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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-13 | Connecticut v. Temple -7.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Temple Owls.
At first glance, it might look like the 0-9 Huskies, and the 1-9 Owls would be evenly matched. I don't think that's the case though, as we've see two very different stories from these two teams. The Owls have lost back to back games by just a three point margin, losing to UCF 39-36, and Rutgers 23-20. The Huskies haven't come anywhere close to competing in any of their last four losses. Some might be encouraged by the fact that their pathetic offense managed to score a season high 21 points last week, but that came against an SMU team with one of the weakest defenses in the nation. Owls QB P.J. Walker is coming off his best game of the season, throwing for 382 yards and four TDs. I expect to see the Owls win by double digits at home tonight. Take Temple. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-13 | Arizona State v. UCLA +3 | Top | 38-33 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UCLA Bruins.
The Bruins are getting points at home? Are you sure? Maybe we need to double check that? UCLA is undefeated at home, and their only losses have come at the hands of Oregon and Stanford on the road. Arizona State comes in red hot, but they have struggled away from home, with a 20-19 win at Utah, and a loss to Notre Dame in Texas. The Sun Devils defense looked great at home against the Beavers last week, but the same can't be said about their offense. Taylor Kelly completed 22-of-37 passes for just 183 yards and a pair of INTs against a pretty average defense. It isn't going to get any easier on the road, against an elite pass rusher like Anthony Barr. The Bruins have been given a big boost since bringing linebacker Myles Jack into the offense at running back. He scored four touchdowns last week, after running for 120 yards in his debut the previous week. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-13 | Texas A&M v. LSU -3.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 124 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LSU Tigers.
LSU is coming off it's third loss of the season on the road in Alabama on November 9th. The Tigers have had plenty of time to prepare for this week's game against the Aggies, and they will be looking to remain undefeated at home. The loss to Alabama wasn't as one-sided as the score indicates, as the Tigers trailed by just three points at the half, and seven points after three quarters, before Alabama scored the final 14 points. The Aggies have only played two games on the road so far, and they were fortunate to engineer a late rally to come from behind in Mississippi. Johnny Manziel didn't throw a single touchdown pass in that game, but did throw an INT. He was picked off three times last week by Mississippi State. The Aggies defense has really looked suspect at times this season, and allowing the bulldogs to score 41 points last week should sound some alarms heading into this week. The Aggies lost at home to LSU last year by a score of 24-19, and Manziel was 29-of-56 passing for 276 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions. I think it would be foolish to expect a better result on the road this time around. Take the TIGERS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-13 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 120 h 57 m | Show |
10*
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11-23-13 | Duke -5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show |
10*
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11-21-13 | New Orleans Saints -9 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The 49ers were able to slow down this Saints offense last Sunday, but it's unlikely that the Falcons will have any answers for Drew Brees and the NFL's #2 passing offense. Last week the Falcons defense surrendered 41 points to a Bucs team that came in with just a single win, and hadn't scored more than 24 points in any of their previous nine games. They've now lost four straight, all by double digits, and after such a lackluster performance against a team with a 1-9 record, it's tough to imagine that they can turn this around. New Orleans completely shut down the San Francisco run game last week, and they are facing a Falcons offense that hasn't been able to run the ball all season. This has put more pressure on Matt Ryan, and part of the reason why he's thrown so many interceptions (9 in his last four starts). Injuries to Roddy White and Julio Jones haven't helped Ryan either, and while White is likely to play tonight, he's not 100%. Take the Saints. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-13 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo +3 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toledo Rockets.
The Northern Illinois Huskies take their undefeated record on the road Wednesday to face the Rockets in Toledo. The Huskies have benefited from a very light schedule, while Toledo had to start the season with road games against SEC teams: Florida and Missouri. The Rockets have since won 7-of-8, and all five of their home games. Last week they blew out the Buffalo Bulls in the first half by a score of 31-0, and hung on to win 51-41. The Huskies boast one of the Top 10 rushing attacks in the nation, averaging over 300 yards per game. They fell well below that in last year's meeting, when they hosted the Rockets in Illinois. Toledo took a 14-7 lead to the locker room at the half, but went on to lose 31-24 at Huskie Stadium last year. The Huskies won at home by 21 points last week, but it would be a mistake to put too much stock in that final score. It was a tie game halfway through the fourth quarter, until Ball State imploded, with a turnover on downs, and a pick-6 that helped the Huskies score 21 unanswered points in the final minutes. It's not the first time we've seen the Huskies come from behind to win, they were trailing at the half in both their first two games of the season, on the road at Iowa and Idaho. If Toledo comes out like they did last week against Buffalo, they might just build a lead that is to great to overcome, even for Jordan Lynch. I still think Northern Illinois is the most overrated team in the country. Take Toledo. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-13 | New England Patriots +3 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.
Now I am not a Patriots fan, but I must admit that it has been amazing watching Tom Brady and Bill Belichick hold this team together, despite all the adversity they have faced this season. Things seem to be falling into place for New England though. With Gronkowski back, and Amendola healthy, they put up 55 points on the league's best pass defense in their last game, and they come into tonight's game with added rest coming out of the bye week. The Panthers might have won five straight, but four of those five wins came against teams with a losing record. Cam Newton has his moments, and everyone is talking about how great he's playing, but the reality is that he's thrown three INTs an just one TD pass the last two weeks. This isn't the first time this season the Patriots have faced a tough defense on the road, they won in Buffalo in Week 1, and lost in overtime to the Jets Week 7. They scored 50 points in those two games, and that was without all their weapons. There isn't a defense in the NFL that can stop Tom Brady when he's on top of his game, and I expect to see him have a big night tonight. Take the Patriots. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-13 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NE@CAR to go OVER the total.
Now I am not a Patriots fan, but I must admit that it has been amazing watching Tom Brady and Bill Belichick hold this team together, despite all the adversity they have faced this season. Things seem to be falling into place for New England though. With Gronkowski back, and Amendola healthy, they put up 55 points on the league's best pass defense in their last game, and they come into tonight's game with added rest coming out of the bye week. The Pats defense didn't look so hot against the Steelers though, as Big Ben threw for 400 yards and four TDs, and Pittsburgh put up 31 points in a losing effort. New England has really struggled to defend the run, and that's going to be a problem against the Panthers, who have averaged over 120 rushing yards per game during their winning streak. Both teams should put a few points on the board tonight. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos -7 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos.
The Kansas City Chiefs bring their perfect record into Denver, looking for an upset at Mile High Stadium. The Broncos aren't the most gracious hosts however, as visitors to Denver have left town with their tails between their legs since the Texans won here last September. The Chiefs may be 9-0, but it would be naive to think that because they have a better record, they are a better team. Kansas City has just narrowly avoided defeat in each of it's last three games, playing close games at home against Houston and Cleveland, and coming from behind to beat the Bills two weeks ago. There is a lot of talk that the Broncos defense can't stop the pass, but they looked pretty good last week limiting Phillip Rivers to 19-of-29 for 218 yards and a TD. Admittedly, Denver doesn't rank very well defending the pass, allowing an average of 287 yards per game. The thing is, they've jumped out to big leads in almost every game they have played, and they haven't allowed much against the run. Therefore opponents have abandoned the run, in an attempt to play catchup, and that has contributed to their high number of passing yards allowed. I believe this Denver defense is underrated, and the Chiefs are coming in as the most overrated team in football, and should be ripe for the picking. Take Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints -2 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Niners looked terrible against Carolina last week, losing at home and ending a five game win streak. None of those five wins came against a team with a winning record, and they are playing a Saints team this week that is 7-2, 4-0 at home. San Francisco beat the Saints twice in 2012, but you can't really compare this year's team to the team that failed to make the playoffs last year without it's head coach. The Saints haven't just beaten teams in New Orleans, they have annihilated the opposition, winning by an average margin of more than 17 points. Their defense hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any of it's four games at home, and they rank third in the NFL against the pass, with opponents averaging fewer than 200 yards per game. Colin Kaepernick is coming off one of the worst games of his career, completing just 11-of-22 attempts, for 91 yards, failing to get in the endzone and getting picked off in the home loss to Carolina. Drew Brees and the Saints offense can put points on the board in a hurry, and if Kaerpernick is forced to pass, things could get ugly for the Niners. Take the Saints. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3.5 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 150 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Bears have lost two of their last three games in Chicago, and they host the defending champion Ravens this week. Baltimore is coming off an overtime win against Cincinnati last week, but is still just 4-5 on the season. Chicago will be without starting quarterback Jay Cutler, who is out with a high ankle sprain. Backup Josh McCown has played well in his place, and he's thrown four touchdowns without any INTs, although the Bears have lost 2-of-3 when he's seen action. The Ravens defense terrorized Andy Daulton last week, sacking him five times and forcing three interceptions. Joe Flacco hasn't exactly lived up to expectations after signing a big contract in the off-season. He's thrown just one more touchdown (12) than interceptions (11). He could be in for a big game against this Bears defense though, as Chicago hasn't had any success stopping the run or the pass. The Bears have covered the points just once in their last 11 home games, and they come in as a favorite today with their backup quarterback under center. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-13 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles -195 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles are still winless, with an 0-4 record at Lincoln Financial Field this year. Does this mean that they simply don't play well at home, or they have any less advantage on their home field than other teams do? I don't think so. There is plenty of reason to be optimistic about the Eagles moving forward, while they have won four of their last six, what's most impressive is their defense during that span. Philly has allowed opponents an average of fewer than 18 points per game over it's last six contests, and last week they held the Packers to just 13 points at Lambeau. They've won four of five with Nick Foles as the starter, and the 24 year old has thrown 16 TD passes without a single INT. He's thrown 10 of those touchdown passes in the last two weeks. The Redskins are 1-4 on the road, with their only win coming in a close game in Oakland, that saw them rally from a 14-0 deficit. The Eagles beat that same Oakland team a few weeks later by a score of 49-20. Washington's defense has given up a combined 79 points in back to back losses in it's last two road games. Take Philly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-13 | Detroit Lions -133 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -133 | 33 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
Pittsburgh's defense looked pretty good at home last week versus Buffalo, but it's going to be a lot more difficult this week against the Lions. The Steelers are banged up, with Lamar Woodley, Brett Keisel and Shamarko Thomas all listed as doubtful. While it's not easy winning on the road, Detroit is 3-2 in away games this year, coming off a big win in Chicago last week. Reggie Bush had a big game last week, gaining 105 yards on just 14 carries. He could be in for a big day in Pittsburgh, as the Steelers defense ranks 29th in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 127 yards per game. The Steelers still have one of the best pass defenses in football, but there isn't really any defense capable of stopping Calvin Johnson. He had six catches for 83 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's win at Chicago. The Lions defense is also better than people give them credit for. Last week they held Jay Cutler to 21-of-40 passing with a TD and an INT. Roethlisberger is having the worst season of his career, and he's coming off one of his worst games this season. He's been sacked 35 times, the second most among NFL quarterbacks. Take the Lions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-13 | Oregon State +14 v. Arizona State | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 128 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon State Beavers.
The Beavers high powered passing attack has been held in check in recent weeks, losing to USC and Stanford at home. It's not going to be easy tonight, going into Sun Devil Stadium to take on Arizona State. The Sun Devils though aren't quite the defensive juggernaut that Stanford is though. The Beavers have won four of the last five head to head meetings with ASU, including a 36-26 win last year in Oregon. Oregon State is a double digit underdog here, but I think these two teams aren't that far apart. The Sun Devils narrowly escaped from Utah with a 20-19 win last week, and this is the same Utah team that Oregon State defeated in a 51-48 shootout earlier in the season. This Arizona State defense has allowed an average of 27 points in it's last four home games, and they might just struggled to keep the Beavers and Sean Mannion from making this a competitive game. Take Oregon State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-13 | TCU v. Kansas State -11 | 31-33 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a Free NCAAF play on the Kansas State Wildcats.
My strongest play last Saturday was on the Wildcats, and they dominated in a 49-26 victory over Texas Tech in Lubbock. The Wildcats have won three straight, and their defense has been quite impressive in those games, allowing an average of fewer than 12 points to Texas Tech, Iowa State and West Virginia. K-State will host the TCU Horned Frogs this Saturday, and TCU has really struggled against top tier defenses this season. They weren't overly impressive last week, scoring just 21 points in a close game on the road against the Cyclones (21-17). Prior to that they were blown out by Texas and Oklahoma State, and upset in overtime by West Virginia. Casey Pachall has been picked off five times in three starts since taking over for Trevone Boykin at quarterback, and he's tossed just three touchdown passes during that span. The K-State defense has five picks on opposing quarterbacks the last two weeks, and they should make life difficult for Pachall today. The Wildcats are a double digit favorite, but I expect to see them win by a minimum of two TDs. Take K-State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-13 | Oklahoma State -2.5 v. Texas | Top | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 122 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
The Longhorns have overcome the loss of key players, including starting quarterback David Ash, winning six straight. Last week's win over the West Virginia Mountaineers saw them lose two more star players though, with running back Jonathan Gray and defensive tackle Chris Whaley both done for the season. Texas hosts a very good Oklahoma State team this week, and with two more skilled players missing from an already banged up lineup, it's going to be tough for Texas to stay in this game. The Longhorns have really struggled to defend the run, ranking eight in the conference, allowing an average of 186 yards per game. The Cowboys have had no shortage of success with their running game, averaging 236 yards rushing over their last three games. Backup quarterback Case McCoy had his best game of the season versus West Virginia, still he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over the last three weeks, and the Cowboy's defense is stronger than any of those teams he faced. I like Oklahoma State to take advantage of a banged up Texas team in Austin. Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-13 | West Virginia -235 v. Kansas | Top | 19-31 | Loss | -235 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
The Mountaineers lost in overtime at home against Texas last week, after winning in OT on the road over TCU the previous week. While they come into this week's game at Kansas with a 4-6 record, the Mountaineers have turned in several impressive performances, playing close games against tough competition. Don't expect the Jayhawks to be tough competition here this week, Kansas is 0-6 in the Big-12, and all of those losses have come by double digits. An injury may keep West Virginia's starting quarterback Clint Trickett on the sidelines this week, but that's also likely keeping the line lower than it should be. Paul Millard filled in admirably last week, and the Mountaineers came very close to upsetting Texas in overtime. Millard is still likely better than both Cozart and Heaps, who have split snaps for KU. The big edge for the Mountaineers will be their potent running game versus one of the worst defenses in the conference. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-13 | Cincinnati +1.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 52-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats.
Cincinnati comes into this week's game at Rutgers riding a four game win streak, one of those coming on the road against Memphis. The Scarlet Knights have really struggled, losing 2-of-3 the last three weeks, with the lone win coming at home in a close game against Temple. The biggest concern for Rutgers is quarterback Gary Nova, who threw seven INTs in losses to Louisville and Houston. You might remember that Rutgers fell apart at the tail end of last season, and it was much the same story. After throwing just three interceptions through the first seven games (all wins), he was picked off 13 times in the final six games, losing four of the six. He's facing Cincy's #14 ranked defense, that has allowed opponents an average of just 18 points per game, and I expect him to struggle. I'm not reading much into his 371 yards and three TDs against Temple, because the Owls are 1-9 and their defense is one of the worst in the nation. Still the Knights won by just three points. I expect Cincy to win big here on the road this week. Take the Bearcats. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-13 | Washington v. UCLA UNDER 62.5 | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH@UCLA to go UNDER the total.
The Bruins have gotten creative with their offense, replacing their star running back Jordon James with linebacker Myles Jack. The move paid dividends last week at Arizona, with Jack running for 120 yards and a TD on just six carries. The Huskies might prove to be a little tougher defensively than Arizona was though. This Huskies team pushed Stanford to the brink in Palo Alto, limiting the Cardinals to less than 300 yards of total offense. The Huskies will be looking to give UCLA a healthy dose of Bishop Sankey, who ranks third in the nation averaging 145 yards per game. UCLA is also very strong defensively, with one of top linebacking corps in the country. Brett Hundley has had some big games this year, but those have come against weaker teams. He's really struggled against the likes of Utah, Oregon and Stanford. I don't think this Huskies team is going to give him a lot of room, and he could be in for another rough night. The Bruins have taken 4-of-6 meetings versus Washington since 2004, and five of those games saw the total go under. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +3 | Top | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Titans.
Last week's loss to Jacksonville sure looks ugly for the Titans, and you might think they will need a better effort from their defense here tonight. When you dig a little deeper though, the numbers show that it wasn't the defense that was responsible for their loss last week. They picked off Chad Henne twice, sacked him three times and didn't allow a touchdown pass. Henne threw for just 180 yards on 14-of-23 passing, and the Jags didn't have any more success running the ball. Maurice Jones-Drew averaged just two yards per carry, and Jacksonville finished with just 54 yards on the ground. Three lost fumbles by the offense is what led to all the Jacksonville points, and clearly the Titans will have to do a better job of protecting the football. Chris Johnson had a terrible game last week, but after he ran for 150 yards and a pair of touchdowns the week before against the Rams, we know he still has it in him. The Colts are among the worst in the NFL defending the run, allowing an average of 127 yards per game. While both teams have their fair share of issues, the loss of Reggie Wayne is really taking it's toll on the Colts. The failed experiment that is Trent Richardson hasn't helped either, he was nearly going backwards with just two yards on five carries last week. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-13 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -10 | Top | 31-55 | Win | 100 | 84 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
When Clemson lost to Florida State, there was an air of doubt surrounding the team, but the Tigers have since won back to back road games by a combined 62 points. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will be in town tonight, and they are riding a three game win streak. The home team has taken each of the last three in this series, and last year Clemson won by a score of 47-31 at Memorial Stadium. Georgia Tech has only faced one ranked opponent this year, losing to Miami by a score of 45-30. They also lost to BYU, and Virginia Tech when they were not ranked, but both have spent time in the Top 25 at some point. Those losses came by a combined 25 points. So it's clear that the Yellow Jackets have not played well against upper echelon teams, and this Clemson team is in a class much higher than any of those previous opponents. Take the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-13 | Marshall v. Tulsa UNDER 61.5 | Top | 45-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MRSH@TLSA to go UNDER the total.
The Hurricane have been a big disappointment this season, coming off such a successful campaign last year. They will host Marshall tonight, and the Thundering Herd have been putting a lot of points on the board in recent weeks. In fact they've scored over 150 points the last three weeks, but two of those three games were against inferior opponents at home. Marshall has struggled on the road, losing three of four, and three of those games saw the total go below 60 points. Tulsa on the other had has played far better at home, and all four of it's home games have failed to go over 60 points. With a total above 60 here tonight, I think there's a good chance we see the under pay out. The Golden Hurricanes also have quarterback issues, with freshman Dane Evans completing just 45% of his passes with three TDs and six INTs, they might not be inclined to air it out. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-13 | Ball State +7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ball State Cardinals.
The Northern Illinois Huskies are still undefeated at 9-0, but they haven't played a ranked opponent, and for the most part they have been beating up on the weaker teams in the Mac. The Huskies should be tested tonight, hosting a Ball State team that comes in with a 9-1 record (6-0 MAC). Cardinals quarterback Keith Wenning is one of the best in college football, ranking 4th in passing yards just behind Johnny Manziel. Ball State can score in a hurry, averaging 40 points per game (15th in the nation). They've scored 40+ in back to back weeks, and one of those games was a 42-24 victory at Akron, a team that just barely lost in a 27-20 game against the Huskies two weeks earlier. The Huskies won all three of their home games, but two of those were decided by seven points or less. The Huskies won last years meeting, coming from behind after trailing 23-14 in the third quarter, to score 21 unanswered points. Wenning was picked off twice in that game, but he's done a better job of protecting the football this year. He's thrown just five picks through 10 games, after throwing 10 last season. He's thrown 12 touchdown passes without any INTs over his last three starts. Take the Cardinal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-13 | Buffalo v. Toledo UNDER 56 | Top | 41-51 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Buffalo@Toldeo to go UNDER the total.
Buffalo's defense looked pretty dominant in a 30-3 win over the Ohio Bobcats last week. It's not like we should be surprised though, they pitched a shutout on the road versus Western Michigan a few weeks earlier. The Bulls have now allowed an averafe of fewer than 9 points per game over their last six. The Bulls will face a tough Toledo Team tonight, and their star running back David Fluellen. The Rockets rely on their running game for offense, averaging 239 yards per game (15th). Fluellen though may not be 100%, after suffering a leg injury that caused him to miss last week's game against Eastern Washington. Toledo won last year's meeting by a score of 25-20 in Buffalo. This year the Bulls appear to be much tougher defensively, and with both teams leaning on the run, I think the total in the mid fifties is just a little too high. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-13 | Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs (1st half).
The Bucs looked as good as they have all season in an overtime loss at Seattle last week, and they return home to host a Miami team that has is falling apart at the seems. Miami ended a three game losing streak with an improbable come from behind overtime victory at home over Cincy last Thursday. The Jonathan Martin "bullying" saga continues to haunt the Dolphins, and since the suspension of Incognito, several players have spoken publicly about the incident. This is a locker room with a toxic atmosphere, and it's spilling out on the field as well. The loss of two starters isn't going to help and offensive line that hasn't had any success keeping opposing defenses away from it's quarterback. The Bucs saw a lot of positives last week from rookie quarterback Mike Glennon, and fellow rookie Mike James. James ran for 156 yards on the Seahawks, and Glennon threw a pair of TDs on 17-of-23 passing. I think Tampa will come to play, don't be surprised if they win outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Cowboys come into New Orleans with a 1-3 road record, having barely survived a scare from the Vikings at home last week. Things appear to be falling apart for the Cowboys, and it doesn't get any tougher than a road game in the Big Easy. The Saints are 4-0 at home, 6-2 overall, and they've been nothing short of dominant at at the Superdome, limiting opponents to an average of 14 points per game, and winning by an average margin of 17 points. The pass happy Cowboys will face one of the league's best passing defenses, and with DeMarco Murray banged up, running isn't going to be a picnic either. Dallas is averaging just 75 yards per game on the ground this year. Drew Brees is likely to have a banner day, going up a Cowboys defense that ranks 31st in the league against the pass, allowing an average of 305 yards per game. Dez Bryant had a big game against the Saints last year, but forget about that. This year's Saints team is nothing like it was a year ago, and I expect the home team to win by double digits. Take New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 59 | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@SD to go UNDER the total.
The Broncos have seen the total go over the number in all of their games this year, and these two teams have seen the total go over in four of the last five meetings. The result is that public money is coming in on the over, driving the total up several points, even though the opening line was sky high. I had the under in Denver two weeks ago, and here is what I said: "It's easy to see why people expect this to be a high scoring tilt, after all, Denver has seen the total go over the number in each of it's last 10 games dating back to last season. Keep in mind though, today's total is far higher than it was in any of those games. Last week the Redskins and the Bears played a game with the score looking like a basketball game at halftime (45-41). The thing is, all those points the Skins scored last week, all the touchdown passes that Manning has thrown this season, and all the touchdowns that the Washington defense has allowed... none of those count against the score in this game. It's a new week, a new game, and anything can, and probably will happen. It takes a lot of things to go right for both teams offensively to combine for over 60 points, and not a lot has to go wrong to see just one of these offenses stall, resulting in the total going under." Sure enough, the score was tied 7-7 at the half, but after a wild second half, it still went over. Plain and simple .. the value is a play on the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers -5.5 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the San Francisco 49ers.
The Niners have looked almost unstoppable winning five straight games, all by double digits. They come out of their bye week to host the Panthers, who have also been on a roll. Carolina beat up on the Falcons last week, but the final score (34-10) doesn't tell the whole story. The Panthers led by four points at the half, and seven points after three quarters, but then Atlanta folded like a cheap suit in the final period. The Panthers passing game isn't scaring anybody, and last week Cam Newton looked pretty bad tossing a pair of interceptions. He repeatedly missed wide open receivers, but the Falcons were not able to make him pay. The 49ers will get Mario Manningham back this week, and he might find some space if Carolina tries to double cover Anquan Boldin. Frank Gore is facing the league's second best run defense, but he's traditionally had big games coming off a bye week. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Detroit Lions -3 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 21-19 | Loss | -120 | 241 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Lions are coming off their bye week, heading into Chicago well rested and with plenty of time to prepare for the Bears. Chicago shocked football fans on Monday night with an upset win in Green Bay, after knocking Aaron Rodgers out of the game. Now just six days later, they host rivals Detroit. The good news for Bears fans is that starting quarterback Jay Cutler is expected to return to the lineup this week. The bad news is, Cutler continues to be plagued by turnovers, throwing seven picks and losing four fumbles so far. Three of those interceptions came in a 40-32 loss to Detroit at the end of September. The final score in that game was a little deceiving, as the Bears trailed 40-16 with four minutes to play, and Cutler was able to drive the length of the field twice and score a pair of TDs against the Lions prevent defense. Reggie Bush ran for 139 yards on 18 carries, and he should be primed for a big game after resting up through the bye week. Calvin Johnson caught 14 balls for 329 yards in the win over the Cowboys two weeks ago, and having the week off won't do him any harm either. The Lions have a lot of weapons, and a superior defense. The return of Cutler isn't likely going to be enough to keep the Bears in this game. Take Det. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Buffalo Bills +4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -105 | 166 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills.
The Bills played well last week, but with Jeff Tuel at quarterback, they really didn't have much of a chance against the Chiefs. The Bills had a chance to go up by three scores with a first and goal at the KC 1 yard line, when Tuel was picked off for 99 yard TD for the Chiefs. That was the beginning of the end for Buffalo. It should be different this week, with both Thad Lewis and E.J. Manuel ready to go. The Passing game should take a back seat though against a Steelers defense that ranks last in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 132 yards per game. The Patriots recorded over 600 yards of total offense in a 55-31 win over the Steelers last week. C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson are looking stronger than they have all season, with both backs combining for 193 yards in last week's loss to Kansas City. We should see the Bills dominate this game with their running game, and I expect to see Buffalo pull off the upset. Take the Bills. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +12.5 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 166 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
How bad a are the Jags? Well.. they are pretty bad, but I'm still taking them this week as nearly a two touchdown underdog to the Titans. While Jacksonville was blown out in London two weeks ago, they have had two weeks to prepare for this game, and this Titans team is hardly the 49ers. I hear a lot of people crying about Justin Blackmon's suspension, but I don't think he will be missed as much as people think. Cecil Shorts and Maurice Jones-Drew are the biggest weapons in the arsenal, and both are coming off inspiring performances in London. Jacksonville has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings with Tennessee, and the line in this game is twice as high as it was in any of those previous meetings. The Titans are 4-4, and all but one of those games were decided by seven points or less. Take the Jags. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 52 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 166 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the EAGLES/PACKERS UNDER.
Nick Foles had a monster day in Oakland a week ago, but welcome to Lambeau Field kid .. This is not Oakland! Green Bay's defense is going to have to dominate in order to give them a chance to win this game, and they might do just that. Don't expect Senneca Wallace to air it out much.. the Packers should lean on the run. Points should be far and few between. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | San Diego State v. San Jose State OVER 55 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SDST@SJST to go OVER the total.
The Aztecs are coming off a home win over New Mexico last week, in a close 35-30 game that didn't see a lot of defense. We might expect a similar game tonight in San Jose, as the Spartans defense hasn't look great this season either. The Spartans beat the Aztecs in San Diego last year by a score of 38-34, and these teams have seen the total go over in three of four meetings since 2005. Neither team puts much of an emphasis on the run, preferring to air it out, and neither defense is particularly good at defending the pass. Last week the Aztecs allowed the Lobos to drive the length of the field in the final 1:50 to make it a five-point game, before recovering the onside kick attempt. I'm expecting to see a sloppy game between two evenly matched teams, going back and forth with plenty of points being scored. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | LSU v. Alabama -11 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 103 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide.
When it comes to big rivalry games in college football, it doesn't get any bigger than LSU vs Alabama. With Stanford upsetting Oregon on Thursday, this game takes on even more meaning, as a slip up from the Tide would leave the rankings wide open. That's not likely going to happen though, as this year's LSU team isn't nearly as dominant defensively as the team that lost at home to Alabama in a close game last year. Alabama's #1 ranked defense appears to be at least as good as it was last year, and the Tide have allowed an average of fewer than four points per game at home this year. Yes, that's right .. FOUR POINTS. That includes shutouts over Mississippi and Arkansas. The Tigers two losses have both come in close games on the road, and one of those came at Mississippi. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road this year, allowing an average of over 32 points in those games. That's not going to cut it in Alabama. Tide Roll. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | Arizona State v. Utah +7.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 135 h 2 m | Show |
10*
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11-09-13 | BYU v. Wisconsin UNDER 55.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU@WISC to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers offense really struggled last week in Iowa, with Joel Stave completing 11-of-19 for 144 yards with a pair of TDs and an INT. They went into the fourth quarter clinging to a 14-9 lead, but went on to score 14 unanswered points, thanks to a pair of Iowa interceptions. They return home to face BYU, a team that is know for stellar defense. The Cougars have won 2-of-3 on the road, and two of those games were tight defensive battles, losing 19-16 at Virginia, and defeating the Utah State Aggies by a score of 31-14 in Logan. Both teams have seen the total go under the number in five of eight games, and part of the reason for that is a heavy focus on running the football for both teams. The Badgers are one of the top run stopping teams in the country, allowing an average of just 91 yards per game. Points should be hard to come by in Madison this afternoon. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -16 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -115 | 131 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Mississippi Rebels.
The Arkansas Razorbacks have been exposed as a fraud. After starting the season with three straight victories, they've been blown out in each of their last four games, and they've lost five straight. Last week against Auburn, they turned the ball over three times in a 35-17 loss on their home field. It's not going to get any easier on the road in Mississippi, taking on a Rebels team that put up 59 points on Idaho last week. The Razorbacks have played their last five games against SEC teams, losing by an average margin of 30 points. Three of those five games were played in Arkansas, and here they are on the road getting three scores against the Rebels. I don't expect Mississippi to have any trouble running up the score today, especially given that Arkansas QB Brandon Allen has thrown six picks and just four TDs over his last five starts. Take the Rebels. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | Kansas State +2.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 49-26 | Win | 100 | 131 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas State Wildcats.
The Wildcats come into Texas with a 4-4 record, but they have momentum coming off a pair of impressive victories. The Red Raiders have been trending the opposite direction, coming off consecutive losses to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. The Red Raiders looked good jumping out to a 6-0 start, but reality is starting to set in. They are terrible defensively, and backup quarterback Davis Webb has been prone to turn the ball over. That's a recipe for disaster going up against a very strong Kansas State defense, that came just minutes away from pitching a shutout against Iowa State last week. Only a late fumble in their own territory prevented the Wildcats from registering the clean sheet. John Hubert ran for 105 yards on just 15 carries last week, just his second 100+ yard game of the season. The Wildcats should be able to pound the Red Raiders with the run, as Texas Tech has really struggled to defend the run this year. The Cowboys ran for over 280 yards in Lubbock last week, en route to a 52-34 victory. I don't expect the Red Raiders to have any more success against the Wildcats, and we should see K-State win outright. Take the Wildcats. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | SMU v. Cincinnati -9.5 | Top | 25-28 | Loss | -106 | 131 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats.
The SMU Mustangs have impressed with their passing game, ranking 5th in the nation with an average of over 380 yards per game. Unfortunately their defense is allowing opponents an average of over 42 points per game, resulting in a 3-4 record heading into Cincinnati this Saturday. The Mustangs haven't had a lot of success scoring on teams that are above .500, averaging fewer than 18 points in losses to Texas A&M, TCU and Texas Tech. The Bearcats defense ranks far better than any of those teams, and they are particularly good at home. Cincinnati is 4-0 at home so far, winning those games by an average margin of more than 35 points. The Mustangs are coming off back-to-back wins over Temple and Memphis, but both of those games were fairly close, decided by an average margin of 7.5 points. The Bearcats beat Temple by an 18 point margin, and knocked off the Tigers in Memphis by a score of 34-21. I expect Cincy to win this game by double digits. Take the Bearcats. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-13 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 57.5 | Top | 48-17 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIZZ@UK to go UNDER the total.
The Wildcats are 2-3 at home, and all but one of those five games has gone under the total. While they only have two wins on the season, both against very poor teams, they haven't really given up a ton of points, allowing an average of just over 27 points per game. They will host a very good Missouri team today, but the Tigers could have a backup signal caller filling in for James Franklin. Reports out of the Missouri camp have suggested that Franklin might be healthy enough to start, but it would seem pretty reckless rushing him back against a team that they should beat easily. Regardless, if he does get the start, expect him to have a very cautious approach, and a conservative game plan. The Tigers defense should get the job done, ranking second in the nation with 17 interceptions so far. They picked off Tennessee's Josh Dobbs twice last week, holding the Vols to just three points. The Tigers won last year's meeting by a score of 33-10, and I expect to see a similar score here in today's game. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-13 | Washington Redskins v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH@MIN to go OVER the total.
I'll have to admit, the Vikings showed a lot of moxie going into Dallas and coming just 35 seconds away from the upset. Still, they couldn't stop Tony Romo from scoring on a last minute drive, handing the Vikings their fourth straight loss. They host the Redskins on Thursday, and Washington has looked pretty good the last few weeks. They've won two of their last three, and even in Denver they had a 14 point lead halfway through the third quarter. Both these teams have really struggled on defense this season, and between the two of them, they've seen the total go over at a rate of 11-5. The Skins won't mind a shootout, and going up against a Minnesota defense that is one of only two teams that rank worse than they do against the pass, it could be a big day for RGIII. We should see a lot of points scored here in Minnesota tonight, but when the smoke clears, I expect to see the Skins come out on top. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-13 | Washington Redskins -1 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -123 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
I'll have to admit, the Vikings showed a lot of moxie going into Dallas and coming just 35 seconds away from the upset. Still, they couldn't stop Tony Romo from scoring on a last minute drive, handing the Vikings their fourth straight loss. They host the Redskins on Thursday, and Washington has looked pretty good the last few weeks. They've won two of their last three, and even in Denver they had a 14 point lead halfway through the third quarter. Both these teams have really struggled on defense this season, and between the two of them, they've seen the total go over at a rate of 11-5. The Skins won't mind a shootout, and going up against a Minnesota defense that is one of only two teams that rank worse than they do against the pass, it could be a big day for RGIII. We should see a lot of points scored here in Minnesota tonight, but when the smoke clears, I expect to see the Skins come out on top. Take Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-13 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -14.5 | Top | 12-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears.
If you have been reading my weekly columns, you should already know that I have been high on Baylor since Week 1. With the Bears hosting Oklahoma on Thursday night, we should find out once and for all, just how good these Baylor Bears really are. Baylor has blown away the competition every week, with the only exception being a 35-25 win at Kansas State three weeks ago. That was on the road though, and at home this team has just annihilated it's opponents. One of those teams was the West Virginia Mountaineers, who they defeated by a score of 73-42. The Mountaineers scored 21 points in the fourth quarter, after Baylor pulled it's starters with a 40+ point lead in the fourth quarter. The Sooners have yet to face a true top 25 team, let alone a team that might just be the best in the nation. Technically they played the Red Raiders and Irish when they were still in the rankings, but neither of those teams is anywhere near as skilled as dangerous as Baylor. As I have been saying since Week 1, I believe that outside of Oregon, the Bears have the best offense in College football. They should win this game by three scores. Take Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-13 | Ohio v. Buffalo -180 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bulls.
The Buffalo Bulls host the Ohio Bobcats in a MAC clash Tuesday, and the Bulls need to win to remain PERFECT in the MAC. The Bobcats have other ideas, trailing Buffalo by just one game. These two teams have split the last two meetings, with the home team sneaking out a victory by a slim margin in each of those games. Both teams have similar numbers defensively, but that's a little misleading. The Bulls faced two of the nation's highest scoring teams, giving up 110 points to Ohio State and Baylor in their first two games of the season. Since then they have won six straight, and they have allowed an average of just 12 points per game against unranked teams. The Bulls have been particularly strong on defense at home, allowing an average of less than 10 points in their last three home games. I expect the Bulls to remain perfect in the MAC with another win at home tonight. Take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-13 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@GB to go UNDER the total.
The Packers have been able to overcome injuries to Randall Cobb, Jermichael Finley and Clay Matthews, winning four in a row prior to tonight's home game versus Chicago. They covered a double digit spread on the road in Minnesota last week, and they are expected to run away with tonight's game as well. We haven't seen a lot of points scored in the last two games at Lambeau Field, an average of just 38 in wins over Detroit and Cleveland. The Bears defense hasn't put together impressive numbers, but they have led the league in forced fumbles, and they aren't far off the lead with 10 interceptions. It won't take too many turnovers to keep the Packers from running up the score here. These teams have a long history of playing low scoring games, with nine of the last 10 meetings going under the total. Tonight's total is also higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens -1 v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -123 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The defending Superbowl champs went into their bye week after suffering back to back losses in tight games against Pittsburgh and Green Bay. They will look to get their season back on track on the road in Cleveland this Sunday. The Browns still haven't won a game this year without Brian Hoyer, and they've lost three straight since he went down with an injury. Jason Campbell will get the start today, and he looked good in his debut throwing for 293 yards and a pair of TDs. The Ravens have owned the Browns over the years, winning 11 straight meetings. Many of those games have been close, and each of the last six have seen the total go under. Having an extra week to rest and prepare for this game (a must win) should help the Ravens. I'm expecting Joe Flacco to earn his pay check here today, with the Ravens sneaking past the Browns in a nail biter. Take Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Oakland Raiders -130 | Top | 49-20 | Loss | -130 | 58 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
Chip Kelly's Blur Offense made headlines in Week 1, as the Eagles won in a shootout on Monday night in the nation's capital, but it's been all downhill since then. The Eagles have been out-scored 32-10 in back to back home losses to Dallas and New York. They are in Oakland this week to play the Raiders, who are 3-1 at home. The Raiders defense has been looking good in recent weeks, and they have limited opponents to an average of just 17 points per game in their four home games. Nick Foles will take over for the injured Mike Vick at quarterback for the Eagles, and he didn't have any success in his last appearance against Dallas. Foles was 11-for-29, throwing for just 80 yards, and the Eagles offense managed just a FG in a 17-3 loss. The Raiders passing game might not scare anyone, but with Terrelle Pryor posing an added threat with his legs, the Eagles better be on their toes. Pryor ran for 93 yards, scoring a TD on the opening play from scrimmage last week. Darren McFadden is also coming on, he ran for 73 yards and a pair of TDs on 24 carries. With the Eagles offense in a sad state, I expect to see Oakland grind out another victory at home in a low scoring affair. Take the RAIDERS. GL, Jesse Schule 10* |
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11-03-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 45 | Top | 49-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@OAK to go UNDER the total.
Chip Kelly's Blur Offense made headlines in Week 1, as the Eagles won in a shootout on Monday night in the nation's capital, but it's been all downhill since then. The Eagles have been out-scored 32-10 in back to back home losses to Dallas and New York. The Eagles are in Oakland this week to play the Raiders, who are 3-1 at home. The Raiders defense has been looking good in recent weeks, and they have limited opponents to an average of just 17 points per game in their four home games. Nick Foles will take over for the injured Mike Vick at quarterback for the Eagles, and he didn't have any success in his last appearance against Dallas. Foles was 11-for-29, throwing for just 80 yards, and the Eagles offense managed just a FG in a 17-3 loss. The Raiders passing game might not scare anyone, but with Terrelle Pryor posing an added threat with his legs, the Eagles better be on their toes. Pryor ran for 93 yards, scoring a TD on the opening play from scrimmage last week. Darren McFadden is also coming on, he ran for 73 yards and a pair of TDs on 24 carries. With the Eagles offense in a sad state, I expect to see Oakland grind out another victory at home in a low scoring affair. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Atlanta Falcons +9.5 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -130 | 124 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
Matt Ryan certainly didn't look like vintage "Matty Ice" last week in Arizona. Without his top 2 wide receivers, he threw the ball 61 times, completing 34 passes for 301 yards and a TD, but he was picked off four times. The good news for the Falcons is, Roddy White could be back on the field in Carolina this Sunday. Stephen Jackson didn't get a lot going last week with the running game, but he should be getting healthier, and could be a factor this week. The Panthers have been impressive, winning three straight, all by double digits. Those victories came against three of the league's worst teams though, and now they are a huge favorite at home, even though they rank 29th in the NFL in passing yards. This Carolina team isn't designed to blow out the opposition, they are a solid defensive team with a game plan focused on grinding out wins. This isn't a team that's going to run up the score week in week out. Remember this Atlanta team started last season by going 8-0, and finished 13-3 going all the way to the NFC championship game. I don't think it's asking too much for the Falcons to cover an inflated spread here on Sunday. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Dallas Cowboys -9.5 | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Cowboys looked like they would leave Detroit with their 5th victory of the season, but Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson had different plans, mounting an improbable comeback, scoring on the final play to win 31-30. Dallas won't have to worry about a potent aerial attack this week, facing the Minnesota Vikings, who rank 27th in the NFL, averaging just over 200 yards per game. Unlike last year, Adrian Peterson hasn't been able to shoulder the load with the running game, and the result is that the Vikes have a record of 1-6. Peterson is battling through a hamstring injury, and he's only averaged 50 yards over his last three games, all losses. The Cowboys defense hasn't had too many problems against the run, but they've really struggled against the pass. Of course, having the Broncos drop 51 points on you doesn't help your stats much. I doubt that Christian Ponder and the Vikes can take advantage of the Dallas secondary. The Cowboys offense on the other hand is capable of exploiting weak defenses, and the Vikes don't rank much better against the pass than Dallas does. This one has the potential to be a blowout, with the Cowboys really running away with it. Take Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +4 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills.
The Chiefs come into Buffalo this Sunday still undefeated, but they haven't looked great in recent weeks. Last week the scored in the dying seconds to get past the Browns by a score of 23-17, and prior to that they defeated a struggling Texans team by just one point in a 17-16 victory at Arrowhead. The Bills have looked great with Thad Lewis at quarterback, but the 25 year old is dealing with cracked ribs, and may not be able to start. With or without Lewis, the Bills are going to have to lean heavily on their running game. The good news for Buffalo is that C.J. Spiller will be back this Sunday, and they are going to need him. Buffalo's defense hasn't been great on the road, but they've played well at home. While the Bills are 2-2 at home, the two losses have both come in close games decided by a combined five points. With the Bills getting more than FG at home, against a Chiefs team that has had trouble scoring in recent weeks, I like Buffalo's chances of hanging in there. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 41 | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
10*
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11-03-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Washington Redskins UNDER 49.5 | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 27 m | Show |
10*
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11-03-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 51 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 0 h 29 m | Show |
10*
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11-02-13 | Nevada +21 v. Fresno State | Top | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 57 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack.
Last weekend I bet against the Fresno State Bulldogs, as they played on the road at San Diego State. The Bulldogs would win the game in overtime, but once again failed to cover the spread. While they have won all of their seven games so far, they are just 1-6 against the spread. The Bulldogs host Nevada on Saturday, and they beat the Wolfpack last season by a score of 52-36. Prior to that though, the Wolfpack had won the previous four meetings outright. Nevada is just 3-4 on the season, and coming off three straight losses. One of those cam on the road in overtime, against the same San Diego State team that the Bulldogs defeated in overtime last week. Fresno State's defense is terrible, and they are being asked to cover an enormous spread against a Nevada team that can score points. They rank 81st in the nation in scoring defense allowing opponents 30 points per game. Four of their seven wins have come by seven points or less, and only once have they won by 20 or more points. Nothing we have seen from this team suggests that this game will be easy, and they are giving up way too many points. Take the dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-13 | Oklahoma State +1 v. Texas Tech | 52-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys.
The Cowboys have won three straight against TCU, Kansas State and Iowa State. They are on the road Saturday taking on Texas Tech, coming off it's first loss of the season at Oklahoma. The Red Raiders have been flirting with disaster for weeks, turning the ball over and playing sloppy football, and it finally caught up with them in Oklahoma. A pair of interceptions and a fumble proved to be the difference in a 38-30 loss to the Sooners. They aren't going to find it any easier against Oklahoma's other team, the Cowboy's defense has been vastly improved this season. They forced a pair of fumbles and an INT a blowout win over the Cyclones in Iowa last week. The passing game hasn't been nearly as good for the Cowboys this year, but they are making up for it with a strong defense and a good running game. Desmond Roland ran for a career high 216 yards on 26 carries last week, getting in the endzone four times. The Sooners didn't have any trouble running on the Raider last week, rushing for 277 yards and three TDs. The Mountaineers ran for 183 yards the week earlier, and even the Cyclones were able to run for 143 yards and three scores three weeks ago. I've had the Red Raiders pegged as overrated for quite some time, and I think they are gonna be in way over their heads here this Saturday. Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-13 | West Virginia +13 v. TCU | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
The Horned Frogs have had a disastrous season so far, losing 5-of-8 games. Their offense hasn't been able to get anything going, averaging just 23 points per game (95th in the nation). TCU has scored just 17 points the past two weeks, losing back to back games to Texas and Oklahoma State. They host a West Virginia team Saturday that has been surprisingly good defensively this year. The Mountaineers though have lost three straight since upsetting the Cowboys at home in the final week of September. This week's game against the Horned Frogs figures to be a little easier than road games at Baylor and Kansas State, and a home loss by a score of 37-27 to Texas Tech. last week the TCU offense really struggled, in a 30-7 home loss to the Longhorns. Casey Pachall came in to replace a struggling Trevone Boykin, but he completed just 13-of-34 attempts, getting picked off once and failing to get in the endzone. The Horned Frogs only points came on a TD pass from wide receiver Cameron Echols-Luper. The Mountaineers loss to Kansas State looks like a one-sided affair with a score of 35-12, but that's a little misleading. West Virginia was trailing by just two points (14-12) heading into the fourth quarter. The Mountaineers are getting far too many points against a team that has looked terrible on offense all year. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-02-13 | North Carolina -205 v. NC State | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on UNC.
A tough schedule has taken it's toll on the Tar Heels, and they only have two wins in their first seven games. They snapped a four game losing streak with a win on the road over Boston College last week, and their defense came up big, holding the Eagles to just 57 yards passing. The Wolfpack might have a tough time passing this week, with backup quarterback Brandon Mitchell who has yet to throw a touchdown this season, and threw for just 128 yards against FSU last week. N.C. State has averaged just 13 points, while losing it's last three games. Last week's loss to FSU doesn't tell us much, but a home loss to Syracuse and a loss on the road to Wake Forest are quite telling. The Wolfpack have seen the total go below the number in nine of it's last 10 home games, and today's total is actually higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take the Tar Heels. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-13 | North Carolina v. NC State UNDER 57.5 | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC@NCST to go UNDER the total.
A tough schedule has taken it's toll on the Tar Heels, and they only have two wins in their first seven games. They snapped a four game losing streak with a win on the road over Boston College last week, and their defense came up big, holding the Eagles to just 57 yards passing. The Wolfpack might have a tough time passing this week, with backup quarterback Brandon Mitchell who has yet to throw a touchdown this season, and threw for just 128 yards against FSU last week. N.C. State has averaged just 13 points, while losing it's last three games. Last week's loss to FSU doesn't tell us much, but a home loss to Syracuse and a loss on the road to Wake Forest are quite telling. The Wolfpack have seen the total go below the number in nine of it's last 10 home games, and today's total is actually higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-13 | Wisconsin v. Iowa UNDER 48.5 | Top | 28-9 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WIS@IOWA to go UNDER the total.
Two of the best defenses in the Big Ten conference will be showcased in Iowa this Saturday, with the Hawkeyes hosting the Wisconsin Badgers. The Hawkeyes are coming off an impressive 17-10 victory over Northwestern last week. Iowa is ranked 12th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just over 18 points per game. It's not like they have had a soft schedule either, they've played Northern Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Northwestern, teams that have all spent time in the top 25 rankings this season. Two weeks ago they went into Columbus and pushed the Buckeyes to the brink, in a game that was tied until Ohio State scored 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to win 34-24. The Badgers have lost 2-of-3 on the road, although they really got hosed in the desert, in a game that they likely would have won had the officials not botched the call on the final play of the game. The Hawkeyes have covered the points in seven of their last nine meetings with the Badgers, and they won six of those seven games outright. I am expecting another close, low scoring affair between these two teams this Saturday. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-13 | USC v. Oregon State -175 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -175 | 40 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the Oregon State Beavers.
The Beavers were rolling, winners of six straight until they ran into Stanford last week. They will try to get back on track at home tonight against the Trojans, who haven't won in Oregon for almost a decade. The Trojans have the tough task of facing the country's top passing defense, and quarterback Sean Mannion who leads the nation with 3263 yards and 30 TDs on the season. The Cardinal defense was successful in slowing down Mannion and Cooks last week, but USC hasn't had much success against top flight offenses. The Trojans were lit up in a 62-41 loss to the Sun Devils in Arizona, and they allowed 30 points to the Wildcats at home a week later. USC has lost each of it's last two games on the road, and the Trojans lone victory away from L.A. came against the lowly Hawaiian Warriors. The Trojans passing game doesn't pose much of a threat, and I can't see them scoring enough points to keep up with the Beavers. Even if they play well, no lead will be safe against Oregon State. Take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-13 | Cincinnati Bengals -1 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 20-22 | Loss | -126 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bengals.
Miami jumped all over the Pats in New England on Sunday, taking a 17-3 lead to the locker room at the half. Tom Brady wouldn't be denied though, and he came out and tied the game halfway through the third quarter, and the Pats went on to win 27-17. The Fish return home to face Cincinnati on Thursday night, and the Bengals have won 4 straight. Still, they tell me the sharp money is on Miami here tonight. After all, we all know the sharps play the home dog, and only suckers play road favorites. I'm not buying it! The Dolphins offensive line has been hanging Tannehill out to dry all season long, and now they have a starting tackle who's left the team because his teammates were poling fun at him. Tannehill was sacked six times in the loss to New England, and he's been picked off four times in his last two starts. The Bengals offense got off to a slow start, but it seems like they are getting better every week. Miami's 20th ranked pass defense is going to have a tough time slowing down the hottest quarterback in the league, and a talented group of wide-outs. Take Cincy. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-13 | Cincinnati -2.5 v. Memphis | Top | 34-21 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats.
Cincinnati has been very impressive winning back to back games over Temple and Connecticut. Both those games were at home though, and they lost to the South Florida Bulls in their last road game. That was a difficult game for the Bearcats, and they were playing with heavy hearts after losing teammate Ben Flick who was killed in a car crash that injured two other players. It appeared that their heads weren't in the game, as costly fumbles and a blocked FG returned for a touchdown proved to be too much to overcome. I expect Cincinnati to have moved on, and we shouldn't see such a sloppy performance tonight in Memphis. They face a Tigers team that has just one victory this season, and has lost three straight, two of those at home. The Southern Methodist Mustangs handed them a loss in their last game at home, despite turning the ball over three times. The Tigers defense wasn't able to stop the Mustangs from moving the ball, and it's not going to get any easier tonight against the Bearcats. Take Cincy. GL Jesse Schule |
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10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. St Louis Rams | Top | 14-9 | Loss | -110 | 210 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
They used to say the Seahawks couldn't win on the road, but after last Thursday's blowout win in Arizona, Seattle has won five of it's last six road games. The Seahawks will face the Rams on Monday Night Football, and St. Louis is reeling after losing starting quarterback Sam Bradford. Backup Kellen Clemens will be the starter on Monday, and he's going to be in tough against this Seattle defense. Last week they sacked Carson Palmer seven times, forcing a pair of interceptions. The Rams offense wasn't exactly lighting it up with Bradford under center, and it's not likely going to be any better with Clemens. St. Louis has really missed Steven Jackson, as they haven't been able to establish anything with the running game, averaging just 70 yards per game. Running on Seattle doesn't come easy, Seattle has held opponents to just over 90 yards per game. Stopping the run will be a big concern for the Rams, as Marshawn Lynch is the league's second leading rusher. The Rams are bound to make mistakes with a new quarterback under center, and that's a recipe for disaster against this opportunistic Seattle defense. I expect to see an ugly game, filled with turnovers, and when the dust settles, the visitors will win in a blowout. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +10 | Top | 44-31 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
The Vikings looked awful on Monday Night, losing 23-7 to the Giants. Josh Freeman completed just 20-of-53 passes, in what many described as the worst quarterback performance they have ever seen. Adrian Peterson wasn't any more impressive, running for a season low 28 yards on 13 carries. We should see Christian Ponder back under center tonight, filling in for Freeman who is suffering from a concussion. The Vikes lost all three games Ponder has started this season, but all those games were competitive. It was Ponder at quarterback the last time these teams played in Minnesota, and he had a big game, throwing for 234 yards and three TDs in a 37-34 victory. The Packers have put together three straight wins despite a rash of injuries, but with Jermichael Finley going down last week, Aaron Rodgers doesn't have many healthy targets left. This could be the week that all those injuries start to catch up to the Packers, who are being asked to cover an inflated spread on the road. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-13 | Washington Redskins v. Denver Broncos UNDER 59.5 | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@DEN to go UNDER the total.
When the bookmakers saw this game on the schedule, they knew the public would be scrambling to bet on the over between two of the highest scoring teams in the NFL. Even with a total that opened sky high, still the money has come in on the over pushing it even higher. It's easy to see why people expect this to be a high scoring tilt, after all, Denver has seen the total go over the number in each of it's last 10 games dating back to last season. Keep in mind though, today's total is far higher than it was in any of those games. Last week the Redskins and the Bears played a game with the score looking like a basketball game at halftime (45-41). The thing is, all those points the Skins scored last week, all the touchdown passes that Manning has thrown this season, and all the touchdowns that the Washington defense has allowed... none of those count against the score in this game. It's a new week, a new game, and anything can, and probably will happen. It takes a lot of things to go right for both teams offensively to combine for over 60 points, and not a lot has to go wrong to see just one of these offenses stall, resulting in the total going under. The Broncos scored 35 points in a win over Jacksonville in their last home game, and the total landed on 54 points. It seems like a lot to ask for these teams to score much more this Sunday. Take the Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 141 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.
Last week in New York we saw the long awaited return of TE Rob Gronkowski. He made an immediate impact with eight catches for 114 yards. This is good news for Tom Brady who has done an amazing job leading the Patriots to a 5-2 record despite missing so many key players on offense. The pieces are starting to come together on the offensive side of the ball for New England, but this week it's the defense that could be a concern. Vince Wilfork and Jered Mayo are gone for the season, and Tommy Kelly and Aqib Talib are both questionable after missing last week's game in New York. Still, this Dolphins offense might not be able to take advantage of a wounded Pats defensive unit. Miami has lost three straight, and Ryan Tannehill has taken a beating in those games. He's been sacked a dozen times, and he's tossed five picks during that span. The return of Danny Amendola will add give Brady another weapon, and I can't see the fish being able to keep up at Foxboro. Take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +17 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jags will face the San Francisco 49ers in London this Sunday, and it's no surprise that they are a sizable underdog. They are still looking for their first victory of the season, and they have only covered the spread once, losing by a 26 margin to the Broncos in Denver with an opening line of 26.5. That game was a prime example of a point spread that was just too high, despite a clear mismatch. Today's line isn't quite as high, but this game isn't nearly as clear a mismatch either. With both teams traveling overseas, there are a whole new set of variable to take into consideration, and ultimately this plays into the hand of the underdog. Jacksonville lost 24-6 to San Diego last Sunday, but that game was perhaps close than the score would lead you to believe. Chad Henne has moved the ball well in his last two starts, throwing for over 620 yards, but he'll need to make better decisions as he's thrown three picks with no TDs. I expect the Jags to come to play here, and it should be a competitive game. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-13 | Penn State +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 14-63 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions.
The Buckeyes survived a scare from Iowa last week, in a game that was tied heading into the fourth quarter. OSU scored 10 unanswered points in the final period to win 34-24, moving to 7-0. While they remain undefeated, the Buckeyes haven't dominated their opponents in Big Ten play, all three of their in conference games have been decided by 10 points or less. Penn State defeated the Wolverines 43-40 in overtime last week, and they'll look to bring that momentum into this contest versus another divisional opponent. Christian Hackenberg threw for 305 yards and three TDs in the win over Michigan last week. Penn State's offense has moved the ball effectively all season, ranking 26th with an average of over 280 yards passing per contest. The Buckeyes defense is starting to show cracks, and this could be the week that those cracks start to really open up. I'm pretty confident that the Nittany Lions can hang around, avoiding a loss by more than two scores. Take Penn State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-13 | Temple +14.5 v. SMU | Top | 49-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Temple Owls.
After starting the season 0-6, the Owls finally got the money off their backs with a win at home over Army last Saturday. They will head out on the road this week, getting a whole ton of points against a very mediocre Mustangs team. Southern Methodist is coming off a win on the road versus Memphis, just it's second win of the season. SMU has just one victory in three home games, and that was by just a one point margin, winning 31-30 over Montana State. With a defense that is allowing over 40 points per game, it's mind boggling that the Mustangs come in as a big favorite. The Owls might have but a single victory, but they've avoided getting blown out against some tough teams. They covered in Week 1 playing the Irish at South Bend, and they kept it close enough to beat the spread in losses to Louisville and Cincinnati as well. This appears to be a very winnable game for the Owls, don't be surprised to see a close game here. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-13 | Vanderbilt +17 v. Texas A&M | Top | 24-56 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.
After losing outright to Auburn at home last week, the Aggies opened as a double digit favorite over the Commodores this Saturday. That's asking a lot of team that's defense is nothing short of a disaster. Texas A&M is allowing just under 500 yards per game, the 6th worst total defense in the country. The Tigers ran all over them last week, running for 379 yards. This is great news for the Commodores, who will likely start backup quarterback Patton Robinette, who had to come in last week to replace Austyn Carta-Samuels in the win over Georgia. If the Aggies can't stop the run, there won't be any reason to put pressure on Robinette, limiting him to short easy passes. This Vandy team has played close games against the likes of Ole Miss and South Carolina on the road, so It's not asking a lot to hang around versus an Aggies team that allows almost as many points as they score. Johnny Football is dealing with a sore shoulder, but he will start. He took some tough knocks last week, and threw a couple picks, but that didn't stop him from throwing for over 450 yards and four TDs. I believe the popularity of the Heisman candidate results in an inflated line, and the Aggies shouldn't be giving up more than a TD here. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-13 | Boise State v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars.
Boise State comes into Provo Friday night with a 5-2 record, but the Broncos have not looked good against top tier teams this season. The began the year with an ugly loss in Washington, getting blown out 38-6 by the Huskies. Joe Southwick only threw for 152 yards with no TDs and an interception in that game. With Southwick sidelined with an ankle injury, the Broncos hand the reigns to Grant Hedrick. He wasn't all that impressive in his first start of the season, only throwing for 150 yards without getting in the endzone, and tossing an interception. Those are some pretty poor numbers against a Nevada defense that has allowed an average of over 37 points per game (116th in the nation). This Cougars defense hasn't put up the numbers they did last year, but they are still more than capable of terrorizing an inexperienced quarterback. Last year these two teams played an epic defensive battle that ended with a final score of 7-6, with the Broncos winning on the blue turf. This season's version of the Cougar defense is allowing an average of 21 points per game, quite respectable, but a far cry from numbers they put up last year. Still, we've seen them come up big at home, with wins over Texas, Utah State and Georgia Tech. Expect to see BYU shut down the Broncos backup signal caller, winning and covering in a low scoring affair. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-13 | Boise State v. BYU UNDER 61 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BSU@BYU to go UNDER the total. Boise State comes into Provo Friday night with a 5-2 record, but the Broncos have not looked good against top tier teams this season. The began the year with an ugly loss in Washington, getting blown out 38-6 by the Huskies. Joe Southwick only threw for 152 yards with no TDs and an interception in that game. With Southwick sidelined with an ankle injury, the Broncos hand the reigns to Grant Hedrick. He wasn't all that impressive in his first start of the season, only throwing for 150 yards without getting in the endzone, and tossing an interception. Those are some pretty poor numbers against a Nevada defense that has allowed an average of over 37 points per game (116th in the nation). This Cougars defense hasn't put up the numbers they did last year, but they are still more than capable of terrorizing an inexperienced quarterback. Last year these two teams played an epic defensive battle that ended with a final score of 7-6, with the Broncos winning on the blue turf. This season's version of the Cougar defense is allowing an average of 21 points per game, quite respectable, but a far cry from numbers they put up last year. Still, we've seen them come up big at home, with wins over Texas, Utah State and Georgia Tech. Expect to see BYU shut down the Broncos backup signal caller, winning and covering in a low scoring affair. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-13 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -120 | 57 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs.
Tampa is still winless at 0-6, and they will be an underdog at home to Carolina on Thursday. The Panthers are coming off back to back blowout wins over the Rams and the Vikes, but I don't expect their offense to be as successful in Tampa. Carolina relies heavily on their running attack for offense, and that's likely going to be a problem, as Tampa is only allowing an average of 88 yards per game. In last week's loss to Atlanta, the Falcons only gained 18 yards on the ground. Half of the Bucs losses have come in games decided by three points or less, and two of those three games were at home in Raymond James Stadium. With a rookie quarterback under center, and starting running back Doug Martin injured, the Bucs offense is in rough shape. Still, the Panthers one-dimensional offense ranks 28th in the NFL in passing, and up against a stout Bucs run defense, there could be trouble if Newton is forced to pass. I'm expecting this to be an ugly game, not pretty to watch, dominated by defense and decided by less than a TD. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-13 | Kentucky +10.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats.
Both the Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs are positioned at the bottom of the SEC standings, with a combined conference record of 0-5. One of these teams is going to get it's first conference victory tonight, and it's the home team that is the big favorite. At 1-5, it's easy to see why the Wildcats are getting a bunch of points on the road. When you look at their schedule though, they've played four straight games against elite top 25 teams, and one of those was a 7-point loss to the Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium. The Bulldogs have a better record, and better numbers on both offense and defense, but they've played a much softer schedule. Last week they barely beat Bowling Green, winning 21-20 at home. Kentucky ranks 89th in the nation on defense, allowing 29 points per game, but given that they've played Alabama, South Carolina, Louisville and Florida, I see those numbers as pretty solid. They held the Gators and the Cardinals below 30 points, and the score didn't get out of hand in either of those games. I'm expecting tonight's game to be a low scoring affair, and I think the Wildcats will have a chance to upset an overrated opponent. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-13 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State UNDER 56 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UK@MSST to go UNDER the total.
Both the Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs are positioned at the bottom of the SEC standings, with a combined conference record of 0-5. One of these teams is going to get it's first conference victory tonight, and it's the home team that is the big favorite. At 1-5, it's easy to see why the Wildcats are getting a bunch of points on the road. When you look at their schedule though, they've played four straight games against elite top 25 teams, and one of those was a 7-point loss to the Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium. The Bulldogs have a better record, and better numbers on both offense and defense, but they've played a much softer schedule. Last week they barely beat Bowling Green, winning 21-20 at home. Kentucky ranks 89th in the nation on defense, allowing 29 points per game, but given that they've played Alabama, South Carolina, Louisville and Florida, I see those numbers as pretty solid. They held the Gators and the Cardinals below 30 points, and the score didn't get out of hand in either of those games. I'm expecting tonight's game to be a low scoring affair, and I think the Wildcats will have a chance to upset an overrated opponent. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-13 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arkansas State +3 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves.
Two of the top teams in the Sun Belt Conference face off on Tuesday night, and the 4-2 Ragin' Cajuns are laying points on the road versus Arkansas State. The Red Wolves were underdogs on the road last year, but they made the home team look bad in a 50-27 blowout win. Despite the fact the Ragin' Cajuns come in with a better record, I don't see any reason why we won't see a similar story this time around. Arkansas State hasn't had an easy schedule by any stretch of the imagination, with two of their losses coming to SEC powerhouses Auburn and Missouri. They haven't lost at home yet this season, and they only lost one home game all of last year. The Red Wolves quarterback Adam Kennedy had his best game of the season at home last week, throwing for 375 yards and four TDs in the win over Idaho. Take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -180 | Top | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
8* analysis coming soon
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10-20-13 | Denver Broncos -5.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 33-39 | Loss | -108 | 159 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos.
For the first time ever, Peyton Manning will start a game in Indianapolis as the visiting quarterback. That's not good news for the Colts, who are coming off a short week, and they really didn't look good in San Diego losing. The Colts have good numbers defending the pass, ranking 5th in the NFL allowing just over 200 yards per game. Don't kid yourself though, they aren't going to be able to stop Manning and this Denver offense from moving the chains. The Colts have really struggled defending the run, and that's good news for Knowshon Moreno, who ran the ball in three times last week. Denver owns the toughest run defense in the NFL, and if they can take away the Colt's ability to run the football, it will put more pressure on Andrew Luck. Luck will also have to worry about Von Miller, who makes his season debut coming back from suspension. The 6-0 Broncos have won all but one of their games by double-digits, the only exception was their win in Dallas. Tony Romo had the game of his life in that game, throwing for over 500 yards, and it still wasn't enough. I don't think Andrew is going to be so Lucky tonight. Take Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-13 | Houston Texans v. Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -102 | 155 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs.
When Matt Schaub was carted off with an injury in last week's loss to the Rams, Houston fans cheered. Well, be careful what you wish for, because they'll have a third string quarterback under center this Sunday in Kansas City. Case Keenum was 9-for-13 for 128 yards and a touchdown in the Texans last game of the pre-season versus Dallas. He might find life a lot more difficult now that the bullets are flying for real in the regular season, on the road at Arrowhead facing the 6-0 Chiefs. The Texans have been great against the pass, allowing a league low 131 yards per game, but they have really struggled against the run, allowing 121 yards per game (25th). Jamaal Charles has been a beast for Kansas City, running for 475 yards and averaging 4.2 yards per carry so far. The Texans may not be as bad as they have looked the past four weeks, but that doesn't mean they can compete with an undefeated Chiefs team with their third string quarterback. I'm expecting the home team to win by double digits here. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Green Bay Packers -9.5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on The Green Bay Packers.
There is a lot of buzz about the Packers injury woes, with Clay Matthews and Randall Cobb the most notable players not expected to play this Sunday. The result is that the Pack are only being asked to cover single digits against a Cleveland team that has looked awful with Brandon Weeden under center. The Browns have been blown out in all three of the games that Weeden has started this year, and he looked terrible at home last week. Weeden was picked off twice in the loss to the Lions, and he's now thrown five interceptions, one more than he has TDs for the season. A trip to Lambeau is often a recipe for disaster for a struggling quarterback. The Packers have been able to lean on their running game, with rookie Eddy Lacy gaining 219 yards on 46 carries the last two weeks. Even without Cobb, I don't think Aaron Rodgers will have any trouble moving the ball at home with Jermichael Finley and Jordy Nelson as healthy targets. I'm expecting this game to be a one-sided affair, with Green Bay getting in the endzone early and often. Take the Pack GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers -165 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers.
Hold the presses, start planning the parade, Jake Locker is back at quarterback for the Titans this week. No disrespect to Jake, but I think people are overreacting, thinking this gives the Titans a chance to beat the Niners on Sunday. I'm not a big fan of San Fran, but they have turned things around since losing back to back games to Seattle and Indianapolis. Frank Gore has run for 335 yards the last three weeks, and the Titans haven't had a lot of success stopping the run. Colin Kaepernick hasn't been perfect, but he's thrown five TDs and just one INT while winning three straight starts. The Titans are likely to have their hands full with Vernon Davis, who caught eight passes for 180 yards and two TDs last week. Running back Chris Johnson has run for fewer than 100 yards total, over the past three weeks. He doesn't have a single 100 yard performance in any game this season. I just don't think Jake Locker is in a great spot to make his return to the lineup. Take the Niners. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -1 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -129 | 151 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Lions have looked pretty impressive winning four of six so far this season. Both of their losses came on the road, and they were missing key players in each of those games. Reggie Bush didn't play in the 2nd half of the loss at Arizona, while Calvin Johnson didn't play two weeks ago in Green Bay. Bush looked pretty healthy last week, running four 78 yards and catching five passes for 57 yards and a TD. Calvin Johnson didn't play a big role in his first game back from injury, but after resting another week he should be a threat tonight against the Bengals. The Bengals have lost 2-of-3 on the road, and they just barely got past Buffalo, needing overtime to win last week. Andy Dalton has been inconsistent at best for the Bengals, while Matthew Stafford ranks fourth in the NFL with 1772 passing yards and 12 TDs. The Bengals have struggled on the road, and both of the two teams they lost to (CHI & CLE) didn't just lose to the Lions, but were blown out. The home team is only being asked to cover a few points, and I can't see that being too difficult. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-13 | Buffalo Bills +9.5 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills.
The Dolphins got off to a 3-0 start to the season, but they've since lost back to back games to New Orleans and Baltimore. Protecting the quarterback has been a huge problem for Miami, as Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 24 times. With a quarterback that takes a beating, and a running game that ranks 29th in the NFL, it boggles my mind that the Fish can be giving up more than seven points to anybody. Buffalo is likely to start rookie Thad Lewis at quarterback again this week, and he was impressive at times in last week's overtime loss to the Bengals. Lewis completed 19-of-32 for 216 yards an a pair of TDs, and he ran in one more. The Bills running game has been picking up steam, and they now rank 3rd in the NFL averaging almost 150 yards per game on the ground. I can't see any reason to expect Miami to win handily here, I think this will be a close game, and I wouldn't be surprised if it's decided by a FG. Take the points. GL, Jesse |
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10-19-13 | Oregon State -10 v. California | Top | 49-17 | Win | 100 | 88 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Beavers.
I bet on the Beavers in Washington last week, as well as giving out a free play on the total to go OVER. I nailed both, as the Beavers ran away with it by a score of 52-24. This is the same Cougars team that doubled up on Cal 44-22 in Berkley the week earlier. Now the Beavers and their high octane offense are will see if they can run up the score against this sad sacked Cal team. The Beavers really went to town on Cal last year, blowing out the Bears by a score of 62-14 in Oregon. Oregon State's quarterback Sean Mannion leads the nation in passing yards with 2511 yards and 25 TDs. His best game was his last, with just shy of 500 yards and four TDs. The Bears defense has allowed over 43 points per game this year, and I don't think they have any chance of slowing down Mannion and the Beavers. Take ORST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-13 | USC v. Notre Dame -2.5 | Top | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 85 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.
I spent the better part of last season telling everyone that the Irish were overrated. I watched them awkwardly put together an undefeated season, setting up a date with Alabama in the BCS Title Game. I bet on the Crimson Tide for the game, as well as the half, and threw in a play on the total to go over.. cashing in with the 3-0 card. At the beginning of this season, I predicted that Notre Dame would fall out of the top 25 rankings in the first few weeks of the season, which they did. Needless to say, I'm not a big fan of the Irish. That being said, while some might think this year's squad is nowhere near as good as the team that ran the table last year, I really don't think they are that far off. The Irish can still play tough defense, especially at home. It was less than a year ago that the Irish defeated the Trojans in California. It's bound to be even tougher for USC on the road, with a QB that hasn't really been able to move the ball effectively, even against average defenses. Last week at home versus Arizona, Kessler completed just 15-of-30 attempts, and he's facing a much stronger defense in a hostile environment today. The Irish have fallen out of favor with the betting public, but I think the time to buy on Notre Dame is now. Take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-13 | Auburn +14 v. Texas A&M | Top | 45-41 | Win | 100 | 81 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Auburn Tigers.
The Aggies are 5-1, and their only loss came in a relatively close game against Alabama. They've scored at least 40 points in every single game they've played this year, but they haven't exactly been keeping opponents out of the endzone. Texas A&M has allowed an average of 32 points per game, worse than 95 other schools. Last week they came back in the fourth quarter to tie the score in Mississippi in the final minutes, then kicked the winning FG as time expired. Ole Miss racked up 329 passing yards and five TDs against the A&M secondary. This is the same Mississippi team that Auburn defeated 30-22 the previous week. The Tigers have put up some pretty impressive numbers defensively when you consider their tough schedule. They rank 20th in the nation, allowing opponents an average of under 19 points per game. While the "hype" surrounding these teams is miles apart, these teams aren't so different talent wise. The home team is giving up an awful lot of points all things considered. Take the points. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-18-13 | Central Florida +13 v. Louisville | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 61 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UCF Knights.
The public loves Louisville at home in this Friday night clash with UCF, but I'm not about to lay all those points on the home team who is facing their toughest test of the season. I've seen people on the forums saying: "Lou is allowing an average of 7.3 points per game and UCF is allowing an average of 16.6 points per game. Lou will score on average 41 a game with UCF doing 31." If that's the kind of logic (or lack thereof) that you use to handicap games, then you're probably making your bookmaker a very happy man. Sure the Cardinal rank 1st in the nation in points allowed, but they have padded their stats against some pretty soft competition, while UCF has played the likes of the Gamecocks and Nittany Lions. The Knights won on the road in Happy Valley, upsetting Penn State 34-31, and they came very near to pulling off the upset at home against South Carolina, losing 28-25. Louisville might be without two of it's top receivers, as DeVante Parker is nursing a shoulder injury, and Kai De La Cruz is suffering from pulled groin. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater was a little off last week, tossing a pick in the endzone and losing a fumble in a 24-10 win over Rutgers. It won't get any easier against a UCF defense that is allowing just 16.6 points per game, ranking just out of the top 10 (11th in the nation). The fact that the Knights have played a tougher schedule, makes their defensive numbers that much more impressive. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 34-22 | Win | 100 | 165 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
Seattle is 5-1 heading into Thursday night's game in Arizona, but some still say the Seahawks can't win on the road. They did lose to the Colts two weeks ago in Indianapolis, suffering their only loss of the season. The two games they won on the road saw them come from behind late, and winning by a slim margin. Tonight they are being asked to cover a relatively large number as a road favorite, but there is a good reason for that. Carson Palmer does not perform well against top defenses, and that was evident in a loss to San Francisco last week. Palmer completed just 25-of-41 attempts, tossing a pair of INTS, putting him at 11 picks on the season. That's four more interceptions than touchdowns (7), and 9-of-11 have come in the last four games. The last time these two teams faced each other, it was a complete massacre, with the Seahawks winning 58-0. Marshawn Lynch ran for 128 yards and three TDs on just 11 carries. Frank Gore lit up the Arizona defense for over 100 yards last week, and facing Lynch who ranks 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards, is going to be a daunting task. Seattle's secondary is widely considered to be the best in the NFL, last week they limited Titans QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to 171 yards on 17-of-29, with a pair of INTs. I expect to see Palmer have a rough night at home Thursday. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts -111 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Indianapolis Colts.
The Seattle Seahawks were supposed to have the toughest defense in the NFL, or at least that's what everyone was saying until Andrew Luck picked them apart last weekend. The Colts moved to 4-1, and they have impressive victories against the Seahawks at home, and on the road in San Francisco. The Chargers on the other hand lost to the Raiders in Oakland last week, and it was even worse than the 27-17 score would indicate. Phillip Rivers was picked off three times by a very mediocre Oakland defense, and Ryan Mathews suffered a concussion. The Chargers couldn't get anything going with their running game, with just 36 yards on 19 carries. The Chargers host the Colts tonight, and Indianapolis seems well suited to deal with this pass happy San Diego offense. The Colts rank 5th in the NFL against the pass, with opponents averaging just over 200 yards per game. The Colts were dealt a blow losing Ahmad Bradshaw for the rest of the season with a neck injury, but with a backup named Trent Richardson, don't think that a sub-par San Diego run defense will have an easy match-up tonight. When you look at the Chargers record (2-3), you should take into consideration that none of their five previous opponents have a winning record. Tonight they are facing a true contender, and we should see the step up in competition prove to be too much for this team to handle. Take INDY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-13 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys -5 | Top | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
Last week the Cowboys hosted the mighty Denver Broncos, a team that some are saying is the "best they've ever seen." Dallas matched the Broncos blow for blow, and Tony Romo had a banner day throwing for over 500 yards and five TDs. With the score tied and just over two minutes to play, it was a costly interception by Romo that opened the door for Denver to kick a game winning field goal. The Washington Redskins are in town tonight, and this is a team that earned it's only win of the year two weeks ago in Oakland. Washington went down 14-0 early, but came back to win on the road by a score of 24-14. Aside from that lone win against one of the least talented teams in the league, the Skins have been unable to stop anyone defensively. They rank last in the NFL against the run, and not much better against the pass. While the Cowboys have lost 3-of-5, lets not forget that two of those three losses came against undefeated teams, by a combined total of four points. I expect this game to go back and forth, with both teams scoring their share of points, but I'm going to have to take the Cowgirls at home against a Washington team with a terrible defense. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-13 | New Orleans Saints +3 v. New England Patriots | Top | 27-30 | Push | 0 | 134 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.
The Patriots have looked pretty vulnerable this season, even in wins over Buffalo, New York Jets, and Tampa Bay. Things finally caught up with them last week in Cincinnati, not only did they lose, but the game was an absolute disaster. Tom Brady completed just 18-of-38 passes, getting picked off and failing to score a TD. For weeks we have been hearing that TE Rob Gronkowski has looked great in practice, and his return is all but imminent. He's not in the lineup today though, and now there are rumblings that his teammates are questioning whether he'll return at all this season. This leaves Danny Amendola as the only true receiving threat, and it's not even a guarantee that he will play on Sunday. If he does, he's far from 100%, and just one big hit away from another lengthy stay on the IR. Meanwhile, the Saints are starting to look like the Championship squad of 2010, off to a 5-0 start to the season, and dominating on both sides of the ball. Brady and Belichick have been holding this team together by a thread, and I think it's all about to unravel for the Patriots. Take the Saints. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-13 | Detroit Lions -2.5 v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 130 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
Football fans in Cleveland are starting to get pretty excited about their Browns, but let's be realistic. The Browns had to come from behind to beat Buffalo last week, only after the Bills lost their quarterback and two of their top receivers. The Lions are surely going to prove to be a tougher test than a Bills team with Jeff Tuel at quarterback throwing to third string receivers. Cleveland's biggest concern might be their quarterback, as Brian Hoyer was lost for the season. It was Hoyer under center in all three of the Browns wins, while Brandon Weeden has completed just over 50% off his passes, throwing three picks and just a single TD in two losses. The biggest factor for the Lions is going to be the status of their star wide-out Calvin Johnson, who is listed as a game time decision. I'm expecting Johnson to play, he did practice on Thursday, and his injury is not considered serious. Reggie Bush struggled last week in Green Bay, and part of the season for that was Johnson's absence, allowing the Packers to load up against the run. While Cleveland has been successful stopping the run this year, they did allow 155 yards rushing to Buffalo last week. If Johnson plays, I expect the Lions to win big, and if he can't go, I still like their chances of sneaking away with a victory. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | Oregon State v. Washington State OVER 62 | 52-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on ORST@WSU to go OVER the total.
Saturday night's Pac-12 showdown between the Beavers and the Cougars features two of the top 3 quarterbacks in the country (statistically). Oregon State's Sean Mannion leads the nation in passing yards with 2018, while Connor Halliday is third with 1993. The Beavers lost their season opener to Eastern Washington, but have since won four straight. The Cougars were blown out at home by Stanford two weeks ago, but bounce back with a lop-sided win over Cal this weekend. Both teams rely on an all out aerial attack, while neither team has had much success defensively. Oregon State is coming off a bye week, after a blowout win over the Colorado Buffaloes in Oregon at the end of September. The Beavers have likely used the added time off to put together an elaborate bag of tricks on offense. Oregon State has won five of the last six meetings, and each of their last three visits to Washington. Two of those three games saw the total go over the number, and all three were blowouts, decided by 20+ points. With the Beavers defense not what it was in past seasons, this one might be a little closer, and both teams should find the endzone early and often. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | Oregon State +1 v. Washington State | Top | 52-24 | Win | 100 | 115 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon State Beavers.
Saturday night's Pac-12 showdown between the Beavers and the Cougars features two of the top 3 quarterbacks in the country (statistically). Oregon State's Sean Mannion leads the nation in passing yards with 2018, while Connor Halliday is third with 1993. The Beavers lost their season opener to Eastern Washington, but have since won four straight. The Cougars were blown out at home by Stanford two weeks ago, but bounce back with a lop-sided win over Cal this weekend. Both teams rely on an all out aerial attack, while neither team has had much success defensively. Oregon State is coming off a bye week, after a blowout win over the Colorado Buffaloes in Oregon at the end of September. The Beavers have likely used the added time off to put together an elaborate bag of tricks on offense. Oregon State has won five of the last six meetings, and each of their last three visits to Washington. Two of those three games saw the total go over the number, and all three were blowouts, decided by 20+ points. With the Beavers defense is not what it was in past seasons, this one might be a little closer, but after seeing the Cougars give up 55 points to Stanford, who's offense hasn't scored 45 against any other team in five games, I think they're gonna struggle against Oregon State. Take the BEAVERS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | Boise State v. Utah State UNDER 51 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BSU@USU to go UNDER the total.
The Aggies have lost their starting quarterback Chuckie Keeton, and his replacement hasn't inspired much confidence so far. With Craig Harrison taking over for the injured Keeton, the Aggies are a sizable underdog at home. Harrison completed just 18-of-41 passes after coming in against BYU last week, and the Aggies went on to lose 31-14 at home. I'm still not convinced that Boise State can come to town and run away with the game like BYU did. The Broncos have scored points on weak defenses, but when they found themselves playing the Huskies on the road, they only managed a pair of field goals. The Aggies still have a strong defense, and I think they will keep the score close. We've seen Utah State play three straight low scoring games, with the number going under the total. With a backup quarterback starting for the home team, expect another low total tonight. Take the UNDER. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | Georgia Tech v. BYU UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT@BYU to go UNDER the total.
The Cougars defense just continues to terrorize the opposition, last week rolling over Utah State, and injuring their quarterback for the rest of the season. I've bet the UNDER in every game BYU has played so far, and I've cashed in winning tickets in four of the five. With such an obvious trend, I would expect tonight's total to be below 50, but instead we see a total well over the 50 mark. The visiting Yellow Jackets have hit the wall, losing back-to-back games to Miami and Virginia Tech. They were held to just 10 points in a 17-10 loss at home to the Hokies, and I don't see any reason for them to enjoy anymore success tonight. The Cougars are known to be very tough against the run, and if you take away the run, the Yellow Jackets might as well waive a white flag. The Yellow Jackets have seen the total fall below the number in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record, while BYU has seen the total go under in 5-of-6 overall. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | Baylor -17 v. Kansas State | Top | 35-25 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor.
"I've said it before, and I'll make no apologies for saying it again! The Bears might just be the best team in the country. I mean, outside of Oregon, what other team could put up 70 points three weeks in a row, while holding opponents to an average of 16.3 points. This week's thrashing of West Virginia should put the rest of the country on notice, this Baylor team is the real deal. West Virginia might not be a top 25 team, but they did upset the Oklahoma State Cowboys, and their defense limited the Sooners to just 16 points in a losing effort in Oklahoma" On the road for the first time this season, we will see if this Bears team is all it's cracked up to be. The Wildcats are not the same team they were last year, and even a year ago they had a difficult time trying to keep up to this high octane Bears offense. The Wildcats were in the hunt for the national title last season, until they lost to Baylor in Texas by a score of 52-24. Now the public is all over Baylor here, as they are starting to look like the next Oregon or Alabama. Sure they are giving up a lot of points on the road, but all things considered, three scores isn't that unreasonable for a team that's averaged 70 points per game and a margin of victory of 50+. Take the Bears. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-13 | South Carolina v. Arkansas OVER 50.5 | Top | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SCAR@ARK to go OVER the total.
South Carolina has been making news for all the wrong reasons this week, and I pegged the Gamecocks as the most overrated team in my weekly column (Exposing the top 25). Here is what I had to say: "The Gamecocks have not looked good, failing to cover the points in each of their last three games. Making matters worse for the underachieving squad, their star DE sat out last week with what ESPN's Tim Koen referred to as a "minor or non-existant injury." Coach Steve Spurrier was not at all happy about Clowney's decision not to play, and he's criticized his player publicly, saying: "If Clowney wants to play, we will welcome him to come play for the team if he wants. But if he doesn't want to play, he doesn't have to play. Simple as that." Clowney is supposed to play in today's game, but it seems very apparent that his hear isn't in it. He's simply biding his time until he get's the big paycheck when he's drafted by an NFL team. He's more worried about avoiding injury than he is about helping his team, and that doesn't sit well with his coach. South Carolina barely got by Kentucky last week in Columbia, and the Wildcats put up 28 points on the road in a 35--28 loss. Since Week 1, the Gamecocks have allowed 25+ points in each of their last four games. Not the kind of numbers that were expected from them before the season started. The are in Arkansas today, facing a Razorbacks team that has lost three straight. Their defense looked particularly vulnerable in a 28-24 loss to Rutgers on the road three weeks ago, and they've since lost by double digits to Texas A&M and Florida. We've seen the total go over the number in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams, yet today's total is still pretty low. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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