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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-20 | Purdue +2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Purdue owns a league-best 11-8 record in the ACC / Big Ten Challenge. The Boilermakers have won nine of the their last 11 Challenge games.vPurdue is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation ranking 17th in 3-point percentage (.436) and 29th in 3-pointers per game (10.3).) The Boilermakers have dominant rebounders on the both ends of the floor. Trevion Williams ranks fourth nationally in defensive rebounding percentage (.430), while Zack Edey is eighth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (.202) and more than capable of making life tough on Miami guard orientated attack. This will be alot like dealing with Clemson, which ended in the Boliermakers only loss this season, but after that experience Im betting their now ready for what awaits them here. Larranaga is 14-24 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of MIAMI. |
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12-07-20 | Loyola Marymount +4.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 58-69 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Loyola Marymount has seen more game time against better opposition as this will be their 5th game of the season, while Santa Barbara will now play only their 2nd game of the season after going against lower tier Saint Katherine. LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 8-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Loyola Marymount to cover |
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12-07-20 | Morehead State +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
E KENTUCKY is 14-37 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 49-85 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Morhead St to cover |
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12-07-20 | George Washington +1.5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 81-92 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
GW Head Coach J Christian in his MAYHEM system, will provide Baltimore MD with a load of issues.
Odom is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of MD-BALT COUNTY GEORGE WASHINGTON is 11-1 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent.GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY since 1997. George Washington to cover |
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12-06-20 | Seton Hall v. Penn State -2.5 | 98-92 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Seton Hall despite of their talent play a sloppy brand of hoops as was the case last time out when they turned the ball over 17 times which now has them ranked 152nd in the nation in Turnover Percentage. Here today against a Penn State side that ranks second in the nation in Steal Percentage and 13th in opponent turnovers per game Im betting they are at a disadvantage. With that said, Im backing Penn State to take down a Pirates side that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU. Play on Penn St to cover |
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12-06-20 | Seattle University +5 v. Long Beach State | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Seattle U opened the 2020-21 season with three consecutive wins for the first time since the 2008-09 season and are being under rated here in this spot according to my projections. |
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12-05-20 | Nebraska-Omaha v. SIU-Edwardsville +4 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
SIUE can really tee up with the trey from downtown and Im betting they take advantage of a Omaha side that does not defend the three well and also cannot shoot with the same effecicncy from beyond the arc as their opponent. We have alot of value here with a under rated underdog.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better. Play on SIUE to cover |
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12-04-20 | Jacksonville State +5 v. Florida International | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
The Gamecocks have won three in a row going into the weekend to begin the season with a 3-1 record and according to my projections are a under rated value dog . JACKSONVILLE ST is 33-16 ATS L/47 in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games.JACKSONVILLE ST is 20-7 ATS L/27 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) Jax State to cover |
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12-04-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +2.5 | 91-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
12-03-20 | Connecticut -1 v. USC | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT Dating back to last season, the UConn Huskies are currently on a 10-2 run which includes three straight up wins as underdogs. I know USC is highly talented, but being out of their natural time zone Im betting the Trojans flow will be effected. CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 14-4 ATS L/18 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached. CBB team (USC) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 68-119 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
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12-02-20 | Illinois v. Baylor -5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Illinois is a strong defensive side, but their pack line defense Im betting has problems with a Baylor side that likes to throw alot of screens and have a bevy of scorers that can do alot of damage. Bottom line :Illinois has looked explosive against two ugly betty opponents, but when they faced Ohio they did not look good and barely escaped with a win. With that said look for the Bears bevy of top tier talent at the guard position to wreak havoc on Illinois over flow in transition at both ends of the court .Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Baylor to cover |
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12-02-20 | Murray State -7 v. Middle Tennessee | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers scored a record-breaking season opening win 173-95 over the visiting Greenville Panthers at the CFSB Center in Murray, Ky. While Im not expecting a repeat I do expect the Racers to over run another opponent. Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Racers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Racers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Blue Raiders are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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12-01-20 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4 | 62-65 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
No. 7 Kansas and No. 20 Kentucky go head to head in a game that Im betting favors a more experienced side.The Jayhawks’ key to success has been physical man-to-man defense that Im betting will eventually fluster this young Wildcats group. Bill self is a long term winner vs non conference opposition registering a 58% ATS November win percentage . Play on Kansas to cover |
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12-01-20 | Central Michigan +4 v. Florida International | 76-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
FIU looked weak defensively versus division-two opponent Flagler in their opening two wins. That will be problematic here for FIU vs a Central Michigan team that exhibited a great deal of grit and spirited action vs UIC in their opener a game that they maybe should have won. Today Ill take what looks to be a physical Chips crew vs what seems to be a lazy group of Panthers. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-01-20 | Davidson +1.5 v. Providence | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada -5.5 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Nevada men's basketball team, off to a 2-0 start and are looking like a viable favorite here today vs Pacific.Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.Wolf Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Pacifc despite of being 1-0 with a win vs Riverside, Im betting dont have the guns to hang here as they play without their top player from last season Khalil Tripp. Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-30-20 | Georgia State v. Mercer +2.5 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Hawkins Arena has been kind to the Bears in recent years. Each of the past two seasons, Mercer has gone 9-6 on their home floor. In 2017-18, the Bears were 11-3 inside Hawkins Arena and tonight Im betting they have an edge behind a group that shares the ball well.Currently, the Bears rank first in the Southern Conference and ninth in the country with 41 assists. Neftali Alvarez leads the team with 15 assists (7.5 apg) through two games abd have the edge vs Georgia State.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-30-20 | Indiana -1 v. Providence | 79-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Maui Invitational Providence despite of teeing of on MAAC side Fairfield in their opener may take time to get going offensively this season vs Power 5 teams as they replace alot of last years key scoring attributes with Alpha Diallo (14.1 ppg), Luwane Pipkins (10.8 ppg), and Maliek White (7.8 ppg) all gone. Meanwhile, considering Miller-coached teams key on defense, and the fact the Hoosiers finished 26th last year in adjusted defensive efficiency makes me feel like Indiana could bring home the cash today in a neutral floor environment as short chalk vs a side that may take time to flow and generate the same kind of numbers they did last season.Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-29-20 | North Dakota State v. Creighton -22.5 | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | William & Mary v. Old Dominion -13 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | North Texas +8.5 v. Arkansas | 54-69 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | South Carolina v. Liberty +8 | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Liberty basketball will face its third straight Power Five opponent to begin the season as the Flames face South Carolina and have far proved they can hang with the big boys. More of the same suffocating and grinding slow paced hoops will be on the agenda today Im betting they make the Gamecocks work for a win here. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-28-20 | LSU +3.5 v. St. Louis | 81-85 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The LSU Tigers are projected to have a top-10 offense again this season with the addition of Cam Thomas, a five-star guard and Oak Hill Academy’s all-time leading scorer. Considering my projections LSU is more than capable of winning this game straight up vs a defensive minded St.Louis team that is expected to be shorthanded as Travis Ford said Fred Thatch Jr. (sprained knee) wont play and Hasahn French is on (concussion protocol). Play on LSU to cover |
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11-28-20 | Troy State +1.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Troy is a team Im keeping an eye on based on recruiting projections. This group is well balanced and are more than capable of competing and winning vs a UNC Wilmington group that is on tired legs as they play their third game of the season already. Play on Troy to cover |
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11-27-20 | Mercer +13 v. Georgia Tech | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Mercer Over the last 10 years, has stunned several Power-5 foes on the court. The Bears' most notable win was during the 2014 NCAA Tournament when Mercer upset No.3 Duke, 78-71, to advance to the second round of the tournament. They must not be underestimated here vs Georgia Tech. Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Bears are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Yellow Jackets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Mercer to cover |
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11-27-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana Tech -6 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Despite losing four key seniors to graduation last year, LA Tech (0-0) still returns 11 letterwinners from that 22-win team and must be respected here according to my projections at less than 8 point chalk. This is a very experienced roster as 10 of the 15 players are upperclassmen, made up of seven seniors and three juniors.The Bulldogs are 25-8 all-time against the Mavericks and have won 12 of the last 13 meetings. LA Tech has never lost to UTA inside the TAC, having won all seven meetings including the last time these two squads met which was in 2015. LA Tech to cover |
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11-27-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. NC-Greensboro -4 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The top returning scorer in the league, Miller was second in the SoCon in scoring last season at 17.8 points per game and led the conference in steals for the second straight season, totaling 89 and averaging 2.8 per contest to rank second and fourth, respectively, in NCAA Division I. He will be key a UNC Greensboro cover here today. Play on UNC Greensboro to cover |
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11-27-20 | UC-Davis +8 v. Santa Clara | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers project at closer to 5 points thus giving us an edge on the line. Aggies are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.Aggies are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Aggies are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.Aggies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on UC Davis to cover |
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11-27-20 | Belmont -2 v. George Mason | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are off a 95-78 victory over Howard to open their regular season yesterday and now bring that momentum and flow into this tilt vs George Mason today. Meanwhile,George Mason showed me alot of chink their armor in a close win in Queens NC by a final score of 66-65. Lots of value with this line, and 9 out of 10 times Belmont clicks off a win in this line of matchup which makes this a viable opportunity to cash a ticket . George Mason are just 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 games against a team with a winning record. Bruins are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Play on Belmont to cover |
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11-27-20 | St. Joe's +20.5 v. Kansas | 72-94 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Kansas is off a hard fought loss to Gonzaga yesterday and may have some issues getting unwound here today in letdown spot vs a St.Joes team that has all five starters back from last season and off giving Auburn all they could handle yesterday losing in OT. Play on St.Joes to cover |
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11-26-20 | Liberty +5 v. Mississippi State | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Liberty is restocking this season, but they still have two very experienced guards in the lineup that control a grinding flow. With Mississippi State with lots of new young faces in the lineup, flow will definitely be a problem for them early on this season as was the case vs Clemson last time out, as well as here today. This makes getting points a viable investment option. Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Bulldogs are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Liberty to cover |
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11-26-20 | Auburn v. St. Joe's +8.5 | 96-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Auburn must replace all five starters and its sixth man from a season ago and will go without the services of the superstar freshman five-star point guard Sharife Cooper. Meanwhile, the Hawks off a embarrassing 6-26 season last season, bring back almost everyone from last years roster while also adding a few talented transfers . The Hawks ability to play together gives them an edge over a more talented group, but a less cohesive one. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with St.Joes . Play on St.Josephs to cover |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Gonzaga enters this season with 30-plus wins in four consecutive seasons and are once again stacked and ready to prove their No.1 national ranking. Thanks to the Bulldogs hoops pedigree and reputation HC Mark Few has been able to recruit very well, and this season could easily be his most talented and deep squad. Last season they ranked first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency and seventh in the country with a 38.6% team 3-point percentage. They will equal or better those numbers, and today against defensive minded Kansas that will miss key players from last years roster ( Azubuike and Dotson) they will find a way to roll as the game progresses and get us the short cover. |
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11-26-20 | Bradley v. Xavier -9 | 50-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Xavier Musketeers prepare to generate more offensive flow after a dominating 101-49 season-opening win over the Oakland Golden Grizzlies when they return to action as 9-point home favorites on Thanksgiving Day against the Bradley Braves. My projections estimate another DD win here vs a Braves side that is a tough out but out talented by a Musketeers program that is on the verge of getting back to top tier status. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-25-20 | Villanova v. Boston College +14.5 | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
The Eagles under head coach Jim Christan’s presurre D, Im betting will give Villanova alot more heat than must pundits might believe possible. Boston College forced an average of 14.5 turnovers per game, ranked 65th in the nation and have shown recently that upsetting a strong opponent is not out of the realm of possibility as was the case in wins vs Virginia and Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Villanova now without guard Bryan Antoine and forward Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree may not have their usual flow, and against this type of D, might find themselves starting slowly. Note: In neutral court games last season, Villanova as a favorite was just 1-2-1 ATS, and overall were a sub .500 ATS side overall as chalk failing to cover 15 of 25 games despite of owning a 24-7 overall record. Boston College to cover |
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11-25-20 | Montana State v. UNLV -12 | 91-78 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
UNLV looked very strong as last season progressed especially late in the 2019-20 campaign when they went with a four-guard lineup almost full-time. Considering Otzelberger has said the program will embrace that alignment going forward they once again look to be a dangerous group despite of some new young faces in this group but will still be scary behind Bryce Hamilton. Montana State is just over matched here today. Play on UNLV |
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11-25-20 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -12 | 49-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Santa Clara returns four starters and seven of its top nine scorers from last season, including preseason All-West Coast Conference performer Josip Vrankic, a three-year starter. The senior ranked first on the team in scoring (12.5 ppg) and rebounding (5.4 pg) last season. The Broncos return six players who started at least 15 games last season. Idaho State according to my projections does not matchup well here. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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11-25-20 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine -1.5 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Waves feature an experienced squad, with seven of the top nine scorers from last season back. A total of 11 players have previously seen action for Pepperdine and are a dangerous opponent for all comers including Cal Irvine. |
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11-25-20 | Liberty v. Purdue -9.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Liberty is coming off the best season in program history, going 30-4 (before their season was shut down) But now they lack enough front court offensive prowess because of personal losses to be able to compete here. Even last year the Flames ran a slow paced grinding attack behind a slow duo of guards, and the Boilermakers will have no problem dealing with that . With that said, Im betting on a Boilermakers side that brings back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation to deal with a side that will take time to jell. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-25-20 | Oklahoma State -8 v. Texas-Arlington | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State basketball enters this season led by Associated Press Preseason All-American Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys welcome the nation's No. 4 ranked recruiting class onto the floor and look very much like viable favs here in this spot vs Texas Arlington. The Pokes are 11-1 in the series with wins in the last five meetings and get the nod again as short single digit favs. Note:three Cowboys hail from Arlington including key cog Cunningham and Im betting they play lights out here. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | 102-96 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers did not look like they were into the last game at all, while Butler and company came out with their balls to the walls , and essentially embarrassed the Lakers in the work ethic department. LEBron does not like to be made a fool of, and so far in these play offs when LAL has lost (3 times) they have bounced back in a big way and have won those following tilts by an average of 13 points per game , and overall each time they have won in these play offs they have seen at least a14 point margin of victory. Remember the Lakers have done the same thing in the last two series losing 1 game before rolling to convincing efforts. NBAFavorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 36-5 L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg. Play on the LA Lakers to win |
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10-04-20 | Lakers -9.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, FL Playing without point guard Goran Dragic (plantar fasciitis) and center Bam Adebayo (neck/shoulder strain), two of its three best players Miami looked to be in trouble last time out and with these two key cogs out or at less than 100% again this Heat side is in trouble. The only reason why the Lakers only won buy 10 points last time out , was because the Heat enjoyed a 34-17 free-throw disparity and I can't see that repeating itself here today. With the smell of NBA championship in the air for James and Davis, its not a difficult decision for me to back them here again. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 41-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
There is blood in the water and the Lakers are the proverbial sharks . The Lakers very much respect this hard nosed never say die Denver team, and they know they need to step up here and finish them off. Im betting we see the core of this LAL side at their very best and for exhaustion to finally hamper the Nuggets as this will be their 19th play off game this season. Note: Reports on Anthony Davis ankle seem to be positive at this point and he is expected to be good to go. DENVER is 4-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 39-3 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 ppg which qualifies under a spread situation as well. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-24-20 | Lakers -6 v. Nuggets | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Lakers played like crap in game 3, emotionless, and with very little heart. Im betting now they have learned their lesson unlike the 'jazz and Clippers and will come out here with a huge effort and get us the cover vs the Nuggets here tonight. . LA has covered a six-point spread in nine of its 10 playoff wins and gets the nod again. LA LAKERS are 20-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.DENVER is 4-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-23-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | 109-112 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
The Celtics are now trending upward and after game 2 it became evident that they are the better side in this series vs the Miami Heat. With Hayward back in the lineup, this game to me looks like a slam dunk.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | 106-114 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers have now experienced the effects of a never say die Nuggets side, that gave them a scare last time out. You can bet the Lakers won't let their guard down in game 3, and make sure that they play a start to finish game. You have to remember, that the Nuggets despite of being young have played alot of catchup hoops during these play offs and coming from behind 3-1 in two straight series, while making many come from behind runs. While fans might be loving the exploits of this underdog group, they maybe underestimating what it does to a teams energy levels, and will that their exploits will eventually come back and bite them, and thats what I expect to see today. Partial exhaustion, and also in letdown mode after losing with no time left on the clock last time out (105-103), will have the Nuggets come out flatter here than expected. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games.Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have had an exhausting play offs and are off a hard fought 7 game series vs the Clippers where they made several comebacks , which in themselves were exhausting . Now here against a well rested Lakers side and most probably in a letdown spot after their huge win in game 7 Im going to fade Denver out of the gate in game 1 and go against recency bias. You can also bet the star veterans of this Lakers side are also wide awake and ready to compete after watching the Nuggets beat up on a Clippers side that was expected to battle them here in the Conference finals. DENVER is 4-13 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers had a huge DD lead in the 3rd quarter of game 6 of this series, when the Nuggets went on a 17-0 run and than finally over took the Clippers. Shock and awe was the story behind the comeback, and now here we are with the Clippers being favored again. It must be noted that the Nuggets have played a post season tilt every two days for four straight weeks and five of those were elimination games. Man this Nuggets team has to be tired and with that said Im taking the better team here the Clippers who maybe actually finally understanding their opponents are not quitters. Kawhi Leonard is the nuclear option here today, and Im betting he takes advantage of Nuggets exhaustion. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 49-21 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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09-15-20 | Heat +1.5 v. Celtics | 117-114 | Win | 102 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Coming off a 7 game series will see the Celtics in a letdown spot, and most probably exhausted as well. The rested Heat are no pushovers and must be respected here getting points. Miami won the most recent meeting on Aug. 4 in the bubble and gets my support in game 1. Note:Teams like Boston that take Game 7 are 32-45 (41%) straight up in Game 1 of the following series. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS in all playoff games this season. Play on Miami to cover |
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09-13-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | 98-111 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
In game 5 as has been the case a few times in this series the Clippers have showed their superiority vs the Nuggets, before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel and allowing the Nuggets to mount a comeback. Now knowing the Nuggets will not easily be beaten down, Im expecting Kawhi Leonard and company to come out here with a huge effort and cancel any hopes the Nuggets have of taking this to a game 7. Note: The Nuggets are averaging just 96.3 PPG in their three losses which shows me that when the Clippers are focused the Nuggets are in trouble. Im betting the Clippers will be very focused in this one. You have to remember that the Clippers have won 18 of 20 quarters in this series and a compete start to finish 4 quarter win effort is not out of the question. LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a the average combined margin of victory coming by 23.4 ppg. DENVER is 4-15 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Clippers to cover |
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09-11-20 | Nuggets +8 v. Clippers | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The Clippers have looked very good in this series and sometimes peculiarly disinterested. They are the superior team, but Denver are no pushovers, and now feeling like they having nothing left to lose and on the verge of elimination, Im betting that they hang here today and make life difficult for the Clippers. I still cant get the 31-14 lead the Clippers had early in the second quarter of Game 4 when Denver exploded and came back to tie the game. This Nuggets team are not quitters. Take the points. Malone is 47-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Play on Denver to cover |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +3.5 v. Celtics | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champion Raptors have already shown that they wont go down here without a fight and after being down 2-0 to the Celtics after two games came storming back to tie the series before an ugly effort in game 5. HC Nick Nurse knows how to make adjustments and after that last humiliation, you bet he will have his team ready to compete. Raptors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 point. |
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09-07-20 | Celtics -1.5 v. Raptors | 111-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Celtics had the leagues 4th most efficient offense this season, but last time out they were in a horrendous down slope with their shooting going 7/35 from downtown, for a ugly 20% conversion rate. I will give Torontos HC Nick Nurse alot of respect for his teams turnaround in this series, but Im still betting the Celtics will bounce back here after that down effort last time out. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) this season. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 172-63 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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09-06-20 | Bucks v. Heat -2 | 118-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami is on the verge of moving on vs a Bucks side that refuses to change their non opera-table game plan. Down 3-0 their stubbornness will be the proverbial death of the Bucks here today. Bet on the Miami Heat moving on and covering. MIAMI is 7-0 ATS in all playoff games this season. MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season Giannis Antetokounmpo is downgraded to "?" Sunday vs Miami ( Ankle ) and if he plays he will be less than 100%. Play on Miami to cover |
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09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
There is blood in the water, and the Celtics are the proverbial sharks here today. With no Kawhi Leonard in the lineup the defending champion Raptors are in a trouble against a very hungry opponent, that I personally believe is more talented. BOSTON is 12-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) this season and get the nod here again.BOSTON is 10-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or less this season.BOSTON is 19-3 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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09-04-20 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | 100-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL This may not be do or die for Milwaukee, but they pretty well know as a team that if they lose again today, that their season for all intensive means is over. So with that said, Im betting on team Giannis and his gigantic ego to come out here in desperation mode and to get us a victory and more importantly the cover. MILWAUKEE is 25-11 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Friday nights are 52-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
Denver after taking part in a grueling 7 game series, are now on tired legs coming into this series vs a fresh Clippers team that will be motivated to get a win and get the ball rolling on moving on to the NBA finals. Im betting on the fresher more talented and experienced side to get the job done here in convincing fashion. DENVER is 7-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 80 points or less are 24-4 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.4 ppg. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 5-47 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.2 ppg. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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09-02-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | 116-114 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat took game one of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Milwaukee Bucks with 115-104 win on Monday night, thanks in part to lousy charity stripe shooting (14-26) which was an anomaly. Milwaukee has not really faced much adversity in the play offs so far, but now they must adjust to top tier competition, and Im betting they will do just that here today behind the big ego of Giannis. The Heat work at a lower pace , and like the half court game which does not always suit the Bucks, but HC Budenholzer can and will speed this tilt up with line adjustments, and force Miami to run with them, which in turn will get the Bucks to the promised land in game 2. MIAMI is 11-21 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season.MIAMI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 45-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 13-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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09-01-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1 | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Jamal Murray’s has been the catalyst for the sudden explosiveness of the Nuggets offence and that has changed the complexion of this series, which now bodes well for Denver in this deciding Game 7 tilt. I also like the bench depth that the Nuggets have with Jokic and Mitchell and give them a strong chance at advancing. UTAH is 5-13 ATS vs. division opponents this season. UTAH is 5-13 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Malone is 20-8 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - after scoring 105 points or more in a win over a division rival, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to win |
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08-31-20 | Heat +5.5 v. Bucks | 115-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami owned the Pacers in thier last series, and matchup very well vs the Bucks in this series. This Heat squad is a top-five rebounding side as is evident by a 51.2% rebounding rate, and this will be key to them slowing down the Bucks proficient offense. Im betting on the Heat trying to slow this game down, and grind away at the Bucks flow, which will prove a difficult obstacle to a Bucks side that operates optimally at a high pace. MIAMI is 18-7 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more this season. MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasonsMIAMI is 6-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
LA scored 154 points in regulation last time out , and the Clippers have scored 130 in three straight. Thats a combination of careless defence by the Mavs and some amazing shooting by the Clippers. However, all great runs must come to end, and for me I feel the Clippers proverbial engine after igniting at a high level is over heating and ready for a energy regression. With the likes of Doncic in the lineup for Dallas they remain dangerous threats, and wont be intimidated. With that said, Ill take the points. LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. DALLAS is 32-17 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.DALLAS is 25-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Carlisle is 40-15 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DALLAS. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 8-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 60-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play Dallas Mavs |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Harden and company were on their way to a 3-1 series lead vs the Thunder last time out, but blew a DD lead. Now out looking for redemption I expect a herculean start to finish effort from the Rockets here vs a team that Im betting their superior to. HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 season. HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 34-1 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 12.4 ppg which qualifies under a spread bet scenario. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Houston to cover |
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08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 111-154 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Lake Buena Vista, F Dallas now has the Clippers complete attention, after upsetting LAC in OT last time out behind a amazing performance from Doncic. Now in a letdown spot for Dallas, Im expecting the sleeping giant known as Kawhi Leonard and company to come out here on fire and stop the Mavs cold. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 18-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate! NBA Underdogs (DALLAS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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08-24-20 | Pacers +6.5 v. Heat | 87-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Indiana is now in desperation mode as they look to avoid elimination. There are enough quality characters and talent in this Pacers lineup to make the Heat work hard here today and to make sure they dont go down without a harddcore fight. Heat are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win. Heat are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. Pacers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. |
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08-23-20 | Clippers -7.5 v. Mavs | 133-135 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Mavericks young star Luka Doncic rolled his left ankle for the second time in this series last time out, and now things could easily go down hill quickly for the Mavs here in todays tilt vs the Clippers. Even if he does play today I doubt he is 100% and that will be a big problem for his team, as he is the keystone of their offence. We still have not seen the Clippers at their best, but now smelling proverbial blood in the water, they should be ready to roll mercilessly. Rivers is 38-19 ATS in non home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. Play on the Clippers |
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08-22-20 | Lakers -8 v. Blazers | 116-108 | Push | 0 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F Damian Lilliard is not 100%(finger injury) , and thats not a good omen as the Lakers look like they have woken up from their bubble slumber.Los Angeles limited eighth-seeded Portland to 8-of-29 shooting from 3-point range and Lillard hit just 1 of 7 attempts and that trend is worrisome for the Blazers vs what is the better team on paper. PORTLAND is 6-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL Oklahoma City outshooting the Rockets from the field (44.3% – 41.8%), and just a sight uptick in their 3 point shooting Im betting will help them cover here today in desperation mode vs a Houston side that is due for some major regressions especially on defense. Thunder are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Thunder are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oklahoma city to cover |
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08-22-20 | Pacers v. Heat -5 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5.5 | 130-122 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mavericks own the No. 1 offense in the league and produced the highest offensive rating in NBA history, and have proved they can keep track with another fast paced offensive juggernaut the LA Clippers. I know the Clippers rep, but the Mavericks appear to be the better team through two games and have scored 118 points and 114 points in their first two post season tilts , keeping their offensive averages alive and because of their ability to score and keep pace with any team in the NBA are viable underdogs in this spot.LA CLIPPERS are 5-16 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996.Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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08-21-20 | Celtics -5 v. 76ers | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL Philadelphia has given their all, but their body language at the end of game 2 tells me they already feel defeated, and that will translate on the scoreboard Im betting here again today. PHILADELPHIA is 4-16 ATS in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-2 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. BOSTON is 23-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 29-10 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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08-21-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz +1.5 | 87-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F Mitchell Jazz’s All-Star guard led his side to a Game 2 victory on Wednesday by picking apart the Denver defense and finishing with 30 points (on just 14 shots) and eight assists. With Denver banged up with Barton leaving the bubble to rehab his knee, Gary Harris’ very questionable to return from a hip injury, Im betting Mitchell and company have the edge in game 3, especially with Mike Conley Jr. probable to return for Friday’. Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. UTAH is 18-6 ATS in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog since 1996. Snyder is 34-17 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days as the coach of UTAH. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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08-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -2.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
I do expect the thunder to bounce back from their ugly game 1 performance a 123-108 loss, but this is still a bad matchup for the Thunder vs a explosive side like the Rockets. Harden reins supreme again, and the Rockets who are the superior side in this matchup prevail and cover. You can see by this comment how confounded the Thunder are: Quote:“It’s a different team,” Thunder point guard Chris Paul said. “You play a certain way the whole season, and then you’ve got a team that switches everything. It’s Game 1. We’ve got to figure it out. That’s why they are who they are. They play totally different than any other team in the league.” End Quote: HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season. Play on Rockets to cover |
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08-20-20 | Heat v. Pacers +4.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Orlando, FL The Pacers had a upbeat performance in game 1 off their bench, hitting 56% of their open shots, and today I now expect their stars to standup after a lower tier performance in game 1. INDIANA is 13-4 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 17-36 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Pacers to cover |
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08-19-20 | Mavs +6 v. Clippers | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, F Doncic is a confident competitor with experience . His résumé includes championships and MVPs earned with Real Madrid and the Slovenian national team at the highest levels in Europe. This kid despite of his lack of NBA play off experience is still capable of giving the Clippers some matchup problems. DALLAS is 51-33 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.DALLAS is 23-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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08-19-20 | 76ers +5 v. Celtics | 101-128 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
HC Brett Brown and company proved they want this to be a physical series, and thats the kind of basketball they played in game 1 losing. a-hard fought 109-101 decision that they lead going into the 3rd quarter. Quote: We’ve been beaten up and now is our moment,” coach Brett Brown said. “Now is our time to be recognized, and I think this group has the ability to do that as it sits.” End Quote: Now with key offensive weapon Gordon Hayward expected to miss game 3 fof the Celtics the Sixers can change their lineup a bit become even more physical, which will give them a chance to compete. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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08-19-20 | Jazz +4 v. Nuggets | 124-105 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
For the first 46 minutes of Monday's Game 1, it looked like the Jazz might be able to pull off the upset, even with Mike Conley out of the lineup. They did however succumb in OT by a 135-125 count. Im betting on them rebounding with confidence and grabbing us a cover as underdogs. DENVER is 4-16 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Utah to cover |
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08-17-20 | 76ers v. Celtics -5.5 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston is simply smoother and more proficient in transition than Philadelphia , and Im betting on a game 1 mismatch. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 21-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BOSTON is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-1 l/5 seasons with the average margin of victory clicking in at 12.8 ppg. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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08-17-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -4.5 | 125-135 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Orlando, FL
Utah Jazz will be without Mike Conely for this first round game vs Denver because of the birth of his child, which is definitely a detriment to his teams chances today. He has left the bubble and will have to quarantine upon his return. I know the Nuggets have not played all that well, but today they have the edge needed to deliver the cash to their backers. UTAH is 5-20 ATS in road games after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent since 1996. DENVER is 24-13 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Malone is 34-16 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on the Denver Nuggets to win |
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08-13-20 | Bucks v. Grizzlies +1 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Memphis has just one game left to earn a spot in the Western Conference play-in series this weekend. They have to leave it all on the floor here today, and look capable of doing so against a Bucks side that will be without super star and reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo was ejected from their game against the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night after he head-butted Moritz Wagner in the second quarter. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 11-36 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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08-12-20 | Clippers -4 v. Nuggets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Nuggets’ defense since the restart has centered around the team’s ineffectiveness defending the 3-point line, which is not a good omen for Denver in this matchup. The Clippers rank second in the league in 3-point percentage, having converted on 43.1 percent of their attempts from down town. On the other end of the court, Denver’s defense ranks last defending treys, as their opposition connects at 45.5 percent clip. Ugly numbers, that tell the story of why I like Clippers today. The Clippers are 11-0 ATS /SU with rest coming off a loss as a favorite. Play on LA Clippers to win |
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08-12-20 | Heat -1.5 v. Thunder | 115-116 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder need their midrange game shots to fall consistently and considering the Heat are a top team in the bubble at limiting opponents’ accuracy from midrange you have a situation where in a matchup of two slow paced teams that the Thunder have an edge. Add to that the Heat have the motivation of clinching the No.4 seed entering the play offs and you have an edge with Miami. NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 38-89 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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08-12-20 | Pacers +7.5 v. Rockets | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston coach Mike D'Antoni made it clear Tuesday that the priority is winning next week, not this week and that was evident last time out in a loss to to San Antonio last time out by a 123-105 lopsided count. With Westbrook not expected to play for the Rockets, I can see the hard working Pacers having an edge from a value point perspective on the line. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or ,less turnovers/game this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | 121-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL The Lakers are trying to rediscover championship-quality basketball after four months off, and to this point alot of disappointment has manifested itself. However, Im betting now that tough times have arrived via 3 straight losses that this talented group will pull together, and get a complete team effort and win here today vs the Denver Nuggets. DENVER is 3-12 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the ML (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-50 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by -9.8 ppg. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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08-10-20 | Raptors v. Bucks -5.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting the Bucks will jam the paint and make the Raptors beat them from the perimeter. The last time the two teams met, Toronto attempted a season-high 52 3s, connecting on 18 of them (34.6%) and have attempted 88 in two games against the Bucks this year. . The Raptors attempt 36.9 3s per game After five quarters of very inconsistent shooting, Toronto shot 14-for-30 (46.7%) in the final three quarters of its win on over Memphis and Im betting that their lack of consistent conversion rates from downtown and the field will be their undoing here today vs the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. TORONTO is 1-9 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are 114-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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08-10-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Suns | 101-128 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
After watching the Robinhooder's and a few pros slam down their wagers on the streaking Suns the line has moved in a direction that is just a bit inflated. I know Phoenix has played great ball, and that the Thunder are short handed to a degree, but Im confident that the Thunder matchup well here getting points. Note: The Suns have not won 6 games in a row since 2014, and getting a victory here will not come as easily as some anticipate. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are just 8-22 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors will be primed to bounce back after losing to the Boston Celtics last time out. The Celtics actually matched up well against the Raptors from downtown, , but that wont be a problem here vs a Memphis side that shoot 3s in the bottom-five, Memphis looked good in a win last time out vs Oklahoma City, but the Raptors inside superuiority that includes the the third-best rim defense in the league this season will be a difference maker here and Im betting provide us with a cover.TORONTO is 19-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.TORONTO is 21-10 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. |
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2 | 122-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champions are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run and are playing top tier basketball and must be respected on a short line as favorites. I have not been impressed with the Celtics in the restart or overall this season and feel confident fading them in this spot play. |
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08-07-20 | Thunder v. Grizzlies +5 | 92-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Desperate Grizzlies after 4 straight losses are desperate for a win and will play hard here giving me confidence in taking points in this spot vs Oklahoma City. Memphis are 9-1 ATS/SU in revenging a loss against an opponent with less than two days rest. Play on Memphis to cover |
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08-06-20 | Clippers -4 v. Mavs | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Clippers have matched up well vs the Mavericks’ this season, as was evident by 114-99 victory as 1.5 point road favorites on Nov. 26 and then again as 2.5 point road underdogs 110-107 win on Jan. 21 and now Im betting they have an edge here in this neutral court environment on a line I have chalked up as closer to -5 whihc gives us value according to my power ranking projections. |
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08-06-20 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Suns have played great ball out of the break, especially in transition m but Im betting that comes to end here vs a very under rated Pacers group that can clean the glass with the best in the league and also has a significant edge behind a offense that has produced the 10th-most points per 100 halfcourt plays as compared to a Suns’ side that ranks 27th in halfcourt defense. The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-05-20 | Raptors -6 v. Magic | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Alot of piss was taken out of Orlando yesterday as they were easily owned by Indiana y in a DD loss. Now a little downtrodden and far from fresh the Magic go against a defending champion Toronto Raptors side that has already beaten them 3 times this season, and well equipped to turn the trick here again today and get us the cover in the process. ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. |
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08-04-20 | Magic v. Pacers +1.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Indiana (41-26) opened play in the Orlando area on Saturday with a 127-121 win over Philadelphia before routing the Washington Wizards two days later in a 111-100 matinee. Orlando is also undefeated but also offers up a less formidable matchup according to my power rankings. Note: The Pacers have on the two most recent meetings in this seires. ORLANDO is 1-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. |
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08-03-20 | Spurs v. 76ers -7 | 130-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The 76ers are built to control the glass and rank the second- in rebounding the league while the Spurs rank 20th. The 76ers have a huge advantage which Im betting will see Embiid to own the paint and offensive rebounding numbers as he wont have to deal with LaMarcus Aldridge blocking prowess. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 74-36 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -4.5 | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies lost both games against the Pelicans before the hiatus -- falling 126-116 in Memphis and 139-111 in New Orleans -- just 11 days apart in January. This is a rince and repeat situation. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | 116-120 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This years version Bucks are pace demons leading the lead and are extremely dangerous in transition taking long rebounds off missed 3s and converting them into quick points . Considering they rank first in Bucks lead the NBA in defensive rebounding Im betting they gobble up and make the rockets pay for their any flow problems they may have from downtown and quickly turn this game in their favor. MILWAUKEE is 17-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. note:The Rockets are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game. NBA Underdogs (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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08-02-20 | Blazers v. Celtics -4 | 124-128 | Push | 0 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers are off a hard fought comeback victory against the Memphis Grizzlies and may find themselves in a letdown spot after that victory. Boston Im betting takes advatnage of the Blazers lack of depth on the wing and shows us their ability to compete. Also Im expecting a huge comeback from , Tatum who shot just 2-of-18 from the floor, including 0-for-4 on 3-pointers in the Celtics opener vs the Bucks. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. The Celtics are 26-1 ATS /27-0 SU L/27 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite after an overtime win in which they trailed by double digits. PORTLAND is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. BOSTON is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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08-01-20 | Heat +1.5 v. Nuggets | 125-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
When these teams played back in November the Nuggets spanked the Heat in the Mile High City, by a 109-89 count. Now with revenge on board I expect the Heat to be wide awake here and ready for revenge. The Nuggets are 0-12-2 ATS L/14 /1-13/SU on the road with rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. DENVER is 20-33 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 36-21 ATS ) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Miami to cover |
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07-31-20 | Kings v. Spurs +3.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
I really like the Spurs young players and feel they are being under valued . We will see alot of this top tier young talent , and Im betting they give a Kings gropup that is going to have front-court problems a go of it here today. Note: Sacramento will be without Marvin Bagley and Alex Len . The Kings smashed the Spurs before the seasons was abruptly ended and now revenge is on board.SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 54-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Any team (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 47-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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07-31-20 | Magic v. Nets +7 | 128-118 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The NJ Nets are decimated and missing key players, but wins are so important in this restart that I expect the players on the floor to step up and they will not easily disposed of making getting points golden . The Nets are 17-0 ATS L/17 on the road with more than two days of rest off a road game. BROOKLYN is 19-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 26-12 SU for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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