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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks | 21-28 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 8;20 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Cardinals +3.0 (5*) Although the Seahawks are 4-0 at home this season, their average margin of victory has been only 5.7 points per game. Despite the hot start at home, the Seahawks are only 15-10 straight up during their previous 15 home games. Conversely, since 2015, Arizona has gone an outstanding 11-4 straight up and 11-3-1 ATS in division road games. That includes going 6-1 SU&ATS during that identical time span as a division road underdog of 8.0 or less. At the end of the day, the Seattle defense has been porous all season long and will continue to struggle against an Arizona offense that has scored 30 points or more in each of its previous 5 games. Arizona has gone 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Seattle. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +7 | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Eastern Michigan +7.0 (5*) The last 3 meeting between these teams were all decided by 5 points or fewer. Eastern Michigan is coming off back to back conference road losses by scores of 27-23 and 38-31. They covered on each of those occasions as an underdog. Toledo is coming off an excruciating 41-38 loss at Western Michigan. The Rockets inexplicably blew a 38-27 loss with less than a minute to play in that contest. That loss now makes Toledo 0-5 SU&ATS in conference away games since the start of last season. Any college football home team that is coming off conference losses by 7 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-22 straight up since 2011. Considering this college football straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this game it takes on added significance. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 44 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Bears 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Under 44.0 (5*) These teams have seen 5 of their last 6 meetings in Chicago go under the total. Minnesota is coming off a 34-20 win over Detroit in their previous game. The Vikings have gone under in 10 of their last 12 after scoring 34 points or greater in their previous game. Minnesota has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 away when there was a total of 44.0 or less. Chicago has gone under in 12 of their last 15 at home and that includes all 5 if there was a total of 44.0 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 36.7 points scored per game. The Bears are #9 in total defense and #7 in scoring defense. Conversely, they are an awful #30 in both yards gained and points scored per game. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 45.0 or less has gone 12-2 (83.3%) under the total since 2011. If they were facing an opponent that scored 31 points or more in their previous contest, then all 7 of those contests stayed under while just a combined average of 32.4 points were scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams -2 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Rams -2.0 (10*) The Seahawks defense has been brutal this season and especially against opposing passing games. They rank dead last in total defense having allowed 455.8 yards per game and that includes an NFL worst 362.1 yards per contest. How bad is their defensive passing numbers? The next worst is Atlanta who surrenders 51.8 passing yards fewer per game than Seattle. The Seahawks have been bailed out by the heroics of their quarterback Russel Wilson. However, Wilson turned the ball over via interception or fumbles 7 times over the Seahawks last 3 games of which 2 of those contests resulted in losses. The Rams are unequivocally the more balanced team in this matchup in terms of offense and defense. They are #2 in total defense and #6 in total offense heading into this game. Head coach Sean McVay is a brilliant offensive mind and will have a field day calling plays that will thoroughly exploit this inept Seattle defense. By the way, since 2018, the Rams are 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less. Los Angles is coming off their bye week and benefit from that extra time to prepare and rest for this huge game against a team they trail by a mere 1.0 game in the NFC West standings. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-15-20 | Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | 21-29 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Dolphins 4:05 Game# 277-278 Play On: Chargers +1.5 (5*) The Dolphins enter this contest red-hot by having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. To their credit, Miami is finding ways to win games by being more opportunistic rather than good, and that has been especially evident in their previous 2 contests against the Rams and Cardinals. They were outgained by a margin of 471-145 versus the Rams and 442-312 against Arizona. The Dolphins were beneficiaries of two long defensive fumble returns for touchdowns and returned a punt 88 yards for another score. Winning by those methods over an extended period is unsustainable. The Chargers are 2-6 and continue to be creative in finding ways to lose games they should have won. All 6 of their defeats have come by 7 points or fewer. The last 2 weeks they fell in gut wrenching fashion. The blew a 24-3 second half lead at Denver and ultimately lost on a Denver touchdown on the final play of that contest. Last week they seemingly turned the trick by scoring a touchdown on the final play of the 4th quarter to beat the Raiders, only to have that score be overturned by video review. Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert continues to play at an extremely high level. During the Chargers last 3 outings, their offense 31.7 points scored and 469.7 yards gained per game. Bet on the Chargers for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs v. Panthers +6 | 46-23 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Panthers 1: PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Panthers +6.0 (5*) Carolina has lost 4 in a row, but they have been in all those games. In fact, 5 of the Panthers 6 losses this season have come by 8 points or fewer. Ironically, the other loss that did not fit the parameter came in Week 2 when they fell at Tampa Bay 31-17. Nonetheless, they outgained the Bucs in that game 427-339 but were plagued by committing 4 turnovers. Yes, the Panthers will once again be without star running back Christian McCaffery due to a shoulder injury sustained in a 33-31 loss at Kansas City last Sunday. Nevertheless, all 3 of their wins this season were without McCaffery being available. The Bucs are coming off an embarrassing 38-3 home loss to New Orleans which was witnessed by a Sunday night national television audience. After looking like they were starting to gel offensively during previous weeks action, Tampa Bay was only able to amass 194 yards of total offense against a mediocre at best Saints defense. Any NFL underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 which allowed 31 points or more in their previous game, and they are facing a division opponent that scored 21 points or fewer during its last game, resulted in those division underdogs going 31-3 ATS (91.1%) since 1992. |
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11-15-20 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Giants +4.0 (5*) The Giants have lost to the Eagles 8 straight times. However, they were a profitable 5-3 ATS during those contests. As a matter of fact, 6 of those 8 losses came by 6 points or less including an earlier season 22-21 defeat at Philadelphia. New York has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog this season. Furthermore, the Giants last 5 games overall have all been decided by 3 points or fewer. The Giants are coming off an away underdog 23-20 straight up win at Washington last Sunday. The New York defense has been solid of late. They have allowed 93 yards or fewer rushing in 6 of its last 7 game and are #6 in the NFL in that specific category. As has been the case in recent games, the Giants will keep this game extremely close at the very worst and have a very realistic chance of winning straight up. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-14-20 | Arkansas v. Florida -17 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Florida -17.0 (10*) At first glance when looking at this line on Monday, my initial feeling was Florida would be in for an emotional letdown after defeating Georgia for a first time in 4 tries during its previous game. However, that win catapulted them to #6 in the country, and if they aspire to be in the SEC title game or the College Football 4-team Playoff, they have no room for error. Additionally, they are going to need some style points along the way. Arkansas has been a nice story this season under first year head coach Sam Pittman. After being an SEC laughingstock for the past few seasons, the Razorbacks are a respectable 3-3 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those contests. It is highly improbable that Florida will overlook this game in lieu of what they have at stake and how competitive of an opponent they will be facing. Furthermore, the Razorbacks will be without head coach Sam Pittman who tested positive for COVID-19 this week. Former Missouri head coach and now Arkansas defensive coordinator will take on the temporary head coaching duties. From an emotional standpoint, that will affect the Razorbacks in some way, shape, or form. I look for Florida to make a further emphatic statement in “The Swamp” on Saturday night. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -2 | 25-24 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Miami @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 155-157 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.0 (5*) Virginia tech was a substantial 17.0-point home favorite last week as an unranked team against upstart #25 Liberty. The Hokies let their guard down and were knocked off by Liberty 38-35. Nevertheless, they has not deterred the books from making them an unranked favorite again this week and this time versus #9 Miami. The Hurricanes are enjoying a 6-1 season to this point with their lone defeat coming at Clemson. They barely escaped with a 44-41 win at NC State in their last game and needed a late rally to win as a road favorite of -11.0. The Canes have allowed an alarmingly high 39.0 points and 492.0 yards per contest throughout their 3 road games this season. They will be facing a balanced and explosive Virginia Tech offense. I look for the Hokies to bounce back with a huge effort on Saturday. Bet on Virginia Tech for a 5* wager. |
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11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Michigan State +7.5 (5*) Indiana is coming off an emotional 38-21 win over Michigan. In doing so, they snapped a 24-game losing streak versus Michigan and won for a first time since 1987. Now they go on the road as a touchdown favorite against a Michigan State team that was embarrassed last week during a 49-7 defeat at Iowa as just a 5.0-point underdog. Additionally, Indiana has #3 Ohio State up next. This looks like the proverbial flat spot for #10 Indiana. Bet on Michigan State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 48.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Colts @ Titans 8:20 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Indianapolis is #1 in total defense which includes #3 against the run. Although the Tennessee defensive statistics are poor, they have thwarted off many offensive drives by their opponents by forcing 14 turnovers through 8 games. Conversely, the Titans offense has averaged a mammoth 35:29 in time of possession during their previous 3 games. You can cover up a lot of defensive deficiencies when you can minimize your opponent’s offensive possessions. Any NFL team playing on a Thursday after Game 8 of their season, and they are facing a division opponent (Colts) that is coming off a SU&ATS loss, resulted in those games going 18-0 to the under since 1991. Those 18 contests had a mere combined 32.3 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Western Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Western Michigan -2.0 (5*) Toledo has gone an abysmal 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an away underdog, and that includes 0-7 ATS if they scored 28 points or more during their previous game. Conversely, Western Michigan has won 7 straight at home and that includes going 5-1 ATS versus FBS opponents. Western Michigan will be seeking big time revenge after going 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games against Toledo. Both teams are coming off blowout wins in their season openers played last Wednesday. Toledo defeated Bowling Green 38-3 and covered easily as a 23.5-point home favorite. Western Michigan shellacked Akron 58-13 while covering comfortably as a 20.5-point away favorite. These results set up a profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football conference home favorite of 9.5 or less that is coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, and they are facing an opponent coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they also covered by 10.0 or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-8 ATS (72.4%) since 1984. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Play On: Jets +10.0 (5*) I know the Jets are horrible which is fully evidenced by their 0-8 record. What makes matters worse from a betting perspective is they failed to cover in 7 of those 8 contests and have been outscored by an average of 18.0 points per game. However, they will be facing a 2-5 New England team that is 0-3 in away games this season. The Patriots have endured their fair share of offensive struggles this season. As a matter of fact, they enter today having lost 4 in a row while averaging only 12.3 points and gained a mere 283.8 yards per game during that stretch. Additionally, NFL betting history clearly favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any NFL home underdog of between 10.0 and 14.0 that possesses a win percentage of worse than .200, and they are facing an opponent coming off a loss and has a win percentage of worse of less than .700, resulted in those sizable home underdogs going 17-5 ATS (77.3%) since 1995. Furthermore, those double-digit home underdogs won 6 of those 22 games straight up. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4 | 38-3 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
Saints @ Buccaneers 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Buccaneers -4.0 (5*) Tampa Bay will be out for revenge after losing their season opener at New Orleans 34-23. The Bucs were plagued by being -3 in the turnover department and wasted a stellar effort by their defense who held New Orleans to a mere 271 yards. Since that loss, Tampa Bay has gone 5-1 and had a substantial +9 turnover margin while doing so. The Bucs will get a boost at wide receiver with Chris Godwin returning from injury and former all-pro Antonio Brown set to make his 2020 debut. The Tampa defense is a vastly underrated unit that has been #1 in the NFL against the run during the past 2 seasons. New Orleans is 4-0 but those wins have come by a combined 15 points. As a matter of fact, they won their previous 3 games by exactly 3 points on each occasion. Bet on Tampa Bay minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Cardinals 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Cardinals -4.5 (10*) Miami is coming off a 28-14 home win over the Rams. However, they were outgained in that game by a decisive margin of 471-145. The Dolphins scored 2 touchdowns in that win via a 78-yard fumble return and an 88-yard punt return. The Rams also committed 4 turnovers and 2 of which set the Miami offense up with a short field to work with. Tua Tagovailoa made his much-anticipated NFL debut last Sunday and was an uninspiring 12-23 for 90 yards passing. This will be his first career start on the road. Arizona is coming off their bye week and is coming off a thrilling 37-34 overtime win over NFC West Division leading Seattle (6-1). Bet on the Cardinals minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills +3 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Bills +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off a 37-27 home win over San Francisco. Buffalo is coming off wins over the Jets and Patriots in their last 2 games played. The Bills have now gone 20-12 during their previous 32 games. Any NFL home team that is coming off 2 straight wins with the last being against a division opponents, and they have won 17 or more of its previous 32 games played, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 70-9 (88.6%) since 1982. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Ravens v. Colts | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Colts (Pick) (5*) The Colts are coming off an impressive 41-21 win at Detroit. Baltimore is coming off a 28-24 home favorite straight up 28-24 loss to their bitter division rival Pittsburgh. This sets up a strong NFL betting angle which supports the home team and is displayed below. Any NFL home team that is coming off an away win by 10 points or more and has a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 22-2 (91.7%) straight up since 1986. This straight up betting angle takes on added value in lieu of the current line. Bet on the Colts for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-20 | Bears v. Titans UNDER 47.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show | |
Bears @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) Chicago is coming off a 26-23 overtime loss to New Orleans. Tennessee is coming off a 31-20 loss to Cincinnati in a game in which they were a 7.0-point favorite. Any NFL home team playing after Game 2 of its season with a total of 50.5 or less, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed greater than 23 points, versus an opponent which allowed 13 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 29-0 under the total since 2016. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Baylor v. Iowa State -13.5 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Baylor @ Iowa State 7:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Iowa State -13.5 (10*) It is clear at this point that Baylor is nowhere near the caliber of team that they were a season ago under current Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Ruhle. Iowa State is better than their present 4-2 record indicates. Iowa State is averaging 433.3 yards of total offense per game. The Cyclones are coming off a 52-22 blowout win at Kansas in a game they outgained the Jayhawks by 302 total yards. Baylor is allowing 371.8 yards per game. The combination of this data sets up a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of between 10.5 to 21.0 points that is coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by 125 yards or more, and that home favorite is facing an opponent which is allowing between 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home favorites going 25-2 ATS since 2011. The average line in those 27 contests was 15.2 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by a substantial 24.9 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-07-20 | Florida +3 v. Georgia | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
Florida vs. Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Florida +3.0 (5*) Georgia has been excellent defensively this season except in their 41-24 loss to Alabama. The Crimson Tide racked up an enormous 564 yards of total offense in that contest which included 417 through the air. Now Georgia has the task of attempting a red-hot Florida offense led quarterback Kyle Trask that has averaged 42.0 points scored and 476.5 yards gained per game. The Gators defense has been suspect thus far but they are coming of its best effort of the season in holding Missouri to 248 yards during a 41-17 win. The Gators will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Georgia in each of the previous 3 seasons. Georgia has also committed 7 turnovers over the past 3 games and has received inconsistent play from quarterback Stetson Bennett. Florida will be able to score on this stout Georgia defense and the Bulldogs will not have the offense to keep up. Bet on Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech -16.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Liberty @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Virginia Tech -16.5 (5*) We have an unranked team like Virginia Tech as a better than 2 touchdown chalk against an opponent like Liberty who is presently ranked #25 in the AP Poll. That tells me everything I need to know. As I have stated on many occasions over the past 2 few weeks, you should trust the oddsmakers implicitly over those who vote in college football national polls. Sure, Liberty is 5-0, but their wins have come over opponents that currently have a combined record of 4-26. The Hokies will totally outclass the upstart Liberty Flames and will cover this large number. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 349-350 Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a stunning upset win at in state rival Michigan last Saturday and they did so as a mammoth 21.5-point underdog. However, this is the same team which opened their season two weeks ago with an equally stunning 38-27 loss to Rutgers in a game they were a home favorite of 9.5. I say equally as stunning because Rutgers had entered that contest on a 22-game Big 10 losing streak. The Spartan committed 7 turnovers in that defeat. Iowa is currently 0-2 but those defeats came by only a combined 5 points. Additionally, those 2 losses came against Purdue and Northwestern who have begun their seasons with a cumulative 4-0 record. My handicapping software goes back to 1980 and shows Iowa never beginning a season 0-3 over that 40-year span. Iowa head coach Hayden Frye has been in his current position and same locale since 1999. During his tenure, Iowa has gone 4-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 8.5 or less following 2 consecutive losses, and they won by a decisive margin of 28.5 points per game. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3.5 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
BYU @ Boise State 9:45 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Boise State +3.5 (5*) I always look find home underdogs with a strong home field. This is certainly one of those situations. Since 1987, Boise State has gone an outstanding 156-31 (.834) straight up at home. More recently, the Broncos have gone 25-3 (.893) straight up at home since 2016. BYU is 7-0 but their schedule has been far tough. Those 7 victories have come over opponents that have a current combined 18-27 (.400) and none of those games were against teams from a Power 5 Conference. Since 1999, Boise State is a very profitable 27-12 ATS (69.2%) as an underdog. Boise State is coming off 2 straight covers with both coming as a double-digit favorite. This sets up a tremendous college football straight up betting angle which is applicable to this game and supports the home underdog. Any college football home team which is coming off back to back covers as a double-digit favorite has gone 41-5 (89.1%) straight up since 2016. Bet on Boise State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-20 | Miami-FL v. NC State +11 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: NC State +11.0 (5*) NC State is coming off a 48-21 loss at North Carolina in their previous game and failed to cover as a 16.0-point underdog. That loss dropped their season record to 4-2 (.667). Miami is coming off wins over Pittsburgh and Virginia in their previous 2 games played. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home underdog of 5.0 to 16.0 points that is coming off a conference away underdog ATS loss, and they possess a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent that won each of their previous 2 contests, resulted in those home underdogs going 24-5 ATS (82.7%) since 2000. Additionally, those home underdogs won 13 of those 29 games straight up. Bet on NC State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-20 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 62 | 3-38 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Bowling Green 8:00 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Toledo had an abysmal defense a season ago evidenced by them being ranked 123rd nationally in that category. The Rockets offensive running game should be able to be extremely successful against a suspect at best Bowling Green defense. This has all the ear marks of a wildly entertaining and high scoring game. Toledo should be able to get out to a comfortable lead in the 2nd half thus making Bowling Green to rely on their passing game. I look for the Falcons to have success via their passing game when that situation arises mostly due to Toledo most likely reverting to a soft cover two shell. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 53 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
49ers @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Over 53.0 (5*) The Seahawks offense is Super Bowl caliber, but the defense resembles that of a 2-14 team. Seattle has surrendered 415 yards or more in all 6 of their games this season. As a matter of fact, despite an impressive 5-1 record so far, Seattle is allowing 28.7 points and 479.2 yards per game. They have been the most vulnerable through the air evidenced by their 6 opponents averaging 369 yards per game passing against them. I am not so much enamored with the 49ers 3-0 SU&ATS road record while allowing just 9.3 yards per game. After all, those 3 wins have come over opponents that currently possess a combined record of 3-17. Nonetheless, they did average 33.6 points scored per game in those victories. The 49ers top 3 running backs are sidelined by injuries, but they will be able to move the ball regardless and specifically so through the air. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +7 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
Titans @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Bengals +7.0 (5*) The Titans are coming off an extremely physical game last week during a 27-24 heartbreaking home loss to Pittsburgh. That was a battle of unbeaten AFC teams at that time and the intensity level was high on both sides. I can not envision anyway humanely possible that Tennessee can maintain the emotion it expended last week on their upcoming game against a 1-5-1 Cincinnati team. Despite their dismal record, Cincinnati has covered 5 of their 7 games. Cincinnati is just 1-2 at home but has averaged 26.7 points scored and 422.7 yards gained per game. Conversely, Tennessee has allowed 25.5 points and 401.8 yards per game this season. If not for the fact that the Titans have forced 12 turnovers in 6 games those defensive numbers would be much worse. Cincinnati is coming off a gut wrenching 37-34 home loss to Cleveland last week. Any NFL team coming off a a game in which they scored and allowed 30 points or more, and they are facing an opponent coming off a loss by 6 points or fewer, resulted in those teams going 22-7 (75.9%) straight up since 2016. This is an outstanding straight up betting angle when considering it is back a 7.0-point home underdog in this contest. Bet on the Bengals plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Colts v. Lions +3 | 41-21 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Colts @ Lions 1:00 ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Lions +3.0 (5*) The Colts defense had allowed 12 points and 236 yards per game through their first 4 contests this season. However, in their last 2 outings they have allowed 29.5 points and 391.5 yards per game to Cleveland and Cincinnati. Detroit is coming off 2 straight wins at Jacksonville and at Atlanta. Those victories evened their record at 3-3. During all 3 of their losses they blew double-digit leads. Nonetheless, the Lions first 4 opponents of the season currently have a combined record of 21-9 so they certainly were not going against creampuffs. Any NFL team (Lions) that is coming off back to back road wins in their previous 2 contests, and they are playing a non-conference opponent (Colts), resulted in those teams going 33-6 (84.6%) straight up since 2011. This straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the underdog. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -125 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Baltimore -3.5 (10*) Pittsburgh is coming off a very physical game last week at Tennessee in a game in which they nearly squandered 20-point 2nd half lead before holding on for a 27-24 win. That win improved their season record to an unblemished 6-0. I am sure a good portion of public action will back the undefeated Steelers as an underdog this week. However, I am not one of those individuals. Especially when considering they will be facing a 5-1 Ravens team which is coming off their buy week and one that may be even more physical than Tennessee. Furthermore, since 2002, Baltimore has gone a terrific 15-3 straight up and 14-4 ATS following a bye week. During that time, the Ravens have had only two head coaches in Brian Billick and John Harbaugh. There is something to be said for continuity when making sense of those extremely profitable results. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
Ohio State @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Penn State +12.5 (10*) Despite losing being upset 36-35 at Indiana last week as a 7.0-point favorite, Penn State outgained the Hoosiers 488-211. Ohio State is coming off a season opening home blowout win over Nebraska. However, the Cornhuskers were able to move the ball evidenced by its 370 yards of total offense in that contest. Any college football conference home underdog of 14.0 or less that is coming off an away favorite of 7.0 or greater straight up loss in which they allowed 22 points or greater, and they are facing an opponent coming off a home win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 2009. The home underdogs also won 6 of those 11 games straight up. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-31-20 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Louisville | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Louisville 4:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Virginia Tech -3.0 (5*) The difference in this game will be the Virginia Tech offensive rushing attack. The Hokies are averaging a robust 292.0 yards per game rushing and that includes a sizable 6.5 yards per attempt. They will be facing a Louisville defense which has allowed their opponents to rush for 230 yards per contest including a lofty 5.6 yards per attempt over their previous 3 games. Virginia Tech is coming off a 23-16 loss at Wake Forest in a game they closed as a 10.5-point favorite. Conversely, Louisville is coming off a 49-16 blowout win ober Florida State while easily covering as a 5.0-point home favorite. The combination of those results and this current point-spread produces an unbeaten college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football road favorite of 1.5 or greater that is coming off a straight up loss as an away favorite of 12.5 or less, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite cover and they have a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those road teams came by a decisive 22.8 points per game. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -3.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: West Virginia -3.5 (5*) This is a classic example of an unranked team like West Virginia being installed as a favorite versus a ranked (#16) team in Kansas State. I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers evaluation of team than those individuals voting in the weekly polls. West Virginia is a perfect 3-0 at home this season and that includes 2 wins over Big 12 opponents. They have been stingy on defense since the season began but even more so at home where the Mountaineers have allowed 16.0 points and 206,0 yards per game. Contrarily, the Kansas State defense has allowed 427.6 yards per game during their 4-1 start to the season. The West Virginia offense is more than capable of exploiting the weaknesses of a defense that has stopped opponents more so because of turnovers than anything else. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 59.5 | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 44 m | Show | |
Hawaii @ Wyoming 9:45 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Over 59.5 (5*) Hawaii is coming off a season opening 34-19 win at Fresno State last Saturday. During that victory they amassed a substantial 554 yards of total offense. Hawaii also surrendered 409 yards to the Fresno State offense but were bailed out by 4 forced turnovers. Wyoming lost their season opener 37-34 at Nevada. That game easily sailed over the total of 53.0. The Cowboys defense allowed Nevada to produce 496 yards of total offense which included 420 in the air. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama +4.5 v. Georgia Southern | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 7:30 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5*) Georgia Southern is coming off a 28-14 loss at Coastal Carolina which dropped their season record to 3-2 (.600). South Alabama is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games which improved their season mark to 3-2 (.600) and that includes 4-1 ATS. Any college football away underdog that is playing before Game 11 of their season, and has a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a road loss who owns a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-1 ATS (.954) since 1991. The away underdogs also won 13 of those 22 games straight up. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Bears @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Bears +6.0 (5*) After careful research, this looks to me as a game that will go down to the wire. The Bears have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in away games this season and all came as an underdog. The Rams are 2-0 at home but their wins came over the Cowboys and Giants who currently have a combined 3-11 record. The Rams are also 0-2 SU&ATS this season versus opponents that currently have a winning record. Chicago has committed only 1 turnover in each of their previous 3 games. The Rams failed to force a turnover during their previous game which resulted in a 24-16 loss to San Francisco. This sets up a string NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 that committed 1 turnover or fewer in their previous game, and they are facing an opponent that forced no turnover during its last contest, resulted in those away underdogs going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 2016. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5*wager. |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 38 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cardinals 8:20 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Cardinals +3.5 (10*) The Seahawks offense has been Super Bowl caliber thus far led by star quarterback Russell Wilson and an extremely talented group of wide receivers. Nevertheless, their defense has been another story and has shown no signs of improvement at this point. The Seattle stop unit is allowing 27.2 points and an atrocious 471.2 yards per game. They are especially inept against the pass which is indicated by them surrendering 280 yards per game in that specific category. Moreover, they allowed Minnesota (1-5) to rush for over 200 yards last week in a game they narrowly escaped with a 27-26 win as a home favorite of 6.5-points. That porous Seattle defense will have their hands full on Sunday night against an Arizona offense that averages 27.7 points and 402.5 yards per game. You also may be surprised to know that the Cardinals defense has been stellar as well while allowing just 18.7 points per game which is 4th best in the NFL. The Cardinals are coming off an impressive 38-10 home win at Dallas. If they hope to be a serious contender in the NFC West race, then this is an early must win situation. A win moves them to within 1.0 game of Seattle, and a loss would put them in a substantial 3.0 game hole. Any NFL team (Arizona) which is coming off a road win by 21 points or more and is facing an opponent (Seattle) coming off a home game in which both teams scored 24 points or greater, resulted in those teams going 41-11 (78.8%) straight up since 1983. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the home underdog. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-25-20 | Jaguars v. Chargers -7 | 29-39 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Chargers -7.0 (5*) The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed 30 points or more in each of their previous 5 games. They have also failed to cover in 4 straight contests and lost by an average of 15.0 points per game. Since 2018, the Jaguars are 2-10 ATS after allowing 30 or more points in their previous game, and that includes 0-4 SU&ATS this season. The Chargers just need to finish what they started. During their last 2 games, they lead at halftime 24-14 at Tampa Bay and 20-10 at New Orleans. The Chargers last 4 games have come against teams with a combined 16-7 record. While the Jaguars last game have been versus opponent who currently have a cumulative record of 7-15-1. The moral of the story is the Chargers are not as bad as their 1-4 record indicates. While Jacksonville is every bit as bad as their 1-5 mark shows. Any NFL favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 that scored 17 points or more in the 1st half of their previous 2 games, and they are facing an opponent that allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 2 contests, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 26-6 ATS (81.2%) since 1983. The average line in those 32 contests was 6.7 and the favorite outscored the underdogs by an average of 17.0 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders +4 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Raiders +4.0 (5*) Tampa Bay has been a public darling since the season began and for obvious reasons. They will especially be so after hammering then undefeated Green Bay last week 38-10 while doing so as a 2.5-point home underdog. As a matter of fact, I had Tampa Bay as my NFL 10* Top Play of the week. However, this appears to me as a vulnerable spot for the Bucs with all being considered. They will be facing a Raiders team off a bye week and a 40-2 upset win at Kansas City as an 11.0-point underdog which improved its season record to 3-2. Furthermore, Las Vegas has been able to accomplish that winning record despite facing opponents that presently have a combined 18-10 record. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Cincinnati v. SMU -2.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ SMU 9:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: SMU -2.5 (5*) The Cincinnati defense is superior to that of SMU. The SMU offense is far more explosive compared to their Saturday night opponent. The difference for me in this played is an experienced senior quarterback Shane Buchelle who has played in plenty of big games as a starter for both SMU and Texas. As a matter of fact, Buchelle was a 5* recruit coming out of the elite Texas high school football ranks. The Mustangs come in as the lower ranked team despite playing the tougher schedule and a perfect 5-0 record. Any college football home team that is coming off 5 or more straight up wins in a row, and both teams in the contest have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home teams going 28-3 straight up since 2016. The home teams outscored their 31 visiting opponents by an average of 14.9 points per game. Considering the small number we are being asked to cover, this college football straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on SMU for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +10 | 45-3 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Pittsburgh +10.0 (5*) The Panthers have held their own against Notre Dame over the past decade. This year should be no different. The offensive strength for Notre Dame is their running which is evident when looking at its 261.0 rush yards per game average. Conversely, the Pittsburgh defense allows a mere 62 rushing yards per game which includes an outstand 1.9 yards per attempt. As a matter of fact, the Panthers defense is allowing just 20.3 points and 275.0 yards per game. Notre Dame is coming off an uninspiring 12-7 home win over Louisville in a game they were never close to covering as a 15.5-point home favorite. The Irish do not meet my eye test pertaining to their current #3 nationally ranking. The Panthers defense will get enough stops to keep their time inside the number. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +11 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Wake Forest +11.0 (5*) This line opened at 7.0 and has skyrocketed to 11.0 as Virginia Tech seems to be a public darling. Make no mistake, the Hokies are very good but their chemistry has taken time to shape hold due to many positive COVID-19 tests. As a matter of fact, their defense has performed poorly thus far. The only reason they were not further exposed during last Saturday’s 40-14 win over Boston College is because it was able to force 5 turnovers. The Wake Forest defense is also a weakness. Nevertheless, the Demon Deacons offense will be more than productive enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Bet on Wake Forest plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | Iowa State +3 v. Oklahoma State | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 Game# 349-350 Play On: Iowa State +3.0 (5*) Since Matt Campbell has taken over as head coach of Iowa State, he has had his Cyclones ready to play when facing elite competition. This will be another one of those instances on Saturday when facing #6 Oklahoma State. Iowa State has been stout against the run defensively and that will be one of the keys in getting this cover. The Cyclones are also an extremely balanced offense between run and pass. It’s close to a 50/50 balance between running and passing plays in addition to yards gained doing each. Oklahoma State has been superb defensively but has not faced the level of competition that Iowa State has played thus far. The other key to our cover will be Iowa State junior quarterback Brock Purdy who can beat you with his arm or legs. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-20 | NC State v. North Carolina -14.5 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
NC State @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: North Carolina -14.5 (10*) The first thing that jumped out at me was the double-digit point-spread. Especially when consider North Carolina heads into this week ranked 14th and NC State comes in at #23. It seems the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. I know that a high percentage of bettors will take the bait considering North Carolina was upset at Florida State last week as a 14.0-point favorite, and NC State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS since losing to Virginia Tech 45-24. Speaking of Virginia Tech, North Carolina beat them 56-45 just 2 weeks ago while racking up an enormous 558 yards of total offense. NC State turned the ball over 3 times in their previous game. Since 2018, the Wolfpack have gone 0-7 SU&ATS following a game in which they committed 3 or more turnovers and lost by an average of 23.1 points per contest. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Giants @ Eagles 8:20 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Giants +4.5 (5*) The Eagles have been ravaged by injuries during the early part of this season. Since 2018, Philadelphia has been a huge fade as a home favorite while going 3-10 ATS in that role. The Eagles are a dismal turnover margin of -7 this season and their offense has been extremely erratic. Since 2018, the Giants are an extremely profitable 15-4 ATS in away games and that includes 3-0 ATS this season. New York has also covered in their last 3 trips to Philadelphia. The Giants are feeling good about themselves after attaining their first win last Sunday in a 20-19 victory over Washington. Any NFL team that is playing on a Thursday night and is coming off a division win by 7 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those teams going an outstanding 28-8 (77.8%) straight up since 1983. This straight up NFL betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the underdog. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Arizona @ Dallas 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Arizona +1.5 (5*) Dallas will have to go with Andy Dalton at quarterback after a season ending injury to Dak Prescott last Sunday. You can do a lot worse than Dalton as your backup quarterback but expecting the Cowboys offense to fire on all cylinders like it had been with Prescott under center is an unrealistic expectation. The Cowboys defense has proven to be less than playoff caliber over their first 5 contests while allowing 36.0 points and 404.4 yards per game. Additionally, over their previous 4 games, Dallas has an alarming -9 turnover differential. Arizona is off to a 3-2 start and there is one thing that stands out to me pertaining to their record. When the Cardinals amass 400 yards or more of total offense this season they have gone 3-0. Considering Dallas has allowed 400 yards or greater in all 3 of their games this season when facing opponents who currently have a winning record, this matchup certainly favors Arizona. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +1.5 (10*) The Tampa Bay defense has been stout against the run since Bruce Arians took over as their head coach. They were #1 in the NFL pertaining to that category last season and they led the league this year as well while yielding a scant 58 yards per game. The Packers Aaron Rodgers is going to get his yards in the air. However, Rodgers has been aided by the stellar performance of running back Aaron Jones who has averaged 93.5 yards rushing per game during the Packers 4-0 start. The production by Jones has made the Packers play action passing game extremely effective. Nevertheless, I like the Bucs defense ability to shut down the run and make Green Bay a one-dimensional offense on Sunday. Green Bay is a perfect 4-0 this season. However, all 4 wins have come against teams who currently have a win percentage of less than .500 and sport a cumulative record of 4-15. Conversely, Tampa Bay is 3-2 and their first 5 opponents currently have a combined 14-10 record. Additionally, legendary Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady will have his full compliment of wide receivers available for a first time since Week 1. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants UNDER 43 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Washington/NY Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) The last 3 meetings between these teams in the Meadowland have gone under the total and there was just a paltry 29.3 points combined scored per game. Washington is dead last in the NFL when it comes to total offense while averaging just 263.0 yards per game. They are also 30th in scoring offense while scoring only 17.8 points per game. Conversely, the Giants are last in scoring offense at 16.2 points per game and 30th in total yards at 282.2 yards per contest. The Giants are coming off a 37-34 loss at Dallas last Sunday. It was by far their highest scoring output of the season. However, they just amassed 300 yards of offense and Dallas turnovers accounted for about half their scoring. Washington is coming off an embarrassing 30-10 home loss to the Rams in a game they had an anemic 108 yards of total offense. Any home team (Giants) with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that allowed 400 yards or more in their previous game, and is facing an opponent (Washington) that gained 200 yards or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 25-5 (83.3%) under the total since 1983. The average total in those 30 contests was 44.5 and there were a combined 37.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Bears +1.5 v. Panthers | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Bears @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Bears +1.5 (5*) Carolina has become the darlings of the NFL recently following a 3-game win streak which was preceded by an 0-2 start to the season. The preseason consensus among NFL pundits was this was a team destined for a 3 or 4-win season. Nevertheless, their 3 wins have come over teams with a combined 4-11 record. Conversely, Chicago is a perfect 4-0 against NFC opponents thus far and they have also gone 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. As a matter of fact, since 2018, Chicago is a more than respectable 11-7 straight up on the road. The Bears are coming off a Thursday night 20-19 upset win over Tampa Bay. Since 2018, Chicago is 8-1 straight up following a win by 6 points or fewer. On the other hand, since the start of last season, Carolina is a poor 3-7 straight up at home. I am going against public sentiment here. Bet on the Bears for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Lions @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Lions -3.0 (5*) The Detroit Lions are 1-3 but their 4 opponents currently have a combined 13-6 record. As a matter of fact, during the Lions 3 defeats this season they led by 14 points or greater on all those occasions. The quality of those opponents are vastly superior to the 1-4 Jaguars. After winning their season opener, Jacksonville has lost 4 straight contests. Furthermore, Jacksonville 0-3 ATS in their previous 3 games and their 3 opponents presently have a cumulative record of 3-11-1. There is a reason why Detroit is a road favorite which has very seldom transpired in their recent history. Bet on the Lions minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Browns +4.0 (5*) The Browns come into this contest red-hot having won 4 consecutive games while scoring 32 points or more on each occasion. Yes, Cleveland has been dominated for years when visiting Heinz Field. Nonetheless, I believe this Cleveland team is well equipped to give their arch nemesis all they can handle. The Browns offense is very balanced between run and pass. The loss of star running back Nick Chubb was a huge loss, but you can do a lot worse than former all-pro Kareem Hunt as a backup. The Cleveland running game currently ranked 2nd in the NFL with only Baltimore being better. Granted Pittsburgh is 4-0 heading into this week. However, their 4 wins have come over opponents who presently have a combined 2-17-1 record. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia +5 v. Alabama | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Georgia @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 Play On: Georgia +5.0 (5*) In my professional opinion Georgia is unequivocally the best defense in college football this season. During their 3-0 start they have defeated Arkansas, Auburn, and Tennessee while allowing just 12.3 points and 236.7 yards per game. This 2020 version of the Alabama defense is not what we have been used to witnessing during recent seasons. The Crimson Tide is a perfect 3-0 but they are allowing 30.0 points and 473.0 yards per game. As a matter of fact, during their 63-48 win over Ole Miss last Saturday they surrendered 647 yards to the Rebels. Georgia is not a dynamic offense, but they are extremely efficient and effective. The Bulldogs are averaging 36,0 points and 430.0 yards per game. I would not be shocked at all to see Georgia win this game, but I will not get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 Bet On: Mississippi State +5.5 (10*) This is a dangerous spot for Texas A&M after they pulled of a home upset over then #3 Florida last week. As a matter of fact, the Aggies last 2 games have come against #2 Alabama and the previously mentioned contest versus Florida. Now they face a Mississippi State team which is coming off a pair of disappointing losses to Arkansas and Kentucky after beginning their season with an upset win at LSU. As the old cliché goes, “beware of the wounded animal”. I just can not envision Texas A&M coming close to the same intensity level they had in their last games which came against Top 10 ranked teams. Despite suffering 2 straight losses, the Bulldogs outgained both those opponents by 125 and 136 yards. The problem was, they committed an alarmingly high 10 turnovers in those defeats and now have 14 in their first 3 games. I just do not see the volume of mistakes continuing to occur on Saturday. Furthermore, despite the offense putting their defense in tough sports because of turnovers, the Bulldogs are allowing only 285.7 yards per game to their opponents. They have been especially strong against the run while allowing only 39 yards rushing per game. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-17-20 | Central Florida v. Memphis +3 | 49-50 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5*) These are two quality teams who are both coming off a loss. The difference being UCF blew a 23-5 lead at home to Tulsa and eventually fell 34-26. On the other hand, SMU overcame a 24-0 deficit at SMU and then lost when SMU kicked a field goal as time expired resulting in a 30-27 defeat. I see that as a momentum advantage of Memphis over UCF based on how both teams finished their previous game. Additionally, since 2017, Memphis is 21-2 straight up at home and that includes winning 11 consecutive times. That alone creates ample betting value on the home underdog in this matchup. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -16.5 | 7-12 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Louisville @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Notre Dame -16.5 (5*) Louisville opened the season with a home win over Western Kentucky. Since that time, they have gone 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS with all those defeats coming against ACC opponents. The most disappointing of those losses came in their 46-27 loss to Georgia Tech last week in a game in which they were a 4.0-point road favorite. After a 2-week layoff due to COVID-19 issues, Notre Dame returned to action last Saturday with an easy 42-26 home win over Florida State. The Notre Dame defense was a bit rusty but settled down as the game progressed. Speaking of the defense, they are allowing 13.0 points per contest during a 3-0 start to the season. Look for the Notre Dame stop unit to take advantage of a Louisville team which has committed a whopping 11 turnovers through their first 4 games. Notre Dame is averaging outrushing their opponents by an average of 160 yards per game during their 3-0 start. During their previous 2 games they averaged 6.2 yards per rushing attempt against South Florida and 8.4 yards per try versus Florida State. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle below which supports a pick on Notre Dame. Any college football home favorite of 10.5 to 21.0 (Notre Dame) that is outrushing their opponents by an average of 60 or more yards per game on the season, and they are coming off 2 straight contests in which they averaged 6.0 or more yards per rushing attempt, resulted in those teams going 41-14 ATS (74.5%) since 1992. The average line for those 55 teams was -16.3. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-20 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -12.5 | 19-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Miami 12:00 PPOM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Miami -12.5 (5*) After a 3-0 start and a high national ranking, Miami was humbled in their blowout loss to Clemson last week in a game they were dominated on both sides of the ball. I look for the Canes to bounce back with a vengeance this week against a Pittsburgh team which comes off a pair of heartbreaking 1-point losses to NC State and Boston College who are both average at best. Miami has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite while winning by a decisive 24.0 points per contest. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5 | 43-26 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
BYU @ Houston 9:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Houston +5.0 (5*) BYU is 4-0 and nationally ranked but none of those victories have come against a team the caliber of what they will face tonight. BYU blew out their first 3 opponents, but they turned in an unimpressive performance in their last game versus UTSA. They were a massive 33.0-point home favorite in that contest but escaped with a just a narrow 7-point win. Houston finally was able to play their first game of the season last week after having several dates scheduled due to COVID-19. They got off to a slow start after falling behind 24-7 versus Tulane, then stormed back to win going away 49-31 and cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. Furthermore, they won that came handily despite committing 5 turnovers while forcing none from Tulane. This is a very experienced roster that is in year 2 of the head coaching tenure of Dana Holgorsen. I am of the opinion this is a very good Houston team that is flying under the radar at this still early juncture. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +7 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
SMU @ Tulane 6:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Tulane +7.0 (5*) SMU squandered a 24-0 lead in their previous game against Memphis and needed a last second field goal to ultimately win that contest 30-27. Tulane is coming off a similar type fate having blown a 24-7 lead versus Houston last week in a game they were held to a season low 70 yards rushing. However, in their prior 3 games the Green Wave rushed for 203, 265, and 430 yards. Conversely, SMU has allowed 189 yards or more rushing in al 3 games versus FBS opponents this season. I look for Tulane to lean heavily on their running game to control time of possession and limit the number of possessions for an explosive SMU offense. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* underdog wager. |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3 v. Titans | 16-42 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Bills @ Titans 7:00 PM ET Play On: Bills -3.0 (5*) The Titans will be without 10 players due to COVID-19 including starting wide receivers Corey Davis and Adam Humphreys. Those 2 have combined for 30 receptions and over 200 yards during the Titans 3-0 start. Speaking of that hot start, Tennessee has won those contests by only a combined 6 points. Furthermore, their 3 wins came over opponents that currently have a cumulative record of 3-11. During their previous games, the Titans defense has allowed exactly 30 points on each occasion while surrendering 480 total yards to Jacksonville and 464 to Minnesota. The Tennessee stop unit is also permitting their opponents to run for 166 yards per game and average a robust 5.8 yards per rushing attempt. Buffalo has begun the season 4-0 and that includes 3-1 ATS while being a favorite in all of those games. The Bills offense is clicking on all cylinders in averaging 30.8 points and 409.8 yards per game. Dating back to last year, the Bills have gone an impressive 8-2 straight up in regular season road games. Bet on the Bills minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -6.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Saints 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Saints -6.5 (5*) The Saints are coming off a 35-29 win at Detroit last week to even their record up at 2-2. They overcame an early 14-0 deficit in that game. I look for the Saints to carry that momentum over into the game tonight. The Saints defense has been solid and especially so against the run where they rank 6th in the NFL. They will be facing a Chargers offense that will be sorely missing their starting running back Austin Ekeler. Their first full game without Ekeler last week produced a dismal 46 yards on 23 rushing attempts. The Chargers will also likely be without starting right guard Tai Turner and starting right tackle Brian Bulaga. The Chargers have lost 3 in a row and had a miserable -5 turnover margin during that stretch. Bet on the saints minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | Top | 43-17 | Loss | -106 | 49 h 5 m | Show |
Dolphins @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: 49ers -9.0 (10*) The 49ers are coming off a disappointing 25-20 home loss to Philadelphia in a game in which they were a sizable 7.5-point favorite. They suffered that defeat despite outgaining the Eagles 417-290 but were plagued by committing 3 turnovers. San Francisco starting Jimmy Garoppolo returns is probable to return from injury after a 2-week absence due to injury. Garoppolo will be facing a Miami defense which has allowed 24.0 points and 410.0 yards per game. I am sure that Miami will receive their fair share of public action since San Francisco has gone 0-2 SU&ATS at home thus far. With that in mind, then why is San Francisco such a large favorite? The sportsbooks just are not so generous and they are begging you to take the underdog in this contest. I am not taking the bait. Bet on the 49ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-11-20 | Rams v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | 30-10 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Redskins +8.5 (5*) This is one of those uncomfortable picks that need to be made on occasion to be successful. That is especially the case when it comes to NFL betting. The Rams will be making their 3rd trip in 4 weeks to the Eastern Time Zone. They are coming off a listless performance last Sunday when they defeated the 0-4 Giants 17-9 and failed to cover as a double-digit favorite. As a matter of fact, the Giants outgained them 295-240. The Redskins defense is an underrated group that is seldom supported out by an anemic offense. It must be noted that Kyle Allen will get the start this week at quarterback. That speaks volumes when considering Dwayne Haskins was the Redskins #1 draft choice in 2019. However, new head coach Ron Rivera has seen enough of Haskins to possibly deem him as not his guy. There is also a comfortability level with Kyle Allen who was with Rivera during his head coaching tenure in Carolina. During his limited opportunities to start in Carolina, Allen was 4-1 SU&ATS. I look for the Washington defense to keep this game competitive while their offense will make just enough plays for the cover. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-20 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Texans | 14-30 | Loss | -125 | 46 h 0 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Jaguars +6.5 (5*) I have heard may say this week that the Texans will respond in a positive manner this week for interim head coach Romeo Crennel who takes over for the recently fired Bill O’Brien. I don not share that opinion. I am also not in favor of laying this many points with an 0-4 team which has frankly played uninspiring football thus far. Besides, Crennel has been the defensive coordinator in Houston since 2014, and since last season that unit has shown a steady decline in their performance. During this 0-4 start, Houston is allowing 31.5 points and 182 yards rushing per game. Since 2018, Houston is a poor 5-11 ATS as a home favorite and they lost 6 of those contests straight up. Conversely, Jacksonville is averaging 27.2 points and 454.5 totals yards per game in their only 2 road contests. Jags quarterback Gardner Minshew is averaging 284 yards per game in the air while tossing 8 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions. I also see Jacksonville having success running the ball and controlling time of possession, thus protecting their porous defense. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset, but I will not get greedy and gladly take the points. Bet on the Jaguars plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Charlotte v. North Texas +3 | 49-21 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ North Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 Play On: North Texas +3.0 (5*) Although North Texas is just 1-2, their offensive numbers suggest otherwise. The Mean Green are averaging a robust 41.0 points scored and 573.7 yards gained per game. However, they have been plagued by turnovers, undisciplined penalties, and shoddy defensive play. North Texas is averaging 239 yards per game rushing. Conversely, Charlotte is allowing an average of 232 yards rushing per game and an alarmingly high 6.2 yards per carry. Sometimes the best defense is an potent offensive running game. This looks to be a textbook example of just that. Charlotte is 0-2 but covered both of those contests as an underdog. Recent college football betting history suggests teams in this precise situation have been a fade when cast as a favorite. Any college football home team that is facing an opponent off 2 consecutive losses which they covered as an underdog on both occasions, resulted in this home teams going 31-5 straight up since 2016. The straight up results take on added significance since this betting angle backs the home underdog. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -14 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 48 m | Show |
Miami @ Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Clemson -14.0 (10*) Both teams come in with unblemished 3-0 records. Nonetheless, Miami is 3-0 ATS during those contests while Clemson failed to cover as a double-digit favorite on each occasion. However, it must be noted, the defending ACC Champion Tigers were a favorite of 28.0 or greater in all those contests. Truth be told, they sleepwalked through each of those victories and obviously looked uninspired while playing vastly inferior opposition. That will not be the case with #7 Miami and their star transfer quarterback D’Eriq King coming to Death Valley. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State +2 v. Kentucky | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 56 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Mississippi State +2.0 (5*) After stunning the defending national champion LSU Tigers as a 17.0-point underdog in their season opener Mississippi State was on the opposite side of that spectrum in a stunning loss to Arkansas as a 17.0-point home favorite. Even more humiliating for the Bulldogs is it enabled Arkansas to snap an abysmal 20-game SEC losing streak. Now they find themselves as a road underdog against an 0-2 Kentucky team that has been a bit of a disappointment to start the season. Kentucky has an extremely strong rushing attack. However, the defensive strength of the Bulldogs defense has been their ability to stop the run evidenced by them allowing just 1.9 yards per rushing attempt in their first 2 games. Furthermore, Mississippi State has passed for an abundant 946 yards thus far. Conversely, the Kentucky defense is allowing an atrocious 9.9 yards per pass attempt thus far. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Tennessee +12.5 (5*) This is the chance Tennessee has been looking for. A chance prove they are indeed for real. Since starting last season 2-5, Tennessee has reeled off 8 consecutive wins which includes conference wins over South Carolina and Missouri in 2020. They will be facing a highly ranked SEC opponent in Georgia that may be getting caught in a vulnerable spot. The #3 Bulldogs are coming off a dominating win at home over Auburn last week and they travel to Tuscaloosa a week from Saturday to take on #2 Alabama. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +4.5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Virginia Tech +4.5 (5*) North Carolina has hardly appeared to me as a #8 team in the country from what I witness during their first 2 games. They beat a below average Syracuse team in their season opener 31-3. However, that was a 10-6 game headed into the final quarter. Last week they narrowly escaped with a 26-22 win at Boston College. Virginia Tech is 2-0 after wins over Duke and NC State to start the season. The Hokies ran for over 300 yards in both of those contests. Additionally, they will get their #1 quarterback Hendon Hooker back for a first time this season after being forced to sit out under COVID-19 protocol regulations. Despite the defense being hit hard by COVID-19, the Hokies still lead the nation in sacks. That is not good news for highly touted North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell who has played below the standard he displayed last season to this point. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Bucs @ Bears 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Bears +4.0 (5*) The public is in love with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since Tom Brady arrived in town this past offseason. That will be even more the case this week following a 5 touchdown passing performance during their 38-31 home win over the Chargers last Sunday. However, they have an unenviable task of traveling on short rest to face a 3-1 Bears team who is coming off their first loss of the season. I love the home underdog betting value in this spot. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers UNDER 57 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Packers 8:50 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Under 57.0 (5*) This is one of those uncomfortable bets that are necessary at time in order to be successful. Each of these teams has gone over the total in all 3 games they have played. Atlanta games have averaged a combined 66.0 points scored per contest. Green Bay games have averaged a combined 69.0 points per contest. Additionally, the Falcons have allowed 30 or more points in all 3 games played while Green Bay has scored 37 or greater 3 consecutive times. It just can not be that easy to make the obvious call as this seems to be. Furthermore, both wide receiver groups and are banged up heading into this Monday night affair. Any NFL team with a total of 49.5 or greater that is coming off a loss versus an opponent coming off 3 or more consecutive win, resulted in those contests going 17-o to the under since 2018. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-11 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
Colts @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) The Colts defense has been terrific through 3 games. During that stretch, they have allowed only 15.0 points and 225.3 yards per game. The Bears defense is much better than they have shown thus far. The weather forecast is calling for wind at 16 MPH throughout the game on Sunday at Soldier Field. It all stands to reason that will deeply affect the passing game of each team. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-20 | Bills -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
Bills @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Bills -3.0 (10*) Buffalo has started 3-0 and covered 2 of those contests. They were a favorite on each of those occasions and their only ATS loss came when Miami was able to back door them on a touchdown with 0:49 left in the game. The Buffalo defense has not played well during their previous 2 games. However, this is the same core group of players that was one of the best stop units in the NFL last year. I look for a much better performance from the defense last week and more of what we were used to seeing a season ago. The Buffalo offense has been terrific through the first 3 weeks. Quarterback Josh Allen has been especially good and has taken a giant leap thus far in his 3rd season. Allen has thrown for over 1000 yards in 3 games in addition to tossing 10 touchdown passes and ran for 2 scores as well. The Raiders defense has not exactly been stellar during their 2-1 start. They are allowing 30.0 points and 406.0 yards per game. Conversely the bills offense is averaging 31.0 points and 434. Yards per game. Bet on Buffalo minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-04-20 | Browns +5 v. Cowboys | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Auburn v. Georgia -7 | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Georgia 7:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Georgia -7.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a 29-13 home win over then nationally ranked Kentucky. However, they were beneficiaries of a +3 turnover margin and were outgained by 60 yards in that contest. Georgia got off to a shaky start as a 4-touchdown favorite last week and actually trailed 7-5 at the half. The Bulldogs came out and dominated 2nd half action and left with an easy 37-10 win. I look for the Bulldogs to be much sharper this week against the #7 Tigers and put together a consistent 60-minute effort. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Oklahoma @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 123-12 Play On: Iowa State +7.5 (10*) I know many college football bettors will not be courageous enough to fade Oklahoma following a loss. However, I am not only willing to do so but it is going to be my largest wager on Saturday. Oklahoma had a commanding 35-17 lead in the 4th quarter against Kansas State last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Wildcats scored 24 unanswered and came away with a huge 38-35 upset win as a 27.5-point road underdog. Now Oklahoma has not lost 2 consecutive regular season games since 1999. As a result, public betting has favorited Oklahoma big time thus far. Yet, this line went from Oklahoma opening as a 9.5-point favorite down its current state of -7.5. This is a chance for redemption on many fronts for Iowa State. First, they will be out to atone for a poor showing in their home opener when they were knocked off by UL-Lafayette 31-14 in a game they closed as a 13.0-point favorite. Secondly, they will be out to revenge a narrow 42-41 loss at Oklahoma last year in a game they were a 14.5-point underdog, and failed on a 2-point conversion late in that contest which would have earned them an upset over the eventual Big 12 champion. Despite Oklahoma winning 5 straight Big 12 titles and making it to the College Football Playoffs the last 3 years, Iowa State has played the Sooners extremely tough. As a matter of fact, since Matt Campbell took over the head coach duties at Iowa State in 2016, The Cyclone have gone just 1-3 against Oklahoma but all 3 losses came by 10 points or less. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas State | 21-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Kansas State 3:30 ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (5*) Kansas State is coming off a huge upset win over then #3 Oklahoma last Saturday in a game they overcame a 17-point 4th quarter deficit. It would be hard to imagine them coming close to matching their intensity they exhibited a week ago. There is a more than reasonable chance that the Wildcats will have an emotional letdown this Saturday. It is just a matter of to what degree. Keep in mind, this is the same Kansas State team which was knocked off in the home opener by Arkansas State 35-31 as a sizable 15.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off a gut wrenching 63-56 overtime loss to #9 Texas. The Red Raiders blew a 56-41 lead with less than 4 minutes to play in that contest. Texas Tech has long been known for their explosive pass happy offense and this year is no different. Tech has passed for a combined 755 yards in their first 2 games. They will be sure to attack a vulnerable Kansas State secondary which has surrendered 717 yards passing in their first 2 contests. Additionally, this is a Texas Tech team that has run the ball with some success in the early going while averaging 155.0 rushing yards per game. Look for there to be a role reversal this week when both teams square off. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points as a 5* wager. |
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10-03-20 | TCU +11 v. Texas | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
TCU @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: TCU +11.0 (5*) Texas is coming off an emotional come from behind road victory over Texas Tech last week. The Longhorns overcame a 56-41 deficit with just 3:41 to play and forced overtime where they eventually prevailed 63-56. They will be facing a TCU team which is coming off a tough 37-34 home loss to a solid Iowa State team. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs torched the Cyclones defense for 400 yards passing in defeat. They should be able to move the ball against a Texas defense which looked soft a week ago and stay inside the number. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +1.5 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Broncos +1.5 (5*) Both teams come into this game with 0-3 records. The difference being is Denver has covered in 2 of those 3 losses while the Jets are 0-3 ATS. The Jets are coming off a 36-7 blowout loss at Indianapolis during a game they were -3 in the turnover department. Since 2018, the Jets are 0-4 SU&ATS following a game in which they were -3 or worse in the turnover department and were outscored by an average of 19.5 points per contest. Brett Rypien will be making his first ever NFL start at quarterback tonight for Denver. The former Boise State start came off the bench last week and was 8-9 for 53 yards in a 28-10 defeat at Tampa Bay. Any NFL road team (Broncos) that is coming off a loss by 14 points or more versus an opponent who has a -3 or worse turnover margin during their previous game, resulted in those road teams going 20-5 straight up since 2011. Bet on the Broncos for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 34-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 489-490 Play On: Ravens -3.0 (5*) The Ravens defense will be in for a huge test tonight against a high-powered Chiefs offense led by all world quarterback Patrick Mahomes. However, they have allowed just and average of 11.0 points and 305.0 yards per game during its first 2 contests. My point being is they will be up to the task. Conversely, the Kansas City defense has been porous in their first 2 games while allowing 419.5 yards per game. More importantly, the Kansas City stop unit is allowing 150 yards rushing per game and that is not good news when facing the most potent running attack in football since the start of last season. Sometimes the best defense is a stellar running game on offense. I look for Baltimore to successfully run the ball, thus dominating the clock, and in turn limit the offensive possessions for Kansas City. By the way, dating back to last season, Baltimore is on a 14-game regular season winning streak heading into tonight. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 485-486 Play On: Cowboys +5.5 (10*) Despite playing poorly last week Dallas overcame a 29-10 halftime deficit to miraculously beat Atlanta 40-39 and avoid an 0-2 start. I look for them to carry that momentum into their game at Seattle this week. The Seattle defense has been getting bailed out by some off the chart numbers from their star quarterback Russell Wilson during its 2-0 start. Nonetheless, the fact still remains, their pass defense is horrible, and it was last season as well. During their first 2 games, Matt Ryan has passed for 450 yards and Cam Newton went for 397 in the air against them. They will be facing a good one in Dak Prescott on Sunday who threw for 450 yards last week against Atlanta. Bet on the Cowboys plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-27-20 | Panthers v. Chargers -6 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (5*) The Chargers defense is vastly underrated. They will be a key component in us getting the win and cover on Sunday. Especially since Carolina will be without their best offensive player in running back Christian McCaffery (ankle). Rookie 1st round draft pick Justin Herbert was brilliant in his NFL debut last week against the world champion Kansas City Chiefs. Herbert threw for 311 yards and a touchdown while running for another. Carolina is coming off a 31-17 loss at Tampa Bay last Sunday. Since 2018, the Panthers are 0-5 SU&ATS on the road following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more, and they lost by an average of 12.0 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Titans v. Vikings +3 | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
Titans @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Vikings +3.0 (5*) Tennessee is 2-0 but failed to cover on both occasions. Those pair of victories came by only a combined 5 points over Denver (0-2) and Jacksonville (1-2). As a matter of fact, in their Week 2 narrow 33-30 win over Jacksonville they were outgained in total yards by a decisive margin of 490-354. That was the same Jacksonville team which was blown out at home by Miami 31-13 this past Thursday night. You do not have to be an NFL guru to know that Minnesota was horrible during their first 2 games. It must be note, since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 25-7 SU&ATS in non-division home games. As the great Yogi Berra once said, “it is getting late early” for the Minnesota Vikings. I look for a high degree of desperation and urgency on Sunday from Minnesota. Bet on the Vikings plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-20 | Washington Football Team v. Browns -7 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Browns -7.0 (5*) Washington allowed 160 yards rushing in their loss at Arizona last week. That is not good news for Redskins backers considering they will be facing in my opinion the best 1-2 running back duo in football. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 210 yards and 3 touchdowns on 32 carries in their 35-30 win over Cincinnati during Week 2 action. Furthermore, that game was played on a Thursday night which affords Cleveland an additional 3 days rest than Washington will have. The Browns defense was exposed through the air the past 2 weeks. However, I am not a big fan of Washington quarterback Dwayne Haskins. In Haskins defense, besides Terry McLaurin he does not have much to work with at the skilled positions. Bet on the Browns minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -11 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Florida State @ Miami 7:30 PM ET Game# 39-396 Play On: Miami -11.0 (5*) Miami has opened the season with wins over UAB and at Louisville while covering both contests as a favorite. Florida State is coming off a 16-13 upset loss at home to Georgia Tech. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle shown below. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Miami) that is coming of 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and is facing an opponent (Florida State) coming off a conference loss by 3 points or less, resulted in those favorites going 30-8 ATS since 1992. The average line in those 38 games was 14.5 and the favorites outscored the underdogs by 22.7-points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +4 | 31-27 | Push | 0 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ South Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 405-406 Play On: South Carolina +4.0 (5*) #16 Tennessee returns 17 starters from a team that finished last season on a 6-game win streak. However, head coach Jeremy Pruitt enters his 3rd season in Knoxville and his first 2 Volunteers teams both got off to slow starts. Specifically, during Pruitt’s 2-year tenure, Tennessee has gone a combined 3-7 in their first 5 games of the year, and that includes last year’s 38-30 loss to Georgia State as a 23.5-point home favorite in their opening contest. The bad news is South Carolina was 4-8 a season ago. The silver lining was that when it was all said and done, they played the toughest schedule in all of college football. The Gamecocks were horrible offensively last year. Head coach Will Muschamp brings in former Colorado State head coach Mike Bobo as his new offensive coordinator. Bobo was able to convince senior graduate transfer Colin Hill to join him at South Carolina. Hill spent the last 3 years under center for Bobo at Colorado State. I would not be surprised whatsoever to get the outright upset in this one. Moreover, I will take the points as an additional bonus and not be greedy. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Mississippi State +17 v. LSU | 44-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 433-434 Play On: Mississippi State +17.0 (5*) I know high profile SEC football programs like LSU reload as opposed to rebuilding. However, the defending national champion LSU Tigers need to replace an inordinate amount of talent that from last year’s team who are now making their livelihoods playing on Sundays. Besides the fact they will be facing a Mississippi State team who is now coached by passing game guru Mike Leach formerly of Texas Tech and Washington State. SEC defensive coordinators will need time to adjust to Leach’s complex passing game. Additionally, Leach was able to persuade former Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello to come on board as a senior graduate transfer. Costello spent 3 seasons as Stanford’s starting quarterback and threw for 6,251 yards and 9 touchdowns despite having his season cut short by injury in 2019. I am not going to be bold enough to predict an outright upset. Nevertheless, LSU fans will witness this game being way too close for comfort. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -12.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Army @ Cincinnati 3:30 PM ET Game# 435-436 Play On: Cincinnati -12.5 (10*) Army has looked terrific in 2 blowout wins over Middle Tennessee State and UL-Monroe. Their vaunted triple option rushing attack has looked in midseason form while racking up 390 yards per game on the ground and averaging 36 minutes in time of possession per game. Nonetheless, they will be stepping up in class considerably in their first road game of the season against a Cincinnati team that has gone a superb 22-5 during the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats return 8 starters on defense and 15 of its top 17 tacklers from a year ago. The Cincinnati defensive line may be the best in the AAC this season. I look for the Bearcats to open an early lead and give Army a taste of its own medicine by controlling the tempo of this game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 10* Top Play |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Miami +3.0 (5*) Miami put up over 400 yards of offense against a solid Buffalo defense last Sunday during a 3-point defeat. Jacksonville has surprised in how good they looked thus far in 2020. However, they were outgained by over 200 yards in their win over Indy and their defense is allowing an alarmingly high 399.5 yards per game over their first 2 contests. Miami is coming off a 31-28 home loss to Buffalo. Jacksonville is coming off a 27-20 win over Indianapolis and a 33-30 loss to Tennessee during its first 2 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting system displayed below. Any NFL road team (Miami) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that is coming off a game in which there was a combined 50 or more points scored, and they are facing an opponent (Jacksonville) who scored 25 points or greater in each of their previous 2 games, results in those road teams going 55-20 ATS since 1983. Bet on the Dolphins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
UAB @ South Alabama 7:30 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: South Alabama +7.0 (5*) UAB opened the season with an uninspiring 45-35 win over Central Arkansas that plays at the FCS level. They followed that up with a 31-14 loss at nationally ranked Miami in a game they failed to cover as a 15.0-point underdog and were outgained by 207 yards. Since the start of last season UAB has gone 10-6. However, 2 of those wins came over FCS opponents. Additionally, 7 of their wins versus FBS opponents last year were against teams that finished a combined 15-69 (.178). South Alabama enters this game with a record of 1-1. They covered both of those contests as a double-digit underdog. They won at Southern Miss 32-21 in their season opener as a 12.0-point underdog. Their last game resulted in a narrow 27-24 loss as an 11.5-point home underdog to Tulane. Unfortunately, South Alabama blew a 24-13 lead in the 4th quarter of that game that prohibited them from pulling off another huge upset. The Jaguars have amassed an impressive 669 yards passing in their first 2 games of the season. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Saints @ Raiders :1 PM ET Game# 289-290 Play On: Raiders +6.0 (5*) Despite covering as a home favorite last week against Tampa Bay, Sean Payton is a dismal 10-19 ATS during the first 2 weeks of the season during his tenure with New Orleans. The Raiders will play in the new stadium for a first time. Regardless of there being no fans in attendance, it should provide the home team with an additional spark, and especially as an underdog versus one of the elite teams in football. By the way, the saints will be without star wide receiver Michael Thomas (ankle) tonight who led the NFL in pass receptions a season ago. Any NFL underdog in September who is facing a team coming off a home win, resulted in those underdogs going a very profitable 69-32 ATS since 2016. Additionally, underdogs in this identical situation are an even better 18-6 ATS (75%) since 2018. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots v. Seahawks OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Patriots @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (10*) I said it before the season, and I will say it again, anytime you get an opportunity to catch a Seattle game that has a total of 49.5 or less you should give strong consideration to bet the over. Last week in their season opener against Atlanta the total closed at 49.5 and the Seahawks prevailed 38-25 which easily surpassed the number. The Patriots are coming off a 21-11 win over Miami. However, now they are going to face on of the best quarterbacks in football with Russell Wilson as opposed to the Dolphins Ryan Fitzpatrick. You will not get many to disagree that Wilson is a huge step up in class compared to the former Harvard quarterback. Seattle is also vastly superior at the offensive skilled positions in comparison to Miami. The Patriots defense is still a formidable group. Nevertheless, they lost some key personnel from that exceptional unit from last season. It did not show up against Miami, but it will against this Seattle offense. I would be shocked if the New England offense does not expose the biggest defensive weakness for Seattle and that is their secondary. Matt Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 450 passing yards last week and 3 receivers went over 100 yards for the day. The Seattle pass defense has been a major issue for them dating back to last season. There is no more “Legion of Boom”. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens v. Texans +8.5 | 33-16 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Texans 4:25 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Texans +8.5 (5*) The Texans are coming off a 34-20 loss at Kansas City in their season opener. On a positive note, Houston will enter this contest with an additional 3 days rest than Baltimore due to the Kansas City game being a Thursday night affair. Furthermore, since 2018, the Texans are a perfect 8-o straight up after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson is a profitable 12-6 ATS in 18 career starts as an underdog. Despite the huge loss of star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins the Texans still have an ample amount of talent at their offensive skilled positions. The squares will be lining up to bet on Baltimore. I will not be standing in that line. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles | 37-19 | Loss | -123 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
Rams @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Eagles (Pick) (5*) This sets up to be a betting situation that I have thrived in over the past 2 decades. The Eagles are coming off blowing a 17-0 lead at Washington last week and fell 27-17. The Rams are coming off a Sunday night nationally televised 3-point win over Dallas. The public has a short memory and more times than not use shortcuts when handicapping NFL games. The shortcut here in the Rams are the play from a perception standpoint just because of what they witnessed last week. This will also be the Rams first trip east for an early kickoff which is also a tough adaption for any team. Bet on the Eagles for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-20 | Vikings v. Colts -3 | 11-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Somehow the Colts lost to Jacksonville last Sunday despite outgaining them by a substantial 204 yards. I have heard a lot of criticism directed at Colts quarterback Philip Rivers this week mostly due to his 2 costly interceptions in the Jacksonville loss. However, he was also 36-46 passing for 363 yards. Now Rivers will face a Vikings defense which was torched last week for 43 points and 522 total yards. Additionally, their defense was so bad that the time of possession in the game was 41:16 to 18:44 in favor of Green Bay. Furthermore, since 2018, the Colts are 7-2-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less and that includes 5-0-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 or less. Their average victory margin as a home favorite of 3.0 or less was by a decisive 14.3 points per game. |
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09-20-20 | Falcons +4.5 v. Cowboys | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Falcons +4.5 (5*) The Cowboys quality depth will be tested after losing the services of 3 starters during last week’s loss to the Rams. The defense turned in a terrible performance in that defeat and they are about to face another explosive offense on Sunday. Despite suffering a 38-25 home loss to Seattle last week, Atlanta piled up 506 total yards and has 3 receivers go for 114 yards or greater. The catalyst behind that passing attack was veteran quarterback Matt Ryan who was an outstanding 37-54 for 450 yards passing. Due to Atlanta playing catchup for most of the afternoon, new running back Todd Gurley was underutilized but still managed 56 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. I look for Gurley to be more of a factor on Sunday. Atlanta just ran into a red-hot quarterback in Russell Wilson last week who was an incredible 31-35 for 322 yards and 4 touchdowns. Dak Prescott is a quality quarterback who is very capable of putting up huge passing yards. But expecting him to top what Russell Wilson did last week is a sizable ask. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-20 | SMU -14 v. North Texas | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: SMU -14.0 (*) SMU is coming off a 31-24 win at Texas State in a game in which they piled up 544 yards of offense. They should have scored much more if not for 3 costly turnovers. North Texas defeated Houston Baptist 57-31 in their season opener. The good news is they amassed over 700 yards of total offense. The bad news is they allowed their FCS opponent to rack up 569 yards of total offense and that includes 480 coming through the air. SMU will have a field day passing the ball against a porous North Texas secondary and should be able to score at will. The Mustangs defense will give up their share of yards and points but will get enough stops for us to get the cover. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-20 | SMU v. North Texas OVER 69 | Top | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Over 69.0 (10*) The enormous total in this game is for good reason. It still is not enough to scare me away. North Texas had over 700 yards of offense and allowed more than 500 in a 7-31 win over Houston Baptist in their season opener. They now will face one of the more prolific passing attacks in college football during recent years when they take on SMU this Saturday. The SMU secondary is vulnerable against good passing attacks and North Texas has exactly that. This will be an extremely high scoring game in which they winning team will most likely have to score 50 points or more. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-19-20 | Boston College +6 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Boston College @ Duke 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Boston College +6.0 (5*) Duke has gone an abysmal 0-12 ATS in their last 12 conference home games when the line was +5.0 to -10.0. They even lost 11 of those 12 games straight up. Conversely, Since 2014, Boston College has gone a perfect 7-0 as an away underdog and they won 4 of those 7 contests straight up. Duke hung in there in a 14-point loss at Notre Dame last week. However, that was a talented Notre Dame team that appeared extremely flat as a 3-touchdown favorite. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals +6 v. Browns | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Browns :1 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Bengals +6.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off an embarrassing 38-6 loss at Baltimore last week in a game they closed as a 7.0-point underdog. This sets up an NFL betting angle below that strongly supports the road underdog. Any NFL away underdog of 9.5 or less versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, and they failed to cover by 10.0 or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 46-12 ATS (79.3%) since 1981. Bet on the Bengals plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 105 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Titans @ Broncos 10:10 PM ET Game# 480-481 Play On: Denver +3.0 (5*) Denver has the confidence in knowing they defeated Tennessee 16-0 at home last season and held the Titans to a paltry 204 yards of total offense. Star running back Derek henry was completely stymied in that contest while rushing for only 28 yards on 15 carries. The Broncos will sorely miss Von Miller tonight while he starts this year on the IL. However, the stop unit is still a formidable one and especially at home where they allowed just 17.9 points per game a season ago. The Broncos will go with 2nd year quarterback Drew Locke tonight. Locke was an impressive 4-1 in 5 starts last season. Denver finished last season by winning each of their final 4 home games. Bet on the Broncos plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 45 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Giants 7:10 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) Since the start of the 2017 season, Pittsburgh is 17-0 to the under in road fames that have a total of 43.0 to 51.0. The Giants have gone under in each of their previous 6 home openers. Since 2016, New York has also gone 13-7 to the under in non-division home games. The Steelers defense was terrific a season ago despite posting just an 8-8 record. The Giants defense will run an entirely different scheme under new head coach Joe Judge. That should require the Steelers offense at least a half before figuring things out. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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