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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-21 | Pistons +7.5 v. Hornets | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Pistons were dealing with some fatigue issues recently but now with a couple of days rest Im betting they are ready to compete again, especially against an inconsistent side like Charlotte who according to my projections does not deserve to be this big a favorite. Note: The Pistons also have the added incentive and motivation to get revenge for 105-102 loss to the Hornets on March 11. DETROIT is 21-5 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. DETROIT is 14-2 ATS  off a home loss this season.( The Pistons lost last time out and have proven to be a big bounce back side to back when that happens) Pistons are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 114-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-30-21 | Jazz +4.5 v. Suns | 100-121 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
We have two top tier sides ready to do battle here tonight in Phoenix . However, one team stands out in this matchup as being superior and also being very motivated with double revenge on board and that side is the Utah Jazz who own the leagues best scoring margin at +9.5 PPG and 2nd best in DFG percentage. Jazz are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog. Utah Jazz own the leagues best SRS mark at 9.46 while the Phoenix Suns rank 4th at 5.77. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average  NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 58-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-30-21 | Blazers -1 v. Nets | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
With Irving out, the Blazers Im betting have an edge in this contest. The Nets are also on tired legs after playing last night and have not been good bets in back to back affairs. Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 29-5 L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 29-6 SU L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to win |
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04-29-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder +9 | 109-95 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Pelicans enter this game having lost 6 of their L/8 and are a hard fought 114-112 loss vs the Denver Nuggets last time out and could easily be susceptible to a emotional letdown scenario. NEW ORLEANS is 11-21 ATS as a favorite this season. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.  Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 25-58 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. ( The Thunder took a 111-110 win las time these teams met this season) Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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04-29-21 | Raptors +3 v. Nuggets | 111-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Raptors according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets, and earlier this season gave them a good beating. I know the Nuggets are out looking for revenge, but they are on tired legs and off a grueling affair vs the Pelicans last time out pulling off a 114-112 win and susceptible to a letdown scenario.  DENVER is 4-12 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season . Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
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04-29-21 | Warriors v. Wolves +6 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Minnesota is in a groove and have won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and in their current form must be respected as home underdogs vs an over hyped Golden State brand. GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 21-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.  Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Warriors are 9-30 ATS in their last 39 Thursday games. Warriors have failed to cover 6 of L/8 at Minnesota. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 7-29 L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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04-28-21 | Clippers +4 v. Suns | 101-109 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Suns come home off an exhausting 5 game road trip and will time to get acclimated to home cooking again, and are at a disadvantage vs a Clipper side that would love to send a message to their upstart conference rivals. Note: Suns: 2-13 L/15 home after 5 or more road games. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics -6 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Charlotte lost 114-104 to Milwaukee last night, and susceptible to being trampled on by their hosts tonight. Boston is off three straight losses and will be primed to bounce back in a big way vs a side that smashed them 125-104 a couple of days ago. BOSTON is 16-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Hornets are 0-7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Boston. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a home loss are 115-65 ATS L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-27-21 | Wolves -1.5 v. Rockets | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
 Both sides may not inspire bettors but according to my projections the Wolves are the better side, and have been competitive lately with their star Towns back in the lineup winning 3 of their L/5 and showing upward momentum. Meanwhile, the rockets have lost 14 of their L/16 overall and rarely look like their doing anything but going through the motions.  HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS  off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 3 season.HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS ( as a home underdog of 6 points or less this seasonHOUSTON is 7-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 5-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors +6 | 116-103 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Nets are off a big win, against the Suns, last time out , and will now be in a letdown situation vs the Raptors tonight . Meanwhile, the Raptors despite of still not being a championship side are still a capable side, and have been playing better lately and deserve respect as hosts here. Note: Toronto is 5-0 SU L/5 as hosts in this series.TORONTO is 18-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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04-27-21 | Bucks v. Hornets +9 | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte seems to know how to deal with the Bucks and and have beaten twice this season already and despite of the Bucks being in revenge mode are not viable favs here considering they are barely a .500 team on the road dating back to last season, as they are 17-17 away from home and 11-23 ATS L/24 as visitors. CHARLOTTE is 4-0 SU/ against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. The Hornets are 11-0 ATS L/11 10-1 SU off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.  Borrego is 13-3 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE. Budenholzer is 17-31 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 68-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hornets to cover |
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04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4 | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a cover machine and they have played quite well of late, but this is a bad spot for them here in the thin air of the mile high city as they play their 7th straight road game and are on now exhausted and on tired legs and very suceptiable to a down effort. |
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04-26-21 | Clippers -3.5 v. Pelicans | 103-120 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
The Clippers still have a chance for top seed in the West and Im betting they will be primed to play down the stretch and especially here tonight in revenge mode vs the pesky Pelicans who defeated them 135-113 back in mid march . Note the Clippers this season when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 10 or more points,  5-0 SUATS the last five opportunities and Im betting the 6th straight comes tonight in the Bayou. The explosive Clippers are also 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS away taking on losing sides , including 3-0 SUATS mark when playing with a redemption on their minds.   LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.  NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. are 127-78 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-26-21 | Lakers v. Magic +10 | 114-103 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Lakers style of play bases its success or failures on their ability to play a top tier brand of defense, but against good ball handling sides like Orlando that type of hoops does not really give value to being a DD favorite as they the Lakers. Note: NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - good ball handling team - committing 14 or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.LA LAKERS are 17-35 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 2-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-25-21 | Kings +8.5 v. Warriors | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
 Two playoff hopefuls dealing with the ramifications of COVID protocols meet Sunday night when the Sacramento Kings visit the Golden State Warriors for a matchup of Western Conference playoff significance. These sides , both looking for a post season, placings will be primed to play hard, but according to my own numbers this line is bloated considering how rested the Kings are and how important this game is. Kings: 6-1 with /3+ days rest . the Warriors are 1-5 as division home favs of 9 points or less. SACRAMENTO is 27-11 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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04-25-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +6.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
 Milwaukee since March 1 of last season, is just 17-16 SU and 11-22 ATS away. The last time they were visitors was 10 days ago where they did win and cash vs the Hawks, 120- 109. That may have been an aberration as the Bucks are just 9-16 ATS away in non- division games, and 4-12 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Now with revenge on board it must be noted that  the Hawks are  6-1 ATS at home with same-season double-digit loss revenge when out look for redemption from two straight losses vs the same side which is the case here tonight. Also the Bucks are just 1-10 ATS  off consecutive home games with no rest going against a foe seeking same-season double revenge (exact). MILWAUKEE is 10-22 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons McMillan is 30-12 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more are 69-36 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-24-21 | Wolves +11.5 v. Jazz | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The T-Wolves suffered a frustrating last-second 128-125 loss at Sacramento on Wednesday. Towns scored 26 but missed a shot in the final seconds and despite of a not so flattering overall record are playing much more competitive hoops of late and have the ability to hang tough today vs a Utah side that Im sure is over looking them and playing with star Donovan Mitchell;. Note: Jazz are just 1-7 ATS L/8 as 10+ ppg fav vs division at home. Meanwhile, the Wolves are 5-1-1 ATS L/7 in a division road game.  Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.Timberwolves are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.  Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-24-21 | Pistons +4.5 v. Pacers | 109-115 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
 Detroit was very burned out and rested players last time vs San Antonio and took it on the chin, and now a little bit more rested Im betting their ready to compete again. DETROIT is 24-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% ofr more of their shots this season. DETROIT is 11-0 ATS  after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.  INDIANA is 1-10 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Bjorkgren is 0-10 ATS in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more as the coach of INDIANA. The Pacers are 0-15 ATS L/15 at home after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers last game. Home teams (INDIANA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-24-21 | Raptors v. Knicks +1 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
The Knicks seek their first nine-game winning streak in a little over eight years Saturday afternoon when they host the Toronto Raptors and Im betting they get it.  TORONTO is 4-12 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games. Knicks are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Thibodeau is 22-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK. Thibodeau is 15-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK.  Thibodeau is 12-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of NEW YORK. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-23-21 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Golden State won the last meeting between these teams back on April 12th here 116-107, and matchup well vs the Nuggets.  DENVER is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. DENVER is 14-23 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-23-21 | Cavs v. Hornets -1.5 | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Both team do not inspire bettors but Im betting the Hornets have the edge here a thome. Hornets are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bickerstaff is 6-22 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days as the coach of CLEVELAND. CHARLOTTE is 23-11 ATSÂ versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 39-6 L/6 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to win /cover |
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04-23-21 | Clippers -10 v. Rockets | 109-104 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Rockets are in tank mode and not a viable wager here even if some Clipper stars are rested. The Rockets are 0-18 ATS L/18Â at home with less than two days rest coming off a 10+ point loss. HOUSTON is 4-15 ATSÂ as a home underdog this season. Â NBAÂ Home underdogs (HOUSTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game are 24-57 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Clippers to cover |
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04-22-21 | 76ers +6 v. Bucks | 117-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these top tier Eastern Conference sides are coming off losses and on enough rest to have them ready to bounce back here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Also after watching the Bucks lose a hard fought 128-127 affair to the Suns that ended with a controversial call , Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown state and less than 100% mentally because of this, which gives an advantage to the visitings 76ers. Add to that the Sixers have revenge on board for a loss to the Bucks in their previous matchup and will be motivated to perform at top level. 76ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.n76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +3.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Boston catches Phoenix off a hugely emotional 128-127 win last time out vs the Bucks. Thats an advantage for a charged up Celtics team that will be motivated to pull of the upset vs a vulnerable top tier opponent. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 17-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 27-13 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 30-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots as the coach of BOSTON. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-21-21 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 125-128 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Sacramento played last night with the Wolves upsetting the Kings as underdogs, now thoroughly embarrassed Im betting they stop tanking for one night and come out of this with a motivated win.  MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Kings to cover |
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04-21-21 | Heat +1 v. Spurs | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
San Antonio have played their worst basketball in the Alamo City as is evident by have notching just 12 victories in their 30 games at home. The Spurs won only twice in a nine-game home-stand from March 22 through April 5 and have dropped four straight in its home building. SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 19-7 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 25-8 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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04-21-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -2 | 127-137 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks are the real deal and they have chemistry. I know the Hawks are the flashier side, but the Knicks tenacious work ethic sets them apart from alot of mid level competition. NEW YORK is 14-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-21-21 | Warriors v. Wizards +2 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The NBA's top two scorers will go head-to-head when Curry leads the Warriors into the nation's capital to duel Beal and the Washington Wizards. Wizards take care of business vs side like Golden State as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Washington has won five in a row and seven of eight and deserve respect here at home vs the Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Brooks is 17-5 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread as the coach of WASHINGTON. NBA team vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 6-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings -3 | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Sacramento ended a 9 game losing streak last time out and now have momentum on their sides vs a Wolves side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games. The Kings also have revenge on board or a 116-106 loss on April 5th. MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 6-18 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Sacramento Kings to win |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -2.5 | 134-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Pelicans consistently rise to the occasion when playing top tier sides and Im betting on them doing the same again in this tilt. When their 7th ranked ppg offence is hitting on all cylinders any team is susceptible to being beaten including the Brooklyn Nets. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-1 L/24 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans to win |
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04-19-21 | Jazz v. Lakers +6.5 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jazz are on tired legs and banged up entering this game playing their 3rd game in 4 days with some key injuries to Donavan Mitchell, and Rudy Gobert who is he plays will be less than 100%. Meanwhile, the Lakers are also missing their two top players Davis and James, but have come together as a team, behind a top tier brand of defense and deserve respect getting points in this spot play. Lakers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Jazz are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 67-102 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-19-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5 | 137-139 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies beat the Bucks 128-115 in their last contest on Saturday and Im betting they will be in a letdown spot here in the Mile High city tonight. I know the  Nuggets are playing through the loss of Jamal Murray, who tore the ACL in his left knee last week and is out for the season. However, Denver has not missed a beat and have won two straight without its point guard and will be highly motivated in this spot play. The Nuggets are 16-11 ATS in 2020-21 when they are at least a 5-point favorite. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Grizzlies are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 11-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate.  NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-30 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-18-21 | Kings +8.5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Sacramento has lost 9 straight games, and could easily be in tank mode. However, their opponent Dallas has also not played all that well of late, losing 4 of their L/6 while failing to cover 5 times. nothing is coming easy for the Mavs of late, and Im betting that will once again be the case tonight.  Carlisle is 13-27 ATS  in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of DALLAS.  Kings are 5-1 ATS L/6 at Dallas and have won 3 of their L/4 meetings here the heart of Texas. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS L/11 off a home game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. DALLAS is 1-8 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season. Mavericks are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 107-70 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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04-18-21 | Rockets v. Magic +1 | 114-110 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Magic have revenge on board for an embarrassing 132-90 loss to the Rockets in their season-opener and will be very motivated here today. The Houston Rockets are 8-62 ATS in their last 70 defeats on the road, including 3-39 ATS versus opponents with revenge like the Magic. . HOUSTON is 6-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Houston is 1-12 SUATS this season versus non-conference opponents seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 4 or more points . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to win |
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04-18-21 | Pelicans +1 v. Knicks | 112-122 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
NYK have been playing some strong hoops of late, but New Orleans matchup well according to my power rankings vs the Knicks and have the added incentive of revenge here for a loss they suffered at home last week to their hosts today. NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 85-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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04-17-21 | Grizzlies +8 v. Bucks | 128-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the NBA and deserve respect here vs a Bucks side that is 0-9 ATS L/9 vs Southwest division sides. I know Memphis played yesterday and may not be ready to run and gun in this spot, they do have the weapons needed to be competitive. Note: The Grizzlies are 6-1 L/7 ATS with no rest vs non conference opposition. MILWAUKEE is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS  versus teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS in non-conference games this season. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-16-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Mavs are tired and I suspect their conditioning is not good, as Cuban and company complain about the condensed schedule. Tonight against a NYK side that has won 4 straight and covered 7 straight Im betting they are in trouble, as the Knicks have the added motivation of revenge for a loss they suffered at home earlier this season to the Mavs. DALLAS is 5-14 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Mavs are 1-6 ATS as non-conf favs of 2 or more pts vs opposition with revenge. The Knicks are 13-0 ATS covering by more than 15 ppg after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.   NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.  NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 57-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-16-21 | Thunder +3.5 v. Pistons | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Thunder maybe tanking but there is still some pride left among this young side, and Im betting they will be motivated to get revenge vs a Pistons side that beat them 132-108 at home 10 or so ago at home. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.  Thunder are 13-2 ATS away vs .400 or less opposition while the Pistons: 0-6 as home favs vs a side that is an under .500 side.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off beating up two lower tier teams the Orlando Magic and Minnesota Wolves and are now playing back to back road games which means their not that fresh . Meanwhile, the well conditioned Hawks are not a team that should be disrespected as they have won 7 of their L/8 overall and out to prove their worthiness and will be motivated to grab a straight up win . Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and despite of their top tier status dont deserve to be this much of a favorite .  Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-14-21 | Magic +9.5 v. Bulls | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost 3 straight games and 9 of their L/12 and do not deserve to be this big favorite against any team in the league not even the tanking Orlando Magic. Note: The Magic have revenge on board for DD loss to the Bulls the last time they met this season. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 111- 57 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 39-60 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 9-22 ATS in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-3 ATS in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - a capable offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 27-6 L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-14-21 | Nets +7 v. 76ers | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Nets are fresh and ready to get redemption for a ugly loss suffered to the Sixers the last time they played. Nets are not be underestimated getting points and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. Considering the Sixers are still getting acclimated to home cooking after an extended 4 game road trip Il back the revenge minded side in this spot play.  BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors, which qualifies from a under ATS perspective. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-13-21 | Thunder +17 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and take the points. Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-13-21 | Lakers +2 v. Hornets | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and  are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.  Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. DENVER is 20-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-12-21 | Bulls +3 v. Grizzlies | 90-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record. The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulls to cover |
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04-12-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Mavs | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-11-21 | Bulls v. Wolves +5 | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota has played alot more competitively of late especially with  Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup covering 6 of their L/9 and once again according to my power rankings look like viable underdogs in this spot play vs the visiting Chicago Bulls side that has lost 9 of their L/14 SU overall and off a loss last time out. CHICAGO is 17-31 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-11-21 | Bucks -8.5 v. Magic | 124-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games, and will be vert hungry to get back on the winning track against a Orlando side they match up well against according to my power rankings and SRS numbers data. Milwaukee is ranked 4th in SRS 4.31 while, Orlando is ranked 27th with a -6.94 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Milwaukee. Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 11-33 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-10-21 | Kings v. Jazz -12 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have lost 5 straight games, and look very much like they will lose again tonight and by a hefty count vs a Utah side that can crush the best of sides without empathy. UTAH is 10-2 ATSÂ in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season . Jazz are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU at home after Rudy Gobert had a double double last game. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +12 v. Clippers | 109-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Playing hard last night in a start to finish win vs the Suns, the clippers now on tired legs and not completely focused on this lowly opponent ( Rockets) should offer room for a cover by the road underdog that has covered 3 of their L/5 and not lost by more than 10 points in their L/8 games. HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1996 NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 19-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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04-09-21 | 76ers v. Pelicans +7.5 | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams is playing all that well of late, but considering this is the Sixers 5th game in 9 days means they are the more tired side here. With that said, Im betting we have an edge with the home side . SRS numbers -Phil 4.81 vs NO - 0.32- Suggest the number is tainted with general value going to the underdog. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average 76ers are 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record 76ers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the NO Pelicans to cover |
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04-08-21 | Pistons +6.5 v. Kings | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
 The Pistons have been very competitive of late covering 10 of their L/15 overall, but they did get beat up on by Denver last time out, 134-119. The thin air of the Mile High city and the fact the Pistons were playing back to back games and already on tired legs contributed to their loss. Now with rest Im betting on them coming out here alot fresher vs a Kings side they have revenge against for a 110-107 loss back in late February. DETROIT is 8-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. DETROIT is 20-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible  to being run over by a side that will have little empathy for them, as they look to send a message their upstart conference rivals. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 62-42 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-08-21 | Cavs v. Thunder +3.5 | 129-102 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these sides are playing sub par hoops at the moment, but according to my projections we have value with the home dog in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 8-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-07-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Suns | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jazz will be ramped up take out the Suns this Wednesday night in Phoenix after the Suns took out Utah in their New Year eve game by DDs. Im sure the Jazz were side swiped by a team that they had probably previously over looked. it must be noted that the Jazz since last season have been one of the leagues most dangerous road teams winning 30 off 44 games SU, including a 7-0 SU mark vs a side they have revenge against. Note: Utah is 3rd in ppg allowed defense and 3rd in ppg offense and rank 1st in the NBA in SRS with a 10.02 mark vs the Suns 3rd ranked SRS with a 6.33 mark which includes ranking 5th in defense ppg, and 9th in ppg offense. Utah has won their 3 most recent visits to Phoenix. Rinse and repeat event on board. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. The Phoenix Suns are 4-185-2 ATS at home in SU losses to avenging opponents, including 0-30 ATS in their last 30 games. Play on Utah to cover |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -2.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are a hot team in search of their 14th victory in 18 games under interim coach Nate McMillan and will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. I know they played last night but are a well conditioned team and more than capable of continuing to run and gun here vs a Memphis side that also played last night and , that they this franchise has beaten at home in 17 of their L/24 games. Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.5 ppg. Play on atlanta to win /cover |
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04-06-21 | Pistons +14 v. Nuggets | 119-134 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Pistons have played well against top tier sides like Denver as is evident by a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. DETROIT is also 11-1 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a sub par 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and  is 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. I know The Nuggets scored a 119-109 win on Sunday over Orlando for their fifth straight and are hot, but this number is just slightly inflated and gives us some needed value. Detroit also looked good last time out, taking a 132-108 win vs the Thunder and have momentum entering this tilt.Road underdogs (DETROIT) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 52-24 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Detroit has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and Im betting they stay within the number here tonight. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -1 v. Celtics | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
Boston is owns the 6th best SRS in the league at 4.57 while Boston ranks 10th with a 1.96 mark. My projections and power rankings along with the SRS data, makes the 76ers the fav by 2.5 plus points making them my selection this spot. Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-06-21 | Lakers v. Raptors -2 | 110-101 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers remain without the services of Anthony Davis and LeBron James and are fade material in their current form that has seen them lose 6 of the L/9 and while covering just 2 times. The Lakers also have a history of poor performances vs the Atlantic division failing to cover 20 of their L/24 opportunities including 4 straight meetings vs the Raptors as visitors. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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04-06-21 | Pelicans v. Hawks -3 | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-05-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Nets | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Knicks have proved themselves to be a top tier defensive side this season behind key catalyst Rose who plays into their system perfectly. Since Derrick Rose came to this team the Knicks own the best defense in the NBA as is evident by allowing just 107.2 points per 100 possessions. Tonight whether James Harden or Durant play for the Nets, I still like the Knicks and their never say die attitude, and hard core physical attributes and team chemistry to make life difficult for the Nets.The Knicks are 9-2 ATS l/11 on the road vs .750 or better opposition. The Knicks have lost both meetings this season, by 5 and 7 points respectively and another close one will be on this agenda , but Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness to get them the cover in revenge mode. Note:Knicks are 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge- exact . Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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04-04-21 | Nets -2 v. Bulls | 107-115 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Nets come into the game 34-15, fresh off an truly eye opening 111-89 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday night. The home blowout represented a fourth straight victory for the Nets, who have won 12 of their last 14 to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference during this hot stretch. This team is heading into top gear and looks unstoppable in their current form especially against an inconsistent Bulls side that looks lost after 6 straight losses where they have been outplayed. Note: The Nets are  14-2 in 2/1 rest situations and are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series . Rinse and repeat situation on board. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Even if Durant is not in the lineup today the Nets still have the guns to defeat the Bulls. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 62-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn Nets to win |
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04-03-21 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | 139-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs have not played well at home this season, and have won only twice through the first seven games of their franchise-high 9 game home-stand, and once again look like vulnerable favs in this spot.  Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know that the Pacers are not exactly playing great basketball, but a sense of desperation now permeates around this team, and a win is extremely important right now. This Im betting will see the Pacers pull out all the stops here this evening, making getting points a viable investment option. Pacers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Pacers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at homePacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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04-03-21 | UCLA +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat -11.5 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Cleveland has lost 4 straight games by DD deficits and even now in desperation mode look like candidates to be blown out of the water in another blowout style affair. vs a Heat side that is heating up and that has won and cover 5 straight in this series at home. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 14 ppg as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.4 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-03-21 | Houston +5 v. Baylor | 59-78 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-02-21 | Hawks +2 v. Pelicans | 126-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks and the New Orleans Pelicans both played overtime Thursday night.Both were short-handed. Both will be tired when they complete back-to-backs with a Friday night matchup in New Orleans. However, one side the Hawks does have the edge according to my power rankings which adjust for conditioning. The Hawks rank higher on my charts and are one of the better conditioned sides in the league. Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite and are also  1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Hawks HC  McMillan is 13-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1996. NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more- 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 upset win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly vs a Orlando Magic side that is playing better lately  from a bettors perspective having covered 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall in competitive fashion. The Magic are also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings vs the Pelicans and get my support here getting points. NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) -  - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-6 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 71-39 L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-01-21 | Hornets v. Nets -3 | 89-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Nets, who glided past the visiting Houston Rockets 120-108 on Wednesday night, hold the best record in the Eastern Conference. Their 33-15 record includes a 19-6 mark in home games and despite of how well the Hornets have played this season, Im betting they are in a bad spot vs a side that will be more than ready to send a message, yes even if James Harden cannot play. The Hornets won their first matchup with the Nets this season, a 106-104 decision on Dec. 27 in Charlotte and now we have the motivation of a strong side to back here in revenge mode. BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.The Hornets are 0-14 ATS /SU as a road dog coming off a game as a favorite. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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03-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Jazz will try to extend their six-game winning streak on Wednesday night when they take on the Grizzlies in Memphis, but Im betting things wont go as easily as some may believe. The Jazz's arrival in Memphis was delayed after their charter plane, which departed from Salt Lake City, was forced to make an emergency landing in the same city shortly after takeoff on Tuesday when it hit a flock of birds that caused an engine issue. No players were injured, but the plane returned to Salt Lake City International Airport, where the Jazz waited for another aircraft. This kind of delay is never easy on players, and Im betting it will show on the court. MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS /12-2 SU with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game with both losses coming by 3 points or less. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | 101-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Knicks I am betting will bounce back from an atypical defeat Wednesday night, when they visit the Timberwolves in Minneapolis, Minn., in the final game of the season between the nonconference foes. Minnesota is highly inconsistent and a regression is expected tonight. The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU as a dog off a road game in which Karl Anthony Towns scored at least 30 points. NBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 PPG or less differential) are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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03-30-21 | UCLA +7 v. Michigan | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-30-21 | USC +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-85 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-29-21 | Bulls -2.5 v. Warriors | 102-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Golden States super star Curry is not expected to face the Bulls, and thats not a good omen for their chances here vs a Bulls side that just added Vucevic,.CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 6-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 ppg. NBA Home teams (GOLDEN STATE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 100-43 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-29-21 | Bucks +3 v. Clippers | 105-129 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Bucks are looking to defeat the Clippers for the fifth straight time and Im betting they have the edge here as underdogs as two-time reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is slated to return from a one-game absence due to his nagging left knee injury. Antetokounmpo was one of four starters to miss Saturday's 102-96 home loss to the New York Knicks. Milwaukee posted a 105-100 home win over Los Angeles on Feb. 28 when Giannis Antetokounmpo recorded 36 points,. Rinse and repeat situation on board.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas +8 v. Baylor | 72-81 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-29-21 | Raptors -3 v. Pistons | 104-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This Toronto team is the most hungry angry and desperate side you will get to back this season. I know they played last night and have now lost 11 of their L/12, but like I started off with this game screams must need win, vs a side they have revenge against and matchup well against. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home losses are 22-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. USC | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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03-28-21 | UCLA +6.5 v. Alabama | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 35 h 18 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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03-28-21 | Blazers -1 v. Raptors | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors have lost 10 of their L/11 and with Portland Damian Lilliard expected to play after sitting out this past Friday, look once again that their current losing run will continue. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +2.5 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 4 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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03-28-21 | Suns -6.5 v. Hornets | 101-97 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
The Suns are in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Hornets on Feb 24th at home losing by a 124-121 count. I know the Suns are on tired legs but according to my power rankings and adjusted ratings they are the best conditioned team in the league . Williams is 8-0 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-10 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 31-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 8-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover |
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03-27-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Kings | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Sacramento put 141 points on the board in a DD win vs the Hawks last time out, and now Im betting on regression in this spot play vs a Cleveland side that has been mostly competitive in their L/6 trips tp the court going 3-3 SU. Walton is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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03-27-21 | Mavs -1 v. Pelicans | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Doncic was sidelined by tightness in his lower back as the Mavericks lost to visiting Indiana 109-94 on Friday, but HC Rick Carlisle said Doncic would travel to New Orleans and was hopeful the All-Star would be available. Thus on that premise I will recommend what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Dallas ranks 10th in SRS with a 1.64 mark and New Orelans ranks 13th with a 0.75 mark. Note: SRS:Â Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average DALLAS is 12-2 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-27-21 | Bulls v. Spurs -3 | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs Im betting will get back to their winning ways after 4 straight losses and finally take advantage of their home court when they host the new-look Chicago Bulls on Saturday as side that has also struggled losing 4 of their L/5 overall.. Note:  Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 41-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.  SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS in non-conference games this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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03-27-21 | Rockets +5 v. Wolves | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves got by the Rockets 107-101 last night and Im betting on another close game tonight after looking at some game film, that proved to me how evenly matched these opponents are. Timberwolves are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite and  are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova +7.5 v. Baylor | 51-62 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-27-21 | Oregon State +7 v. Loyola-Chicago | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -9.5 | 114-117 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
The Jazz have won their past three matchups against Memphis and Im betting on another conclusive win here at home in the land of the mormons. The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU at home coming off a win with each victory coming by DDS. .UTAH is 12-0 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 100-63 L/24 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-26-21 | Pacers v. Mavs -4 | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks look to keep their foot on the gas when they host the Indiana Pacers on Friday.The Mavericks posted their 14th win in 19 outings with a 128-108 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. With that said, Ill recommend we ride the momentum of the Mavs vs a inconsistent Pacers side, that was blasted by the Mavs at home earlier this season. INDIANA is 2-11 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.INDIANA is 0-11 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. NDIANA is 4-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% ot more of their shots this season. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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03-25-21 | Wizards v. Knicks -3 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Knicks will get a chance to go back over the .500 mark for the fourth time since Feb. 27 after rolling to a 131-113 win over Washington on Tuesday night. Im betting on their explosive momentum and willing to lay a trey . NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Wizards are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road with rest coming off a road game where they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. which was the case in that above mentioned blowout loss.  WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 16-60 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.2 ppg which qualifies under an ATS situational bet. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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03-25-21 | NC State -1.5 v. Colorado State | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
03-25-21 | Mississippi State -2 v. Richmond | 68-67 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-24-21 | Suns -9.5 v. Magic | 111-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns have been racking up the road wins and are closing in on an impressive franchise record.Phoenix aims to stretch its road winning streak to eight games when it visits the Orlando Magic on Wednesday and Im betting they get it as well as the cover vs a Orlando team that looks to be in tank mode .ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.The Magic are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15 after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg with every loss coming by DDs. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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03-24-21 | Pistons +6 v. Pacers | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit has been extremely inconsistent this season , and after a couple wins put out a clunker last time out at home. However, my power rankings suggest they matchup well vs the Pacers who are also less than consistent. Thus making getting points here a viable betting opportunity. The Pacers are 2-11 ATS L/13 at home. INDIANA is 0-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season. DETROIT is 17-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS off a home loss this season. The Pistons are 14-0-1 ATS  with more than one day of rest coming off a home game. INDIANA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are just 7-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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03-23-21 | 76ers -4 v. Warriors | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
With Golden States Seth Curry and his brother at less than 100% if they play at all tonight Im betting the Sixers who are in top form have an edge. PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Sixers are 7-1-1 ATS L/9 overall.76ers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ game are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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