innings and has walked 10 batters. With the Rays trending in the right direction offensively right now, they should be able to secure the win in this one. Take Tampa! |
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04-20-18 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Royals UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Game 2 of Friday's double-header between the Tigers and Royals. The fact that these two teams combined for 20 runs in the opener last night is definitely playing into this number. I just don't see the production being there on Friday, especially in the night cap. Kansas City will send out one of their top performers, Jake Junis, on either side of the ball in 2018. Junis has posted a 1.93 ERA and 0.803 WHIP in 3 starts, accounting for two of the Royals 3 wins this season. One of those starts came against these Tigers, which he absolutely dominated Detroit, allowing just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. The Tigers are going to counter with Daniel Norris, who doesn't exactly have the best numbers. However, this is more about the offense Norris will be facing than anything. The Royals offense is atrocious. Their 51 runs scored on the season is the worst of any team in the league. Not to mention they are averaging a mere 2.2 runs/game on the road this season. Take the UNDER! |
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04-20-18 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 208.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Cavs OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Game 3 of the Cavs/Pacers series. The first two games of the series have been extremely low-scoring. The two combined for just 178 points in Game 1 with a total of 212.5 and 197 in Game 2 with a total of 213. The books have made quite the adjustment for Game 3 with a total almost 5-points lower. I just think tonight will be the night that these two light it up. The Pacers have really had their way with Cleveland's defense. The shot 46% from the field in Game 1 and 53% in Game 2. The Cavs defense doesn't figure to be as good on the road, while Indiana should be expected to shoot better at home. As for the Cavs offense, the role players simply can't play as poorly as they have in the first two games. Take the OVER! |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +4.5 | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs + I like the value here with San Antonio as a home dog in Game 3 of their opening round series against the Warriors. The Spurs won't have their head coach Greg Popovich, as he will be away from the team to morn the passing of his wife on Wednesday. A lot of people might see that as a major disadvantage, but I actually think it will have San Antonio playing even more inspired than they already were going to be down 0-2 and the series on the line. After a sluggish start cost them any chance of winning Game 1, the Spurs really played well in the 1st half of Game 2, as they took a 6-point lead going into the final two periods. The Warriors caught fire and put up 69 points in the 2nd half for a 15-point win. Most will see the two blowout losses for the Spurs and jump on laying the small number with Golden State here, but this is a different San Antonio team at home, where they went 33-8 during the regular season. That combined with a huge motivation edge should be enough for the Spurs to keep this close enough to cover and likely win outright. Take San Antonio! |
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04-19-18 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 9 | 8-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Orioles/Tigers OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday early MLB action that has the Tigers hosting the Orioles. It's been a struggle to start the season for both teams, as neither offense has produced at the level expected. With that said, both teams are coming off a strong showing at the plate, as the two combined for 11 runs in yesterday's meeting. I think we could see even more runs scored in today's contest. For starters, we have two starters taking the mound that have struggled. Baltimore's Alex Cobb has made just one start, but in that outing he allowed 8 runs on 10 hits with 0 strikeouts in 3 2/3 innings of work. Detroit will counter with Matt Boyd, who has a 8.18 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in his 3 starts so far in 2018. Making matters even worse for today's starters is the wind will be blowing straight out to center at 15 mph. Take the OVER! |
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04-18-18 | Pacers +8 v. Cavs | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pacers + I like the value here with the Pacers catching an even bigger number in Game 2 after their impressive 98-80 win in Game 1. As bad as Cleveland looked in the first meeting, the public perspective here is that LeBron James and the Cavs will respond in a big way and avoid falling behind 0-2 in the series. I'm not saying I don't think Cleveland will win, I just don't see them blowing the Pacers out of the gym, which is what this line is calling for. I believe the big key here is the Pacers ability to matchup with the Cavs on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana limited Cleveland to just 38.5% shooting in Game 1. The Cavs simply rely too much on James to carry the load offensively and when the other guys aren't hitting shots, the offense really struggles to score. That's a problem because Cleveland's defense isn't very good. Take Indiana! |
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04-18-18 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 105 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rangers/Rays UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's MLB action that has the Rays hosting the Rangers. Both of these teams are struggling to push across runs on a consistent basis. Texas comes in averaging just 3.5 runs/game and Tampa is even worse at 3.4 runs/game. Rangers will send out Cole Hamels who despite a 4.50 ERA overall has been really good on the road. Hamels owns a 2.45 ERA in his 2 road starts and last time out limited the Astros to just 2 runs in 6 innings at Houston. Rays counter with Jacob Faria who has a 8.18 ERA overall, but that's all because of one bad road start. Faria is has a 1.93 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 2 home starts. It's also worth nothing that the home plate umpire for this game will be Bruce Dreckman. The UNDER has cashed in 13 of his last 16 appearances behind the plate. UNDER is also 25-12-5 in Texas' last 42 after scoring 5 or more and 20-7-1 in Tampa's last 28 during Game 3 of a series. Take the UNDER! |
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04-18-18 | Orioles -115 v. Tigers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
5* American League GAME OF THE MONTH  on Orioles - I love the value here with Baltimore as a short road favorite against the Tigers on Wednesday. It's only a matter of time before the Orioles get on track, but they have won each of the last two starts by Kevin Gausman, who has really pitched well after a poor showing in his first outing of the season against the Twins. Gausman faced Detroit once last season and held them to just 1 run on 3 hits with 8 strikeouts. Tigers will send out Matt Boyd, who has surprised with a 1.38 ERA and 0.615 WHIP in his first two starts. I'm not a buying it. His first outing came against a bad Royals offense and the other against a struggling Indians offense in poor playing conditions. Boyd made two starts against the Orioles last year and it wasn't pretty, as he allowed 10 runs on 13 hits and 6 walks in a mere 7 innings of work. Detroit is just 1-11 in Boyd's last 12 starts and 6-21 in their last 27 after holding their previous opponent to 2 or fewer runs. Take Baltimore! |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pelcians + I love the value here with the Pelicans as a decently priced dog in Game 2 of their series with the Blazers. New Orleans avoided a devastating loss in Game 1, as the held on for a 97-95 win after going into the 4th quarter with a 12-point lead. Anthony Davis led the way with 35 points and 14 rebounds, but he wasn't the only big contributor for the Pelicans. Rondo scored just 6 points, but had 17 assists and 8 rebounds. Mirotic added 16 points and 11 rebound, while Holiday dropped 21 points. New Orleans as a team assisted on 26 of their 41 made baskets. In comparison the Blazers only had 17 assists on 37 made field goals. Portland was really fortunate to even be in the game, as they shot 37.8% from the field. What kept them in it was 15 offensive rebounds. I just think that's unlikely to happen again. This is simply too many points for the Pelicans to be catching given they have the best player on the court. Take New Orleans! |
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04-17-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -153 | 10-1 | Loss | -153 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Angels - As good as Shohei Ohtani has been threw his first two starts, the betting public will have a hard time passing up on getting the Red Sox at this big of an underdog. That tells me the books are confident Ohtani is going to come out strong here and LA will pull out the win at home. Ohtani has just 3 runs on a mere 4 hits in 13 innings over his first two starts. What really stands out is he's got 18 strikeouts and just 2 walks over this stretch. As good as Boston's lineup is, my money is on Ohtani getting the job done. I also look for the Angel's offense to put up a decent number here against David Price. LA is averaging 6.4 runs/game on the season and 6.7 when facing a lefty starter. Price completed just 1 inning in his last start and has now walked 5 over his last 8 innings of work. He also faced the Angels twice last year and gave up 9 runs on 13 hits and 4 walks in 11 innings. Take Los Angeles! |
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04-17-18 | Bucks +138 v. Celtics | 106-120 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Bucks + You can play the small spread and grab the points with Milwaukee, but I'm recommending going for the extra value and backing the Bucks on the money line in Game 2 against the Celtics. I wasn't surprised to see Boston win Game 1 at home, as they weren't getting the respect they deserved because of the injuries they are dealing with. The Celtics took a 29-17 lead after the 1st quarter, but needed OT to escape with a win. I think Milwaukee gained a ton of confidence with how they were able to come back after falling behind big early. The Bucks really made things difficult on the Celtics defensively, as Boston shot just 41.5% from the field. What killed Milwaukee was 20 turnovers, a number I'm confident they will improve on. The other big key for me is Boston had no answer for Antetokounmpo, who shot 11 of 21 (50%) from the field and finished with 35 points 13 rebounds and 7 assists. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-17-18 | Nationals -105 v. Mets | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Nationals - I really like the value here with Washington at basically a pick'em against the Mets on Tuesday. The Nationals stole the series opener, rallying from a 5-run deficit in the final 2 innings to pull out a 8-6 win. That's the kind of win that can propel a great team like Washington on a run. It's also a very difficult loss to bounce back from. On top of that the Nationals have to like their chances against New York with Gio Gonzalez on the mound. Gonzalez has gone 14-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 24 career starts against the Mets and what stands out even more is his 10-1 record with a 1.69 ERA in 15 career starts at Citi Field. Mets are just 5-14 in their last 19 home games off a loss by 2 runs or less, while the Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 road games after a win by 2 runs or less. Take Washington! |
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04-17-18 | Indians v. Twins OVER 7.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under TOTAL BLOWOUT on Twins OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's showdown between the Twins and Indians in Puerto Rico, as the two teams play a 2-game set at Hiram Bithorn Stadium in San Juan. A lot of people are going to just look at the starting pitching matchup here with Corey Kluber going for the Indians and Jake Odorizzi starting for Minnesota. I think there's a decent chance at least one of these two struggle and maybe both. There's no familiarity with playing in San Juan and we are going to see much closer to summer weather in the states with temps approaching 80 with good humidity. The ball should carry well here and there's enough power bats on both sides to push this over the low number. Take the OVER! |
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04-16-18 | Spurs +10 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T  on Spurs + I like the value here with the Spurs as a double-digit dog in Game 2 against the Warriors. Golden State won Game 1 by 21 points as a mere 7.5-point favorite. The books have adjusted this by 2.5-points and I just think it's a mistake. You wouldn't expect it from a Popovich coached team, but San Antonio came out flat in Game 1. They scored just 17-points in the 1st quarter and it was really over from there. I still think this Warriors team is a bit vulnerable without Curry and expect a completely different look here from the Spurs. I don't know if it will be enough to win this game outright, but I think they gave a legit scare to the defending champs. Take San Antonio! |
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04-15-18 | Pirates v. Marlins +139 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER No Analysis on late releases |
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04-15-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 203 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks/Celtics UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's early NBA playoff action that has the Celtics hosting the Bucks. A lot of people are writing off Boston after the injury to Kyrie Irving. While that almost certainly put an end to any hopes they had of making the NBA Finals, they still have more than enough talent to win a series or two. One thing that Boston will have to do without Irving is rely even more on their defense, as they aren't going to get as many easy looks offensively. I think it's going to be difficult for both teams to score here and don't see either side getting to 100 points. That makes this a pretty easy call with the total north of 200. UNDER is 7-2-1 in the Bucks last 10 conference quarterfinal matchups and 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 when playing in the first round of the postseason. Take the UNDER! |
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04-14-18 | Angels -147 v. Royals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels - I'm recommending laying the juice here and backing the Angels as a road favorite against the Royals on Saturday. LA has been even better than anticipated to start out the 2018 season. The Angels are 12-3 with an impressive 8-1 record on the road. That includes last night's 5-4 win over these Royals. I could see a lot of people considering taking KC at this price given how well today's starter, Jake Junis, has looked early on. Junis hasn't allowed a run in either of his first 2 starts. Those came against the Mariners and Tigers. LA is averaging 6.5 runs/game and are hitting .294 as a team with a .341 OBP. Note Junis faced these Angels once last year and allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in just 5 1/3 innings. I just think that given how bad the Royals are offensively, Garrett Richards will be able to keep them in check and the offense will do just enough to secure a victory. Take Los Angeles! |
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04-14-18 | Angels v. Royals UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Angels/Royals UNDER I'm recommending a play on the UNDER here in Saturday's MLB matchup that has the Angles visiting the Royals. Kansas City's offense is about as bad as it gets and their inability to score has played a huge part in the UNDER cashing in 9 of their 11 games this season. The 4 runs they scored last night was their second highest output of the season. I don't see them getting to that mark against Angels starter Garrett Richards, who is poised for a breakout performance in 2018. The even bigger key here is that while it won't be easy keeping this LA offense in check, the Royals will send out one of the hottest starters so far this season. Jake Junis is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.500 WHIP in 2 starts. He's pitched 7 shutout innings in each of his first two starts and allowed just 4 hits and 3 walks. Look for another strong showing here at home. Take the UNDER! |
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04-14-18 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 209 | Top | 92-113 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Spurs/Warriors UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Western Conference series opener between the Spurs and Warriors. While Golden State is the heavy favorite in the series despite Steph Curry being sidelined, there's no question that they aren't the same offensive juggernaut without him. San Antonio knows they have no chance of beating the Warriors in a shootout, even without Curry, and I look for Popovich and the Spurs to try and slow down the tempo as much as possible to keep Golden State out of a rhythm. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 100 points and this thing finished somewhere in the low 190s. Take the UNDER! |
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04-13-18 | Blue Jays v. Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Indians UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's series opener that has the Indians hosting the Blue Jays. Cleveland has scored 14 runs in their last 2 games, but that came against the Tigers. This is still an offense that is averaging just 3.5 runs/game and hitting a mere .189 as a team. I just think we are seeing a bit of an overreaction here with this total. I know it's been a rough start for Toronto's starter Marcus Stroman, but it's really just been his command that's hurt him. The big thing for me is just how good Stroman has been against Cleveland. He's got a 1.91 ERA and 1.152 WHIP in 5 career starts against them. All 5 of which have finished UNDER the total. Indians will send out Mike Clevinger, who often gets overlooked in Cleveland's elite starting rotation. Clevinger has been lights out in his 2 starts, posting a 0.71 ERA, as he's allowed a mere 1 run in 12 2/3 innings of work. Take the UNDER! |
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04-13-18 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Cardinals/Reds OVER I like the value here here with the OVER in Friday's NL Central action that has the Reds hosting the Cardinals. I cashed the OVER in last night's series opener between these two teams, as they combined for 17 runs, combining for 9 runs in the first 6 innings. That was with St Louis doing all the heavy lifting, as they put up a season-high 13 runs. I expect another big offensive night for the Cardinals in this one. The Reds pitching staff is taxed right now. The bullpen had to throw another 4 2/3 innings last night and figure to be asked to shoulder another heavy workload with Tyler Mahle starting. Mahle pitched well in his first outing against the Cubs, but was rocked for 5 runs on 9 hits in just 4 2/3 innings at Pittsburgh in his most recent start. St Louis does have one of their top starters in talented youngster Luke Weaver going, but chances are he gives up at least a few runs here. This is already a big time hitters park. Any mistake tonight  figures to leave in a hurry to left field, as the wind is blowing out that way at close to 15 mph. Take the OVER! |
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04-12-18 | White Sox +175 v. Twins | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER  on White Sox + We are getting too much value here to pass up a play on the White Sox Thursday. Minnesota won the final two games of their series at home against the Astros to take the series. Teams really get excited about their first crack at playing the defending champs and I think we could see the Twins come out a bit flat here, as they now face a bottom feeder in the White Sox. I also think we are seeing Minnesota's Jose Berrios get a little too much love here. He got everyone's attention by throwing a complete game shutout in his first start, but in his very next start he allowed 5 runs on 6 hits before getting pulled in the 5th inning. I like the chances here of Chicago's Lucas Giolito keeping the White Sox in it and allowing them to do enough offensively to win this game. Take Chicago! |
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04-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers UNDER 201.5 | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Jazz UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's huge showdown between the Jazz and Blazers. While both teams have already secured a spot in the playoffs, the No. 3 seed and home court in the first round will be on the line in this game. I expect a playoff-like atmosphere and as a result a much lower-scoring game than the books are expecting with this total. Utah has really been locked in defensively down the stretch. The Jazz just held the Warriors to 79 points in their last game and have held 7 of their last 8 opponents under the century mark. They figure to have a good shot at keeping the Blazers under that mark, as Portland's offense has been out of sync here of late. While the offense might not be there, the Blazers should bring their 'A' game defensively at home. Take the UNDER! |
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04-11-18 | Mets -137 v. Marlins | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Mets - I like the value here with the Mets as a relatively short road favorite against the Marlins. New York is 9-1 over their first 10 games and are clearly a team on a mission early. Hard to not like their chances here against Miami, who doesn't exactly have a home field advantage. Especially with what looks to be a pretty clear edge on the mound for New York, who will send out Zach Wheeler. After failing to make the big league roster on Opening Day, Wheeler has continued to pitch well in the minors and is going to come out firing to earn himself a spot long-term. On the flip side, the Marlins are giving the ball to Jarlin Garcia for his first ever big league start. Garcia has thrown quite a few innings in relief, but that's a whole different situation than starting. I look him to struggle here against a Mets offense that is averaging 5.8 runs/game away from home. Take New York! |
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04-11-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -109 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles - I love the value here with Baltimore as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Orioles are going to come out extremely motivated here to avoid getting swept on their home field by a division rival. We are getting a great price here due to how lopsided the starting pitching matchup looks on paper. Baltimore Kevin Gausman has a 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in 2 starts, while Toronto's Marco Estrada has a 2.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts. The key here is that Gausman's poor numbers primarily come from his first outing. He was much better in his second start and owns a 3.12 ERA over 13 career starts against the Blue Jays. As for Estrada, last time he made a start on the road against the Orioles, he gave up 6 runs on 10 hits in just 5 innings of work. Take Baltimore! |
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04-10-18 | Rockets v. Lakers +8.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Lakers + I love the value here with the Lakers as a big home dog against the Rockets on Tuesday. Houston has absolutely nothing to play for. They have the best record in the league locked up and have made it clear that their primary focus over the last 2 regular season games is to stay healthy. The starters will play, but their minutes will be restricted. Given the circumstances this line should be a lot closer to a pick'em. I think there's a good chance the Lakers win this game and we got plenty of insurance if they end up on the losing end. Take Los Angeles! |
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04-10-18 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 213 | 79-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Warriors/Jazz UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Warriors. Utah has clinched a playoff spot, but there's still a lot at stake. With a win over Golden State tonight, the Jazz will have a chance to overtake the Blazers for the No. 3 seed when they visit Portland tomorrow. Needless to say I think we get a great effort here from Utah, especially on the defensive side of the ball. As for the Warriors, they have nothing to play for and are just going through the motions right now. With Curry already out with an injury, Golden State isn't going to push any of their stars in these last couple meaningless regular season games. With that said, I do expect whoever plays for the Warriors to compete and that should be all we need here to keep this well below the mark set by the books. Take the UNDER! |
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04-10-18 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pirates/Cubs UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's MLB action that has the Cubs taking on Pittsburgh in their home opener for 2018. Conditions here are going to favor a lower-scoring game. The temp will be around 40 with wind blowing in from left field. Chicago will send out Tyler Chatwood, who was able to overcome some command problems to limit the Reds to just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Chatwood is poised for a breakout year now that he's not pitching half his games at Coors Field. Pittsburgh will send out Ivan Nova. While he's not been on top of his game in his first 2 starts, I like his chances of slowing down the Cubs lineup that has been pretty hit or miss early on and is still playing without one of the top sluggers in Rizzo. Take the UNDER! |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Clippers | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pelicans - I like the value here with the Pelicans laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Clippers. New Orleans is currently sitting 5th in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of 9th place Denver and being left out. Simply put, this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans. The key here is this game doesn't mean anywhere close to the same to the Clippers, who were just recently eliminated from playoff contention. LA has numerous guys out with injury and it's likely they give some of their younger guys more minutes in the final 2 games. Their last two games have seen them lose by 22 at Utah and by 19 at home to the Nuggets. This has another blowout loss for LA written all over it. Take New Orleans! |
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04-09-18 | Bulls +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 105-114 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA Late Season PLAY OF THE MONTH on Bulls + I love the value here with Chicago as a big road dog against the Nets on Monday. I think we are seeing a huge overreaction with this line. Sure Brooklyn just won at Chicago 124-96 on Saturday. The thing is, that makes this game that less interesting for the Nets, who have zero to play for and are likely looking ahead to their finale against the Celtics. The Bulls on the other hand should be motivated here to play better than they did in the last meeting. Chicago had been playing well before laying an egg against the Nets. Chicago had won 3 of 4 and are still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. Bulls are 23-12 ATS in their last 35 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Brooklyn is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 at home in the 2nd half of the season. Take Chicago! |
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04-09-18 | Rays -126 v. White Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rays - I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a short road favorite against the White Sox. The Rays will send out their ace Chris Archer, who has had a tough go of things to start out 2018. A big reason for that is he's had to go up against the Red Sox and Yankees in his first 2 starts. Archer has struck out 14 in 11 innings, so the stuff is definitely there. I think he comes out and gets that first dominant start of the season against a White Sox offense that has scored just 1 run in their last 2 games combined. It's been an equally poor start to the season for Chicago starter Miguel Gonzalez, who allowed 6 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings at Toronto in his only start. I a lot more confident in Gonzalez's struggles carrying over to this outing, as the Rays should win here without much problem. Take Tampa Bay! |
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04-08-18 | Warriors v. Suns OVER 217 | 117-100 | Push | 0 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Suns OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Warriors visiting the Suns. Golden State has nothing to play for down the stretch, as they are locked into the No. 2 seed in the west. It's really shown of late on the defensive side of the ball, as the Warriors have given up 126 in each of their last 2 games, allowing the Pacers to shoot 53.8% from the field on Thursday and the Pelicans to shoot 56.3% yesterday. The offense for the Warriors has been much better of late and they should have no problem putting up a big number here against a horrible Suns defense. Phoenix comes in giving up 113.4 ppg and I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State got to 130 in this one. OVER is 6-1 in the Warriors last 7 when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 5-1 in the Suns last 6 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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04-08-18 | Jazz -5.5 v. Lakers | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz - I like the value here with Utah laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Lakers. The Jazz will be all business when they take the floor on Sunday, as Utah can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Jazz can also still finish as the No. 3 seed in the west if they win their final 3 games. I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. They have had their way with the Lakers this season and LA comes in having lost 4 of 5 and have zero to play for right now. Last time out the Jazz destroyed the Clippers 117-95 and that's worth noting as they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games off a win by 10 or more. Take Utah! |
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04-08-18 | Dodgers v. Giants +200 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on San Francisco Giants + I like the value here with the Giants as a massive home dog against the Dodgers on Sunday. San Francisco is riding a huge wave of momentum after Andrew McCutchen hit a 3-run walk-off home run in last night's 7-5 win in 14-innings. The Dodgers will have Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but LA has lost each of his first two starts, including a home game against these Giants. San Francisco will send out Ty Blach, who was roughed up for 6 runs on 10 hits in his last outing. However, Blach was sensational in an earlier start against these Dodgers, holding LA to just 3 hits over 5 shutout innings. That wasn't a fluke, as Blach now owns a 1.41 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Dodgers. Take San Francisco! |
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04-08-18 | Pistons v. Grizzlies +6 | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies + I like the value here with Memphis as a decently priced home dog against the Pistons on Sunday. Detroit is simply getting too much respect given the circumstances. While the Pistons have won 8 of 10, they were just recently eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to make it really hard for them to show up for the final 3 games on their schedule. I think they especially have a difficult time here on the road against a bad Memphis team. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight, but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6, covering each of their last 2 at home. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home against a team like Detroit that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Memphis! |
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04-07-18 | Blue Jays v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Blue Jays/Rangers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Rangers hosting the Blue Jays. Texas' Globe Life Park is typically a hitters park, but not today, as the ball simply isn't going to carry with the temp expected to be in the low 40s. We also have a couple of strong starters on the mound in this one. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is one of their top arms in the rotation. Stroman didn't have his best stuff in his first outing, but he also faced a good Yankees offense. Texas will send out Mike Minor, who held a potent Houston offense to just 2 runs on 3 hits in 4 2/3 innings in his first start. UNDER is 15-5 in the Blue Jays last 20 road games against a left-handed starter and 29-12 in their last 41 after scoring 8 or more runs in their previous game. Take the UNDER! |
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04-07-18 | Nets v. Bulls UNDER 217 | 124-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets vs Bulls UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has the Bulls hosting the Nets. These two bottom feeders have absolutely zero to play for and I think it will be hard for both sides to get up for this game, as these two teams will turn around and play each other again on Monday. Clearly these are two of the least talented teams in the league and both sides have key players out with injury. They last played in late February and the two teams combined for a mere 191 points. I would expect a little more offense this time around, but with the total where it's at, this is simply too good of a price to pass up. UNDER is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 vs a team with a losing record and a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in the series. Take the UNDER! |
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04-07-18 | Cubs -136 v. Brewers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
5* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cubs - I love the value here with the Cubs, as I look for them to have no problem getting a win on the road against the Brewers Saturday. Chicago will send out their prized free agent pickup in starter You Darvish. While Darvish struggled in his first start at Miami, he's poised for a big bounce back effort here. I also think the Cubs are going to put up a big number here offensively against Milwaukee starter Zach Davies. Davies was hit hard at home in his last start against the Cardinals, giving up 7 runs on 8 hits in just 5 2/3 innings of work. Cubs are 35-16 in their last 51 off a loss and 26-7 in their last 33 road games vs a right-handed starter. Take Chicago! |
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04-06-18 | Blue Jays -110 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays - I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a short road favorite against the Rangers on Friday. This one comes down to the starting pitching matchup for me and I give a big edge here to Toronto in that department. The Blue Jays will send out Marco Estrada, who will look to build on a strong first outing, where he allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings against a potent Yankees offense. Texas counters with Matt Moore, who was rocked for 4 runs on 7 hits in just 4 innings of work at home against the Astros in his first start of 2018. Moore has really struggled in nigh games, as his teams' are a mere 9-29 when he toes the rubber in a night game over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Jays on the other hand are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a left-handed starter and 7-1 in Estrada's last 8 starts vs the AL West. Take Toronto! |
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