For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-29-23 | Utah v. Oregon State -3.5 | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 71 h 52 m | Show | |
Utah @ Oregon State 9:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Oregon State -3.5 Oregon State is coming off a 38-35 at #16 Washington State in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. The loss dropped the #19 ranked Beavers season record to 3-1. It doesn’t get any easier this week versus #10 Utah (4-0). The Beavers are 18-10 SU in their last 28 at home. However, Oregon State is 14-1 in their previous 15 at home. That includes 5-0 SU&ATS as a conference favorite with an average victory margin of 19.8 points per game. Any college football conference home favorite of 14.5 or less Like Oregon State that’s playing in Game 3 through 10 and they’re coming off a conference favorite SU loss in which they scored 35 points or fewer, and they won 24 or fewer of their last 28 at home, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .362 or better, resulted in those conference home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 2019. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests came by an average of 21.0 points per game. Give me Oregon State minus points. |
|||||||
09-28-23 | Lions -122 v. Packers | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show | |
Lions @ Packers 8:15 ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Lions -122 (Money Line) Detroit is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games versus their division rival Green Bay Packers. The Packers are averaging a deceiving 26.3 points per game when considering their mere 297.7 total yards per contest. Both teams enter this contest with a 2-1 record. However, Detroit is at +84.0 total yards per game and Green Bay is at -38.6 yards per contest. Which tells me the Lions are deserving of their winning record while Green Bay has been a tad bit lucky. Green Bay is coming off an 18-7 win over New Orleans as a 1.5-point home underdog. The Packers needed to overcome a 4th quarter deficit of 17-0 to earn that victory. Green Bay has rushed for 95 yards or fewer in each of their 3 games while Detroit has allowed 90 yards or fewer on the ground during each of their contests. Couple those numbers with the fact that Packers starting quarterback Jordan Love is completing only 53.1% of his passes on the season, and this doesn’t shape up to be a favorable matchup for Green Bay. Any NFL away team like Detroit that has a win percentage of .562 or better, versus an opponent like Green Bay that’s coming off a home underdog SU win by 4 points or fewer in which they scored 13 points or more and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those away teams going 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS since 1990. The average line for those 10 away teams was -1.0 and the average margin of victory was 14.6 points per game. Give me the Lions as a money line wager. |
|||||||
09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | Top | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
Eagles @ Buccaneers 7:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Buccaneers +5.0 Both teams are off to 2-0 starts. However, I’ve been more impressed with Tampa Bay so far considering the low expectation level compared to the defending NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles defeated New England 25-20 and Minnesota 34-28. Thos teams are a combined 0-4 to start the season. Yet, the Eagles defense allowed 300 yards or more passing in both wins. The Eagles have also been beneficiaries of 6 turnovers committed by those opponents. Conversely, Tampa Bay didn’t commit a turnover during their 2-0 start while forcing its opponents into 5 giveaways. Tampa is coming off a 27-17 home win over the Bears in which quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 317 yards. Any NFL Game 3 home underdog that won each of their first 2 games, and their previous win came by 11 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 2006. The underdogs also won 8 of those 9 games straight up. Additionally, NFL Monday Night home underdogs of between 2.0 to 5.5-points that are coming off a SU&ATS win and are playing in the first 4 games of the season, resulted in those home underdogs going 6-0 SU&ATS since 2006. The average margin of victory during those 6 contests came by 11.8 points per game. Give me the Buccaneers as my NFL Top Play of the Week. |
|||||||
09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Falcons +3.5 Any NFL non-division away underdog of between +2.0 to +5.0 like Atlanta that’s playing in Games 2 through 8 and is facing an opponent like Detroit that’s coming off a SU loss, resulted in those teams like Atlanta going 21-0 ATS since 2019. Those underdogs also went 20-0-1 SU in those contests as well. Give me the Falcons plus points. |
|||||||
09-24-23 | Titans v. Browns -3 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
Titans @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Browns -3.0 (-120) The Browns are coming off an away favorite SU loss at Pittsburgh last Monday night. The Titans are coming off last Sunday’s 27-24 overtime win over the Chargers in a game they closed as a 2.5-point home underdog. Any NFL non-division home favorite of between 2.5 to 12.5 points that’s coming off a division away favorite SU loss, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a home underdog SU win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by a decisive margin of 16.0 points per game. Give me the Browns minus points. |
|||||||
09-24-23 | Texans v. Jaguars UNDER 44 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
Texans @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 44.0 Jacksonville is coming off a 17-9 home loss to Kansas City. Houston comes off last Sunday’s 31-20 home loss to Indianapolis. Both games between these division rival went under the total last season and with an average combined score of 26.5 points scored per contest. Since 2019, any NFL team like Jacksonville that’s playing after Game 2 with total of between 38.0 to 48.5 and is coming off a home loss, versus an opponent like Houston that’s coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those game playing 23-0 to the under. The average combined score during those 23 contests was 35.7 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET Game# 423-424 Play On: Notre Dame +3.5 Notre Dame will be playing with revenge stemming from last season’s 21-10 loss at Ohio State. This time around they’re playing at home and with a huge difference in their quality of starting quarterback Sam Hartman compared to what they had under center a season ago. During Notre Dame’s 4-0 start, Hartman completed 71.1% of his passes for 1061 yards and 13 touchdowns and 0 interceptions while also running for 2 scores as well. Notre Dame is 36-3 SU in their last 39 at home and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 2.5 or greater. Additionally, Notre Dame is 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 at home with a point-spread parameter of -9.5 to +5.5. Any non-conference College Football undefeated home underdog of between 2.5 to 5.5 that’s coming off 4 or more consecutive SU wins, and their previous game was versus a non-conference opponent, versus an opponent like Ohio State that’s coming off a SU win, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1993 and with an average victory margin of 9.3 points per game. Give me Notre Dame plus points. |
|||||||
09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
Oregon State @ Washington State 7:00 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Washington State +3.0 Washington State is coming off a 64-21 win over Northern Colorado. Both teams enter this matchup with a perfect 3-0 record. Washington State has won their last 4 meetings versus Oregon State when playing at home. Any conference undefeated home team which is +3.0 to -3.0 like Washington State who’s playing after Game 3 of their season, and they allowed 33 points or fewer in their previous contest, versus an undefeated opponent like Oregon State coming off a win by 7-points or more, resulted in those home teams going 17-3 ATS (85%) since 2010. Those home teams were also 16-4 SU during those contests. Any College Football home underdog of +3.0 to +6.0 with a win percentage of .800 or better like Washington State, and they’re playing after Game 3 of their season, and they’re coming off 2 or more wins in a row with the last of which coming by 15 points or more, versus an opponent like Oregon State who has a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs with those point-spread parameters going 12-0 ATS and 11-1 SU since 2014. The only SU loss by those home dogs came by 1-point. Give me Washington State plus points. |
|||||||
09-23-23 | Colorado v. Oregon -21 | 6-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Oregon 3:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Oregon -21.0 Colorado has been a nice story since Deion Sanders took over as head coach while guiding them to a terrific 3-0 start and #19 national ranking. The Buffaloes biggest weakness right now is their defense which has surrendered 35 points and 499 yards to Colorado State and 42 points and 541 yards to TCU but still managed to win both contests. On a positive note the Buffaloes defense has forced 7 turnovers in their 3 wins. The bad news, Oregon has yet to commit a turnover this season and averages 58.0 points and 587 totals yards per game. Even with their 3-0 record, Colorado is only +19.7 yards per game while the 3-0 Ducks are +301.7 yards per contest. Granted Colorado has played the much tougher schedule thus far, but their stop unit will be hard pressed to stop quarterback Bo Nix and the explosive Oregon offense. Give me Oregon minus the points. |
|||||||
09-23-23 | BYU v. Kansas -9.5 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
BYU @ Kansas 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Kansas -9.5 BYU (3-0) was able to pull off a 38-31 upset win at Arkansas last week as an 8.0-point underdog despite being outgained 424-281. During their only other game versus an FBS opponent that were listless in a 14-0 home win versus Sam Houston State and they were only able to amass a mere 257 yards in that contest. Kansas (3-0) is coming off a flat sport last week in which they won 34-27 at Nevada but didn’t come close to covering as a 28.5-point favorite. However, I’m willing to pass since that game began at 9:30 PM ET Central Time and they were facing what was perceived to be a terrible Nevada team, and their Big 12 opener was up next versus BYU. I look for the Jayhawks to bounce back in a big way at home on Saturday. Any College Football conference home favorite of 19.0 or less that’s coming off a SU win by 7 points or more in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and they possess a season win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better and they’re coming off a SU win, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2016. The average line in those 13 contests was 7.8 and the favorites won those contests by 21.6 points per game. Give me Kansas minus points for my Top Play of the Week. |
|||||||
09-23-23 | Auburn v. Texas A&M -8 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Texas A&M -8.0 Auburn is 3-0 but keep in mind that their 3 wins came over California, Massachusetts, and Samford. Furthermore, they were extremely lucky in the 14-10 win at California due to the Golden Bears missing 3 field goals and Auburn accumulating just 230 yards of total offense. Furthermore, Auburn committed an alarmingly high 7 turnover through their 3 games played. Additionally, since 2021, Auburn is 0-6 ATS off 2 consecutive wins and was outscored by an average of 11.3 points per game. Texas A&M is 2-1 with their only loss coming at #20 Miami 48-33. The Aggies have scored 33 points or more in each of their 3 games this season. Since 2018, Texas A&M is 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 4.5 to 11.0 following a SU win and with an average victory margin of 16.5 points per game. Give me Texas A&M minus points. |
|||||||
09-22-23 | Boise State -6 v. San Diego State | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Boise State @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Boise State -6.0 San Diego State is 2-2 but is coming off 2 consecutive losses to #22 UCLA 35-10 and #14 Oregon State 26-9. Boise State is 1-2 but their losses came at #8 Washington and by 2 at home to a very good Central Florida team. The Aztecs have played the more difficult schedule thus far but the oddsmakers were undeterred by that factor and Boise State opened as a touchdown road favorite. I trust the oddsmakers ability to set an accurate line more so than any other source. Any College Football conference away favorite of between and 3.5 to 9.0-points versus an opponent like San Diego State that’s coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 10 points or fewer on each occasion, and they have at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those conference away favorites going 19-0 SU&ATS since 2013. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 21.9 points per game. Give me Boise State minus the points. |
|||||||
09-21-23 | Giants +10 v. 49ers | 12-30 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 0 m | Show | |
Giants @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Giants +10.0 The Giants are coming off a thrilling 31-28 win at Arizona this past Sunday in which they overcame a lete 3rd quarter 28-7 deficit. Unfortunately, their star running back Saquon Barkley was hurt on their winning drive and is listed as doubtful. It must be noted, the Giants elected to stay on the west coast which is a great idea considering the short turnaround of playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Despite the injury of Barkley, and all the other factors stacking up against the Giants, we haven’t seen hardly if any line movement since the Sunday night opening odds were released. Since Brian Daboll took over as head coach of the Giants, his team has gone a very profitable 6-2 ATS as an underdog when coming off a SU win. The 49ers will be playing in their home opener after starting the season with 2 road wins. However, since 2005, NFL teams playing their home opener in Game 3 of the season, and they’re a favorite of 4.5 or greater, resulted in those home favorite going 5-15 ATS. Since 2019, away teams playing in either Game 2 or Game 3 who are coming off a road contest in which they scored 16 points or more, and they won 4 or more games the year before, resulted in those away teams going 20-2 ATS since 2019. Those away teams also went 18-3-1 SU in those contests as well. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
|||||||
09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 38.5 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 56 h 25 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 38.5 Cleveland is coming off an extremely impressive 24-3 home win over Cincinnati in their season opener. Conversely, Pittsburgh was awful in their Week 1 season opening 30-7 blowout loss at home to San Francisco. The 2 games between these division rivals both went over the total a season ago. The average total during those 2 contests was 39.0 and there was a combined 44.0 points scored per game. Any NFL team like Cleveland that’s playing in a division away game in Games 2 through 4 of the season with a total of 37.5 to 46.0, versus an opponent like Pittsburgh that allowed 33 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 19-2 (90.5%) to the over since 1991. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
09-17-23 | Dolphins -2 v. Patriots | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Dolphins -2.0 Tua and the Dolphins offense was magnificent in last Sunday’s 36-34 road win over the Chargers in a game they racked up 533 yards of total offense. New England is coming off a 25-20 home loss to Philadelphia in a game they failed to cover as a 4.0-point underdog. That makes New England 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less, and they were outscored by an average of 11.5 points per contest. Miami is 4-1 SU and 5-0 in their last 5 versus Miami. Their only SU loss occurred in last season regular season finale 23-21 at New England. That was a game that Miami’s 3rd string quarterback started due to Tua and Teddy Bridgewater being injured. Since 2018, NFL away teams playing in a Game 2 like Miami who’s coming off an away win in their season opener, resulted in those teams going 7-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by an average of 12.4 points per game. Give me the Dolphins minus points. |
|||||||
09-17-23 | Jets v. Cowboys -8 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
Jets @ Dallas 4:25 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Cowboys -8.0 Dallas is coming off a 40-0 blowout road win over the Giants last Sunday night in a game their defense was dominant. The Jets defense will keep them in a game for a while. However, they’ll eventually wear down due to their offense not being able to sustain drives with any consistency. Any NFL non-division home favorite of 8.0 to 16.0-points like Dallas that’s coming off a division away favorite ATS cover in which they scored 33 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent like the Jets who scored 24 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 8-0 SU&ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by a massive 25.6 points per game. Give me Dallas minus points. |
|||||||
09-17-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Falcons | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
Packers @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Packers +2.5 Green Bay is coming off a convincing 38-20 win in their season opener at Chicago. Atlanta won their season opener with a 24-10 home win over Carolina which was more the result of facing a rookie quarterback and lousy opponent more than anything else. As a matter of fact, Atlanta was only able to muster 221 yards of total offense and was beneficiaries of a turnover margin of +3. Additionally, their defense allowed 154 yards rushing to the Panthers. Look for Green Bay running backs Aaron Jones and Corey Dillon to have big days and that will pave the way for us to cash a winning ticket. Since 2019, NFL non-division away teams like the Packers who are +3.0 to -3.0 coming off an away game, and they’re playing in Games 2 through 4 of regular season action, resulted in those teams going 13-1-3 (93%) ATS and 15-2 SU. Give me the Packers. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | Fresno State -3 v. Arizona State | 29-0 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Fresno State at Arizona State 10:30 PM ET Game# 209-210 Play On: Fresno State -3.0 Fresno State went on the road in their season opener and came away with an impressive 39-35 upset win over Purdue. That result certainly wasn’t a fluke when considering the Bulldogs outgained their Big 10 opponent in total yards by a wide margin of 487-363. Now they’ll be facing another Power 5 Conference team on the road this week as they’ll take on Arizona State. Sandwiched between those 2 games was last week’s home opener versus Eastern Washington in which they escaped with a 34-31 win despite being a massive 30.0-point favorite. With all considered, I’ll give them a pass for being flat in that contest. They’ll be facing an Arizona State team that’s coming off a 27-15 home loss to Oklahoma State in a game they were held to a mere 277 yards of total offense and failed to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. The Sun Devils opened the season with an uninspiring 24-21 home win over Southern Utah who’s an FCS team and were nearly upset as a 34.5-point favorite. Give me Fresno State as a point-spread favorite. Since 2011, road teams like Fresno State in Game 2 through 6 that are coming off a home game in which both teams scored 31 points or more, and they’re +3.0 to -3.0 on the point-spread, versus an opponent like Arizona State that’s coming off an underdog ATS loss, resulted in those road teams going 9-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests came by an average of 13.7 points per game. Give me Fresno State as a point spread favorite. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss OVER 63 | 23-48 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss 7:30 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Over 63.0 This will be an extremely high scoring and entertaining game to watch. Both teams can put up huge offensive numbers against mediocre to below average defenses. Georgia Tech lost their season opener to Louisville 39-34 in a game there was a combined 964 yards of total offense and easily sailed over the total of 60.0. The Yellowjackets are coming off last Saturday’s 48-13 shellacking of South Carolina State in which they had 578 yards of total offense. Nonetheless, they also allowed their FCS opponent to rush for 198 yards which is extremely concerning when considering it will be facing a dynamic offense like Ole Miss this week. Ole Miss has amassed 798 passing yards and averaged 55.0 points scored per game in wins over Mercer and Tulane to start the season. The Rebels have a pair of high-quality quarterbacks in Jaxson Dart and former Oklahoma State starter Spencer Sanders. As Ralph Kramden would say in old Honeymooners episodes, “boom, zoom, and to the moon Alice”. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | South Alabama +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 47 h 43 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Oklahoma State 7:00 PM ET Game# 159-160 Play On: South Alabama +7.5 This certainly seems like a fishy line to me. We have a Power 5 Conference school in Oklahoma State that’s 2-0 as just a touchdown favorite at home versus a 1-1 South Alabama team from the Sun Belt Conference. The truth of the matter is South Alabama is a highly experienced team that won 10 games a season ago. They ran into a buzzsaw in their season opening loss at Tulane in a game they were derailed by committing 5 turnovers. Oklahoma State opened the season with a listless 27-13 home win versus Central Arkansas who plays at the FCS level in a game they allowed their opponent to rack up 391 yards of total offense. I wouldn’t be shocked to get the outright upset in this one, but we won’t get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Give me South Alabama as a point-spread underdog. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 175-176 Play On: Florida +6.5 Since 2016, Tennessee is just 3-6 ATS as an SEC road favorite. Conversely, since 2018, Florida is 4-0 ATS as an SEC home underdog and won 3 of those contests SU. Their only SU loss in that sequence was a narrow 31-29 defeat as a 14.0-point underdog versus Alabama. The Gators have won 9 consecutive home games versus Tennessee. Their last home loss to the Volunteers came way back in 2003. We can’t ignore that domination when considering Florida is a touchdown home underdog on Saturday. They’ll also be out to revenge a 38-33 loss at Tennessee last season in a game they covered as an 11.0-point underdog. The Gators dropped their season opener 24-11 at #12 Utah in a contest they outgained the Utes 346-270. Florida bounced back during last Saturday’s home opener with a 49-7 win over McNeese State and outgained their outclassed opponent in total yards by a decisive margin of 560-112. College Football home underdogs of 3.5 to 10.0-points like Florida who outgained their opponent by 175 yards or more in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs within that poiont-spread parameter going 33-6 ATS (84.6%) since 2019. The average line for the underdogs in those contests was +5.8 and they went 26-13 SU as well. Give me Florida plus points. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | Western Kentucky v. Ohio State OVER 65 | 10-63 | Win | 100 | 44 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 65.0 Western Kentucky scored 41 and 52 points during its first 2 games and averaged 68 offensive plays per contest. The Hilltoppers continue to have a prolific passing game and high scoring offense just like the one we’ve been witnessing in recent seasons. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class at Ohio State on Saturday, but we only need 2 to 3 scores from them to cash our ticket. They also allowed 529 yards rushing in those contests which included a game against Houston Baptist that plays at the FCS level. Ohio State hasn’t been overly impressive offensively in their first 2 games. Nevertheless, they’ll have a field day against a traditionally porous defense like Western Kentucky. Since 2020, Western Kentucky is allowing 34.7 points per game when facing non-conference FBS opponents and none of those teams were close to the caliber of what they’re about to face on Saturday. Furthermore, Ohio State has played 6-0 to the over since the start of last season after amassing 475 yards or more in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 75.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
09-16-23 | Iowa State v. Ohio +3 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 46 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Ohio 12:00 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Ohio +3.0 We have a Big 12 team like Iowa State as just na 3.0-point road favorite versus a Mid America Conference team. If it looks too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, then most of the time it is. This is a textbook example of such in my eyes. Iowa State has been borderline anemic offensively through their first 2 games. I’ll give them a pass in last week’s 20-13 loss at Iowa in which they amassed just 290 yards of offense against a Hawkeye defense which is among the best in college football during recent seasons. However, in their season opening 30-9 home win over Northern Iowa who plays at the FCS level they had a mere 250 yards of total offense. The Cyclones will be up against an Ohio Bobcats defense which has allowed only 13.3 points and 233.3 yards per game throughout their first 3 games. Ohio star quarterback Kurtis Rourke returned to the line in last week’s 17-10 upset win at FAU. Rourke was knocked out of the game during 1st half action in their season opening 20-13 loss at San Diego State. The Bobcats backup quarterback tossed 3 interceptions in that contest which ultimately cost Ohio the game. Since the start of last season Rourke has thrown 26 touchdown passes versus only 4 interceptions and passed for over 3500 yards. Give me Ohio plus points. |
|||||||
09-15-23 | Army +9 v. UTSA | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 47 h 24 m | Show | |
Army @ UTSA 7:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Army +9.0 UTSA was somewhat disappointing in their first 2 games. They began the season with a 17-14 loss at Houston in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. That’s the same Houston team that was upset at Rice last week. They followed that up with another listless performance by defeating Texas State 20-13 at home but failed to cover as a 14.0-point favorite. They outgained both those opponents by a combined 789-551 in total yards. However, they turned the ball over 4 times and failed to force a turnover in either contest. Army will be playing with revenge stemming from a 41-38 home loss to UTSA last season. The Black Knights dropped their season opener 17-13 at UL-Monroe in a game they were plagued by 5 turnovers in a contest they closed as an 8.5-point favorite. They bounced back with a convincing 57-0 home win last week over Delaware State who plays at the FCS level. The Black Knights offense has been run heavy for quite some time now as they run the triple option. However, they’ve shown a willingness to throw the ball in the first 2 games while amassing 27 pass attempts and gained 345 yards in the air. As a matter of fact, Army had an extremely uncharacteristically high 304 yards passing in their loss to UTSA last season. Any non-conference away underdog of 3.0 to 10.0-points who’s not coming off a bye week like Army that’s playing with revenge and coming off a SU win by 4 points or more, versus an opponent like UTSA coming off a win in which they failed to cover, resulted in those away underdogs going 13-0-1 ATS since 1995. They also won 10 of those 14 games straight up. Give me Army plus the points. |
|||||||
09-14-23 | Vikings +6.5 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Eagles 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Vikings +6.5 The Eagles walked away with a 25-20 win at New England last Sunday in a game they probably didn’t deserve to win. They also covered that contest as a 4.0-point favorite to boot. New England outgained Philadelphia in total yards by a decisive margin of 382-251. The Eagles nearly squandered an early 16-0 lead and ultimately the difference came down to a pick-6 thrown by Mac Jones in the 1st quarter. Conversely, the Vikings lost their season opener at home to Tampa Bay 20-17 in a contest by all rights they should’ve have won if not for a turnover margin of -3. Minnesota outgained Tampa Bay in total yards by a wide margin of 369-242. The Vikings will be playing with revenge stemming from a 24-7 loss at Philadelphia in ironically enough Week 2 of last season. Look for the Vikings to be not so unlucky this week and Philadelphia not as fortunate as each team was in Week 1. Any NFL away underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 like Minnesota is that’s coming off a home favorite SU loss by 5 points or fewer, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 1.0-point or more, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 11-0 ATS and a compelling 10-1 SU since 1990. Give me the Vikings plus the points. |
|||||||
09-11-23 | Bills -127 v. Jets | 16-22 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Bills @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Bills -127 The Jets are unequivocally the most hyped NFL team heading into this 2023-2024 NFL season. Much of that publicity has to do with the addition of future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers. However, at this stage of his career, Rodgers won’t even be the best quarterback on the field tonight. The Bills were in a similar situation last season when they were the preseason favorite to win the Super Bowl. The Bills are 5-1 SU versus the Jets over the previous 3 seasons and all 5 wins came by 8 points or more. Since Sean McDermott has taken over as head coach in Buffalo, the Bills are 16-3 SU and 12-6-1 ATS in their last 19 as a road favorite of 9.5 or less. That included 7-1 SU if they were facing a division opponent. Their only SU loss came last season at Miami 21-19 in a game they outgained the Dolphins 497-212 yards. Any NFL team like Buffalo that closed out the season before with 6 or more wins in their last 8 games versus an opponent like the Jets the finished the season before with 6 or more losses during their last 8, resulted in those teams like Buffalo going 26-4 SU (86.7%) since 2019. The average money for teams like Buffalo was -126.2 and they outscored their opponents by an average of 9.5 points per game. Give me the Bills on the money line. |
|||||||
09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 0 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Giants 8:20 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Giants +3.5 Giants head coach Brian Daboll did a terrific job last season in his first year on the job. The Giants wre 9-7-1 in regular season action and made the playoffs as a NFC Wildcard team. They then went on the road and beat a 13-4 Minnesota team 31-24 before being eliminated by defending NFC champion Philadelphia the following week. Yes, the Giants lost both regular season matchups versus Dallas last season. However, both were one score games. By the way, during Daboll’s first year as head coach in New York the Giants were a terrific 7-1 ATS as an underdog of 5.5 or less and they won 6 of those 8 contests straight up. Since 2011, any NFL Game 1 division home underdog of between 2.5 and 5.5 like the Giants are, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS and 9-1-1 SU. Give me the Giants plus points. |
|||||||
09-10-23 | Dolphins v. Chargers -3 | Top | 36-34 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Chargers -3.0 I think the Chargers are one of the biggest sleepers in an otherwise loaded AFC heading into the season. They possess high quality offensive skilled possession players and a defense that will be vastly improved. The Chargers have gone 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 season openers. Since 2021, Miami is 2-6 ATS and 1-7 SU on the road when there’s a total of 45.5 or greater. Any NFL Game 1 home team with a point-spread ranging from 0.0 to -5.0 that won 10 games or more the season before, and they’re facing an opponent like Miami that won 8 or more games the season before, resulted in those home teams withing that point-spread parameter going 31-14 ATS (68.8%) since 1989. Those home teams also went 35-10 SU in those contests as well. Give me the Chargers minus points for my NFL Week 1 Top Play. |
|||||||
09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 54 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Browns +2.5 Cleveland has gone 8-2 SU in their last 10 meeting versus Cincinnati and that includes winning 5 straight at home in this divisional series. Since 2009, Game 1 NFL division home underdogs of 5.5 or less like Cleveland, and they won 3 games or more in the previous season, resulted in those season opener division home underdogs going 16-2 ATS, and they won 15 of those 18 contests straight up. Give me the Browns plus points. |
|||||||
09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
49ers @ Steelers 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Steelers +3.0 Under head coach Kyle Shanahan. The 49ers are just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in season openers. That includes 0-2 SU&ATS as a favorite of 7.0 or less. As a matter of fact, San Francisco dropped their season opener last season while suffering a 19-10 loss at Chicago in a game they close as a 6.5-point favorite, and versus a Bears team that finished the 2022-2023 season 3-14. Pittsburgh is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 season openers under current head coach Mike Tomlin. Pittsburgh is also 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home when there was a total of 37.0 or greater and their point-spread was +2.5 to -2.5. Since 2009, Game 1 NFL division home underdogs of 5.5 or less like Pittsburgh, and they won 3 games or more in the previous season, resulted in those season opener division home underdogs going 16-2 ATS, and they won 15 of those 18 contests straight up. Give me the Steelers plus points. |
|||||||
09-10-23 | Panthers v. Falcons -3.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 45 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Falcons -3.5 Both teams went 7-10 SU last season and split their season series with the home team winning on both occasions. The Falcons finished the season 6-2 SU in their last 8 at home. Carolina is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at Atlanta as an underdog of 3.0 or greater while losing by an average of 11.2 points per game. Any NFL division home favorite of 4.0 or less that’s playing in their opening game that won 7 games or more during the previous season, and there’s a total of 42.5 or less, versus an opponent like Atlanta that won 6 or more games the year before, resulted in those divisional home favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%). Those favorites also went 18-0 SU during those contests and won by an average of 11.0 points per game. Give me the Falcons minus points. |
|||||||
09-09-23 | Wisconsin v. Washington State +6 | 22-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 31 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Washington State +6.0 Washington State is coming off a 50-24 win at Colorado State and covered easily as an 8.5-point favorite. On the other hand, Wisconsin is coming off a 38-17 home win over Buffalo in their season opener last Saturday. The Badgers failed to cover as a 27.5-point favorite in a game they led just 14-10 at the half. Home teams coming off a straight up win by 49 points or less in which they scored 50 points or more like Washington State, and they’re facing a team like Wisconsin who is coming off a win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 25-1 ATS (96%). Those home teams also went 23-3 SU as well. Considering this betting angle backs the home team that’s the underdog, then the SU results take on even added significance. Give me Washington State plus points. |
|||||||
09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama -7 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Texas @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Alabama -7.0 Alabama is coming off a 56-7 non-conference win over Middle Tennessee State. Texas is coming off a 37-10 win over Rice. Any home favorite of 6.5 or greater like Alabama that’s coming off a non-conference SU win by 49 points or less, and they scored 50 points or more in that win, versus an opponent like Texas that’s coming off a SU win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average victory margin in those 15 contests came by a massive 37.3 points per game. Give me Alabama minus points. |
|||||||
09-09-23 | Oregon v. Texas Tech +6.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: Texas Tech +6.5 Texas Tech is coming off a 35-33 overtime loss at Wyoming in a game they closed as a 12.0-point favorite. Oregon is coming off an 81-7 blowout win over an FCS team in Portland State. Any home underdog of 1.5 to 7.0-points like Texas Tech that’s coming off an away favorite of 10.0 or greater SU loss, and their playing in Games 2 through 9, versus an opponent like Oregon that’s coming off a win by 9 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1987. Additionally, those home underdogs won 12 of those 13 games SU. Give me Texas Tech plus points. |
|||||||
09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL +4 | Top | 33-48 | Win | 100 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Miami Fla. 3:30 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Miami Fla. +4.0 Miami is coming off a 38-3 non-conference win over Miami-Ohio and they covered easily as a 16.5-point home favorite. Texas A&M comes off a 52-10 home win over New Mexico. Any non-conference home underdog of 5.5 or less Like Miami that’s coming off a non-conference home favorite of 12.0 or greater ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, versus an opponent like Texas A&M that’s coming off a SU win, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1993. Those home underdogs won all 8 of those games straight up and by a decisive margin of 12.6 points per contest. Give me Miami plus points. |
|||||||
09-08-23 | Illinois +3 v. Kansas | 23-34 | Loss | -108 | 50 h 36 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Kansas 7:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Illinois +3.0 The Illini are coming off a 30-28 win over Toledo but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. Conversely Kansas toyed with Missouri State who plays at the FCS level during last week’s 48-17 win. Since 1985, any College Football non-conference away underdog of 6.5 or less like Illinois, that’s coming off a non-conference win by 3 points or fewer in which they failed to cover as a home favorite, and they won 11-games or fewer the season before, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-0 ATS. The away underdogs also won 11 of those 12 games straight up. Give me Illinois plus points. |
|||||||
09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 53 m | Show | |
Lions @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.5 Kansas City has gone over the total in 8 straight season openers under current head coach Andy Reid and there was a combined average of 61.1 points scored per game. Since 2017, the Chiefs are 5-0 to the over during the first 2 games of the season and when there was a total of 53.5 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 54.5 and there was a combined 63.6 points scored per game. The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in all of their last 12 season openers. That run of high scoring season openers includes the first 2 of current head coach Dan Campbell’s tenure in Detroit. and there was a combined 73.5 points scored per game. Campbell has also seen his Lions play 4-2 to the over since he took over as head coach whenever the total was 50.0 or higher. Since 2009, NFL home favorites of 4.0 or greater that were playing in their serason opener and there was a total of 50.0 or higher, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 53.4 and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Duke 8:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Duke +13.0 Let’s get the obvious out of the way. Yes, Clemson is superior athletically and has more overall team speed than Duke. They annually have one of the top recruiting classes in the country and has produced a plethora of NFL players during head coach’s Dabo Swinney’s tenure which hasn’t been the case at Duke. Okay, now let’s move on to just this game and who will cover the spread. Duke enjoyed a 9-4 season under 1st year head coach Mike Elko in 2022. The year was capped off with a convincing 30-13 win over UCF in a bowl game. The Blue Devils 4 losses all came by 8 points or fewer. Furthermore, 3 of those 4 defeats came by 3 points or less. Duke is only 13-15 in their last 28 at home but was 5-1 last season. Duke returns 18 starters from last year’s successful team including star quarterback Riley Leonard. The junior was outstanding last season while throwing 2967 yards and 20 touchdowns versus 6 picks. Leonard also rushed for 699 yards and 13 touchdowns as well. Look for Leonard to be a key cog in us getting the cover. Any College Football Game 1 home underdog of 4.0 to 16.5-points like Duke that won 8 or more regular season games the year before, and has won 9 or more of their last 28 at home, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 2010. The underdogs also won 7 of those 10 games straight up. Giver me Duke plus the points. |
|||||||
09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 12 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 219-220 Play On: South Alabama +6.5 Soth Alabama finished the 2022 regular season with an impressive 10-2 record. Their lone defeats came by just a combined 5 points. The Jaguars were 5-1 SU on the road with their lone loss coming a at UCLA 32-31 in a contest they closed as a 15.5-point underdog. They return 18 starters from that team. Tulane had a storybook 12-2 season and AAC Championship. Additionally, that magical season concluded with a 45-28 win over UCF in their conference championship game, and a stunning New Year’s Day Bowl thrilling win over traditional college football powerhouse USC. Yet here we are 8 months later, and they’re just a touchdown favorite in their season opener at home versus a Sun Belt Conference team. They’re begging you to lay the points at home with the Green Wave. Tulane lost some very key personnel on both sides of the ball that heavily contributed to an extremely successful season. I going with a contrarian approach in this one, and it wouldn’t shock me in the least if the underdog pulls off an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and take South Alabama plus points. |
|||||||
09-02-23 | North Carolina -135 v. South Carolina | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show | |
North Carolina vs. South Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 181-182 Play On: North Carolina -135 (Money Line) North Carolina is coming off a 9-4 season and 18 returning starters in 2023. The Tar Heels are #3 nationally in the returning production rank category. That veteran cast is highlighted by star quarterback Drake Maye who’s well beyond read deal status at this point and barring a major injury will be playing on Sundays in the not-too-distant future. This game will be played in Charlotte at the home of the Carolina Panthers. It’s considered a neutral field game despite being in the Tar Heels home state. Any college football neutral field favorite playing in a season opener that won 9 or more games the year before, resulted in those favorites going 25-3 SU (89.3%) since 2012. Give me North Carolina on the money line. |
|||||||
09-02-23 | UTSA -120 v. Houston | 14-17 | Loss | -120 | 74 h 13 m | Show | |
UTSA @ Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: UTSA -120 (Money Line Pick) It’s time to take the UTSA Roadrunners more seriously. They’ve had a combined 23-5 record over the last 2 years and won a pair of Conference championships. However, 1 of those 5 losses came in last year’s season opener when they fell to 33-31 at home versus Houston. As if they need any more motivation playing a Power 5 Conference team. Apparently the oddsmakers are taking them more seriously than most. A Group of 5 team like UTSA taking on a Big 12 opponent in their home opener, and it’s visitors that are favorite. By, the way, keep an eye on UTSA quarterback Frank Harris. This guy is the real deal and will be a major reason why we’re on the winning side in this game. Give me UTSA on the money line. |
|||||||
08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah -6 | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
Florida @ Utah 8:00 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Utah -6.0 Utah was upset in their season opener a year ago by Florida in a game that went into the very late stages of the 4th quarter before a winner was finally decided. However, all you need to do is look at the Florida Gators regular season over/under win total of 5.5. When doing so, it tells you what the sharpest minds in sports betting, which are oddsmakers, think of Florida’s chances of even reaching a in a bowl game this year, let alone beating a Top 10 caliber team in their season opener. Utah has gone 22-1 SU and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. Furthermore, since 10/17/2015, the Utes are a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite while playing with revenge. The average line during those 11 situations was 11.5 and the Utes outscored their opponents by an average of 18.6 points per game. If the worst-case scenario is Rising being ruled out at gametime, I still like the Utes even at this current number. Otherwise, if Rising is available, this line will move much closer or match the opening number of 9.5. Either way, give me Utah minus points. |
|||||||
08-26-23 | Ohio +2.5 v. San Diego State | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
Ohio @ San Diego State 7:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Ohio +2.5 This line jumped right off the page at me when it first came out. Ohio as a short road favorite versus a Mountain West football program with a fine winning tradition. However, upon further review, this is an Ohio team that went 10-4 last season, reached the MAC Championship Game, and beat another Mountain West Conference team in a bowl game by way of a 30-27 win over Wyoming. They finished the season on a 8-1 winning run. Ohio returns 9 starters on offense including quarterback Kurtis Rourke and 1,000-yard rusher Sieh Bangura. Rourke was the MAC Offensive Player of the Year a season ago that was cut short by an ACL injury in Game 11 at Ball State. However, Rourke still threw for 3256 yards with 25 touchdown passes versus only 4 interceptions. He also ran for 249 yards and 4 touchdowns as well. Since 9/23/17, Ohio has gone 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less and won by an average of 15.8 points per game. Give me Ohio plus points. |
|||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 51.5 Super Bowls with a total of 50.0 or greater have played 6-1 to the under since 2000, and there was a combined average of 43.8 points scored per game. Kansas City has played 8-3 to the under this season whenever there was a total of 50.0 or greater. As a matter of fact, the Chiefs have played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 games this season versus non-division opponents when the total was 50.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 42.8 points scored per game. The Chiefs offensive prowess gets most of the attention and rightfully so. Although their defense isn’t regarded as an elite unit, they have accumulated 55 sacks this season which was 2nd in the NFL and only Philadelphia was better in that category. They also rank #11 in total defense while allowing just 328.2 yards per game. The best defense against a high-powered offense like the Chiefs possess is an offense that can dominate time of possession. The Eagle have a tremendous running game and Kansas City is average ata best versus the run. The Eagles have seen each of their last 4 go under the total and allowed a mere 12.5 points per game in those contests. Philadelphia has been far and away the best pass rushing team in all the NFL which is evidenced by them amassing 70 sacks this season. That’s a major reason why the Eagles allow just an NFL best 179.8 net passing yards per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -120 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 40 m | Show |
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Philadelphia -120 (5*) In this sports betting expert’s opinion, Philadelphia is better on both sides of the ball, and the only reason they’re not the favorite in they faced a weaker schedule compared to that of Kansas City. The Eagles defense far and away has amassed the most sacks this season with 70, and the next best team had 55. Philadelphia also has an extremely potent running game that averages 147.6 yards per game on the ground. Conversely, Kansas City was just #16 against the run and they could’ve been much lower if not for teams having to abandon their running game against them in attempt to overcome sizable 2nd half deficits. Philadelphia is #2 in total defense and #1 against the pass (179.8 PG). The Eagles have only allowed 1 team to accumulate 300 or more pass yards against them this season and that was Dallas at 304. As a matter of fact, the Eagles have allowed 183 yards or fewer passing in each of its last 4 and 7 of their last 8 games. That’s concerning for a Chiefs team that has passed on 60.3% of their offensive plays so far this season. Give me Philadelphia on the money in Super Bowl LVII. |
|||||||
01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Chiefs 6:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) It will be extremely cold in Kansas City on Sunday night with temperatures in the low 20’s and winds of 11 MPH which will make it feel approximately 10 degrees colder. Even with these 2 great offenses and star quarterbacks, the weather isn’t ideal for either passing attack. Add in the uncertainty of how much Patrick Mahomes will be affected by the high ankle sprain, and we may witness a lower scoring game relative to the total than most would expect. As a matter of fact, you may be surprised to know that the Chiefs played 6-0 to the under at home this season in non-division home games with a combined average of 40.3 points scored per game. The Bengals defense has allowed 18 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of its previous 8 games. They have given up their fair share of yards during that stretch but bailed themselves out on many occasions by forcing 14 turnovers, and with 12 of those occurring over their past 5 games. Cincinnati has played 4-0 to the under this season whenever the total was 48.0 or greater with a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 45 | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
49ers @ Eagles 3:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming of last week’s Divisional Round 19-12 home win over Dallas in a game that easily went under the total. The 49ers have now played 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games. Additionally, the 49ers have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under in their previous game and there was a combined 54.8 points scored per contest. The Eagles enter this game off 2 wins in a row and both came over the Giants. Since Nick Sirriani became head coach last season, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the over at home following back-to-back wins and there was a combined 51.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Buffalo 3:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Buffalo -5.5 (10*) The Cincinnati Bengals have been a betting darling right now and are on a 9-game win streak. However, since the start of the 2011 NFL season, teams that are an underdog of 3.0 or greater that have won 8 of more games in a row have gone 0-7-1 ATS. The Bengals offensive line will be without 2 and possibly 3 starters on Sunday. Cincinnati was very fortunate to escape with a 24-17 home win over Baltimore in the Wildcard Round. They were outgained in that contest by a substantial margin 364-234 yards. If not for a game changing 98-yard fumble return with 10 minutes left with the game tied at 17, the Bengals were in line for a shocking early postseason exit. Buffalo’s 34-31 win over Miami was extremely deceiving. The Bills outgained the Dolphins in that contest by a massive margin 423-231 yards. The Dolphins were afforded short fields by way of 2 interception returns and a punt return. Miami also scored a defensive touchdown on a strip sack fumble return. Buffalo has been a highly scrutinized team despite their 14-3 season record which includes a current 8-game win streak. As a matter of fact, they’re 3 losses came by just a combined 3-points. Yet, because of the preseason hype which publicized them as a favorite to win the Super Bowl, the Bills have been labeled by many as an overrated team. Under current head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills are a perfect 4-0 in home playoff games, and cover on both occasions that they were a favorite of 6.0 or less while winning by a enormous average of 22.0 points per game. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0 or less like Buffalo who are coming off a home favorite SU win in which they failed to cover, and there’s a total of 40.0 or greater, versus an opponent like Cincinnati who has a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those postseason home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 5 contests came by an average of 20.0 points per game, and they covered those outings by an average of 16.1 points per occurrence. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Giants +8 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
New York @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM ET Game#303-304 Play On: Giants +8.0 (5*) The Giants are an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS in neutral site and away games this season. They also won 5 of those 9 contests straight up. That includes 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU as underdogs of 9.5 or less, and if their opponent had a win percentage of .583 or better, New York improved to 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU. The Giants have committed just 1 turnover over their previous 3 games. Philadelphia has forced 1 turnover or less in each of its last 6 games. NFL underdogs of between 3.5 to 10 like the Giants who committed 1 turnover of fewer in each of their last 3 games, versus an opponent like the Eagles who has forced 1 turnover or fewer in each of their last 2, resulted in those underdogs going 37-8 ATS (82.2%) during the last 5 seasons. That includes an ever better 18-3 ATS over the previous 3 seasons. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ Kansas City 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 52.0 (10*) Since 1/20/2019, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over in home playoff games with a total of 56.5 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 52.2 and there was a combined 66.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less, and there was a total of 42.0 or greater. The Jaguars have also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when there was a total of 45.5 or greater, and there was a combined 63.0 points per game. The Jaguars enter this Divisional Round matchup riding a 6-game win streak. NFL Playoff teams like Jacksonville who have won 6 or more games in a row, and there was a total of 52.0 or greater, saw those situations play 4-0 to the over and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per occurrence since 2017. NFL Playoff home favorites of 4.5 or more like Kansas City that are coming off a bye, with a total of 42.0 or more, and they’re coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those situations playing 11-0 to the under since 1990. The average total in those games was 47.5 and there was a combined 55.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Tampa Bay +2.5 (10*) The Cowboys have gone 0-3 SU&ATS this season as an away favorite of 7.5 or less and when facing an opponent who has a losing record. Dallas allowed an alarmingly high 32.3 points per game in those losses. Dallas had a stellar regular season record of 12-5 (.705). However, NFL Postseason away favorites of 2.5 or less who have a win percentage of worse than .722 are 0-10 ATS and 2-8 SU since 1980. Dallas has an average line difference of +3.94 points per game. Conversely, Tampa Bay is at -6.08 points per game. The Bucks enter the postseason with an uninspiring 8-9 (.471) record. Dallas has gone just 15-17 in their last 32 away games. This sets up a powerful never lost NFL Playoffs betting angle which is displayed below that goes against conventional NFL point-spread handicapping wisdom. NFL Playoffs home teams like Tampa Bay who have a win percentage of .625 or worse and their average line difference per game is -0.1 or worse, versus an opponent like Dallas who’s won 16 or fewer of its last 32 away games and their average line difference per game is +0.5 or better, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1992. The home teams won those 14 postseason contests by an average of 16.0 points per game. Give me Tampa Bay plus the points. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
New York @ Minnesota 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Over 48.0 (5*) These teams met just a few weeks ago in Minnesota and the Vikings squeezed out a 27-24 win when kicker Greg Joseph made a 61-yard field goal as time expired. The Vikings managed to win despite allowing the Giants offense to rack up 445 yards of total offense. This is nothing new for Minnesota’s defense. They finished regular season action having allowed 25.1 points and 388.7 yards per game. Minnesota has seen 7 of their last 8 at home go over the total and there was a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. The Viking are coming off a 29-13 win at Chicago in their regular season finale and it barely went under the total of 42.5. That broke a string of 6 straight overs for Minnesota. The Giants finished the regular season with a 22-16 loss at Philadelphia and the contest stayed under the total of 42.5. New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 immediately following an under and there was a combined 56.3 points scored per game. Additionally, the Giants have averaged 26.7 points scored in their last 3 non-division games and amassed 394 yards or more of total offense on each occasion. The Giants offense has steadily improved as the season wore on and they scored 20 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Buffalo -13.5 (5*) Buffalo enters this Wildcard Round on a 7-game win streak. As a matter of fact, the Bills have a season record of 13-3, and those trio of defeats came only by a combined 8 points. With a little bit of luck, we could be talking about an NFL team having an undefeated regular season for a first time since New England did it in 2007. In any event, 1 of those 3 losses came at Miami in a game the Bills outgained the Dolphins by a massive 285 yards. Buffalo won the rematch at home 32-29 and racked up another 446 yards of total offense. This time around, Miami will be missing Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback and most likely will start 3rd stringer Skylar Thompson. Buffalo possesses a strong home field having gone 24-8 in their last 32 played in Orchard Park and that includes 3-0 during postseason action. The last 2 of which were victories by scores of 17-3 over Baltimore and 47-17 against New England. Miami limps into the post season with an uninspiring 9-8 record and that includes going 1-5 in their last 6. This will be Miami’s first playoff game since 1/8/2017 when they lost at Pittsburgh 30-12. Conversely, since that last Miami postseason appearances, Buffalo has played in 12 playoff games and all under current head coach Sean McDermott. Don’t undervalue postseason experience when handicapping at this time of year, and a huge advantage Buffalo. Since 1995, NFL Playoffs 1st Round home favorites of 10.5 or more like Buffalo who have won 24 or more of its last 32 at home, versus an opponent like Miami with a win percentage of .647 or worse, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The average victory margin for those 13 contests came by an average of 19.0 points per game. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
LA Chargers at Jacksonville 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Jacksonville +2.5 (5*) The Chargers closed the regular season with a 31-28 loss at Denver. They allowed an anemic Denver offense to rack up 471 yards of total offense. The Chargers faced Jacksonville at home earlier this season (9/25) and got hammered 38-14 as a 6.5-point favorite. Jacksonville was revived from the dead after a 4-8 start to the season and finished regular season action on a 5-game win streak. The last of those wins coming in a 20-16 home win over Tennessee and enabled them to win the AFC South Division with a pedestrian 9-8 record. However, momentum is a scary thing for opponents going up against it on the road in the postseason. What’s been extremely encouraging has been the Jaguars defense over its last 3 games. During that stretch they allowed a mere 7.3 points and 272.0 yards per game. Putting that into proper perspective, the Jags held their opponents to 13.3 points and 81.3 yards below their season average which is a sign of a unit jelling at the right time. By, the way, Jacksonville won their last 4 at home with 3 of those coming as underdogs. One more note, the jaguars Doug Pederson has gone 14-4 ATS in his NFL head coaching career as a home underdog, and his teams outscored their opponents by an average of 8.3 points per game. NFL teams like Jacksonville that are facing an opponent like the Chargers who are playing with same season revenge stemming from a defeat in which they scored 14 points or fewer, and those oppponents are coming off a road loss, resulted in teams like the Jaguars going 40-13 (75.5%) SU over the previous 5 seasons. Give me Jacksonville plus the small number. |
|||||||
01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia OVER 63 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Georgia 7:30 ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Over 63.0 (4*) TCU averages 41.1 points scored per game this season. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more in 6 of their last 12 games. That includes allowing 528 yards to Michigan during its 51-45 Semifinal win over Michigan. Conversely, Georgia has averaged 46.0 points scored and 533.0 yards of total offense in wins over LSU in the SEC Title Game and Ohio State in the Playoff Semifinal. The Bulldogs also allowed 71 points and 1016 yards in those last 2 wins. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
Detroit @ Green Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Green Bay -4.5 (10*) Detroit does come in having gone a red-hot 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. However, their defense has horrible against the run over the last 2 games while allowing a combined 520 yards rushing and a massive 8.0 yards per attempt. They will be up against it again against a the superb running back due of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Let’s start with the regular season home record of Green Bay. Since the beginning of the NFL 2019-2020 season, the Packers have gone an outstanding 27-4 SU (.871) and 21-10 ATS (68%) in regular season home games. Furthermore, Green Bay is 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 NFC North Division home games. The average line in those games was -9.4 and they won by 19.5 points per contest. Green Bay will be playing with revenge from an earlier season 15-9 loss at Detroit in a game they outgained the Lions by a decisive 135 yards, and only to be victimized by 3 Aaron Rogers interceptions. That’s highly unlikely to occur again. Green Bay enters this regular season finale having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and in a position to guarantee an NFC Wildcard Playoff spot with a win over their division rival. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or less like Green Bay that’s playing in their final regular season finale, and they’ve won 4 or more games in a row, and they covered their previous contest against a division foe while doing so by 7.0 points or more, resulted in those home favorites of 7.0 or less going 6-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average point spread in those 6 contests was 5.0 and there was an substantial average victory margin of 23.2 points per game. Give me Green Bay minus the points. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
NY Jets @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Miami -3.0 (5*) Any NFL favorite of 3.0 or more like Miami that has a win percentage of less than .750, versus an opponent like the Jets who is coming off SU favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of ..400 to .490, resulted in those teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The average margin of victory in those 14 wins came by 16.0 points per game. Give me Miami minus the points. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Panthers v. Saints -3.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Carolina @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: New Orleans -3.5 (5*) I can’t help but think that Carolina will be mentally spent after what transpired last week. They were presented with an excellent opportunity to steal an NFL South Division Title when it seemed unfathomable to think after firing their head coach and trading away its best player earlier this season. We’re talking about a Panthers team that started the season 1-5 and was still a terrible 2-7 through 9 games. However, in a must win game last week at Tampa Bay and their division title hopes handing in the balance, Carolina sustained a heartbreaking 30-24 loss and we eliminated from contention. That’s a tough emotional obstacle to overcome when playing in a regular season finale just 7 days later, and do so on the road to boot. Despite now being 6-10, Carolina has gone a miserable 1-6 on the road. Additionally, since 2020 Carolina is 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS when coming off a loss by 6 points or fewer, and that worsens to 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS if those were away games. New Orleans is finishing the year strong despite being eliminated from realistic playoff aspiration a long while ago. The Saint enter Week 18 riding a 3-game win streak in which they allowed a mere 12.7 points and 294.0 yards per contest. Ride the season ending momentum with the Saints. Give me New Orleans minus the points. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Utah +1.5 v. Penn State | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Utah vs. Penn State 5:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Utah +1.5 (5*) Penn State ended the regular season on a 4-game win streak to improve its record to 10-2 (.833). However, in their 2 marquee games this season they lost to Michigan 41-17 and at home to Ohio State 44-31. The Nittany Lions allowed a combined 1015 yards in those defeats. They’ll be facing a Utah team in the Rose Bowl that’s one of just a handful of college football squads that can match or exceed their physicality. Since Kyle Whittingham took over as head coach Utah, the Utes have gone 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS in either bowl games of Conference Championship contests. That includes 9-0 ATS and 8-1 SU if their point-spread was -2.5 to +9.5 in those postseason games. Utah is coming off USC 47-24 as a 2.5-point underdog in the PAC-12 Championship Game that improved their season record 10-3 (.769). College Football teams like Utah who have a point-spread parameter of +2.5 to -2.5 +2.5 and are playing after Game 10 with a win percentage of .857 or less, and they’re coming off a SU underdog win by 7 points or greater in which they scored 35 points or more, versus opponents like Penn State that have a win percentage of better than .600, resulted in those teams going 12-0 SU&ATS since 2001. Give me Utah over Penn State. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. USC 1:00 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Tulane +2.5 (5*) This line jumped right off the screen at me when it first came out. We have mighty USC who blew a sure College Football Playoff invite when they fell to Utah in the PAC-12 Championship Game. Now they’re less than a field goal favorite with little to no line movement off the opener while facing Tulane from a Group-Of-5 Conference (AAC). The totality of those previous 3 sentences speaks volumes to me. As a result, and just like I expected public perception will be askew when assessing who to take in this game. The consensus obvious choice would be USC and especially for those looking through a narrow lens. The Green Wave are for real. They defeated Big 12 champion Kansas State on the road earlier this season. That’s the same Kansas State that beat TCU (13-1) in their Conference Championship Game. By the way, TCU will be playing Georgia for College Football National Championship Game on January 9th. Enough said, give me Tulane plus the small number. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Rams +6.5 v. Chargers | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
Rams @ Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Rams +6.5 (5*) Don’t expect the 5-10 Rams to lay down in this game just because their playoff hopes were put to rest for few weeks now. All you need to do in look at their 51-14 home win over Denver last week. Granted, the Chargers are a much better team than the Broncos. However, we are a sizable underdog in a game in which both teams share the same stadium. Nonetheless, the Rams are the designated road team on Sunday. NFL regular away underdogs of 4.0 to 8.5 with a win percentage of .625 or worse like the Rams who are playing after Game 14, and they’re coming off a home win, resulted in those away underdogs of 4.0 to 8.5 going 18-0 ATS since 2014. Those underdogs also went a very respectable 9-9 SU in those contests. Give me the Rams plus the points. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
Vikings @ Packers 4:25 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Packers -3.0 (10*) The Packers will have a high degree of urgency and desperation with their playoff chances hanging in the balance. Since the beginning of the 2019-2020 NFL season, Green Bay has gone 26-4 SU (86.7%) and 20-10 (67%) during their regular season home games. During that exact time span, Green Bay was 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in NFC North Division home games. Additionally, and since the 2019-2020 NFL season began, Minnesota has gone 1-6 SU&ATS when they were a pick’em/underdog of 3.0 or less. They’ve also gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 in that exact role and lost by an average of 13.0 points per game. They had 2 such instances this year which resulted a 24-7 loss at Philadelphia and 34-23 defat at Detroit. NFL regular season home favorites of 3.0 or greater like the Packers who are playing after Game 14 and are coming off a win, and they possess a losing record, versus an opponent like Minnesota that has a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1983. The average victory margin in those 7 contests came by 13.0 points per game. Give me Green Bay minus the points. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 52.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Bears @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) Any team like Detroit that’s coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .636 or worse, and there’s a total of 46.0 or greater, versus a division opponent with a win percentage of .714 or worse and they’re coming off a game in which they allowed 40 points or fewer, resulted in those games playing 17-0 to the under since 2015. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Dolphins +3 v. Patriots | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Dolphins +3.0 (5*) I firmly believe there’s been too much emphasis on Tua being out for this huge AFC East battle with playoff implications. The Dolphins backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has started and played in some big games when a member of the Minnesota Vikings. Miami is coming off a 26-20 loss to Green Bay in a game they were a 3.5-point home favorite. Conversely, New England was handed a 22-18 loss by Cincinnati and failed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. That dropped the Patriots season record to 7-8. NFL division road underdogs like Miami that are coming off a home favorite SU loss, versus an opponent like New England that has a losing record and is coming off a home underdog ATS loss, resulted in those road underdogs going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdogs not only covered in all those contests, but they won each one outright and by an average of 7.2 points per game. Give me the Dolphins plus the points. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Ohio State +6.0 (10*) Fresh in the minds of many is Ohio State’s embarrassing home blowout loss to Michigan. The Buckeyes allowed 45 points and 542 yards in that defeat. Despite that poor defensive showing, the Buckeyes defense still allows just 19.3 points and 304.1 yards per game. The Georgia defense has been an elite unit for the past 2 seasons. However, LSU may have exposed a weakness in Georgia’s pass defense during the SEC Championship Game. LSU Tigers was able to rack up 502 passing yards in a loss. On the other hand, Ohio State has averaged 44.5 points and 492.8 yards per game this season. Because of those last 2 points, we have a puncher’s chance with the underdog Buckeyes explosive offense. Give me Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan OVER 58 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Michigan 4:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Over 58.0 (5*) These offenses rank #6 and #7 nationally in scoring with both averaging a tad over 40 points per game. On the other side of the ball, despite their 12-1 record TCU is currently #74 nationally while allowing 384.6 yards per game. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more 5 times this season. TCU has also allowed their opponent to gain 396 yards or more in 7 of their 13 games. That includes giving up 476 to SMU, 501 to Baylor, and 540 to Kansas. Michigan allowed 326 yards or less in each of their fist 11 games of the season. Hence, their dominant season long defensive statistics. However, in their last 2 games versus Purdue and Ohio State they showed some vulnerabilities. They gave up 494 yards to Ohio State in their regular season finale and 426 to Purdue in the Big 10 Championship Game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Iowa -130 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Iowa vs. Kentucky 1:00 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Iowa -130 (5*) For starters, the Kentucky offense will be without their starting quarterback Will Levis who opted out. Things were going to be hard enough for the Kentucky offense even with Levis against the Hawkeyes stingy defense. Iowa allowed 13 points or fewer in 8 of 12 games this season. Speaking of Iowa, they’ll certainly be looking to get the bad taste out of their mouths after suffering a 24-17 home loss to Nebraska, and that transpired with them closing as a 10.5-point favorite. That defeat dropped the Hawkeyes record to 7.5 (.583). Iowa will be facing a Kentucky team which enters this Music City Bowl matchup with an identical 7-5 (.583) record. College Football favorites like Iowa who are coming off a conference SU loss as a favorite of 6.0 or greater, and they possess a win percentage of between .510 to .600, versus an opponent like Kentucky who has a win percentage of .800 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 30-0 SU since 2016. Give me Iowa on the money line. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
Kansas State vs. Alabama 12:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Kansas State +7.0 (5*) Kansas State enters this Sugar Bowl matchup with mighty Alabama on an extremely high level of confidence. The Wildcats went 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 including an upset of then undefeated TCU in the Big 12 Conference Championship game. Now they get to take on the current biggest brand name in College Football. Kansas State has been terrific offensively throughout their previous 7 contests while averaging 38.7 points scored and 442.3 yards gained per game. They’ll be facing a Crimson Tide defense which looked a bit vulnerable in their final 3 regular season games versus LSU, Ole Miss, and Auburn. During that stretch, Alabama allowed a mere mortal 27.7 points and 388.3 yards per game. Here's a key element in which I believe why Kansas State will at the very least keep this game close throughout. The Wildcats have an outstanding turnover margin of +14 this season. Conversely, Alabama comes in at a -4. Here’s another, Kansas State’s emotional edge over Alabama. Nick Saban has built this program to the standard that anything less than a national championship isn’t acceptable. Let alone what occurred this season where they failed to reach both the SEC Championship Game and the College Football Playoffs. Kansas State on the other hand, will be extremely excited for this opportunity in a major bowl game and expecting to win. Give me Kansas State plus the points. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Wyoming v. Ohio -134 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Wyoming vs. Ohio 4:30 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Ohio -134 (5*) Ohio started the season 2-3 and giving up a ton of passing yards. However, they righted the ship and finished their regular season slate with 7 consecutive wins before falling 17-7 to Toledo in the MAC Championship Game. The Bobcats don’t beat themselves which is evidenced by a turnover margin of +12. Ohio is also tied for 16th nationally as teams that are the least penalized. Wyoming will be without every single running back that had a carry this season. They also will be without their top wide receiver Joshua Cobb. It’s not like the Cowboys were burning up lights on the scoreboard over their final 3 games with those players in the lineup. During that stretch Wyoming averaged a mere 10.0 points scored and 245.0 yards gained per game. Since 2013, any College Football team like Ohio that is +3.0 to -3.0, and they’re facing an opponent that has averaged 250 yards or less of total offense throughout each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those teams going 36-8 SU (81.8%) since 2013. They outscored those 44 opponents by an average of 9.8 points per game. Give me Ohio on the money line. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Oklahoma vs. Florida State 5:30 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Florida State -9.5 (5*) Oklahoma enters the bowl season with a disappointing 6-6 record under 1st year head coach Brett Venables. The Sooners were 1-6 SU and 0-7 this season in games they allowed 14 points or greater. They’ll be facing a Florida State team that hasn’t scored 14 points or fewer in any game this season. Furthermore, Oklahoma has allowed 38 points or more in 6 of its last 9 and 400 yards or greater in 8 of its previous 9 games. Florida State is on a path of returning to the glory days in year 3 of head coach Mike Norvell’s tenure. The Seminoles finished regular season action with a stellar 9-3 record. Furthermore, they went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. During this current winning streak, the Seminoles averaged 43.6 points scored and 490.6 yards per game. Florida State is also 3-0 SU&ATS this season versus non-conference FBS opponents. The Seminoles defense isn’t too shabby as well. They’re allowing just 19.7 points and 308.0 yards per game. Florida State won’t beat themselves, evidenced by them committing only 12 turnovers this season. Give me Florida State minus the points. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Ole Miss v. Texas Tech +3.5 | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss 2:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Texas Tech +3.5 (5*) These teams enter the bowl season on opposite sides of the momentum meter. Texas Tech finished its regular season schedule by going 3-0 SU&ATS to end up 7-5. On the other hand, after beginning the season 7-0 and being ranked in the Top 10, Ole Miss lost 4 of its last 5, and includes a current 3-game losing streak. Despite Ole Miss coming from the powerful SEC, Texas Tech has played a slightly tougher schedule according to the metrics I use to determine that matchup element. Give me Texas Tech plus the points. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Kansas v. Arkansas OVER 69 | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Arkansas 5:30 PM ET Game# 247-248 Play On: Over 69.0 (5*) It’s a simple equation, both defenses are suspect at best, and each offense is formidable and won’t be stopped. The starting quarterbacks Jaden Daniels of Kansas and K.J. Jefferson from Arkansas are very good dual threat College Football quarterbacks. Kansas has played 8-4 to the over this season with an average combined score of 68.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the total was 60.0 or greater and a combined average of 77.0 points scored per contest. The Jayhawks have allowed 42 points or more on 5 separate occasions this season and they also tallied 31 points or greater 7 times. Arkansas has played 4-1 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 60.0 or greater and 2-0 over when 66.5 or more. Kansas finished their regular season slate with a 47-27 loss to the Big 12 champs Kansas State. Since the start of last season, Kansas has played 7-0 to the over in games not played at home following a conference loss, and those contests averaged a combined 78.3 points scored per occurrence. Arkansas finished regular season action by going 1-3. Since the start of last season, the Razorbacks have played 6-0 to the over after losing 2 of its previous 3 games played. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Central Florida v. Duke -3 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
UCF vs. Duke 2:00 PM ET Game# 245-246 Play On: Duke -3.0 (5*) Duke won 4 of their last 5 to finish its regular season slate 8-4. All 4 of the Blue Devils losses came by 8 points or fewer. As a matter of fact, their previous 3 defeats came by a combined 8 points. Unlike most teams this bowl season including UCF, Duke’s roster has remained intact with regards to transfer portal losses or players opting out for the 2023 NFL draft. During that 4-1 stretch to finish the regular season, Duke allowed a mere 90.6 yards rushing per game. That's not good news for UCF since they went 0-3 SU&ATS this season when rushing for less than 160 yards in a game and lost by 14.7 yards per contest. Another key element is Duke averages 33:00 in time of possession per game and is effectively balanced offensively. Lastly, Duke doesn’t beat themselves. The Blue Devils have committed 10 turnovers all season and are a +14 in turnover margin. Give me Duke minus the points. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | East Carolina -7 v. Coastal Carolina | 53-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina 6:45 PM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: East Carolina -7.0 (5*) East Carolina has gone 6 consecutive games without committing a turnover. As a matter of fact, that had 0 turnovers in 8 of 12 games this season. After starting the season 9-1, Coastal Carolina lost it’s last 2 to Troy 45-26 and James Madison 47-7. Conversely, Coastal Carolina committed 6 turnovers in their last 3 games alone which is 1 less than East Carolina had all season. Coastal Carolina star quarterback Grayson McCall is set to return from injury and play despite entering his name into the transfer portal. It also remains to be seen how sharp McCall will be after not seeing live action for an extended period. Additionally, successful head coach Jamey Chadwell notified the school after the Chanticleers loss in the Sun Belt Championship Game that he’ll be leaving to take the job at Liberty. Other than more money which is most always alluring, it appears to be a lateral move and certainly won’t bode well in terms of team morale. East Carolina has an impressive passing game that averages 288 yards per contest in the air. Conversely, Coastal Carolina was last in the Sun Belt Conference in pass yards allowed. Specifically speaking, the Chanticleers allowed 278 or more passing yards in their last 5 and 9 of its previous 11 games. Give me East Carolina minus the points. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Georgia Southern v. Buffalo OVER 66.5 | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern 12:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 66.5 (5*) Georgia Southern has a dynamic passing attack that ranks #4 nationally while averaging 327.4 yards per game. Conversely, the Eagles are #129 in total defense allowing 497.7 yards per game. The only teams in the nation that were worse was Colorado and South Florida. Georgia Southern starting quarterback Kyle Vantrease has passed for 3901 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. Ironically enough, the 6th year senior played his previous 5 seasons at Buffalo where he never had more than 8 touchdown passings and failed to reach 1900 yards passing at any time. Buffalo has seen each of their last 4 games as an underdog go over the total with a combined average of 66.0 points scored per game. The Bulls allowed 35 points or more in 7 of 12 regular season games while playing a soft schedule. Buffalo allowed 30 points or more in 7 of 12 games. They’ve also scored 30 points or greater in 6 of its 12 regular season contests. College Football neutral site teams like Buffalo with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that are facing a non-conference team, and both teams have between a +50 to -50 totals yards per game differential, resulted in those contests playing 28-8 (77.8%) to the over since 1992. Those contests had an average total of 66.3 and there were a combined 75.9 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Colts 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) The Chargers have gone under the total in each of their previous 3 and there was a combined average of 39.3 points scored per game. During their last 2, the Chargers have allowed only 15.5 points and 251.5 yards per game. Indianapolis is coming off last week’s complete meltdown in which they blew a 33-0 halftime lead and eventually lost 39-36 in overtime. Despite that 36-point offensive output, the Colts only scored 1 offensive touchdown. They allowed the Vikings to pass for 426 yards in that loss and it marked the first time this season they allowed more than 266 yards passing. The week before they lost 54-19 at Dallas in a game in which they committed 5 turnovers and put their defense in tough short field positions. NFL home teams like the Colts with a losing record playing after Game 4 with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they’re coming off 2 consecutive losses in which they allowed 35 points or more, resulted in those contests playing 34-7 (82.9%) to the under since 1983. Give me this game to go under the total |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins OVER 49.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 49.5 (5*) Miami is coming off a 32-29 loss at Buffalo that dropped their season record to 8-6. The Dolphis have now gone 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games when there was a total of 53.5 or less and there was a combined average of 56.2 points scored per contest. Green Bay has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined average of 51.8 points scored per game. NFL home teams like Miami that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer in which they scored 17 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .200 or better, versus a team like Green Bay playing after Game 8 and they scored 45 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those games playing 29-1-2 (96.7%) to the over since 2012. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Cowboys 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off a 25-20 win at Chicago last Sunday but failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. NFL road teams like Philadelphia with a total of between 43.0 to 49.5 that were facing a division opponent, and they’re coming off a SU win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those games playing 28-5 (84.8%) to the under since 2011. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Commanders +7 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Commanders @ 49ers 4:05 ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Commanders +7.0 (5*) Washington still controls their own postseason destiny despite last week’s disappointing 20-12 loss to the New York Giants. They currently have a ½ game lead over Detroit and Seattle for the final NFC wildcard berth. The Commanders have gone an excellent 4-0-1 SU in their last 5 away games. The 49ers have things locked up in the NFC West and it’s now a matter of whether they can catch Minnesota for the #2 seed in the NFC. The 49ers defense has received a ton of accolades and rightfully so. Nonetheless, Washington has allowed 21 points or fewer in each of their last 10 games while also holding opponents to less than 300 yards in 5 of those contests. Washington will give an excellent San Francisco team all they can handle and then some. Give me the Commanders plus the points. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
Giants @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Giants +4.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s huge 20-10 road win over Washington in a game that had major postseason implications. That victory improved their season record to 8-5-1 (.607). The Giants have gone a very profitable 5-1 ATS on the road this season and won 4 of those SU. Meanwhile, Minnesota overcame a 33-0 halftime deficit in last Saturday’s 39-36 overtime win versus Indianapolis. Despite their impressive 11-3 record, Minnesota is averaging outscoring their opponents by 0.2 points per game. They’ve seen 5 of their 11 wins come by 4 points or fewer. The Vikings defense has really struggled during the 2nd half of the season. Specifically speaking, throughout their previous 6 contests, Minnesota has allowed 31.3 points and 440.7 yards per game. NFL teams like the Giants that are coming off a division win in which they allowed 7 or more points, and they have a win percentage of less than .750, versus a team like Minnesota who’s coming of a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in teams like the Giants going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2017. Furthermore, they went 14-4 SU in those exact situations as well. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Falcons v. Ravens -6 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Baltimore -6.0 (5*) The strength of Atlanta’s offense is their running game and especially so during the 2nd half of this season. However, they’ll be facing a Baltimore defense which has held 10 of 14 opponents this season to 88 yards or less rushing and is #3 in the NFL against the run. On the other hand, Baltimore possesses the #2 rushing offense in the NFL at 164.7 yards per game. The Ravens will be facing an Atlanta defense which has allowed an average of 171.2 yards per game on the ground over their previous 5 contests. Give me Baltimore minus the points. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Houston -7 v. UL-Lafayette | 23-16 | Push | 0 | 47 h 35 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette vs. Houston 3:00 PM ET Game# 229-230 Play On: Houston -7.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette has lost 2 starters for this game due to them opting out for the NFL Draft. They include top wide receiver Michael Jefferson and star defensive end Andre Jones. On the one occasion the Ragin Cajuns stepped in class this season, they were blown out 49-17 at Florida State. Houston finished the regular season with a somewhat disappointing 7-5 record. However, this is an offense that’s been clicking on all cylinders while averaging 41.7 points scored per game over their last 7 contests and amassed 445 yards or more of total offense on each occasion. The Cougars are #14 nationally in scoring offense at 37.5 points per game. They also possess the 7th best passing offense in the country while averaging 321.1 yards in the air per game. The Cougars have unequivocally played the stronger schedule in this matchup. Give me Houston minus the points. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Toledo v. Liberty +4 | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Liberty vs. Toledo 7:30 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Liberty +4.0 (5*) This Boca Raton Bowl opened with Toledo being a 1.0-point favorite and was quickly moved to 3.5 and 4.0. The move had to do more with the departure of head coach Hugh Freeze who left Liberty to take the same position at Auburn than money related. Since the interim tag was removed from Jason Candle at Toledo, the Rockets have gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in bowl games under his guidance, and 3 of those defeats came as a favorite. Conversely, since becoming a FBS team, Liberty has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in bowl games with 2 of those wins coming as an underdog. Give me Liberty plus the points. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 43.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Over 43.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a gut-wrenching 17-16 division loss at Tampa Bay. Atlanta dropped a 19-16 home decision to Pittsburgh last Sunday. This sets up an excellent NFL totals betting algorithm which hasn’t loss during the past 10 seasons and is displayed below. NFL home teams like New Orleans playing after Game 8 with a total of 46.5 or less that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer, and they scored 16 points or more in that loss, versus teams like Atlanta that scored 34 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 19-0-2 to the over since 2013. The average total in those 21 contests was 41.9 and there was a combined 57.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Chiefs v. Texans OVER 49 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Houston 1:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Over 49.0 (5*) NFL away favorites of 13.0 or greater with a total of 45.0 or more that are playing after Game 5, versus an opponent that scored 16 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those games playing 10-0 to the over since 2007. The average total in those 10 contests was 48.5 and there was a combined 61.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Eagles -8.5 v. Bears | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Chicago 1:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Philadelphia -8.5 (5*) Philadelphia’s offense has been red-hot throughout their previous 3 contests while averaging 41.0 points and 463.3 yards per game. The Eagles are coming off last week’s convincing 48-22 road win over the Giants. They’ll be facing a Chicago team that’s gone 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS during their last 6 and allowed 33.5 points per game during that stretch. NFL favorites of 6.5 or greater playing after Game 8 like Philadelphia who possess a winning record, and they’re coming off a road win by 21 points or more, versus a team like Chicago with a losing record, resulted in those favorites of 6.5 or greater going 22-3 (88%) ATS since 2013. Give me Philadelphia minus the points. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers -3 | Top | 24-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Pittsburgh @ Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Carolina -3.0 (5*) Carolina is coming off wins at Seattle and versus Denver in their previous 2 games. That improved their season record to 5-8 and only 1.0 game behind NFC South leading Tampa Bay. What was even more --impressive about those 2 wins was the Panthers ability to run the ball with a high degree of success. They rushed for a combined 361 yards in those 2 wins. The Panthers have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and all those victories came by 10 points or more. They rushed for 173 yards or more in all 3 of those home wins. The Carolina defense has been outstanding over their previous 5 contests while allowing only 15.5 points and 283.0 yards per game. That doesn’t bode well for a Pittsburgh offense that averages just 15.6 points scored per game on the road. The Steelers defense has allowed a combined 361 yards on the ground and 5.2 yards per rushing attempt in their last 2 games. The Steelers are a deceiving 3-4 on the road this season when considering they’re at -8.8 points and -67.9 yards per game differential during those outings. Give me Carolina minus the points. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Ravens v. Browns -2.5 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 45 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore @ Cleveland 4:30 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Cleveland -2.5 (5*) Here we are entering Week 15 of the NFL season, and we have a 5-8 team (Cleveland) as a favorite over a 9-4 (Baltimore) opponent. Yes, Baltimore is without starting quarterback Lamar Jackson, but this line still speaks volumes to me. NFL betting history over the last 27 season has shown that losing teams that are favorite over winning teams this late in the year have been a strong play on. NFL favorites like Cleveland playing after Game 12 with a losing record, versus teams like Baltimore who own a win percentage of .692 or better, resulted in those favorites going 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS since 1996. If those losing teams were favorites of 3.5 or less, they improved to 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS throughout that identical time span with a substantial average victory margin of 17.6 points per game. Give me Cleveland minus the points. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State -8 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
Florida vs. Oregon State 2:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Oregon State -8.0 (10*) This will be a depleted Florida roster that will enter Saturday’s Las Vegas Bowl. Quite frankly, they were an average at best team before the loss of players to the transfer portal and opt out for the NFL Draft since their regular season slate concluded. The Gators finished 6-6 during regular season action which included 1-4 in neutral site or away games and allowed 31 points or more in those losses. Oregon State enters this bowl game riding a ton of momentum after completing a 9-3 regular season campaign which culminated with a 38-34 win over bitter in state rival Oregon. They also saw 2 of their 3 losses come by exactly 3 points versus nationally ranked Washington and USC. Give me Oregon State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 42 h 41 m | Show | |
Indianapolis @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Indianapolis +4.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me when considering the disparity between these team’s records. Minnesota is 10-3 while the Colts come in at 4-8-1 and that includes losing 6 of its last 7 games. Additionally, Minnesota is 6-1 at home this season and Indianapolis is 2-4-1 on the road including a 54-19 loss at Dallas in their previous game. Yet, the Vikings are just a 4.0-point home favorite. However, despite their 10-3 record the Vikings have average 24.0 points scored and 24.1 points allowed per game. Yes, the Colts allowed 54 points to Dallas in their previous outing, but more had to do with them committing 5 turnovers than shoddy defensive play. As a matter fact, the Cowboys outgained the Colts by only 73 yards in that 35-point win. Minnesota is coming off a loss of their own by a score of 34-23 at Detroit. NFL non-division away underdogs like Indianapolis who are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 40 points or more, and they’re facing a team like Minnesota who is coming off a SU loss, resulted in those away underdogs going 22-0 ATS since 1983. What’s even more astonishing is those away underdogs also went an incredible 19-3 SU in those contests. The average line in those 22 games was 6.3. Give me Indianapolis plus the points. |
|||||||
12-16-22 | Troy -120 v. UTSA | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 77 h 43 m | Show | |
Troy vs. UTSA 3:00 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Troy -120 (5*) Both teams enter this Cure Bowl at Exploria Stadium in Orlando, Florida on 10-game win streaks. Each team has been tremendous offensively as well. Troy has scored 34 points or more in 3 straight contests and won on each occasion by 18 points or more. UTSA has scored 34 points or more in 5 consecutive games. The difference in this contest will come down to the Troy defense being better than the stop unit of UTSA. Troy has allowed 19 points or fewer in 9 of 13 games this season. The most the Trojans defense allowed was 28 points to Ole Miss in their season opener. Conversely, UTSA has allowed 30 points or more 6 times in 2022. College Football teams like Troy playing after Game 9 who are a pick or favorite of 4.0 or less, coming off 3 consecutive wins by 17 points or greater, and they have a win percentage of .750 or better, versus a team like UTSA who scored 31 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those teams like Troy going 18-2 SU (90%) and 17-3 ATS (85%) since 1990. Give me Troy on the money line. |
|||||||
12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 43 | 21-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Seattle 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 43.0 (5*) Seattle has scored 23 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games. Rookie running back Kenneth Walker returns to the lineup from injury tonight which will add more juice to the Seahawks offense. The Seattle defense has endured its fair share of struggles over their last 3 contests while allowing 31.0 points and 407.7 yards per game. All 3 contests played over the total with a combined average of 59.3 points scored per game. Seattle has also played 5-1-1 to the over in their last 7 at home versus San Francisco. The 49ers have played 6-3 to the over in their previous 9 contests and that includes 4-1 over if the total was 45.0 or less. San Francisco has scored 33 and 35 points while gaining 404 and 451 yards during its last 2 games. NFL away favorites of 3.5 or less like San Francisco that have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with all coming as a favorite, and they scored 32 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those game playing 12-0 to the over since 2006. Those 12 contests averaged a combined 59.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
|||||||
12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
New England @ Arizona 8:15 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Under 44.0 (5*) New England is coming off a 24-10 home loss to Buffalo and the game stayed under the totals of 43.5. New England has now seen 4 of their last 5 go under the total and with a combined average of 34.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Arizona is coming off a 25-24 home loss to the Chargers. This sets up an NFL totals betting angle which hasn’t lost since 2018 and is shown below. NFL teams like Arizona with a total of between 37.0 to 48.0 that are coming off a home loss, versus teams like New England that are coming off a home loss by 10 points or more and have at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those games playing 26-0 to the under since 2018. All 26 games produced a combined 41 points or less being scored. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -3.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Seattle 4:25 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Seattle -3.5 (5*) Carolina is coming off a 23-10 home win over a hapless Denver team which is now on current 0-4 and 1-8 losing runs. They were also the lowest scoring offensive team in the NFL. That won’t be the case this week as Seattle posses the #5 scoring offense in the NFL and they’ve averaged a lofty 28.6 points scored per game over their last 6 contests. Moreover, Carolina hasn’t won 2 consecutive games all season long. Additionally, the Seahawks are coming off last week’s 27-23 road win over the Rams which improved their season record to 7-5. They’re tied with the Giants for the final NFC Wildcard spot and hold the tiebreaker over New York because they already beat them earlier this season. With the Giants facing Philadelphia (11-1) this week and considering this is a very winnable game for the Seahawks, it bodes well for Seattle playing with a high degree of urgency and desperation. Give me Seattle minus the points. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Bucs v. 49ers -3 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
Tampa Bay @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: San Francisco -3.0 (-120) (10*) Forget about the San Francisco’s injury issues at quarterback. They will win this game by a comfortable margin with their stout defense and effectively running the ball on offense. The 49ers enter this week on a 5-games winning streak with all 5 wins coming by 6 points or more and 4 of those by 13 points or greater. Even further impressive is the fact that their defense has allowed 11.4 points per game during this current win streak. Speaking of the 49ers defense, they rank #1 in both points and yards allowed per game. San Francisco has held 8 of 12 opponents to less than 300 yards of total offense this season. On the other hand, Tampa Bay has scored 22 points or fewer in their last 8 and 10 of its previous 11 games. NFL home favorites of 4.5 or less like San Francisco that are playing before Game 15 and they’re coming off home wins in their last 2 games, and they’re not undefeated, versus teams like Tampa Bay coming off a win and they have a win percentage of between .384 and .727, resulted in those home favorites of 4.5 or less going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The average margin of victory came by 13.0 points per game. Give me the 49ers minus the points. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -130 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Detroit 4:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Detroit -130 (ML) (5*) Despite the Vikings winning 3 straight away games, they’re still an abysmal 2-16-1 SU as a division away pick or money line underdog when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .400 or better. The Vikings usually explosive offense finds itself in a mini slump. During their last 3 contests, the Vikings have averaged a mere 276.0 yards per game and a paltry 4.7 yards per offensive play. The Lions enter this matchup having gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS throughout their previous 5 games. The lone blemish being a 28-25 home loss to Buffalo (9-3) in a game they were a 9.5-point underdog, and which saw the Bills kick the game winning field goal with a mere 0:05 left to play. Detroit is coming off a convincing 40-14 home win over Jacksonville in their previous game. NFL home teams like Detroit that are playing after Game 11 with a win percentage of .400 to .490. and they’re coming off a home win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 33-6 (84.6%) since 1985. Give me Detroit on the money line. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 41 | 36-22 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Under 41.0 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off an embarrassing 40-14 loss at Detroit. Conversely, Tennessee is coming a 20-16 home loss versus Cincinnati and a 35-10 defeat at Philadelphia during its last 2 games played. NFL teams like Jacksonville that allowed 35 points or more in their previous contest, versus teams like Tennessee who scored 17 points or fewer in each of its previous 2 games, and there’s a total of between 39.5 and 44.5, resulted in those games playing 15-1 (93.8%) to the under since 2018. Furthermore, if it was a divisional matchup, then this NFL totals betting angle improves to 7-0 under, and there was just a combined average of 30.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 23-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) Houston enters this week on a 7-game losing streak. They’ve also seen each of its last 4 stay under the total and with a combined average of just 39.7 points scored per game. Houston has scored only 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 6 games. The Texans will be facing a Dallas defense that over its last 3 has allowed a mere 14.0 points and 264.0 yards per game. Those Dallas defensive numbers certainly don’t bode well for Houston’s hopes of snapping out of a prolonged stretch of being anemic offensively. Additionally, Houston’s defense has played much better than their 26.0 points per game allowed over their previous 4 would indicate. They were put in precarious and unfavorable positions during that stretch due to their offensive teams committing 11 turnovers. NFL away teams (Houston) playing after Game 12 who are coming off 4 or more losses in a row, versus an opponent (Dallas) with a win percentage is .300, and the total is between 44.0 and 48.0, resulted in those contests playing a perfect 16-0 to the under since 2013. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 41 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game#477-478 Play On: Under 41.0 (5*) These NFC South rivals have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total. Furthermore, the last 9 times these teams have met in Tampa saw those games play 8-1 to the under with a combined average of 37.9 points scored per contest. Tampa Bay is has witnessed 6 of its last 7 and includes each of their previous 3 games stay under the total. New Orleans has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with just a combined average of 30.8 points scored per game. The Saints are coming off an away underdog 13-0 loss at San Francisco and failed to cover as an 8.5-point underdog. Tampa Bay is coming off a 23-17 loss at Cleveland. NFL away underdogs with a total of 38.5 or greater that are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they were shutout, versus an opponent coming off a loss, resulted in those contests playing 7-0 to the under since 1980, and there was a combined average of only 28.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Colts v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 19-54 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Colts @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) The Colts have played 9-3 to the under this season. That includes 7-0 to the under if the total was 42.0 or greater and there was just a combined 32.1 points per game. The Colts offense has been anemic all season while averaging just a paltry 15.8 points scored per game. Conversely their defense has been great this season while allowing 20.3 points and 308.9 yards per game. Considering how they’ve had little support from an offense that has struggle to sustain drives, shows the resiliency, character, and talent on that side of the ball. Dallas is #2 in scoring defense at 17.0 points per game and #6 in total defense at 309.6 yards allowed per contest. The Cowboys are also #1 against the pass while allowing at 177.7 yards per game. The Cowboys offense will be up against a Colts defense which is #5 against the pass (190.6 YPG) and #2 in yards allowed per rushing attempt. Give me this game to go under the total. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.