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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Duke | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC UCF gave us a glimpse of what it takes to beat Duke by going zone on defence and forcing Duke to the out side. If it were not for Zion Williamsons great performance and the Blue Devils converting on more 3s than their season average, we would have watched a public favorite crash and burn. Now today against a VTech D, that is built to keep teams from penetrating deep and force them to make them shoot treys the Blue Devils a team that shoots just 30.7 % from downtown may have met their match. When these teams met earlier this season, both Williamson and Hokies star point guard Robinson were out , but the Hokies managed the straight up win. With both playing here today, Im expecting VTech to hold their own again, and get us the cover. DUKE is 2-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Play on VTech to cover |
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03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield +6 v. Green Bay | 65-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The `Runners (18-15) are coming off back-to-back road victories in the first two rounds of the CIT. After defeating Cal State Fullerton, 66-58, CSUB handed Southern Utah a 70-67 loss on Monday. CSUB has 18 wins on the season, third-most in Bakersfield's NCAA Division I era and must not be underestimated as underdogs here vs Wisconsin Green Bay. The Roadrunners have a size advantage in key areas of this matchup, and that will negate Wisconsin Green Bays athleticism . Take the points. CS-BAKERSFIELD is 21-9 ATS L/30 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots . CS-BAKERSFIELD is 12-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997. Barnes is 16-4 ATS in March games as the coach of CS-BAKERSFIELD. WI-GREEN BAY is 2-8 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-BAKERSFIELD) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 31-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on CS Baskersfield to cover |
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03-28-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -5.5 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockets after losing last time out to the Milwaukee Bucks dropped four games behind the Denver Nuggets for the second seed in the Western Conference, and now will be primed for a big bounce back effort here at home against a team they have beaten 5 straight times at home. DENVER is 11-23 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 10-21 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. Play on Houston to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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03-28-19 | Purdue +2 v. Tennessee | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY My projections virtually make this game a pickem, thus we are getting value with Purdue according to my estimations. Tennessee is ripe in my betting onion to be picked off and upset here, as the Volunteers currently look vulnerable as was evident when they blew a 25-point lead against Iowa last time out and were forced to go into overtime on Sunday. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season.PURDUE is 20-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Purdue to cover |
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03-27-19 | Pacers v. Thunder -6 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder have not been playing well for over a month now, but they have shown some flashes of brilliance and must not be underestimated to win and cover tonight vs Indiana team that embarrassed them the last time the teams met, as they blew a 19 point lead and loss . Now with redemption at hand , Im expecting a rallying call vs a Pacers side that has struggled on the road of late, dropping eight consecutive games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Im now betting in an effort to get rid of the sting of that above mentioned ugly loss the Thunder will be primed to get redemption. INDIANA is 3-11 ATS ( in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 9-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin point differential coming by-9.6 ppg. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in March game are 38-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by +9.4 ppg. Oklahoma City to cover |
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03-26-19 | Hawks v. Pelicans -1 | 130-120 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Two rebuilding teams with no play off expectations g head to head tonight in the Bayou. Atlanta has won two consecutive games against playoff teams and New Orleans has lost two consecutive games against playoff contenders.The Pelicans have lost eight of their last nine games, including a 128-116 loss to the Hawks on March 10 in Atlanta.Meanwhile, Atlanta is off two huge upset wins vs Utah and Philadelphia last time out by a 129-127 mark, and Im betting now will be in a huge let down spot. Note: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - lower tier defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 63-115 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% long term go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Also NBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a home underdog, on Tuesday nights are 5-26 SU 22 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. I know the Pelicans dont have alot to play for but taking out another young team that has pulled off some upsets will be a ego boost for them and Im betting they play a motivated game here and get the win and cover. Play on New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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03-26-19 | Magic +5 v. Heat | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic, visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday night in a game with serious playoff implications and that Im betting will be a hard fought affair that makes taking the points golden. The Magic showed their prowess last night in a win vs Philadelphia at home in the Magic kingdom and will be primed to keep rolling tonight in their quest for a play off spot. Orlando currently on a 5 game win streak, are 4-1 SU/ATS in their L/5 visits to South Florida and get my support in this spot. Heat are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Heat are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Southeast.Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Loyola Marymount | 63-81 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season. It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 55 points or less this season whihc was the case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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03-25-19 | 76ers v. Magic +2.5 | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Orlando has won 4 straight home games during their current 5 game home stand. Im betting that tonight against Philadelphia in their 5th straight home game, that the wrong team is favored. I . know the Sixers have the better record and the higher profile player personell but the Magic are playing great cohesive basketball and exhibiting a great deal of chemistry and deserve respect here defending home court against the Sixers side, that is just 17-18 ATS overall on the road this season. It must also be noted that the Sixers are off a exhausting back and forth tilt vs the at Atlanta last time out that they looked a little tanked in from the start. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 110 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 36-63 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-25-19 | Coastal Carolina +10 v. West Virginia | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals West Virginia has played better of late, but they are going against a under rated Coastal Carolina squad that has shot under 40% from the field only once all season long. Coastal Carolina have won four of their last seven and have shown they have a never die attitude repeatedly this season as was evident when they trailed Howard by 14 with 13 minutes left on Wednesday before coming back for an 81-72 victory. I like their grit and their ability to hand tough here tonight. W VIRGINIA is 9-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 6-15 ATS as a 10 point or more fav at home. W VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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03-24-19 | Nebraska +4.5 v. TCU | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
NIT - Second Round Nebraska has recently impressed me with their play, and after watching them beat Butler, last time out look very much a like a viable dark horse underdog in this tournament and today as dogs. Meanwhile, TCU has gone 9-12 after a 12-1 start.From a data stats standpoint these are evenly matched teams. Nebraska is 48th in the NET while TCU is 52nd. The Huskers are 43rd in KenPom while TCU is 49th. TCU's strength of schedule is 45th while Nebraska's is 47th. Thus taking points here is avery viable investment option. NEBRASKA is 12-1 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Nebraska to cover |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | 59-74 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK The Cougars looked good at the start of this NCAA tourney as they took a 84-55 win over Georgia State . That kind of dominance will not come as easily vs Ohio State, a team that despite of struggling to score showed their ability to stand tall defensively against Iowa State and advance . Tonight Im betting on this being a very physical closely contested battle, with alot of action in the paint, and under the glass. HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Ohio State are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Holtmann is 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games in all games he has coached. CBB team (OHIO ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 148-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Ohio State to cover |
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03-24-19 | Xavier v. Texas -5 | 76-78 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas converted 15-of-38 (39.5-percent) from three-point range during Tuesday's first-round win against South Dakota State and Im betting that will buoy them in a favorable matchup vs Xavier here today. TEXAS is 22-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread .TEXAS is 22-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread CBB favorite (TEXAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games are 97-58 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas |
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03-24-19 | Iowa +8.5 v. Tennessee | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Tennessee looked wobbly in their win vs Colgate last time out, and if that form continues here today they could find themselves on the sidelines after this the final buzzer goes off. Meanwhile, Iowa looked to be in top form against Cincinnati upsetting the Bearcats as underdogs to advance to the 2nd round. Note: IOWA is 11-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. At the end of the this season, Tennessee was starting to look vulnerable going just 7-4 SU and had failed to cover 8 of their L/12 and are not as potent looking as they were earlier in the season. Dont get me wrong their still a talented group, but as far as this line is concerned Im betting it slightly bloated thanks in part to their public popularity. With that said, lets take the points with a Iowa team that is currently in top form.
Play on Iowa to cover |
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03-23-19 | Villanova +3.5 v. Purdue | 61-87 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The defending national champion Villanova Wildcats head into this 2nd round game against Purdue as underdogs. Villanova has to fight hard to get past a nasty St.Marys team that claws and scratches itself to being competitive. Meanwhile, Purdue had an easy go of it vs Old Dominion in a DD win. This matchup, will feature a Purdue team ranked 12th in the Big Ten in three point defense going against a Villanova side that depends on taking foes out with downtown treys. Another negative for Purdue , is their inability to convert on FTs which is of ultimate importance in a game that is expected to be fairly close. I know the Wildcats are not as strong as last years version, but they must be respected getting points vs a Boilermakers team that has not travelled all that well this season. Note: Coach Jay Wright is 14-1 in its last 15 NCAA Tournament games. Wildcats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Note: G Phil Booth of Villanova in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 63-7 SU for a (.899) win %. . His team has 13 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-23-19 | Lipscomb v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | 86-69 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The matchup pits the two teams with the most wins remaining in the NIT bracket. My own projections make NC Greensboro as -3 favorite thus giving us value on this pickem line according to my estimations. Bison are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Bison are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bison are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Spartans are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Spartans are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on NC Greensboro to cover |
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03-22-19 | St. Louis v. Virginia Tech -10 | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA With dynamic G Justin Robinson expected back in the lineup for VTech after missing 12 games with an injury their opponents tonight St.Louis are in trouble. When the Hokies catalyst is in the lineup the team is 16-4 SU and must not be underestimated.Va Tech was upset 77-71 as a 13-point chalk in their last meeting in 2017 and you can bet that this time this Hokies program and their coaching staff will be very well prepared and keep the pedal on the medal until the very end . Note: This is a 12 loss Billikens team that got hot at the end of the season, and truly is not in the same hemisphere of talent that the Hokies will have on the court. VIRGINIA TECH is 10-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.VIRGINIA TECH in their L/21 in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a +22.5 ppg differential. CBB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 68-31 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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03-22-19 | Heat +8.5 v. Bucks | 87-116 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
The Heat Marched into San Antonio and ended the Spurs 9 game home winning streak last time out, and have shown a propensity to be dangerous in the followup as they are 12-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. The Heat should also be wide awake after the Bucks came back from 20 points at half time last week and win by a 113-98 count and will be in revenge mode and looking . for redemption for that embarrassment ( . Note: MIAMI is 13-3 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. I waited around for most of the day looking for +9 to show back up again, but to much sharp money coming in is sinking this number to the 8.5 to 8 range. Still plenty of value here with the Heat in their current form against a Milwaukee Bucks team that will be careful with their super star the Greek Freak ( Giannis Antetokounmpo) is suffering with a nagging ankle injury. MIAMI is 22-10 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 12-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-22 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 59-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -105 | 81 h 59 m | Show | |
Liberty and Mississippi State played four common opponents this season.... Austin Peay, Alcorn State, Alabama and Vanderbilt. Mississippi State smashed all of them, including a split against Alabama. Liberty lost to each of them. Mississippi State went 4-1 against the list with an average margin of victory of 16.4 points. Liberty went just 1-3, and all three losses coming by nine points. The one win was over Alcorn State by 22. State won that game by 23. According to Kenpom Mississippi State is the 21st best team in the nation with the 30th toughest strength of schedule and have a definite edge here. 822 Mississippi State to cover |
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03-22-19 | Georgia State v. Houston -11.5 | 55-84 | Win | 100 | 59 h 56 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK Houston is in a nasty mood entering this tournament after suffering a letdown and subsequent upset loss to Cincinnati in the AAC title game this past Sunday. I now expect them to come in here and lay down a beating on Georgia State for their 24th win and 26 games outside of their own conference.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season.HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. HC Sampson is 14-4 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in all games he has coached for Houston. Hunter is 13-25 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of GEORGIA ST. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-22-19 | Washington +3.5 v. Utah State | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH Utah State is explosive offensively averaging 79.2 points a game, however, playing against the Huskies zone defense, and slow down offense their going to have their hands full. WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. UTAH ST is 10-23 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-21-19 | St. Mary's v. Villanova -4.5 | 57-61 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Thanks to StMarys looking good at the end of their season which culminated with an astonishing upset of Gonzaga for their conference championship, they are now a trendy pick for public bettors, thus giving us value on the line with the defending NCAA champion Wildcats. Im betting on key offensive cog and big game star of Villanova Phil Booth to be the catalyst behind them winning tonight and more importantly getting us the cover. Note: Booth in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 62-7 SU for a (.899) win %.Booth has made 16 consecutive free throws in NCAA Tournament competition, with his only miss coming in his only FT attempt in the 2016 Round-of-64 Game against UNC Asheville. Booth has 13 turnovers in 14 career NCAA Tournament games covering more 319 minutes of action for an amazing turnover ratio one turnover every 24.5 minutes of playing time. Booth is 5-for-6 (83.3%) from the three-point line in three NCAA Tournament Round-of-64 Games. His team has 12 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time. VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.VILLANOVA is 17-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons. ST MARYS-CA is 1-8 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Villanova to cover |
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03-21-19 | Abilene Christian +23 v. Kentucky | 44-79 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL We have all heard about west Texas pride and tonight Im betting this dog has fight. This Abilene Christian hoops program has only been eligible for this tourney for only two years, and has an enrollment of about 3,600 making it an optimum small school success story entering the NCAA tournament.The Wildcats finished 27-6 overall with a 14-4 mark in the league and must not be underestimated here vs a young Kentucky team that has alot more pressure on them then their opponents. My projections make the Wildcats -18 favs here this giving us value on a slightly bloated public line. Play on Abilene Christian plus the points |
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03-21-19 | Bradley +19 v. Michigan State | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA Bradely is a team that plugs the paint and that trys to make you beat them shooting 3s. They use a NBA-style philosophy on ball-screen defense that is highly efficient. they play tough and their 1-2-2 zone defence is a nightmare to play against. All I can say is that we have value with kind of team as a underdog vs a public team that has just to high a asking price on them at the moment. With that said, lets take the points. BRADLEY is 9-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 30-13 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival . Play on Bradley to cover |
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03-20-19 | Raptors v. Thunder -4 | 123-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Im one of those guys who believes that the Oklahoma City Thunder have what it takes to hang with the best teams from both the west and the eastern conferences despite of a downturn of late and are worth of us laying points with them here tonight vs the Toronto Raptors. Note: The Raptors are off a 128 -92 beatdown which is not a good omen for their chances here tonight vs a side trying to recalibrate and are desperate for positive momentum before the reg season winds down. Raptors are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Raptors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. TORONTO is 3-13 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. TORONTO is 11-21 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.The Raptors are 4-27 ATS L/31 with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. NBA Favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 32-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's are 124-32 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average point diff of 9.4 ppg. Play on Oklahoma city to cover |
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03-20-19 | Wizards -2 v. Bulls | 120-126 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington defeated the Bulls 134-125 at Chicago last month and Im betting on a repeat performance tonight as they chase a play off birth in desperation mode. The Wizards cannot afford losses . Meanwhile, the Bulls are off a win last time out vs the Suns, but that not a great omen for them here as CHICAGO is 1-10 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. CHICAGO is also 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and a 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. Play on the Wash Wizards to cover |
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03-20-19 | Harvard +6 v. Georgetown | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
NIT - First Round- No. 3 seed Georgetown hosts No. 6 seed Harvard. Harvard has had a winning record in nine of the past 10 seasons under coach Tommy Amaker and has a experienced squad, with a never say die attitude and will not be easily defeated here. . Harvard is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.Georgetown University is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at homeHARVARD is 14-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.HARVARD is 21-9 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. GEORGETOWN is 2-9 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.GEORGETOWN is 5-16 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Harvard to cover |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple +3.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH Temple is highly under rated as was evident when, beating Houston and had only one loss in the third-fourth quadrant (15-1 record). They barley got to the elimination game for the tournament but are highly dangerous in a game that is being lined as close and according to my rankings are dead even with Belmont thus giving us value on the line. Note: Temple is 9-2 SU in games decided by five points or fewer and are a perfect 4-0 in overtime games. TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (BELMONT) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 54-95 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 672 Temple to cover |
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03-19-19 | Rockets v. Hawks +8 | 121-105 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta is one of the few teams that has had some success in "slowing" Houston's James Harden. With Harden a little banged up after straining his neck again in last trip to the hardwood, the young Hawks could find a way to slow him again, which will give them a strong chance at covering as home dogs in this spot.The Hawks explosive offence has averaged 123.1 points in their first 12 games since the All-Star Game, but only 91 on Sunday, but Im betting they bounce back here in this spot play. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.HOUSTON is 6-14 ATS as a road favorite this season. Atlanta has covered 14 of the L/20 meetings between these franchises. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 31-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-19-19 | Cornell v. Robert Morris +1 | 89-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Robert Morris fell in the semifinals of the 2019 Northeast Conference Tournament with a 66-62 setback @ Fairleigh Dickinson and will be primed for bounce back here to start the CIT. This game is being lined a essentially a pickem, which gives an edge to Robert Morris as Head coach Andrew Toole owns the highest winning percentage (.615) in games decided by five points or less (minimum 50 games) during the KenPom era (2002 to present). In nine seasons under Toole, the Colonials have posted a record of 59-37 in games decided by five points or less. ROBERT MORRIS is 11-3 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.ROBERT MORRIS is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season. Play on Robert Morris to cover |
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03-18-19 | Bulls +3 v. Suns | 116-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
The Bulls defeated Phoenix 124-116 on Nov. 21 as hosts. LaVine scored 29 points for Chicago and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Suns. The Suns are 0-12-1 ATS (/0-13 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA favorites (PHOENIX) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 73-121 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. ( Suns beat Pelicans in OT last time out on the road) PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-18-19 | Warriors v. Spurs +2.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Spurs have won 10 straight at home and are a season-best 12 games over .500 and are viable bets here as hosts in their current form, yes even against the defending Golden State Warriors.The Spurs and Warriors have split their two meetings this season, with both winning at home and Im betting the host side will hold serve again. SAN ANTONIO is 25-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and s 21-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season and 21-3 revenging a road loss overall and also 8-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. (GS beat SA at home on Jan 6 141-102 in merciless fashion and now pay back is at hand) GOLDEN STATE is 9-25 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game with the lone win coming by 1 point.The Warriors are 1-17-1 ATS /2-17 SU on the road with rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Play on the San Antonio spurs to cover |
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03-17-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -4.5 | 69-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Houston according to my projections should be 7 point favs here thus we have value laying the short lumber here. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. In the 5 championship games in this series, Bearcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. American Athletic Conference.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Cougars are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cougars are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 vs. American Athletic Conference.Cougars are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cougars are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win.Cougars are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-17-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Tennessee | 84-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Tennessee down by 7 points with under 5 minutes left yesterday came back with a tenacious effort to get the win vs Kentucky and will now be in a natural letdown spot . The Tigers also played a hard fought game vs Florida, but controlled most of the game until the end needing a big shot to win it for their 7th straight victory. Needless to say both teams are on tired legs . With that that said look for a grinding closely contested affair. Auburn is currently playing their best hoops of the season and defeated Tennessee to end the reg campaign, by 4 points, so they have the confidence knowing they can play with this Vols team and get my support getting points here in the SEC championship game. Auburn to cover |
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03-17-19 | Lakers v. Knicks +5 | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Two struggling teams go head to head this afternoon as the Knicks enter this home game on a 8 game losing streak as they take on a Lakers side with losses in 7 of their L/8 games overall. The Lakers despite of probably having super star LeBron James in the lineup for this game are on tired legs now playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, and in their last effort they were short handed and had to play everybody and use up alot of minutes. Im now betting the fatigue factor makes the Lakers less than stable underdog on this line this afternoon. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.EW YORK is 14-3 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Lakers are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Walton is 8-19 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of LA LAKERS. The Lakers are 0-11 ATS L/11 on the road with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter.The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 (/SU with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint. LA LAKERS are 9-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. LA LAKERS are 4-15 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 28-19 SU for a 60% conversion rate over the 5 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 10-30 SU L/40 with a -7.6 differential. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky +1 v. Old Dominion | 56-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - Frisco, TX The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ own a 15-1 ATS record as postseason underdog and must not be underestimated in what my own projections estimate is a favourable matchup's for them from a system vs system power ranking chart I use. W KENTUCKY is 10-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game like Old Dominion over the last 2 seasons. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-16-19 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -1 | 82-78 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Both these teams won on their own home court in their 2 meetings this season. Now in a neutral court environment I like the experience of Calapari and company to prevail . Kentucky has been bolstered by the return of key post player Reid Travis, who had 11 points and eight rebounds in the victory over Tennessee. He was sidelined by a knee injury in the rematch, and Kentucky missed him a great deal, and he could be the difference maker again. Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wildcats are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games. Calapari knows how to win big games in the finals rounds of a tournament going 33-5 SU in the Semis and finals in his career. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-15-19 | Bulls v. Clippers -8.5 | 121-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Even though Zach Lavine is expected back in the lineup for the Bulls tonight Im not sold on them being any less than 10 point dog here and Im betting we have value on the line with the explosive home team in this spot play at anything under DDs. LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-15-19 | Blazers v. Pelicans +8 | 122-110 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Blazers are a fine team but are getting way to much respect here and the value rests with the New Orleans Hornets as home dogs. You have to remember that the Blazers are below 500 road team with a 16-17 record while the Pelicans are a above 500 home team with a 18-15 record. I know Jrue Holiday is out for the Pelicans, but they're are young guys like Elfrid Payton who have stood tall thanks as is evident by a triple double in his L/2 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS off a home loss this season.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. The Pelicans are 18-2-1 ATS L/20 at home off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws. PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 3-13 ATS in road games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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03-15-19 | Xavier +6.5 v. Villanova | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Big East Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY Xavier entered this tournament playing their best basketball of the season, winning 6 of their L/7 games, and then won game 1 of the big East tournament with 63-61 win vs Creighton. On Feb 23rd of this season Xavier proved they matchup well vs Villanova winning by a 66-54 count so they have confidence entering this tilt with their abilities to not only compete but to upset the Wildcats. Meanwhile, Villanova lost 5 of their L/8 games tilts entering the tourney, and despite of taking out Providence in their big East opener, just don't look as explosive as they did last season, mostly because of their youth and inexperience as compared to last years national championship team. It must also be noted Villanova has had a hell of time in game 2s of this tourney, going just 1-10 ATS L/11 opportunities. With that said, Im betting that if Villy wins here and advances it wont come easily, thus taking points will be golden. A potential NCAA Tournament berth hangs in the balance for the Musketeers. Xavier's currently No. 70 in the NCAA NET rankings and Creighton's up to No. 54 after winning five in a row. So from a motivational factor alone we have a desperate team to back. Play on Xavier to cover |
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03-15-19 | George Mason +3.5 v. St Bonaventure | 57-68 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY This line signifies a close game, which in effect makes my decision to take the points here valid considering that since the start of 2017-18, Mason is 13-3 in A-10 games decided by five points or less. That includes an 11-3 mark in the regular season and 2-0 record in the A-10 Tournament. Meanwhile, the Bonnies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (GEORGE MASON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 131-78 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on George Mason to cover |
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03-15-19 | Connecticut +10.5 v. Houston | 45-84 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Memphis, TN UConn men's basketball used a balanced attack and hot-shooting from the field to earn an 80-73 win over the USF Bulls and enter this game with momentum. The Huskies have covered 4 straight in this series and must be respected as underdogs in this spot vs Houston. CBB Neutral court teams (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 38-22 SU L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on UConn to cover |
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03-14-19 | Mavs v. Nuggets -11 | 99-100 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost six straight and 11 of 12 and I personally dont like their current form.Dallas had more adversity Wednesday when its flight to Denver was delayed by a snowstorm, dubbed the "bomb cyclone" blew through Colorado and will now be completely exhausted entering this game and could easily end up on the wrong end of a ugly DD beatdown. Also star euro Doncics is also hobbled and if he plays could be hobbled. With that said, Im going to lay DDs here in a contest that does not favor visiting Dallas in the the thin air of the Mile High City tonight. DENVER is 17-4 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with the average point diff clicking in at 11.7 ppg. NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-82 SU L/22 seasons for a99%conversion rate with the average score diff clicking in at 13.5 ppg. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-14-19 | UCLA v. Arizona State -4.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV Even though the grabbed a season-finale victory against the Arizona Wildcats this past Saturday, there is still a chance ASU misses the NCAA Tournament. Needless to say they need s wins and will come out here against UCLA like gang busters. Arizona State is Second in the Pac-12 in scoring (77.7) UCLA is 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. No.2 seeds are 11-2 ATS since 2014 when they are 6 pointer less favs. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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03-14-19 | New Mexico v. Utah State -13 | 83-91 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah State enters this game on fire having on 7 straight games and 14 of their L/15 overall and must be respected even as DD favs here vs an over matched New Mexico side. During its recent seven-game winning streak, Utah State is shooting 46.2 percent from the floor, 33.1 percent from behind the 3-point line and 74.2 percent at the free throw line. Utah is well rested after conference play, whihc is a good omen as they are UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing with 7 or more days rest with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with the average point diff clicking in at 17.9 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UTAH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah State to cover |
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03-14-19 | Lakers +10.5 v. Raptors | 98-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Raptors,are off getting manhandled by the Cleveland last time out by a 126-101 count and lost Serge Ibaka to a three-game suspension for a fight during the game. He is a key cog in this teams flow and Im betting it will directly effect their ability to cover the number vs a Lakers squad looking for positives despite of having LeBron James healthy and in the lineup. The Raps Kyle Lowry will play, despite of some nagging injuries , but overall he has looked distracted lately and has constantly been arguing with referees.Im betting his negative mood will have a direct effect on his teammates. The Lakers are 12-1 ATS L/12 off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS n road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons The Raptors are 0-10 ATS at home with rest off a road game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. TORONTO is 12-23 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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03-14-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State +1.5 | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Florida State, the tournament’s No. 4 seed, takes on fifth-seeded Virginia Tech – which they beat in Tallahassee last week – at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and have the advantage again despite of the Hokies desperation factor. The Seminoles have a spot in the Big Dance guaranteed, having won 11 of their last 12 games and finishing fourth in the nation’s staunchest basketball conference. But despite of this they still are very motivated to get wins. QUOTE: “We want to make it as far as we can and then just use that as momentum going into the (NCAA) tournament,” junior guard Trent Forrest said. “So I would say we just want to stay locked in and continue to win games.” END QUOTE. Also the Seminoles will be very motivated for the rematch, regardless of any big-picture implications as when they played last week, they were taken to the brink by VTech and had to win in OT. The difference maker Im betting tonight will come via a very deep bench, while the Hokies’ rotation only goes about seven deep. Considering their starters played at least 28 minutes against Miami last time out – and now playing again today after playing yesterday will be on tired legs giving the Seminoles the edge. Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Seminoles are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Play on Florida State to cover |
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03-14-19 | NC State +11.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
NC State used a strong second-half surge to come back and defeat Clemson on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt vs No.1 seed Virginia and defending ACC champion . Note:defending champion in the ACC tournament is 4-13-1 ATS as a favorite in its first round game the following season since 2001 campaign.UVA posted a 66-65 overtime win at NC State this season, in a tilt that proved to me that the Wolfpack's style gave the Cavaliers alot of problems and Im betting they will irritate Virginia again today. NC State defeated Virginia 75-56 in the last meeting between the teams at the ACC Tournament in 2013. Take the points with the NC State to cover |
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03-13-19 | DePaul +5.5 v. St. John's | 74-82 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - New York, NY The Blue Demons enter the 2019 tournament with six total games of BIG EAST Tournament experience on the active roster and must be respected as underdogs vs St.Johns. DePaul has outrebounded the opponent in 21 of 29 games and Im betting they have an edge again as they have won 15 of those 21 games SU. DePaul won both regular season meetings, three of the last four and get the nod to be competitive again and even pull off the SU upset. ST JOHNS is 1-8 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. CBB team (ST JOHNS) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games are 43-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on DePaul to cover |
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03-13-19 | Pistons v. Heat -1 | 74-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
The Heat are off a down effort last time out against vs the Raptors which ended a 4 game win streak. Tonight vs the visiting crew from Motown Im betting the Heat bounce back in what is a more favourable matchup, behind a third ranked D and an offence that is virtually equal with that of the Pistons. MIAMI is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the Pistons. The Heat are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a favorite off a loss in a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. The Pistons are 3-21 ATS and 0-24 SU L/24 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than 85 point DETROIT is 3-11 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. DETROIT is 8-22 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 21-9 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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03-13-19 | Grizzlies -1 v. Hawks | 111-132 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Memphis turned over a lot of its roster at the deadline, it has gone 5-4 since the All-Star Game and has won four of its last five and deserves our attention here vs the young Atlanta Hawks. With key Grizzlies Cog Conley having performed well in the past vs the Hawks averaging 15.6 points and 7.1 assists in 17 career games against the Hawks I look for him to be the catalyst for a Memphis win and cover here tonight.Memphis won the first meeting 131-117 in October and get the nod again. Hey I know perceptions and sometimes be powerful, and alot like the way the young Hawks have played, but they are still highly inconsistent and not a viable bet in spots like this as they are coming off a home win vs a New Orelans team that has given up on their season. Note: ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this seasonATLANTA is 4-16 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons and is 9-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SUwith rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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03-13-19 | Bucknell +4 v. Colgate | 80-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Bucknell goes for their third straight Patriot League Championship tonight vs Colgate as underdogs. Bucknell has won 8 straight Patriot League tournament games, and must be respected here as underdogs because of their pedigree and top tier coaching. Yes, this game is Colgate, and I know that Bucknell has lost 3 straight road games, but despite of this there is just to much value to pass up here with this type of team. Play on Bucknell to cover |
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03-13-19 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Louisville | 53-75 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC Bringing their depleted roster to Charlotte and entering the tournament on the heels of a seven-game losing streak, not much was expected of Mike Brey’s squad , but thye found a way to get by Georgia Tech and advance to this tilt vs Louisville. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite fo a decent record this season, struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their L/8 and have not been very consistent on the road this season and have won just five of 11 games. Im betting on the luck of the Irish to be prevalent today and for them to somehow find a way to be competetive. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a terrible shooting team (40%or less) are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion for bettors on the blind. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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03-13-19 | Fordham v. Richmond -4 | 50-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Richmond is averaging 70.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season. Fordham averaging just 56.2 ppg in their L/5. Neubauer is 0-7 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of FORDHAM. FORDHAM is 8-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. FORDHAM is 4-14 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. Richmond to cover |
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03-13-19 | Arizona v. USC +2 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV My own projections make the wrong team the favorite here today. Defensively, the Trojans often use a 2-3 zone often, and held UA to under 30 percent shooting on Jan. 24. Rinse and repeat. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. USC is 36-19 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.USC is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. Play on USC |
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03-13-19 | Clemson v. NC State +2 | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC NC State closed the regular season in top tier fashion, going on the road to defeat Boston College, 73-47, and now have momentum entering this tilt against Clemson. The Pack's bench is averaging 30.6 points per game and has outscored the opponent's bench by 448 points this season and that will be the difference maker here today. Note: In ACC games, NC St shot better on the road than at home. NC State converted on 43.7% from the field and 38% from three-point range in conference road games this season. CLEMSON is 4-14 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997 NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season and is 7-1 AT in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season and also 8-2 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. 622 North Carolina State to cover |
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03-12-19 | Spurs v. Mavs +5 | 112-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost 5 straight and San Antonio has won 5 straight. But current form usually goes out the window when these instate NBA rivals go to head. In recent meetings the Spurs have failed to cover 8 straight meetings vs the Mavs when they are not getting points like tonight. With Dallas out looking for same season double revenge in this series Im betting they will be highly motivated . Note:Dallas’14-3 ATS as a underdog in this series when playing with same- season double revenge. The Mavericks are 23-3 ATS/22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. The Spurs are 2-16 ATS with rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and are 0-10 ATS when they won 3 straight vs current opponent. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-12-19 | Knicks v. Pacers -11.5 | 98-103 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
From what Ive seen from the Knicks of late tells me a story of a team that is in tank mode and has no fight left in them at all. It looks very much like the famous swan dive for draft picks is on. With that said, Im going to do something that I do on the rare occasion and that is to lay DDs with the more motivated team the Indiana Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 8-0 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season this season with the average victory coming by 15.8 ppg. Indiana took out the Knicks on Jan 11 at MSG by a 121 -106 count and a similar score is not out of the question in the rematch. The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with every loss coming by more than this asking price The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with the average point diff clicking in at -13.5 ppg. The Knicks are 0-12 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebound with the average point diff clicking in at -16.1 ppg. NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-80 SU L/22 seasons with the combined average point diff clicking in at -13.9 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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03-12-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
The N.Kentucky Norse are a team that can beat you with an explosive offense or a stingy D, while Wright State is more a defensive type team. The Norse averaged 80 points per game in the regular season, and was showcased in the quarterfinals in a 99-88 victory . They followed that with physical battle in a 64-63 win over Oakland in the semifinal and once again Im betting they have the edge here. Both teams split the seasons series, both winning on home court but on a neutral court my projections favor N.Kentucky by 3 thus according to my estimates we have value on a pickem line. Norse are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Play on N.Kentucky to cover |
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03-12-19 | Pittsburgh -1 v. Boston College | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Pitt had a horrendous game and shot just 29.0 percent (20-of-69) from the field in a nine-point loss at Boston College earlier this season, but this Pittsburgh team has shown alot of grit of late, and beat Notre Dame last time out, and now have the confidence to make two in row here against a side that is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. . Panthers lead the ACC with 16.4 made free throws per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here today against Boston College. Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.PITTSBURGH is 15-3 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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03-12-19 | Fairleigh Dickinson +4.5 v. St Francis PA | 85-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
The Knights captured a share of the NEC regular season title for the first time since 2006 and are set to take on SFU in a battle of the conference's top teams. The Red Flash and Knights were also picked No.1 and No. 2 in the conference preseason poll. With a championship title and a trip the NCAA tourney on the line Im betting on these teams fighting tooth to nail, and for the points to end being golden.The Knights are the top team in the NEC in field goal percentage (47.3%), three-point field goal percentage (40.0%), scoring margin (4.0), assist/turnover ratio (1.1), steals (7.8) and turnover margin (1.3). The Knights 40 percent conversion rate from behind the arc is fifth in the nation and their 47.1 percent field-goal percentage is 43rd. Look for their proficient shooting to the difference maker here tonight for the cover.
Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
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03-12-19 | Hartford -1 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 85-90 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Going 11-5 in America East play this season, UMBC's lone home loss came against Hartford and they lost the season series and Im betting they lose here again tonight. The difference maker will behind one of the schools all time greatLynch who has been red of late, as he enters the conference semifinals riding Hartford's longest active double-figure scoring streak at 13 gamesHe has been the catalyst for Hartford in his last seven games — a stretch that has seen the team go 7-2 — by averaging 19.4 ppg Lynch is shooting 55 percent shooting over his last nine, including a 26-for-49 clip (53%) from three. Maryland Baltimore has no answers for this top tier player. Hartford to cover |
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03-11-19 | Celtics -1 v. Clippers | 115-140 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Boston after a slump looks to be back in gear as the season winds and down and are currently a very dangerous opponent for all comers and especially vs a inconsistent Clippers team that they will be out to beat on here in revenge mode.Note: Boston lost to the Clippers 123-112 in Boston as 11.5-point chalk in February when they were slumping and now have pay back on board. LA is just 2-8 ATSL/10 at home vs Atlantic Division sides. BOSTON is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. BOSTON is 37-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 12-0 ATS with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists. Rivers is 18-34 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins are 56-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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03-11-19 | Oakland +5 v. Northern Kentucky | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Horizon Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Detroit, MI - Detroit, MI The Golden Grizzlies head into the semifinals after defeating No. 6 seed Youngstown State, 88-84 in the quarterfinals at the Blacktop at the O'rena.Oakland after a sub par year compared to their usual standards are currently on fire entering this tilt vs N.Kentucky with 5 straight wins. I know on paper N.Kentucky looks like the superior side, but in a tourney game like this the obvious stats are off the table, and instead pedigree and coaching must be respected. Oakland has that in spades, and gets my support here plus the points. N KENTUCKY is 7-14 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.N KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Kampe is 21-7 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of OAKLAND. Play on OAKLAND to cover |
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03-11-19 | Thunder v. Jazz -3 | 98-89 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Utah is off a loss vs a up trending Memphis team last time out, as they probably made the mistake of over looking them. Note :The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a loss with each game coming in convincing fashion with the average point differential clicking in at 20 ppg. Now in rebound mode, and ready for redemption the Jazz look like good bets at home as short chalk to take out a struggling Oklahoma City. Thunder team that has failed to cover 9 of their L/10 . Yes, the Thunder had 3 wins during this ATS nightmare run, with one win coming in OT vs. the Blazers, one against Memphis in a late ferocious comeback and a 1 point OT win that the Jazz blew numerous opportunities in. So with the Jazz looking fro revenge and redemption right here on their own floor where they are 21-11 SU this season they look very much like viable short favs. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 83-32 SU L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at +6.8 ppg. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-11-19 | Pistons v. Nets -2 | 75-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
Detroit played yesterday in a win vs Chicago and will now play their 6th game in 9 days and 3rd in 4 days , and fatigue could easily play a factor in their ability to extend a 4 game win streak tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has also won 3 straight but are much fresher after a couple days off, and Im betting they will have the extra needed energy on their own home floor to come out of this battle on top. DETROIT is 11-22 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 8-21 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are 0-12 ATS/SU as a road dog off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent. The Nets are 19-3 ATS/21-1 SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Nets are 9-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-172 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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03-11-19 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -2 | 61-43 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round Earlier this season, EMU came away with a thrilling 84-82 victory in double overtime in Muncie and overall thye matchup well vs Ball State. Eastern has held a firm advantage against Ball State in its MAC Tournament history, having won five straight post season meetings. E.Michigan at the Convocation Center in the MAC championship round are 6-2 lifetime . s versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Road teams as an underdog or pick (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 2-26 L/22 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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03-11-19 | Western Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | 67-81 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round Central Michigan won both regular-season matchups against Western Michigan this year by 21 and seven points in the W Michigan finale, and from a records perspective it might seem that there is an obvious edge here laying the points with the Chippewas. However, from a key power ranking post season system I consistently use, Im betting their is value with the under valued underdog. They played the Chips tough just the other day, in a strong 2nd half surge and had a 14-1 run at one point, and they now have confidence and the ability to be a headache for the Central Michigan again. Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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03-10-19 | Bucks +1.5 v. Spurs | 114-121 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
San Antonio (37-29) welcomes the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks (50-16) to its home court. Unfortunately for the Spurs they will be playing what has been a lousy guest for most of this season, as is evident by the Bucks 23-11 SU road record. On a pickem line the Bucks get my support in this spot. I know the Spurs are fresher than the Bucks , but Milwaukee has been resilient and shown how well conditioned they are in the past as is evident by 14-3 ATS record in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Bucks are 12-1 ATS /12-1 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a home game. The Bucks are 19-2 ATS /20-1 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points. The Spurs are 0-11 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 12-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Milwaukee to cover |
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03-10-19 | Rockets v. Mavs +8.5 | 94-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Im not accusing Mark Cuban of anything other than being a highly intelligent and devious business man, when I say, that they're is a possibility and not a conspiracy theory of him wanting his team to tank down the stretch for a higher draft pick, and maybe just maybe in closed door circumstances making his wishes known to the coaching staff. Just look at the Mavericks current run , and you get the feeling that this is what's going on. Also knowing that Cuban is a big time hoops fan, Im betting, if my crazy theory were right, that tanking would be put on the shelf for this one game against instate NBA rivals Houston coming to town. Ok all tongue and cheek conspiracy theories aside, my projections say this number is a little bloated and we have value with the home dog with revenge on board to cover. Note: DALLAS is 21-12 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. (Rockets beat Cavs 120-104 at home earlier this season) D'Antoni is 15-30 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON. The Rockets are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win in a home game after allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected.The Rockets are 0-13 ATS as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game .The Rockets are 3-19 ATS L/22 with rest off a 10+ win when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals and have failed to cover 11 straight under those perimeters. The Mavericks are 13-0 ATS as a home dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 13-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-10-19 | Magic v. Grizzlies +1.5 | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis, has won three of its past four games, including an impressive 114-104 victory over the visiting Utah Jazz last time out and must not be underestimated as short home chalk or dogs vs the Orlando Magic here today in the spoilers role. Orlando has won 8 of their L/13 and is after a play off birth. However like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones state, You don't; always get what you want." The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a home favorite. ORLANDO is 17-32 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 season and s 18-34 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, on Sunday games are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons and 5-0 SU this season. The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the one loss coming on the last possession. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS L/14 at home off a 10+ win as a dog. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 27-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-10-19 | Pelicans v. Hawks -1 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Atlanta is coming off a 114-112 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday night. The Hawks have dropped three straight but they are a young team with alot of promise. With Jrue Holiday out, and Anthony Davis missing form the lineup because of injuries the Pelicans are fade material here in this spot vs a hungry side, that like some other non play off teams in the league are still playing hard as was evident yesterday. The Hawks are 16-3 ATSnwith no rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts. The Hawks are 8-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game when they shot worse than 40 percent from the field their last two. ATLANTA is 28-16 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.Gentry is 10-25 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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03-10-19 | East Tennessee State +6.5 v. Wofford | 72-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Asheville, NCWofford is a great team and could even be a NCAA dark horse candidate, but today Im betting they will be tested by a sleeper pick in Eastern Tenn St .East Tennessee State lost 79-62 at Wofford on Dec. 1, then gave the Terriers at 78-76 overtime scare in the rematch Feb. 7 in Johnson City, Tenn and now on a neutral court environment have an edge getting generous points. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.E TENN ST is 21-9 ATS in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.Terriers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Terriers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Play on E Tenn State to cover
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03-10-19 | Northern Iowa v. Bradley -1.5 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO In this tourney environment D, is of the most utmost importance and Bradely according to my cross reference rankings stands up well to a N.Iowa offense that has average just a little more than 63 ppg on the road this season. N IOWA is 11-28 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 9-21 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 season. BRADLEY is 13-3 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (N IOWA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Bradley to cover |
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03-10-19 | Bulls +8 v. Pistons | 108-131 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons took their biggest comeback of the season against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. The Bulls will now have revenge and redemption on board for that embarrassing collapse and will play hard today and Im betting get is the cover. The Pistons are 0-11 ATS failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a favorite with less than two days rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter. The Bulls are 15-1 ATS on the road off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO is 21-7 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -2 | 85-69 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
No. 12 Houston visits 20th-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon bidding to capture its first outright league championship, but Bearcats will not go easily here on Seniors day, because if they win they get a share of the conference title. When these teams played last month the Cougars came up with a 65-58 win in bizarre game, that saw the Bearcats fail to score in the final 6 minutes of the game. Now Kevin Sampson and company travel to the Fifth Street Arena to face a hoops program that is 6-0 in their L/6 home games and 9-0 SU L/9 at home in this series. Also Mick Cronins group is 6-1 SU/ATS in same season home revenge tilts . With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be a key factor here today in the Bearcats delivering the cash to their backers. CBB home team (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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03-09-19 | Oregon +4.5 v. Washington | 55-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington has the No.1 seed in the upcoming PAC 12 tourney locked up, and could find themselves less motivated than usual vs Oregon Ducks teams fighting for tourney seeding and currently playing their best basketball of the season as they enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. I know its not easy playing against the Huskies 2-3 zone D, but after already seeing it once this season, should be much more prepared then they were the first time they played back in Oregon losing by a 61-56 count. Note: Oregon has won and covered its last two visits here. OREGON is 17-4 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, which was the case against Wash State last time out. Altman is 41-20 ATS in March games as the coach of OREGON. Play on Oregon to cover |
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03-09-19 | Tulsa v. Memphis -7.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Penney Hardaway and company have some big time pay back on board here on Seniors night, for a DD loss they suffered to Tulsa on the road back in late January, and will now be ready to hand out a similar merciless effort in this their home finale. It must be noted that Tulsa is just 1-12 ATS the last 13 in a loss vs a avenging side. TULSA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and is 31-10 ATS in home games in March games since 1997. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-09-19 | Wichita State -9.5 v. Tulane | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Wichita State in its regular season finale enters this tilt in top form having won 8 of their L/10 games, and 3 of their L/4 on the road and Tulane is not as they endure a 17 game losing streak and playing with little to no inspiration and will just want their pain to end here today. The Shockers will have no problem putting them out of their misery. Note: WSU is rebuilding this year behind 10 newcomers but has faced one of the nation's toughest schedules and is now reaping the benefits of tough schedule. WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season CBB Road teams as favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) - playing only their 3rd game in a week, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (20% or less) are 47-13 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wichita State |
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03-09-19 | Michigan +3.5 v. Michigan State | 63-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Michigan enters this game vs Big 10 and instate rival Michigan State with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Spartys a couple of weeks ago at home. The Wolverines HC Jim Beilein teams was uncharacteristically out of position alot that night , becasue Izzo changed up his D completely. However don't worry about old Jimmy as he is one of the best minds in the game and will adjust accordingly this time out. It must also be noted that the Spartys Cassisus Winston played a tremendous game in that above mentioned tilt, but is now dealing with wobbly knee issues that will hamper him. He's not the only injured Spartan, as their a few guys in the walking wounded lost, and this will hamper the home side tonight vs a physical top tier Defensive side ranked 3rd in the nation in adjusted D efficiency, out looking to get even. Note: Michigan States been shooting the lights out of late, but teams like the Spartys hitting at 50% or better in 3 or more straight games in March dating back 6 seasons are just 8-17-1 ATS at home. MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are just 25-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Michigan to cover |
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03-09-19 | UC Riverside +9 v. UC-Davis | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling as we come down to the finish line, and Cal Davis in their current form should not be this big a favorite , and my projections from a mathematical perspective is a edge and a must play for advantage players. US Davis has failed to cover 7 of their 10 home games this season. UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%) are just 35-68 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UC riverside to cover |
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03-09-19 | UCLA v. Utah -5 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah is an explosive offensive team averaging 83.4 ppf and rank first in the conference in effective field goal percentage , and have an advantage over a very average version of the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has lost 3 of their L/4 with their only win coming against lowly Cal in OT. This is not a good place to be playing sub par road ball making the Bruins fade material in this spot. UCLA is 7-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UCLA is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season. CBB team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ game are 42-75 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-09-19 | Nets -3.5 v. Hawks | 114-112 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Nets have dominated the Hawks in both their meetings this season, both of which were at home. Brooklyn won those tilts by a total of 33 points, averaging 130 points in the process.Im betting they dominate again and cover as short road chalk, vs a young team that is starting to struggle again after trending upward for a while. The Nets have won four in a row overall against the Hawks and have won three straight at Atlanta dating back to March of 2017. The Hawks are 0-9 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Hawks are 6-21-1 ATS L/27 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Nets are 34-4-1 ATS L39 on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range. NBA Road favorites (BROOKLYN) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or worse), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 61-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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03-09-19 | UCF v. Temple -1.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
The game also will mark the home coaching finale of Temple's Fran Dunphy, a Philadelphia legend who is stepping down after this season. Dunphy, 70, has gone 269-160 with the Owls and is 579-323 in his career. Im betting his team will be primed to give the old guy a top tier send off, and get him the win while at the same time bolstering their NCAA tournament qualifications. I know UCF is a very strong team, but Temple proved they could hang with them and lost a close one on the road to the Knights earlier this season, and have an edge as UCF is off two very hard fought emotional affairs and could easily be gassed entering this game. Play on Temple to cover |
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03-09-19 | Texas State v. Texas-Arlington -1 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Seeding On The Line When UTA Hosts Texas State In Regular-Season Finale and Im betitng the home team holds the edge.The Mavs have posted season highs in field goal percentage (56 & 52.7) and 3-point percentage (57.7 & 54.5) each of the last two games and are in red hot form at the perfect time.The Mavs currenty rank 22nd in the nation in 3-point percentage defense (30.4) and 57th in free-throw percentage (74.2). When these teams mets a month ago UTA playing on the road and, facing a team picking up votes in the national polls looked like the better overall side as, UTA knocked off Texas State in double overtime, 84-77 and actually matchup well vs this squad because of their ability to conquer good shooting sides like Texas State . TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Arlington to cover |
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03-09-19 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +2.5 | 80-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
ISU owns a top-10 offense nationally, and Im betting will give the visiting top tier Texas Red Raiders defence alot more than they can handle. Yes, I know that the Cyclones have struggled of late, but here on Seniors day their ability to play hard behind their boisterous crowd will lift them back up . Iowa Stat program has won 24 of their L/34 SU at home vs teams with better records and today Im betting they add to that number. ISU has won the last seven meetings in Ames, with Tech's last win at Hilton Coliseum coming in 2011. Texas Tech is 2-19 SU and 3-18 ATS against opposition playing Last Home Games. Iowa State is 21-7 L/28 home finales. IOWA ST is 21-9 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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03-09-19 | Long Island +5 v. St Francis PA | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
LIU does not deserve this big of a home court advantage vs Long Island as their home court advantage is listed at 304th in the nation according to kenpom. St.Francis has a inconsistent offense, while LIU shoots at a decent clip from beyond the arc, and has averaged 107 points per 100 possessions during a recent run , which is something I look for in a dog. Take the points with Long Island to cover |
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03-09-19 | Kings v. Knicks +6 | 102-94 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
After playing the fist part other season in balls to the walls fashion, the run and gun Sacramento Kings look like they have not paced them selves well and have run out of gas at the worst possible time as they have lost 6 of their L/8 . Today after having travelled from the West coast to the East coast, their biological clocks combined with jet lag and exhaustion Im betting factors into what will be a much closer game then many anticipate vs a lowly side, trying to play for their jobs in the NBA after some ugly embarrassing efforts. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. he Knicks are 19-3-1 ATS L/23 at home when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. The Kings are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 with more than one day of rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Kings are 3-18 ATS L/21 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home dog. Play on NY Knicks to cover Play NY Knicks to cover |
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03-09-19 | Tennessee v. Auburn +3 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is alot better than their record would indicate and must not be underestimated here vs Tennessee. Outside of ugly DD losses to the Kentucky Wildcats and Ole Miss Rebels, they onlylost to the Duke Blue Devils by five points, the LSU Tigers by five points, the Wildcats by two points. The Tigers are also 35th in the country when it comes to three-point percentage at 37.5 percent per game and that what the Vols struggle against. With Auburn 14-2 at home they deserve our respect as dogs. The Vols haven’t faced Auburn since Jan. 2, 2018, when the Tigers lit up UT in a 94-84 win. I dont think history will repeat itself but Im betting we have enough value here with the home underdog to consider this an advantage play. Barnes is 13-30 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Auburn to cover |
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03-08-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -2 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The Thunder had lost five of six before winning 129-121 in char fought overtime at Portland on Thursday night. However, now on tired legs in a back to back situation the Thunder are at a disadvantage. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS after a division game this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on a 3 game win streak and have captured victories in 4 of their L/5 overall, and have momentum coming into this game with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder back on Dec. 15th of this season. The Clippers are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 91-46 L/5 seasons SU for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-08-19 | Pistons v. Bulls +4 | 112-104 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Detroit has won 10 of its last 12 games and are in good form but from a matchup power ranking system vs system ranking algorithm I use I m betting they're getting to much love here tonight from the lines makers. Meanwhile, Motowns home dog opponent Chicago is a team that is playing alot better of late as was evident in a win vs Philadelphia 76ers 108-107 on Wednesday and now deserve respect getting points as they go for their 7th win in 10 games . Heres what HC Lavine said of his young Bulls team. QUOTE: When you are rebuilding, you have to take your bumps and understand you have to build your way up," LaVine said. "We're a young, exciting team. We have elite firepower. We have some of the best players in the NBA on this team, I feel like. And we're going to change it around really fast." END QUOTE. Chicago has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Illinois. CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. ( Their young legs buoy them) DETROIT is 8-21 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are 0-16 ATS/SU on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 21-55 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate and 2-14 SU this season. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans +7 | 127-104 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
The Raptors are coming off a 107-95 home loss to Houston on Tuesday and are currently in their worst form of the season as they embark on a 3 game road trip. Thats not a good omen for Dino supporters here tonight, as in the past the the Raptors are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 with rest off a loss when they are at the start of a three game road trip. Hey I know New Orleans is not a side that will inspire many bettors but from a mathematical standpoint Im betting we have value and an advantage with the home side here tonight. Also believe it or not the Pelicans are a more cohesive group without Anthony Davis in the lineup. It just so happens Davis will probably be side lined from now until the end of the year (injury) , which will lift this team up instead of demoralize them. because of his refusal to want anything to do with this group going forward. NO is off a home loss last time out to Utah snapping a 3 game win streak. From a trends perspective that is also good news as NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 ATS off a home loss this season. Bounce back time. TORONTO is 11-23 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Take the points with New Orleans to cover |
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03-08-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio -1.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Ohio (13-16, 5-12 MAC) play their final game of the season tonight at Convocation Center one final t when the Bobcats host Mid-American Conference East foe Miami (15-15, 7-10 MAC) for the second edition of the 'Battle of the Bricks.Friday night's game will serve as Ohio's Senior Night, and I expect the Bobcats to be in top form. Ohio has registered an impressive 508-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968 and n four-plus seasons under HC Phillips, Ohio has gone 56-25 (.708) at home and get the nod again in revenge mode for the lopsided 79-59 loss they suffered earlier in MAC play on the road to the Redhawks. Note: OHIO U is 37-17 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mid-American. MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season.(Miami coming off of a 75-66 loss at home against Kent State on March 5 as chalk) home team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 40-30 SU 5 seasons for a 57%+ conversion rate last 5 seasons. Play on Ohio to cover |
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03-08-19 | Yale +1 v. Pennsylvania | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Yale despite of already clinching an Ivy League spot in the play off tourney is very much in the hunt for the Ivy League championship and the No. 1 seed in the four-team tournament. The Bulldogs, are guaranteed at least a share of the Ivy League championship with a pair of victories this weekend. The winner of the Ivy Tournament receives the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. The league champion is determined by the final regular season standings. so needless to say Yale is playing for something big here. Penn are no pushovers, but it must be noted that YALE is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Tenacious rebounding is the Bulldogs, calling card and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker in this key road game. Note: Yale also is second in the country in defensive rebounds per game (30.64), 29th in field goal percentage defense (40.6 percent) and 31st in rebounding margin (+5.3). The Bulldogs are 18-1 when they outrebound their opponents YALE is 8-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons PENNSYLVANIA is 0-6 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 2 seasons. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Ivy League. Quakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Friday games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Quakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Play on Yale to cover |
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03-08-19 | Brown +3.5 v. Princeton | 67-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Brown comes into the Ivy League's final weekend with the ability to control its own destiny in earning a berth in the four team Ivy League Tournament if they can notch two victories this weekend starting with the Tigers. With Princeton already in the tourney they are far from in desperation mode, and might be saving their best for tomorrows senior night finale and the conference championship round thus giving us value with a Bears side that needs and wants to win badly. Brown, who leads the Ivy League scoring defense (68.7 ppg) and 3-point FG defense (.302), and ranks second in the Ivy League in and field goal defense (.417) must not be underestimated here getting points in this type of situation. Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 6-2 ATS L/8 in this series. Play on Brown to cover |
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03-07-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3.5 | 129-121 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City enters this game on a 0-8 ATS run with the 2 wins during that streak coming by 4 points and 1 point respectively. All 8 games however, saw the Thunder struggle, and they are in struggling form, against a team playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, as Portland comes homes off a 6-2 SU road trip and have been money in the bank for their backers for a while now cashing tickets 7 of their L/8 trips to the hardwood. I know Oklahoma City has won all three games in this series this season, but now with triple revenge on board Im betting on a big effort from the home team and subsequent cover. The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS after a division game this season. PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS in home games this season. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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03-07-19 | Grand Canyon +2.5 v. Utah Valley | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lopes (18-10, 10-4 WAC) can finish alone in second place for the first time in their six-year WAC history if they sweep this week's road trip and will be playing hard tonight in the first of those two games against a tough team to beat at home in the Wolverines (27-2 L/29 at home) . However, if there is a team other than New Mexico State that matches up well vs Utah Valley its the Lopes. They get my money here tonight to cover in a game that should be a pickem. Grand Canyon to cover |
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03-07-19 | Pacific +1.5 v. Pepperdine | 53-61 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Pacific enters this tourney game with momentum from last week's 73-72 win at Pepperdine. That game was an indicator of how well the Tigers matchup against the Wave, thus getting my support in this the their opener in this conference tourney. PACIFIC is 12-4 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. PEPPERDINE is 4-12 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better over the last 2 seasons. Pacific has won 6 of the L/7 in this series and get the nod again. Play on Pacific to cover |
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03-07-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks after a 7 game win streak have endured 2 straight losses including a shocking one to the Phoenix Suns last time out and will now be ready to bounce back here in a big way at home after 3 days rest.The Bucks are 13-2 ATS /14-1 SU with rest off a loss. The Bucks are 12-0 ATS at home when their last four games are WWLL.MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Bucks are also 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central and are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Meanwhile, the Pacers are off a hard fought win vs Chicago last time out but are 0-12 ATS as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times. Back in February the Bucks went into Indiana and beat the Pacers by a 106-97 count and proved they matchup well vs Indiana, and get the nod again laying DDs here. Note: The Pacers are 0-10 ATS/SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Milwaukee to romp |
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03-07-19 | North Florida +10.5 v. Liberty | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
In Liberty's first visit to UNF Arena, North Florida shot 60 percent from the field and rallied from 13 points down in the second half to earn the 75-70 victory against the ASUN leading Flames. while there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean, they are still more than capable of hanging tough here as they look for their fourth straight road victory.North Florida comes into Thursday's clash having won seven straight including handing the Flames their lone loss of the last nine games. This semi final conference tourney game is all about momentum, and the Ospreys have all kinds of positive mojo happening at the moment and Im betting wont go down without a big time fight and subsequent cover. Look for the Ospreys explosive 3 point shooting to keep us in this game. Play on North Florida to cover |
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