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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-07-17 | Stanford v. Utah +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Utah Utes. |
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10-07-17 | Washington State -2.5 v. Oregon | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State.
If you were thinking that the Cougars are in a let down spot coming off their biggest ever win over USC, think again. This team is solid on both sides of the ball, and they have a favorable matchup here in Oregon against a one-dimensional Ducks team. The Ducks defense is still well below average, they've given up 26 points per game despite facing five unranked teams. They almost blew a big lead in a 42-35 home win over Nebraska. Losing starting quarterback Justin Herbert with a broken collarbone really hurts, as backup Taylor Alie was just 9-of-13 for 41 yards and an INT when he came in to replace him against Cal. The Cougars have covered the spread in seven straight versus Oregon, winning outright in each of the last two seasons. Take WAZZU. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado UNDER 59 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI@COL to go UNDER the total 1/H. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Â The Patriots are not only suffering from a Super Bowl hangover, but they have been hit hard by the injury bug early this season. They come into Tampa with a 2-2 record and statistically the league's worst defense. Tampa is 2-1 (2-0 at home), and quarterback Jameis Winston is coming off back to back 300+ yard passing performances. Doug Martin returns from suspension, and he's facing a New England defense that has allowed a whopping 5.1 yards per attempt. Only the Jacksonville Jaguars rank worse, allowing 5.7 yards per attempt. The Patriots had no answer for Cam Newton last week at Foxboro, and now they face a far tougher test on the road at Tampa. Jameis Winston is a better passer than Cam, and his receiving corps is by far superior. Great value here with Tampa as a home dog. Â Take TB. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-05-17 | Louisville v. NC State UNDER 67 | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LOU@NCSTATE to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack were crushed in a 54-14 loss at Louisville last year, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here at home on Thursday night. Louisville averaged over 60 points per game in their first four games of last season, but their offense hasn't been nearly as explosive so far this year. They have failed to score 30 points in their last three games at Raleigh. Two of those three games went under the total, and not one of those games saw more than a combined 55 points. The total for tonight's game has been bet up several points since opening at 63, and I think that's a pretty high number when you consider that NC. State is vastly improved on defense. The Wolfpack have gone under in seven straight versus conference rivals, and the under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games on a Thursday. Last week NC State ran the ball for 256 yards and three TDs, and they should find plenty of room to run here in this game. Take UNDER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs UNDER 49.5 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 153 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@KC to go UNDER the total. Take Under. GL, |
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10-01-17 | Rams v. Cowboys OVER 46 | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 28 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on LAR@DAL to go OVER the total.  The Cowboys secondary was lit up by Carson Palmer on Monday night, and I think Dallas is looking very vulnerable here against a well rested Rams teams that has scored a ton of points. Jared Goff threw for 292 yards and three TDs on 22-of-28 passing in last Thursday's win over San Francisco. He's 11-for-11 with five TDs in the red zone. Dallas has it's swagger back on offense, after running for 99 yards and two TDs in the win over Arizona. Ezekiel Elliot may find plenty of room to run here against a Rams defense that currently ranks 28th in the league allowing 139 rushing yards per game. The Rams have given up a whopping six rushing TDs, more than any other team in the NFL. The last time these teams played was in 2014, and Dallas won by a score of 34-31. I expect another offensive slug-fest here this time around.  Take OVER.  GL,  Jesse SchuleÂ
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10-01-17 | Titans -123 v. Texans | 14-57 | Loss | -123 | 121 h 27 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans.  The Houston Texans offense is firing on all cylinders right? They scored 33 points on the road at New England last Sunday, but I think that says more about the Patriots defense than it does about Houston's offense. Deshaun Watson has looked great (for a rookie), but his numbers are still fairly pedestrian. Even after padding his stats against New England's soft defense, he's still completing just 61 percent of his passes with as many INTs as TDs. Speaking of pedestrian numbers, Lamar Miller hasn't been very impressive this season averaging just 3.7 yards per carry with no TDs in three games. The Titans come in off an impressive home win over Seattle, and DeMarco Murray ran for 115 yards and a TD on just 14 carries in the victory. This Tennessee teams is solid on both sides of the ball, and unlike the Texans they have proven that they can find a way to win close games. This looks like a let down spot for Houston, after last week's heartbreaker at Foxboro.  Take TEN.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52 | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@VT to go UNDER the total.
The Clemson Tigers are a heavy favorite on the road at Virginia Tech this week, and I expect this to be a low scoring battle between two solid defensive teams. Clemson's defense has been impressive, ranking 3rd nationally, allowing opponents to average just over nine points per game. Virginia Tech ranks 6th nationally, allowing just over 10 points per game. The Hokies have outscored opponents 65-0 in two home games so far. Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant hasn't played poorly, but his stats aren't all that impressive. He's thrown for 873 yards and has completed 68 percent of his passes, but has just two TDs and three picks in four games. Freshman Josh Jackson has put up far more impressive numbers for the Hokies, but hasn't yet faced an opponent like Clemson. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with six of the last eight meetings going under the total. The Hokies have only scored an average of 16.25 point in their last four games against Clemson, and I doubt they manage much better than that here this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech UNDER 84.5 | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-17 | Arizona State v. Stanford OVER 63 | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-17 | Syracuse v. NC State UNDER 65.5 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@NCST to go UNDER the total. Â The Wolfpack might be in a let down spot here coming off a huge road win at Florida State. The bookmakers are expecting a shootout, setting the total in the mid sixties. While the Orange run a pass happy offense that often results in high scoring games, I don't think it's going to be very effective against this stout Wolfpack defensive line. NC State has gone under in six straight versus ACC teams, while the Orange have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in conference play. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those five previous matchups. Syracuse scored just three first half points on the road at LSU last week. I think this number is simply way too high. Â Take UNDER. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +7 | 31-6 | Loss | -125 | 88 h 10 m | Show | |
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09-28-17 | Bears +7.5 v. Packers | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears.
The Packers are a heavy favorite at home Thursday, facing their most fierce rival the Chicago Bears. Green Bay is off to a shaky start, and I think they are getting too much credit for their 2-1 record. They needed overtime to beat the 0-3 Cincinnati Bengals last week, and their Week 1 win over Seattle was controversial due to poor officiating. Aaron Rodgers was sacked six times on Sunday, and the Packers offensive line is being held together with duct tape and chewing gum. Bryan Bulaga and David Bakhtiari are both doubtful for this game. The game plan for Chicago should be simple, run the ball and hold possession for as long as possible so you can keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers hands. Green Bay currently ranks 21st in the NFL against the run, which is quite telling since they haven't yet faced a team with a potent running game. Jordan Howard ran for 140 yards and two TDs on 23 carries in the win over Pittsburgh last week. He's playing through pain with a sore shoulder, but he wasn't listed in the injury report on Monday. I like Howard to have a big game here at Lambeau, and I think the Bears keep it close. The Bears lost their last game at Green Bay by a score of 26-10, but the Packers led by a score of 6-3 at the half in that game. The under is 4-1 in Chicago's last five games at Green Bay. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona.
Last week the Cowboys were lit up by a below average quarterback. Trevor Siemian threw for 231 yards and four TDs on 22-of-32 passing in a 42-17 win. They come into Arizona with a banged up secondary. Nolan Caroll and Chidobe Awuzie are out, while Orlando Scandrick is questionable. This looks like a great spot for Carson Palmer and the Arizona offense to pile on the points in their home opener. Dallas finished 26th overall in pass defense last year, and after seeing them get blown out in Denver, it looks like many of the same problems persist. With Arizona looking to pick on the Cowboys back ups in the secondary, we could see plenty of flags. Dallas was penalized 8 times for 69 yards last week, and the officiating crew for tonight's game are pretty quick to throw the flag. In Week 1, Craig Wrolstad and his crew called a whopping 13 penalties on the Steelers. The same crew flagged the Patriots nine times in their win over the Saints in Week 2. In two games they have thrown a total of 31 flags. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-17 | Raiders -155 v. Redskins | 10-27 | Loss | -155 | 154 h 18 m | Show | |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 19 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-24-17 | Texans v. Patriots OVER 43.5 | 33-36 | Win | 100 | 155 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@NE to go OVER the total.
The Texans played at Foxboro in Week 3 last year, and lost by a score of 27-0. Jacoby Brissett got the start for New England, and he only attempted 19 passes in the game. LaGarrette Blount did all the heavy lifting, running for 105 yards and two TDs on 24 carries. Needless to say, I expect a very different result here this time around, with Tom Brady coming off one of his best ever games, and Blount no longer with the team. The Patriots defense hasn't looked capable of shutting out anybody, and because of their defensive shortcomings, Belichick knows he needs to pile on the points. Deshaun Watson looked great in a 13-9 win over Cincinnati last week, and I expect him to get better as the season progresses. He should be more than capable of leading a few scoring drives in garbage time if his team is trailing. The Patriots have gone over in six straight overall, and the over is 47-23 in their last 70 at Gillette Stadium. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 48 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 136 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NO@CAR to go UNDER the total. |
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09-24-17 | Ravens -190 v. Jaguars | 7-44 | Loss | -190 | 143 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.  The Jaguars were exposed in a 37-16 home loss to Tennessee last week. Blake Bortles threw for 223 yards with a TD and two INTs on 20-of-34 passing. As always, most of the yardage and positive progress was made in garbage time. He's going to London as a starting quarterback, but he's likely going to be out of a job on his return stateside. Baltimore's defense has been the best in football so far, allowing a total of 10 points and forcing a whopping 10 turnovers in two games. The one positive for the Jags is that they have been good at rushing the passer. Joe Flacco is a savvy veteran that thrives under pressure though, and he completed 11-of-17 passes for 103 yards and two TDs against the blitz last week. Jacksonville's Week 1 win over Houston was aided by turnovers, and they may be hard pressed to win the turnover battle here against a Baltimore team that leads the league in takeaways.  Take BAL.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 54 | Top | 38-18 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ND@MSU to go UNDER the total.
The Irish will be looking for revenge when they travel to East Lansing this Saturday. The Spartans won at South Bend last year by a score of 36-28. That was an uncharacteristically high scoring tilt between these two teams, going way over the listed total of 50. Four of the previous six games between these teams have gone under, and the total for this year's game is higher than it has been in any of the eight meetings over the last 10 years. Last season's Notre Dame squad was brutal defensively, but this year they've looked much better, allowing just over 18 points per game so far. They came up just short in a 20-19 home loss to Georgia, and I expect this game to yield a similar low score. Neither team does anything flashy on offense, and both teams are capable of grinding out wins with their defense. Sparty has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven non-conference games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | Michigan v. Purdue UNDER 52 | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on MICH@PUR to go UNDER the total. The Wolverines have been impressive on defense during their 3-0 start, but poor quarterback play and a below average offense has prevented them from blowing out inferior opponents. They have averaged just 33 points per game, despite playing two of three games at home against unranked opponents (Cincinnati and Air Force). Playing Purdue on the road could prove to be a challenge for Michigan, and some experts even have them on upset alert. Purdue is off to a great start, and their defense has been impressive. The Boilermakers pushed Louisville to the brink in a 35-28 Week 1 loss, and then went on to win back to back games by 20+ points. These teams have played three times since 2010, and two of those three games failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State UNDER 71.5 | 44-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TCU@OKST UNDER.
There has been a lot of line movement in this game between BIG12 rivals TCU and Oklahoma State. The public is betting heavy on the Cowboys and the over, and I think this presents value with a contrarian play. TCU looks like a team that has improved a lot since losing by a score of 31-6 at home to the Cowboys last year. These teams have met every year since 2012, and four of those five games failed to reach the total. Not one of the last 10 meetings between these two teams has seen a combined 70 points. Mason Rudolph has been putting up video game numbers so far, but the last time he faced TCU he threw for just 207 yards and a TD on 17-of-34 passing. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | NC State v. Florida State UNDER 51 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
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09-23-17 | Texas Tech v. Houston UNDER 72 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 11 m | Show | |
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09-22-17 | Utah v. Arizona UNDER 60.5 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARI to go UNDER the total.
The Utes defeated Arizona at home by a score of 36-23 last season, and that game went over the total of 53. Three of the previous four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and only one of the last 10 meetings have seen over 60 points scored. The Wildcats have proven that they can run up the score against inferior teams, scoring 60+ points in wins over Northern Arizona and UTEP. They didn't fare quite as well in a 19-16 home loss to Houston. The Utes are similar to Houston in that they should be suited to slow down Arizona's high powered running game. The under is 17-7-1 in Utah's last 25 games versus teams above .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-17 | Rams -122 v. 49ers | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. Â After playing a close game on the road at Seattle, bettors are showing some belief in the 49ers. They host the Rams on Thursday night, and after opening at +3, the line has moved closer to a pick. While playing a close game on the road against a contender like Seattle might look good on the surface, I think it might be fool's gold. Any optimism has to be on the defensive side of the ball, because San Francisco has yet to score a TD after the first two weeks. This Niners team ranked dead last in rushing defense last year, and while they haven't yet been exposed this year, they also haven't faced any elite running backs or teams with a dominant offensive line. Todd Gurley has shown in encouraging signs so far this season, but has yet to run for 100 yards. This might be a good spot for Gurley to have a big day, with both teams coming off a short week. Â Take LAR. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 43.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DET@NYG to go UNDER the total. The Giants have big problems on offense, and this is something that has carried over from last season. They ranked 29th in the NFL in rushing last season, and it doesn't look like anything has changed over the off-season. The offensive line hasn't been able to give Eli Manning any time to drop back and pass, and he's starting to show his age. He was sacked three times and threw and INT in Week 1, losing 19-3 to Dallas. The good news for Giants fans is that they still have one of the league's top pass defenses, and they hope to have Odell Beckham back for Monday night's game against the Lions. These teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, and that is exactly what I am expecting tonight. The Lions have gone under in 20 of their last 27 road games, while the Giants have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -135 | 27-20 | Loss | -135 | 149 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams.
I had the Rams in their Week 1 win over Indianapolis, and while I realize they were fortunate enough to be facing an inferior team with a backup quarterback, I was still impressed with their offense. Jared Goff finally has some talented receivers to work with, and Todd Gurley is still a force to be reckoned with. The Redskins defense ranked near the bottom of the NFL versus the run last year, and I expect this to be a breakout game for Gurley. Washington's offensive line was brutal in Week 1, allowing the Eagles to sack Kirk Cousins four times for a loss of 40 yards. Cousins looks out of sorts, and he's missing his go to guys from last year (Jackson and Garcon). It will take time to develop chemistry with the new guys (Doctson and Pryor). Josh Doctson might not even be able to play this week, while the Rams are hoping DE Aaron Donald is back in the lineup after ending his holdout. I gotta love the home team in this spot. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-17 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 113 h 36 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time |
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09-17-17 | Dolphins v. Chargers -170 | 19-17 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LA Chargers. The Dolphins were terrible against the run in 2016, only San Francisco and Cleveland allowed more yards per game. They open the season on the road at LA, after having their season opener versus Tampa canceled due to Hurricane Irma. This is a tough spot for veteran quarterback Jay Cutler, who only seen a few pre-season snaps in this offense. Melvin Gordon caught a team leading five catches, one going for a TD in the loss at Denver last week. He appears to be primed to have a big game here, both on the ground as well as in the passing game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | Top | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 157 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Titans. Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | Clemson -155 v. Louisville | Top | 47-21 | Win | 100 | 128 h 16 m | Show |
  This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.  The Louisville Cardinals got off to a great start last season, winning their first four games in blowout fashion. Their fifth game was 42-36 loss at Clemson, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here this Saturday. 2016 Heisman winner Lamar Jackson looks even better in 2017, but unfortunately for Louisville, that can't be said for the rest of the team. They just barely escaped with a 35-28 win at Purdue in Week 1, and then they trailed in the fourth quarter of last week's win over North Carolina. Clemson on the other hand hasn't allowed a touchdown in two games so far. They held Auburn to a pair of field goals in a 14-6 win at home last week. Junior quarterback Kelly Bryant has impressed so far, and the offense looks to be in good shape despite losing Deshaun Watson to the NFL Draft. I believe Clemson has what it takes to repeat as champions, while it looks like Louisville has taken a step back. The Cardinals have been notoriously overrated, evidenced by the fact that they are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and 1-5 ATS in their last six overall.  Take CLEM.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | Kentucky v. South Carolina -4.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on South Carolina. The Gamecocks have upset the apple cart so far this season, winning as an underdog against N.C. State and Missouri. Their defense has been impressive, holding Missouri to just 13 points last week. This will be a revenge game of sorts for South Carolina, hosting the Kentucky Wildcats who have defeated them in three straight seasons. Last year's game was a defensive battle, with Kentucky winning by a score of 17-10. In 2015 the Gamecocks lost at home by a score of 26-22 to Kentucky. To say that the Gamecocks have a history of playing low scoring games within their conference, would be an understatement of epic proportions. The under is 10-1 in South Carolina's last 11 games versus SEC teams. |
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09-16-17 | Kentucky v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 106 h 57 m | Show |
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09-16-17 | Kansas State v. Vanderbilt UNDER 49 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 106 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KST@VAN to go UNDER the total.
The Kansas State Wildcats won nine games last year, and beat Texas A&M by a score of 33-28 in the Texas Bowl. So far this season they look even better, which should be expected as they return most of last year's starters. Senior quarterback Jesse Ertz has thrown for over 500 yards and four TDs, and he's run for 100+ yards and a TD. Â Bill Snyder's squad plays on the road at Vanderbilt this week, and they are asked to cover a 3.5 point spread. The Commodores ranked 96th in the country in passing last year, averaging fewer than 200 yards per game. Junior quarterback Kyle Shurmur is back, and he's put up decent numbers against Middle Tennessee and Alabama State. I don't expect that to continue here against a stingy Wildcats defense. Â The Commodores have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, while the Wildcats have covered in four of their last five non-conference games.The under is 20-7-2 in Vanderbilt's last 29 games overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | LSU v. Mississippi State UNDER 52.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 105 h 22 m | Show | |
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09-15-17 | Arizona -23 v. UTEP | 63-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats.
The UTEP Miners do not have a competitive football team this season, and this is clear after they have lost their first two games of the season by a combined 65 points. While you can't fault them for losing to Oklahoma in their opener, last week's home loss to Rice was a pretty poor result. The Owls ran all over the UTEP defense, totaling 306 rushing yards and three rushing TDs. Arizona has a far more potent ground game, ranking 6th nationally in rushing offense. They have averaged 329 yards per game, totaling eight rushing TDs. Arizona might not be the playoff contender that Oklahoma is, but they have all the tools to run up the score on a team like UTEP. The Miners are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-17 | Chargers +3.5 v. Broncos | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 83 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers.
The Broncos were just 5-3 at home last season, and when you look at those five wins, they were not that impressive. They beat Carolina by one point, then defeated Indianapolis by a score of 34-20. The Colts trailed by just three points with five minutes to play in that game, but Denver went on to score twice in the final two minutes. After losing to the Chargers in San Diego, the Broncos got their revenge with a 27-19 home win in Week 8. Trevor Siemian threw for 276 yards and an INT on 20-of-38 passing in that game, and he really shouldn't be a starting quarterback in the NFL. Most teams have a backup quarterback who is more qualified to start than Siemian, but Denver has made a mess of it's quarterback situation. Phillip Rivers is still one of the top quarterbacks in the league, and with Keenan Allen back, he's likely to get off to a good start. The Chargers have played the Broncos tough in Denver, going 8-2-4 ATS in their last 14 trips to Mile High. The road team is also 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 19-29 | Push | 0 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
This an 8* play on NO@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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09-10-17 | Giants +5 v. Cowboys | 3-19 | Loss | -115 | 1390 h 4 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the NYG.  After beating the Cowboys twice last season, the Giants are getting a bunch of points here in this Week 1 matchup versus a division rival. Dallas is a team that comes into the season with high expectations, but I am a bit skeptical. Keep in mind that their offense relies on a pair of rookies with just one good season under their belt. It's been a troubled off-season for Ezekiel Elliot, and a likely suspension looms. Dak Prescott was great as a rookie, but then again, so was Colin Kaepernick, Robert Griffin III and Vince Young. His numbers against the Giants were pretty bad. He completed 42-of-82 passes for 392 yards with a TD and two INTs in a pair of losses.  Take NYG.  GL, Jesse Schule
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG@DAL to go UNDER the total. After beating the Cowboys twice last season, the Giants are getting a bunch of points here in this Week 1 matchup versus a division rival. Dallas is a team that comes into the season with high expectations, but I am a bit skeptical. Keep in mind that their offense relies on a pair of rookies with just one good season under their belt. It's been a troubled off-season for Ezekiel Elliot, and a likely suspension looms. Dak Prescott was great as a rookie, but then again, so was Colin Kaepernick, Robert Griffin III and Vince Young. His numbers against the Giants were pretty bad. He completed 42-of-82 passes for 392 yards with a TD and two INTs in a pair of losses. Both games between these teams last year were low scoring, and with the status of OBJ in question, it seems like another low scoring game is inevitable. Take UNDER.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-17 | Eagles v. Redskins | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 96 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Eagles. |
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09-10-17 | Raiders +1 v. Titans | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 2256 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.  The Raiders won at Tennessee last year, winning by a score of 17-10. Derek Carr threw for 249 yards and a TD on 21-of-35 passing. They open the 2017 season on the road at Tennessee this year, and I like their chances of picking up a "W". The Titans are solid, and have been competitive for years. They never seem to have enough talent to get over the hump though, and I don't see any reason why that will change this year. Marcus Mariota is a decent quarterback, but a lackluster receiving corps has made his first two seasons a challenge. Tennessee has a solid defense and a strong running game, but that's no longer the recipe for success in today's NFL. The running game was a weakness for Oakland last season, but the arrival of Marshawn Lynch may change that in a hurry. I believe Lynch has a chance to make plenty of noise early in the season, the question will be how long he can keep it up.  Take OAK.  GL, Jesse Schule
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09-09-17 | Boise State v. Washington State -10 | 44-47 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars 1/H. The Cougars opened the season with a 31-0 shutout win against Montana State, while the Broncos barely escaped with a win against minnows Troy. Quarterback Brad Rypien threw for just 160 yards and an INT on 13-of-23 passing. The Broncos beat the Cougars on the Blue Turf last season, but no thanks to Rypien. He threw three INTs and just one TD, while Luke Falk threw for 480 yards and four TDs in a losing effort. Washington State is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Boise State. I like the Cougars to execute revenge for last year's loss with a comfortable win here at home in Pullman. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Stanford +7 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -125 | 142 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal.
USC was brutal last season, losing three of their first four games. Sam Darnold took over at quarterback in Week 5 against Arizona State, and the Trojans went on to win their next nine games. There's no doubt that Darnold is a talented player, but perhaps it's a bit premature to award him the Heisman, and crown USC as the champions of the PAC12? He's off to a rather suspect start, looking nothing like a Heisman favorite in Week 1 versus Western Michigan. He threw for just 289 yards and a couple of INTs on 23-of-33 passing. Even more concerning for the Trojans, the defense allowed the Broncos to rack up 263 yards and two TDs on the ground, and the game was tied in the fourth quarter. Stanford whupped the Trojans last season, running for over 300 yards and two TDs in a 27-10 win. Sam Darnod completed five of seven attempts with an INT and no TDs. The Cardinal may no longer have Christian McCaffrey, but they still have a monster offensive line and they looked pretty formidable in their season opener. Bryce Love ran for 180 yards and a TD on just 13 carries in the win over Rice. I expect a "whole lotta Love" here in Pasadena this Saturday. The Trojans are asked to cover seven points in a rivalry game against an opponent that has had their number over the years. Stanford has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and during that span USC is 0-4 ATS as a favorite. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Georgia v. Notre Dame UNDER 55 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 54 m | Show | |
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09-09-17 | Oklahoma +7.5 v. Ohio State | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Sooners last loss came at home versus Ohio State last season. They've won 11 straight games since, four of those wins coming against ranked teams. The Buckeyes are coming off a shaky game against unranked Indiana, trailing at halftime before kicking things into gear in the second half. The Hoosiers quarterback threw for a whopping 410 yards and three TDs in a losing effort. That seems troubling ahead of this week's game against perhaps the best quarterback in the country. Baker Mayfield is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, and he's coming off an impressive Week 1 performance. He completed 19-of-20 passes for 329 yards and three TDs. Mayfield really only had one bad game last season, and that was the loss to Ohio State. He threw for 226 yards with 2 TDs and 2 INTs on 17-of-32 passing. While you have to give credit to the OSU defense, I am expecting a much better performance from Mayfield here in this revenge spot. The Buckeyes are a public darling, notoriously overrated. That is evidenced by the fact that they've failed to cover in seven of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | South Carolina v. Missouri -135 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 35 m | Show | |
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09-09-17 | Nebraska v. Oregon -13 | 35-42 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks 1/H. The Ducks are coming off their worst season in decades, but there's plenty of reason to be optimistic about 2017. Justin Herbert took over at quarterback half way through last season, and threw for nearly 2000 yards with 19 TDs and just four INTs. The defense was terrible in 2016, but the good news is that it can only get better. They held the Southern Utah Eagles scoreless in the second half of a 77-21 win in Week 1. Nebraska comes into Eugene off a lackluster Week 1 win over Arkansas State. Their defense gave up almost 500 yards in that game, and they probably would have lost if it wasn't for a pair of turnovers by the Red Wolves. The Cornhuskers just don't have the weapons to keep up with the Ducks offense, and if their defense couldn't stop Arkansas State, they are really going to struggle against Oregon. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 50 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Spartans won their season opener at home by a score of 35-10 versus Bowling Green. That victory might have been even more impressive than it looks. They gave up just three points in the first half, and held the Eagles to a total of 212 total yards. Bowling Green quarterback James Morgan completed just 10-of-31 passes for 145 yards and an INT. Michigan State hosts rivals Western Michigan in Week 2, and the Broncos are coming off an impressive game against USC. That game was tied heading into the 4th quarter, but not because Western Michigan had any success throwing the ball. Sophomore quarterback Jon Wassink threw for just 67 yards and an INT on 11-of-22 passing. The Broncos have gone under in four straight against BIG10 teams, while the Spartans have gone under in five of their last six non-conference games. The last time the Broncos played at East Lansing, they lost by a score of 26-13. I expect a similar result this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | 42-41 | Loss | -120 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
West Virginia won 10 games last season, but they return just seven starters on both sides of the ball. The good news is that they have a proven quarterback coming in to replace Skyler Howard. Will Grier has never lost as a starter, going 6-0 with the Florida Gators before a positive drug test resulted in a suspension that kept him off the field for the last two seasons. The Hokies turn to freshman Josh Jackson at quarterback, and he'll be thrown right into the fire here in Week 1, playing in a nationally televised game in an NFL stadium. The Hokies come as a significant favorite, but it sure sounds like Dana Holgerson is confident in his own squad: "Will's as good as advertised," Dana Holgorsen said. "I like the kid's demeanor. He's got complete control of the huddle. He has a really good idea of what we want him to do offensively." Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | BYU v. LSU -14.5 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 42 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. After a 2-2 start last season, the Tigers fired head coach Les Miles. When Ed Orgeron took over as the interim coach, nobody thought he had a chance to keep the job. LSU finished the season strong, winning six of their final eight games, and crushing Louisville in the Wild Wings Bowl. Junior runningback Darius Guice ran for over 250 yards twice in the final three games of last season, and led the SEC in rushing yards. The offense gets a boost with Matt Canada coming in at offensive coordinator, and he has plenty of talent to work with. BYU only lost four games last year, and none of those losses came by more than three points. They didn't play a team as talented as LSU though, and they really didn't look that sharp in a 20-6 win over Portland State in their 2017 opener. Tanner Mangum threw for just 194 yards on 16-of-27 passing in that game, and he's going to be terrorized by one of the nation's top defenses here in New Orleans. The last time Mangum faced an elite defense was when BYU lost 31-0 to Michigan two seasons ago. He threw for just 55 yards on 12-of-28 passing in that game.  Take LSU.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 892 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Alabama.  Florida State might be in for a rough ride in Week 1, playing SEC Champs Alabama in Atlanta. The Seminoles played an SEC team in Week 1 last year, and they rallied from an early 22 point deficit in a 45-34 win over Mississippi. The good start didn't last long though, as they were completely dismantled in a 63-20 loss at Louisville just a few weeks later. They had no answer for Louisville's dual threat QB, allowing Lamar Jackson to run for 146 yards and four TDs. The Tide lost several defensive stars from last season, but another strong recruiting class should fill all those holes. The offense is in good shape with Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarborough and Calvin Ridley. I am expecting Nick Saban's squad to lay the smack down here in Week 1.  Take BAMA.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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09-02-17 | Louisville -24.5 v. Purdue | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 18 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals.  The Cardinal were ranked as high as #3 halfway through the 2016 season, and quarterback Lamar Jackson won the Heisman Trophy. They closed out the season with three straight losses, and fell to LSU by a score of 29-9 in the Wild Wings Bowl. Few people are picking the Cardinal to win the ACC and contend for a playoff spot, but perhaps they are flying under the radar a little. I expect Lamar Jackson to be even better this year than he was a year ago, and Louisville still has one of the most prolific offenses in the country. They were particularly good at piling on the points when facing inferior opponents, and I think that will be the case here in Week 1 versus Purdue. The Boilermakers lost by a combined 67 points in two games against ranked teams last year.  Take LOU.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | Michigan v. Florida +4 | 33-17 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. Â Last year there was more money wagered on Michigan to win the national championship than any other team. I had the Wolverines pegged as overrated from the get go, and while they dominated earlier in the year, when the schedule got tougher they couldn't get over the hump. They played just three ranked teams, and lost two of those three games. They also lost on the road to unranked Iowa. Despite losing almost all their defensive starters from last year, there is still plenty of hype surrounding this year's Michigan team. Jim Harbaugh and the Wolverines open the season as a significant favorite in a neutral site game against the Florida Gators. The Gators won nine games last year, and faced Alabama in the SEC Championship Game for the second consecutive season. Florida crushed the Iowa Hawkeyes by a score of 30-3 in their bowl game. A lot has been made about several starters for Florida sitting out this game because of suspensions. I believe the Gators have enough talent to handle Michigan, even without some of their top players. Florida is 7-2 ATS in it's last nine neutral site games. Â Take FLA. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-17 | Colorado State v. Colorado -5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. After losing to the Buffs by a score of 44-7 last season, the Colorado State Rams are expecting better things against their in state rivals this season. There is plenty to be optimistic about, coming off a blowout win over Oregon State last week. A closer look at that 58-27 victory though reveals what might just amount to fools gold. The Beavers turned the ball over five times, and gave up a whopping 24 points in the fourth quarter. The Rams defense still conceded 456 total yards, and gave up the first down in 10-of-16 third down situations. They can't count on five turnovers saving their asses here against Colorado, a team with plenty of talent returning from last season's squad that went to the PAC12 Championship game. They will start Steven Montez at quarterback, and he was 2-1 as a starter last year filling in for the injured Liufau. Senior runningback Phillip Lindsay led the PAC12 with 16 TDs last season. This game should be a bit of a shootout, but Colorado is likely to win by double-digits. Tale CU. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-31-17 | TULSA v. OKLAHOMA STATE UNDER 69 | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TULSA@OKST to go UNDER the total. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -106 | 325 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
The New England Patriots will be the favorites in Super Bowl 51, and I can't argue with that. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick might go down in history as the league's best ever coach, and quarterback. It's been amazing watching them keep this team on top, despite the fact that they aren't the league's most talented team. Brady's receiving corps is mediocre at best, especially after the loss of Rob Gronkowski. The Patriots simply don't have the talent that Atlanta and Matt Ryan have to work with. Julio Jones might be the most dominant receiver in the league. They have a pair of dynamic running backs that are equally as dangerous in the passing game as they are running the ball. They led the NFL in scoring during the regular season, and they have played near perfect football so far in the playoffs. The only team that beat Brady this season was Seattle, who Atlanta played twice. The Seahawks rallied to win 26-24 at home in the regular season meeting, but Julio Jones got the better of Richard Sherman with seven catches for 139 yards and a TD. Atlanta won 36-20 in a home playoff win over the Seahawks just a few weeks ago, and once again Sherman couldn't keep Jones from reaching pay dirt. The Patriots defense had no answer for Russell Wilson in a 31-24 home loss to Seattle. Wilson threw for 348 yards and three TDs on 25-of-37 passing. They will have their work cut out for them trying to stop the probable MVP Matt Ryan, who has completed more than 70 percent of his passes for more than 1,000 yards and 11 TDs in his last three starts. The fact that the game is being played in a dome could also be an advantage for the "Dirty Birds". Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -130 | 40 h 10 m | Show |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 130 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.
The Pats didn't play particularly well in their win against Houston last week, and still they won by an 18-point margin. The Steelers offense was held to field goals last week, yet they still managed to sneak out of Kansas City with an 18-16 victory. Field goals aren't going to cut it here at Foxboro, and the Steelers are going to need Ben Roethlisberger to have a big game. Big Ben has not looked sharp recently, throwing a whopping eight INTs and just six TD passes over his last five starts. This is a tough matchup for Pittsburgh, facing a Patriots team that has won the last three meetings in this series by at least seven points. The Patriots have the better quarterback, the better defense, and a huge edge when it comes to a chess match between Tomlin and Belichick. The only advantage the Steelers might have is a superior running game with Le'Veon Bell, but the Patriots defense ranks among the league's best versus the run. New England's running game is pretty good in it's own right, with the regular season TD leader LeGarrette Blount. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Jesse Schule |
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01-15-17 | Steelers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 112 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Packers are all hyped up after winning six games in a row to clinch the NFC North, and Aaron Rodgers has historically great during that run. I think their luck is about to run out here in Dallas, playing a Cowboy's team that has won seven straight at home. The Cowboys might have a rookie quarterback, but unlike Aaron Rodgers, Dak Prescott has plenty of help. He's playing behind the league's best offensive line, and he's handing off to the NFL's leading rusher. Ezekiel Elliot ran for 157 yards on 28 carries in a 30-16 win at Lambeau during the regular season. The Packers beat the Giants by a score of 38-13 last week, but that game was closer than the final score would indicate. The Giants dominated the first half, but were forced to settle for field goals due o several key drops by their wide receivers. Green Bay didn't score until the final 2:20 of the half, and they added another TD on a Hail Mary pass as the clock expired. Even with all the drops, Eli Manning still threw for 299 yards. Matt Stafford, Sam Bradford and Matt Barkley all threw for over 300 yards against Green Bay in their previous three games, and opponents scored an average of 25 points in those games. I don't think Green Bay can continue rely on one man to bail them out, and with no Jordy Nelson, Rodgers task is that much harder. They can't run he ball, and their defense hasn't stopped anybody. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 166 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
Alabama has been the best team in the country for the last several seasons, and some consider to be their best team ever. They come into the National Championship Game with a perfect record, favored by a TD over 13-1 Clemson. The Tigers only loss came by a single point, when Pittsburgh kicked a game winning field goal in the final seconds of a 43-42 upset win. Clemson crushed Ohio State by a score of 31-0 in their semifinal game, and they held J.T. Barrett to just 127 yards one 19-of-33 passing with a pair of INTs. The Tide didn't look all that impressive in their last game, struggling to score points in a 24-7 win over Washington. Jalen Hurts threw for just 57 yards on 7-of-14 passing, and if he plays like that here against Clemson, the defending champs might be in trouble. This is after all a rematch of last year's championship game, that was decided by a score of 45-40. That game was tied at the half, and Alabama took just a three point lead into the fourth quarter. Deshaun Watson had himself a night, throwing for 405 yards and four TDs on 30-of-47 passing. He also ran for 73 yards on 20 carries. If Watson delivers that type of performance this time around, Clemson will likely be the National Champions. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-17 | Giants +5.5 v. Packers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New York Giants. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 | Top | 6-26 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
10* |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
The Lions come into the playoffs off three straight losses, and they conceded a whopping 73 points in losses Dallas and Green Bay in the last two weeks. After failing three times to clinch the NFC North, their reward is a road game at Seattle on Wild Card Weekend. This Seahawks defense isn't as tough as it used to be, and they are really missing safety Earl Thomas. Seattle has a reputation for playing low scoring games, but the total has gone over in five of the last seven at home, and the Seahawks have gone over in five of their last six playoff games. Russell Wilson plays better at home, completing 67 percent of his passes for 2,181 yards, 13 TDs and just three INTs. He faces a Lions secondary that has been reeling in recent weeks, and even the return of top corner Darius Slay didn't slow down Aaron Rodgers. The Packers quarterback threw for 300 yards and four TDs in a 31-24 win over the Lions last week. Detroit didn't win a single game outdoors during the regular season, and they have lost eight straight playoff games dating back to 1992. Take Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -190 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -190 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 589 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Sooners finished the season strong, winning nine straight games and clinching their second straight BIG12 Championship. They didn't just win, they absolutely manhandled opponents at the end of the season. Their final two games were both blowout wins over ranked opponents. They out-scored Oklahoma State and West Virginia by a combined score of 84-48. Baker Mayfield didn't win the Heisman, but in my mind he was the best quarterback in the country this year. The difference between he and Lamar Jackson was that Mayfield played well in the Sooners biggest games, even when they lost to the Cougars and the Buckeyes. Auburn had a flash of greatness in the middle of the season, but faded in the final weeks, losing two of their last three games. Quarterback Sean White didn't play in the final two games of the season, but he's expected to be back for the Sugar Bowl. He didn't have a great season, throwing for 1644 yards with nine TDs and three INTs in 10 starts. I think it's going to be tough for the Tigers to find enough offense to compete with Oklahoma here in the Sugar Bowl. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions OVER 49.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GB@DET to go OVER the total.
The Lions went into Dallas last week, and got blown out by a team that didn't have anything to play for. They couldn't do anything right on defense, allowing Dak Prescott to throw for 212 yards and three TDs on 15-of-20 passing. The Cowboys also piled up 164 yards on the ground, and Ezekiel Elliot had a pair of rushing TDs. With Darius Slay sidelined by a hamstring injury last week, backup corner Johnson Bademosi wasn't able to do anything to stop Dez Bryant. Slay might be able to play this week, but he's unlikely to be at 100 percent. If he can't go, it's a nightmare matchup for Bademosi facing Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay has scored 30 or more points in three straight games, and comes into Detroit as winners of five straight. The Packers success on offense has made everybody forgot about how bad this team was in the first half of the season, and there are still plenty of reasons to be concerned about this defense. Last week they were lit up for 383 yards and three TDs by Sam Bradford. The week before that it was Chicago's backup Matt Barkley throwing for 362 yards and a pair of TDs. Both of these teams are banged up at the running back position, so it figures to be a game where we should see plenty of passing. Three of the last four games between these two teams have gone over the total, and Green Bay has gone over in five of it's last six versus NFC teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-17 | Ravens +1 v. Bengals | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 539 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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12-31-16 | Washington v. Alabama OVER 52.5 | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BAMA to go OVER the total.
The Crimson Tide will be a double digit favorite over Washington in the Peach Bowl, but the Huskies offense might give them some trouble. Alabama has only lost one game in the last two seasons, and that was a 43-37 home loss to Ole Miss last year. Chad Kelly lit them up for 341 passing yards and three TDs in the victory. The Rebels nearly did it again this season, as Kelly threw for a whopping 431 yards and three TDs in a 48-43 home loss. If there's a weakness in the Alabama defense, it's that they've failed to contain elite quarterbacks over the last two seasons. Kelly wasn't the only quarterback to have a big game against Alabama this season, Austin Allen threw for 400 yards and three TDs when Arkansas lost 49-30 at home to Alabama. Jake Browning was one of the nation's top quarterbacks this season, throwing for 3,280 yards with 42 TDs and just seven picks. Given almost a month to prepare for this game, these offensive coordinators should have plenty of tricks up their sleeves. Both these teams have trended toward high scoring games, with the Huskies going over in four of their last five non-conference games. The Tide have gone over nine of their last 11 bowl games, and the over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 neutral site games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-16 | Florida State +7 v. Michigan | Top | 33-32 | Win | 100 | 260 h 22 m | Show |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -145 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -145 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies.
Both Kansas State and Texas A&M finished the season with 8-4 overall records, but the Wildcats didn't really have any quality wins. In fact none of their eight wins came against teams with a winning record (in the FBS). The Aggies on the other hand opened the season with six straight wins, beating Auburn, Arkansas and Tennessee. Even after they lost to Alabama in late October, they ranked #4 overall in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. Things went downhill for the Aggies when Trevor Knight was injured two weeks later in a loss to Mississippi State. Knight is healthy and well rested, and all geared up for the final game of his college career. He delivered one of the most impressive performances in history when he threw for 348 yards and four TDs in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, helping Oklahoma upset Alabama by a score of 45-31. Bill Snyder knows just how dangerous Knight can be, he threw for 318 yards and three TDs in his last game against the Wildcats. Kansas State won that game 31-30 at Oklahoma, but that was a different team with Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett. Jesse Ertz struggled at quarterback for the Wildcats this season, throwing just four TD passes and three picks in eight games in conference play. He's up against the best pass rush in the country, and it could get ugly if he's forced to throw. The Wildcats are a woeful 1-7 ATS in their last eight bowl games. Take Aggies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-16 | Lions +8 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -125 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Cowboys have won 11 of their last 12 games, and have clinched their division and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They've failed to cover in four straight games though, and they are asked to cover a big spread here in a meaningless game versus Detroit. The Lions need a win here to clinch a playoff spot, and they have a history of playing close games against the Cowboys. These two teams have played three times since 2011, and all three of those games were decided by four points or less. The Lions run defense ranks among the best in the NFL, holding opponents to just 98.9 yards per game, only giving up six rushing TDs. Ezekiel Elliott has run for 266 yards on 47 carries in the Cowboys last two games, but I expect him to see limited action here against the Lions. Jason Garrett says he won't rest starters even though the Cowboy's have clinched, but that doesn't mean the backups won't get the majority of the snaps. It would be completely irresponsible to give Elliott and the rest of the starters a heavy workload tonight. Especially after seeing three teams lose key players to broken legs just 48 hours ago. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs -200 | Top | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 128 h 25 m | Show |
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12-25-16 | Ravens +6 v. Steelers | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
This is a huge game for the Ravens, they need to win the AFC North to clinch a playoff spot, and that can only happen if they beat the Steelers here in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won three of their last four, with the only loss during that span coming on the road at New England. Joe Flacco has been hot during that span, throwing nine TD passes and just four INTs, and going over 300 yards passing in two of those games. The defense has been a strength all year for the Ravens, but they've conceded 56 points in their last two games. Tom Brady threw for over 400 yards and three TDs against the Ravens secondary two weeks ago, and the Eagles ran wild, rushing for 169 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's 27-26 loss at Baltimore. The Steelers defense ranks in the Top 10 in the league against the pass, but they come into this game banged up on the defensive line, and that could mean more time in the pocket for Flacco. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against division rivals, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games versus teams with a winning home record. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-16 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs have won five of their last six overall after coming up short in a 26-20 defeat at Dallas on Sunday night. They turned the ball over four times in that loss, putting their defense in a tough spot. Heading into last Sunday's game the Bucs had won five straight, limiting opponents to an average of less than 13 points per game during that span. One of those wins came against New Orleans, and they picked off Drew Brees three times in a 16-11 home win. Brees is coming off a big game on the road at Arizona, but the Cardinals look like a team that has already thrown in the towel. The Bucs are still fighting for a playoff spot, and they should go all out here at the Super Dome. These two teams have gone under the total in 13 of the last 16 meetings, and the Saints have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus teams with a winning record. The Bucs have covered the spread in five straight road games, and four of their last five meetings with the Saints. |
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12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -190 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -190 | 98 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills 1/H.
The Dolphins are looking to clinch a playoff spot here in Buffalo, but it isn't going to be easy. Miami has won eight of it's last nine games, and one of those was a 28-25 home win over the Bills. Jay Ajayi ran for a season high 214 yards with a TD on 28 carries in that win. His production has really dropped off in recent weeks though, failing to run for 100 yards in six straight starts. Injuries have taken their toll on Miami, and they will turn to backup quarterback Matt Moore here this Saturday. He looked good against the Jets, throwing for 236 yards with four TDs and one INT. The Jets turned the ball over four times in that game though, and still managed to out-gain Miami 360-303 total yards. Moore only completed 12 passes, and he's likely to have a tougher time against a Buffalo defense that ranks among the best in the NFL allowing just 225 passing yards per game. The Dolphins defense has been terrible against the run, ranking 30th allowing opponents to average 132.5 rushing yards per game. The Bills rank 1st overall in the NFL in rushing, averaging 163 yards per game. It could be a big day for Shady McCoy, and I expect him to find Pay Dirt. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles will finish with a losing record, and they won't be going to the playoffs this season. There's still plenty of reason to be optimistic for Philly fans though, as this team continues to battle and rookie quarterback Carson Wentz appears to have a promising future. Last week's 27-26 loss at Baltimore was an impressive result, especially their ground game and offensive line play. Ryan Mathews powered his way to 128 yards and a TD on just 20 carries. That was against the NFL's #1 ranked run defense. The Giants rank among the league's top run defenses, but I believe those numbers are skewed by the fact that they've played so many teams that don't have much of a running game. For example, last week they played the Lions who were without their #1 and #2 backs. Third string rookie Dwayne Washington carried the ball just 14 times. They were able to pad their stats in previous games against some of the league's worst rushing offenses (Green Bay, Minnesota, Baltimore, LA and Cleveland). When they've faced some of the top running backs in the league, they haven't had as much success. Both Ezekiel Elliot and Le'Veon Bell have rushed for over 100 yards against the Giants in recent weeks. Eli Manning threw for 201 yards and two TDs on 20-of-28 passing in last week's win over Detroit, but he had failed to throw for 200 yards in his previous three starts. The Giants edged Philly by a score of 28-23 at home earlier this year, but had lost four straight in their previous four meetings with the Eagles. Philly's four home wins are one more than the Giants have on the road, and I think this is a case of the wrong team favored. I'll take the points. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -4 | 26-15 | Loss | -112 | 189 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins.
The Carolina Panthers have been eliminated from the playoffs, leaving them with nothing to play for here on the road at Washington. The Redskins are well rested, and looking to keep their own playoffs hopes alive. Josh Norman is looking forward to this matchup versus his former team, "I think the guys know what to expect from Josh," Carolina coach Ron Rivera said. "That's the beauty of it." Since Norman's move to Washington, the Carolina defense has struggled. The Panthers rank 30th in the NFL versus the pass, allowing opposing quarterbacks to average 272 passing yards per game. Kirk Cousins threw for 375 yards and three TDs on 21-of-30 passing in a win over Green Bay in his last home game. Washington is 4-0 ATS in it's last four home games, while the Panthers have failed to cover in five straight when coming off a win. I expect a rather lackluster effort from a banged up Panthers team here on the road this week. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-16 | Bucs +7.5 v. Cowboys | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 152 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs.
The Bucs come into Dallas as the hottest team in the league, winners of five straight. During that span their defense has been incredible, holding opponents to an average of less than 13 points per game during their winning streak. The Cowboys win streak ended with a 10-7 loss to the Giants in New York last week. Dak Prescott struggled in that game, throwing for just 165 yards with a TD and two INTs on 17-of-37 passing. His numbers have been on the decline in recent weeks, and some speculate that opponents have figured out how to defend the rookie quarterback. Dallas has converted on just 2-of-24 third down attempts in their last two games, and they were quite lucky to hold on to beat the Vikes in Minnesota. The Bucs are 5-1 on the road this season, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four away from home. The Cowboys are 0-4-1 in their last five games in December. This line looks a little inflated, considering how these two teams have trended recently. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule  |
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12-18-16 | Raiders -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 162 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
The Raiders six game win streak ended in Kansas City last week, and they will try to get back on track on the road at San Diego this Sunday. The Chargers are coming off back to back losses, and at 5-8 there isn't much for San Diego to play for. Phillip Rivers took a beating last week, getting sacked five times while throwing for 236 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 21-of-39 passing. He's now been picked off 10 times in his last four starts. Derek Carr has only thrown five picks all year, and he threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a 34-31 home win over the Chargers earlier this season. San Diego has battled injuries all year, and the Chargers come into this game missing a long list of key players, most notably RB Melvin Gordon. Raiders DE Khalil Mack ranks third in the NFL in sacks, and he has five forced fumbles this season. The Chargers rank dead last in the league with 30 turnovers. I like Oakland to clinch a playoff birth here with a win in San Diego. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-16 | Saints v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 48-41 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. |
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12-18-16 | Eagles v. Ravens -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 56 m | Show |
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss -195 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time |
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12-12-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 174 h 45 m | Show |
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12-11-16 | Cowboys -185 v. Giants | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -185 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys 1st Half. |
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12-11-16 | Saints v. Bucs -150 | Top | 11-16 | Win | 100 | 149 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Tampa Bay.
The Saints will be on the road at Tampa this Sunday, and the bookmakers are expecting plenty of scoring in this one. The total is over 50, which is much higher than it was in the previous six meetings between the two teams. They failed to reach the total in four of those six games, and two games that went over were played at the Super Dome in New Orleans. Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing, but he's coming off his worst game of the season, throwing for 326 yards and three INTs in a home loss to Detroit. The Saints have lost three of their last four games, going under the total in all three of those losses. The Bucs on the other hand have won four in a row, and have allowed opponents to average just 13 points during that span. The Saints seem to score most of their points against the league's weaker teams, which is part of the reason they've failed to reach the total in six straight against teams with a winning record. Drew Brees has never played as well on the road as he does at home, and he's in a tough spot this week facing a surging Bucs defense. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-16 | Cardinals +2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals.
After winning five straight games, the Dolphins were masquerading as a contender. I wasn't fooled, betting against them last week in a 38-6 loss to Baltimore. Joe Flacco picked apart their defense, throwing for 381 yards with four TDs on 36-of-47 passing. The are back home to host the Cardinals, a talented team that has underachieved all year. The Cards are coming off a 31-23 win over Washington, and Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and three TDs on 30-of-46 passing in the victory. David Johnson continued to put up incredible numbers, running for 84 yards and a TD on 18 carries, and catching nine passes for 91 yards and a TD. Arizona ranks 2nd in the NFL in total defense, just behind Baltimore. We saw what the Dolphins looked like against the Ravens, and I don't expect them to have much more success here against Arizona. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-16 | Redskins v. Eagles | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 154 h 28 m | Show |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 45.5 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OAK@KC to go OVER the total.
The Raiders and the Chiefs will play at Arrowhead on Thursday, and the winner will be in the driver's seat in the AFC West. The Chiefs won 26-10 at Oakland earlier this season, but Oakland has since won six straight. The Raiders have scored 30 or more points in five of those six games, and Derek Carr has thrown 12 TD passes and just two picks during that span. The Chiefs have won six of seven since their win at Oakland, but it's worth having a closer look at their recent results. Their home victory over the Jaguars on November 7 was hardly impressive, as they were out-gained 449-231 in total yards, and just barely beat one of the league's worst teams. They followed that up with 20-17 win at Carolina, and they were also out-gained in that game (341-256), and the Panthers somehow managed to blow a 14 point lead in the fourth quarter. After losing at home to the Bucs, they got lucky in another miraculous comeback win at Denver. Then last week they won on a failed two-point conversion attempt returned for two points (29-28) at Atlanta. Their defense has been impressive at times, but the Chiefs rank 29th overall in total defense, and they have been burned for a total of 665 yards passing the last two weeks. The Raiders defense actually ranks worse, and Oakland has gone over the total in six straight, and four of their last five road games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 44 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 94 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAR@SEA to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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12-04-16 | Bills v. Raiders -164 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 89 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. |
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12-04-16 | Dolphins v. Ravens -163 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 86 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -140 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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12-03-16 | Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies. |
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