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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Michigan -2.5 | 72-99 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Michigan minus the points over Texas A&M at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the short number with the Wolverines as they aim to dispose of the Aggies and continue on a favorable path toward the Final Four. Things have really opened up for Michigan in the West Region with the top two seeds going down (including number two UNC falling at the hands of Texas A&M). I wasn't particularly high on A&M at the start of this tournament, fading the Aggies against Providence in the opening round. Of course, that didn't work out well but I'm not going to stray from my original thinking here. I believe that Michigan is a team built for tournament success and I'm confident this is the year they get back to the Final Four. There's little doubt this will be a tightly-contested affair, but it's the Wolverines that I expect to make the clutch plays down the stretch. I had the Aggies as an over-seeded squad last week and they find themselves overmatched on Thursday. Take Michigan (10*). |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Nevada -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Game of the Year. My selection is on Nevada over Loyola-Chicago at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. Loyola-Chicago has taken its rightful place as this year's Cinderella team, advancing to the Sweet 16 to face another upstart in Nevada on Thursday night. I simply feel that the Wolf Pack are the superior team in this matchup and having cashed with them in their stunning come-from-behind win over Cincinnati last Sunday, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again here. I certainly don't believe we're going to see Nevada give the Ramblers as much open floor space as Loyola's first two opponents in this tournament did. The Wolf Pack are a character team that has certainly taken their cue from their head coach, whose spirited post-game antics have gained national attention. Loyola will get plenty of support from casual bettors here, but I believe it will be Nevada that keeps on dancing at the end of the night on Thursday. Take Nevada (10*). |
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03-21-18 | Wizards +5 v. Spurs | 90-98 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over San Antonio at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Wizards as they catch the Spurs in a letdown spot following a double-digit win over the undermanned Warriors on Monday night. San Antonio won that game in a rout - at least that's what the final score would seem to indicate. However, the fact is, the Warriors stuck around for three quarters in that contests, and the Spurs couldn't even break 90 points. The Wizards come into this game off of back-to-back wins and I believe they'll consider this to be a winnable contest as well. Take Washington (10*). |
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03-20-18 | Rockets v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Houston at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. Solid value with the underdog Blazers on Tuesday night as they'll undoubtedly be up for a showdown against the Rockets. Much has been made of Houston's winning ways but Portland has been just as hot lately, reeling off 13 consecutive victories. I don't expect the Blazers to back down in the face of a serious challenge on Tuesday. Houston survived a wild one in Minnesota on Sunday night, ultimately winning by a 129-120 score. James Harden was banged-up in that contest but stayed in and guided the first place Rockets to yet another win. I simply feel that things will get tougher on Tuesday night and I'm not sure Houston should be laying as many points as it is given it will be playing its third game in four nights on the road and undoubtedly peeking ahead to a five-game homestand that waits on deck. Take Portland (10*). |
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03-18-18 | Nevada +8 v. Cincinnati | Top | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Nevada plus the points over Cincinnati at 6:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Wolf Pack as they take on two-seed Cincinnati on Sunday evening. The Wolf Pack didn't bring their 'A' game against Texas on Friday but still managed to rally from a 14-point deficit to ultimately prevail in overtime. It was a gutsy win that I believe will have some carry-over effect into Sunday's matchup with the Bearcats. Cincinnati has cruised over the last month or so, last losing a game against Wichita State on February 18th. The Bearcats really weren't challenged by Georgia State in the opening round but they will be here. The oddsmakers are giving us a generous helping of points with the Wolf Pack, and I'll gladly take it in a game that could go either way. Take Nevada (10*). |
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03-18-18 | Texas A&M v. North Carolina -6 | 86-65 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Texas A&M at 5:15 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark fading the Aggies on Friday as they managed to get past Providence in a tightly-contested affair. I don't believe they'll be so fortunate on Sunday, however, as they get a tough draw against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are a legitimate threat to cut down the nets in April but aren't getting a ton of love from the betting marketplace, as evidenced by the relatively short line we're dealing with here. I simply feel that UNC will be able to run A&M out of the gym on Sunday night, as their athleticism proves too much in this particular matchup. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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03-17-18 | Florida +2 v. Texas Tech | 66-69 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida plus the points over Texas Tech at 8:40 pm et on Saturday. I didn't expect Florida to get past St. Bonaventure in the opening round of this tournament but now that the Gators have accomplished that, I believe they have a favorable path to advance to the Sweet 16. We cashed a ticket fading Texas Tech in the opening round as the Red Raiders had some trouble putting away Stephen F. Austin. Things certainly won't get any easier against an athletic Gators squad that had little trouble brushing aside the Bonnies. I simply feel that Texas Tech is an over-seeded squad in this tournament and the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take Florida (10*). |
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03-17-18 | Alabama +11 v. Villanova | 58-81 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Alabama plus the points over Villanova at 12:10 pm et on Saturday. Simply too many points being given to the Crimson Tide in this one. Yes, Villanova looked good in its opening round blowout victory. And yes, the Wildcats are an extremely popular pick to cut down the nets in April. But Alabama is no pushover, and after a strong showing in the opening round, I look for the Crimson Tide to give the Wildcats all they can handle on Saturday afternoon. I never like these early start times for big favorites. I won't be surprised if the Wildcats get off to a sleepy start which may be all Alabama needs to stick around and make things difficult on the number one seed. Take Alabama (10*). |
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03-16-18 | Murray State +10.5 v. West Virginia | 68-85 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Murray State plus the points over West Virginia at 4 pm et on Friday. The Mountaineers have become accustomed to getting involved in tight opening round battles against presumably weaker opponents in recent years in this tournament and I’m expecting a similar story to unfold against Murray State on Friday. Of course, the Racers are no strangers to this tournament, making their 15th appearance all-time. They enter this tournament having won 13 games in a row. Note that Murray State has won its last two opening round games, albeit back in 2010 and 2012. West Virginia is a good team without question, having already defeated number one overall seed Virginia this season. The Mountaineers are capable of going on a deep tournament run but I’m just not convinced they’ll get off easy on opening weekend. We’re being given a generous helping of points with a team that not only feels it can compete, but can stage the upset on Friday afternoon. Take Murray State (10*). |
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03-16-18 | Butler -1.5 v. Arkansas | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Butler minus the points over Arkansas at 3:10 pm et on Friday. This looks like a case of a couple of mis-seeded teams if you believe the betting marketplace. Butler finds itself as the favorite at the time of posting, despite the fact that it comes in as the lower-ranked squad in this matchup. And rightfully so, in my opinion. I don’t think we’ll see the Bulldogs get rattled by the Razorbacks relentless defensive pressure. They’re battle-tested coming out of the Big East – one of six teams from the conference to reach the tournament, including two number one seeds. I’m not as high on Arkansas, or the SEC for that matter, noting that the Razorbacks fell in the SEC Tournament semi-finals against Tennessee. While most expect this to be a high-scoring affair, I actually expect to see the Bulldogs frustrate the Hogs offense throughout. Take Butler (10*). |
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03-16-18 | Providence +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
Opening Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Providence plus the points over Texas A&M at 12:15 pm et on Friday. Providence is in the NCAA Tournament for the fifth straight year and I look for the Friars to make the most of their appearance. Credit the Friars for their Big East Tournament run last week, upsetting a number one seed in this tournament, Xavier before falling to another top seed, Villanova, in the final. I like the way Providence has battled all season long and believe this is a team capable of turning some heads in this tourney. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is back in the tournament after missing out last year and I simply feel the Aggies inconsistency over the course of the season will resurface on Friday afternoon. Note that the Aggies are just 11-14 SU all-time in the NCAA Tournament. While that has little bearing on the outcome of Friday’s contest, let’s consider the fact that this team started the campaign with a stellar 11-1 mark before going 9-11 the rest of the way. They probably deserved a better fate in the SEC Tournament as they fell to Alabama on a last second basket but a loss is a loss and I don’t believe they carry a great deal of positive momentum in this matchup. Take Providence (10*). |
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03-15-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Florida | 62-77 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Bonaventure plus the points over Florida at 9:55 pm et on Thursday. The Bonnies needed to outlast UCLA in a play-in game on Tuesday night just to get into the NCAA Tournament but now that they’re here, I look for them to make a little noise. St. Bonaventure draws a favorable matchup, in my opinion, against Florida. The Gators exited the SEC Tournament with a whimper, falling 80-72 against Arkansas in their first game. That ended a three-game winning streak which came on the heels of a three-game skid. In other words, the Gators have been inconsistent in recent weeks, not the way you want to enter the Big Dance, certainly not against an capable opponent like St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies ran into a red hot shooting Davidson suqad in the A-10 Tournament semi-final, as the Wildcats rode 16 made three-pointers to victory. That marked the Bonnies first loss since January 19th. The win over UCLA was obviously just what the doctor ordered and now I’m confident St. Bonaventure can go on a bit of a run. Florida reached the Elite Eight a year ago but I don’t believe it’s the Gators time in 2018. Take St. Bonaventure (10*). |
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03-15-18 | Stephen F Austin +11.5 v. Texas Tech | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 32 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Stephen F. Austin plus the points over Texas Tech at 7:25 pm et on Thursday. The Red Raiders are laying an awful lot of points for a program that hasn’t advanced past the opening round of the NCAA Tournament since reaching the Sweet 16 in 2005. Playing this game in Dallas will certainly help the Red Raiders cause, but the same goes for SFA. The Lumberjacks haven’t lost to an opponent other than Lamar since falling by a 100-92 score at Central Arkansas back on January 24th. I like the way the Lumberjacks have been able to win games with their offense and their defense. They scored a combined 164 points in two Southland Conference Tournament wins before allowing only 55 in a slugfest win over Southeast Louisiana in the championship game. Texas Tech enters having lost five of its last seven games overall, topping 74 points only once over that stretch. Look for a closer game than most are expecting on Thursday evening in Dallas. Take Stephen F. Austin (10*). |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State +8 v. Ohio State | 73-81 | Push | 0 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Dakota State plus the points over Ohio State at 4 pm et on Thursday. South Dakota State certainly has no shortage of motivation as it enters this tournament for the fifth time in the last seven years, still having not managed to record a single victory. It seems like every year the Jackrabbits are a popular upset pick in the opening round and this March is no different. With that being said, I do expect them to hang with an overrated Buckeyes squad on Thursday afternoon. Ohio State wasn’t expected to contend for a Big Ten title in 2018 but managed to finish tied for second in the conference despite limping to the finish line. Unlike past editions of the Jackrabbits, I don’t think there’s a real intimidation factor at play this year. South Dakota State truly believes it can hang with Ohio State and that’s really half the battle when it comes to the early rounds of the NCAA Tournament. We’re being given a generous cushion in a game that I believe could go either way on Thursday afternoon. Take South Dakota State (10*). |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago +2 v. Miami-FL | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Loyola-Chicago plus the points over Miami at 3:10 pm et on Thursday. The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are certainly a popular upset pick in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament but that doesn’t mean they’re a bad pick. I believe Miami is ripe for an upset, keeping in mind this is a team that started the season with a perfect 10-0 record before going just 12-9 the rest of the way. The Hurricanes were not surprisingly outclassed by North Carolina in the ACC Tournament last week, bringing an end to a four-game winning streak. While I do feel the ‘Canes have a lot going for them, they draw a tough opponent in the Ramblers. Loyola-Chicago is fresh off a Missouri Valley Conference Tournament title and hasn’t lost a game since January 31st at Bradley. While the Ramblers were solid offensively throughout the regular season, they had to rely on some hard-nosed defense to run the table in the MVC Tourney, allowing 50, 54 and 49 points in three victories. They’ll face a tougher test here against a Miami squad that believes it can go on a run, but I look for the Ramblers to prevail. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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03-15-18 | Wright State +12.5 v. Tennessee | 47-73 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wright State plus the points over Tennessee at 12:40 pm et on Thursday. I’ll grab the points with Wright State in an underdog role against Tennessee as the NCAA Tournament tips off on Thursday afternoon. Since starting the season with three consecutive losses, Wright State has gone on a 25-6 tear, culminating with a Horizon League Tournament championship. The fact that the Raiders went 0-2 against tournament-bound opponents during the regular season has many bettors hesitating to back them here, but I’m confident they can give the upstart Vols a considerable run on Thursday. Tennessee reached the SEC Tournament championship game last weekend, falling by five points to Kentucky. Head coach Rick Barnes has admitted that a grueling SEC schedule has been tough on the Vols this season and while many see them as being battle-tested, I’m not sure how much they have left in the tank entering this tournament. Look for the Raiders to stay within arm’s reach on Thursday afternoon. Take Wright State (10*). |
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03-14-18 | Heat v. Kings +6.5 | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Miami at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Heat have dropped eight consecutive games on the road and I'm not sure they belong in this price range against a Kings squad that has been at the very least playing competitive basketball lately. Sacramento comes in off of back-to-back losses but that's the first time it has dropped consecutive games since a five-game losing skid in late February. It's worth noting that the Kings last two losses came on the road, and in those games they still managed to score over 100 points. Miami continues to battle for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference but this is precisely the type of matchup that should draw motivation from the lottery-bound Kings. Maybe the Heat bust out of their road slump but I'm not convinced they'll be able to win by margin. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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03-14-18 | Penguins v. Rangers +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Pittsburgh at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rangers have been playing a competitive brand of hockey since starting the rebuilding phase prior to the trade deadline. I expect them to give the Penguins a run on Wednesday night at MSG. Pittsburgh has won four of its last five games overall but certainly hasn't looked invincible, needing overtime to secure a pair of those victories and falling well short in Toronto in its most recent road contest. The Pens weakness lies mostly in the back end but I'm not sure they'll have tremendous offensive success tonight with the Rangers turning to Alexandar Georgiev between the pipes (he has posted a .930 save percentage in limited action this season). We'll grab the insurance goal here as the price warrants such a play. Take New York +1.5 goals (10*). |
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03-14-18 | Bucks v. Magic +8.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Bucks on Monday as they rolled to a blowout win in Memphis. I won't hesitate to switch gears on Wednesday, however, as Milwaukee rounds out its brief two-game road trip with a stop in Orlando. The Magic will have no shortage of motivation following a disappointing five-game road trip that saw them go winless - book-ended by a pair of blowout losses including a 36-point beatdown at the hands of the Spurs on Tuesday. While this is a tough back-to-back spot for Orlando, that has certainly been factored into this line. Note that the Bucks won by only seven points in the most recent matchup between these two teams back on February 10th. Milwaukee checks into this one just 4-6 over its last 10 contests. Take Orlando (10*). |
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03-13-18 | Clippers -6 v. Bulls | 112-106 | Push | 0 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers are coming off a missed ATS cover against the Magic at home but that came on the heels of a big double-digit victory over Lebron and the Cavs. Here, I look for L.A. to have little trouble getting past the lowly Bulls in Chicago. The Clippers have played well with little fanfare this season. With Chris Paul and Blake Griffin out of the picture, the Clips are light on star power, but that seems to actually work in their favor. I don't think we'll see them overlook the Bulls on Tuesday night as they can ill afford to slip up in the middle of the Western Conference playoff hunt. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number with the Clips here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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03-12-18 | Bucks -7 v. Grizzlies | 121-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Grizzlies are an absolute mess right now, having dropped 17 games in a row. There's really no end to this tank in sight and I certainly don't expect the playoff-hungry Bucks to lay down for them on Monday night. I actually feel this line could be closer to double-digits with the Grizzlies fresh off a 34-point loss to the Mavs on Saturday night. Maybe Memphis sticks around for a while in this one, but it should only be a matter of time before Milwaukee exerts its will. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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03-11-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +12.5 | 105-82 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Houston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. The Rockets saw their long winning streak come to an end in Toronto on Friday night and while they may bounce back with a win here, I'm not convinced they win by margin. Houston is leading the Western Conference for now, but I'm not sure that's how things will stand once the regular season comes to a close. Simply put, I believe the Rockets are laying too many points in this spot. Everyone is gunning for the Rockets right now, and while the Mavs are in full-on tank mode, I expect them to put forth a competitive effort on Sunday afternoon at home. Take Dallas (10*). |
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03-09-18 | Cavs +1.5 v. Clippers | 102-116 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. Lebron James pretty much single-handedly lifted the Cavs to victory over the Nuggets in a revenge spot in Denver two nights ago and I believe that was the type of performance that can send Cleveland on a bit of a run during this western road swing. There's no question Cleveland has been playing inconsistent ball lately, but can we say any more of the Clippers. They've had a few nice victories in recent weeks but have also fallen when stepping up in class against the Warriors and Rockets, and most recently suffered a 121-116 home loss at the hands of the Pelicans. This is a key game for Cleveland to keep the positive momentum building off back-to-back wins and I'm confident Lebron and co. will make the most of the opportunity. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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03-09-18 | Rockets v. Raptors +2.5 | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Houston at 7:35 pm et on Friday. Not a lot of respect is being given to the Raptors in this spot, despite their league-best home record and the fact that they sit atop the Eastern Conference. Yes, the Rockets look unbeatable right now, having reeled off 17 straight victories. But they're not invincible by any means. Keep in mind, Toronto has already defeated Houston once this season, on the road no less. There's no question that will add to the Rockets motivation here, but I still believe the Raps can hang with the best in the west, especially given their current form. Toronto got more of a challenge than it probably expected from the Pistons in Detroit on Wednesday but ultimately found a way to win thanks to DeMar DeRozan's late-game heroics. That performance serves as a nice catapult into this showdown. All eyes will be fixed on the Air Canada Centre on Friday night and I don't expect the Raptors to disappoint. Take Toronto (10*). |
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03-08-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Philadelphia at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. There's no question the Heat were given an emotional boost following the acquisition of Dwyane Wade. Even their recent losses have mostly been tight save for a blowout defeat at the hands of the Lakers. Here, I look for Miami to bounce back from another close loss in Washington as it hosts the 76ers on Thursday night. Philadelphia is fresh off a blowout road win over the Hornets which was just what the doctor ordered following a big blown opportunity in Milwaukee. I simply feel that the 76ers have been too inconsistent to trust lately, and believe the wrong team is favored in this spot. Take Miami (10*). |
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03-07-18 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Pistons as they host the Raptors on Wednesday night. Toronto had its hands full with the lowly Hawks last night, proving it will be no cake walk for the Raps down the stretch. Now Toronto hits the road on no rest to face a Pistons squad that just got embarrassed in Cleveland on Monday. I certainly expect to see Detroit play with some pride in this spot. Note that the Pistons were also embarrassed in Toronto the last time these two teams squared off. They'll have more than enough motivation on their side to hang tough with the Raps in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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03-05-18 | Pistons +7 v. Cavs | 90-112 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Cavs got a bit of a boost from their trade deadline shakeup but the shine seems to have worn off as they've now dropped back-to-back games and four of their last six overall. They'll be facing a highly-motivated Pistons squad on Monday night as Detroit has dropped the first two games of its current road trip. Note that the Pistons did take the most recent meeting in this series, scoring 125 points in the process back on January 30th. While the Cavs should bounce back with a win in this spot, I'm not sure they'll be able to pull away to cover the lofty pointspread. Take Detroit (10*). |
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03-04-18 | 76ers -1 v. Bucks | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. These two teams are heading in opposite directions right now and I'm not convinced the Bucks can pick themselves up off the mat against the 76ers on Sunday night. Milwaukee doesn't own a considerable home court advantage as far as I'm concerned. I like the fact that the 76ers didn't let down their guard after that upset win in Cleveland on Thursday night, following it up with a 110-99 win over Charlotte on Friday. Meanwhile, the Bucks have lost four games in a row with three of those losses coming at home. Milwaukee will turn it around at some point but right now, I just don't think the Bucks are good enough. Solid value with the visiting 76ers here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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03-02-18 | Knicks +9.5 v. Clippers | 105-128 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. The Clippers have been playing over their heads lately as far as I'm concerned, with only three losses in their last 10 games. They did get shown up on their home floor against the Rockets on Wednesday, and while they might be able to bounce back with a win here, I simply feel they're being asked to lay too many points. The Knicks have dropped back-to-back games but those came against the Celtics and Warriors - two NBA title contenders. That, the Clippers are not. Having been idle since February 26th, look for the Knicks to come out rested and ready for this game. Take New York (10*). |
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03-02-18 | Sabres +1.5 v. Panthers | 1-4 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo +1.5 goals over Florida at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Sabres have quietly been playing some competitive hockey in recent weeks, having gone 6-5 over their last 11 games. While the Panthers are hot, and making a push for the playoffs, winners of four games in a row, it's worth noting that all four of those victories have come by a single goal. I believe we're getting solid value backing the Sabres with an insurance goal on Friday night. Buffalo will have no shortage of motivation for this one, fresh off a big upset win over the Lightning, and knowing that it has already dropped two games against the Panthers this season by a combined 8-3 score. Roberto Luongo has been red hot for the Panthers since returning from injury but there's a good chance he sits in this back-to-back spot. Take Buffalo +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-28-18 | Pelicans +5 v. Spurs | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Pelicans on Wednesday night as they travel to face a Spurs squad that is coming off a surprising rout of the Cavs in Cleveland on Sunday. Keep in mind, that win snapped a four-game losing skid for the Spurs. They have still dropped six of their last eight games overall. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have won six games in a row and are absolutely rolling offensively right now. That's not to say the Spurs won't be able to slow them down on Wednesday night, but this is a big measuring stick game for the Pelicans and I don't expect them to roll over in the face of a tough challenge. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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02-28-18 | Bucks +2 v. Pistons | 87-110 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Bucks are listed as the underdog here due in large part to playing a hard-fought game against the Wizards last night. I don't believe that has much bearing on tonight's outcome, however, and it's certainly worth noting that Milwaukee ended up losing that contest. I look for the Bucks to bounce back in this spot. The Pistons have just one win over their last seven games and that came at home against the lowly Hawks. This is a team that certainly looks like it has hit a wall after a brief burst following the Blake Griffin acquisition. Off a blowout loss in Toronto I'm not sure they pick themselves up off the mat here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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02-27-18 | Kings +12 v. Blazers | Top | 99-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Kings essentially played one bad quarter at home against the T'Wolves last night, and ultimately lost by 18 points (we missed with Sacramento in that contest). That won't discourage me from going back to the well with the Kings on Tuesday, however, as we're getting even more value as they head out on the road to face the Blazers. Portland comes in off three consecutive wins, which all started with a big home victory over the Warriors. In other words, there's a good chance the Blazers look past the lowly Kings here, especially considering they'll host a much better team, the aforementioned T'Wolves on Thursday night. Off four straight losses (only one of those came by more than nine points), look for the Kings to show some pride and hang tough in the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-26-18 | Wolves v. Kings +6 | 118-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Minnesota at 10:05 pm et on Monday. The Kings have lost three games in a row, including a 113-108 setback against the Lakers on Saturday night but they catch the T'Wolves in a favorable spot on Monday as Minnesota is 'fat and happy' off a blowout win over the Bulls on Saturday night but still hasn't posted consecutive wins since defeating the Bucks and Pelicans in a three-night stretch in the first week of February. It would be easy for the young T'Wolves to look past the Kings to back-to-back games in Portland and Utah later this week. Look for Sacramento to surprise on Monday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-22-18 | Clippers +11 v. Warriors | 127-134 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I think there's a common misconception that the Clippers were waving the white flag when they dealt Blake Griffin to the Pistons. The fact is, the Clips have actually played better since trading Griffin and having already defeated the Warriors in Oakland this season, I believe they're undervalued in this spot. The Warriors simply haven't been a good bet this season and while they'll certainly be highly-motivated to come out of the All-Star break with a win after going into it with a loss in Portland, I'm not convinced they'll be able to cover this lofty pointspread. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-22-18 | 76ers v. Bulls +5.5 | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Philadelphia at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Bulls on Thursday night in Chicago. The 76ers went into the All-Star break having won five games in a row. However, I'm not sure how the break will serve this young squad. In fact, I expect it to have a negative effect as they come out of the break with a game they're expected to win in Chicago. The Bulls are certainly in a downturn but they did head into the break having split their last four contests and will be looking for something to hang their hat on as they head down the stretch. The 76ers are the best rebounding team in the NBA but the Bulls actually aren't far behind in that department. I look for Chicago to hang tough on the boards in this matchup as well and it's certainly worth noting that the 76ers rank 30th, yes 30th, in the league in turnovers per game while the Bulls check in sixth. Take Chicago (10*). |
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02-19-18 | Senators +1.5 v. Predators | 2-5 | Loss | -149 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa +1.5 goals over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Senators actually look like they're having a little bit of fun again, something we haven't seen from the team in quite some time. Meanwhile, the Predators are suffering through one of their first slumps of the season and I'm not sure they'll be able to get rolling again from a standing start on Monday night. We'll grab the insurance goal in this particular spot as the price warrants such a play. Ottawa has a number of key cogs auditioning for roles on other teams with the trade deadline just a week away. Look for the Sens to turn in another gritty effort here as they keep pace with the Preds. Take Ottawa +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-18-18 | Team LeBron -2.5 v. Team Stephen | 148-145 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Team LeBron minus the points over Team Stephen at 8 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the short number with Team LeBron in Sunday's NBA All-Star Game in Los Angeles. This game became a little bit bigger, or perhaps I should say became put under a bit larger spotlight following the headlines made by a little-known news anchor calling out LeBron James for his political statements, telling him to 'shut up and dribble' in the process. The bottom line is, I'm anticipating a spirited affair here on Sunday night in L.A. and I'm confident we'll see LeBron James play with a little extra fire than we might normally see in such a contest. On top of that, I simply feel that the oddsmakers have got it right installing Team LeBron as a short favorite here as I simply believe LBJ has the better squad. I rarely get involved in All-Star contests, but will take a shot here. Take Team LeBron (10*). |
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02-16-18 | Islanders +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Carolina at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll grab the insurance goal with the Islanders as the price warrants such a play on Friday night. Carolina recently strung together three straight wins on home ice but those came against the Kings, Avs and Canucks - three teams that haven't been playing particularly well. We saw the 'Canes fall flat last night, suffering a 5-2 loss to the Devils in New Jersey. Here, I believe the Isles can hang in spite of their potential problems between the pipes with a struggling Thomas Greiss likely to get the start in a back-to-back spot. Grab the extra goal and count on a back-and-forth affair. Take New York +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-15-18 | Nuggets v. Bucks -3 | 134-123 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Denver at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Nuggets on Thursday night. Denver is coming off back-to-back wins, with its most recent coming at home against the Spurs. Now it hits the road where it has gone a miserable 1-7 SU over its last eight games. Milwaukee has won back-to-back games even if those results were a little closer than it would have liked against the Magic and Hawks. Note that the Bucks enter this contest riding a five-game winning streak on their home floor. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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02-14-18 | Wizards v. Knicks +5 | 118-113 | Push | 0 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Washington at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Wizards haven't been a great bet this season and while the Knicks may be in full on tank mode right now, I still expect them to hang around and show some pride against Washington on Wednesday. Keep in mind, the Wizards are coming off a road win in Chicago. Prior to that they had lost back-to-back games so it's not as if they're rolling along. The Knicks haven't won in what seems like an eternity but they're back home following a three-game road trip and have to consider this a winnable contest. The first meeting between these two teams this season was no contest as the Wizards rolled to a 121-103 win at home. Different venue. Different result. Take New York (10*). |
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02-11-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -4.5 | 121-99 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Cleveland at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. Big bounce-back spot for the Celtics here as they stay home following Friday's tough loss to the Pacers to host the new-look Cavs. Cleveland may end up being stronger following its trade deadline flurry but it's not going to happen overnight. Expect some growing pains as the Cavs work their new pieces into the mix. This will be an emotional day at the Garden with the Celtics retiring Paul Pierce's number. Expect the Celtics to show up and prove why they're the top contender in the Eastern Conference. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-10-18 | Nuggets v. Suns +7.5 | 123-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Denver at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. Quick turnaround for the Nuggets here after getting their doors blown off in Houston last night. Not sure this is the easy layup the betting marketplace is anticipating as the lowly Suns aren't going to draw a great deal of motivation from Denver. Phoenix should be able to get out and run in this game, and ultimately stay within arm's reach of an overvalued Nuggets squad. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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02-09-18 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | 85-91 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Miami at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I like the Bucks to add to the Heat woes on Friday night. Miami is coming off another loss, this time at the hands of the Rockets, on Wednesday night. Things won't get any easier as the Heat prepare to host a Bucks squad that will be looking for revenge after suffering a narrow loss the last time these two teams met. Miami made a splash at the trade deadline, adding veteran Dwyane Wade for a second go-round with the team. So it will likely be an emotional night in South Beach on Friday, but I'm not sure that Wade's presence will be enough. The Bucks are the superior squad, and they're playing better basketball right now. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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02-08-18 | Mavs +12.5 v. Warriors | 103-121 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. The Mavs have dropped nine of their last 11 games overall but they were competitive in many of those losses and I look for them to put forth another strong effort in Oakland on Thursday night. This will wrap up a four-game road trip for Dallas, and it has only one win to its credit on the jaunt so far. Meanwhile, the Warriors come in off rare back-to-back losses leaving most bettors to believe they'll bounce back in a big way here. I'm not so sure as they simply haven't been playing close to their best basketball lately. It would be easy to overlook the Mavs here noting that the Warriors will host the Spurs on Saturday night. We're being given a generous helping of points to work with. Take Dallas (10*). |
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02-07-18 | Wolves v. Cavs +4 | 138-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. It's time to 'buy low' with the Cavs following last night's embarrassing meltdown at the hands of the Magic in Orlando. This line has everything to do with the dire straights Lebron and co. appear to be in right now but I do see this as a good spot for Cleveland to step up and play with some pride against one of the league's emerging elite teams in the T'Wolves. Minnesota has notched back-to-back victories but both of those came at home. Note that they've dropped four games in a row on the road. And of course Cleveland certainly remembers at a 28-point beatdown it suffered at the hands of the T'Wolves in Minnesota back in early January. Despite their recent struggles, having dropped three of their last four games, the Cavs are still a top three team in the Eastern Conference and have to realize the importance of getting a win here before heading out on the road for three games. Note that Cleveland has won three of its last four games at home. In this rare opportunity to grab points with the Cavs at home, we'll give them a shot. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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02-07-18 | Rockets v. Heat +5 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Houston at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets are playing exceptionally well right now and check in to tonight's game in Miami a perfect 3-0 on their current road trip. The problem here is, they're in a back-to-back spot following a game that drew a little more energy out of them than they probably would have liked last night in Brooklyn. Meanwhile, the Heat have lost four straight games although three of those losses came on the road. They were stunned by the Magic in a 111-109 home loss on Monday which should only provide them with a little extra motivation, not that they need it, against an elite opponent on Wednesday. While Miami has a day off tomorrow before another home game on Friday against Milwaukee, the Rockets will have an eye on a return home where they'll host the Nuggets and Mavs on Friday and Sunday, respectively. While I would like to be grabbing a couple more points with the Heat in this spot, I still feel they warrant a step-up play in an underdog role given the situation. Take Miami (10*). |
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02-07-18 | Nets +9.5 v. Pistons | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Nets find themselves in a tough spot on paper on Wednesday night as they fell short in a track meet at home against the Rockets on Tuesday and now have to hit the road in a quick turnaround to face the surging Pistons. I simply feel Detroit is being given a little too much respect from the oddsmakers in this spot, however. Yes, the Pistons have won four games in a row but only one of those victories came in true blowout fashion, and two of them came by four points or less. It would be easy for Detroit to overlook the lowly Nets in this matchup, noting that those four wins in a row have all come on their current homestand. The Nets have lost three games in a row and seven of their last eight overall so they'll obviously be highly-motivated to get back in the win column tonight. With a three-game homestand on deck they could certainly use a shot in the arm in the form of an upset victory over the Pistons. While I'm not about to call for the outright win, I will grab all the points I can get with Brooklyn in this spot. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5 v. Patriots | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 46 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over New England at 6:30 pm et on Sunday. I’ll grab the points with the Eagles on Sunday but I’m not sure that we’ll need them. The Eagles haven’t come out of nowhere to go on a run and reach the Super Bowl. They’ve been in pole position in the NFL virtually all season long. Yes, losing Carson Wentz hurt, but as we’ve seen it was by no means the end of their story. Perhaps it was only the beginning. Nick Foles has gone through some ups and downs in limited action as the Eagles starting QB this season but heading into this game, he’s in-sync with the rest of his offense and more than capable of slaying the dragon that is the New England Patriots. I have a lot of respect for Tom Brady and Bill Bellichick in particular. I’m certainly not in the category of ‘Patriots hater’ in which so many folks seem to reside these days. But this is as beatable of a Patriots team as we’ve seen over the course of their dynasty in my opinion. It seems as though we see a classic Super Bowl every other year, at least as far as recent history goes, so after last year’s thriller you would assume we’re in for a bit of a snoozefest this time around. But I don’t need to tell you that a trend like that is nothing more than a fluke. Expect an ultra-competitive game on Sunday evening in Minneapolis. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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02-03-18 | Warriors -5 v. Nuggets | 108-115 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Denver at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nuggets are coming off a thrilling last second win over the Thunder on Thursday night but now comes the letdown against the league's best team, the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors certainly haven't been a good bet lately and they come into this game in a tough back-to-back spot after playing in Sacramento on Friday night. However, with that 30-point beatdown at the hands of the Jazz earlier in the week still fresh in their minds, I look for their best effort in Denver on Saturday. It's not as if the Nuggets have been rolling along lately, save for that victory over the Thunder two nights ago. They do check in an impressive 20-7 SU at home but the Warriors have been slightly better on the road. Take Golden State (10*). |
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02-02-18 | Jazz v. Suns +5.5 | 129-97 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Utah at 9:05 pm et on Friday. A simple fade of the Jazz here off of their stunning 30-point rout of the Warriors. The Suns aren't playing bad basketball right now, and come off a home win over the Mavs, not to mention a day of rest. I see this as a favorable spot for Phoenix to catch Utah flat-footed, and we're being given a generous helping of points to work with. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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01-31-18 | Heat v. Cavs -3 | 89-91 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the points with the Cavs in this spot. We're getting a favorable line here as the Cavs are playing the second of back-to-back nights. It does appear, however, that they have turned the corner, particularly at the offensive end of the floor, and they host a Heat squad that has simply been treading water lately. It's worth noting that the last time Miami faced Cleveland, it entered the game playing well, having won three in a row. It had that streak halted, dropping a 108-97 decision. Not an ideal scheduling spot for the Cavs by any means, but I like their chances on their home floor. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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01-29-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1 | 111-110 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Boston at 9:05 pm et on Monday. Tough spot for the Celtics here as they're reeling and coming off a hard-fought losing effort against the Warriors on Saturday night. Here at the tail-end of their western road swing I'm not sure they'll have enough in the tank against the up-tempo Nuggets. Denver has won three games in a row but narrowly escaped with a two-point victory over Dallas last time out. There's certainly a good chance they were looking ahead to this contest. Note that the Nuggets are 2-0-1 ATS in the last three meetings in this series. They'll be looking to split the season series here. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-28-18 | Suns +13.5 v. Rockets | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Houston at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Suns on Sunday afternoon. Phoenix is coming off an ugly 22-point home loss against the Knicks which came on the heels of a 1-3 road trip, but one in which the Suns went 3-1 ATS. I look for Phoenix to bounce back in this spot. Houston had its four-game winning streak halted on Friday night in New Orleans. The Rockets have been involved in a number of tightly-contested affairs lately, and I'm not sure we'll see their absolute best effort against a 17-win Suns squad on Sunday afternoon. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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01-25-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Heat | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Heat in their loss to the Rockets earlier in the week but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they return home to host the Kings on Thursday night. Sacramento got blown out by Memphis in the first game of their current trip but has responded with back-to-back competitive efforts since, including a win in Orlando on Tuesday night. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season after the Heat needed overtime to get past the Kings at home and won by five on the road in last year's two matchups. The Kings have scored over 100 points in back-to-back games and I look for them to hang around for four quarters on Thursday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-22-18 | Heat +10 v. Rockets | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Houston at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Rockets are coming off a big home win over the Warriors on Saturday night but I look for them to suffer a bit of a letdown on Monday as they stay home to host the Miami Heat. That's not to say Houston will lose this game, but we've been given plenty of wiggle room with a lofty pointspread attached to the underdog Heat - who just happen to have won nine of their last 11 games overall. Miami will be particularly motivated after splitting the first four installments of its five-game trip, which wraps up tonight in Houston. Note that the Heat haven't lost a game by double-digits since December 29th. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -7 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. My selection is on New England minus the points over Jacksonville at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Patriots on Sunday as they host the upstart Jaguars with the AFC Championship on the line. The Jags are getting plenty of support following last week’s impressive wire-to-wire victory over the Steelers. That performance made it easy to forget their ugly 10-3 home win over Buffalo on Wild Card weekend. While there’s a lot to like about the Jags, I believe their run comes to an end here. The Patriots weren’t really tested in last week’s rout of the Titans. This is a team that certainly didn’t need any more extra motivation but it got just that when the story came out regarding dissension in the ranks between Brady, Bellichick and Kraft. While the Jags have the type of defense that should give the Pats some headaches, I simply feel that New England has too many weapons to contend with for four quarters. And on the other side of the football, you can count on New England to come up with a gameplan to take away Jacksonville’s motor, RB Leonard Fournette, and force QB Blake Bortles to beat them. That’s not a story that ends well as far as I’m concerned. As nice as it would be to see some new blood representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, I don’t see it this year. Take New England (10*). |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Toronto at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. The Raptors aren't playing particularly well right now, but they do continue to win games, most recently squeaking out a three-point victory over the undermanned Spurs on Friday night. Now they face a quick turnaround on the road against the T'Wolves, a team that will be highly-motivated following back-to-back road losses. Here at home, Minnesota has gone 18-6 SU and hasn't lost since back on December 16th. Toronto has gone 0-3 ATS over its last three contests and is just 1-3 ATS in its last four tries against Minnesota. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-19-18 | Wizards v. Pistons +1 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Pistons ran into a highly-motivated Raptors squad on Wednesday night in Toronto and while they hung around for four quarters, they ultimately fell short in a rather ugly contest. I do expect Detroit to bounce back at home on Friday. This time around, it should be the Pistons that are particularly motivated, having dropped three straight games overall, and three in a row against the Wizards as well. Washington is not a great road team at 10-11 SU on the season. The Wizards are coming off back-to-back losses of their own. In fact, they've won only two of their last six games and one of those victories came by way of overtime. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-17-18 | Knicks +2 v. Grizzlies | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies pulled out a victory on Monday afternoon against the Lakers and while they should take care of business against a Knicks squad that has been absolutely miserable on the road this season, I'm not sure it will play out that way on the court. The Knicks are coming off a confidence-building win in Brooklyn in which they scored 119 points. While they've only posted two wins since the start of January, they've suffered three hard-luck overtime losses along the way. This is their first opportunity to build some real momentum here in January and I look for them to take full advantage. The Grizzlies have won twice in their last five games and check in a less than impressive 9-13 SU at home this season. Take New York (10*). |
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01-15-18 | Heat v. Bulls -1 | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Miami at 3:35 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are playing well right now but I believe the Bulls are in better position to keep it rolling on Monday afternoon. While Chicago has struggled overall this season, it checks in just a game under .500 at home. The Bulls come into this one off back-to-back wins and have welcomed Zach LaVine back to the lineup. LaVine played only 19 minutes but contributed 14 points in Saturday's two-point win over the Pistons. Miami is coming off back-to-back underdog road wins which leaves it in a tough spot here as far as I'm concerned. The Heat have won three straight meetings in this series which should add to the Bulls motivation. Note that Chicago has gone 2-1 ATS in those most recent three matchups. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-14-18 | Saints +5 v. Vikings | Top | 24-29 | Push | 0 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Minnesota at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. We cashed our Wild Card Game of the Year with the Panthers plus the points over the Saints last Sunday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back New Orleans as it hits the road to face the Vikings this week. The Vikings are obviously highly-motivated as they try to become the first team to ever appear in a Super Bowl on their home field. I'm not convinced they get there, however, and believe they'll be in for a serious battle against the Saints on Sunday. QB Case Keenum had a tremendous regular season but the playoffs are a completely different animal. The Saints opportunistic defense is brimming with confidence right now and will undoubtedly throw everything it has at Keenum. While I do have a lot of respect for the Vikings on both sides of the football, I simply feel that they're overvalued, due in large part to their double-digit win over the Saints way back in Week 1. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-13-18 | Falcons -3 v. Eagles | 10-15 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Philadelphia at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. It almost seems as if the Eagles have suddenly become the trendy pick in this matchup on Saturday. When Philadelphia lost Carson Wentz for the season I immediately felt that they would be fade material should they host a playoff game, and here we are. The Falcons have been inconsistent this season but gained a lot of confidence in holding off the Rams in Los Angeles last Saturday. I'm still not sure we've seen Atlanta's best effort this season, but what better spot than this for it to step up. Even if they had Carson Wentz, the Eagles would still not have much experience, and I'm still not sure they would be a sure thing to move on to the conference final. The Falcons didn't enter the postseason with high expectations and I'm still not sure folks are expecting much from them. Meanwhile, the Eagles have all the pressure in the world to go out and win a football game in front of the home faithful. Unfortunately they haven't been presented with an ideal situation. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-11-18 | Celtics -2 v. 76ers | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Philadelphia at 3:05 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams are streaking right now, but I believe the Celtics are better positioned to keep it rolling in London on Thursday afternoon. Boston certainly travels well, having gone 15-5 SU away from home this season. The C's are a long way from home in this one, but I believe they'll be up for the opportunity to showcase themselves overseas. The 76ers have scored at will during their current four-game winning streak, of course the only truly impressive win over that stretch came on paper only as the Spurs elected to bench a number of their key cogs. The Celtics have already defeated the 76ers twice this season, look for them to make it three straight on Thursday. Take Boston (10*). |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina plus the points over New Orleans at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers are a trendy sleeper pick in the NFC entering these playoffs, and rightfully so in my opinion. I like the way this matchup sets up for them, even off an ugly showing in Atlanta last Sunday. Of course, prior to that, Carolina had reeled off three straight wins, scoring 84 points in the process. While the Panthers may not have the start power outside of Cam Newton on offense, this unit is capable of doing some damage. The Saints failed to end their regular season on a high note, falling by a 31-24 score in Tampa last Sunday. In fact, they went just 3-3 SU over their last six games. One of those wins did come against the Panthers right here in New Orleans, and it came by a 10-point margin. I can’t help but feel we see a tighter contest this time around as these two familiar divisional foes do battle. Take Carolina (10*). |
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01-07-18 | Bills +9 v. Jaguars | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Jacksonville at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. It’s hard not to get behind the Bills considering all the franchise has endured over a long playoff drought. I believe they draw a favorable matchup here against another team unfamiliar with recent playoff success in the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bills won their way into the postseason by taking three of their final four regular season games. Meanwhile, the Jaguars limp into the playoffs on the heels of back-to-back losses against the 49ers and Titans on the road. A return home should give them a boost here, but will it be enough to secure a victory, let alone a cover? I’m not so sure. This has the makings of a sneaky-good Wild Card tilt with neither team going away quietly. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6 v. Rams | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I really do like the Rams, and we cashed plenty of tickets backing them over the course of the regular season. The playoffs are a different animal, however, and I look for the Falcons experience, and hunger after losing in such devastating fashion in last year’s Super Bowl to carry them through this Wild Card showdown. With that being said, I’ll grab all the points I can get with Atlanta rather than back it on the moneyline in this spot. The Rams are certainly worthy of respect from the betting marketplace – the fact they’re favored is no mistake on the part of the oddsmakers. But here I look for the Falcons to do a good job of stacking the box against Todd Gurley and forcing Jared Goff to turn in a lights out performance in his first playoff appearance. The Rams will be hard-pressed to come away with a win, let alone cover the spread in this contest. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-06-18 | Titans +9 v. Chiefs | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee plus the points over Kansas City at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. I’ll grab the generous helping of points with the Titans as they square off against the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Tennessee certainly didn’t impress down the stretch, winning just one of its final four games, but that turned out to be the one that mattered as its victory over the Jaguars last Sunday catapulted it into the postseason. Keep in mind, of the Titans most recent three losses; none came by more than five points. Their last blowout loss came back on November 16th, when they faced the less than inviting task of heading to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers on a Thursday night following a gritty 24-20 win over Cincinnati four days earlier. The Chiefs closed out the regular season on a high note, winning their last four games, but as a franchise they haven’t won a playoff game in what seems like an eternity and I’m not totally convinced we see a reversal of fortunes here. Sure, they ‘should’ win this game. Covering the lofty spread may be a different story entirely. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Raptors in their convincing win over the Bulls in Chicago two nights ago but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they stay on the road to take on the Bucks on Friday night. Milwaukee has won three of its last four games, going a perfect 4-0 ATS over that stretch. The Bucks are a solid 13-6 SU at home this season. Keep in mind, the Bucks just went toe-to-toe with the Raptors in Toronto on Monday, forcing overtime before falling by four points. That snapped their three-game ATS losing skid in the series. Solid spot for the Bucks to catch the Raptors riding a little too high on Friday night. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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01-03-18 | Raptors -5 v. Bulls | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I believe the Raptors are in a good place off back-to-back home wins. In those two victories, Toronto had no trouble racking up the points, and it should have little trouble repeating those performances against the Bulls in Chicago on Wednesday. It's unlikely the Raptors will get complacent, knowing they just dropped a pair of road games in Dallas and Oklahoma City last week and needed overtime to prevail against Milwaukee on Monday. Chicago is coming off an overtime game of its own on Monday, falling at the hands of the Blazers here at home. That brought an end to a streak of four straight ATS victories. Note that the Bulls are just a .500 team at home, where they average just a shade over 100 points per game. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +3 | 24-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson plus the points over Alabama at 8:45 pm et on Monday. I simply feel that the wrong team is favored in this semi-final matchup. The Crimson Tide are certainly intent on earning some revenge against the Tigers but that's not the only factor to be considered. 'Bama closed out its regular season with a tough road loss at Auburn, and despite an impressive 11-1 SU record, the Tide managed to go just 5-7 ATS along the way. Meanwhile, Clemson checks in at 12-1 SU with a rock solid 8-4-1 ATS mark. The Tigers lone setback came in a clear flat spot on a Friday night in Syracuse. Since then, Clemson reeled off six straight victories, going a perfect 4-0 ATS over its last four contests. We've seen two epic battles between these two teams over the last two years. I'm not anticipating another barn-burner here. Instead look for the Tigers to methodically wear down the Tide and ultimately pull away for the win and cover. Take Clemson (10*). |
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01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Oklahoma at 5 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with Georgia in the first of Monday's two national championship semi-final matchups. Both of these teams have just one blemish on their records this season. However, I believe the Bulldogs are the superior team. Here, we'll fade the Sooners and their Heisman Trophy winning quarterback. Oklahoma hasn't tasted defeat since October 7th against Iowa State, but save for a road tilt against Oklahoma State, the Sooners haven't been overly tested. I simply feel the oddsmakers got it right in this matchup, and look for the Bulldogs offense to come to life and secure the victory. Take Georgia (10*). |
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12-31-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Eagles | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon, even as they are simply playing out the string against the division rival Eagles. I expect questions to linger whether the Eagles are the real deal with the playoffs on the doorstep. Of course, Carson Wentz remains sidelined and Nick Foles did little to inspire confidence in Monday's narrow win over the Raiders. The Cowboys will certainly be looking to take out their frustrations on Philadelphia here, following a no-show at home against the Seahawks in a must-win game last Sunday. Look for the 'Boys to close out the season on a positive note. Take Dallas (10*). |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin -6 v. Miami-FL | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin minus the points over Miami at 8 pm et on Saturday. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State -2 v. Washington State | Top | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Michigan State minus the points over Washington State at 9 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Spartans in this matchup. While I was high on Washington State for much of the season, I don't believe this is a favorable matchup at all for the Cougars. Michigan State is coming off a terrible 2016 campaign, but has certainly made amends here in 2017 and can notch its 10th victory of the season on Thursday night. For Washington State, a strong start to the season is what got it into this Bowl game. A poor finish is what prevented the Cougars from getting into a much more prestigious game, however. I just don't feel the Cougars come into this contest with anything to hang their hat on, particularly on the defensive side of the football, where I expect them to get exposed once again. Take Michigan State (10*). |
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12-25-17 | Raiders v. Eagles -10 | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Oakland at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I have no trouble laying the points with the Eagles in this matchup. The Raiders have all but packed it in for the season after back-to-back losses to the Chiefs and Cowboys. That dropped them to 1-4-2 ATS over their last seven contests. The Eagles are just 1-2 ATS over their last two games but that only serves to keep this line in check on Monday night. I expect to see QB Nick Foles have another big game against a vulnerable Raiders defense, leading Philadelphia to a lopsided victory. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals +3 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this ones sets up for the underdog Bengals at home. The future is cloudy for the Bengals as a franchise as long-time head coach Marvin Lewis has one foot out the door. But for this week, the spot sets up well as the Lions come in off of back-to-back wins against the lowly Bucs and Bears. Cincinnati should get a boost offensively with the expected return of RB Joe Mixon. After appearing lifeless in the last couple of weeks, I'm confident we'll see the Bengals offense get rolling against a vulnerable Lions defense on Sunday afternoon. The Lions have their sights set on a playoff berth in the NFC but I believe we'll see their hopes spoiled in resounding fashion. The last time we saw the Bengals play with some pride was the first half against Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football three weeks ago. Expect more of that type of play on Sunday. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots -11.5 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on New England minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills are on a nice little run having posted three wins in their last four games both SU and ATS. However, I believe that run grinds to a halt here in Foxboro. The Patriots escaped with a 27-24 win in Pittsburgh last week to take back control of the AFC. Now I expect to see them play loose back at home, and ultimately deliver a lopsided win over the Bills. Keep in mind, Buffalo has just one road win in the last two months and that came at the expense of the Chiefs, who were coming unraveled at the time. It won't be so fortunate in this spot as the Pats seem to have been galvanized by that shocking Monday night loss in Miami two weeks ago. We're being asked to lay double-digits here for a reason. Take New England (10*). |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -6.5 | 34-0 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toledo minus the points over Appalachian State at 7 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Rockets in this matchup. Appalachian State has an excellent pedigree as an FCS squad but despite going 8-4 SU this season, I don't believe the Mountaineers had a truly successful 2017 campaign in FBS. They went just 5-7 ATS and only reached this Bowl game thanks to a three-game winning streak to close out the regular season. Meanwhile, Toledo flew largely under the radar despite going an impressive 11-2 SU. Of course, this is a rematch of a Bowl game from a year ago - a game Appalachian State won by a 31-28 score. Keep in mind, the Mountaineers were a small favorite in that contest. Different story this time around as the Rockets are the favorite. After being favored by double-digits in their last three games, and going 2-1 ATS, they're back in a more reasonable pointspread range here. Take Toledo (10*). |
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12-23-17 | Colts +14 v. Ravens | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Baltimore at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I'm not sure this is going to be the cakewalk that most are expecting for the Ravens on Saturday afternoon. The Colts were lifeless in last week's home loss to the Broncos, but now they've had a couple of extra days to prepare for the Ravens, and they'll be catching Baltimore on the heels of three straight ATS wins, and in a clear letdown spot. Baltimore has quietly put together a fine season at 8-6 SU and 8-5-1 ATS, but I'm not sure the Ravens are quite as good as their record indicates. I believe they're vulnerable without Jimmy Smith against a Colts offense that can move the football through the air. The fact is, we're likely not going to need much from the Colts offense in order to cover this lofty spread. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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12-20-17 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Magic on Wednesday night. Orlando has dropped five games in a row but was close to tasting victory last time out, falling by just four points while scoring 110 points in Detroit. Here it will actually be taking a step down in class, despite the fact that the Bulls have been playing well lately, winning each of their last six games both SU and ATS. Off seven straight ATS underdog victories they now shift to the favored role, however, and I don't believe that bodes well. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair at the United Center on Wednesday. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech +4.5 v. SMU | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisiana Tech plus the points over SMU at 8 pm et on Wednesday. After falling just short in a number of close games, the Bulldogs of Louisiana Tech won their way into Bowl eligibility with victories in their final two regular season games. Having posted Bowl victories in each of the last three seasons, I see no reason Louisiana Tech can't at the very least take SMU down to the wire in Wednesday's Frisco Bowl. The Mustangs closed the regular season with six ATS losses in their final six contests. Their defense was non-existent for much of the campaign and I don't see that changing here. The betting public is lining up to back the Mustangs but I believe the value is with the underdog Bulldogs in this matchup. Take Louisiana Tech (10*). |
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12-17-17 | Titans v. 49ers -1 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco minus the points over Tennessee at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The 49ers are playing with some real confidence and enthusiasm right now, and have been since Jimmy Garoppolo took over under center. I believe they're currently listed as the small favorite for a reason in this matchup, despite the disparity in overall records. The Titans are still in the mix for the AFC South title, with a showdown with the Jaguars ahead in Week 17. Note, however, Tennessee is on the road for the second straight week and finds itself just 3-4 away from home this season. It would be easy for the Titans to overlook the Niners in this spot, and I believe they'll do just that. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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12-17-17 | Dolphins v. Bills -3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Dolphins are coming off a stunning Monday night upset of the Patriots but I look for them to fall right back to Earth in Buffalo this Sunday. The Bills picked up a huge victory under a blanket of snow last Sunday and they'll aim to keep it rolling, and move two games above .500 on the season in this spot. Note that Buffalo has gone an impressive 5-2 SU at home this season while the Fins have won just twice in six tries on the road. The home team is 5-2 SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-16-17 | Chargers -1 v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Kansas City at 8:25 pm et on Saturday. The Chiefs handed the Chargers a 24-10 loss in Los Angeles earlier this season but now it’s time for L.A. to return the favor. Kansas City stopped the bleeding with a 26-15 win over the hapless Raiders last Sunday but that victory may have provided more questions than answers. The Chiefs still struggled to finish drives with touchdowns in that game, settling for four field goals. Yes, RB Kareem Hunt showed signs of returning to form, but that was only because he was up against a reeling Raiders run defense. On the flip side, the Raiders did nothing to take advantage of a depleted Chiefs defense. Here, I don’t expect Kansas City to get off as easy. The Chargers are absolutely rolling right now, brimming with confidence on the heels of four straight wins. They’ve become the popular pick to ultimately win the AFC West and I don’t believe that’s a flawed view at all. The Chargers have everything working on both sides of the football and I don’t believe they’ll have much trouble brushing aside the division rival Chiefs, even in a hostile environment at Arrowhead Stadium. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arkansas State minus the points over Middle Tennessee State at 8 pm et on Saturday. I’m not sure how much Middle Tennessee State has left in the tank at the end of an injury-marred 2017 campaign. Credit the Blue Raiders for battling their way to six victories despite playing in a tough C-USA. Three of those six victories came in the month of November but I think it’s worth noting that the wins came against three opponents that combined to go 6-30 SU this season, with two of them coming at home. Meanwhile, Arkansas State managed seven wins over the course of the season before falling by a touchdown against an excellent Troy squad in the Sun Belt Conference championship game. In its final two regular season games, Arkansas State scored a whopping 97 points in delivering back-to-back victories. The Red Wolves didn’t get an opportunity to go head-to-head with one of the best teams in the nation – Miami – in early September as that game was canceled. The thinking at the time was that they would be capable of giving the Hurricanes a run for their money. Here, Arkansas State has a chance to make a statement and with the Sun Belt Conference Player of the Year (DE Ja’Von Rolland-Jones) and the conference’s Offensive Player of the Year (QB Justice Hansen) both at its disposal, I look for it to ultimately pull away for a decisive win. Take Arkansas State (10*). |
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12-16-17 | Marshall +6 v. Colorado State | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marshall plus the points over Colorado State at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I’m just not sure what Colorado State has to hang its hat on entering its New Mexico Bowl matchup with Marshall on Saturday afternoon. The Rams haven’t won a Bowl game since 2013. In looking to avoid a sixth loss this season, the Rams will also try to avoid going a mediocre 7-6 for the third straight season. Is that motivation enough to get up for this showdown with the Thundering Herd? I’m not so sure. Marshall earned Bowl eligibility with a win over Western Kentucky back on November 11th but hasn’t won a game since, suffering two losses by a combined three points against Texas-San Antonio and Southern Miss. There was no real shame in those two losses, and I’m confident we’ll see the Thundering Herd come out ready to play on Saturday against Colorado State. Note that Marshall has won five straight Bowl games, including two Bowl victories with its current senior class. Both teams have been accustomed to being involved in a tightly-contested football games this season. I’m expecting another on Saturday and will grab all the points I can get. Take Marshall (10*). |
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12-16-17 | Bears v. Lions -4.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Chicago at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I have no trouble laying the points with the Lions in this NFC North showdown on Saturday afternoon in Motown. Chicago rolled to an impressive 33-7 win in Cincinnati last Sunday but I think that win said more about the Bengals than it did of the Bears. Keep in mind, in its previous two games, the Bears were held to a grand total of 18 poitns in losses to the Eagles and 49ers. The victory on Sunday snapped Chicago’s five-game losing streak. I don’t believe we’ll see the Lions let Bears RB Jordan Howard run wild as he did against the Bengals. On the other side of the football, Detroit should bounce back after being held to 24 points or less in three straight games. In short, I see this as an excellent get-right matchup for a Lions squad that desperately needs a win to hang around in the NFC playoff picture. With another winnable game (not a gimme) on deck in Cincinnati last week, before a trip to Green Bay to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in Week 17, this is quite simply the most important game of Detroit’s season. I don’t believe it will squander the opportunity. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-16-17 | Georgia State v. Western Kentucky -6 | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky minus the points over Georgia State at 2:30 pm et on Saturday. Western Kentucky really struggled down the stretch but has to be ecstatic about still receiving a Bowl invite, and finds itself in a very winnable matchup. The Hilltoppers faced plenty of adversity from October on but I think it’s important to consider that C-USA was an underrated conference this season, with nine teams Bowl-bound and 10 reaching Bowl eligibility in total. Meanwhile, Georgia State faced a cupcake schedule in the watered-down Sun Belt Conference and still only managed to post six victories. I believe this line could be considerably steeper in the Hilltoppers favor given the school’s Bowl pedigree and the fact that Georgia State is still looking for its first ever Bowl win. We’re getting the vastly superior quarterback and all around deeper team at a value price in my opinion. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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12-14-17 | Broncos -2.5 v. Colts | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Indianapolis at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. Conditions were absolutely terrible for the Colts in Buffalo last Sunday as they ultimately fell in overtime in the middle of a lake effect snowstorm. With that being said, it was baffling to watch Indianapolis not even attempt to throw the football for the better part of the first three quarters of that game. What did they have to lose? At least Buffalo was willing to take some shots through the air, with some success. The Broncos are coming off a much-needed (for their confidence anyway) win over the Jets last Sunday. QB Trevor Siemian looked poised in the pocket, something the Broncos had been sorely lacking during their extended slide. Simply put, the Broncos have more talent at their disposal, particularly on the defensive side of the football, in this Thursday night matchup. From ownership on down, I feel it’s the Broncos that also have a little more hunger to win, if only for pride’s sake at this stage of a lost season. The Colts season was lost a long time ago. I see Chuck Pagano as a lame duck head coach at this point. Maybe the Colts rally to put on a positive show for the home faithful in this primetime affair, but I believe there’s a better chance that they show up without a lot of life after Sunday’s draining loss in snowy Orchard Park. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-12-17 | Lakers v. Knicks -3.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Knicks have been terrific as a home favorite this season, a perfect 7-0 ATS in fact. No reason to go against that trend here as they host the Lakers, who are coming off back-to-back road wins, which for a team that has won just four times in 12 road tilts this season is a rare occurrence. New York has scored over 100 points in back-to-back games and is coming off a victory over Atlanta on this floor. With the Lakers sitting at 12-13 ATS on the campaign, I believe they'll be hard-pressed to earn a third consecutive ATS cover in this spot. Take New York (10*). |
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams -2 | 43-35 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Philadelphia at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles long winning streak finally came to an end last Sunday night in Seattle and now I believe they'll have trouble picking themselves up off the mat as they had to Los Angeles to take on the Rams. It was only a matter of time before Philadelphia suffered a hiccup and this is an awfully tough spot to bounce back on the road against a Rams squad that continues to roll along. Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS over its last seven contests and has put up 58 points in recording victories in each of the last two weeks. This one might come down to which offense blinks first, and I believe that will be the Eagles as they cough up their second straight contest on the highway. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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12-10-17 | Packers v. Browns +3.5 | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Green Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Packers were extremely fortunate to come away with a victory at home against Tampa Bay last Sunday. I'm not sure they'll be so lucky on Sunday afternoon in the Dawg Pound. The Browns are simply playing out the string at this point, still winless through 12 games. But motivation is certainly on their side here, and they have to look at this as a winnable game against a banged-up Packers squad that will be looking ahead to the possible return of QB Aaron Rodgers next week. It sets up as a terrible sandwich spot of sorts for Green Bay and I'm not confident that QB Brett Hundley can lead them to consecutive wins (not that he played much of a positive role in last week's OT victory). Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-10-17 | 49ers +3 v. Texans | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco plus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday. I like the positive momentum the 49ers are building with QB Jimmy Garoppolo at the helm. While they won by a narrow 15-14 score in Chicago last week, they actually outgained the Bears by a whopping 241 total yards. Garoppolo has looked more than comfortable running the offense and should only get more comfortable as the weeks go on. Here, he faces a vulnerable Texans defense that is a shell of its former self. Houston has lost back-to-back games, outscored by a 47-29 margin over that stretch. San Francisco won't get much love from the betting public but that's just fine with us. This one won't be pretty, but I'll grab the points with the 49ers, who simply have more upside at this point of the season. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | 30-10 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Dallas at 1 pm et on Sunday. It will be an emotional return to the field for Eli Manning after he saw his long consecutive starts streak come to an end last week. With the Giants cleaning house following that game, and re-installing Manning as starting QB, I look for Big Blue to show some life against the rival Cowboys on Sunday afternoon. Dallas bounced back with a divisional win over Washington last Thursday night but I'm not sold that the Cowboys are back. Dallas hasn't won a game on the road against the G-Men since 2014. I'm not sure that this is the team to end that skid. Look for the Giants to get plenty of pressure on Dak Prescott and bottle up the Cowboys ground attack. Take New York (10*). |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We have two teams seemingly heading in the opposite direction here. The Warriors have won five games in a row SU and four consecutive ATS. However, they're dealing with some key injury issues with Steph Curry sidelined until later in the month and both Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala banged up as well. Meanwhile, the Pistons are healthy, but come in riding a four-game SU skid, having gone 1-2-1 ATS over that stretch. There's no question Detroit will be up for this game though, and it's worth noting that the Pistons already defeated the Warriors in Oakland this season. In fact, Detroit is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Look for the Pistons to at least take the Warriors down to the wire in this spot. Take Detroit (10*). |
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12-07-17 | Thunder -7 v. Nets | 95-100 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Brooklyn at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Thunder in Mexico City. Oklahoma City has taken the last two meetings in this series by 18+ points. Now the Thunder have a chance to really get rolling on the heels of three straight victories, finally seizing some momentum in what has been a tumultuous start to the season. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been alternating wins and losses lately and comes off a victory in Atlanta on Monday. I simply don't see this as a positive matchup for a Nets squad that allows over 112 points per contest. A track meet likely won't serve them well in this spot. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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12-06-17 | Heat +8 v. Spurs | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I haven't been overly impressed by the Spurs lately. Here's what they've been up to; blew out the Hornets in Charlotte, won by seven at home against Dallas, won by nine at home against Memphis, blew out Memphis on the road, loss at OKC and won by three at home against Detroit. Seems like a few of those games could have gone either way, and a number of those matchups came against reeling opponents. The Heat have dropped three of their last four games but after two off days, I expect them to come out with plenty of jump, especially considering they were routed by 28 points at home against Golden State last time out. The Spurs never lose to the Heat it seems. With that being said, I see this as a favorable spot for the Heat to hang around against a Spurs squad that is missing Kawhi Leonard. Take Miami (10*). |
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12-06-17 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -2 | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Memphis at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with the Knicks on Wednesday. New York comes in reeling having dropped five of its last six games. It will get a boost with the return of Kristaps Porzingis on Wednesday night, however. The Grizzlies finally broke out of their long slump with a narrow home win over the T'Wolves on Monday. Tough spot here though as they hit the road against a Knicks squad that has yet to drop the cash as a home favorite this season. Take New York (10*). |
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12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Cleveland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the big number with the surging Chargers on Sunday afternoon as they host the listless Browns. We won with San Diego last week in Dallas and there's little reason to jump ship in this spot. Los Angeles has righted the ship with back-to-back wins, both SU and ATS and can certainly see a path to an AFC West title with the rest of the division struggling. Note that Los Angeles hasn't lost a home game since falling by just two points in Philadelphia back on October 1st. Meanwhile, the Browns have yet to taste victory this season and have gone 0-4 ATS over their last four contests. They did get past the Chargers as a 4.5-point underdog on Christmas Eve last year but that was a much different situation. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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