For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-08-19 | Bucks v. Jazz +3 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks visit Salt Lake City to take on Utah tonight. The public is loving the Bucks, but are greatly underestimating the tenacity of the Jazz, against a team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights on the road and in the high altitude of Salt Lake city. Advantage Utah. Take the points. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 26-5 SU L/23 seasons for a 84% conversion rate . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-22 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Illinois v. Grand Canyon +8 | 83-71 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The burn of losing a home opener for the first time in 17 years stung for Grand Canyon last time out. I believe that this usually well coached group got looking ahead to this this tilt with Illinois. Illinois is the first Power Five visitor to GCU Arena since the Lopes gave Louisville a scare three years ago. QUOTE:"Illinois is a tough team but we'll be ready for it, a lot more ready than we were Tuesday, that's for sure," Jenkins said. "I was talking to my teammates and saying, 'What's done is done.' We can erase all of that by going and winning that game Friday. That's a big game and a big team. It's a tough task but I know we're more than capable of beating them. END QUOTE: Grand Canyon on their own home floor will be a formidable pesky opponent for Illinois and I recommend we take the points. Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Antelopes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -7 | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The desperate Orlando Magic return home to Amway Center on Friday looking to end a four-game losing streak vs a Memphis side that they matchup well against.ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.8 ppg. The Magic are 9-0 SU/ 7-2 ATS L/9 as a home favorite. Play on the Magic to cover |
|||||||
11-08-19 | Davidson +2.5 v. Auburn | 66-76 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD A top tier matchup at the Veterans Classic features No. 24 Auburn vs. Davidson. Two teams that my early season power rankings suggest are very evenly matched .Auburn is down a bit this season after losing three key starters from last years final four group which accounts for 42 points per game of scoring and filling those sharp shooting spots will extremely difficult. Meanwhile, Davidson is very experienced as they return all five starters from last season 24 victory team that will Im betting take advantage of the Tigers inexperienced back court. McKillop is 74-40 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DAVIDSON. Play on Davidson to cover |
|||||||
11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spurs have dropped three of their past four, including Tuesday's 108-100 setback in Atlanta and because of this we have a decent recency bias to bet into here with the desperate home chalk. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have won two in a row and getting some media accolades on a small sample size. Truth is at least from my perspective , is that despite of the Thunders hard work and recent positive results, thye are still over matched here according to my power rankings which take into account variables media polling numbers don't such as matchup discrepancies based on systems. With that said, Im betting on the Spurs to come out here with a top tier effort on their way to a win and cover for the 5th straight time at home in this series.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 8-22 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston is off a 119-113 win vs Cleveland last time out, in a high shooting percentage tilt for the Celtics. Note: BOSTON is 12-23 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 5-16 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Charlotte has won 3 straight , and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Celtics side playing their 3rd straight road game in 5 nights and on tired legs. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 78-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover (LATE STEAM) |
|||||||
11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz -2 | 104-106 | Push | 0 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two straight both on the road, but still look lie a formidable NBA team, and now on two days rest will be prepared to bounce back here on home court vs a Philadelphia 76ers group playing their 3rd road game in 5 nights , Note: Jazz are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are also 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field and are 7-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Virginia -3 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Syracuse is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this season after losing four starters from last years team , while also adding a five-player freshman class. This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia. Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note: Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse, which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Virginia to cover |
|||||||
11-06-19 | Kings v. Raptors -7.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings the Toronto Raptors matchup well vs the Sacramento Kings , and with the added home court advantage look like very viable favorites here tonight. Torontos SRS: ranks 9th in the NBA ( 4.98) vs Sacramento's 27th ranking ( -7.52). SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Raptors NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - excellent free throw shooting team (79%or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 25-2 SU 23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which makes this a via-able ATS situation. Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
11-06-19 | McNeese State +7.5 v. Western Michigan | 65-75 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated. Take the points with McNeese State to cover |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves +6.5 | 134-106 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Milwaukee might be the public darling here but from a matchup perspective Minnesota is being highly under rated.(The Timberwolves will once again be without their star center Towns when they host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday) But this is a team that plays deeper and more systematically than past versions of the Wolves and can withstand his absence as was evident when they took out the Washington Wizards last time out. With Milwaukee off a hard fought emotional win vs the Raptors last time out, Im betting they are more vulnerable here than the linesmakers and public might anticipate. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 71-118 L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Jazz +4.5 v. Clippers | 94-105 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Jazz are a team that matches up well against a side like the Clippers and already proved it once this season, in a 110-96 victory vs the Clippers on Oct. 30 in Utah. I know Kawhi Leonard was out that night because of load management , but despite of the super stars huge efforts this season, could find the going tough vs a team that knows how to control pace and muck things up which effects opposition flow. According to SRS equations, the Jazz are the superior team at this point on the season. Utah 6:25 SRS ranked 7th in the league vs Clippers 5.21 SRS, ranked 9th in the league. ( SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.) Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in L.A..Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. UTAH is 23-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.( Utah lost a 102-101 decision to the Sacramento Kings on Nov.1 and now with some rest should be ready to rebound) NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Nets v. Pistons +1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 102 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this game against the Pistons off a hard fought win vs the Houston Rockets last night. The Nets hosts tonight the Pistons also played last night in a loss, but the difference maker for this matchup comes via home court advantage and slightly fresher legs of the Pistons, vs a Nets team playing their 3rd game in 3 nights.Note: Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are just 66-131 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Dating back 5 seasons, teams like the Brooklyn Nets with a line between 3 to -3 off no rest & won their previous game as a dog by a margin less then 30 pts against an opponent who had 50 or more points in the paint are 0-23 ATS/ SU. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Pelicans v. Thunder -3 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are off an upset win last time out vs Denver by a 122-107 count as 4 point home dogs. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS L/17 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans have been running a full throttle take no prisoners game plan so far this season, and after that draining effort last time out Im looking for a regressionary effort today in Oklahoma City. Pelicans are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the well rested Thunder are off a 102-99 loss last time out to Portland, but have bounced back well in the recent past positing a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. We also have a interesting NBA trend anomaly attached to this tilt that favors the Thunder: NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor ball handling team - committing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Lakers v. Mavs +2 | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers are full of veteran talent, but they are a little banged up right now with key cog Anthony Davis at less than 100% with a nagging shoulder injury. Dallas meanwhile, despite of being young is healthy right now and deserve respect on their own home court. The Lakers dating back to last season are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Rockets v. Nets +4.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston and the Washington Wizards set a record with 317 combined points in a tilt that was decided by one point as the Rockets snatched a 159-158 win in that game. Im now expecting some regression on the part of the Rockets, after that energy draining effort. There are also some troubling numbers attached to the Rockets last effort most notably being that they allowed Washington to shoot 62.6 percent from the floor. Look for Kyrie Irving and company to thrive in this spot play. HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn has win and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series. Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Rockets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Nets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 7-23 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (HOUSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 66-111 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee matchup is the middle game of a set of three in four nights at Orlando. Im betting the Bucks tired legs play an integral part in us getting a cover here tonight with the home dog. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Bucks are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Orlando NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz according to my own ratings should be -5 favs here against the public leaning Clippers. Hey I know the Clippers have the best player in the league Kawhi Leonard in their their lineup and their currently playing very good hoops, but Utah is no pushover. Utah has the second-lowest opponent expected eFG% in the league and their defense is tops in the league allowing just 92 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers are 24th on D under the same parameters. With that said, Im going directly against the public and the Clippers and agreeing with the market forces that suggest Utah has an edge. Utah is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series. NBA Favorites (UTAH) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 106-61 ATS L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is playing at an extremely high level right of the game this season for his new team the Brooklyn Nets. However, I am expecting a natural letdown regression offensively , and for the Nets nasty defensive play to burden them against a Indiana side that are capable of busting out of an early season scoring slump. It must be noted that despite of Kyrie Irving circus the Nets needed a late Irving's 3-pointer Friday after blowing a 19-point lead. Two days later, the Nets held an eight-point lead with three minutes remaining and gave up a 10-2 run that forced overtime. The 1-2 Nets are down trending and may not be the solid bet the public thinks they are tonight. BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU l/3 visits to Brooklyn. NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 41-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
|||||||
10-28-19 | Jazz -4.5 v. Suns | 96-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Jazz made a season-high 18 3-pointers and tied a franchise record with 13 threes in the first half while routing Sacramento 113-81 on Saturday, in a top tier two way game. Defence remains the mainstay of the Jazz success behind two-time reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert and here tonight Im betting their top tier D will be the difference maker as they march to a conclusive win vs a exhausted Suns team that will play their 3rd game in 4 nights and that they matchup well against .Utah has taken the last seven meetings by an average of 24.1 points and one more conclusive win is on tonights agenda. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-34 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
10-28-19 | Warriors v. Pelicans -3 | 134-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
After the five-time defending Western Conference champion Warriors were hammered at home by the Clippers 141-122 in the season opener, Golden State coach Steve Kerr said the performance was not "a one-off." Quote:"This is the reality," Kerr said. "There's going to be nights like this this year."End Quote: And the next night like that came at Oklahoma City on Sunday as the Thunder led by as many as 41 points in rolling to a 120-92 victory. With the league now wanting to take advantage of a great franchise that took great joy and pounding opponents mercilessly over the last few years payback by their opponents is now at hand. Both these teams are still without a win this season, but New Orleans according to my projections has an edge here at home laying the short lumber. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 34-3 SU L/23 seasons with the combined average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Nets -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 133-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is fitting in well to his new home in Brooklyn and followed up a top tier 50-point performance in his season debut by highlighting a late surge in the fourth quarter of Brooklyn's 113-109 win versus the New York Knicks on Friday night. According to my early season projections, Irving and the Nets matchup well here vs Memphis and are viable road favorites of 5 points or less. MEMPHIS is 21-39 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 53-32 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons . Nets are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis. Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Warriors v. Thunder +1.5 | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Warriors (0-1) and Thunder (0-2) are both still looking for their first wins. Golden State lost a 141-122 confrontation to the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma took season-opening losses at Utah and at home against Washington . Both rosters are vastly different from last season, but after watching some of key action from these games, I like the Thunder a little more at this point of the season, and believe they have an edge here on on home court this afternoon. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite. Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 28-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Knicks +8.5 v. Nets | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the NBAs version of the battle of NY, and it should be a good one, between the revamped NY Knicks and the up trending Brooklyn Nets. With Brooklyn off a heart breaking 127-126 OT loss last time out, Im betting they will be less energetic than the Knicks and easily suffering an emotional letdown. What Im betting here is the Knicks will play with passion and will not go down without a fight and advantageous line. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Wolves v. Hornets +5.5 | 121-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Charlotte are coming off one point victories in their first games of the season.Minnesota won 127-126 in overtime against the Brooklyn Nets in New York while, the Hornets overcame a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit Wednesday in a 126-125 victory against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Im betting the Wolves game was more strenuous than the Hornets game, and they will be fresher and ready to compete here on their own home floor as underdogs. Note:MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Charlotte is 2-0 in the 2 most recent games here and 12-3 SU L/15 as a host in this series and get my support to cover in this spot play. Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Kings v. Suns +2 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Suns HC Williams has implemented a "no-stick" offensive philosophy that asks players to pass, dribble or shoot in five-tenths of a second. Rubio, Booker, Saric, re-signed free agent Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ayton are the expected starters , as he has the type of lineup that can implement his philosophy fully. I know how bad the Suns have been over the last few seasons, but Im betting on them to up trend. Tonight against a Sacramento Kings side, that is just 1-3 in their L/4 visits here Im siding with the Suns to get us the cover. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover |
|||||||
10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
There will be no Zion Williamson (knee injury) in the New Orleans lineup this Tuesday night in Toronto on opening night as the Raptors begin the defense of their NBA championship. Because of this this we are getting a generous line to bet into with the visiting Pelicans. Despite of New Orleans not having Williamson in the lineup on opening night the proverbial cupboard is still not empty as top tier veterans like Holiday and Favors, Redick still make this team a fairly formidable opponent, and with the key additions of up trending young talent like Ingram, Ball and Hart must not be discounted to be competitive vs a side that lost their key starter Kawhi Leonard to free agency in the off season and have no real individual big stars in their lineup. This Pelicans group has alot to prove after their super star Davis left town via trade, and especially now with Williamson down, and Im expecting them to play a big game tonight vs a side that could easily experience a championship hangover. Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. New Orleans is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road. Road team is 23-6-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Home teams (TORONTO) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, in non-conference games are just 49-61 SU L/5 seasons for a 44.5% win conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
|||||||
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Wrong or right my perception of the Raptors last win in this series vs the Bucks was an albatross event, and that the Bucks are the superior team in a bounce back situation after an embarrassing 18 point loss. It must be noted that the Bucks lost just 7 games this season by 10 or more points . In the last six losses, the Bucks went 6-0 ATS, covering by 12.8 points per game. Also from a league wide perspective teams like Milwaukee coming off a 10 point plus post season loss are 25-11 ATS in the followup game in the Conference Finals. In the last 14 seasons teams that have won at least two straight games entering a playoff game and are in the underdog role in their next game and it is between game 5 and 7 in a playoff series, the team on the two-game-plus winning streak is just 31-48-1 ATS. MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 37-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going 22-1 SU with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is 20-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming by 6 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28 off 3 or more consecutive home wins . Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50. NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors +2.5 v. Blazers | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 After squandering a gigantic lead last time out vs Golden State in game 2 in this series, I can see the Blazers in a classic emotional letdown situation. When you exert that much energy and play much better than anyone anticipated and still lose, a follow up effort could easily be more muted than many expect here in game 3. I know alot of pundits point out that the Warriors are vulnerable without Durant in the lineup. However, it must be noted that the Warriors, play well together without Durant on the court, as they are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when he is out of the lineup, covering by more than 14 points per game, with all of the tilts coming on the road. Overall Durant is has been out, of the Warriors line 14 times since he came to Oakland and 5 of those games saw Steph Murray play, and guess what the Dubs were a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in those tilts. Kerr is 11-2 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA team (PORTLAND) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-100 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors +6 v. Bucks | 100-108 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors looked clumsy at best in their game 7 win vs the Philadelphia 76ers, and overall in that series. Overall, I believe both teams in that series, somehow effected the energy flow of each other in a negative way, which resulted in some of the ugliest basketball in this years playoffs. One thing did stand out to me in that above mentioned series, and that is the absolute dominance of Kawhi Leonard, and how he is a top tier player and game changer at the height of his career . His efforts were key for the Dinos in the play offs so far and nothing will change tonight vs a rested but rusty Milwaukee team that easily disposed of Boston in their last series victory. Im being careful here not to use any head to head matchup stats from the regular season, as the hoops that we will see tonight, wont be the same kind of hoops we have seen previously. I know the Raptors have a poor game 1 history in the play offs, but they did win game 1 vs Philly, and their still in game shape after a long series with the Sixers, while the inexperienced Bucks, are off a long lay off, and could easily start slow, which Im betting on a entire game basis effects their ability to cover, giving us value with the underdog Raptors. NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last ten games are 11-43 . ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
05-12-19 | 76ers +6 v. Raptors | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Philadelphia awoke from a 2 game slumber last time out in game 6, and forced a game 7 here in Toronto this Sunday. From the outset of this series I thought these teams were fairly evenly matched, and my thoughts have not changed. With that said, Im now betting we have value on the line getting points with Philadelphia in a game that has a high probability according to my projections of being hard fought to the very end. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Raptors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 77-58 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average margin deficit of those 135 games clicking in at 5 ppg. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver phenom Nikola Jokic continued his top tier play with 25 points and 19 rebounds in Game 5 . The big man is averaging 26.4 points, 14.4 rebounds and 8.8 assists and controlling play while hes on the court. His emergence into the associations list of up and comers and the good energy he creates for his hard working teams mates makes this Denver hard to beat in their current form and they get my backing again tonight to cover this spread. PORTLAND is 11-22 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors -2 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 It has become painfully obvious to Sixers backers over the last couple of games that the young men from the City of Brotherly Love, are having issues dealing with the Raptors super star Kawhi Leonard who is proving himself as the best player in this series. Add to that the sudden emergence of Kyle Lowry , as he finally is showing us he can play well in a play off environment and you have a situation that favors the Raptors to advance to the next round with a win tonight. Note: Leonard has become the fifth player in NBA history to register150 points, 30 rebounds and 15 assists through the first four games of a playoff series in NBA history, and Im betting he will be the difference maker in this spot. Note: Since the 2014-15, season, home underdogs in game 6 are 0-10 SU, losing by an average of 19.5 ppg. Philadelphias Embiid is averaging just 17 points and 7.6 rebounds in the series ( injuries, ailments, exhaustion, and lack of play off experience is key here ) 76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 14-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The opening line on this game was -9.5 which is pretty accurate , and now because of public perceptions about Houstons ability to compete with Golden State a flurry of public money has lowered this line down to value level and Im now all over Golden State elevating their play here tonight in coming out here like their hair is on fire. Note: NBA playoff teams like the Rockets that won two straight games vs a one or a two seed to tie the series at two games are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 times in game five with the average margin defeat coming by 17.4 ppg. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
|||||||
05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Denver has shown me they are the superior team in this series conflict with Portland thanks in part to a top tier defence, better open court shots, and a young man by the name of Jokic who is averaging 24.5 points per game, 12.5 assists, 9.3 assists and shooting better than 50% from the field, which are to this point the greatest numbers ever put up by a rookie in play off history. The big man logged alot of minutes last time out, but hes well conditioned and young, and more than capable of having another big game here at home in the Mile High City where the Nuggets have played their best hoops this season. Portland has failed to cover 18 of their L/23 after a straight-up loss in the playoffs under HC Stotts. Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games. Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest. Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss are 63-19 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate with the average ppg dif clicking in at +6.6 . NBA Road underdogs (PORTLAND) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 8-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 These teams are pretty evenly matched according to my head to head power rankings . I know Joel Embiid looked horrible in the final half of the last quarter, and possibly single handily handed the Raptors the win in game 4 of this series , with ugly charity stripe shooting, turnovers, and very nervous and overall big man clumsiness, and his lack of being an experienced closer . Despite of all this he is very talented and being on the road should help him be more balanced. With that said, Im betting the young man comes out here and adjusts , with a much better effort and leads his team to a cover. Raptors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdogs are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate . Play on the 76ers to cover |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | 113-101 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Celtics have to come out of their defensive minded shell and compete with the Bucks, who just refuse to slow down. It's not like the Celtics don't have the fire power or determination to compete, and tonight I expect some adjustments that make them more aggressive offensively. Look for Kyrie Irving to come out of a 2 game shooting funk here and really put forward a top tier effort. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 19-79 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -2 | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the Raptors are in trouble without the injured Siakam in the lineup here today in Philadelphia, especially in transition where he is one of the best in the league. It must be noted that Toronto has decreased its FG% conversion rare by 4.7% margin with Siakam not playing . When Siakam is on the bench during the these playoffs, the Raps are recording an Offensive Rating of 94.2 and an eFG% of 42.9%; they’ve been at 109.7 and 55.2% with him on the floor. The Raptors bench is weak, and volatile and with the way Lowry continues to struggle, and the Dinos ultra dependence Kawhi Leonard for offence, things just don't look good for them despite of being desperate for a win. During the L/5 play of seasons,sides that were defeated in their previous game by 10 ppg or more and then are underdogs in their next playoff tilt have really let their betting backers down going 45-76-1 for a go against 61% conversion rate on the spread . NBA Road underdogs (TORONTO) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 7-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 Golden State are still the odds on favs to win the NBA championship, and rightly so. I know Houston is one of the few teams that matchup well against the Warriors, but the Dubs are still the superior side, and are a dangerous road dog, making them my choice here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Lots of value at this line. Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. HOUSTON is 7-16 ATS after allowing 115 points or more this season which was the case in the game 2 loss. Play on Golden State to cover |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 After a top tier performance in game 1 the Nuggets then looked fatigued in game 2 of this series vs the Blazers. Do I think 2 days rest, is enough for the the young men from Denver to get back the form they had against the Spurs and then in the first tilt of this series? Yes, I do and suggest we take the points. Note: Denver really struggled from beyond the arc in game 2 , converting on just 6 of 29 shots for a 20.7% conversion rate. It not all bad however, from a ATS perspective as teams over the L/14 seasons, who hit 21% or less of their down town attempts, were positive money earners cashing at 101-77-4 ATS clip in their follow up game. PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The teams split games in Boston during the regular season, with the Celtics winning 117-113 in November and the Bucks prevailing 120-107 in December. But since the beginning of this season the Bucks have morphed into a power house in this league and must be respected here as road underdogs. The Bucks started this series very slowly, but boy did they ever pick things up last time out with a dominating 123-102 victory, and Im betting they continue to surge here on the road where they have covered their L/4 as visitors overall. BOSTON is 5-15 ATS off a road loss this season and are fade material here. I just cant get over the fact of how the Celtics struggled for long periods of time this season, and how they have been bad bets at home of late, failing to cover 8 of their L/10 at home and 10 of their L/14 as home chalk. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors +1 v. 76ers | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The 76ers and the Raptors spilt the first two games of this series, in Toronto , but I feel the Raptors are better and deeper team, and have an edge here tonight in Philadelphia. Im not the only one who feels like this as is evident by the market shift and overall smart money that has steamed in on this since the line was posted. TORONTO is 32-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 33-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. In the last 14 seasons teams that cashed an underdog in their last game, like the Sixers, are long term bad bets as is evident by going 176-208-8 ATS including 80-102-2 ATS when those same sides play at hosts in their next tilt. The Sixers are just 3-7 ATS after a SU win as an underdog, failing to cover by 5.9 points per game and this season after a SU win , the 76ers are a bankroll depleting 22-33 ATS for their backers for a go against 60% conversion rate for opposing bettors. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Raptors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Raptors are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 vs. NBA Atlantic. 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Blazers +3.5 v. Nuggets | 97-90 | Win | 102 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0 Denver after a long series against San Antonio kept their momentum alive in game 1 of this series vs Portland with a win. However, this Nuggets team must be tired and their fatigue could easily be a factor tonight against a motivated opponent that needs a win here to gain a split in this series. These teams are just to evenly matched from alot of perspectives that make me feel confident about taking points here. DENVER is 12-27 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.Trail Blazers are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Trail Blazers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.Trail Blazers are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Trail Blazers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. Nuggets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Rockets +5.5 v. Warriors | 109-115 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 The Rockets are one of the few teams in the NBA that matchup well against the Warriors.The Dubs squeezed past Houston in game 1 , but game 2 Im betting will see the Rockets be in a position to pull off an upset and more importantly cover the number for the 2nd straight time. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 11 of their L/18 ATS this season in that next home game, after a win failing to cover the spread by 6.9 points per game Golden St is 0-8 ATS L/8 at home off a tilt in which Steph Curry was not their high scorer,(which was the case in game 1) falling to over by an average of 19.38 ppg. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks -7 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics came in and upset the Bucks in game 1 of this series. It was in some ways surprising . In the past in the play offs the the Celtics were just 12-17 ATS as dog in their L/30 games as compared to being 19-3 ATS as a post season favorite. Both were rested for game 1 and both look similar to each other in some ways, but Im betting the difference maker in game 2 will be the Greek Freak Giannis Antetokounmpo. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season and is 18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
04-28-19 | Rockets +6.5 v. Warriors | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 My own projections and matchup stats suggest the Rockets matchup better than most teams in the west vs the defending NBA champion Dubs. Including the regular season and playoffs meetings, the Rockets are 8-6 SU against the Warriors over the last couple of seasons. After coming close to knocking off the champs in last year's Conference Finals, the Rockets will get their shot at redemption and will be primed to perform. HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on Houston Rockets to cover |
|||||||
04-28-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The last time these teams played back in February the Bucks came out of that game with a 98-97 win, here in Milwaukee. This Sunday afternoon Im expecting another hard fought game, in a tilt between combatants that know each other very well. The Bucks have won 5 of the L/7 here straight up but the Celtics have cashed ATS in 5 of those games and Im recommending we take the points again in this spot. Im betting on the Celtics to implement small ball game plan here with Horford vs Lopez at the center of the attention which will be key to aggravating the Bucks flow. Also with Malcolm Brogdon out for Milwaukee there is definitely room here and value with getting points with the Celtics. MILWAUKEE is 11-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 19-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 15-7 ATS against Central division opponents this season. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 86-90 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I just don't like the flow the Spurs at this point of the season. The Spurs shooting on the whole looks horrendous for the most part and Im also not impressed with their rebounding. The Spurs have not played well away from home all season long, garnering just 17 wins in 44 games, and have already lost 2 of the 3 games here in the Mile High City in this series. After watching the Spurs flail away in the first half of the last game before their desperation and home town fans buoyed them to a win in game 6 , with a 2nd half surge, it became obvious to me the more talented team behind key technical players like Nikola Jokic make this young Denver team a bad matchup for the Spurs. With that said, Im backing the Nuggets to deliver the cash on a cover here in game 7 and advance. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.DENVER is 25-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 11-21 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season.SAN ANTONIO is 16-29 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons Spurs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 The Warriors are the defending NBA champs and have a core of veteran players that know how to win big games and championships. I know the Warriors have looked lazy as they took the Clippers for granted especially in game 5. But now wide awake and not wanting a game 7 look for this super star Dubs team to shine through and get the win and more importantly as far as we are concerned the cover . The key and difference maker int his game Im betting comes behind Greens defensive prowess around the rim. Golden State has won 7 of their L/8 visits to the Staples Center vs the Clippers and get the nod again. This is the biggest spread put on a NBA road play off game in at least 14 seasons, but the Warriors despite of showing chinks in their armour are still capable of covering this number , and the linesmakers and smart money know it. In the last 14 seasons, double-digit underdogs in the NBA playoffs are 10-107 straight up. GOLDEN STATE is 29-13 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. Play on Golden St to cover |
|||||||
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -2.5 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver looked good last time out, but this Spurs team has for some reason, struggled on the road this season, so I was not completely surprised when they lost the key game 5 in the Mile High City. The Spurs are 33-10 SU home this season and have an edge here on their own floor against almost anyone in this league. When the going gets tough having a guy like Popvich in your corner is a good thing . Note: The Spurs behind Popovich are bankroll expanding 30-17-2 ATS in Games 5-7. SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on San Antonio to cover . |
|||||||
04-24-19 | Jazz +8 v. Rockets | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1 Harden and the Houston Rockets are not an easy team to play against, but Utah as time has gone in this series, look to be catching on to ways to slow this behemoth side down. In game 3 they were the better team , and they still lost, but in game 4 they dominated and won . In the L/2 meetings of this series the Rockets have been held to a 35.2 % FG conversion rate, and in game 4 the Rockets were held to a 97.8 offensive rating as the Jazz owned the Rockets in the paint while allowing them to convert just 47.6% around the rim. Here in game 5, I don't think the Jazz can do as much damage as last time, but their toughness and resiliency make them a viable side investment option at this number The public loves the Rockets and with all the money coming in on them you think the line would go the other way, but the books have chopped a half point off the opener knowing that contrarian market moves have been coming in this tilt. I like our edge here, and recommend we take the points with a side fighting for its play off lives. D'Antoni is 18-35 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Utah Jazz to cover |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3 | 115-118 | Push | 0 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
The Thunder showed flashes of brilliance earlier this season, and even before the play offs started I looked at them as a possible dark horse contender. But in never ending chase for value and a readjustment on my estimated market price attached to them, I changed my opinion. The Thunder continue to struggle with their shooting , and they just dont look like they have an answer for McCollum and and Lillard and with Paul George struggling with nagging injuries and his lack flow for long periods of time, it very much looks like their party is over. I know the public loves the Thunder, but there comes a time when illusion transgresses back into reality. PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-15 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 138-37 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with a point differential of 7.9 ppg clicking in! NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 55-12 L/22 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 8.8 ppg whihc qualifies as value on this spread. Portland to cover |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1 Since game 2 of this series the Raptors have absolutely dominated and dismantled the young Magic and Im betting nothing changes tonight in TO. The Raptors are cleaning the glass at a high rate, not allowing open 3s and just plain old showing us all how dangerous and deep they are. This matchup reminds me alot of the lopsided Milwaukee /Detroit series . Note: The Raptors Net Rating +23.7 which is almost on par with the Bucks. TORONTO is 9-0 ATS in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg. In the L/14 seasons, chalk favored by double-digits in Game 5 are 25-1 SU, with the average wining point diff clicking in at 14.4 points per game Play on Toronto to cover |
|||||||
04-22-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0 The Jazz did everything possible to beat the Rockets last time out and they still lost. Now completely letdown the Jazz have to face a group that gives them alot of matchup difficulties and their just not built to handle them. That's why Im betting on a sweep here and for the Rockets to end this tonight. Note: Favorites with a 3-0 series lead in Game 4 are 24-17-1 ATS last 14 seasons. Play on the Rockets to cover |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Blazers +5.5 v. Thunder | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1 Thanks to Westbrooks great shooting in game 3 of this series, the Thunder muscled past the Blazers, as they played like their hair was on fire and also as a team shot at 50% with their treys. Now in a sort of a letdown scenario I expect Westbrook who is off one of his worst shooting years from beyond the arc (29.3%) to regress here, and to take his team with him . Im betting on Damian Lillard to stand tall here for the Blazers and get us the cover. Thunder are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 Sunday games.Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Portland to cover |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Raptors -5.5 v. Magic | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Raptors have now won and completely controlled back to back games in this series to take a 2-1 lead, and look like viable road favorites tonight to deliver the goods again vs a Orlando Magic side that is in a shooting funk for the first time since they made their late season run to the play offs. We have concurring momentum patterns forming, with the Magic slumping at the worst possible time, and the powerful Dinos finally starting to show their dominance. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Warriors -8.5 v. Clippers | 113-105 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 I know alot is being made of the DeMarcus Cousins injury, but from a defensive perspective thats a good thing for the Warriors. As for the Warriors offence they have more than enough guns , to make up for his absence and like I said, they now no longer have a defensive liability on the floor. I know the Clippers played a tremendous game last time out, and shocked the Warriors, but it must be noted that the Warriors are 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the game after a defeat when taking on a Western Conference team in the playoffs. Overall the Dubs have cashed 13 of their L/18 on the road and can go from being up by a few points to DDs in the flash of an eye, so laying points with them here in a bounce back situation is not that scary a proposition vs a LA CLIPPERS team that is 2-11 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg. Play on Golden State to cover |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Celtics -2 v. Pacers | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 3-0 Boston can wrap this series up this Sunday, and thats what Im betting they do. The men from Bean town have owned the Pacers and nothing suggests anything will change today. I think some pundits are surprised the Celtics have righted their ship after a bumpy ride the end of their season, and Im not 100% sure that they can continue this type of play into the next series. But what i do know is that the Celtics matchup well vs a Pacers team that did not look cohesive entering the playoffs. Note: INDIANA is 4-12 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Teams down 3-0 are 3-12 SU L/15 times dating back the 2016 season.
Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
|||||||
04-20-19 | Bucks -8.5 v. Pistons | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 This game and series between the Pistons and the Bucks is a complete mismatch, and the first two lopsided scores favoring Milwaukee were no flukes. No even home court advantage Im betting will save the Pistons from another beatdown. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 13 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS vs. division opponents this season with the average point differential clicking in at +13 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
04-19-19 | Raptors -4.5 v. Magic | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The Raptors after losing game 1 came storming back with a convincing two way performance, crushing Orlando by a 111-82 count. After watching the Raptors dismantle, the Magic, Im betting the zig zag theory does not apply to this matchup. I know Orlando has had quite a 2nd half run ,but right now I feel the Dinos talent level and hunger for victory will trump what this young group has to offer.Note: NBA play off road favs are 30-11-1 against the spread over the last couple of seasons for a 73% conversion rate. I like this game alot and would bet it as high as -6. TORONTO is 33-19 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 71-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raptors to cover |
|||||||
04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denver may have found a way to win and cover in game 2 of this series, but San Antonio still looked like the better overall team, and deserve my backing here tonight. Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games. DENVER is 6-15 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. Spurs are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons in San Antonio. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents this season. Play on the San Antonio Spurs . to cover |
|||||||
04-18-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3 | 131-115 | Loss | -104 | 35 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 This series is now tied 1-1 and swings back to Brooklyn in a more favorable environment for the Nets. The Nets stole game 1 before the Sixers stormed back in game 2 and won in convincing fashion.Now on a couple of days rest the Nets will now be ready to rebound. Note: The Nets are 16-5 ATS in their past 21 games on two days of rest. During the regular season, Philadelphia was 20-21 as visitors, while Brooklyn was 23-18 as hosts and have the edge here getting points. In the last 13 + seasons, teams like theNets that allowed 125 or more points in a loss have gone 28-18 (61%) ATS in the playoffs BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 19-32 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more 41-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
|||||||
04-17-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics | 91-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics prevailed 84-74 in the best-of-7 opener.The Pacers, meanwhile, have rallied to win the series on two of the last three occasions when they lost Game 1 so Im not counting them out from the game 1 preview and still believe they have what it takes to compete.
The Pacers are 17-0 ATS covering by more than 10 ppg in the playoffs off a loss in which they had a BAP at least 9.5 points higher than their opponent and were 13-4 SU with none of the 4 SU losses coming by more than 6 points. NBA team (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or less are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0 Denver lost a101-96 decision to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series thanks to some atrocious shooting by key players. Note:The Nuggets shot just 42% from the field and 6-of-28 from 3 and still almost won. Now in a must-win situation for Denver as; (a loss drops the No. 2 seed in an 0-2 hole heading back to San Antonio for two games ) Im betting the Nuggets young guns nerves now settled come out here and play like nbnbtheir hairs on fire and get us the win and cover. NBA play off seeds (1-3) have historically hit a 58% conversion rate when playing as a home favorite after a loss and non-cover. SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 12-3 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play onDenver Nuggets |
|||||||
04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 In true zig zag theory Im going to take the points here with the LA Clippers on a value spread. I know Golden State has owned this series of late, but I saw enough from them in game 1 to feel comfortable taking points with them here in game 2. GOLDEN STATE is 11-27 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 23-10 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss against a division rival are 94-47 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent offensive team (102 r more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102r more PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 60-90 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
|||||||
04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The last playoff series to tip off in the NBA’s first round is the No. 5 Utah Jazz visiting the No. 4 Houston Rockets in the Western Conference on Sunday night. This is a rematch from last season’s Western Conference semifinals. . The Rockets took the series in five games, with every game in the series decided by at least eight points and Im betting this game will follow suit. Im betting on the Rockets super star Harden who led the league in scoring at 36.1 ppg, more than 8 points better than No. 2 Paul George to once again lead the way . Note: Harden’s average is the most since Michael Jordan’s 37.1 in 1986-87. Rockets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Rockets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)are 17-62 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
|||||||
04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors -9 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Im expecting the Toronto Raptors to shut the Orlando Magic down today, on their way to a DD win. Toronto after recent early departures from the play offs have a huge chip on their shoulders and will be out to get some real momentum going. ( LATE STEAM) Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 17-45 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
04-13-19 | Nets +7 v. 76ers | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Brooklyn has come along way and are now in the play offs, for the first time in a very long time, and Im betting they will be sky high here and leave everything on the floor here in game 1. I know the Nets dont have much play off experience but it must be noted that During the last 13 seasons, road teams without playoff experience are 74-47-4 (61.2%) ATS in the first round when taking on an opponent that made the postseason the year before. Meanwhile, Philadelphia enters these play offs suffering with a few nagging injuries to key players Joel Embiid(knee) and Jimmy Butler (back) and could find themselves in a real battle. Note: During their meetings in the regular season, the Nets outscored the 76ers by 40 points in 58 minutes with Embiid off the floor. Nets have the deeper bench in this series and get the nod from me to cover in game 1. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic. 76ers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 19-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Bucks | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
The Bucks' playoff position is set as the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they'll sit Most Valuable Player candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo and starting center Brook Lopez to prepare for the playoffs , thus the advantage goes to the Thunder to get us the cover. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 105-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Pacers v. Hawks -4.5 | 135-134 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Hawks will play an Indiana team with little left to play for after locking up a play off spot and that could be resting a majority of their starters here tonight in Atlanta as they try to stay healthy and fresh for the play offs. Atlanta has been one of the best teams down the stretch drive and have shown a lot of promise for next season and are motivated to give their fans a good send off this evening.ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS in the second half of the season this season. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Rockets -2 v. Thunder | 111-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston broke its own NBA record by making 27 3-pointers in Sunday's 149-113 home victory over the Phoenix Suns and enter this game with a full head of steam and ready to keep their momentum in high gear entering the play offs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of needing to ramp things up, are struggling in alot of facets of their game, and after watching them barely get past Minnesota last time out, Im betting their over matched vs an explosive opponent. HOUSTON is 15-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less this season. Play on Houston Rockets to cover |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz -2.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz were piling up victories and creating momentum for the postseason until the lowly LA Lakers upset them by out working them. Needless to say coach Quinn Snyder was left irate. Now Im betting the Jazz coming out here with a big time effort and bounce back vs the Denver Nuggets a team they have beaten 8 straight times and matchup well against. UTAH is 20-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. ( Denver lost at Portland last time out but covered) Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Raptors -7 v. Wolves | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Minnesota is depleted with injuries, and the Raptors despite of rapping up their play off spot, are still trying to enter the playoffs with momentum, and should be well prepared to lay down a beatdown here. NBA road favorites like Toronto between -3 and -10 points on the spread averaging 99+ points per game are 90-44-3 ATS L/137 for a 67.2% conversion rate after allowing 55 or more points in the first half of their last two games. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Grizzlies v. Pistons -10.5 | 93-100 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Despite losing four straight games, the Detroit Pistons sit in the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and need a win badly here and should come out ready to perform vs a Grizzlies side most likely playing out the string. Pistons HC Casey is 15-3 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
|||||||
04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -1 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
“The Ugliest National Championship” in history is what many are calling this game. But one of these ugly Bettys is going to get my money, and that is Virginia. I know Texas Tech has looked tremendous, in this tournament , but the Cavs wont be easily intimidated by the Raiders style of play especially with key cog 6-foot-10 Tariq Owens expected to play at less than 100% ( ankle injury). Meanwhile Virginia has remained steady from day 1 of this season, and are playing with a chip on their shoulders, after some recent early exits from the big dance. Both have top tier defences, but in my humble opinion Virginia is more battle tested after competing against teams like Duke this season. Im nit taking anything away from Texas Tech , but their win against Michigan State was in my humble opinion their best of the season, which has tainted this line. Note: VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. ( The Cavs beat Auburn by 1 point in the Final 4 as 5 point + chalk) CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 62-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Virginia to cover |
|||||||
04-07-19 | Pelicans v. Kings -9.5 | 133-129 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The home team has won each meeting this season , with the Pelicans winning 149-129 on Oct. 19 in New Orleans and the Kings winning 122-117 on Dec. 23 in Sacramento. Im betting on the home team giving their fans something to cheer about here in their home finale as they try to finish the season at .500. SACRAMENTO is 9-0 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average point differential clicking in at 14 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 3-27 ATS for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
04-07-19 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
With Toronto firmly gripping on the No.2 seed in the East its all about staying healthy. Meanwhile, Miami have lost three straight games to fall out of playoff position in the Eastern Conference and desperately need a win and will play like their hair is on fore here this afternoon. MIAMI is 7-0 ATS in road games against Atlantic division opponents this season. MIAMI is 21-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Heat are 45-17-2 ATS in their last 64 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games.Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Heat are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Southeast.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Toronto is 9-24-1 ATS at home in non-division game. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 68-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rte for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2 | 61-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spartans have faired well against havoc style defenses in their last two games against Duke and LSU and Im betting they will be able to deal with what Texas Tech will bring. Izzo and company can play any style that is thrown at them. Remember what the great Bruce Lee said,“You must be shapeless, formless, like water. When you pour water in a cup, it becomes the cup. When you pour water in a bottle, it becomes the bottle. When you pour water in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Water can drip and it can crash. Become like water my friend.” END QUOTE: Well Izzo is the Bruce Lee of basketball. A true master.( Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 22-0 SU as a favorite in the NCAA Tourney when coming off a SUATS victory ) Tonight Im betting the key will be The Spartans ability to control the board as Texas Tech only ranks 188th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. I know alot is being said, about the Elite D, that the Raiders own, but the Spartans defense is also top tier ranking ninth overall in adjusted defensive efficiency and second in 2-point shooting percentage while smothering opponents to a 31.2% conversion rate from beyond the arc. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games this season . Teams like Texas Tech n the Final Four Round if they lost SU in the first round of their conference tourney are 0-9 ATS. No.1 Teams like the Raiders who beat No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992 , when riding a 3-game ATS win streak. No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992. Play on Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5 | 62-63 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 47 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN From day one of this season, I liked Virginia to have a very strong chance at winning it all, and Im not about to change my mind here as Im betting the Cavaliers defence will trump Pearls explosive offence. It's a old adage that offence can get you to a championship but defence will win it for you, and nothing changes in this battle. Auburn in their first final four appearance in the history of the program has had a great run , but Im betting that their hot streak will end vs the last No.1 Seed still in the tournament, Virginia. It must be noted that Final Four and championship games have not produced alot of winning underdog tickets. Since 2005 pups are just 16-25-1 ATS. Up trending dogs are public darling, but have been less than profitable during the above mentioned span cashing just 5 of the L/14 times. Lower seed in the Final Four or finals are just 9-20 ATS and 5-24 straight up. Dating back 34 seasons, 14 programs have made their Final Four debuts. Of those teams, only four have advanced to the championship game. VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. VIRGINIA is 11-1 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 32-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Bucks | 133-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
When the NBA playoffs start next week, the Milwaukee Bucks know they will have home-court advantage throughout so resting players and making sure their healthy is more important than winning this game tonight against the visiting Brooklyn Nets who are desperate for wins as their quest for a post season spot is still up for grabs.The most recent meeting was Monday in Brooklyn when the Bucks led by 15 after the first quarter and posted a 131-121 win.but Im betting all out do or die effort from the Nets here. BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
|||||||
04-05-19 | Kings +10.5 v. Jazz | 98-119 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are geared up to halt a stretch of 12 straight losing seasons and Im betting they will play hard tonight and get is the cover vs the banged up Utah Jazz who are dealing with a boatload full of injuries and may limit key player minutes tonight in attempt to get healthy with the play offs approaching. PG] 04/05/2019 - Raul Neto is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Ankle )[G] 04/04/2019 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Knee )[SF] 04/04/2019 - Jae Crowder is upgraded to probable Friday vs Sacramento ( Thigh )[F] 04/04/2019 - Derrick Favors is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Back )[PG] 04/03/2019 - Ricky Rubio is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Hamstring )[PG] 03/18/2019 - Dante Exum is out indefinitely ( Knee ) UTAH is 1-9 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Sacramento to cover |
|||||||
04-05-19 | Raptors -5.5 v. Hornets | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Toronto has won five consecutive games since Lamb banked in a half-court heave at the buzzer for a 115-114 victory on March 24 and continue to ramp for the play offs against a team that is exhausted as they have feverishly chased a play off spot and off a 4 game road trip . I know Toronto can afford to take the pedal of metal , but their trying to stay in high gear entering the play offs and are in revenge mode for a 115-114 loss they suffered to the Hornets at home back in late March and will be ready to make their opponents pay here, especially knowing how desperate the Hornets are for wins. CHARLOTTE is 4-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a road win are 71-38 ATS L/5 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors |
|||||||
04-03-19 | Rockets -1 v. Clippers | 135-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rockets and Clippers are two of the hottest teams heading down the stretch of the regular season with Los Angeles going 16-4 in their past 20 games and Houston winning 17 of the their past 20 games. However, from a head to matchup perspective my own power rankings like the Rockets to deliver a winning ticket for us tonight. I know the Clippers won 115-112 on Oct. 21 in Los Angeles and Oct. 26 in Houston, the Clippers won by 20, 133-113 , but now with revenge on board Im betting on a primo effort from the Rockets.Note:HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. Play on Houston to cover |
|||||||
04-03-19 | Wolves v. Mavs -2 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Dallas looks like they have stopped tanking, and have won 2 straight games, and well positioned to make it 3 wins in a row vs a Minnesota group that has not played well on the road this season going 10-29 SU. Dallas also won both games in this series this season. DALLAS is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. MINNESOTA is 2-14 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Northwest.Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
|||||||
04-03-19 | Hornets -3.5 v. Pelicans | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Hornets are 0-3 on a road trip that concludes Wednesday night in New Orleans with Charlotte's playoff hopes hanging by a thread . Needless to say they are desperate for a win and tonight I expect they leave everything on the floor and get us the cover. CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more, in April games are 15-42 ATS L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on Charlotte to cover |
|||||||
04-03-19 | 76ers v. Hawks +4 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The young Atlanta Hawks are playing hard, and showing promise for the future behind emerging super star Trae Young . Meanwhile, Philadelphia is just trying to stay healthy before the play offs begin, and tonight will be without star Joel Embiid is OUT next 2 games ( Rest )and the banged up Jimmy Butler . Note:The Hawks are 2-1 against the 76ers this season, including a 129-127 home victory on March 23, when Young had 32 points and 11 assists. QUOTE :"We clipped Philly last time, so I'm sure they are going to come in with a little bit of vengeance," Bazemore said on Fox Sports Southeast."With a couple of games left in the season, they are trying to be in the best position they can. At the same time, we're still trying to play spoiler and have a bunch of guys finish the season strong." END QUOTE. Im betting Philly despite fo wanting revenge, still wont come out here with guns blazing as the bigger picture is more important. Look for Atlanta to hold serve and get us the cover. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. 76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 76ers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.Play on Atlanta to cover |
|||||||
04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1.5 | 58-44 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY TCU matches up well vs Texas. It must be noted that TCU is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. TEXAS is 4-19 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997 CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 25-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 74-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on TCU to cover |
|||||||
04-02-19 | Lakers +13 v. Thunder | 103-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Lakers come in here as big underdogs as they play without LeBron James who has been shut down for the season, with an injury. However, the Lakers look like they have some fight left in them as they come in here off a win vs the New Orleans Pelicans last time out by DDs. Note: James is also expected to be on the bench as sort of an assistant coach, which is a huge motivation for this young group. Meanwhile, the inconsistent Thunder maybe getting to much respect in this spot, as they are just 11-13 against the eight non-playoff teams in the Western Conference this season, with 4 of their wins coming against the downtrodden Phoenix Suns. Note:Russell Westbrook had a triple-double last time out, but his team has fallen flat on their faces the L/7 times this has happened losing 6 times straight up and winning the lone game by 1 point. Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Thunder are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
04-01-19 | Bulls v. Knicks -3 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Chicago are a group of walking wounded and hobbled athletes just trying to make to the end of what has been a frustrating rebuilding season. I know the Knicks are not much better, but they are a healthier group playing on their own home floor and have an edge in this matchup between bottom feeders. This is a side option based on the lesser of two evils concept. NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in April games are 51-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate! Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
04-01-19 | Bucks v. Nets +1 | 131-121 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
The Bucks played last night so they're a little tired. It must also be noted that Kris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo are questionable for Milwaukee tonight and if they do play Im betting they may not see that much time as the Bucks are more interested in staying rested and healthy as the play offs approach. Note: Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. , their hosts the Brooklyn Nets, every game left is like a playoff game, as they are in a fight for the final play off spot in the East. QUOTE:"I (said) at the end of the Philly game, every game is going to be worth it," the Nets' D'Angelo Russell said. "We need it -- scratching and clawing for every one of them. END QUOTE. Milwaukee Beat Brooklyn by DD here in NYC back in February which will have the Nets not only desperate but in revenge mode. BROOKLYN is 15-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
|||||||
04-01-19 | DePaul +1.5 v. South Florida | 61-63 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3) From my head to head and player to player power ranking system, the wrong team is favored here. Note: DePauls offense is explosive and South Florida will have-a hard time slowing down a side that has scored 90 or more points in 6 of their L/7 trips to the floor. With that said, I recommending backing DePaul in Game 1 of this series. Blue Demons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulls are 19-39 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big East.Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. DEPAUL is 23-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. S FLORIDA is 5-14 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. S. FLORIDA is 16-30 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse over the last 3 seasons. CBB road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DEPAUL) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 104-50 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on DePaul to cover |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Kings +10 v. Spurs | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs have secured a spot in the playoffs for the NBA-record-tying 22nd consecutive year, and there is no longer and urgency attached to their work, despite of still needing better seeding . Meanwhile, Sacramento has defeated the Spurs in both meetings this year and have shown they matchup well in this series, and very much look like viable underdogs in this spot. SACRAMENTO is 23-9 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.SAN ANTONIO is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. The Spurs are 0-17 ATS with 2+ days' rest when they are off a game as a home fav in which they scored 27.5%+ of their points from 3s and had a BAP of less than 75%. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Duke | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
NCAA - East Regional Finals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC Duke looks a little bit over rated at the moment, of course outside of Zion Williamson. The rest of the Blue Devils seem tentative, and unsure of themselves, which is never a great thing against a team like Tom Izzos Michigan State. They should have lost to UCF and maybe even to Virginia Tech , because of their inability to control the glass a, but today the Blue Devils luck Im betting will running out vs a Michigan State side that ranks 21st in the nation in offensive rebounding . Im also betting the Spartans’ half-court defence to wreak havoc on Dukes downtown shots , and their aggressive physical nature to take Duke out of their comfort zone. MICHIGAN ST is 11-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) this season. MICHIGAN ST is 18-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
Play on Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -2.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show | |
Teams in the NCAA tourney like Auburn who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005. Running and gunning like that and scoring that many points alot of times results in a team being in an emotional letdown spot which Im betting will be the case here vs Kentucky this Sunday. Note:Kentucky went 2-0 vs. Auburn during the 2018-19 season, edging the Tigers 82-80 in Alabama on Jan. 19 before obliterating the men of Pearl 80-53 in Rupp Arena on Feb. 23 and matchup very well vs Auburn . Also the 3rd time is charm scenario dished out by pundits, and that perpetuate the myth that its hard to beat a team 3 straight times especially if the 3rd game comes in the NCAA tournament is a bunch of quackery, as is evident by the fact that in the last 10 seasons, the team that is 2-0 in a matchup has garnered victory 72% of the time . With that said Im betting against a 3rd times a charm rebound scenario in this spot. Im betting on Kentucky moving on and getting us the cover in the process. Play on Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
03-31-19 | Bucks -8 v. Hawks | 135-136 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
The Bucks won the first meeting in this series this season in Milwaukee 144-112 and smashed the Hawks 133-114 in the rematch in Atlanta. The Bucks have won six straight games against Atlanta and Im betting on more of the same one sided action here today against an Atlanta side the Bucks matchup very well against. The Bucks are 22-0 ATS as a road favorite after a game in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses and committed fewer than 22 fouls. The Hawks are 0-17 ATS /0-17 SU L/17 as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after scoring 14.5 or more points less than Vegas projected. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia -4 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Virginia looks offensively inept to public bettors draining just 53 points in its victory versus the Oregon Ducks. However, it must be noted, however, that hoops programs that scored less than 60 points last time out have gone 171-115-7 (60%) ATS in the NCAA Tournament, including 8-2 ATS in the Elite Eight onward to Final four and championship game. Purdue lives and dies with its 3 point shooting, and Im betting they will have issues vs the 2nd ranked beyond the arc D in the nation. Also teams in the NCAA tourney like Purdue who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005 ( the Boilermakers scored 99 points vs Tennessee last time out to advance) Im expecting Purdue to run into a natural letdown situation and a nasty D, in a double whammy loss and failure to cover in this Elite 8 game. Virginia to cover |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Raptors v. Bulls +10.5 | 124-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Raptors look to be coasting to the finish line, as they reserve energy for the post season as they rest players. Tonight I expect the banged up Bulls, despite of being short handed to stay close enough to get us the cover as home dogs vs what could easily be a disinterested opponent. The Raptors are 0-12 ATS after a game as a road favorite in which they were outscored in the paint by double-digits which happened last time out at NY vs the Knicks. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.Raptors are 4-15 ATS in the last 19 meetings.Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Raptors are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Raptors are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Raptors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
|||||||
03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Underdogs like Texas Tech off a suffocating top tier defensive game have gone 168-123-6 (58%) ATS since 2005 in the NCAA Tourney. Note: HC Beard is 24-9 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile, teams like Gonzaga who scored 70 points more more last time out are just 301-330 ATS ( 47%) in the NCAA tourney. In a game that features a extremely strong D with the Raiders, against a Bulldogs side that owns a high proficiency offence, Im betting the D has an edge. Remember how at the end of the season in the West Coast Conference finals how St.Marys upset Gonzaga, well Tech is built the same way, and have even better overall athletes than the Gaels and must not be underestimated as underdogs in this spot. Few is 9-18 ATS when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament as the coach of GONZAGA.Beard is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of TEXAS TECH. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.