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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-18-21 | South Carolina +32 v. Georgia | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 79 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia is just 3-8 ATS as conference home chalk of more than 17 points. Meanwhile, South Carolina is 7-1 ATS as conference dogs of more than 15 points, and the Gamecocks are playing hard under new HC Shane Beamer. Also consider that Drilling down, if the 2-0 teams managed to beat the spread in each of their first two games, they’ve gone on to beat the spread only 45% of the time in Game Three. And worse, if they are facing an avenging foe who they defeated in their most recent meeting, they fall to 38-60-2 ATS. Put these same teams up against a conference foe and they erode to 14-37-1 ATS, including 0-11 ATS when favored by more than 23 points. |
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09-18-21 | Mississippi State v. Memphis +3.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The last time Memphis dressed up as a home dog versus the SEC, they knocked off Ole Miss, 37-24, as a 10-point underdog. Memphis HC Ryan Silverfield also took down UCF and Houston last season, winning and covering as a home dog. And in case you didn’t know, Memphis is 9-3 ATS against SEC foes who own a winning record, including 6-1 ATS at the Liberty Bowl. Finally, consider that College football home dogs in Game Three of the season who scored 40 or more points each in a pair of season-opening wins are 13-2 ATS since 1991. |
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09-18-21 | Alabama v. Florida +15 | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Alabama HC, Nick Saban is 8-18 ATS as a favorite of more than 14 points with Alabama in games in which the Tide’s average rushing offense is less than its opponent’s average rushing offense, including 1-11 ATS during the first six games of the season. Florida head coach Mullen comes in a lofty home dog log (2-0 SUATS with Florida), including a glitzy 5-0 ATS when taking double-digits. Bama has won seven straight games in this series, but then again, Utah had won seven consecutive games against BYU until last week! Saban is also just 30-33 ATS with the Tide as a favorite of 17 or fewer points in SEC games, including 1-4 ATS within the first three games of the season. Getting in and out of the Swamp may not be an easy task for Alabama this Saturday, so we’ll swim against the Tide on the back of the Gators. |
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09-18-21 | Purdue +8 v. Notre Dame | 13-27 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Last week’s narrow victory over the Rockets puts the Fighting Irish at just 1-5 ATS in their last six tries as home chalk. That’s not good considering Purdue is 8-1 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, and the Boilermakers have cashed in the last three series meetings. Head coach Jeff Brohm brought back 18 starters from a squad that squandered a 2-0 start last year by going 0-4 SUATS thereafter, and they’ve taken care of business so far against Oregon State and UConn. With Notre Dame just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games versus Big Ten foes, and 2-6 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games, we just can’t go with Kelly’s heroes this afternoon. |
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09-18-21 | Cincinnati v. Indiana +4.5 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units Indiana HC, Allen stands 15-7-1 ATS when coming off a win, including 9-1 ATS the last ten. Not many good ATS numbers for Cincinnati here as the Bearcats are a surprising 3-6 ATS as road chalk. With Top 10 teams dropping like flies the last two weeks, we’ll take the Hoosiers to spring yet another upset today. Also consider that Cincinnati HC Fickell is 1-5 SU on the Big Ten road in his career, including 0-5 when his team sports a winning record. |
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09-17-21 | Central Florida -6.5 v. Louisville | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Louisville defense is allowing 402.0 yards per game and is going to have a tough time slowing Dillon Gabriel and the UCF offense, which is averaging 583.0 yards. The Louisville offense, led by QB Malik Cunningham, won’t be able to keep up, much the same way the Cardinals fell short against Ole Miss. I’m on UCF to cover. Consider that UCF is 6-1 ATS as non-conference road chalk, while the Cardinals have slammed into the ground as dogs of 10 or fewer points, currently on a 0-7 ATS dive. |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Giants QB, Jones is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS versus Washington, and his OC Jason Garrett was 14-5 against Washington while with the Cowboys, including 3-1 SUATS as a dog. Consider also that New York is 7-1 ATS in its last eight division road games while Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last seven as division home chalk |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders +4 | Top | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 100 h 60 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units Playing three road games in a row is always tough, as since 2014, sixteen other teams have been in that same situation: playing their last two preseason games on the road and then opening the regular season on the road. Those sixteen teams are 6-10 SU and 5-10-1 ATS in Week One, including 1-9 SU and 1-8-1 ATS if they failed to make the postseason the previous year. Both Baltimore and Jacksonville played their last two preseason games on the road, and then open the season on the road. That makes their Week One game their third road game in a row. MNF favorites dip to 4-12 SU and 1-15 ATS when laying less than 6 points in a game in which the Over/Under total is set at 40 or more points |
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09-12-21 | Bears v. Rams -7.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 103 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units Chicago will be starting Andy Dalton, who brings a 6-19 SU and 9-16 ATS record into this game in his last twenty-five starts. With it, the Bears lug along a 1-7 ATS mark as dogs of 5 or more points and an 8-18 ATS dog log under the Sunday Night lights. On the home front, there’s a reason that head coach Sean McVay and general manager Les Snead were comfortable trading multiple first round picks for 33-year-old quarterback, Matthew Stafford, with one career Pro Bowl. The former fi rst pick in the 2009 draft, he gives them a missing ingredient and a key factor that nearly every Super Bowl winning team possesses – a top-flight quarterback. His career Passer Rating actually ranks higher than the likes of Terry Bradshaw, Brett Favre, Joe Namath, Bart Starr and Roger Staubach, all Hall of Fame Super Bowl winning QBs. Given the hard-heads’ 4-0 SUATS record in season openers under McVay and the host team going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in this series, consider also that NFL away teams in their first game of the season who made the playoff the previous season with 9 or fewer wins are 2-12 SU and 1-13 ATS since 2001. |
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09-12-21 | Broncos v. Giants UNDER 42 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 166 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York was easily the #1 under team in the league last year, going 3-12-1 O/U (next best UNDER team was LA Rams at 6-12 O/U). New York was also the only team in the league to average less than 40 combined points per game (17.5 on offense / 22.3 on defense). With Denver laying about a field goal in this one, we note that the Broncos are on a current 3-12 O/U run when favored on the road... including a perfect 0-4 O/U in the last three years. This is one of seven different games on the Week One schedule is which the road team is favored. |
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09-12-21 | Packers v. Saints +4.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 99 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units For what it’s worth, Winston is 28-42 SU and 30-36-4 ATS as a starter in the NFL, including 12-21-3 ATS at home and 7-14-1 ATS as a favorite. However, he is 15-9-1 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points. With that, the Saints are 43-23-3 ATS as dogs under Sean Payton, including 9-2-1 ATS at home as well as 25-9-3 when seeking revenge (New Orleans lost 37-30 as a 3.5-point favorite to Green Bay in September last year). Additionally, the Saints are 6-0-1 ATS as home dogs of 6 or fewer points. |
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09-12-21 | 49ers v. Lions UNDER 46 | 41-33 | Loss | -112 | 163 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units This is one of those familiar WEST to EAST game. In cases like this the total has gone 3-16 O/U the last 5 years: All West Time Zone road favs of > 3 pts (Niners) vs any east Time Zone opponent (Lions), when the OU line is > 42 points. There’s also a couple of ‘Game Specific’ situations that are worth noting. First, the total has gone 6-27-1 O/U since 1996 (82% Unders) when all game one non-division road favorites of 3 > points (San Francisco), when the OU line is > 41 points. Second, the total has gone 1-11 O/U last 12 years (92% Unders) when in game one both teams won 6 or less games last season (Niners + Lions), when the OU line is > 40 points. In addition, the last ten games of this Niners / Lions series have gone 2-8 O/U... with an average of only 41.7 combined ppg. |
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09-12-21 | Cardinals v. Titans OVER 52 | 38-13 | Loss | -108 | 163 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tennessee has been the league’s number one home ‘OVER’ team in the last four seasons. The Titans have gone 8-1 O/U in their last nine non-conference home games, with an average OU margin of +10.0 in those games. There’s also some solid numbers for this week’s visitors. The Cardinals have gone 17-5 O/U since 2001 as non-conference road dogs of 13 < pts, and that includes a perfect 10-0 O/U in Games 9 or less. They’ve also gone 9-3 O/U in all game ones versus any non-division opponent (including 5-0 O/U on the road). |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -133 v. Colts | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 96 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A second consecutive 12-win season last year meant it was the 8th time in the last nine years that Pete Carroll’s crew has cracked double-digit wins. And much like last year’s effort, the collar and cuffs didn’t match as the Seahawks allowed 232 yards more than they gained on the season, a concerning number for a 12-win team. In spite of the gaffe, the Seahawks have averaged 10.33 |
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09-12-21 | Eagles v. Falcons -3 | 32-6 | Loss | -107 | 96 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Falcons have endured three straight non-winning seasons fi ve times since 1990. They bounced back with winning efforts every year, making to the postseason all five times! The bad news for Philly is the Eagles allowed a league-worst 65 sacks in 2020. The good news is Philadelphia will face the league’s softest strength of schedule versus foes who were a combined .430 last season. The Falcons’ luckless 1-8 mark in one-score games, including four in their first five games (all losses), sealed Atlanta’s fate last season. Nevertheless, they were not as bad as their 4-12 record indicated. With Matty Ice now 11-2 SUATS in home openers with the Falcons, and Philly a puzzling 1-12 ATS in domed that last five years, we’ll side with the home team. |
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09-11-21 | Liberty -4 v. Troy | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 31 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units Liberty HC Freeze is 8-3 SUATS as a favorite in his college football head coaching career against opponents with an identical record, including 6-0 SUATS in non-conference contests. On the flip side, the Trojans have hit a rough patch, going just 8-13 SU and 9-12 ATS the last two-plus seasons, including 2-7 ATS in games when coming off a win. With both teams loaded to the gills with returning talent, look for these numbers to continue here today. |
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09-11-21 | Memphis v. Arkansas State +5.5 | Top | 55-50 | Win | 100 | 78 h 25 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units Arkansas State is 8-1 ATS as a nonconference home dog and now move forward with new head coach Butch Jones (popular Blake Anderson left in the off-season for Utah State) and Red Wolves cruised past Central Arkansas, 40-21, in Jones’ first game last week as a -13.5-point favorite. ASU has assumed the role as a “mission team” this season, suffering its first losing season last year after having been a bowler the past ten seasons. Today, they will look to avenge a 37-24 loss at Memphis to start last year’s campaign knowing that Red Wolves head coach Butch Jones is 18-3 SU at home in his career when coming off a win of more than 8 points. Consider that any college football non-conference home dog of 3 or more points in Game Two with 17 or more returning starters if they are seeking revenge against a foe off a win of 7 or more points is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1990. |
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09-11-21 | Houston v. Rice +8 | Top | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 39 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Upset of the Week The Owls seem to have taken on a different demeanor under HC Mike Bloomgren, who has improved his team’s defense each year since coming aboard. Also, Bloomgren is 15-10-1 ATS as a dog with the Owls, including 11-4-1 ATS with revenge. Consider that Game Two dogs returning 17 starters and coming off a SUATS loss of 15 or more points, are 18-2 ATS when facing a foe coming off a loss. |
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09-11-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 10 Unit NCAAF Game of the Year While the Cyclones are the choice of many to meet Oklahoma |
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09-11-21 | Texas A&M v. Colorado +17 | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 75 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Buffs opened with a 35-7 win over Northern Colorado last week by outgaining the Bears 281-17 on the ground, while getting TDs from four different RBs. Freshman Brendon Lewis started at QB after beating out two other freshmen (last year’s starter Steven Noyer transferred to Oregon State this summer), going 10 of 15 for 102 yards. This Colorado home game will be played at Empower Field in Denver – the home of the Broncos – instead of Boulder, but consider that Buffs HC Dorrell is s 19-8 ATS as a dog in his career, including 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS at home. |
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09-11-21 | Toledo +16.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 74 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units ND HC Kelly is 0-4 ATS in his career versus .500 or greater MAC foes when his team is not coming off a double-digit win, and 4-8 ATS Game Two since 2008, and 5-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite when coming off a win-no-cover. Coach K must also take a closer look at an anemic Notre Dame ground game that averaged a feeble 1.9 yards per rush against FSU. Jason Candle’s Rockets just happen to be 10-4-1 ATS when undefeated and coming off a win of 28 or more points, including 5-0-1 ATS the last six away. And when the Irish find themselves favored by less than 20 points in Game Two of the season, they have no luck at all, currently standing 5-18 ATS in that role of late. And just when you thought we couldn’t heap any more abuse on Kelly? Also consider that the Irish head coach is 0-5 ATS as a favorite of more than 6 points when coming off a win before facing a Big Ten opponent. |
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09-11-21 | Western Kentucky v. Army -6.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units Cadet "D" was best in land LY, & holding Georgia State under 180 yards may just signal repeat (allowing |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys +9.5 v. Bucs | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since 1980 teams who won a Super Bowl as an underdog are 84-102-5 ATS as a favorite the following season, including 50-80-4 ATS versus foes that won 6 or more games the previous season. Also, last year’s champs are just 12-24-1 ATS as favorites of more than 6 points during the first two games of the season. With the Bucs being weighed down by their overdone Super Bowl rings and just 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS on Thursdays, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS at home, look for the Brady bunch to fall to 0-5-2 ATS in their last seven NFC East skirmishes tonight. |
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09-06-21 | Louisville v. Ole Miss UNDER 74.5 | 24-43 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I realize both these teams were awful defensively last year, especially Ole Miss. However, this total is crazy and the biggest reason I am going Under is that the Rebs will be without head coach Lane Kiffin. Now, I think Kiffin is more important to Ole Miss than Nick Saban is to Alabama. Before Tide fans lose their minds, let me explain: Kiffin is his team's offensive play-caller. Saban doesn't call plays. Thus, we have to downgrade the Ole Miss offense a bit. And I actually think its defense will be better with nine starters back. This should end something like 40-30 so we're going Under |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7.5 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 80 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Norvell was hired last year after the Seminoles suffered consecutive losing seasons after coming up winners the previous 42 years, but the plague continues. Meanwhile, former Miami head coach Randy Shannon was brought in to clean up the defense. QB transfer McKenzie Milton was “fully cleared to play” after playing five seasons, and going 26-6 at UCF before suffering a gruesome right knee injury, after which he spent five months in a wheel chair and on crutches. And 5-star recruit RB Demarkcus Bowman transfers in from Clemson after backing up Travis Etienne. Florida State underclassmen tallied the most player starts (52.3%) in the ACC last season. Florida State head coach Mike Norvell is 27-5 SU and 17-9-1 ATS at home in his college career, including 3-0 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points. In addition, only two of his 5 home losses have been by more than 7 points. |
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09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -3 | 10-3 | Loss | -108 | 56 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Swinney is 5-0 SU in his career in opening games of the season when coming off a bowl loss the previous campaign – by an average winning score of 38-14. Then tack on Clemmie’s 7-1 ATS mark in neutral site games (it was 7-0 until the playoff loss to the Buckeyes). And remember – the Tigers had 26 players make their first-career start during the 2020 season, which tied for the most in the country with Mississippi State, while new QB D.J. Uiagalelei looked mighty impressive in his starting debut against Notre Dame last season. Simply put, Clemson does not have another game on the schedule right now that would offset a tough neutral-site loss to Georgia. Yes, Clemson can still get to the College Football Playoff for the seventh year in a row if the Tigers win out, but they need rivals like Boston College, Florida State and NC State to become quality teams in 2021. Also, playing on any college team in their first game of the season if they lost SU as a bowl favorite of -7 or more points last season and they’ve won 17 or more of their previous 22 games is 14-2 ATS since 1990. |
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09-04-21 | UTSA +5.5 v. Illinois | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units Jeff Traylor came to San Antonio with strong credentials, but he blew the roof off the Alamodome in his first season with the Roadrunners in 2020 – leading them to seven wins and a bowl game. The former associate head coach at Texas, SMU and Arkansas was also a four-time Texas High School Coach of the Year, and led his squads to five state championship game appearances, three state titles and a dozen district crowns. Whew! Safe to say UTSA hit a home run with the hire of this legendary high school coach. It’s paid off at the recruiting window, too, where UTSA moved up 31 spots this season. Behind a team loaded to the gills with experience, it only looks to get better. Las Vegas oddsmaker and Power Rating guru Kenny White pegged the Roadrunners as the deepest team with the most returning experience in 2021. We’re all-in with Kenny. Since joining the FBS, UTSA is 18-12-1 ATS as a non-conference dog, including 6-0 ATS when taking fewer than 8 points, and 3-0 ATS versus foes coming off a SU underdog win. |
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09-04-21 | UL-Lafayette +8 v. Texas | 18-38 | Loss | -102 | 53 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units A whopping 16 players promptly transferred out of Texas when it was announced that Herman had been replaced. Sarkisian announced that redshirt freshman Hudson Card would be the team’s starting quarterback, as he replaces four-year starter Sam Ehlinger. Card is a four-star prospect, where he was ranked as the second-best dual threat quarterback and seventh-best recruit in Texas in the 2020 recruiting class by 247Sports. Also back for Texas are 5 experienced offensive linemen and a dangerous running back in Bijan Robinson. With the experience card weighing heavily in the Cajuns’ favor today, consider that ULL is 11-3 ATS away as either a dog of a favorite of -7 or more points under Napier, including 4-0 SUATS versus foes who won 8 or fewer games the previous year. |
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09-04-21 | Alabama v. Miami-FL +19.5 | 44-13 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I realize Alabama always wins these Kickoff Games in blowouts and I'm not saying Miami wins -- although I don't think it's impossible. In terms of returning experience/starters, UM is among the national leaders and Alabama near the bottom. Nick Saban lost a TON of talent off last year's championship team. Sure, he simply reloads with five-stars, but it might take a few games to get going. I'll be stunned if the Tide cover this number. Consider as well that playing on any ’17 returning starter’ underdog in its first game of the season, your win percentage zooms to over 58% with a 98-71-3 ATS winning record. Better yet, put dress these same guys up as double-digit dogs who won 3 or more games the previous season and they become a 40-22-1 ATS winning proposition. |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State v. Northwestern -3 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When Northwestern hosts Michigan State tonight they will do so with a dose of 'double-revenge' on their minds – including a 29-20 loss as -13.5-point chalk at MSU last season. Given the Wildcats 9-1 ATS record as conference favorites of 10 or fewer points the last six years, and a 12-3 ATS overall mark when seeking revenge from a Big Ten loss, we'll opt for the better team and the better coach in this payback this evening. |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +5.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fuente finds himself on the hottest of hot seats in his sixth season-opener at Blacksburg. Recent ATS history is not on UNC’s side here, as Va Tech owns six covers in its last eight games with the Heels, plus the series host is on a 4-0 ATS run. We also prefer the Hokies’ recent 5-1 ATS mark with conference revenge to North Carolina’s surprisingly feeble 1-5 ATS effort as chalk of 7 or |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was waiting for this to get back to 14 jic. Don't think will get higher. Ohio State coach Ryan Day just named CJ Stroud his starting QB. That's fine. Minnesota's Tanner Morgan is one of the best returning QBs in the Big Ten. The Nuts lost so much talent. Yep, they will rock but will take a while. My boy PJ Fleck (Western Michigan) and the Row The Boats bring back 20 starters and will cover if not pull the upset. |
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09-02-21 | Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Will Josh Heupel be the answer for the Vols, who've not only hit the skids (245-118 point deficit 7-of-last-8, & must overcome transfer losses). But if there ever was a tonic, the Falcons provide it, with 0-9 ATS road record, ceding 43 point per game in their last 24 tilts |
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08-28-21 | Hawaii +18 v. UCLA | 10-44 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chip Kelly has a horrible track record in nonconference games, particularly at UCLA where he's 1-5 so far. The lone cover came as a huge dog to Oklahoma, and the two times the Bruins have been favored in noncon games under Kelly they lost outright. I don't think that happens here, but with LSU looming, the Bruins will keep it pretty basic in their opener. |
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08-28-21 | Connecticut v. Fresno State -27.5 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a lot of points to lay, but I think the number is still short and maybe not accounting for a home field that has Connecticut making its longest trip of the season. This is the first opener for the Huskies since 2019. They have lots of experience returning from teams that went 3-21 in 2018-19. They might be rated too high. I believe Fresno State, with its running and passing games and most of their starters returning, buries the Huskies. Fresno State to cover. |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska v. Illinois +7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This line has dropped back to 6.5 at some books, so let's go ahead and jump now. I'm not sure that Nebraska should be a 7-point road favorite over any Big Ten team considering how much it has underachieved under Scott Frost. The Huskers are 5-11 ATS when favored under Frost and were blasted last year at home by Illinois, which should be better-coached in 2021 under Bret Bielema. It's a very veteran team with three super seniors along on the offensive line and a senior QB in Brandon Peters. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is two weeks between the championship games and Super Bowl this year. Kansas City is 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in the postseason since 2018. No team has compiled a better record the past three seasons than the Chiefs, who are 44-11 during this span. Maybe the Chiefs got back on track with their impressive title-game victory versus the Bills. Maybe. Until that performance, Kansas City was 1-8 ATS in its last nine games with the lone cover occurring by half a point against the Saints. Yes, the Chiefs were being overpriced by the oddsmaker and probably overvalued in the marketplace. Still, both their offense and defense had declined from their performance during the first half of the season when they covered six of their first eight games, while outscoring foes by an average of 31.6 points to 19 points. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, definitely are in peak form with Brady fully in sync with Bruce Arians and his new offense. Brady has never had these many outstanding receivers at his disposal. He can match Mahomes plus he has the huge advantage of being backed by the superior defense. Also consider that Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 55.5 | 9-31 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mahomes is firmly in his prime, the most dangerous quarterback in the league for the past three seasons with 114 TD passes in 45 regular season games. Sparked by Mahomes, the Chiefs have scored at least 21 straight points in their past five playoff games. The Chiefs have averaged 36.1 points in the last six playoff games in which Mahomes did not get injured. Tampa Bay is averaging 35.7 points in its last six games with Brady firmly comfortable in his new offense with his many dangerous weapons. He is facing a less than stellar Kansas City defense. So even though this is a high total, it’s a tough sell to try to make an Under work given these two offenses and the league’s emphasis on high-scoring entertainment. Consider that the over is 23-10 in Buccaneers last 33 games overall. |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 24-38 | Loss | -104 | 100 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bills have the pieces to defeat the Chiefs – a dynamic quarterback, a smart, aggressive defense and tremendous coaching from defensive guru Sean McDermott and offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, who turned Allen from an inaccurate passer to an emerging superstar. The Bills finished No. 2 in scoring and yards. Kansas City finished 16th in total defense. The Chiefs may be without veteran cornerback Bashaud Breeland, who suffered a concussion against Cleveland. The Bills have broken several franchise droughts, including winning their first AFC division title and postseason game in 25 years The Chiefs have just been getting by. That’s not going to cut it against Buffalo. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 97 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Packers have proven vulnerable to the run. The Chargers and 49ers in the championship game exploited that last season and the Buccaneers and Colts did it this season. Green Bay is vulnerable, too, when Rodgers is pressured and Adams is limited. The Buccaneers and Panthers in the second half of their game against the Packers demonstrated that. Only two of Green Bay’s 13 regular-season victories were against playoff teams, New Orleans and Tennessee. Thus far the Packers have been able to overcome their weak special teams. Both their punt team and punt return team have been abysmal. Green Bay was second-from-the-bottom in punt returns with a long return of 11 yards. The Packers ranked 30th with a 38.3-yard net punt average, while also giving up a league-high 17.1 yards per punt return. The Packers are deserving of being home chalk, but they have enough vulnerabilities that make them a shaky favorite against this particular opponent. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 30-20 | Win | 103 | 52 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Saints built a 24-7 lead in the season-opener and held off the Buccaneers, 34-23, as 4-point home favorites. New Orleans humbled Tampa Bay, 38-3, as 3-point road ‘dogs in Week 9. It’s difficult to win three games in the same season versus any opponent. The Week 1 matchup was Brady’s first game with his new team. He wasn’t sharp, nor in sync with his receivers, like he is now. Brown has come on to catch a TD pass in four straight games. Evans showed he’s fine hauling in six passes for 199 yards in the Buccaneers’ 31-23 wild-card playoff victory against Washington. Consider that Tampa Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game while New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 48 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Browns gave up the seventh-most big plays in the NFL. Discounting a meaningless Week 17 loss to the Chargers when they held 20 starters out, including Mahomes, the Chiefs have won 23 of their last 24 games. Kansas City was 4-0 this season in games versus playoff teams. They defeated the Ravens by 14 points and Bills by nine. No coach in history has been better off a bye than Andy Reid, who has an astounding 83 percent winning mark in that role. Improved health from rest, new offensive plays to catch the Browns off-guard and extra defensive preparation all could ensure a huge Chiefs performance. Consider that the Browns are 9-26-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 81 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Congratulations to the Bills, fresh off their first playoff win since December of 1995, after having reached the Super Bowl 4 of the previous 6 years. For the Ravens, QB Jackson is off the schneid, gaining his first win, after trailing by double digits, outscoring the Titans, 20-3, to end that game. He is just the 2nd QB with 100+ rushing yards & a rushing TD in a playoff game (Kaepernick). He actually outrushed Derrick Henry, 136-40. Bills' QB Josh Allen has emerged as a true elite with a 39/10 TD/INT ratio (4,868 passing yards). Versus Colts last week: 324 passing yards (2 TDs with 0 INTs), 54 rushing yards, & a rushing TD. Just the 2nd Bills QB with 300+ passing yards, & 2+ TDs in a playoff game (Jim Kelly). Wide Receiver Diggs another 128 receiving yards & a TD. Six straight wins for Ravens (7-0 ATS run). Overland, & defensively, it's all Baltimore |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 77 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The road to the Super Bowl in the NFC runs through Lambeau Field. That is music to the ears of Aaron Rodgers, who is coming off an MVP season of 48 TD passes, & only 5 interceptions (superb, even for him). He is coming in off a bye, & his 10th game this season with 3+ TD passes, and zero picks. The top-rated Ram defense was just incredible vs Seattle last week (11 first downs), holding the Seahawks to 2-of-14 on 3rd down (14%), and the 42-yard "pick-six" by Darius Williams set the tone in that one. The Ram "D" now has 1 or more sacks in 19 straight games. But will Aaron Donald be close to healthy (ribs) vs the highly efficient offense of the Packers? Running Back Cam Akers had the most scrimmage yards (176) in a Ram playoff game since Eric Dickerson in 1985. But note that his 2nd quarter TD was the first offensive TD for the Rams in their last 28 possessions. Packers: 30+ points 12 times this season. Consider that LA is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings while the favorite is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | 24-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units No one has been able to slow down the combination of QB Mac Jones and WR DeVonta Smith, the latter of which has 105 catches, 1,641 yards and 20 touchdowns. Alabama beat Notre Dame easily, but the Irish were able to hold the Tide to a season-low 31 points, doing so in part by winning the time of possession battle by over seven-and-a-half minutes. We think OSU can follow a similar script, finding success on the ground, keeping ‘Bama’s offense on the sidelined and frustrated by limited opportunities. They’ll score more than the Irish did, but Jones to Smith strike last, and the Tide survive their stiffest test. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -6 | 48-37 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Do you really think the Browns, making their first playoff appearance since 2002, can halt a 17-game losing streak at Heinz Field and upset the Steelers? Understood that the Browns went vanilla and didn’t want to show too much when the teams met this past Sunday. Still, the Browns nearly blew a 15-point fourth quarter lead needing to stop a two-point conversion attempt and recover an onside kick with 1:22 left to hold on to a 24-22 win. The Steelers came this tantalizing close despite sitting out eight starters among them Ben Roethlisberger, probable Defensive Player of the Year T.J. Watt, center Maurkice Pouncey and Cam Heyward. The Steelers steamrolled the Browns at home when they had all their starters in, 38-7, back in October. In addition, consider that Cleveland coaches — including the head coach and playcaller Kevin Stefanski — unavailable. The Browns didn’t start practicing on the field until yesterday. They will be significantly short-handed, with left guard Joel Bitonio, safeties Ronnie Harrison and Jovante Moffatt and receiver KhaDarel Hodge definitely out. The status of four others on the reserve/COVID-19 list, including starting cornerback Denzel Ward and nickel back Kevin Johnson, is uncertain. Defensive end Olivier Vernon tore an ACL in Sunday’s win against the Steelers and is out. Consider that the Browns are 8-26-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. |
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01-10-21 | Bears v. Saints -10 | 9-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bears backed their way into this one after laying that 4th quarter egg at home vs the Pack last week, while the Saints closed out an undefeated division record for their first time ever. Brees: 22-of-32, 201 passing yards, & had his 3rd game 3/0 game this year. Saints' Montgomery had 132 scrimmage yards, filling in for Kamara (Covid), who is expected to play here. Bears had their 3-game winning streak (36.7 points per game) snapped in 19-point loss to Green Bay, despite a 356-316 yard edge. However, Nagy made the right call going to Trubisky coming down the stretch. When New Orleans is on its game, it's the match of an other squad. Certainly the case at this moment |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rematch of LY's Divisionals, when the Titans went into Baltimore & shocked the #1 seeded Ravens, with 195 rushing yards from the unstoppable Henry. This year, the Ravens keep pounding the ball down their opponents' throats: 404 RYs vs Cincinnati. Only the 2nd team in the Super Bowl era to do that. Lamar Jackson is first QB with multiple 1,000 rushing yard seasons. Question is: can he win a playoff game? Titans almost let it slip away vs the Texans, but banked in a game winner at the buzzer. Tennessee is first team in NFL history with two 2,000 yard rushers: Chris Johnson & Derrick Henry (250 rushing yards vs Houston). Playoff Home Dogs have been 'money'. Again |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units How fitting that the NFC East winner has to face Tom Brady in the first round of the playoffs. Granted, they get him at home, but it's still THE GOAT. Brady finished off 2000 by throwing for 399 yards & 4 TDs with 1 INT vs the Falcons. His last 8 quarters? Try 1,067 passing yards, 10 TDs & 1 pick. First 11-win season since 2005 for the Bucs. He is simply the best, & he has he weapons. Evans: the 1st player in NFL history with 1,000+ receiving yards each of his first 7 seasons. 'Skins controversial win over the Eagles is of little concern here. A 6-2 SU windup, & competitive in last 9 contests |
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01-09-21 | Colts v. Bills -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -113 | 44 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Frank Reich returns to Buffalo: 28 years ago (Jan 3, '93) at this very site, in this very round, is his greatest moment as a Bill. Simply known as "The Comeback", Bills trailed 35-3 with 28 minutes left, but somehow won 41-38 (OT). Colts pulled away from a gritty Jags team to get this berth, while Bills certainly didn't take their foot off the pedal last week: 56 points (most since '66), vs Miami which had everything to play for. Josh Allen: 4,544 passing yards & 45 total TDs (both team records). But Indy got 253 rushing yards from rookie Taylor in win over Jacksonville. Eight straight covers for Buffalo (+112½ points) & 9-1 SU, with a 142-54 point edge in Bills' last 3 games. Lay the TD |
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01-03-21 | Titans -7.5 v. Texans | 41-38 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even with that blowout loss in Lambeau on Sunday Night, the Titans can still clinch the AFC South with a win here. Cut Packer lead to 19-14, before the floodgates opened. Henry just missed out on another 100-yard game (23 carries: 98 yards). Let's hope that Watson's (24-of-34, 324 yards, 3 TDs with 0 INTs) throwing shoulder is OK after that hit he took at the end of the game. He is the first QB in team history with 30+ TD passes. Houston now has two 4-game losing streaks this year. RB David Johnson with 12 carries for 127 yards & a TD. Texans are 5-1 at home vs the Titans, but are hardly fired up. |
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01-03-21 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 26-23 | Loss | -112 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There’s an outside chance the Seahawks still can get the top seed. So Seattle won’t lack incentive. San Francisco is 2-6 in its last eight games with all of the defeats during this time frame coming by eight or more points. Healthy again at running back, the Seahawks should be able to wear the weary 49ers down, while Russell Wilson picks his spots. Wilson had four TD throws when Seattle defeated San Francisco, 37-27, in Week 8. Special teams could factor, too, as the 49ers have allowed a league-high five TD’s on returns, including giving up four defensive scores. The 49ers have had multiple turnovers in eight of their past nine games |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys -1 v. Giants | 19-23 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants have failed to reach 20 points in any of their past five games. Jones is far from 100 percent. He lacks the skill position weapons Andy Dalton has with the Cowboys. The Giants don’t have a healthy running back the caliber of Ezekiel Elliott and their wideouts can’t compare to Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb. Jones has been sacked 12 times in the past two games. Dallas has a pair of excellent pass rushers, DeMarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory. New York is 2-5 at home this season. The Giants are at their worst when taking points at home failing to cover 11 of the last 13 times as a home ‘dog. Dallas has won the last seven meetings in the series, including 37-34 in Week 5 when Dak Prescott was lost for the season |
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01-03-21 | Jets +3 v. Patriots | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Recommending the New York Jets hasn’t been as crazy as it sounds the past couple of months. In fact, the J-Men have not only won their last two games outright, but have been offering good spread value since midseason, covering 6 of their last 9, as they travel to Foxborough for the season-ended at Gillette Stadium vs. New England. The J-Men have been a better recommendation lately than the Patriots, who entered the Buffalo game last Monday having covered just 4 of their last 11 in 2020. And Bill Belichick has really had his problems as a favorite this season, dropping his last five in that role |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month What a way for the bowl season to wind up! Of course, the main sidebar to this one is the Texas A&M Aggies' snub from the playoff committee, denying them a shot at all the marbles. A&M not only has a superb QB/RB combo in Mond (2,050 yards, 19/3) & Spiller (986 yards & 7 TDs in just 8 games), but rank 14th & 3rd in total & rushing "D". However, that unit had better be at its best if it is to slow down the Tar Heels of North Carolina, who field RBs Carter & Williams (combined 2,385 yards & 28 TDs, & NCAA record 544 rushing yards in season-ending rout of Miami), as well as QB Howell: 6,993 passing yards, & 65 TDs with 13 INTs the last 2 years. Barnburner, despite Ag "D". |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky v. NC State +2.5 | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, these squads have met in the past, the far distant past, as the split wins in 1909 & 1970. For the Wildcats of Kentucky, this makes 5 consecutive bowl years under Stoops (first UK coach to accomplish that), despite a losing season. 'Cats are led by RB Rodriguez: 701 yards & 6.9 yards per rush, but KU #121 in overhead production. Ninth bowl in eleven years for the Wolfpack of North Carolina State (5-3 SU/ATS), who opened quickly (4-1 & #22 in the polls), before losing QB Leary. However, they did get back on track, behind Hockman (64%), & RBs Knight & Person (1,371 yards). Definite feeling that the wrong team may be favored in this contest |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 82 h 49 m | Show |
Rating: 8 Unit College Bowl Game of the Year They meet again. For the 3rd time in the last 4 years, the Tigers of Clemson take on the Buckeyes of Ohio State in a National Playoff game, with CU winning & covering the first 2 such encounters: 31-0 (+1½) in the '16 Fiesta, & 29-23 (-2) in last year's Fiesta. As a matter of fact they also met in the '13 Orange Bowl, also won by the Tigers (+2), 40-35. As can be seen above, the Buckeyes have played only six games, due to Covid, but have been rightly included in this powerhouse quartet. They are led, of course, by QB Fields, who is a superb 56 TDs with only 8 INTs the past 2 years, although that may be a bit misleading, as he was 41 TDs with 3 INTs last season (2 interceptions in loss to these Tigers). So 5 picks this year, compared to last year's 40 TD and 1 INT regular season log. The not so hidden gem on OSU's team has to be running back Sermon, who set a school record with 331 rushing yards (11.4 yards per rush) in their 22-10 Big Ten Title win over Northwestern. Shades of Ezekiel Elliott in Ohio State's '14 Championship run? Well, maybe, but note that the Bucks took Wisconsin, 59-0, in that Big Ten Title game. A quick peek at the above stats shows OSU with a +8 turn over edge in just its half-dozen contests. If there were any doubts as to this year's Tiger edition, they were erased with their complete throttling of Notre Dame in the ACC title match, with a 541-263 yard edge behind 322 passing yards from Lawrence, & 124 rushing yards from Etienne (12.4 yards per rush), who was held to 1.6 yards per rush in their first meeting. Lawrence is at his best in the big game, while Fields not necessarily so in such important contests: two 2nd half picks in last year's tilt with Clemson; three INTs in this year's 42-35 win over Indiana, & just 12-of-27 & 2 more picks in Big Ten title win over Northwestern. CU didn't have the answers to LSU last year (who did?), but have otherwise been simply superb plays. Again! |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First meeting between these teams. As our clients are well aware, we've ridden the undefeated Bearcats of Cincinnati this season, with highly profitable results. Only regular season miss by a single point, when they took knee at the Central Florida one in the final minute, after overcoming a 2-TD deficit. QB Ridder leads an enviously balanced "O": 2,090 passing yards, 66%, & 17 TDs with 6 INTs. Eighth bowl in 10 years for Cincinnati (23-point cover vs BC in last year's Birmingham). But can they keep it up vs such a giant? For the Bulldogs of Georgia, this makes it 24 straight bowl seasons (longest current run), & 57th overall. Own the best run "D" in the land, & insertion of QB Daniels is a proven success (9 TDs with only 1 INT). But a bevy of 'Dawgs have opted out, thus a 'Cat call |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -9 | 34-13 | Loss | -119 | 45 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First meeting for this pair, who both are comparative bowl novices, although they have graced the holiday scene a few times. For the Cardinals of Ball State, this marks their first such trip since back-to-back losses in the '12 Beef 'O' Brady, & the '13 GoDaddy. The Spartans of San Jose St: SU & ATS wins in the '15 Cure, & the '12 Military. Just a single SU loss between them this year, with a combined 11-3 ATS log. SJSt: 11-1 ATS run (7-0 SU & ATS TY). Cards finished on a 4-0 spread run (+60½ pts), including holding Buffalo's top-ranked running game to 210 yards below its average, in MAC title game (22-pt cover). Key here is that 119th-ranked Card passing "D", which just be the edge. However, nothing strong. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Tulsa +1 | 28-26 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units No, they've never met before. For the Golden Hurricane of Tulsa, just their first bowl since '16, after making the holiday scene 7-of-8 years, from '05 through '12. But when they do make a bowl, they take full advantage: 63, 45, 62, 52, & 55 pts in 5 of those 7, winning all 5 SU, covering 6. But a combined 9-27 SU run ('17-'19), before this year's 6-2 log, covering 7-of-8, & nearly taking 6th-ranked in the AAC title game. Bulldogs (+17) shocked LSU, 44-34, in opener, but just 2-7 since, 'tho QB Rogers has 30+ completions in his L4 games (SEC record), & threw for 336 yards vs Georgia's super "D". But Mississippi State has allowed 31+ pts 6 times this year. |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -1 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
Just the 2nd meeting for these 2, the first coming in the '08 National Title Game, when Tim Tebow, Percy Harvin, & a spectacular Florida Gator "D" took down the Sam Bradford led Oklahoma Sooners, 24-14. Remember, Okies entered that one off a scoring barrage of 62, 66, 65, 61, & 62 points. First time in 4 yrs that an OU QB hasn't been in the Heisman picture, as such possibility is owned by Gator QB Kyle Trask, who leads that nation with 4,125 passing yards & 43 TDs with only 5 INTs, & fresh off a 408 passing yard effort in SEC title game vs 'Bama (10-point cover). But only 6 teams allow more first downs than Florida, while always potent Okies, behind frosh QB Rattler (2,784 passing yards & 25 TDs with 7 INTs) have shored up their "D" (17th). Fireworks galore, but OU more balanced |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 42-28 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units What a screwball season for the Badgers of Wisconsin, who have made it to a bowl for the 19th straight season. From a 94-18 point edge in their first 2 contests (+50½ points ATS), to a 76-40 point deficit in their remaining 4 games (-70½ points ATS). QB Mertz electrified everyone in his debut: 20-of-21 (5 TDs). But he has gone only 3 TDs with 5 INTs since, as the Badgers rank just 105th in passing "O" (93rd in total "O"). Their "D" is another matter: #1. The Demon Deacons of Wake Forest go bowling for the 5th straight year: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS. Move it with the best them, behind QB Hartman (10 TDs with only 1 INT), & lead the land in turnover edge (+23). Again, we'll grab the TD |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas -9.5 | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 59 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Of course these 2 have met multiple times, when they were in the Big 8 together, before the Buffaloes of Colorado jumped ship for the Pac 12 in 2011, a move that hasn't exactly been good, as this is just the 2nd bowl appearance for CU, since that change, namely a 38-8 loss to Oklahoma State, in the '16 Alamo, as 3-point chalks. In this one, they're pinning their hopes on running back Brussard (813 yards & 3 TDs, in just 5 games: 6.3 yards per rush). But Buffs have allowed 30+ points in 18-of-21 games. Longhorns of Texas are led by QB Ehlinger, who has amassed 11,267 yards & 93 TDs with 27 INTs over the past 4 years. In likely his last game, he won’t be going out with a loss. Note Steers with 20, 20, & 21 point covers in their last 3 bowl games |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 38 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month No, not the 1st time that the Cowboys of Oklahoma State have faced off against the Hurricanes of Miami, but the 2nd, as UM (-36) nosed out Ohio State, 40-3, in 1991. By the way, UM went 12-0 that year (National Champion). From '86 thru '92, Miami finished 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st, 3rd, 1st, & 3rd in the nation. Wow!! Fifteen straight bowls for Oklahoma State, under Gundy (9-5 SU & ATS). Have had to replace last year's top rusher (Hubbard, who opted out), although Jackson a decent 5.7 yards per rush, while QB Sanders an anemic 10 TDs with 8 INTs, but WR Wallace 16.5 yards per catch. 'Canes brought in QB King from Houston, & he delivered: 2,573 passing yards (22 TDs with only 5 INTs), with 520 rushing yards. But UM was mauled, 62-26, by North Carolina, in finale, allowing school-record 778 yards & 554 rushing yards! |
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12-28-20 | Bills -7 v. Patriots | 38-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Prime Time Profit Play The Bills have a good pass offense, the Patriots do not. The Bills’ good pass defense figures to make the Patriots’ pass offense weaker than it already was (Cam Newton, 5 TD passes in 13 games!). With Patriots' CB Stephon Gilmore out, (he was 2019 NFL Defensive Player of the Year), the Bills’ pass offense moves up a notch higher in the match-up. Although they’ve clinched the AFC East, the Bills can still get the #2 seed and a second home game in the playoffs. Plus, sweeping an avenging New England after being tortured by them all these years would be a good way to maintain momentum and build more confidence |
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12-27-20 | Titans +3 v. Packers | 14-40 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ryan Tannehill has 31 TD throws. Aaron Rodgers is having a brilliant campaign. But Green Bay’s defense hasn’t shown enough improvement allowing 24-plus points in three of the past five games. The Packers’ special teams have been awful, too. The Titans have produced at least 30 points in each of their last five games, averaging 37.4 points during this span. Tennessee has won and covered its last three road matchups, including knocking off the Ravens and Colts, 45-26. The Packers lost to the Colts on the road, 34-31 in overtime. |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Seahawks clinched a playoff berth for the 9th time 11 seasons under Carroll. Even though Russell Wilson has a career high 37 TDs, he also has a career high 13 picks. Not exactly Jameis Winston, but bye bye MVP Award. Both of these teams will clinch NFC West by winning their final 2 games. What in the world happened to the Rams last week? They had to be peeking ahead to this one. Their first half offense? Try 5 punts (1 blocked), an interception, & only 3 points vs an 0-13 team. What |
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12-27-20 | Bengals v. Texans -7 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston has Deshaun Watson. Cincinnati has Brandon Allen or Ryan Finley. Enough said. The Bengals might be able to run on the Texans’ league-worst rush defense – if Joe Mixon returns from a lengthy foot injury. Mixon hasn’t played since Week 6 so he can’t be counted upon. The Bengals lack the quarterbacks who can take advantage of the Texans’ porous secondary, which has become worse with the suspension of Bradley Roby. Aging J.J. Watt could have one more big game in him given the Bengals’ pass protection problems. Cincinnati’s chore is made more difficult by traveling on a short week having just hosted the Steelers this past Monday night |
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12-27-20 | Browns -10 v. Jets | 16-23 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units 28th matchup between these two. Browns lead this series 15-12, which included that classic divisional matchup in 1986 at 'The Mistake by the Lake'. That 2OT barnburner was one of the greatest ever and surprisingly enough, is the only time these two have battled in the playoffs. Even when the Jets win, they lose. The Jags now hold that #1 draft spot for Lawrence. However, have to hand it to NY, as it was in command of that game from the coin flip. Jets "D" got a big 4th down stop & the "O": 2 late first downs. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins -2.5 v. Raiders | 26-25 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Raiders aren’t exactly stretch-runners as they are in the midst of another familiar December fade with four straight spread Ls. Maybe giving Marcus Mariota more snaps isn’t a bad idea after he looked very serviceable in relief of a hurting Derek Carr (strained groin) last Thursday vs. the Bolts, but even Alabama would have trouble scoring enough points to overcome a Vegas D that’s allowed 30 or more a staggering nine times in 2020 (only the Jets have been as bad). It can’t be good news for Jon Gruden that Miami just ran over Bill Belichick’s defense to the tune of 250 rush yards last week, either, while the careful Tua (only 2 picks in 8 starts) is making Brian Flores smile by avoiding the sorts of mistakes that often befall rookie QBs. The Dolphins are also the anti-Raiders, having won 8 and covered 9 out of their last 10 as they get closer to their first playoff berth since 2016 |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These former Big South outfits have met many times, with 7-7 SU split, between the Chanticleers of Coastal Carolina, & the Flames of Liberty (most recently in '16, when CC (NL) rolled 42-7, in its 3rd double digit win season in 4 years (3-9, 5-7, & 5-7 years since jumping to FBS status in '17). But 14 starters, including QB McCall: 2,170 passing yards 23 TDs with 2 INTs, & running back Marable: 844 rushing yards returned this year &, they're 1 of 4 teams in the nation with no losses, ranking 9th in the polls, proving worth with 22-17 win over BYU, holding prolific Coog "O" scoreless over L27:28. The 23rd ranked Flames are just a 15-14 loss to NC State from matching CC's perfect log. QB Willis: 2,040 passing yards & 20 TDs with only 4 INTs (3 picks vs NC State), along with 807 rushing yards. Call upset |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals -5.5 | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This really isn’t a road venue for the 49ers since Arizona’s State Farm Stadium has been their new home away from home. Nick Mullens hasn’t come through for the 49ers throwing at least one interception in eight of 10 appearances. San Francisco is holding out hope that Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel will all be able to see action here to team with emerging star Brandon Aiyuk. The Cardinals beat the 49ers when San Francisco was healthy, 24-20, opening week. The 8-6 Cards have won four games by 15 or more points. San Francisco is 5-9 and out of playoff contention |
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12-26-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UTSA +14 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The virus certainly made its mark on this day, which had originally scheduled six games, thus dropping the Gasparilla, Independence, & Guaranteed Rate Bowls. What a year. So sad. This one has the Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns & Roadrunners of UTSA meeting for the first time. For La-La, this marks its 8th bowl in 10 years, winning & covering 4 straight, while hosting the New Orleans Bowl ('11-'14), but just 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS since. QB Lewis (2,128 yards) has thrown a TD pass in 17 straight games. Cajuns a 132-51 point edge in L3 games (+40 pts ATS). For the 'Runners, note running back Sincere McCormick's 1,345 yards (748 yards after contact). Utsa rarely fades, & is only 12 pts from a 14-2 spread run and a solid 9-3 spread mark its last 12 as a dog. We'll grab generous spot |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -6.5 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota doesn't have a better offense, or defense, than the Saints, who are playing home off a home loss, in a game with playoff seeding implications as well as some emotional fodder because it was the Minnesota uniforms who eliminated them from what they thought was going to be Super Bowl season last year. Injuries and missed practices suggest a gutted linebacker group for Minnesota in this game (as the defense prepares to play against Alvin Kamara and LaTavius Murray) and a definite absence for TE Kyle Rudolph |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +9.5 v. Houston | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rainbows of Hawaii take their usual place in a Christmas Eve bowl, but, for once, they aren't in the role of hosts (8 Hawaii Bowl appearances in the last 19 years). So it's off to New Mexico. Oh, sorry, it's off to Texas, with the New Mexico Bowl being played in Frisco, Texas. Incredible. The 'Bows are led by QB Cordeiro, who has thrown for 1,947 yards, with just an 11/6 TD/INT ratio. However, he lives for the long TD pass, and he can run it (4.2 yards per rush). Only Wyoming & San Diego State have contained that 'Bow offense. The Cougars of Houston are led by QB Tune, who is similar to Cordeiro. Hawaii: 32+ points 6 of last 10 outings, with Houston allowing 30+ points in 19 of last 25 games. Hawaii has seen much tougher defenses than this and Cordeiro will have some opportunities. I do believe this Bowl game will be a lot closer than what this spread would suggest |
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12-23-20 | Georgia Southern -5.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans Bowl Book Nailer These 2 have never met, although they both are bowl tested. Third holiday classic in 4 years for the Eagles of Georgia Southern, who are again among the premier rushing yardage squads, placing 9th, or better, in 5 of their 7 years in the FBS. Their opponents in this one, namely the Bulldogs of Louisiana Tech own the longest active winning bowl streak in the land, 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 coming by 14 points, or more (7-1 ATS bowl run). So why not keep it going? Well, replacing 14 starters has them a shadow of former selves, with just 98 rushing yards per game (119th). QB Anthony (1,479 yards) is decent, but can't erase 52-10 windup loss to TCU. Close to home, but Eagle call. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -6 | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Third meeting between these 2, with first 2 going to the home team by 7 & 7 points. By the way that the BYU Cougars got out of the gate: 9 straight wins, with a 367-110 point edge in their first 8 lined games (+110 points ATS), & a 34½ point cover at Boise, they looked unstoppable, moving to #8 in the polls. But a trip to Coastal Carolina cost them dearly (22-17 loss, scoring just 3 points in 2nd half). QB Wilson is their meal ticket: 3,267 passing yards & 30 TDs with only 3 INT, with BYU ranking 8th & 9th in total "O" & "D". Same has been said about the offense of the Knights of Central Florida, who rank 2nd, 5th, & 2nd in passing, scoring, & total "O", behind QB Gabriel (3,353 passing yards & 30 TDs with 4 INTs). Edge in this one is obvious: only 10 schools have a worse "D" than UCF |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +14.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though it's been 4 weeks since Burrow's injury, you can't help but think about the connection between his and Carson Palmer's knee injuries. Of course, Palmer's came in this very same stadium against the Steelers in the '05 Wild Card. The Steelers went on to win that game & 2 more road games (Indy & Denver) on their way to winning Super Bowl XL. The Steelers are favored by two touchdowns despite a down-trending offense that has topped out at 19 points in their last three games. And that was when Baltimore was missing guys all over the place. Revenge for blowout loss earlier vs. division rival, home dog on Monday night |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Saints | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Would you believe that the defending champion Chiefs haven't covered since Nov 1st? And would you believe that the league's MVP, Patrick Mahomes, is in off a career worst 3 interceptions? And would you believe that the Saint "D" is the best in the NFL? If all of that isn't a recipe for atonement, we don't know what is. Sure, New Orleans as a true elite, but have to see an angry Mahomes & Co taking this one |
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12-20-20 | Jets v. Rams -17 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who would have ever thought the Jets could have a coach worse than Rich Kotite? Congratulations Adam Gase, who surpassed Kotite with the Jets having lost a franchise-record 13 consecutive games. New York has been outscored by 132 points in six away contests for an average road loss of 22 points. This is the Jets’ second West Coast game in a row. Sean McVay is licking his lips envisioning a passing attack against the Jets young and talent-deficient cornerbacks. The Jets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road matchups versus opponents with a winning home record. Sacks leader Aaron Donald faces a Jets squad ranking last in points and total yards. |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks -4 v. Washington Football Team | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 have played 3 times in the playoffs in the last 15 years, with the Seahawks taking 3 out of 3. The last being 2012, when RGIII crumbled to the turf in FedEx Field, basically ending his career as Washington's savior. Sad to say the least. Russ is back! 21/27, 206 yards, 4 TDs with 1 INT. That gives him a team record 36 TD passes. The Seahawks tied the team record with its 5th game of 35+ points. Four straight Ws for Wash after that 2-7 start. Now a game up in the NFC East. Here's hoping Alex Smith is OK |
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12-20-20 | Bucs -6 v. Falcons | 31-27 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First matchup of these two teams this season. They will meet again in Week 17. By that time, the Bucs postseason status may be solidified, so this one is huge for Tom and company. Bucs D has gone 4 straight games with 5+ sacks (6 vs Minn.). Best start for Tampa (8-5) since '16. Brady had his 6th game with 2+ TD passes & 0 picks & joined Jameis Winston as only Tampa Bay QBs with 30 TDs. On the other hand, the Falcons officially eliminated from the playoffs after Ryan's 3 picks in LA. Bucs |
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12-19-20 | Alabama -17 v. Florida | Top | 52-46 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 51 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Championship Game of the Week No doubt, some of the glitter has come off this one, with last week's incredible Gator loss to Lsu (57-yard field goal off penalty in L0:23), but still another 609 yards. Trask now 3,717 yards & 40 TDs with only 5 INTs, but Florida 100th in rushing. 'Tide: 41+ points in L10 games. Jones 27 TDs with 3 INTs, 3,321 yards, 76%. We don't jump this ship. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +6.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 73 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A completely rare happening when the spread on a game between these 2 squads comes in a less than a TD, with 3 of their last 5 meetings showing the Broncos as 36, 40, & 31 point chalks. Not the case this time around, as Boise, although 5-1 straight up, has covered just once since October, while ranking 107th in rushing "O", as well as 86th in rushing "D". The Spartans rank 13th in scoring "D", have covered 10-of-11, & are undefeated, with their 2 road games resulting in 22 & 8½ point covers |
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12-19-20 | Bills -5.5 v. Broncos | 48-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bills had no problem handling the Broncos last season holding them to 134 total yards in a 20-3 home victory. Things don’t look any better this time around for the Broncos. Their pass rush is missing Von Miller and their secondary has become severely short-handed minus their two top cornerbacks, suspended A.J. Bouye and injured Bryce Callahan. Josh Allen has made great strides from a year ago. Allen has accounted for 35 touchdowns spearheading a balanced attack that has produced 30 or more points in six games. Drew Lock has thrown 13 interceptions in his last nine starts. Denver has scored 21 or fewer points in six of those starts. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 16 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Mismatch of the Day Rematch Tigers, losing in 2 OTs 6 weeks ago, with a 205-32 rushing yard deficit. No Lawrence, though Ugalaleilei threw for 439 yards (2 TDs with 0 INTs). Etienne: 1.6 yards per rush. Three Clemson turn overs were key. ND: 511-262 point edge L14 games, & a 254-125 point edge L6 outings. Tigers post-season kings, but tight. |
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12-19-20 | Texas A&M -13.5 v. Tennessee | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 69 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units There’s no buying in to Tennessee’s 42-point outburst last week against Vanderbilt. They still rank 109th nationally in scoring at 20.0 points per game, and had been held to 21 or less in six straight games, all losses, prior. The Vols are woeful against the pass, ranking 105th, and that should allow Aggies’ uneven QB Kellen Mond to get off to a good start. He’s topped 300 yards twice and thrown 3+ scores four times, and once getting his team out to a lead, the Aggies can lean on their 30th-ranked rushing attack. Outside of the conference championship games, no one has more to play for than A&M, who beat Florida and only lost to Alabama. A statement win where they impress on both sides of the ball is needed, and that’s what the Aggies turn in |
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12-19-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +5.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -108 | 96 h 36 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Championship Game of the Week What a thorn in the side of the Sooners, have these Cyclones been (5-0 ATS, +85 points). On a 7-1 ATS run, behind QB Purdy (5 TDs last year), & RB Hall (#1 in land). Sooners always get this one (8-0 SU in Big12 title games), & a 48-16 points per game edge in their L4 games. Could be an epic. |
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12-18-20 | Ball State v. Buffalo -13 | 38-28 | Loss | -118 | 77 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Katie, bar the door! These 2 sure can light up the scoreboard, with Bulls at 51.8 points per game (rank 1st in scoring & rushing "O" (Patterson: 18 TDs), & on an 18-5 ATS MAC run. Cards on 5-0 SU run, & are 6-0 in the dog role, with Plitt at 7 TDs with 1 INT the L2 weeks. But needed TD in L0:29 to take Western Michigan. Bulls’ RB Jaret Patterson is the best player on the field. Buffalo has won all of their games by at least 19, including a 31-point win over Miami (OH), who beat Ball State. The Bulls play keep away and limit the Cardinals passing attack. |
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12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nothing more the Chargers would love to do than knock the Raiders out of playoff contention like they did in Week 17 in 2011, which allowed Tebow and company to take the AFC West with an 8-8 record. Herbert (36/44, 243 yards, 2 TDs 1 INT) threw a beautiful pass to set up that game winning 43-yard field goal last week. That is the Chargers first win this season vs a team with more than 2 wins. The Raiders fired their defensive coordinator after Sunday night’s home loss to the 9-4 Colts. Therefore, rookie Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert is likely to see things he didn’t see in the first meeting between these AFC West rivals back on November 8, when the Chargers had 75 offensive snaps to the Raiders 50 and 9.5 more minutes of possession time, but still managed to lose 31-26 |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -160 v. Browns | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore has dominated this series going 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings, including easily handling Cleveland, 38-6, opening week. Lamar Jackson threw for 275 yards and three touchdown passes in that game, which was the Browns’ worst opening week defeat since football resumed in Cleveland in 1999. The Ravens have won 10 of their last 12 road contests going 8-4 ATS. The Browns have been missing multiple starters in their secondary, including cornerback Denzel Ward and strong safety Ronnie Harrison |
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12-13-20 | Falcons -120 v. Chargers | 17-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 have only played 10 times, with the Falcons winning 8. Last matchup was a San Diego 33-30 OT win in 2016 Georgia Dome. Gone is Philip Rivers, but Matt Ryan is still slinging it for the Falcons (3,436 yards this year). Both of these squads coming of home losses. In fact, it was the worst loss in Chargers history. Falcons almost got that Hail Mary at the buzzer to beat the Saints, but wasn't meant to be. Matt sacked 11 times by Saints this year. Bolts haven't beaten a team with 2+ wins. Consider: LA is 9-18-1 ATS at home under Lynn, which is the second-worst mark in the NFL during this time span |
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12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -3 | 23-15 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kyle Shanahan holds special animosity toward Washington because both he and his father, Mike, were fired by Washington owner Daniel Snyder following the 2013 season. Kyle gave the game ball from last season’s 9-0 shutout of Washington to his father. San Francisco is healthier. It’s a short week for both teams having each played on Monday. Washington has it rougher with a long trip to Arizona’s home stadium, the temporary hosting spot for San Francisco’s home games. Not playing in the Bay Area isn’t such a bad thing for the 49ers considering they are 1-4 at Levi’s Stadium and 4-2 in true road games |
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12-13-20 | Chiefs -7 v. Dolphins | 33-27 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chiefs have won their last 11 road, or neutral site, games. They are 12-6-1 ATS laying points. Patrick Mahomes is on another insane tear with an 18-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio during Kansas City’s last seven games, all victories. Miami lost 20-13 to Denver two weeks. The Chiefs are 2-0 versus the Broncos beating them by a combined 33 points. Miami cornerback Xavien Howard has an NFL-leading eight interceptions. But Howard can’t be responsible for both Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Hill leads the NFL in touchdown receptions with 13 while Kelce is far ahead of any other tight end in receptions, yards and touchdowns. The Dolphins are committed to playing rookie Tua Tagovailoa. Perhaps Tagovailoa will emerge as a superstar to justify his lofty draft position. But right now Mahomes versus the inexperienced rookie is a huge mismatch |
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12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars +7.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jaguars normally seem to give the mighty Titans a decent game, losing just 33-30 in their first meeting. Whereas the Titans are an inconsistent play (haven't posted more than a 2-game spread run all season), the seemingly hapless Jags are on a 4-1 spread run, losing 4 of their last 5 games by 2, 4, 2, & 3 pts, allowing a consistent 27, 24, 27, 27, & 27 pts. Sure, the Titans, with the powerful Henry, can move it, but on defense, they rank just 25th. We'll grab the TD in this game. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 15-33 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit ACC Game of the Month We're well aware of the fact that the Hokies are 15-1 SU in this series. But 4 straight losses for Tech (-52 points ATS) who've allowed 30+ points in 16-of-21 games. Cavs are just the opposite: 4-0 lately, & at 39.3 points per game in L3 lined games. Armstrong: 287 passing yards & 130 rushing yards in last week's rout of BC. |
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12-12-20 | Auburn -6 v. Mississippi State | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a chalk series, as the Bulldogs are on a 4-12-1 ATS run, while dropping their last 6 home games ATS. Their only win following opening week rout of Lsu, came against 0-8 Vanderbilt. The SU winner has covered all 9 Tiger contests, & yet another |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army -7 | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Recent history in this epic series has the dog on a 7-2 spread run. Before the triple option, it was all Middies, but Cadets now own a 6-1-1 series run, despite last year's 31-7 Navy rout. But Perry has departed, with Middies unheard of 46th in rushing. Army? Try #3 in run "O", & #4 in total "D" |
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12-12-20 | Alabama -31.5 v. Arkansas | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 45 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bucking Hogs, who've covered 9-of-11 is a bit scary, but, unless 'Tide is looking past them, it's lights out here. 'Bama "D" is improving, with its "O" the best. Jones: 3,113 passing yards, 76%, & 27 TDs with only 3 INTs, with Smith leading the nation in receiving. 'Tide has topped 40 points in its last 7 games |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest +2 v. Louisville | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day The respective records of these two, are hardly indicative as to their true worth. For the Deacons, only slips have come vs the likes of Clemson, North Carolina State, & North Carolina, the latter 2 by scores of 45-42 & 59-53, both on the road, with Wake posting 32 & 30 first downs vs those powers, who've accumulated a combined record of 15-6. Cardinals' 7 losses have also come vs upper tier squads, succeeding only vs the likes of Western Kentucky, 2-6 Florida State, 1-10 Syracuse. Revenge for last year's 62-59 wrenching loss. |
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