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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-18 | NC-Wilmington +12 v. Georgia State | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Seahawks, 4-7, visit former Colonial Athletic Association rival Georgia State, 7-4. The Seahawks has lost three in a row to high-profile opponents, including last Saturday's setback at nationally-ranked Furman. But those games will have them ready to compete here vs this type of versatile opponent in Georgia State. Take the points herewith the NC Wilmington |
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12-18-18 | South Dakota State v. Eastern Washington +7.5 | 74-64 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Eastern Washington hosts a strong Jackrabbits team that are 9-4 following last Saturday's 72-68 loss at unbeaten Nevada (11-0). Im betting after that hard fought loss that South Dakota State will be a in natural letdown situation, vs a struggling team that Im sure their overlooking. E WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread Play on E.Washington to cover |
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12-18-18 | Chattanooga v. Tennessee-Martin -5 | 72-75 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
UT Chatanooga enter this game off a 20 point loss to Mississippi last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot after playing a superior SEC team that Im sure they were pumped to play against. In the past when Chat has been blown out they have not faired well in their followup as is evident by going just 0-10 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 0-8 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. UT Martin is a perfect 4-0 at home during the 2018-19 campaign and get the nod again to win and more importantly cover in this spot behind a lineup that boast six players who average double-figures in the scoring column while six different UT Martin players have led the team in scoring through the season's first eight games. Play UT Martin to cover |
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12-18-18 | Evansville v. Murray State -14.5 | 64-66 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers (7-1) look to extend their 13-game home winning streak when they welcome the Evansville Purple Aces (5-5) into the CFSB Center. I know we have to lay DDs here with the Racers, but they have this line right, and actually short on it in my humble opinion.The Racers lead the OVC in blocked shots (5.9 per game), field goal percentage defense (.351, which is second in all of NCAA D-I), 3-point percentage defense (.205, first in the nation) and scoring defense (56.5ppg, fifth in the country). Last week in wins over Southern Illinois and Jackson State, the Racers only gave up seven 3-pointers in 80 minutes of basketball. Domination is the name of the game here tonight at home in front of their own alumni. Play on the Murray State to cover |
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12-18-18 | Wizards v. Hawks +3.5 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Washingtons been harping on playing better D , and they acquired two way stalwart Trevor Ariza to help them out in that department. However, for now Im betting it will take their own flow away and hinder them more than help at least for now. I know Atlanta does not inspire bettors, but this young team has endless energy and can grind away at an opponent with non stop energizer bunny type of hoops. With that said, Im betting on Atlanta covering here tonight, vs a Washington team that has played its absolute worst hoops on the road this season where they are 4-12 SU/ATS. WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season and is 0-9 ATS in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season is 0-8 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. ( Beat LAL 125-110 last time out). WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more of their shots are 1-10 SU this season. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-18-18 | Bradley +5 v. Georgia Southern | 74-79 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, and both have looked a little tepid in their play of late. But according to my power rankings they matchup very well against each other in a game that could easily be a pickem. BU has lost 3-of-4 after a 6-1 start and is 7-4 during the 2018-19 season with a 1-2 road record. The Braves did win their last road game with a 68-62 victory at Little Rock on Dec. 4. Meanwhile, Georgia Southern enters the game with a 7-3 record in 2018-19. The Eagles have lost three of their last five after a 5-0 start. The last time these teams mets Bradley held a Eagles team that was averaging 83.5 points per game to just 57 in a five-point victory. Right now Georgia Southern run and guns just the opposite of the Braves, averaging 89.7 points per game but allowing 76.7. In 11 games, the Braves have learned they will only go as far as their defense takes them.In its seven wins, Bradley is allowing only 61.4 points per game. That what Im betting on here being key to us getting the cover. DEFENCE. Just like ion last seasons victory. Bradley is 15-8 all-time against current members of the Sun Belt Conference. Take the points with Bradley to cover |
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12-18-18 | Xavier -2.5 v. Missouri | 56-71 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Xavier, 7-4, is coming off a 95-77 win over Eastern Kentucky on Saturday at Cintas Center. Xavier shot 71.4 percent (35-of-49) from the field, the highest single-game effort by any team in the nation so far this season and roll in this game with a fullhead of steam and momentum on their sides here in Missouri Tuesday night. Xavier has had faired well against current teams in the Southeastern Conference despite its 88-79 overtime loss to No. 8 Auburn on Nov. 19 at the Maui Invitational. XU is 19-6 in its last 25 games against nine different current SEC members dating back to 2008 and get the nod again in a positive matchup situation. MISSOURI is 6-20 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997. Play on Xavier to cover |
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12-18-18 | Drexel +14.5 v. Connecticut | 65-97 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Drexel enters the game averaging more than 82 points per contest, tops in the Colonial Athletic Association. All five starters average at least 10 points and are a dangerous side, even against a team like UConn that is over rated because of consistent wins vs mid major teams, but is still not back to being a national championship contender just yet . According to my projections we have alot of value here on a bloated DD line based on false assumptions. Play on Drexel to cover |
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12-17-18 | Ball State v. Valparaiso -1 | 77-61 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Valpo is off defeating George Washington in Washington, D.C. by an 82-79 final and have momentum entering this game. Note: Valpo enjoyed its second strong shooting performance in the last three games, hitting at a 53.6% clip (30-of-56) from the field. The two hoops programs have matched up nine times over the last 12 seasons, and Valpo has won the last five matchups on its home court against the Cardinals and get the nod again according to my power rankings and projections. Valpo posted a 10-4 record at home last year, its eighth consecutive season reaching double figures in home victories - Valpo has recorded a 60-9 (.870) mark in home games since the start of the 2014-15 season. - Over the last 23 years, Valpo owns a 295-65 (.819) record on its home court at the ARC. BALL ST is 1-8 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 25-62 ATS L/ 87 off a road loss by 10 points or more.BALL ST is 2-9 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. Play on Valparaiso to cover |
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12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Detroit's ended a six-game losing streak this past Saturday night by defeating the Boston' Celtics and ending their opponents eight-game winning streak with a 113-104 victory at Little Caesars Arena. With momentum on their sides, I now expect the Pistons to give the Bucks a team that has won 3 of their L/4 a fight for their money in their spot. Detroit is 3-1 SU l/4 at home in this series, and are 4-1 in division games this season! DETROIT is 13-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are 103-185 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% SU conversion rate foe bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-17-18 | Davidson v. Wake Forest +2 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Deacons after being off for 10 days for exams are fresh and ready to play a Davidson team Monday night that should rank as the best team Wake Forest has played this season.Before the break in a DD win, Wake Forest held Charlotte to a 3-for-18 clip from beyond the arc, a season-best in 3s made and in percentage allowed (16.7 percent). Davidson is a trey heavy group , with 47.6 percent of its shots coming from behind the arc. Im betting the Deacons ability to limit them will the difference maker here this evening. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DAVIDSON) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 12-40 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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12-16-18 | Raptors v. Nuggets +3 | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury, and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-16-18 | Heat +7 v. Pelicans | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
I'll start off by saying that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts. Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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12-16-18 | Pacific -4.5 v. CS-Northridge | 79-77 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
CSUN is coming off of a ugly loss at San Diego, which halted a two game win streak for the Matadors.They are 3-6 overall, which includes a 1-3 home record. Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Pacific team on a 3 game winning streak. The Tigers are 23-6 all-time, 8-4 on the road against the Matadors.Pacific holds a 4-0 record in its last four meetings with CSUN. Dorsey currently leads Pacific in points per game (14.0), converting on 44.5 percent from the floor and a WCC-leading 95.8 percent effort from the free throw line. He has only missed two free throws all season (46-48) and has made 21 straight from the stripe. He will be the difference maker today for Pacific in what Im betting is a win and cover . -NORTHRIDGE is 9-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and 6-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons and also just and just 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 3 seasons.CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 1-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 9.8 ppg. Play on Pacific to cover |
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12-15-18 | LSU v. St. Mary's +3.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
at T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, NV After losing to No. 24 Houston in its last outing, the LSU has to adjust to a aa different style of play here tonight vs St.Mary's.(Saint Mary’s) runs a European-style offense, as they use alot of guard screen action, with a lot of different cutting actions. Im betting this poses some problem for the Tigers.Ford, the Gaels’ leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, is hitting 51.5 percent from the field and makes 44.0 percent of his shots from beyond the 3-point arc and will be key here.As a team, Saint Mary’s is connecting on 49.7 of its field-goal attempts and shoots 39.1 percent from 3-point range. Bottom line, this is a tough turnaround situation for LSU after playing Houston, and a slow start here could doom them here, or at least give us a very viable opportunity for us to get a cover here. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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12-15-18 | USC v. Oklahoma -8.5 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sooners enter this game against USC with a 8-1 start all out of conference wins, using defence rather than offence to get the job sone. The Sooners are coming off one of their best defensive performances in recent seasons , holding Wichita State to 48 points on 15-of-62 (.242) shooting their last time out, and has held its opponent to 60 or fewer points four of its last six games and are well prepared to face the Trojans are with momentum on their sides. Oklahoma’s defense has been especially dominate late in the game. In OU’s eight victories, its opposition are shooting a combined 30.1 percent (20.5 percent from 3) in the last 15 minutes of the game, giving me confidence in the Sooners ability to finish this tilt strong and get us the cover .The Sooners are 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents during the Lon Kruger era and they get the nod again and im more importantly the cover. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS as a favorite this season with he point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg this season. HC Enfield is 1-8 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of US and is 10-21 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) as the coach of USC with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.6 ppg. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Illinois +13.5 v. Bradley | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois currently in top form looks to win its third straight game as the Panthers visit Bradley. The Braves 7-3 might have a winning record, but Im not overly impressed by them , and according to my projections are being over rated by the linesmakers here on the opening line. Bradley stopped a two game losing streak to Arkansas LR last time out, but had to come from behind to do it. Note: BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half and is just 3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Eastern Illinois to cover |
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12-15-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Pistons | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics . BOSTON is also 12-1 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double revenge . DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-15-18 | Indiana v. Butler | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
at Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN On Saturday, Butler (7-2) takes on No. 25 Indiana (8-2) in the Crossroads Classic. This seasons Indiana team is much better than last years team and have already notched 4 top 50 kenpom victories. They have three straight victories over quality competition, and have a lot to prove here, on a national stage and Im betting they're up to it. Im also betting the difference will come at the charity stripe. Hey I know the Hoosiers have been highly inconsistent with their Its , but they still own a top-80 free throw rate despite making just 63.6 percent of their freebies. Meanwhile, Butler is ranked in the 260s in both offensive and defensive free throw rate. Look for Indiana to convert a fairly high percentage of the free throws and snatch a superior advantage at the charity stripe. BUTLER is 1-8 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and is 4-12 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) over the last 2 seasons. Butler's had an explosive performance at home last time out, with 95-68 rout of visiting Northern Illinois on Dec. 8. , but a regression should be expected bossed on recent top their efforts as they are 1-10 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is also 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons and is 0-8 ATS in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog vs. the money line (BUTLER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 4-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-14-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +2 | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98 as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-14-18 | Pacers +4 v. 76ers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east. INDIANA is 9-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 0-13 ATS and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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12-14-18 | Illinois-Chicago +9.5 v. DePaul | 70-90 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
UIC will play a road game in essentially their own neighbour hood when the Flames travel less than three miles to take on the DePaul Blue Demons .The Flames won as guests at McGrath-Phillips Arena in Lincoln Park on Dec. 14, 2016, 80-75 and must not be underestimated tonight. UIC has already beaten instate rivals Bradley (Nov. 17) and Illinois State (Dec. 5) earlier this season at Credit Union 1 Arena.The Cardinals have not played since Dec. 9 at LSU and will be on fresh legs here and very ready to compete. IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | 111-126 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense, has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded a 101.4 defensive rating , ranked third in the NBA . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall approach. Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers |
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12-12-18 | LSU +4.5 v. Houston | 76-82 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
The Tigers are 7-2 after a 91-50 home win over Incarnate Word, while Houston comes in 8-0 after a 63-53 road win over Oklahoma State. The pundits look like their in love with the Cougars, and Im not doubting how good of a team they have, Im just betting this line is bloated and will be bet down by sharp money quickly and Im on board. Note: Houston’s strength of schedule is currently ranked 350th out of 353 teams in Division I. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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12-12-18 | Portland State +16.5 v. BYU | 66-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Portland State is 4-1 under HC Barret Peery dating back to last season vs West Coast Conference. BYU 7-4 on the season, is a tough place to play, for visiting sides, and I doubt that the Vikings can win out right here, but catching this many points is good value considering my projections make this a 9.5 true value point spread. PORTLAND ST is 15-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND ST is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. BYU is 1-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Portland State to cover |
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12-12-18 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted . Especially at home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence. Milwaukee took out the Pacers back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. Indiana to cover |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers +4 | 123-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now as they are scoring just 105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | 103-111 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-11-18 | Georgia Southern +12.5 v. UCF | 88-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Both these teams have played competitive basketball this season, via two contrasting styles. The Eagles (5-2 against the spread) shot 38.5% on 3s in their latest win over Mercer last time out. Im always on the quest for hot behind the arc shooting teams when Im looking for a DD cover, and they fit the bill. According to my line projections this line should be closer to 9 point favourites, and offers us value with the visiting dog. Play on G.Southern to cover |
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12-10-18 | Long Beach State +6 v. Pacific | 68-74 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season . I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. Play on Long Beach St to cover |
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12-10-18 | Kings -2.5 v. Bulls | 108-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State +13 v. Marshall | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less . Play on Morehead State to cover |
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12-09-18 | Hornets v. Knicks +6 | 119-107 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 here at home in MSG. Play NY Knicks to cover |
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12-09-18 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | 97-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note: The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win. I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg. NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-09-18 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon +12.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
at Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ Nevada (9-0) is off to its best start in school history and is currently 5-0 during a six-game road trip, with 25 days between home games. Thanks to this big time start, they are being made hefty DD chalk in a neutral court environment.But the 5-3 Antelopes, who are coached by Dan Majerle, who spent a good portion of his professional career in the Valley of Sun must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number and be fairly competitive vs a behemoth side.In two of their losses, Grand Canyon let a late lead slip away against Seton Hall and a slow start saw them lose to Utah despite of not looking out of place and at times dominated that game. Since those two losses, however they have won two straight, defeating LaSalle and Boise State and come in here with momentum. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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12-09-18 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Pistons | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging 30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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12-09-18 | VMI +5 v. Chattanooga | 65-83 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here. Play on VMI to cover |
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12-08-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-08-18 | CS Bakersfield -1 v. Idaho | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again. Bakersfield to cover |
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12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -2 | 111-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies, played no one more than 35 minutes and took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-08-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +3 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle 10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-08-18 | Illinois-Chicago +11.5 v. Colorado | 72-84 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-08-18 | Tulane +2 v. South Alabama | 60-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The South Alabama Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane Green Wave who currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team. Play on Tulane to cover |
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12-08-18 | Tennessee-Martin v. East Tennessee State -14 | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg. Play on ETSU to cover |
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12-08-18 | Rutgers -7.5 v. Fordham | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting. FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-08-18 | Louisville +6 v. Indiana | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana. Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets there or drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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12-08-18 | Western Michigan -2.5 v. Youngstown State | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage. ST is 5-13 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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12-08-18 | UNLV +8.5 v. Illinois | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a feisty non conference foe. ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again. Play on UNLV |
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12-08-18 | St. Joe's +11.5 v. Villanova | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. Play on St.Joes to cover |
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12-07-18 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -4 | 68-66 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that. The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again. IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines. The Bulls have now lost seven straight and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road, in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons +2.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Note: Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. 76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz -2 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to the hardwood and Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their last six games and converted on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall. Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season are 69-115 ATS for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-05-18 | Spurs +8.5 v. Lakers | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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12-05-18 | Temple +10 v. Villanova | 59-69 | Push | 0 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS in road games in non-conference games. Temple to cover |
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12-05-18 | Mavs +6.5 v. Pelicans | 106-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-05-18 | St. Louis +3 v. Southern Illinois | 56-61 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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12-05-18 | Bowling Green -3 v. Cleveland State | 64-82 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk. BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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12-05-18 | Ohio State v. Illinois +5.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Illinois to cover |
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12-05-18 | Western Illinois -6 v. Stetson | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Western Illinois to cover |
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12-04-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Jazz | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio came out of a lethargic state last time out by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note: NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-04-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +7 | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
No.5 Michigan, who comes into Welsh-Ryan Arena with an 8-0 record is getting some huge accolades from the media pundits, but according to my power rankings line adjustment variables, are slightly bloated favs here, thus giving us value with a viable home underdog in a conference tilt, that has the makings of a hard fought affair. Northwestern 6-2 lost to Indiana 68-66 last time out on the road, and more than capable of making a game of this this evening.NORTHWESTERN is 17-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival . Northwestern has won and covered the L/3 games in this series at home. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-04-18 | Bradley -4 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Bradley, took last seasons meeting with a dominant 86-46 home win. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-15 ATS in all home games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BRADLEY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Bradley to cover |
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12-03-18 | Rutgers +13 v. Wisconsin | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Badgers (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten Conference), host Rutgers in their Big Ten home opener in Madison, Wis. on Monday night. The Scarlet Knights (5-2, 0-1) gave No. 9 Michigan State a tough battle, last time out but eventually fell 78-67 on Friday to the Spartans in Piscataway, N.J and are looking like an improved hoops program right now behind,junior forward Eugene Omoruyi who scored 13 points in that game.Omoruyi, who has four double-doubles this season, has averaged 15.1 points per game and 9.1 rebounds, and his side kick sophomore point guard Geo Baker contributes 14.6 points per game,.Rutgers snatched the most recent game in this series, a 64-60 win last January in Piscataway and will Im betting hang tough again. RUTGERS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-03-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +11 | 128-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half. GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +1 | 110-83 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. CITY is 7-20 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-02-18 | Blazers +1 v. Spurs | 118-131 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Alot has changed in San Antonio, as they are now showing a lot of defensive holes and deficiencies. Popovich's team has seen the last two opponents combine to make 40 3-pointers in 95 attempts and they are off a ugly 128-89 loss to the Minnesota Wolves last time out. Im betting their fortunes wont get much better tonight vs a Portland side, that shot 53.6 percent while defeating the Spurs 121-108 at home on Oct. 20, showing their ability to matchup well vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs need to desperately bounce back, but like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones have said before, You don't always get what you want. PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are a red hot 9-1 L/10 behind a balanced team effort, but their hosts Dallas are more than capable of cooling them off. I know the Mavs looked tired last time out, in a 114-103 road loss to the Lakers but now home again and on a couple of days rest should be more than ready to run and gun with the Clippers tonight, and notch a win and cover for us in this spot. DALLAS is 18-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and over have covered 11 of their L/16 and have played their best basketball at home where they sport a 8-2 SU/ATS record. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mavericks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Mavericks are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. DALLAS is 29-13 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 128-101 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DALLAS. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-01-18 | Western Illinois v. SE Missouri State +1 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Redhawks won three of the last four meetings between these teams and goes after their third-straight victory in the series Saturday. Southeast Missouri won four of its last five games and enter the game with momentum on their sides.Southeast Missouri enters the weekend ranked 15th in the nation in 3-point field goal percentage defense. Opponents are shooting 25.9 percent against the Redhawks from behind the arc. The Redhawks rank second in the Ohio Valley Conference behind Murray State (17.6 percent) in that category.My power rankings suggest SE Missouri State is the superior team here in this battle Western Illinois and gets my support. SE MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. South East Missouri State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The Pistons have won four straight, all at home and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs the Golden State Warriors here tonight even though previously injured Seth Curry is expected to return to the lineup for the Warriors. DETROIT is 10-2 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-53 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-01-18 | Nets +7 v. Wizards | 88-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Washington looked lifeless last night in a blowout loss to the Sixers as they shot 40.2 percent (37 of 92) from the field, including 8 of 28 (28.6 percent) from 3-point range . Now on tired legs the Wizards of OZ come back to face a hard working Brooklyn team, that despite of also playing last night after taking Memphis to Double OT are better conditioned than the Wizards, and consistently show more fight. BROOKLYN is 30-17 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 14-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 27-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Nets to cover |
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12-01-18 | Penn State +6.5 v. Maryland | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Maryland is a strong team ranked 24th in the nation at this time, but Penn State are no pushovers, ranking 46th in the NCAA statistics for scoring defence allowing only 64.2 points per game, and 25th in 3-pt. field goal defence (27.3%). Im betting it will be their defence that will be the difference maker here that will get us the cover. PENN ST is 70-48 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents .PENN ST is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season. PENN ST is 7-0 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 season.PENN ST is 8-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.( Penn St beat VTech last time out 63-62) All six of the Big Ten Conference meetings between Penn State and Maryland have been decided by six points or less and Im betting nothing changes here. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Mercer -1.5 v. The Citadel | 69-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (THE CITADEL) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 30-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MERCER is 4-0 straight up against THE CITADEL since 1997 Play on Mercer to cover ( Late Steam) |
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11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2 | 113-112 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver has been playing some very good hoops of late, winning 4 straight ,but the Trail Blazers at home are no pushovers, going 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Trail Blazers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest. They come into this game off a close win vs Orlando last time out ending a 3 game losing streak, which is a good thing as they are 8-0 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is also 14-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 21-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PORTLAND) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more re 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-30-18 | Mavs v. Lakers -3 | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are 2-7 SU on the road this season and will be trying for their first two-game winning streak on the same road trip since going 3-0 against the Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder from Dec. 27-31, 2017. Im betting they don't get it , and that they also fail to cover .With that a said, Im expecting for the the Lakers to use the 104-96 win against the visiting Indiana Pacers on Thursday night as a confidence and momentum builder heading in this tilt. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdogs are 1-36 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors witht he average margin point differential coming by 10.7 ppg. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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11-30-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -1.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This will be Utahs 4th game in 6 nights, and Im betting their on tired legs vs a side that can run the hell out of opponents, behind the 6th ranked offence. Charlotte is 8-3 at the Spectrum Center this season and have won four straight over Utah at home and get the nod again here on a short chalk line. From a SRS perspective: Utah is ranked 18th at -1.80 while, Charlotte is ranked 7th with a 3.80 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are just 3-24 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-30-18 | Appalachian State -1.5 v. East Carolina | 81-83 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
App State stands at 2-4 on the season and is averaging 86.6 points per game, which sits 22nd in the country. The Black and Gold are also shooting 43.0 percent from deep, which ranks 14th in the nation. Im betting their fire power propels them past E.Carolina today.
APPALACHIAN ST is 12-2 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 season.E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are just 189-290 ATS L/21 seasons for a 60% go against conversion rate. 729 Appalachian State to cover |
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11-30-18 | Duquesne +5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 53-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
at PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Duquesne, off to a 4-1 start under second-year head coach Keith Dambrot, makes the one-block trek to play their neighbourhood rivals at the PPG Paints Arena as they go head to head with Pitt (6-1) in the 87th version of the City Game on Friday.The Dukes own a balanced attack as is evident by five players having either led or tied for the team lead in scoring in DU's first five games. That balance will keep them in this game and get us the cover. Duquesne to cover |
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11-30-18 | Delaware -10.5 v. Maryland-Eastern Shore | 71-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Delaware has a very talented recruiting class, that will get better as the season progresses. One key cog is Anderson, who never lost a regular season or district game during his high school career at St. John Neumann. This kids a winner, and a floor general and brings a attitude to this team that is hard to come by. Yes, he is coming off a season ending injury last season, but he's fresher than ever and a real treat to watch.The team is off to a 5-2 start this season and Anderson is certainly doing his part. He currently leads the Blue Hens with 29 assists and nine steals while ranking second by averaging 13.4 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. Look for him to lead te way today vs anover match Eastern Shore program. |
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11-29-18 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 133-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings make the LA Clippers the superior side in this matchup even though they are in the visitors role. The Clippers have won 11 straight games in this series and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Yes, I know the Clippers are playing back to backs , but after not exerting much energy in a 115-99 DD victory vs the Suns last night, they have more than enough left in the tank to dispose of the Kings. |
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11-29-18 | California Baptist -1.5 v. UC Riverside | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Riverside,Highlanders prepare to host a dangerous opponent (California Baptist University) (CBU) in the Crosstown Showdown. The Lancers are in the midst of their inaugural season at the NCAA DI level and hungry to compete and will be sky high here and very prepared to take down a team that plays in their own back yard.CBU comes into Thursday's matchup with an overall record of 2-4 SU as the Lancers have dropped four straight after opening up the season 2-0. Nearly all of the team's games have been close losing by three points or less to both Tulsa and Howard, and falling to Arkansas Pin Bluff in Triple OT.The Highlanders are primo from downtown this season as their .350 3pt shooting percentage ranks 3rd in the Big West and eight different players have hit from the land of the trey. Their 3pt defence also ranks 3rd allowing opponents to shoot just .276. That will be the difference maker her tonight. Play on California Baptist to cover |
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11-29-18 | UAB -15.5 v. Alabama A&M | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
UAB (4-2) will be carrying some momentum into the Rocket City after defeating Canisius, 68-58, to close out the AdvoCare Invitational in Orlando. The Blazers have relied on their defense to keep opponents down which ranks 71st in the NCAA and 4th in C-USA in scoring defense, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Additionally, the Blazers rank 56th in the nation in turnovers forced (16.67) and 64th in steals per game (8.2).Rebounding has been another big time component of the team's game, out-rebounding its opponents by a margin of 6.5, good for 61st in the NCAA. The Blazers have also been good on the offensive glass with 15.0 boards per contest, ranked 31st nationally and Im betting this will be key difference maker tonight. Note> The Blazers are a over powering 11-0 all-time against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, with the last meeting coming last season, a 90-58 victory for UAB, in the BHM Jam. The Blazers are also a dominating 53-0 all-time against opponents from the SWAC, including a 9-0 mark under head coach Robert Ehsan. UAB-15.5 to cover |
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11-29-18 | Florida A&M +14.5 v. North Florida | 62-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Florida A&M to cover |
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11-29-18 | Marist -1.5 v. Dartmouth | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
Dartmouth (3-3) l is a up-tempo team, while Marist (1-4) plays a more physical slow down brand of hoops. Dartmouth can launch threes and score in bunches, but the Foxes are not easily scored on, and behind one of the lowest paces in all of college hoops and mess with the flow of a team like Big Green. Despite of the Foxes negative record they must be respected as three of those losses were by single-digits . It must also be mentioned that pundits believe this will be a mid to upper tier team Marist this year and they get my support here today. Neutral Court underdogs vs. the money line (DARTMOUTH) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 5-51 SU L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. MARIST is 32-16 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. Play on Marist to win cover |
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11-28-18 | Missouri State -1.5 v. Air Force | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Missouri State Bears have gotten to the free throw line 20 times or more in four of their first six games and Im betting that will be the difference maker here tonight vs Air Force . Charity stripe action gives us an edge. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSOURI ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri State to cover |
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11-28-18 | Monmouth v. Kentucky -24 | 44-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My own projections make Kentucky 29+ point favourites vs 0-7 Monmouth, thus giving us value with laying 24 points here . Monmouth have lost 6 of their 7 games this season, by DDs, and are very over matched according to my power rankings, with a less than 40% chances for a cover. HC Calipari of the Wildcats has also made sure his team is not overlooking their opponents tonight. QUOTE:“They have nothing to lose,” Calipari said of a Monmouth team who played a close game with West Virginia just a few weeks ago. “They play fast; they play around their post player.” END QUOTE:Calipari went on to say if the Cats don’t play defense, Monmouth could beat them. The HC has been pretty livid about the Wildcats lack of D, lately and wants them to step up. Look for a complete performance and a cover by Kentucky. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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11-28-18 | BYU -2.5 v. Illinois State | 89-92 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
BYU had a 5 game win streak end against Houston last time out, and will now be ready to bounce back vs Illinois State. BYU has held five of its seven opponents to 40 percent shooting or lower. For the season, BYU opponents are shooting 38.8 percent, top 50 in the NCAA.Through seven games, BYU is one of the top ball control teams in the country. The Cougars are No. 7 in the nation in turnovers at 8.9 per game and are No. 3 in assist to turnover ratio at 1.98:1. After averaging 11.7 turnovers in the first three games, BYU has averaged just 6.8 turnovers over the last four games Last Meeting: BYU won 80-68, 12/6/17Im betting on them again here as my power rankings makes them 4.5 favs here, which is value compared to this line. Play on BYU to cover |
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11-28-18 | UMKC v. South Dakota State -16.5 | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart South Dakota State to cover |
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11-28-18 | Jazz v. Nets +4 | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Utah's been struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 and now on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im betting the Jazz will once again have a hard time getting by a under rated Brooklyn side that is fairly well rested and playing at home . Note: UTAH is 17-33 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. BROOKLYN I know the Nets do not inspire bettors, but from a matchup perspective according to my power rankings have an edge here on this side number. Brooklyn is 21-9 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 4-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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11-28-18 | Liberty -7 v. Navy | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Liberty to cover |
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11-27-18 | Texas-Arlington +11.5 v. Tulsa | 58-72 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Both UTA and TU will be looking to stop two-game losing streaks as the Mavericks are coming off setbacks at Indiana and Arkansas – both teams receiving votes in the national polls and battle hardened and ready to compete here.UTA has posted some solid early-season showings as the revamped Mavs already own victories over perennially-strong mid-major Northern Iowa and a UC Davis team which returns four starters from a Big West Regular Season Championship and NIT appearance and more than capable of hanging around here and cashing a ticket. TX-ARLINGTON is 15-5 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game and is 22-11 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 527 Texas Arlington to cover Texas Arlington to cover |
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11-27-18 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Indiana is in top form and are off clobbering back to back opponents, and Im betting they still have enough left in the tank to get by a young Phoenix team that despite of flashing some brilliance on occasion still don't know how to win consistently. This is not a good matchup for the home side Suns. PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 season with a average point differential off 11+ ppg. LATE STEAM NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.6 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-27-18 | NC State +8 v. Wisconsin | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
North Carolina State with a perfect 6-0 record looks to have a fine team this season, but many don't believe they are a viable option here vs a power-conference team like Wisconsin playing on the road. However, Wisconsin's schedule heats up after tonight, with the Badgers probably looking ahead to a pair of Big Ten Conference games against Iowa and Rutgers after this and may not be totally focused in this spot. Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on North Carolina State to cover |
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11-27-18 | Temple +3.5 v. Missouri | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Temple has won 5 of their first 6 games, with key wins over California and Georgia early in the season deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent looking Missouri team that has some injury issues as Jordan Geist is battling back issues, and K.J. Santos still out with a fractured foot. The bottom line here is The Owls have too much fire power for Missouri to handle. TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Temples HC Dunphy is 10-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Temple to cover |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | 122-114 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Memphis after a 5 game win streak, has lost their last two games ,and lost their last time out as home chalk to NY Knicks. Its not uncommon for teams deemed superior to their opposition to take nights off in the /NBA and also overlook their opponents , which is what Im betting happened to the Grizzlies in that game vs a up-trending Knicks team. Now focusedI expect a usually hardworking Memphis group to give top tier visitor the Raptors a fight for the W behind the leagues top defence. Im betting on the Grizzlies methodical style of play to interrupt and ply havoc on the free flowing Raptors, and make life difficult for them. NBA Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average to below average defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 31-61 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. The average point differential of those games clicked in at 3.2 ppg, which adds credence to a cover call of 3.5 points or more with the Grizzlies. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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11-27-18 | North Texas +9.5 v. Oklahoma | 57-73 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The North Texas men's basketball team is at Oklahoma on Tuesday aiming for its first 9-0 start to a season in program history.The Mean Green (8-0), who are the only 8-0 team in the country and riding a nation's best 10-game winning streak, take on the Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) and if they lose tonight Im betting it will come at less than the point spread.UNT's opponents have only averaged of 55.4 point per game this season, making the Mean Green defense a top 10 team in the nation. This is a group of players that competes as is evident by the fact that the mean Green only trailed this season for 12 minutes and 13 seconds all year, which means they've either led or have been tied for 96 percent of the season in this campaign.. N TEXAS is 13-5 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons N TEXAS is 11-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
Take the point with North Texas to cover |
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11-27-18 | Pennsylvania -19.5 v. Delaware State | 76-48 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn is red hot and started 4-0 for the first time since the 1978-79 season leads the series 2-1 after a 105-52 rout last year at The Palestra. Penn's win percentage in its last 48 games under Donahue (34-14) and they get the nod here to win and cover in what Im betting is a big blowout victory. 7755 Pennsylvania to cover over Delaware State |
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11-27-18 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Penn State | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Virginia Tech Hokies haven't yet lost a game this season, and are a perfect 5-0. With Penn State having some early season chemistry issues they are just 3-2 and with key cog Mike Watkins having what is described as mental health issues, the Lions don't inspire confidence. Overall it does not matter to me if Watkins state of mind has evened out yet, I still believe that the Hokies own the superior side and give them my backing here on a short line. VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA TECH is 9-1 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA TECH is 15-4 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasonsVIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. HCChambers is 0-6 ATS l/6 versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game as the coach of PENN ST. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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