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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys -2 v. Rams | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 37 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Cowboys -2.0 (5*) I believe this will be a great season for Dallas under former Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy who takes mover for the ousted Jason Garrett. Despite Dallas going just 8-8 last season and vastly underachieving, they open their 2020-2021 campaign as a road favorite against an opponent who was 9-7 last year. NFL betting history has proven then when these rare types of situations occur, the road favorite has enjoyed a high degree of success. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Patriots | 11-21 | Loss | -140 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Dolphins +7.5 (5*) After getting off to a horrendous 0-7 start last season in which they were not competitive on most occasions, the Dolphins did not quit on first year head coach Brian Flores and went 5-4 in their last 9 games. One of those 5 victories came in their regular season finale when they upset New England as a 16.5-point road underdog. That Patriots loss cost them a #1 seed and 1st round bye. Miami is 3-2 in their last 5 against New England and all 3 wins came as an underdog of 9.0 or greater. The Dolphins will be in this game throughout and I would not be shocked to see an outright upset. However, I will take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on the Dolphins plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-13-20 | Packers v. Vikings -1 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -128 | 37 h 19 m | Show |
Packers @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Vikings -1.0 (10*) I am not impressed whatsoever with the 2020-2021 version of the Green Bay Packers. The oddsmakers must agree because after a 13-3 2019-2020 regular season their win total this year was set at 9.5. They lack quality depth at wide receiver. I also question their recent draft and the lack of moves to upgrade the roster during this past offseason. For starters, since 2015, Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 22-7 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 or less, and that includes 13-1 ATS in the first 7 games of the season. Additionally, the Vikings are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 home openers. Considering the small point-spread they are being asked to cover, it makes for an attractive betting value on the home favorite. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-12-20 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State -12 | 16-13 | Loss | -117 | 56 h 35 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Florida State 3:30 PM ET Game# 399-400 Play On: Florida State -12.0 (5*) Geoff Collins begins his 2nd season as the head coach of Georgia Tech. Collins is slowly transitioning his spread offense from the triple option attack that was employed during the Paul Johnson era. The Yellowjackets were 3-9 a season ago which included a loss to Citadel and 6 other defeats by 16 points or greater. They do have 9 returning starters on offense. However, that unit was among the worst nationally in many statistical categories. Florida State is an experienced team with a terrific young new head coach in Mike Norvell who comes over from Memphis. Norvell has proven to be a brilliant offensive mind and he inherits 7 returning offensive starters. The Seminoles also return 10 defensive starters and that type of continuity is sure to pay dividends early on. Especially when considering the shortened offseason because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Florida State finished 6-7 a season ago which marked a second consecutive losing season which was preceded by 42 straight winning campaigns. I look for Florida State to be back on its way to prominence and it starts with an emphatic statement on Saturday. Any college football conference home favorite of 7.0 to 14.5-points that is playing in their season opener, and they won 6 or more games the year before, versus an opponent who won 4 or fewer games during the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. More importantly, the average margin of victory in those 5 contests was 33.0 points per game. Bet on Florida State minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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09-12-20 | Arkansas State v. Kansas State -12.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
Arkansas State @ Kansas State 12;00 PM ET Game# 427-428 Play On: Kansas State -12.5 (10*) Arkansas State hung tough last week at Memphis last week in a 37-24 loss in which they covered as a 17.0-point underdog. However, they allowed the quick strike Memphis offense to have 34 minutes in time of possession. They also allowed Memphis to rack up 502 yards of total offense in that contest. That is not good news since Kansas State was one of the best teams nationally in time of possession last season. Furthermore, since 2015, Arkansas State is 0-6 SU&ATS after their season opener as a non-conference away underdog. The average line in those 6 contests was 17.5 and they lost by an average of 34.8 points per game. Since 2017, Kansas Sate is 3-0 SU&ATS as a non-conference home favorite when facing an opponent from a Group of 5 Conference. The average line in those 3 contests was 25.7 and the Wildcats won by 41.3 points per game. Kansas State will be a tad bit inexperienced on offense, but they do have a good one in senior dual threat quarterback Skyler Thomson who passed for 2315 yards while also running 405 yards and 11 touchdowns. Play on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 56 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET Game# 415-416 Play On: UL-Lafayette +11.5 (5*) This game has trap written all over it. We have the #23 ranked Power 5 Conference school like Iowa State Cyclone as just an 11.5-point home favorite versus a team from the lowly Sun Belt Conference. However, when digging deeper the picture becomes a wee bit clearer. Iowa State is coming off a disappoint 7-6 season in which they had high expectations. UL-Lafayette went 11-3 a season ago with 2 of their losses coming against national ranked Sun Belt champ Appalachian State and the other in their season opener versus Mississippi State. The Rajun Cajuns return senior quarterback Levi Lewis who passed for over 3000 yards last season and their top two running that combined to rush for 1967 yards. I like the Rajun Cajuns to take this game right down to the wire and an outright upset would not shock me in the least. But we will gladly take the points as an added bonus. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 20-34 | Push | 0 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
Houston @ Kansas City 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.0 (10*) These teams met twice last season and both games went over the total with a combined average of 68.5 points scored per contest. This game will feature two of the most exciting quarterbacks the NFL has to offer in Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson. Watson threw for 3852 yards and 26 touchdowns last season. He added an additional 635 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 postseason games. That includes 388 yards and 2 touchdowns passing in the AFC Divisional Round 51-31 loss at Kansas City. Watson also ran for 413 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 regular season games. During 30 regular season starts over the past 2 regular season, During the past 2 regular seasons, Patrick Mahomes has combined to throw for an astronomical 9128 yards and 76 touchdowns. During that identical time span, Mahomes also ran for 490 yards and 4 touchdowns. Although Mahomes is not the running threat that Watson is, he is still very mobile and has an uncanny ability to extend plays with that attribute. The Chiefs have gone over in their last 5 home openers and there was a combined 57.6 points scored per contest. The Texans defense was a huge liability a season ago and that was further exposed in their 2 postseason games against Buffalo and Kansas City. I see nothing to suggest there has been any offseason changes made that would indicate any significant improvement. Houston was 28 in total defense last season while allowing an enormous 388.3 yards per game. Kansas City was in the middle of the pack when it came to defensive statistics. Since 2008, any NFL home favorite of 1.5 or great that is playing in their first 3 games of the season, and there is a total of 52.0 to 55.5, has gone 13-1 (92.9%) over the total. There was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-10-20 | UAB v. Miami-FL -14 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 46 m | Show | |
UAB @ Miami Fla. 8:00 PM ET Game# 393-394 Play On: Miami Fla. -14.0 (5*) UAB is coming off an uninspiring 45-35 home win over Central Arkansas last Thursday. The Blazers are coming off a successful 9-5 season in 2019 which saw them lose 49-6 to Florida Atlantic in the CUSA Championship Game. When researching further, UAB had 7 wins over FBS opponents last season that finished with a combined 15-69 record. Additionally, they also squeaked out a 24-19 home win over Alabama State team that plays at the FCS level and finished last season with a 5-6 record. In their last 4 losses last season they were outscored by an enormous margin of 147-32. The Blazers do return 18 starters but sometimes experience can be deceiving and especially so when stepping up in class to play a Power 5 Conference team on the road. Miami is coming off last year’s disappointing 6-6 regular season. However, all 6 losses came by 10 points or fewer and an average of 6.2-points per game. The most disheartening defeat came in a 14-0 bowl game loss to Louisiana Tech. What has been sorely missing for Miami in recent years has been consistent productivity at quarterback. Well that is about to change with redshirt senior D’Eriq King a transfer from Houston. During his only full season as the starting quarterback at Houston in 2018, king completed 63.5% of his passes for 2982 yards, 36 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He also ran for 675 yards and 14 touchdowns. As a matter of fact, during the previous 3 seasons at Houston, King threw for 50 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions and ran for an additional 28 scores. Despite going a mediocre 13-13 the past 2 seasons, Miami was still able to haul in the 13th best recruiting class nationally in 2020. Bet on Miami Fla. Minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-20 | BYU v. Navy +1 | Top | 55-3 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
BYU @ Navy 8:00 ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Navy +1.0 (10*) BYU recently had 10 of their originally scheduled 12 games cancelled to reasons pertaining to COVID-19. Their schedule has been reduced from 12 to 8 games. As a result, the coaching staff and players were just notified a few weeks ago that they would be traveling cross country to play Navy in Annapolis, Maryland. Instead of having an entire offseason to prepare for the highly efficient Navy triple option rushing attack, they had all of 3 weeks to do so. That certainly is not an easy task since it will be extremely difficult to simulate the efficiency and speed that the Navy offense operates at. Besides the short preparation time for BYU, they will also be facing a Navy team that went 11-2 last season with their only 2 defeats coming against #17 Memphis and #12 Notre Dame which both took place on the road. The Midshipmen also defeated #22 Air Force (11-2) and SMU (10-3). Navy finished at #20 in the final 2019-2020 AP Poll. Navy has gone 29-4 in their last 33 at home. Furthermore, the Midshipmen are 12-0 in their last 12 at home against non-conference opponents. Bet on Navy for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 74 | 24-37 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas State @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 74.0 (5*) This is an extremely high total and for good reason. Both teams have experienced and proven quarterbacks in Brady White of Memphis and Arkansas State’s Logan Bonner. As a matter of fact, Bonner went down with an injury early last year which was the season ending variety and his backup Layne Hatcher ended up with over 3,000 yards passing while filling in as a redshirt-freshmen. Arkansas State has 9 returning starters from an offense that averaged 33.9 points and 439.9 yards per game in 2019. Memphis di lose their top 3 receivers from last year but they were very deep at that position with underclassmen. The Tigers did receive a huge blow when Heisman hopeful running back Kenneth Gainwell opted out this week for COVID-19 concerns. Nevertheless, his absence won’t be felt nearly as much in this spot than it will be during conference action. The weakness of both teams is clearly on the defensive side of the ball. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
San Francisco vs. Kansas City 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 54.5 (5*) You can make a strong case for San Francisco's defense being the best in the NFL. They were #2 in total yards allowed (281.8 YPG), #1 against the pass (169.2 YPG), #8 scoring (19.4 PPG), and #5 in sacks (48). During their two playoff wins over Green Bay and Minnesota, they allowed a mere 252.5 yards per game, and sacked opposing quarterbacks 9 times. Throughout their last 6 regular season games, the Chiefs allowed just 11.5 points per contest. Since 1981, this will be a 10th time in which a Super Bowl total has been 50.0 or greater, and six of the previous 9 stayed under. Tightening the Super Bowl totals betting parameters up even further uncovers even more compelling results. Since 2002, any Super Bowl with a total of 50.0 to 56.0 has seen all 4 of those contests go under, and it produced only a combined 30.5 points scored per game. The latest such example occurred last year when there was a closing total of 56.0 and New England defeated Los Angeles 13-3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
San Francisco vs. Kansas City 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: San Francisco +1.5 (10*) Despite their impressive journey to the Super Bowl, Kansas City has been a beneficiary of a pretty soft schedule. They finished their regular season slate with 6 games against teams who finished with a losing record. Furthermore, the Chiefs AFC playoff wins came against the #4 seed Houston Texans (11-7) and the #6 seed Tennessee Titans (11-7). Additionally, Kansas City had to overcome a 24-point deficit against Houston and a 10-point hole versus Tennessee. One thing is for sure, nobody can say San Francisco reached the 2020 Super Bowl by way of an undemanding schedule. Counting the NFC Playoffs, San Francisco has played seven of their previous 8 games against teams who finished with a win percentage of better than .500. They went 6-2 in those contests and 1 of their losses came by 3 at Baltimore (14-3), and the other versus an Atlanta team which finished 4-0 SU&ATS during their last 4 games. The 49ers success in running the football against Kansas City will go a long way in determining the outcome of |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Packers @ 49ers 6:40 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: 49ers -7.5 (5*) It’s awful difficult to fade Aaron Rodgers as an underdog of this size. Nonetheless, that’s exactly what I’m going to be doing. Rodgers and the Packers offense will be facing an elite San Francisco defense that held Minnesota to a mere 149 yards during a convincing 27-12 win during the NFC Divisional Round. Packers up and coming running back Aaron Jones won’t be able to run roughshod against the stout 49ers front 7. Besides Devante Adams, Green Bay has little else at wide receiver to challenge San Francisco vertically, and especially so if they are required to become one-dimensional. The combination of San Francisco’s Jimmy Garoppolo’s efficiency at quarterback and an extremely potent 49ers running game will eventually wear Green Bay’s defense down. Bet on the 49ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-19-20 | Titans +8 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -135 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
Titans @ Chiefs 3:05 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Titans +8.0 (10*) Tennessee will not be intimidated by playing in a hostile environment. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. I look for the runaway freight train called Derek Henry to continue his dominance on Sunday that he’s displayed over the past 8 games. During that stretch, Henry has rushed for over 1200 yards and 3 touchdowns. That includes a 186-yard rushing day in a 35-32 win over Kansas City on 11/10. The Chiefs defense has shown a marked improvement this year’s in comparison to the one fielded during recent seasons. However, I’m not convinced they’ll hold up in crunch time. I’m not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset although I wouldn’t be shocked if that would occur. Nevertheless, I love the Titans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6 v. LSU | 25-42 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Clemson vs. LSU (8:00 PM ET) Game# 283-284 Play On: Play On: Clemson +6.0 (5*) The Clemson Tigers have now made 5 straight college football playoff appearances and they’ll be seeking their 3rd national championship in 4 years. Furthermore, they also played in the 2016 National Championship Game where they suffered a narrow 45-40 loss to Alabama. Monday will make 4 national title games in 5 years for Clemson. They’re also a stellar 6-2 in college football playoff games. Conversely, LSU has made the college football 4-team playoff for a first time. They were extremely impressive in the 63-28 semifinal win over #4 Oklahoma. However, they’ll be up against a much better defense and team tonight that possesses plenty of big game experience. I won’t go out on a limb and call for an outright upset, but I’ll glad take the points and see it as an attractive betting value. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 67.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Clemson vs. LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Under 67.5 (10*) Although these two teams have explosive offenses, I like this game to be a lower scoring affair relative to the current total. Clemson has allowed 23 points or fewer in each of their 14 games this season and that includes 14 points or less 11 times. LSU has allowed 37 points or more 4 times, but their defense has shown a marked improvement during their previous 4 contests while allowing 16.3 points and 270.3 yards per game. The offenses will be able to mover the ball, but both defenses will get enough stops to keep this game on the lower side of the number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 45.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Packers 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Over 45.5 (10*) Weather is always a concern when games are played at Green Bay in January. It certainly will be very cold with temperatures in the low 20’s. Nevertheless, there’s 0% chance of precipitation and light winds of 5-6 MPH in the latest forecast. Both teams will have success running the ball in this contest. Subsequently, it will provide plenty of favorable opportunities via play action passing plays. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has seen 6 of his 9 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Green Bay signal caller Aaron Rodgers has witnessed 5 of his 7 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 51 | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
Texans @ Chiefs 3:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Over 51.0 (5*) These teams played each other earlier this season and Houston came away with a 31-24 road win. The Texans racked up 472 yards of total offense in that contest. Although Kansas City’s defense has vastly improved over their previous 5 games played, only 1 of those opponents finished with a winning record. Houston has electric players at the offensive skilled positions. Nevertheless, their defense is far from playoff caliber and ranks near the bottom of several NFL statistical categories. The 19 points allowed in last week’s Wildcard Round overtime win over Buffalo is a bit deceiving. The Bills amassed 425 yards of total offense in that loss and were plagued by settling for 4 field goals after an opening drive touchdown. The Chiefs offense is vastly superior to that of Buffalo and they own a more polished quarterback Patrick Mahomes compared to the Bills 2nd year starter Josh Allen. My point being, is the Houston defense won’t be as fortunate this week. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens OVER 46.5 | 28-12 | Loss | -111 | 29 h 22 m | Show | |
Titans @ Ravens 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Over 46.5 (5*) Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over as the Titans starting quarterback, they gone over the total in 9 of 11 games. During that span, Tennessee has averaged a lofty 27.6 points scored per game. Baltimore is averaging 33.2 points and 407.6 yards per game. Furthermore, Baltimore has scored 41 points or more in 4 of its last 7 games in which Lamar Jackson was their starting quarterback. Both teams possess strong running games which is always conducive to setting up effective play action pass plays. Bet on this game to go over the totals for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers OVER 44 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 44.0 (10*) The weather forecast is calling for 10 MPH winds throughout the game. That’s nothing new for San Francisco weather. Besides, both teams have very strong running games that can more than overcompensate when going against the wind. Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 5 away games this season when there’s been a total of 49.0 or less. Those 5 contests averaged a sizable 57.8 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, the Minnesota offense has been more effective on the road than at home this season which is evidenced by them averaging 26.4 points scored and 374.2 yards gained per away game. Minnesota is very good defensively. Nevertheless, it must be note, the Vikings faced 6 teams this season that finished with winning records, and they allowed them to rack up an average of 377.2 yards of total offense per game. San Francisco finished the regular season by going over in their final 4 contests and there was a combined average of 64.3 points scored per game. The 49ers offense was explosive at home while averaging a robust 32.4 points scored per game. San Francisco’s defense was extremely dominant during their first 7 contests while allowing just a paltry 11.0 points per game. However, in their last 9 regular season games they allowed 25.9 points per contest and went over the total on 7 of those occasions. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* wager. |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette -14 | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami-Ohio @ UL-Lafayette 7:30 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: UL-Lafayette -14.0 (5*) Miami (8-5) somehow came away with winning the MAC championship being outgained by 74.6 yards per contest. During the Redhawks 8 games on the road or at neutral site they’ve averaged a paltry 18.5 points and 279.9 yards or total offense per game. It’s not like they had dominating defensive numbers either. In those previously mentioned road/neutral site contests, they’ve allowed 35.7 points and 429.9 yards per game. They will be facing a UL-Lafayette offense who’s averaging 38.8 points scored and 501.4 yards per game. Furthermore, ULL averages 265 yards per game on the ground. Conversely, Miami is giving up 174 yards rushing per contest. Bet on UL-Lafayette minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 5 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Eagles 4:40 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Eagles +2.5 (5*) On paper, this appears to be an easy Seattle win. However, my many experiences if it looks to easy in sports betting it rarely ever is. Let’s face it, this is a Seattle team that’s 12-4 which includes 7-1 on the road. The Eagles won the NFC East by default and they needed to win their last 4 regular season wins to do so while finishing at 9-7. It must be noted, none of those 4 wins came against a team with a winning record. Furthermore, the Eagles have been ravaged by injuries to starters on both sides of the ball. Like I said, it looks too easy, so let’s take the contrarian approach and bet the Eagles plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 49 m | Show |
Vikings @ Saints 1:05 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Vikings +9.0 (10*) Since the start of last season, New Orleans is 0-5 ATS as a home favorite after playing a division opponent in their previous game. For the record, they were at Carolina last Sunday. New Orleans did manage to win 4 of those 5 contests straight up. However, all 4 victories came by 6 points or fewer. Minnesota enters the postseason with a 10-6 record. They will be facing a Saints team which is coming off a division win at Carolina which improved their season record to 13-3 (.812). The combination of this previously mentioned data sets up an NFL betting angle which is 15-0 ATS and is displayed below. Any NFL road underdog of 10.0 or less that has a winning record and is playing after game 8 of their season, versus an opponent (Saints) with a win percentage of .750 or better and they’re coming off a division road win, resulted in those road underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2014. They also won 8 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on the Vikings plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 44 | 20-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
Titans @ Patriots 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Over 44.0 Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over at Starting quarterback, Tennessee’s offense has taken off. As a matter of fact, the Titans are 7-3 in games Tannehill has started, and 9 of those 10 contests went over the total (54.3 PPG). Nevertheless, the Titans defense is far from elite which is evidenced by the fact that they’re 21st in the NFL when it comes to yards allowed per game. New England finished the regular season by going over in each of their last 3 games. Furthermore, the Patriots have gone over in 8 of its last 9 home playoff games, and there was a cumulative 55.0 points scored per contest. New England has allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season, but they’ve shown some vulnerability down the final stretch of their regular season slate. The weather forecast is calling for light rain throughout and light wins of 5-6 MPH. Despite predicted wet conditions, there’s little to believe that will hinder either offense. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
Bills @ Texans 4:35 PM ET Game# 141-142 Play On: Bills +3.0 (10*) Houston has gone 0-5 ATS and 3-2 straight up in their last 5 games as a home favorite versus AFC teams. Their 3 straight up wins came by only a combined 7 points. The Texans defense is a huge concern heading into postseason action. During their last 5 games, Houston has allowed an average of 27.2 points and 434.6 yards per game. Granted, J.J. Watt returns after an 8-game absence while recovering from a torn pectoral issue, and that should give the defensive unit a huge emotional lift. However, I wonder just how effective Watt can be after such a long layoff. Buffalo went 6-2 straight up and 6-0-2 ATS in away games during their recently completed regular season slate. If defense wins championships, then the Bills are primed to make a deep postseason run. Buffalo is #2 in scoring defense (16.2 PPG) and #3 in Total defense (298.2 YPG). This Buffalo defense has 10 starters from last year’s 6-10 team that allowed just 13 offensive points, surrendered only 216 total yards, and sacked Deshaun Watson 7 times during a 7-point loss in 2018 at Houston. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss UNDER 57 | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Tulane vs. Southern Miss 11:30 AM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Under 57.0 (5*) Southern Miss finished their regular season slate by going under the total in each of their last 5 games. There was a combined average of 41.4 points scored per game during those 5 contests. Conversely, Tulane went under in each of their last 3 regular season games. Those trio of contests went under the total by an average of 8.5 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Boston College vs. Cincinnati 3:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Cincinnati -7.5 (5*) Despite Boston College going 6-6 and making it to a bowl game, head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the Eagles regular season slate was completed. That’s never a positive thing for team’s preparing and playing in a bowl game. Conversely, #21 Cincinnati’s (10-3) football program is stable under the guidance of head coach Luke Fickell who has guided the Bearcats to double-digit wins for a second straight season. Cincinnati’s only 3 losses came against #2 Ohio State (13-1) and twice to #19 Memphis (12-2). Bet on Cincinnati minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 41.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Under 41.5 (5*) By modern day college football standards this is a very low total. However, there’s good reason for that. Georgia has allowed just 12.5 points and 274.3 yards per game on their way to an 11-2 record. They’ve gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 games. On the other side of the coin is a Baylor team which has given up only 19.3 points per game while going 11-2. I’m calling for a defensive battle and low scoring affair in this one. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
Baylor vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Baylor +5.0 (10*) When it comes to college football bowl season handicapping, sometimes it’s a matter of what team you can bank on being more motivated. Georgia need a win in the SEC Championship Game against LSU to make the college football playoffs. However, they were throttled by LSU and thus had to settle for a Sugar Bowl invite against upstart Baylor. Baylor has enjoyed a magnificent 11-2 season to this point. The Bears only 2 losses came at the hands of #4 Oklahoma (12-2). They suffered a heartbreaking 30-23 overtime loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game which cost them a trip to the college football playoffs. They also blew a 28-3 lead at home to Oklahoma in a 34-31 loss. The bottom line is this. Nobody in college football was surprised by Georgia’s success this season. However, nobody expected Baylor to be this good let alone being one play away from reaching the college football playoffs. Baylor will be the more juiced up team in this one. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin -3 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. Oregon 5:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Despite Oregon (11-2) being the higher ranked team with a better record than Wisconsin (10-3), they find themselves as the underdog in this Rose Bowl contest. Like I’ve alluded to on several occasions, I trust oddsmakers evaluations more than the college football playoff committee. They’re begging you to take the #6 ranked Ducks as an underdog over #8 Wisconsin. Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Wisconsin has played the tougher schedule with 2 of their 3 defeats coming against #2 Ohio State (13-1). The Badgers star running back Jonathan Williams will be the deciding difference in this contest. The Wisconsin defense has been outstanding this season and has recorded 4 shutouts. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota +7.5 v. Auburn | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs. Auburn 1:00 PM ET Game# 285-286 Play On: Minnesota +7.5 (5*) P.J. Fleck has done a remarkable job of turning this Minnesota football program around. The #18 Gophers are 10-2 and will be highly motivated as an underdog while facing #12 Auburn (9-3). I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset in this one but let’s not get greedy and take the generous number being given. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State v. Wyoming UNDER 49 | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Wyoming vs. Georgia State 4:30 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Both teams rely heavily on their running games. Wyoming has run the ball on 69.8% of their offensive plays this season and Georgia State has done so 60.5% of the time. Wyoming has gone under the total in each of their final 6 regular season games and there was only a combined 33.5 points scored per contest. The Cowboys are allowing just 17.8 points per game this season. Conversely, Wyoming has scored 23 points or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games. The Cowboys are averaging just 9 pass completions and 128 yards passing per game. Georgia State isn’t a very good defensive team, but they should hold their own against a methodically boring Wyoming offense. Georgia State has put up very good offensive numbers this season but will find it difficult to move the ball with any consistency against a stout Wyoming defense. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Navy vs. Kansas State 3:45 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Navy -2.5 (5*) Navy enters the Sun Bowl with an impressive 10-2 record. Their only losses came against #15 Notre Dame (11-2) and #19 Memphis (12-2). The Midshipmen also own quality wins over Air Force (11-2) and SMU (10-3). There are a handful of teams that run the triple option rushing attack, but none are close to doing it as successfully as Navy. The Midshipmen are averaging 364 rushing yards per game and a lofty 6.1 yards per attempt. Conversely, Kansas State has allowed 200 yards or more rushing on 4 of their 12 games. The Wildcats are 8-4 and own a huge upset win at Oklahoma. However, their offense isn’t explosive and relies on grinding out long drives to wear opposing defenses down. I just don’t thing they’ll get enough offensive possessions against Navy to succeed in that regard. Bet on Navy for a 5* wager. |
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12-31-19 | Florida State v. Arizona State OVER 53 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona State vs. Florida State 2:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Over 53.0 (5*) Arizona State went 4-1 over the total in their final 5 regular season contests and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Florida State went over in each of their last 3 regular season games and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per contest. This is an identical situation to the one I cashed in on Monday when the Virginia/Florida game went over the total. If it’s not broke, then don’t fix it. Any non-conference college football game with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that involves teams averaging 100 to 140 rushing yards per contests, resulted in those games going 41-6 (87.2%) since 2010. Furthermore, this college football totals betting angle is a perfect 11-0 over in 2019. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida OVER 55 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Virginia vs. Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Over 55.0 (10*) Both teams have productive passing attacks with Florida averaging 300 yards per game in the air and Virginia is at 263 per contest. Florida averages only 120 yards per game rushing while Virginia is just a tad better at 127 per contest. Virginia has gone over the total in each of their previous 5 contests with a combined 72.0 points being scored per game. Any non-conference college football games with a total of 49.5 to 56.0, and both teams are averaging 100 to 140 yards rushing per contest, resulted in those games going 40-6 (87%) over the total since 2010. There was an average total of 52.6 in those 46 contests and a combined 61.2 points were scored per game. Furthermore, this exact situation has occurred 10 times this season, and all those contests went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-19 | Mississippi State v. Louisville +5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Louisville vs. Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Louisville +5.0 (5*) Mississippi State has question marks at quarterback with their second choice Tommy Stevens getting today’s start. Head coach Joe Morehead has been on the proverbial hot seat for the last 2 months but has somehow survived. The Bulldogs were a poor 3-6 this season versus teams that were invited to bowl games. Former Appalachian State head coach Scott Satterfield did a remarkable job in his first year in Louisville while tuning over a program that was 2-10 a season ago to 7-5 in 2019. As a result, Satterfield was named ACC Coach of the Year. Furthermore, during his tenure as head coach at Appalachian State, Satterfield’s teams were a perfect 3-0 during bow games. Louisville played 9 of their 12 regular season games against teams that were invited to bowl games. Bet on Louisville plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 46.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
49ers @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Under 46.5 (5*) Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s shocking 27-13 loss to Arizona (5-9-1) in a game they were a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Since 2017, Seattle has gone under the total in all 6 of its games when there’s a total of 50.0 or less and they’re coming off a home loss during their previous contests. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 37.0 points scored per game. Any NFL home team (Seahawks) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more in their previous outing, resulted in those home teams going 29-2 (93.5%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-19 | Titans -6 v. Texans | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
Titans @ Texans 4:25 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Titans -6.0 (5*) Houston is coming off a pair of 3-points road wins at Tennessee and Tampa Bay during its last 2 games. As a result, Houston clinched the AFC South, and based on this current point-spread will rest some of their starters. Conversely, 8-7 (.533) Tennessee can clinch the final AFC wildcard berth with a win. Any regular season NFL favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 (Titans) that’s playing after game 8 of the season and has a win percentage of .533 to .882, versus an opponent (Texans) coming off road wins in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1983. The average margins of victory in those 13 contests came by an average of 18.2 points per game. Bet on the Titans minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Giants 4:25 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Giants +4.0 (5*) The Giants enter this regular season finale on a 2-game win streak which has improved their record to 4-11 (.267). What’s been really encouraging during this modest 2-game unbeaten streak is they’ve averaged 38.5 points and 482.0 yards per contest. Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones threw for 352 yards and 5 touchdowns in last week’s 41-35 overtime win at Washington. Star running back Saquon Barkley has accounted for 422 yards and 4 touchdowns which sparked those pair of victories. Philadelphia is coming off last Sunday’s 17-9 win over Dallas in a game they were a 2.0-point home underdog. That victory made the Eagles 8-7 (.533). Philadelphia will clinch the NFC East with a win or a Dallas loss to Washington. However, just because a team needs a win more than their opponent doesn’t assure them of winning or more importantly covering as a road favorite. Any NFL home underdog of 7.5 or less that’s playing after game 9 of their season, and they possess a win percentage of .444 or worse, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS. Those 14 home underdogs also won 11 of those 14 games straight up including 8 of 9 since 1995. Bet on the Giants plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos UNDER 41 | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Broncos 4:25 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Under 41.0 (5*) Since 2017, Oakland has gone 8-2 under the total in division away games. Conversely, Denver has gone under in 10 straight home games when there was a total of 40.5 or greater. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 35.6 points scored per game. The previous 6 meetings between these AFC West rivals have all gone under the total and there were a combined 35.2 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-29-19 | Dolphins v. Patriots -16 | 27-24 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Patriots 1:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Patriots -16.0 (5*) With a win on Sunday, New England can clinch the AFC #2 seed and be rewarded with a 1st round bye in the upcoming playoffs. Furthermore, since 2015, New England is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 14.0 or greater when playing after game 3 of their season. The Patriots won those 7 contests by an average of 23.9 points per game. New England won the first meeting between these AFC East rivals back on 9/15 by a score of 43-0 while covering as a massive 18.5-point road favorite. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) Ohio State has played the much tougher schedule of these pair of 13-0 teams and that will pay dividends in the outcome of this game. The Buckeyes have beaten #8 Wisconsin twice, #10 Penn State, #14 Michigan, and #21 Cincinnati. Clemson has recorded just 1 win over a team that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and that was over #24 Virginia in the ACC Championship game. Bet on Ohio State plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU OVER 75.5 | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: Over 75.5 (5*) The total is this high for good reason and it won’t deter me from pulling the trigger on going over. Oklahoma is averaging 43.2 points and 554.1 yards per game this season. LSU averages 47.8 points and 554.3 yards per game. The LSU defense has allowed 500 or more yards on 3 occasions. Oklahoma has given up 31 points or more 4 times including 40 or greater twice. Oklahoma has averaged outgaining its opponents this season by a substantial average of 222.8 yards per game. LSU is outgaining their opponents this season by a large margin of 213.0 yards per game. LSU has amassed 481 yards or more of total offense in each of their previous 6 games. The previously mentioned statistics sets up an extremely profitable college football totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football team (LSU) playing after game 7 of their season with a total of 70.0 or greater, and they gained 450 yards or more in each of its previous 3 games, and both teams are outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 or more yards per game, resulted in those contests going 36-10 (78.3%) over the total since 1992. The average total in those 46 contests was 75.5 and there were 81.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-19 | USC +2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 24-49 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
USC vs. Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: USC +2.5 Iowa has relied heavily on their defense this season to do its heavy lifting. The Hawkeyes are allowing a mere 13.2 points per game this season. Yet, they somehow managed to lose 3 games this season. Iowa’s offensive production has left much to be desired. The Hawkeyes have averaged only 304.2 total yards of total offense per game. Iowa went 6-3 in Big 10 Conference play but only 1 of those wins came against a team that finished with a winning record. After suffering through an underachieving 5-4 start, USC finished their regular season slate by winning their last 3. Despite how goo the Iowa defense is, USC will present a stiff challenge with their multifaceted passing game. During their current 3-game win streak, USC has averaged an incredible 466 yards passing per contest. Bet on USC plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M -5.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M 6:45 PM ET Game# 231-232 Play On: Texas A&M -5.5 (5*) The public betting patterns have sided with Oklahoma State in this matchup. After all, the Cowboys have won 3 straight and 7 of its 9 bowl games under current head coach Mike Gundy. Yet, Texas A&M has gone from an opening 2.5-point favorite to their current status which shows them as high as a 6.5-point chalk. This is a classic case of reverse line movement. We must keep in mind, Texas A&M faced one of the hardest schedules in the country this season, playing three teams that were either ranked No.1 at the time or finished the season at No. 1 (Clemson, Alabama, LSU). They’ve also went up against five teams that were ranked in the top 10, and three of those five games were on the road (Clemson, Georgia, LSU). Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State -3.5 v. Wake Forest | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
Wake Forest vs. Michigan State 3:20 PM ET Game# 229-230 Play On: Michigan State -3.5 (5*) Wake Forest began the season by going 7-1. However, they dropped 3 of its final 4 regular season games with their only victory coming over a Duke team that entered that contest on a 4-game losing streak. Michigan State had lofty expectations in 2019 only to finish with a disappointing 6-6 record. Most of the Spartans issues came on offense. Nonetheless, they should have no trouble moving the ball against a Wake Forest defense that’s allowed 35 points or more on 5 separate occasions and 500 yards or greater 4 times. Conversely, the Michigan State defense has been solid for the most part while allowing just 22.7 points and 319.2 yards per game. Additionally, it should tell you something when two Power 5 conference teams meet in a bowl game and the one that’s 6-6 is favorite over an 8-4 opponent. Bet on Michigan State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina v. Temple +6 | 55-13 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
Temple vs. North Carolina 8:00 PM ET Game# 227-228 Play On: Temple +6.0 (5*) The good news for 6-6 North Carolina is all their losses have come by 6 points or fewer. The bad news is that they were 0-3-1 ATS and 1-3 straight up this season as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Furthermore, the Tar Heels also own only 1 win this season against bowl eligible teams. Temple enters their bowl game with a stellar 8-4 record. All 4 of their losses came against bowl teams with a combined record of 38-14 (.731). The Owls have gone an outstanding 5-0 ATS this season as an underdog of 9.0 or less, and they won 4 of those 5 contests straight up. Bet on Temple plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh -11 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-30 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ET Game# 225-226 Play On: Pittsburgh -11.0 (5*) Pittsburgh has unequivocally played a much tougher schedule compared to Eastern Michigan. The Panthers finished 4-4 during ACC action while Eastern Michigan went 3-5 in the MAC. As a matter of fact, 8 of Pittsburgh’s 12 games came against teams that are involved in bowl games. The Pittsburgh defense is far superior to that of Eastern Michigan’s stop unit. The Panthers are allowing just 21.2 points and 302.5 yards per game. Eastern Michigan has given up 30.3 points and 428.2 yards per game. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
BYU @ Hawaii 8:00 PM ET Game# 221-220 Play On: Hawaii +2.0 (5*) Hawaii will have the advantage of playing at home in this game. Despite these teams not playing in the same conference, they will meet for a 3rd straight season. BYU won and covered the previous 2. The Rainbow Warriors are a very experienced team that will be playing with revenge and will also look to atone for a loss at Boise State in their previous contest which occurred in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. Conversely, BYU has gone a money draining 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season, and that includes a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS as an away favorite of 4.0 or less. Hawaii has cover 2 of its previous 3 games. BYU has gone 5-3 in their last 8 games. However, the Cougars were just 2-6 ATS during those contests. This sets up an applicable and very profitable college football straight up betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football home team (Hawaii) that cover in 2 of their previous 3 games, versus an opponent (BYU) which failed to cover in 6 or 7 of their previous 8 contests, resulted in those home teams going 45-12 (78.9%) straight up since 2015. Bet on Hawaii for a 5* wager. |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -4.5 | 23-10 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Packers @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Vikings -4.5 (5*) The line movement in this game speaks volumes to me. The sharp money including mine has gone on Minnesota (10-4/.714). Yet, despite public betting siding with the underdog Packers, the line has either remained the same or is as high as 5.5. Furthermore, sharp money is undeterred by the absence of Vikings star running back Dalvin Cook, or the struggles that their quarterback Kirk Cousins has endured in primetime games throughout his career. By the way, since Mike Zimmer became head coach in Minnesota, the Vikings 26-12 ATS (68.47%) as a home favorite, and that includes an even better 22-6 ATS (78.6%) as a home favorite of 2.0 to 9.5. Conversely, since 2017 Green Bay is a poor 7-13 ATS (35%) as an underdog, and that includes 0-5 ATs when facing a team with a win percentage of .533 to .714. Bet on the Vikings minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Over 50.5 (10*) Arizona has gone over the total in 4 of 5 games this season as a road underdog. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 49.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals defense has given up 393 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 and they allowed 29.4 points per game while doing so. Arizona is coming off last Sunday’s 38-24 home win over Cleveland in a game they amassed 445 yards of total offense. Seattle has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 at home and there were a combined 61.2 points scored per game. Both starting quarterbacks (Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray) have above average mobility which enables them to beat defenses with their arms and legs. Each defensive unit has been terrible against the pass this season. Arizona is dead last in that category at 290.4 yards per game allowed and Seattle is #29 while permitting 271.0 yards passing per contest. This game has all the earmarks of a high scoring and extremely entertaining affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-22-19 | Lions v. Broncos OVER 37.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
Lions @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Over 37.5 (5*) Granted these teams have gone through a carousel of quarterbacks this season. However, this is a very low total, especially considering how bad Detroit’s defense has been, and how poor Denver’s stop unit has played in their previous 2 games. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 26.6 points and 401.5 yards per game this season. They’re coming off a 38-17 home loss to Tampa Bay last Sunday in a game the Bucs racked up an enormous 495 yards of total offense. Conversely, during their last 2 games, Denver has given up 414 yards to Houston and 419 to Kansas City. The weather forecast is calling for optimum conditions for this time of year in Denver with 3-4 MPH wind and temperatures in the high 50’s. Any team (Broncos) that’s allowed 450 yards or more in each of their previous 2 contests, versus an opponent (Lions) who gave up 375 yards or more in its last outing, resulted in those games going 31-9 (77.5%) over the total since 2015. The average combined score in those 40 contests was 54.5 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | 10-16 | Win | 105 | 45 h 16 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Jets +3.0 (5*) Just because a team fighting for their playoff lives like Pittsburgh is in desperate need of a win versus a losing team, doesn’t automatically mean that’s going to transpire. Especially when that potential playoff contender is playing a 3rd string undrafted rookie quarterback who needs a successful run game to succeed. Steelers Quarterback Devlin Hodges will be going up against a Jets defense that’s currently #2 against the run at 88.8 yards per game and #10 in total yards (328.6 YPG). During last week’s 17-10 home loss to Buffalo the Steelers were only able to run for 51 yards. The Bills forced Hodges out of his comfort zone, and it paid dividends evidenced by the rookie throwing for just 178 yards on 38 passing attempts and he was intercepted 4 times. The Jets have won 3 straight at home and 4 of its last 6 overall. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-22-19 | Ravens v. Browns OVER 49 | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Over 49.0 (5*) The Baltimore offense led by quarterback Lamar Jackson has been a runaway freight train. Case in point, Baltimore scored 37 points or more in 5 of its last 7 games and has eclipsed the 40-point mark on 4 separate occasions this season. This will be just be Baltimore’s 3rd road game of the season versus teams that currently have a losing record. During the previous 2, they defeated Miami 59-10 and Cincinnati 49-13. Cleveland handed Baltimore 1 of their 2 losses this season. The Browns won that contest 40-25 at Baltimore and they accumulated a substantial 530 yards of total offense. Their defense also gave up a lofty 395 yards in that contest. Cleveland has gone over the total in each of its last 2 games while allowing 451 yards to 1-13 Cincinnati and 445 yards to 4-9-1 Arizona. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 45 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
Rams @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Under 45.0 (10*) San Francisco is coming off last Sunday’s 29-22 home upset loss to Atlanta. The Rams are coming off a humiliating 44-21 loss at Dallas in a game they closed as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 2 results creates an NFL totals betting angle which is unbeaten since 2015 and is illustrated below. Any NFL team (Rams) with a total of 46.5 or less that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 10 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (49ers) who scored 28 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 24-0 under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
Washington vs. Boise State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) For starters, former Boise State and current Washington head coach Chris Peterson will be roaming the sidelines for a final time on Saturday. Peterson surprisingly resigned from his position in November due to personal issues. It’s har to imagine the Huskies not coming up with a huge effort in Peterson’s swan song. Secondly, #19 Boise State enters this Las Vegas Bowl with a terrific 12-1 record. Nonetheless, the oddsmakers have made unranked and 7-5 Washington as the favorite. Like I’ve alluded to on many occasions, I trust the oddsmakers a heck of a lot more than college football poll voters. By the way, Boise State suffered their only defeat at BYU 28-25. Conversely, Washington won easily at BYU earlier this season by a decisive score of 45-19. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
Bills @ Patriots 4:30 PM ET Game# 453-454 Play On: Bills +7.0 (5*) New England has lost 2 of their last 3 with its only win coming last week against 1-13 Cincinnati. The Patriots offense no longer strikes fear to opposing defenses and especially an elite one like Buffalo possesses. During their previous 5 contests, New England has averaged just 300.8 yards per game. They’ll be facing a Bills defense that’s allowing only 15.9 points and 291.1 yards per game this season. Furthermore, Buffalo is 6-1 in away games this season and that includes an extremely profitable 6-0-1 ATS. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-19 | SMU v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 | 28-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
SMU @ FAU 3:30 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: FAU +3.5 (5*) SMU is 10-2 and has been ranked in the Top 25 for numerous weeks this season. However, this Boca Raton Bowl will be played on the home field of FAU. After losing their first 2 games to #2 Ohio State and a vey good UCF team, FAU went on to win 10 of their next 11 games heading into this bowl matchup against SMU. FAU did lose head coach Lane Kiffin who took the job at Mississippi following the Owls 49-6 demolition of UAB in the Conference USA Championship game. Nonetheless, they quickly hired recently fired Florida State head coach Willie Taggart who already has a stranglehold in recruiting the plethora of high school talent Sunshine State. Taggert won’t be coaching on Saturday, but the Owls players should be inspired knowing he’ll be at the game and watching with a vested interest. Bet on FAU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-21-19 | Liberty +5 v. Georgia Southern | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
Liberty vs. Georgia Southern 2:30 PM ET Game# 209-210 Play On: Liberty +5.0 (5*) Georgia Southern (7-5) has run the triple option offense very successfully for year and through a few head coaching regimes. The Eagles have run the ball on an enormous 82.5% of their offensive plays this season. The problem with running this offense is when playing from behind on the scoreboard it’s not built to overcome deficits via the passing game. Specifically speaking, Georgia Southern is averaging just 11 pass attempts and 73 yards per game in the air while completing only 51.5% of those throws. The biggest difficulty when facing a triple option offense is it’s usually an only time a team will see it all year. Additionally, it’s difficult for scout teams to match the speed and precision in how it runs let alone having most times than not only a week to prepare for it. On a positive note, Liberty last played on 11/30 and will have been afforded 3 weeks to get ready defensively for what they’re about to face. Former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze has done a great job in his first year at Liberty while leading them to a 7-5 record and it will be the Flames first ever bowl game. Liberty has seen 3 of their 5 losses this season come against Power 5 Conference teams. I look for the Flames to be the more motivated and sharper team in this matchup for reasons I just alluded to. Bet on Liberty plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State OVER 67.5 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
Kent State vs. Utah State 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Over 67.5 (5*) This will be a very entertaining and high scoring game. Utah State has scored 34 points or more in 6 of their 12 game. The Aggies have also allowed 31 points or greater 6 times. Kent State has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. The Golden Flashes defense has been porous all season and has allowed 470.7 yards per game. The total is this high for a reason. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Charlotte vs. Buffalo 2:00 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: Buffalo -6.5 (5*) The weather forecast is calling for severe wind gusts of up to 40 MPH. With that in mind, both teams run games will be extremely important in deciding the ATS winner. If indeed that forecast is 50% accurate, it would hinder each team’s passing game in a big way. Both Charlotte and Buffalo have formidable running games. Buffalo averages a substantial 254 yards rushing per game and gains a lofty 5.0 yards per attempt. It’s not as if Buffalo will be out of their comfort zone since they’ve run the ball of 69.9% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll also be going up against a Charlotte defense which isn’t very good at defending the run. Charlotte has allowed 193 yards rushing per game and opponents are averaging 5.0 yards per run. Conversely, Buffalo’s defense has been very vulnerable to their opponents passing games. However, the Bulls are allowing just 93 yards per game on the ground and limiting teams to a mere 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. Regardless of the weather, Charlotte has run the ball on 62.1% of their offense plays this season and would be hard pressed to come close to that number on a calm day. Bet on Buffalo minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-16-19 | Colts +9.5 v. Saints | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Colts @ Saints 8:15 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Colts +9.0 (5*) The Colts are coming off last week’s 38-35 loss at Tampa Bay. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-7 (.461). They’ll be facing a Saints team with an outstanding 10-3 (.769) record. Since the beginning of last season, Indianapolis is a very profitable 6-1 ATS when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better, and if the Colts were coming off a straight up loss, they improved to 4-0 SU&ATS. Conversely, New Orleans is a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0. Any NFL road underdog of 9.5 or less (Colts) playing in games 13 through 16 that’s coming off a road loss by 3 points or fewer, and they own a win percentage of .600 or worse, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1997. Those 15 road underdogs also won 11 of those games straight up. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys +2 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Rams @ Cowboys 4:25 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Cowboys +2.0 (5*) Dallas opened as a 3.0-point favorite in this contest and now they find themselves as an underdog. This is a huge move by NFL standards. When situations like this arise it’s usually due to an injury to a key player who is listed as doubtful or out after the opening line was released. The closest resemblance that I see to that is Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott’s hand injury, but he’s listed as probable. However, we have seen the books get bombarded with early action on the Rams (8-5/.615) who have won their last 2 and are facing a Cowboys team (6-7/.461) that’s on a current 3-game losing streak. It’s never as easy as it looks when it comes to sports betting, and that’s especially so in the NFL. Any NFL home pick or underdog of 3.0 or less (Cowboys) that’s playing after their 9th game of the season, and they’re coming off 3 consecutive losses, and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off wins in each of their previous 2 contests, and they own a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home teams going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1991. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 11.5 points per game. Bet on the Cowboys for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers UNDER 45.5 | 39-10 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Under 45.5 (5*) The Chargers have gone under the total in each of their last 4 at home and there was a combined average of 39.5 points scored per game. Since 2017, the Chargers have gone under in all 7 of their home games when there’s been a total of 43.5 or greater, and it was after its 4th game played. The Chargers are currently are #4 in total defense. Furthermore, throughout their last 5 contests, Los Angeles has allowed just 18.8 points and 248.4 yards per game. Although Minnesota hasn’t played well defensively over its last 4 road game, they’re still a formidable stop unit whose focus will be razor sharp in a game which is vital regarding its postseason chances and positioning. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-19 | Browns -2.5 v. Cardinals | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Browns @ Cardinals 4:05 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Browns -2.5 (5*) The Cardinals are 3-9-1 on the season and are currently on a 6-game losing streak. Their 3 wins have come against the Bengals (1-12), Giants (2-11), and Falcons (4-9) who have a combined record of 7-32 (.179). Their ties came against the 3-9-1 Detroit Lions. After getting off to a disastrous 2-6 start, the Browns have rebounded to win 4 of their last 5 games, including quality victories over Pittsburgh (8-5) and Buffalo (9-4). Although they need a lot of help, Cleveland’s playoff hopes remains alive if they win their last 3 games. This is a very favorable matchup for Cleveland who in terms of having top notch offensive players at the skilled positions, and considering they’ll be facing a Cardinals defense who’s surrendering 28.8 points and 414.7 yards per game this season. Bet on the Browns minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Houston @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Tennessee -2.5 (10*) I know that Houston has yet to lose back to back games this season. However, getting blown out at home by Denver last Sunday was inexcusable, and hardly bodes well for a team fighting to make the postseason. The Texans defense isn’t playoff caliber. Houston has gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 division away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over for Marcus Mariota at quarterback the Titans offense has an entirely different feel to it. More importantly, Tennessee has gone a red-hot 6-1 SU&ATS with Tannehill as their starter, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS at home. Houston may have more pure talent on paper than Tennessee, but the Titans are the better team right now, and they’re peaking at the right time. Additionally, Tennessee has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last 3 home games against Houston. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy -10.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
Army vs Navy 3:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Navy -10.5 (5*) Army got off to a fast 3-1 start to the season. Their only defeat in that sequence came at #14 Michigan 24-21 in overtime. The Black Knights were a sizable 21.0-point underdog in that contest. Following that nice beginning to the season, Army surprisingly lost their next 5 games. The Black Knights haven’t defeated a team that currently owns a winning record. As a matter of fact, their 5 wins came against teams with a combined record of 17-43 (.283). Furthermore, 2 of their 5 wins came over FCS teams in Morgan State (3-9) and VMI (5-7). Navy has enjoyed a fantastic 9-2 season heading into this huge rivalry game. The #23 ranked Midshipmen own quality wins over SMU (10-2) and Air Force (10-2). They finished a stellar 7-1 in the American Athletic which is conference which currently has 3 teams (Navy, Cincinnati, Memphis) ranked in the Top 25 of the latest college football playoff rankings and another in SMU (10-2) who sits on the periphery. The Middies are scheduled for a Sun Bowl appearance against Kansas State from the Big 12 who handed #4 Oklahoma their only loss to date. Dating back to last season, Navy has gone 8-1 ATS in their previous 9 games as a favorite, and that includes 7-0 ATS (+25.4 PPG) as a favorite of 4.0-points or greater. Bet on Navy minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-19 | Jets +17.5 v. Ravens | 21-42 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Jets @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Jets +17.5 (5*) Yes, the Ravens have won 9 straight games and are clearly the favorite to win it all at this moment. However, they’re coming off a 4-game stretch in which they faced Houston (8-5), the Rams (8-5), San Francisco (11-2), and Buffalo (9-4). Now they return home as a massive double-digit favorite while playing on short rest against a team with a losing record. Furthermore, they’ve clinched a playoff spot already, and barring a monumental meltdown is a lock to win a division title and earn the AFC #1 seed come postseason time. My point being that this is a potential emotional flat spot for even an elite team like Baltimore. By the way, the Ravens are a money draining 3-10 ATS in their last 13 at home which includes 2-8 ATS versus teams with a losing record. The Jets come in with a disappointing 5-8 record. However, in games that Sam Darnold has been their starting quarterback they’ve gone 5-5 and includes 4-1 during its previous 5 contests. The Jets will be facing Baltimore’s #1 rushing attack (200.9 YPG). Nevertheless, this is a Jets defense that’s #2 against the run at 78.8 YPG while allowing a mere 3.0 yards per rushing attempt. New York also enters this week an impressive #7 in total defense as well. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) Seattle is coming off a 37-30 home win over Minnesota. That victory improved the Seahawks record to 10-2 (.833). However, it must be noted, 9 of their 10 wins have come by 8 points or fewer. My point being, despite their stellar record it’s not like they’ve been dominant while doing so. The Rams desperately need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. They’re coming off last Sunday’s impressive 34-7 win at Arizona that improved their record to 7-5 (.583). It was just one of a couple times this season they resembled the defending NFC champion. Los Angles is currently 1.0 game behind the Vikings (8-4) for the final NFL Wildcard spot. With Minnesota hosting Detroit as a double-digit favorite this week, the Rams can ill afford to lose and hope to have a realistic chance of making the postseason parade. Any home team (Rams) that’s coming off a road win by 22 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .583 or better, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or greater, and they (Seahawks) own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home teams going 30-0 straight up since 1986. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs +3 v. Patriots | 23-16 | Win | 101 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET Game # 151-152 Play On: Chiefs +3.0 (5*) The Patriots offense no longer scares anyone. Opponents are double covering top target Julian Edelman and the other wide receivers are having difficulty creating any separation let alone any of them posing a deep threat. There’s been a noticeable decline in Tom Brady’s game as the season has worn on, and New England is relying way to much on their outstanding defensive unity. The Chiefs defense remains a big question mark in terms of this team being good enough to make a serious postseason run. Nevertheless, it’s certainly been encouraging that they’ve forced 7 combined turnovers over their previous 2 games. Don’t underestimate the fact that Kansas City will be out to revenge last season’s gut-wrenching overtime loss at home to New England in the AFC Championship Game, thus denying them a trip to the Super Bowl. Bet on the Chiefs plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders OVER 47 | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
Titans @ Raiders 4:25 PM ET Game# 155-156 Play On: Over 47.0 (5*) Since Ryan Tannehill took over as the Titans starting quarterback, they’ve gone 5-1 and their offense has been clicking on all cylinders. As a matter of fact, all 6 of those contests went over the total and there were a combined 53.3 points scored per game. Tennessee has amassed 370 yards or more of total offense in each of their last 4 games. On a negative note, during that same 4-game stretch, the Titans defense has given up 304.5 yards passing per game. Oakland is coming off 2 straight road losses that saw them score a paltry 3 and 9 points. However, quarterback Derek Carr and the Raiders offense has been much better at home than on the road this season. Look for Carr to have success against Tennessee through the air which will result in opening up running lane for star running back Josh Jacobs. The Raiders are allowing a lofty 27.0 points per game this season, and that includes giving up a combined 74 points over its previous 2 contests. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-19 | Chargers -3 v. Jaguars | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Jaguars 4:05 PM ET Game# 149-150 Play On: Chargers -3.0 (5*) Jacksonville is a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS during their last 4 outings, and they lost by a substantial 20.5 points per game. That recent funk has dropped their season record to 4-8 and put head coach Doug Marrone on the hot seat. If you think the Jaguar players are going to go all out to save their head coach’s job, then think again. It’s been widely publicized that Marrone has been far less than a player friendly head coach during his tenure in Jacksonville. The Chargers have lost 3 straight and are a very disappointing 4-8. They’re coming off last Sunday’s 23-20 loss at Denver in a game they closed as a 4.0-point favorite. The losses during this win streak have come by the narrow margins of 2, 3, and 7 points. This is a team that’s still playing hard for head coach Anthony Lynn and they’ll be rewarded for doing so in this contest. Any road favorite of 8.0 or less (Chargers) playing in games 5 through 13 that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss, and they own a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Jaguars) who has a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 27-4 ATS (87.1%) since 1980, and 16-0 ATS since 2005. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -1 | 48-46 | Loss | -128 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
49ers @ Saints 1:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Saints -1.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming off last Sunday’s heartbreaking 20-17 loss at Baltimore that was an extremely physical game. That defeat also knocked them out the NFC West top spot for the first time this season despite their sparkling 10-2 record. Now they’re back on the road in the 1:00 ET time slot for a 2nd straight week to face another elite team. It’s a lot to ask for any team to overcome. The Saints have already clinched the NFC South but don’t think for a second they’ll rest on their laurels. They’re 10-2 and are tied for the best record in the NFC with the 49’ers and Seahawks. Green Bay is also lurking close behind at 9-3. The Saints would like nothing more than to secure the #1 seed in the NFC and make the road to the Super Bowl run through New Orleans. The Saints are a perfect 12-0 SU&ATS during its last 12 games as a regular season favorite of 5.5 or less, and they won by a decisive margin of 17.3 points per contest. Bet on the Saints minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Wisconsin +16.5 (5*) It’s highly probable, if 12-0 Ohio State were to get upset by 10-2 Wisconsin, they would still be part of the college football playoffs. My point being is the level of urgency for a decisive margin of victory so to impress the playoff committee isn’t the same as it were be for #5 Utah or #6 Oklahoma. Wisconsin will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Ohio State earlier this season. Their vaunted rushing attack was held to 84 yards on that day which is substantially below its season average. As a matter of fact, since that loss to Ohio State, Wisconsin has won 4 straight and their offense averaged 36.0 points scored and 503.5 yards of total offense per contest which includes 299.0 yards on the ground. The Badgers have outrushed their opponents by a sizeable 147 yards per game this season. Any college football neutral field underdog (Wisconsin) that’s outrushing its opponents by 100 or more yards per game, resulted in those underdogs going 36-11 ATS (76.6%) since 2015. Those 47 underdogs also won 27 of those contests straight up. Bet on Wisconsin plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 47 h 19 m | Show | |
Virginia vs. Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Clemson -28.0 (5*) Those of you that have followed me over the years are very much aware of my reluctance to lay this big of a number. Nevertheless, this is an exception to that practice. Clemson has felt disrespected since the 2019 college football playoff rankings began. You can look for the Tigers to come out with a strong effort on Saturday night against a Virginia team playing in its first ever ACC Championship Game. Furthermore, Virginia is coming off last week’s emotional 39-30 win over Virginia Tech. That victory snapped a 14-game losing streak to their bitter in state rival. Earning a spot in the conference championship game seemed to be an afterthought after getting the proverbial monkey off their back. Clemson is a perfect 12-0 thus far, and that includes going an extremely profitable 9-3 ATS. As a matter of fact, the Tigers are 5-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 28.0 to 42.0-points and they won by a massive average of 45.2 points per contest. They’ve also outscored their 8 ACC opponents by 35.7 points per game. This will be Clemson’s 5th trip the ACC Championship Game in as many years. Clemson has scored 38 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. Any college football favorite of 23.5 to 31.0 that coming off 5 consecutive game in which they scored 37 points or more, resulted in those sizable favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1995. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 55.5 | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Georgia’s defense is elite as evidenced by the giving up just 10.4 points and 257.1 yards per game this season. However, they will be facing the best offense in the country on Saturday with all things being considered. LSU has scored 42 points or more in 10 of 12 games this season on their way to an unblemished 12-0 record and #1 ranking. The Tigers are averaging a robust 48.7 points and 560.4 yards per game. Conversely, the LSU defense has been vulnerable at time. The Tigers stop unit has allowed 37 points or more 4 times and permitted its opponents to amass 530 yards or more of total offense on 3 separate occasions. I like the combined score to reach 60 points or greater in this SEC Championship Game. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -6 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 40 h 50 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Appalachian State 12:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Appalachian State -6.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette enters this conference title game on a 6-game win streak and all those victories came over Sun Belt opponents. This current hot streak enabled them to finish their regular season slate with an impressive 10-2 (.833). As a matter of fact, their last loss occurred on 10/9 at home when they fell 17-7 to Appalachian State. Appalachian State closed out their regular season with last Saturday’s 48-13 blowout win at Troy. That triumph improved their season record to an outstanding 11-1 (.917) and kept them alive to be the Group of 5 representative in a New Year’s Day Bowl game. Any conference home favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 (Appalachian State) that’s coming off a conference win by 6 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or better, Versus an opponents that’s coming off conference win in each of their previous 3 games played, and they (UL-Lafayette) possess a win percentage of .700 to .909, resulted in those home favorites going 34-3 ATS (91.9%) since 1996. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah -6.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Utah 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Utah -6.5 (5*) Oregon had the win taken out of their sails after being upset at Arizona State a couple of weeks ago. They seemed to carry that over to last week’s uninspiring 24-10 win over Oregon State. The Oregon defense had looked elite for most of this season until recently. The Ducks stop unit has allowed a combined 915 yards of total offense over its last 2 contests. They’ve also given up 31 points or more in 3 of their last 6 games. Furthermore, they will be facing a Utah offense that’s averaging 39.4 points scored and 463.4 yards of total offense per game throughout their last 5 contests. After losing their conference opener at USC, Utah finished the regular season with 8 consecutive wins and had an average victory margin of 29.0-points per contest while covering on each of those occasions. The Utes defensive unit is arguably the best in the country. During their 11-1 regular season, Utah allowed a mere 11.2 points and 241.6 yards per game. Offensively speaking, Utah runs the football on 2/3 of the time, and dominates time of possession while holding the ball for eye-popping 34:52 per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
Cowboys @ Bears 8:20 ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Bears +3.0 (5*) After beginning the season 3-0 and looking dominant while doing so, Dallas has proceeded to go a dismal 3-6 over their next 9 games. The Cowboys are also a poor 1-5 straight up this season when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better. Since the start of last season, Dallas is just 2-8 straight up during non-division away games. All the previously mentioned data hardly bodes confidence in placing a bet on the road favorite Cowboys. Chicago is coming off a 24-20 Thanksgiving Day win at Detroit. That win evened their season record at 6-6. Since the start of last year’s NFL schedule, Chicago is 5-0 SU&ATS in their regular season home games following a win during its previous contest. Maligned Bears quarterback Mitchell Trurbisky has shown signs of life during the Bears current 2-game win streak. During those wins over the Giants and Lions, Trubisky is 54-71 (68.4%) passing for 601 yards and 3 touchdowns. His 2 top wide receivers Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller have both accounted for exactly 217 yards receiving apiece in those 2 Bears victories. Any NFL non-division home team playing on a Thursday that’s coming off a division win, and they possess a win percentage of .461 or better, resulted in those home teams going 23-1 (95.8%) since 1980. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added value since it supports Thursday night’s home underdog. Bet on the Bears plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 48.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Vikings @ Seahawks 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 48.5 (5*) Th weather forecast for this time of year in Seattle is very good. Temperatures are expected in the low 40’s with light winds and there’s only 5% chance of any precipitation. Another words, both offenses won’t be affected by mother nature. Minnesota has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 on the road, and there was a combined average of 57.7 points scored per game. Seattle has gone over the total during 3 of its last 4 at home, and there was a combined average of 59.8 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Seattle has gone over the total in all 7 of their games when facing a team that averages 4.5 yards or more per rushing attempt. By the way, Minnesota entered this week averaging 4.6 yards per rushing attempt. Those aforementioned 7 games averaged a combined 57.6 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
Patriots @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Texans +3.5 (10*) The one quarterback that gave New England’s elite defense problems this season was Lamar Jackson. DeShaun Watson provides a similar skill set. He may not be as dynamic a runner as Lamar Jackson is, but he can still make plenty of plays with his legs whether it be taking off to run or keeping plays alive with elusive scrambling ability. It’s hard to poke holes at the 10-1 Patriots other to say that their offense is far from dynamic, and age seems to be creeping up on Tom Brady based on recent performances. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
49ers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: 49ers +6.0 (5*) Baltimore is just the 12th NFL team to scored 40 or more points in 3 consecutive games. The previous 11 went 4-7 ATS in the following game after that surging spree. That includes 0-4 ATS and 1-3 straight up as a favorite of 7.0 or less. San Francisco’s defense will certainly provide a challenge for the high-flying Baltimore offense. They’re #1 in total defense while allowing just 248.0 yards per game. They’re also #2 in scoring defense at 14.8 points allowed per contest. The 49ers are 10-1 which includes 5-0 on the road. Furthermore, San Francisco averages a doming 33:07 in time of possession per game. Their running game is a potent one and Jimmy Garoppolo has really come on as a passer in recent games. Bet on the 49ers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-19 | Utah State v. New Mexico +11.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
Utah State @ New Mexico 4:00 PM ET Game# 423-424 Play On: New Mexico +11.5 (5*) Utah State is coming off a 56-21 home loss to Boise State. That defeat dropped the Aggies season record to 6-5 (.545). New Mexico enters their final regular season game with a 2-9 (.181) record. Any home team with a win percentage of .181 or greater, versus an opponent (Utah State) playing after game 6 of their season who has a win percentage of .555 or worse, and they’re coming off a home loss by 35 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 74-8 (90.2%) straight up since 2010. Since this very successful straight up betting angle supports the double-digit underdog it takes on even greater significance. Bet on New Mexico plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-19 | Tulane +3.5 v. SMU | 20-37 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Tulane @ SMU 4:00 PM ET Game# 413-414 Play On: Tulane +3.5 (5*) Tulane is coming off a 34-31 home loss to Central Florida which dropped its season record to 6-5 (.545). Tulane has lost 4 of their last 5 but its previous 3 defeats have come by only a combined 14 points. SMU is coming off a 35-28 loss at Navy. The Mustangs are now 9-2 (.818) this season. Any college football road underdog of 4.0 or less (Tulane) with a win percentage of .545 to .888, and they’re coming off a conference game, versus an opponent (SMU) that’s coming off a conference loss by 7 or less, and they own a win percentage of .555 to .875, resulted in those road underdogs going 24-2 ATS (92.3%) since 1995. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-19 | Southern Miss +9 v. Florida Atlantic | 17-34 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic 3:30 PM ET Game# 411-412 Play On: Southern Miss +9.0 (5*) Southern Miss is coming off a 28-10 loss to Western Kentucky in a game they were a 3.0-point home favorite. That defeat made them 7-4 on the season, and 2 of their defeats came against SEC teams Mississippi State and #5 Alabama. FAU is coming off a 40-20 win at UTSA which improved their record to 8-3 (.727). Any road underdog of 2.0 to 12.0 (Southern Miss) that’s coming off a conference home favorite straight up loss in which they failed to cover by 14.0 points or more, versus an opponent (FAU) coming off a road win and has a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 2015. The road underdogs also went 11-1 straight up in those 12 games. Bet on Southern Miss plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-30-19 | Rice -6.5 v. UTEP | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Rice @ UTEP 3:00 PM ET Game# 387-388 Play On: Rice -6.5 (5*) After losing their first 9 games of the season, Rice has won its last 2. The last of which was last week’s 20-14 win over North Texas. Since 2017, UTEP has gone an abysmal 1-32 straight up versus FBS opponents. During that identical stretch of time, the Miners are a horrible 3-15 ATS as an underdog of 20.0 or less. UTEP has lost its previous 2 games by scored of 44-35 to New Mexico State and 37-10 against UAB. Any road favorite of 4.0 to 20.0 points (Rice) that’s coming off 2 straight wins, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (UTEP) which has allowed 37 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those road favorites going 28-6 ATS (81.2%) since 2010. |
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11-30-19 | UNLV v. Nevada -7 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
UNLV @ Nevada 3:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 Play On: Nevada -7.0 (10*) UNLV is coming off a 38-35 win over San Jose State and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. That win improved the Rebels season record to 3-8 (.272). Conversely, Nevada is coming off a 35-28 upset win at Fresno State in a game they were a 13.0-point underdog. The Wolfpack have now gone 3-0 SAU&ATS in their last 3 and 7-4 overall. Nevada will also be out to revenge last year’s 34-29 loss at UNLV. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 that’s coming off a conference road SU&ATS win in which they covered by 6.5-points or more, versus an opponent (UNLV) who’s coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2006. Bet on Nevada minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-30-19 | Florida International +8 v. Marshall | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
FIU @ Marshall 12:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: FIU +8.0 (5*) FIU is coming off last Saturday’s 30-24 huge upset win over the Miami Hurricanes in a game they were a sizable 21.0-point underdog. The Golden Panthers became bowl eligible with that win and are now 6-5 (.545). Marshall is coming off a 24-13 loss at Charlotte that dropped its season record to 7-4 (.636). Any conference away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 that allowed 24 points or more in their previous game, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent coming off a road loss by 7 points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those road underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%( since 1999. Bet on FIU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia | 30-39 | Loss | -112 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech @ Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*) Despite Virginia being 6-0 at home this season and 11-1 since last year they’re an underdog in this matchup. That tells me a lot of what I need to know. The Virginia Tech defense is honoring long time coordinator Bud Foster in a big way by pitching shutouts against Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh in their previous 2 games. Foster has previously announced his retirement following this season. Look for the Hokies defense to play a major part in a victory on Friday that will catapult them to an ACC Championship Game showdown with #3 Clemson. By the way, Virginia Techs has won 14 straight games against Virginia. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-19 | Toledo v. Central Michigan -10 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 43 h 29 m | Show | |
Toledo @ Central Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Central Michigan -10.0 (5*) Central Michigan has been the biggest surprise of this season in the MAC. With a win on Friday, the Chippewas will advance to the MAC Championship game to take on Miami-Ohio. Central Michigan has been dominant at home this year while going 5-0 SU&ATS and winning by an average of 23.2 points per game. Conversely, Toledo is 0-3 SU&ATS in conference away games this season and lost by an average of 23.3 points per contest. The Rockets are already bowl eligible with a 6-5 record, so they’re aren’t playing for a heck of a lot on Friday. Bet on Central Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-29-19 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan OVER 66.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 28 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 66.5 (5*) I like this contest to be a high scoring and wildly entertaining affair. Kent State has gone over the total in their last 3 contests with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. Eastern Michigan has gone over during its previous 4 games. Eastern Michigan is coming off road wins of 45-17 at Northern Illinois and 42-14 at Akron in their previous 2 games played. Those victories improved their season record to 6-5. Any college football team with a total of 63.0 or greater that’s coming off road wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they own a winning record, resulted in those teams going 28-8 (77.8%) over the total since 2015. Those 36 games averaged a combined 74.3 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-28-19 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 49 | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
Saints @ Falcons 8:20 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Under 49.0 (10*) After putting together a modest 2-game win streak, Atlanta followed it up with last Sunday’s disappointing 35-22 loss to Tampa Bay as a 3.0-point home favorite. Conversely, New Orleans is coming off a 34-31 home win over Carolina last Sunday, and that contest easily went over the total of 46.0. Since the start of last season, New Orleans has gone under in all 7 of its contests following a game in which they scored 43 points or fewer and went over the total. These teams have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total, and that includes an Atlanta 26-9 win at New Orleans earlier this season in a contest that went way under the total of 51.5. Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 13 points or more, and they possess a losing record, resulted in those games going 21-0 under the total since 2015. There was a combined average of just 30.3 points per game scored during those 21 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-19 | Bills +7 v. Cowboys | 26-15 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
Bills @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Bills +7.0 (5*) The 8-3 Bills have received their fair share of criticism thus far due to its soft schedule. With their next 4 games coming against Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and New England they’ll certainly have ample opportunity to prove their critics wrong. It all starts on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas and I firmly believe they will be up to the challenge as a touchdown underdog. This will be the 5th time that Buffalo will be an underdog this season, and they’ve gone 3-0-1 ATS during the previous 4. The Bills are also an impressive 4-1 in away games with their lone loss coming at Cleveland by a narrow 3-point margin. Dallas unequivocally has the more talented roster in this matchup. However, games aren’t won on paper, and in my professional opinion Buffalo has played better as a team this season in comparison to the star studded 6-5 Cowboys. Since 2017, Dallas is a poor 0-7 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 3.0 to 9.5, and they lost 5 of those 7 games straight up. Buffalo isn’t beating themselves of late. They’ve committed 1 turnover or fewer in each of their last 5 games, and that includes 2 total giveaways during that stretch. Conversely Dallas has failed to force a turnover over their previous 3 games. Any NFL team (Bills) that’s committed 1 turnover or fewer in each of their previous 5 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Cowboys) that failed to force a turnover in its last contest, resulted in those teams going 24-7 (77.4%) straight up since 2010. This successful NFL straight up betting angle takes on added value considering it backs the underdog in this specific instance. Bet on the Bills plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams +4 | 45-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Rams +4.0 (5*) The reigning NFC champion Rams haven’t lived up to expectations thus far while posting a lackluster 6-4 record. Now they find themselves as a home underdog on a nationally televised Monday night contest versus a red-hot Baltimore team. Can you say statement game? Well I can, and the Rams will be highly motivated to play their best game of the season tonight against an opponent which has stole much of their thunder. Any NFL Monday night home underdog playing after Game 8 of their season, and they possess a win percentage of .500 to .700, resulted in those primetime underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Furthermore, those home underdogs won all 14 of those games straight up and did so by an average victory margin of 10.6 points per contest. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | 8-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
Packers @ 49ers 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: 49ers -3.0 (5*) Up until a couple of weeks ago San Francisco owned arguable the NFL’s most potent rushing attacks. However, during its previous 2 games to 34, and then 87 yards rushing. However, quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo made Arizona pay last Sunday for stacking the box while throwing for 424 yards and 4 touchdowns. Having said that, I look for San Francisco to revive its running game this week against a Packers defense that’s allowed 120 yards or more rushing in 7 of their 10 games. Moreover, Green Bay’s defense has permitted opponent to average a lofty 421.0 yards gained per game throughout their last 6 contests. Conversely, the 49ers defense is allowing only 15.5 points and 253.8 yards per game this season. Bet on the 49ers minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Cowboys +6.0 (10*) The Patriots defense has been outstanding with an exception of their 37-20 loss at Baltimore. The Ravens offense racked up 372 yards of offense on that day which is 122.6 more than Patriots defense current season average. Dallas will present similar challenges for New England. Dak Prescott doesn’t have the running capabilities of Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, but he’s still very mobile and has the uncanny ability to keep plays alive with more than adequate scrambling abilities. You can also make a strong argument that Prescott is surrounded by better skilled players than Jackson possesses. It wouldn’t shock me at all if Dallas win this game outright. Nonetheless, I won’t be greedy and will surely accept the generous amount of points being given. Bet on the Cowboys for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks v. Eagles | 17-9 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Eagles (Pick) (5*) Seattle enters this week with a 8-2 record. However, it’s not like they’ve been blowing teams out recently. The Seahawks last 5 wins have all come by 7 points or fewer. Additionally, they’ve only played 3 games against teams that currently have a winning record. Their defense has done their best to keep opponents in games. Seattle’s stop unit has allowed 400 or more yards 5 times, and that includes in 4 of its previous 6 games. They’ve been especially vulnerable against through the air. Philadelphia is coming off last Sunday’s home loss to New England 17-10 while failing to cover as a 4.5-point underdog. The Eagles haven’t lost home games in consecutive weeks since 2016. As a matter of fact, since 2016, Philadelphia is 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite after playing at home in their previous game, and they won by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. The Eagles defense has been very good throughout their last 3 contests while allowing just 14.7 points and 238.3 yards per game. Bet on the Eagles for a 5* wager. |
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11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3 | 3-34 | Win | 102 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Jets +3.0 (5*) Oakland is coming off back to back wins to improve their season record to a surprising 6-4 (.600). However, the Raiders are 0-10 SU&ATS in their last 10 on the road following a win in its previous outing, and they lost by 17.1 points per game. That includes 0-5 SU&ATS (-19.4 PPG) under current head coach John Gruden. Don’t look now but the Jets are on a modest 2-game win streak which has improved their record to 3-7 (.300). Their latest win came last Sunday when they knocked off the Giants 34-17 as a 1.0-point underdog. Any non-division home underdog (Jets) of 6.0 or less that’s coming off a non-division away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, versus an opponents 9raiders) with a win percentage of .600 or greater who’s coming off 2 straight win, resulted in those home underdogs going 27-3 ATS (90%) since 1998. If they were home underdogs of 4.0 or fewer they won 19 of 23 straight up. Bet on the Jets plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-19 | Temple v. Cincinnati -10 | 13-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
Temple @ Cincinnati 7:00 PM ET Game# 135-136 Play On: Cincinnati -10.0 (5*) Cincinnati escaped with a narrow come from behind 20-17 win at South Florida in their previous outing. It was their second scare in 3 games as they also barely survived in a 46-43 win at East Carolina on 11/2 in a game they closed as a large 24.5-point favorite. In any event, #19 Cincinnati (9-1) controls their own destiny regarding being the lone “Group of 5” representative to play in a “New Year’s 6 Bowl Game”. It’s highly unlikely they’ll take 7-3 Temple lightly on Saturday night. The Owls are coming off a 29-21 upset win over Tulane in a contest they closed as a 6.5-point home underdog. Any college football conference favorite of 7.0 to 24.5 (Cincinnati) that’s coming off a road win, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, and they scored 34 points or less while doing so, resulted in those favorites going 24-3 ATS (88.8%) since 2004. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-23-19 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -20.5 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
Boston College @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Notre Dame -20.5 (10*) Notre Dame is coming off blowout wins over Navy 52-20 and Duke 38-7 during its last 2 games. Those wins improved #16 Notre Dame to 8-2 this season. Boston College is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Florida State. That defeat dropped the Eagles season record to 5-5 (.500). Any college football favorite of 15.0 to 28.0 (Notre Dame) that’s coming off back to back wins by 28 points or greater on each occasion, versus an opponent (Boston College) with a win percentage of .125 or better and is coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those sizable home favorites going an outstanding 42-6 ATS (87.2%) since 1986. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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