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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings +7 | Top | 105-87 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kings +7 -105 I love the value here with Sacramento as a big home dog against the Clippers. Kings are going to get up for this one against what many consider to be one of the favorites to win it all. Sacramento is also trying desperately to put an end to their losing streak which is up to 7 games now. Thing is the Kings have been so close in a number of these games during their skid. In fact, 5 have been decided by single-digits, including each of the last 4. Clippers are off a ugly 13-point loss at home to Utah and are just 3-4 in their last 7 games. I think this will be a tough spot for LA to get up with it being New Year's Eve and them returning home after this game for 4 in a row. Clippers also won't have the services of Beverley and he's a guy that really ignites the energy of this team. Kings are 18-8 ATS last 26 after a loss by 6 or more, 12-4 ATS last 16 off a cover and 9-1 ATS last 10 when off a road loss where they covered as a dog. Take Sacramento! |
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12-31-19 | Cal-Riverside v. Air Force -4 | 56-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Air Force -4 -110 You have a 6-7 Air Force team that is laying a decent number against a 9-5 UC-Riverside squad, which tells you the records of these two are very misleading. I couldn't agree more with the books and actually see value here with the Falcons. Air Force has simply played the tougher schedule and should have a big home court edge in this one, as the Highlanders are just 3-4 away from home and only scoring 61.3 ppg on the road. That inability to score on the road will be a problem against a Falcons team that is averaging 82.8 ppg and shooting 53% from the field on their home floor. Riverside did have an upset win at Fresno State in their last game, but are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off an win as a dog and 0-6 ATS when off a win as a road dog. Falcons are 18-7 ATS last 25 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 when playing on 7 or more days of rest. Take Air Force! |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy OVER 52.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Kansas St/Navy LIBERTY BOWL on Kansas State/Navy over 52½ -110 I really like the value with the OVER in the Liberty Bowl matchup between Kansas State and Navy, as I think we are going to see both offenses have big days in this one. Midshipmen finished the year with the nations No. 1 ranked rushing attack at 363.8 ypg and will be facing a K-State defense that allowed 4.9 yards/carry, which is a bit alarming given how pass happy the Big 12 is. As for Navy's defense, they were great against bad teams and awful against good teams. Midshipmen allowed 17 or fewer points in 6 games against Holy Cross, East Carolina, Tulsa, USF, UCONN and Army. In their other 6 games they gave up 36.7 ppg. Wildcats averaged 30.7 ppg and I think they easily top that mark as this flies past the total. Take the OVER! |
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12-31-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +7 | 109-92 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hornets +7 -105 Charlotte is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Celtics. Hornets come in having lost 5 straight, but we know we are going to get a big effort here at home against a team like Boston. As for the Celtics, I think this is a real tough spot for Boston. Celtics have been all over the place of late. They were at Toronto last Wednesday for that Christmas Day matchup, got a day off before having to play back-to-back games at home and now have to travel to Charlotte on New Year's Even before heading right back home (next two days off). Real easy for the Celtics to just go through the motions in this one. Hornets are a decent team to back when on a skid, as they are 22-10 ATS last 32 after 2 or more consecutive losses. Also, Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off 4 or more losses in the month of December are a strong 49-29 (63%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Charlotte! |
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12-31-19 | Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Florida St/Arizona St SUN BOWL on Florida State +4½ -110 I like the value here with the Seminoles in their Sun Bowl showdown with Arizona State. I just don't get why the Sun Devils are getting so much love in this one. Head coach Herm Edwards fired a bunch of his offensive staff and if that wasn't going to be enough to overcome, ASU's two biggest weapons at the skill positions are both sitting out for the draft in running back Eno Benjamin and wide out Brandon Aiyuk. As for Florida State, they will be down their top two backs with Cam Akers also skipping to prepare for the draft and backup Khalan Labron out with an injury. However, they got plenty of talent at that position and should be able to throw all over this Sun Devils defense. Seminoles ended the year with the 33rd rank passing offense and will be up against a ASU secondary that ranked 114th against the pass. Give me Florida State +4.5! |
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12-31-19 | Temple -2 v. UCF | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - American Athletic PLAY OF THE MONTH on Temple -2 -109 I'll lay the short number with the Owls on the road against UCF. I just think the matchup here heavily favors Temple. The Owls are so good at forcing teams to beat them from outside the paint, as they just don't give up easy baskets inside. That's a big problem for the Knights, who just don't have a lot of shooting. UCF comes in shooting a mere 30.6% from deep. Another thing is the Knights rely a lot on getting second chance points by attacking the offensive glass and defensive rebounding is a big strength and priority for the Owls. Temple's defense has also only gotten better with the recent insertion of Jake Forrester into the starting lineup. Owls are also a great team to back away from home. Temple is 11-4-1 ATS last 16 on the road against a team with a winning road record. Knights are just 1-3-1 ATS last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Temple! |
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12-30-19 | Suns v. Blazers -4 | 122-116 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Blazers -4 -109 Easy play here on Portland laying a really small price at home against the Suns. Blazers are coming off a hard fought 128-120 loss at home to Lakers, but were simply not happy with the result and it was their 3rd straight setback after they put together a 4-game winning streak. I'm expecting a max effort here from Portland and I think that will be more than enough to take down what should be a tired Suns team that is playing their 3rd road game in a 4 day stretch. Phoenix did get an upset win at Sacramento in their last game, but only won by 2 and had lost 8 straight prior to the victory. Blazers have only failed to cover once in their last 5 when laying points at home. Suns are just 1-6 ATS last 7 off a SU win and 1-9 in their last 10 off a win by 6 or less points. Take Portland! |
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12-30-19 | Pistons v. Jazz -9 | Top | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
5* NBA -Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jazz -9 -110 This is an easy play here on the Jazz, who should have no problem winning by double-digits at home against a depleted Pistons team. Detroit has 4 key contributors who won't suit up for this game in Blake Griffin, Reggie Jackson, Markieff Morris and Luke Kennard. It would have been hard enough for the Pistons to keep this close if they were full strength. They had the services of Griffin in their last game at San Antonio, but still managed to lose that game 136-109. Detroit's only win in their last 7 games is against a bad Wizards team at home. All 6 losses have been by 11 or more points. Utah is also coming in playing some of their best basketball. Jazz have won 7 of their last 8, including a 120-107 win at the Clippers last time out as a 7-point dog. Take Utah! |
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12-30-19 | George Mason v. TCU -8.5 | 53-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on TCU -8½ -110 The Horned Frogs should have no problem winning by double-digits at home against the Patriots. George Mason comes in at 11-1 and it's simply got them getting way to much respect against a superior opponent. The Patriots impressive start is a direct result of them playing the 327th ranked strength of schedule. Their only game against a team ranked inside the Top 100 in KenPom was vs Maryland and they lost by 23. Another reason we are getting value is the fact that while TCU is a respectable 8-3 to start the year, they have gone just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. There's nothing wrong with their 3 losses, as they have come against the likes of Clemson, USC and Xavier. All 3 coming by 8 or fewer points. Once the Horned Frogs starting hit their shots they are going to be a real tough out in the Big 12 and with this being their final tune-up before conference play I think we see them lay it on the Patriots. Take TCU! |
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12-30-19 | Virginia +14.5 v. Florida | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Virginia/Florida ORANGE BOWL on Virginia +14½ -105 This is just too many points to pass up on a play with Virginia. There's no question that Florida is the more talented team, but I just feel like this line is a huge overreaction to the Cavaliers embarrassing 62-17 loss to Clemson. The thing you have to keep in mind is Clemson, Ohio State and LSU were on a whole different level than the rest of the country. This is a Florida team that keep in mind only beat Miami by 4 in their season opener and had several close calls throughout the year against teams they had the talent edge against. I just think with all the talk about how the Gators are going to dominate this game, they might have a hard time here giving Virginia the respect they deserve. As for the Cavaliers, they have to be itching to get back on the field after that ugly loss to the Tigers and show everyone they are a better team than that score would indicate. I'm not expecting a win by Virginia, but look for this to be a lot closer game than the line would suggest. Take Virginia! |
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12-30-19 | St Bonaventure v. Buffalo UNDER 145.5 | 79-84 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on St Bonaventure/Buffalo under 145½ -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's matchup between Buffalo and St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are rolling right now, as they have won 7 straight and their defense has been a big part of their success. Only once during this stretch has St Bonaventure given up more than 65 points, so while the Bulls are scoring 80.6 ppg, I don't see them coming anywhere close to that. Buffalo will find it really tough scoring inside. Bulls have an undersized frontline and will be facing one of the best interior defenders in the country in Osun Osunniyi. I know Buffalo's defense has had their lapses, but the Bonnies are from an offensive juggernaut. In fact, they only average 67.7 ppg. UNDER is 18-4 in the Bulls last 22 home games after scoring 80 or more points in 2 straight games and 6-0 in their last 6 at home off a blowout win by 20 or more. UNDER is also 11-3 in the Bonnies last 14 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 as a road dog of 3 or less. Take the UNDER! |
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12-30-19 | Youngstown State v. Illinois-Chicago -3.5 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Illinois-Chicago -3½ -110 I love the value here with the Flames laying a short number at home against the Penguins. UIC has won each of their last two games and are in a great buy low spot, as they just recently got back one of their top scorers in Marcus Ottey. He's played in just the last 4 games and scored double-figures in all 4. It's also worth noting that while the Flames are just 6-8 overall, they have had 3 losses by 4 or fewer points. Youngstown State is getting some love after covering 4 straight, but this is not an ideal spot for the Penguins are who will be forced to play their second road game in a mere 3 days. Youngstown State is just 1-4-1 ATS last 6 on the road and are losing be close to 10 ppg on average away from home this season. Take Illinois-Chicago! |
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12-29-19 | Rockets v. Pelicans +5 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pelicans +5 -110 The Pelicans are definitely worth a look here as a home dog against the Rockets. Houston is not going to be at full strength for this one. Russell Westbrook is sitting out (rest) in the second game of a back-to-back and they may also be without big man Clint Capela (questionable). Either way I like New Orleans to keep this real close and likely win outright. Pelicans have really got things going of late. NO comes in having won 3 in a row and are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, which includes 3 outright wins as a dog. Rockets are a mere 3-7 ATS last 10 games as a favorite and 4-12 ATS last 16 on the road vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Pelicans are also 35-17 ATS last 52 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take New Orleans! |
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12-29-19 | Canadiens v. Panthers OVER 6 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Canadiens/Panthers over 6 -115 Easy play here on the OVER 6 in Sunday's NHL matchup that has the Panthers hosting the Canadiens. These two teams both are red-hot offensively coming into this one. Montreal is averaging 4.0 goals/game in their last 5, while Florida is even better at 4.6 goals/game in their last 5. These two offenses should both go off against the sub-par defenses that they will be facing. Canadiens are giving up 3.2 goals/game and 3.7 goals/game against division opponents. Panthers are allowing 3.4 goals/game overall, in their last 5 and against division opponents. OVER is 8-2 in Montreal's last 10 road games after scoring 3 or more goals in 2 straight games and 7-1 in their last 8 when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days. OVER is also 9-2 in Florida's last 11 home games after going OVER in their previous game and 14-4 in their last 18 at home after allowing 4 or more in two straight games. Take the OVER! |
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12-29-19 | Thunder v. Raptors -2.5 | 98-97 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Raptors -2½ -109 I really like the value here with the Raptors at basically a pick'em at home against the Thunder. I just feel like the books have over adjusted this line because Toronto is playing on no rest after a game in Boston last night. Raptors won that one without much trouble and had two days off before that game, so I don't think the no rest is a big deal. Plus the Raptors are 13-4 at home and while OKC has been playing better of late, they are still a miserable 5-9 on the road. If anything the Thunder are going to be the tired team, as they are playing on the road in what will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team with a losing road record, 13-5 ATS last 18 when playing on no rest and 4-1 ATS last 5 as a favorite. Take Toronto! |
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12-29-19 | Arkansas v. Indiana -5 | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Indiana -5 -110 I really like the value here with Indiana as a small home favorite against the Razorbacks. While both teams come in with just 1 loss on the season, I've been way more impressed with Indiana's resume. Arkansas has only played one team inside the KenPom top 100 and that 93rd ranked Western Kentucky. Razorbacks were fortunate to get a win last time out as they trailed by 5 against Valpo last before squeaking out a 72-68 victory. Indiana's only loss is at Wisconsin. They are 9-0 at home and one of those was a 16-point win over a good FSU team. Hoosiers have done an excellent job scoring in the paint and are one of the best in the country at getting to the free throw line (averaging 20 made free throws per game). I just don't think the Razorbacks are built to slow them down and wouldn't be shocked if this thing turned into a blowout. Take Indiana! |
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12-29-19 | Rhode Island v. Middle Tennessee +6.5 | 89-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Middle Tennessee +6½ -110 Easy play here with the Blue Raiders catching what I feel is a big number at home against Rhode Island. This is a big flat spot for Rhode Island coming out of their Christmas break on the road after a lengthy layoff against a hungry Middle Tennessee team. One in which they might have a hard time getting up with the Blue Raiders just 4-9 overall and a mere 1-8 in their last 9. Last time out Middle Tennessee nearly won outright as a 4-point dog against St Bonaventure, falling to the Bonnies by a final score of 66-65. That's worth noting, as the Blue Raiders are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games after playing their previous game as a home dog. Rhode Island is also just 1-4 ATS last 5 as a favorite. Take Middle Tennessee! |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 104 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Raiders +3½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raiders. Oakland is the only team in this one with something to play for and I would have them favored in this one. Denver is getting a lot of love for winning 3 of their last 4, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They were down 10-0 at home to the Lions last week and needed two 4th quarter scores to cover as a touchdown favorite. Not the first time the Broncos have struggled with a bad team. They are just 13-28 ATS last 41 vs a team with a losing record and a mere 9-24 ATS last 33 times they have faced a marginal losing team like the Raiders with a win percentage of 40% to 49%. On top of that Denver is awful in the role of home favorite, as they are just 2-7 ATS last 9 times they have been asked to lay points at home. They are also a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 division games and have failed to cover each of their last 4 meetings with the Raiders. Take Oakland! |
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12-29-19 | Titans v. Texans UNDER 46 | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Titans/Texans under 46 -110 I really like the UNDER in Sunday's AFC South matchup between the Texans and Titans. I really think Houston is going to be going through the motions in this one. The only thing the Texans can do is move up from the No. 4 to the No. 3 seed, but chances are the Chiefs will beat the Chargers in the early slate of games and Houston will be locked into the No. 4. I could see the Texans either resting their starters or playing them for just a few series. There's just no incentive here for them to do anything special in this game. Offensively they are likely be very vanilla with a lot of runs and I could see them struggling to score more than 14. As for Tennessee they are in a must-win situation. Win and they are the No. 6 seed and in the playoffs. Lose and they are more than likely out. Titans are built for UNDERs. They are really good defensively and have an offense built around a power running game with Derrick Henry. UNDER is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games vs good rushing teams that average 4.5 or more yards/carry. It's also 7-1 in their last 8 division games and 8-3 in their last 11 at home. Take the UNDER! |
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12-29-19 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 47 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 20 m | Show |
5* NFL - NFC South TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Saints/Panthers under 47 -110 I absolutely love the UNDER 47 in Sunday's NFC South matchup between the Panthers and Saints. Carolina turned over the offense to rookie Will Grier last week and it couldn't have much worse. The Panthers managed 6 points and 286 total yards, failing to find the endzone. Grier was a respectable 27 of 44 for 224 yards, but threw 3 interceptions and was sacked 5 times. It's hard to imagine it going any better against the Saints on Sunday. That means the only way this game goes over this total is if New Orleans pops off for 30+ points and I just don't see that happening. If the Saints get any kind of comfortable lead they are going to become very conventional and really try to grind this thing out. New Orleans still has a shot at the No. 1 or No. 2 seed. However, this game only matters if they win and the Packers lose at Detroit (GB 12.5-point favorite). They can also get the No. 2 seed if the Seahawks beat the 49ers, but they don't have to win to get it, as they would own the tie-breaker. If GB and SF win they are No. 3. You can bet they will be paying close attention that the Packers score and if Green Bay gets up big, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they pulled several of their key players. Either way they aren't going to be trying to run up the score. UNDER is also 11-2 in New Orleans' last 13 games vs a team with a losing record and 12-4 in their last 16 trips to Carolina. Take the UNDER! |
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12-28-19 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes/Golden Knights under 5½ +105 The UNDER 5.5 is worth a look in Saturday's NHL showdown between the Coyotes and Golden Knights. These two division rivals have really locked down defensively against division opponents this season. Both are giving up just 2.4 goals/game against division foes. UNDER is also 15-5 in Vegas' last 20 home games with a total of 5.5 and 9-2 in their last 11 at home after a road game where both teams scored 3 or more goals. UNDER is also 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 road games vs a team thats scoring 2.85 or more goals/game and 10-2 in Vegas' last 12 at home against teams giving up 2.55 or less goals/game. Take the UNDER! |
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12-28-19 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 222 | 112-110 | Push | 0 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Kings under 222 -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Kings hosting the Suns. Just went Sacramento was starting to pick up the pace with De'Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley back from injuries, both players are hurt once again and out for this game. Kings are going to have to go back to slowing things down and Phoenix figures to be looking to slow the pace as well, as they will be in the second game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in Golden State. UNDER is 15-5 in the Suns last 20 road games against division opponents and 21-9 in the Kings last 30 at home when playing only their 2nd game in a 5 day stretch. Take the UNDER 222! |
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12-28-19 | Northern Arizona +7.5 v. Montana | Top | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northern Arizona +7½ -110 I love the value here with Northern Arizona as a near double-digit dog at Montana. The Lumberjacks come into this game at 6-3 and have covered 4 straight, while the Grizzlies are a mere 4-7 and 3-6 in their last 9. Montana is a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are just 1-5 ATS last 6 games vs a team with a winning record. Grizzlies come in scoring just 64.8 ppg and are shooting just 425 from the field and 29% from long distance. Northern Arizona averages 75.6 ppg and one thing I love about the Lumberjacks is how they get to the free throw line. They are one of the best in the country at doing so and Montana is one of the worst at sending opponents to the charity line. Grizzlies opponents are averaging 15 made free throws a game against them. Lumberjacks are 5-1 ATS last 6 times they have been listed as a road dog. Also underdogs with a winning record who have beaten the spread by 30 or more points in their last 3 games and playing a team with a losing record are 23-7 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Northern Arizona! |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State UNDER 64 | Top | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 274 h 21 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Clemson/Ohio St TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clemson/Ohio State under 64 -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CFP Semifinal matchup between Ohio State and Clemson. There's going to be plenty of talk about the two high-powered offenses and what they were able to do this season, but I just think both are going to have a miserable time moving the ball on these two elite defenses, especially at the rate needed to eclipse a high total like this one. Ohio State's defense ranked 3rd in the country giving up just 12.5 ppg and were 2nd in total defense, allowing just 247.9 ypg. Clemson had the best scoring defense in the country, giving up only 10.6 ppg and were also 1st in total defense, allowing 244.7 ppg. Both defense ranked in the Top 10 against the run and the pass. UNDER is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 games when they have two or more weeks to prepare and 4-0 in their last 4 semifinal games in the playoffs. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Buckeyes last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! |
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12-28-19 | Hawks +10 v. Bulls | 81-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Vegas Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Hawks +10 -110 I like the value here with Atlanta as a double-digit dog against the Bulls. I just think we are seeing Chicago get a little too much love due to the fact the Hawks won't have the services of their best player in Trea Young. However, the Bulls could be missing two of their top players, as both Lauri Markkanen and Wendell Carter Jr are listed as questionable. Chicago is also a team that simply can't be trusted to lay this kind of number against any team. Especially at home. Bulls are just 14-30 ATS last 44 home games. They are also a mere 5-13 ATS last 18 times they have played at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Hawks are 6-2 ATS last 8 off a loss by 10 or more and 30-16 ATS last 46 as an underdog of 10 or more. Take Atlanta! |
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12-28-19 | NC-Wilmington v. Delaware -11.5 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Delaware -11½ -110 Easy play here on the Blue Hens laying double-digits at home against the Seahawks. These two teams have played almost the same strength of schedule, yet Delaware is sitting at 10-3 and Wilmington is a mere 5-8. Even more important here is the home/away splits. The Blue Hens are a perfect 6-0 at home where they are scoring 78.8 ppg. The Seahawks are 1-5 away from home and scoring a miserable 57.8 ppg on the road this season. Delaware has one of the best scorers in the country in Nate Darling, who is currently 16th in the nation at 21.4 ppg. Wilmington is a mere 2-8-3 ATS in their last 13 road games and 1-7-3 ATS last 11 as a road dog. Take Delaware! |
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12-28-19 | Northern Colorado v. Portland State +3 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Portland State +3 -115 Easy play here on the Vikings as a home dog against Northern Colorado. Portland State is 3-1 on their home floor and have won 3 of their last 4 overall, including a 76-66 win last time out at Loyola-Marymount as a 3.5-point dog. Covering has not been a problem for the Vikings, who are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. The Bears come in having won 4 straight, but that's actually a positive here, as Northern Colorado is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games when they come in having won 4 or more games in a row. Look for the Vikings to torment the Bears on the offensive glass. Northern Colorado is vulnerable in that department and Portland State ranks 6th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. Vikings are also 9-2 ATS last 11 games at home and 7-0-1 ATS last 8 games played on Saturday. Take Portland State! |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma +14 v. LSU | Top | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 418 h 57 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/LSU Playoffs PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +14 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Sooners at this price. The hype around this LSU team has gotten out of control and the books have drastically inflated this line knowing the public is going to pound the Tigers no matter the number. I'm not going to say Oklahoma is going to win this game, but I'm extremely confident they keep it within two touchdowns. Sooners have more than shown they can compete on this stage the last two years. Last season they fell 45-34 to Alabama as a similarly priced 13 point dog. The year before they should have beat Georgia, but blew a big lead and wound up losing in 2OT. Oklahoma's offense might not be as potent as it was the last two years behind a couple of Heisman winners, but the defense is vastly improved. Also, as good as Joe Burrow and the LSU offense is, the defense can be had. They allowed 38 to Texas, 28 to Florida, 41 to Alabama and 37 to Ole Miss. I fully expect them to struggle with Lincoln Riley's offense and a turnover here or there by the Sooners defense and this could get real interesting. Take Oklahoma! |
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12-28-19 | Memphis v. Penn State UNDER 60.5 | 39-53 | Loss | -109 | 141 h 33 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Memphis/Penn State COTTON BOWL on Memphis/Penn State under 60½ -109 I really like the UNDER in Saturday's matchup between Penn State and Memphis in the Cotton Bowl. Simply based on what these two offenses were able to accomplish in the regular-season, it would be really easy to expect a shootout. Memphis put up 40.5 ppg and Penn State finished the year at 34.3 ppg. However, there's a good reason to believe that neither offense will be on top of their game. That's because both offenses will be working under a new play caller. Memphis lost head coach Mike Norvell to Florida State and he was the guy that orchestrated that offense. As for Penn State, offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne left to be the head coach at Old Dominion. Another thing here is that these two teams can get after you defensively. Penn State has one of the best d-lines in the country and gave up just 14.1 ppg. Memphis had their lapses on defense, but only gave up 24.4 ppg when it was all said and done. The other big thing is I expect the effort to be there defensively, as these two know a lot of people will be tuned into Saturday's card leading up to the two big semifinal matchups in the playoffs. Take the UNDER! |
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12-27-19 | Blues -120 v. Jets | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Blues -120 St Louis is definitely worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Jets. The Blues are on quite a run right now, as they come in having won 6 straight. They have scored 4 or more goals in 5 of the 6 wins and allowed 2 or fewer in 5 of 6. Winnipeg is has lost 3 of 4 and it's the exact opposite for them, as they have allowed 4 or more in 3 of those 4 and only once during this stretch have they scored more than 3. I just don't see this being close. Take St Louis! |
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12-27-19 | 76ers -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
5* NBA - Vegas No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on 76ers -2½ -110 I think the books have made a huge mistake here with the 76ers basically at a pick'em on the road against the Magic. I get Philadelphia has had their struggles on the road and are coming off a massive win over the Bucks on Christmas Day, but I just don't see them having much trouble with Orlando. It would be one thing if the Magic were playing well, but they are just 2-6 over their last 8 games and only covered twice in their last 7 games. Not to mention Orlando is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games in the month of December and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games as an underdog. Another key thing here is revenge. Magic embarrassed the 76ers 112-97 at home back in November. That actually sets up a very profitable system on Philadelphia. Favorites revenging a road loss of 10 or more and off a home win by 10 or more are 62-28 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina v. Temple OVER 53.5 | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Temple/N Carolina MILITARY BOWL on North Carolina/Temple over 53½ -110 I really like the value here with the OVER in the Military Bowl between Temple and North Carolina. The Owls are perceived to be a great defensive team, but I just don't know that's the case. The only decent offense they faced in non-conference was Buffalo and they gave up 38 points to the Bulls. Temple finished with the 6th best record in the AAC and every team below them had 3 or fewer conference wins, so basically they were the worst of the quality teams in the American. Their only win against one of the top teams was a 30-28 victory over Memphis, but it was real fluky. The Tigers turned it over 3 times in their first 4 possessions, which allowed the Owls to jump out to a 16-0 lead. They were outscored 28-14 in the final 36 minutes of that game. The two best offenses that Temple faced outside of Memphis were SMU and UCF and those two did whatever they wanted. The Knights put up 63 points and over 600 yards of offense, while the Mustangs had 45 points and over 650 yards. UNC has the 14th best offense in the country, ranking in the top 45 in both rushing and passing. Tar Heels will score and score a lot. While I don't think Temple is going to be able to go score for score with UNC, I do think they will be able to put some points on the scoreboard. Owls offense was 39th in passing and will be up against a Tar Heels defense that finished 79th against the pass. I think worse case here this ends up like 35-21 in favor of UNC. Take the OVER! |
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12-26-19 | Wolves v. Kings -4 | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night ATS HEAVY HITTER on Kings -4 -110 Sacramento is definitely worth a look here laying a short number at home against the slumping Timberwolves. Minnesota comes into this game having lost 11 straight and may once again be without big man Karl-Anthony Towns, who has missed the last 4 and is listed as questionable. Either way the Timberwolves can't be trusted as a small road dog and this Kings team is one that I think is one to watch out for. While Sacramento has lost all 4 games since De'Aaron Fox returned from injury, he's shown flashes of being 100% back. He had a career-high 31 points in their most recent loss to the Rockets. Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as an underdog, 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-6-1 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a losing record. Take Sacramento! |
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12-26-19 | Knicks v. Nets -7 | 94-82 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nets -7 -109 I got no problem laying the points with Brooklyn at home against the Knicks. The Nets continue to play without Kyrie Irving, but have done just fine without him. If anything, it's had Brooklyn repeatedly showing great value in his absence. Nets have won 12 of 18 with Irving sidelined and are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games, including a sizzling 8-3 ATS run over their last 11. The Knicks showed some life after making a coaching change, but reverted right back to their losing ways with 3 straight losses and 3 non-covers in their last 3 games. New York simply doesn't have the talent to win many games, especially with their opponent motivated, which Brooklyn should be having had 4 days off. Defense is also a big problem for the Knicks, as they are giving up 112.7 ppg on the season and 120.8 ppg in their last 5. Knicks two most recent losses were at home and they are just 2-12 ATS last 14 after 2 straight home defeats. Take Brooklyn! |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7 | Top | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 370 h 40 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Miami/La Tech INDEPENDENCE BOWL Top Play on Louisiana Tech +7 -110 Easy play here on the Bulldogs catching a touchdown against Miami in the Independence Bowl. I just don't feel Miami is the least bit interested in playing in this game, especially with how they closed out the season with back-to-back losses to FIU and Duke. Given the talent that the Hurricanes have, there's zero excuse for them losing either one of those games other than they just don't care about finishing the season strong. I just don't think Miami flipped a switch once the regular-season was over and started putting everything they had into beating LA Tech. There's no incentive for the Hurricanes to win this game. The same can't be said for the Bulldogs. Any time a small conference gets a shot at a Power 5, especially a storied program like Miami, they really get up for the game. That alone is enough reason to take the points with Louisiana Tech, but there's even more reason to like the Bulldogs. The game will be played in Shreveport, Louisiana, which is roughly an hour drive from their campus in Ruston. It's going to feel like a home game for the Bulldogs. You also have to take into account just how good La Tech head coach Skip Holtz has been at getting his team prepared and motivated for bowl play. Since he took over with the program, they have gone 5-0 in bowl games and he's 7-3 in his career as a head coach. I would not be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech! |
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12-25-19 | Georgia Tech v. Hawaii +3 | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Hawaii +3 -110 The Rainbow Warriors are definitely worth a look here as a small home dog against the Yellow Jackets in their Christmas Day matchup in the Diamond Head Classic. Hawaii has such a huge advantage here with this game being played at home, especially with both teams playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Rainbow Warriors have gone 8-1 SU at home this season, while the Yellow Jackets are just 5-6 overall and 2-3 away from home. In Hawaii's last game they lost to No. 21 Washington by just 11-points and that was with their leading scorer, Eddie Stansberry, scoring just 5 points on a dreadful 1-17 shooting (all 3-pointers). Georgia Tech is a mere 4-9 ATS last 13 times they have been listed as a road favorite. Rainbow Warriors are 8-3 ATS last 11 off a SU loss and 6-2 ATS last 8 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Hawaii! |
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12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA - Christmas Day GAME OF THE YEAR  on 76ers +3½ -105 I absolutely love the value here with Philadelphia as a home dog against the Bucks. As difficult as it may be to bet against Milwaukee right now, I just think the price is too good with the 76ers as a home dog. I really think Philadelphia is going to win this game. The 76ers definitely have the talent to go toe to toe with the Bucks, but more importantly they have the size to give Milwaukee trouble. Not to mention the 76ers have one of the league's best home court advantages. Philadelphia is 15-2 SU at home, where they are outscoring teams by 9.7 ppg. 76ers are 26-9 ATS last 35 at home against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home dog. Bucks on the other hand are just 3-7 ATS last 10 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-25-19 | Celtics v. Raptors +3.5 | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Celtics/Raptors VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +3½ -105 I'll gladly take my chances here with Toronto as a home dog against the Celtics in the first of five NBA games on Christmas Day. The Raptors are going to be without one of their best players in Pascal Siakam, which on paper looks like a big blow given that Siakam leads the team in scoring at 25.1 ppg. However, he's missed the last 3 and Toronto has not missed a beat. Raptors secured wins over both the Wizards and Mavs at home before losing in overtime at Indiana against a red-hot Pacers team. Boston comes in having won 3 straight and are 7-2 over their last 9, but are just the same team on the road as they are at home. Celtics are just 8-6 on the road compared to 12-1 at home. Toronto on the other hand is a dominant 13-3 at home this season. Raptors don't just win at home, they are 15-6-1 ATS last 21 at home and are 5-1-2 ATS last 8 times they have been listed as a home dog. Take Toronto! |
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12-23-19 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Blazers | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pelicans +6½ -109 This is just too good a price to pass up with New Orleans. It's been a really rough go of things for New Orleans to start out the season, but they have shown some signs of turning the corner. They snapped their 13-game skid with a win at Minnesota last week and each of their last two losses have come by 7 or fewer points. Portland has won 4 straight, but it's nothing to get all that excited about. Their 4 wins have come against the Suns, Warriors, Magic and Timberwolves. Their win over Phoenix came with the Suns missing Booker and was before Ayton returned. Golden State is garbage, Orlando was playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and Minnesota was without Towns. Take New Orleans! |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 46 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 154 h 18 m | Show |
5* NFL - Packers/Vikings NFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH on Packers/Vikings under 46 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in this one. These two teams already played once this season and combined for a mere 37 points. I have a really hard time seeing them eclipsing that mark by a full 10 points. Green Bay's offense hasn't been nearly as good as their scoring average. Packers are 13th in scoring at 23.6 ppg yet are 22nd in total offense and rank in the bottom half of the league in both passing and rushing. Hard to see them figuring it out against a Vikings defense that is one of the best in the league and one that is giving up just 14.2 ppg at home. As for Minnesota's offense, they are really short handed here with their top two running backs, Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison both doubtful to play. Note that in that first game against Green Bay they had 198 yards rushing. Green Bay's defense is also playing really well at the moment. Packers have held each of their last 3 opponents to 15 or less. UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in the Vikings last 7 division home games and 7-0 in the Packers last 7 overall against a team from the NFC North. UNDER is also 10-2 in Minnesota's last 12 after a game where they scored 30 or more and 8-3 in Green Bay's last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! |
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12-23-19 | Jazz +5 v. Heat | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Jazz +5 -110 I like the value here with Utah as a decently priced road dog against the Heat. The Jazz come in having won 5 in a row and are finally figuring out how to close out games. Utah will be without starting point guard Mike Conley, but they posted one of their better offensive performances without him in their last game and have scored 109 or more in all 5 wins. Utah is also well rested. This will be just their 4th game since Dec. 13th. It's been a very profitable spot to back the Jazz, as they are 29-13 (69%) when playing 4 or less games in a 10 day stretch. Take Utah! |
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12-23-19 | Hawks +1.5 v. Cavs | 118-121 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational ATS VEGAS INSIDER on Hawks +1½ -105 I really like the value here with Atlanta getting points on the road against the Cavs. Cleveland just can't be trusted laying points. Just two games ago they failed to cover as a mere 2.5-point favorite against the Hornets. Any time the Cavs get matched up against another bad team they tend to underperform. Cleveland is a mere 21-48 ATS last 69 at home against a team with a losing road record. They are also just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Also, Hawks should be getting a big boost here with the return of John Collins from his 25-game suspension. In the 5 games Hollins played he averaged 17.0 ppg, 8.8 rpg and 2.0 blocks. Take Atlanta! |
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12-23-19 | Long Beach State v. Seattle University -5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Seattle University -5 -109 The Redhawks are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the 49ers. Big bounce back spot for Seattle after they were embarrassed on their home floor by Florida A&M as a 13.5-point favorite. I still like what I've seen overall from the 49ers and this Long Beach State team is one they can handle with ease. 49ers have played 8 of their first 13 games on the road and are 1-7 and getting outscored by 15.8 ppg. It's almost the exact opposite for Seattle, who even after that loss to Florida A&M are still outscoring teams at home 81.8 to 67.5 ppg. You have one team that is scoring 80+ games at home and one giving up 80+ ppg on the road. I just don't think the number here has been set high enough. Take Seattle! |
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12-23-19 | Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 25-48 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - UCF/Marshall GASPARILLA BOWL Top Play on Marshall +17½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thundering Herd in Monday's matchup with UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall has thrived in bowl games under head coach Doc Holiday. They have yet to lose since Holiday took over with a perfect 6-0 mark and come in having covered 5 straight bowl games. UCF had another fantastic season and are without a doubt the more talented team, but bowl games is all about motivation and I just wonder how much the Knights really want to be here. UCF was playing in the Fiesta Bowl last year and the Peach Bowl the year before that. They got nothing to prove here against a team they are favored to beat by more than two touchdowns. Marshall has the 43rd ranked defense (362.1 ypg) and 42nd in points allowed (23.1 ppg). With the extra time to prepare, I think they can slow down this UCF offense. At the same time, the Knights are vulnerable defensively against the run and the Herd averaged a healthy 195.7 rushing ypg (36th). This is just too many points. Take Marshall! |
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12-23-19 | Hurricanes +115 v. Maple Leafs | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Hurricanes +115 The Hurricanes are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Maple Leafs. While Toronto comes in having won 4 straight, those 4 wins have all come in favorable matchups. It's not going to be so easy against Carolina. The Hurricanes come in having won 6 of 8 and are one of the better road teams with a 12-8 record away from home. The other big thing here is they are catching the Maple Leafs in a tough scheduling spot. Toronto will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 4th in the last 7 days. Maple Leafs are just 2-12 in their last 14 when playing 4 or more games in a 7 day stretch. Toronto is also 2-8 in their last 10 at home against a team that's outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more goals per game. Take Carolina! |
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12-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks +130 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
3* BEST BET on Sharks +130 Analysis will be posted shortly |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +7 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NBA - LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER on Nuggets +7 -105 Big time value here with Denver here as a near double-digit dog against the Lakers. I just think LA is being way overpriced in this spot, as the perception is that with the Lakers coming off back-to-back losses there's no way they can lose 3 straight. They might not, but winning by 8 or more against a really good Denver team is asking a lot. Note that the Nuggets are coming in playing some of their best ball, as they have won 5 straight. Lakers are also a mere 3-7 ATS last 10 home games vs a team with a winning road record and are 1-4 ATS last 5 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Denver! |
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12-22-19 | Pacers +8 v. Bucks | 89-117 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Central Div PLAY OF THE WEEK on Pacers +8 -115 I like the value here with Indiana catching a big number on the road against the Bucks. As difficult as it is to bet against Milwaukee with how well they have been playing, I just think the price is too good to pass up with the Pacers in this spot. This is definitely a good spot to fade the Bucks, as they will be playing on no rest after a game yesterday in New York. It's also their 3rd game in 4 days. Indiana on the other hand is well rested playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Pacers are also coming in having won and covered 5 straight games. Lastly, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off two straight covers as a favorite are just 8-25 (24%) ATS if facing an opponent off a home win where they scored 110 or more points. Take Indiana! |
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12-22-19 | Florida Atlantic +3.5 v. Mercer | 65-50 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Underdog ATS HEAVY HITTER on Florida Atlantic +3½ -107 The Owls are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Bears. I just think we are seeing Mercer get a little too much love off their close call and cover at home against Furman last time out. Bears are still just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. FAU comes in having won 3 straight and are 5-1 over their last 6. Owls have a really good player in Jailyn Ingram who seems to be getting better and better as the season progresses. FAU has the better offensive and better defensive numbers and I'm confident they win this game outright. Mercer is a mere 1-8 ATS last 9 home games off a straight up loss, 3-7 ATS last 10 home games overall and 1-8 ATS last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Take FAU! |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles +3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 126 h 29 m | Show |
5* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys NFC East GAME OF THE YEAR on Eagles +3 -115 I absolutely love the Eagles as a home dog against the Cowboys. I get Dallas has owned Philly of late and absolutely destroyed them 37-10 at home earlier this season, but there's just no way the Cowboys should be a road favorite with how they have been playing. Dallas comes off an impressive 44-21 win at home against the Rams, but I think some of that was LA suffering a bit of a letdown off their big win over the Seahawks and a huge game against division rival San Francisco on deck. Prior to that the Cowboys had lost 3 straight and I expect them to go right back to their losing ways. A big thing here is Dallas is going to have to try to win on the road with a less than 100% Dak Prescott under center. Prescott barely practiced at all this week as he's dealing with both a sore shoulder and a injury on one of his fingers on his throwing hand. Note that while the Eagles defense has struggled some of late, they have continued to be really good against the run. Philadelphia has held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 101 or fewer rushing yards and come in ranked 3rd against the run, allowing 90.4 ypg. With Prescott likely not at his best, it could be a real struggle here for the Cowboys offense. Also a great system in play favoring a fade of Dallas. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are off an upset win by 14 or more as a home dog are just 7-29 (19%) ATS since 1983 if the game is after the 1st month of the season. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 43 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Cardinals +9½ -105 The Cardinals are definitely worth a look here as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Seahawks have one of the best records in the NFL at 11-3, but I just think it has them way overvalued here against a feisty Arizona team that is coming off a 38-24 win against the Browns. The biggest thing for me with Seattle and fading them at this price is the simple fact that out of their 11 wins only 1 has come by more than 8 points. On top of that, Seahawks could have a tough time not looking ahead to next week's massive game against the 49ers. Win or lose, that game against San Francisco will be for the NFC West crown and possibly a first round bye in the playoffs. Arizona has been a smart play in games that are expected to be high scoring. Cardinals are a dominant 14-3 ATS last 17 games with a total of 49.5 or more. Arizona has also gone 43-26 ATS last 69 when revenging a same season loss and are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 as a road dog. Seahawks just 2-5 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Take Arizona! |
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12-22-19 | New Mexico State +5.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 58-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on New Mexico State +5½ -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Aggies as a road dog against the Bulldogs. Mississippi State comes in at 8-2, but a big reason for that is the schedule. The Bulldogs best win is a neutral site victory against Kansas State. They just struggled to put away Radford in their last game and recently lost at home to Louisiana Tech. New Mexico State has gone just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games, but are off a win and cover against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Aggies debuted UTEP transfer Evan Gilyard in that game and A.J. Harris, who has been out all year could be back for this one. Also, I like the matchup here. Aggies are really good at forcing their opponents into making mistakes. They are averaging 15 forced turnovers a game and Mississippi State ranks 327th in turnover rate. New Mexico State is also a great offensive rebounding team (32nd nationally) and Bulldogs rank a mere 232nd in defensive rebound rate. Mississippi State is also just 3-12 ATS last 15 times they come into a game having won 2 of their last 3. Take New Mexico State! |
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12-22-19 | Jaguars v. Falcons -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 123 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NFL - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Falcons -7 -110 I got no problem laying a touchdown here with Atlanta at home against the Jaguars. The Falcons clearly are motivated to finish this season strong. They have won 4 of their last 6 overall and are fresh off that shocking upset on the road against the 49ers. Jacksonville comes in off a win at Oakland, but with the way the Raiders have been playing it's hard to get excited about that. Prior to that the Jaguars had lost 5 straight all by 17 or more points. I'm confident Jacksonville will go right back to their losing ways in this one. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense should be able to do as they please here. Atlanta comes in with the 4th ranked passing offense and Jacksonville's pass defense has regressed quite a bit down the stretch. Jags also are awful against the run, as they come in 29th, giving up 140.1 ypg. As for Jacksonville's offense, they have now gone 6 straight games scoring 20 or fewer points. In their last 3 games they have failed to rush for more than 90 yards and haven't thrown for more than 190. You just can't expect to be competitive on the road when you can't do anything offensively. Take Atlanta! |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts -6.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 116 h 47 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Colts -6½ -110 The Colts are definitely worth a look here laying less than a touchdown at home against the Panthers. Indianapolis' playoff hopes came crashing to an end with an ugly 34-7 loss at new Orleans on Monday Night Football. You might think now is not the time to jump on the Colts given they no longer have a shot at the playoffs and are riding a 4-game skid, but I'm confident Indy is going to show up in their final home game. Also, the Panthers are a team that is in a complete free fall. Carolina has lost 6 straight and with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more. Things have got so bad with Panthers that they let Rivera go and now are turning to rookie Will Grier at quarterback. I'm not expecting much out of Grier in his first start, especially with it coming on the road. On top of that, he's going to be asked to do too much with how bad the defense has been playing. Carolina has allowed 29 or more points in each of their last 5 games. They have allowed 150+ rushing yards in each of their last 3, which I think speaks volumes to just how bad things have got. Panthers are aos 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons in the second half vs a team with a losing record. Take Indianapolis! |
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12-22-19 | Steelers -154 v. Jets | 10-16 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Steelers -154 I'm confident the Steelers are going to go into New York and get a win over the Jets, which is why I'm just taking Pittsburgh on the money line. Pittsburgh is in playoff mode early, as the Steelers are in a position that if they win their last two games they are in the playoffs as the final Wild Card in the AFC. If that wasn't enough motivation, there's a little extra incentive for Pittsburgh's defense, as they will be going up against former Steeler Le'Veon Bell. Considering Bell basically quit on the team with last year's holdout, I think we see the Pittsburgh defense come out looking to make life miserable for Bell and that Jets offense. New York is 4-2 in their last 6 games, but it's not so much a result of them playing well as it is their schedule. Those 4 wins have come against the likes of the Giants, Redskins, Raiders and Dolphins. I just don't see the Jets being able to score enough to pull off the upset. New York ranks 31st in total offense (274.1 ypg) and 28th in scoring (17.6 ppg). They also rank 30th in passing (196.6 ypg) and 31st in rushing (77.6 ypg). Take Pittsburgh! |
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12-21-19 | CS Bakersfield -2.5 v. Cal Poly | 72-50 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - CS Bakersfield/Cal Poly ATS Winner on CS Bakersfield -2½ -109 I like the value here with CS-Bakersfield as a small road favorite against Cal Poly. Neither team is all that great, but I do give the edge here to the Roadrunners. A big reason for that is they should dominate the glass. Bakersfield ranks 15th in offensive rebound rate and 45th on defense. Cal Poly is one of the worst teams in the country on the board. The Mustangs also can't score and don't exactly defend all that great either Cal Poly is scoring just 63.6 ppg and giving up 72.3 ppg. Mustangs are 0-8 ATS last 8 home games when they come in having lost 3 of their last 4 and just 2-9 ATS last 2 seasons at home. Take CS-Bakersfield! |
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12-21-19 | UAB +17 v. Appalachian State | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 255 h 34 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - UAB/App St NEW ORLEANS BOWL on UAB +17 -110 I just feel this is too good a price to pass up with UAB in the New Orleans Bowl. I know the Blazers played a really easy schedule in route to making the C-USA title game and were annihilated by FAU in that C-USA Championship. I just feel that poor perception of UAB is playing into this line. As for Appalachian State they are really good team, but it's not always about who is more talented in bowl games. It's typically about who wants it more and I really question the motivation here for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State was so close to being the top ranked Group of 5 team, which would have had them in the Cotton Bowl. I just don't think playing UAB in the New Orleans Bowl will get the juices flowing. Keep in mind it's the same exact bowl they played in last year, which I think also takes away from the excitement. On top of that, the Mountaineers had to deal with their head coach leaving, for a second straight year. Last year Scott Satterfield bolted before their bowl to take over at Louisville. This year it was Eliah Drinkwitz jumping ship to Missouri. I still think App State wins, just not by the number. Take UAB! |
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12-21-19 | Clippers v. Spurs +6 | 134-109 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Prime Time ATS NO-BRAINER on Spurs +6 -109 I like the value here with the Spurs getting a decent number at home against the Clippers. With LA coming off that meltdown at home to the Rockets on Thursday, I think a lot of people are just expecting the Clippers to bounce back with a big effort here. While they are likely to play hard, I don't think they are just going to run over the Spurs. San Antonio has been playing much better of late with 4 wins in their last 6 and could have easily won both games they lost, especially a 2-point setback at Houston where they had a 25-point lead. Spurs won't be intimidated by LA, as they already knocked off the Clippers at home 107-97 earlier this season. Spurs are 16-5 ATS last 21 home games in the month of December and 9-2 ATS last 11 times they have been a home dog. Take San Antonio! |
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12-21-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. UL - Lafayette +2.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Lafayette/Little Rock ATS Winner on UL - Lafayette +2½ -110 I'll take the Ragin' Cajuns and the points as they get ready to host Little Rock Saturday night. I just don't think Lafayette should be getting points at home. Little-Rock has won their last t2, but failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite in a mere 1-point win at ULM on Thursday and now must play another road game on just 1-day of rest. Ragin' Cajuns have lost their last 3, but all 3 of those were true road games. Lafayette is a perfect 4-0 at home where they are absolutely lighting up the scoreboard with 87.7 ppg on 49% shooting. Little Rock only scored 65.0 ppg away from home and I just don't see them keeping pace in this one. Little Rock is 5-14 ATS last 19 conference games and Ragin Cajuns are 13-4 ATS last 17 off a loss by 10 or more. Take Lafayette! |
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12-21-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Grand Canyon -2.5 | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - E Illinois/Grand Canyon ATS Winner on Grand Canyon -2½ -110 I like the value here with the Antelopes as a small home favorite against the Panthers. Good spot here to jump on Grand Canyon at home after losing their last 3. No real shocker that they did as they came against better teams in Liberty, Northern Iowa and New Mexico. Key here is the bad spot for Eastern Illinois, who will be playing their 3rd straight road game in a week span. They are also coming off a max effort against rival Western Illinois, making them prime for a letdown. Eastern Illinois is also just 14-29 ATS last 43 after covering 3 straight. Take Grand Canyon! |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | Top | 38-7 | Loss | -109 | 253 h 13 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Wash/Boise St LAS VEGAS BOWL Top Play on Boise State +3½ -109 The Broncos are definitely worth a look here catching more than a field goal against the Huskies. There's a lot of talk about this being the last game for Chris Petersen with Washington and how they are going to play their hearts out for him because of that. I just don't that I buy that. If I was a Huskies player I would be a little ticked off that Petersen is walking away. The other big thing is this was not a great Washington team this year. One that lost at home to Cal and Colorado on the road. This is also a far cry from the kind of bowl that the Huskies are accustomed to. The last 3 years they have played in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose bowls. You also got some of their best players sitting out, which I think speaks volumes to how little this game really means to them. Left tackle Trey Adams and tight end Hunter Bryant are both skipping to prepare for the draft. Lastly, this is a Huskies offense that struggled to score and will be facing a really good Boise State defense. The Broncos ranked 35th in total defense (347.5 ypg) and 24th in scoring (20.6 ppg). They are also really good at stopping the run, ranking 19th in the country allowing 113.1 ypg. Broncos are also 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs a team from the Pac-12. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. Take Boise State! |
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12-21-19 | Flyers -135 v. Senators | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Flyers -135 I like the value here with Philadelphia laying a short number on the road against the Senators. The Flyers come in riding a wave of momentum. In their last 2 games they beat Anaheim 4-1 and Buffalo 6-1. Hard to see them slowing down on the offensive side of the ball against Ottawa, which has allowed 14 goals in their last 3 games. Senators are also not in the best form at the moment, going just 4-9 in their last 13 games. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-21-19 | St Bonaventure -3.5 v. Middle Tennessee | 66-65 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St Bonaventure -3½ -105 Easy play here on the Bonnies as a small road favorite against the Blue Raiders. St Bonaventure has been on an absolute tear of late. Bonnies come in having won 6 straight and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 lined games. It's the exact opposite for Middle Tennessee, who has lost 7 of their last 8 and are a dreadful 0-7 ATS in this stretch. Every loss in this poor run has come by double-digits. Blue Raiders are scoring 75.2 ppg, which looks good, but is actually less than what their opponents have given up on average. I just think they will have a real tough time scoring here against a St Bonaventure defense that is holding opponents to 61.8 ppg, 40% from the field and 30% from deep. Take St Bonaventure! |
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12-21-19 | North Carolina v. UCLA +4.5 | 74-64 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on UCLA +4½ -109 I really like the value here with UCLA getting points against the Tar Heels in their neutral site showdown in Las Vegas. This is just as bad a North Carolina team as I can remember and things have really took a turn for the worse with star freshman Cole Anthony sidelined. Tar Heels have lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I get the Bruins haven't been all that impressive in their own right, but I do feel like they are the better team. I also think they got an edge here having not played in a week, while UNC is a long way from home and playing on just 2 days rest after laying it all on the line at Gonzaga Wednesday. Tar Heels just keep getting overvalued by the books because of how big a name they are. UNC is a mere 1-7 ATS in games where they are listed as the favorite and 0-4 ATS off a cover. Take UCLA! |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +4 v. San Diego State | 11-48 | Loss | -109 | 248 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - C Mich/SD St NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan +4 -109 I'll gladly take the points here with Central Michigan against San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl. The Chippewas had quite the turnaround in the first year under head coach Jim McElwain, as they finished 8-5 after going just 1-11 last year. They also won the MAC West after being picked by many to finish last in the division. They did come up short in the MAC title game against Miami (OH), but I think that will have them that much more motivated to finish their season strong. As for the Aztecs, you just can't trust Rocky Long's team in postseason play. Long is just 4-9 as a head coach in bowl games. Last year they lost 27-0 to Ohio out of the MAC Long has basically said his primary goal is to not win bowl games. He's more interested in developing his underclassmen and getting them primed for making a bigger impact the next season. It's also really hard to trust a team laying points that has a hard as time as San Diego State scoring the football. The Aztecs finished 115 in total offense (330.1 ypg) and 119th in scoring (19.0 ppg). The defense is good, but some of the great numbers are a result of a schedule that simply didn't have them facing many great offenses. I like the Chips and their balanced attack to have some success and really like them to win this outright. Take Central Michigan! |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan v. San Diego State UNDER 41 | 11-48 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - C Mich/SD State NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan/San Diego State under 41 -110 The UNDER is worth a look in the New Mexico Bowl as San Diego State takes on Central Michigan. I just think it's going to be a real struggle for both teams to score, which is just about how every game this season has went when the Aztecs are involved. UNDER is 11-1 in San Diego's 12 games this season, including a perfect 6-0 away from home. Aztecs simply have no offense, as they score just 19.0 ppg. What they do have is a great defense, that is holding teams to 12.8 ppg and 289 ypg. Central Michigan is scoring 31.9 ppg, but a lot of that has to do with the soft defenses they faced in the MAC. They didn't score a point in a game at Wisconsin and managed just 12 vs Miami. Take the UNDER! |
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12-21-19 | Fairfield +7 v. Oakland | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fairfield +7 -110 The Stags are definitely worth a look at this price in Saturday's matchup at Oakland. Fairfield comes into this game with a less than impressive 2-7 SU record and I think it has them showing value. The Stags are really unlucky to be sitting here with just 2 wins. Only one of their 7 losses have come by more than 11 points and 3 have been by 4 or fewer. They not only capable of covering here against Oakland, but winning this game outright. The Golden Grizzlies have lost 5 of 6 and have to be running on fumes after playing 6 straight away from home. Also both of these teams have played at Maryland and while both lost, the Stags lost by just 19, while the Golden Grizzlies fell by 30. Take Fairfield! |
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12-21-19 | Texans v. Bucs OVER 50 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Texans/Bucs Over/Under ANNIHILATOR on Texans/Bucs over 50 -110 The OVER is definitely worth a look here in Saturday's first of 3 NFL games that has the Texans visiting the Bucs. I just don't think either side is going to be able to keep the other team from moving the football up and down the field. Houston comes in ranked 11th in the NFL in passing at 245.0 ypg and will be up against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL as the Bucs are 30th against the pass, allowing 276.8 ypg. Also, Texans are an even more potent offense when they got all 3 of their weapons on the outside in Hopkins, Stills and Fuller and all 3 are a go here. As for Tampa, the Bucs haven't had any problem racking up offensive numbers. Tampa Bay is 3rd in total offense (400.1 ypg) and 3rd in scoring (29.7 ppg). Jameis Winston continues to make too many mistakes, but when he isn't throwing to the other team he's carving up opponents no matter who he has at his disposal. He should be in store for another big game here against a Texans defense that ranks 28th against the pass, giving up 266.1 ypg. OVER is 11-3 in Bucs games this year, including 4-1 at home. OVER is also 11-3 in Tampa's last 14 vs excellent passing teams and 6-0 vs awful pass defenses (allowing completion rate of 64% or better). Take the OVER! |
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12-21-19 | Illinois v. Missouri +4.5 | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Illinois/Missouri ATS Winner on Missouri +4½ -110 I like Missouri at this price as they get ready to take on Illinois at the Scottrade Center in St Louis. The Tigers really need this game to boost their non-conference resume, as they have came up short in their other big games against Xavier, Butler and Oklahoma. Missouri has won and covered each of their last two, so they come in with some momentum. Illinois has gotten off to a strong 8-3 start with a big home win over Michigan, but their only win away from home against Grand Canyon and even that was a less than impressive showing. Favorite has covered just once in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and Neutral court favorites who are averaging 78+ ppg and facing a team that scores 63-67 ppg are just 10-33 ATS (23%) if off a game where they held an opponent to 55 or less. Take Missouri! |
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12-21-19 | Kansas v. Villanova +2 | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Villanova +2 -109 I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a home dog against Kansas. The Jayhawks might be the No. 1 team in the country, but it's been a bit of a revolving door at the top of the college basketball landscape. I just think it has Kansas getting a little to much love here at No. 18 Villanova. The Wildcats only two losses have come against the likes of Ohio State and Baylor and both of those were on the road. Villanova is 4-0 at home, where they are scoring 84.5 ppg and giving up just 62.2 ppg. This is also the first real test for KU in a true road game and I think it can be a bit of a challenge to go this deep in the season having not played in a real hostile environment. Jayhawks are a mere 2-10 ATS last 2 seasons in road games and the Wildcats are 33-17 ATS last 3 seasons when playing a top tier team that's outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Take Villanova! |
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12-20-19 | Mavs +8.5 v. 76ers | 117-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Mavs +8½ -109 I like the value here with the Mavs as a near double-digit dog against the 76ers. Luka Doncic did travel with the team to Philadelphia, but he's unlikely to play. However, Dallas has shown they are more than capable of competing against the top teams without him. In the two games he's missed they have won at Milwaukee and lost by just 6 to the Celtics. 76ers just lost at home to the Heat as a 9-point favorite and have been one of the more overvalued teams over the last month and a half. Going back to Nov. 10 Philadelphia is 6-11-3 ATS. In comparison, Dallas is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. Mavs are 12-3-2 ATS last 17 off a straight up loss and are 10-1 ATS last 11 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Dallas! |
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12-20-19 | Knicks +10.5 v. Heat | 114-129 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Knicks +10½ -115 New York is definitely worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Heat. Knicks have been a money maker since they fired head coach David Fizdale. They are 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS since he was let go. That includes 3 straight covers on the road against the Warriors, Kings and Nuggets. Winning at Miami won't be easy, but I like their chances of keeping this within 10-points. Heat could definitely struggle to get up for this game, as they are off a huge road win against the 76ers, which concluded a 3-game road trip. Heat also got off to that great start and as a result the books are starting to overprice them, especially as a favorite. Miami is just 1-4 ATS last 10 when laying points. Take New York! |
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12-20-19 | Pistons v. Celtics -7 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA - Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -7 -110 I got no problem laying the points with Boston at home against the Pistons. Celtics should have no problem winning here by double-digits against a struggling Detroit team that will not only be without Blake Griffin, but also Luke Kennard and Christian Wood. Boston won't have Gordon Hayward but at this point they are accustomed to not having him. They also don't need him to put away this Pistons team. Celtics are also well rested playing just their 2nd game in the last 7 days and coming off a big momentum building win at Dallas where they rallied in the 2nd half for a 109-103 win. Pistons have gone 3-14-1 ATS last 18 vs a team with a winning record, 1-7-1 ATS last 9 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games (Celtics are 10-1 at home) and 3-8 ATS last 11 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Boston! |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -110 | 180 h 12 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110 Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State! |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Stars/Panthers over 5½ -110 The OVER 5.5 is definitely worth a look here in Friday's NHL clash between the Stars and Panthers. Both offenses will be coming in feeling confident after putting up a big number in their last game. Dallas scored 4 in a win at Tampa Bay and Florida hung 6 on Ottawa at home. OVER is also 31-15 in the Panthers last 46 off a win/tie and 31-17 in their last 48 after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. OVER is also 12-3 in their last 15 off a win over a division opponent and 34-17 last 51 in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo v. Charlotte UNDER 58.5 | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 112 h 33 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Buffalo/Charlotte BAHAMAS BOWL Top Play on Buffalo/Charlotte under 58½ -110 Easy play here on the total in Friday's first bowl game of the season with Buffalo taking on Charlotte. Couple factors here that really has me loving this game staying UNDER the total. First off these are two teams that are run-first offenses. Buffalo finished the season ranked 9th in the country in rushing at 254.3 yards/game and Charlotte was 26th at 211.3 ypg. I full expect both teams to try to come out and establish the run. They might not have a choice. The other big factor here is the weather with the game in the Bahamas. Winds are expected to exceed 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph. Plus, the game is being played in a soccer stadium, which is built like your normal CFB stadiums, so the wind could be even more of a factor than you would expect. UNDER is also 28-6 (82%) since 1992 in games where you have two non-Power 5 teams with decent offensive teams (390 to 440 ypg) facing off in a non-conference game. Take the UNDER! |
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12-19-19 | Portland State +5.5 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Small Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Portland State +5½ -111 Easy play here on the Vikings getting points against the Lions. I actually think Portland State is going to win this game outright, so this is really a no-brainer at this price. Loyola-Marymount has failed to cover their last two, including a mere 3-point win in their last home game against Prairie View A&M as a similarly priced 6-point favorite. The Lions just aren't a team to be trusted to lay points. They don't play great defense and struggle to take care of the basketball. That could haunt them here against Portland State, which has had some success turning over the opposition. Vikings also are also a great offensive rebounding team and those second chances should pay off in this matchup. Vikings are 15-6 ATS last 21 non-conference road games, while the Lions are a mere 3-7 ATS last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record and 1-9 ATS last 10 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Portland State! |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Flames -130 I like the value here with Calgary as a small home favorite against the Canadiens. Montreal comes in having won 4 of their last 5, but are still just 16-18 on the season and have a losing record away from home. Calgary has lost their last two, but had won 7 straight before those setbacks against Carolina and Pittsburgh. Canadiens have time and time been a good fade after a recent hot stretch like they are on now. Montreal is 4-12 in their last 16 after winning 4 of their previous 5 games. Flames have won 5 of their last 7 against a team with a losing record and 7 straight over a team from the Atlantic Division. Take Calgary! |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on Spurs -2½ -106 I absolutely love the value here with the Spurs at basically a pick'em at home against the Nets. This hasn't been anywhere close to the kind of start to the season that most expected for San Antonio and their latest 107-109 loss to Houston, where they blew a 25-point lead, speaks to the season they are having. With that said, I do feel like there's some positives with building up a 25-point lead on the road against the Rockets. It could be a sign of them turning the corner. Had they won that would have been 4 out of their last 5. With a full 2 days off before this game I think we get a big effort here from the Spurs. As for the Nets, they continue to play well without Kyrie, but a lot of that success has come against bad teams. This is also not an ideal scheduling spot playing on the road for the 3rd time in the last 6 days. Spurs are 15-5 ATS last 20 games at home in the month of December and 21-9 ATS last 30 at home with a line of +3 to -3. Take San Antonio! |
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12-19-19 | Jazz -6 v. Hawks | 111-106 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz -6 -109 The Jazz are definitely worth a look here at Atlanta tonight. Utah is just 5-8 away from home and I think that poor road record has them a bit undervalued in this one. Jazz have won 3 straight and will be motivated here to get their 3-game road trip started off with a win. What I love is they don't even need to play their best to cover this number against the Hawks. Atlanta has the second worst record in the league at 6-22 and are just 2-16 over their last 22 games. Last time out the Hawks fell by 23 on the road to an awful Knicks team, marking their 6th double-digit setback in their last 7 losses. Jazz have faired well against teams like Atlanta away from home, as they are 20-9 ATS last 29 on the road against bad defensive teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field. They are also 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road with a total of 220 or more and 9-1 ATS last 10 on the road after 2 or more consecutive home wins. Take Utah! |
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12-18-19 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -1½ -109 I absolutely love the Celtics here at basically a pick'em at Dallas. The Mavs shocked just about everyone in their last game, as they snapped the Bucks 18-game winning streak in Milwaukee without one of the best players in the league in Luka Doncic. Dallas won the game 120-116 as a 10-point dog. Not to take anything away from that win, but you have to think some of that was Milwaukee not giving the Mavs the respect they deserved. They had to think they could just coast and beat Dallas without Doncic. On the flip side the Mavs were highly motivated to show they can win without their star. Boston isn't going to make the same mistake here. In fact, the Celtics should be 100% locked in after losing their last two and being fully rested after having the last 5 days off. Boston is 8-2 ATS last 10 times they have played on 4 or more days of rest and are 11-2 ATS on the season vs a team with a winning record. Take Boston! |
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12-18-19 | Ducks v. Devils OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Ducks/Devils over 5½ -101 I just don't see these two eclipsing this total. These are two of the worst teams in the NHL and a big reason for that is their inability to score goals on a consistent basis. New Jersey is only scoring 2.4 goals/game and Anaheim isn't much better at 2.6 goals/game. Not only that, both offenses come in even worse form. The Ducks are down to 2.2 goals/game in their last 5 and the Devils are at a mere 1.6 goals/game in their last 5. I get neither has a great defense, but I just don't think either side has the playmakers to take advantage of it. UNDER is 20-9 in Anaheim's last 29 road games in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a losing record and 11-3 in the Devils last 14 at home against poor power play teams. Take the UNDER! |
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12-18-19 | VCU v. College of Charleston +6 | Top | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on College of Charleston +6 -109 I love the value here with the Cougars as a decently priced home dog against the Rams. VCU is the household name in this matchup and I think it has them laying a few to many in this one. Note the books have really been inflating the number on the Rams of late. VCU has failed to cover five straight and are just 2-8 ATS on the season. They are also 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS on the road. Charleston is off to a very respectable 5-5 start. A .500 record might not seem great, but they have played the likes of Oklahoma State, Marshall, UCF (twice), Wake Forest, Providence and Richmond. Most of those games they were very competitive. Last year the Cougars went on the road and beat VCU 83-79 as a 5.5-point dog and what I like is they got the guards to handle this Rams pressure with 3 really good ball handlers in Galloway, Jasper and Riller. Another thing here is the Rams have not shot the ball well in 2019 and are still missing one of their better outside shooters in Malik Crowfield. Not to mention the Cougars are holding opponents to 40% from the field at home. Take Charleston! |
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12-18-19 | DePaul v. Cleveland State +16 | 73-65 | Win | 101 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cleveland State +16 +101 I really like the value here with the Vikings as a massive home dog against DePaul. Not many people saw the Blue Demons being this good this early on in 2019. DePaul is off to an impressive 10-1 start, which includes a 7-3 ATS mark. However, we are far enough in that the betting public has caught on and now the books are really starting to inflate their price. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for the Blue Demons, as this is not a team they need their best effort against to get a win. It's their first road game in almost 3 weeks and they got a big matchup with Northwestern at home on Saturday. Also worth noting that a lot of DePaul's ATS success has come in the role of a dog. Blue Demons are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. They are also just 2-9 ATS last 11 when they come in having won 3 of their last 4. Take Cleveland State! |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 | 102-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Magic/Jazz under 208½ -105 The UNDER is worth a look here in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Magic. These are two teams that like to play slow. Utah ranks 16th in pace of play and Orlando is way back at 26th. Another thing here is I think we are going to get a big effort here from Utah on the defensive side of the ball, as they can't be happy about letting each of their last two opponents shoot over 53% from the field. UNDER is also 14-3 in Orlando's last 17 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and the average combined score in this spot is just 200.3. UNDER is also 35-17 in Utah's last 52 at home after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Take the UNDER! |
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12-17-19 | San Francisco +6.5 v. Stanford | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on San Francisco +6½ -109 Love the value here with the Dons as a decently priced dog against the Cardinal. Stanford has been one of the big surprises early, as they are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. However, both the betting public and the books have figured out just how good the Cardinal are and we are seeing them a little overpriced here against a good San Francisco team. Dons are 9-2 to start the year and one of those losses is by a mere 4-points to Arizona State. That's not their only good showing against a Pac-12 foe, as they beat Cal at home by 12 earlier this month. Dons are 17-6 ATS last 23 on the road after 2 straight covers as a favorite. Also a great system in play to fade the Cardinal. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 off a road win by 20 or more are just 17-45 (27%) ATS since 1997 in games involving 2 teams that have won 80% or more of their games. Take San Francisco! |
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12-17-19 | Florida v. Providence +5.5 | 83-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence +5½ -115 I really like the value here with the Friars as a decently priced dog against the Gators in Tuesday's matchup in the Hall of Fame Invitational at the Barclays Center. Florida has been one of the most overrated teams in the country by the books. While the Gators are a respectable 6-3 SU, they are just 2-7 ATS. Last time out they lost by 14 at Butler as a mere 3.5-point dog. Providence hasn't been much better of late, but the Friars continue to play hard and they really get after you defensively. Providence is only allowing opponents to shoot 42% from the field against them and are 11th in the country in defensive turnover rate. Florida's lackluster offense is a big reason for their disappointing start and they have struggled against good defensive teams. Gators are just 8-17 ATS last 25 with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 5-13 ATS last 18 vs teams that are holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take Providence! |
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12-17-19 | Ducks v. Flyers -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Flyers -130 Philadelphia is definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Ducks. Perfect time to buy low on the Flyers after losing 3 in a row. Big thing to note with the skid is all 3 losses came on the road. Anaheim is also a great team for them to get back on track against. Ducks are just 5-10 away from home and are a mere 5-13 in their last 18 overall. Anaheim will be hitting the road after back-to-back games at home and are just 2-9 in their last 11 after playing 2 or more games in a row at home. Take Philadelphia! |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46 | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Colts/Saints MNF Vegas INSIDER on Colts/Saints over 46 -110 I love the value here with the OVER on Monday Night Football. New Orleans just seems to always deliver a big offensive performance when playing at home in prime time games and it's hard to see the Colts slowing down Drew Brees and that high-powered passing attack after Jameis Winston just torched the Indy defense for 467 yards and 4 TDs in their last game. Tampa Bay finished with 542 yards of total offense. Colts defense is much better suited to slow down run-first teams. The key here is I don't think New Orleans will be able to take their foot off the gas. The Saints defense has been really good for the most part this season, but a big reason for that is the play they were getting up front. Unfortunately for NO they just lost two studs from the defensive line to season ending injuries in defensive end Marcus Davenport and defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins. They also are dealing with some injuries at linebacker and in the secondary. OVER is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games under head coach Sean Payton on Monday Night Football and 29-12 in their last 41 at home off a loss by 6 or less. OVER is also 15-3 in the Colts last 18 on the road after giving up 35 or more points in their last game. Take the OVER! |
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12-16-19 | Bulls v. Thunder -6 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -6 -110 Really like the value here with Oklahoma City at home tonight against the Bulls. Chicago comes in off an upset win at home over the Clippers, which looks great on paper until you realize LA didn't play Kawhi Leonard, Lou Williams or Pat Beverly. Not to mention it was the Clippers 3rd game in 4 days and wrapped up a 6-game road trip. Prior to taking advantage of that game against a depleted and tired Clippers team, the Bulls managed just 73 points in a home loss to the Hornets. Chicago's offense has been one of the worst in the league early on, as they come in 27th in effective field goal percentage. Hard to win games on the road or even keep them close for that matter when you struggle to put the ball in the hoop. Thunder might be just 11-14, but do own a 7-5 record at home and are 5-3 over their last 8 with a 4-1 ATS mark in their last 5. Take Oklahoma City! |
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12-16-19 | Avalanche v. Blues -110 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NHL Money Line MASSACRE on Blues -110 St Louis is definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Avalanche. Great time to sell high on Colorado, who comes in having won 8 of their last 9. St Louis is a tough place to get a win and the Blues are off back-to-back wins, scoring 4 goals in each victory. Not to mention St Louis has owned the Avalanche of late. Blues have won 8 of the last 10 meetings and are 5-1 in their last 6 at home against Colorado. St Louis is also a team you want to stay on when things are going well, as they have won 14 of their last 19 when off a win. Take St Louis! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2.5 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Western Illinois +2½ -110 I love the value here with Western Illinois as a small home dog against rival Eastern Illinois. Books have been consistently undervaluing the Leathernecks here of late, as they come in having covered 4 straight. Eastern Illinois may have the better record, but they have played the much easier schedule. The Panthers also lack size, as they got a 6'5 guy playing center. The offense also doesn't produce at near the same level on the road. Eastern Illinois is averaging 78.3 ppg on the season, but just 68.3 ppg away from home. That lack of offense on the road figures to really hurt them here, as Western Illinois comes in averaging 80.9 ppg on the season and 90.0 ppg at home, where they are shooting a healthy 48% from the field and 44% from long distance. Leathernecks are a strong 9-4-1 ATS last 14 as a home dog and 5-1 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record. Panthers are 3-7 ATS last 10 road games vs a team with a losing home record and a mere 1-8 ATS last 9 times they have been listed as a road favorite. Take Western Illinois! |
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12-15-19 | Samford +7.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 73-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Samford +7½ -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Bulldogs as a near double-digit dog at Hawaii on Sunday. I know the competition hasn't been the best, but it's worth noting that Samford has scored 97 and 113 points in their last two games. In their last game they beat Houston Baptist by 23 as a mere 4.5-point favorite and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Hawaii is 6-3, but those 6 wins are against the likes of Pacific, Portland State, Florida A&M, New Orleans, San Francisco and Hawaii Pacific. Even with that soft schedule their largest margin of victory all season is by 13-points. Rainbow Warriors are not a team to back as a favorite, as they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when laying points. They are also a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Bulldogs are also a healthy 31-12-1 ATS last 44 non-conference games. Take Samford! |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers UNDER 36.5 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NFL - SNF Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Bills/Steelers under 36½ -110 Even when there's every reason to believe there's going to be little to no offense in a game, the betting public struggles to stomach an under with a total less than 40. I just can't help myself here, as this is just one of those games where both offenses are going to have a hard time just getting first downs. With all the injuries the Steelers have had on offense they really have leaned hard on their defense to win games and the stop unit has been up to the task. Pittsburgh has held each of their last 3 opponents to 17 or fewer. Buffalo has a little more offensive fire-power, but not much. Bills also want to win games with their defense. Buffalo comes in 3rd in the NFL in total defense (296.8 ypg) and the Steelers have the 28th ranked offense (290.1 ypg). Pittsburgh's stop unit is 5th in total defense (310.9 ypg) and the Bills are 20th in total offense (341.9 ypg). UNDER is 10-3 in the Bills 16 games this season and a perfect 6-0 in 2019 when they are listed as a dog. UNDER is also 11-3 in their last 14 on the road. UNDER is 10-3 in the Steelers 13 games this season, 12-4 in their last 16 off a cover and 7-0 in their last 7 after playing their previous game against a team from the NFC. Take the UNDER! |
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12-15-19 | Canucks +190 v. Golden Knights | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canucks +190 This is just too good a price to pass up with Vancouver as a massive road dog against the Knights on Sunday. Canucks lost 2-4 at San Jose last night, but had won 3 of their previous 4. Vegas is just 2-3 in their last 5 and simply aren't deserving of being this big of a favorite right now. Especially considering they have a losing record at home on the season. Vancouver has struggled a bit offensively of late, but are still averaging a healthy 3.2 goals/game on the season Vegas is just 1-5 at home this year against teams who are averaging 3 or more goals/game. Take Vancouver! |
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12-15-19 | Knicks v. Nuggets OVER 205.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Knicks/Nuggets over 205½ -110 Easy play here on the OVER for me in Sunday's NBA showdown between the Knicks and Nuggets. Denver comes into this one off back-to-back wins, scoring 114 against the Blazers on Thursday and 110 yesterday against the Thunder. Nuggets should have no problem putting up another big number here against a Knicks defense that is giving up 113.9 ppg on the road. Key here is that with Denver playing on no rest, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights, it's unlikely they give a top notch defensive effort in this one, especially given how bad this Knicks team is. Nuggets can simply go through the motions on defense and still win this game no problem. Knicks scored 124 on 48% shooting at the Warriors on Wednesday and 103 on 46% shooting at Sacramento on Friday. If NY can just get to 95 here we cash this thing easy. Take the OVER! |
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12-15-19 | Long Beach State v. USC UNDER 149.5 | 76-87 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Long Beach State/USC under 149½ -109 The UNDER is worth a look in Sunday's NCAAB matchup that has USC hosting Long Beach State. I just think the number here is way too high for this one. I get that the 49ers aren't the best defensive team and USC has some offensive fire-power, but I think both offenses could struggle to produce in this one. Both teams figure to be a bit rusty on offense, as USC hasn't played since Dec. 6 and Long Beach has been off since Dec. 7. Trojans last game was at TCU and they scored 80 points, but the UNDER is 8-1 in USC's last 9 at home after playing their previous game on the road, 15-6 in their last 21 as a home favorite and 11-3 in their last 14 after a game where they scored 80 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +3 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -120 | 106 h 49 m | Show |
5* NFL - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Chargers +3 -120 I absolutely love the value here with the Chargers as a home dog against the Vikings. LA might be just 5-8 on the season, but there's no denying the talent the Chargers have on both sides of the ball. As glim as their playoff hopes might be, this is a team that will continue to fight until they are officially out of it. Los Angeles snapped a 3-game skid last week with a 45-10 throttling of the Jaguars as a mere 3.5-point favorite. Chargers are also a team that could easily be sitting here with 10 wins had they caught a few more breaks. All 8 of LA's losses have come by 7-points or less with 4 of those by a field goal or fewer. Vikings are sitting at 9-4, but are just 2-3 on the road. This is a team that lost away from home to the Chiefs when Mahomes was sidelined, which I think speaks volumes to just how much more vulnerable they are away from home. Last week Minnesota beat the Lions at home, but failed to cover as 13.5-point favorite. That's worth noting, as the Vikings are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 on the road off a win where they failed to cover as a favorite. Chargers are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Take Los Angeles! |
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12-15-19 | Texans +3 v. Titans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 103 h 35 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Texans +3 -115 Most are going to look to lay the short number here with the Titans, as Tennessee comes in having won and covered in each of their last 4 games, while Houston just got embarrassed at home by the Broncos as a 8-point favorite. I'm not about to say the Titans aren't a good team, but I definitely don't trust them in this spot. I also think the Texans simply laid an egg last week against Denver after that massive home win over the Patriots. I fully expect Deshaun Watson and that Houston team to bounce back in a big way with 1st place in the AFC South on the line. Watson and the Texans have really thrived in the role of underdog. In games that Watson starts in which Houston is getting points, the Texans have gone 11-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS mark in this spot on the road. Houston is also 8-2-1 ATS last 11 off a game where they failed to cover and 6-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home. Titans are just 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 division games and just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 times they have been matched up against the Texans. Take Houston! |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 41 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 77 h 3 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bears/Packers under 41 -110 These two managed to combine for just 13 points when they met up in Week 1 and neither offense had more than 255 total yards in the matchup. I would expect a little more offense in the rematch this Sunday, but I still don't see them approaching 40 points. Chicago's offense has come to life a little over the last couple of weeks, but there's little reason to be optimistic about them putting up a big number here. Mitch Trubisky is simply not playing at a high level and the Bears' lack of a running game really puts the entire offensive unit behind the 8-ball. While the offense continues to struggle for Chicago, the defense remains a strength and while the Packers have Aaron Rodgers, they have struggled to put up points against the better defenses they have faced. Even last week they only scored 20 points against the Redskins at home and that was them scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter. Add in just how familiar these two teams are with one another being division opponents and the fact the game will be played at wind chills in the single digits and it wouldn't surprise me if neither team scored 20 points. UNDER is 8-1 in the Bears last 9 games as road underdog, 6-1 in their last 7 division games and 9-2 in their last 11 games played in the month of December. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Packers last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last 6 division games. Take the UNDER! |
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