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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-20 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -150 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 98 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BC. Boston College is coming off a tough loss on the road at Virginia Tech, but a home game against the Yellow Jackets should be a good spot for them to get back on track. The Eagles are 3-2 overall, and 2-1 at home. Both of their losses came against ranked teams, and they came very close to upsetting the #12 ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in their only home loss. The Yellow Jackets are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine against teams with a winning record. The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss, and they are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Iowa -160 v. Purdue | 20-24 | Loss | -160 | 95 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are just a small favorite on the road at Purdue, but there will be no home crowd to cheer on the Boilermakers. Head coach Jeff Brohm will not be at the game on Saturday, following a positive test for Covid-19. More bad news for the Boilermakers, their best player WR Rondale Moore will not play against Iowa after opting back in to play this season. The Hawkeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite, and they are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings. The home team has only covered in one of the last 10 meetings between these teams. Purdue is in a very tough spot here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -115 | 93 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels have been an offensive juggernaut since the arrival of Lane Kiffin, averaging 36.5 points per game. The scored a combined 73 points in losses to Alabama and Florida, and outscored Kentucky in a 42-41 thriller in Lexington. Auburn comes into Oxford with a 2-2 record, although one of those wins was a controversial finish at home to Auburn by a score of 30-28. Tigers QB Bo Nix is completing just 54 percent of his passes with almost as many picks (4) as TDs (5) so far this season. Matt Corral has completed 69 percent of his passes for 1280 yards and 11 TDs in four starts. The Rebels should have enough offensive firepower to keep this game close at home versus an Auburn team that looks vulnerable. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-20 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5 | 7-45 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4 | 21-22 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Eagles. The Giants are coming off their first win of the season, beating Washington at home by just one point. They are on the road at Philly tonight, and this has been a tough matchup for the GMen. They have lost five straight at Philly, and nine of their last 10 overall versus the Eagles. With Myles Saunders out for Philly, 25 year old Boston Scott steps into the role of RB1. He hasn't seen much action this season, but he did make the most of his opporunities last season when filling in as a starter. He was particularly good against the Giants, He ran for 113 yards on 29 carries in two starts against New York, and he caught 10 passes for 153 yards in those games. The Giants are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight Thursday night games. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five TNF games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +3 | 38-10 | Loss | -120 | 172 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Cowboys are the first place team in the NFC East, despite a 2-3 record. The Cardinals are 3-2, and all three of their wins came against teams with a losing record. Kyler Murray has been great at times, but he's thrown almost as many picks (6) as touchdowns (8). Dallas has won two of three at home, and the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. With Dak Prescott sidelined by a gruesome ankle injury, the Cowboys hand the ball to The Red Rifle. Andy Dalton stepped up and threw for 111 yards on 9-of-11 passing in a come from behind win over the Giants last Sunday. I don't expect a big drop off offensively with Dalton at QB, and I don't think the Cardinals are good enough to be a road favorite in Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants -148 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 141 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYG. The Giants looked pretty good in a loss at Dallas last week, and a home game against rivals Washington might be a good spot for them to get their first win. Washington has lost four straight since upsetting the Eagles in Week 1, and they have since benched QB Dwayne Haskins. We saw both Kyle Allen and Alex Smith last week, and while it was nice to see Smith back in the NFL, it looks like Washington is going to roll with Allen as the starter. Allen got off to a good as a starter in Carolina last year, winning his first four starts. He went on to lose eight of his last nine starts, and he was picked off a whopping 16 times in those games. He's not exactly stepping into a good situation, and I expect him to struggle on the road in NY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -180 | 40-23 | Loss | -180 | 137 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vikings. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing defeat at Seattle, in a game that they really should have won. This week they host a Falcons team that knows a thing or two about blowing big leads. After an 0-5 start the Falcons have fired their coach, and they might just be gearing up for a rebuild. The Falcons are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in October, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss. The Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games in October, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-20 | Texans v. Titans -2 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 136 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Titans. The 4-0 Titans host the 1-4 Texans and there is really no reason to expect this game to be close. The Titans have picked up where they left off last year when they went all the way to the AFC Championship Game. Derrick Henry is still a beast, and he should be in for a big day at home against this Houston defense. The last time these teams met, Henry ran for 211 yards and three TDs in a 35-14 win at Houston. I expect a similar score here today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on over. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. GL Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -180 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. I don't give the Dawgs much of a shot of pulling out an upset in Tuscaloosa, especially if Nick Saban is on the sidelines after consecutive negative Covid-19 tests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +13.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
7* |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M -190 v. Mississippi State | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The Mike Leach Era started off with an upset win at LSU, and expectations were through the roof. The Bulldogs have since come crashing back down to earth, suffering blowout losses to Arkansas and Kentucky. The offense put up a goose egg in a 28-2 loss to the Wildcats last Saturday. Quarterback K.J. Costello has been picked off seven times with just a single TD in his last two starts. The Aggies are 2-1 with their only loss coming in Tuscaloosa, and last week the upset the #4 ranked Florida Gators. This Aggies offense can hold their own against anyone, and I like their defense to get more stops than the Bulldogs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State OVER 59.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 55 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State -180 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. Duke has been a huge disappointment in 2020, losing it's first four games before they earned their first win on the road at Syracuse. That win wasn't really all that impressive, turning the ball over four times. Chase Brice threw for 270 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 22-of-38 passing. Brice has thrown for more INTs (8) than he has TDs (5) this season. The Wolfpack are 3-1, and they have scored a ton of points in those wins. Their only loss came on the road against a #20 ranked Virginia Tech team. While NC State has leaned heavily on their running game, they are in good hands with Devin Leary at QB. He's thrown for just 685 yards on 60 percent passing, but with seven TDs and just one pick. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-20 | BYU -152 v. Houston | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 101 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. The BYU Cougars are 4-0, but their last game was by far the least impressive. They barely beat San Antonio, winning by a score of 27-20. This came after a long layoff, so perhaps the subpar performance was understandable. They head to Houston looking to remain undefeated, and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. Houston scored plenty of points in their only game so far, but it was far from a flawless performance. Quarterback Clayton Tune threw for 319 yards and 2 TDs with a pair of INTs on 20-of-33 passing. His counterpart Zach Wilson comes in with over 1200 passing yards with 8 TDs and just one INT and a completion percentage over 81%. BYU ranks 6th nationally in scoring, and I don't see Houston keeping up on offense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-20 | Bills -175 v. Titans | 16-42 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bills 1st Half. The Titans are lucky they didn't have to forfeit this game after a serious virus outbreak that has sidelined several players and team staff. They haven't been able to practice for weeks, and a handful of players are facing punishment for breaking protocol by meeting for practice at a local Nashville highschool. Buffalo will have a huge advantage with the ability to practice and prepare, as well as a healthy roster of players at full strength. My money is on the Bills to have a better first half, and they should win this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on New Orleans. The 1-3 Chargers will visit the 2-2 Saints, but the home team is a significant favorite. New Orleans will miss star wide receiver Michael Thomas, but the Chargers are thin on the offensive line and in the backfield. While I expect the Saints to lean heavily on Alvin Kamara, the Chargers are likely going to come out throwing. Justin Herbert has averaged over 300 passing yards per game so far, and with a lack of talent at the running back position they might be forced lean even more on their passing game. The Saints also boast one of the league's top run defenses. With a heavy workload for Kamara in the absence of Thomas, Latavius Murray should get his share of carries when Kamara needs a breather. Murray has had 12 or more carries in three of the Saints four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +114 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 114 | 116 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. There is a lot of talk about how good the Colts are on defense, and we will find out just how good they really are this week. Their stats are skewed afte playing teams with a combined record of 5-11. I don't think Indy has any business being a road favorite at a 3-1 Cleveland team that is 2-0 at home and has averaged 31 points per game this season. The Browns running game has been dominant, unlike any team that the Colts have faced this season. Baker Mayfield takes a lot of flack for throwing a lot of picks, but let me tell you he has a long way to go to catch up to Phillip Rivers. Rivers has thrown three INTs in four games so far, and he's struggled to protect the football his entire career. In fact, he's thrown 201 INTs in 232 career starts. He's averaged an INT per game over the last three seasons. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -130 | 23-16 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The 2-2 Panthers head to Atlanta to face the 0-4 Falcons, and I like Atlanta to win their first game of the season. Atlanta would be 2-2 if they didn't blow a pair of big leads, and it's also worth noting that their opponents have a combined record of 12-4. One of the Panthers two wins was a little fraudulent. They were out-gained 436-302 versus the Chargers, and they were 3-of-12 on third down in that game. The Chargers turned the ball over four times, handing the game to Carolina. The Panthers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Atlanta. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL +15.5 v. Clemson | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. The Clemson Tigers are ranked #1 in the polls, and the heavy favorite to win the College Football Playoff. They will be a double digit favorite against a Top 10 ranked Miami Hurricanes team. The last time Clemson faced a Top 10 team, was in last year's loss to LSU in the Championship Game. The Tigers are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games against Top 10 ranked teams, but only two of those wins came by double digits. Clemson hasn't covered in any of their three games so far, and they have scored fewer points per game against far weaker opponents than the Hurricanes have. This doesn't look like an easy game for Clemson, they might even be on uspet alert. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 58 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M OVER 57.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -185 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -185 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bucs. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Tulane +7 v. Houston | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tulane. The Green Wave scored 66 points in a win over Southern Mississippi in their last game, and freshman Michael Pratt stepped up at QB throwing for a pair of TDs and running in another. Cameron Carroll ran for 163 yards and three TDs on just 15 carries. Tulane beat Houston last year, and these teams are 3-3 in the last six head to head meetings. The Cougars haven't played a game yet this season, and it will be interesting to see what they can do on offense without D'eriq King who transferred to Miami. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a bye week, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as a favorite. Take TUL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Patriots +11 v. Chiefs | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New England. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 49 | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The 3-0 Bears are a home dog against the Colts, and it's easy to see why people don't believe in the Bears. They did get extremely lucky in wins over Detroit and Atlanta, and they barely beat a very bad Giants team. The Bears are definitely on my list of overvalued teams, but sitting right next to them are the 2-1 Colts. Reading the ESPN preview for this game the author talks about how the Colts defense ranks near the top in most defensive categories. I consider such analysis laughable when you consider they beat the Jets and Vikings and lost to the 1-2 Jags. The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite, and the Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. As much as I don't like the Bears, I am gonna get on the right side of the line here. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Giants v. Rams -13 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. The Giants are 0-3, and at this point their plan for the season should involve a heavy military vehicle on tracks. Yes it's time for the Giants to start tanking for Trevor. The Rams on the other hand looked pretty good in their first loss of the season on the road against a very good Buffalo team. They come back to California with a 2-1 record, and they are a heavy favorite in this matchup versus New York. They have been looking for a replacement for Todd Gurley, if last week was any indication they might have found their man. Darrell Henderson ran for 114 yards and a TD on just 20 carries at Buffalo. He could have a big day here against the Giants. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Cardinals -185 v. Panthers | 21-31 | Loss | -185 | 286 h 9 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -16.5 | 21-14 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi State. The Bulldogs pulled off the most shocking upset in the SEC last week, beating the defending champions by double digits. This has situational handicappers salivating at the opportunity to take advantage of what looks like the classic "let down spot". This might make sense if you feel that the Bulldogs got incredibly lucky against the Tigers, but when you consider that KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs, it begs the question: "how is Arkansas going to stop that?" Arkansas has lost three straight to the Bulldogs, and both of the last two losses came by 20+ points. The Razorbacks have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. I see no reason to count on Mississippi State suffering a let down here. Take MSST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | 7-40 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Navy. It's fair to say that the Midshipmen were not prepared for the start of the season, losing 55-3 to BYU in their season opener. The rust was still there in their second game against Tulane, as they trailed 24-0 at halftime. They stormed back with 27 unanswered points in the second half, completing their biggest comeback in team history. Now they face an Air Force team that has a decimated roster. "We're working through that, and that probably goes for a good number of spots," Falcons coach Troy Calhoun said Tuesday about situation at the quarterback position. "We're going to have some guys in certain positions, probably more so on the defensive side of the ball ... the other thing that we're going to have to balance is just the involvement of the special teams part of it." I don't think there is any way Air Force can be properly prepared to compete with a Navy team that is already up to full speed. Take Navy. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU Over (team total). LA Tech and BYU are both undefeated, and both teams have scored plenty of points. That's where the similarities end, as BYU has held opponents to a combined 10 points. The Bulldogs have played two unranked teams and have allowed 30 or more points in both games. The over is 5-2-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus Conference USA teams. Zack Wilson has completed almost 80 percent of his passes through the first two games, and the Cougars running game has averaged almost 250 yards per game. This game has blowout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-20 | Broncos -101 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Broncos. Both these teams are 0-3, and both these teams have been hit hard by injuries. The Broncos though have been competitive, and they appear to have more talent left on the roster despite their injuries. Third string QB Brett Rypien is set to start for Denver, but that might not be a bad thing. The Broncos might be better off playing conservative and allowing the Jets to hurt themselves. Sam Darnold has thrown more picks (4) than TDs (3) so far this season, averaging less than 200 passing yards per game. The Jets also rank 28th in the league in rushing averaging just 88 yards per game. The Denver defense has played pretty well all things considered, allowing an average of 23 points in losses to Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay and Tennessee. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-27-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Packers. Green Bay has been lighting it up on offense during a 2-0 start, scoring 43 in Week 1 at Minnesota, and 42 at home against the Lions last Sunday. They are getting points on the road at New Orleans, and the Saints look like they may have lost a step. Drew Brees has struggled without top target Michael Thomas. He threw for 312 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to the Raiders. Alvin Kamara isn't exactly picking up the slack, running for less than 100 yards so far this season. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and with the line on the wrong side of a field goal, they look overvalued in this spot. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -190 | 26-23 | Loss | -190 | 162 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cardinals. Have you heard of the sophomore jinx? Kyler Murray wouldn't know much about that, he's lighting it up in his second year in Arizona. The former Oklahoma Sooner has thrown for 515 yards and a pair of TDs and he's run for 158 yards and three more. He's facing a struggling Lions offense at home this week, and Detroit has allowed an average of 34.5 points in back to back losses to start the season. With all the injuries, and a poor start, it might be just a matter of time before the Lions are tanking for Trevor. The Lions are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The home team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 head to head meetings. Take ARZ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys v. Seahawks -170 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 155 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. After two weeks Russel Wilson is the odds on favorite to win the MVP award. The 31 year old has thrown for 610 yards with nine TDs and just one INT. The Cowboys needed a lot of luck to rally to win last week at home versus Atlanta. A late score followed by an onside kick recovery set up a game winning field goal. This could set them up for a let down here on the road in Seattle. Dallas hasn't been a good bet against Seattle, failing to cover in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Seahawks have covered in five of their last six when asked to cover points. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -160 | 30-26 | Loss | -160 | 158 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Chicago Bears are 2-0, but they will be an underdog heading into a road game at Atlanta this week. Their 2-0 start hasn't been all the convincing, beating Detroit with a fourth quarter comeback, and winning a home game against the Giants by a score of 17-14. Atlanta is 0-2, but they should be 1-1. Last week they suffered a complete meltdown in the fourth quarter versus Dallas, blowing a 15 point lead. The good news for the Falcons is that Matt Ryan has thrown for over 700 yards with six TDs and just one INT in two games so far. Mitch Trubisky isn't likely to match serves with Matty Ice. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +8.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WVU. Oklahoma State didn't look sharp in a home win over Tulsa last week. They scored just three points in the first three quarters, and they needed to rally to score 13 in the fourth to win 16-7. Chubba Hubbard ran for a rather pedestrian 93 yards on 27 carries in the victory. The Cowboys might still be dealing with off the field distractions, after players called out head coach Mike Gundy in the off-season. Gundy managed to keep his job but was forced to take a pay cut after a photo surfaced showing him wearing a t-shirt that some people thought was offensive. The Mountaineers aren't expected to be a contender in the BIG12 this season, but they looked pretty good in a 56-10 win over Eastern Kentucky in their opener. The Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in September, and the underdog has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Florida -14.5 v. Ole Miss | 51-35 | Win | 100 | 95 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. The Rebels are excited about the future since bringing in Lane Kiffin this off season. I don't expect Kiffin to have it all figured out in Week 1 though, and he draws a tough matchup against #5 ranked Florida. The Gators are in their third year under Dan Mullen, coming off an 11-2 season last year. They have senior QB Kyle Trask running the offense. A new coach, a new offense and uncertainty at the quarterback position isn't going to make it easy for the Rebels to hang around against a more talented Florida team. The Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, and the Rebels are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -123 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jaguars. The Jags were supposed to be the worst team in the NFL this season, but don't tell that to Gardner Minshew. The man with the moustache has been impressive during a 1-1 start, throwing for 512 yards, six TDs and a pair of INTs on 49-of-65 passing. The Dolphins have been as advertised, going 0-2 and ranking 29th in the league in total defense through the first two weeks. Ryan Fitzpatrick put up big numbers in a loss to the Bills last week, but a last minute touchdown made the game appear to be a lot closer than it actually was. Both these teams have been airing it out in their first two games, but the Jags might take advantage of a soft Miami run defense. Rookie running back James Robinson ran for 102 yards and a TD on just 16 carries last week. He's averaging over five yards per carry, and his workload might increase this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New England Patriots. The Seahawks won 11 games last year, and all but one of those were decided by a single score. Four of their first five wins came by four points or less. They are asked to cover a handful of points in this home game against New England, and the Patriots defense should be ready for the challenge. New England ranked second in the NFL in passing defense last year, and in Week 1 they terrorized Ryan Fitzpatrick. I expect both these teams to look to run the ball, and a close low scoring game is expected. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the under is 15-7 in their last 22 road games. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Arizona. Which Washington Football Team should we expect to see in Week 2? The team that trailed 17-0 at home early against the Eagles, or the team that rallied to beat Philly scoring 27 unanswered points. Last week Washington was lucky to win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, something that they can't count on moving forward. Their offense totaled just 239 yards on 70 plays against Philly, and that is unlikely to cut it here in Arizona. The Cardinals offense looks sharp with Kyler Murray hooking up with DeAndre Hopkins. This should be a double digit win for the home team. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Bills -190 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 157 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins spent all of last season "tanking for Tua", and now Tua is sitting on the bench while Ryan Fitzpatrick is running the offense. He completed 20-of-30 passes for 191 yards and three picks in a 21-11 loss to New England in Week 1. Next up are the Buffalo Bills, who impressed in a win over the Jets in Week 1. The experts predicted that Josh Allen would struggle, but he threw for 312 yards and two TDs on 33-of-46 passing against New York. The Bills fancy themselves as favorites to win the AFC East, and it might be a bad idea to bet against them. Take BUFF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -5.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 142 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Green Bay. Last week's win over Minnesota was vintage Aaron Rodgers, as he threw for 364 yards and four TDs on 32-of-44 passing. The Vikings had no answer for Davante Adams who had 14 catches and two TDs for 156 yards. The Lions come limping into Lambeau off a crushing home loss to the Bears, blowing a lead in the fourth quarter. Detroit was hit with several injuries to the secondary late in last week's game against the Bears, and with the backups in the game Mitch Tribisky looked like Aaron Rodgers. Facing the real Aaron Rodgers this Sunday, this game could turn into a blowout in a hurry. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3.5 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Vikings. The Colts first game with Philip Rivers at quarterback was a complete disaster. The veteran was picked off twice, allowing the Jaguars to rally to win 27-20 in a game where Indy had almost twice as many yards. They come back home to face a far tougher Vikings team, and I just don't see why they are asked to cover more than a FG. While Aaron Rodgers torched the Vikings last week, Philip Rivers at this point in his career isn't in the same class. The Minnesota offense did it's job last week, scoring 34 points. Kirk Cousins might not be MVP material, but I'll take him over old man Rivers all day long. Gotta grab the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest -100 v. NC State | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wake Forest. After losing 44-10 to Wake Forest last year, some might call this a revenge spot for the Wolfpack. I would respond by pointing out that NC State has actually lost three straight meetings dating dating back to 2016, and they have a big advantage heading into this Week 2 meeting. After spring practices were cancelled because of Covid-19, the Wolfpack had their season opener cancelled as well. Wake Forest has the benefit of playing the #1 ranked Clemson Tigers last week, and they can take several positives from that games. They appear to be solid at quarterback, with 293 passing yards with a TD and no INTs against the tough Tigers defense. The Wolfpack are 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games, and the Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Boston College v. Duke UNDER 52.5 | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | 30-35 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Browns. Those of you who have followed my predicitions in the past are likely familiar with the saying "History Repeats Itself". We saw evidence of that being the case in Week 1, when the Browns lost by 30+ points on the road at Baltimore. They had lost in Week 1 last year by 30 points at home versus Tennessee. They came back the next week and beat the Jets by a score of 23-3, and I am expecting a similar bounce back here at home against the Bengals. Joe Burrow showed some promise in a Week 1 loss to LA, but he also showed that he's still a rookie. He threw for 193 yards and a pick on 23-of-36 passing. Joe Mixon ran for a rather pedestrian 69 yards on 19 carries. That isn't going to cut it on the road in Cleveland, against a team with significantly more offensive weapons than the Chargers team they faced just four days ago. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -5.5 v. Giants | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Steelers. The Giants were brutal on defense last year, allowing over 28 points and over 377 yards per game. They have a new coach, a new defensive coordinator and plenty of new personnel. There are still plenty of question marks in the secondary, and even if they manage to figure things out, don't expect it to be pretty in Week 1. The Steelers on the other hand should be rock solid on defense, and with the return of Ben Roethlisberger their offense should get back to speed as well. The Giants are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and they are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Cowboys are America's team? Maybe that explains how they can be considered a Super Bowl contender every year, even when they almost always finish 8-8 and miss the playoffs. Dak Prescott impressed as a rookie, but he's proven to be perhaps the most overrated QB in the NFL since. Dallas has no business coming into a road game on the West Coast as a favorite. The Rams were 9-7 in 2019, winning five of eight home games. Dallas lost five of it's eight games on the road. Ezekiel Elliott hasn't been the same player since spending his holdout in Mexico, and he has just recently recovered from Covid19. The star RB and his QB made headlines for hosting a birthday bash in the middle of the pandemic. We saw what happened to Todd Gurley last year, and Zeke appears to be well on his way to following in his footsteps. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -125 | 2788 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Browns. The Ravens looked unbeatable during the regular season a year ago, especially at home. Their only home loss came by a score of 40-25 to the Cleveland Browns. It was yet another early exit in the playoffs though, with Derrick Henry and the Titans running for over 200 yards in a 28-12 win at Baltimore. The Ravens come into Week 1 as big favorites in the AFC North, but I am not convinced this team can repeat what they did a year ago. The Browns underachieved last year, and should be better in 2020. They are well equipped to come into Baltimore and give the Ravens problems with their running game again. Baltimore hasn't been a sharp play when asked to cover points in recent seasons, they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Packers v. Vikings -140 | 43-34 | Loss | -140 | 145 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers were 13-3 last year, and they beat the Vikings twice. Heading into the playoffs though, there were plenty of warning signs that this team wasn't as good as it's record would lead you to believe. After sneaking past Seattle, they were embarrassed in a 37-20 loss at San Francisco. Everyone knew the 49ers would try to run the ball, but there was nothing the Packers could do to stop it. This off-season Green Bay chose to draft another quarterback, rather than add offensive weapons for the HOF quarterback they already have. Aaron Rodgers is 6-6 in his career in Minnesota, and I think he's in a tough spot in this season opener. The Vikings have a tough defense, and a beast in the backfield in Dalvin Cook. The Vikings are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in September, and they have covered the spread in four straight season openers. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Duke v. Notre Dame -19.5 | 13-27 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. Over the years I have been critical of Notre Dame, betting against them in big games at the end of the year. They have proven to be overhyped after building up impressive regular season records against inferior opponents. This year could be different though, as they finally have a legit quarterback in Ian Book. They bring back six of their offensive linemen, and Brian Kelly believes this team has the potential to be the best he's ever had. The Irish beat Duke 38-7 last year, and I don't see any reason why the Blue Devils would expect a better result here in their season opener at South Bend. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-20 | BYU -105 v. Navy | 55-3 | Win | 100 | 149 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU. Navy had a better record (11-2) than the Cougars (7-5) last year, and the Midshipmen finished strong while BYU lost their final two games. It's important to consider that the quality of opposition for BYU was perhaps superior to the teams that Navy was earning it's wins against. The Cougars booked wins over #14 ranked Boise State and#24 ranked USC, and lost to #22 ranked Washington and #14 ranked Utah. Navy's success last year came thanks in part to star QB and leading rusher Malcom Perry, who they lost to graduation. Starting in his place is a senior with limited experience. The Cougars have Junior Zach Wilson back for his third year, and plenty of returning talent on the offensive line. It's likely that these two teams will trend in opposite directions, with BYU improving on last season, and Navy taking a step back after losing it's best player. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 20-31 | Loss | -115 | 329 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 53.5. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. He's capable of driving down the field and putting points on the board quite quickly. The 49ers ranked second in the NFL in scoring this season behind Baltimore, and the Chiefs have scored a combined 87 points in their wins over Tennessee and Houston. With two weeks for these coaching staffs to scheme, expect both offenses to be explosive. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 254 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. As difficult as it is for me to bet against Mahomes, I am more than a little concerned about just how much pressure he will be facing. The 49ers don't need a great game from their quarterback, or any single player. If their defensive line can control the line of scrimmage the way they did against Green Bay, Mahomes might not be able to save the Chiefs. Kansas City has been very impressive in these playoffs, but let's not forget that they fell into a big hole in both their wins over Houston and Tennessee. It might not be so easy to come from behind against this San Francisco team. Â Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 118 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the 49ers. The Packers took advantage of a banged up Seattle team at home, and they barely hung on in the second half of that game. Seattle outscored them 20-7 after halftime, and they will need to avoid another blowout loss in San Francisco. The 49ers beat them by 29 points in San Francisco earlier in the season. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times and threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing. As much as you could call this a revenge game, the Packers might not be equipped to do anything about the ferocious San Francisco pass rush. The Packers are thin at several key positions, and they have a rookie head coach. An interesting stat to keep in mind is that over the last five seasons, seven times we've seen Conference Championship games featuring teams that played during the regular season. The team that won the first meeting has won six of those seven games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 51.5 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 113 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Titans to go Over the team total. The Chiefs were down 24-0 early in the second quarter at home against the Texans, and Houston suffered the worst collapse since Atlanta's in Super Bowl 51. The Titans come in as a big underdog, and the bookmakers aren't expecting them to score a lot of points. I think that's a mistake, as this team averaged over 33 points per game in their final seven games of the regular season. They have the NFL's leading rusher, and the top ranked quarterback during that span. Kansas City on the other hand gives up a lot of points, as evidenced in their 51-31 win last week. Even if the Chiefs have a big lead, their inability to run should allow the Titans plenty of opportunity to score points of their own. Henry ran for 188 yards and two TDs in the previous matchup versus the Chiefs. He's been a beast in the playoffs, and he should get every opportunity to score here in Kansas City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 360 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 261 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Packers will be four point favorite at home versus Seattle, and this is a game that figures to be decided in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks beat the Packers by a score of 27-24 at home last year, and the last time these two teams met in the playoffs the Seahawks won in overtime in a thriller. As much as Green Bay has the home field advantage, the Seahawks won seven of eight games on the road this season. The Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. At this point it appears that Russell Wilson is a better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers, and the defense looked great in Philly last week. The Packers deserve to be the favorite, but it might be wise to take the points in a game that could go either way. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Texans +9.5 v. Chiefs | 31-51 | Loss | -120 | 171 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. The Chiefs are a double digit home favorite against the Texans, and historically these two teams have been pretty evenly matched. They are 4-4 in the last eight head to head meetings, and only one of the last seven meetings were decided by double digits. The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games at Kansas City, and only one of those two losses came by as many as 10 points. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home playoff games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10.5 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 153 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. This game has the potential to be very close, and an upset isn't out of the question. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN@BAL to go Under the total. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -115 | 142 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were an 8* underdog in New Olreans last week, and there were plenty of questions heading into that game. Was Dalvin Cook healthy? Can Kirk Cousins step up in a big game? Can their defense keep them in the game? I bet on the Vikings, and here is what I said prior to that game: "There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD." As far as I am concerned, the Vikings answered all those questions last week. Give me seven points and I'll take the underdog all day. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -119 v. Eagles | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 92 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The injuries just keep piling up for the Eagles, but they just keep winning games. They closed the season with four straight wins, clinching first place in the NFC East. Not one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, playing the Giants twice and beating the Redskins in Washington. Now they host the Seattle Seahawks, an eleven-win NFC West team that missed a first round bye by literally inches. Seattle's would be go ahead TD came up inches short as time expired in their season finale versus San Francisco. The Seahawks come into Philly with a 7-1 road record. Seattle has the better quarterback, and I think that finally the injuries should catch up to the Eagles. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 109 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. After an embarrassing home loss to the Dolphins, everyone is predicting the end of the Patriots Dynasty. There is no doubt that New England isn't as mighty as they once were, but keep in mind that they also lost to Miami last Decemnber, and they went on the win the Super Bowl. They beat a very solid Buffalo Bills team by seven points the previous week, and they still have the NFL's # 1 scoring defense. The Titans looked sharp last week, beating the Texans backups, but had lost back to back games the previous two weeks. The Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff home games. It's going to take a lot more than +4.5 points to tempt me to bet against Belichick and Brady in a January game at Foxboro. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -135 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 86 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. I am not all that excited about betting against the Buffalo Bills. This team has impressed, especially on defense. That being said, they are on the road in a dome against a team with a superior (far better) quarterback. The Texans have more weapons on offense, and the return of JJ Watt should spark the defense. The Bills offense sputtered down the stretch, failing to score 20 points in each of their last four games. They say defense wins championships, but maybe quarterbacks win Wild Card games? My money is on Deshaun Watson and the Texans. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss OVER 56 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee -150 v. Indiana | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Vols will face Indiana in the Gator Bowl on Thursday, and this game features two teams trending in opposite directions. The Hoosiers lost two of their final three games, while Tennessee closed the season with six wins in their final seven games. The only loss during that span came against Alabama. The Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and the Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games as a favorite. Vols quarterback Jarrett Guarantano finished the season strong, and he threw for 778 yards, 8 TDs and three INTs in four non conference games during the season. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 555 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. My regular season Game of the Year was a winner with the Ducks as an underdog versus Washington. Then I bet on the Ducks again in the PAC12 Championship game, and once again they won outright as an underdog. The PAC12 doesn't get a lot of respect these days, but PAC12 teams have owned the Rose Bowl. Oregon deserves a little more respect, already going toe to toe with the likes of Auburn, USC, Washington and Utah. The Badgers played Ohio State twice this season, giving up over 70 points and losing both games. This Oregon team is a lot more like Ohio State than Michigan and Iowa. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | 16-35 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. If this was a playoff game, you might feel comfortable backing Alabama to win by double digits. Both these teams came into this season expecting to make the playoffs, but a News Day Bowl game is still an accomplishment for the Wolverines. That's not the case for the Crimson Tide, and Alabama has a history of suffering a let down in these type of situations. A few years ago they were blown out in a loss to Oklahoma in the Sugar Bowl. This game has that same sort of feel to it. The Wolverines should be the more motivated team here, and I'll take the points. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. |
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12-31-19 | Florida State v. Arizona State -180 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 168 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53.5 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 168 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Arizona State comes into the Sun Bowl with a 7-5 record, but when you really look at where they got their wins, it's more impressive than one might think. This is a team that was 3-1 against Top 25 teams. The Seminoles on the other hand don't have a lot to hang their hat on, they finished with a 6-6 record, and none of those six wins were at all impressive. FSU will not have new head coach Mike Norvell for this bowl game, instead interim head coach Odell Haggins will be filling in. Leading rusher Cam Akers is sitting out, and his backup will miss the game due to injury. That leaves FSU without any running backs with any experience. James Blackman will have to carry the team if FSU is going to compete here, and he's shown little signs that he's up to the task. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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12-29-19 | Titans -190 v. Texans | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
7* |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 127 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYG. If you checked last Sunday's scores, you might think that the Eagles beat the Cowboys last week? Well I watched that game quite closely, and let me tell you that Dallas beat the Cowboys. Poor decisions from head coach Jason Garrett beat the Cowboys. A boat load of dropped balls by the Dallas receivers beat the Cowboys. On a crucial 3rd and 1 late in the game, with Dallas having an opportunity to take the lead, they ran a toss to Tony Pollard that lost yards. Zeke Elliott was on the bench. Philly is a mess, banged up in the secondary and in their receiving corps. Zack Ertz has fractured ribs, and they come into New York asked to cover a bunch of points. My money is on Danny Dimes and Saquon to terrorize this Eagles team, and I think the Giants win outright. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 422 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. The defending champion Clemson Tigers bring a perfect 13-0 record into their College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup versus Ohio State. The Tigers had a much softer schedule than the Buckeyes, who also went 13-0 during the regular season. Ohio State had five wins against Top 25 teams, beating Wisconsin twice, Michigan, Penn State and Michigan State. Ohio State has played more big games, and has proven a lot more than this year's Clemson team that only faced two ranked teams. Clemson is a team that thrives as an underdog in big games, but the Tigers haven't fared as well when coming in as the favorite. They have failed to cover in six of their last eight when asked to cover points. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU UNDER 76.5 | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
The Sooners scored plenty of points in the BIG12 this season, but they will be a big underdog against the #1 ranked SEC champions LSU. The Tigers allowed a combined 17 points in wins over Georgia and Texas A&M at the end of the season. The Tigers are a double digit favorite, so this game isn't necessarily expected to be close. It's going to be hard to reach such a high total if LSU wins in commanding fashion (as expected). The under is 18-3-1 in the Sooners last 22 games in December, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus SEC teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-19 | Washington State +3 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington State. It was a disappointing season for the Cougars, finishing with a 6-6 record and losing their final game to Washington in the Apple Cup. They scored a combined 103 points in home wins over Oregon State and Stanford prior to that. Mike Leach is still one of the top offensive minds in college football, and you have to imagine he will have a solid game plan here for this bowl game. They came out flying in last year's Alamo Bowl, outscoring Iowa State 21-10 in the first half. Air Force won 10 games against inferior opposition in the Mountain West, but the Falcons might struggle against this potent Cougars offense. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus Mountain West teams. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii OVER 64 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU@HAWAII to go Over the total. The Rainbow Warriors host rivals BYU in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, and history suggests that we should see plenty of scoring in this game. Hawaii comes in with a 9-5 overall record, winning four of their final five games and ranking 6th nationally in passing. The Cougars won five of their last six games, and they scored 30+ points in four of those five wins. The last time these teams met, the Cougars won by a score of 49-23 last October. The over is 11-4 in the Rainbow Warriors last 15 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in 14 of their last 20 in the month of December. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -200 | 23-10 | Loss | -200 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers scored 21 points in a home win over the Vikings in Week 3, but they were held scoreless in the second half of that game and Minnesota rallied late but came up just short. They are seeking to avenge that loss here in a huge game in Minnesota on Monday Night Football. The Packers have lost three straight at Minnesota dating back to 2015, and they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. The Vikes are 6-0 at home this season, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +7 | 26-3 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have won three straight home games and three of their last four overall, but they will be a sizeable underdog here against Kansas City. The Chiefs come into Chicago riding a four game win streak, and they have already clinched the AFC West. With the Patriots winning at home versus Buffalo on Saturday, and playing their final game at home against the Dolphins, the Chiefs are unlikely to improve their playoff position with a win here over the Bears. The Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 overall at home. I'll take the points with a tough Bears team looking to salvage some pride. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys -130 v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Both Dallas and Philly are coming off big wins helping set up this epic battle for the NFC East, but you have to be far more impressed with the Cowboys win over the Rams than the Eagles win over Washington. The Eagles injury troubles have taken their toll, with an extremely thin receiving corps and a lack of talent in the backfield. Perhaps most significant is the injury to offensive lineman Lane Johnson. Dallas ran all over the Rams last week, with 263 rushing yards and three rushing TDs. Dallas has won four straight against the Eagles, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Philadelphia. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Huskies. The Huskies were the consensus favorite to win the PAC12 this pre-season, but their season was sent into a tail spin after losing 20-19 at home in a weather delayed game against California in Week 2. They finished 7-5, and went 1-2 against Top 25 teams. Both of their losses to ranked teams came by fewer than seven points. The Boise State Broncos were 12-1 and won the Mountain West, but didn't play a single ranked team during that span. This is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson (also former Broncos coach). I like the Huskies to go out with W in Peterson's Swan Song. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Back in September, the Bills outplayed New England at home, and still lost 16-10. They had a huge edge in total yards, more than double the first downs, and they dominated time of possession. New England looked pretty bad last week in Cincinnati, and still they won and covered. This Patriots team simply knows how to win, even if their tactics are sometimes questionable. A home game at Foxboro in December isn't exactly a good spot to be betting against Belichick and Brady. The Bills might make in interesting, but I expect history to repeat itself. My money is on the Pats to win and cover. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah State Aggies. Nobody has more to prove in the Frisco Bowl than Jordan Love, who is hoping to have a future in the NFL. The junior quarterback took a giant step back this year, throwing almost as many INTs as he did TD passes. Love threw for 3,567 yards, 32 TDs and just six INTs in 2018. He lit up North Texas in last year's New Mexico Bowl, throwing for 359 yards and four TDs on 21-of-43 passing. The Aggies won three of their final four games of the regular season, and Love threw for eight TDs and four INTs in those games. Superior talent and a highly motivated quarterback should be enough for the Aggies to get the cover. Take USU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | Rams +1 v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -106 | 146 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +12.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -125 | 158 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Denver comes into this rivarly game with Kansas City with a record of 5-8, and because of that they will be a double digit underdog. Only three of Denver's eight losses have come by 10 or more points, and they are coming off back to back outright wins. Drew Lock was impressive in his debut as a starter, throwing for 309 yards and three TDs on 22-of-27 passing in a 38-24 win over the Texans. The Broncos will be looking to avenge a 30-6 home loss to the Chiefs earlier this season, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Kansas City. The Weather could also play a role here today, which may favor the underdog. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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