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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-18 | South Carolina v. Virginia +5 | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Virginia plus the points over South Carolina at 12 noon et on Saturday. Virginia ended the regular season on a real sour note with three losses in its final four games to fall into this Bowl game. Meanwhile, South Carolina won four of its last six contests and has been installed as the favorite in this SEC-ACC showdown. I'm not at all impressed by South Carolina's resume and to be completely honest, I don't believe the Gamecocks should be favored in this game. Virginia had its wheels come off late in the season but that could be forgotten with a victory over an SEC opponent here. The Cavaliers did defeat Miami and go on the road and beat Duke during their ACC campaign. Take Virginia (10*). |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -2 v. West Virginia | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over West Virginia at 5:15 pm et on Friday. The Orange haven't appeared in a Bowl game since 2013, when they defeated Minnesota as 3.5-point underdogs. We've seen a big line shift here since the news came out that West Virginia QB Will Grier would sit out this game, and that means an awful lot. Grier carried the Mountaineers for much of the season and regardless what head coach Dana Holgorsen says, his absence will certainly be felt here. Credit Syracuse for finishing the regular season on a strong note. The Orange have been terrible at closing out the regular season with any sort of success in recent years, a big reason they've been shut out of Bowl action for the last five years. I fully expect to see Syracuse make the most of its opportunity here, even without some key cogs on the defensive side of the football. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +3 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin plus the points over Miami at 5:15 pm et on Thursday. Miami may be favored in this game but there's really nothing all that impressive on the Hurricanes resume this year and I believe they'll be in tough against a Wisconsin squad that was a disappointment in its own right. The Badgers went a miserable 3-9 ATS during the regular season but I do feel they'll be motivated to end the year on a high note in this matchup. I really liked what I saw from Wisconsin in its late season road win at Purdue, not to mention a road victory against Iowa earlier in the campaign. The venue suits the Badgers well with this game being played in New York. It may not be pretty, but I look for Wisky to pull off the minor upset. Take Wisconsin (10*). |
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12-25-18 | Lakers v. Warriors -8.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm not sure this is going to be the barn-burner that the TV execs are hoping for on Christmas Night. The Lakers have certainly held their own this season, exceeding most expectations to this point. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't been nearly as dominant as we've been accustomed to seeing and have quite simply been an awful bet so far this season. With that being said, I believe we're being asked to lay a relatively short number with the defending champions here. This is without question a game that the Warriors have had circled as they look to make a statement against King James and the Lakers. Los Angeles has been a different team away from Staples Center and I look for it to struggle again in this spot. Take Golden State (10*). |
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12-22-18 | Suns v. Wizards -5.5 | 146-149 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Phoenix at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Suns are on a bit of a roll right now, having won four games in a row, with three of those coming in underdog fashion. I'll go the other way on Saturday, however, as they stay on the east coast to face what should be a highly-motivated Wizards squad. Washington has lost six of its last seven games, but it's worth noting that five of those losses came on the road. They're 8-6 at home this season while the Suns check in a miserable 3-13 on the road. Note that Phoenix has won just once here in Washington since 2014. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-21-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -1 | 120-107 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Bucks have won three games in a row while the Celtics have dropped back-to-back contests, including a stunning home defeat at the hands of the lowly Suns last time out. I expect to see Boston bounce back in this Eastern Conference showdown, however. Note that the Celtics are still 9-4 at home this season. The Bucks are 7-6 on the road compared to a dominant 14-3 at home. This has been a home-dominated series, with the Celtics having gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Celtics are a little banged-up right now but I'm confident they'll rise to the occasion against one of the NBA's best teams on Friday night. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Pacers are coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games could have gone either way, including a narrow defeat in Toronto on Wednesday night. I expect to see Indiana bounce back in Brooklyn on Friday night, where it hasn't lost a game in over two years. The Pacers are a quality road team, checking in at 9-7 away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Nets are coming off seven straight victories but keep in mind, they've been favored in three of their last four games and a short underdog in the other contest, at home against the Lakers. Brooklyn is still just 7-10 at home this season. Take Indiana (10*). |
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12-20-18 | Marshall -3 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Game of the Week. My selection is on Marshall minus the points over South Florida at 8 pm et on Thursday. Outside of an early season win over Georgia Tech I have a tough time finding many quality wins on South Florida's resume and I believe the Bulls will be in tough against the Thundering Herd on Thursday night. These teams are mirror images of one another as far as ATS success goes, with both struggling against the number down the stretch. Marshall is without question the healthier squad heading into this game and I like the advantages the Thundering Herd have in the trenches, where they allowed less than three yards per rush this season in contrast to the Bulls 5.0 yards per rush allowed. Take Marshall (10*). |
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12-19-18 | Spurs v. Magic +1 | 129-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over San Antonio at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Magic as they host the surging Spurs on Wednesday night in Orlando. While San Antonio has been playing better lately, the fact is, the Magic are still the superior ATS squad in this matchup. Orlando has also turned things around again, heading into this one off back-to-back home victories. Note that the Magic have already defeated the Spurs once this season, coming away with a seven-point road win back in early November. Orlando continues to be undervalued in the betting marketplace and we'll take advantage once again here. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois +2.5 v. UAB | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Illinois plus the points over UAB at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the underdog Huskies on Tuesday night as they take on upstart UAB in the Boca Raton Bowl. We won with Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship Game against Buffalo and I see this as another fine spot to support the Huskies in an underdog role. The Blazers seemed to peak early this season as they come into this one having lost three of their last four games ATS with their lone victory coming in a two-point win over Middle Tennessee in the C-USA Championship Game. Note that UAB has been outgained in three straight games. Northern Illinois has been stout against the run this season, allowing just 2.7 yards per rush. Take Northern Illinois (10*). |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +6.5 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina plus the points over New Orleans at 8:15 pm et on Monday. After getting off to a sluggish start, we saw the Saints ultimately pull away for a two touchdown victory over the Bucs on the road last week. Meanwhile, the Panthers have lost five games in a row and look like they've all but quit on the season. I do think we'll see Carolina show up in this game, however. Keep in mind, five of the last seven meetings in this series have been decided by five points or less. I'm not entirely convinced that the Saints didn't peak too early this season. This will be the first of two meetings between these two NFC South rivals in the final three weeks of the season and I'm confident we'll see the Panthers hang tough. Take Carolina (10*). |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over New England at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Steelers to avoid a fourth straight loss as they host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh fell just short in Oakland last Sunday and now finds itself in danger of coughing up the AFC North division lead. New England is in bounce-back mode off an insane last-second loss in Miami last week. The Pats are limping along right now, having gone just 2-2 SU and ATS over their last four games. The Steelers are generally at their best in these Sunday late afternoon home games and I'm confident their offense will come up big in this matchup. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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12-16-18 | Lions v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 13-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Lions travel across the country after beating the Cardinals in Arizona last Sunday. Detroit is still a bottom-feeder as far as I'm concerned, and while the Bills haven't been any better, they do have some upside here at home in December, coming off a narrow loss to the Jets last week. Look for the Buffalo defense to come up big in this one against a punchless Lions offense. We're being asked to lay a short number with the team in the much better spot. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is a big bounce-back spot for the Vikings who quite simply haven't looked good in recent weeks but still remain in playoff position in the NFC. The Dolphins are in a big-time letdown spot here after that thrilling wing and a prayer win over the Patriots last Sunday. Miami hasn't traveled particularly well and will run into a highly-motivated opponent here. I still feel the Dolphins are pretenders, even after hanging with, and ultimately beating a true Super Bowl contender last week. If the Vikes don't show up this week they might as well fold up the tent. I'm confident they do come to play. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Middle Tennessee State plus the points over Appalachian State at 9 pm et on Saturday. This is a game the Blue Raiders have to feel confident they can not only keep competitive, but win outright. Middle Tennessee State closed out the season on a 5-1 ATS run, with its lone setback coming in a quick revenge match against UAB after defeating the Blazers by a 27-3 score the first time around. It was really a tale of two halves as far as the regular season went for the Blue Raiders. Perhaps the same could be said of Appalachian State, which ran out of gas a little bit down the stretch, going 3-4 over its final six games after opening the season with five straight ATS victories. There's not a lot separating these two teams. I like the Blue Raiders experience at quarterback and believe they can at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take Middle Tennessee State (10*). |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Texas plus the points over Utah State at 2 pm et on Saturday. Utah State got off to a 9-1 ATS start this season but has dropped its last two games ATS entering this Bowl matchup with North Texas. It really seemed as if the Aggies offense ran out of gas near the end of the season and I can't imagine losing their entire coaching staff will help matters entering this contest. North Texas quietly went 9-3 SU this season but just 4-8 ATS. I believe the latter mark is leaving the Mean Green Eagles undervalued in this matchup. Note that they outgained each and every opponent this season in terms of total yardage and have one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country in Mason Fine. Take North Texas (10*). |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Golden State at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll grab the points with the Kings on Friday night as they host the Warriors in Sacramento. Golden State may own the better straight-up record in this matchup but the Kings have been the considerably stronger bet this season, going 17-10 ATS compared to the Warriors 13-16 ATS mark. Note that the first meeting between these two teams this season went the Warriors, but by only a single point, in Oakland back on November 24th. Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings in this series. The Kings are a winning team at home this season and I don't believe they'll back down from this challenge on Friday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte minus the points over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Hornets as they aim for their fourth straight win on Friday night. The Knicks are reeling and this doesn't figure to be a favorable bounce-back spot as they've allowed the opposition to shoot better than 48% from the field on the road this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte is knocking down 47.6% of its shots at home. Despite getting outshot from beyond the arc and outrebounded, the Hornets still took the first meeting between these two teams this season by 12 points in New York. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 59 m | Show |
AFC West Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Chiefs on Thursday night as they host the surging Chargers with an AFC West division title potentially hanging in the balance. Kansas City is dealing with some key injuries, including one to star WR Tyreek Hill. It sounds like Hill will play on Thursday night although it remains to be seen how effective he can be on a short week. Regardless, I still expect to see the Chiefs offense roll against a banged up Chargers defense. This is actually a fine spot for the Chiefs ground game, even if they are undermanned in that department. Los Angeles has won three games in a row but didn't make things easy on itself in last week's home game against the lowly Bengals. The fact that the Chargers have allowed 51 points in their last two contests is alarming to be sure as they prepare to face one of the league's best offenses in a hostile environment at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have won nine straight games in this series straight-up and four in a row ATS. Despite sputtering a little bit lately, Kansas City has still outgained each of its last five opponents in terms of total yardage and comes in battle-tested off last week's overtime win over Baltimore. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Houston at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Portland has already gone into Houston and won this season and even last April we saw the Blazers battle the Rockets in an eventual two-point loss on this floor. Now the Blazers have plenty of motivation as they've lost four straight games on the road but have to feel confident after delivering back-to-back wins (and covers) on their home floor. The Rockets were in a nice revenge spot in Dallas on Saturday but still came up short, suffering their third straight loss. Their offense is by no means functioning at a high level right now and I don't see a turnaround coming here. Note that Houston has been one of the league's worst bets this season, going 9-16 ATS. Take Portland (10*). |
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12-09-18 | Bengals v. Chargers -14 | 21-26 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Cincinnati at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Chargers on Sunday afternoon as they host the lowly Bengals. Los Angeles is coming off a thrilling, come-from-behind win in Pittsburgh last Sunday night but I don’t anticipate any sort of letdown here. The Chargers need to keep it rolling here as they close the season with tough matchups against the Chiefs and Broncos on the road, sandwiched around a home date with the Ravens. The Chiefs are in sight atop the AFC West, but Los Angeles needs to take care of business here. The big key in this one should be the Chargers defense. They didn’t perform well in the first half against the Steelers but I liked the way they adjusted at halftime and essentially shut down an explosive Pittsburgh offense in the second half. This is a group that has been bolstered by the return of Joey Bosa and they catch a favorable matchup here against a Bengals offense that is missing QB Andy Dalton and likely WR A.J. Green as well. While Bengals RB Joe Mixon does draw a fine matchup here, if Cincinnati falls behind early, as I expect it will, he simply won’t get enough opportunities. We’re being asked to lay a steep number here, but it’s warranted in my opinion. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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12-09-18 | Jets v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
NFL AFC East Game of the Year. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. It’s hard to believe we’re laying points with the Bills at this stage of the season but this is a fine matchup for Buffalo, at home against a listless Jets squad that has a lame duck head coach in Todd Bowles and a makeshift roster due to a number of key injuries. The Jets have lost six games in a row, scoring more than 17 points only once over that stretch, and that came against the Titans last week. It’s worth noting that New York didn’t score an offensive touchdown in that game and was outscored 20-6 in the second half. Expect to see some carry-over from that performance here. The Bills suffered a 21-17 loss at Miami but easily could have won were it not for a Charles Clay drop in the end zone late in the fourth quarter. There were definitely some positives to take away from that game as QB Josh Allen threw for over 200 yards and two touchdowns and also ran for an incredible 135 yards. There are no concerns at all around the Bills defense as they’ve given up just 52 points over their last three games, going 2-1 in the process. We’re being asked to lay a reasonable number here given Buffalo has already defeated New York 41-10, on the road no less, back on November 11th. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -4 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
NFL NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Packers mercifully ended the Mike McCarthy era after last week’s demoralizing home loss to the lowly Cardinals. Now I look for them to play with an edge with QB Aaron Rodgers essentially the play-caller on offense. This is Rodgers’ team for the rest of the season anyway and I expect him to perform well against a very beatable Falcons defense. Atlanta is in free-fall mode right now, having dropped four straight games, scoring fewer than 20 points in all four contests. The Falcons haven’t traveled well this season, going 1-4 SU and ATS on the road, with a number of blowout losses in the mix. Their lone road win came against the Redskins. The Packers may no longer have much to play for, but I’m confident we’ll see them show up for their home faithful at Lambeau on Sunday afternoon. Perhaps last week’s no-show had something to do with suffering back-to-back tight, emotional losses to the Seahawks and Vikings, both on the road, over the previous two weeks. Expect a bounce-back here. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 111-88 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I liked what I saw from the Grizzlies last night as they were in a tough spot in New Orleans but still managed to rally for a big road victory. Meanwhile, the Lakers faced a Spurs squad looking for quick revenge in San Antonio and absolutely buckled in the fourth quarter in a double-digit loss. I like the Grizzlies to keep it rolling on Saturday night as they return home, where they've gone 8-3 this season. The Lakers have five road wins to their credit this season but those have come against the Suns, Blazers, Kings, Heat and Cavs - all teams that are inferior to the Grizzlies. Memphis went through a bit of a lull in late-November but outside of that it has been consistently good this season, going 15-9 ATS overall. That's a stark contrast to the Lakers 10-14-1 ATS mark. Take Memphis (10*). |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -3 | 112-104 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. It took a miserable shooting performance from the Raptors for the Nets to prevail in overtime last night, snapping an eight-game losing streak in the process. Now the Nets make the quick trip to Manhattan to face the Knicks at MSG, where they haven't managed a victory since March of 2017. New York is coming off back-to-back losses, first falling on a last-second three at home against the Wizards and then getting blown out in Boston. I do like the bounce-back spot here at home, where they've defeated the Nets by 21, 16 and 19 points in their last three meetings. Brooklyn owns the slightly better overall record but the Knicks have actually been better ATS, going 13-12-1 compared to the Nets 12-15 mark. Take New York (10*). |
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12-08-18 | Rockets -2.5 v. Mavs | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Dallas at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the short number with the Rockets as they try to salvage one victory on their current three-game road trip. It hasn't been a good trip for Houston so far as it has been held to 91 points in back-to-back losses in Minnesota and Utah. I do expect a strong bounce-back performance here, however, as they face an opponent they've been beating up on for years. Yes, Dallas did take the first meeting between these two teams this season but it needed to shoot the lights out to do so, hitting 54% overall and 50% from beyond the arc. Note that the Mavs are expected to be without Dennis Smith Jr. on Saturday. He has been a key contributor this season, averaging over 13 points and four assists per game. Dallas has been terrific at home this season, going 10-2, but I do believe some regression is in order. Note that the Mavs haven't defeated the Rockets at home since April of 2016. Take Houston (10*). |
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12-07-18 | Raptors -9 v. Nets | 105-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I think the loss earlier in the week at home against Denver keeps the Raptors focus where it needs to be on Friday as they head out on the road for a sandwich game against the Nets. After this one, the Raps will head back home for a big showdown with the Bucks on Sunday. Toronto has played exceptionally well on the road this season, going 10-2 straight-up, winning by an average margin of over eight points per contest. The Nets limp into this one on the heels of eight straight losses. On their current homestand they've come up just short against the Cavs and Thunder. They played a near perfect game against Oklahoma City for three quarters on Wednesday but simply couldn't close the deal. Note that they hit nearly 42% of their three-point attempts in that game. I don't expect them to approach that level of efficiency against a Raptors squad that has held the opposition to 31.2% shooting from beyond the arc on the road this season. Take Toronto (10*). |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4.5 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
NFL AFC South Game of the Year. My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams are coming off wins last Sunday, albeit in much different fashions. The Jaguars completely stymied the Colts in a 6-0 victory while the Titans rallied from a big deficit to get past the Jets 26-22. The Titans have now suffered three straight ATS losses. They haven't lost more than three games in a row ATS since back in 2015-16. Note that they went 3-13 straight-up that season. While this Tennessee squad has had its issues, it's not nearly as bad as that 2015 edition. Prior to last week's win over the Colts, the Jags had gone 0-7 SU and 0-5-2 ATS over their last seven games. QB Cody Kessler made his first start of the season against Indianapolis and completed 18-of-24 passes but for only 150 yards and not a single touchdown. He benefited from playing from ahead in that game. I'm not sure he'll be so fortunate this time around and should the Jags fall behind, I expect to see some mistakes from Kessler against a strong Titans defense. That really should be the difference in this game - the Titans defense. They've been getting torched by the run in recent weeks and the Jags will get RB Leonard Fournette back on Thursday. With that being said, I believe the Titans will benefit from facing a one-dimensional Jags offense. Tennessee's offense has sputtered for much of the campaign and while I'm not sure it will get much going on the ground against an elite Jags run defense, I do believe QB Marcus Mariota can find some success through the air against what I consider to be an overrated Jags pass defense. The Titans have taken three straight meetings ATS in this series. They have the better SU and ATS record this season and they certainly have more to play for on Thursday night. I'll lay the points. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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12-05-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +11.5 | Top | 129-105 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Warriors own the far superior overall record this season, having gone 16-9 straight-up compared to the Cavs ugly 5-18 mark. With that being said, Cleveland has been the better bet, going 12-11 ATS in contrast to the Warriors 11-14 ATS record. Golden State got off to a tremendous start on Monday night in Atlanta and ultimately cruised to a 17-point victory. It is worth noting, however, that the Warriors were actually even with the Hawks over the final three quarters of that game. The Cavs snapped a four-game losing streak with a 99-97 win in Brooklyn last time out and are now 5-3 ATS over their last eight contests. They've gotten a nice boost from rookie Collin Sexton, not to mention the addition of Alec Burks by trade, as he has scored in double figures in three straight games since joining the Cavs. This is a clear sandwich spot for the Warriors as they'll head to Milwaukee for a date with the Bucks on Friday. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-04-18 | Blazers v. Mavs -2 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Portland at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Blazers may have the slightly better overall record but the Mavs have been far superior ATS, going 14-7 compared to Portland's 11-12 mark. That's not to mention the fact that Dallas has posted a terrific 9-2 SU record at home while the Blazers check in 5-6 on the road. And of course current form sees the Mavs playing far better than the Blazers right now, winners of eight of their last 10 games overall while Portland has dropped five of its last six contests. Bettors aren't as quick to dismiss the Mavs as they were earlier in the season, which is why we're seeing them favored in this particular matchup. With that being said, I like the way the spot sets up for Dallas as it stays home off a day of rest while the Blazers travel after playing in San Antonio on Sunday. Take Dallas (10*). |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
NFL NFC East Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Washington at 8:15 pm et on Monday. It wasn't pretty, but the Eagles got just what they needed last week, rallying to defeat the Giants at home to stay alive in the NFC East race. Now they get another slam dunk divisional matchup at home against the undermanned Redskins and I look for them to take full advantage. I really liked what I saw from Philadephia in the second half of last week's game as RB Josh Adams took over and showed everyone that the Eagles can still run the football. That means a lot as QB Carson Wentz simply hasn't lived up to expectations after a tremendous, albeit injury-shortened 2017 season. Wentz has all sorts of weapons at his disposal, and here on Monday night, I believe those weapons will be on display against a middle of the road Redskins defense. Washington's pass defense has gotten worse as the season has gone on and I don't see a big resurgence here. Offensively, the 'Skins are in tough with QB Colt McCoy at the helm. He made a couple of big plays but also made some big mistakes against the Cowboys last week. Even an extended week of practice isn't going to make much of a difference for McCoy, playing behind a shaky, beat up offensive line. This would be a matchup for the 'Skins passing game to take full advantage of with the Eagles secondary missing a number of key cogs, but I'm not sure McCoy will have any time or room to make those big plays. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-03-18 | Nuggets v. Raptors -6 | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Denver at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Raptors on Monday night as they host the red hot Nuggets. Denver comes in riding a five-game winning streak, both SU and ATS. In fact, the straight-up winner has gone a perfect 15-0 ATS over the Nuggets last 15 contests. I just don't like the spot for the Nuggets here as they head across the continent following a 113-112 victory in Portland on Friday night. The Raptors make the short trip back from Cleveland, where they won by 11 points on Saturday night. Toronto hasn't suffered a loss since falling in overtime in Boston back on November 16th (we won with the Celtics in that game). The Raps have gone just 4-4 ATS over their last eight games but only once over that stretch were they favored by less than seven points, as is the case here. They won by eight points as a 5.5-point road favorite in Memphis last week. Take Toronto (10*). |
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12-02-18 | 49ers v. Seahawks -10 | Top | 16-43 | Win | 105 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over San Francisco at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. Seattle has worked its way back into playoff contention but needs to take full advantage of this slam dunk matchup on Sunday at home against San Francisco. The 49ers are coming off arguably their worst performance of the season, dropping a 27-9 decision at Tampa Bay. Things certainly won't get any easier here as they travel back across the country to face a highly-motivated Seahawks squad. Seattle's offense has really turned things around after looking punchless earlier in the season. RB Chris Carson has given them a lot of versatility while QB Russell Wilson appears to be healthy again, showing a lot more mobility than we saw in the early stages of the season. WR Tyler Lockett is playing some of the best football of his young career while Doug Baldwin continues to work his way back to full health as well. As long as the Seahawks don't completely overlook the Niners they should roll by two touchdowns plus in this one. Take Seattle (10*). |
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12-02-18 | Ravens v. Falcons | 26-16 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta over Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Ravens have seemingly turned things around with Lamar Jackson at the helm, delivering back-to-back victories, but both of those came at home against the reeling Bengals and Raiders. Last week marked Baltimore's first ATS win in its last five games and that only came thanks to a late fourth quarter defensive score. The Falcons have lost three games in a row following three consecutive victories. They're not in contention but continue to battle, coming off a hard-fought but ultimately fruitless 31-17 loss at New Orleans on Thanksgiving Night. They've had extra time to prepare for this game and should be comfortable facing a mobile quarterback like Lamar Jackson given they face Cam Newton twice a season. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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12-01-18 | Clemson -27.5 v. Pittsburgh | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Pittsburgh at 8 pm et on Saturday. This is every bit the mismatch that the oddsmakers are making it out to be. Pittsburgh ended the regular season with a thud last week, falling by a 24-3 score on the road against Miami. Prior to that, the Panthers were on a roll, having won four games in a row, scoring a ton of points in the process. However, they’re taking a big step up in class here. Clemson has gone largely untested since a tight game against Syracuse on September 29th. Since then, the Tigers winning margins have been 60, 34, 49, 61, 20, 29 and 21 points. The fact that they allowed 35 points against South Carolina last week should certainly add to their motivation level here, particularly on defense. Clemson uncharacteristically allowed two touchdowns of 60+ yards in that victory over the Gamecocks. Look for the Tigers to do a better job of limiting Pitt’s big play opportunities on Saturday. The strength of the Panthers offense lies in their ground attack but they actually haven’t made much headway in that regard over the last couple of games. Note that Pitt QB Kenny Pickett has thrown touchdown passes in only three of his last six games. He’s done a nice job taking care of the football, having not tossed an interception since October 6th against Syracuse, but that has more to do with the fact that he hasn’t been attempting many passes than anything else. Pickett has thrown for 200+ yards only once this season, and that came against a terrible Wake Forest defense. Take Clemson (10*). |
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12-01-18 | Memphis +3 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Central Florida at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. While UCF enters this game with a flawless 11-0 record the Knights have to feel that the rug was pulled out from under them last week when they lost QB McKenzie Milton for the season with a knee injury. While the Knights are still a good team without Milton, I believe they’ll be hard-pressed to get past what will be a hungry Memphis squad on Saturday. Note that Milton’s replacement is redshirt freshman Darriel Mack Jr. who represents more of a running threat. When these two teams met earlier this season it was Milton that engineered a 16-point come-from-behind victory for the Knights. That was clearly the ‘one that got away’ for the Tigers and no doubt they’ll be highly motivated to make amends here. The effects of that loss to UCF lingered for Memphis as it went on the road and gave up 65 points in a blowout loss to Missouri the next week. Since then, the Tigers have gone a perfect 4-0, scoring 59, 47, 28 and 52 points in the process. Take Memphis (10*). |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas plus the points over Oklahoma at 12 noon et on Saturday. The Longhorns have already upset the Sooners once this season, why not do it again in the Big 12 Championship Game on Saturday afternoon? While I’m not going to call for the outright upset here, I do believe the Longhorns can stay competitive for four quarters and fully expect this game to go right down to the wire. Texas has suffered just two losses since opening the season with a stunning loss against Maryland (we won with the Terps in that game), those two losses came by a combined four points. It almost felt like last week’s game against West Virginia was the peak of the Sooners season as they pulled out a wild 59-56 victory in Morgantown. Could a bit of a letdown be in store here? The Sooners defensive ineptitude is alarming to say the least. They gave up at least 40 points in all four of their November games, winning by more than five points in just one of those four contests. Yes, Oklahoma’s offense is electric but it will face some resistance in this matchup. Note that Texas held Oklahoma to just three touchdowns through the first three quarters in the previous meeting back in early October. Take Texas (10*). |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Illinois plus the points over Buffalo at 8 pm et on Friday. Northern Illinois is certainly used to being in this game, as a program at least. However, not so much in recent years. The Huskies won't just be 'happy to be here' though - far from it, in fact. Last year, Northern Illinois played in a Boxing Day Bowl game and got throttled by Duke. They'll be looking to make a splash here in Detroit and head into this year's Bowl opportunity on a positive note. Of course, the same goes for upstart Buffalo, which enjoyed a tremendous regular season. I will point to the fact that Bulls QB Tyree Jackson threw for multiple touchdown passes in just two of his last eight games. He's known for his mobility but ran for less than 200 yards this season. I don't believe there is any sort of intimidation factor at play here. In fact, both teams come in feeling like underdogs. Take Northern Illinois (10*). |
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11-30-18 | Pelicans v. Heat +3 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The public is quick to back the Pelicans on the road on Friday night, and why not? After all, the Heat are reeling, losers of eight of their last 10 games overall. With that being said, I like the spot for Miami, noting that New Orleans has gone a miserable 2-9 straight-up on the road this season and has just one win over its last five games, that coming against the dysfunctional Wizards. New Orleans has taken back-to-back meetings in this series, but Miami is actually 5-1 ATS in the last six matchups between these two teams. This is a big spot for the Heat coming off an embarrassing loss against the Hawks to open this homestand. Take Miami (10*). |
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11-29-18 | Saints -7 v. Cowboys | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Dallas at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. It was just a few weeks ago that most had completely written off the Cowboys and were calling for head coach Jason Garrett to be fired. Since then, Dallas has reeled off three straight wins to get back above the .500 mark and into the thick of the NFC East race. With that being said, the Cowboys are by no means in the same class as the Saints, and I'm confident we'll see New Orleans impose its will on Thursday night. Last week, Dallas benefited from a leaky Redskins pass defense, with Amari Cooper scoring touchdowns from 40 and 90 yards out. Don't count on a repeat performance here as the Saints defense has been seriously underrated this season. Of course, New Orleans' defensive strength is against the run, which should serve it well as it faces Ezekiel Elliott on Thursday night. Dallas' defense is no pushover either but I do think Drew Brees can pick the Cowboys apart over the middle with Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas. Keep in mind, Dallas is still missing LB Sean Lee who is a big-time difference maker on this defense. Just two weeks back, the Cowboys weren't able to find the end zone until the fourth quarter in an eventual 22-19 win in Atlanta. I simply feel their offense has been too inconsistent to keep up with Drew Brees and the Saints on Thursday. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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11-27-18 | Knicks v. Pistons -7 | Top | 108-115 | Push | 0 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit minus the points over New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Knicks are riding a season-high three-game winning streak with all three of those wins coming in outright underdog fashion. Keep in mind, they were at least eight-point underdogs in all three of those contests. We're dealing with a shorter number here at the time of posting, and I believe we're getting value with the Pistons, who are also playing some terrific basketball right now. Detroit has won six of its last eight games overall, going 7-1 ATS over that stretch. The Pistons will benefit from staying home for a third straight game here, coming off a double-digit win over the Suns on this floor two nights ago. While Detroit checks in 6-3 at home this season, New York has won just four times in 12 road games. Note that the Knicks have already lost games by 11, 23, 13, 16, 25 and 14 points on the road this season. Take Detroit (10*). |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NFL AFC South Game of the Month. My selection is on Tennessee plus the points over Houston at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Titans here in a division game that I believe will be tightly-contested all the way. Tennessee was in a really tough hangover spot last week, going on the road to face a red hot Colts squad fresh off a stunning blowout victory over the Patriots at home the previous week. Perhaps not surprisingly, the Titans came out flat and ultimately got blown out. Now they face a critical matchup with the Texans, sitting two games back of Houston in the AFC South standings. I'm confident we'll see Mike Vrabel's squad come to play in this one. The Texans are red hot, fresh off seven straight victories. However, they've certainly shown a tendency to get involved in close games, with four of those seven wins coming by a field goal or less. The only two truly lopsided victories over that stretch came against two weak opponents in the Jaguars and Dolphins. In those seven wins, the Texans outgained only one opponent by more than 57 total yards (the Cowboys back on October 7th - a game they won by a field goal in overtime). Keep in mind, the Titans were just a one-point underdog in Indianapolis last week. I'm not convinced they should be catching more than a field goal here. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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11-25-18 | Raiders v. Ravens -10.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Oakland at 1 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark going against the Raiders last Sunday in Arizona but I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, this time backing the Ravens in Baltimore. Oakland is not a good football team. This is not a good matchup. The Raiders defense is slow, plain and simple. Now they have to travel for an early start on the east coast, and face arguably the fastest starting quarterback in the NFL in Lamar Jackson. We saw clear evidence of what the Ravens want to do with Jackson under center, and that’s run the football. At this point of the season, it’s pretty clear that the offense isn’t really that well-suited to the injured Joe Flacco. I do feel that Jackson can continue to give them a bit of a boost. Defensively, the Ravens should be fine against a Raiders offense that showed some signs of life last Sunday but still isn’t very good. Note that in that victory over Arizona, QB Derek Carr threw for less than 200 yards and the Raiders top rusher was Jalen Richard with only 61 yards on the ground. Their top receiver had 50 yards. I could go on but the fact is, the Raiders are a bottom-feeder, and they’re a big underdog for a reason on Sunday in Baltimore. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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11-25-18 | Patriots -10 v. Jets | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Patriots have been sitting back during their bye week, listening to everyone sign the praises of the seemingly unquestioned three best teams in the league, the Saints, Rams and Chiefs. Coming off an ugly road loss to the Titans, the Pats have all but fallen out of that conversation and that should be motivation enough to get them on track with a big performance in New Jersey on Sunday. The Jets are mired in another lost season and now likely going without QB Sam Darnold for the second straight game. They have a lame duck head coach in Todd Bowles, who surprisingly wasn’t let go during the bye week but more than likely will be at the end of the season. I’m not convinced the players are ready to ‘leave it all on the field’ in an effort to save his job either. New York is simply undermanned and overmatched by a rested and motivated Patriots squad that should face little resistance in laying the hammer down in this one. Take New England (10*). |
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11-24-18 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech -10 | 30-15 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisiana Tech minus the points over Western Kentucky at 12 noon et on Saturday. As far as I’m concerned, Western Kentucky has been one of the nation’s weakest FBS teams this season and I really think this is a smash spot for Louisiana Tech at home. The Hilltoppers have just two wins to their credit, with one of those coming in blowout fashion at home against a lifeless foe in UTEP. That lopsided result actually helps to keep this number in check. Louisiana Tech is coming off a tough one-point loss on the road against Southern Miss last Saturday but should bounce back nicely here, noting that the Bulldogs have gone 3-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming against upstart UAB. The last time we saw Louisiana Tech here in Ruston, it cruised to a 28-13 victory over Rice, allowing just one touchdown on a long passing play in that contest. Note that prior to scoring 40 points last week, the Hilltoppers had produced only 42 points in their previous three games combined. Take Louisiana Tech (10*). |
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11-23-18 | Texas -14.5 v. Kansas | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas minus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Friday. While Kansas has certainly been more competitive than we’ve seen in recent years, I don’t expect the Jayhawks to be able to hang with the Longhorns for four quarters on Friday afternoon. Texas has passed most of its road tests lately, notching wins in Kansas State, Oklahoma and Texas Tech while dropping a tough three-point game at Oklahoma State. Despite losing QB Sam Ehlinger to a shoulder injury (he is expected to play on Friday), the Longhorns still delivered a two-touchdown victory over Iowa State on the strength of their defense last Saturday. I certainly don’t expect them to overlook the 3-8 Jayhawks on Friday – not with a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game hanging in the balance. Kansas left it all on the field in a 55-40 road loss against Oklahoma last week. Keep in mind, prior to that contest, the Jayhawks had scored just 20 points combined in their previous two games. There is blowout potential here, noting that Kansas has dropped 20-point and 24-point decisions at home against Oklahoma State and Iowa State, respectively this season. Take Texas (10*). |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
NFL NFC South Game of the Month. My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over New Orleans at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. Much was made of the Saints 'running up the score' against the defending champion Eagles last Sunday afternoon. I don't believe they'll have the opportunity to do so against the division-rival Falcons on Thursday night, however. Atlanta isn't a player in the NFC South race but is still focused on a possible run to the playoffs. Coming off two of its worst efforts of the season, it won't be hard to get up for this matchup on Thursday night. Keep in mind, going back to the start of the 2014 season, the largest margin of victory in this series was 16 points. That came in a Falcons win as a six-point underdog here in New Orleans four years ago. The next biggest margin of victory was 13 points - another Falcons win here in New Orleans back in September of 2016. Atlanta has actually gone 5-4 SU in the last nine meetings in the series. The underdog has gone 8-2 ATS in the last 10 matchups between the Falcons and Saints. Atlanta has at the very least gotten healthier on defense in recent weeks. I'm confident we'll see the Falcons do a better job of keeping the seemingly unstoppable Saints offense in check than the Eagles did last Sunday. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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11-21-18 | Kings +9.5 v. Jazz | 119-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Utah at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Kings on Wednesday night as they aim to begin their short two-game road trip on a winning note in Utah. Sacramento not only has the better overall record in this matchup, it also owns the superior ATS mark. The Kings are 10-7 ATS while Utah has gone just 8-9 ATS this season. The Kings just endured their first winless road trip last week, dropping games in Memphis and Houston. They did respond with a win over the Thunder back at home and I believe their motivation level will remain high for this one before heading to Oakland to face the Warriors. The Jazz will be back home for the first time following a five-game road trip. They've dropped three of their last four games both SU and ATS. Utah will simply be looking for a win here, not necessarily to win by margin. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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11-21-18 | Blazers +6 v. Bucks | 100-143 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I believe too much weight is being placed on the fact that the Blazers are playing on back-to-back nights, leaving the Bucks overvalued in this spot on Wednesday night. Keep in mind, Portland is coming off back-to-back road wins, improving to 5-3 SU away from home this season. It has already defeated Milwaukee once this season, by a 118-103 score at home on November 6th. While the Bucks have taken four of the last five meetings in this series, only two of those victories came by more than three points and one of those came nearly two years ago. Having gone just 2-2 in their first four games on this road trip, the Blazers will be eager to secure another win here before wrapping up the trip against the Warriors in Oakland. Take Portland (10*). |
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11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat -3 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Nets have had success here in South Beach in recent years but I like the way this spot sets up for the Heat as they aim to bounce back from an ugly home loss to Lebron James and the Lakers. Miami is now a miserable 3-6 SU at home this season but this is a fine opportunity to get a little back against a struggling Nets squad. Brooklyn checks in following another loss, its fourth in its last five games. The Nets lone victory over that stretch came against the lowly Wizards. This is a key spot for the Heat as they'll get a couple of days off for Thanksgiving before hitting the road for games in Chicago and Toronto. It's not a must-win by any means but I certainly expect their motivation level to be high. In previous years we've seen them overlook the Nets here at home, but I don't believe that will be the case on Tuesday. Take Miami (10*). |
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11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +7.5 | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Raptors snapped their three-game losing streak with a blowout win in Chicago on Saturday night but I believe they're overvalued as they head into Orlando to face the Magic on Tuesday. Note that while Toronto has the better overall record this season, the Raps and Magic have actually posted identical 9-8 ATS marks. This has been a competitive series since the start of 2017 with the Raptors taking four of six meetings (including four in a row heading into this one) but the Magic have gone 3-2-1 ATS. Orlando will see this as a measuring stick game coming off three straight victories and five in their last six games. I'm simply expecting a competitive affair at Amway Center on Tuesday night and believe the Magic are catching a couple of points too many. Take Orlando (10*). |
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11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -107 | 50 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Arizona minus the points over Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. |
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11-17-18 | Arizona v. Washington State -10 | 28-69 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State minus the points over Arizona at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. |
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11-17-18 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -4 | Top | 47-44 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
NCAAF Big Ten Game of the Year. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Wisconsin at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. |
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11-17-18 | Nevada -14.5 v. San Jose State | 21-12 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nevada minus the points over San Jose State at 5 pm et on Saturday. |
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11-17-18 | Florida International -5.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAF C-USA Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida International minus the points over Charlotte at 2 pm et on Saturday. |
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11-17-18 | TCU v. Baylor -1.5 | 16-9 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over TCU at 12 noon et on Saturday. |
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11-16-18 | Oakland +8 v. UNLV | 61-74 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland plus the points over UNLV at 10 pm et on Friday. Oakland missed out on postseason basketball for the first time in a long time last season and with a lot of roster turnover heading into this campaign, many expect it to be a long one for the Grizzlies. I'm not so sure. They're off to a 1-2 start but did deliver an ATS win in their lone previous game as an underdog, falling by just one point against a good Toledo squad. UNLV has split its first two games and is coming off a blowout victory over Cal-Riverside. Of course, that was to be expected as the Runnin' Rebels were double-digit favorites in that game. While UNLV should be better than it was a year ago, I can't help but feel it is laying too many points in this early season non-conference clash. Take Oakland (10*). |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Raptors in the first meeting between these two teams this season but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Celtics this time around. Toronto is by no means playing its best basketball right now, coming off back-to-back losses at home against the Pelicans and Pistons. The Raptors are dealing with several key injuries while the Celtics check in healthy for the most part. Boston is coming off one of its most complete performances of the season, shaking off a slow start to roll past the Bulls by 29 points. The win improved the Celtics to 4-1 at home this season. Note that the home team has won eight straight meetings in this series. Take Boston (10*). |
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11-14-18 | Blazers +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We're getting considerable value with the superior squad in this matchup, largely due to the presence of LeBron James, not to mention the strong current form the Lakers bring to the table, on paper at least. Los Angeles does check in having won five of its last six games but that's been thanks in large part to a charmin-soft schedule. Yes, the Lakers did beat these same Blazers over that stretch but you have to think that only adds to Portland's motivation here. The Blazers are coming off two days' rest which comes on the heels of an extended homestand. I believe Portland is in excellent position to lay the hammer down on the Lakers in this spot. Take Portland (10*). |
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11-11-18 | Cowboys v. Eagles -7 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
NFL NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Dallas at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this spot sets up for the Eagles. Note that the straight-up winner has gone 7-1 ATS in the Eagles eight games to date this season. That means the SU winner is now an incredible 84-8 ATS in their last 92 contests by my count. Once again here, I don’t believe the spread will come into play. The Eagles motivational level should be high coming off their bye week as a win would put them a full two games ahead of the Cowboys in the NFC East standings while a loss would pull the two teams even. Dallas is a mess right now, playing on a short week and fresh off a two-touchdown loss at home against the Titans on Monday night, with a lame duck head coach in Jason Garrett to boot. This is a spot where we should see the Eagles offense take flight (no pun intended) with the Cowboys once again forced to go without LB Sean Lee. We’ve seen glimpses of brilliance from the Philadelphia offense this season but nothing sustained. However, here they’ll have another weapon at their disposal in WR Golden Tate and a fully healthy QB Carson Wentz off the bye week. Even without any semblance of a running game, the Eagles aerial attack should be able to do plenty of damage against a downtrodden Cowboys defense that has quite simply been asked to do too much on a regular basis this season. On the flip side, the Eagles defense has been terrific against the run which leaves Dallas in an awfully tough spot. Even with the addition of WR Amari Cooper, the Cowboys offense is still very one-dimensional and I’m confident we’ll see the Eagles force QB Dak Prescott into at least a couple of key mistakes on Sunday night. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over Miami at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Credit the Packers for hanging around for a while against the Patriots in Foxborough last Sunday night but in the end they simply didn’t have the horses to keep up with Tom Brady and company. We should see a completely different story unfold this week, however, as the Pack welcome the Dolphins to Lambeau Field. While the Packers did suffer a number of key injuries on the defensive side of the football last Sunday night, there’s little reason to expect those losses to have much of an impact here as the Dolphins offense is bottom of the barrel. Miami QB Brock Osweiler seems to be getting worse with each passing week which should surprise no one. I prefer to focus on the Packers offense in this one, as they should enjoy a tremendous bounce-back performance. Miami doesn’t generate any sort of pass rush and given a clean pocket, I’m confident we’ll see QB Aaron Rodgers pick apart the Dolphins secondary all afternoon long. While Green Bay has dealt with some key injuries at the wide receiver position this season, it has also seen its young players step up in a big way. WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been the biggest benefactor of increased playing time and should benefit from WR DaVante Adams drawing away ‘Fins CB Xavien Howard’s coverage on Sunday afternoon. Tight ends have been blazing the ‘Fins defense and the Packers have one of the best in the business in Jimmy Graham. While his production has certainly dropped off in recent years, he is still capable of coming up with a big game and I believe we’ll see that here. We’re being asked to lay a fairly steep price with the Packers, but it’s warranted in my opinion. The Dolphins winning record is a mirage as far as I’m concerned. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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11-10-18 | Washington State -6 v. Colorado | Top | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 43 h 19 m | Show |
NCAAF Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington State minus the points over Colorado at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. |
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11-10-18 | TCU v. West Virginia -11.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 40 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on West Virginia minus the points over TCU at 12 noon et on Saturday. |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
NCAAF MWC Game of the Year. My selection is on Boise State plus the points over Fresno State at 10:20 pm et on Friday. I'll grab the points on a rare occasion where the Broncos are the underdog on the blue turf in Boise. Fresno State comes in as the ranked team but I'm not sure it will leave the game in the same position (not literally of course). The Bulldogs are off to an impressive 8-1 start but who have they really beaten? Their victories have come against Idaho, UCLA, Toledo, Nevada, Wyoming, New Mexico, Hawaii and UNLV. While I fully understand that you can only play the teams in front of you, I believe Fresno will be in for its toughest test of the season on Friday night. Boise State has suffered a pair of losses but those came against two quality opponents in Oklahoma State and San Diego State. I like the fact that the Broncos are battle-tested having been involved in back-to-back relatively close games entering this one, outlasting Air Force and BYU by a combined 15-point margin in its last two contests. Much has been and will be made of the quarterback matchup in this one. I give the Broncos the edge with experienced starter Brett Rypien. While his supporting cast isn't quite as strong as previous years, it's still solid. This is a game where I look for the Boise State defense to step up against a Fresno offense that has taken advantage of some super-soft defensive opponents. Take Boise State (10*). |
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11-03-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. Kentucky | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia minus the points over Kentucky at 3:30 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams check in with identical 7-1 records and little separates them in the national rankings. With that being said, I believe Georgia is the clearly superior squad and will be able to put some distance between itself and Kentucky on Saturday afternoon in Lexington. The Bulldogs bounced back nicely from an ugly loss at LSU, delivering a 36-17 rout of Florida last week in Jacksonville. Remember, prior to that loss at LSU, the Dawgs had taken care of business on the road, winning by 24 points at South Carolina and 14 points at Missouri. Kentucky has been getting by on the strength of its defense, especially over the last couple of weeks as it has posted 14-7 and 15-14 wins over Vandy and Missouri, respectively. Save for a 27-16 win at Florida back on September 8th, I haven’t been all that impressed by the Wildcats body of work this season. They check in undefeated at home, but consider the level of competition they’ve faced, having hosted Central Michigan, Murray State, Mississippi State, South Carolina and Vanderbilt. Even if they lose this game, they still have the potential to run the table from here with games against Tennessee, Middle Tennessee State and Louisville. Take Georgia (10*). |
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11-03-18 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -3.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAF SEC Game of the Year. My selection is on Auburn minus the points over Texas A&M at 12 noon et on Saturday. I think a lot of bettors got spooked in early October as Auburn dropped back-to-back games at Mississippi State and at home against Tennessee. We did see the Tigers bounce back last time out, going on the road to defeat Ole Miss 31-16, which took them into their bye week. This is actually a fairly critical spot for Auburn as it will travel to face Georgia and Alabama in two of its final three regular season games – winning either of those would be a tall task to be sure. While there is a home game against Liberty to gain Bowl eligibility even if the Tigers drop this one to the Aggies, that’s not really a path they want to take. On the flip side, 20th-ranked Texas A&M gets a couple of winnable games at home against Ole Miss and UAB next. In fact, the Aggies won’t play another true road game this season, wrapping things up at home against LSU on November 24th. The Aggies will be trying to avoid suffering consecutive losses for the first time this season on Saturday but this is a difficult spot in enemy territory. Note that last week we didn’t see the Aggies score a touchdown until the final minute of the first half against Mississippi State. Two games back it wasn’t until four minutes left in the first half until they reached the end zone at South Carolina. I simply feel the Aggies are going to have a difficult time breaking through against the Tigers and expect Auburn to make enough plays down the stretch to secure a win and cover. Take Auburn (10*). |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland plus the points over San Francisco at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Raiders in a game they should win outright. There aren't a lot of redeeming qualities when it comes to either of these teams. This truly is an ugly Thursday night matchup. With that being said, I do feel that the Raiders offer some considerable value in this spot. Most have written off Jon Gruden's Raiders as a laughingstock at this point, and perhaps rightfully so. But Oakland does have some upside this week. With RB Marshawn Lynch sidelined due to injury and WR Amari Cooper having been dealt to Dallas, we saw the Raiders turn in one of their best offensive performances of the season last Sunday against Indianapolis, albeit in a losing effort. Lynch's absence makes way for veteran RB Doug Martin, who gained over five yards per rush last Sunday, while WRs Brandon LaFell and Seth Roberts both reached the end zone. That was not a favorable matchup against the Colts, but this is, as the 49ers check in dealing with a number of key injuries, particularly on the defensive side of the football. I am confident we'll see 49ers QB C.J. Beathard start this game but he's not close to 100% healthy and it seems now that opponents have some film on him, they've had little trouble keeping him in check. Over the last two games, the Niners have scored a grand total of just 25 points. RB Matt Breida played last week but didn't look healthy dealing with a high ankle sprain and averaged just 2.6 yards per rush against the Cardinals. Ordinarily this would be a smash spot for the 49ers offense as the Raiders defense leaves a lot to be desired, but right now, I don't believe San Francisco is healthy enough to take full advantage. Take Oakland (10*). |
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10-28-18 | Packers +9 v. Rams | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Packers. Green Bay is coming off its bye week and the week off should only serve to further improve the health of QB Aaron Rodgers, who has certainly looked good in his last two games. The Rams caught the 49ers in a flat spot last Sunday afternoon but won't be so fortunate against a Green Bay squad that continues to try to make up ground following a relatively poor start to the season. Los Angeles' defense simply hasn't been as good as advertised this season and while the Packers continue to deal with some injuries at the wide receiver position, their young depth has really stepped up lately and should continue to do so here. This is a particularly favorable matchup for WR Davante Adams and TE Jimmy Graham. Both should come up big and help keep the Packers in this game from start to finish. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. This is an excellent ‘get right’ matchup for the Bears following last week’s sloppy performance at home against the Patriots. It’s one thing to struggle to keep up in a shootout with the Patriots but another matter entirely to stumble against the Jets. I don’t envision the Bears falling into that trap here. New York is hitting the road for the first time since dropping a 31-12 loss at Jacksonville back on September 30th. Since then, the Jets have won two of their last three games but that had more to do with favorable matchups than anything else. Not surprisingly, we saw New York get crushed 37-17 in a tough matchup at home against the Vikings last week. The Jets are currently dealing with a cluster of injuries in their secondary and now face a Bears offense that while inconsistent, can certainly bomb away when a favorable matchup presents itself. Perhaps ‘bomb away’ is the wrong term as QB Mitchell Trubisky seems to fare better in the short passing game. With that being said, Chicago has a wealth of offensive weapons and they should be on full display on Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field. I don’t believe the Jets will be able to keep within arm’s reach for four quarters. Take Chicago (10*). |
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10-28-18 | Browns v. Steelers -7.5 | Top | 18-33 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Cleveland at 1 pm et on Sunday. This game has blowout written all over it as far as I’m concerned. While the Steelers cruise into this home date off their bye week, the Browns are fresh off an overtime loss at Tampa Bay last Sunday. There were concerns all over the place for Cleveland last week. Its offense couldn’t sustain many drives against a hapless Bucs defense while the defense simply couldn’t come up with big plays when it needed to. Now the Browns stay on the road and face what will be a highly-motivated Steelers squad after Pittsburgh dominated most of the way but ultimately had to settle for a tie in Cleveland back in Week 1. We’ve seen glimpses of the Steelers offensive potential this season but I look for it all to come together in this matchup. This is a prime matchup for RB James Conner in particular, who continues to prove his worth starting in place of holdout Le’Veon Bell. There’s really no need to over-analyze this one – it’s a true statement spot for the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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10-28-18 | Eagles -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 24-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Jacksonville at 9:30 am et on Sunday. These two teams enter this London matchup with identical 3-4 records but I feel that the Eagles are in a far better place right now and in good position to win this one going away. The Jaguars are reeling. There are questions whether QB Blake Bortles is really the right guy to lead the offense while the defense hasn’t come close to living up to expectations in recent weeks. Was last season a fluke? I’m not ready to make that judgement just yet, but I do feel the Jags find themselves in a really difficult spot traveling across the pond to face the defending Super Bowl champions on Sunday. The Eagles are coming off a truly disappointing fall-from-ahead loss against the Panthers, at home no less. With that being said, QB Carson Wentz is coming off a spectacular performance and we should see some carry-over from that effort here. Since getting WR Alshon Jeffery back the Eagles offense has had a more dynamic look and I believe they’ll give Jacksonville plenty of problems on Sunday. Defensively, the Eagles are down a couple of key cogs but depth is not something they’re lacking on that side of the football. They employ a ‘next man up’ philosophy, much like the Patriots, and draw a favorable matchup in a struggling Jags offense here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -2.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Stanford minus the points over Washington State at 7 pm et on Saturday. I’ve been high on Washington State this season but I don’t see this as an ideal spot for the Cougars, heading out on the road following one of the biggest games in program history (one that resulted in a victory no less) against Oregon last week. Stanford bounced back from consecutive losses with a hard-fought road win at Arizona State last week and should be able to build on that performance here. Note that the last time the Cardinal played here at ‘The Farm’ they were blasted 40-21 by Utah. They’ll certainly be looking to make amends for that poor showing here. Washington State is rolling along right now, having posted three straight wins. It is worth noting, however, that the Cougars haven’t really been tested on the road outside of a 39-36 loss at USC back on September 21st. Their other two road games were against Wyoming and Oregon State, two teams that own a combined SU record of 3-12. This line has moved in Washington State’s favor at the time of posting, as folks are quickly jumping on the Cougar bandwagon. I’m not sure the move is warranted. Take Stanford (10*). |
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10-27-18 | Army v. Eastern Michigan +1 | 37-22 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Eastern Michigan over Army at 12 noon et on Saturday. This game should mean a little more to Eastern Michigan as it continues to push its way toward Bowl eligibility. The Eagles check in at 4-4 on the season and fresh off back-to-back wins. They’ve faced a pretty tough schedule this season so there’s no reason to knock them over the .500 record. Army checks in with five wins already to its credit, including three in a row heading into this contest. I don’t see this as a favorable spot for the Black Knights as they hit the road following last week’s double-overtime thriller against Miami-Ohio. I consider Eastern Michigan to be one of the nation’s most underrated and overlooked teams. The Eagles have already gone on the road and defeated Purdue this season and their four losses have come at Buffalo, San Diego State and Western Michigan and at home against Northern Illinois. There was really no shame in any of those setbacks. Take Eastern Michigan (10*). |
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10-22-18 | Hornets +9.5 v. Raptors | 106-127 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I really like the way this spot sets up for the Hornets as they head to Toronto to face the undefeated Raptors. Charlotte is coming off a big road win in Miami on Saturday night but there isn't likely to be a letdown here after the Hornets were outscored by 19 points in the second half against the Heat, holding on to win by a single point. The Hornets always seem to play the Raptors tough here in Toronto and this should be a better Charlotte squad than we've seen in recent years. Toronto sat Kawhi Leonard in an early season back-to-back spot in Washington on Saturday night but still found a way to win on the strength of a big performance from Kyle Lowry. We actually won with the Raptors on Friday night as they outlasted the Celtics 113-101. However, I won't hesitate to switch gears in this spot as Toronto is laying a much loftier number in what I expect to be a competitive affair. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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10-20-18 | California v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 49-7 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 57 m | Show |
NCAAF Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Oregon State plus the points over California at 4 pm et on Saturday. I’ll grab all the points I can get with the Beavers as they host a reeling California squad on Saturday afternoon. The Golden Bears got off to a fast start this season, posting three straight victories to open the campaign. However, since then they’ve dropped three in a row and all three games could have been considered ‘winnable’. Now they head out on the road to take on a 1-5 Oregon State squad that won’t draw a great deal of motivation when you consider the Bears posted a relatively easy 37-23 win in this matchup last year. The Beavers have been getting blown out on the regular lately, dropping their last three games by a combined 68 points but I do like the progression we’ve seen from their offense, as well as the fact that they’re coming off their bye week. Last time out they hung around until the fourth quarter against a good Washington State team, actually grabbing a lead early in the third quarter. It’s worth noting that the Beavers recently welcomed back electric RB Artavis Pierce and he should make an impact in this matchup. The Oregon State defense hasn’t been good by any means but is the Cal offense capable of taking advantage? Note that the Bears have scored a grand total of 48 points during their current three-game losing streak and managed only a single touchdown, which didn’t come until midway through the third quarter, against a middle of the road UCLA defense last week. Take Oregon State (10*). |
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10-20-18 | Virginia +7.5 v. Duke | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAF ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Virginia plus the points over Duke at 12:30 pm et on Saturday. Points are likely to come at a premium in this matchup and with that in mind I’ll grab all the points I can get with the Cavaliers. Virginia successfully bounced back from a loss at N.C. State, delivering a 16-13 win over Miami last week. One bad quarter essentially did the Cavaliers in against the Wolfpack but we saw them ride a masterful defensive effort to victory last Saturday. I’m confident they can contain the Duke offense as well, noting that the Blue Devils have scored more than 28 points in a game only twice this season, with those two efforts coming against Baylor and FCS squad NC Central. They’ve scored a grand total of only 42 points over their last two contests and were held to 21 points in a loss to Virginia last year. The Cavaliers defense isn’t great by any means, but has done enough to instill confidence going up against a fairly tough Duke defense. Note that RB Jordan Ellis has found the end zone in three of his last four games, totaling five touchdowns over that stretch. QB Bryce Perkins had thrown for at least two touchdowns in each of his first five games before a rough outing against a strong Miami defense last week (he completed only 12-of-21 passes for 92 yards and three interceptions in that game). The fact that the Cavaliers still managed to outlast the Hurricanes even with that poor performance from Perkins was encouraging to say the least. Take Virginia (10*). |
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10-19-18 | Celtics v. Raptors -2.5 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Celtics took care of business in their season opener against the 76ers but it wasn't a clean performance by any means. Boston was sloppy with the basketball at times and it was obvious that Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving are going to be slowly re-acclimated into the offense in the early stages of the season. Meanwhile, the Raptors also posted a victory in their opener, rolling to a double-digit win over the Cavaliers. I like the way the Raptors have stepped up in these big statement games at home in recent years - at least in the regular season. The Celtics are going to get better as the season goes on but right now, I believe the Raptors are the superior team. Take Toronto (10*). |
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10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +2.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Arizona plus the points over Denver at 8:20 pm et on Thursday. I’ll back the Cardinals on Thursday night as they host the reeling Broncos. Arizona has certainly shown signs of turning things around over the last couple of weeks. Two games back, the Cardinals posted a 28-18 victory over an improving 49ers squad in San Francisco. Just last Sunday they battled the Vikings hard for 60 minutes, ultimately falling by 10 points, on the road no less. Now they return home and draw a favorable matchup against a Denver squad that can’t get out of its own way right now. The Broncos have lost four straight games, allowing at least 23 points in each of those losses. Meanwhile, their offense continues to lag, having scored 20 points or less in four of their last five contests. QB Case Keenum doesn’t look like the right fit for the offense, with some Broncos faithful calling for Chad Kelly to take over. Outside of WR Emmanuel Sanders I don’t see any of the Broncos having much of an edge against a still-capable Cardinals defense. On the flip side, Arizona RB David Johnson should face little resistance against a Broncos defense that has had no success at all stopping the run in recent weeks. Denver’s once-feared ‘no fly zone’ defense is no more. Chris Harris is essentially the lone bright spot in the Broncos secondary. While the Cardinals by no means have an elite WR corps, especially with veteran Larry Fitzgerald playing at well below 100% healthy, they’re still capable of stretching the field and exposing the Broncos secondary. Look for WR Christian Kirk to continue to build on his solid rapport with rookie QB Josh Rosen, helping pace the offense in what I believe will be a win for the Cardinals. Take Arizona (10*). |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 71 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Year. My selection is on New England minus the points over Kansas City at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. This is a rematch of last year’s season-opener – a game the Chiefs won in blowout fashion right here in Foxborough. I expect a much different story to unfold this time around as the Patriots look to gain an ounce of revenge against Andy Reid’s undefeated squad. I like the way this one sets up for the Pats as they come off an extended week following their Thursday night win over the Colts. We’ve seen their offense evolve and improve over the early stages of the season and I’m confident we’ll see their best effort of the campaign to date on Sunday night against a very beatable Chiefs defense. New England welcomed WR Julian Edelman back to the field last week and he should continue to see his role increase as the weeks go on. In this game I actually expect to see the Patriots backfield take center stage with RBs James White and Sony Michel going off against a porous Chiefs defense. We have seen some chinks in the Chiefs offensive armor over the last couple of games, with the Broncos and Jaguars at least laying out somewhat of a blueprint as to how to slow down this juggernaut. This certainly has all the makings of a shootout, but in the end I like the Patriots to make a couple more big plays down the stretch and pull away for a win and cover. Take New England (10*). |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals v. Vikings -10 | Top | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 64 h 52 m | Show |
NFL NFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Arizona at 1 pm et on Sunday. I absolutely love the way this spot sets up for the Vikings on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota’s offense has taken off since that embarrassing no-show at home against the Bills three weeks ago. Since then we’ve seen the Vikes march up and down the field against both the Rams and Eagles, managing to earn a 1-1 split. Now they return home to host a Cardinals squad that is coming off its first victory of the season, but that came against a weak 49ers squad last Sunday. Here, Arizona will face a much tougher challenge, staying on the road and heading two time zones east for an early start in Minnesota. The Vikings defense hasn’t been great this season but did turn in a fairly strong showing in Philadelphia last week and gets a favorable matchup here. If there’s one thing the Vikes have continued to do well it’s stop the run and that should serve them well as they prepare to face Cards RB David Johnson, who has shown some signs of life since QB Josh Rosen took over the offense. I don’t see how Arizona keeps within arm’s reach for four quarters without a passing game to speak of. Look for another big game from Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins as the Vikes roll at home. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 64 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Oakland at 1 pm et on Sunday. I’m confident we’ll see the Seahawks take care of business as they head across the pond to face the lowly Raiders on Sunday. Oakland showed signs of life in a come-from-behind win over the Browns two weeks ago but couldn’t follow it up last Sunday, falling in blowout fashion against the Chargers. Don’t count on a big bounce-back performance here as I see this as a terrible matchup for the Raiders defense against the Seahawks emerging offense. Seattle QB Russell Wilson still isn’t at full strength, showing little scrambling ability, at least compared to what we’ve seen from him in years’ past. But the good news is, his arm is fine, as he continues to march the offense up and down the field. We saw the Seattle passing game give the Rams big problems last week and there’s little reason to expect anything different against Oakland. Meanwhile, the Seahawks ground game should have little trouble carving up a Raiders run defense that allows over five yards per rush this season. Seattle no longer has an elite defense, but I do think it will make just enough plays to contribute to a win and cover on Sunday afternoon in London. Take Seattle (10*). |
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10-13-18 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -2.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 57 h 17 m | Show |
NCAAF C-USA Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida International minus the points over Middle Tennessee State at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. It’s been a roller-coaster ride for Florida International this season, both on and off the field but based on its play over the last several weeks, it does appear to be on the right track. The Panthers have just one loss over their last four games, and that came in respectable fashion (31-17) on the road against Miami. Considering the Panthers last game was a 55-9 walk over Arkansas-Pine Bluff back on September 29th, they should enter this contest rested and ready. Middle Tennessee State on the other hand is coming off two hard-fought wins over Florida Atlantic (we won with the Blue Raiders in that game) and Marshall. Those were two much-needed victories for the Blue Raiders but now I’m anticipating a bit of a letdown. Keep in mind, FIU will be looking to avenge a 37-17 blowout loss at the hands of MTSU last season. I believe the Blue Raiders have been rather fortunate to pull out wins in their last two games, first needing a late rally to overcome a two-touchdown deficit against Florida Atlantic and then digging a 17-10 halftime hole against Marshall last week. It’s worth noting that the Blue Raiders managed only one first half touchdown against the Thundering Herd and it came with just over one minute remaining before halftime. There’s not a lot separating the Blue Raiders and Panthers right now, but I believe FIU is in better position to grab its fourth victory of the season on Saturday night. Take Florida International (10*). |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +9.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arkansas State plus the points over Appalachian State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Red Wolves as they try to avoid an 0-2 hole in Sun Belt play on Tuesday night against Appalachian State. The Mountaineers will certainly pose a stiff challenge as they check in 3-1 SU on the season with their lone loss coming in overtime at Penn State back in Week 1. They haven't really been tested since that contest, rolling to blowout wins over Charlotte, Gardner Webb and South Alabama. They will face a challenge here, however, with Arkansas State widely considered a top contender for the Sun Belt crown this year. The Red Wolves dropped their conference opener at Georgia Southern last time out but there was no real shame in that loss. Georgia Southern is a quality team that remains vastly overlooked and underrated. Arkansas State had now answers for the Eagles option-based offense and will welcome facing a more conventional offensive attack here against Appalachian State. The Mountaineers are a perfect 4-0 ATS so far this season. Note that they didn't notch their fifth ATS victory last year until the final week of the regular season on December 2nd. In 2016 they didn't pick up their fifth ATS win until October 27th. So it's not as if this is a program that has been enjoying a ton of ATS success in recent years. I simply feel that Arkansas State will be the more desperate football team on Tuesday night and can at the very least take this game down to the wire. Take Arkansas State (10*). |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Houston at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. The Texans finally notched a victory last week but it didn't come easy as they outlasted the Colts by a 37-34 score in overtime. Now they return home in a favored role against the Cowboys - another team that has struggled in the early going this season. I'll grab the points with Dallas in this spot as I simply feel the 'Boys have a little more upside right now. Houston's secondary has been decimated by injuries going all the way back to the summer. The latest to go down was cornerback Aaron Colvin, leaving a gaping hole should the Cowboys choose to exploit it. Of course, there are questions whether Dallas is capable of taking advantage of such a weakness. I actually feel this game will be more about QB Dak Prescott utilizing RB Ezekiel Elliott in the passing game. We can expect the Cowboys to employ a clock-chewing gameplan on offense while leaving the rest to their underrated defense which gets back DL David Irving from suspension this week. Without LB Sean Lee the Cowboys are certainly vulnerable against the run, but do the Texans have the personnel in place to take advantage? I'm not so sure. Meanwhile, the Dallas secondary has been tough and simply doesn't give up big plays. That is key as the 'Boys try to contain a Texans offense that relies on those big plays through the air to WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller (not to mention Keke Coutee who made a big splash in his debut last week). Take Dallas (10*). |
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10-07-18 | Rams -7 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-31 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Seattle at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This has all the makings of a beatdown in favor of the undefeated Rams on Sunday afternoon in Seattle. First of all, Los Angeles has had an extra few days to prepare for this matchup following last week's impressive home win over the Vikings. You can be sure that head coach Sean McVay has some tricks up his sleeve as he'll see this as a big challenge playing in a hostile environment in Seattle and matching wits with a Super Bowl-winning head coach in Pete Carroll. The case can be made that QB Jared Goff has been the league's best quarterback so far this season which is really saying something given how well we've seen some of the veterans and young arms alike perform in the early going. There's little reason to expect any regression from Goff and the Rams offense here as they face a Seahawks defense that certainly isn't what it once was, and just lost safety Earl Thomas to a broken leg. The question is whether the Rams defense can hold up well enough against a highly-motivated Seahawks offense that has shown some improvement and welcomed back WR Doug Baldwin last week. My answer to that is, I'm not sure it matters how well the Seahawks offense performs as the Rams should do enough damage themselves to ultimately stretch out the margin in this one. Keep in mind, Seattle QB Russell Wilson has been admirable in his efforts but hasn't looked like the same dual-threat quarterback and continues to perform behind a leaky offensive line. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | 31-33 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Panthers as they get back on the field following their bye week with an ideal matchup. Were it not for the Saints stumbling in the red zone early in last week's game, the result could have been much worse for the Giants. It was bad enough as it was with the Saints ultimately pulling away for a 33-18 victory. Things won't get any easier for the New York defense here as it hits the road to face a Panthers offense that continues to evolve and improve, and one that will be getting some help on the offensive line with the return of RG Trai Turner. CB Janoris Jenkins is largely considered the only good thing the Giants have going for them on defense given all of their key injuries but even he has been lit up lately. Until the G-Men find a capable quarterback, they will struggle to contend in shootouts such as the one they're likely to get involved in on Sunday. Yes, they have a ton of star power and certainly talent across the board, but Manning continues to hold this unit back. While the Panthers defense is beatable, I'm just not sure the G-Men can put enough points to stay within arm's reach for four quarters on Sunday afternoon. Take Carolina (10*). |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets +1 | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Denver at 1 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this situation sets up for the Jets as they come off an ugly loss in Jacksonville last week but catch the Broncos playing on a short week following a big missed opportunity against the divisional rival Chiefs on Monday night. Denver has shown positive flashes on offense but it's becoming more and more clear that QB Case Keenum may not be the right fit. Keenum missed on a number of throws on Monday night - none more glaring than the sideline route to Demariyus Thomas that likely would have resulted in a game-winning touchdown. Note that Denver has failed to score more than 23 points since opening the season with a 27-24 victory at home against a depleted Seahawks defense. While the Broncos have been able to hang their hat on their defense in recent years, that simply isn't the case here in 2018. They did a nice job of limiting big plays against the electric Chiefs offense on Monday but still found a way to give up 27 points. While they do possess a vaunted pass rush with Von Miller and rookie Bradley Chubb, they actually rank just 19th in the league in sacks. Chris Harris is a shutdown corner in the secondary but the rest of the Denver pass defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Jets offense isn't going to scare anyone and admittedly has major limitations but I'm not sure they'll be asked to do too much on Sunday afternoon. Look for the defense to carry much of the load as the J-E-T-S finally bring an end to their three-game losing streak and keep head coach Todd Bowles' job safe for at least one more week. Take New York (10*). |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 51 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. While the sky seems to be falling on the Steelers right now, the fact is, they're still just 1-2-1 on the season and far from out of the AFC North race, which I expect to remain wide open all season long. But if Pittsburgh wants to remain a player in that race, a win this week is critical. The Steelers draw an A+ matchup here, particularly on offense, as the Falcons defense is quite simply running out of options due to a multitude of injuries across the board. We've seen the Falcons get lit up in three consecutive games now and things don't figure to finally work themselves out here, even with the Pittsburgh offense looking very much out of sync in the early going this season. On the flip side, the Atlanta offense will undoubtedly continue to move the football and put points on the board against a porous Steelers defense. However, there will come a time in this game where one of these teams will need to come up with a key stop to seal the victory and I simply feel that Pittsburgh is in better position to accomplish that feat. It's worth noting that the Falcons will be playing outdoors for the first time since way back in Week 1 in Philadelphia. You may remember their offense didn't look nearly as explosive in that game as it has in the last three games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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10-06-18 | Tulane v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show |
NCAAF AAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tulane at 12 noon et on Saturday. I’ll lay the points with the Bearcats on Saturday afternoon. Cincinnati is quietly off to a perfect 5-0 start and has an excellent opportunity to keep it rolling against an inconsistent Tulane squad here. The Green Wave are coming off a surprising win over Memphis last week but they’ll be hard-pressed to follow it up with another victory on Saturday. Note that in their two previous road games they fell 31-24 as a road favorite at UAB and 49-6 in an expected beatdown at Ohio State. This play is more about Cincinnati than it is Tulane, however. The Bearcats have seemingly gotten stronger with each passing week and are fresh off a near perfect performance in a 49-7 rout at Connecticut last Saturday. Unlike recent years, they finally have an offense that can put points on the board, with a balanced attack that has enjoyed success both on the ground and through the air. Tulane has managed to score at least 40 points on two different occasions but one of those efforts came against an FCS opponent Nicholls State and the other came last week in a game where Memphis clearly overlooked the Green Wave. In that contest scored a pair of first quarter touchdowns but didn’t find the end zone between the final five minutes of the first quarter and the final play of the third quarter. They were buoyed but a trio of complete defensive breakdowns on the part of the Tigers late, something I don’t expect to see from a well-coached Cincinnati squad on Saturday. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. You can certainly make the argument that this is a bigger game for the Broncos than it is for the Chiefs. Kansas City is off to a perfect 3-0 start and could put two games between itself and Denver with a win on Monday night. Meanwhile, the Broncos have scored just 34 points over their last two games combined, checking in with a 2-1 record. The common line of thinking is that they'll have trouble keeping up with the high-flying Chiefs offense on Monday night. I'm not so easily convinced. Denver brought in QB Case Keenum in the offseason and he has certainly looked good at times this season and should only get better with time as he gets acclimated with the offense. We've already seen him develop some nice chemistry with WR Emmanuel Sanders. Note that while the Broncos struggled offensively last week in Baltimore, they lost rookie RB Phillip Lindsay relatively early in the game after he threw a punch. His presence does add another element to this offense and should serve Denver well on Monday night. Two games back he ran for over 100 yards on only 14 carries against Oakland. The Chiefs defense has been virtually non-existent so far this season and this certainly doesn't appear to be an ideal bounce-back spot for that unit. I'll grab all the points I can get with the home underdog here. Take Denver (10*). |
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09-30-18 | Browns +3 v. Raiders | 42-45 | Push | 0 | 51 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll approach this play with a bit of caution as the hype train has certainly left the station as far as the Browns go following last week's big come-from-behind win over the Jets in front of a national audience. With that being said, I do believe they draw a favourable matchup against the Raiders here. The Cleveland defense in particular should have little trouble slowing a plodding Raiders attack that simply doesn't have a lot going for it this season. The Browns run defense has been solid, allowing just under 3.7 yards per rush this season while they've also given opposing running backs nothing in the short passing game. Meanwhile their pass defense has been stout as well with rookie corner Denzel Ward leading the way. It's not as if they've faced an easy slate of QB's either, going up against Big Ben and Drew Brees along with Sam Darnold. While I don't expect Browns rookie QB Baker Mayfield to light it up in his first career start, I do feel he can do enough to secure a victory. Note that the Raiders haven't been able to generate any pressure against opposing quarterbacks and that isn't likely to change against Mayfield. Even if they do, his mobility should serve him well in this matchup. Look for another big game from Browns WR Jarvis Landry here. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -3 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 48 h 28 m | Show |
NFL NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Bears on Sunday afternoon. We cashed a ticket fading the Bucs in their ‘closer than the final score indicated’ loss to the Steelers on Monday night and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well here. We certainly saw some regression from the Bucs offense in that matchup with a terrible Steelers pass defense. The magic seemed to run out for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and I really believe this will be his last start for Tampa Bay for a while with the Bucs heading into their bye week after this and Jameis Winston ready to return to the field. While I’m not a big fan of the Bears offense with Mitchell Trubisky at the helm right now, I’m not sure it really matters here as Chicago should have little trouble moving the football against a weak Bucs defense. The Bears have enough talent around Trubisky, namely RB Jordan Howard and WR Allen Robinson, to put up some points on Sunday afternoon. This is a well-coached football team that is still slowly learning a new offense. There will come a week where we see a breakout performance, and this just might be it. I like the fact that the Bears defense should be able to completely take away the Bucs already non-existent ground game and force Fitzpatrick into more mistakes. Take Chicago (10*). |
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09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +2 | 42-24 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on California plus the points over Oregon at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. There's a concern here that Oregon may have left it all on the field in last week's crushing 38-31 overtime loss at home against Stanford. Now the Ducks have to travel to face an upstart 3-0 Cal squad that has seemingly gotten stronger with each passing game. Note that the Ducks suffered a loss in their last trip to Berkeley two years ago - last winning here back in 2014. That was when they had the services of Marcus Mariota and Royce Freeman. Last year, the Ducks prevailed by a 45-24 score at home against the Golden Bears but that was actually a 24-17 game in the fourth quarter and keep in mind, Oregon was a 17-point favourite in that contest. Oregon had a big first half against the Cardinal last week, but outside of that, the Ducks have beaten up on much weaker opponents. I'll back the Bears in this spot. Take California (10*). |
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09-29-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee State +3.5 | Top | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
NCAAF Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Middle Tennessee State plus the points over Florida Atlantic at 7 pm et on Saturday. Florida Atlantic rolled past Middle Tennessee State in last year's meeting, posting a 38-20 victory at home. Prior to that this series was all Blue Raiders, however, and I look for MTSU to exact some revenge at home on Saturday night. FAU has yet to notch an ATS victory through four games this season. The Owls have been steamrolled both times they've stepped up in class against Oklahoma and Central Florida. Meanwhile, MTSU is coming off a beatdown at the hands of Georgia, but I like the fact that the Blue Raiders have had an extra week off to recover from that physical affair. We've yet to see them play their best game this season but I do believe it's coming. Keep in mind, this is a team loaded with talent and experience on both sides of the football, and one that won a Bowl game last December, in an underdog role no less. This is a big game for MTSU if it wants to go Bowling again this year. With another loss the Blue Raiders would fall to 1-3 and face an uphill battle to six wins given their remaining schedule. I expect them to at the very least take this one right down to the wire. Take Middle Tennessee State (10*). |
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09-24-18 | Steelers +1 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Tampa Bay at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I'll back the Steelers on Monday night as they try to get past all of their issues on and off the field and earn their first victory of the season. The sky is not actually falling in Pittsburgh right now. Le'Veon Bell remains out of the mix and Antonio Brown certainly wasn't happy with the way last week's game played out, but this is still a team that has suffered just one loss - that coming against perhaps the league's hottest team in the Kansas City Chiefs. With a win here the Steelers can right the ship and while the Bucs have gone 2-0 so far, I believe they present a favorable matchup for Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football. Tampa Bay took advantage of a struggling Saints defense in Week 1 and then caught the Eagles at home last week, without their starting QB Carson Wentz. Perhaps we shouldn't be all that surprised by Tampa Bay's 2-0 start. Tampa Bay will put its share of points on the board, but in the end, I don't believe it will be enough. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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09-23-18 | Saints +2 v. Falcons | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Falcons did well to avoid an 0-2 hole to open the season with a big home win over the division-rival Panthers last Sunday. I’m not sure they’ll fare so well this week, however, as they welcome another NFC South opponent in the New Orleans Saints. To say that injuries are piling up at key positions for the Falcons would be an understatement. Safety Keanu Neal, linebacker Deion Jones and running back Devonta Freeman were already sidelined and now guard Andy LeVitre has been placed on IR as well. On the flip side, the Saints roll into town generally healthy, although still missing suspended running back Mark Ingram. New Orleans has taken an interesting path to 1-1, suffering a surprising loss to the Bucs in its opener before rebounding with a less than inspiring win over the Browns last Sunday. The identical 1-1 starts certainly ramp up the importance of this game for both of these squads but I believe the Saints are in better position to move on-up on the .500 mark here. The Falcons generally concede underneath passing routes to opposing running backs and were subsequently lit up by Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey last week. There’s little reason to expect anything different against perhaps an even better pass-catching back in Alvin Kamara this week. On top of that, Saints WR Michael Thomas should find plenty of open field against the Falcons undermanned secondary and Drew Brees is undoubtedly in line for a big bounce-back performance following last week’s relatively poor showing. On the other side of the football, the Saints defense is better than it has shown so far this season. It took a step in the right direction last week but still suffered some lapses, including that game-tying touchdown hook-up between Tyrod Taylor and Antonio Callaway last week. The Falcons multi-dimensional offense poses a tough challenge but I’m confident the Saints defense will make enough plays to secure a victory. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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09-23-18 | Raiders v. Dolphins -3 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Oakland at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Raiders are in a truly tough situation here. After starting the season on the west coast with a home game against the Rams, they traveled to the thin air of Denver last week and now have to trek across the rest of the country for an early start in Miami on Sunday afternoon. The Dolphins have generally had a solid home field advantage early in the season and already 1-0 SU and ATS at home here in 2018. I like the Dolphins chances of improving to a somewhat improbable 3-0 this week. We’ve seen this story unfold before. Remember, back in 2016 the Dolphins enjoyed plenty of success with the Adam Gase-Ryan Tannehill combo. When asked to be more or less a game manager, Tannehill has proven that he can succeed. In fact, the Fins are 9-1 in Tannehill’s last 10 starts. The Raiders couldn’t have played much better than they did last Sunday in Denver but they still fell short in the end. I can’t see them getting back to that level of effort and execution in their second straight road contest this Sunday. Their offense did show some positive signs against the Broncos, but let’s face it, the Denver defense isn’t what it once was, especially against the pass. I actually feel the Fins can hold up much better than the Broncos did against Derek Carr and the Raiders passing game. On the other side of the football, the Raiders don’t have the personnel in place to get after opposing quarterbacks which sets up nicely for Tannehill. Look for him to have a field day against this Oakland defense, and for the overlooked Miami ground attack to ultimately salt away another victory. Take Miami (10*). |
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09-22-18 | TCU -3 v. Texas | 16-31 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on TCU minus the points over Texas at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I’ll lay the short number with the Horned Frogs as they head to Austin on Saturday afternoon. TCU is fresh off a tough 40-28 loss to Ohio State in Dallas last Saturday night. It got off to a tough start in that game, falling behind 10-0 following a fumble that was returned for a touchdown midway through the first quarter. From there, the Horned Frogs stuck around and actually led midway through the third quarter. However, the Buckeyes returned an interception for a touchdown shortly after that and rolled from there. I’m anticipating a much sharper effort from TCU this week as Texas will certainly warrant its attention following the Longhorns 37-14 rout of USC last week. We faded Texas in its season-opener and were rewarded with an outright Maryland victory. The Longhorns followed that up with a rather unimpressive 28-21 home win over Tulsa. They took advantage of an under-achieving Trojans squad at home last Saturday night, buoyed by a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown midway through the third quarter. Again, I’m expecting a much cleaner performance from TCU this week – I certainly don’t expect to see the Horned Frogs give the Longhorns any freebies. There’s no look-ahead in play here as TCU will return home to host Iowa State next week before heading into its bye week. I simply feel the Horned Frogs are being knocked down a little too far following last week’s setback. Take TCU (10*). |
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09-22-18 | Arizona v. Oregon State +7 | Top | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
NCAAF Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oregon State plus the points over Arizona at 4 pm et on Saturday. I’ll grab the points with the Beavers in what most are expecting to be a shootout in Corvallis on Saturday afternoon. Arizona isn’t where it hoped to be at this stage of the season, having won just once in its first three games. That victory came against FCS squad Southern Utah last week. While the Wildcats offense finally got going in that game, their defensive performance left a lot to be desired once again, as they allowed 31 points. It’s also worth noting that after an early first quarter touchdown, the Wildcats didn’t reach the end zone again on offense until the final 30 seconds of the first half. Were it not for a kick return touchdown early in the second quarter, that game could have played out differently. Oregon State also checks in 1-2 and while it had to be disappointed with last week’s narrow two-point loss to Nevada, that setback came on the road and I don’t think the Beavers are all that down on themselves following a 1-2 start (their other loss came on the road against Ohio State in Week 1). If nothing else, the Beavers offense has been humming along, and I liked the way they didn’t back down despite digging an early 30-7 hole at Nevada last week. Oregon State reeled off three consecutive touchdowns to get back in the game but ultimately fell just short. I don’t think there’s any question the Beavers will see this as a winnable game to open their Pac-12 slate. We’re being offered a generous cushion in a game that I believe could go either way. Take Oregon State (10*). |
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