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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-03-18 | Warriors +4.5 v. Thunder | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Warriors remain a little banged up but most of the their key cogs like Durant, Thompson, Green are expected to play tonight with only Steph Curry on the sidelines. I know the Warriors don't have alot to play for from a standings perspective as they are guaranteed the No. seed in the West, but cohesiveness now becomes a question mark, because of a late season tumble because of injuries, and lackluster play, and its now imperative they get into a rhythm before the play offs begin. I also know Oklahoma State will be sky high to take down the Warriors tonight, but I'm betting that will not be an easy feat , as the Dubs would love nothing more than to send a message to opponents before the post season arrives. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-17 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season( Golden State won the last meeting back on Feb 24, 112-80) . OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-39 ATS as a favorite this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-24 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA team vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after scoring 105 points or more in a win over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 27-5 L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 41-82 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 47 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Championship Game - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX Its been said for a long time , that defense wins championships and I'm a proponent of this convectional thinking in general terms, especially in a game like this where I'm getting points with the better defensive side (Michigan). Villanova is strong two way team, that shines because of their experience and ability to play different styles of ball. The Cats key strength however, is their top ranked offense. Meanwhile, Michigan despite showing their ability to explosively offensive, scoring 95 and 99 points in 2 of their last 3 wins to get here, are a physically intimidating side that can wear you down in the paint and are like hoovers around the rim, which makes them very under rated in this spot. I'm betting the Wolverines D, is the difference maker here today on the line. MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) games this season. MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. MICHIGAN is 22-6 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Play on Michigan to cover |
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04-01-18 | Pistons -1 v. Nets | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pistons play off hopes are slim, as they are 5 games behind Milwaukee for the final spot in the East, but they still have not given up the chase for the post season, with six games remaining and have won 4 straight and are 6-1 in its last seven games and enter this tilt vs Brooklyn with a full head of steam. Detroit during their current hot run are averaging 109.1 points, shooting 46.6 percent and getting 49.4 rebounds while limiting their turnovers ( 11.9 ppg). I know the Nets are playing decently of late, but my own power rankings and player vs player and system vs system matchups suggest they do not matchup well vs this type of team and are on tired legs after playing last night and at a dsiadvantage. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Pistons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Nets are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DETROIT) - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-28 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors. Road favorites (DETROIT) - a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team, on Sunday games are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-01-18 | 76ers -3 v. Hornets | 119-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers enter this game vs their hosts Charlotte with a full head of steam this Sunday afternoon. The Sixer's have won 9 in a row and will be out to sweep the season series vs a side that they matchup very well against as was evident by winning all 3 previous games this season by double digits. Charlotte has lost 2 straight and failed to cover 3 straight and ar eon tired legs after playing last night , which adds to their fade material status today. The 76ers outscored the Hornets 102-51 on 3-pointers in the last two meetings, going 34 of 77 from beyond the arc and a repeat performance is a high probability outcome in this spot considering both sides current form. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. PHILADELPHIA is 25-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. CHARLOTTE is 6-25 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CHARLOTTE is 2-13 ATS L/15 as a home underdog . NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, playing on back-to-back days are 7-36 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 7.7 ppg. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by more than 11 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-31-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 112-96 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending NBA Champion Golden State Warriors are still a little banged up, and on a current 3 game losing streak. Their not as cohesive as usual, and playing uninspired basketball. Can the Warriors turn the switch and go into over drive. Yes, off course they can, but I'm betting the goal right now is to remain healthy heading towards the play offs and to stave of fatigue. With that said, if the Dubs win tonight, I'm betting they do it without going into top gear, and for the hardworking young Kings to play this game like its their own version of a championship game, which makes getting points here a viable wagering opportunity. GOLDEN STATE is 30-42 ATS in all games this season.SACRAMENTO is 17-7 ATS L/24 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points dating back to last season. Warriors are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 107 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - Alamodome - San Antonio, TXT The East Region’s No. 1 seed, Villanova, meets the Midwest Region’s No. 1 seed, Kansas. The Wildcats No.1 offense, leading the nation in scoring with 87 points a game and are converting at a 50% clip from the floor while making almost 12 three-pointers a game. They are hoovers around the rim and rank fourth nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio. This is needless to say a behemoth side, that deserves our respect, yes even against a solid Kansas side. The wildcats can also play great D, when they need to and I expect that will be the difference here today behind big men , Spellman and Eric Paschall. It must also be noted that getting up the same emotion that they displayed against Duke last time out in their Ot win to advance to the Final 4 will also effect them. Playing at that level again will be a super human feat, and despite of the Jayhawks sometimes amazing gold like performances, this wont be the case in this emotional letdown scenario. Bill Selfs Kansas has not done all that well from a ATS perspective versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, going just 46-60 ATS. VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS L/18 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.VILLANOVA is 24-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. VILLANOVA is 11-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.VILLANOVA is 9-1 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season.VILLANOVA is 14-3 ATS in non-conference games this season.VILLANOVA is 11-2 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 70-30 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are 11-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on Villanova |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 96 h 1 m | Show |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
It must be noted that Loyola Chicago only had 4 offensive rebounds in their last game vs KState and if they didn't hit a remarkable 57% of their FG chances they would not be here. Michigan's D, and rebounding and explosive 3 point shooting are going to be the huge difference makers here. MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN is 21-6 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS L/11 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) after 15 or more games. MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS L/19 in all neutral court games. Play on Michigan to cover ( Generals Club Top Ticket -Double Down) |
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03-31-18 | Hornets v. Wizards -5 | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Star G John Wall is expected to return to the Washington Wizards today against Charlotte, after a lengthy absence because of injury . This I'm betting will rejuvenate a sometimes unmotivated group of Wizards. They can clinch a play off spot if they get a win today and also get revenge for a Feb 23rd loss here at home by a ugly 122-105 count. I'm betting the Wizards get their payback. Charlotte has lost 6 of their L/9 on the road and have failed to cover 20 of their L/34 road games this season.Hornets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington. WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last few seasons.( lost to the Pistons last time out as 2.5 point road chalk-102-93) CHARLOTTE is 9-22 ATS as an underdog this season with 7 point deficit over that period. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite, second half of the season are 33-4 SU L/5 seasons for a89% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by more than 10.5 ppg. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in March games are 45-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average victory coming by 10 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-30-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -6 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Portland was upset last time out vs the lowly Memphis Grizzlies , thanks in part to being without Damian Lillard (personal) and most probably becasue they over looked their bottoming feeding opponent. Now in bounce back mode, after that last embarrasement, I'm betting we see the Blazers at their very best behind new father, and team leader D.Lillard. (The Blazers star missed the last game so he could be with his wife for the birth of their child. ) The Blazers have played ther best hoops at home this season where they are 25-13 SU, and matchup very well vs this current group of Clippers, as was evident in a recent 122-109 win at Staples back on the 18th of March as 1.5 point dogs.. Yes, I know the Clippers have won 3 straight, but all good runs must eventually come to end , and that what I expect happens tonight.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS in March games this season. PORTLAND is 14-2 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.PORTLAND is 22-8 ATS L/30 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game. PORTLAND is 10-0 ATS L/10 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in March games are 44-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined win coming by 10 ppg. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double digit favorite are just 19-54 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors on the blind. Play on Portland to cover |
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03-29-18 | Pacers v. Kings +8.5 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Sacramento has been off for a couple days since getting stepped on by Dallas as chalk in their last home tilt on Tuesday . Their coach Dave Joerger was really peed off after that tilt as his players looked inattentive in that game, during what has been a bizarre week of riots in Sacramento after another deadly police shooting. The HC appreciates the stance his players have taken to support the protesters, but has reminded his men that they must be professionals. QUOTE: "We respect that, but we've still got to come in, be professionals, and bring the same juice, the same energy every night." END QUOTE: Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in March games are 105-41 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-29-18 | Penn State v. Utah +4 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
NIT Championship Game - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Utah is an experienced group that starts four seniors and a junior and must be respected here in what the linesmakers expect will be a close game. Both Penn State and Utah play shut down D, but with a key offensive cog Mike Watkins ( 3rd leading scorer) out for the Lions, the Utes D, can be even more focused. However, with that said, I'm betting the difference maker comes via the charity stripe where Utah is the superior side. QUOTE: . “I don’t think there’s a team that shoots more free throws in practice,” END QUOTE: coach Larry Krystkowiak said. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-28-18 | Celtics +7.5 v. Jazz | 97-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Boston might be banged up but they have proved a resilient bunch and better than the sum of their parts over and over again this season, and must never be underestimated. QUOTE: The way a team plays as a whole determines its success. You may have the greatest bunch of individual stars in the world, but if they don’t play together, the club won’t be worth a dime.” Babe Ruth :END QUOTE Utah beat Boston earlier this season, and short handed or not the Celtics have revenge on board, and a tenacious never say attitude to go along with it and is 14-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. BOSTON is 25-11 ATS in road games this season and have won 6 of their L/7 away from home. Boston buys into a team concept that's what makes them so good. You might not always see it in the final score, but you can definitely see it on the floor and with their work ethic game in and game out. Taking point with them, even when their banged up is not reaching and a viable investment opportunity. BOSTON is 21-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BOSTON is 14-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 90-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins 51-20 L/22 seasons for a 73% SU conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-28-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies +6.5 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Memphis upset Northwest-contending Minnesota 101-93 on the road Monday night and showed some fight despite of their imminent lottery pick situation . With Portland playing the second of back to backs this Wednesday on tired legs, and most likely over looking the lowly the Grizzlies another possible upset could be in the cards and more importantly a cover. It must also be noted that after losing 2 consecutive games , Portland has pulled out two back to back wins of less than 5 points , and are less cohesive then they were during a 12 game win streak. MEMPHIS is 48-29 L/76 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog. Injury update. D Lillard is expected to miss this game vs Memphis. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog are 106-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 25-10 SU L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. ( Memphis lost both games in this series at home back in November) Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-27-18 | Bucks +3.5 v. Clippers | 98-105 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
These teams played last week with the Clippers pulling of the road win, now in the rematch the Bucks will primed to pull off upset in revenge mode. With both teams seeking a play off appearance you can bet this will be a battle, which makes taking points here a viable wagering option. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Clippers are 0-12 ATS/SU with rest off a win as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 40 rebounds per game like Milwaukee. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a close home win by 3 points or less are 41-16 SU L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 33-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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03-27-18 | Mavs v. Kings -2 | 103-97 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game in full lottery pick tank mode, as is evident by a current 5 game losing streak. Meanwhile, Sacramento is 6-7 SU (9-4 ATS) in their L/13 games, and still playing spirited basketball. From a power ranking perspective my numbers suggest the Kings are the superior side here on their own home floor. In other words the lesser of two evils resides with the hosts. DALLAS is 1-10 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Kings are 13-0/SU ATS covering by as a home favorite with less than two days rest after their opponent shot over 50% from the field. DALLAS is 4-12 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Sacramento has won 3 of the L/4 games here in Sacramento. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-27-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans -1 | 107-103 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pelicans (43-31) on 2 days rest will be rejuvenated and primed to take on the visiting Portland Trail Blazers (45-28) on Tuesday night at the Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans have won four of the last five meetings against the Trail Blazers, including the last two -- a 123-116 victory on Dec. 2 at Portland and a 119-113 win on Jan. 12 in New Orleans. From a power rankings perspective, despite of the Blazers red hot form the Pelicans match up well against this team in a systems analysis and get the nod here on their own home floor. Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 13-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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03-27-18 | Spurs v. Wizards +1.5 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Wizards are struggling and need wins badly and are currently one game ahead of the Milwaukee Bucks and 1 1/2 games ahead of the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference . Tonight I'm betting the Wizards will be ready for a San Antonio team playing much better basketball of late. The Spurs despite of their improved play, had a 6-0 home stand go flat when they went on the road and lost to a inconsistent Milwaukee team last time out for their 4th straight road loss. It must also be noted that the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. The Spurs have looked like two different teams, when playing as host and than as visitors which must be worrisome for HC Popovich and company. After getting blind sided by the lowly NY Knicks last time out, I'm betting this sometimes unmotivated group of Wizards has some extra jump here tonight and take out the Spurs in this spot. WASHINGTON is 36-20 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last few seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are just 36-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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03-27-18 | Western Kentucky v. Utah | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY The fourth seeded Hill toppers took out 3 POWER 5 teams to get here ( Oklahoma City, USC and Boston College) including the last two on the road and must be respected here vs a Utah side that my power ranking suggests they matchup well against. WKU has 12 wins this season against programs with at least 20 victories: Old Dominion (3 times), UAB (2), Marshall (2), Purdue (1), Wright State (1), Nicholls (1), USC (1) and Oklahoma State (1). W KENTUCKY is 13-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. W KENTUCKY is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.W KENTUCKY is 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season.W KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS in all tournament games this season. W KENTUCKY is 13-4 ATS L/17 in a post-season tournament games. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-26-18 | North Texas +4.5 v. San Francisco | 62-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
North Texas enters this game on fire scoring 90 plus points in three straight wins, and are a side that must be respected after playing top tier teams like Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State and looking very competetive against them. Meanwhile, San Francisco has played three hard fought closely contsted affairs to get to this best of three CBI finals series, and are in alot of ways lucky to be here. Their one signature win came this season against St.Mary's a team that was over rated in the rankings and missed the NCAA tournament. Here in todays matchup, I'm betting that San Francisco does not have enough offensive weapons to easily come out of this with a win, and getting points with an explosive Men Green side is viavble investment opportunity. Note: SF HC Smith is 0-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games, andSmith is 1-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO. McCasland is 11-3 ATS in his career as a road underdog or pick as the coach of N TEXAS |
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03-26-18 | Nuggets +5.5 v. 76ers | 104-123 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Denver is seven games above .500, and are still not guaranteed a play off position, and are one game behind Utah in the Western Conference Northwest Division. Needless to say every game is of the utmost importance . This kind of desperate side that validates a betting stance. I know Philly has been hot, but Denver is no pushovers and must be respected here with so much on the line when it comes to post season implications. Add to that the Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss at home to the 76ers back on Dec 30th of this season. DENVER is 15-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season Note: The 76ers have lost 5 of their L/7 SU vs above .500 opposition. Nuggets are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Nuggets are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 11-23 ATS L/34 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 90-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-25-18 | Jazz v. Warriors +6 | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Utah has not looked all that cohesive in their last few games losing twice, once to lowly Atlanta and in OT last time out vs San Antonio and in the one victory they looked far from dominating vs a Dallas squad in tank mode. In this spot vs a banged up Golden State team, the lines-makers have decided they deserve to be more than 5 point road favorites. But I'm betting that number is a little bloated, considering how deep the Warriors truly are. With Thompson, Durant, Curry out of the lineup the Warriors can no longer be considered super human, but now just a average to below average side. But when co-coordinating similar lines, and comparing them to my own power rankings , we still have value with a home pup with revenge on board for a ugly 129-99 loss earlier this season to todays visitor Utah. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Jazz are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Golden State. UTAH is 14-27 ATS L/41 in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last few seasons. Note: Warriors Draymond Green is upgraded to probable Sunday. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 48-6 SU L/21 seasons for 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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03-25-18 | Duke v. Kansas +3 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Final - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE We have Two Hall of Fame coaches, two blue blood programs, and loads of talent ready to go head in Sunday’s showdown at the CenturyLink Center. What I'm betting here today is that Coach Ks zone defense is going to get run over, by a Bill Self coached team that knows how to deal with it well. According to my player vs players and system vs system power rankings Duke does not match up well here and I won't be surprised if Kansas pulls of the upset. But just to be safe lets take the points. KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better dating back to last season. KANSAS is 9-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Jayhawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Kansas |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova -6.5 | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Final - TD Garden - Boston, MA Villanova was my pick to win the enchilada this season, so I'm not about to jump off the bandwagon now. Yes, they are playing a good basketball team in Texas Tech, but according to my power rankings and systems adjustments the Wildcats are the far superior team, and so diverse in their abilities are extremely hard to play against, that laying 7 or less points does not phase me. In other words whatever the Raiders throw at the Cats, they will easily be able to counter and take over any situation and turn it in their favor behind a boatload full of talent. I know Raiders guards Culver and James, look unstoppable, but they have yet to face this type of opponent this season and could easily get run over . Villanova has been v explosive on offense and are currently ranked 1st in the nation in scoring, with 87.0 ppg, ranking 5th in shooting (50.3%), 10th in 3-point shooting (40.5%), and have 47 treys in this tournament so far , which is not a good omen for a Texas Tech side, that has looked below average guarding the downtown three, as was the case in their win vs Purdue last time out, allowing s 38.9% conversion rate from long range. VILLANOVA is 11-4 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. VILLANOVA is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.VILLANOVA is 8-2 ATS L/10 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. VILLANOVA is 13-3 ATS in non-conference games this season.VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 103-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-24-18 | Florida State +5 v. Michigan | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Michigan looked like the greatest College basketball team in the world last time out in their win vs Texas A&M. I think anyone who watched was in awe. It was an amazing site to behold, as everything the Wolverines touched turned to gold. Now I'm expecting a reversion to the norm and a pretty big drop off after that amazing performance vs a solid Florida State D. It's just the law of physics at play, as you cannot put out that much positive energy without creating a situation without negative energy creating a reversal of flow which I'm betting will be the case here in this tilt for Michigan . Today against a tall athletic Florida State side, being as fluid for Michigan is going to be a challenge. Watching the Seminoles superior athletes outduel a pretty good Gonzaga group has me confidently betting on them to make a game of this here today. This has been a crazy NCAA tournament, with a lot of upsets and no team is safe, or even close to a sure bet, so I'm not swayed by the Wolverines current form as day could to turn to night quicker than many might anticipate. FLORIDA ST is 10-2 ATS in non-conference games this season.FLORIDA ST is 20-5 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. Play on Florida State to cover |
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State -1 | 78-62 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago has played some great basketball in this tournament and have also had a horse shoe solidly wedged into their lower extremities, winning their 3 games by a combined 4 points. They live in and die on fast ball movement and layups,, and today against a physical KState defense I'm betting their going to get battered, and mugged on a consistent basis and that horseshoe I mentioned is going to be pried loose and their luck will run out. Note: Kansas State runs the floor with a lot 6'4 or less athletes but their a tenacious group allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to 64 points or less. They deserve respect here against a quality program from Chicago, that is as lucky as they are good. The Wildcats advance. CBB favorite (KANSAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 65-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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03-23-18 | Celtics +7 v. Blazers | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Portland had their 13 game win streak ended last time out by a 115-111 count vs the Houston Rockets , and will now be in an emotional letdown spot here this evening vs the visiting Boston Celtics. I know the Blazers have revenge on board for a loss in Boston last month, in a hotly contested affair that ended with a buzzer beater, but getting the energy needed to cover vs a hard working Celtics group will not come easily after the war they just went through vs the Rockets. I know Boston is banged up and Kyrie Irving is out, but this Beantown crew is deeper than many think, as was evident in a 100-99 win vs the red hot Oklahoma City Thunder in their last trip to the hardwood as 5 point home pups. Note: BOSTON is 13-4 ATS L/17 off an upset win as an underdog.
BOSTON is 13-3 ATS as an underdog this season.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.Celtics are 26-10-2 ATS in their last 38 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Portland. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5%or better) after 42+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or less of their shots are 22-12 SU L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors with the average deficit of those tilts ringing in a 2.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 60-109 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova -5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - TD Garden - Boston, MA Villanova really gets up for top quality competition, as was evident by posting a 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS mark vs .680- or better opposition this season. It must also be noted that West Virginia's HC Huggins is 0-21-1 ATS in this tournament if he loses straight up. While you can never rule out a SU upset , especially this season, the odds are very high the Wildcats win here SU, thus making Huggy Bear and his cubs fade material in this spot. VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season Sweet 16 No.1 seeds off back to back wins in the NCAA tourney are a bankroll expanding 21-8 ATS. Also No.1 seeds in this round are 18-0 SU /15-2-1 ATS if they face a two game win streak. SWEET 16 No.5 seeds like West Virginia are 1-6 ATS as 9 point or less dogs. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 69-31 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-23-18 | Clemson v. Kansas -4.5 | 76-80 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - CenturyLink Center - Omaha, NE Kansas rolls into this Sweet 16 affair vs Clemson winning 10 of their L/11 overall while /Clemson is just 5-5 in their L/10 despite of winning their first two games of this tournament. It must be noted that CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons. From a coaching perspective Bill Self of Kansas has a huge experience edge, winning 9 of 12 Sweet 16 games, covering 8 times. In recent games vs the ACC Self is a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS and overall is 7-0 SU L/7 and 6-0-1 ATS vs .666 or better opposition like Clemson this season. SWEET 16 No.5 seeds are 1-6 ATS L/7 overall as dogs of 9 points or less. No.5 seeds like Clemson are 0-4 ATs L/3 seasons. KANSAS is 7-1 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. Play on Kansas to cover |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -2 | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game off a 99-94 win vs Utah Jazz on Tuesday. Their were a few factors at work in that win, but the Hawks overall ugly record speaks for itself, and those types of performances are not consistent . With that said, I now expect a emotional letdown situation to effect the Hawks in this spot vs the Sacramento Kings. I know both teams are in tank mode, but Atlanta smashed Sacramento 126-80 at home on Nov. 15, and I'm betting the Kings will have a little bit of extra energy in the tank tonight in payback mode. ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last few seasons. Sacramento has won and covered the L/2 meetings here in California's capital. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more are 5-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Hawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record .Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. NBA Favorites (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win are 144-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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03-22-18 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -5.5 | 75-60 | Loss | -109 | 38 h 29 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA Florida State was down 12 points mid way through the 2nd half of their 2nd round game vs a very good Xavier side last time out and came back to win 75-70. I tip my proverbial hat to the Seminoles, for that big time effort, but now I'm betting their celebrating comes to an abrupt end vs Gonzaga side that has won 34 of 35 games vs sub .890 foes this season. It must also be noted that Seminoles HC Hamilton is 0-4 ATS in the NCAA tourney off two straight wins and 0-3 SU/ATS off a underdog victory. GONZAGA is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons. FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS L/14 in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last few seasons. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Michigan | 72-99 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA Texas A&M goes against a John Beilein lead Michigan squad lucky to be here after trailing Houston last time out, by a FG with less than 4 seconds left on the clock and the Cougars at the FT line.The Wolverines than miraculously found away to win by 1 point. Now off their lucky zone, and on negative karmic course vs a underdog that is 4-0 SU/ATS vs .800 or better opposition this season , Michigan is in trouble. Michigan has only covered 3 of their L/15 vs SEC sides away from home and HC Beilein is also just 0-6-1 ATS in his career vs SEC opponents. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Nevada +1.5 | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - Philips Arena - Atlanta, GA Everyone and his dog is piling onto the Loyola Chicago miracle bandwagon, a side that won both their first wo games on last second buzzer beaters. Don't get me wrong this a fine looking team, and deserve respect, but I expect their luck to run out here, vs very experienced and talented Nevada team, that knows exactly what's coming their way and they will be ready to compete and well prepared, as was evident in two tenacious come back wins in this tournament vs Cincinnati and Texas . With my own power ranking suggesting that Nevada should be -4 or better favs here , I'll recommend we take the Wolfpack NEVADA is 29-14 ATS L/43 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NEVADA is 15-6 ATS in all tournament games over the last few seasons. Nevada HC Musselman is 15-3 ATS L/18 after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (NEVADA) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less 49-9 SU L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors . Play on Nevada to cover |
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03-21-18 | Utah v. St. Mary's -6 | 67-58 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals St.Mary's is playing with a chip on their proverbial shoulders after not being included in the NCAA tournament despite of a top 25 ranking. Playing a weak schedule was their demise, but now their hell bent on winning this NIT tournament and come into this game with a chip on their shoulders. I felt they were being over rated vs Washington in the last round , but now this line seems more appropriate and I'm recommending we back the Gaels here in this spot vs Utah. Utes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. West Coast Conference. UTAH is 8-23 ATS L/31 in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game.ST MARYS-CA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite. ( St.Mary's 78.3 Opp 55.6) Bennett is 46-14 ATS off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of ST MARYS-CA which happened against Washington last time out. Play on St.Mary's to cover |
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03-21-18 | Clippers v. Bucks -5 | 127-120 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers looked exhausted last night in a DD 123-109 loss to Minnesota and are on very, very, very tired legs entering this tilt vs Milwaukee this Wednesday night on a 4 game losing streak. With this being their 5th away game in 8 nights their exhausted as they allowed 120+ points for the third consecutive time . . Last night I advised we back the Wolves, and tonight I'm recommending we do the same by backing the Bucks. The key here is burnout, and the Clippers are exhibiting signs of classic work place fatigue. LA CLIPPERS are 3-11 ATS after allowing 120 points or more this season.Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Milwaukee has won both meetings recent meetings in this series, home and away. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 23-57 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-21-18 | Jacksonville State +1.5 v. North Texas | 68-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Semifinals Jacksonville State is a very under rated squad, and must be respected here as road dogs on a short line. My own projections make them a very viable wagering opportunity. Meanwhile, North Texas off a win last time out to advance to the Semi Finals has surprised some pundits , after a mediocre campaign that saw them stumble in the stretch drive losing 7 of their L/8 games. On the season at home N.Texas is just 5-6 ATS, while Jack State has won 11 of their 19 road games SU. N TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games off a home win dating back to last season. JACKSONVILLE ST is 12-1 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-1 ATS L/8 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE ST) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 60-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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03-21-18 | Raptors v. Cavs -1.5 | 129-132 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Raptors smashed the Cavs, the three-time-defending champions in the East, their worst loss of the season when they beat Cleveland 133-99 on Jan. 11 and now payback and some measured respect is on the line in the rematch for LeBron James and company. James is playing great hoops of late Love is back in the lineup , and even Tristan Thompson (sprained right ankle) and Rodney Hood (lower back strain) were upgraded to questionable for Wednesday's game, which has me coming in late here to lay down some cash on the Cavs. Note: The Raptors have looked a little tired of late, and played last night which should effect their energy levels late in this game when things count most. Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Cleveland is 7-1 SU L/8 at home in this series. NBA Favorites (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win are 114-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - in a game involving two below average defensive teams (102 PPG or more) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 43-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-20-18 | Mississippi State v. Louisville -5 | 79-56 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
NIT- Quarter finals Louisville is fourth in the nation in blocked shots (6.1 bpg) and ranks 35th in field goal percentage defense (.412). Anas Mahmoud is ninth in the nation in blocked shots (3.0) and Ray Spalding is 38th in offensive rebounds (3.09) and I'm betting these top tier abilities give them an edge here. Louisville has made 42.1 percent of their threes over the last 12 games (110-of-261. UofL is 16-3 when it makes eight or more three-pointers in a game and in their current form are very dangerous. The Cards have made a combined 36-of-76 threes in its four postseason games (.474).Louisville held eight of its 18 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and are currently in top form and more than capable of handling a pretty good Miss State side and getting us the cover. LOUISVILLE is 12-4 ATS L/16 in home games in non-conference games . LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite. Louisville to cover |
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03-20-18 | Clippers v. Wolves -3 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are on very tired legs entering this tilt vs Minnesota this Tuesday night. In their last game on Sunday... back home in Los Angeles they played their third contest in three cities in four nights and now this will be their 4 away game in 6 nights, which I am betting will effect their play here this evening. Yes, Minnesota will play without key cog Jimmy Butler, but their still plenty of fight and talent in this this lineup and their more than capable of snatching a win in this spot at home where they are 26-9 this season. Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. MINNESOTA is 36-20 ATS L/56 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 53-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of victory coming by 10 ppg. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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03-20-18 | Thunder v. Celtics +4.5 | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder may find themselves in a precarious letdown spot here this Tuesday night in Boston as they visit the Celtics after a very hard fought win vs the Toronto Raptors last time out that ended the Raptors 11 game win streak. I watched a last part of that tilt and was a grueling affair. Meanwhile the Celtics have won their last two games against the Thunder, including a 101-84 victory on Nov. 3 at Oklahoma City and despite of some injuries matchup well against the Thunder. I know that the Thunder are streaking but from a ATS perspective, they don't deal well with success as they are just 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread and are fade material here at 4 point or more chalk. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-19 ATS ( revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60% ) are 44-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-20-18 | Penn State v. Marquette -2 | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
NIT - Quarterfinals |
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03-19-18 | Washington +10 v. St. Mary's | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
NIT - Second Round |
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03-19-18 | Mercer -1 v. North Texas | 67-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals The Mercer Bears are on fire especially when talking about their money making value on the line as they have covered 9 of their L/10 games.Bears are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record like N.Texas and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and get the nod again in this spot play situation. Note: Mean Green Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.UNT is led by one man team sophomore guard Roosevelt Smart, the C-USA's 4th leading scorer with a 19.3 average, but this team is easily controlled if Smart is contained. The Bears are capable of doing this : Conference 1st in rebounding defense (28.9) 1st in field goal% (47.8%)2nd in rebounding margin (+5.7)2nd in 3-pt. field goal% (39.1%)3rd in free throw% (75.7%)3rd in field goal% defense (43.3%)4th in assist/turnover margin (1.2)4th in scoring offense (75.6)4th in scoring defense (69.0)4th in scoring margin (+6.6)N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. N TEXAS is 13-32 ATS in home games in non-conference games since 1997.N TEXAS is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . Play on the Mercer Bears to cover |
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03-19-18 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Nets | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies have had a horrendous season, but are off a win vs Dallas last time out, which ended a 19 game losing streak. The Grizzlies despite of their failures have remained fairly competitive and saw 10 of those 19 losses come by single digits , and are more than capable of covering again vs a inconsistent Brooklyn Nets side that has lost 12 of their L/15 overall, and has lost 22 of their 34 homes games this season. Memphis has won and covered their L/2 trips to Brooklyn. Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as an underdog are 90-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-19-18 | Eastern Michigan -1.5 v. Sam Houston State | 62-69 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Second Round With 22 wins on the year, EMU is tied for the fourth-most wins in a single season and very under rated and hungry side that is hell bent on winning this tournament. The Eagles have played some of their best ball of the season over the final month of the season, winnng 11 of its last 13 games overall, including a season-best seven-game winning streak. The Eagles winning ways have come behind the Mid-American Conference's best defense. The Eagles, lead the MAC with a 66.8 scoring defense, have allowed just 63.1 points per contest in the last eight games. EMU has also held teams to just 40.9 percent from the floor during the stretch, forced 12.9 turnovers per game, and averaged 8.4 steals per contest which will be I'm betting the catalyst behind a victory for them tonight. HC Hooten is 2-13 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST and is 8-17 ATS L/25 in non-conference games as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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03-19-18 | Jacksonville State -1 v. Central Arkansas | 80-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals According to my systems and small school charts Jacksonville State is the superior side. Gamecocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 11-1 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 11-2 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. JACKSONVILLE ST is 28-15 ATS L/43 in road games. Jacksonville State HC Harper is 23-8 ATS in all tournament games in all games he has coached in his career. Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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03-18-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The red hot Portland Trail Blazers enter into tonights LA game vs the Clippers on Sunday night with big targets on their backs after notching 12 consecutive victories. With the Blazers also eyeing big upcoming tilts vs Houston and the Boston Celtics they may not be completely focused here which could I'm betting result in a negative effort vs a team primed to grab a victory and end their opponents win streak. It must be noted that Los Angeles turned it over 23 times in a sloppy 121-113 setback at Oklahoma City on Friday and are now 1 1/2 games out of a playoff spot and desperate for a win. The Clippers are 7-1 L/8 ATS off a loss.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers |
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03-18-18 | Florida State v. Xavier -6 | 75-70 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN |
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03-17-18 | Portland State +6 v. San Diego | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Portland States Head Coach Barret Peery has shown his metal in his first year at the helm of the team, as the Vikings have registered a 20 win season, something many thought was improbable. This Portland State team is explosive offensively averaging 85.8 points per game on offense and are a dangerous opponent for teams like the San Diego Toreros squad that averages just 70.1 points per game on offense which ranks them 264th nationally. PORTLAND ST is 10-0 ATS in non-conference games this season. Vikings are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. West Coast Conference. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an below average defensive team (47.5% or better ) after 15+ games are a long term negative out bet, as is evident by 171- 266 ATS mark over the L/21 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Portland State to cover |
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03-17-18 | Houston +3.5 v. Michigan | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS
Cougars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. HC Sampson is 7-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last few seasons. Play on Houston |
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03-17-18 | Florida v. Texas Tech -1.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX
My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. With 10 players averaging over 12 minutes per game Texas Tech is a team that is able to sustain a high level of intensity on the floor for an entire game and as they have plenty of able bodied reserves to sub in when a player gets fatigued. Their extremely dangerous and must be respected here as short favs vs a good but inconsistent Florida side, that , on the other hand, only has 6 players that average over 12 minutes per game and relies heavily on front-end production ,which I'm betting will see them fade as this game progresses as exhaustion and foul trouble come into play. HC Beard is 20-7 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in all games he has coached. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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03-17-18 | Hornets -6.5 v. Knicks | 101-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Charlotte's Hornets star Dwight Howard enters this game on fire , playing some of his best basketball in years with three 30-point games in the last 10 days, including a 33-point performance in a 129-117 win over his former team, the Atlanta Hawks. Tonight I'm betting he will be the catalyst behind what is a now an explosive Charlotte offense that can easily take advantage of a team that has lost 9 straight and 17 of their L/18 games overall and playing a lot of young players. NEW YORK is 9-21 ATS L/30 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Favorites (CHARLOTTE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 29-5 ATS l/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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03-17-18 | Rockets v. Pelicans +7.5 | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
One of Houston's three losses since Jan. 6 was a 115-113 setback at New Orleans on Jan. 26 and now the teams play again. Houston is off clinching the division title last time out, on Thursday and could now be in a letdown spot vs a side that actually matches up quite well against them as has been evident by recent meetings. I know New Orleans has struggled a bit over tier last few games, but taking on this type of top tier side I'm betting will bring out the best them. Pelicans are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and get the nod getting points here this evening. Rockets are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in New Orleans.Underdog is 20-9-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 44-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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03-16-18 | Florida State v. Missouri +1.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TNMy CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Missouri has Michael Porter Jr. after missing most of the season with a back injury. This Tigers team is a top tier downtown shooting side and very consistent from the FT line, making them viable opponents for a inconsistent Florida state Seminoles team, that is just 7 - 9 away from home this season. The Seminoles coincidently do not guard the three well and are horrible from the charity stripe making them fade material in this spot.
.Play on Missouri to cover |
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03-16-18 | New Mexico State +5 v. Clemson | 68-79 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 23 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The WAC champ New Mexico State has a roster filled with big athletic men who are not easily intimidated and are a cohesive offensive unit lead by 20 point-per-game scorer Zachm Lofton and Jemerrio Jones who is the double-double demon.
Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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03-16-18 | Clippers +5 v. Thunder | 113-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder have made a habit of beating up on lower tier teams, which is good as their taking care of business when they need to but, they have struggled against better teams. . Since Feb. 1, the Thunder are just 2-6 against teams with better-than-.500 records, beating only Golden State on the road and the Spurs at home. Tonight they go against another above .500 opponent, the LA Clippers a team that desperately needs win to get into the play offs as they are on the bubble at the moment. Los Angeles has won 11 of their last 16 to stay in playoff contention and must not be underestimated in their current desperate form. Note: The Thunder could be without Center Steven Adams and George who were both limited in Thursday's practice and both are listed as questionable. If they do play they will be less than 100%,giving a key advantage to the Clippers. LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Clippers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS on Friday nights this season. The Thunder are 0-12 ATS L/12 failing to cover by 9.75 ppg and 1-11 with that win coming by just 1 point when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a road favorite in which their high scorer had at least ten more points than their next highest scorer. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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03-16-18 | Celtics v. Magic +6.5 | 92-83 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The banged up Boston Celtics gave everything they had against long time rivals the Washington Wizards last time out losing, 125-124 in OT. Now still shorthanded playing without key cog Kyrie Irving and exhausted and emotionally letdown after that above mentioned marathon event, they will be at a disadvantage trying to cover a 6 point + spread on the road against a young hungry group in Orlando looking for recognition. Meanwhile, Orlando has also sustained some injuries, but they are also hanging in there, and are off a win last time out and for the most part remain competitive and deserve my respect here as home dogs in this spot. I know that Boston lost to Orlando at home back in Jan , but right now I don't think their in the best shape mentally or physically to get their revenge and hand out a beat down in their current form BOSTON is 9-21 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons. .
NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 95-154 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada -1 | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals Nevada really takes care of the rock and they don’t turn the ball over very often, they’re also explosive of the land of the trey, and are dizzying with their ball movement. baskets. They had a crap tournament after a great season, but overall they beat teams by an average of over 11 points per game and must be respected behind an experienced older group. Meanwhile, Texas does not pas well and can are easily read when on the attack. Yes, they do defend the three well, but their overall game is lacking compared to this opponent. NEVADA is 27-14 ATS L/41 when playing against a team with a winning record .TEXAS is 4-17 ATS L/21 as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick.NEVADA is 7-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite|(which happened in the MWC Tourney) Play on Nevada to cover |
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03-16-18 | Murray State +10 v. West Virginia | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA
The Racers of the Ohio Valley Conference have not lost in almost two month and must be respected here as less than easy out for West Virginia. The Racers played a non-conference game against Auburn, which uses a similar pressing style of defense, that West Virginia uses, and lost by just a few points. Don't write off Murray State vs what my own power rankings suggest is a over rated West Virginia side. MURRAY ST is 8-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB favorite (W VIRGINIA) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors. Play on Murray State to cover |
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03-16-18 | CS-Fullerton +21 v. Purdue | 48-74 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. The Titans enter Friday's matchup having won eight of their last 10 games and are in top form. Fifteen seeds have upset two seeds eight times throughout NCAA Tournament history. Four of those times have happened since 2012, with the most recent coming in 2016 (MTSU over Michigan State). So don't be surprised by a freak show and more importantly getting us the cover vs a strong Big 10 program. CS-FULLERTON is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.CS-FULLERTON is 11-3 ATS as an underdog this season. .PURDUE is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season. NCAA No.2 seed as chalk of 18 or more points in the opening round of the national tournament have not covered in their L/18 tries vs a team off a win like Fullerton which cruised to a 71-55 victory over UC Irvine in the final winning the Big West Championship) Play on the Cal State Fullerton |
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03-16-18 | Providence +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 69-73 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC
Providence is not an amazing team that stands put, but they are very deep , and that was evident when they took Villanova to OT in the conference final. This team is physical and can draw fouls, which is a positive for a team that is extremely proficient from the FT line. This team must be respected here as dogs vs a good but over rated Texas A&M Aggies side that lost 4 of their L/7 games overall including a collapse in the conference tournament to Alabama. Texas A&M is frustrating to watch at the charity stripe and their downtown shooting is extremely inconsistent. TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS L/15 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better. PROVIDENCE is 23-12 ATS L/35 as an underdog . Play on Providence to cover |
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03-15-18 | Alabama +2 v. Virginia Tech | 86-83 | Win | 100 | 57 h 58 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Alabama Guard Collin Sexton is one of the best one on one players I've seen in a long time, and I feel strongly that his team are sleepers here and under rated. Look for him to be the catalyst behind a cover here for the Crimson tide. Play on Alabama to cover |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State v. Houston -4 | 65-67 | Loss | -103 | 55 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. According to my own power rankings Houston is being vastly under rated by the linesmakers and one of the most under rated sides in the tournament. HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS L/10 versus good defensive teams - allowing shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season which was the case vs Cincinnati in their conference championship loss ( 56-55). Play on Houston to cover |
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03-15-18 | Raptors -3.5 v. Pacers | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Heading into this tilt at Indiana , the Toronto Raptors are in red hot form and have won nine in a row and 16 of its last 17 and are one of the very few teams in this league that must be respected as road favorites. I know Toronto has played a heavy schedule of late , but they are the best conditioned team in the NBA, and more than capable of standing tall here and notching the win and cover s visitors. A great deal has been made of Indiana, and I respect this team, but they have proven highly inconsistent this season, with long negative and positive runs and despite of a current 3 game win streak and 6 wins in their L/7 overall , just dont' inspire me against this type of lights out side, that will primed to continue to prove their dominance over the Eastern Conference. Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. TORONTO is 8-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Toronto 114.6 Opp 97 NBA Road favorites (TORONTO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 25-3 L/21 seasons for a 89.% conversion rate for bettors. ( Team 98 Opp 87.5) Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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03-15-18 | NC State v. Seton Hall -2 | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. NC STATE is 6-15 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 5-13 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. CBB favorite (SETON HALL) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less ) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 95-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State +8 v. Ohio State | 73-81 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Taco Bell Arena - Boise, ID South Dakota State is a side that should not be underestimated, as they are very talented and now making their 3rd straight NCAA tourney appearance and on a 11 game win streak . They are lead by Mike Daum (23.8 ppg) the Dominator, a player that is headed for the NBA next season and one of the best players in this entire tournament. Make no mistake that their opponents today Ohio State had a marvelous season, playing well above expectations, but they were just 2-3 SU/ATS down the stretch and being over rated here today against a side that matches up very well against them. S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season No.12 seeds like N.Dakota State are 24-11-1 ATS L/9 seasons when facing a No.5 seed like Ohio State. Play on S.Dakota State to cover |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Miami-FL -1.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Champions of the Missouri Valley Conference, Loyola (28-5, 15-3 MVC) earned a NCAA berth by defeating Illinois State, 65-49, to capture the MVC Tournament title last Sunday. The Ramblers are one of the hottest teams in the country, winners of 17 of their last 18 tilts, including 10 straight, but facing a team with superior recruiting and talent in a big time event is going to be to over whelming for this group, and I'm betting against them here. HC Larranaga is 32-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MIAMI. Play on Miami Florida to cover |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Oklahoma depends way to much on the one man team Trae Young to get things going. Young thanks to Krugers coaching takes control of the offensive end of the court in one on one fashion, , but the team in its entirety has proven inconsistent as is evident by losing 8 of their L/10 overall. Watching the sooners play defense is like watching a pylon parade. Meanwhile Rhode Island is a hard working cohesive group with great chemistry and they get the nod here today in this matchup. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. OKLAHOMA is 2-13 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season. OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS in all games this season.
Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +2 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 53 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH Arizona State was the darlings of the College basketball world earlier this season, but they cooled off considerably during conference play and finished their season losing 5 of their L/6 games, and are playing very inconsistent ball at the moment. Meanwhile, Syracuse despite of an average campaign are a hard working defensive minded program, with pedigree and experience in this NCAA tournament, and must be respected with HC Boheim on the sideleines . With that said, my own power rankings also suggest Syracuse is the side that should be favored and not Arizona State making gets points here in my humble opinion a viable wagering opportunity. Note: The Orange had a non-conference schedule ranked No. 14. Its overall schedule was ranked 18. SU played Virginia, the No. 1 team in the RPI, twice. It played North Carolina (RPI 4) twice, it played Kansas (5), Duke (7) and Clemson (11). ........Kansas (5), St. Bonaventure (24) and Buffalo (25) were all non-conference opponents. Needless to say their ready for whats coming their way today. ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a team with a winning record and is 1-7 ATS L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). CBB underdog (SYRACUSE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 62-31 ATS L/12 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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03-14-18 | Wizards v. Celtics +2.5 | 125-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Boston has been hampered over the last week with injuries and enters Wednesday night's game vs Washington minus at least two starters and two reserves. but despite of this they are a deep team, and must not be underestimated at home as underdogs. Meanwhile visiting Washington had a 5 game winning streak ended in ugly DD fashion last time out, to Minnesota and looked a little fatigued in that game, as many teams in the league are right now as the season begins to wind down.
These teams are vicious rivals, and despite of Boston being short handed , I'm betting they make a game of this and get the cover as home dogs. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS as an underdog this season. WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS as a favorite this season.BOSTON is 31-15 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 73-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% SU conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 26-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-14-18 | Temple +10 v. Penn State | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 35 h 36 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS L/14 in all tournament games. Temple is 8-2 SU L/10 meetings in this series. TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 31-52 ATS L/83 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Play on Temple to cover |
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03-14-18 | UT-Rio Grande Valley +3 v. New Orleans | 74-77 | Push | 0 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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03-14-18 | Miami-OH +1 v. Campbell | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - First Round My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. MIAMI OHIO is 8-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Miami O to cover |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. UCLA | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show | |
The very under rated Bonnies had a 13 game losing streak snapped last time out, but got some great news when they were informed of an at-large bid to the Tournament and now will primed to face UCLA in the First Four on Tuesday. To beat UCLA you have to play fast and need quality guard play , something the Bonnies have. St.Bonaventure are lead by All-Conference backcourt seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who combine to average 38 points per game and I'm betting they will be the catalysts behind a Bonnies cover vs the Bruins this evening. Bruins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bonnies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bonnies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-13-18 | Eastern Washington v. Utah Valley -6.5 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Utah Valley Wolverines, have been on the rise in the college basketball world as of late and despite of not being a school you might recognize , it has a quality group of talent on board with 4 returning starters. QUOTE: “This is my most talented roster, so I think we have some higher expectations we’re trying to meet,” HC Pope said. END QUOTE.Last year, the Wolverines, made the final four of the CBI tournament, and upset BYU during the regular season, and than played Duke in Kentucky earlier this season, and are battle tested and more than capable of taking out Eastern Washington here today on their own home floor. Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on Utah Valley to cover |
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03-13-18 | Vermont v. Middle Tennessee -6 | 64-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round The Vermont Catamounts had a great season, but faltered in the conference championship and were surprisingly upset. I really don't think this hoops group is now happy to be here as they expected to be in the NCAA tourney. I know Middle Tennessee is also disappointed, after losing their bid, but from reading different quotes from the Raiders, its become obvious their more motivated. QUOTE: MIDDLE TENN ST is 25-11 ATS L/36 when playing against a team with a winning record.MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots.VERMONT is 2-10 ATS L/12 in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers . CBB underdog (VERMONT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite are 69-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors on the blind. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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03-13-18 | Long Island v. Radford -4 | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH The Radford Blackbirds are led by NEC Tournament MVP Joel Hernandez (20.9 ppg) and Raiquan Clark (17.4 ppg). Clark is the team's top rebounder with 7.1 per game, while possessing a 55.7 field goal percentage. Hernandez dishes out 2.6 dimes a game, while shooting 38.0 percent from beyond the arc. I'm betting these two key cogs will be the difference maker in this tilt. |
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03-11-18 | 76ers v. Nets +6 | 120-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Philadelphia enters this game having lost eight of its last 11 road games, and are being over valued here vs a Brooklyn side that has been very competitive of late covering 5 of their L/6 games overall including a DD win last time out. Note: BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. Meanwhile, The Sixer's issues of late seem to be a lack of conditioning as they have looked fatigued , with key contributors like Joel Embiid who has looked gassed in recent outings averaging just 18.8 points on 41 percent shooting in five games in March after averaging 24.4 ppg on 50.3 percent shooting in February. QUOTE: "I think fatigue definitely has a part to say in some of Joel's performances recently," Philadelphia coach Brett Brown told reporters after Thursday's game when Embiid shot less than 30 percent for the first time all season. END QUOTE: With that said, I'm betting on a fairly well rested Brooklyn side to make a game of this and not be easy outs . Take the points. ( The last time these teams played here in Brooklyn back on Jan 31 the Nets won 116-108 as 8 point dogs) BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.BROOKLYN is 32-20 ATS as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games are 71-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 6-26 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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03-11-18 | Jazz -2 v. Pelicans | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans saw their franchise record-tying 10-game winning streak abruptly end Friday night with a 116-97 home loss to the Washington Wizards and I am now betting they will lose two in row as they face the up trending Utah Jazz a side that has won 10 consecutive road games and 17 of their last 19 games overall. It must also be noted that Key Pelicans starter Anthony Davis is injured ( ankle) and despite of practicing yesterday is going to be less than 100% if he plays today. The Jazz have won two of three meetings this season against the Pelicans, including a 133-109 blowout of the Pelicans in New Orleans on Feb. 5. According to my system to system power rankings this was not an anomaly , and are the superior side in this matchup as the linesmakers have already estimated. NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free throws/game or less this season.UTAH is 8-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-36 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after allowing 115 points or more are 34-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Orlando, FL The No. 8 Bearcats face No. 21 Houston on Sunday afternoon in the American Athletic Conference Tournament championship in Orlando, Fla., very focused and ready to avenge their loss in last year's tourney final . Houston is admittedly playing some great hoops at the moment, but as is usually the case in big games like this the superior D, will be the difference maker. Which makes the Bearcats the go to team here. Note: Cincinnati is No.2 in the DFG and ranked in the nation No.8 in rebounding. Cincinnati is 15-2 SU vs Houston L/17 meetings. All 4 championship games in this conference have been won by the fav SU/ATS. CBB An underdog (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or better ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 76-124 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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03-11-18 | Kentucky v. Tennessee | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
SEC Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO
Kentucky owns a strong pedigree and entered this seasons SEC tournament playing their best basketball of the season and have continued their top tier play throughout this championship tourney. John Calapri's Wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 32-5 SU while covering 27 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover as they play this contest with double revenge for two losses they suffered in this series... the last one a 61-59 heart breaker in Rupp. Wildcats are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Southeastern. Kentucky has won 11 straight games in the SEC Tournament. The Wildcats' last lost in the tournament came against Florida in 2014. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-11-18 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -2 | 58-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rhode Island and Davidson split their two games this season with Rhode Island taking a DD victory at home while, Davidson barley slipped by Rhode Island in a high charged atmosphere at home by a 63-61 count. Watching clips of those tilts it became obvious to me the Rams were the superior hoops program, and if they met again in the A10 conference tourney that Rhode Island would get the automatic nod at -5 or less. My own power rankings makes the Rams 5 point chalk here in a neutral court environment and they are my choice in this spot. Note: . |
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03-10-18 | Toledo +3.5 v. Buffalo | 66-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Toledo is the type of team that matches up very well against Buffalo's high powered offense, and I had them pegged for the champions of this conference from the very beginning of the season. The Rockets have played their best basketball down the stretch covering 8 of their L/11 and were 4-1 ATS against top tier sides with a .666 record or better this season. According to my power rankings we have a live dog here that has the capabilities of pulling off a SU upset. Rockets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. the underdog has won 7 of the L/8 MAC conference tourneys straight up. Buffalo is 0-3 SU/ATS in this tourney vs a side off back to back SU/ATS wins. Play on Toledo to cover |
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03-10-18 | Suns +12 v. Hornets | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game in a big time funk having lost 5 straight games, and should not be DD favs against any team at the NBA in their current form not even the lowly Phoenix Suns. That was evident in a disheartening loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night which will make getting up off the proverbial matt very difficult for the Hornets. The Hornets nasty D, makes them fade material as DD home chalk. The Hornets have allowed 121 or more points six times in their last 15 games. CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS L/13 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS L/13 playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Suns are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by 9.6 ppg on the road off a game as a dog when they are off two double-digit ATS losses. The Suns were 9-4 SU in those games with non of the losses coming by more than 7 points.The Hornets are 1-18 SU and 2-17 ATS with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. NBA Road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 62-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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03-10-18 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure +3 | 82-70 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Washington, DC St.Bonnie enters this game on a 13 game winning streak, which includes a victory vs Davidson 117-113. and have proven themselves a top tier squad that must be respected this season. If they lose to Davidson here today I'm betting they won't go easily and must be respected a dogs in this spot. St.Bonnie has won 7 of its L/10 A10 conference tourney games.Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-10-18 | Alabama v. Kentucky -3.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
SEC Tournament - Semifinals - ST Louis, MO Alabama ended their regular season on a 5 game losing streak, and looked downtrodden entering the conference championship tourney. Then suddenly and surprisingly they won their first two games of tournament and find themselves going up against Kentucky side that has won and covered 5 of their L/ games including this tourney and enter todays semi finals matchup as deserving favorites. John Calapri's wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 31-5 SU while covering 26 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover. Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series SU, and beat Alabama this season 81-71 and last year in a neutral court environment 79-74 and once again have the edge today as short chalk. Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-09-18 | Warriors -4 v. Blazers | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers' current eight-game winning streak began Feb. 14, when the Golden State Warriors visited here just before the all star break. The Blazers won that game by a 123-117 count, but will be hard pressed to do it again vs Golden State is 27-5 SU on the road this season with the average margin of victory coming by 7 ppg. NBA Home underdogs (PORTLAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 148-82 ATS L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 58-10 SU winning by a combined average of 8.4 ppg game , which gives credence to us laying 4 points or less in this situation. Play on Golden State to cover |
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03-09-18 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech | 66-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO Texas Tech, enters this game against West Virginia highly ranked according to my power rankings and also ranks fourth nationally in the KenPom defensive efficiency ratings. This is a team that is currently healthy and playing with a lot of confidence. QUOTE: High, high confidence," star G Evans said after scoring 25 points in a 73-69 victory over Texas on Thursday. "We got everybody back. We're getting healthier by the day. We all know what we can do and what we're capable of." END QUOTE: Both these NCAA tournament locks, will be very motivated here today, but as is usually the case superior Ds, wins big games and this one will be no different. ( They split their two meetings this season, but Evans did not play in the loss) Note: The No.2 Seed ( Texas Tech I) n this Tourney is a perfect 9-0 SU since 2006 in Semi Finals games and 7-0 SU L/7 seven seasons. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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03-09-18 | Butler +8.5 v. Villanova | 68-87 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
analysis to follow-thank you for your patience. |
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03-08-18 | Oregon State v. USC -5 | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State has had a decent season, but are still very over matched vs a talented USC Trojans side. The Beavers have won 5 of their 13 , but four of those wins were home and away victories vs Washington and Washington State. Their systems matchup well against those two programs, but according to my power rankings they do not matchup well vs this kind of talented athletic side. With that said, I'm expecting an easy cover by the Trojans here tonight. Trojans smashed the Beavers by a 72-59 count last time they met Feb 17 and a rinse and repeat situation will not be surprising. Oregon States -Tres Tinkle injured last game, is probable Thursday vs USC ( Ankle ) but likely to be less 100%. No.2 Seeds like USC in this PAC12 tourney are 10-2 ATS L/12 and 10-2 ATS when they are favs of less than 6 points. Trojans are 8-0 ATS L/8 neutral site games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series. Play on USC Trojans to cover |
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03-08-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 99-108 | Win | 102 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The 76ers and Miami Heat have played three times already this season with the home team holding serve in each tilt, and I'm betting the status quo remains the same after tonight. Miami has won the last six times it has faced the 76ers at home. MIAMI is 20-8 ATS L/28 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign. The Heat are 18-0 ATS/SU off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and it is after the All-Star break with the wins coming by an average of 17 ppg. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are just 6-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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03-08-18 | Notre Dame +7 v. Duke | 70-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY The University of Notre Dame matchup well according to my power rankings against No. 4 seed (and No. 5/4 national rank) Duke on Thursday night .(Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ) Last season the Blue Devils took out t the Irish 75-69 in last season’s ACC Championship game - a contest the Irish led by three points in the final minutes . Notre Dame is currently in top form and have won 7 of their L/10 with two of those losses coming by 3 points to Miami fl, and to top ranked Virginia by 5 points and they must not be disrespected here as dogs. Note: ACC defending Champs like Duke are 3-14 ATS as a fav in the first round, and Duke is 4-14 ATS in their first round conference tourney game dating back to the 2001 campaign. Notre Dame is 8-2 all-time in the Barclays Center - but the current group of Irish players have a 8-1 record in the home of the Brooklyn Nets. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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03-08-18 | Dayton v. VCU -2 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Second Round - Washington, DC |
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03-07-18 | Cavs v. Nuggets -2 | 113-108 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland will be out looking for payback when they meet in Denver on Wednesday night for a 126-117 loss they suffered at home to the Nuggets last week. But with that said, you don't always get what you want as the Rolling Stones song suggests. Tonight, I'm betting the young Nuggets despite of playing last night and looking disinterested in a loss to Dallas as road chalk, will be very motivated for a bounce back at home vs a Cavaliers side I'm betting they will be up for playing against and that they actually matchup well against according to my own system vs system analysis. Note: Nuggets are a well conditioned group and are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing with no rest. CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 4-12 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS versus below average defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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03-07-18 | Fordham v. George Washington -6 | 72-78 | Push | 0 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Washington, DC GW enters this game against Fordham having won the last seven meetings in this series a row, and 10 of the last 11, and lead the all-time series 26-6. The Colonials just defeated the Rams in the Smith Center, 72-56, last Wednesday and now they are my pick to get the job done again here today SU/ATS. The Colonials have won their opening game four straight years in the conference tourney. After starting their season very slowly the Colonials averaging just 61.3 points per game in their first eight conference tilts , they than began to get things going and are now performing in top tier fashion offensively as GW is now averaging 74.5 ppg in its last 10 outings and should once again be dominating vs a Fordham side on a 6 game losing streak, and struggling with their offense scoring 60 points or less points in 5 of those 6 trips to the hardwood. FORDHAM is 12-27 ATS in all tournament games since 1997.FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more .FORDHAM is 7-23 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.FORDHAM is 5-16 ATS as an underdog this season.
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03-07-18 | Jazz v. Pacers +1 | 104-84 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The schizophrenic Indiana Pacers are currently on a 3 game win streak, and have 7 wins in their L/9 and look very much like their revving up into top gear, and must be respected here on their own home floor where they have thrived going 22-11 SU this season. When they visited tonight's guests Utah back on Jan 15 the Pacers looked like they matched up well against their opponents, and despite of Jazz looking for revenge I'm betting they fall short. Note: Utah has lost 19 of their 31 road games this season.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Jazz have won three in a row and are 15-2 in the last 17 games. But now on tired legs with this their 4th game in 7 days and short handed as they are expected to be without forward Derrick Favors, who is sidelined with neck spasms, their at a disadvantage. If Favors plays I, expecting he will be less 100%. QUOTE: "We're going to have a very difficult game at Indiana," Jazz coach Quin Snyder said. "We know that. They played well against us here and beat us pretty good (109-94 on Jan. 15). END QUOTE NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-211 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana Pacers to cover |
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03-07-18 | Louisville +1 v. Florida State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY Louisville has won 10 of its last 12 conference tournament games and has a 15-4 record with three championships over its last eight conference tournaments and have top tier pedigree on this sides, and a lot to prove after receiving some disturbing NCAA sanctions recently .Louisville has a 33-11 series advantage over Florida State winning three of the last five matchups while covering 4 of those tilts. It must also be noted that the Cardinals took down the No.23 Noles 73-69 earlier this season breaking a 28-game Seminoles home winning streak as UofL fought back from a 17-point deficit to notch the victory. If they could win there, the Cardinal can beat this team here in a much friendlier environment. Louisville has made 41.8 percent of their threes over the last nine games (84-of-201) and is third in the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.382). I'm betting this will be the catalyst behind what I'm betting will be a cover for the Cardinal in this spot. Florida State has failed to cover 8 straight games. FLORIDA ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (L.19 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back 3 seasons.FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS in road games off a home win against a conference rival. Play on Louisville to cover |
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03-06-18 | Nets +15 v. Warriors | 101-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Golden State continues their quest for another NBA championship and are currently in top form having won five straight as they host the downtrodden Brooklyn Nets this Tuesday night. Despite of the Warriors over whelming fire power and superior record compared the the Brooklyn Nets recent meetings in this series ,have been competitive . The last time these teams played the Nets made the Warriors work hard for a 118-111 win at home in November. It must also be noted that six of their last seven games at Golden State have been decided by nine or fewer points, with one loss going to overtime. Recently despite of their continued futility the Nets have shown some fight, as their L/3 road losses have been decided by a total margin of 14 points ( 4.66 ppg). With that said, lets plug our noses, closes our eyes and quickly squeeze the proverbial trigger on the Nets to cover taking points. GOLDEN STATE is 8-19 ATS L/27 against Atlantic division opponents.Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.BROOKLYN is 30-20 ATS as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS when playing against a top-tier team (Win Pct. 70% or better) this season. Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (BROOKLYN) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are a long term quality wager, going 241-160 ATSL/21 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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03-06-18 | Knicks v. Blazers -9 | 87-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
I don't make a habit of laying a lot of lumber with my NBA selections, but every now and than playing chalk makes sense. Right now NY is just playing out its schedule, and despite of a hungry group of bench players and G League scrubs getting a lot of court time they are still fade material vs a Portland side currently in top form, as is evident by winning 7 straight. The Blazers have also only lost once in their L/14 at home in the Moda Center where they consistently play their best hoops behind super star Damian Liilard. The Knicks have lost in 11 of their last 13 meetings with the Blazers, including a 103-91 defeat at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 27 and once again look like they will end up on the wrong side of a lopsided score. Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Knicks are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 12.6 ppg. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-55 SU losing by an average of just under 10 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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03-06-18 | Long Island +8 v. Wagner | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Northeast Conference Tournament - Championship Game The No. 1 seeded Wagner men's basketball team takes on No. 4 seed, LIU Brooklyn, in Tuesday's championship game. If Wagner wins, the Seahawks will earn the NEC's automatic bid but I'm betting if they get that big prize tonight, it won't come easily. Tuesday's championship tilt is the rubber match between the Seahawks and Blackbirds as the teams split their two meetings this season, each retaining victories on their respective home courts.In the two previous games between Wagner and LIU the difference of scoring margin was a combined six points as on January 13, LIU earned a last-second 69-67 victory in Brooklyn while the Seahawks grinded out a 78-74 home win on February 17. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tonights agenda. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points. LONG ISLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent and is a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 revenging a road loss vs opponent. LIU HC Kellogg is 15-3 ATS L/18 in his career as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points . CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 79-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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03-05-18 | BYU v. St. Mary's -5 | 85-72 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV
From a power rankings perspective the Gaels according to my numbers should be a 7.5 point fav here, which makes laying around 5 points a value line wager. SMC has won the last five meetings versus BYU. The Gaels defeated the Cougars last year in the semifinals, 81-50 and I won't be surprised by another DD margin of victory again. BYU HC BYU is 2-11 ATS L/13 revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more.BYU is 6-17 ATS L/23 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots. Play on St.Mary;s Gaels to cover |
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