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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-16-19 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 64-53 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
 Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference team that they maybe overlooking . But hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are 27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-16-19 | Oklahoma +6 v. TCU | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned  Frogs on the road in Fort Worth. OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS  in all games this season. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-15-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -1 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
The second place Wright State hosts the first place Northern Kentucky Norse to the WSU Nutter Center Friday night.The Raiders, are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won seven of the last eight. The Raiders are 11-2 overall and 5-1 in league games at home and haven't lost at the Nutter Center since the overtime slip to UIC on Dec. 28. The visiting the Norse won the first meetings between these rivals by a 68-64 count at NKU on Jan. 11. In that game and will be primed for revenge. The Raiders won both meetings last year, 69-67 at home, and 84-81 at Northern. WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Nagy is 25-8 ATS in home games in February games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (N KENTUCKY) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5) are 37-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Wright State to cover |
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02-15-19 | Marist +3.5 v. Quinnipiac | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
 Marist has four of the MAAC's top 12 in three-point %: Isaiah Lamb (5th, .421); David Knudsen (7th, .413); Ryan Funk (11th, .390); and Aleksandar Dozic (12th, .385 and can hang with Quinnipac MAAC leading 3 point totals (10.3 per game) CBB  A favorite (QUINNIPIAC) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 46-80 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Marist to cover |
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02-15-19 | Brown v. Cornell | 66-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
 Brown is a team that must be respected when they have revenge on board behind 5-returning-starters in their lineup.Brown ranks second in the Ivy League in scoring offense (75.1 ppg), scoring defense (68.9 ppg) and field goal defense (.414), while leading the league in 3-point FG defense (.301).Last season this group took a couple  of losses vs Cornell and will now be out get some payback, Meanwhile, the Big Red, are  3-9 SU this season vs winning teams like Brown of late and in the past have been a bankroll draining  8-23 ATS in this series . Play on Brown to cover |
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02-15-19 | Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
After winning a pair of road games last weekend at Rider and Saint Peter's, the GoldenGriffins return home this weekend for a pair of MAAC games on well rested legs. The Griffs beat Fairfield 73-68 earlier this season, and matchup well against them and have the edge here at home in the rematch.  FAIRFIELD is 1-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (FAIRFIELD) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11 ppg. Play on Canisius to cover |
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02-14-19 | BYU v. San Diego -3 | 88-82 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
 San Diego is a solid team with 4 returning starters back from last season, and have shown flashes of brilliance this season. With revenge on board for a being knocked out of their conference tourney vs BYU last season they will come here primed to give back some  payback. The  Cougars are a god awful 2-8 ATS in  away games from Provo this season. BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BYU is 1-11 ATS  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. San Diego to cover |
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02-14-19 | Thunder v. Pelicans +5 | 122-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pelicans looked horrendous in a ugly effort vs Oralndo last time out, as the team as a whole stunk out the place as they showed their displeasure in having tp play alongside  super star Anthony Davis , a ego that isn't  really interested in being a part of this group.   Davis himeslef had the second-lowest point total of his seven-year career in games in which he has played 20 or more minutes. He had two points in 20 minutes against Toronto as a rookie.Davis had just three points on 1-of-9 shooting and in 24 minutes of the Pelicans nasty 118-88 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. However, now after being embarrassed I expect Davis will come out here like his hairs on fire and in effort to keep pace with Westbook and company tonight, and for his teammates at least temporarily come to life behind him in an effort to take down a red hot Oklahoma City team. The Pelicans have covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and my choice getting points tonight. It must be noted that the Pelicans are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a loss in a home game. Donovan is 8-21 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-14-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Magic | 89-127 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Hornets have beaten the Magic 13 times in a row, including six straight at Orlando and Im betting if they lose tonight they won't go down without a fight and actually matchup well vs a Orlando team that despite of playing well at the moment are far from consistent. It must also be noted that the Magic: 1-16 L17 as division home favs and just don't inspire me.The Magic  in their two meetings this season vs Charlotte were horrendous from down beyond the arc going a combined 16-for-66 (24.2 percent) and Im betting their inability to pop and  stop from downtown vs this Hornets group will be their downfall again. Note: ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 0-10 ATS/1-9 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with the only SU win coming by 2 points.  The Magic are 0-11 ATS/SU at home with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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02-14-19 | Illinois v. Ohio State -8 | 63-56 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
After winning three straight and four of the last five games with a pair of upsets over Top 25 teams Illinois is gaining respect, but the Illini still don't have a true road victory and are  0-6 in visitors role this season. With that said, Im betting Illinois road troubles will continue vs a Ohio State team up trending and  on a 3 game win streak, The Buckeyes took the first game in this series this season by 10 points on the road, and are capable of turning the trick again as -8 chalk as hosts. ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -10.2 ppg. ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential -10.8 ppg. CBB underdog vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 0-44 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin loss differential clicking in at -12.2 ppg. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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02-14-19 | Hofstra v. College of Charleston -1 | 99-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
A Valentine's Day showdown between the College of Charleston (20-6, 9-4 CAA) and Hofstra (21-4, 11-1) will showcase the Colonial Athletic Association's schedule today.Charleston has rattled off six-straight victories since its mid-January 0-2 road trip to Northeastern and Hofstra and are playing their very best hoops at home as is evident by a 11-1 mark here, as compared to Hofstras 7-4 road record. CofC is 4-2 lifetime when playing at home in the series and get the nod again. Play on College of Charleston to cover |
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02-13-19 | Arizona State v. Colorado -1.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Colorado has big time revenge on board tonight for a ugly 83-61 loss at Tempe  last month and will be very motivated to get some payback vs an Arizona State side off an emotional win vs Washington last time out and could easily be in letdown spot. With that said, Im betting a energized group of Buffaloes now playing their best hoops of the season will avenge that previous loss and extend their current 3 game win streak.CU is 7-1 all-time against the Sun Devils in Boulder, including four straight wins. ARIZONA ST is 5-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.Hurley is 11-21 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of ARIZONA ST. ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.Boyle is 18-4 ATS  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of COLORADO. Play on Colorado to cover |
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02-13-19 | Kings v. Nuggets -7.5 | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Denver plays its best basketball at home and are 24-4 SU & 20-8 ATS as hosts this season coming into this tilt vs Sacramento. Meanwhile, the Kings while looking very competitive this season do not match up well on the road vs teams that can run and gun with them like Denver can as is evident by the following trend.SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with the average point differential -14.3 ppg. Also DENVER is 18-8 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average differential of +12.1 ppg. DENVER is 15-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season (Denver beat Miami 103-87 here in the MileHigh City last time out) The Kings are 0-15 ATS /0-15 SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/ SU as a home favorite off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes and it is before the All-Star break. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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02-13-19 | Heat +3 v. Mavs | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
 Miami has been struggling of late , but must not be underestimated in their ability to cover or pull off an upset here vs a Dallas team that is highly inconsistent despite of of the accolades it gets from the media for having a rising star in their lineup , Luka Doncic. With this being both teams last game before the all star break I expect a spirited affair that will see getting points to be a golden proposition. MIAMI is 21-9 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 31-17 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-4 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 31-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 19-7 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 17-7 ATS on the road in non conference games. Spoelstra is 23-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI.The Heat are 9-0 ATS  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 45-19 ATS for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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02-13-19 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1.5 | 110-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls will be motivated to avoid a winless home stand vs a side that they matchup well against when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.The Grizzlies will be playing on short rest after losing 108-107 to the visiting San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night and now exhausted and in a letdown spot are susceptible to a down effort vs a Chicago side that went 2-0 against the Grizzlies last season, with both wins coming by single digits. The lines-makers once again expect a close game, but my own projections estimate that the Bulls should be 3 point chalk here at home, which give credence to me backing the Bulls in this spot play. Note: Mike Conley's status for this game is questionable as he suffers with a undisclosed illness. MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.  The Bulls are 18-0 ATS /16-2 SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 105-26 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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02-13-19 | Syracuse +3 v. NC State | 58-73 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
 After a fast start to their current campaign that saw them go 13-1 SU NC State with the easiest non conference schedule in the nation has cooled off quite a bit. ,  losing 6 of their L/9 while covering just twice during that time. Considering the series host is just 2-7-1 ATS  I wont be surprised when Boheim and company cover and or pull off the SU upset vs a side that has become very inconsistent. Note:  North Carolina State won the first meeting between the teams under new head coach Kevin Keatts, winning 74-70 in the Carrier Dome last year, and now the visitors will have the extra motivation of looking for payback here. Matchup analysis: North Carolina State full-court defense and transition offense Im betting will have some issues  when they push the tempo vs Syracuse methodical 2-3 zone. The Wolfpack can fight for rebounds in the offensive zone, but  they are one of ACC’s  worst defensive rebounding teams and that's where Im betting they will get in trouble. Play on Syracuse to cover  |
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02-12-19 | Magic v. Pelicans -4.5 | 118-88 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Orlando is playing decently and have won their first two games of their current 3 game road trip and 3 in a row, but are still a team that is far from being considered a upper tier team, and not a group that have proven long term consistent upward trajectory status. Meanwhile, their hosts tonight the Pelicans, are off a loss last time out, to the Grizzlies, in a ugly game (99-90), on the 10th of Feb, but should now be well rested and ready to rebound, as they become acclimated to having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The Magic are 0-16 ATS/SU with rest off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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02-12-19 | St Bonaventure +1.5 v. St. Joe's | 76-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Up-trending St. Bonaventure travels to Philadelphia looking for a sweep of this year's series with Saint Joseph's Tuesday night.St. Bonaventure has won its last three Atlantic 10 road games, winning at UMass, Richmond and Duquesne.St. Bonaventure dominated St.Josephs in the first game and led from start to finish by a final score of 73, 47. Now St.Josephs is being made home favs here. While they might want revenge, St.Josephs looks like they don't matchup well vs this current group of Bonnies and in my opinion false favorites. The Bonnies have won the last nine of the last 10 meetings and get the nod again.  .ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons CBB underdog (ST BONAVENTURE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 62-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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02-12-19 | Purdue v. Maryland | 56-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Purdue currently on a 8 game win streak held Maryland to 28.6 percent shooting in second half of 62-60 win on Dec. 6. That matchup showed me how well the Boilermakers matchup against Maryland and gives me credence backing them to win and cover here tonight on the road in the rematch . Also since that victory All of the data shows 12th-ranked Purdue is a different team than when its Dec. 6 win over Maryland and could be even more ferocious this time around. Purdue has won the last 5 meetings in this series. Note: Maryland has not scored more than 70 points in over a month which is not a good omen vs a  Purdue side that is ranked fourth nationally in offensive efficiency. Maryland is ranked last in the Big 10 in turnover diff. Purdue has won three straight Big Ten road games by a combined 25 points. PURDUE is 11-3 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.( Maryland is ranked No.1 in Big 10 rebounding margin at 8.9 pg) Play on Purdue to cover |
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02-11-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1 v. Alabama A&M | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling but according to my power rankings and system vs system data, the visitors are actually the superior team on a short line. My personal line for this game makes the wrong team the favorite in this spot play. Play on Arkansas Pine Bluff to cover |
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02-11-19 | Bucks v. Bulls +10.5 | 112-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
 Milwaukee's star player Giannis Antetokounmpo is suffering with some knee pain, and despite of being expected to play tonight is less than 100%. The last time out the Bucks struggled in a home loss to the Orlando Magic and blamed it on tired legs. Well Im sure that was true, but another truth is that the Bucks have come at opponents relentlessly this season and are not pacing themselves and I wont be surprised if that comes back to haunt them again tonight. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are just 7-26 L/5seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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02-11-19 | Mavs v. Rockets -10 | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Mavs  are exhausted after a tenacious come from behind win vs Portland last night  which is not a good omen vs a Houston side hell bent on revenge for a earlier loss to the Mavericks this season. It must be noted that the Mavericks have lost 10 straight games when playing without rest against same-season avenging side and are just 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS as a road dog without rest after facing the Blazers. With that said, a combination and exhaustion and revenge will be the key us getting the cover here laying DDs. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover  |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina +2 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Roy Williams North Carolina's  owns an explosive offence that can hang with Virginias offence and also give hem issues defensively, much like Duke proved last Saturday when they took out Cavs in front of their own fans. Here on the road, vs the Tar Heels, an emotionally spent  Cavaliers will once again find themselves in trouble in a very unfriendly atmosphere. Add to that  the Tar Heels have revenge on board for a 71-63 loss to Virginia in the 2018 ACC Championship game and  Im betting you have a recipe for the Cavs suffering their second consecutive loss. Home team is 10--1 ATS L/11 meetings in this series. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 10-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. NC is  18-1 SU as a host i in this series when they own a win percentage of .666 or greater. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. Play North Carolina to cover |
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02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Im betting on Miami hanging tough here vs this explosive Golden State team, based on my power ranking projections. There is value on this underdog line and we must always follow long term edges, win or lose. Look for Hassan WhiteSide who has recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and is shooting 67.3 percent from the floor in these tilts to be a key factor here tonight in making this alot more physical than the Warriors would like.  MIAMI is 32-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Spoelstra is 41-25 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI. The Heat are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 1-13-1 ATS at home off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 0-9-1 ATSL/10 as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on Miami to cover |
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02-10-19 | Stanford v. Oregon -6 | 46-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Stanford  currently on a three game win streak earned a 35-point win (96-61) at Maples Pavilion in the lone meeting last season and you can bet Altman and company have had this game circled on their calendars for a while and will be prepared to return the favour in front of their own fans . Im betting Oregon winners of 3 of their L/4 overall get their revenge and cover according to my own projections that suggest the Ducks are being under valued as favs.  My line is  -8 points favouring Oregon on their own home floor. Under coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a 52-21 record (.712) during the second half of Pac-12 play. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 10-0 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oregon to cover |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Northwestern enters this game having limited opponents to shooting just 29.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, the best mark in the conference and 12th best nationally. Iowa their Big 10 hosts tonight have made 37.3% of their three-point attempts and has attempted the fourth-most threes in the conference. This Im betting will be key to Northwestern staying close vs Hawkeyes' big town town game. My own projections estimate that Northwestern will score 67+ points or more, whihc sets up well for us covering, as NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. CBB underdog (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-10-19 | Lakers +7 v. 76ers | 120-143 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Lakers looked good in a win vs the Boston Celtics 3 days ago as underdogs, and now with some momentum on their sides, Im betting Philadelphia will have to play hard to take the Lakers out here , especially if key player Joel Embiid does not play because of illness. Thus getting points here with the Lakers is a viable opportunity to cash a ticket. Add to that the Lakers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered in LA 121-105, and we have a nice revenge situation to bet into.  The Lakers are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a game as a dog in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws and are are 11-0 ATS on the road with rest off a win as a road dog after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. The Seventysixers are 1-14 ATS L/15 with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers. LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS in road games after allowing 120 points or more this season LA LAKERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free or less throws/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 153-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers to cover |
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02-10-19 | Maryland-Baltimore County -2 v. Maine | 67-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
 The UMBC  (14-10, 6-3 America East) looks for its third consecutive road win in America East when they  go against the inconsistent Maine Black Bears (5-19, 3-6) this Sunday. UMBC had a 5 game losing streak come to end last time out, but will be very ready to rebound here today, behind a solid D, that leads the league in scoring defense at 63.3 points per game.UMBC has won nine consecutive games in the series and are 5-0 at Maine since the 2014 season and get the nod again. Maryland Baltimore to cover |
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02-09-19 | Washington v. Arizona State -1 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I know the Sun Devils  might not look like a viable choice for public bettors to beat a team on 12 game win streak. But it must be noted that Arizona State is one of the few teams  that can handle a  2-3 zone defense like Washington owns. Also the Huskies after a hard fought win vs Arizona last time out on the road will now have a hard time rising to the occasion again, and may actually be emotionally drained against a reved up team ready to play hard and garner an upset. ASU tenacious ball snatching work will go a long way to them getting us the win here. The Sun Devils are  the Pac-12 leader in rebounding margin (+6.6), has outrebounded 18 of 22 opponents this year. ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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02-09-19 | Thunder v. Rockets -2 | 117-112 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
These two teams are evenly matched according to my power rankings but , home court advantage favours Houston to pull this one out vs the Thunder making it 7 wins in their L/8 tries at home in this series. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-17 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 1-10 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game when the line is at least 10 points higher than their last game. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, on Saturday games are 25-3 L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 14-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-09-19 | Wizards v. Bulls +2.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Bulls carry the momentum of their impressive effort vs Brooklyn last night notching a 125-106 win. Newly acquired  Porter shot 7-for-9 overall and 4-for-5 on 3-pointers, helping the Bulls convert 50.0 percent of their 28 attempts from three point land. Porter got the start alongside Lauri Markkanen in both looked to mesh well together as does Guard Zach LaVine. This group looks to have chemistry and must be respected here as dogs tonight vs a poor travelling Washington team that have lost 21 of 28 road games. The Bulls won 101-92 at Washington in December in the clubs' only previous meeting this season. The win was the Chicago's second straight over Washington and a third straight win is not out of the question tonight. Washington also won last night in a 119-106 victory vs Cleveland, but are just 1-12 ATS in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 0-12 ATS (in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. WASHINGTON is 6-21 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  The Bulls are 20-3 ATS L/23 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Wizards are 4-23 ATS/SU on the road facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 . or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% . or better on the season are 84-129  over the last 5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Bulls to cover |
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02-09-19 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
There was a vibe around the Pelicans last night against the Minnesota Wolves that was not a positive one despite of team winning. It seems to me , that this group isn't thrilled about having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Yes, they pulled off the victory but , it seemed like their was a real awkward adjustment having the self centered star back in the lineup , knowing that he doesnt want to be there, making them fade material tonight vs a much hungrier Grizzlies team with a more positive vibe after some players were traded .Coach Alvin Gentry didn't play Davis in the final 15-plus minutes even though Minnesota made it a one-possession game several times while Davis sat. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break.The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS/SU on the road with no rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are 35-80 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 39-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Memphis to cover |
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02-09-19 | Hornets v. Hawks +3 | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
 Two Southeast division rivals to battle tonight in Atalanta. The Hawks are a team that I have as moving upward in my rankings on a consistent basis. Their youth both hinders them and aids them, and must be respected here vs a inconsistent Charlotte team getting points.Atlanta had its two-game winning streak broken on Thursday night by the Toronto Raptors in a 119-101 home loss, but for the first part of that game the Hawks looked like upset possibilities before Toronto put the hammer down.ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Note: Charlotte will be without veteran Tony Parker, who left the Tuesday game against the Los Angeles Clippers with a back injury. The Hawks are 18-3-1 ATS as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Hawks are 12-0 ATS/11-1 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game and it is before the All-Star break. The Hornets are 0-12 ATS L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.The Hornets are 2-17 ATS /3-16 SU with rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts and it is before the All-Star break. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-09-19 | Sam Houston State +3.5 v. Abilene Christian | 90-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the Southland Conference will toe  when the first-place Sam Houston State Bearkats travel to second-place Abilene Christian at Moody Coliseum. This promises to be a barn burner but Sam Houston according to my power rankings is the superior teams and viable bet getting points.Sam Houston is currently one of just 10 teams  in the country with an unbeaten record within  conference play. The Kats 11-game win streak is tied with defending national champion Villanova and Pac 12 leader Washington for the third-longest current win streak in the nation, only trailing No. 1 Tennessee (16 games) and No. 4 Gonzaga (12 games). Take the points wit Sam Houston to cover |
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02-09-19 | Duke +1.5 v. Virginia | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Almost a month ago both these teams took part in a ferocious battle and now Duke and Virginia are back at it in another Top 5 matchup Saturday.Both teams are tied with North Carolina atop the ACC standings at 8-1 in conference play so this is a key game for them . Virginia is depending way to much  on their 3-point shooting ,  and Duke is the kind of team that can make them take bad threes as was evident when , the Cavaliers went  just 3-for-17 (17.6 percent) from deep in the previous meeting.Duke because of their size and strength don't need to pound threes and make a majority of their scores from in close . Virginia Im betting is susceptible to being manhandled in in the paint here tonight and with  Tre Jones back from injury the  Blue Devils look hard to handle. I know Virginia is on a 27-1 run at home, but I won't be surprised if a 2 is added into the loss column after this final buzzer goes off today. VIRGINIA is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games. Play on Duke to cover |
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02-09-19 | Florida +11 v. Tennessee | 61-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Gators pushed Vols Jan. 12 in Gainesville before falling 78-67 and actually matchup well vs this top ranked team form a empirical  power ranking viewpoint.... based on system vs system analysis. Tennessee has allowed SEC opponents to make at least 10 3-pointers in five of nine league games this season so far. It must be noted that Florida made 12 in the teams’ first meetings, tying Texas A&M for the most 3s the Vols have surrendered to an opponent all season and it will be the Gators 3 point shooting Im betting that will keep them close in this affair and get us the all important cover. CBB road team (FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 352-240 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-09-19 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -1 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
South Carolina got hammered by Kentucky last time out and now have to taken a red hot Arkansas side on a 4 game win streak. However, despite of  how downtrodden the Gamecocks might seem, they still have beat Mississippi State, Florida and Auburn, with the conference losses coming to Kentucky , LSU, and Tennessee. Now in desperation mode I expect the home team to play big here this afternoon and notch a win vs a side that is surprising me and over rated according to my matchup projections and systems. Note: In SEC home contests this season, Carolina is averaging 80.5 points per game, 44.2 percent from the field and 70.9 percent from the free throw line. ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS L/31 in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. ARKANSAS is 1-8 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was a the case in a 69-66 win vs Vanderbilt last time out. Play on South Carolina to cover |
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02-09-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cleveland State | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Cleveland State, has struggled with injuries and illness, but  will  be primed to seek a measure of revenge against Milwaukee after the Panthers rallied to win the first game of the season between the two teams 83-76 in Milwaukee on Jan. 3. The Phoenix are on a 4 games losing streak, and very much look like a desperate home team can handle, especially behind the incentive of revenge on their sides. CLEVELAND ST is 7-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cleveland State to cover |
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02-09-19 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +5.5 | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
 UK enters this SEC fray vs Mississippi State on a 9-0 SU run and in their last game trounced South Carolina by DDs. The Cats also beat todays hosts the Bulldogs 76-55  at Lexington during that above mentioned win streak and will now have to face a team with revenge on board , as they themselves have a big target on their backs at the moment, because of their torrid top tier play .Note:MSU as a home dog with same-season loss revenge, are 6-0-1 ATS L/7 when the loss was by 14 or more points . Miss State HC Howland is no pushover , and will have his troops ready to stand tall and extend on a  11-1 ATS as home underdog in his career here and are 3-0-1 ATS as a home dog in this series. This is a huge game for Mississippi State as they are slumping after a hot start, but are now 4-4 in SEC games and are in desperate need of a big win to keep their NCAA Tournament dreams alive. Mississippi State to cover |
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02-08-19 | Wolves v. Pelicans -6 | 117-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Anthony Davis is expected to play tonight for the Pelicans after it was learned that he would not be traded and might not be as injured as he thought. With Jeff Teague expected to miss or be at less than 100% if he does play  the Wolves now on tired  legs after playing last night definitely look to be at a disadvantage. Note: The Timberwolves are 1-23 ATS /0-24 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average margin of victory coming 16.4 ppg. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 18-47  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. This is the final meeting between Minnesota and New Orleans this season. The home team has won each of the previous three meetings and Im betting the home team holds serve again. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Bucks are an explosive team , and look like viable threats to Golden States supremacy. But teams like Dallas must not be underestimated when playing at home in front of their own fans. HC Carlisle is top tier coach, and has instilled a never say die attitude into his now talent laden playing personnel. Overall the Mavs have played teams like the Bucks well, as is evident by DALLAS going 7-0 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is also 22-10 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average point diff clicking in at minuscule 0.2 ppg. Carlisle in 265 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of DALLAS has seen the average point diff click in at 4.2 ppg. The Mavericks are 14-0-2 ATS at home after a game with 8+ lead changes which was the case in a 99-93 win vs Charlotte last time out. Bucks are 1-9-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Dallas has covered 8 straight games overall, and Im betting on another cover here as they add to a 9-1 ATS record as a home underdog this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-08-19 | Cavs +10 v. Wizards | 106-119 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Washington as this big a favorite against anyone in the NBA just does not sit well with me, even though they are on their own home court vs a struggling lower tier team. The Wizards are just 3-9 ATS L/12 vs a sub .500 team, and have failed to cover 8 of their L/11 vs the NBA Central. Meanwhile, the Cavs are starting to show some upward trajectory from a betting perspective and have covered 4 straight vs NBA eastern foes, and are 5-2 ATS L/7 vs Southeast division opposition. The Cavs are also 4-1 ATS L/5 in their series and the underdog has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings and once again the away pup looks like a viable option a DD line that Im betting is bloated. The Cavaliers are 10-1 ATS L/11 as a road dog with more than one day of rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. The Wizards are 0-12 ATS/1-11 SU with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by 3 points. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season are a long term profitable bet, going 58-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-08-19 | Knicks +9 v. Pistons | 103-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Oh boy the Knicks a storied NBA franchise is completely in a disarray and now embarking on a rebuild, but with some stable bodies and minds guiding the way as guards Dennis Smith Jr. and Wesley Matthews as well as center DeAndre Jordan are inserted into the starting lineup. The Knicks current 14 game losing streak tells a story of a team that had no chemistry and very little will to win. However, thanks to these trades and overall house cleaning, the Knicks Im betting will show some fight here in the 2nd of back to back games vs the Detroit Pistons. ( Motown won the first game in this b2b) Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Road team is 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series.DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasonsThe Pistons are 0-15 ATS L/15 as a favorite off a 10+ win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS L/11 at home with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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02-07-19 | San Diego -1 v. Loyola Marymount | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The lines makers have made the Toreros short road favs here, and those assessments are correct according to my power rankings. San Diego beat Loyola Marymount 71-58 at home earlier this season in conference play, and matchup well vs the Lions. I know the Lions have been potent at home this season, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate, but San Diego has won the last two meetings here at the Gersten Pavilion and are a viable side. It must be noted that San Diego are a well conditioned team  that gets stronger as games progress. The Toreros  have outscored opponents 932-824 during the second half this season, while shooting 51 percent from the field and 41 percent from 3-point range.  SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 24-11 ATS  in road games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Diego to cover |
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02-07-19 | Portland State +8.5 v. Northern Colorado | 62-80 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland State comes off a narrow loss at Idaho State on Saturday, 69-67. The Vikings had won three straight prior to that, including a win at Weber State last Thursday as they continue to play solid competitive basketball, making them viable road underdogs here in this spot vs Northern Colorado. I know NCU has done well of late and the lines makers respect them, but now their getting a little bit to much respect vs a hardworking opponent . N COLORADO is 4-17 ATS L/21 after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite . Play on Portland State to cover  |
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02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona -1 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Wildcats are in desperation mode after having list 4 of their L/5 overall. Biut tonight according to my power rankings have system they matchup well against and have an edge at where they have won four straight home games against Washington and nine of the past 10 hosting the Huskies. The Wildcats are 95-5 at home in their last 100 home games, which dates back to the 2012-13 season. Arizona's 92-5 mark at home since the start of the 2013-14 season is tops nationally. Im betting the Wildcats ability to limit mistakes will be key to taking down the visitors tonight.The Wildcats are averaging 11.3 turnovers per game, which is the fewest of any team in the Pac-12. and overall  has a turnover margin of +3.8, which leads the Pac-12, and is 15th-best in the country. CBB team (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 59-19 ATS L5seasons for a 77%conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to cover |
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02-07-19 | Arkansas State +5 v. South Alabama | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Red Wolves have played four overtime games this season, and despite of a negative record are almost always competitive. There  is sharp money all over Arkansas State and Im not blaming my colleagues one bit for taking the points here in a game that have handicapped at closer to 3 points , thus we are getting the value of a one possession game according to my projections. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Raptors are off a big win vs the Philadelphia 76ers last time out in a start to finish victory. That impressive outing, also came at a price as this team exerted alot of energy and will now be  emotionally drained, even with a couple days rest, against a young Atlanta team that loves to run and gun.The Hawks  are an up trending team that must not be discounted, having gone 12-12 since Dec. 18. and have won two in a row. Note:The Raptors are 1-13 ATS  L/14  with rest off a road game.The Raptors are 3-17 ATS  with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers which happened vs the Sixers. The Hawks are 6-0 ATS /5-1 SU with rest off a win in which their turnovers decreased by at least 10 from the game before. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-07-19 | Clippers v. Pacers -5.5 | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Clippers will be without leading scorer Tobias Harris,  key chemistry cog Boban Marjanovic and their top bench player Mike Scott after all three were traded to the Philadelphia 76ers in a deal that was made official Wednesday. Considering their new lineup, Im betting the Clippers will have their hands full with a Pacers team off a 42 point diff beatdown of the LA Lakers last time out and suddenly on a 3 game win streak, after initially looking downtrodden,  when their leading scorer Victor Oladipo (knee) was lost for the season. Now feeling confident I expect the Pacers with momentum to come out here and lay down another beatdown on a LA team. I also know that the Clippers are supposed to have Gallinari back in the lineup tonight, but after a long lay off he is rusty, and far from being the kind of player that can carry a team on his back. With that said , its Pacers all the way here. The Clippers are 1-20-2 ATS on the road with rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 104-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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02-07-19 | Houston v. UCF +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
 Houston Cougars  have been on a tear this season  but tonight against a revenge minded UCF team Im betting they're in trouble.  Last season,  UCF had their proverbial butts kicked by a 84-56, count  in the first round of last year’s AAC tourney by the Cougars and UCF has had this game circled their calendar for a while now. Add to that  Houston is off a game with Temple  last time out  and are in a natural letdown situation and also are in a precarious  look ahead situation  with Cincinnati on deck.With UCF almost always playing their best hoops at home as is evident by a  36-8 SU record as hosts under HC Dawkins), the Knights look like solid underdogs in this spot. UCF is 7-0 ATS  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Play on UCF to cover |
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02-07-19 | Campbell v. High Point -1.5 | 56-57 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
High Point has won seven of the last eight matchups in this series vs Campbell and get the nod again behind a hard core rebound group that leads  the Big South Conference and is 12th in the nation with a rebounding margin of +7.8 rebounds per game. This tenacious High point squad have held a rebounding edge in 17 of their last 18 contests. There in close and physical inside style of play has seen the Panthers score 60.0 percent of their points from 2-point FG, the second-highest ratio in the nation. Im betting Tubby Smiths gritty take no prisoners style of hoops will put them in a positive situation here on their own home floor vs Campbell. Play on High Point to cover |
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02-06-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Kings | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston looks like a viable short favorite here vs a Sacramento Kings team that they matchup well against according to my system vs system analysis charts. Houston has won 3 of their L/4 visits here and gets the nod again. HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after a win in which they never trailed which was the case in Phoenix last time out.The Kings are 2-16 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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02-06-19 | Suns v. Jazz -15 | 88-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Its not very often lay this much lumber with an NBA game, but the truth is Phoenix is just a bad team, and their banged up and short handed as their  best player Devon Booker will be out the the lineup tonight as is forward Dragan Bender (thumb) is day-to-day, while forward T.J. Warren (ankle) is out until the All-Star break. After being humiliated by Houston in a 125-98 loss on Saturday you can bet the Jazz on extended rest will be ready to run here tonight and what Im betting will be an easy win and cover. PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg differential clicking in at around 15 ppg. The Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU as a 8+ favorite off a home game after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with all the wins coming by 15 points or more. Play on Utah to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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02-06-19 | Wisconsin -2 v. Minnesota | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has revenge on board for a loss thye suffered to Minnesota about a month ago at home, and will now be hell bent on getting even here. Minnesotas HC Richard Pitino has seen his team go just 1-7 /0-8 ATS L/8 in conference situation vs a avenging side like the Badgers. With that said, Im betting on a Badgers team that is 4-1 SU in conference road games this season to deliver the cash for us tonight. Wisconsin to cover |
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02-06-19 | Hornets v. Mavs -5.5 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas on 4 days rest behind their revamped line-up that will feature new additions, Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee from the New York Knicks (trade) will Im betting will be ready to roll in a big way here tonight vs a Charlotte team on tired legs after playing last night. The Hornets are 0-7 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 . NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-111 for a 61% conversion rate over the L/22 seasons. The Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS L/15 at home off a road game after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened 4 days ago in their Last outing vs Cleveland. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-06-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Nets | 130-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams enter this game a little banged up, and are looking forward to the all star break. Both teams have looked good this season, but Denver according to my power rankings is the superior side. It must be noted that his  Brooklyn team  is suddenly in a funk and on a 3 game losing streak and are pooched and in an emotional letdown spot after tangling with Milwaukee last time out, which makes them susceptible to being possibly upset here right in their own backyard. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the Nuggets. The Nets are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field and it is before the All-Star break and are 1-18-1 ATS / 1-19 SU  at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field. The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter which was the case in a defeat vs Detroit last time out on the road.The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU  when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field and it is before the All-Star break.  NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - sub par defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 99-147 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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02-06-19 | Texas A&M +9 v. Ole Miss | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Ole Miss after a quick start to their campaign are coming back down to earth and have lost 4 straight games, and 5 of their L/6 and  are wobbly favs at this time. I know Texas A&M do not inspire bettors in their current form, but its not like their incapable of pulling off upsets as was the case vs Alabama and Kansas State already this season . Also after playing against Tennessee last time out this will seem  like a proverbial walk in the park for the Aggies. note: A&M owns a 6-2 lead in the all-time series between the schools and has won each of the last three meetings. TEXAS A&M is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
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02-05-19 | San Diego State -1.5 v. New Mexico | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Aztecs  are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS  when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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02-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -2.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
These are two talented teams  Toronto and Philadelphia , but Im betting the home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. Add to that Raptors star Lowry is less than 100% and questionable and we have enough edge here vs some short chalk to consider this a value call. Note the home team has won the L/5 meetings in this series. PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS  in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons. The Seventysixers are 21-1 ATS /SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and won 12 Straight SU all by more than the spread here being asked.The Raptors are 4-18 ATS and 2-19 SU  as a road dog with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-110 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-05-19 | NC State +11 v. North Carolina | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.)  UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82. - NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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02-05-19 | Pittsburgh -2 v. Wake Forest | 76-78 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. Pittsburgh key advantage will come via  their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 %  shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has  a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS  versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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02-05-19 | Miami-OH v. Kent State -3.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
 Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win  in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO  in a matchup the  linesmakers once again expect to be close. KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kent State to cover |
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02-04-19 | Spurs -1.5 v. Kings | 112-127 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Sacramento is on a 7 game home winning streak, but all good and bad runs must come to end. Tonight Im betting the Kings winning streak comes to an abrupt end vs a  Spurs team in top form and off a win Saturday night that has them entering this tilt with the momentum of a  five-game  winning streak. San Antonio has thrived in the recent past against teams like the Kings. SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and is 20-9 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Add that the Spurs will be very motivated here as they seek revenge for a loss here back in December.  SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and is is 16-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. The Kings are 2-19 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.The Kings are  also 3-19 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  The Spurs are 16-1 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a home game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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02-04-19 | Southern Utah v. Idaho +4 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC). Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight  in revenge mode against a Southern Utah  team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling  and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset. Note:  Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference.  In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-04-19 | Pacers v. Pelicans +2 | 109-107 | Push | 0 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Indiana and New Orleans two teams playing without key players go head to head tonight in the Bayou. Indiana is without Victor Oladipo and New Orleans without the often injured Anthony Davis who is asking to be traded. Both are struggling to an extent without those key cogs, but Im betting the Pelicans have the edge here tonight at home as I really like how this team has played without Davis, staying competitive vs Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in the last two games and losing by an average of just 5.5 points.Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. New Orleans took both meetings last season and one more winner Im betting is on tonights agenda. The Pacers are 1-18 ATS/SU L/19 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened vs Miami last time out. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 68-117 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Indiana upset Miami last time out in Florida) NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-04-19 | Louisville +4 v. Virginia Tech | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that  has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-03-19 | New Hampshire +9.5 v. Maine | 53-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover. Play on New Hampshire to cover |
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02-02-19 | 76ers -3 v. Kings | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The lines-makers have valued this line based on a  Philadelphia 76ers win vs Golden State last time  as road dogs vs a Sacramento team on a 5 game home winning streak. The public and lines makers are expecting a letdown situation, but Im betting this 76ers team has matured enough to be ready to play tonight and could be even more energized by that win and bring some real swagger into this game.  The Kings are 0-17 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed by double digits. PHILADELPHIA is 33-11 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-02-19 | Alabama v. Auburn -9.5 | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
 This game has been circled Auburn’s  HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and  cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record.  Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-02-19 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +12 | 93-76 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
 These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M. TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. Texas A&M to cover |
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02-02-19 | UNLV +12 v. Utah State | 65-82 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
The public loves the home team ( Utah State) and Im going directly against the vast majority of the ticket holders here and taking a sharp money stance with the under appreciated road dog. UTAH ST is 15-28 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 season. CBB  Underdogs of 10 or more points (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 39-16 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UNLV to cover |
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02-02-19 | Kentucky v. Florida +4 | 65-54 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting the season 1-3 in SEC play, the Gators have won three straight conference games. They beat Georgia 62-52, Texas A&M and then Ole Miss. The Gators have won two straight and four of the last six against Kentucky in Gainesville. Florida won last year’s game 80-67 after spanking the Cats 88-66 in 2017. UK has a history of less than stellar performances here, andIm betting the Gators will make life difficult for them here again. In his fourth season at Florida, HC White is 3-3 against John Calipari and the Cats and knows how to play vs Caliparis system.  With that said, take the points. FLORIDA is 27-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games.FLORIDA is 79-52 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.Calipari is 39-56 ATS  in road games as the coach of KENTUCKY. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-02-19 | Akron +1.5 v. Ohio | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
If the University of Akron basketball team is to be in a position to make a run for an appearance in March Madness, the Zips will have to start by winning on the road and now today will come here primed to get such a win. The Zips are ranked 18th in the NCAA for scoring defense only allowing 62.8 points per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here in this MAC event. Note:The Zips have won 10 of the last 15 meetings in this series and will be in a double revenge mode and ready to snap a two game losing streak vs Ohio. OHIO U is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and OHIO U is also 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season and 3-10 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. HC Phillips of Ohio  is 2-12 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB team (AKRON) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games in are 56-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
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02-02-19 | Notre Dame +2 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
 Notre Dame has won 5 straight meetings in this series including the L/2 here at Boston College and have the edge again according to my power rankings. BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-19 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Notre Dame to cover |
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02-02-19 | Boston University +9.5 v. Colgate | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Looking to carry momentum from Wednesday's 14-point win against in-state rival Holy Cross I look for Boston University to come in here spitting bullets. I know their hosts the Raiders are riding a 12-game home win streak dating back to last season and are a perfect 8-0 this year but thanks to their positive trajectory the lines makers have over value them in this matchup giving us value with the road dog. I knowColgate claimed a 77-56 win at Case Gym back on Jan. 19 vs Boston U, but the Raiders only led, 47-43, at 13:47 in the second half and looked flustered at times. Play on Boston University to cover |
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02-02-19 | Kent State v. Ball State -4 | 83-80 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cardinals entered league play 9-4, and opened with a 15-point victory at Toledo. Since then they’ve dropped five of six, with four of those losses coming by six points or less and are now absolutely desperate for a win. Ball State is a team with multiple weapons, great size, great athleticism. They’re a few plays away from having their (MAC) record flipped and Im betting must be respected here in desperation mode. Senderoff is 36-51 ATS after playing a game as an underdog as the coach of KENT ST. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ball State to cover |
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02-01-19 | Michigan v. Iowa +4.5 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
 Before I make this recommendation , just let say I consider the Wolverines as one of the top 3 teams in the nation. Tonight however,  Iowa will be out their minds looking to make a mark in the Big 10, and at the same time  avenge three straight losses in this series , including a 77-71 loss in the opening round of the Big Ten tourney last season. The Hawkeyes are no pushovers and own a  12-4 ATS record at home in this series and have covered 6 of the L/8 overall meetings. With that said  look for this 5-returning starter Iowa  group  to come in to this tilt with a take no prisoners attitude in an attempt to slow down this behemoth opponent and grab what might seem like an impossible victory. Note: Hawkeyes HC Fran McCaffery has covered 20 of his L/30 as a home underdog and must be respected getting points in front of his own alumni. Play on Iowa to cover |
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01-31-19 | Gonzaga v. BYU +14.5 | 93-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs are currently first in the WCC standings at 6-0 while the Cougars are tied for second at 5-2.  In all their greatness Im betting Mark Fews Gonzaga will still feel the effects of this strong home venue vs BYU and  that they may not find the  sledding all that easy vs a hardworking group of Mormon hoops players. BYU is no pushover in front of their own alumni as their 129-9 SU record  would indicate when they own a  .760 win % or less at  home with HC Dave Rose on the sidelines.Rose is also 21-11 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of BYU. According to my line the Bulldogs should only be 10 point favs here on the road, thus giving us value on what Im estimating id a bloated line by close to 2 possessions. BYU is 15-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.  Play on BYU. to cover |
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01-31-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Spurs | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot. BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-31-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
 The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better  team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or better of their shots. Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic. MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks  and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101) NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. DALLAS is 4-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-31-19 | Drexel +5.5 v. William & Mary | 69-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
William Mary enters this game struggling and have lost 5 straight games and more importantly have failed to cover all 5 of those negative results. Meanwhile, Drexel has won 3 of their L/5 games and covered 4 of those games, and in their current form offer value on this line getting points. I know WM found a way to beat Drexel earlier this season, but Im betting Dragons come back breathing fire and are competitive here. Note:  Drexel won in Williamsburg for the third time in the last four trips, and it must be noted for four years in a row  that these teams have split the season series so I won't be surprised if the visitor not only notches a cover but a su victory. WM & MARY is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. WM & MARY is 0-6 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season. 607 Drexel to cover   |
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01-31-19 | Purdue v. Penn State +7 | 99-90 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Purdue now with a huge target on their backs as they come off a enormous upset win vs Michigan State last time out, will now be in a natural letdown situation vs a viable home underdog in Penn State. I know the Nittany Lions in their current form ( 7 straight losses), do not inspire bettors but, here in the Big 10 the talent levels are fairly comparable , and it should not surprise anyone if Penn State is competitive this evening on their own home court. It must also be noted that Penn State has revenge on board for a Conference tourney loss to Purdue last season and will be extremely motivated to pull off an upset of their own vs a side that is just 3-6 SU on the road this season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus struggling shooting teams - making 42%  or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons.Painter is 24-37 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Wolves -5.5 | 97-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves  with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies  back on Nov 18 at home, will  now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a  team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver.  Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \ Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.The Grizzlies 0-10  SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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01-30-19 | Indiana -2 v. Rutgers | 58-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
 Indiana is in the worst kind of shape losing 6 straight  and have completely gone into a tailspin after a  inspired  12-2 start to their campaign.Archie Miller needs this game badly and has enough talent to upend a Rutgers program that despite of a surprising 2 game win streak are still mired in  a long term Big 10  slump as the Knights  have lost 36 of his 44 Conference games , and have lost 6 straight vs teams with revenge like Indiana (  Hoosiers lost 76-69  in the Conference tourney last season). Rutgers is just 2-10 SU vs avenging conference opposition and 0-4 SUATS at home. I know Indiana is flawed team, but if they an be aggressive offensively tonight form the get go, against a Rutgers team that needs top defensive efforts to get wins the desperate visitors will get a results they badly need. Im betting they do exactly that. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-29-19 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +10 | 87-52 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Kentucky is off a hard fought affair with Kanas this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot. going into this road game against Vanderbilt. Thats not a good omen as this UK Hoops program is just  0-4 ATS after battling with the Jayhawks.With Vandy in revenge mode for a  74-67 loss in Lexington earlier this month ,  Im betting on them being pumped to get even and pull off the upset in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that the Commodores are  7-0  L/7 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge and have split this series here in Nashville going 6-6 SU L/12 meetings here.VANDERBILT is 57-36 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Calipari is 9-23 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached and is 4-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Vanderbilt |
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01-29-19 | Pittsburgh +9 v. Clemson | 69-82 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at 12-8 this season are up trending, and all ready have shown a great deal of progress under the tutelage of former Duke assistant Jeff Capel as was the case earlier this season when they notched wins vs Louisville and Florida State and barley lost to NC State. The Panthers new found ability to play tough man to man D, will aid them here vs a Clemson team that is in an emotional letdown spot after blowing a 5 point lead and losing with under a minute to play last time out vs NC State, thanks to missing four straight charity stripe conversions and four FG attempts. Both these teams need wins, and Im expecting/betting on a spirited effort tonight with the points proving to be golden.  CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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01-29-19 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Rockets | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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01-29-19 | Bucks -6.5 v. Pistons | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out,  and will be out looking for  redemption  and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a  121-98 on New Year's Day  beat down. It must be noted that the   Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-29-19 | Ball State +11.5 v. Buffalo | 59-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Ball State (11-9, 2-5) has lost five of its last six games, all against conference foes and are now being made DD underdogs here on the road vs a ranked team. However the Cardinal have been very competitive and only once in their L/7 games have they lost by more than 9 points with the average point differential clicking in at 5.7 ppg. I know how explosive Buffalo is but they have a big target on their backs after getting so many early season accolades, and have had endure all efforts by their MAC opponents which has started to wear on them. It must also be noted that the Bulls are off a hard fought battle at Kent State and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a hard working never say die team desperate for wins. This also falls into a long term betting against the public perimeter based trend I use on occasion when it present itself that has returned a 33% ROI since the 2006 season . It does not always win, but more often then not we cash, ( 68%) . Since Im always looking for a long term edge, this situation makes for a viable investment wagering option. Also CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BUFFALO) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite. are just 24-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on the Ball State to cover |
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01-29-19 | Virginia v. NC State +7.5 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
 N.C. State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup after recouping from a back injury and must be respected as home underdogs despite of going against a behemoth opponent in Virginia. Also the Wolfpack's versatility creates issues when vs any defensive game plans, yes even that of the Cavaliers as Six N.C. State players have led the team in scoring this season. Look for N.C States ability to mix and match and provide different looks to make Virginia look somewhat human here in this matchup. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better). are 16-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( Virginia destroyed NotreDame last time out by DDs, and have exerted alot of energy in back to back games vs the Irish and previous to that Duke making them possible letdown favs here. Play on NC State to cover |
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01-28-19 | Hawks +7 v. Clippers | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers  are  0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs  .550  or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
 Baylor brings a 4-game winning streak into its  at Oklahoma. BU is coming off a 73-68 win over Alabama, improving to 5-1 in Big 12/SEC Challenge history.Baylor finished 9-4 in non-conference play, with marquee wins at Arizona, vs. Oregon and vs. Alabama and must not be underestimated in their ability compete here and even pull off a SU upset. Note: Baylor is 32-34 in Big 12 road games since 2012, second-best in the league behind only Kansas (43-23). OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in January games this season. Baylor has won 2 straight meetings here and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings SU.BU's last 3 trips to Norman include a 2-point loss in 2016, a 26-point win in 2017 and a 2-point loss in 2018. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-28-19 | Nets +10.5 v. Celtics | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors.  The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent. BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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01-28-19 | Bethune-Cookman -2.5 v. Coppin State | 91-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Bethune Cookman 'Cats lead the MEAC in defensive rebounding average (27.9), rebounding average (40.76), FG defense (40.8%), and 3pt defense (29.5%). BCU is second in rebound margin (+2.7), and offensive boards (12.84) and according to my numbers should be 4.5 point road chalk here thus we are getting a value line here to bet into vs a Coppin State side that they beat both times they met them last season. Play on Bethune Cookman to cover |
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01-28-19 | North Carolina Central -2.5 v. Savannah State | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
I have made this line at -5.5 for North Carolina Central (9-10 overall), thus we are getting old value with the road team according to my projections.NCCU has shot over 50 percent from the floor seven times this season. Meanwhile,Savannah State  4-14 overall is currently 1-3 in MEAC play heading into the weekend, but lead the league in three-pointers made per contest with 11.7 and live and die with their downtown shots, leading the conference in Treys. But tonight against a NCCU team that can light the board up from all over the court Im betting they're in trouble. Play on North Carolina Central to cover |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers +9 | 132-100 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game  run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected  home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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01-27-19 | North Alabama +13 v. NJIT | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
NJIT will face ASUN newcomers North Alabama for the second time this year. Take the Points wth North Alabama to cover |
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01-27-19 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Villanova | 52-80 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Seton Hall after pulling off wins vs Kentucky and Maryland earlier this season, have been suddenly struggling for wins losing 4 of their L/5 despite of being highly competitive with the average point diff  of those 4 losses clicking in at 4.5 ppg.  Every loss they have suffered this season besides two were within five points, and they lost four by just four points .  Villanova is showing us that they are once again a good NCAA tourney bet, and despite of the off season departures, must be respected. However, with that said, Seton Hall is not an easy out, and are desperate for wins and will leave everything on the floor today in what Im betting will be a cover for them and their backers. Look for Myles Powell who is averaging  22.2 points per game,  and hitting 45.3% of his shots to be a key catalyst for the  Hall here in a cover effort. SETON HALL is 23-8 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and is s 11-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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01-26-19 | San Francisco -2.5 v. San Diego | 63-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
San Francisco at 17-3 are proving they are a side that needs to be respected when laying short lumber. I know San Diego is feisty hard working team, but are outgunned by a team on a 3 game win streak , especially if  Olin Carter III is not playing or less than 100% which he is reported as he suffers with a ( Abdominal ) injury. FRANCISCO is 14-3 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 53-22 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. SF to cover |
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