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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-19 | Penn State +19 v. Ohio State | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: Penn State +19.0 (5*) The good news for the Ohio State Buckeyes is their ranked #1 with a 10-0 record and have won all its game by 24 points or more. The bad news is they haven’t been challenged yet this season, and who knows how they’ll react when that finally occurs. I’m of the opinion that’s going to occur in this one. Penn State has failed to cover in each of their previous 2 games against Minnesota and Indiana. However, the Nittany Lions are still 9-1 and ranked #9 in the latest college football rankings. I’m not going out on a limb in predicting and outright upset win by Penn State, but will gladly take the generous number being given to Penn State. Furthermore, the last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 points or less. Any college football road underdog of 5.0 to 20.5 that’s coming off ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent (Ohio State) with a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 22-2 ATS (91.6%) since 2009. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-19 | Illinois v. Iowa -15 | 10-19 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Iowa -15.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off a 23-19 win over then undefeated and #8 Minnesota. Illinois is coming off a remarkable 37-34 come from behind upset win at Michigan State as a 16.0-point underdog. Nevertheless, that was against a Spartans team that’s 4-6 and has gone 0-5 SU&ATS over its last 5 games. Any college football conference favorite of 7.0 to 16.5 that’s coming off a straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of .818 or worse, versus an opponent (Illinois) coming off a straight up win as an underdog of 6.0 or greater, resulted in those favorites going 30-5 ATS (85.7%) since 1998. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-19 | Central Florida v. Tulane +6 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Central Florida @ Tulane 12:00 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Tulane +6.0 (5*) Central Florida is coming off a shocking 34-31 upset loss at Tulsa as a 15.0-point favorite. Tulsa entered that contest with a poor 2-7 record. That UCF loss dropped their season record to 7-3 (.700). Tulane is much better than their 6-4 record may indicate. Their 4 losses came against Navy, #18 Memphis, #15 Auburn, and Temple while all occurred on the road. Those 4 opponents who’ve beaten Tulane presently have a combined record of 30-9 (.769). By the way, Tulane has gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home in 2019 and won by a substantial average of 28.2 points per game. Any college football underdog (Tulane) of 3.5 to 10.0 that possesses a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (UCF) who’s coming off a straight up loss and has a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those underdogs going 18-3 ATS (85.7%) since 1999. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show |
Colts @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Colts +4.0 (10*) The Colts have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 division games. This is also a Indianapolis team which has gone an outstanding 15-5 straight up during its previous 20 regular season games. They will be without their starting running back Marlon Mack who injured his hand in last week’s 33-13 win over Jacksonville. However, backup Jonathan Williams stepped in ran for 116 yards on just 13 carries. Which further proves that the Colts offensive line is an elite unit and has been since last season. They certainly will have an opportunity to expose a Texans run defense that allowed 263 yards rushing during last Sunday’s 41-7 blowout loss at Baltimore. Granted 86 of those rush yards came from the best running quarterback in the NFL named Lamar Jackson. Nevertheless, 3 Ravens running backs combined to run for 178 yards and 6.9 yards per rushing attempt. The Colts defense has been outstanding over their previous 4 games. During that time, they’ve allowed their opponents to accumulate just 272.3 yards of total offense per game. Throughout that same 4-game span, Indianapolis allowed 16 points or fewer on 3 occasions, and that includes in each of its previous 2 outings. Contrarily, the Texans defense has allowed 25.7 points and 385.0 yards per game over their last 6 contests. Any NFL team (Colts) which has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 contests and is facing an opponent which has allowed 35 points or greater in their previous game, resulted in those teams going a terrific 45-14 (76.3%) since 2010. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Chiefs vs. Chargers 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Under 53.0 (10*) The Chargers defense has stepped up in their last 2 games against potent offensive attacks while limiting Green Bay to 184 yards and Oakland to 278. That’s a combined 175.7 yards below those 2 teams current season averages. Since Anthony Lynn took over a head coach of the Chargers in 2017, they’ve gone 15-5 (75%) under after game 8, and that includes 15-3 (83.3%) if the total was 53.0 or less. Los Angeles has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 this season. Additionally, the 2 games that went over during that sequence did so by a combined 1.5-points. Since 2016, Kansas City has gone 5-1 under the total as a division favorite in games not played at home and when there was a total of 47.0 or greater. All those contests came under the watchful eye of current head coach Andy Reid. Kansas City is coming off a 35-32 loss at Tennessee in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to a disappointing 5-4 (.555). Conversely, the Chargers are coming off a 26-24 loss at Oakland in a game they were a 1.0-point road favorite. The combination of these results and current season records qualifies this game for a extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any NFL team (Chargers) coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 2 points or more that’s playing after Game 9 of its season, and they own a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .642 who allowed 35 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 26-3 (89.7%) under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-19 | Patriots v. Eagles +4.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
Patriots @ Eagles 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Eagles +4.5 (10*) Granted New England is 8-1, and they’re the reigning Super Bowl champions. However, they’ve beaten just 1 team that currently has a winning record and that’s Buffalo (6-3). Their other 7 wins have come against teams with a combined record of 15-40. The Patriots are coming off their first loss of the season after a 37-20 blowout defeat at Baltimore. Philadelphia is coming off back to back wins over Buffalo 31-13 and Chicago 23-14. Their defense played exceptionally well in those wins while allowing only a combined 417 yards. Since 2016, the Eagles are 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-division home games following wins in each of its previous 2 contests. Any NFL team (Eagles) playing in a non-division game and is coming off 2 consecutive games in which they allowed 17 points or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) with a win percentage of .375 or better who allowed 35 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 16-1 (94.1%) straight up since 2010. Bet on the Eagles plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-19 | Saints v. Bucs +6 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
Saints @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Buccaneers +6.0 (5*) Tampa Bay’s offense has been rolling over their previous 4 outings. During that time, the Bucs have averaged 28.3 points and 420.3 yards per game. Those numbers would be even more impressive if not for the fact that Tampa Bay also committed an alarming 15 turnovers thru that 4-game span. On a positive note, they will be facing a Saints team that despite their 7-2 record has managed to force only 9 turnovers. New Orleans is coming off a shocking 26-9 loss to at the time 1-7 Atlanta in a game they were a 14.0-point home favorite. Tampa Bay is coming off a 30-27 home win over Arizona. Any NFL home team (Buccaneers) that’s coming off a home win by 17 points or less, versus an opponent (Saints) coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more in which they scored 19 points or fewer, resulted in those home teams going an unbeaten 16-0 straight up since 2010. Bet on the Buccaneers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-17-19 | Broncos v. Vikings -10 | 23-27 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Vikings -10.0 (5*) Denver has gone a dismal 0-6 straight up and 1-5 ATS during its last 6 games as a non-division away underdog. The Broncos offense has been anemic over their last 4 contests while averaging 14.7 points scored and 271.5 yards per game. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach in 2014, Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 20-2 ATS as a non-division home favorite. The Vikings offense has been clicking on all cylinders throughout their previous 6 games while averaging 29.7 points scored and 427.3 yards per game. Minnesota is also 4-0 at home this season and won by a decisive average of 16.0 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | 7-41 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Texans @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Texans +4.5 (5*) Baltimore is certainly playing outstanding football right now and especially so offensively. The Ravens have cracked the 30-point barrier during each of its previous 3 games. Baltimore blew out Cincinnati 49-13 their last time out and easily covered as a 10.5-point away favorite. Nonetheless, you may be surprised to know that the Ravens are an abysmal 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or less, and that includes 0-3 straight up when a home favorite of 6.0 or fewer. Houston is coming off an impressive 26-3 win over Jacksonville which improved their season record to 6-3. The Texans 3 losses have all come by 7 points or fewer. Furthermore, Houston is 4-0-1 ATS during their last 5 as a non-division away underdog, and they won 3 of those contests straight up. Their 2 straight up losses in that sequence both came by a narrow 2-point margin. Any NFL away team (Texans) that’s coming off a win by 22 points or less, versus an opponent (Ravens) with a winning record and who covered their previous game by 9.0-points or greater, resulted in those away teams going 8-0 ATS since 2007. Those away teams also won 7 of those 8 games straight up. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-19 | Oklahoma -10 v. Baylor | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Baylor 7:30 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Oklahoma -10.0 (5*) This line makes no sense at all. Undefeated Baylor is a sizable underdog against an Oklahoma team which has allowed 89 combined points over their last 2 games. However, we must keep in mind, 3 of Baylor’s wins this year have come by 3 points or fewer, and then last week they escaped with a 29-23 overtime victory at TCU. Baylor’s defense will have their hands full against an Oklahoma offense that has scored 41 points or more during 8 of its 9 games, and the game that didn’t crack 40 the Sooners were a 34-27 winner over Texas. Furthermore, the Sooners are averaging an eye-popping 587.1 yards of total offense per game. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10 | Top | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Stanford @ Washington State 4:30 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Washington State -10.0 (10*) Washington State enters this week on a 2-game losing streak. Those losses dropped their season record to 4-5 (.444). This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football favorite of 10.0 to 20.5 that owns a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re coming off losses during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 35-5 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Bet on Washington State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa UNDER 45 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa @ Minnesota 4:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) The Iowa Hawkeyes possess one the elite defensive units in college football. They’re allowing a paltry 11.7 points and 288.9 yards per game. Iowa has seen 5 of their 6 conference games go under the total and there was a combined average of 30.6 points scored per contest. Their Hawkeyes are averaging a mere 18.8 points scored and 335.7 yards of total offense in Big 10 action. Minnesota’s defense has improved game by game as this season has progressed. Throughout their previous 5 contests, the Gophers defense is allowing only 13.4 points per game. Minnesota is a run heavy offense. The Gophers have run the ball on 66.7% of their offensive snaps this season. They’ll find the sledding tough against an Iowa defense which has allowed 91 yards or less rushing in 6 of their previous 9 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-19 | Troy v. Texas State +7 | 63-27 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Troy @ Texas State 3:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Texas State +7.0 (5*) Troy is coming off a 49-28 home win over Georgia Southern and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. The win improved their season record to 4-5. Nevertheless, Troy is 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win. They’ll also be facing the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt Conference next when they travel to UL-Lafayette and host Appalachian State. The point being in this looks to be a proverbial flat spot for the road favorite. Texas State is coming off a 30-28 win over South Alabama. Any college football home underdog that’s coming off a conference win by 6 points or fewer, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 15.8 points per game. Bet on Texas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-16-19 | Florida v. Missouri +7 | 23-6 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Florida @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 Play On: Missouri +7.0 (5*) It’s been a tale of 2 seasons for Missouri. They’ve gone a dismal 0-4 on the road but a perfect 5-0 at home. They enter this week on a 3-game losing streak but will receive a needed lift with the return of starting quarterback Kelly Bryant from a hamstring injury. Although the Tigers offense has been inconsistent, the same can’t be said for its defense. Missouri has allowed just 19.1 points and 287.8 yards per game this season. It won’t be easy against #11 Florida, but the Missouri defense will make enough stops, and Bryant will make enough plays to keep this game close throughout. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-14-19 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: North Carolina +4.5 (5*) Pittsburgh is coming off a 20-10 win at Georgia Tech which improved their season record to 6-3. However, all 6 wins have come by 10 points or fewer, and the Panthers are only 3-2 at home. It must be note, the Panthers have committed an alarmingly high 13 turnovers throughout the course of its previous 5 games. North Carolina has gone just 2-2 in their last 4 but it wasn’t any fault of their offense. During that stretch, the Tar Heels offense averaged 32.5 points and 512.3 yards per game. North Carolina is 1-2 on the road with their only 2 losses coming by narrow margins of 24-18 at Wake Forest and 43-41 versus Virginia Tech. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -5.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: 49ers -5.5 (5*) Seattle has been explosive offensively this year, and quarterback Russell Wilson is enjoying an MVP type of season thus far. However, the Seahawks defense is extremely vulnerable and especially so through the air. During their last 5 contests, Seattle has allowed opposing offense to throw for 309.4 yards per game. Additionally, the Seahawks defense is allowing a substantial 4.9 yards per rushing attempt throughout their first 9 games. San Francisco has a balanced offensive that can beat you on the ground and through the air. The 49ers are averaging n extremely impressive 171 yards rushing per game. They also have gone for 219 yards passing per contest and are capable of so much more in that area. On most occasions this season they’ve been protecting comfortable leads by running the ball successfully and chewing up the clock. As a result, they’ve ran the ball on 57.6% of their offensive plays this season. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is a more than capable passer when called upon who’s thrown for more than 300 yards twice this season. Nevertheless, the 49ers defense has been outstanding in 3 home games while allowing only 12.0 points and 216.3 while outscoring opponents by a decisive 23.3 points per contest. Bet on the 49ers for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
Vikings @ Cowboys 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Cowboys -3.0 (10*) You may be surprised to know, Minnesota is 0-9-1 SU&ATS during its last 10 away games when facing a team with a winning record. They’re coming off last Sunday’s 26-23 away favorite 26-23 upset loss at Kansas City. The Vikings will be facing a Cowboys team that won 2 straight to improve its season record to 5-3 (.625), and they’re coming off a 37-18 road win this past Monday night over the New York Giants. Any non-division home favorite of 4.5 or less that’s coming off a division away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .416 or better, versus an opponent (Vikings) coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 18.0-points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests came by a decisive 18.5 points per game. Bet on the Cowboys minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers +5.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Green Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Carolina +5.5 (5*) Despite their stellar 7-2 record and improved defense from a season ago, Green Bay has at time had trouble stopping the run. That could spell a world of trouble on Sunday since they’ll be defending against arguably the best running back in the NFL Christian McCaffery of Carolina. The Panthers are 2-1 in road games this season with their only loss coming at unbeaten San Francisco. Since Kyle Allen took over as starting quarterback in Carolina the Panthers have gone 5-1. Carolina has also gone 3-0 SU&ATS in the last 3 away games as an underdog of 4.5 or more. This game has all the making of a nail bite. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright Carolina win, but let’s not be greedy and take the points afforded to us. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals v. Bucs -4.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Tampa Bay +4.5 (5*) The Bucs are a much better team than their 2-6 record indicates. Unfortunately, they’ve been mistake prone and that evidenced by them committing 18 turnovers through their first 8 games. Nevertheless, they’ll be facing a 3-5-1 Cardinals team which has only forced 7 turnovers to this point. Tampa Bay’s offense has been very productive this season despite continually shooting themselves in the foot. The Bucs are averaging 32.2 points scored per outing through their previous 6 games. They should have little trouble moving the ball on a Cardinals defense which has allowed opponents to rack up 411 yards or more of total offense in 6 of 9 games this season. Bet on Tampa Bay minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State +15 v. Oklahoma | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET Game# 173-174 Play On: Iowa State +15.0 (10*) #9 Oklahoma (7-1) is coming off a shocking 48-41 loss at #23 Kansas State. The Sooners were a mammoth 23.5-point road favorite in that contest against the then unranked Wildcats. Iowa State is coming off a 34-27 upset loss to #23 Oklahoma State in a game they closed as an 11.0-point home favorite. That dropped the Cyclones season record to 5-3 (.625). Their 3 defeats came by just a combined 10 points. This is a team that’s a couple plays away from being either 7-1 or 8-0. Their other 2 losses were 18-17 to #18 Iowa (6-2) and 23-21 at #12 Baylor (8-0). My point being, the Cyclones are much better than their record indicates. Any conference away underdog of 3.0 to 26.5-points that’s coming off a conference double-digit home favorite straight up loss, and they own a win percentage of .333 or better, versus an opponent (Oklahoma) who’s not undefeated, resulted in those away underdogs going 43-14 ATS (75.4%) since 1991. Those underdogs also won 23 of those 57 games straight up. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-09-19 | USC v. Arizona State +2 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
USC @ Arizona State 3:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Arizona State +2.0 (5*) USC is coming off last Saturday’s demoralizing 56-24 home loss to #7 Oregon. That was a game in which the unranked Trojans were just a 3.5-point underdog. The loss dropped their season record dropped to an extremely disappointing 5-4 (.555). It’s no secret that current USC head coach Clay Helton was on the hot seat going into the Oregon game, and that chair became scalding hot following that blowout loss. Arizona State is coming off road losses to Utah and UCLA in each of their previous 2 outings. Despite those defeats, the Sun Devils are still a respectable 5-3 and with a strong finish they can still secure a solid season under 2nd year head coach Herm Edwards. Any home team that’s coming off road losses in each of its previous 2 games played, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or less, and they lost at home by 28 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 29-2 (93.5%) straight up since 2010. The straight up results in this betting angle take on added value since it’s backing the home underdog. Bet on Arizona State for a 5* wager. |
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11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota +7 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Minnesota 12:00 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Minnesota +7.0 (5*) Minnesota routed Rutgers 42-7 and Maryland 52-10 during its previous 2 games. That improved the Golden Gophers season record to 8-0 which includes 5 straight ATS covers. Despite that undefeated record, Minnesota is only ranked #17 in the last college football playoff rankings. Furthermore, there are six 2-loss team that are ranked ahead of them. Talk about motivation heading into this matchup against #4 Penn State. Not to mention head coach P.J. Fleck rewarded with a contract extension this week. This game will be much closer than many so-called experts may thing, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and will gladly accept the points. Any college football home underdog of 4.5 to 10.0 after game 6 of their season that’s coming off 2 wins while scoring 42 points or more on each occasion, and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, results in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1988. They also won 10 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders +2 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Raiders +2.0 (5*) The Chargers are coming off an uplifting 26-11 win over Green Bay and did so as a 4.0-point home underdog. Los Angeles defense stymied the high-powered Packers offense by holding them to only 184 yards. However, during their previous 2 road outings the Chargers defense allowed 388 yards to Chicago and 403 yards at Tennessee. Those 2 teams will never be mistaken for offensive juggernauts. Furthermore, they’ll be opposed tonight by a Raiders offense that’s averaged 427.5 yards per game over its previous 4 contests. Oakland is coming off last Sunday’s 31-24 home win over Detroit which evened their season record at 4-4. Oakland quarterback Derek Carr has quietly put together a Pro Bowl type campaign during the season’s first half. Through 8 games, Carr has completed 71.2% of his pass attempts for 13 touchdowns against only 4 interceptions. Any NFL home team (Raiders) playing after Game 4 of their season that’s coming off a win by 23 points or fewer, and they possess a win percentage of .500 or better, versus an opponent (Chargers) who’s coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 45-6 (88.2%) straight up since 1985. The straight up results in this NFL betting angle takes on added value considering it supports today’s underdog. Bet on the Raiders for a 5* wager. |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2 | 17-7 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Temple @ South Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: South Florida +2.0 (5*) This pick speaks to the mindset of each team. Granted that Temple has played a tough 3-game stretch versus #21 Memphis (8-1), #25 SMU (8-1), and a Central Florida (7-2) team that’s right on the periphery of Top 25 status. However, it was the manner of which they lost their last 2 games versus SMU 45-21 and Central Florida 63-21 that’s alarming. The Owls defense allowed a combined 1269 yards in those defeats. Furthermore, in their loss to Central Florida which occurred in their previous game, television cameras caught some discord and finger pointing transpiring on the Temple sidelines. This is also a Temple team that was blown out 38-22 at Buffalo earlier this season in a game they were a 14.0-point chalk. South Florida has garnered momentum of late by going 3-1 over their last 4 games. The Bulls lone less during that span came at #24 Navy. Throughout that same stretch, South Florida has averaged 263.3 yards rushing per game at a clip of 6.4 yards per attempt. They’ll be facing a Temple defense tonight which has allowed 583 yards rushing over its last 2 games. Any college football home team that’s facing an opponent playing after game 8 of its season, and that opponent is coming off a home loss by 35 points or greater, and that opponent has a win percentage of .363 or better, resulted in those home teams going 34-1 (97.1%) straight up since 2011. Bet on South Florida for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-19 | Ball State +6.5 v. Western Michigan | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Ball State @ Western Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Ball State +6.5 (5*) Western Michigan is coming off a 49-10 home win over a hapless Bowling Green team. Dating back to last season, Western Michigan is 0-6 SU&ATS following a win which includes 0-4 SU&ATS in 2019. The Broncos lost those 6 contests by a decisive 20.8 points per game. Furthermore, Western Michigan is 0-7 SU&ATS during its last 7 after playing at home in their previous game. On the other side of the table is Ball State who’s coming off a disappointing 34-21 loss to Ohio which snapped a 3-game win streak. I look for the Cardinals to bounce back with a strong effort today. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo OVER 62 | 33-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Toledo is averaging 35.2 points scored and 491.2 yards of total offense per game at home this season. The Rockets defense has been poor in 4 MAC contests while allowing 32.6 points and 469.7 yards per game. That was especially apparent in their last 2 conference games in which they allowed 43.0 points and 517.0 yards per contest. You may be surprised to know that Kent State has averaged 35.5 points scored and 486.0 yards of total offense in their 4 conference games. However, their defense has been extremely shaky in 5 road contests where they’ve allowed 36.2 points and 495.2 yards per game. I like this one to be a very entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Giants | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Giants 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Cowboys -6.5 (5*) The only team that’s going to prevent Dallas from covering this game is Dallas themselves. Providing the Cowboys don’t lose the turnover battle by a wide margin they should get the ATS win in this contest. That seems highly unlikely to occur since the Giants have committed 19 turnovers in their first 8 games and are a -9 this season in that department. Dallas is 13-2 SU&ATS in NFC East Division games since 2017 and that includes 10-0 ATS (+13.2 PPG) when they’re a favorite of 2.0 or more. Dallas is also 5-0 SU&ATS (+12.4 PPG) in their last 5 versus the Giants. During their previous 3 versus the Giants, Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has averaged 351.0 yards per game passing while throwing for 9 touchdowns against 0 interceptions. The Giants enter this game on a current 4-game losing streak. Sometimes it’s best to keep things simple and not overthink an otherwise obvious situation. This in my professional opinion is one of those times. Bet on the Cowboys minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Patriots @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Ravens +3.5 (10*) New England has started the season 8-0 and are deserving of all the accolades that they’re receiving. However, they’ve only defeated 1 team (Buffalo 5-2) that currently has a winning record. Their other 7 wins have come against opponents that presently have a combined record of 9-35 (.205). Additionally, during that 16-10 win at Buffalo, the Patriots were outgained by 151 yards and scored only 9 offensive points. The difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown by New England, and 4 Buffalo turnovers. By the way, Baltimore is averaging just 1 turnover committed per contest, and have also not had an offensive turnover in 4 of its 7 games. Since John Harbaugh has taken over as head coach of Baltimore in 2008, the Ravens have gone 7-0 straight up in regular season action following a bye week and when facing a team with a win percentage of .400 or better. They won those contests by a decisive margin of 13.4 points per game. Bet on the Ravens plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Buccaneers +6.0 (5*) Seattle’s defense can be exposed when facing a team with a better than average passing game. The Seahawks have allowed 395 yards or more passing during 3 of its 8 games this season. Conversely, Tampa Bay has thrown for 365 yards or more in 3 of its last 5 games. Since 2012, Seattle has enjoyed one of the best home field advantages in the NFL while going 51-14. However, it must be noted, the Seahawks are just 9-8 during its last 17 home games. If the Bucs can refrain from beating themselves with turnovers, they’ll have a realistic chance of pulling the upset. Nevertheless, I’m going to graciously take the points and not be greedy. Bet on the Buccaneers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +2 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Texans vs. Jaguars 9:30 AM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Jaguars +2.0 (5*) Jacksonville has played abroad in every season since 2013. This is clearly a franchise that’s been accustomed to the preparation needed to be successful when making the long trek abroad. As a matter of facts, the Jags are 3-1 SU&ATS during the past 4 seasons in such games. Conversely, Houston has traveled abroad just once, and in that 2016 game they were defeated by Oakland 27-20. They’ll also be carrying the momentum attained from a current 2-game win streak after victories over Cincinnati 27-17 and the Jets 29-15. Those triumphs improved their record to 4-4 and within 1.0 game of Houston 5-3 (.625) for the AFC South Division lead. By the way, Houston barely escaped with a 27-24 comeback win over Oakland in a game they were a 7.0-point home favorite. Any NFL team (Jaguars) playing in regular season action that scored 25 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Texans) that’s coming off a win by 3 points or fewer and has a win percentage of .647 or less, resulted in those teams going 43-11 (79.6%) straight up since 2010. Considering this NFL betting angle supports the underdog, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on the Jaguars plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-02-19 | Colorado v. UCLA -6.5 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
Colorado @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: UCLA -6.5 (5*) These are 2 teams headed in opposite directions. UCLA opened the season by losing their first 3 games to #17 Cincinnati, #25 San Diego State, and #10 Oklahoma. They’ve since gone 3-2 which included 2-0 SU&ATS during their previous 2 contests. The UCLA offense has averaged 35.7 points and 446.7 yards per game during its previous 3 contests. They will be facing a Colorado defense which has allowed 39.0 points and 499.8 yards per game over its last 4 contests. Those terrible defensive numbers are a direct result of the Buffaloes 0-4 record during that time. Bet on UCLA minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC +4.5 | 56-24 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
Oregon @ USC 8:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: USC +4.5 (5*) Oregon lost their season opener to Auburn and since that time has won 7 straight games. However, they looked very beatable during their last 2 outing by barely squeaking by Washington 35-31 and Washington State 37-35. Prior to those narrow wins, the Ducks defense had allowed 7 points or fewer in 5 consecutive games. Obviously, Washington and Washington State identified some soft spots that went previously undetected in Oregon’s defense. USC is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games over Arizona and Colorado. The Trojans offense was instrumental in both victories by averaging 38.0 points and 483.0 yards per game. Any home underdog of 6.0 or less (USC) that’s coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Oregon) with a win percentage of .857 or better, and they’re coming off 4 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2015. The home underdogs also won 12 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-02-19 | Utah -3 v. Washington | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Utah @ Washington 4:00 PM ET Game# 391-392 Play On: Utah -3.0 (5*) The Washington Huskies had lofty expectations heading into this season. They lost 35-31 at home to Oregon in their previous game which dropped its season record to a disappointing 5-3. The Huskies other 2 losses occurred as a double-digit favorite to both California and Stanford. During their last 4 games Washington’s run defense has allowed opponents to rush for 176.5 yards per contest and average 4.6 yards per attempt. That certainly shapes up to be problematic when facing a Utah offense that’s averaging 219 yards rushing per game and 5.1 yards per run attempt. The 7-1 (.875) Utes have quietly flown under the radar as potentially reaching the college football 4-team playoffs. Utah has gone an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS since suffering their lone defeat at USC. During their current 4 game win streak the Utes defense has allowed a mere 5.9 points and 187.3 yards per game. Any conference favorite of 19.0 or less 9Utah) that’s coming off conference home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent (Washington) coming off a conference home loss, resulted in those conference favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1991. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 21.4 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia -5.5 v. Florida | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Georgia -5.5 (10*) Florida’s defense looked terrific through their first 6 games. Nevertheless, that hasn’t been the case over their previous 2 outing in which they allowed 34.5 points and 449.0 yards per game. During those 2 contests they permitted South Carolina to rush for 217 yards and LSU amassed 218 on the ground. The Gamecocks and Tigers also combined to average a huge 6.5 yards per rushing attempt. That’s troublesome when considering Georgia has averaged 237 yards per game rushing and a massive 6.1 yards per running attempt. This is a perfect opportunity for Georgia to forge themselves right back into to the 4-team college football playoffs discussion. Despite being the favorite in this contest, they’re facing a higher ranked opponent (Florida). Nothing would elevate their status more than a convincing win which I truly believe they’re primed to do. The Georgia defense has been dominant thus far in 2019, allowing a mere 10.6 points and 266.7 yards per game. They suffered a shocking 20-17 home loss to South Carolina in a game they closed as a 20.5-point favorite. That’s been their only blemish of the season. The Bulldogs outgained South Carolina in that defeat by a decisive 468-297 yards. Unfortunately, they committed 4 turnovers in that setback while failing to create any of its own. Georgia dominated Florida in the last 2 head to head meeting by outscoring them 78-24 and outgaining the Gators 822-383. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-31-19 | Georgia Southern +15.5 v. Appalachian State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State 8:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Georgia Southern +15.5 (5*) Georgia Southern can be a very frustrating team to play against and even for opponents who are far superior on paper. They run a triple option offensive rushing attack, and on most occasions execute it flawlessly. When doing so, they limit opponent’s offensive possessions and in turn cover up some of their defensive deficiencies. That’s especially been the case during their current 3-game win streak. Throughout that time span they’ve averaged 340.0 yards rushing per game. Conversely, their defense has allowed just 17.0 points and 244.7 yards per game. Georgia Southern will certainly have their hands full with #20 Appalachian State (7-0) on the road. However, earlier this season they played at #13 Minnesota (8-0) and barely missed upsetting them as a 17.0-point underdog while losing 35-32. Bet on Georgia Southern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +4.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
Packers @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Chiefs +4.5 (10*) The Chiefs are still claiming that Patrick Mahomes has a chance to play in this game. However, that seems unlikely to me considering he suffered a dislocated knee cap a little over a week ago. However, by chance that does occur, then we have a tremendous underdog betting value because this line will be moved considerably as a result. But I handicapped this game and decided on this pick based on veteran backup quarterback Matt Moore being under center. Moore will still be surrounded by plenty of offensively skilled players capable of stepping it up for him. Secondly, look for the Chiefs to make a concerted effort to run the ball against a Green Bay defense that’s given up 142.7 yards per game on the ground throughout their previous 6 contests. Kansas City is coming off a Thursday night 30-6 blowout win at Denver. This will be the first time since 2014 that Kansas City will be a home underdog and that itself should provide plenty of motivation. Furthermore, since 2016, Kansas City is 8-0 ATS and 7-1 straight up in its last 8 games as an underdog when facing an opponent with a win percentage of less than .900. Green Bay is 6-1 which is good for a win percentage of .857. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .583 or better (Chiefs) that’s coming off an away win by 15 points or more, and they allowed 24 points or fewer in that win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 55-3 (94.7%) straight up since 1984. The straight up results take on added significance since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Chiefs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Texans 4:25 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Raiders +7.0 (5*) The Raiders offense has been efficient over their last 3 contests while averaging 26.3 points scored and 419 yards gained per game. They’ll be facing a Texans defense which has allowed 28.7 points and 355.0 yards per game over their last 3 contests. Oakland will be able to match Houston’s explosive offensive attack in a game which should be highly entertaining to watch. With all that being considered, a back door cover isn’t out of the realm of possibility, but I like the underdog Raiders to cover in a more conventional fashion. Oakland is coming off a 42-24 loss at Green Bay last week and failed to cover as a 6.0-point underdog. The Houston Texans are coming off last Sunday’s 30-23 loss at Indianapolis. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting angle that contains a sizable sample size and extended time frame. Any NFL away underdog of 1.5 to 14.0 (Raiders) that’s coming off a away underdog ATS loss in which they lost straight up by 14 or more, and they allowed 35 to 45 points in that previous game, versus an opponent (Texans) coming off a road loss by 21 or less, resulted in the road underdog going 32-5 ATS (86.4%) since 1983. Those away underdogs also went 24-12-1 straight up in those contests. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers OVER 40.5 | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show | |
Panthers @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Over 40.5 (5*) Carolina’s defense has looked vulnerable over their last games while allowing 507 yards against Jacksonville and 407 to Tampa Bay. Tampa’s offensive numbers should’ve been much better if not for the fact that Carolina’s defense was a beneficiary of 7 Bucs turnovers. Since 2014, Carolina has gone 18-7 over the total as an away underdog, and all came under the watchful eye of current head coach Ron Rivera, and that includes 13-3 over when facing non-division opponents. Carolina started the season 0-2 but since then has won 4 games in a row. The 49ers enter this week with a perfect 6-0 record. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any NFL team (Panthers) with a total of 37.5 to 42.0 that’s coming off 4 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent (49ers) coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those games going 16-1 (94.1%) over the total since 1991. Those 17 contests averaged a combined 48.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
Giants @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Giants +7.0 (5*) After starting the season 2-0-1 the Lions have lost 3 straight. During this current 3-game losing streak they’re allowing 33.0 points and 462.7 yards per game. The Giants are coming off a 27-21 loss to Arizona as a home favorite of 3.5. That defeat dropped their season record to 2-5 (.285). Any NFL road underdog of 3.5 to 9.0 (Giants) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, coming off a non-division SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 17.5 or less, versus an opponent (Lions) with a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those road underdogs going 25-6 ATS (80.6%) since 1980. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-27-19 | Bucs v. Titans -1 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Titans -1.0 (5*) Tampa Bay is a dismal 4-17 during its last 21 away games, and that includes 1-16 if their opponent has a win percentage of .200 to .750. By the Way, Tennessee is 3-4 (.428). Conversely, Tennessee is 17-6 in its previous 23 home games. The Titans are also 10-0 straight up and 7-2 ATS in their previous 10 as a home favorite versus opponents with a win percentage of .333 to .666, and that includes 4-0-1 ATS as a favorite of 4.0 or less. Tampa Bay is coming off losses of 31-24 versus New Orleans and 37-26 to Carolina during their previous 2 games. Their most recent loss to Carolina saw them commit an alarming 7 turnovers in that contest. Additionally, Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston continues to be error prone. He’s thrown 10 interceptions thus far during the Bucs 2-4 (.333) start to the season. Replacing Marcus Mariota with Ryan Tannehill paid immediate dividends last week. Not only did they defeat the Chargers 23-20, but Tannehill was a brilliant 24-30 passing for 306 yards. It was the first time this season that Tennessee has thrown for 300 yards with their previous high being 249 in a 20-7 loss at Jacksonville. Despite their uninspiring 3-4 record, Tennessee doesn’t beat themselves which is evidenced by them committing only 5 turnovers thus far, and 3 of those occurred in 1 game. Bet on Tennessee minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Washington State v. Oregon -14 | 35-37 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Oregon 10:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Oregon -14.0 (5*) Washington State is 0-2 SU&ATS in conference away games thus far. They allowed 38.0 points and 529.0 yards per game in those losses. They will be facing an Oregon offense averaging 43.5 points and 528.5 yards per game at home this season. Oregon will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Washington State during each of the previous 4 seasons. The Ducks have won 6 in a row since their season opening 27-21 loss to #9 Auburn. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 7 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 games. Furthermore, they’re 4-0 at home while allowing 4.7 points and 247.2 yards per game. Bet on Oregon minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Missouri -10 v. Kentucky | 7-29 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
Missouri @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Missouri -10.0 (5*) Kentucky is an uninspiring 1-4 in SEC action thus far in 2019. During those 5 SEC contests their offense has been anemic while averaging just 13.0 points per game. Missouri is coming off last Saturday’s stunning 21-14 loss at Vanderbilt in a game in which they closed as a 21.5-point favorite. That defeat snapped a 5-game win streak. Their only other loss of the 2019 season came in similar fashion when they fell 37-31 at Wyoming as a 16.5-point favorite. The Tigers bounced back from that defeat by hammering West Virginia 38-7 in their next game and covered as a 13.0-point favorite. Additionally, since 2016, Missouri is 5-0 ATS as a favorite following a straight up loss and won by a massive 45.4 points per game. Any college football road favorite of 3.5 or greater possessing a win percentage of .600 or better and is coming off an away loss by 7 points or more as a double-digit favorite, resulted in those road favorite going 11-0 ATS since 1983. The won those 11 contests by 22.1 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Central Florida v. Temple +11.5 | 63-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 0 m | Show | |
Central Florida @ Temple 7:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Temple +11.5 (5*) UCF is coming off a closer than expected 41-28 home win over an East Carolina team which has gone 1-4 versus FBS competition. The Golden Knights didn’t come close to covering as a mammoth 34.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 5-2, and both losses came on the road versus Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. Temple is coming off last week’s 45-21 loss at #16 SMU and failed to cover as a 10.0-point underdog. The loss dropped the Owls record to a still very respectable 5-2 (.714). As a matter of fact, they’re an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS at home which included wins over then nationally ranked teams in Maryland and Memphis. Any conference home underdog of 7.0 to 11.5 points that possesses a win percentage of .700 or better, and is coming a off a conference away underdog ATS loss, versus an opponent coming off a win by 40 points or fewer and they own a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1981. The home underdogs also won 10 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Temple plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Virginia -3 v. Louisville | 21-28 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Louisville 3:30 PM ET Game# 191-192 Play On: Virginia -3.0 (5*) The Louisville defense has been horrible over their last 4 games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 44.5 points and 576.0 yards per game. The Cardinals are coming off a 45-10 home loss to Clemson. Since 10/13/2018, Louisville is 0-6 SU&ATS (-38.3 PPG) following a game in which they allowed 42 points or greater. Prior to the Clemson loss they upset then undefeated Wake Forest 62-59. Virginias’s defense has been stout over their previous 2 games in allowing 17 points to Miami and 14 in a blowout win over Duke last Saturday. The Cavaliers are one of the best teams in the country that’s currently not ranked in the Top 25. Their opponent (Louisville) on Saturday has a long way to go yet before even entering that conversation. Any road favorite of 2.5 to 20.0 that’s coming off a straight up win, and they allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent which has allowed 37 points or greater during each of its last 2 contests, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests was a substantial 26.1 points per game. |
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10-26-19 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -10.5 | 34-27 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET Game# 169-170 Play On: Iowa State -10.5 (5*) Oklahoma State is coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Texas Tech and Baylor. The Cowboys allowed 45 points in each of those contests and those opposing offenses racked up a combined 1122 yards gained. They’ll be facing an Iowa State team that’s averaging 37.1 points and 481.1 yards per game. Furthermore, Oklahoma State is an awful -9 turnover differential thus far in 2019. They’ve also committed an alarming 16 turnovers during their last 6 games. Iowa State enters this week with a 5-2 record. However, the Cyclones are 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 contests while winning by a decisive margin of 19.7 points per game. Their only 2 losses came against #20 Iowa 18-17 and #14 Baylor 23-21. The Cyclones are basically a couple of plays away from being a 7-0 team and being in the college football playoffs discussion. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | New Mexico State v. Georgia Southern -14 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
New Mexico State @ Georgia Southern 3:00 PM ET Game# 167-168 Play On: Georgia Southern -14.0 (5*) New Mexico States will enter this game with a winless 0-7 record. The Aggies are allowing 245 yards rushing per game and a massive 6.1 yards per attempt. That’s a huge concern when considering they’ll be facing a Georgia Southern triple option offensive attack which has rushed for 307 and 310 yards during their previous 2 games. Both those contests resulted in Georgia Southern wins which evened their season record at 3-3. Another telling factor is each team’s turnover differential. Georgia Southern is a respectable +2 for the season while New Mexico State is at a horrendous -15. New Mexico State has allowed 42 points or more in all 4 of its away games, and that includes an average of 54.2 points and 576.2 yards per contest. Any home favorite of 11.5 to 19.5 (Georgia Southern), versus an opponent (New Mexico State) coming off 6 or more losses in a row, and they (New Mexico State) possess a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2016. The average margin of victory was a substantial 32.8 points per game. Bet on Georgia Southern minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Under 50.5 (10*) Wisconsin was obviously caught looking ahead to their highly anticipated showdown with Ohio State during last week’s shocking 24-23 upset loss at Illinois as a 29.0-point favorite. Prior to that contest, the Badgers defense was held opponents to 15 points or fewer in each of its first 6 and included pitching 4 shutouts. The 315 yards they allowed in the loss to Illinois was the first time all season that a Badgers opponent eclipsed the 300-yard mark. Ohio State enters with a perfect 7-0 record. Additionally, during their last 6 outings the Buckeyes defense has allowed 5.9 points and not team has scored more than 10 against them throughout that stretch. Furthermore, Ohio State has held opponents to 285 yards or less of total offense in all their first 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-26-19 | Miami-FL +5 v. Pittsburgh | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami @ Pittsburgh 12:00 ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*) Miami is coming off a surprising 28-21 loss to Georgia Tech last Saturday in a game they closed as an 18.5-point home favorite. The loss dropped its season record to 3-4 (.528) and they’re also an uninspiring 10-12 over their last 22 games. Pittsburgh is coming off a 27-20 win at Syracuse in their last time out which improved their record to 5-2 (714). The combination of this data sets up a never lost college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference away underdog of 4.0 to 10.0-points (Miami) that’s coming off a home double-digit favorite straight up loss, and they possess and win percentage of .300 or better, and they won 15 or fewer of their last 22 games, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that’s won 19 or less of its last 22 contests while also having a current win percentage of .77 or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1992. The underdogs also won 9 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings -16 | 9-19 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
Redskins @ Vikings 8:20 ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Vikings -16.0 (5*) The Redskins are coming off last Sunday’s 9-0 home loss to San Francisco. During its last 4 contests, Washington’s offense is averaging a mere 6.7 points and 215.3 yards per game. That’s not good news since they’ll be facing a Vikings team which is allowing 15.3 points per game through 3 home contests this season. Washington is 1-6 with its only victory coming by 1 against 0-6 Miami. Minnesota is 3-0 SU&ATS at home this season with an average victory margin of 18.0 points per game. The Vikings offense has been on fire over its last 3 outings while averaging a robust 32.7 points and 480.0 yards per game. Minnesota is coming off last Sunday’s 42-30 win at Detroit that improved their season record to 5-2. Any NFL Thursday home favorite of 10.5 or greater that’s playing after Game 4 of their season, and their facing an opponent (Washington) that’s coming off a non-division game, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests was 20.8 points per game. Bet on the Vikings minus the large number for a 5* wager. |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +11.5 | 33-0 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Jets 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Jets +11.5 (5*) You may be surprised to know that New England is a dismal 0-5 ATS since the start of last season as an away favorite of 2.0 to 12.0. The Patriots also lost 4 of those 5 games straight up and scored 16 points or fewer on all but 1 of those occasions. The Jets defeated Dallas last Sunday 24-22 and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. It was their first win of the season and its current record is 1-4. Last Sunday also marked the return of starting quarterback Sam Darnold who had been sidelined since Week 2 while recovering from a bout with mononucleosis. All Darnold did was go 23-32 for 326 yards passing. During his 3-game absence, Jets quarterbacks were a combined 50-79 for a pathetic 299 yards passing. The Jets will also welcome the return of star linebacker C.J. Mosely who went down with an injury in the season opener against Buffalo. The Jets defensive front 7 remains a formidable one and that’s evidenced by them allowing opponents to rush for just 87.8 yards per game throughout their previous 4 contests, and that includes holding New England to 68 yards on 27 attempts during a 30-14 loss at Foxboro in Week 3. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys -2.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Cowboys 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Cowboys -2.5 (5*) These teams are tied for first in the NFC East standings with underachieving 3-3 records. I say underachieving because both teams are significantly better on paper than their current records indicate. Despite the ebbs and flows that Dallas head coach Jason Garret has sustained in Dallas, there’s something he can hang his hat on. Since 2017, Dallas is an extremely profitable 12-2 SU&ATS in NFC East Division games, and that includes 9-0 ATS when they were a favorite of 2.0 or more. Conversely, Philadelphia is 0-3 SU&ATS since 2016 as a division away underdog. Ironically enough, 2 of those 3 losses were handed to them by Dallas. Bet on the Cowboys minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-19 | Ravens v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
Ravens @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Seahawks -3.0 (10*) Baltimore enters this week atop the AFC North with a 4-2 record. However, they’ve faced just 1 team in their first 6 games that currently has a winning record. Seattle has maintained one of the strongest home field advantages in the NFL during the past 8 seasons. Specifically, the Seahawks are 51-13 at home since 2012, and that includes 35-6 when facing non-division opponents. That’s something I just can’t ignore when considering the small point-spread they’re being asked to cover in this contest. Furthermore, Seattle is 9.0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of between 1.5 and 5.0 since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests was a substantial 20.3 points per game. Seattle is coming off a 32-28 win at Cleveland last Sunday and it improved their season record to 5-1 (.833). Their only loss came to the 5-1 New Orleans Saints. Any NFL home favorite of 2.5 to 7.0 with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re coming off a game in which they scored 28 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .818, and they’re playing after Game 6 of its season, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous average of 20.3 points per game. Vet on the Seahawks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-19 | Chargers v. Titans -1 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Titans 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Titans -1.0 (5*) This is a battle of 2 struggling teams and is a matter of taking the lesser of 2 evils. The Chargers are coming off home favorite straight up losses in each of their previous 2 games. Those defeats came at the hands of Pittsburgh and Denver who are a combined 4-9 this season. It’s not just those losses that has totally influenced my decision to bet against them in this game, it’s how listless and uninspired they looked while doing so. Furthermore, they’re 1-4 in their last 5 games with their only win coming against winless Miami who’s unequivocally the worst team in the NFL. Tennessee has made a much-needed change at quarterback in opting to bench Marcus Mariotta with Ryan Tannehill. After all, they scored a mere 7 points combined in their last 2 games. Nevertheless, Tennessee’s defense has been terrific during their 2-4 start while allowing just a scant 15.3 points per game. The Titans will also be out to revenge last season’s 20-19 loss to the Chargers in a game played in London, that ultimately cost them a playoff berth. Any NFL team who’s point-spread is +4.0 to -4.0 (Titans) that scored 9 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .200 to .375, resulted in those teams going 8-0 SU&ATS since 2010. They won those 8 contests by a decisive average of 16.9 points per game. Bet on the Titans minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Texans @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Colts (Pick) (5*) Indianapolis is coming off an impressive 19-13 win at Kansas City in a game in which they were a large 10.5-point underdog. The Colts are 12-3 in their last 15 regular season games. During that stretch, they’ve also gone 7-0 straight up and 6-0-1 ATS when their point-spread has been +4.0 to -4.0. The Colts are also 4-1 SU&ATS in their last 5 games played against their AFC South rival Houston Texans, and that includes a 21-7 win at Houston during last season’s playoffs. Any NFL home team following a bye week that’s +6.0 to -6.0 and is coming off an away underdog of 3.5 or greater straight up win, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2005. Those 14 home teams won by an average of 8.2 points per game. Bet on the Colts for a 5* wager. |
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10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers OVER 46.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Over 46.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off last week’s thrilling 23-22 come from behind home win over Detroit. There’s been a recent team trend regarding Green Bay which has seems to be anything but coincidental in recent seasons. The Packers are 22-1 (95.7%) over the total when the number is 56.0 or less, and they played their previous game at home. Conversely, Oakland has gone over the total in each of their previous 5 road games when the number is 51.0 or less. Additionally, the Raiders are coming off a 24-21 win over Chicago in their previous game, and they managed to accumulate 398 yards of total offense against one the most talented defensive units in the NFL. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah -13 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Utah 6:00 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: Utah -13.0 (10*) This double-digit point-spread caught my eye immediately. Especially when considered each team owns identical 5-1 (.833) records, and both are nationally ranked with Utah coming in as #13 and ASU #17. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the sizable underdog in this contest. Upon further examination, I’m not falling for the trap. Utah has been terrific defensively this season. They’re allowing a mere 13.2 points and 271.5 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has also been impressive at time during this 2019 campaign. However, they’ve allowed 30 or more points in half their games and permitted their opponents to amass 404 yards or more of total offense in 4 of its last 5 games. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t allowed any of their 6 opponents to eclipse 400 yards, and the Utes have racked up 457 yards or more of offense in each of their previous 4 games. Utah is coming off a 52-7 win at Oregon State and easily covered as a 14.0-point favorite. Arizona State defeated Washington State 38-34 in their previous game and covered as a 1.0-point home underdog. This created a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 8.0 to 31.0 with a win percentage of .900 or less (Utah), coming of conference favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 or more and scored 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Arizona State) with a win percentage of .636 or better who’s coming off a conference straight up underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those contests was 31.5 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-19-19 | Oregon v. Washington +3 | 35-31 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Washington 3:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Not a lot of people projected Washington to have 2 losses at this early juncture of the season. However, they were upset as double-digit favorite by both California and Stanford. They’ll be an unfamiliar role has a home underdog against #12 Oregon. It will mark the first time that the Huskies have been a home dog since 2015. Furthermore, Washington has gone an inspiring 21-2 (.913) straight up at home since 2016. Additionally, the Huskies will be out to revenge last season’s 30-27 loss at Oregon. Washington is coming off last Saturday 51-27 PAC-12 win at Arizona. The Huskies easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 5-2 (.714). Conversely, Oregon is coming off a 45-3 conference win over Colorado. The Ducks enter this week with a 5-1 (.833) record. The combination of this data sets up a never lost college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team (Washington) playing in a conference game that has a point-spread of +7.5 to -7.5, and they’re coming off a conference win by 20 points or greater while also covering by 31.0 or fewer, and they possess a win percentage of .454 or better, versus an opponent (Oregon) coming off a conference win by 21 points or more and they own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home team within those point-spread parameters going 17-0 SU&ATS since 2014. The home team won those 17 contests by an average of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-19 | Temple v. SMU -8.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Temple @ SMU 3:30 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: SMU -8.5 (5*) Temple owns wins this season over then #17 Maryland and #23 Memphis. However, both victories came at home, and neither of those opponents are currently ranked in the Top 25. It also must be noted, the Owls suffered a 38-22 loss at Buffalo, and that’s a Bulls team which is presently 1-4 against FBS teams, and obviously their only win came at the expense of Temple. The Owls upset Memphis 30-28 last Saturday as a 4.0-point home underdog. They hung on for that win after almost squandering a 16-0 lead. SMU is currently ranked #23 and sports a perfect 6-0 record. Nonetheless, they received a huge scare in their previous game played 2 weeks ago when they defeated Tulsa 43-37 in 3 overtimes. The Mustangs failed to cover as an 11.5-point home favorite, but stormed back from a 21- points 4th quarter deficit to tie the contest and send it to overtime. That was their first non-cover of the season and broke a 5-game ATS win streak to start 2019. Any college football home favorite of 4.5 or more that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite by 22.0 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Temple) who’s coming off a SU&ATS win that they covered by 3.0 points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unscathed 14-0 ATS since 2008. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive 25.4 points per game. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-19 | Kent State +8 v. Ohio | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Ohio 12:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Kent State +7.5 (5*) Ohio was one of the preseason favorites to win the MAC. But they haven’t come close to living up to those expectations up to this point. They’re a dismal 1-4 straight up versus FBS opponents and their only win came in overtime at Buffalo 21-20. The Bobcats are also coming off a heartbreaking 39-36 home loss to Northern Illinois during their previous game. Kent State is coming off last week’s 26-3 win at Akron evened their season record at 3-3. Their only 3 defeats came at the hands of #17 Arizona State, #11 Auburn, and #6 Wisconsin. This is a game which will receive very little attention from the public or sportsbooks worldwide. However, I see this as a golden opportunity to take advantage of an underdog with ample betting value. I wouldn’t be shocked to get an outright win in this game but won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points. Bet on Kent State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Syracuse +3.5 (5*) Pittsburgh is coming off an away underdog straight up 33-30 upset win at Duke in their previous game. The Panthers were beneficiaries of 6 Duke turnover that heavily contributed to that win. Now they’re a road favorite against a Syracuse team that entered the season with high expectations but has vastly underachieved. Syracuse is off top a disappointing 3-3 start after an excellent 2018 campaign which saw them going 10-3. The biggest disappointment has been an experienced defense which was torched by Maryland, Clemson, and even Western Michigan for that matter. This looks to be a perfect spot for atonement for the Orange on Friday night at home and in front of a national television audience. They will be out revenge 1 of their 3 losses last season which came in overtime at Pittsburgh. Any college football home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s facing an opponent coming off a week of rest, and they were an away underdog straight up winner in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those 5 home underdogs was a decisive 18.2 points per game. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 60 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Broncos 8:20 ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Broncos +3.5 (5*) Kansas City has lost each of their previous 2 games as home favorites to Indianapolis and Houston. The Chiefs will enter this week with a 4-2 (.666) season record. The defense continues to be an issue for Kansas City, evidenced by them allowing 428 yards or more in 4 of their 6 games this season. What’s especially alarming has been that opponents have ran for 180 yards or more in 4 straight games against Kansas City and averaged 5.0 yards per rushing attempt. That’s certainly a formula for dominating time of possession, which in turn limits Kansas City’s offensive possessions. That’s particularly been evident in their current 2-game losing streak in which the offense averaged just 18.5 points and 334.5 yards per contest. Compare that to the Chiefs first 4 games this season when they averaged 33.8 points in addition to 474.0 yards per contest, and it’s surely a genuine concern. Denver has won 2 straight and improved to 2-4 (.333) in 2019. The Broncos turned in a dominant defensive performance during last Sunday’s 16-0 home win over Tennessee. As a matter of fact, during their last 2 games, Denver’s defense is allowing 6.5 points and 232.0 yards per game while also forcing a combined 6 turnovers. Any NFL home underdog of 4.5 or less (Broncos) that scored 10 points or more in their previous game, and has a win percentage of .200 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off straight up favorite losses during each of its last 2 contests, and they possess a win percentage of .700 or worse, resulted in those home underdogs going 21-0 ATS since 1980. The home underdogs also won 19 of those 21 games straight up. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy -14.5 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Troy 8:00 ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Troy -14.5 (5*) South Alabama has gone 0-5 this season versus FBS teams. As a matter of fact, they enter this week on a 4-game losing streak during which their offense was anemic. During that stretch, they averaged only 10.7 points scored and 277.5 yards of total offense per game. Troy is coming off losses in each of its last 2 games against Arkansas State 50-43 and 42-10 during their previous out at Missouri. Those 2 defeats dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). With an exception of their loss at Missouri, Troy has averaged 40.7 points scored and 487.5 yards of total offense per game in its other 4 contests. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5 with a win percentage of .400 to .490 (Troy), coming off straight up losses in each of their previous 2 contests, and they scored 6 points or more during their last outing, versus an opponent (South Alabama) who scored 6 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 26-1 ATS (96.2%) since 2010. Bet on Troy minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-14-19 | Lions +4 v. Packers | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Lions @ Packers 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Lions +4.0 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a 34-24 upset win at Dallas last week. However, the Packers defense allowed 563 yards in that win. Green Bay was a +3 in the turnover department which directly led to the win despite their defensive ineptness. It’s also worth noting, Green Bay’s defense has surrendered 122 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games, and opponents have averaged 161.3 yards per contest during that stretch. They will be facing a Lions team that ran for a season high 186 yards against Kansas City in their previous game. Detroit is coming off a heartbreaking last minute 34-30 home loss to Kansas City in their previous game. The Lions are coming off their bye week and get an additional day rest with this being a Monday night game. It was the first time this season that Detroit had allowed 30 points or greater. It occurred 4 times last season and they followed it up by going 4-0 ATS in their next game while winning 3 of those contests straight up. Detroit is 4-0 SU&ATS versus Green Bay during the past 2 seasons. Additionally, the Lions are 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 trips to Green Bay. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. Any NFL division away underdog of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a non-division home loss by 15 points or fewer, and is facing an opponent (Packers) that’s coming off a win by 17 points or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 34-6 ATS (85%) since 1995. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +8 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Jets 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Jets +8.0 (5*) This pick may seem like a stretch to most but not to me. The Jets defense remains a formidable unit despite their current 0-4 record. They’re particularly strong up front and will be facing a very banged up Cowboys offensive line. Sam Darnold will return from his recent bout with mononucleosis and will be making his first appearance since a season opening 17-16 loss to Buffalo. That should provide the Jets with an additional emotional boost. New York is coming off a 31-6 loss at Philadelphia. However, they held the Eagles to just 265 yards of total offense in that game. Conversely, Dallas is coming off a disappointing 34-24 home loss to Green Bay. It’s also worth noting, Dallas has a turnover differential of -6 throughout their previous 4 games, and New York is +2 in 2019. Any NFL non-division underdog of 4.5 to 10.0 that has a losing record (Jets), coming off 2 or more straight up losses in a row, and their previous defeat was by 21 points or more, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a straight up loss by 10 or greater, and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an extremely profitable 26-1 ATS since 1980. The underdogs also won 15 of those 27 games straight up. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +1.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Browns +1.5 (5*) Cleveland is coming off an embarrassing 31-3 Monday night loss at San Francisco while failing to cover as a 5.0-point underdog. Seattle has won their last 2 to improve their season record to 4-1. This will be the first time this season that Cleveland will be a home underdog of 6.0 or less following a straight up loss. The Browns were 3-0 SU&ATS a season ago as a home underdog of 6.0 or fewer following a straight up loss. They won those 3 contests by an average of 7.0 points per game. The public will certainly be all over Seattle on Sunday just from a perception standpoint alone. Sometimes you need to think outside the box when handicapping NFL games and I deem this to be one of those situations. Any non-division home underdog of 3.0 or less that’s coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they scored 6 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent which has won 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those small home underdogs going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since 1992. This isn’t a huge sample size but proves when pertaining to NFL handicapping, bettors can sometimes be blinded by what appears to be an obvious choice, and they fail to delve in any further. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-13-19 | Saints v. Jaguars -1.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Saints @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Jaguars -2.5 (5*) This looks to be a vulnerable spot for the New Orleans Saints. Since Drew Brees went down with an injury in Week 2 which has kept him sidelined, the saints have reeled off 3 straight wins over the Rams, Cowboys, and Bucs. Now they travel to play on AFC team on the road with a losing 2-3 record, and up next is one of the NFC preseason favorites in the Chicago Bears. Teddy Bridgewater has been more than an adequate backup option in replace of Drew Brees, but this will be just his second road start since taking over. If Jacksonville hopes to remain viable in the AFC South race, winning on Sunday would go a long way in doing so. Afterall, their next 2 games will come against the Bengals and Chiefs are currently a combined 0-9 and following that they’ll be hosting present AFC South leader Houston. I think it’s safe to say at this point that rookie quarterback Gardener Minshew is no fluke. Al Minshew has done since jumping in for injured starter Nick Foles is throw for 1279 yards in addition to tossing 9 touchdowns versus 1 interception. Minshew should get plenty of help from running back Leonard Fournette who’s rushed for 333 yards and averaged 6.4 yards per carry over his last 2 games. Jacksonville is coming off a 34-27 loss at Carolina last week and failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. New Orleans is coming off a 31-24 home win over division rival Tampa Bay and covered as a 3.0-point favorite. Since 1986, NFL home teams that are a pick or favorite of 6.5 or less (Jaguars), coming off a non-division away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 6.0 or less, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a division home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home teams going 7-0 SU&ATS. |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -3 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Eagles @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Vikings -3.0 (10*) The Eagles are coming off a convincing 31-6 home win over the Jets and easily covered as a large 13.0-point favorite. However, they were held to an alarmingly low 265 yards of total offense in that contest. That’s worrisome considering they will be facing a Vikings defense that’s #4 in the NFL in yards allowed at 292.4 per game. As a matter of fact, during their last 3 contests Minnesota has allowed just 13.3 points and 260.7 yards per game. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, they’ve been a stellar 30-12 SU&ATS during regular season home games. Furthermore, they’ve gone a terrific 19-1 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 11.0 or less under Zimmer, and that includes 10-0 ATS if they were facing an opponent with a winning record. Bet on the Vikings for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California. After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0.  Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU -13 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Florida @ LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: LSU -13.0 (5*) Florida is coming off last week’s 24-13 upset win at home over Auburn. However, they were facing a freshmen quarterback Bo Nix who was making his first ever start in an SEC road game. This week it will be LSU senior quarterback Joe Burrow who’s enjoying a terrific start to the season. Florida’s defense has been terrific thus far and a major reason why they’re sitting at 6-0. Nevertheless, the LSU offense is averaging 54.0 points scored and 571.0 yards per game on their way to their 5-0 start. LSU is also allowing only 81.0 yards rushing per game and a mere 2.6 yards per attempt. The Tigers will also be out to revenge last season’s 27-19 loss at Florida. LSU has historically very good during big games on their famed Saturday night contests in Baton Rouge. They can chalk this one up as another of those successful situations. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Penn State -3 v. Iowa | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Iowa 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Penn State -3.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off a 10-3 loss at Michigan last week which ended a 4-game win streak to start the season. College football home underdogs of 6.0 or less playing after game 5 of their season, and are coming off an away underdog ATS loss when they were undefeated, resulted in those home underdogs going 1-9 ATS since 1980, and 0-6 ATS if they scored 13 or fewer in their previous contest. Penn State seems to be getting better every week. They’re 5-0 and have allowed 13 points or fewer in each of those wins. The Nittany Lions are also averaging 47.0 points and 499.6 yards per games offensively. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +17.5 | 47-28 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Texas A&M 3:30 ET Game# 183-184 Play On: Texas A&M +17.5 (5*) Texas A&M is 3-2 but their only losses came at #2 Clemson 24-10 and versus #12 Auburn 28-20. Alabama deserves all the accolades they’ve received this season after winning each of their first 5 games by a combined score of 259-74. However, Saturday will be the first time this season they’ll be facing a ranked team. Texas A&M has failed to cover in each of their previous 2 games with both being as a favorite. Those pair of non-covers came against Arkansas and Auburn. They had last week off and narrowly escaped with a 31-27 win over Arkansas as a 22.0-point favorite in their previous game.  The week before, they lost at home to Auburn 28-20 as a 4.0-point favorite Any home underdog of 11.0 to 19.0 (A&M) with a win percentage of .250 or better, coming off ATS losses as a favorite in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 26 points or more in their previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .727 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1981. Bet on Texas A&M plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Mississippi State -6.5 v. Tennessee | 10-20 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Tennessee 12:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (5*) Tennessee is 0-3 SU&ATS at home this year versus FBS opponents. One of those setbacks came in their home opener against Georgia State in a contest they were a sizable 24.0-point favorite. Since 2016, Tennessee is 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 5.5 or greater and lost by an enormous 33.2 points per game. Mississippi State had last week off to recover from a 56-23 shellacking they suffered at Auburn in their previous outing. The Bulldogs defense isn’t anywhere near the caliber they were a season ago but is still adept at creating turnovers. They’ve forced 15 turnovers throughout their 3-2 start in 2019. Conversely, Tennessee has a poor turnover differential of -6 in their 4 games against FBS teams this season. Look for that to factor into deciding the outcome of this contest. Any conference road favorite of 3.0 or more (Mississippi State) that’s coming off a road loss by 21 points or greater, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2016. The average margin of victory was 20.8 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Miami 8:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Miami -2.0 (5*) This line makes no sense at all. You have an unranked Miami team with a 2-3 losing record as a small favorite against #20 Virginia who’s only loss came at #9 Notre Dame. However, the sportsbooks are never that gracious and seem to be baiting bettors into taking the nationally ranked underdogs. I’m not falling for it. Despite their 4-1 record, Virginia has a turnover differential of -6. Additionally, the Cavaliers have endured monumental struggles attempting to run the ball in their previous 2 games against Old Dominion and Notre Dame. Specifically, those pair of outings saw them accumulate just a combined 73 yards rushing and they averaged a miserable 1.3 yards per attempt. Conversely, the Miami defense is allowing only 79 yards rushing per game and an excellent 2.5 yards per attempt. Miami lost to Virginia Tech last Saturday 42-35. On a positive note, they rallied from being down 28-0 in that contest to tie the score at 35-35 but eventually came up short. The Hurricanes were plagued by committing 5 turnovers in the contest including 3 interceptions on its first 3 offensive possessions. Miami did outgain Virginia Tech by a wide margin of 563 to 337. I don’t see them being mistake prone tonight against a Virginia defense that’s forced only 5 turnovers in 5 games. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-19 | UL-Monroe -3 v. Texas State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
UL-Monroe @ Texas State 9:15 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: UL-Monroe -3.0 (5*) UL-Monroe is 2-3 but their 3 defeats have come against very formidable opponents (Florida State, Iowa State, Memphis). Even in those losses they’ve shown an ability to move the ball by amassing 419 yards or more on each occasion. UL-Monroe is a very balanced offense that averages 224 yards rushing and 246 passing per game. Conversely, Texas State has a terrible rushing attack which averages just 81 yards per game in addition to a mere 2.7 yards per attempt. Neither of these defenses are very good. However, the more dangerous and balanced offense of UL-Monroe will be the difference tonight’s outcome. Bet on UL-Monroe minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Browns @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10*) The Browns are coming off an excellent performance last week at Baltimore in which they won by a decisive 40-25 margin. The win evened their record at 2-2. Cleveland has won road games in consecutive weeks since 2002. They had one opportunity to accomplish the feat last season, but they lost at Houston 29-13. The Browns will be without the services of 2 of their young star defensive backs in Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. The 49ers are in a rare situation in which they’re playing at home on a Monday following a bye week. San Francisco is coming off a 24-20 win over Pittsburgh in their home opener 2 weeks ago that improved their season record to 3-0. They won that game against Pittsburgh despite turning the ball over 5 times. Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 to 9.0-points that’s coming off a bye week, and they won their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those Monday home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. They won those 6 contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. The 49ers have been strong defensively thus far while allowing only 18.0 points and 283.3 yards per game. During their last games San Francisco has amassed a combined 1008 yards of total offense. Any non-division home favorite of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a straight up win by 17 points or fewer, and they possess a winning record, Versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The average victory margin in those 12 contests came by 13.3 points per game. Bet on the 49ers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -11 | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 12 m | Show | |
Colts @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Chiefs -11.0 (5*) Kansas City defeated Indy twice last season by decisive margins of 30-14 on the road and 31-13 during a home playoff game. That’s when the Colts had Andrew Luck at quarterback. All due respect to Jacoby Brissett who’s played well thus far in 2019, but he’s not in the elite status that Andrew Luck was prior to retirement. The Colts defense that was torched by Oakland last week will be in for a rough ride against a Kansas City offense averaging 33.7 points and 474.0 yards per game. Kansas City is coming off a 34-30 win at Detroit but failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. Indianapolis is coming off a 31-24 home favorite of -6.0 straight up loss against Oakland. The point-spread parameters and these previously mentioned results creates a rare but unbeaten betting angle. Any home favorite of 10.5 to 13.5 that’s coming off an away favorite ATS loss, and they’re facing an opponent (Colts) coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they allowed 28 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. Those double-digit home favorites won by an average of 25.4 points per game. Bet on the Chiefs for a 5* wager. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (10*) Denver is coming off a 26-24 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. The loss dropped the Broncos season record to 0-4. Adding insult to injury, Denver lost Bradley Chubb to a season ending injury in that loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are of to their usual slow start and are 2-2 thus far. They’re coming off a 30-10 win at Miami last Sunday in a game they covered as a 14.5-point favorite. Los Angeles will get an extra boost by the return of star running back Melvin Gordon following a holdout. Any NFL home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite of 3.0 or greater ATS win in which they scored 21 points or more, and they have at least 1 loss on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 20 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 2002. The average victory margin in those 14 contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-19 | Falcons v. Texans UNDER 50.5 | 32-53 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Under 50.5 (5*) Houston has seen each of their previous 6 home games go under the total and there was a combined 31.5 points scored per contest. Houston has also gone under the total in their last 3 games overall and there was a combined 32.7 points scored per contest. The Falcons have gone under in 3 of 4 games this season. The Falcons are averaging a robust 312 yards per game passing, but they’ve been plagued by 8 turnovers. Additionally, Atlanta is averaging only 70 yards rushing per contest. Going into this week, Atlanta has seen 71% of their offensive plays be passing attempts. They’ve become one-dimensional in part due to their inability to run the football and having to play from behind late in games. Houston is coming off a home favorite 16-10 straight up loss to Carolina. Atlanta is coming off a 24-10 home favorite straight up loss to Tennessee. Any NFL team coming off a straight up favorite loss in which they scored 23 points or fewer, and there’s a total of 43.0 to 50.5, versus an opponent coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more and they scored 12 points or fewer, resulted in those games going 13-0 under the total since 2011. There was a combined average of 41.4 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Washington -14.5 v. Stanford | 13-23 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Washington -14.5 (5*) This isn’t your typical David Shaw coached Stanford team that we are used to seeing in the Top 25. The Cardinal are 2-3 and their only 2 wins have come against teams (Oregon State, Northwestern) that are a combined 1-6 this season. As a matter of fact, one of those wins came in their previous game against perennial PAC-12 cellar dweller Oregon State by a narrow 31-28 margin, and that failed to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. Now they return home to face a red-hot nationally ranked Washington team in a game which they’re tabbed as a better than 2-touchdown underdog. Speaking of Washington, since a Week 2 upset loss at home against California, the Huskies have gone 3-0 SU&ATS and cashed in as a favorite on each occasion. Washington is 4-1 and has also gone 16-6 in its last 22 games. Any conference away favorite of 14.0 to 21.0-points (Washington) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games, and they covered as a favorite on all 3 of those occasions, and they won 19 or fewer of their last 22 contests,, versus an opponent (Stanford) with a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those sizable road favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.4%) since 2000. Any college football home underdog of 13.5 to 21.5-points (Stanford) that’s coming off an away win by 17 points or fewer, versus an opponent that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games, resulted in those home underdogs going 0-9 ATS, and they lost by an enormous average of 40.0 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Duke | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Duke 8:00 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Pittsburgh +5.0 (5*) Pittsburgh has beaten Duke in each of their last 4 meetings. The Panthers enter this week with a 3-2 (.600) record. Their only 2 defeats came at the hands of #12 Penn State and #23 Virginia. The Panthers did manage to upset #18 UCF 2 weeks ago. Duke is coming off a 45-10 blowout win at Virginia Tech in a game they were a 2.5-point underdog. After losing their season opener to #1 Alabama, the Blue Devils have rebounded to win 3 straight games. Duke has ran the ball on 58% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll be challenged by a Pitt defense that’s allowing a mere 2.9 yards per rush in 2019. Any conference away underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent (Duke) that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a conference away underdog straight up win by 3 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2005. Those underdogs also won 13 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -20 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 391-392 Play On: Ohio State -20.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a lackluster 40-31 home win against Indiana but failed to cover as a 14.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, that was a 34-31 game until the Spartans scored a defensive touchdown on the last play of the game. Comparatively, Ohio State owns a 51-10 road win at Indiana on 9/14. The Spartans have also suffered a 10-7 home loss to Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. Ohio State is clicking on all cylinder. Offensively they’re averaging 52.4 points scored and 537.2 yards gained per game on their way to a perfect 5-0 start. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 8.6 points and 223.8 yards per game. Ohio State has covered each of their last 4 games with all coming as a favorite and won by a massive average of 48.8 points per contest. Any conference home favorite of 18.5 to 36.0 with a win percentage of .600 or better (Ohio State), and they’re coming off an away favorite of 14.0 or greater ATS win in which they covered by 3.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that failed to cover their previous contest, resulted in those large home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2002. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-05-19 | Eastern Michigan -6 v. Central Michigan | 16-42 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 3:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Eastern Michigan -6.0 (5*) Central Michigan is 2-3 (.400). Their only 2 wins have come over Albany who plays at the FCS level and winless Akron. The Chippewas have turned the ball over an alarming 11 times in their 5 games. Eastern Michigan is coming off wins over Central Connecticut State 34-31 and at Illinois 34-31 during its last 2 games. That improved their season record to 3-1. Their only defeat came at Kentucky in Week 2. I look for a solid Eastern Michigan passing attack to have its way against a Central Michigan defense that’s allowing 275 yards passing per game. Any conference away favorite of 10.5 or less that’s coming off a week of rest (Eastern Michigan), and has non-conference wins in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 34 points or more during their previous contest, versus an opponent (Central Michigan) with a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those away favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1994. Bet on Eastern Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
UCF @ Cincinnati 8:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Cincinnati +4.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off an inspiring 52-14 win at Marshall last Saturday and easily covered as a 4.0-point favorite. The Bearcats will enter this huge conference showdown with #18 UCF having won 9 straight home games. That adds to the betting value for the home underdog Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 this season with their lone defeat coming at #4 Ohio State. As a matter of fact, during their 3 wins over Marshall, UCLA, and Miami-Ohio, Cincinnati has allowed 14 points or fewer and 256 yards or less on each occasion. The Cincinnati offense is averaging an enormous 34:16 in time of possession which has aided its defense in a big way. Conversely, UCF averages 25:16 in time of possession per game which speaks mostly to their quick strike explosive ability. I look for Cincinnati to minimize UCF chunk plays on offense, and to win the time of possession battle. The Bearcats will also be out to revenge 3 losses in a row to UCF. Any college football home underdog of 9.5 or less, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 27.5 points or more, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1990. The home underdogs also won 9 of those 10 games straight up. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show | |
Rams @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Seahawks (Pick) (5*) The highly touted Rams defense was thrashed during last Sunday’s 55-40 home loss to Tampa Bay. Jerad Goff did throw for an enormous 517 yards in the loss. However, he also threw 3 costly interceptions and the Rams also lost 1 fumble. Since 2012, Seattle has gone 50-13 straight up at home. No matter how you slice it, that qualifies for a strong home field advantage. Included in those results was the Seahawks going 12-3 ATS as a pick or favorite of 5.0 or less. Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s convincing 27-10 win at Arizona. Any NFL home team (Seahawks) that’s coming off a win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a loss in which both teams scored 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 46-11 (80.1%) straight up since 1983. Considering the current line, the straight up results in this betting angle take on added significance. Bet on the Seahawks for a 5* wager. |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers OVER 44.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) The Steelers have inexplicably had trouble running the football during their first 3 games. However, they’ll be facing a Bengals defense tonight that’s allowed a combined 434 yards rushing to Buffalo and San Francisco during their previous 2 games. If ever the Steelers running game is going to get well it’s going to be tonight. The Steelers establishing the run will help aid 2nd year quarterback Mason Rudolph with some advantageous play action pass opportunities. Pittsburgh has gone 12-2 over the total in their last 14 games as a home favorite and that includes 6-0 if the number was 45.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 62.5 points scored per game. With the first half against Buffalo last week being an exception, Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is off to a solid start this season. Dalton should have his way through the air while facing a Pittsburgh defense which has allowed opponents to amass 303 yards per game passing against them. Cincinnati is currently a 3.0-point away underdog in tonight’s contest. The Bengals saw all 3 of their games go over last season when they were an underdog of 3.0 or less and there were a combined 60.7 points scored per contest. This will be their first time in that precise role this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Saints +3.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 31-6 home rout of hapless Miami which improved their season record to a perfect 3-0. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 33-27 upset win at Seattle as a 5.5-point underdog. Even more impressive about that New Orleans victory is they did so with backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center like we’ll continue to see in the imminent future due to Drew Brees being sidelined. That victory enabled the Saints to start this season 2-1. Any regular season home underdog of 2.0 to 5.5-points (Saints) that’s coming off a away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a home win, and they own a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an outstanding 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 1988. Those home underdogs also won 25 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-19 | Chiefs v. Lions +7.5 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Lions +7.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off 2 straight upset wins over the Eagles and Chargers. They enter this week with a 2-0-1 record. Kansas City is off to a 3-0 start which surprises very few if any. It’s never as easy as it looks when it comes to wagering on elite NFL teams, and the never lost betting angle illustrated below is indicative of such. Any home underdog (Lions) after their 3rd game of its season that’s coming off an upset win in their previous outing, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1996. Better yet, those home underdogs won all 8 contests straight up and did so by a decisive 16.4 points per game. Bet on the Lions plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills +8.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Bills +8.5 (5*) Both teams have started the season 3-0. Experts have made light of the Bills perfect start due to their opponents having a cumulative record of 1-8. However, New England’s wins have come over teams that have gone a combined 0-9. The Patriots defense has yet to give up a defensive touchdown this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo has allowed 17 points or fewer in all 3 of their wins, and they return 10 starters from a stop unit that was #2 in total defense a season ago. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-29-19 | Titans v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Titans @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Under 46.0 (5*) Tennessee is coming off a 20-7 loss as a 2.0-point road favorite loss at division rival Jacksonville in their previous game. Since 2017, the Titans have gone under in all 6 of their away games following a contest against a AFC South Division opponent in which they scored 22 points or fewer. Those 6 contests averaged only a mere 23.7 points combined being scored per game. The Falcons are coming off a 27-24 loss at Indianapolis last Sunday. Atlanta has gone under in their last 7 home games when there’s been a total of 44.5 to 51.5 after scoring 30 points or fewer during its previous contests. Those 7 contests have averaged just a combined 37.6 points scored per game. Both defenses have played well during the first 3 weeks of NFL regular season action. Tennessee is allowing just 17.3 points per game while limiting their opponents to 308.7 yards per contest. Atlanta’s first 3 opponents have amassed only 311.3 yards per contest. Any team (Titans) that’s coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, and there’s a total of 46.5 or less, resulted in those road teams going 27-3 under the total during regular season action since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State +6 v. Utah | 13-38 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Utah 10:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington State +6.0 (5*) Washington State is coming off a stunning 67-63 home loss to UCLA as an 18.0-point home favorite which dropped their season record to 3-1 (.750). Since 2015, Washington State has gone 6-0 ATS following a loss in their previous game in which they scored 28 points or more. They also won 5 of those 6 contests straight up and were an underdog on 4 separate occasions. Since the start of last season, Washington State has gone a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS during true road games. Additionally, since 2013, the Cougars are 6-1 straight up and 7-0 ATS as an away underdog of 16.0 or less following a loss in their previous game, and all under the guidance of current head coach Mike Leach. Furthermore, the Cougars are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games against Utah. Utah is coming off a 30-23 upset loss at USC as a 3.5-point favorite. The Utes have lost 3 straight at home to Washington State. Any college football away underdog of 3.5 to 7.0-points (Washington State) with a win percentage worse than .800, and they’re coming off a home straight up loss as a favorite of 14.0 or greater in which they allowed 22 points or more, versus an opponent 9Utah) possessing a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1992. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State +5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State 7:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 Play On: Kansas State +5.0 (5*) Oklahoma State is coming off last Saturday’s 36-30 loss at Texas, but they managed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their record to 3-1. The Cowboys defense has surrendered 396 yards or more to all 3 of their 2019 FBS opponents while allowing a lofty 31.0 points per game. Oklahoma State will be out to revenge last year’s loss at Kansas State. Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference game after having last week off. The Wildcats last played 2 weeks ago when they came away with a 31-24 win over Mississippi State as a 7.0-point away underdog. Since last season, Kansas State is an unblemished 6-0 ATS as a conference underdog of 10.5 or less. Kansas State has averaged an enormous 280.0 yards per game rushing per game during their 3-0 start. Conversely, Oklahoma State has allowed 158 yards or more rushing in all 4 of their games this season. Any college football conference away underdog of 5.5 points or fewer that’s coming off a win and possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) with a win percentage of .250 or better and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-1 ATS since 1992. Those away dogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Mississippi State +10 v. Auburn | 23-56 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 167-168 Play On: Mississippi State +10.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a 28-20 win at Texas A&M and did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Mississippi State is coming off a 28-13 win over Kentucky and they covered as a 6.0-point home favorite. Any college football conference away underdog of 3.5 to 13.0 points that’s playing before Game 10 of their season, and they’re coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 9.5 points or more while scoring 21 points or greater, versus an opponent (Auburn) coming off an away conference straight up win as an underdog, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 6 of those 11 contests straight up. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-28-19 | Indiana +14 v. Michigan State | 31-40 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 3:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Indiana +14.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a decisive 31-10 road win at Northwestern while easily covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Up next for the Spartans is #5 Ohio State. This has all the making of a flat spot for Michigan State. The last Spartans home game saw them being upset 10-7 by Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. They’ve now gone an uninspiring 4-4 in their last 8 home games. Indiana has no issues in a 38-3 win over Connecticut in their previous game and covered with no sweat as a 27.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are 3-1 with their lone defeat coming against Ohio State. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-19 | Penn State v. Maryland +7 | 59-0 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Maryland 8:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Maryland +7.0 (5*) Penn State has been less than impressive in my humble opinion relative to their current #12 national ranking. This will be their first road test of the season after opening with 3 consecutive home games. They held on to beat Pittsburgh 17-10 and trailed Buffalo 10-7 at halftime before eventually pulling away. They’ve shown a defensive vulnerability against the run thus far and look for Maryland to exploit that early and often. Speaking of Maryland, they’ll enter their Big 10 Conference opener on a week of rest. They were upset at Temple 20-17 in their previous outing. However, we must keep in mind that in wins over then nationally ranked Syracuse and Howard they outscored them by a combined score of 142-20 while racking up an enormous 1273 yards of total offense. Maryland will also be out to revenge lopsided losses to Penn State during each of the previous 2 seasons. Any conference home underdog of 9.0 or less (Maryland) that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 3 points or more, and is also playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1999. Even more compelling is the fact that those home underdogs won 12 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +6 | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Bears @ Redskins 8:15 PM ET Game# 489-490 Play On: Redskins +6.0 (5*) The Redskins defense has been extremely porous in their first 2 games of the season against division rivals Dallas and Philadelphia. They’ll have a chance to redeem themselves this evening against a Bears offense that’s averaged 9.5 points scored and 262.5 yards of total offense per game during the season’s first 2 weeks. Chicago is also averaging a pathetic 4.5 yards per offensive play through their first 2 games. Washington quarterback Case Keenum has been very good in his first 2 starts for Washington while completing 69.1% of his past attempts for 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Washington is coming off last week’s 31-21 home loss to Dallas. Since 2016, the Redskins are 4-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or less following a home loss. Since 2016, Chicago is 0-5 ATS as a non-division away favorite of 7.0 or less when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. The Bears lost 3 of those 5 contests straight up. Bet on the Redskins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
Rams @ Browns 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Browns +3.5 (10*) If the Browns want to prove they aren’t overhyped this is certainly a spot to do so against the reigning NFC champion Rams. They will also be out to atone for a 43-13 embarrassing loss to Tennessee in their home opener. On a positive note they’re coming off last Monday night’s convincing win or the Jets in a game they easily as an away favorite of 6.5-points. Since 1988, home teams coming off a Monday night away favorite ATS have gone an outstanding 51-16 straight up. That’s surely a compelling statistic considering Cleveland will be a home underdog on Sunday night. This is the first time this season that Cleveland will be an underdog. The Browns were a very profitable 7-2 ATS a year ago as an underdog of 7.0-points or less. The Rams are coming off a convincing 27-9 home win over New Orleans in what was a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game. That realistically opens the possibility of a flat spot for Los Angles this week. Any non-division home underdog of 3.5 or less (Browns) that’s coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) coming off a win in which they scored 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Those home underdogs also won 12 of those 14 contests straight up. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-19 | Saints +5 v. Seahawks | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Saints @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Saints +5.0 (5*) Teddy Bridgewater was or will never be mistaken for an injured Drew Brees. Nevertheless, let we not forget that Bridgewater was 11-5 as a starter for Minnesota in 2015, and led the Vikings to an NFC North Division title. Unfortunately, during the following training camp, Bridgewater suffered a gruesome knee injury that sidelined home for over a year. We also mustn’t dismiss that New Orleans still has more than enough supporting offensive talent to make Bridgewater’s start a successful one. Additionally, under the guidance of head coach Sean Peyton, New Orleans has gone an extremely profitable 12-0 ATS as an away underdog of 3.0 or more after Game 2 of the season. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s disappointing 27-9 road loss to the Rams. The Saints have won their last 7 games following a straight up loss and that can’t be ignored considering they’re an underdog in this contest. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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