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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Titans | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Tennessee 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Jacksonville +5.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off last Sunday’s 6-0 home win over Indianapolis. That win ended a Jaguars 7-game losing streak and improved their season record to 4-8 (.333). Furthermore, Jacksonville is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5-points or greater. Conversely, Tennessee is 0-6 SU&ATS during its previous 6 games when their point-spread is +3.5 to -6.5. Any team (Jacksonville) that’s playing on a Thursday and is coming off a division win by 6 points or less while allowing 23 points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .333 or better, resulted in those teams going 16-0 straight up since 1991. Since this betting angle supports the underdog in this contest it takes on additional value. Bet on Jacksonville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Eagles 8:15 PM ET Game# 379-380 Play On: Redskins +6.0 (5*) The Eagles have gone a dismal 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a come from behind 25-22 home win over the Giants which improved their season record to 5-6 (.454). However, the Eagles have yet to be victorious in 2 straight games this season while going 0-4 SU&ATS following a win. Furthermore, Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS and 1-3 straight up during its previous 4 home games. Washington is coming off a Thanksgiving Day loss at Dallas which dropped their season record to 6-5 and 15-17 over their last 32 games played. Nevertheless, the Redskins are a very profitable 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, and they won 5 of those contests straight up. Any away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Redskins) that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’ve won 7 or more of its last 32 games played, versus an opponent (Eagles) playing after game 8 of their season and is coming off a division win by 3 points or less, and they (Eagles) possess a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 1983. Bet on the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
Minnesota @ New England 4:25 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Minnesota +5.5 (10*) New England is coming off a 27-13 win over the Jets in a game they covered as a 13.0-point road favorite. Minnesota is coming off a 24-17 win over Green Bay in a game they covered as a home favorite. That win improved their season record to 6-4-1 (.600). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 35-9 ATS (79.5%) in their last 44 non-division games and all under current head coach Mike Zimmer. Any regular season NFL away underdog of 10.0-points or fewer with a win percentage of .600 or better, and is playing after game 8 of their schedule, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 25.0 or less and allowed 17 points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-1 ATS since 1984. Those road underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-02-18 | Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Buffalo +3.5 (5*) Buffalo has gone a very profitable 7-3 SU&ATS against Miami over the past 5 seasons. The Bills are coming off 2 straight wins over the Jets and Jaguars which has improved their season record to 4-7 (.363). By the way, they were an underdog on both occasions. Buffalo’s offense which was so anemic this year has woken up during those 2 wins and has averaged 32.5 points scored per game. Miami began the season by winning their first 3 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 2-6 and now sit at 5-6 (.454). The Dolphins are coming off a disheartening 27-24 loss at Indianapolis last Sunday in a game in which they squandered a 10 point 4th quarter lead. Any NFL away underdog of 5.5-points or less that has a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent coming off a road loss with a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those away underdogs going 31-7 ATS (81.6%) since 1983. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Panthers v. Bucs +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.0 (5*) Carolina is 1-7 straight up in their last 8 road games. That road futility isn’t exactly a successful prerequisite for betting on an away favorite. Furthermore, the Panthers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, and that includes 0-4 ATS if they were facing a fellow NFC South Division team. They also lost 3 of those 4 games straight up. The Panthers are coming off straight up favorite losses to Seattle and Detroit in their previous 2 games. After going 6-2 to start the season, Carolina finds itself on a current 3-game losing streak. Tampa Bay has gone a profitable 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and they won 4 of those contests straight up. The Buccaneers are coming off last Sunday’s confidence building 27-9 home win over San Francisco. That victory improved their record to 4-7 (.363). Any NFL home underdog of 6.5-points or less that allowed 28 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent coming of back-to-back straight up favorite losses, and they (Carolina) possess a winning record, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The underdogs also won 10 of those 12 games straight up. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-18 | Ravens +2.5 v. Falcons | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 357-358 Play On: Baltimore +2.5 (5*) Baltimore is coming off last Sunday’s 34-17 win over Oakland. Atlanta is coming off last week’s 31-17 loss at New Orleans in a game they trailed 17-3 at halftime. This sets up a highly successful NFL straight up betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL team coming off a win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a game in which they trailed at halftime by 14 points or more, resulted in those teams going 51-12 (81%) straight up since 2014. Considering what the point-spread is in this contest, the straight up betting angle carries much more value. Bet on Baltimore for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Northwestern vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Northwestern +15.0 (10*) Northwestern has thrived in the underdog role under current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. Since the latter part of the 2014 season, Northwestern has gone an outstanding 20-7 ATS (74%) as an underdog and that includes 18-3 ATS (85.7%) when facing an opponent that’s not undefeated. Northwestern lost their Big 10 opener to Michigan and then preceded to win its last 7 conference games. Ohio State is coming off a huge upset win against Michigan in their regular season finale. By doing so the Buckeyes have keep their college football playoff hopes alive. It would be difficult for me to imaging they will be able to match the intensity level they displayed a week ago. Ohio State may come out on top but this game will be much closer than people will anticipate. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State +1 v. Boise State | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
Fresno State @ Boise State 7:45 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Fresno State +1.0 (5*) It’s very rare that I will ever fade a team with a strong home field like Boise State possesses in a virtual pick game. However, this is an exception to the rule. Fresno State will be playing with double revenge stemming from losses to Boise State in last year’s Mountain West Championship Game and in an earlier game this season. Fresno State’s top-notch defense will be the deciding difference tonight. Bet on Fresno State for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma -8 | 27-39 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Texas vs. Oklahoma 12:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Oklahoma -8.0 (5*) Oklahoma will be playing with big time revenge after suffering their lone regular season defeat at the hands of Texas earlier this season. The Sooners aren’t only seeking the win but won’t hesitate to do so in a convincing manner if given the opportunity to do so. Style points will go a long way in convincing the college football playoff committee to allot the Sooners one of the 4 slots. I don’t like the lackluster manner which Texas finished the regular season. Case in point was a narrow 7-point win in their last game against lowly Kansas. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-18 | Utah +6 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
Utah vs. Washington 8:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Utah +6.0 (5*) Despite Washington’s stellar 9-3 regular season, they were a dismal 3-9 against-the-spread in those contests. Furthermore, The Huskies have gone an even worse 0-7 ATS during their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Furthermore, it would be difficult for me to fathom Washington matching their intensity level and focus they exhibited in last week’s huge road win over then #7 Washington State. Especially when considering they already have beaten Utah 21-7 on the road in their PAC-12 opener. Ironically enough, it was the Huskies only conference ATS cover of the regular season. Utah has averaged a lofty 202 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Utes defense is only allowing 100 yards rushing per game and less than 3 yards per attempt. No matter how you cut it, that equates to a winning formula. Utah has outgained their opponents on the ground by an average of 102 yards per game. Anytime there’s been a |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Dallas 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) There’s no questioning the offensive juggernaut that New Orleans has been this season. However, their defense has been overlooked as a result. As a matter of fact, the Saints are allowing a mere 12.7 points and 282.0 yards per game during its previous 3 contests. New Orleans is coming off a 31-17 win over Atlanta on Thanksgiving night and they forced 4 Falcons turnovers in that contest. They’ve gone 5-1 under the total in their last 6 away games when there’s a total of 47.0 or greater and they scored 24 points or more in their previous game. The Cowboys defense has been consistently good all season. There are allowing just 19.1 points and 331.1 yards per game. Dallas is currently a 7.0-point underdog in tonight’s contest, and they’ve gone 18-9 under the total during their last 27 games as an underdog including 6-1 under if there was a total of 48.0 or greater. Dallas is coming off a Thanksgiving Day 31-23 home win over Washington during a game in which they forced 3 Redskins turnovers. Any team (Dallas) that forced 3 turnover or more in their previous contest, and there’s a total of 49.5 or greater, versus an opponent (New Orleans) who forced 4 turnovers or more during its last outing, resulted in those games going 25-6 (80.6%) under the total since 1983. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Houston 8:15 ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Tennessee +4.0 (10*) After staring the season 0-3, Houston has reeled off 7 straight wins and will be seeking a franchise record 8-game winning streaks tonight. Houston is coming off a narrow 23-21 win at Washington in their previous game but failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off an embarrassing 38-10 loss at Indianapolis last week which dropped their record to 5-5. Yet, the sportsbooks have Tennessee currently listed as just a 3.5 or 4.0-point underdog for tonight’s game. It’s never that easy when it comes to sports betting and that’s especially so as it applies to NFL wagering. Any Monday night NFL road team with a point-spread of +4.5 to -4.5, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a non-division ATS loss and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those road teams going 16-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The road teams won those 16 contests by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Giants @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Giants +5.5 (5*) The Giants are coming off last Sunday’s 38-35 home win over Tampa Bay. That victory improved their season record to 3-7 (.300) and they’ve also gone 9-23 during their last 32 contests. Conversely, Philadelphia took a 48-7 thumping at New Orleans last week and now find themselves with a disappointing 4-6 record. Any road underdog (Giants) of 6.5-points or less with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that’s playing after Game 7 of their season, and they won 18 or fewer of its last 32 games, versus an opponent (Eagles) coming off a road loss by 11 points or more, and they (Eagles) possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those road underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1980. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 46 | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Browns @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Over 46.0 (5*) Cincinnati has gone over the total in 7 of 10 games this season, and there’s been a combined average of 56.8 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, each of their last 3 contests have gone over the total with a combined 60.3 points being scored. The Bengals defense has been horrendous this season and that’s been especially apparent during their last 3 games. During that span they’ve allowed 36.3 points and 496.0 yards per game. Since 2016, Cleveland is 9-2 over the total during road games when there’s a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and that includes 4-0 over if the total is 45.5 to 49.0. Cleveland’s 4 road games this season have averaged a combined 56.4 points scored per contest. The Browns defense has been less than aspiring in 2018 while allowing 26.3 points and 419.7 yards per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Panthers -3.0 (10*) Carolina has gone 28-6 during its last 34 home games and that includes a current 10-game win streak in Charlotte. On a negative note, the Panthers are coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 27-24 home win over Green Bay. That victory evened the Seahawks season record at 5-5. Any non-division home favorite of 2.0 to 5.0-points that’s coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games played, versus an opponent who’s coming off a win and that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory was 14.2 points per game. Bet on the Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -2.5 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
Game# 181-182 Play On: Boise State -2.5 (5*) Since 1999, Boise State has gone an incredible 118-8 (.937) on their home field. The Broncos are also 14-1 in their last 15 versus Utah State and that includes 8-0 at home. Considering the small point-spread we’re being asked to cover those outstanding straight up records can’t be ignored. Boise State is coming off a 45-14 blowout win over New Mexico and they covered as a 22.0-point away favorite. That victory improved their season record to 9-2. Conversely, Utah State enters this regular season finale on a 10-game win streak. Their only defeat this season came in overtime during their opening game at Michigan State. Any conference home favorite of 3.5-points or less (Boise State) playing after Game 8 of their season that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 5.5 or more, versus an opponent (Utah State) with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 1980. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Arizona State -1.5 v. Arizona | 41-40 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Arizona 3:30 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: Arizona State -1.5 (5*) Arizona State is coming off last Saturday’s narrow 31-29 loss at Oregon. That defeat dropped their season record to a mediocre looking 6-5. However, all 5 of the Sun Devils losses this season have come by 7 points or less. Conversely, Arizona was destroyed at Washington State 69-28 in its last game. The Wildcats are now 5-6 and 3 of those defeats have by come by 27 points or more. Any away favorite of 3.0 or less that scored 27 or less in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 39-points or more and failed to cover by 23.0 or more, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a sizable 16.5 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Troy v. Appalachian State -10.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Troy @ Appalachian State 2:30 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: Appalachian State -10.5 (5*) This will be the regular season finale for both teams and the winner of this game will advance to the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. Appalachian State enters this contest with an outstanding 8-2 record and has now gone 17-5 over their last 22 games. The Mountaineers will be out to revenge last season’s 28-24 loss at Troy. Appalachian State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 20.0 or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .857. They won those 6 contests by an average of 27.3 points per game. Troy is coming off a 12-7 win over Texas State which improved its season record to a stellar 9-2 (.818). Any conference home favorite of 10.0 to 17.0-points (Appalachian State) who’s won 17 or fewer of its last 22 contests, and that’s playing with revenge in their last home game of the season, and currently has a win percentage of .444 or better, versus an opponent (Troy) coming off a straight up win in which they scored 33 points or less, and they (Troy) have a win percentage of less than .900, resulted in those home favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1998. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Ohio State 5.0 (10*) Since 2011, Michigan is a dismal 2-12 straight up in away games against teams with a win percentage of better than .666. Conversely, since 2012, Ohio State has gone a terrific 28-1 during conference home games. Furthermore, Ohio State has won 13 of their last 14 against Michigan and is a perfect 6-0 against the Wolverines with Urban Meyer as their head coach. There’s just way too much home underdog value on the Buckeyes in this contest to pass up on. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 1 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Iowa -9.5 (10*) Nebraska is coming off last Saturday’s 9-6 home win over Michigan State. That victory improved the Cornhuskers record to 4-7 and all 4 wins occurred on their home field. Iowa is coming off a 63-0 blowout win at Illinois in a game in which they covered as a 16.0-point road favorite. The combination of these teams results in their last games sets up an extremely successful college football point-spread betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference home favorite of 34.0-points or less (Iowa) that’s coming off a conference ATS win as an away favorite of 7.0-points or more in which they held their opponent scoreless, and they’re facing a team (Nebraska) that wasn’t shutout in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 32-2 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13 v. Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 31 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Falcons +13.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an extremely impressive 48-7 win over the defending world champion Philadelphia Eagles, and they easily covered the game as a 7.0-point home favorite. That victory improved their season record to 9-1 (.900). However, it must be noted, since 2014, the Saints are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 8.0-points or more when facing a team with a losing record, and they lost 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Atlanta is coming off a disappointing 22-19 home loss to Dallas this past Sunday. The Falcons now find themselves at 4-6 (.400) and in an urgent mode if they hope to stay alive for a NFL Wild Card berth. On a positive note, the Falcons are 10-5 ATS and 9-6 straight up in their last 15 games as an underdog, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS if they were facing an opponent coming off a favorite ATS win. Atlanta won those 3 contests by a decisive average of 12.3 points per game. Despite their losing record thus far, Matt Ryan is still enjoying a fine season. Through the Falcons first 10 contests, Ryan is completing 71% of his attempts while passing for 22 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions and has averaged a robust 330 yards passing per game. Any division away underdog of 3.0 to 14.5-points with a win percentage of .22 or better that’s playing after Game 3 of their season and they allowed 31 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 5.5-points or more and scored 31 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .66 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going a very profitable 23-3 ATS (88.4%) since 1998. Those away underdogs also won 15 of those 26 games straight up. Bet on the Falcons plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
Redskins @ Cowboys 4:30 ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Redskins +7.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a thrilling 22-19 road win at Atlanta while doing so as a 3.0-point underdog. That win evened the Cowboys record at 5-5 (.500). Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games as a favorite this season, and they lost 2 of those contests straight up. The Redskins are coming off a 23-21 home loss to Houston. Although they covered that contest as a 3.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 which is still good for 1st place in the NFC East standings. Adding insult to injury with no pun intended, they lost their starting quarterback Alex Smith for the year in that contest after he suffered a gruesome leg injury. Colt McCoy will assume the starting quarterback and he’s proven to be very capable when given the opportunity which included nearly rallying the Redskins to a win in that loss against Houston. By the way, Washington is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS (+12.7 PPG) if they’re coming off a loss in their previous game. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Detroit 12:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Detroit +4.5 (5*) Chicago has the unenviable task of having played the Sunday night nationally televised game that ended around 11:30 PM ET. Furthermore, they’re asked to play an early 12:30 PM ET game at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. No matter how you cut it, that’s an extremely difficult assignment. This also a Bears team which has gone 4-16 on the road since the 2016 season commenced, and that includes 0-12 if there was a total of 42.5 or greater. The total on their upcoming game at Detroit is 45.5. On a positive note, the Bears defeated Minnesota 25-20 in that Sunday night contest and covered as a 3.0-point home favorite. Detroit is coming off Sunday’s 20-19 upset win over Carolina in a game they closed as a 4.0-point home underdog. The Lions are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 2-0 SU&ATS at home. Any NFL home underdog of 4.5-points or less that’s coming off a non-division home underdog of 4.0 or less straight up win, versus an opponent (Bears) coming off a SU&ATS win, and they (Bears) have a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Take the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams -3 | Top | 51-54 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Rams -3.0 (5*) After running several NFL handicapping algorithms on this game, it was clear that games played in this precise situation clearing favorited the home favorite. Additionally, according to one major offshore sportsbook, 72% of point-spread betting ticket have gone the way of the underdog Chiefs. Since I’m not a big fan of siding with public betting, it’s just added that much more sugar to my spice. Let’s start with all the betting parameters I used for the 3 extremely successful betting angles illustrated below. For starters, both teams enter this game with identical 9-1 (.900) records. The Rams suffered their only loss 2 weeks ago during a 45-35 setback at New Orleans. Kansas City is coming off last Sunday’s 26-14 home win over Arizona. Any NFL home favorite (Rams) of 5.0-points or less that’s playing after game 9 of their season, and own a win percentage of .900 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 16.4 points per game. Any home favorite (Rams) that’s won 3 of its last 4 games and is facing an opponent (Chiefs) that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 contests, resulted in those home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2009. Any Monday night home favorite (Rams) that’s playing after game 9 of the season with a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off a win and has a win percentage of .643 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 22.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-18 | Eagles v. Saints -7.5 | 7-48 | Win | 106 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: New Orleans -7.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 51-14 blowout win at Cincinnati and easily covered as a 5.5-point favorite. Conversely, Philadelphia is coming off last Sunday night’s 27-20 home loss to Dallas in a game they were a 7.5-point favorite. Any home favorite (New Orleans) of 7.0-points or more that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Philadelphia) coming off a home favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 2011. The average margin of victory in those contests came by an enormous 24.6 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | 22-19 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Atlanta -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a 27-20 win at Philadelphia and did so as a 7.5-point underdog. However, the Cowboys are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as an away underdog when they won it previous game. Atlanta is coming off a disappointing 28-16 loss at Cleveland. The Falcons are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in its previous 5 games at home following a road loss. Atlanta closed as a 5.5-point road favorite in that contest. The Falcons are now 19-13 in their last 32 games. Atlanta also enters this week having gone 20-12 during its last 32 home games. Any NFL home favorite (Atlanta) of 8.5-points or less that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss, they’ve won 20 or less of its last 32 games played, and has won 25 or less of their last 32 home games, versus an opponent (Dallas) coming off an away underdog straight win, resulted in those home favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since 1982. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins +3 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Houston @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington +3.0 (10*) Houston enters this week on a red-hot 6-game winning streak. However, none of those 6 opponents currently have a winning record. It will get much tougher on the road this Sunday against a 6-3 Redskins team. Speaking of the Redskins, they have plenty of successful experiences as a home underdog since 2015. Excluding season openers, Washington is 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS if they were facing a non-division opponent. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Central Florida -7.0 (10*) Central Florida is coming off last Saturday’s 35-24 win over Navy. That victory improved their season record to a perfect 9-0. Cincinnati is coming off last week’s 35-23 win over South Florida. The Bearcats head into this huge American Athletic Conference showdown with an impressive 9-1 record. Any home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0-points (UCF) with an undefeated record that’s playing after Game 9 of the season, and they’re coming off a win by 38 points or less while scoring 21 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 loss on the season, and they’re coming off a win in which they scored 31 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 54 | 41-17 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina 5:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Under 54.0 (5*) Coastal Carolina is coming off a 44-16 loss to Arkansas State in their previous game and they allowed a hefty 8.7 yards per play. Coastal is averaging 6.0 yards per offensive play this season. Conversely, Georgia Southern is surrendering 5.7 yards per play this year. Any college football team (Coastal Carolina) with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that averages 5.6 to 6.2 yards per offensive play, and they allowed 7.25 or more yards per play during its previous game, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) that gives up 5.6 to 6.2 yards per play, resulted in those games going 27-2 (93.1%) under the total since 2009. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -6 v. Wake Forest | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Pittsburgh -6.0 (5*) Wake Forest is coming off a huge conference upset of NC State in their previous game and they did so as a sizable 18.5-point road underdog. That upset victory improved the Demon Deacons season record to 5-5 (.500). Pittsburgh enters this week on a 3-game win streak which bettered its season record to 6-4 (.600) in addition to 4-1 in ACC action. That recent surge has put the Panthers in the driver’s season for a berth in the ACC Championship game as longs as they win their final 2 regular season games. That seemed highly improbable after they were shellacked by Central Florida 45-14 and Penn State 51-6 during the non-conference portion of their schedule. The Panthers will be a highly motivated bunch on Saturday. Any conference road favorite (Pittsburgh) of 3.5-points or more with a win percentage of .500 or better that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .222 or better that’s coming off a conference away underdog of 13.5-points or greater straight up win, resulted in those road favorites going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 1980. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +8.5 | 28-18 | Loss | -102 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Memphis @ SMU 9:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: SMU +8.5 (5*) SMU is coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more. The Mustangs have now gone 10-12 during its last 22 games played. Any home underdog of 1.5 to 12.5-points that’s coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more on each occasion, and they’ve won 10 or more of their previous 22 games played, resulted in those home underdogs going 46-9 ATS (83.6%) since 1982. Those home underdogs also went an outstanding 37-18 during those 55 contests. Bet on SMU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-18 | Packers +3 v. Seahawks | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Seattle 8:20 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Green Bay +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s 36-31 home loss to the Rams. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off last week’s 31-12 win over Miami in a game they covered as a 12.0-point home favorite. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rogers has gone 4-1 ATS against Seattle since Pete Carroll became their head coach. Any team (Green Bay) coming off a game in which they covered as a double-digit favorite, versus an opponent (Seattle) coming off a road contest in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those teams going an unbeaten 19-0 straight up since 2003. Considering this NFL straight up betting angle backs the road underdog in this contest, it takes on additional betting value. Play on Green Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-15-18 | Tulane +10 v. Houston | 17-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Houston 8:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Tulane +10.0 (5*) Houston is coming off conference straight up favorite losses to Temple and SMU during its last 2 games. The Cougars also allowed an alarming 104 points combined during those 2 defeats. Tulane is coming off last Saturday’s 24-18 win over East Carolina. That win marked a 3rd straight victory which evened their record at 5-5, and the Green Wave has now gone 10-12 throughout its last 22 games played. Any conference away underdog of 10.5-points or less that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, and they’ve won 10 or more of its previous 22 games played, versus an opponent coming off straight up favorite losses in each of their last 2 games, and they (Houston) own a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 19-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1982. Those underdogs also won 15 of those 20 games straight up. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | 27-23 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
NY Giants @ San Francisco 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: San Francisco -3.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming off a 34-3 home win over Oakland and did so as a 1.0-point underdog. That win improved their season record to 2-7 (.222). This sets up a straightforward and unbeaten NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team that’s +2.5 to -4.5 with a losing record and is coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1983. The average margin of victory during those 14 contests was 10.3 points per game. Take San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams -9 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Seattle @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -9.0 (10*) The worst thing that happened for Seattle regarding this matchup is the Rams suffering their first loss of the season last Sunday at New Orleans. Since 10/15/2017, the Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a loss in their previous contest and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. They’re also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS during their previous 6 games as a home favorite and their winning margin was 14.5 points per contest. The Rams have outscored Seattle 75-38 during the last 2 times these division rivals have met while winning both of those contests. The Seahawks defense had no answer for stopping Todd Gurley in those 2 losses to their division rival. Gurley rushed for a combined 229 and scored 7 touchdowns in those Rams wins. I look for more of the same on Sunday. Take the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-18 | Chargers v. Raiders +11 | 20-6 | Loss | -128 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Oakland 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Oakland +11.0 (5*) Oakland is coming off an embarrassing 34-3 straight up favorite loss at san Francisco last Monday. They’ll also be out to revenge a 26-10 road loss to the Chargers earlier this season. Any NFL home underdog of 8.5-points or more that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss, and is playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 1995. Those sizable home underdogs also won 9 of those 12 contests straight up. Take Oakland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Cincinnati +6.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off last week’s 45-35 home win over the then undefeated Rams and they did so as a 2.0-point underdog. After Sunday’s game at Cincinnati they’ll be hosting the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. This look like a potential flat spot for a high-flying Saints team that’s won 7 games in a row. Cincinnati is coming off a bye week. They were a 37-34 home winner over Tampa Bay in their previous game. That win improved the Bengals season record to 5-3 (.625). Cincinnati has gone 8-1 ATS and 7-2 straight up in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 2.5-points or more, and if they were facing a non-division opponent it improves to 5-0 SU&ATS. Any NFL home team with a winning record that’s coming off a win by 23 points or less, versus an opponent that coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they scored 17 points or more, and they also have a winning record, resulted in those home teams going 31-1 (96.9%) straight up since 1985. Take the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points. |
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11-11-18 | Redskins +3 v. Bucs | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
Washington @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Washington has gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games as an away underdog of 4.0-points or less. The Redskins are coming off last Sunday’s embarrassing home favorite 38-14 loss to Seattle. Tampa Bay has gone a miserable 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a non-division home favorite of 2.5-6.0-points. Additionally, they lost 8 of those 11 games straight up. The Bucs are coming off last Sunday’s 42-28 loss at Carolina. After getting off to a 2-0 start, Tampa has lost 5 of its last 6 games, and their only win came at home in overtime against Cleveland. Any NFL away team that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 21 points or more and is facing an opponent with a win percentage of .111 or better, resulted in those away teams going 17-0 ATS since 1999. Take Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -3 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Miami Fla. @ Georgia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Georgia Tech -3.0 (10*) Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 games and were a favorite in each of those contests. Their offense has been anemic throughout this current losing streak and scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hurricanes last win came on 10/6 in a 28-27 home win over a not very good Florida State team, and they had to overcome a 27-7 second half deficit in that contest. Miami comes into this game with a disappointing 5-4 (.555) record after being ranked in the Top 20 throughout the first half of this season. Georgia Tech is coming off SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is both those wins came on the road at Virginia Tech and North Carolina. Additionally, they’ve gone 4-1 SU&ATS during their last 5 games and forced 13 turnovers throughout that time. The Yellowjackets enter this week with a 5-4 (.555) record. Any conference home favorite of 4.5-points or less with a win percentage of .750 or worse, coming off conference away SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games and last they covered their previous contest by 2.0-points or more, and they’re playing after Game 7 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1981. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-10-18 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -20.5 | 47-48 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 3:30 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Oklahoma -20.5 (5*) Oklahoma has scored 51 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. They will be facing an Oklahoma State defense which is allowing a substantial 36.3 points per game throughout its last 5 contests. Oklahoma is 3-0 SU&ATS in the last 3 games against Oklahoma State and averaged 46.0 points scored per contest. Oklahoma State is 0-2 SU&ATS in its last 2 road games with those defeats coming against Kansas State and Baylor. Comparatively, Oklahoma defeated both Kansas State 51-14 and Baylor 63-33. Oklahoma is 8-1 and is on the periphery of a Top 4 College Football Playoff rating. They can use all the style points they can get and especially so against what’s perceived to be a decent opponent that is currently 5-4 (.555). Any home favorite of 7.5 to 30.0-points that’s coming off 3 straight games in which they scored 50 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .666, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was 36.4 points per game. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | Baylor v. Iowa State -14.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Baylor @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Iowa State -14.5 (5*) Baylor is coming off last Saturday’s 35-31 win over Oklahoma and they did so as a 6.5-point home underdog. That victory improved the Bears season record to 5-4 (.555). Conversely, Iowa State is coming off last week’s 27-3 win at Kansas which made them 5-3 (.625) this season. Any home favorite (Iowa State) of 4.0 to 24.0 points that’s coming off a conference win by 13 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent (Baylor) coming off a conference home underdog of 6.5-points or more upset win in which they scored 10.0 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .181 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 42-2 ATS (95.4%) since 1985. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | North Carolina v. Duke -10.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Duke 12:20 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Duke -10.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a 20-12 upset win at Miami and did so as a sizable 9.0-point underdog. That victory improved the Blue Devils season record to 6-3 (.666). North Carolina will be out to revenge last season’s 27-17 home loss to Duke. The Tar Heels currently have a miserable 1-7 record. Any conference home favorite (Duke) of 10.0 to 23.0-points that’s coming an underdog of 8.5-points or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .375 or better, versus an opponent (North Carolina) with a losing record that’s playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1988. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-18 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -16.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: Missouri -16.5 (5*) Missouri is coming off last Saturday’s 38-17 win at Florida. The Tigers have now gone 12-10 during their previous 22 games. Vanderbilt is coming off a 45-31 win at Arkansas in their last outing. The Commodores are 9-13 in their last 22 games. These results and 22-game records fit nicely into a highly successful college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home favorite (Missouri) that’s coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, and they’ve won 12 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an opponent coming off an away game in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, and they (Vanderbilt) have won 15 or fewer of their last 22 games, resulted in those home favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2012. Those home teams also won all those 18 contests straight up and did so by a substantial average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers -3 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Pittsburgh 8:20 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0 (5*) Carolina has performed substantially better at home than on the road through their first 8 games of the season. The Panthers are 5-0 at home and averaged 31.6 points scored per game in those contests. Contrarily, they’ve gone an uninspiring 1-2 on the road and averaged just 20.7 points scored per game. The dip in scoring on the road has much to do with losing the time of possession battle by a wide margin more than offensive production itself. During those 3 away games opponents have held a 33:28 to 26:32 time of possession edge over Carolina. Carolina is coming off last Sunday’s 42-28 home win over Tampa Bay. They now have the unenviable task of going on the road and playing on just 3 days rest against a quality opponent. NFL ATS betting history has proven that teams have failed miserably in this scenario, and especially so as a non-division underdog. Pittsburgh has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during its last 4 games. Furthermore, during the Steelers previous 3 games, the Steelers have a significant time of possession edge of 34:32 to 25:25. The Steelers are coming off an impressive AFC North Division 23-16 win at Baltimore last Sunday in a game which wasn’t nearly as close as the final score may indicate. Any NFL Thursday non-division home favorite (Pittsburgh) that’s playing after Game 8 of their season, and they allowed 36 points or fewer in the previous game, versus an opponent (Carolina) which scored 10 points or more in its last contest, resulted in those home favorites going 33-6 ATS (84.6%) since 1980. If they were home favorites of 6.5-points or less, they improved to 9-0 ATS and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -17 | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Wake Forest @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: NC State -17.0 (5*) NC State quarterback Ryan Finley and the Wolfpack offense should have a field day against a porous Wake Forest defense. During 5 ACC games this season the Demon Deacons defense has allowed 43.6 points and 532.0 yards per contest. Wake Forest is 0-4 SU&ATS this season versus teams that currently have a winning record and lost by 28.3 points per game. Conversely, NC State has faced just 2 teams that currently have a losing record and was 2-0 SU&ATS while winning by 26.5 points per game. Wake Forest is coming last Saturday’s 24-17 home loss to Syracuse and they failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped the Demon Deacons season record to 4-5. Conversely, NC State is coming off last week’s 47-28 home win over Florida State in a game they covered as a 9.5-point favorite. The combination of these results in addition to the Wake Forest season record creates a never lost college football ATS betting angle illustrated below. Any conference favorite of 25.0 points or less that’s coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they scored 24 points or more and allowed 28 or fewer, versus an opponent with a losing record and who’s coming off a conference home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 12.0-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous 29.1 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys UNDER 40.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Dallas 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 40.5 (5*) Tennessee has scored 20 points or less in 6 of their first 7 games. The only time they exceeded that amount was in a 26-23 overtime win against Philadelphia and clinched that victory by scoring a touchdown. Conversely, the Titans have allowed 23 points or less in each of their previous 6 games. Tennessee has gone under the total in its last 3 contests and there was just a combined 28.3 points scored per game. During that low scoring stretch, the Titans scored 12 points or fewer on every occasion while also giving up 13 points or less in each instance. They’ve also gone under in 4 consecutive regular season road contests and there was a combined 20.0 points scored in each game. Dating back to last season, Dallas has gone under the total in 9 of its previous 11 games. The Cowboys have gone under in 4 straight contests when they’re a favorite and the total is 43.0 or less. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 29.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +2.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
LA Rams @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an impressive 30-20 win at Minnesota last Sunday night. That marked their 6th straight win following a loss to Tampa Bay in their season opener. The Saints are also a very good 21-11 during their previous 32 games overall. The Rams remained unbeaten following last week’s 29-27 home win over Green Bay. Any home team (New Orleans) that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, and they’ve won 24 game or fewer of their previous 32 contests. versus an opponent (LA Rams) who’s coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 70-9 (88.6%) straight up since 1983. Considering the home team is an underdog in this spot, the straight up results in this betting angle take on an enormous amount more significance. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Seattle 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) The Chargers are coming off a 20-19 win over Tennessee in their previous game, and it improved their record to 5-2 (.714). Dating back to last season, they’ve gone under the total in 5 straight games after scoring 21 or less and allowing 19 or fewer point in their previous contest. Those 5 contests averaged a combined average of just 34.4 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 28-14 win at Detroit in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. That win improved the Seahawks season record to 4-3 (.571). The Seattle defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Seattle has gone under the total in 5 straight games this season when the number is 49.5 or less. Any team (Seattle) playing after Game 7 of their season who’s coming off a straight up underdog win by 14 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .777 or worse, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse and they allowed 17 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those games going 24-1 (96%) under the total since 2014. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Lions +6 v. Vikings | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Detroit +6.0 (5*) Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s disappointing 28-14 home loss to Seattle. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-4 (.428). However, the Lions have gone 4-0 in their last 4 division away games and ironically 2 of those wins transpired at Minnesota. The Lions front office traded away leading wide receiver Golden Tate to Philadelphia on Tuesday. The Lions players should be motivated by the fact that their own front office personnel don’t consider them a legitimate playoff threat based on this transaction. Minnesota is coming off last Sunday night’s 30-20 home loss to New Orleans and they failed to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped the Vikings home record to 2-2-1. Their only 2 home wins have come against Arizona and San Francisco who’ve combined to go 4-13 this season. They also lost to Buffalo (2-6) as a 16.0-point home favorite earlier this season. Any division away underdog of 2.5 to 6.0-points (Detroit) that’s coming off a non-division game, and their facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a non-division home underdog ATS loss, resulted in those away underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1993. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 47 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 47.0 (5*) The last 4 times these AFC North rivals have met in Baltimore each of those games went under the total. Pittsburgh has gone 20-5 under the total during their previous 25 away games and that includes 16-1 under when there’s a total of 42.0 to 48.0. Conversely, Baltimore is 9-2 under the total in their last 11 division home games when there’s a total of 41.0 or greater and that includes 5-0 under during the previous 5. Pittsburgh is coming off last Sunday’s 33-18 home win over Cleveland. Meanwhile, Baltimore sustained a 36-21 loss at Carolina in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. Any home team (Baltimore) with a total of 42.0 to 51.0 that’s playing after game 4 of their season, and who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10-points or more which dropped their season win percentage to .500 or worse, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) who allowed 13 points or more in their previous contest, resulting in those games going 25-2 (92.6%) under the total since 2009. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | California +10 v. Washington State | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show | |
California @ Washington State 10:45 PM ET Game# 373-374 Play On: California +10.0 (5*) California has won its last 2 games played against Washington 12-10 and Oregon State 49-7. Washington State is coming off a thrilling come from behind 41-38 win at Stanford last Saturday. The combination of these previously mentioned results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any road team that’s coming off 2 straight up wins in a row and they allowed 14 points or fewer on each occasion, versus an opponent that allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those road teams going 62-22 ATS (73.8%) since 2008. The road teams were also an even better 67-17 (79.8%) straight up in those contests. Considering this college football betting angle sides with the double-digit road underdog in this contest, the straight up results take on greater relevance. Bet on California plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | 29-0 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 8 m | Show | |
Alabama @ LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 419-420 Play On: LSU +14.5 (5*) Obviously, Alabama is been completely dominant in obliterating their opponents this season. The Crimson Tide has won all 8 of their games this season by 22 points or more. However, this will be the first time this season they’ll face a ranked opponent on the road. Their previous 3 road wins have come over Ole Miss, Arkansas. Those 3 opponents have combined to go a dismal 2-12 this in SEC games. LSU is coming off impressive conference wins over Mississippi State and Georgia during their previous 2 games. Those 2 opponents have combined to go 12-4 this season. Those wins improved LSU to 7-1 this season, and they’re currently #3 in the college football playoff rankings. Additionally, the home underdog Bayou Bengals are a terrific 58-8 at home since 2009. The Tigers defense has yielded just 15.1 points per game through their first 8 contests. Any college football home underdog of 14.5 points or more who’s coming off conference win in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2001. Furthermore, those double-digit home underdogs pulled the outright upset in 8 of those 17 games. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern v. UL-Monroe +7.5 | 25-44 | Win | 100 | 48 h 33 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ UL-Monroe 3:00 PM ET Game# 377-378 Play On: UL-Monroe +7.5 (5*) Georgia Southern is coming off a huge 34-14 upset win over Appalachian State and did so as an 11.0-point home underdog. That win improved their record to 7-1 (.875). Conversely, UL-Monroe is coming off conference wins over Coastal Carolina and Texas State during its previous 2 games played. Any college football home team (UL-Monroe) that’s coming off conference wins during its previous 2 games played, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a home underdog upset win by 34 points or less, and they (Georgia Southern) possess a win percentage of .888 or worse, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 96-12 (88.9%) straight up since 1992. By the way, if those home teams were a pick or underdog they went 10-0 ATS and 9-1 straight up. Bet on UL-Monroe plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Maryland 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Maryland +3.0 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a tough 3-game stretch in which they went 2-1 against Penn State, Michigan, and Purdue. Furthermore, following Saturday’s game at Maryland they’ll be hosting Ohio State and will be presented with an opportunity to squelch the Buckeyes national championship aspirations. With that in mind, this shapes up for a potential flat sport for a Spartans team which has already endured 3 losses this season. Maryland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Granted the competition in those wins was less than stellar. However, they defeated Minnesota, Rutgers, and Illinois by an average of 28.7 points per game. The Terrapins also upset #15 Texas earlier this season and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Maryland enters this week with a solid 5-3 record. The Terrapins racked up 712 yards of total offense in last Saturday 63-33 home win over Illinois. Maryland is averaging 377.6 yards of total offense per game and they’ll be facing a Michigan State defense which is yielding 353.2 yards per contest throughout its first 8 games. Which leads us to a powerful college football betting angle illustrated below which heavily favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any college football home underdog playing after Game 6 of their season that averages 330 to 390 yards of total offense per game, and they amassed 475 yards or more of total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that surrenders 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home underdogs going 39-4 (90.7%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.  |
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11-02-18 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -7 | 23-13 | Loss | -114 | 33 h 19 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Virginia 7:30 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5) Virginia has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games. That current win streak has improved their season record to 6-2 (.750) and catapulted them into a Top 25 national ranking. The Cavaliers are also 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season and they won by an average of 16.5 points per game. Their most recent win came in last Saturday’s 31-21 victory over North Carolina and they covered as an 8.0-point home favorite. Virginia will be playing with big time revenge after having lost 3 straight games to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is coming off a 54-45 home win over Duke last Saturday and they did so as a 2.5-point home underdog. That win evened the Panthers season record at 4-4. The Panthers defense has been shaky all season long and they yielded 619 yards in that win over Duke. The Panthers stop unit has also allowed 37 points or more in each of their previous 4 ACC games. Any home favorite of 6.5 to 19.0-points that’s playing with revenge and they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games, and they possess a win percentage of .875 or worse and is coming off a home favorite ATS win during their previous game, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) coming off a SU&ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills +14.5 | 25-6 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Buffalo +14.5 (5*) Buffalo is coming off an embarrassing 37-5 loss at Indianapolis. That defeat dropped the Bills season record to 2-5. Conversely, New England is coming off last Sunday’s 38-31 win at Chicago in which they covered as a 3.0-point favorite. That victory improved New England to 5-2. Bovada currently has Buffalo as a 14.5-point home underdog. The combination of both team’s records, what occurred in each of their games last Sunday, and the current point-spread made for some very interesting ATS findings that all support tonight’s home underdog. I’ve researched NFL ATS histories extensively is they’re applicable to tonight’s game. Every query that I inputted into my NFL handicapping software heavily favored Buffalo covering this game. Here are a few examples of such illustrated below. Since 2004, any Monday night NFL home underdogs of 9.5-points or greater that’s facing an opponent with a winning record has gone 7-0 ATS. Those sizable Monday night dogs also won 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Since 1980, any away favorite of 3.0-points or more that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored and allowed 30 points or more, resulted in those away favorites going 0-5 ATS, and they lost 3 of those 5 contests straight up. Since 1995, NFL home underdogs of 10.5 to 14.5-points have gone a very profitable 51-25 ATS (67.1%). If those home underdogs are coming off a straight up loss by 4 points or more, and they have at least 1 win on the season, versus an opponent coming an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win, those home underdogs of 10.5 to 14.5-points improve to 14-0 ATS. Furthermore, 4 of those 14 underdogs won the game straight up. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | Top | 27-29 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Green Bay @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -8.5 (10*) This is largest underdog role that Aaron Rogers has seen since he’s been Green Bay’s starting quarterback. Hence, the public has been hammering the sportsbooks with Packers bets like they’re stealing money from an open safe. The Packers enter this week with a mediocre 3-2-1 record and they’ve gone just 14-18 during their last 32 away games. The Rams are a perfect 7-0 thus far and are coming off last Sunday’s 39-10 win at San Francisco while easily covering as a 9.0-point favorite. Any undefeated NFL non-division home favorite (LA Rams) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they won straight up by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Green Bay) with at least 1 loss, and they’ve won 14 or less of its last 32 away games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive margin of 21.0 points per game. Bet on the LA Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +3 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Baltimore @ Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Carolina +3.0 (5*) This is a Carolina Panthers team which has gone 26-6 during its last 32 home games. The Panthers are coming off a stirring come from behind 21-17 win at Philadelphia and overcame a 17-0 fourth quarter deficit in that contest. That victory improved the Panthers season record to 4-2 (.666). Baltimore is coming off a gut wrenching 24-23 home loss to New Orleans. Ravens placekicker Justin Tucker missed an extra point in the final minute that would’ve tied the game, and it was his first ever point after touchdown miss in his illustrious career. Baltimore now enters this week with a mediocre 4-3 (.571) record. This is also a Ravens team which has gone 4-13 straight up in their last 17 non-division away games. Any home team (Carolina) which is playing before game 11 of their season that possesses a win percentage of less than .800, and they won 14 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent (Baltimore) coming off a home loss, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those home teams going 15-1 SU&ATS since 2011. If those home teams were an underdog they improved to 5-0 SU&ATS during that exact time frame. Bet on Carolina plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants +1.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ NY Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: NY Giants +1.5 (5*) Washing is coming off 2 straight up home underdog wins in their last 2 games against Dallas and Carolina. Those victories improved their season record to 4-2 (.666). The Giants are better than their 1-6 record indicates, and they’ll be out to prove it on Sunday. The Giants have gone 13-19 during their last 32 home games. Any home team (Giants) with at least 1 win on the season and they’ve won 13 or more of its last 32 home games, versus an opponent coming off home underdog straight up wins in each of its last 2 games played, and they (Washington) possess a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those home teams going 32-3 (91.4%) straight up since 1982. Considering this current point-spread, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on the Giants for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Browns +8 v. Steelers | 18-33 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Cleveland +8.0 (5*) Cleveland is coming off last week’s 26-23 road loss at Tampa Bay. That makes the Browns 0-3 on the road this season and of those defeats came by exactly a 3-point margin. These teams met on opening day in Cleveland and it resulted in a 21-21 tie. The Browns covered that contest as an underdog and have now gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Pittsburgh. The Steelers enter this week sporting a 3-2-1 (.600) record. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5 to 8.5-points (Cleveland) that’s coming off a non-division road loss, and they possess a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1987. Those road underdogs also won 9 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars +3.5 | 24-18 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Philadelphia vs. Jacksonville 9:30 AM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Jacksonville +3.5 (5*) Jacksonville’s offense has been anemic during their current 3-game losing streak. The Jags have scored 14 points or fewer in each of those 3 losses, and that includes exactly 7 points during apiece during its last 2 contests. This is the 7th consecutive season that Jacksonville has played in England. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their last 3 trips abroad and have scored 30 points or greater in each occasion. Philadelphia continues to suffer from a Super Bowl hangover after last Sunday’s 21-17 home loss to Carolina. The Eagles blew a 17-0 fourth quarter lead in the contests and now finds themselves 3-4. Any NFL team that’s +4.0 to -4.0 (Jacksonville) who scored 9 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, and they have at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those teams going 16-1 ATS (94.1%) since 2009. Bet on Jacksonville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Navy v. Notre Dame -23.5 | Top | 22-44 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Navy vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -23.5 (10*) The only team that will prevent Notre Dame from winning this game by 4 touchdowns or more is Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a bye week and look for them to put forth an inspired effort after barely surviving against Pittsburgh in their previous game. As a matter of fact, that narrow 20-14 win as a 20.0-point home favorite may have been the worst thing for Navy. I look for Notre Dame to be a focused and hungry team in this nationally televised primetime matchup. This has been a down year for Navy this far and look for a continuation of just that on Saturday night. The Midshipmen won’t be able to match the physicality of Notre Dame’s offensive and defensive line. They’ll be worn out by the time 2nd half action rolls around. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -2.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Stanford 7:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*) Washington State is coming off an emotional home win over 34-20 home win over a very good Oregon Ducks team. That victory improved their season record to 6-1 and catapulted to them to #14 in the country. Stanford enters this matchup with a 5-2 record and ranked #24 in the land. Yet, it’s the lower seeded Cardinal that’s the favorite in this spot. Since 2008, Stanford has gone 60-9 (.870) at home and that includes an extremely profitable 43-26 ATS (62.3%). The Cougars are in for a letdown while Stanford keeps itself alive in the PAC-12 title chase with a win. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Purdue v. Michigan State -1 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
Purdue @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET Game# 187-188 Play On: Michigan State -1.0 (5*) Both teams enter this week with identical 4-3 (.571) records. Purdue is coming off a shocking 49-20 upset of then #3 and undefeated Ohio State while doing so as a 12.5-point home underdog. Any home favorite of 14.5-points or less that possesses a winning record and is playing after Game 2 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record and they’re coming off a home underdog of 7.0-points or greater straight up win in which they scored 17 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2009. Those 13 home favorites won by an average of 22.7 points per game. Bet on Michigan State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-18 | Clemson v. Florida State +17 | 59-10 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Florida State +17.0 (5*) Since 2010, Florida State has gone 48-10 at home, and Saturday will be just the 4th time during this stretch that they’ll be an underdog in Tallahassee. The Seminoles have won 3 of their last 4 and their only loss in that sequence was 28-27 at Miami in a game they squandered a 17-point second half lead. Clemson handed NC State their first loss of the season last week during a 41-7 home blowout win. I like this game to be much close than expected. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans -7.5 | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 55 h 39 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game#103-104 Play On: Texans -7.5 (5*) Houston is coming off a 20-7 win at Jacksonville this past Sunday. After losing their first 3 games of the season, Houston has now won 4 straight games. The Dolphins are coming off a 32-21 loss to Detroit and failed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 4-3 (.571). Since 10/26/2017, Miami has gone a dismal 0-7 ATS as a road underdog when facing an opponent with at least 1 loss. They lost those 7 contests by a substantial 21.0 points per game. Miami will once again go with backup quarterback Brock Osweiller on Thursday. Osweiller is a terrible 2-9 ATS in his career team starts as a road underdog. Any non-division home favorite of 2.5 to 11.0-points (Texans), versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 31.0 points or less, and they (Dolphins) possess a win percentage of better than .500 but worse than .666, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 25-0 ATS since 1983. The average victory margin in those 25 contests was 16.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 51.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Giants @ Falcons 8:15 ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 51.5 (5*) Atlanta has seen each of their last 5 games go over the total and there was a combined 65.8 points scored per contest. The Falcons have scored 31 points or more in 4 home games this season and there were a combined 67.7 pints scored per contest. Furthermore, Atlanta is 10-1 over the total at home since 2016 when there’s a total of 49.5 or more and that includes 7-0 over (61.9 ppg.) when facing non-division opponents. New York has gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games and there was a combined average of 55.5 points scored per contest. Additionally, the Giants faced very good defenses in those last 2 contests while facing Philadelphia and Carolina. New York was able to accumulate 432 yards versus Carolina and 401 yards of total offense against Philadelphia. Atlanta is allowing their opponents to amass 417.5 yards of total offense per game this season. The Falcons defensive unit has surrendered 381 yards or more in each of its last 3 games. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which makes plenty of sense, and it’s exhibited below. Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 49.5 or greater that’s allowing opponents to average 360 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’ve given up 375 yards or more in each of their previous 3 contests, resulted in those games going 27-8 (77.1%) over the total since 2009. The average total in those 35 contests was 52.2 and there was a combined average of 56.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +9.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
LA Rams @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: San Francisco +9.5 (10*) San Francisco gave Green Bay all they can handle this past Monday night at Lambeau Field before losing 33-30 on a last second field goal. The 49ers easily covered that contest as a sizable 9.0-point road underdog. The Rams came away with an uninspiring 23-20 road win at Denver last week and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point road favorite for a second consecutive week. In any event, they improved their season record to a perfect 6-0. Since 1983, NFL teams playing in their 3rd consecutive road game they gone just 81-152 straight up. If those teams are coming off a straight up win they’ve gone 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ATS since 2014. Any NFL home underdog of 10.0-points or fewer that scored 19 points or fewer in their previous game, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent playing in Game 7 of their season, and that opponent scored 36 points or less in their previous outing, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Detroit -3.0 (5*) Detroit is coming off their bye week and is riding the momentum of a 31-23 home win over Green Bay. They also cover that NFC North Division battle against the Packers as a 1.5-point favorite. Conversely, Miami is coming off a home 31-28 overtime win against Chicago. Backup quarterback Brock Osweiller was superb during that victory and will be under center once again this week. I’m willing to go out on a limb and say Osweiller won’t coming close to duplicating last week’s performance. Any NFL road favorite of 8.0-points or fewer that’s coming off a bye week (Detroit) that’s playing after Game 5 of their season, and they covered their previous game as a favorite while scoring 31 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Furthermore, if that road favorite is facing an opponent who scored 21 points or more in their previous contest, they improved to 10-0 ATS and won by 12.1 points per game. Bet on Detroit minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +3 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
New England @ Chicago 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Chicago +3.0 (5*) Chicago has been an extremely profitable home underdog in recent seasons. Specifically, since 10/31/2016, the Bears are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS as an underdog at Soldier Field, including 3-0 SU&ATS (+10.0 PPG) when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better. Chicago is coming off last Sunday’s 31-28 overtime loss at Miami in a game they closed as a 7.0-point favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-2 (.600). New England is coming off a thrilling 43-40 home win this past Sunday night over previously undefeated Kansas City. That victory improved New England to 4-2 (.666). You may be surprised to know, since 2012, New England has gone 1-8 SU&ATS as an away favorite of 4.0-ponts or less following a straight up win. Any NFL non-division home underdog of 5.0-points or less (Bears), coming off an away favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 26 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 or worse, versus an opponent (Patriots) coming off a straight up win where it allowed 7 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a sizable 10.5 points per game. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-18 | Texans +4.5 v. Jaguars | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Houston @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Houston +4.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off 2 straight losses to Kansas City and Dallas and were outscored by a combined 70-21 margin. The Jags are now 3-3 and have gone 16-16 during their previous 32 games. Houston is coming off a 20-13 win against Buffalo. That victory was Houston’s 3rd in a row and evened their record at 3-3. Any division road underdog of 6.0-points or fewer that scored 20 points or less in their previous game, and they own a win percentage of .500 or worse, versus an opponent coming off 2 straight losses and they have a win percentage of .500 or better, they also win 16 or more of their previous 32 games, resulted in those road underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 1983. Those 9 underdogs also went 8-0-1 straight up. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Oregon @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington State -2.5 (10*) Washington State is coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games. They barely coved in their previous game as an 18.5-point favorite during a 56-37 victory at Oregon State. That win improved the Cougars season record to 5-1 (.833). Oregon is coming off last Saturday’s thrilling 30-27 overtime win over then #7 Washington and they did so as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Ducks also enter this contest with a 5-1 (.833) record. I entered previously mentioned data into my college football handicapping software and it spit out a never lost ATS betting angle which is detailed below. Any college football home favorite of 5.5-points or fewer that owns a win percentage of .833 or less after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off SU&ATS win in each of their previous 2 contests, and they covered their previous game by 32.0 or less while scoring 24 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a straight win and who possesses a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 19 contests was 20.1 points per game. Bet on Washington State as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State v. LSU -6 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ LSU 7:00 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: LSU -6.0 (5*) LSU is coming off a 36-16 home upset win over then #2 Georgia last week. After facing Mississippi State on Saturday night, the Tigers have a date with top ranked Alabama. Mississippi State is also coming off a 23-9 home upset win over Auburn and did so as 3.0-point underdog. Any home favorite of 9.5-points or fewer (LSU) who’s coming off a straight up win in which they scored 24 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent that coming off a bye week, and they’re (Mississippi State) coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they covered by 5.5-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 12 contests was 20.2 points per game. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | UTSA v. Southern Miss -16.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
UTSA @ Southern Miss 7:00 PM ET Game# 393-394 Play On: Southern Miss -16.5 (5*) Southern Miss is coming off losses to North Texas and Auburn in their last 2 games. Conversely, UTSA is coming off a 31-3 loss to Louisiana Tech during their previous contest. Those results create an unbeaten college football betting angle which is listed below. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points (Southern Miss) that’s coming off straight up loss in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re facing an opponent (UTSA) that allowed 13 points or more in its previous game, resulted in those favorites going 27-0 ATS since 2009. Bet on Southern Miss minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Penn State -14 v. Indiana | 33-28 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Indiana 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Penn State -14.0 (5*) Penn State was shocked at home by Michigan State last week during a 21-17 and it transpired with the Nittany Lions being a sizable 13.5-point favorite. Indiana is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games to Iowa 42-16 and Ohio State 49-26. These results create a perfect college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference away favorite of 11.0-points or greater (Penn State) that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they failed to cover by 11.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Indiana) that allowed 42 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests and scored 7 points or more during its last game, resulted in those favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. Those 10 favorites won by a decisive average of 34.6 points per game. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-18 | Virginia v. Duke -6.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Duke 12:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Duke -6.5 (5*) Duke is coming off a 28-14 ACC road win at Georgia Tech and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Virginia is coming off last Saturday’s 16-13 upset win against Miami and did so as 7.0-point home underdog. This sets up a rare but never lost college football angle which is displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 3.0 to 18.5-points (Duke) that coming off a conference away underdog straight up win, versus an opponent (Virginia) coming off a conference home underdog of 5.0-points or more upset win, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2006. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a substantial 24.8 points per game. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Stanford @ Arizona State 9:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*) After winning its first 4 games the Stanford Cardinal has lost their last 2, including a latest 40-21 defeat to Utah as a 4.0-point home favorite. The Cardinal had last week off to recover from that embarrassing loss in Palo Alto. Arizona State has lost 3 of its last 4 games and it dropped their season record to 3-3. Stanford is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a conference road favorite of -15.5-points or lees versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or worse. Any conference road favorite of 7.0-points or fewer that’s coming off a conference straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 21 points or more, and they’re coming off a week of rest, versus an opponent that’s coming off straight up loss, resulted in those road favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by a decisive margin of 18.5 points per game. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers +9.5 v. Packers | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
49ers @ Packers 8:15 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: 49ers +9.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off last Sunday’s 31-23 loss at Detroit. That defeat dropped their season record to 2-2-1. San Francisco suffered a 28-18 loss to NFC West Division rival Arizona last week and did so as a 3.0-point home favorite. The combination of these results and Green Bay’s current win percentage sets up an extremely profitable betting angle which is displayed below. Since 2011, any NFL away underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s playing after Game 2 of their season, and they’re coming off a division away favorite straight up loss, versus an opponent (Packers) with at least 1 loss while possessing a win percentage of .600 or worse, and they (Packers) allowed 24 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS. Furthermore, those away underdogs won 11 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on the 49ers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 54 h 46 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Patriots -3.0 (10*) New England has historically been a huge money maker as a home favorite since Bill Belichick took over as head coach. That’s been especially evident during recent years. Since the 2013 season began, New England has gone an extremely profitable 35-13 ATS (73%) as a home favorite. Moreover, during that identical time frame, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5-points or fewer when facing a non-division opponent, and they won by 14.6 points per contest. The current total on Sunday’s game against the Chiefs is 59.5, and that’s significant. Since 11/18/2012, New England is 14-0 SU&ATS at home when there’s a total of 50.5 or greater, and they won by an enormous 20.7 points per game. The Chiefs are coming off last Sunday’s 30-14 win over Jacksonville and they covered as a 3.5-point home favorite. That victory improved Kansas City to a perfect 5-0 in 2018. New England is coming off a 38-24 home win over Indianapolis and they covered as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. This previously mentioned data sets up a rare but unblemished NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any home favorite of 4.5-points or fewer (Patriots) that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0-points or less, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent (Chiefs) who’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Those 9 home favorites won by an average of 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-14-18 | Rams -6.5 v. Broncos | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
Rams @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Rams -6.5 (5*) Denver enters this week on a 3-game losing streak. They were awful during last Sunday’s 34-16 lopsided road loss against the Jets in which they allowed a whopping 323 yards on the ground. That’s not good news since they will be facing arguably the league’s premier running back on Sunday in the Rams Todd Gurley. If they stack the box to prevent Gurley from going off, then they’ll leave themselves vulnerable to a Rams dynamic aerial attack spearheaded by quarterback Jared Goff. All Goff has done thus far in 2018 is throw for 345.4 yards per game, complete an absurd 72.3% of his passing attempts while also tossing for 12 touchdowns. The Rams are coming off their closest call to date in last weeks 33-31 win at Seattle. Denver is presently sporting a 2-3 record. The Broncos are 21-11 during its last 32 at home but an uninspiring 12-20 in their last 32 games overall. These results and records set up a never lost NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL non-division road favorite of 3.0-points or greater (Rams) who’s coming off an away game in which they scored 33 points or more, versus an opponent (Broncos) with a losing record and they’ve won 17 or fewer of its last 32 games in addition to winning 15 or more of their previous 32 home games, resulted in those road favorites going 14-0 ATS since 1984. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was a substantial 20.9 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chargers v. Browns +1 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 31 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Browns +1.0 (5*) The Chargers are coming off last Sunday’s workmanlike 26-10 home win over the mistake prone Oakland Raiders. That win improved their season record to 3-2 (.600). Nevertheless, they’ll have their hands full on Sunday against a Browns team with momentum. This will be the 2nd of only 3 games that the Chargers will play in the Eastern Time Zone. They managed to win at Buffalo earlier this season after jumping out to a 28-6 halftime lead. However, they faded and were outplayed badly in the 2nd half of that contest. Cleveland is coming off a confidence building home win over its AFC North Division rival Baltimore last Sunday, and they did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Despite that victory, they’re a dismal 3-29 during their previous 32 games played. The Browns enter this week having gone 2-0-1 straight up and 3-0 ATS at home this season. You can make a very strong case that Cleveland should be 5-0. All 5 of Cleveland’s games have been decided by 4 points or fewer, and 3 of those went to overtime. Make no mistake about it, the Browns are battle tested when it comes to close games. Cleveland is also a terrific +8 in the turnover department thus far. Any NFL home team who’s +2.5 to -1.5 (Browns) who’s playing after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off a home underdog straight up win, and they’ve won 19 or fewer games during its last 32 contests, versus an opponent (Chargers) coming off a straight up win and who has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those home teams going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 9.6 points per game. Bet on the Browns for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3.5 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Loss | -103 | 47 h 31 m | Show | |
Bears @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Bears -3.5 (5*) So much for the 3-0 start by Miami. They were blown out 38-31 at New England 2 weeks ago, and last Sunday squandered a 17-point lead at Cincinnati while falling 27-17. The Dolphins are now 17-15 during their last 32 games played. Chicago will be well rested after enjoying their bye week. The Bears have won 3 straight and that includes a 48-10 rout of Tampa Bay in their previous game. The vaunted Chicago defense has forced 11 turnovers during its first 4 games of the season, and they’ll be facing a Miami team that’s turned the ball over 9 times in 5 contests. Any regular season NFL road favorite of 3.0 to 9.5-points (Bears) who’s coming off a bye week, and they allowed 7 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Dolphins) coming off a straight up loss by 9 points or more and they’ve won 19 or fewer of their previous 32 games played, resulted in those road favorites going 17-0 ATS since 2002. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests was a decisive 17.6 points per game. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-18 | Bucs +3 v. Falcons | 29-34 | Loss | -100 | 46 h 30 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Buccaneers +3.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this NFC South Division battle on a 3-game losing streak. As a mater of fact, 2 of those losses came as a home favorite. They reached a low point in last Sunday’s 41-17 loss at Pittsburgh. Regardless of their dynamic offensive capabilities, it’s been nullified by a defense which has allowed 37 points or more in each of its last 3 games. Tampa Bay is coming off their bye week and looks to rebound from an embarrassing 48-10 loss at Chicago during its previous outing. Despite that dismal performance and low scoring output, the Bucs are still averaging 28.0 points scored and 432.7 yards of total offense per game. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5-points or less (Buccaneers) who’s coming off a loss by 14 points or more, versus an opponent that’s lost 3 or more games in a row, and they (Falcons) surrendered 24 points or greater during their previous contest, resulted in those road underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 1990. Furthermore, those underdogs won 8 of those 9 games straight up. Bet on the Buccaneers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-18 | Michigan State +13.5 v. Penn State | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Penn State 3:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Michigan State +13.5 (5*) Penn State will look to rebound from a disheartening 27-26 home loss to #3 ranked Ohio State. It marked the 2nd straight season in which they lost to the Buckeyes by exactly 1 point. They did have last Saturday off, but it’s still a huge emotional hurdle to overcome. It’s worth noting, this is a Penn State team that barely survived as a 24.5-point home favorite during a 45-38 overtime win over Appalachian State in their season opener. Since 2014, Penn State is 0-4 ATS in conference games following a home loss and they lost straight up on 3 of those occasions. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 197-198 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Georgia is undefeated at 6-0 thus far and have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 257-78. The Bulldogs have allowed 17 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 contests while they scored 38 points or more on all 6 occasions. Georgia doesn’t beat themselves and that’s evidenced by them committing just a combined 3 turnovers in 6 games. Since 10/18/2014, Georgia has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as a conference away favorite of 3.0 to 16.5-points when facing an opponent coming off a straight up loss. That’s applicable to Saturday’s game at LSU and the Bulldogs won those 6 contests by an average of 21.2 points per game. LSU has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference underdog of 9.5-points or less after scoring 17 points or fewer in its previous contest. The Tigers lost those 4 contests by an average of 15.5 points per game. Georgia is coming off home wins over Tennessee 38-12 and Vanderbilt 41-13 in their last 2 games they’ve played. Conversely, LSU is coming off a 27-19 SUATS loss at Florida and did so as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 3 results leads us to a a unbeaten college football betting angle which is shown below. Any away favorite (Georgia) playing after Game 3 of the season who’s coming off home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (LSU) coming off a conference SU&ATS loss in which it failed to cover by 8.0 points or more while they also scored 23 points or less, resulted in those away favorites going 15-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was a sizable 29.9 points per game. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Duke v. Georgia Tech -2.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Duke @ Georgia Tech 12:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Georgia Tech -2.5 (5*) Duke had off last week and is coming off a terrible performance during a 31-14 home loss to Virginia Tech. That’s the same Virginia Tech team that sandwiched that Duke win between a 42-28 loss at Old Dominion and the last Saturday’s 45-23 home blowout loss to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils are a mediocre 12-10 during its last 22 games played and that includes 4-1 in 2018. Georgia Tech is coming off 2 dominating wins in a row which has evened their record at 3-3 while 2 of those 3 defeats came against #23 South Florida and #4 Clemson. Those 2 teams have combined to go 10-0 thus far in 2018. The Yellow Jackets latest win came during last Saturday’s 66-35 rout of Louisville and they covered as a 5.5-point road favorite. It marked the 2nd straight game that Georgia Tech cracked the 60-point barrier. They also crushed Bowling Green 63-17 2 weeks ago. The only 2 home losses the Yellow Jackets have suffered since last season came against Clemson and Georgia. Both those teams were part of the 4-team College Football Playoffs last season. Any conference home pick or favorite of 4.5-points or less that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 16.0 points or more in addition to scored 46 points or greater, and they’re playing after Game 6 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record who scored 6 points or more in their previous game and has won 16 or fewer of it last 16 games, resulted in those home teams going 18-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Florida Gators @ Vanderbilt Commodores 12:00 PM ET Game# 191-192 Play On: Vanderbilt +7.5 (5*) The #14 Vanderbilt after last Saturday’s huge win over then #5 LSU, and further knowing that #2 Georgia is on tap next. Florida’s overconfidence may come into play on Saturday. After all, they’ve gone 26-1 in their last 27 games against the Commodores. This is a classic trap game and flat spot for the road favorite Gators. Speaking of Georgia, Vanderbilt traveled to Athens last Saturday and got hammered 41-13. Despite their two decades plus of futility against Florida, the Commodores are a respectable 14-10 ATS during the previous 24 meetings. Any college football conference home underdog of 4.0 to 10.0 points (Vanderbilt) that’s coming off an away loss by 28 points or more, versus an opponent (Florida) who’s won their previous 3 games played and all of which were against conference foes, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 12-0 ATS since 1994. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-18 | Eagles -3 v. Giants | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 8:20 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Eagles -3.0 (5*) Philadelphia is unequivocally suffering from a Super Bowl hangover during their 2-3 start to the season. However, it’s not the Eagles defense which has underachieved. Philadelphia has allowed 77 yards or less rushing in each of their first 5 games. Conversely, the Giants have rushed for 65 yards or fewer in 3 of its 5 games. Making Eli Manning and the Giants offense one dimensional is Philadelphia’s recipe for success in this NFC East Division matchup. The Eagles will enter this Thursday night contest on a 2-game losing streak. The Giants are coming off a gut wrenching 33-31 loss at Carolina last week which dropped their season record to 1-4. Carolina’s Graham Gano connected on a massive 63-field goal on the last play of the game which was a tough pill to swallow. Even the best of NFL teams would be hard pressed to immediately recovering from that kind of painful defeat. Make no mistake, the Giants may be better than their 1-4 record indicates, but they’re not classified as one of the league’s best teams. Any NFL road favorite of 2.0-points or more (Eagles) that’s coming off 2 straight losses, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent (Giants) coming off a defeat in which they allowed 34 points or fewer, resulted in those road favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1983. Bet on the Eagles minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks +8.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Seahawks +8.5 (5*) Since 1/2/2011, Seattle has gone an unblemished10-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3.0-points or greater. It also must be noted that they won 9 of those 10 contests straight up. The Rams enter this NFC West Division game sporting a perfect 4-0 record and have now gone 16-16 during its last 32 games. The Seahawks are coming off last Sunday’s 20-17 division win at Arizona. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL division home underdog of 1.5 to 10.5-points that’s coming off a division road win in which they allowed 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Rams) with a win percentage of .636 or better and they’ve won 12 or more of its 32 games played, resulted in those home underdogs 23-3 ATS (88.3%) since 1990. Those home underdogs also won 17 of those 26 games straight up. Bet on the Seahawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -2.5 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Chiefs -2.5 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off a decisive 31-12 home win over the Jets, and improved their season record to 3-1. Since the start of last season, Kansas City is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite of 8.0-points or less versus an opponent coming off a straight up win. The Chiefs won those 5 contests by an average of 11.0-points per game. Furthermore, Kansas City is 8-0 SU&ATS during its last 8 regular season games as a favorite of 3.5-points or less when facing an opponent off a win who’s not undefeated. The Chiefs won those 8 contests by an average of 14.4 points per game. Kansas City has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their first 4 games of the season. Any NFL home favorite of 5.0-points or less that’s playing in Game 5 of their season and who scored 24 points or more in their previous contest, and they’ve gone 4-0 SU&ATS to start the season, versus an opponent that allowed 10 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 10.5 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets | 16-34 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Broncos (Pick) (5*) The Jets are coming off road losses at Jacksonville and Cleveland during their last 2 games played. After a season opening win Detroit the Jets have preceded to lose 3 straight games Any NFL away favorite or pick playing after Game 4 of their season, versus an opponent coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Jets) possess a win percentage of .333 or worst, resulted in those road teams going 26-1 straight up (96.3%) and 25-2 ATS (92.6%) since 2013. Bet on the Broncos for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Packers @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Lions +1.0 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a 22-0 home win over Buffalo which improved their season record to 2-1-1. Detroit was a 26-24 loser at Dallas last Sunday and the now find themselves at 1-3. Any NFL home team that’s +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing after Game 3 of their season, and they’re coming off a loss by 3 points or less, versus an opponent (Packers) who allowed 9 points or fewer during their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 26-3 straight up (89.7%) and 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 1996. Bet on the Lions for a 5* point-spread wager. |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Giants @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Panthers -6.0 (10*) Carolina will enter this game well rested after enjoying a bye week. The last time the Panthers took the field they defeated Cincinnati 31-21 and cover as a 3.0-point home favorite. The Giants are coming off a 33-18 home loss to New Orleans. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Panthers) that’s coming off a bye week, and their previous game was a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Giants) who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 ATS. The 9 home favorites won by a substantial average of 20.3 points per game. Bet on the Carolina Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-18 | Kentucky +6 v. Texas A&M | 14-20 | Push | 0 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Kentucky +6.0 (5*) Despite their 5-0 record, #13 national ranking, in addition to quality wins at Florida, Mississippi State, and South Carolina, Kentucky still is getting no respect from the oddsmakers. As a matter of fact, this will mark a 3rd time in 6 games that the Wildcats are dubbed as an underdog. Granted, Texas A&M suffered it’s only 2 losses this season to #1 Alabama and #4 Clemson. However, their 3 wins have come against Northwestern State, UL-Monroe, and narrowly escaped with a 24-17 home victory last week against Arkansas in a game they closed as a substantial 19.0-point favorite. Any undefeated college football away underdog of 3.0 to 7.0-points that’s playing in their 6th game of the season, and they won by 26 points or fewer in their previous contest, versus an opponent that allowed 14 points or more in its last outing, resulted in those undefeated away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1996. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-18 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic -13.5 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 52 h 45 m | Show | |
Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic 5:00 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Florida Atlantic -13.5 (5*) This is one of those tricky situations in which the underdog is an enticing option. After all, we have a double-digit favorite in FAU that’s coming off s straight losses which dropped its season record to an uninspiring 2-3 (.400). Meanwhile Old Dominion upset nationally ranked Virginia Tech 2 weeks ago as a 29.5-point underdog, and then barely fell short in last Saturday’s 37-35 loss at East Carolina while covering as a 7.0-point underdog. Nonetheless, recent college football ATS betting history strongly suggests taking the favorite in this precise scenario. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points that lost each of their previous 2 games, and they own a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent which allowed 13 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those favorites going a perfect 26-0 ATS since 2009. The average margin of victory in those 26 contests was 28.4 points per game. Bet on Florida Atlantic minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -9 | Top | 48-42 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Oklahoma State -9.0 (10*) Iowa State is coming off a 17-14 loss at TCU last Saturday in a game they were held to 198 yards of total offense. Since 1996, Oklahoma State is 32-11 ATS (74.4%). Since 1996 as a home favorite when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. If that opponent covered that previous game as an underdog the Cowboys improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%) in that identical situation. Oklahoma State is an explosive offensive team that’s averaging 44.4 points and 545.4 yards per contest. Conversely, Iowa State averages a paltry 17.5 points scored and 299.5 of total offense per game. Oklahoma State is coming off a 48-28 win at Kansas and they covered as a 17.0-point favorite while doing so. The win improved the Cowboys season record to 4-1 (.800). The loss to TCU last week dropped Iowa State to 1-3 (.50) this year. These records and last week’s Oklahoma State SU&ATS winning result creates an extremely profitable college football betting angle that sides with the favorite in this matchup. Any home favorite of 9.0-points or more that’s coming off a favorite of 15.5-points or greater ATS win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Iowa State) with a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 43-9 (82.7%) ATS since 1992. Bet on Oklahoma State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-18 | Tulane v. Cincinnati -7 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
Tulane @ Cincinnati 12:00 PM ET Game# 339-340 Play On: Cincinnati -7.0 (5*) The Cincinnati Bearcats have quietly gone 5-0 to start their 2018 regular season campaign. The Bearcats are coming off last Saturday’s 49-7 blowout win at Connecticut and they covered easily as a 16.0-point favorite while doing so. Cincinnati has allowed 17 points or fewer in 4 of their 5 games. If there was any chance of the Bearcats taking Tulane lightly forget about it. Tulane pulled off a huge upset over previously undefeated Memphis in their last game when they won 40-14 and did so as a hefty 14.0-point home underdog. Nevertheless, that victory improved the Green Wave season record to just 2-3. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 points (Cincinnati) that’s coming off an away win by 10 points or more in its previous game, versus an opponent (Tulane) coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive margin of 28.2 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-18 | Colts +10.5 v. Patriots | 24-38 | Loss | -114 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
Colts @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Colts +10.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, New England is 0-4 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 7.5-points or more after scoring 35 points or greater during its previous contest. Conversely, since 10/29/2017, Indianapolis is 4-0 ATS as a non-division road underdog of 6.0-points or more. Indianapolis is coming off last Sunday’s disheartening 37-34 overtime loss to AFC South Division rival Tennessee. That defeat dropped the Colts season record to 1-3 (.250). Meanwhile, New England improved to 2-2 (.500) in 2018 following last Sunday’s 38-7 home blowout win over Miami. Any road underdog (Colts) of 4.0 to 10.5-points with a win percentage of .400 or worse, who’s playing after Game 4 of the season, and they’re coming off a division loss by 3 points or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) with a win percentage of .454 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 40-7 ATS (85.1%) since 1987. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-18 | 49ers +11.5 v. Chargers | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ LA Chargers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: San Francisco +11.5 (5*) Los Angeles is off to a slow 1-2 start to the season and that’s seems to be an annual tradition for them in recent years. As a matter of fact, since 2015, the Chargers are 4-11 SU&ATS during their first 4 games of the season, and that includes 0-5 SU&ATS during its last 5 at home in that exact scenario. The Chargers are also a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in its previous 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-points following a loss, and when playing an opponent with a losing record. The Chargers are coming off last week’s 35-23 loss to their crosstown rivals the Los Angeles Rams, and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. The 49ers are coming off a 38-27 loss at 4-0 Kansas City, and they failed to cover as a 6.0-point underdog. That defeat was even a tougher pill to swallow due to starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo going down with a season ending injury. Although they’ll certainly be a drop off, backup quarterback C.J. Beathard did start 5 games a season ago. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS during their last 5 games as an underdog of 2.0-points or more versus an opponent coming off a loss. Any NFL away underdog of 2.0 to 13.5-points (San Francisco) that’s playing in games 2 through 15 of the season, and they’re coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 31 points or more, versus an opponent (LA Chargers) coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they scored 19 points or greater and failed to cover by 23.0-points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 21-0 ATS since 1983. Furthermore, those underdog won 18 of those contests straight up, and all 3 straight up losses came by an exact 3-point margin. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-18 | Browns +3 v. Raiders | 42-45 | Push | 0 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Oakland 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (5*) Cleveland Browns should be 3-0 if not for the ineptitude of their placekicker in their first 2 games. The Browns are an amazing +9 in turnover differential through its first 3 games and have forced an enormous 11 turnovers during that stretch. Contrarily, Oakland is at a -4 turnover differential thus far and they’ve managed to force only 2 turnovers. Granted, it’s highly improbable Cleveland will be able to continue dominating the turnover department by such a huge disparity as the season progresses. Nevertheless, against an undisciplined and mistake prone team like Oakland I look for their dominance in that category to continue. It’s been well documented and chronicled, if you win the turnover battle in an NFL game there’s a better than average chance you’ll come out on top. Cleveland is coming off a 21-17 home win over the Jets and they covered as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Oakland is coming off last Sunday’s 28-20 road loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. These 2 results lead us to a rare but yet powerful NFL ATS betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL non-division away underdog of 2.5 to 6.0-points that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 12.5-points or less and allowed fewer than 28 points, versus an opponent (Oakland) coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 18.0-points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. Those away underdogs won those 10 contests by an average of 7.9 points per game. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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