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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-04-21 | UTSA +5 v. Illinois | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
UTSA @ Illinois 7:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: UTSA +5.0 (10*) Just a week removed for knocking off Big 10 rival Nebraska in their opening game as a 6.5-point home underdog, Illinois finds themselves as a single-digit favorite against an opponent from Conference USA. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the chalk in this spot but I’m not being lured in by the bait. The Illini were beneficiaries of Nebraska continually shooting themselves in the foot. Specifically speaking, 9 of their points came via a fumble return for a touchdown with less than a minute to go in the half, and on a safety when a Nebraska punt returner decided to field the ball on his own 1-yard line. Additionally, Illinois has a stern road test the following week at Virginia. UTSA returns 21 starters from a team that finished 7-5 a season ago which included a bowl game loss to nationally ranked UL-Lafayette. |
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09-04-21 | Indiana +4 v. Iowa | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Iowa 3:30 PM ET Game# 173-174 Play On: Indiana +4.0 (5*) This is an Indiana team that went 6-2 last season with their lone defeats coming by 7 at #2 Ohio State and by 6 to Ole Miss in a bowl game played without star quarterback Michael Penix Jr. The Hoosiers return 17 starters from that squad which includes a healthy Penix. The Hoosiers held 5 of their 7 Big 10 opponents to 21 points or fewer a season ago. They are led Big 10 and AFCA National coach of the year Tom Allen who has guided Indiana to a combined 14-7 record the past 2 seasons and includes 6-1 in the Big 10 a year ago. #17 Indiana will be more than up to the task when they travel to Iowa City on Saturday to take on the #18 Hawkeyes. Bet on Indiana plus the points. |
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09-04-21 | Penn State v. Wisconsin UNDER 50 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Wisconsin 12:00 Game# 165-166 Play On: Under 50.0 (5*) Both team’s strength will be on the defensive side of the ball. I am forecasting neither team have any degree of success running the ball. The Badgers finished last season averaging 10.0 points scored per game over their final 4 Big 10 Conference contests. The combined points in this game should be closer to 40 than 50. Bet on this contest to go under the total. |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +5.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech 6:00 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Virginia Tech +5.5 (5*) Virginia Tech will be out to revenge last season’s 56-45 loss at North Carolina in a game they failed to cover as a short 3.0-point underdog. The Hokies had absolutely no answer against a supremely talented North Carolina offense. However, the Tar Heels lost 4 key skill position players that will be playing in the NFL this season. Granted North Carolina returns Heisman Trophy Award candidate and star quarterback Sam Howell. But he will be depending on several newcomers to replace the talented cast of characters previously mention. Furthermore, although North Carolina returns 10 defensive starters, they were a stop unit which allowed 41 points or more on 4 separate occasions last year. The 15 returning starters that return for Virginia Tech will have a bad taste in their mouth after having been part of the first Hokies team to miss a bowl game in 28 years. Since 2018, Virginia Tech has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home underdog of 9.5 or less and averaged 37.7 points scored per game while doing so. Any college football Game 1 conference home underdog of 3.0 to 8.0 that’s playing with revenge has gone 9-0 ATS since 2011. As a matter of fact, 7 of those situations occurred last season and if those teams were a dog of 5.0 to 8.0 they went 3-0 straight up. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points. |
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09-02-21 | East Carolina +10 v. Appalachian State | 19-33 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
East Carolina vs. Appalachian State 7:30 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: East Carolina +10.0 (5*) The Appalachian State returns 7 players on an offense that averaged 34 points and 450 yards per game last season. However, they will have a new quarterback. Former Clemson and Duke quarterback Chase Brice is slated to be under center for the Mountaineers. Brice did throw for over 2100 yards last year, but he had a horrible 10/15 touchdown to interception ratio while completing an uninspiring 54.2% of his passes. Despite being a highly rated and sought after quarterback coming out of high school, Brice hasn’t come close to living up to his perceived potential. East Carolina returns 20 starters from a team that went 3-6 last season. However, they did average a robust 30 points scored per game while doing so. They will be led once again by junior quarterback Holton Ahlers. All Ahlers has done is account for 7,093 career passing yard and 51 touchdown passes versus 22 interceptions. Ahlers also has amassed 1,060 career rushing yards and ran for 13 touchdowns as well. With 10 offensive returning starter, I look for East Carolina to provide us with a puncher’s chance in this game. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this one. Nonetheless, let’s not get greedy and take the points. In what may end up being a seesaw affair, bet on East Carolina plus the number. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.0 (5*) Kansas City has gone a terrific 12-1 over their last 13 games. As a matter of fact, their lone loss in that stretch came to the Chargers in Week 17 when they were resting all their key players including Patrick Mahomes. Nonetheless, they have been cutting it close on many occasions down the final stretch of the season. Specifically, 8 of the last 10 Kansas City wins have come by 6 points or fewer. During that same span, the Chiefs went a money-draining 2-8 ATS. For the first time in Super Bowl history an NFL team will be playing on its own home field. In this COVID era homefield advantage has been minimized considerably with limited to no attendance at every game played. However, there’s much to be said about the comfortability when playing in familiar surroundings. Tampa Bay enters this Super Bowl riding a 7-game win streak while also scoring 30 points or more in each of their last 6 contests. I look for the Bucs defense to step up big on Sunday and that ultimately will be the difference in this outcome. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 56.0 (10*) For starters 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have played to the under when there was a total of 50.0 or greater. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 38-24 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Since 10/1/18, Kansas City has played 7-2 to the under when there was a total of 52.0 or greater and after they scored 35 points or more. That took place with almost the identical offensive players as this season, and if anything, this year’s edition on defense may is better than the previous 2. The Chiefs will be facing a red-hot Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs are #1 against the run and have been for 2 years running. Tampa Bay is also 6th in total yards allowed per game and 4th in sacks with 48. The Tampa Bay defensive front 7 are outstanding and underrated. Look for Tampa Bay to invite Kansas City to run the ball and force them to be patient in the passing game by keeping everything in front of them. It’s likely the only time that plan gets abandoned is inside the red zone. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Kansas City 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Buffalo +3.5 (10*) We all know how good Kansas City has been in recent years let alone being the winner of last year’s Super Bowl. Yet, we have the #1 seed Chiefs as just a 3.0-point to 3.5-point home favorite in this contest. Remarkably enough, even after Patrick Mahomes was cleared to play there was very little line movement if any at all. I am not fearful whatsoever of the sportsbooks. Nonetheless I enormously respect their ability to set an accurate line and adjust to the money coming in. With all that in mind, the oddsmakers are telling you this is an even game and there was an adjustment of 3.0-points made to the Chiefs for homefield advantage. By the way, since their 26-17 loss to Kansas City in Week 6, Buffalo has gone 11-1. Their lone defeat came on an Arizona Cardinal miracle last seconds “Hail Mary Pass” from Kyler Murray to Deandre Hopkins that resulted in that 32-30 setback. The Bills are also an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Since the start of last season, Buffalo has gone a sparkling 12-5 on the road and that includes a money-making 7-2 ATS when installed as an underdog. By the way, since Week 12, Buffalo is the #1 red zone offense and Kansas City is the #26 red zone defense in the NFL. The Bills one of just a few teams in the NFL that can match the Chiefs offensive firepower. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Green Bay 3:05 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.5 (5*) The Packers running game is vastly underrated and has been key to their high scoring potent offensive attack. However, they will be facing a Bucs defense that has been #1 against the run for 2 years running. Plus they are likely to get back run stopper extraordinary defensive tackle Vita Vea who is coming off a long layoff while recovering from an ankle injury. Speaking of the Bucs defense, they held Green Bay to a mere 201 yards of total offense during their earlier season 38-10 blowout win. Furthermore, this season’s lock for NFL MVP Aaron Rogers was just 16-35 passing for 160 yards passing and 2 interceptions while also being sacked 4 times. Tampa Bay enters this NFC Championship game riding having won 6 straight contests while recording a fabulous +8 turnover margin. The chemistry between Tom Brady and his talented cast of receivers has clearly become stronger as the season has progressed. Specifically speaking, the Bucs are averaging a robust 33.7 points scored per game throughout their last 9 contests. Counting the playoffs, Tampa Bay has gone a terrific 8-2 in away games this season and that includes 7-0 during their previous 7 road tilts. Back to their earlier season meeting with Green Bay, the Bucs amassed 158 yards rushing which is their 2nd highest total to date. Tampa Bay has kept committing turnovers to a minimum this season. As a matter of fact, they have turned the ball over just 18 times in 18 games thus far. Conversely, you may be surprised to know that Green Bay is only forcing 1.0 turnover per game throughout its first 17 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL betting angle which is shown below. Any NFL road team (Tampa Bay) that is committing 1.25 or less turnovers or less per game on the season, versus an opponent (Green Bay) that is forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game on the season, resulted in those road teams going 43-14 ATS (75.4%) since 1983. Additionally, those road teams went 41-16 straight up as well which bodes well for the underdog in this NFC Championship Game. Bet on Tampa Bay plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints OVER 51.5 | 30-20 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Saints 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Over 51.5 (5*) The Tampa Bay offense has been clicking on all cylinders during the latter half of this season. Specifically speaking, the Bucs are averaging 34.1 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests. Tampa Bay is currently a 3.0-point underdog for Sunday’s game. The Bucs are an incredible 13-0 to the over in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 6.0 or less. The last 3 trips to New Orleans for Tampa Bay went 3-0 to the over and averaged a combined 66.7 points scored per contest. Since 2015, New Orleans is 18-5 to the over as a home favorite of 6.5 or less. Additionally, New Orleans is 9-4 to the over this season when Drew Brees is their starting quarterback. Lastly, the Saints are also 5-1 to the over at home this season when there’s been a total of 49.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 59.0 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Saints 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) Since 2017, Tampa Bay is a lousy 2-9-2 ATS as an away underdog of 6.0 or less. Moreover, the Bucs are a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS during its last 5 games versus New Orleans, and that includes 0-2 SU&ATS this season. Tampa was outscored in those 2 losses by 72-26. New Orleans has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite and won by an average of 15.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since last season, New Orleans is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less and won by 11.0 points per game. If you are wondering how a playoff home favorite of 6.5 or less does against a division opponent that have beaten twice during regular season action. Well, you came to the right place. This situation has occurred only 6 times since 1983 with Sunday’s game being the 7th. So, it’s rare indeed. However, it’s important to note, the previous 6 have seen the home favorite of 6.5 or less going 6-0 SU&ATS, and with a decisive average victory margin of 16.0 points per game. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Browns @ Chiefs 3:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Browns +10.5 (5*) Kansas City has gone 1-7 ATS during their previous 8 games. Nonetheless, they still went 7-1 straight up during that stretch. However, all 7 of those wins came by 6 points or fewer. Conversely, Cleveland is 5-1 straight up in their last 6 road games. Their only loss in that sequence came shockingly enough against the Jets (2-14). However, it must be noted, the Browns were without their top 4 receivers in that lone defeat due to COVID-19 protocols deeming them as unavailable. I love the Browns running back tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland will run the ball with success and that will be a key component in keeping them competitive for 60 minutes or more if needed. Additionally, Kansas City is a -5 in the turnover department over its last 4 games. On the other hand, Cleveland is a stellar +10 in turnover margin this season. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Bills 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Bills -2.5 (5*) Listening to all the experts on the airwaves this week and you would have thought Baltimore was the 14-3 team and it was Buffalo that was 12-5. While it’s quite the contrary. Yes, Baltimore has won 6 straight heading into the AFC Divisional Round contest. Nevertheless, Buffalo has won 7 straight and 9 of its last 10. Their only loss in that stretch was 32-30 at Arizona when Kyler Murray hit Deandre Hopkins with a Hail Mary pass with less than 10 seconds to play for the winning score. Otherwise, Buffalo would be riding a 10-game win streak. The big question marks being raised against Buffalo is how they will they be able to contain Lamar Jackson and the Ravens dynamic running game. Honestly, I really don’t know. But my retort would be, how is Baltimore going to stop Josh Allen and his outstanding group of receivers? It’s been a long time since such a meaningful game has been played in Orchard Park. The Bills have faced teams this season that currently have or finished with a winning record on 8 separate occasions, and they went a terrific 6-2 in those contests. Their only home loss came against defending world champion Kansas City, and then preceded to win 6 straight in Orchard Park since. By the way, Baltimore has also faced teams with winning records 8 times, but they were just 4-4 in those contests. The Bills are battle tested and will be up to the challenge against rough and tumble Baltimore on Saturday night. Bet on Buffalo for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-21 | Rams +7 v. Packers | 18-32 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Rams +7.0 (5*) I am of the opinion this game goes right down to the wire. Additionally, I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see the Rams pull off an outright upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I won’t get greedy and neither should you so take the points. The combination of an effective Rams running game and their stout defense to keep this game competitive throughout. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 | Top | 18-32 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) The Rams know they can’t win a shootout against Green Bay. Jared Goff and the Rams offense is nowhere near as explosive in the passing game as they were 2 years ago when they advanced to the Super Bowl. However, one thing they continue do well is run the ball and that will be a key ingredient to their success on Saturday. The Rams defense is the best or at least one of the best units in the NFL. I look for Rams star cornerback Jalen Ramsey to more than hold his own while shadowing Green Bay #1 wide receiver Devante Adams who has torched opposing secondaries this season on a regular basis. Bet this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) The total is this high for good reason. Alabama (12-0) has averaged 48.2 points score and 535.0 yards gained per game this season. The Crimson Tide has 2 totals this year of 74.0 or greater and both easily went over the number0. Those pair of contests resulted in wins of 63-48 versus Ole Miss and 52-46 against Florida. The Buckeyes (7-0) are 4-0-2 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 59.5 or greater. Ohio State has racked up an enormous 491 yards or more of total offense in each of their 7 games this season. Any college football team (Ohio State) with a total of 70.0 or greater that’s playing after game 7 of the season, and both defensive units in the contest are allowing 330 to 390 total yards per game, resulted in those games going 31-7 (81.6%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 38 contests was 73.2 and there were a combined 85.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 499-500 Play On: Ohio State +9.0 (10*) The Buckeyes will continue to play with a chip on their shoulders tonight after being heavily criticized for making the College Football Playoff despite playing only 6 games at the time. Ohio State is one of the few and maybe even the only team in the country that can match Alabama’s offensive explosiveness. The Buckeyes defense has given up its share of yards this season, but they have also forced an eye-popping 18 turnovers in just 7 games. Ohio State has racked 254 yards or more rushing in each of its last 4 games. The Buckeyes have outrushed their opponents this season by a substantial 184 yards per game. This qualifies by a high percentage college football betting angle which is shown below. Any neutral field underdog that has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their last 3 games, and they’re outrushing their opponents on the season by 100 or more yards per contest, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 30-7 ATS (81.1%) since 1992. The average point-spread in those 37 games was 7.1, and the underdog also won 18 of those 37 games straight up. This precise betting angle came up in the previous game for Ohio State and they came away with a 49-28 blowout win over Clemson as a 7.5-point underdog. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 47 | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Over 47.0 (5*) The vaunted Steelers defense hasn’t been very good against the run of late. Specifically, over throughout their previous 3 games, Pittsburgh has allowed their opponents to rush for 157 yards per contest. Conversely, Cleveland is one of the best offensive rushing teams in football led by their dynamic duo of backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. It will also open things up to have a successful play action passing game for the Browns. Pittsburgh has become a pass happy team this season. That is mostly due to them not having any semblance of a running game. The Steelers have rushed for 86 yards or less in 9 of their last 10 games, and the only exception was just 106 yards versus 1-15 Jacksonville. We must also keep in mind, these teams met in the final week of the regular season, and Cleveland escaped with a 26-24 win over Pittsburgh backup players. One of those starters sitting out was Steelers starting quarterback Ben Rothliesberger. Even without “Big Ben”, Pittsburgh still racked up 394 yards of total offense which included 309 through the air. Pittsburgh is 12-5 to the over in their last 17 at home when there been a total of 41.0 to 49.5. That includes 7-1 to the over is they were a favorite of between 4.0 and 10.0-points. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | 9-21 | Loss | -118 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears @ Saints 4:40 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Bears +10.5 (5*) I know the Bears backed their way into the playoffs, but I do like the vast improvement they have shown offensively down the final stretch of regular season action. Chicago will also be out to atone for a narrow 26-23 home loss to New Orleans back on 11/1. The Bears did mange to cover that game as a 5.0-point underdog. Since 2018, New Orleans is a dismal 0-4 ATS in 4 home playoff games. The Saints were laying an average of 6.3 points in those postseason home tilts and lost 2 of those straight up. Additionally, since 2014, the Saints are a poor 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10.5 and they lost 4 of those contests straight up. Those results all came with current head coach Sean Peyton roaming the sidelines. I know I am in the minority with this choice but that’s just fine with me. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 42 m | Show |
Ravens @ Titans 1:05 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Titans +3.5 (10*) I hear a lot of talking heads giving a lot of love to Baltimore. One team that surely isn’t buying it is the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee has beaten Baltimore in both of their meetings since last season and did so as an underdog on each occasion. During last year’s Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the Titans knocked off Baltimore 28-12 as a 10.0-point road underdog. That was a Ravens team that entered the playoffs on a 12-game win streak, and they were favorite to win the Super Bowl. Then earlier this season, Tennessee turned the trick again by winning at Baltimore 30-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. There was a constant theme in those 2 victories. Tennessee and namely Derek Henry gashed the Baltimore defense on the ground for a combined 390 yards and 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. The Ravens stop unit will once again be hard pressed to stop Henry who rushed for over 2000 yards this season. They will also be challenged by an improved Titans passing game. Since 1980, NFL Playoff home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Titans) that have a win percentage of .687 or better, and they are facing a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .764 or worse, resulted in those postseason home dogs going a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by a decisive 16.7 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Washington 8:15 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington +8.0 (5*) Washington seemed to have won the NFC East by default with a 7-9 record and the current point-spread is reflective of such. Washington clinched the division with a 20-14 win at Philadelphia in their regular season finale. Since 2018, Washington is 6-0 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer. The Washington defense has allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their previous 7 games and will be good enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Furthermore, Ron Rivera is a playoff tested head coach who led Carolina to the Super Bowl not too long ago. The betting public has been huge supporters of Tom Brady and the 11-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs were 5-5-1 ATS in their first 11 games but went 4-1 ATS during its last 5. As a matter of fact, Tampa Bay closed its regular season slate with 4 straight wins and scored 44 and 47 points during their final 2 outings. So, I don’t see the public being scared of laying a substantial number on the road even if it’s during postseason action. As most of you already know, I have no issues going against majority betting numbers when I like the other side. Home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have been extremely profitable throughout the previous 41 seasons. Since 1980, home underdogs in the NFL Playoffs have gone an outstanding 28-14 ATS and won 24 of those 42 contests straight up. If those postseason home teams were an underdog of 4.5 or greater, they improved to a perfect 5-0 ATS, and they even won straight up 3 times. Tampa Bay has piled up 484 and 588 yards of total offense in their last 2 games. The Bucs also average a lofty 6.2 yards per offensive play. Any NFL home underdog (Washington) that is facing an opponent that has gained 450 yards or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they (Tampa Bay) average 5.5 or more yards per offensive play, resulted in those home underdogs going 35-10 ATS (77.8%) since 1983. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 42.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points. Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game. Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home. Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 44 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 44.0 (10*) Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output. Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent. Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year. |
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01-03-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 35-16 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Chicago 4:25 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Bears +4.5 (5*) Green Bay can clinch the NFC #1 seed and first round bye with a win. Conversely, Chicago needs a win to make the postseason. I am sure much will be made of the Packers dominance in winning 18 of the past 21 in this division series. However, since 2016, the Bears are 14-5-1 ATS and 9-11 straight up as a home underdog. That home underdog record improves to 4-0 SU&ATS during that identical time frame if Chicago was facing an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better just like the 12-3 (.800) Packers currently are. Chicago has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, and that marks the first time they have done so since 1965. The offensive surge seems to have coincided with the reinsertion of former Bears 1st round draft pick Mitchell Turbisky at quarterback. Green Bay does enter on a 5-game win streak. Nevertheless, Chicago is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 and won by a decisive margin of 19.7 points per game. |
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01-03-21 | Falcons +7 v. Bucs | 27-44 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Atlanta +7.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this contest on a 4-game losing streak. However, all 4 of those defeats came by 5 points or fewer. One of those losses occurred just 2 weeks ago and came at home against Tampa Bay. The Falcons squandered a 17-point lead in that contest and eventually lost 31-27 but did cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since Bruce Arians took over as head coach in Tampa Bay last season, his Bucs have gone a dreadful 1-6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.0 or less and lost 5 of those 8 contests straight up. Just because a team like Tampa needs a win to secure the NFC #5 playoff seed which will assure them of facing the NFC East Champion, doesn’t mean they are a lock to cover as a sizable favorite. Atlanta is coming off a narrow 17-14 defeat at Kansas City last Sunday. Any NFL road pick or underdog that is coming off a road loss by 3 points or fewer, and they are playing in the final 2 weeks of regular season action, resulted in those teams going 17-0 ATS since 1997. Those teams also won 12 of those 17 contests straight up. Bet on Atlanta for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
North Carolina vs. Texas A&M 8:00 PM ET Game# 497-468 Play On: North Carolina +7.5 (10*) Whenever I get a winning team with an explosive offense as an underdog like North Carolina is in this contest it always prompts me to do further investigation. This situation qualifies in the regard. North Carolina is 8-3 and they averaged 43.0 points scored and 556.5 yards gained per game. They have also scored 41 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games which includes a regular season finale 62-26 win at nationally ranked Miami. I like to use the boxing analogy when it comes to these high scoring underdogs. I compare them to knockout artists in boxing, you are never out of it because you have a punchers chance. Texas A&M is 8-1, winners of 7 straight, and ranked #5 in the country. However, Aggies players and coaches alike were perplexed by being snubbed by the college football playoff committee. One school of thought is they will be out to make a statement in this matchup. In my experience, it’s quite the contrary, and college teams that have been snubbed in either football or basketball more times than not come out flatter than a pancake in their following game. This will be a textbook example of such. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -3.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Iowa State 4:00 PM ET Game# 495-496 Play On: Iowa State -3.5 (5*) Oregon filled in for Washington (COVID issues) in the PAC-12 Title Game and upset then 5-0 USC. However, the Ducks were only able to amass 241 yards of total offense in that win and were beneficiaries of 3 USC turnovers. Oregon also sustained 2 bad losses this season to Cal as a 9.5-point favorite and Oregon State while being a 13.5-point chalk. Conversely, Iowa State is 8-3 and all 3 of their defeats came against current Top 25 teams. This has been a special year for Iowa State football. It was their first time winning a Big 12 regular season title and they debuted in the Conference Championship Game where they fell to Oklahoma 27-21. Furthermore, Saturday will be the first time that Iowa State has ever played a January bowl game. The Cyclones will be amped up and will cover. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana OVER 65 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss vs. Indiana 12:30 PM ET Game# 493-494 Play On: Over 65.0 (5*) The good news for Ole Miss is they average 40 points scored per game. The bad news is they also allow 40 points per contest. Ole Miss has gone 3-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of less than 70.0 and those contests averaged a combined 81.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Indiana has gone 4-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 53.0 or greater. To say that Ole Miss plays at a lightning quick pace is an understatement since they average 79 offensive plays per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -2.5 v. NC State | 23-21 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
NC State vs. Kentucky 12:00 PM ET Game# 491-492 Play On: Kentucky -2.5 (5*) We have a Kentucky team which is 4-6 as a favorite over #23 ranked NC State who enters this bowl matchup with an 8-3 record and winners of their last 4. The line doesn’t make sense and when that occurs, I side with the oddsmakers. Case in point with my winner yesterday on Mississippi State with a losing record defeating Tulsa with a winning mark 28-26. Bet on Kentucky plus the points. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
Ohio State vs. Clemson 8:00 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Ohio State +7.5 (10*) For starters, Clemson head coach Dabo Sweeney gave the Ohio State locker room plenty of motivational press clippings after voicing his displeasure on Ohio State being included in the 4-team playoff field despite playing only 6 games. The Buckeyes will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season college football playoff loss to Clemson 29-23. Ohio State squandered a 16-0 lead in that contest and lost despite having an edge in total yards of 516-417. Ohio State also held almost a 7-minute edge in time of possession advantage and current quarterback Justin Fields outplayed highly prized Clemson signal caller Trevor Lawrence. Ohio State is allowing 97 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, Clemson is averaging 164 yards rushing per contest. These rushing stats leads us to an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football neutral field non-conference underdog (Ohio State) that allows 100 or less rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent (Clemson) that averages between 140 to 190 yards rushing per game, resulted in those underdogs going 22-11 (66.7%) straight up since 1992. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this matchup it takes on added relevance. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for my “College Football Game of the Year”. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama UNDER 66 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Alabama 4:00 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Under 66.0 (5*) Notre Dame has gone under the total in all 4 of their games this season when there’s been a total of 57.0 or greater. Those 4 contests had an average total of 62.3 and there was only a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Alabama has gone 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games this season that had a total of 64.0 or more. Notre Dame is averaging 218 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Alabama defense has yielded only 108 yards per game rushing on the season. This leads us to an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team playing in a non-conference game that has a total of 63.0 or greater, and they average between 190 to 230 yards rushing per game, versus an opponent (Alabama) who surrenders between 100 to 140 rushing yards per contest, resulted in those games going 33-10 (76.7%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 43 games was 68.1 and there were a combined 60.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 60 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 327-328 Play On: Cincinnati +7.5 (5*) Undefeated Cincinnati is the Group of 5 representative for the New Year’s 6 Bowl Games. Like those that came before them, the Bearcats will be a more motivated team than their SEC adversary. The Bearcats want to prove that their unblemished record is no fluke and what better way to do so than against one of the huge brands in college football. Additionally, Cincinnati has been one of the better defensive teams in all of college football while allowing just 16.0 points and 314.4 yards per game. Georgia has gone 7-2 this season but they only earned 1 win over a team that currently has a winning record and that was Auburn (6-4) way back on 10/3. Their only other games versus teams that currently have a winning record were against Florida and Alabama. They not only lost and failed to cover both games but were outscored 85-52 while doing so. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
Army vs. West Virginia 4:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: Army +7.0 (5*) Let me start by saying that I am fully aware of West Virginia having play a much more difficult schedule this season in comparison to Army. However, the Mountaineers were originally slate to play Tennessee in this bowl game, but the Volunteers had to pull out due to COVID issues. Now they are playing a service academy instead of an SEC opponent. I can’t help but think that the Mountaineers are surely disappointed in that regard and it will have a direct affect on their emotional state headed into this matchup. Furthermore, West Virginia was a perfect 5-0 in Morgantown this season but a dismal 0-4 when playing anywhere else. They averaged just a tad over 14 points scored per game in those 4 losses. Army is 9-2 with 1 of their losses coming at #6 Cincinnati 24-10. The Black Knights have allowed only 14.0 points and 271.1 yards per game this season. Additionally, West Virginia goes from playing all the pass happy offenses in the Big 12 to facing a highly efficient triple option rushing attack and having to prepare for that element on short notice. West Virginia closed their regular season with a 42-6 blowout loss at Iowa State. Conversely Army defeated Navy 15-0 and Air Force 10-7 in their final 2 regular season games. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle shown below. Any college football team (Army) that allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games and is facing an opponent (West Virginia) that scored 6 points or less during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 43-4 (91.5%) straight up since 2011. Since this straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this game it takes on added betting value. Bet on Army plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Ball State vs. San Jose State 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Ball State +10.0 (5*) These two teams ended up being surprise conference champions. San Jose State has gone 7-0 and that includes 6-0-1 ATS. However, they were an underdog in 4 of those 7 conference games and a short 2.5-point favorite in another. Ball State reeled off 6 straight wins after a season opening loss versus Miami-Ohio. The last of those wins came over Buffalo (6-1) in the MAC Championship Game and they did so as a 12.0-point underdog. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals also pulled off a double-digit underdog upset win at Toledo as well. So, they are very much comfortable in this sizable underdog role. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State +1.5 v. Tulsa | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Mississippi State vs. Tulsa 12:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (5*) Mark this down in the point-spread that doesn’t make sense category. We have the #24 team in the country Tulsa (6-2) as just a 1.5-point favorite against a 3-7 Mississippi State team. Furthermore, the only 2 Tulsa losses came at the hands of #6 Cincinnati (10-0) by 3 in the AAC Championship Game and at #21 Oklahoma State (8-3). When it looks this easy in sports betting it very rarely is. This looks to be another prime example of such. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas OVER 64 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Texas @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 297-298 Play On: Over 64.0 (10*) This Texas team has seen all 4 of its games not played on their home field go over the total. Those 4 contests averaged a massive 97.8 points combined being scored par game. The Longhorns offense has averaged an enormous 41.3 points scored and 457.3 yards gained per game this season. Colorado is averaging a tad above 29 points scored per game. The Buffaloes defense has been good at times but has been torched on more than one occasion as well. Colorado has allowed 32 points or more in 3 of 5 games played during this COVID-19 shortened season. Texas is outgaining their opponents by an average of 47.6 yards per game this season. Conversely, Colorado has outgained their 5 opponents by an average of 44.2 yards per game. This sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle displayed below. Any neutral field non-conference game with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that involves teams that both have a +50 to -50 yards per game differential, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 30 contests was 66.1 and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Miami 5:30 PM ET Game# 295-296 Play On: Miami +2.5 (5*) Miami quarterback D’Eriq King will be the difference in this game. The Hurricanes received a huge emotional lift when King was granted a 6th year of eligibility and will return for another season in 2021. The Hurricanes suffered 2 losses this season and they came against #2 Clemson and #13 Clemson. Oklahoma State doesn’t present the challenges as those 2 teams and that’s especially true offensively. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | Top | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Seahawks have been beneficiaries of a soft non-division schedule. As a matter of fact, 9 of its 10 non-division games this season came against opponents that currently have a losing record. The lone exception was at Buffalo (11-3) on 11/8 and they lost that contest 44-34 in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. The Rams should be plenty motivated this week after coming off an embarrassing 27-17 home loss as a 14.0-point favorite to the then 0-13 Jets. That defeat dropped their season record to 9-5 and forced them to relinquish first place in the NFC West back to Seattle (10-4). On a positive note, since 2018, the Rams are 11-4 SU&ATS on the road and immediately following a home game. Additionally, the Rams are 4-0 straight up this season following a loss and won by an average of 9.7 points per game. Quality NFL teams coming off embarrassing losses have historically responded with a strong performance more times than not in their next contest. The Rams did win the first meeting with Seattle this season 23-16. It’s simple for the Rams, win and their chances to win the AFC West remains alive. Or lose and possibly end up as low as a #7 in the NFC come playoff time. If that occurs it would be a first-round playoff game at either Green Bay or New Orleans. Desperation and urgency will be the difference in this contest on Sunday which surely favors the Rams. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-20 | Bears -8 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Bears @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Bears -8.0 (5*) After having no semblance of running game for most of the season, Chicago’s rushing attack has come alive of late. During their previous 4 contests, Chicago has averaged a robust 31.0 points scored and 411.8 yards gained per game. That includes averaging 157.5 yards per contest on the ground and an impressive 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. Conversely, Jacksonville has allowed a whopping average of 190.0 rushing yards per game during their previous 4 contests. The Jags have been outscored by a combined 71-24 in their last 2 games and enter this week on a 13-game losing streak. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Giants +10 v. Ravens | 13-27 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
Giants @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Giants +10.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a pair of SU&ATS losses during its last 2 games against the Cardinals and Browns. Both contests took place at home and they were outscored by a combined score of 46-13. However, since 2018 the Giants have been a fabulous road underdog while going 16-3 ATS in that role. As a matter of fact, this season alone the Giants are 6-0 ATS as a road underdog. The Ravens have looked like the team they were a season ago over the past 3 weeks in wins versus Dallas 34-17, at Cleveland 47-42, and over Jacksonville 40-14. On paper these teams certainly look as if they are going in opposite directions. Nevertheless, the NFL is a week-to week-league and we see surprising results often. I am not going to be brave enough to call for an outright upset here, but I am extremely confident about covering considering the lofty number we will receive. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-20 | Falcons +11 v. Chiefs | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Falcons +11.0 (5*) The Falcons have the offensive firepower to hang in this game throughout. The Chiefs enter this week on a 9-game win streak, but they are a dismal 0-5-1 during their previous 6 outings. Additionally, Kansas City won all those 6 contests by 6 points or fewer. Atlanta is 4-10 but 7 of their 10 defeats came by 7 points or fewer. Bet on the Falcons plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +2.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Raiders +2.5 (5*) Since 2018, and all under current head coach Jon Gruden, the Raiders are 6-2 SU&ATS when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. If the Raiders offense doesn’t kill themselves with turnovers, they will be able to run the ball on this overrated in my opinion Dolphins defense. Miami will be facing a 7-7 Raiders team. The Dolphins have played only 5 teams this season that currently have a .500 or better record. During those contests they allowed 28.6 points and 465.2 yards per game. My case in point regarding their defense being overrated. The Raiders have filed to cover in each of their previous 4 games. Conversely, Miami has covered in each of their last 4 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL team that is +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off 3 or more ATS losses (Raiders), versus an opponent (Dolphins) has covered in 2 or more consecutive games, resulted in those teams going 36-9 (80%) ATS since 2011. Bet on the Raiders plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Liberty +7.0 (5*) Both teams are battle tested. Liberty went 2-1 versus ACC teams this season. They easily handled Syracuse 38-21, defeated Louisville 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog, and lost 15-14 to #24 NC State. #23 Liberty (8-1) had a game tying field goal attempt blocked on the final play of the game in that loss to NC State. That’s how close they came to an undefeated regular season. Liberty has not only gone 8-1 straight up this season, but they also covered in 8 of those 9 games. The Flames offense has been extremely productive while averaging 39.4 points scored and 497.6 yards gained per game. #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0) has enjoyed a memorable and massively successful season regardless of what happens in this game. Their signature wins came over #13 BYU 22-17 and over #16 UL-Lafayette (9-1) 30-27. The Chanticleers completed their regular season barely escaping with a 42-38 win over Troy in a game they were a 12.5-point favorite, and they scored the winning touchdown in the dying seconds of the 4th quarter. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Liberty) that is coming off a conference win by 10 or more points, and they are facing an opponent who scored and allowed 30 or more points during its previous game, resulted in those underdogs going an outstanding 56-22 ATS (71.8%) since 1992. Bet on Liberty plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | UL-Lafayette -14 v. UTSA | 31-24 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
UTSA vs. UL-Lafayette 3:30 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: UL-Lafayette -14.0 (5*) Just in case you are wondering why UL-Lafayette is such a substantial in this First Responder Bowl, they are 10-1 on the season while currently being ranked 19th by the college football playoff committee, and 16th nationally in the AP Poll. Their only loss this season was by 3 to #9 Coastal Carolina (11-0). Furthermore, the Rajun Cajuns opened this season off with a huge 31-14 at #12 Iowa State who just lost a close game to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game. UL-Lafayette has also played the tougher schedule which included 6 teams that have accepted a bowl game invitation. Conversely, UTSA has gone just 2-4 against bowl game participants. Additionally, since 2018, the Roadrunners have gone a dismal 1-9 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21.0-points. They were outscored in those 10 contests by an average of 25.7 points per game. Bet on UL-Lafayette minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State -3.5 | 21-39 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State 3:30 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Georgia State -3.5 (5*) Western Kentucky has gone just 5-6 this season and went 0-5 versus this season’s bowl teams while being outscored by 17.6 points per game. Moreover, one of their wins came by a slim 3-point margin at home versus an FCS team in UT-Chattanooga. This is also an anemic Western Kentucky offense which averaged only a mere 18.8 points and 290.9 yards per game. Georgia State is 5-4 and has averaged a healthy 32.7 points scored and 417.7 yards gained per game. As a matter of fact, the Panthers have scored 30 points or more in 7 of their 9 games this season. By comparison, today’s opponent (WKU) has scored 14 points or fewer in 6 of their 11 games. Bet on Georgia State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Saints 4:30 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Vikings +7.0 (5*) If I were a Saints fan, I would be concerned after watching Drew Brees perform last week. His passes lacked velocity and he was short on a few attempts to the wide side of the field. The combination of injuries to his ribs and diminishing arm strength is painfully evident with no pun intended. The Saints will once again be without the services of their #1 wide receiver Michael Thomas. Which leaves aging veteran Emmanuel Sanders as their top target and behind him are a bunch of unproven NFL wide receivers. This group struggled with getting any consistent separation on their routes in last week’s loss to Kansas City. Minnesota’s playoff hopes took a huge hit after losing their previous 2 games which dropped their season record to 6-8. They must now win their remaining 2 games and hope for a lot of help from other teams to qualify for the final NFC wildcard spot. However, they still possess highly skilled offensive weapons with running back Delvin Cook plus wide receivers Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielein. Minnesota is 4-2 ATS on the road this season and won 3 of those contests straight up. Conversely, you may be surprised to know that New Orleans is just 9-15 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2018-2019, and that includes an even worse 5-10 ATS if the number is 3.0 to 9.5. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston -9 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Hawaii vs. Houston 3:30 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Houston -9.0 (5*) Houston enters this bowl game with just a 3-4 record. Yet, they are a sizable favorite over a 4-4 Hawaii team. Simply put, the Cougars have faced a far more difficult schedule than Hawaii has. Their 4 losses all were against bowl teams in BYU (11-1), Central Florida (7-4), Tulane (6-6), and Memphis (8-3). Furthermore, Hawaii is coming off a 38-21 victory over winless UNLV. The Rainbow Warriors are 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 19.0 points per game. The game will be played in Frisco, Texas which certainly will provide Houston an edge when it comes to travel and fans in attendance. Bet on Houston minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida +6 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
BYU vs. Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Central Florida +6.0 (5*) BYU comes in with an outstanding 10-1 record while UCF is 6-3. However, despite the records disparity, UCF has unequivocally played a tougher schedule. The Golden Knights suffered losses to #22 Tulsa by 8, #6 Cincinnati by just 3, and at Memphis by 1. BYU has faced just 1 nationally ranked opponent this season and they lost 22-17 at #11 Coastal Carolina in a game in which they closed as a 10-0-point favorite. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this one. Nevertheless, I will surely take the points and not be greedy. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Bengals 8:15 ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Under 40.5 (5*) Cincinnati has been atrocious offensively since the loss of star rookie quarterback Joe Burrow to a season ending injury. During their previous 4 contests the Bengals have averaged a pathetic 10.0 points and 233.0 yards gained per game. It should come as no surprise that all 4 of those games went under the total. Cincinnati has seen each of their last 5 home games against Pittburgh all go under the total. Pittsburgh has had an awful time trying to establish a running game. As a matter of fact, the Steelers have rushed for 68 yards or fewer during 7 of their last 8 games. Like their opponent today, the Steelers have gone under in each of their previous 4 games. Additionally, since 9/25/2016, Pittsburgh has gone 20-2 to the under during its last 22 games as a road favorite and with a total of 36.0 or greater. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
Browns @ Giants 8:20 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Giants +6.5 (5*) This is unequivocally the most important game of the season for the Giants. They trail Washington by 1.0 game in the NFC East, and they have a difficult game on Sunday versus Seattle. The Giants are coming off an awful performance during last Sunday’s 26-7 home loss to Arizona which ended their 4-game win streak. It also marked their worse loss since a 36-9 defeat to San Francisco. Their previous 4 losses this season had come by just a combined 14 points. I look for the Giants to bounce back with a strong effort on Sunday night and make this a much more competitive game than the 9-4 Browns would ask for. Speaking of the Browns, they are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Baltimore this past Monday night in what was an exciting and emotion packed game. It would be hard to imagine them reaching that intensity level on Sunday night. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | Top | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
Kansas City @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 365-366 Play On: New Orleans +3.0 (10*) The Saints had their 8-game win streak snapped during last Sunday’s 24-21 loss at Philadelphia. They were not only defeated by an Eagles team that entered that contest with a dismal 3-8-1 record but was also starting a rookie quarterback who was making his first start of his career. In my estimation they were clearly looking ahead to this Sunday’s game against the defending world champion Chiefs (12-1) in what many have been tabbing as a Super Bowl preview. On a much more positive note, New Orleans has gone an outstanding 11-1 straight up in their last 12 following a loss in their previous game. New Orleans will also get an emotional lift as Drew Brees returns from injury to make the start. Nevertheless, I would have liked New Orleans in this spot with Brees or Taysom Hill under center. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots +2 v. Dolphins | 12-22 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Patriots +2.0 (5*) The Patriots are coming off a poor effort in a Thursday night 24-3 road loss to the Rams and their record fell to 6-7. The good news, they will have 3 additional days of rest compared to Miami, and they have gone 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up following a loss. Bill Belichick will be game planning for a rookie quarterback for a 2nd time in 3 games. The last time it occurred was against the odds-on favorite for Rookie of the Year in Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert. New England walked away with a 45-0 win in that contest, and Herbert went 26-53 for 209 yards while throwing 2 interceptions and being sacked 3 times. I look for more of the same against Tua on Sunday. Any NFL road team that is +3.0 to -3.0 who is coming off a road loss and has a losing record, resulted in those road teams going 41-17 ATS (70.7%) since 2016. Bet on the Patriots for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -2.5 | 33-27 | Loss | -121 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Bears @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 357-358 Play On: Vikings -2.5 (5*) The Bears are coming off a 36-10 home win over Houston last Sunday in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. That win snapped a 6-game Bears losing streak and improved their season record to 6-7 (.461). The Bears are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and lost by an average of 12.3 points per game. The Vikings are coming off a 26-14 loss at Tampa Bay last week in a game they held a time of possession advantage of 39:03 to 20:57. Unfortunately their placekicker Dan Bailey went 0-3 on his field goal attempts and missed an extra point. On a more positive note, they were able to amass 162 yards rushing against a Bucs defense which has been #1 in the NFL in stopping the run for 2 years running. Any NFL home favorite that is facing an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 10 points or greater, and that opponent had a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those home favorites going 35-10 ATS (77.8%) since 1983. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-20 | 49ers -3 v. Cowboys | 33-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
49ers @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: 49ers -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off last Sunday’s 30-9 win at Cincinnati which improved their season record to 4-9. Unfortunately for Cowboys backers, their team is 0-3 SU&ATS following a win this season and lost by an average of 20.0-points per game. The 49ers are coming off a disheartening 23-15 home loss to Washington last week in which they allowed 2 defensive touchdowns against them. That defeat dropped their season record to 5-8 (.385). Any road favorite (49ers) that is coming off a straight up favorite loss, and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus a team with a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 36-10 ATS (78.2%) since 1983. The average line in those 46 games was 4.0 and the road teams outscored their opponents by an average of 11.5 points per contest. Bet on the 49ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-19-20 | Arizona State v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 46-33 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 18 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Oregon State 10:30 PM ET Game# 225-226 Play On: Oregon State +7.5 (10*) Arizona State is coming off a 70-7 shellacking over their winless in-state rival Arizona last Saturday. The Sun Devils have played just 3 games this season and last week marked its first win. Now they travel to Oregon State against a 2-4 Beavers team that in recent years has been a PAC-12 doormat. However, this is a better than advertised Beavers team whose 4 losses came by just a combined average of 6.3 points per contest. Arizona State has allowed an average of just 20 points per game this season despite surrendering 423 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has bailed themselves out by forcing a whopping 11 turnovers in their 3 games played. However, they will be facing an opponent on Saturday which has only committed 6 turnovers in 6 games. Oregon State also averages a healthy 31.0 points and 450.3 yards per game in their 4 contests played at home. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET Game#343-344 Play On: Carolina +8.5 (5*) Green Bay clinched the NFC North last week following a 31-24 win at Detroit. I look for a bit of a flat spot here for the Packers. I am predicting this game to be much closer and competitive than most will think. After getting off to a surprising 3-1 start to the season, Carolina has lost 7 of its last 8 games. However, they did manage to go 4-4 ATS during that futile stretch which indicates they continue to play hard for 1st year head coach Matt Ruhle. Additionally, despite the Panthers going just 2-3 in their previous 5 road games, the covered on all 5 of those occasions. Bet on Carolina plus the points. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
Oregon @ USC 8:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Oregon +3.5 (5*) Oregon takes the place of Washington in this PAC-12 Title Game after the Huskies were bombarded with COVID-19 issues. In my professional opinion, the game becomes more appealing with the Ducks involved and they will matchup better against USC than Washington would have. USC is 5-0 but 3 of their wins against UCLA, Arizona, and Arizona State came by way of a winning score with less than a minute to play. Without some fortunate luck that came their way, the Trojans came very easily be 2-3 at this juncture. This line speaks volumes as well. We have an undefeated team playing on their home field as a small favorite vessus an opponent that has lost twice in a Power 5 Conference Championship game. Basically, the sportsbooks are telling you if this contest were played at a neutral site it would be the line would be a pick. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Chargers +3.5 (5*) The Raiders are 1-3 in their last 4 games and have virtually played themselves out of postseason consideration. Their only win in that sequence was 31-28 over the winless New York Jets by way of a miracle 45-yard Derek Carr to Henry Ruggs touchdown pass with less than 10 seconds to play. During that stretch they are allowing 37.5 points and 399.0 yards per game. Additionally, through that identical period the Raiders have committed an alarming 11 turnovers. The Raiders have been a good road team this season evidenced by a 5-2 record in that role. However, they are a dismal 1-4 during their previous 5 home games. The Chargers are a better team than their 4-9 record indicates. They have seen 7 of its 9 losses come by 8 points or fewer. One of those occurred in a 31-26 home defeat against the Raiders. That was a game statistically dominated by the Chargers as they had a 440-320 totals yards edge and 34:44 to 25:16 time of possession advantage. The Raiders are coming off a 44-27 home loss to Indianapolis in a game they were -3 in the turnover department. The Chargers are coming off a 20-17 home win over Atlanta and had a +2 turnover margin. Any NFL team (Chargers) that had a +2 or betting turnover margin in their previous game, and they are facing an opponent (Raiders) who had a -3 or worse turnover margin in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 54-26 (67.5%) straight up since 2011 and 29-9 (76.3%) straight up since 2016. Bet on the Chargers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 47 | Top | 47-42 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Browns 8:15 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: Under 47.0 (10*) These division rivals have seen the last 3 games played against one another in Cleveland all go under the total. These teams are run heavy offenses in what is now a pass happy league. The Browns have run the ball on 53.3% of their offensive plays this season while Baltimore does it at a 55.9% clip. It’s no coincidence that they rank #1 and #2 in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Conversely, Baltimore is dead last in the league in passing yards per game and Cleveland is #27 in that category. The weather forecast on Monday nigh is calling for winds of 17 to 20 MPH. That will certainly affect the teams passing games when going against the wind. Cleveland enters this game with a stellar 9-3 (.750) record. The Browns will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Baltimore in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable Monday night totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 43.0 or greater that has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those games going 22-1 (95.6%) to the under since 1980. If those home teams were an underdog of 4.0 or less this betting angle improves to a perfect 16-0 to the under since 1980. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles UNDER 43 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 0 m | Show | |
Saints @ Eagles 4:25 PM ET Game# 173-174 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) New Orleans has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 16 points or fewer on each occasion. Now they’re about to face Eagles rookie quarterback Jalen Hurts who will have his hands full against a Saints defense that allows only 288.8 yards per game which is 2nd best in the NFL. Philadelphia has gone under the total in all of its previous 6 games. Their offense has particularly struggled of late while scoring 17 points or fewer in each of their last 4 games. The Eagles defense allowed a substantial 8.7 yards per play in last Sunday’s 30-16 loss at Green Bay. However, since 2018, Philadelphia is 10-0 to the under following a game in which their defense allowed 6.0 or more yards per play. All of those contests took place with current defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz in place. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Giants +3.0 (5*) These two teams are headed in opposite directions. Arizona is 1-4 straight up and 0-5 ATS during its last 5 games. Furthermore, if not for a Hail Mary miracle pass being hauled in by Deandre Hopkins in the waning seconds versus Buffalo, Arizona would be on a current 5-game losing streak. Conversely, the Giants are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games which has them atop the NFC East. The last 3 losses they sustained all came by 3 points or fewer. Simply put, the Giants are a better team than their record indicates. The question then beckons, why are they an underdog in this game? That is certainly fair to ask. However, the red flag just isn’t bright enough for me to be scared off. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears +2 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
Texans @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 159-160 Play On: Bears +2.0 (5*) Chicago is coming off division losses to Detroit and Green Bay in their previous 2 games. They enter this week having lost 6 straight after getting off to a promising 5-1 start. As bad as things have been of late for Chicago, at 5-7 (.416) they remain in contention for the final wildcard berth in the NFC. The 4-8 Texans have no such incentive and are coming off a gut-wrenching home loss to Indianapolis last week. They turned the ball over on the Colts 2 during a 2nd and goal play with a minute left to play. Any NFL team (Bears) that has a win percentage of .400 to .490 and is coming off back-to-back losses to division opponents, versus an opponent (Texans) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, resulted in those teams going 20-5 (80%) straight up since 1983. Bet on the Bears for a 5* wager. |
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12-13-20 | Vikings +7 v. Bucs | 14-26 | Loss | -114 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Vikings +4.0 (5*) The Vikings have won 5 of their last 6 to even their record at 6-6. They currently are tied for the final NFC Wildcard spot. Minnesota has been good on the road thus far while going 3-1 straight and 4-0 ATS. Their lone road defeat came by the narrowest of margins 27-26 at Seattle. On the other side of the table, the overly hyped Bucs have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home. This one will go right down to the wire and the betting value lies with the underdog in this spot. Bet on the Vikings plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 15-33 | Win | 100 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Virginia Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*) This opening line and the ensuing movement make little if any sense at all. When that occurs, I am notorious for taking a contrarian approach and being right a lot more times than not. Virginia enters this rivalry game having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Conversely, Virginia Tech is 0-4 SU&ATS in its previous 4 contests. Yet it’s the Hokies who opened as a 1.5-point home favorite and that line has since moved to 2.5. They are begging you to take the hot team as an underdog. I see it as a trap. Virginia Tech will be playing with revenge stemming from last season’s loss at Virginia 39-30. That defeat ended a 15- game Virginia Tech win streak over Virginia. Nevertheless, the Hokies still have a 10-game home unbeaten streak against their instate rival. Bet on Virginia Tech for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | USC v. UCLA +3 | 43-38 | Loss | -113 | 48 h 50 m | Show | |
USC @ UCLA 7:30 PM ET Game# 421-422 Play On: UCLA +3.0 (5*) One team (USC/4-0) isn’t as good as their record indicates. The other (UCLA/3-2) is better than its record shows. The Trojans needed a bit of luck and improbable occurrences to occur in their first 2 games against Arizona and Arizona State. UCLA lost to currently unbeaten Colorado in their season opener. They also were narrowly defeated at Oregon 38-35 in a game they were a sizable 18-point underdog. They are a confident bunch heading into this matchup of teams playing for city bragging rights. Bet on UCLA plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Boise State v. Wyoming +11.5 | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 46 h 7 m | Show | |
Boise State @ Wyoming 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Wyoming +11.5 (5*) Wyoming is coming off an upset loss at New Mexico 17-16. On a positive note, they have gone 2-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. This will only the 2nd home game for the Cowboys. They were an easy 31-7 winner over Hawaii in their home opener in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. Playing a game in Laramie, Wyoming during the 2nd week of December is pretty much unchartered waters. The team who able to run the ball most effectively is likely to get the cover. I like Wyoming’s chances to do so and in turn makes them a viable home underdog betting value in this spot. Play on Wyoming plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-20 | Wisconsin -2 v. Iowa | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 1 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 3:30 PM ET Game# 385-386 Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (10*) This opening line and the following substantial line movement really caught my eye. Wisconsin opened as a 3.0-point road underdog and at the time of this writing they have moved all the way to a 2.0-point road favorite. Of curse I checked Iowa’s injury list and COVID-19 situation to see if something within those categories prompted this large of a move but there was nothing of the sort. Iowa enters this contest on a 5- game win streak. However, their wins have come over 5 Big 10 Conference opponents that enter this week with a cumulative 10-20 record and all currently have losing records. Wisconsin has lost 2 straight and scored only a combined 13 points in those defeats. However, they were plagued by 7 turnovers committed during those 2 games. Another words, they stopped themselves more so than opposing defenses did. On a positive note, the 2-2 Badgers have been outstanding on defense while allowing a mere 12.3 points and 229.3yards per game. Iowa is solid offensively, but they are far from a juggernaut. Bet on Wisconsin for a 10* Top Play. |
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12-12-20 | Georgia v. Missouri +13.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show | |
Georgia @ Missouri 12:10 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Missouri +13.5 (5*) Let me start by saying that Georgia is unequivocally the more talented team in this matchup. However, the Bulldogs had higher aspirations before the season began than what they have attained heading into their regular season finale. Yes, they are 6-2, but they won’t be playing in the SEC Title Game and or the College Football 4-Team Playoff which was their main 2 goals. Conversely, Missouri has rebounded from an 0-2 start to win 5 of its last 6 games. By doing so they catapulted themselves into the AP Poll Top 25. Since losing their home opener to #1 Alabama, Miami has won 4 straight at home. This will be a Tigers team that will be highly motivated and inspired. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 45 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) New England has seen each of their previous 4 contests go under the total and they allowed a mere 15.3 points per game. Don’t get mislead by the 45 points they scored on the road versus the Chargers last week. The Patriots only accounted for 291 yards of offense despite that high scoring output. Since 2018, New England is 7-1 to the under in the second of back-to-back road games. Those 8 contests had a combined average of only 33.9 points scored per game. The Rams are coming off a 38-28 win at Arizona last week. Since 2018, they have played 11-3 to the under following a road win. The Rams have one of the top defenses in the NFL and this season’s statistics will validate that claim. The Rams have seen all 5 of their home games go under the total this season and there was a combined average of only 35.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Washington @ Pittsburgh 5:00 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) Washington has allowed a mere 17.7 points per game throughout their previous 6 contests. Conversely, Pittsburgh has allowed only 11.5 points per game over their previous 4 outings. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is #3 in total defense and Washington is #4. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Giants +11 v. Seahawks | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show | |
Giants @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET The Giants have won 3 straight and are a +7 in the turnover department while doing so. On the other side of the coin, Seattle is at a -5 turnover differential throughout their previous 4 games. Despite starting quarterback Daniel Jones being sidelined, you can do a lot worse than veteran Colt McCoy as your backup. Besides, the Giants running game has been on fire over their previous 6 games while averaging 142 rushing yards per contest. The biggest improvement for the Giants from a season ago has undoubtedly been their defense. They have held 7 of their first 11 opponents to 22 points or fewer, and that includes 4 times when they surrendered exactly 17 points. Additionally, since 2018, the Giants are an extremely profitable 15-3 ATS as a road underdog. The Giants last 4 losses this season were all one possesion games and came by only a combined 14 points. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Browns +5.5 v. Titans | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
Cleveland @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Tennessee will be feeling their oats after blowing out Indianapolis 45-26 last week. Cleveland has quietly gone 8-3 this season and is right in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race. The Titans will have the best running back on the field in Derrick Henry. However, the Browns have arguably the best 1-2 punch at running back in the NFL with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Browns will be able to run the ball effectively against a suspect Titans defense. That will be the key to us keeping the game close throughout and I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Browns won this game straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons +3 | 21-16 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET This game appears to be the sucker play of the week. Bettors will be line up to take the Saints who are riding a current 8-game win streak over a 4-7 Falcons team. However, Atlanta has gone 4-2 since interim head coach Raheem Morris has taken over for the fired Dan Quinn. They have progressively improved on defense during this successful run. Ask yourself this, why is Atlanta just a 3.0-point underdog given the disparity of these teams records? I trust the oddmakers to set a honest and accurate line. Bet on Atlanta plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-20 | Colts v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Houston 1:00 PM ET Houston is coming off a 41-25 win over Detroit. That win improved their season record to 4-7 (.363). Indianapolis is coming off a 45-26 loss to Tennessee. The combination of these results provides with a NFL betting angle which has won 85.1% of the time since 2011. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .363 or better that's coming off a win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or worse, and that opponent (Indy) is coming off a loss by 14 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 63-11 (85.1%) straight up since 2011. |
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12-05-20 | Fresno State +6.5 v. Nevada | 26-37 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Fresno State @ Nevada 9:00 PM ET Nevada is coming off their first defeat of the season in a 24-21 upset loss at Hawaii which spoiled their surprising 5-0 start. Fresno Sate also suffered their only loss to Hawaii in their season opener. However, since that time they've gone 3-0 SU&ATS and won by 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs also haven't played since 11/14 due to a pair of COVID-19 related cancellations. The positive thing to take away from that layoff is they should be fresh and relatively healthy. Fresno will also be out to reveng last season's 35-28 home loss to Nevada. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I won't get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Fresno State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-20 | BYU -10 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina @ BYU 5:30 PM ET This is a situation that I have to trust my eyes and professional intuition. I firmly believe that BYU could have at the very least competed for a title in any Power 5 Conference if afforded the oppotunity. Regarding strength of schedules neither of these teams rates highly. However, my personal eye test indicates that BYU is the more physical team on both sides of the ball and especially so on the interior line. BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is an NFL quarterback waiting to happen. Coastal Carolina relies heavily on their run game to move the ball with 65% of their offensive plays this season being rushing attempts. Conversely, BYU allows a mere 88 yards per game on the ground and just 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. This line speaks volumes to me with the #9 Cougars as a double-digit road favorite against the #14 and undefeated Coastal Carolina. Bet on BYU minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ TCU 5:00 PM The Oklahoma State defense that looked so stout at the beginning of the season has exponentially regressed of late. Specifically, they allowed 41 points or greater in 3 of its last 4 games. The #19 Cowboys are 2-2 in their previous 4 games and failed to cover on each occasion. After starting 1-3, TCU has rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 games. They are coming off a 59-23 blowout win over Kansas. Any college football home team playing after Game 7 of their season, and is coming off a conference win by 35 points or more, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) that is not undefeated, resulted in those home teams going 45-4 (91.8%) straight up since 2017. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it supports the home underdog in this contest. Bet on TCU for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-20 | Memphis +3 v. Tulane | 21-35 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Tulane 12:00 PM ET Memphis is coming off wins by scored of 56-14 and 10-7 during their previous 2 games. Conversely, Tulane is coming off a 30-24 loss to Tulsa. The combination of those 3 results sets up a an unblemished straight up betting angle displayed below. Any college football road team (Memphis) coming off 2 straight games in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, and they are facing a conference opponent (Tulane) coming off a loss by 6 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 24-0 straight up since 2013. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Buccaneers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Tampa Bay +3.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has been a resilient team thus far. Despite their somewhat disappoing 6-4 record thus far, they have shown an ability to bounce back strong from a poor performance. The Bucs are coming off a Monday night 27-24 home loss to the Rams in a game they were only able to muster 251 yards of offense. However, Tampa Bay has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by an enormous 21.7 points per game. Included in those 3 wins was a 38-10 rout of the 7-3 Green Bay Packers. I may be in the minority and that’s okay when I say that Tampa Bay may matchup better against Kansas City than any other NFC team. They have an outstanding wide receiver corps, quality tight ends, and running back Ronald Jones is having a career year. Their defense is #1 against the run for 2 seasons running, #6 in total yards allowed, and #4 in sacks with 32. Their linebackers are extremely athletic and that always helps when facing a mobile quarterback, the caliber of Patrick Mahomes. If the Chiefs have a weakness it has been their ineffectiveness in consistently stopping opposing running games. They rank #27 in that specific category while allowing 133.5 yards per game. The combination of Jones and Leonard Fournette are more than capable of exposing that potential weakness. That will open up the play action passing game for Tom Brady and his star-studded wide receivers. |
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11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Under 49.5 (5*) Arizona has gone 4-0-1 to the under in their 5 road games this season. Conversely, New England has gone 4-1 to the under in their home games and there were just a combined 40.5 points scored per contest. Arizona is coming off a 28-21 loss to Seattle in their previous game which dropped its season record to 6-4 (.600). New England is coming off a 27020 loss at Houston last Sunday in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. That defeat dropped the Patriots record to 4-6 (.400). This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below. Any team with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that is coming off an away favorite straight up loss and is playing after Game 9 of their season, versus an opponent that has a win percentage of .666 or worse, and that opponent allowed 35 points or fewer in its last game, resulted in those contests going 26-4 (86.7%) to the under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Titans v. Colts -3 | 45-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Titans @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Colts -3.0 (5*) Both teams have almost identical offensive statistics when it comes to points scored and yards gained per game, It is not the case defensively where Indianapolis surrenders 98 yards per game less than a the porous Titans stop unit. These teams met just recently on 11/12 and the Colts dominated that contest while coming away with a 34-17 road win and outgaining Tennessee 430-294 in total yards. Under the tutelage of head coach Frank Reich, the Colts are 8-1 straight up and 7-1-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.0 or less and outscored the opposition by 10.0 points per contest. Bet on the Colts minus the points for 5* wager. |
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11-29-20 | Dolphins v. Jets +7 | 20-3 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Jets +7.0 (5*) There are times you need to make uncomfortable picks to be a successful sports handicapper. This is a prime example of such. Yes the Dolphins are 6-4 and the Jets 0-10. However, this is a Miami team which has thrived in in underdog role for the most part this season. As a matter of fact, this will be only a 2nd time they will be a road favorite. The first was last week at Denver and they failed miserable during a 20-13 defeat as a 4.0-point chalk. It was their first loss in 6 games. Miami exceeded more than 300 yards of total offense just once over their previous 5 games, and even then, it was just 312 in their upset win at Arizona. Furthermore, they were able to produce just 212 yards of total offense last week in Denver against a Broncos defense which allowed an average of 36.0 points per game during its previous 4 contests. The Dolphins have created ways to score points through their defense and special teams. They must certainly be commended for that. Nonetheless, it is highly improbable to be sustainable over a course of an entire season. The Jets have been brutal this season and there is no way to sugarcoat it. However, they have covered 2 of their previous 3 games with the lone exception coming against defending world champion Kansas City. They also will see their starting quarterback Sam Darnold return on Sunday after being sideline for a couple of weeks due to injury. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -14.5 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
LSU @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Texas A&M -14.5 (10*) Thee first college football playoff rankings came out this week and 5-1 Texas A&M is #5. The Aggies can justify their ranking with a decisive win over defending national champion LSU on Saturday night. LSU is a mediocre 3-3 and is a shell of the team they were a season ago. The Tigers are coming off a gratifying 27-24 win at Arkansas. However, they are 0-2 SU&ATS this season following a win and allowed a combined 93 points in those losses to Missouri and Auburn. As a matter of fact, LSU has allowed 44 points or more and 506 yards or greater in all 3 of their losses this season. They will be facing a Texas A&M offense which has averaged 39.8 points scored and 460.0 yards gained during their current 4-gamee win streak. The Aggies only loss this season came at the hands of #1 Alabama. Texas A&M will also be out to revenge a humiliating 50-7 loss at LSU last season. The Aggies will enter this game with plenty of rest as they take the field for a first time in 3 weeks. Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-20 | Rutgers v. Purdue -11 | 37-30 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
Rutgers @ Purdue 4:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5*) After starting the season with what was then a huge upset win at Michigan State, Rutgers has preceded to lose its next 4 games. The latest of which was a gut wrenching 48-42 home loss in overtime versus Michigan in a game they squandered a 17-0 lead. After winning their first 2 games, Purdue has lost 2 straight by narrow to #11 Northwestern 27-20, and then last week at Minnesota 34-31 in a game they outgained the Golden Gophers by 98 yards. The Boilermakers will be reenergized on Saturday with star wide receiver Rondell Moore back into the mix. In his season debut at Minnesota last week, Moore amassed 15 receptions for 116 yards. If there was a silver lining during his absence it was fellow wide receiver David Bell who has hauled in 39 catches for 425 yards and 6 touchdowns during the Boilermakers first 4 games. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Auburn v. Alabama -24 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 229-230 Play On: Alabama -24.0 (5*) The Crimson Tide will also be playing with big time revenge due to a 48-45 loss at Auburn last year. The Auburn defensive unit has not been the dominant force they were in recent years evidence by the allowing 402.9 yards per game. The Tigers stop unit will bee facing an Alabama offense that averages 49.4 points scored and 548.6 yards gained per game. After a shaky start to the season, the Crimson Tide defense has been dominant over their previous 3 outings while allowing 6.7 points and 227.0 yards per game. Alabama enters this week 7-0 and as the top ranked team in the country. Additionally, there last 3 wins have com by 31 points or mor and they outscored those opponents by an enormous margin of 152-20. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 21.5 to 31.0 that is coming off 3 straight wins by 21 points or more and is playing after Game 5 of their season, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State +0.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State 12:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Georgia State (Pick) (5*) This line jumped off the page at me when I saw 4-4 Georgia State open as a small favorite versus a Georgia Southern team that is 6-3. Upon further investigation, mainly through my trusted and powerful 4D handicapping software, it certainly made sense. Georgia State is coming off a 31-14 away win over South Alabama and easily covered as a 3.5-point favorite. Georgia State enters this week having gone 14-14 straight up in their last 28 home games. This creates a powerful college football betting angle listed below. Any college football conference pick or favorite of 13.5 or less that is playing after Game 8 of their season, and they are coming off a an away favorite ATS win in which it covered by 4.0 or more, and they have won 13 or more of their last 28 at home, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) with a win percentage of .444 or better, resulted in those home teams going 26-1 straight up (96.3%) and 24-3 ATS (88.9%) since 2017. Bet on Georgia State for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-20 | Maryland +12 v. Indiana | 11-27 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 191-192 Play On: Maryland +12.0 (5*) Maryland is coming off straight up wins in their previous 2 games and both came as a double-digit underdog. This will also be a Maryland team which that is playing its first game in 3 weeks on Saturday following 2 straight cancellations due to positive COVID-19 tests. On the other hand, Indiana is coming off an emotional 7-point loss at Ohio State in a game they were a large 21.0-points underdog. The Hoosiers also expended a ton of emotional energy while rallying and nearly overcoming a 35-7 second half deficit. Prior to that they had knocked off long-time nemesis Michigan State and Michigan. Up next for the #12 Hoosiers is a date at #18 Wisconsin. Can you say flat spot? Maryland is coming off 2 consecutive wins which improved their season record to 2-1 (.667). They will be facing an Indiana team coming off a 42-35 loss at #3 Ohio State. This sets up an outstanding college football betting angle that is shown below. Any college football away underdog of 8.0 to 14.0 with a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Indiana) coming off a conference loss by 7 points or fewer, and that opponent (Indiana) also has a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-3 ATS (85%) since 2000. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-27-20 | Oregon v. Oregon State +13.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Oregon State 7:30 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Oregon State +13.5 (5*) Despite their 1-2 record, Oregon State appears to me as an improved team compared to what we witnessed in recent seasons. Oregon State has averaged a respectable 26.4 points scored and 354 yards gained per game. Conversely, notwithstanding of their #9 ranking and 3-0 record, Oregon has shown a vulnerability defensively. The Ducks defense has allowed their first 3 opponents to rack up an average of 432.0 yards per game. Oregon State is also coming off a momentum building 31-27 home win over California in their previous outing in a game they were a 1.0-point underdog. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3 | 41-16 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Dallas -3.0 (5*) Dallas is coming off a 31-28 upset win at Minnesota last Sunday in a game they closed as a 7.5-point underdog. That win improved the Cowboys season record to 3-7 (.300). Washington is coming off a 20-9 win over Cincinnati this past Sunday. That victory made their record also 3-7 (.300). Any NFL favorite of 3.0 to 11.0 (Dallas) who possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 30 points or greater and covered by 3.0 or more, versus an opponent (Washington) with a win percentage of .166 or better, and that opponent scored 20 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 2014. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 17.0 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions UNDER 51.5 | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Texans @ Lions 12:30 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Under 51.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 20-0 loss at Carolina last week in a game in which they were a 3.0-point favorite. This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below. Any NFL home team with a total of 52.0 or less that is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 28-1 (96.6%) to the under since 2016. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rams @ Buccaneers 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) The Rams have gone under in their last 6 contests and there were just a combined 37.3 points scored per contest. The Rams are #5 in total offense but just #17 in points scored per game. Despite having a plethora of talent at the offensive skilled positions, Tampa Bay is just #17 in total offense. Both these defenses are vastly underrated units. The Rams are #1 in total defense while Tampa Bay is #3. Both teams have heavily applied consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks with the Rams amassing 32 sacks thus far and Tampa Bay with 31. The Rams are #2 in points allowed while Tampa Bay is a more than respectable #9. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Packers v. Colts -1 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Indianapolis 4:25 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Indianapolis -1.0 (5*) The difference in this game will be the Colts defense which is far superior compared to the Green Bay stop unit. Indianapolis is #1 in total defense (290.4 YPG), #4 in point allowed (19.7 PG), 2nd against the pass (19.7 YPG), and 3rd against the run (91.8 YPG). Green Bay is 7-2 but has been a beneficiary of a soft schedule with 7 of those contests coming against teams which currently have a losing record. The Colts are coming off a huge divisional 34-17 win at Tennessee in their previous game. That contest was played on a Thursday night and they will have an additional 3 days of rest than Green Bay has been afforded. Since 2018, the Colts are a perfect 5-0 straight up in non-division home games following a contest against a division opponent, and all with Frank Reich as their head coach. Conversely, Green Bay is coming off a home win over Jacksonville last Sunday. Since 2018, the Packers are 3-7 straight up in away games following a home win, and that includes 0-4 if their line was +3.0 to -3.0. Considering what this current point-spread is, those recent team trends take on added significance. Bet on Indianapolis for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Cleveland 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Cleveland -2.0 (5*) The Eagles are 1-3 SU&ATS on the road this season. Philadelphia is also 0-3 this season against teams which currently have a winning record like Cleveland (6-3). The Eagles defense has allowed 148 yards rushing per game and 4.8 yards per attempt over its last 3 outings. That will be problematic considering they are facing a running team in Cleveland led by star running back Nick Chubb and a superb backup in Kareem Hunt. I also look for the Cleveland defense to force a minimum 2 turnovers in this contest which will be critical to the outcome of this contest. The Eagles have committed 7 turnovers in their first 9 games of the season and are at a -7 margin in that department. Bet on Cleveland for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -5 | 30-24 | Loss | -121 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Baltimore -5.0 (5*) After getting off to a 5-0 start, Tennessee has dropped 3 of its last 4 games. In all 3 of those losses the Titans had less than 300 yards of total offense and now they are about to face one of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Additionally, Tennessee has been porous defensively as evidenced by them giving up 398.1 yards per game. The Titans are 2-1 on the road by all 3 contests came against team who currently have a losing record, and their 2 wins came by just a combined 3 points. Baltimore will be in a sour mood after losing at New England last Sunday night in front of a national television audience. Furthermore, the Ravens will be playing with big time revenge after being upset at home against Tennessee last season during the AFC Divisional Round. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-22-20 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team -1 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington -1.0 (10*) For starters, Cincinnati is an abysmal 0-16-1 straight up during their last 17 away games. Considering what this point-spread is, it would be difficult to ignore the Bengals most recent futility on the road. Cincinnati will be facing a vastly underrated Washington defense which goes overlooked because of its current 2-7 record. However, the Washington stop unit ranks #7 in yards allowed per game (320.7), #5 in sacks with 28, and surrenders an NFL best 194.7 yards passing per game. What has been even more encouraging for Washington backers is their team has shown some life offensively of late. During their last 3 outing, Washington has averaged 24 points scored and 421 yards gained per game. Veteran 36-year-old quarterback Alex Smith made his first start in a 27-24 loss at Detroit last Sunday. He was magnificent in going 38-55 for 390 yards passing. His story is well documented and serves as an additional inspiration for a team that is still in contention for a NFC East Division title. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 7:30 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Oklahoma State +7.0 This will be the toughest defense that Oklahoma would have faced this season. The Cowboys have allowed 21 points or fewer in 5 of its 6 games this season. The only exception came in their lone loss which came in overtime versus Texas. The Oklahoma State offense has been as high scoring as we have seen under head coach Mike Gundy, but still has gained a sizable 461 yards or more in 3 of its last 4 games. Spence Sanders is a better than average quarterback and star running back Chuba Hubbard is an absolute stud. The Oklahoma defense has shown improvement from a season ago but at the same time remains vulnerable. The Sooners have allowed 37 points or greater on 3 separate occasion this year and 400 yards or more 4 times. Oklahoma State has gone a profitable 3-1 ATS in their last 4 visits to Norman. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Liberty v. NC State -3.5 | Top | 14-15 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Liberty @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: NC State -3.5 (10*) If NC State even contemplated taking Liberty lightly all they need to do is use Virginia Tech as a lesson not to do so. Liberty went into Blacksburg earlier this season and defeated Virginia Tech 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog. This certainly will be a bigger game for upstart Liberty while seeking their 2nd win over a Power 5 Conference school this season. However, NC State has unequivocally played the tougher schedule and combined with my previous point made should have no excuse on Saturday to come up with nothing less than a huge effort. Liberty is coming off a 58-14 blowout win over West Carolina and that improved their season record to 8-0. Conversely, Virginia Tech is coming off a 38-22 win over Florida State which now makes them 5-3 this season. The combination of this data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 2.0 or more that has at least 1 loss on the season, and they scored 22 points or greater during its previous game, versus an undefeated opponent that is playing after Game 8 of their season who allowed 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was 20.3 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-21-20 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
Wisconsin @ Northwestern 3:30 PM ET Game# 395-396 Play On: Northwestern +7.5 (5*) Northwestern is off to a 4-0 start which includes quality road wins at Iowa and Purdue. Wisconsin has played only 2 games due to COVID-19 outbreaks but has been extremely impressive in win over Illinois 45-7 and Michigan 49-11. However, Northwestern has held their own against Wisconsin over the past 25 years. Since 1995, Northwestern has gone 14-5 ATS against the Badgers and won 9 of those 19 encounters straight up. As a matter of fact, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS and 3-3 straight up in their last 6 games versus Wisconsin and all under the watchful eye of current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats have allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their 4 games and all have come against fellow Big 10 Conference teams. They have also forced an impressive 10 turnovers during those 4 wins. Northwestern will be able to stay in this game throughout due to the stellar play of their stingy defense. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this game, but I will not be greedy or foolish and take the points. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Central Florida +6.0 (5*) This will be unequivocally the best defense that UCF has faced this season. Conversely, this will also be the most dymamic offense that Cincinnati has faced so far. As a matter of fact, UCF is # in the country in total offense while gaining 619.1 yards per game. Another factor to consider in the speed of which the UCF offense plays. The Golden Knights average an enormous 87 offensive plays per game. On the other hand, the most offensive plays that the Cincinnati defense has been asked to defend this season was 85 against SMU. As a matter of fact, Cincinnati opponents this season have averaged only 71 offensive plays per game against them. Central Florida is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Temple in their previous game. Since 2017, the Golden Knights have gone 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Furthermore, UCF enters this week having won 25 straight home games against all team not named Tulsa. Finally, my wild card is this contest will be Central Florida quarterback Dillon Gabriel. The left-handed sophomore is averaging a plentiful 396.3 passing yards per game while throwing for 23 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-21-20 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -4 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Coastal Carolina -4.0 (5*) Coastal Carolina is coming off a 23-6 conference win over South Alabama. That win improved their season record to a perfect 7-0. Appalachian State enters this week on a 5-game win streak and their last 4 all came against fellow Sun Belt Conference teams. Any college football conference home favorite of 3.5 to 9.0 that is coming off a conference win, and owns a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better that is coming off 3 or more wins in a row including the most recent one coming against a conference opponent, resulted in those home favorites going an outstanding 50-13 ATS (79.3%) since 1997. Bet on Coastal Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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