For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-29-23 | Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 21 m | Show | |
Bengals/Chiefs 6:30: I've been on the Bengals in this series and not getting off them now. A few questions that need to be answered: Can Mahomes ankle hold up to allow him to get out of the pocket where he is most dangerous? And can the Bengals' offensive line allow Burrow to get the ball to his plethora of dangerous receivers? To address Mahomes ankle, don't know for sure, but for most athletes, a high ankle sprain takes a minimum of two weeks to start healing at a level where cutting, pivoting and heavy planting occurs. Mahomes is great but not Superman. He has the highest % completions of any QB in the NFL OUTSIDE THE POCKET. Look for brilliant Bengals' DC Anarumo to dial up different secondary looks, like he usually does, while instituting a few exotic blitzes to keep Mahomes in the pocket to force errant throws. On the other hand, Bengals' shell of an offensive line held up well last week vs Buffalo. Realize that was snow and snow can be forgiving for offensive linemen; however, backups to Jonah Williams and Cappa have gotten lots of reps this season and progressing well. Burrow has been the master of quick pass on three step drops. His superior processing skills, locating open receiver and delivering accurately should carry over vs a KC defensive secondary that is yielding. Respect KC DC Spagnuolo around this time of year, but Bengals' receivers Chase, Boyd, Higgins, TE Hurst, RB Mixon on a different level. Bengals the call.  |
|||||||
01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles -2 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 9 m | Show | |
49ers/Eagles 3:00: 49ers a legitimate top 4 contender with strength across the board. And rookie QB Purdy is no weak link; however, Eagles are arguably the most complete team of the Final Four. Offensively, a machine. Versatile QB Hurts leads a well-balanced attack that can not only move the football up and down the field (#3 Total Yards) but deliver on the scoreboard (#3 PPG) with 28.1 PPG. A.J. Brown and DaVonta Smith are elite receivers, Goedert is a solid TE, and 1200+ rusher Miles Sanders behind the best offensive line in the league is making a nightmare for well-respected DC DeMeco Ryans who leads the top defense in the NFL. On the other hand, 49ers' HC Shanahan most likely will lean on his running game against a mediocre Philadelphia run-stop-unit. Most likely, however, they'll have to throw, and that's when the Eagles' vulturous secondary led by Gardner-Johnson (6 INT) and Slay. What makes the secondary great is the amazing ability of Philadelphia to get to the QB; as a matter of fact, the Eagles have collected the 3rd most sacks in regular season and postseason history - 75 - only behind the '84 Bears (82) and '85 Bears (80). And we know how great those Bud Ryan defenses were! When the Eagles play to their potential, they're unbeatable. We'll grab Philly here. |
|||||||
01-28-23 | Alabama v. Oklahoma +5.5 | 69-93 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
Alabama/Oklahoma 2:00: Oklahoma has hit a rough patch - losing 4 of its last 5 games - coming off blowout loss at TCU. Look for Moser to have his men motivated here. Oklahoma won this game outright as 8-point dogs back in January 2021. Alabama is rolling but overdue for a slide and it should come here. Need Sherfield to get busy after halftime. Look for his confidence to come back here. |
|||||||
01-24-23 | Celtics +1.5 v. Heat | 95-98 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
01-23-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. Baylor | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -4 | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Cowboys/49ers 6:30: Cowboys looked good last week. But TB is a mediocre team. Dallas' QB Prescott had no pressure put on him as finding receivers in the secondary became a virtual 7 on 7 drill. Tonight, a different story vs the #1 scoring defense in the league. Bosa (18' sacks) and company will surely bring the smoke while the opportunistic secondary (#2 forcing turnovers) will force Prescott into quick decisions, which gave him trouble this season (15 INTs). Offensively, SF is well schooled under Shanahan. Purdy makes good decisions and has a strong supporting cast on the line and in skill positions. Samuel, McCaffrey, Kittle, Aiyuk make life really good for QBs. SF had an extra prep day, and Shanahan knows how to use it. McCarthy on the other hand, 2-5 ATS off a win of 14+ and 4-9 ATS on a short week. Look for McCarthy to go 0-4 ATS vs SF. |
|||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Bills/Bengals 3:00: Bengals' offensive line missing key bodies as this line is now to +6. Burrow dealt with it last year, sacked the most of anyone in the NFL and still led his team to a cover in the Super Bowl (+3'). Buffalo's defense hasn't been that great this year and Burrow will surely mix in quick pass to his athletic receiving corps (Chase, Higgins, TE Hurst, Boyd, RB Mixon). Bengals dangerous dog and I'm riding them here. |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show | |
Giants/Eagles 8:15: On the Giants last week but will fade them here. Daniel Jones was phenomenal vs a soft Vikings' defense but the Eagles' defense is a whole different animal. Philadelphia has a front four that has collectively 40 sacks! That means they can drop 7 into coverage and still get to the QB. And now that Gardner-Johnson is healthy, he and "Big Play" Slay can do lots of damage on the back-end vs an average Giants' receiving corps with overachieving receiver Hodgens. Offensively, when the Eagles get the run game going behind the best offensive line in the league, they're hard to stop. And throw in matchup nightmare - A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith off play action or RPOs, and that spells more trouble. Sure, Giants have Adoree Jackson healthy and he did well against Justin Jefferson last week in the second half, but tough matchup for the rest of the Giants' secondary. Eagles pretty solid in the Divisional Round at 5-0 and we'll ride them here. |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Chiefs 4:30: Great season for Pederson and his Jaguars. Pulled off a miracle last week but unlikely here. KC is well rested, healthy, and Reid is a master coming off an additional week of prep at an astounding 27-4. They're 3-0 in the Divisional Round off a bye. Chiefs not good as a home favorite during regular season but 6-2 ATS at home in the playoffs. November 13th, the Chiefs lost two fumbles and still won 27-17. Chiefs' DC Spagnuolo usually makes life miserable for opposing QBs in the playoffs. Chiefs have healthy linemen Chris Jones, Frank Clark and Carols Dunlap to wreak havoc on Lawrence while his secondary disguises coverages well. On the flip end, lots of receiving firepower at Mahomes' disposal, including TE Kelce, WR Smith-Schuster, Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore and RB Pacheco. Jag's defense surrendered a generous 1,087 receiving yards to TEs this season with 13.1 yards per reception. That's 3rd worst in the NFL. Kelce should have a big game. We'll lay the wood here. |
|||||||
01-18-23 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. Oklahoma State | 56-72 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State 9:00: Cowboys have lost 3 of their last 4 conference games and really struggling offensively. No consistent step up guy for Cowboys. Sometimes it's Boone, sometimes Thompson, sometimes Anderson. The offensively challenged Cowboys should be stifled by Moser's always tough defense. Oklahoma, offensively challenged itself, but has that playmaker in Sherfield. Edge to visiting team here which sports a 7-1 ATS mark on the road vs winning teams. |
|||||||
01-17-23 | Creighton v. Butler +7.5 | 73-52 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Cowboys/Bucs 8:15: All the pressure in this game on Cowboys. And by now, everyone is aware of the futility the Cowboys bring to the post season, including last year's debacle at home against SF. Can't trust them laying points on the road in big games. Bowles did a great job stifling the Cowboys in Week 1. He has the secondary, great LB Corps and solid defensive line to give Prescott and company trouble again. TB surely underachieved this season and their offensive line is a concern vs the blitz happy Cowboys. But Brady, 7-0 vs Dallas, is battle tested and thrives in these games. He'll find a way to get the ball to Evans, Godwin and Fournette. Prescott has yet to prove he's a prime-time player in a big game. McCarthy is 0-2 SU vs Bowles. TB 8-0 as a home dog on MNF and 6-1 ATS on MNF vs a non-division opponent. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
Ravens/Bengals 8:15: A little pricey at first glance for the Bengals here; after all, Baltimore is dangerous on the road in the playoffs under Harbaugh; however, at a closer look, with Lamar Jackson out, and backup Huntley laboring with a sore shoulder, Bengals' respectable secondary can squat on a lot of the short routes that are anticipated. The Bengals do have a solid run stop unit (7th in the league). And now that confident Joe Burrow is no longer leading the league in sacks, like last year, he's even more dangerous. Like Baltimore's defense, especially with the addition of MLB R. Smith, but because of the lack of offense, don't believe they can hold up for long and trade points with the Bengals for the duration. Bengals went on that magical run last year, mostly as a dog, including covering in the Super Bowl. They're 5-0-1 ATS in January and now in the favorite role and deservedly so here. We'll lay the wood. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Giants/Vikings 4:40: In the Christmas Eve game, Giants got behind but didn't panic. They stuck to the game plan and gradually wore down the Minnesota defense that allowed them back in that game. Vikings 31st in yards allowed, 31st in pass yards allowed and 28th in points scored. Giants lost that game on a 61 yard field goal in the last seconds. They feel confident going into this one; after all, they're healthy as a team. Amazing transformation of Daniel Jones. A testament on what a coach (Daboll) can do for a young struggling QB. We see the same thing in Jacksonville with Pederson and Lawrence. Jones sports a 15/5 TD/INT ratio and will most likely be contract extended in offseason. His 2nd and 3rd receivers: Hodgins and Richie James surprisingly torched the Vikings' secondary. Even perennial All-Pro cornerback Patrick Peterson had a hard time guarding Hodgins. And Barkley should once again set the tone for Daniel Jones to operate efficiently. Giants are 7-0 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 straight on the road. Vikings lack of defense in second half should allow the hard fighting Giants to stick around again.  |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
Dolphins/Bills 1:05: Without question, Hill and Waddle are perhaps the most dangerous wide receiver tandem in the league; however, not confident that 3rd string Skylar Thompson can deliver. Thompson sports a poor 27.3 QBR with 1 TD pass and 3 INTs to his credit. He'll have to operate without leading rusher Mostert (broken thumb) who ran roughshod over the Bills December 17th. And the Dolphins' offensive line is thinning out with three noteworthy linemen having multiple injuries. Bills' top tier defense should make the needed adjustments. And offensively, it's a matter of time before Josh Allen and company shred the overworked secondary. Buffalo the call. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Chargers/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars finished red hot down the stretch on a 5-0 run. Trevor Lawrence made significant strides under first year HC Pederson. Pederson controls a Super Bowl ring on his finger (2017 Eagles) and the Jaguars are in good hands with him. And just when the Chargers' defense was making strides (strong against Miami, Tennessee, Indianapolis and the Rams), they fell off production the final week vs Denver. Offensively, losing Mike Williams (fractured back) is a significant loss. He's a matchup nightmare when healthy. Chargers should be more competitive than they were in Week 3 when Jacksonville ran all over them for 157 yards rushing and controlled the clock for 17 1/2 minutes more! Like the Jaguars opportunistic defense (26 turnovers forced) and we'll stay on the Jaguars here. |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Seahawks +10 v. 49ers | 23-41 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Seahawks/49ers 4:35: 49ers coming into this game hot on an 8-2 ATS run. Defensively, they're stifling, and the offense is cooking with Deebo Samuel back in the fray today. Seahawks snuck in the playoffs with help from the Lions beating GB. Nevertheless, Seattle no easy out. They swept this series last year, and sport a 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 vs SF. They're seeking double revenge from this season's regular season sweep. Pete Carrol a dangerous 11-3 ATS as a dog vs a greater than .500 division opponent. Seahawks figure it out and keep this one tight. |
|||||||
01-13-23 | Yale +2.5 v. Cornell | 82-94 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Yale/Cornell 5:00: Not convinced Cornell is the better team here despite their record and home dominance. They're flawed defensively (280th) and not a good rebounding team. Yale plays sound defense (8th in the nation) and a respectable scoring team with good shot selection at 47.4%. Yale pounds the glass hard with Knowling and Jarvis. Yale has a good history of winning on Fridays and has done well at this arena. They're 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road tilts. We'll grab the Bulldogs here. |
|||||||
01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-11-23 | Mississippi State v. Georgia +2.5 | 50-58 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
Mississippi/Georgia 6:30: Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Oklahoma +10 v. Kansas | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
TCU/Georgia 7:30: Lots of early action on TCU with the early line but the line hasn't softened as smart money going on Georgia. Smart money not always winning money and I think that applies here. TCU's Sonny Dykes has done an amazing job with the offense this year considering his QB Duggan was the backup after Chandler Morris went down with a knee injury in Game 1 vs Colorado. Duggan filled in like a champ and even finished as a Heisman Finalist. He also has a tremendous supporting cast with one of the best offensive lines in the nation as proven in the Semifinals vs the top defense in the nation. Moreover, even with their 1000+ rusher Kendre Miller going down in the game, reserve Demercado stepped in to rush for 150+ yards behind the mammoth (6'5" 315 lb. average) offensive line! Georgia's run stop unit very strong lead by future NFL top draft choice Jalen Carter; however, he was gassed in that OSU game and TCU has a similar explosive offense with quality depth. Georgia believes their top cover guy Ringo can matchup with matchup nightmare Quentin Johnston, yet no one has stopped him yet. Horned Frogs also have Jaye Barber who could emerge as a go to option if Johnston is bracketed. And the Georgia secondary has given up tons of passing yardage in the SEC Title game (502) and toasted in the Semi-Finals. Defensively, TCU's 3-3-5 scheme is not seen in the SEC. Like Michigan, it will take a while to figure out. TCU defense yields yardage but thrives on creating turnovers as exhibited vs Michigan (2 pick 6). We'll stay on the underdog here as TCU should remain competitive. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Lions/Packers 8:20: Packers turned their season around following the November 6th loss to the Lions. Since then, on a 5-2 SU/ATS run. The run game got cooking and Rodgers finally got in rhythm with his young receivers. Moreover, they started winning the turnover battle as the defense is playing lights out in the secondary. Detroit's Goff is a machine at home but just mediocre on the road. He'll be sorely tested vs the #2 pass defense in the NFL Sunday night. Lions' defense still can't be trusted vs this caliber of offense. They're last in the league in yards allowed and in the bottom tier scoring defense. Green Bay is a sweet 10-0 ATS off a SU division win vs a division opponent off a SU win. And they're 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of more than 4 points vs a .500 or greater division opponent. Lions a shaky 1-10 ATS as division dogs of less than 5 points vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Take the Packers. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Chargers/Broncos 4:25: Regardless of the playoff seeding scenarios for the Chargers, they've clinched a spot. A win by the Bengals in the earlier game gives speculation that Staley will sit a lot of his starters; however, he has no plans for that and wants momentum going into the playoffs. Look for the Chargers to continue their winning surge. The defense has been one of the key driving forces in their winning run down the stretch. Their previous 4 opponents were held to 11 PPG or less. Their defensive efficiency went from #26 to #5. LB Van Noy has been pivotal in their success as he's had a sack in 4 straight games. Chargers' offense now in rhythm with receivers Williams and Allen healthy for machinelike QB Herbert. Broncos gave a strong effort vs KC last week and are on a nice run covering 4 of their last 5. But Chargers are a lot better now than their October 17th OT win over Denver. And the Broncos cannot be trusted in the favorite role. Dog is 5-2 ATS in this series. Take the points with the Chargers. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Patriots v. Bills -6.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 60 h 8 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers -2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Browns/Steelers 1:00: Steelers hanging by a thread for a playoff berth. If they win here, they need both the Patriots (at Buffalo) and Dolphins (vs Jets) to lose. Tomlin, currently at 8-8, has never had a losing season and he should have his men fired up at home today. They're also seeking to avenge the September 22nd 29-17 loss. Browns are starting to get their offense cooking behind QB Watson, who did not play (suspended) in that earlier season matchup. Nick Chubb continues to be a steady running force for Cleveland. But Pittsburgh controls the 7th stingiest run-stop-unit in the league. Offensively, Pittsburgh not explosive, but steady, and even clutch in production. QB Pickett has no interceptions in 6 of last 7 games. Browns' defensive end Clowney, dismissed from practice earlier this week, will not suit up today. Pittsburgh sports a sweet 16-3 ATS mark at home vs a less than .500 division opponent off a SU win. Cleveland is a money burning 2-18 ATS off a non-division game vs a division opponent with revenge. Take Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Titans +6.5 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 24 m | Show | |
Titans/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars feeling really good about themselves on a nice run. But don't count the Titans out. They're actually better on the road (5-1-1 ATS run) against the mid-tier teams. And should be very competitive vs their division, especially in a revenge mode and with a playoff berth at stake. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Vrabel is a sweet 10-2 ATS with revenge vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. QB Dobbs is capable of guiding the offense now that Derrick Henry is back in the fray. Dobbs has been decisive and quick in his decision making. Defensively, Titans play the run well (#2) and have gotten a bit healthier in their secondary. Titans have done well in Jacksonville at 4-1 ATS. Look for Tennessee to be competitive here. |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Tulane/USC 1:00: This year's USC team is defined by Caleb Williams. When he goes, the Trojans go. And that works both ways, as exhibited in the PAC12 Championship after he hurt his hamstring; consequently, the offense fell apart when he was no longer his mobile self. It's been a month since that injury occurred and I believe he's not going to be at his best today. Today, USC faces a similar staunch defense to Utah. Tulane has a Top 20 scoring defense, very good secondary, and they bring the heat on QBs. And Williams won't have his top receiver (Addison) plus two starting linemen Vorhees and Neilon. Defensively, LB Goforth (43 tackles) is in the transfer portal to Washington. USC defense ranks 101st in total yards given up and 112th vs the pass. Tulane offense productive led by mobile QB Pratt (25 TD/5 INT). Take Tulane |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
Vikings/Packers 4:25: Really impressed with the secondary play of Green Bay this season (#3 vs pass) especially last week vs elite receivers Waddle and Hill. They'll face some very good ones today in Jefferson, Theilen, TE Hockenson, and RB Cook. We'll look for the Packers' DC Barry to continue to make the right adjustments. Offensively, Rodgers a bit off the mark but got in a groove with his receiving corps and the Pack is rolling on a 3-0 SU/ATS run. Green Bay offense should run through the Vikings' soft defense like a hot knife through butter. Vikings in the bottom tier vs the pass, total yards and points allowed. LaFleur a sweet 11-2 ATS as a favorite vs a .500 or greater team off a SU win. And the Packers are 9-1 ATS vs a division opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Packers can win out and have a good chance at the playoffs. Green Bay should get sweet revenge from Week 1 loss.  |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Jets/Seahawks 4:05: Both teams desperate for a win with identical 7-8 records. Seattle has a 27% chance of getting to the playoffs, so they'll need to sweep remaining two and get help from other teams. Jets have just a 15% chance. Like the Seahawks chances here. They've won 4 straight in this series. Geno Smith will have back Lockett (finger) for this one. That's a big plus to take pressure off Metcalf vs a tough Jets' secondary. A healthy Walker III behind an improving front line should get the run game going. Seattle needs to tighten their defense. Look for it here. Jets' QB White gets back the nod as the starter. Jets' run game hasn't been cooking since Breece Hall (out) went down. Pete Carroll 12-3 ATS off back-to-back losses, should get er done here. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | 49ers -9 v. Raiders | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
 49ers/Raiders 4:05: 49ers are rolling yet still have something to play for. They most likely won't secure home field advantage throughout playoffs, for the Eagles will control that; however, they can secure a few home games by winning out. Raiders, on the other hand, are on life support as a playoff team and flat line here. Jarrett Stidham takes over at the helm as Derek Carr is benched for the year. Stidham has played in 11 games with no starts in his career. 49ers' Bosa and Ebukam should give him a rude awakening today. Stidham has weapons such as Waller, Davante Adams, Renfrow and RB Jacobs; however, he hasn't had enough time to establish a rhythm with them, and he's just plain not that good. And facing the #1 defense in the NFL in a variety of categories is not the right setting to go against in a first NFL start. On the other hand, Purdy is well supported and loaded with weapons. Should be able to work a mediocre defense (24th PPG allowed). 49ers 17-4 ATS in January and 6-1 ATS in Week 17. Lay the wood. |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions -6 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Bears/Lions 1:00: Bears appear to be tanking to secure high draft choice. Defensively, they've hit the skids (32nd in scoring defense). You would think the revenge motive would be there today, but it wasn't against Green Bay, and I doubt it will be here today. Bears 1-7 ATS off a SU loss vs division opponent off a double-digit SU loss. Detroit has a tendency to lay an egg now and then but usually a scoring machine at home. Detroit is 12-4 ATS at home, and 8-4 ATS off a SU loss under Dan Campbell. Goff is half-human-half machine at Ford Field. Lions are now 5-2 ATS after allowing 35+ points, and they're 11-2 ATS vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss. Detroit still a slim hope for a playoff berth and we'll take them here.  |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
OSU/Georgia 8:00: Hypothetically, if OSU plays defense like they did against Michigan, they'll lose big. I don't believe OSU DC Knowles will make that mistake twice. Against Michigan, he prepared the Buckeyes' defense to stack the line, go man coverage with a single high safety or Cover O (no safety) and the Wolverines smoked them with explosive plays routinely in a blowout. Bulldogs have a similar powerful offensive line, great skill personnel and a sharp QB. Knowles was a great coordinator with Oklahoma State and did a bang-up job with Ohio State up until that nightmare day on November 26th in Columbus. Look for Knowles to take a bend don't break philosophy to disallow explosive plays yet tighten in the red zone. As for offensively, OSU has a few injuries to key skill personnel, but Stroud still has a deep receiving corps, including matchup nightmare Marvin Jarrison Jr.. OSU plays the dog role well at 9-0 ATS getting 3 or more points. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | TCU +8 v. Michigan | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
TCU/Michigan 4:00: In the Harbaugh era of the Wolverines, they've been the grind it out, run the football, play action team and they're not changing their style nor should they. They have arguably the best offensive line in the nation and very good skill personnel to accomplish what Harbaugh wants this year. Donovan Edwards filled in well for injured Blake Corum, running for 216 vs OSU and 185 vs Purdue. The problem for the Wolverines throughout Harbaugh's tenure has been the teams that have a veteran offensive line with superior athletes in skill positions. Up until this year, Ohio State gassed their defense with up-tempo offense, Alabama beat them up in the 2019 Citrus Bowl and Georgia pulverized them in last year's Semi-Finals in the CFP. This year, with a few coaching changes, addition of better athletes, Wolves are a legitimate contender and no longer an underdog loser in big games, as exhibited by their blowout against OSU. They now go into the pricey favorite role and I'm not quite ready to lay more than a TD here. TCU defense most likely will bend vs the Wolverines but thrive on creating turnovers. Offensively, TCU has thrived under Dykes' offense. Max Duggan and company drop 40.3 PPG on opponents. No one has been able to stop match up nightmare WR Quentin Johnston, and Kendre Miller has been outstanding running behind the veteran TCU offensive line. TCU has too many weapons to get beaten soundly here. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas State/Alabama Noon: I won't deny that Alabama will be up for this game on account of being denied in the CFP. Saban and company feel they can take out their frustration on Kansas State here to make a statement to the committee. But he'll have to do it without 5 offensive linemen and 5 wide receivers which entered the transfer portal. Sure, Saban is loaded with 5* two deep and will have QB Bryce Young and #1 draft pick edge player Will Anderson in this game. But don't discount the Chris Klieman who can flat out coach. He sports a 76% career winning percentage and destroyed LSU 42-20 in the Texas Bowl in January. Kansas State has no opt outs and not intimidated. K State has a Top 20 defense and allows only 20.1 PPG. They're highly opportunistic with 16 takeaways. Offensively, well-disciplined with a ground-controlled game led by Deuce Vaughn. QB Will Howard well skilled with a 15/2 TD/INT ratio. Very few weaknesses on K State including quality special teams. We'll take the TD with K State. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Clemson -5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
Tennessee/Clemson 8:00: Tennessee was well on its way to play in the CFP when QB Hooker went down vs South Carolina. Former Michigan QB Joe Milton, who has a rifle of an arm, came in to save the season but couldn't, as the 2nd loss of the season sent them to this bowl. Milton did lead the Volunteers to a decisive blow out win over Vanderbilt, albeit the run game is what gutted the Commodores defense. That won't happen against the well-disciplined Top 20 defense of Clemson. And although Joe Milton has the arm strength to stretch a defense, he doesn't have the accuracy to do it against Clemson's. Furthermore, he won't have his top two receivers - Hyatt and Tillman (NFL draft opt outs). On the other hand, Clemson won't have their starting QB D.J. Uiagalelei who already transferred to Oregon State. And that's a good thing because Klubnik, who came into the game in the ACC Championship and lit up the UNC secondary, is the better option and should have been the starter. Tennessee's secondary (127th in the nation) is not very good. Klubnik should light it up like a torch. Clemson HC Swinney has an excellent bowl record and should have his men finishing strong as a springboard for next year. Clemson the call. |
|||||||
12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Notre Dame/South Carolina 3:30: ND turned in a solid season and looks good going forward. However, a few key opt outs and change of QB should cost them here. TE Mayer (67 catches for 809 yards) was the main go-to weapon of QB Pyne. He opted out as he prepares for the NFL draft. DL Foskey (11 sacks) is a menace to QBs - opted out. And starting corner Hart (shoulder) won't play. Moreover, Tyler Buchner, who started the year as the starting QB, will now take over for Pyne who has already transferred. South Carolina is coming off a great second year under Shane Beamer. And QB Spencer Rattler got into rhythm at the right time down the stretch with an electrifying performance (798 total yards with 8 TDs/2 INTs) vs Tennessee and Clemson. Even though SC has a few opt outs of their own, hard to go against the momentum of South Carolina now. They're 4-1 ATS in non-conference games, including last year's bowl upset win over North Carolina as a 13-point dog under Beamer. We'll take the points here. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Washington +3 v. Texas | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Texas/Washington 9:00: Got to question Texas motivation coming into this one. Longhorns had high expectations going into the season but forced to play in Alamo Bowl for the third time in four years. Longhorns' offense is ignited by Doak Walker winner RB Bijon Robinson. His YAC (yards after contact) were off the chart and almost single handedly destroyed Baylor in final game of the year. Washington is sound in their defensive scheme and play the run well. Of course, Texas has super athletes to fill the RB position, but Robinson (opted out) is hard to replace; moreover, their second-best RB Roschon Johnson opted out as well. Texas QB Ewers will be showcasing his talent for BMOC (Big Man on Campus) Arch Manning will be arriving in January to take away his position. Washington secondary not the greatest but they should get help from a solid defensive front that has been successful getting to QB (2.9 sacks per game). Offensively, Washington has the #2 offense in the nation (522 YPG) led by the nation's top yardage producer through the air - Michael Pennix Jr. When he gets in rhythm, he's hard to stop. Texas will not have LB Overshown (NFL opt out) surging downhill. And Overshown and Roschon Johnson were key special teams' players for them as well. With the opt outs and the lack of motivation, I'll take the field goal with a hungry Washington (4-0 ATS non-conference) team eager to win a bowl. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
Oklahoma/Florida State 5:30: Mike Norvell is guiding Florida State in the right winning direction nowadays. And he has a tendency to close regular season games strong. He posted strong November winning marks at Memphis, and he did again this year with the Seminoles; however, as a word of caution, he went SU/ATS with Memphis in bowl games and that's a concern. But given the situation with nearly a fully loaded team eager to restore the winning tradition of bowl success from the Bowden and Fisher days, we'll lay the wood but with caution. Florida State has not won a bowl game since 2017. Florida State closed the season strong and looks good on both sides of the ball. QB Jordan Travis had a breakout year in a productive offense and the 'Noles have a Top 20 defense. Oklahoma, on the other hand, struggled mightily defensively this year. They're 120th in yards allowed and allow nearly 30 PPG! Moreover, the opt outs are plentiful: both starting offensive tackles (Morris & Henderson), RB Eric Gray, DT Redmond to name a few. The 'Noles are a solid 6-1 ATS as a non-conference favorite of less than 14 points. Given the direction these teams are going at this point, we'll lay the wood with Florida State. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Ole Miss v. Texas Tech +4 | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Ole Miss 9:00: Now that big time QB Tyler Shough is back healthy, I'll take the points here. After recovering from collarbone injury, Shough came back for the last 3 games full time and Tech rolled. HC McGuire did a solid job in his first year at the helm. Tech defense not the greatest but they make plays. Rebels went 0-3 ATS down the stretch and 1-3-1 ATS off a SU loss. Both teams pretty much at full strength with no major opt outs. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | North Carolina +13 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
Oregon/North Carolina 8:00: Both starting QBs will play. Nix for Oregon and Drake Maye for NC. Maye won't have his top receiver - Downs (NFL prep). Won't panic there for Mack Brown had solid recruiting classes the last few years and has really good skill players to see the field today. Oregon has some key personnel opting out of this one, however. C Gonzale (4 INTs), LB Sewell (56 tackles), DE DJ Johnson (6 sacks). Not a fan of Tar Heels' defense which is in the lower echelon of college football. However, the Tar Heels have enough offense to trade points and stay in games. 14 of the last 18 losses by Mack Brown have been one possession games. We'll look for NC to stay in this one. |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Central Florida +3.5 v. Duke | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Central Florida/Duke 2:00: Great season by Duke as first year HC Elko did an amazing job. But Malzahn no joke. He did a solid job in his second year. He's dealing with a few key players going into the transfer portal; however, UCF is deep in athletes. A veteran team with lots of players logging minutes on last year's bowl winning team. QB Plumlee, who was not healthy late in season, is healthy and ready to roll. UCF 4-1 ATS off SU loss. Malzahn lost his DC Travis Williams to Arkansas but defensive back coach Addison Williams may be an upgrade. We'll take the points here with another strong American Athletic Conference team to do well in the bowls. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Oklahoma State v. Wisconsin -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Wisconsin 10:15: These two teams will be shells of what they were during the regular season. Both QBs Sanders (Oklahoma State) and Mertz (Wisconsin) are transferring. Badgers have their starting NG out and LG out. Oklahoma State, however, has been hit hard by the transfer portal with 11 players transferring. Their defense under first year DC Mason was horrific compared to last year under Knowles. They went from the best defense in the Big 12 to the worst. They were 96th against the run allowing 171 YPG. Gundy's team was rolling early led by their normal potent offensive attack but the declining health of their QB Sanders led to a dismal 2-5 SU slide where they averaged a paltry 14 PPG. Wisconsin will have a new coach next season (Fickell from Cincinnati). The defensive coordinator Leonard, who did a rock solid job with this club for years, is the interim coach. The guys will play hard for him in his last game. And offensively, Badgers are deeply rooted in running the football for decades. That won't change today with mostly likely starter - QB Miles Burkett. He's got 1100+ yard rusher Braelon Allen playing behind some still quality offensive linemen. Lay the points with Wisconsin. |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Utah State v. Memphis -7 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Memphis/Utah State: Memphis has the edge in offensive prowess with record setting QB Henigan. Aggies more ball control with RB Calvin Tyler Jr.; however, the only problem is that he opted out of this game. Memphis plays pretty sound defense considering the high octane offense they possess. The Aggies are among the nation's least-disciplined teams when it comes to penalties, and they struggle to win the turnover battle. The Tigers are far sounder in both areas and have the passing attack to deliver. We'll lay the TD. |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Chargers -4 v. Colts | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
12-26-22 | New Mexico State v. Bowling Green -3 | 24-19 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | 19-16 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
12-25-22 | Broncos v. Rams +3 | 14-51 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Broncos/Rams 4:30: Both teams highly underachieved this year. Rams did so with numerous injuries, especially along the offense line where they've reshuffled nearly 13 times. The Broncos, however, never meshed as an offensive unit with Wilson as the signal caller. Denver coming off a win over the lifeless Arizona Cardinals but can't be trusted in this spot. They're 1-6 ATS off a SU win and just 1-7 ATS in Week 16. Hackett is no master motivator and I do believe that trend will hold weight here. On the other hand, Rams' Mayfield has had a few weeks to get in rhythm with his receivers: Atwell, Van Jefferson, Powell and TE Higbee. RB Cam Akers has shown some production in recent weeks. And Rams' defense, still has some veteran stars which bring energy to the field, including MLB Wagner. Edge to McVay as the signal caller in creating something out of limited talent. With the home team in this series at 4-1 ATS and the dog at 6-0 ATS, take the points with the Rams. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers -2.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 81 h 18 m | Show | |
Raiders/Steelers 8:15: Tomlin has never had a losing record as a coach of the Steelers and should be on his way to maintain that status tonight. A glimmer of hope for each of these teams riding winning streaks coming into this one; however, Steelers have the home field advantage, and extra motivation with the passing of Steelers' legend Franco Harris who will be honored posthumously at halftime. QB Pickett should get the nod but Trubisky proving he can step in and guide the team. Dominant performance by the Steelers last week as they ran the ball well and also continue to defend vs the run well. They held Carolina to a measly 21 yards rushing last week. The #7 run stop unit will need to stop LV RB Jacobs - who is having a career year. LV has covered this series 5 straight times but look for the surging Steelers who welcome the warm weather Raiders to the 7-degree temperature of Heinz Field. Pittsburgh the call. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Commanders +7 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Commanders/49ers 4:05: Commanders won the total yards in passing and rushing vs the Giants last week but costly errors (strip sack) and inability to close in the red zone cost them the game. Look for Washington to do well in this spot. They're 7-3 ATS in Week 16 and 3-0-1 ATS at SF including a 23-15 outright win at SF back in Ron Rivera's first year coaching Washington in 2020. SF could take their foot off the gas pedal here after clinching division. Commanders will have DE Chase Young making his season debut to give Brock Purdy trouble. And offensively, the weapons are abundant with Dotson, Samuel, McLaurin, RB Robinson. SF just 3-7 ATS in Week 16. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -2.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Saints/Browns 1:00: Browns are made to play in the inclement weather on Saturday. Watson is getting comfortable in the system and the run game with Chubb and Hunt behind a rock solid offensive line should be the deciding factor. Saints, 21st in rushing, not utilizing Kamara like they should. And explosive receiver Olave out. Taysom Hill may get significant action to attempt to gain yardage in what should be extremely cold with heavy winds. Browns made for this weather and Saints are not. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Bengals -3 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Bengals/Patriots 1:00: Patriots no longer the intimidating force at Foxborough where they've gone 3-3 SU/ATS this season. They've dominated this series, but the trend should flip starting today. Patriots have average offensive personnel coached by questionable offensive minds (DC Patricia/QB Coach Judge). And Mac Jones displays a temperament and pocket awareness not feasible to be a big game winner. NE wants to pound the rock, throw the quick screens but Bengals' defense surely up to the challenge. They have a good run-stop-unit (8th vs the run), limit points in the red zone, and create turnovers. On the other side of the ball, Burrow is sacked less often now and the Bengals' offense is rolling. They're well balanced, limit turnovers and have dangerous weapons (Chase, Higgins, Perine, Mixon, Boyd) that NE defensive backs will have trouble with. And now that the Bengals' offensive line is starting to gel, Bengals should keep it rolling. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Houston v. UL-Lafayette +7 | 23-16 | Push | 0 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette/Houston 3:00: Houston clearly has the more potent offense with Tune and company; however, defensively, they allow teams back in games. Six of Houston's 12 games came down to a final drive - 3 in OT. Ragin' Cajuns have an opportunistic defense that's forced 23 turnovers and Houston has had their share (95th in nation) this season. ULL has a ball hawking secondary (15 picks) led by Bralen Trahan (4). And despite a few early NFL prep defectors, they still have Zi'yon Hill who is seeking the career sack record of 22 today. Offensively, 'Cajuns in good hands with Wooldridge 15/5 TD/INT and Chandler Fields, plus a decent run game with RB Chris Smith. Disturbing trend for Houston's HC Holgorsen whose teams are 8-22 ATS with rest, including 1-12 ATS when coming off a loss. Take the points with ULL. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Jaguars +2.5 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Jacksonville/NY Jets 8:15: Last December, the Jets gashed the Jaguars on the ground for 273 yards rushing en route to a 26-21 home win. Zach Wilson threw for a mere 100 yards but did more damage with his feet (97 yards). Jets lost their rushing mojo when Breece Hall went down at Denver. Jaguars' defense still vulnerable vs the run but have the offense clicking as QB Lawrence coming into his own in his second season at the helm And a healthy versatile RB Etienne is surely helping the successful transition. Meanwhile, Zach Wilson still going through growing pains in his second year running the offense and Jax defense, which has created 21 turnovers, is licking their chops watching film on Wilson. We'll grab the points with the upward trending Jaguars. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor -3.5 | 30-15 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 55 m | Show | |
Air Force/Baylor 7:30: Great season for AF but schedule maker was kind. Last game of the season vs San Diego State was their biggest win. As for Baylor, they slugged it out in the Big12 including trading blows with CFP #3 TCU. HC Aranda was upset with defense this year and fired his DC and Special Teams/Safeties coaches. Aranda takes over the defense and that's a good thing. He was LSU's DC when they won the National Championship in 2019. Aranda will see to it that attention to detail is made in assignment football against the dangerous Flex Bone Option of AF. He's had plenty of time to study it and Baylor has the athletes to execute. We'll jump on Baylor here. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | South Alabama -3 v. Western Kentucky | 23-44 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky/South Alabama 9:00: Jaguars turned in one of their best seasons ever on account of great defense and an efficient offense. They sport the 4th best rushing defense allowing just 90 YPG. And 14th scoring defense allowing just 20.5 PPG. They'll have their hands full with the potent offense of QB Austin Reed and company. Look for the Jaguars to pound 1000+ yard rusher Webb to keep the Hilltoppers' offense off the field. Hilltoppers' stop unit gives up a ton of yards. And QB Carter Bradley has a few quality receivers in Wayne (795 yards) and Lacy (756 yards). Jaguars the call. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Toledo -3.5 v. Liberty | 21-19 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Liberty/Toledo 7:30: Liberty was cruising along and even upset Arkansas November 5th. Then the crap hit the fan when word circulated that HC Hugh Freeze was going to Auburn. The Flames plummeted on an 0-3 SU/ATS slide capped off by a blowout loss to lightweight New Mexico State. Liberty will be in good hands after the season with Jamey Chadwell who went 31-6 SU over the last 3 seasons with Coastal Carolina. But as for now, the Flames will have to make do with interim HC Josh Aldridge (LB/DC). It sure looks like Liberty players shut it down on him. As for Toledo, they're coming off their first MAC title win under Jason Candle. They haven't won a bowl game under him yet in 4 attempts. Candle has his best squad yet. A solid defense led by All-American corner Mitchell. And offensively, versatile QB Finn. We'll lay the points with Toledo. |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Eastern Michigan +4 v. San Jose State | 41-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan/San Jose State 3:30: Eastern Michigan hadn't been to a bowl game since 1987 before Chris Creighton arrived. Including today, he's taken the Eagles bowling five times since 2016. They've covered 3 of those 4 bowls keeping it competitive. EM has been a solid traveler under Creighton and always dangerous as a dog. Eagles are a hungry scrappy team that stays in games. SJS has a great defense but lays eggs in bowl games under Brennan. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Rams/Packers 8:15: Rams coming off an emotional high after their epic win over the Raiders last Thursday. Baker Mayfield, claimed off the waiver wire two days prior, capped off the comeback with a 98 yard drive. It was truly a remarkable feat considering he had limited plays to his knowledge, no time to get into a rhythm with receivers, not to mention calling the pass protection and signal count. What was also remarkable, was the ineptitude of the Raiders' defense which made major blunders (penalties) to allow the Rams back in the game. I don't see lightning striking twice in Green Bay tonight. Mayfield was also good in his early outings in Cleveland coming off bench improvising and ripping the ball downfield. Packers more disciplined defensively in all areas of their game and won't make the mistakes the Raiders did. Now that Mayfield had time to settle in a bit, we'll look for the last year's Mayfield, and even this year's Carolina Mayfield to emerge. Not an easy task for the Rams to transition to 20 degrees tonight. They have not had success against Green Bay. Packers have covered this series eight straight times, including four as a favorite of 7 or more. Rams still have a patchwork offensive line, no Cooper Kupp or Aaron Donald. Packers should roll. |
|||||||
12-19-22 | Connecticut v. Marshall -11.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Marshall/Connecticut 2:30: U Conn had a solid season as Jim Mora Jr. guided the Huskies to their first bowl appearance since 2015. Fortunately for the Huskies, their schedule enabled them to have some success. A win over Fresno State was doable primarily because the Bulldogs' starting QB was out. A win over Liberty happened November 12th on account of heavy Hugh Freeze rumors circulating he was going to Auburn. Huskies have a long way to go on the recruiting trail. U Conn does have a decent run game with Victor Rosa but that's as far as it goes. QB Zion Turner poses no threat on the ground (2.8 YPC) and no vertical passing game. Huskies face the #7 scoring defense in the nation, #5 vs the run, and well-schooled in the secondary. The pedestrian offense of U Conn should be suffocated Monday afternoon. On the other hand, Marshall does have some athletic prowess with a well-balanced offense (205 YPG rush/200 YPG pass) and a decent signal caller in Laborn. This Marshall team knocked off Notre Dame September 10th and beat some quality Sun Belt teams. We'll lay the points. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Giants v. Commanders -4 | 20-12 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
12-18-22 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Broncos | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
12-18-22 | Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
12-18-22 | Steelers +3 v. Panthers | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 22 m | Show | |
Dolphins/Bills 8:15: The cold weather stigma on Miami in December won't go away, and it shouldn't; after all, in December, they're a disturbing 0-9 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss vs an opponent off s SU win. And after a red-hot start, Tua has been catching flak on his fallout after back-to-back sub-par performances He completed just 45.9% of his passes over the last two weeks, including against the depleted secondary of the Chargers last week. And yes, it's going to be a cold, snowy, windy night Saturday evening. The only other time Tua has played in freezing temperatures was January 2nd at Tennessee last year. He had a horrible day in a 34-3 blowout loss. He and the Dolphins have a lot to prove tonight. They're just 2-7-1 ATS at Buffalo. And without a run game (#29 in league with just 89.8 YPG), Tua will be in for a long night against the #2 scoring defense in the league. Cold weather grown Josh Allen should get his game back on track tonight against a defense that allows 31.4 PPG. Buffalo the call. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Ravens +3 v. Browns | 3-13 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
Ravens/Browns 4:30: Browns still mathematically alive for playoffs but face an uphill battle and it starts today. Ravens, 12-3 ATS in December, are playing sound football and winning games despite QB Jackson sidelined. Backup QB Huntley got the nod and got the job done. He's in concussion protocol but did participate in walk through Thursday. He or 3rd string Anthony Brown have, a solid supporting cast with a now deep backfield as J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards back in the fray behind a very good offensive line. And Ravens' offense always more productive with Mark Andrews in the lineup. Cleveland defense underachieving (27th in league) allowing nearly 25 PPG. On the other hand, #8 ranked scoring defense on their game ever since All Pro MLB Roquan Smith was brought on before the trade deadline. The Ravens' defense has been outstanding over last 3 weeks. Cleveland's QB DeShaun Watson still rusty after a few starts and he's got his hands full again today. Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in this series including 23-20 win on October 23rd. Browns' HC Stefanski can't be trusted as a favorite off a SU loss at 3-10 ATS. Solid traveling Ravens should get it done again. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Colts/Vikings 1:00: Vikings have a hard time putting teams away because of a yielding defense. Sure, Colts' offense is pedestrian but has talented players in RB Jonathon Taylor, WRs Pierce, Pittman Jr., Campbell. And the offensive line has been solid. Turnovers have killed the Colts this year as Matt Ryan has seen his better days; however, there might be some old magic left after a bye week and against a defense that's allowed an average of 30.4 PPG over the last 5 games. A few weeks ago, Colts hung tough with Dallas for 3 quarters until the turnovers started and they unraveled. Vikings don't nearly have the defense Dallas does. Colts are 4-0 ATS after allowing more than 30 points. They're also 5-1 ATS on Saturday and covered 4 straight in this series. Colts' defense has a ball hawking secondary, and a solid pass rush. Vikings just 1-7 ATS vs an opponent off a bye week and just 3-9 ATS vs teams below .500. Take the points with the Colts. |
|||||||
12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA -1 | 18-12 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
12-16-22 | Miami-OH +12 v. UAB | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | 21-13 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
49ers/Seahawks 8:15: On paper, SF clearly the call; after all, they've won 6 straight (5-1 ATS), coming off blowout win over Tampa Bay. They have the #1 defense in the NFL, and Brock Purdy is taking SF by storm guiding the offense. On the other hand, Seattle has lost 4 straight ATS, has a defense that's been gashed in 3 of last 4 games, and Geno Smith has thrown 4 INTs over last 3 games. Easy call, right? Hold everything. Seattle not an easy out under Pete Carroll. Remember, no other coach holds his amazing prime time record. He's 11-2 ATS at home off a double digit ATS loss, and 10-2 ATS as a dog vs .500 or greater division opponent. He has Kenneth Walker III back in the fray to fuel the run game, pretty healthy offensive line to ward off the smoke SF will bring, and 8-1 ATS as a division dog vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. And remember, Purdy is a rookie, and the Seahawks' ball hawking secondary is talented with C Woolen, C Jackson, FS Diggs. This will be Purdy's first road test at the ridiculously loud Lumen Field with 72,000 screaming fans. And he's short one big weapon in Deebo Samuel. And keep in mind SF is just 2-8-1 ATS in Seattle, 2-5 ATS Week 15, 1-3 ATS as a Thursday Night road favorite, and 0-6 ATS on Thursday night off a SU win. Seattle will be ready tonight to avenge the Week 2 loss.  |
|||||||
12-14-22 | UCLA v. Maryland -1.5 | 87-60 | Loss | -118 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
UCLA/MD 9:00: MD off two straight losses should end the skid here. The Terps are now facing their 4th straight ranked opponent and the hardened schedule will surely pay dividends. Defensive oriented Wisconsin and Tennessee were able to slow the Terps down on the road, but the Terps can get back to a higher tempo vs the prolific scoring UCLA Bruins. Bruins have faced a relatively light schedule, and this will be only their second true road game. Terps are 9-1 ATS on their home floor and we'll grab them here. |
|||||||
12-13-22 | Memphis +7 v. Alabama | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
Memphis/Alabama 9:00: Alabama with an impressive win on the road over then #1 Houston on Saturday. That was the second #1 team they knocked off this year. The other was NC on November 27th. After that win, they did not cover the big number (19) at home vs South Dakota State. They find themselves in for another tough outing here; after all, Memphis is coming off with an impressive win over a very good Auburn team on a neutral floor. Kendrie Davis and Williams are big time athletes for the Tigers. And they have great support from a deep bench. Tigers are ultra-competitive vs very good teams; as a matter of fact, they're 13-4 ATS vs teams above .600. Good situation for the Tigers where they're 4-1 ATS on the road off 3+ home games. Tide has not been a good money winner under Oats. 10-22-2 ATS slide, 6-14 ATS off a SU win, and just 5-15 ATS at home. Take Hardaway's athletic bunch and the points! |
|||||||
12-12-22 | Patriots -1.5 v. Cardinals | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
Patriots/Cardinals 8:15: Patriots have a bit more stability in their program now. Arizona enduring another Kingsbury flop down the stretch of the season. Cardinals have been a brutal team in December. They've lost 4 of their last 5 December tilts and dropped 9 of their last 12 home games. Cardinals are coming off a bye week so they're healthier; however, with playoffs just about a distant memory, doubt that they took advantage of the extra prep time to their maximum benefit. Arizona has been a disaster on MNF at 2-10 ATS. They're also 0-8 ATS on MNF vs non-division opponent off a SU loss. Patriots are actually 5-0 ATS as a road favorite on MNF. I do realize that the Patriots' offense is brutal with Patricia and Judge as an integral part of it. Mac Jones will have to make do with them for at least the rest of the season. Fortunately, the Patriots have a decent defense (6th in points allowed). Can't say the same for Arizona - 32nd in NFL in points allowed at 27 PPG. And the Arizona offense has been stuck in neutral for most of the season. NE has had trouble with mobile QBs (Justin Fields/Josh Allen/Lamar Jackson) so that is a major concern with Murray; however, we'll look for Belichick to finally figure it out tonight. Belichick 7-1 ATS off double digit loss vs less than .500 team. And he's 12-2 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Patriots do have something to play for now that the Jets lost. NE the call. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Dolphins/Chargers 8:20: Chargers have their share of injuries to star players (Bosa, J.C. Jackson, Derwin James, Slater, Pipkins III) and because of that, they're home underdogs - rightfully so. However, as long as Herbert is on the field and he has capable receivers, they're in the game. The good news is Keenan Allen is healthy and matchup nightmare Mike Williams (ankle) will be back in a limited role. Herbert also gets his C Lindsley back. And versatile RB Ekeler (85 receptions and 5 TD catches) is healthy. Throw WR Palmer and TE Everett in the mix and that quick passing game of LA is dangerous. Miami pass defense has been vulnerable (233.5 YPG - 22nd in league). Sure, Miami's explosive weaponry will get their share of points against a yielding Chargers' defense, but Herbert and company should be able to trade points successfully. We'll take the points with the desperate home team clinging on to their playoff hopes by a thread. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Eagles v. Giants +7 | 48-22 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Eagles/Giants 1:00: Eagles clearly playing like a Super Bowl contender with no glaring weaknesses on both sides of the ball. Yet, they have had their difficulties with the Giants, especially at home where NY won and covered the last two. In those two, Hurts threw for just 51.7%. And in his last stop in the Meadowlands, he was picked off three times in a 13-7 defeat. Of course, AJ Brown addition changes the whole scheme of things. He's a matchup nightmare with anyone in single coverage. Giants are a yielding defense but do limit explosive plays and toughen in the red zone. Giants allow 21 PPG good for 12th in the league. Philadelphia defense for the most part rock solid but they've had some issues stopping the run. Washington and Houston were able to outrush them. Giants' 1000+ yard rusher - Barkley (neck) overdue to get on track after averaging a measly 2.8 YPC over last 3 games. And QB Daniel Jones continues to be dangerous on the ground - racking up 522 yards. Eagles are coming off a blowout win but just 2-6-1 ATS after scoring 30+. Giants, on a 7-2 ATS run, have cleaned up turnover problem this season (5th in league) under Daboll. And Eagles not having star S Gardner-Johnson (6 INT, 55 solo tackles) big loss. And offensively, no TE Goedert (IR) stymies the pass game a bit. We'll look for the fighting Giants to hang tough today in the Meadowlands. |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Navy -2.5 v. Army | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Navy/Army 3:00: Both teams well versed on each other which is why this game has been low scoring for 16 straight years. Both teams will throw about 4 or 5 passes combined, if that. Navy has the edge in defense where they're 4th in the nation against the run allowing just 85.8 YPG. On the other hand, Army defense allows a generous 193.6 YPG (115th). And Navy had the tougher schedule. They played the likes of SMU, Houston, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and UCF: All potent offensive teams. Army did well vs UTSA early in the season, got blasted by Wake Forest. Both teams, of course, lost to Air Force in competitive games. Army has a bit more experienced QB in Cade Ballard. And the Midshipmen won't have their season starter Lavatai (knee) but Arline (4 YPC) came in and did a nice job down the stretch with a bit more running strength. Maynor, who has a better arm is used occasionally. Their go-to-runner is FB FoFana (749 yards/6 TDs). He's a beast of a FB and can gut a weak interior as the game goes on. Navy the call. |
|||||||
12-08-22 | Raiders -6 v. Rams | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
Raiders/Rams 8:15: Rams' defense getting toasted by the pass. Over the last 3 weeks, the Rams are 1 of 3 teams that have allowed 300+ passing yards per game giving up 2.3 TDs per game. Enter the hot Raiders led by Derek Carr who has multiple TD passes in 5 straight games including against pretty good pass defenses (Denver, Indianapolis, Los Angeles Chargers). What has aided Carr, is the revved up running game of Josh Jacobs behind an offensive line that's found its footing; consequently, that opens the play action game with the always dangerous Davonte Adams - who has been on a tear. On the other side of the ball, Raiders' defense leaves a lot to be desired. Injuries in secondary and on the line. And they yield yards and explosive plays; however, not sure if Rams can take advantage of it. Rams' offensive line still has issues, QB Wolford is questionable with sore neck, which leaves versatile Bryce Perkins and newly acquired Mayfield. Mayfield most likely won't see action. You don't learn a system, signals, line calls in week. Just not going to happen. Nevertheless, still no direction to this offense without Kupp and Stafford. Cam Akers did show promise in the run game last week, but Las Vegas should have that strength well studied. Raiders did show promise in pass rush last week as Chandler Jones finally showed up to help out always hustling Maxx Crosby. Raiders have a tendency to make games interesting and not super confident laying points with them. We'll trend lightly with the Raiders tonight. |
|||||||
12-07-22 | Michigan State v. Penn State -4 | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Penn State 6:30: Michigan State running out of gas early. They've already had a rough very competitive traveling schedule, then came off a tournament where they went a respectable 2-1, then got blown out at ND and got upset at home to Northwestern on December 4th. They've had some injuries to key players (Akins and Hall). Now they have to travel to a pretty strong Penn State venue. Nittany Lions (6-2) are off a double OT loss at Clemson on November 29th. They've had time to prep and deliver. Lions are dangerous from the perimeter launching 12 per game at a 40% clip. Lions are 6-0 ATS off a SU loss and on a sweet 21-7-1 ATS run. We'll give them the edge here at Bryce Jordan Center. |
|||||||
12-06-22 | St. Louis v. Iona +1.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
St. Louis/Iona 7:00: These teams went at it last year with the Billikens sneaking by 68-67 in St. Louis. Iona covered the 3'-point spread. Pitino looks to avenge that defeat today in NY. The Gaels are on an 18-0 SU run at the Hynes Athletic Center, including 3-0 this season. Both teams play fast and score well in transition. Statistically, the Gaels are a bit better at it (16 PPG vs 14.5 PPG). This is the Billikens second true road game. They did compete well at Auburn November 27th losing 65-60 covering the 7 points. Gaels know what to expect and will be fired up for this one. They've picked up the tempo since leading scorer Slazinski (18 PPG) went down with appendicitis. Clayton Jr. headlines the show with two other double-digit scorers. Iona is better disciplined defensively and takes care of the ball - 4th Nationally in assist to turnover ratio (1.78). Take Iona. |
|||||||
12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs -3 | 16-17 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Saints/Bucs 8:15: Both teams in contention for division title. Bucs (5-6) can pull away with some breathing room with a win and they should deliver vs the struggling Saints (4-8). Saints gave TB problems last season with a season sweep. That was under Sean Payton. This season, Saints don't have near the swagger under Dennis Allen. Saints sport a minus 15 turnover margin. Offensively, they've had spurts of offensive success but turn the ball over way too much (21). Defensively, they do get back Lattimore who's given Mike Evans problems in the past; however, he hasn't played since Week 5. TB delivered the win in Week 20-10 at New Orleans. Dennis Allen a poor 0-6 ATS with revenge vs opponent off a SU loss. Look for Brady and company to bounce back strong in this spot. They're 11-2 ATS as favorites of less than 7 points off a SU non-division favorite loss. TB the call. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Colts v. Cowboys -10 | 19-54 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
12-04-22 | Chargers +2.5 v. Raiders | 20-27 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Chargers/Raiders 4:25: In recent history, this series has been closely contested with the dog going 19-8 in the last 27 meetings. Chargers are 5-2 ATS when playing on the road vs the Raiders. Sure, Chargers have a few offensive linemen (C Linsley, RT Pipkins III) out, but Herbert's quick release, the return of crafty veteran Kennan Allen, emergence of Palmer, and the ability of RB Ekeler to get open make up for that. LA will have to find a way to chip or slow down Maxx Crosby. I trust they will. On the other hand, Chargers' defense has its problems but have playmakers like Mack and Derwin James who can make big plays. We'll look for the Chargers to stick around and deliver. ' |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Seahawks -7 v. Rams | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 39 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Rams 4:05: It seems ridiculous to lay a TD on the road in a division game with a team that's been gutted by the run in back-to-back games; however, this game dictates to do the ridiculous. Rams without defensive impact player Aaron Donald (ankle) and starting QB Stafford (concussion). Sure, Wofford has proven to be a viable backup but he has limited weapons with no Cooper Kupp (IR) and Allen Robinson ((R). Rams' HC McVay is only as good as his horses will allow him to be. Today, he doesn't have the horses to compete at a high level. On the other hand, Carroll does. Although a flu was going around earlier in the week, the Seahawks are relatively healthy. Defensive minded Carroll will figure out the leaky run-stop-unit especially against a reshuffled Rams' offensive line with a running game 31st in the league. The Rams are a 1/2 yard short of being the worst offense in the NFL. All said and done, Seattle's lost 3 straight to division rival Los Angeles and need a win here to keep pace with NFC West leader SF. Pete Carroll is an amazing 13-2 ATS off back-to-back losses. I won't bet against him in this situation. Seattle the call. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Commanders -2 v. Giants | 20-20 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Commanders/Giants 1:00: Commanders on a 6-1 run primarily because they've won the turnover battle during that run. They're plus-7 in turnover margin the last 7 weeks. They were minus-7 in their 1-4 start to the season. Moreover, they've also won the run game battle in 5 of their last 7 games enabling Heinicke to work successfully his wealth of talented receivers. On the other hand, the Giants, after a hot start, are starting to stumble. They've lost 3 of their last 4 SU in which they lost the run game battle. In the first nine games, Barkley ran for 931 yards. The last two weeks, he's been held to 61 yards on 26 carries. Washington defense plays the run well; moreover, they get Chase Young back today to help feast on Daniel Jones and the beat-up Giants' offensive line. And defensively, Giants' dealing with injuries. Washington relatively healthy going into this one and have a bye next week. We'll look for their roll to continue. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Titans +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 10-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Titans/Eagles 1:00: Titans a dangerous road team that's won 5 straight ATS on the road (4-1 SU). Eagles are a legitimate NFC contender with a potent Top 3 offense. But Titans have an underrated defense that stiffens in the red zone (18.6 PPG allowed. Eagles on the other hand, have few flaws; however, they're missing their ball hawking S Gardner-Johnson (lacerated kidney), and although Blankenship looked solid in that reserve role last week, he's still just a rookie. Look for King Henry and the play action game of Tannehill and company to get it going this week. Eagles have been vulnerable to strong run games this season. Titans are a sweet 18-7 ATS on the road vs the NFC East including 9-1 ATS in the last 10. Tennessee the call. |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Purdue +17 v. Michigan | Top | 22-43 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Purdue/Michigan 8:00: Michigan off a huge upset of Ohio State. Harbaugh should have them prepared and at even keel tonight facing the Boilermakers. Michigan is well rooted in the CFP so this won't be an absolute must win. For Purdue, they have nothing to lose. And let it be known, Purdue is dangerous under HC Brohm vs ranked opponents going 7-6 SU; moreover, he's an incredible 22-6 ATS as a dog of 4+ points including 2-0 SU/ATS in that role this season. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Kansas State +2 v. TCU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Kansas State/TCU Noon: Undefeated TCU in the driver's seat to create their own destiny and secure a birth in the CFP. Even a competitive loss most likely won't eliminate them from the Final Four. TCU has explosive skill personnel (RB Miller, QB Duggan, WR Johnston), a veteran offensive line and solid defensively. But we won't discount the surging K State Wildcats that went on a 4-1 SU/ATS run after losing to TCU October 22nd. They had TCU on the ropes in the first half building an 18-point lead before the Horned Frogs exploded for 28 unanswered to secure the win in Fort Worth. The 'Cats made nice adjustments going forward averaging 40.2 PPG over their last 5 games. Don't discount the coaching ability of Chris Klieman. This guy won 4 FCS National Championships in 5 seasons while at North Dakota State University. He knows how to prepare for these big games, and he has the personnel to deliver. QB Will Howard has been rock solid in 5 appearances (13 TD/2 INT) after taking over for Adrien Martinez (leg). And 1200+ yard rusher Vaughn has a veteran line to keep him rolling here. Defensively, K-State allows just 19.4 PPG (15th in the nation). On the other hand, Sonny Dykes, who's done an unbelievable job in coaching TCU up this season, does have something to prove. He's had trouble in closing out seasons; as a matter of fact, he's a money burning 0-4 SU/ATS in his final game of the season while at SMU, including 0-1 SU/ATS in Bowls. We'll look for K-State to deliver. |
|||||||
12-02-22 | Utah v. USC -2 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
Utah/USC 8:00: USC a win away from playing in the CFP for the first time. With OSU on their tail, they must win and possibly convincingly to deliver no doubt in CFP Management Committee's mind. Utah no joke; after all, they're well coached under Whittingham and will always play hard. And on paper, Utah has a much better defense, solid special teams and a productive Top 20 offense. However, a closer look reveals Utah has not covered all season vs a winning team (0-4 ATS). And Cameron Rising had a big opportunity at Oregon November 19th to take Utah to another level but flopped miserably with three interceptions costing his team the win. Sure, he helped deliver a controversial SU win (loss ATS) over USC October 15th in the comfortable confines of Rice-Eccles Stadium. Tonight, in Las Vegas, I see the Heisman Trophy frontrunner - Caleb Williams and the explosive, yet efficient (1 turnover) USC offense getting the job done. And don't put a whole lot of stock into the yielding defense of USC (allow 405 YPG). They have a ball hawking secondary and created 21 takeaways - 2nd nationally! USC delivers! |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +3.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Bills/Patriots 8:15: Patriots in a desperation mode with an almost "must win" scenario. Bills and Miami are tied in the AFC East while New England sits in 4th place behind the Jets. Huge revenge match for NE. They had nearly a year to stew over their blowout loss in the playoffs to Buffalo. Tonight, they're catching the 1-4 ATS Bills. Bills' Josh Allen not the same since that November 6th loss to the Jets. He's dealing with the lingering effects of an elbow (UCL) injury. Even before the injury, he's had uncharacteristic interception problems. Over the last 5 games, he's thrown 7 INTs. It won't help that his RT Dawkins (ankle) is out. Patriots' #4 ranked defense should have an adequate plan on stopping Allen, not only through the air but on foot; after all, he leads the team in rushing too. Let's hope Patriots' defense learned their lesson from getting gutted by QB Power on October 24th by Justin Fields of the Bears. Look for NE' defense to buckle down with Judon (13 sacks) and company. On the offensive end, Mac Jones actually playing pretty well. No interceptions over the last 3 games. He won't have Von Miller (knee) racing him down off the edge. And Jones gets back his starting center David Andrews tonight. The inclement weather (cold and windy) will most likely have RB Stevenson carrying lots of the load with Damien Harris (thigh) out. Bills have been vulnerable against the run over the last 5 games as well. Patriots have a solid winning history on Thursday nights, and we'll give them the edge here. Take the points. |
|||||||
11-30-22 | Kansas State v. Butler | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
Kansas State/Butler 6:30: Both teams coming off tournaments overseas. Kansas won theirs in Cayman Island while Butler fell short in the Bahamas. Kansas has yet to lose a game this year and is talented under their first year HC Tang. Butler no pushover especially with Thad Matta now running the show. Matta has come full circle in his career beginning a very successful career at Butler before leaving to Xavier, then Ohio State and now back at Butler. Matta has an amazing career coaching record of 74% including multiple NCAA Tournament appearances, including a pair of Final Fours. He has talent to work with in Jayden Taylor and Chuck Harris. Butler has an amazing 67-2 SU mark at Hinkle Fieldhouse. Like their chances here in the Big East/Big 12 Battle. Butler the call. |
|||||||
11-29-22 | Maryland -12.5 v. Louisville | 79-54 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Maryland/Louisville 7:00: Major mismatch. Two teams heading in opposite directions. #22 Maryland is ascending under new HC Kevin Willard while Louisville hitting the skids under first year HC Kenny Payne. Maryland scoring 83 PPG while allowing just 61.3 PPG en route to their 6-0 start. Louisville allowing a generous 72 PPG while scoring a measly 58.7 PPG (355th nationally). Only way Terps can't win and cover is if they sleep walk through this one. I doubt that will be the case since it is a nationally televised game (ACC/Big Ten Challenge). Julian Reese and company should dominate the paint. Maryland cruises. |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Steelers +3 v. Colts | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Steelers/Colts 8:15: When Indianapolis is committed to the run with Jonathan Taylor, they do well. Under Saturday, they started running the football more; consequently, Taylor ran for 147 vs the Raiders and 84 vs Philadelphia. It surely helped Ryan settle in a bit and not turn the ball over. Ryan has been sacked 29 times this season in nine starts, including 4 last week. Pittsburgh brings to the field a better run-stop-unit than LV and Philadelphia. Steelers are 6th in the NFL against the run allowing 103.4 YPG. Myles Jack has been instrumental in helping in that area this year. Steelers will surely look to neutralize Taylor and, with T.J. Watt having a game under his belt following his injury, look to tee off on Ryan. Last year's Defensive MVP is a an offensive game wrecker. Heyward and improving Highsmith (9 sacks) give Pitt a formidable pass rush. Moreover, ball hawking FS Fitzpatrick is getting healthy again. Offensively, Steelers not prolific offensively, but getting better. RB Harris is starting to find room behind his line. He ran for 90 last week vs a pretty good Bengals' defense. And Pickett has completed a respectable 65.4% of his passes with no interceptions the last two games. Steelers aren't going to pack it in under Tomlin. Tomlin's 5-0 as a less than .500 team off a SU loss vs an opponent off a SU loss. And he's got a solid record as a MNF road dog at 12-8 ATS. Steelers the call. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | 40-34 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 41 m | Show | |
Raiders/Seahawks 4:05: Seahawks coming off a bye week after losing to TB in Germany. They're relatively healthy and should get the run game cooking with Kenneth Walker III behind an offensive line that seems to improve every week. And Geno Smith is feeding off the success of Wallker III with 73% completion and 108 passer rating (#2 in NFL). Seahawks' defense has also improved dramatically starting in mid-October. Raiders coming off a win at Denver but haven't won two straight all season. Seahawks won and covered two straight in this series and we'll look for the better coached Seahawks to deliver at home today.  |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Cardinals | 25-24 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 58 m | Show | |
11-27-22 | Broncos v. Panthers | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
Denver/Carolina 1:00: Denver is the lowest scoring team in the NFL with just 14.7 PPG but they do have a top tier defense that keeps them in games. Carolina is not much better offensively. They're 31st in total YPG produced and average just 18.8 PPG. And Sam Darnold, who hasn't had success at this level, will get his first start of the season after Baker Mayfield flopped again in his bid to earn the starting QB position. Panthers' defense, which is lower tier in the league (19th), not good enough to overcome Carolina's offensive inefficiencies, including 15 turnovers (27th in league). Russell Wilson overdue to have a decent game despite the skill personnel injuries. Denver the call. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Bengals v. Titans +1.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Bengals/Titans 1:00: Revenge game for Vrabel and the Titans. Back on Jan 22nd in last season's post season play, Titans beat the Bengals every way imaginable except on the scoreboard. Titans sacked Burrows an incredible nine times but couldn't close the deal. Bengals most likely won't have superstar WR Chase (hip) back just yet. And Joe Mixon is in concussion protocol. Meanwhile, red hot ever since that blowout MNF loss at Buffalo on September 19th. Titans have won 7 of their last 8 games SU and 8-0 ATS run. Tannehill has been rock solid last two games as Burks (who I mentioned last week would step up) is emerging as a serious receiving threat to fill the void of the departed A.J. Brown (Eagles). And King Henry should get loose against a mediocre Bengals' run stop unit. On the other side of the ball, Titans yield in yardage but tighten in the red zone. It won't help that Autry (6.5 sacks) is out but Titans do get back Bud Dupree to help fill the void. Vrabel a sweet 11-3 ATS as a dog with revenge. Take the Titans. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Texans v. Dolphins -13.5 | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Texans/Dolphins 1:00: Dolphins well rested and relatively healthy after coming off bye week. And that's bad news for a down and out Houston team coming off another loss last week. Houston benched QB Mills and will go with journeyman Kyle Allen. Not much of an upgrade. Look for Chubb and company to give him a rude welcome. On the other hand, yielding Houston defense could be in serious trouble with one of their top corners and #1 draft choice - Stingley (hamstring) most likely out; consequently, the Dolphins dynamic duo of Waddle and Hill should add significantly to their season totals in yards and TDs as they continue to mesh well with QB Tua. And if the Dolphins choose to run, they should be able to gut the worst run stop unit in the NFL that gives up 179 YPG. We'll lay the wood with Miami. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Notre Dame +5 v. USC | 27-38 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame/USC 7:30: Recently, ND has gotten the best of this series at 4-0 SU; however, this year's USC loaded with talent under new HC Lincoln Riley. He brought with him plenty of dudes including Heisman favorite - Caleb Williams and stole big play receiver Addison away from Pittsburgh. It surely will be Williams' Heisman moment if he can lead his team to victory over the toughest defense that he's faced all season. ND has a well versed secondary and can get to the QB (3 sacks per game). And ND HC Marcus Freeman has his team playing great football at the right time. The Irish are on a 5-game win streak of 39.8 PPG, including dropping 35 on Clemson. QB Drew Pyne has been efficient this season primarily because he's got a strong run game with Estime and Diggs who have each grinded out 5 YPC. TE Mayer has been Pyne's go-to-guy. USC has not played any team worth a note outside the offensive minded PAC 12. USC defense has been vulnerable to the pass but do have a nation leading 18 takeaways. I'm going to look for ND to maintain their discipline, hold onto the football and continue their success running the football, eating clock to keep the explosive Caleb Williams and company off the field. Take the points with ND. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Michigan State v. Penn State -18.5 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.