For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-26-20 | Bucs -9.5 v. Lions | 47-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
TB/Detroit 1:00: Not a fan of laying near double digits in the NFL but I'll make an exception here. Lions' defense is now last in the league in points allowed, trouble rushing the QB, missed assignments in secondary; consequently, we'll look for explosive plays to hit from the embarrassing wealth of riches Brady has at his disposal. Godwin, Evans, Antonio Brown, Gronk should have a field day. TB doesn't have a run game with Ronald Jones out and Fournette is not an adequate replacement; however, a semblance of a balanced attack can be achieved vs a thinning Detroit defense. On the other hand, love Stafford's toughness and grit but without Golladay, Detroit struggles to win games. He is their big hitter and he's out. TB defense gives up the big play too often but Lions lack of run game (30th in NFL) gives Buc's sack men to tee off on him before he can strike deep. Arians 11-4 ATS as a road favorite vs less than .500 team. And the Buc's have covered 3 of the last 4 at Detroit. TB can clinch a rare playoff opportunity here and we'll look for them to take care of business with authority. |
|||||||
12-25-20 | Vikings +7 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
Vikings/Saints 4:30: Vikings clinging to playoff lives (2% chance) desperate for a win while needing help from Chicago and Arizona to lose. Vikings are banged up defensively and very thin at LB and in the secondary. They do, However, have an offense that can move the football. Pro Bowlers RB Cook and WR Jefferson headline athletes who can keep them in the game. Fortunately, the Saints, which are already in playoffs but can improve seeding with win, are not in rhythm off consecutive losses. Brees is working his way back but limited in weaponry with his favorite receiver Michael Thomas on IR. Moreover, they're line is banged up to give the Vikings' struggling defense a chance to stay competitive. Vikings' HC Zimmer is a sweet 21-6-1 ATS in non-division games when coming off a loss. We'll take the TD. |
|||||||
12-25-20 | Marshall +4.5 v. Buffalo | 10-17 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Marshall/Buffalo 2:30: Both of these teams were cruising along until running into trouble down the stretch. Buffalo swept through the MAC en route to a 5-0 SU run before being upended by Ball State in the Conference Championship as a 12' point favorite. Marshall dominated for 7 straight games before knocked off by perceivable lightweight Rice as a 24' point favorite. Then got beat by a fired up UAB team in the Conference USA Championship. We'll look for Marshall to be the most resilient today. Marshall still has a very good defense with a #2 run stop unit in nation. They'll need to corral 1000+ yard rusher Jaret Patterson who tweaked his knee vs Ball State. On the other hand, Marshall's star RB Knox opted to sit out to prep for NFL. But Marshall still has a veteran offensive line and some good receivers in Woodyard and Keaton to help freshman QB Wells get over his shaky back-to-back outings. Marshall HC Holliday is 6-1 ATS in bowl games and 6-0 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off a SU loss. Buffalo 1-7 ATS on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS as a neutral site favorite. Marshall the call. |
|||||||
12-24-20 | Hawaii +10 v. Houston | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Hawaii/Houston 3:30: Hawaii can be competitive here under veteran coaching gypsy - Todd Graham. Graham took all five of his teams to bowl games: Rice, Tulsa, Pitt, Arizona State and now Hawaii. He has a solid dual threat QB in Cordeiro. The Rainbow Warriors are very creative offensively and had an adequate amount of time to carve up a suspect Houston defense. On the other hand, Houston has only played one game in five weeks and should be out of rhythm. They've been sloppy with turnovers most of the season under Holgorsen. Hawaii has a great LB Muasau who leads the nation with nearly 8 solo tackles per game. Hawaii is more opportunistic defensively than their counterparts and should stay competitive here. Houston has been a horrible favorite this year at 0-5 ATS. We'll grab the points with Hawaii. |
|||||||
12-23-20 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Indiana | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
Northwestern/Indiana 8:30: Northwestern uncharacteristically has an offense this year. They're coming off a huge win over then #4 ranked Michigan State. They've been having success this year (4-1 SU/ATS) by utilizing a Princeton style offense and have 4 shooters on the floor to do it; consequently, they've lit it up from 3 pt range at a 43.5% clip. And yes, they still play great defense holding foes to under 60 PPG. Indiana is tough at home, no doubt; however, Northwestern has covered 4 of 5 in this series including 3 of 4 at Indiana. We'll take the hot Wildcats as Indiana had turnover issues beating Butler in their last game. |
|||||||
12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -5.5 | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
BYU/UCF 7:00: BYU turned in an outstanding season and much thanks to a great QB, run game behind a solid offensive line and strong defensive front 7. Future NFL draft pick - Zach Wilson has been sensational this year and should guide the #8 offense in the nation to the end zone frequently; after all, UCF defense leaves much to be desired (117th nationally). On the other hand, UCF has the #2 offense in the nation behind Dillon Gabriel who threw for 3,353 yards and 30 TD passes; however, he won't have his best receiver Marlon Williams who caught 71 balls for 1039 yards and 10 TDs. He opted out to prepare for 2021 NFL draft. Sure, Gabriel still has a super run game to fall back on and two other really good receivers in Robinson and Harris. But BYU has a very good defensive front and outstanding linebacker corps. Secondary has held up well but will be stressed tonight. Nevertheless, we'll look for BYU to eat clock with a run game and more magic with QB Wilson to deliver the goods. |
|||||||
12-22-20 | Tulane -2.5 v. Nevada | 27-38 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Tulane/Nevada 3:30: Tulane's HC Willie Fritz has done an outstanding job bringing respectability back to the football program that's been dismal since the Tommy Bowden era of '97-98. When Fritz is a slight favorite (3 or less), he delivers as his perfect 10-0 SU/9-1 ATS mark indicates. And he's delivered on back to back SU/ATS wins in consecutive bowl wins. He's already developed true freshman QB Michael Pratt into a solid field general. Sure, Nevada has a really good QB Carson Strong and solid targets in Doubs and TE Turner. And the line protects its QB well with just 19 sacks given up on the season; however, this game is played in Boise, Idaho with strong wins of 18 MPH expected. Tulane has a great pass rush (36 sacks) led by Patrick Johnson (10). Nevada is not a great run team (112th nation). On the other hand, Tulane can run the rock behind a good offensive line. The Green Wave pounds out 218 YPG on the ground and that should be the difference. Tulane the call. |
|||||||
12-21-20 | Steelers -14 v. Bengals | 17-27 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
Steelers/Bengals 8:15: Steelers destroyed the Bengals 36-10 back on November 15th. And that was with Joe Burrow at the helm of the Bengals' offense. Sure, the Steelers' defense had a drop off since that game with lots of injuries; however, still some quality depth and enough talent to generate a pass rush. Bengals' offensive line has had trouble virtually all season opening holes and protecting their QB. We'll look for Watt, Tuitt, Heyward and OLB Highsmith to bring relentless heat on third string QB Ryan Finley - who has been shaky, at best, in limited action this season. On the other hand, look for Pittsburgh to establish their run game which has not been good lately. Tomlin wants to establish the run and the tired, broken down Bengals' defense is the perfect elixir. It should enable Ben to work play action to his talented, but lately underachieving, receiving corps. Steelers 7-1 ATS on MNF off double digit straight up loss. Bengals are just 1-4 ATS at home with revenge. Steelers should roll with the extra incentive of clinching division title tonight.  |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
Browns/Giants 8:20: Giants have been quite a resilient team this year off losses; as a matter of fact, they have not failed to cover following an ATS loss this season. We'll grab the near TD here despite QB Daniel Jones most likely out. His backup - Colt McCoy has been around for awhile and has veteran poise. He did a nice job at Seattle. Giants should get back to their run game with Gallman, Lewis and Morris. Browns' defense gashed on Monday vs Baltimore and they're operating on a short week here. Need talented wide receivers Shepard, Slayton and Tate to step up their game; moreover, TE Engram needs to get involved. Browns operating with a banged up secondary with FS Sendejo out. Browns 1-9 ATS on the road in their last 10 vs the NFC East. Giants still in the hunt for a playoff spot should play hard. They're defense keeps them in the game. Tonight, Giants should elevate their 8-3 ATS mark as a dog this season. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Saints | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
Chiefs/Saints 4:25: If you're been a Chiefs' backer over the last five weeks, you've taken a beating. KC went 5-0 SU but 0-5 ATS. On the other hand, New Orleans went 5-1 ATS over their last 6 games as the party ended last week at Philadelphia. The balancing act should evolve further today; after all, New Orleans sports a money burning 26-39 ATS mark at home in December. KC controls a 15-3 ATS mark on the road off back-to-back SU wins vs. .500 or greater opposition. Sure, Brees is back but his best target Michael Thomas (IR) out. KC overdue for a statement game and should deliver. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins -1 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Patriots/Dolphins 1:00: Dolphins a bit banged up but have the depth to deliver here. Miami in a revenge mode, like last year around this time, and should get it done; after all, they're at home this year in that revenge role. Dolphins have been a money ticket to the tune of 10-3 ATS this year and defense has been their ammo. They're the #2 scoring defense in the NFL and #1 in turnovers. They prepare well and have a ball hawking secondary led by CB Xavien Howard. Sure, Belichick is 9-0 SU vs rookie QBs but all good runs must come to an end. We'll grab the revenge minded Dolphins. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | 49ers -3 v. Cowboys | 33-41 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
49ers/Cowboys 1:00: 49ers, despite the injuries, overdue to get untracked and it should come here; after all, the 49ers have faced a murderer's row of heavyweight contenders: Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, Rams, Buffalo and upstart Washington. Dallas is a major fall off with a still questionable defense and reduced to a mediocre offense. Cowboys rank 32nd vs the run and points allowed. Sure, they beat a Cincinnati team that took a precipitous drop since QB Burrow went down. 49ers should unleash RB Jeff Wilson Jr. on them if Mostert is unable to go. Shanahan works well with QBs and should settle down turnover prone QB Mullens. The well managed SF defense should keep them in this and create turnover opportunities. SF the call. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Panthers +9 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Illinois v. Penn State -15 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Illinois/Penn State 5:30: Illinois a major disappointment this season will go in to this one with OC Rod Smith as the interim HC after Lovie Smith was let go. Penn State has turned things around since their dismal 0-5 start. They've won 3 straight and, amazingly, in line for a bowl game with a win here. Can't see the pedestrian offense of Illinois moving the football on a pretty good Penn State defense. On the flip end, Illinois defense didn't show up this year (104th ranked) and will struggle vs a heating up Penn State offense that's found their rhythm. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +7 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
Boise State/San Jose State 4:30: SJS no longer the MWC whipping boy. Fourth year Spartans' HC Brent Brennan has his men playing good football; as a matter of fact, they're one of only three teams to improve their overall offense by 100+ for two years straight; moreover, also improved 60 YPG defensively. And he's got the Spartans in the MWC Championship despite a mediocre, at best, recruiting class. He does, however, have playmakers on both side of the ball including Arkansas transfer QB Nick Starkel who's thrown for 1,453 yards, 13 TD/4 INTs in 6 games. Defensively, they get after the QB with Cade Hall (8 sacks) leading the rush. Sure, Boise State no joke and another year of being a worthy contender for the MWC title; however, Brent Brennan is 6-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and we'll roll with the Spartans. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Texas A&M -13.5 v. Tennessee | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Tennessee Noon: A&M has rattled off six straight wins after their blowout loss at Alabama. The Aggies are now in line for a possible entry in the College Football Playoffs sitting at the #5 seed. They'll need a convincing win here and have to rely on some outside influences. We'll at least look for a convincing win. Tennessee is coming off a comfortable win over lightweight Vanderbilt; however, the Volunteers are a money burning 1-10 ATS at home off a SU win of over 14 points. A&M the call. |
|||||||
12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Rutgers 7:30: Rutgers matched their victory total from the past two seasons. In Greg Schiano's second term for Rutgers, he's got them playing competitive football. In their three outright wins over Big Ten foes - Michigan State, Purdue and in OT at Maryland last week, they've been able to win the turnover battle. We'll look for heavy doses of RB Pacheco (100+ last week) and targets to Bo Melton (leading receiver). Starting QB Vedral (ankle) may not be able to go. That will be alright because Sitkowski does a decent job managing the offense. Defensively, Rutgers went off with 7 sacks last week. Nebraska's QB Martinez is more dangerous as a runner than through the air. Rutgers' defense in good hands with defensive minded Schiano. And Nebraska defense surely not worthy of donning the Black Shirts. Huskers 0-5 ATS off a SU favorite loss vs a conference opponent. We'll grab the points. |
|||||||
12-17-20 | Chargers +3 v. Raiders | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Chargers/Raiders 8:20: Both teams banged up and got to go on a short week. We'll give the edge to the revenge seeking Chargers who lost by a step, literally, in the final seconds of the November 8th meeting in Inglewood. TE Don Parham couldn't get his second foot down in the end zone in the Chargers' 31-26 loss. Tonight, like the Chargers' chances. QB Justin Herbert has done an outstanding job guiding a directionless offense. He has a good on field supporting cast to get by a Raiders' defense that is in a disarray. Guenther is finally out. Long overdue! However, Martinelli is not an upgrade. He'll be much more aggressive in his stunts and blitzes tonight but question his ability to handle the secondary. Remember, Martinelli got way too much credit in Dallas for a decent defense with Kris Richard as the Defensive Passing Game Coordinator. Martinelli won't have Richard on the sidelines with him tonight; in addition, he'll be missing some key starters including hard hitting S Abram. Anthony Lynn's staff is by far not coaching geniuses but have the talent to get by here. Lynn is 8-1 ATS vs an opponent off a double digit ATS loss. And the Chargers are 4-1 ATS on Thursday nights. Chargers the call. |
|||||||
12-16-20 | TCU +5 v. Oklahoma State | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
12-15-20 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -1.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Tulsa 7:00: Wichita State dealing with the fallout of their legendary coach - Gregg Marshall - resignation. Interim HC Isaac Brown having a tough time dealing with Covid 19 issues and getting his team in rhythm. They were sloppy at home on the 12th with turnovers and offensive poor rhythm down the stretch in a winnable game vs Okie State. Tulsa, on the other hand, not polished either but did put together a decent win 11 days ago. Tulsa is ahead in the defensive curve at this point of the season as well. Tulsa has a senior laden team with Rachal (17.3 PPG) and Joiner (11.7 PPG/7 RPG) leading the way. They've covered 8 of their last 11 at home and should deliver. |
|||||||
12-15-20 | St Bonaventure v. Akron +6.5 | 81-74 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure/Akron 2:00: No tune up game for the Bonnies on account of Covid 19 restrictions. Akron, however, did get a chance to blow out lightweight Cedarville 97-49. The Zips arguably have the best player in the MAC Loren Christian Jackson on the floor and he's got a decent supporting cast. Bonnies do have a veteran team but they have a good travel here in their first game whereas the Zips have a mere 40 minute bus drive and have experience playing on this Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse floor in Cleveland. We'll grab the 6' points. |
|||||||
12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 47-42 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 6 m | Show | |
Ravens/Browns 8:15: Browns coming off an impressive performance against Tennessee and we'll roll with them here. Cleveland eager to prove that they belong as a top contender in the league and find the biggest stage - MNF - to do it on. They're seeking revenge from Week 1 38-6 demolition. Browns are much better than in Week 1. Mayfield now getting comfortable with targets Landry, Higgins and Peoples-Jones. And Cleveland has that two headed rushing attack with Chubb and Hunt cooking. Defensively, they're making plays and Myles Garrett and Olivier Vernon remain a beasts off the edge with Sheldon Richardson clogging the middle. Baltimore battled back well last week but remain a question mark in areas on both sides of the ball. Pass game 32nd in the NFL and surely the weak Dallas defense, which they torched last Tuesday, is no indication of an upgrade to the pass game at this stage of the season. And defensively, thinning along the defensive front as Calais Campbell (calf) struggles to stay in. Browns a sweet 5-0 ATS with division revenge off a SU win. Browns the call. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | 15-26 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
Steelers/Bills 8:20: Steelers coming off first loss of season while Buffalo closed out its 5th win over 6 games. Both played last Monday. Steelers chose to stay in Pittsburgh up until Sunday to prepare. They're dealing with injuries defensively, especially thin at linebacker; nevertheless, Allen and Gilbert III are well coached and should fit into the Steelers' defensive system well like Spillane (now on IR) did for Bush (ACL). And hard to find a better safety to play the backend of the secondary than Minkah Fitzpatrick. Josh Allen overdue to have a rough outing as he faces one of the top defenses in the NFL. He'll feel the heat from Watt, Tuitt, Heyward and Highsmith. On the other hand, we'll look for Roethlisberger to do his thing in hopes that his receivers are able to hold on to balls today, especially Diontae Johnson. Steelers play the road dog role well. Tomlin 12-1 ATS as a road vs an opponent off back to back SU wins and 19-5 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off SU/ATS win. Pittsburgh the call. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Cardinals/Giants 1:00: Giants proving to be no joke. They've won 4 straight and sport an impressive 8-4 ATS season mark. Giants have been winning with old school great defense and heavy run packages (12 and 13 personnel). Defensively their line play has been outstanding, LB Blake Martinez has played sensational. and the Peppers and the defensive secondary are getting it done. Offensively, OC Garrett has used one back with 2 or sometimes 3 TEs which have helped them run for over 100+ yards in 7 straight games. Gallman and cast offs Dion Lewis and Alfred Morris and delivering behind a resurgent offensive line. And veteran journeyman Colt McCoy was efficient enough to carry them at the controls last week. This week, Daniel Jones should be good to go. On the flip side, Kingsbury continues to underachieve as a coach with a loaded talent pool. Giants looking to avenge last year's loss and this year will be getting points. We'll grab them. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Boise State v. Wyoming +10 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
Boise State/Wyoming 6:00: Boise State feeling good after coming off their successful road trip to Hawaii back on November 21st; however, 21 day lay off won't sit well in the highest elevation (7200 feet above sea level) in the football nation in Laramie. It will be cold, snow and wind gusts about 15 MPH. It fits well with Wyoming's grind it out on the ground game with their big offensive line and solid RB Trey Smith (154 yards last week). Sure, Boise has a great receiver in Shakir but the Wyoming pass rush should be disruptive on QB Fennegan. And Boise has had just one 100+ run game all season. We'll look for the hungry Top 25 Wyoming defense to deliver. Wyoming's underrated HC Bohl's a sweet 6-0 ATS at home off a SU loss vs a .500 or greater opponent. Him and his Cowboys are seeking triple revenge here. Cowboys dangerous off losses at 4-0 ATS and we'll grab the points. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | North Carolina +3 v. Miami-FL | 62-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
North Carolina/Mia-Fla 3:30: 'Canes coming on strong but can't count on them here. Miami-Fla has disappointed regularly in December to the tune of 2-9 ATS. They're coming off a comfortable blowout of lightweight Duke and sport a money burning 0-4 ATS mark off a 20+ win. They got by Duke without some key defensive players (Blades, McCloud, Ford) but won't have that luxury against the #5 offense in the nation that drops 534.5 YPG on opposing defenses. Sure, NC defense is nothing to rave about but it does make plays in key moments. NC should be able to outscore Miami Fla here. Dog in this series is 11-4 ATS. We'll look for Mack Brown's boys to get the best of Miami Florida again for the second straight year. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Troy | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina/Troy 3:00: Going to jump on the bandwagon of the Chanticleers after their impressive win over then #13 ranked BYU. They're a well rounded team that has few weaknesses and proved they can hang with any mid-major school in the nation. They're healthy this late in the season as well and don't see a letdown here. Troy, on the other hand, is not the same team under HC Lindsey as they were under Neal Brown (now at West Virginia). Troy has a mediocre run game but are prolific passing the football; however, Coastal Carolina has a ball hawking secondary led by Strong's 5 INTs and a pair of bookend defensive ends - Gunter and Tarron Jackson (8' sacks) who can get after the QB. Offensively, CC is explosive with a solid offensive line, a solid run game behind Marable who grinded out 100+ against a very good BYU defense; a QB far beyond his years in redshirt freshman - McCall (20 TD passes), and a top notch receiver in Heiliah. We'll lay the wood. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Utah +1 v. Colorado | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Utah/Colorado 12:00: Colorado feeling good going into this one undefeated; however, not quite sold on the Buffaloes at this stage of the season. First off, they've taken on 4 teams with a combined record of 9-10. And last week, they barely snuck by a poor Arizona team that got blasted 70-7 last night by rival Arizona State. Sure, Broussard is a great running back but Utah has a solid defensive run stop unit (allowing 104.7 YPG - 11th nationally). And Colorado QB Noyer (4 TD/4 INT) does not strike fear in defensive backs. On the other hand, offensively, the Utes have found a really good running back of their own in Ty Jordan. And former South Carolina starting QB and graduate transfer Jake Bentley has the playmaking ability to rise to the occasion. Utah is 4-0 ATS in this series including a 45-15 beatdown last year. Colorado has a tendency to collapse late in the season as their 5-19 SU record during the last 8 games of the season indicates. And I don't believe new HC Dorrell will stop that trend. We'll grab the Utes here. |
|||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots +5 v. Rams | 3-24 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Patriots/Rams 8:20: Rams ramping up production and I was all over them on Sunday but will fade them here in this spot. McVay and company eager to avenge 13-3 Super Bowl loss a few seasons back; however, Rams 1-10 ATS at home w/ revenge off a division road game doesn't translate into a convincing win. As for Belichick, he's doing what he does best: making the best of out of non-marquee players; for example, Div II undrafted Olszewski latest player to make an impact for New England. And another former Alabama RB Damien Harris chewing up yards (5.1 YPC). The running game should be the choice strategy for Josh McDaniels to go; after all, the Rams' ball hawking secondary and fierce pass rush equate to the #1 pass defense in the NFL. Keep in mind that Belichick is now an amazing 51-24 ATS as a dog including 4-1 ATS this year in that role. Him and his Patriots will do what they do best: find a way to win. |
|||||||
12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Cowboys/Ravens 8:05: Ravens most likely will have their starting backfield back to add life back to the #2 rush offense in the NFL. QB Jackson, RB Dobbins, RB Ingram now off the Covid 19 restricted list. That spells trouble against a Dallas defense ranked dead last in the NFL stopping the run. Cowboys' offense hasn't been the same since QB Prescott went down vs NY October 11th. Dallas has scored only above 20 points once since. We'll look for the Baltimore defense, solid keeping opponents out of the end zone, to limit Dallas offensive production. Harbaugh not used to losing multiple games and very good in this spot. Baltimore is 11-1 ATS at home off a division game vs .300 or greater opponent. |
|||||||
12-07-20 | Bills v. 49ers +1 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
Bills/49ers 8:15: Bills have done well this year and rolling on a 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS run; however, defensively they're 25th in the league defending the run and that could hurt them here now that the 49ers are getting healthy with the return of some key skill players. RB Mostert, WR Samuel and this week Aiyuk (probable) give Shanahan more weapons to operate with while alleviating pressure on QB Mullens. And remember, Mullens is ready for prime time; after all, in 2018 he stepped in as a backup starter on Thursday night at Oakland and sported a superb 159 passer rating in a 34-3 win. Defensively, 49ers starting to gel. The 5th ranked stop unit is well guided under DC Saleh. This game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Arizona and the 49ers should come away victorious. |
|||||||
12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Washington/Pittsburgh 5:00: Washington is well rested, coming off 2 straight wins (SU/ATS) and relatively healthy. Undefeated Pittsburgh struggled with sloppy play to eke out a win Wednesday against their depleted division rival - Baltimore; moreover, they lost a really good edge rusher in Bud Dupree (ACL). As a result, early action went on Washington as a double digit dog. Now it's bid down to under a touchdown and we'll back the Steelers. Steelers' HC Tomlin chewed into his crew and I believe they got their wakeup call. Despite the short week, Pittsburgh should show respond well here. They've responded well all season off sluggish performances with solid ATS wins. Steelers are deep in talent. Even without starting C Pouncey (Covid), Hassenauer stepped in and did a nice job vs an aggressive and active Baltimore front line. Moreover, without RB Conner (Covid), Benny Snell and McFarland are carrying the load well. Furthermore, Dupree's backup - Highsmith can get it done. Washington is not a vertical passing team and have trouble stretching the field and moving the ball vs stout defenses; as a matter of fact, QB Alex Smith is averaging just under 5 yards per throw! He does have a great young receiver in McLaurin; however, he's nursing an ankle injury that's limiting his big play ability. Technically, Pittsburgh is 10-0 ATS vs non-division opponents off back-to-back wins. They're also 6-0 ATS vs an opponent off back-to-back SU/ATS wins and coming off a bye week. Washington not ready for prime time at 7-21 ATS on MNF; on the other hand, Pitt 4-1 ATS on MNF and should deliver. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Eagles +9 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
Eagles/Packers 4:25: Eagles stick around long enough to annoy chalk lovers as evidenced in backdoor covers at Baltimore (Oct 18th) and last week in the last seconds vs Seattle. Philadelphia has also been a thorn in the side of Green Bay. Last year, Jordan Howard was a nightmare to the Green Bay defense in the Eagles 34-27 outright at Lambeau Field. Well guess who's been activated off the practice squad this week? Yes, Jordan Howard is back to join a loaded backfield with Boston Scott and Miles Sanders. Moreover, Wentz favorite target - TE Zach Ertz is back as the Eagles' skill personnel and battered offensive line get a bit more healthy. Furthermore, defensively, Fletcher Cox (neck) and CB Slay good to go. Philadelphia has demonstrated they're a good December team (76-49 SU) and covered both games when given 8+ this season. Packers, however, coming off a blowout of Chicago, are 0-4 ATS off a SU win. And the Green Bay defense has its share of flaws. We'll grab the generous amount of points with an Eagles team still in the hunt to win the NFC East. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Rams -2.5 v. Cardinals | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
Rams/Cardinals 4:05: Rams are usually dangerous coming off a SU loss going on the road (7-0 ATS) and we'll roll with them; after all, they've owned this series to the tune of 6-0 SU/5-0-1 ATS. Cardinals' defense, middle of the pack this season in the NFL, has been brutal vs Sean McVay's offense. Arizona has surrendered 30+ points in each game since McVay took over the controls of Los Angeles. And the Rams sport one of the top defenses in the NFL this year with a lockdown corner - Ramsey to take limit QB Murray's top target Hopkins. Arizona is a dangerous dog but Los Angeles has their number and we'll roll with them. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Colts -3 v. Texans | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Colts/Texans 1:00: The first meeting this season and will meet again Dec 20th. Colts have covered 4 straight in this series and should deliver here. They're coming off a blowout revenge loss as expected last week. Tennessee ran all over them; however, Colts get back one of their top DL Buckner (Off Covid list). Houston, which sports one of the worst running games in the NFL (31st) shouldn't gash them with David Johnson (probable) like King Henry did last week. Moreover, QB Watson won't have top receiver and vertical threat Will Fuller (suspension). Brandin Cooks now the #1 but not as effective in explosive plays. Colts' offense should have their C Kelly back which will help offensively. Houston's top secondary player C Roby is out which will surely help Rivers connect with his well stocked arsenal of weapons. Colts generally bounce back in these games; after all, they're 6-0-1 ATS after a double-digit loss at home.  |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Browns v. Titans -4.5 | 41-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Browns/Titans 1:00: On the surface, it looks as if the Browns at 8-3 SU are in the hunt to be a legitimate contender in the AFC; however, a closer look reveals they've beaten just 1 team with a winning record (Indianapolis on Oct 11th). They do have the #1 run game in the NFL with Chubb and Hunt but it's not translating into spread wins (1-5 ATS). Tennessee is heating up and sports the #2 run game behind Derrick Henry and that spells trouble for defenses in December. And Tannehill will have another weapon - Adam Humphries - to add to his wealth of weaponry. TE Jonnu Smith (knee) won't play which is a loss. Good thing Browns a bit thin in secondary with LCB Denzel Ward out. Vrabel is 6-1 ATS off a division win and the Titans should deliver. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | Alabama -29 v. LSU | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Alabama/LSU 8:00: We won't be afraid of the heavy chalk here. Alabama not only wants revenge from last year's 46-41 loss but the after game shenanigans by Orgeron and his players. Saban wants his recruiting base back and doesn't like Orgeron stepping on his toes. He'll be back on the sidelines tonight after taking last week off (Covid issues). LSU looks bad offensively with poor QB play from Finley and Max Johnson; moreover, continued missed assignments on the offensive line resulting in a poor run game (114th in nation). 'Tide defense good enough to stall them out for 4 quarters. On the other hand, young LSU defense was respectable last week vs A&M but face a different animal tonight. Mac Jones and company should light up a vulnerable secondary that's allowed 303 YPG! Roll Tide! |
|||||||
12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | West Virginia +6.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 6-42 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
West Virginia/Iowa State 3:30: Big backer of Iowa State and Matt Campbell over the last 4 seasons but will fade them here. Coming off a huge win over Texas, feeling good and in line for Big 12 Championship; however, they're welcoming revenge against a coach (Neal Brown) who sports an 8-1 ATS mark as a road dog with revenge. Brown's Mountaineers got beat up pretty good at home last year 38-14. This season, WV has been in virtually every game (5-2 ATS) with a legitimate Top 10 defense and a good run game behind RB Leddie Brown. And QB Doege doing a decent job at the helm. Iowa State's had some trouble in December football at 1-6 ATS. And WV has a history of delivering vs an opponent off back-to-back wins at 11-0 ATS! Throw in that extra prep week for Neal Brown and we got ourselves a play on the Mounties. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | Bowling Green v. Akron -2.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Bowling Green/Akron 2:00: Two struggling teams in the MAC which look to get in the win column for the first time this season. We'll look for the Zips to break the longest losing streak in college football with a win on their home turf. Seeking revenge from last year's 35-6 blowout at Bowling Green, Akron should be able to get their anemic offense going vs a pathetic Falcons' defense. BG allows 524.3 YPG and an almost non-existent run-stop-unit allowing 339 YPG! Akron has a decent running back in Dollard, some decent offensive linemen and a few good wideouts. Defensively, Zips not good but should be able to limit a pedestrian BG offense that averages just 13.5 PPG. Akron the call. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | Texas A&M v. Auburn +5.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Auburn Noon: Tigers 4-1 ATS in this series and played very well at home this year (4-0 SU/3-1 ATS). Sure, Auburn got blasted by a very good Alabama team last week but should bounce back vs an overrated A&M team that they can be competitive against. Auburn sports a 6-1 ATS mark in December and 9-0 ATS as a dog of 3+ points after allowing 35+. Auburn the call. |
|||||||
12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Appalachian State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette/Appalachian State 8:30: Lots of action on Appalachian State coming off blowout of lightweight Troy. We'll grab the points with the explosive Ragin' Cajuns. HC Billy Napier took the baton from Mark Hudspeth in 2018 and is running with it like Bob Hayes in the '64 Olympics. He took ULL to two consecutive bowls and currently 8-1 SU. ULL is a dangerous dog - ask Iowa State - which is currently in line to vie for the Big 12 title. ULL went into Ames, IA and came out a 31-14 winner. 'Cajuns can hit teams from all angles with their explosive play ability - punt returns, kick returns, vertical passing game. And versatile QB Levi Lewis has 16 TD passes and 5 rush TDs. Defensively, they play the pass well with a ball hawking secondary but do have trouble stopping the run. And that is Appalachian State's game. Nevertheless, we're rolling with a Ragin' Cajuns team that an amazing 12-2 SU/ATS mark as a single digit dog. App State failed in their only step up out of conference winning opponent - Marshall 17-7 loss. ULL the call. |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers -10 | 14-19 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh/Baltimore 3:40: Could have definitely been a trouble spot for Pittsburgh; after all, they're coming off a comfortable win against lightweight Jacksonville back home into a revenge game vs a division rival that's 4-0-2 ATS at Heinz Field. However, the dynamic has changed now that the linchpin of their offensive machine - Lamar Jackson (Covid 19) is out. RG III a step slow in comparison and not enough field time to get in rhythm with receiving corps, especially against a legitimate top tier defense in the NFL with few if any weaknesses. Moreover, take RBs Ingram and J.K. Dobbins (out) away and that spells limited yardage. Consequently, I see too many three and outs that will ultimately put too much stress on a good defense but not able to sustain Pittsburgh's multiple weapons for 4 quarters. Baltimore 1-15 ATS as a .500 or greater team off a SU loss vs a .500 or greater division foe. Steelers not good double digit favorite at 1-7 ATS but under the circumstances, Steelers have no mercy for their division rival and we'll roll with them but lightly tread.  |
|||||||
12-01-20 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4 | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | 23-17 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Eagles 8:15: Seahawks got a few extra days rest; consequently, some bodies are getting healthier including C Pocic and RB Carson. Carson and Hyde should see lots of carries against the porous run stop unit of the Eagles ranked 28th in the NFL allowing 133.4 YPG. On the other hand, Seahawks' defense getting a bit healthier too with CB Griffin good to go and S Adams (shoulder) will play through the pain. And DE acquisition from Cincinnati - Dunlap -already paid dividends (winning sack vs Arizona). Eagles' offense remains inept with Wentz (14 INT/10 fumbles) at controls and could use Hurts. Seattle will be prepared for both. Pete Carroll always dangerous on prime time and won't fade him here despite the Eagles looking for double revenge from last year including playoff loss. Seattle a sweet 14-2 ATS vs .400 or less foe with revenge off back to back SU losses. Seattle the call. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots +2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Cardinals/Patriots 1:00: Trouble spot for Arizona traveling cross country to a Foxborough where the Patriots sport a solid 27-17 ATS mark as a November dog. Moreover, Patriots an electric 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home dog roles. Sure, Arizona has the #1 offense with dangerous skill weaponry; however, don't underestimate Belichick's scheming on how to slow down a high powered offense on his home turf this time of year - as exhibited against Baltimore November 15th. Both teams a bit banged up but give the edge to New England here. Patriots' offense not explosive but do sport the #4 run offense pounding out 154 YPG. Arizona run stop unit (allowing 125 YPG #23 in NFL) not equipped to handle the pounding on this field for 4 quarters. Technically, Arizona 2-17 ATS as a .500 team in November vs an opponent off SU/ATS loss. NE, on the other hand, a cash grabbing 13-1 ATS off a non division game vs an opponent off a SU loss of more than 4 points. Grab the dangerous home dog. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Titans +3 v. Colts | 45-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Titans/Colts 1:00: I had the Colts in the first matchup and they delivered. Today, Tennessee should get revenge. Colts' #2 defense will be without 3 key starters including linemen Buckner, Autry and SLB Okereke. That amounts to 119 tackles, 8.5 sacks and 1 INT. Consequently, look for the Titans to ride their horse - Derrick Henry - which will certainly make life easier on QB Tannehill who has enough weaponry to go to on play action even without WR Humphries (out). And offensively, Colts will be without their starting C Kelly (neck). Sure, Titans not a good pass rush team but should find a way to exploit the A gaps. Titans will also have C Tye Smith back to bolster secondary. And I don't anticipate another blocked punt on account of the return of 3 time Pro Bowl punter - Brett Kern back in action. Tennessee a sweet 6-0 ATS vs an opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins. Moreover, they're 11-2 ATS off a SU dog win vs a division opponent off a home game. And throw in the fact that teams meeting within two weeks of first meeting has historically gone to the revenge seeker to the tune of 18-7 ATS! Titans the call. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Chargers +4.5 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Chargers/Bills 1:00: Sure, Chargers are traveling cross country in late November to face a pissed off a stewing Bills team that lost on a Hail Murray two weeks ago. But not so fast. Ironically, the warm weather Chargers are 34-20 ATS on the November road. Chargers manage to stay in games, that's what they do. They haven't lost any game this season by more than one score. Their #3 offense in the NFL led by QB Justin Herbert allows them hang around. And Buffalo's defense has been vulnerable to explosive plays. With Keenan Allen and Mike Williams roaming the secondary, Bills could be on their heels here. We'll look for Anthony Lynn to go 3-0 ATS in his tenure vs the Bills. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -15 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | Mississippi State +10 v. Ole Miss | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Ole Miss 4:00: Mississippi State has gotten the best of this Egg Bow rivalry at 3-1 SU/ATS over the last 4 years. Two new coaching staffs and will side with Leach and the Bulldogs. Mississippi State finally establishing a bit of rhythm in their offense the way Leach likes it. Freshman QB Will Rogers stepped in and did a nice job vs an aggressive Georgia defense completing 79% of his passes for 330 yards and no INTs. Ole Miss defense is much more yielding allowing a generous 530 YPG. Sure, Ole Miss QB Matt Corral can sling it but Miss State capable of trading points and keeping it tight. Ole Miss off since November 14th, should be a bit rusty. Miss State the call. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Pittsburgh +23.5 v. Clemson | 17-52 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh/Clemson 3:30: Narduzzi has been a dangerous dog as a head coach; as a matter of fact, he's defeated a Top 25 team in four consecutive seasons and surely can give Clemson a run for the money today. Keep in mind, in 2016, his Panthers were the last team to defeat Clemson (43-42) at Memorial Stadium at Clemson. And now that QB Kenny Pickett is healthy (404 yards passed last week), the Panthers are able to hang. Pittsburgh defense is rock solid leading the nation in TFLs (tackles for loss) and 2nd in the nation in sacks. Clemson may be out of rhythm not having played since November 7th OT loss @ Notre Dame; furthermore, QB Lawrence hasn't played since October 24th. Clemson 0-6 ATS off SU favorite loss. Pitt a sweet 10-0 ATS off double-digit ATS win vs opponent off SU favorite loss. Take the points. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Penn State v. Michigan +1 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Penn State/Michigan Noon: Two former Big 10 powerhouses reduced to mediocrity this year. We'll roll with the Wolverines whom have covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. Michigan is seeking to exact revenge from last year's 28-21 loss at Happy Valley. Penn State has not had success in its last two trips to the Big House where they were outscored by a combined 91-17. Penn State offense struggling to find a QB as Clifford and Levis ineffective. Michigan defense the worst in years but should be solid vs the turnover laden Lions. On the other hand, Harbaugh may have found his QB in Cade McNamara who rallied Michigan last week vs Rutgers. Penn State, like Michigan, allows a generous 36 PPG. Michigan a bit better holding on to the ball as Penn State sports a poor minus 9 turnover margin. Michigan the call. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
Notre Dame/North Carolina 3:30: Never a good idea to underestimate Mack Brown getting his team prepared for big games. Brown has always been a dangerous dog including last year's 21-20 loss as a 27' point dog to Clemson. This year's team was expected to do great things but has underachieved; however, they're more than equipped with more maturity to keep this competitive against the #2 ranked Irish. Irish coming off a bye but will be without four year starting RG Tommy Kraemer (appendectomy). They're already without C Patterson (foot). Sure, NC defense gives up points but their explosive #4 offense (563.4 YPG) can trade points with any team in the country. QB Howell is as good as any QB in the nation. And keep in mind NC sports a +4 turnover margin to ND's -2 turnover margin. ND offense has made mistakes and the yielding but opportunistic Heels' defense can capitalize. Tar Heels 4-1 ATS as a home dog and a sweet 25-7 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. Mack Brown's boys have been strong off underachieving performances (5-1 ATS off ATS loss) and should deliver here. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Iowa State/Texas Noon: Iowa State has a rare chance to win the Big 12 for the first time since 1912. They're on their way and have a legitimate chance this year and will need to beat Texas. They did it last year 23-21 and they're capable of delivering here. ISU HC Campbell has his team rolling on both sides of the ball coming off a blowout of a good KSU team. ISU has a better defense than Texas across the board. Offensively, every bit as productive with QB Purdy, O-Line and strong run game with RB Breece Hall (1,169 yards); moreover, a bit more disciplined with less penalties. Longhorns 1-6 ATS on Fridays and 0-3-1 ATS as chalk. Iowa State the call. |
|||||||
11-23-20 | Rams +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
Rams/Bucs 8:15: Tampa Bay has been disappointing in their prime time games this season. They barely squeaked by at Chicago and New York, and got blasted by New Orleans at home. TB hasn't been great in this spot. Just 1-5 ATS as a home favorite on Monday Night's and 0-5 ATS off a win as a MNF favorite. Rams have covered 6 of the last 7 in this series yet got beaten 55-40 last year at home. We'll look for a prepared Rams team to deliver here. Rams sport the #1 defense in terms of total yards allowed, the #2 pass defense and #2 in points allowed. TB has had protection issues for Brady and it won't get easier vs Aaron Donald and company. On the other hand, TB has a dominant defense itself, including very good linebackers but young and inexperienced in secondary. Goff has talented skill players in Kupp, Woods, Reynolds and TE Higbee. And throw in a deep backfield with Malcolm Brown, Henderson Jr. and Cam Akers, TB's aggressive blitz packages by DC Boles could backfire. Arians just 1-9 ATS as an above .500 team off a division games vs a .500 or greater opponent. Rams the call.  |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Cowboys v. Vikings -7 | 31-28 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
Dallas/Vikings 4:25: Dallas may be a trendy pick coming off a bye after giving the Steelers a rough time. Won't buy into it. Dallas' HC McCarthy most likely going with Andy Dalton who threw 1TD/3 INTs in his 0-2 starting experience with Dallas. Minnesota defense starting to play with confidence and the offense is gelling in their 6-1 ATS tear. Cowboys' porous run stop unit won't have an answer for RB Delvin Cook. Vikings a sweet 20-5 ATS as home chalk vs non-division opponent. Minnesota 7-0 ATS last 7 at home vs Dallas. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Titans +6.5 v. Ravens | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 142 h 42 m | Show | |
Titans/Ravens 1:00: Both of these teams not playing their best football. Both teams on a 1-3 slide. Titans do have a bit more recovery time to stew over latest loss. Titans, as I expected, fell to Indy last Thursday but should bounce back in this spot. Titans ran all over a healthy Baltimore defense January 11th. Derrick Henry should be able to gallop for a good amount of yards against a short handed run stop unit without NT Williams and Calais Campbell. Tannehill may not have Humphries (out) available but A.J. Brown, Corey Davis, TE Jonnu Smith is enough weaponry to work Baltimore's secondary. Ravens' offense not nearly as explosive as last years and HC Vrabel should once again come up with good game plan to contain Lamar Jackson. Ravens a money burning 1-8 ATS off non-division SU favorite loss. Tennessee the call. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Lions v. Panthers +3 | Top | 0-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Lions/Panthers 1:00: Both teams battling injuries and illnesses; however, Carolina poised to deliver here on their home field. Detroit hasn't beaten Carolina since the 90s on this field and with some key offensive personnel out, I don't see it happening here. WR Golladay (hip) is a big-time playmaker for QB Stafford and he'll be out today. Detroit just 1-3 ATS without Golladay. Moreover, rookie RB Swift (concussion) has been a playmaker out of the backfield and on the ground and will be missed. Furthermore, Stafford is battling a throwing hand thumb injury to further hamper offensive production. Panthers have a better defense than Detroit and should play well here. Offensively, sure QB Bridgewater (MCL) should be out but Carolina's HC Rhule will have P.J. Walker prepared. Walker has some very good playmakers surrounding him despite McCaffrey out. D.J. Moore, Samuel, Robbie Anderson and Mike Davis should scorch a poorly coached defensive secondary of Detroit. Panthers overdue for a win and it should come here. They're 9-1-1 ATS at home off SU/ATS loss vs non-division opponent. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Patriots -1.5 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Patriots/Texans 1:00: Patriots doing what they do when adversity strikes: making the right adjustments. Patriots devoted to the ground game in their 2-1 SU/ATS run; over that span, they've averaged 173.3 YPG rushing. We'll look for them to pound the rock against the NFL's worst run stop unit that allows a generous 167.4 YPG. On the flip side, Houston has been unable to generate a ground game with a pedestrian 87.9 YPG (31st in NFL). Belichick should develop a good scheme to contain Houston's main weapons - QB Watson and WR Fuller. Patriots 8-3 ATS in their last 11 in this series and should deliver. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh 4:00: Pittsburgh had an extra week of rest (Covid 19) but got to resume practice Tuesday and should be good to go. Defensively, the Panthers are the real deal with a Top 10 defense in the nation. They lead the nation in TFL's with 93 and play the run well (allow 78.8 YPG) at #2 in the nation. They can limit VT's vaunted run game. Offensively, now that QB Pickett is back in the fray (out vs ND & Miami), they can get the offense cooking again vs a V Tech defense that is not the same this season as in seasons past under the great DC Bud Foster. V Tech surrendering 450.4 YPG! Not a team I want to be laying points on the road with, especially at a location they haven't won ATS at since 1999. Pitt is looking to avenge last year's 28-0 dud and we'll grab Narduzzi's boys here. Pitt 10-0 ATS off a double-digit ATS win vs an opponent off a SU favorite loss. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Northwestern 3:30: Northwestern no joke this year. 11th ranked defense in the nation in total yards allowed and #2 vs the run. Offensively, Indiana graduate transfer - Patrick Ramsey brings an accurate QB to the field with a productive offense. NW has covered 8 of the last 9 in this series at Ryan Field. Wisconsin off huge blowout of Michigan and deserved of #10 ranking; however, hungry NW looking to avenge last year's 24-15 loss in Madison. Badgers just 2-13 ATS off SU & ATS win vs opponent off back-to-back SU & ATS wins. NW the call. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | LSU v. Arkansas +1 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
LSU/Arkansas Noon: Arkansas' HC Pittman (Covid 19) should be patrolling the sidelines today and we'll roll with him. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS with him on the sidelines. The Hogs got steamrolled last week vs an electric Florida offense that had great receivers and a Heisman Trophy QB contender. Today, they match up better. LSU is young and inexperienced in many areas. Sure, LSU WR Marshall is big time but the Tigers' QB situation still shaky. Finley didn't look comfortable at Auburn and he'll get the nod today. Arkansas has an opportunistic defense (13 turnovers) and should perform better defensively. Same is said offensively. QB Franks was under fire vs Florida but should have help with his run game against an LSU defense that allows 142 YPG. Moreover, an LSU pass defense that allows 335 YPG. Hogs took a beating last year vs the incumbent national champions, but should get revenge today vs a completely different team. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Georgia Southern v. Army -3 | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern/Army Noon: Both triple option teams but Army has the edge here. The #2 run unit in the nation with a better defense. Black Knights have yet to lose a game at Michie Stadium this year and they're in an angry mode after dropping last weeks game at Tulane. Extra incentive for Army HC Monken who used to coach the Eagles (2010-13). Knights 4-0 ATS off SU loss of 20+. They're 7-1 ATS as a favorite and roll with them. |
|||||||
11-20-20 | New Mexico +9.5 v. Air Force | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
New Mexico/Air Force 9:30: Air Force coming off a bye after their home loss to Boise State. There are still question marks regarding their starter tonight. Daniels went down with a shoulder injury last week and Warren Bryan stepped in with unimpressive results (3 of 6 for 36 yards). AF lives by the run game which is #1 in the nation; however, NM plays the run well - #3 in the nation - allowing just 81 YPG. Rocky Long, yes that Rocky Long, who was a successful long time DC and head coach at New Mexico and San Diego State, is the Lobos' DC. He has been very successful in his 3-3-5 over the years stopping Air Force's vaunted triple option. New Mexico has been horrible defending the pass this season but AF won't put fear in the Lobos' secondary tonight. NM has had success in TFL's (14) and should be competitive. Offensively, NM's backup Trae Hall did a decent job last week. If Tuioti is unable to go, Hall can get it done. NM, a mediocre offense in production, yet has been very good protecting the ball this season (0 turnovers). They've stayed in games including 2-0 ATS last 2 vs pretty good offensive teams of Hawaii and Nevada. NM can be competitive here; after all, they're 7-1 ATS in this series! NM lost but covered late last year in this series. AF is 0-7 ATS vs less than .400 conference team w/ revenge. New Mexico the call.  |
|||||||
11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Arizona/Seattle 8:20: Hard to put a big play on the Seahawks laying points with their atrocious defense (32nd in NFL); however, Pete Carroll finds a way to bring the best out of his players in this situation. Remember, October 25th, Arizona edged Seattle in Arizona 37-34 in OT. Seattle is 1-2 since that game including 2 straight losses. Carroll is a sweet 12-2 ATS off back-to-back SU losses and has not lost 3 straight games since 2011 when his Seahawks lost but actually covered at Dallas. Moreover, he's one of the great prime-time TV coaches including 7-1-2 ATS on Thursday nights. Sure, Seattle has its injury problems but should have Carlos Hyde back to pick up a run game that went south (just 4.04 YPC) with Deejay Dallas, Travis Homer and Alex Collins running the rock. The first 7 weeks they were averaging 5.25 YPG with Hyde and Carson in the backfield. With Cardinals NT Corey Peters out with a season ending injury, Seattle should get the run game cooking to open up the pass game for Russell Wilson. Lockett is good to go. He lit up Arizona in Game 1 with 15 catches for 200 yards and 3 TDs. Metcalf got stalled out by CB Patterson in that game but always dangerous. Edge to Seattle here. |
|||||||
11-19-20 | Tulane +6.5 v. Tulsa | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulane/Tulsa 7:30: Willie Fritz has done a great job in turning around a Tulane football program that was a doormat for years. In his fifth year, he's delivered winning seasons in his last two years including 2-0 SU/ATS in bowl games. This year, he has the Green Wave rolling off 3 straight wins by at least 17 points including notching a win over a Top 25 team (beat Army last week) for the first time in 36 years for the Green Wave. His Green Wave defeated Tulsa for 3 straight years. Sure, Tulsa is rolling with huge comeback wins with a really good QB and an outstanding linebacker. But I'll take Fritz over Montgomery in matching coaching wits any day of the week. Tulane has playmakers themselves with freshman QB Pratt maturing quickly (14/4 TD/INT last 7 starts). And a potent run game (243.2 YPG) that can wear down Tulsa's defense. Moreover, they've got the nation's sack leader in DE Patrick Johnson (10 sacks). Tulane 6-1 ATS off double digit ATS win vs conference opponent with revenge. Take the points.  |
|||||||
11-18-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +6.5 | 45-28 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
Toledo/Eastern Michigan 7:00: Eastern Michigan overdue to get a win after two close calls against the explosive offenses of Kent State and Ball State. Once again, they face another formidable offensive team that's hung 525.5 YPG on foes. But Eastern Michigan hangs around - that's what they do. 12 of their last 17 games have been decided by 8 points or less. The Eagles' versatile QB Hutchinson can move the offense. And defensively, Turan Rush is a disruptive force to QBs. Toledo defense not that aggressive and only registering 1/2 sack a game. EM 3-1 ATS in this series and will hang tight once again. |
|||||||
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
Vikings/Bears 8:15: Hard to back a Vikings team that's had trouble winning prime time games; more specifically, MNF. Vikings have lost 10 straight MNF tilts. Cousins is 0-9 on MNF. Vikings are on a nice run as Zimmer has them playing better (5-1 ATS); however, Vikings going on the road with some players out due to injury and illness. OL Samia (Covid 19 positive), DE Brailford (personal) and CB Dantzler (concussion) won't help matters; moreover, some others on Covid 19 protocol. Vikings have had their share of of trouble traveling to Chicago going a money burning 3-14 ATS. The dog in this series is 5-1 ATS. Bears' offense in a funk as Nagy is surrendering play calling duties to Bill Lazor. Foles should turn up his game a notch against a Minnesota defense that has had pressuring the QB and ranked 30th in total yards allowed. Bears should break 0-3 SU slide and deliver here. Take the points. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-32 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo/Arizona 4:05: Arizona in a good position here. Coming off a loss and should outscore a Bills team traveling cross country. Bills, 1-3 ATS in their last 4 road tilts, have defensive breakdowns that are uncharacteristic of the Bills' defense over the last few years; moreover, they will have to do without CB Josh Norman (Covid 19) and fellow corner Wallace (Covid protocol). Arizona, which has the #1 offense in the NFL, is loaded with weaponry (Hopkins, Kirk, Fitzgerald, Murray, Drake) should outscore the Bills here; after all, Arizona is a sweet 14-2 ATS when the O/U line is above 50 points. They're also a strong 13-1 ATS at home vs a non-division opponent off a SU/ATS win. Arizona defense not great but respectable in the red zone where they make plays. We'll lay a few points with the Cardinals here. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Texans v. Browns -3.5 | 7-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Texans/Browns 1:00: Texans not to be trusted off a win, especially a division win. They're 1-9 ATS on the road off a SU division win vs an opponent over .500. So far, Houston has only demonstrated they can beat lightweight division rival Jacksonville (2-0 SU /1-1 ATS). Today, they face a well rested Browns team that's responded well off losses. Browns are 4-0 ATS at home vs teams below .500. With Chubb now probable, the Browns can amp up a potent run game with Hunt vs the worst run stop unit in the NFL. Texans allow nearly 160 YPG on the ground. Mayfield at his best when that ground game is cooking. Even without Beckham Jr. (IR), Higgins, Landry and Peoples-Jones, TE Hooper more than enough weaponry to work play action on a suspect secondary. As for Houston, lack of run game has been their problem for most of the year and even though former Browns' RB Duke Johnson is a respectable fill in for David Johnson (out), Texans' O Line still not getting it done. Browns deliver. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Eagles v. Giants +4 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Eagles/Giants 1:00: Giants on a 5-1 ATS tear and should avenge October 22nd one point loss - a game in which they were up 21-10 in the fourth quarter. Both teams are turnover laden but Giants cleaned up their turnover problem last week in win over Washington. We'll look for a carry over effect here in this heated divisional rivalry. Eagles just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite; moreover, the Eagles days of dominating off a bye - when Andy Reid was patrolling the sidelines - (13-1) are over. Under Pederson they're just 1-3. Giants' OC Garrett should know this Eagles' defense well; after all, he's faced it for over a decade. We'll look for the Giants to hang tough here. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Arkansas +17.5 v. Florida | Top | 35-63 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
Arkansas/Florida 7:00: Arkansas now a perfect 6-0 ATS after delivering 24 unanswered points last week vs Tennessee. Tonight, we're back on the Hogs. They're facing an overjoyed Florida team coming off a a monster 44-28 win over Georgia. Sure, QB Kyle Trask is lighting it up but won't have his go-to receiver TE Kyle Pitts (concussion protocol). Arkansas won't have HC Pittman (Covid 19) but former Missouri HC and current DC Barry Odom is capable of filling in. Arkansas defense leads the nation in forced turnovers (12) and no joke. Offensively, former Gator - Feleipe Franks - doing a nice job running offense. The Hogs play solid ball with limited turnovers and should be able to hang around here. We'll look for Arkansas to improve to 9-0 in the dog role. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | TCU v. West Virginia -3 | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
TCU/West Virginia Noon: Big fan of Neal Brown who did wonders with Troy and now steering WV in the right direction. WV has a legitimate #4 ranked defense in the country and should be able to stall out an average TCU offense led by QB Duggan. Duggan, who does most of his damage on the ground, was held in check by the WV defense last year (23 yards on 8 carries) with 2 INTs and no TDs. Mounties defense even better this year. I'm not going heavy on this because of the status of LB Josh Chandler-Semedo (questionable) with knee injury. He's a big part of what they do. TCU's HC Patterson is a great defensive coach and they're playing well on road; however, we're banking on RB Leddie Brown (questionable) to set the tone in the WV productive run game. And QB Doege doing a pretty good job at the helm. WV 11-0 ATS vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. And they're 6-1 ATS as a home favorite vs .500 opponents. Mounties the call. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -17 | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 42 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Miami-FL +3 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Miami Fla/Virginia Tech Noon: Miami Florida in revenge mode from last year's 42-35 loss at home. Last year, the Hurricanes' offense was weak. This year, their offense is respectable under versatile Houston transfer QB D'Eriq King. The 'Canes should be able to drop 40+ on a Virginia Tech defense that left town with their retired DC Bud Foster. The feeble Hokie stop unit is giving up a whopping 469 YPG. And losing their second best LB Ashby won't help today. Tech is a money burning 3-16 ATS as favorites of less than 17 points vs an opponent with revenge. Canes have their share of problems defensively but can make stops when needed. Tech will also be without their RB Herbert (3rd in ACC in rushing) and TE Mitchell. The U will be back, at least for this game. |
|||||||
11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
Colts/Titans 8:20: Colts coming off a disappointing loss in which QB Rivers threw a questionable interception to allow Ravens to put away the game; however, prior to that, Colts held the explosive Baltimore offense in check. Indy defense solid and deserved of their #3 scoring defense and #3 vs the run. Titans' offense may be even more versatile than Baltimore's as Tannehill is having a career year and bruising RB Henry is on track for 1700 rushing yards. Nevertheless, we'll jump back on Indy in this spot. Rivers will have T.Y. Hilton (groin) back to team with Pascal. Would like to see more RB Hines. Jonathan Taylor has to hold on to the rock because Titans, although a yielding defense, are opportunistic with 13 takeaways. But they're having trouble rushing the passer as big acquisition Clowney not getting it done and, ultimately, should give Indy the edge. Reich 7-2 ATS as a .500 or greater team on the road vs a .500 or greater opponent. Colts 3-1 ATS at Tennessee. And they're 5-0-1 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Edge to Indianapolis. |
|||||||
11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan/Ball State 7:00: Not buying the near double digit spread with an overrated Ball State team. Sure, their offense is respectable with QB Drew Pitt and RB Huntley. Yet the Cardinals give up way too many points defensively. They allowed the sluggish offense of Miami Ohio to drop 38 points on them. Eastern Michigan, on the other hand, is limited in arsenal; however, they're well coached and find ways of staying in games, as demonstrated against a pretty good Kent State team in a 27-23 loss last week. EM 21-6 ATS road run and 3-0 ATS in Muncie. Moreover, the Eagles are a sweet 18-4-1 ATS on the road in games off a loss under Creighton including 13 straight in that role! Cardinals got the best of them last year but EM should keep it tight in the revenge role here. |
|||||||
11-09-20 | Patriots -9.5 v. Jets | 30-27 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Patriots/Jets 8:15: Patriots injuries and defections have limited success this year; however, still enough talent and coaching to get past the fizzling Jets. Patriots should pound the run game with top run stopper Quinnen Williams (hamstring) out. Jets last in passing and in 3rd down conversions. Despite CB Gilmore out, Belichick has enough defensive talent to stymie the Jets bungling offense. Need Cam Newton to step up his game and take care of the football. He surely has the coaching (OC Josh McDaniel) to help his game. Patriots have that tendency to deliver vs losing teams as their 22-7 ATS mark vs teams under .500 indicates. They're also 4-0 ATS after allowing 150+ rush yards. Jets 5-11-1 ATS at home and should succumb here. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Broncos +4 v. Falcons | 27-34 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Broncos/Falcons 1:00: Falcons not deserved of laying points. They're 0-4 ATS as a home favorite, 1-8 ATS as a favorite off a SU division win, and a money burning 0-12 ATS as a favorite vs non-division opponent off a division game. Sure, the Broncos have stumbled a few times but against elite opposition - KC and TB. The Broncos are a strong 6-1 ATS vs losing teams, and 6-0 ATS off division games. Denver did have some issues with Covid 19 as practice was called Wednesday to address that; nevertheless, Fangio is doing a great job holding the team together amid the injuries. We'll look for them to be competitive here. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Ravens v. Colts +1.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Ravens/Colts 1:00: Analysts saying Colts have built their record on weak foes and they have a point; however, the same can be said of Baltimore. With the exception of Cleveland, which they ambushed in Game 1, Ravens have feasted on lightweights Houston, Washington, Cincinnati and Philadelphia while losing to contenders KC and Pittsburgh. Baltimore, however, had 7 key defensive personnel at high risk (Covid 19 exposure) and did not practice. And they'll sorely miss LT Staley (season ending ankle injury). Lamar Jackson is still on his game running football but pass game off (31st in NFL). Indy defense no joke and ranked #2 vs the run (allow 79.9 YPG). QB Rivers probably won't have T.Y. Hilton but Pascal is picking up the slack and acrobatic RB Hines has emerged as another go-to option. Colts 8-1 ATS in this series and 3-0 at Lucas Oil Stadium. Baltimore 1-4 ATS slide and 0-7 ATS off a SU loss. We'll grab the home dog. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +2 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Tennessee/Arkansas 7:30: The Razorbacks were not supposed to be anything special this season ranked only ahead of SEC doormat Vanderbilt in pre-season rankings; however, Arkansas and first year HC Sam Pittman had other ideas as the overachieving Hogs are 5-0 ATS! On the other hand, the Volunteers had lofty expectations but have been a bust. The underachieving Volunteers have been outscored 109-24 since halftime at Georgia on Oct 10th. QB Guarantano has been pressured routinely with little help from his offensive line. Arkansas' defense is opportunistic with 10 forced turnovers. Arkansas has a competitive offense behind Florida transfer QB Franks. He sports an 11/3 TD/INT ratio, completing 63%. Tennessee defense not living up to expectations. We'll look for Arkansas to keep crashing the party. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
West Virginia/Texas Noon: Texas is coming off OT win over Oklahoma State. It is a game in which the Longhorns finished with a 530--287 yard deficit. Texas has been playing behind virtually all year. Today, a good challenge awaits vs the vengeful Mounties. WV, which won easily over Kansas State last week, lost 42-31 last year in Neal Brown's first season. Don't dismiss Neal Brown in revenge. At Troy, he went 6-0 ATS as a road dog with revenge. He's got a solid QB in Doege, a Top 10 defense across the board, and an overall relatively healthy team. TX, on the other hand, has injuries to key personnel (Ingram), thin in the secondary, and is 14 yards per game less than West Virginia's offense but a much more yielding defense. Texas is 1-10 ATS after scoring 35+ points vs an opponent with revenge. WV the call. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Iowa Noon: Iowa state couldn't have started worse in first two games. Two conference losses after a rough spring and multiple allegations for improprieties on the staff. Nevertheless, Iowa was competitive in both those losses losing by a combined 5 points. On the other hand, Michigan State coming off a triumphant victory over their instate rival Michigan in Mel Tucker's first year with the club. Ran the ball well, QB Lombardi looked great and the newly installed 4-2-5 confuse the Wolves. Michigan State has a history of underachieving off victories at 0-4 ATS and last week surely was a big one. Look for a hungry Iowa team to come out firing as Ferentz gets his team on track while Michigan State employs a letdown in Iowa City. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Liberty +17 v. Virginia Tech | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Liberty/Virginia Tech Noon: Hokies coming off a big win at Louisville but have shown an inconsistency off wins (0-4 ATS). They're facing the undefeated Flames which have taken on a light schedule, and surely the line reflects that. But don't count a Hugh Freeze team out. Remember, he's a winner - accumulating a 54-32-1 ATS mark as a head coach. He's built Liberty into a #25 ranked team in less than two seasons. Moreover, he's had an additional week to prepare QB Malik Willis and company. Flames pounding out 265 YPC on the ground and will give a yielding Hokies' defense (allowing 195 YPG) a run for the money. V Tech, known for their fierce defenses under retired DC Bud Foster has softened up considerably under new DC Justin Hamilton whose defense allows 458.5 YPG; consequently, VT should allow Liberty to stay in this one. Take the points. |
|||||||
11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Wyoming/Colorado State 9:00: Cowboys are a bit ahead of the curve in football thus far compared with Colorado State. Wyoming's HC Craig Bohl has molded his team into a contender in his 7th year with the Cowboys. Wyoming has been in bowl games in 3 of the last 4 years (3-0 ATS in those). Defensively stout and relying on their RB Valladay last week, demolished an explosive offensive Hawaii team. We'll look for the same grind it out game against a rebuilding Colorado State team under Steve Addazio who has yet to find the right chemistry on both sides of the ball. There is uncertainty at QB with the more versatile Todd Centeio - good runner but average passer, and the better arm with O'Brien. They do have a good TE McBride. Nevertheless, we'll look for the well disciplined Wyoming defense to deliver. Cowboys are 9-0 ATS as favorites of less than 17 vs an opponent off a SU loss. Colorado State, which lost to Wyoming last year 17-7, is 0-5 ATS at home w/ revenge. Wyoming the call. |
|||||||
11-05-20 | Packers -7 v. 49ers | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Green Bay/San Francisco 8:20: 49ers hampered by injuries and illness across the board. With stars Garoppolo, TE Kittle, RB Mostert and RB Coleman out, limited weaponry for backup QB Mullens to operate with. Moreover, Covid 19 has benched WRs Bourne, Samuel and Aiyuk and starting LT Trent Williams; consequently, that leaves Mullens with WRs Trent Taylor and Richie James along with practice squad call ups. That's not going to strike fear in a decent Packers' secondary. Packers have their share of injuries too but not to SF's extent. RBs AJ Dillon and Jamaal Williams most likely out. And Aaron Jones is questionable. Not to panic as RB Tyler Ervin has done a bang up job when called upon. Aaron Rodgers does have almost full capacity of playmakers to work with including Davonte Adams and a healthy list of TEs. Packers underachieved Sunday vs Minnesota but should bounce back strong here; after all, they're still bitter about being bounced last year out of the playoffs by SF 37-20. Packers 6-0 ATS off a SU loss and that trend should continue here. |
|||||||
11-02-20 | Bucs -12.5 v. Giants | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay/New York 8:15: TB getting into a nice groove last few weeks. Buc's offensive line doing a pretty good job allowing Brady to get into rhythm; after all, he's thrown 15 TD passes to only 1 INT over the last 5 games. Sure, Godwin (finger) probably out but he's got Evans, Gronk, Miller and Jones II doing a bang up job. Giants' defensive front respectable but holes in secondary. And it's hard to see NY trading points. QB Jones has a shaky offensive line with limited skill weaponry as more injuries pile up (RB Freeman out). NY offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL in virtually every category. That doesn't bode well vs the TB defense - ranked #1 in terms of allowing yards; moreover, #1 in stopping the run; consequently, more pressure on QB Jones to deliver. Technically, Giants a money burning 1-5 ATS as a home dog on MNF. TB HC Arians 9-2 ATS as a road favorite vs less than .500 opposition. Buccaneers the call. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +4.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Saints/Bears 4:25: On the surface, the prospects of the Bears delivering here looks bleak after their pedestrian offensive performance on Monday; however, Rams' defense is pretty good. Bears face a New Orleans' defense that has allowed 17 TD passes and 6 passes of 48+ over the last 4 games. Foles, who can throw the deep ball, will have WR Robinson (concussion) for this one. On the other hand, Bears' defense can clamp down and make plays. They've forced nine turnovers and tighten in the red zone. Keep in mind that Brees will still be without his top receiver - Michael Thomas (hamstring) and emerging go-to-guy - Emmanuel Sanders (illness). And the Bears can rush the QB with Mack (ankle) cleared and Hicks at his best. Technically, Bears 8-4 ATS off a Su loss; moreover, 5-0 SU on a short week. I'm going to look for a different outcome from last year's 36-25 embarrassing loss. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers +4 v. Ravens | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Steelers/Ravens 1:00: Not sold on the Ravens this year. Their run game remains strong but pass game stagnant at 178 YPG (31st in NFL). And when they needed to step up against the NFL elite, they laid a big egg. Their defense was horrendous vs KC with many fundamental flaws while offensively Lamar Jackson was way out of rhythm; moreover, they allowed Philadelphia to come back and test them down the stretch a few weeks back. Today, they face the #1 defense in the NFL with few flaws. Steelers allowing just 68.8 YPG on the ground and have a ball hawking secondary. Moreover, they've got a defensive line that is athletic and deep. Ravens are well rested but have a disturbing trend. Baltimore is 3-17 ATS as a favorite off a non-division game vs a greater than .500 division opponent. Steelers got swept in this series without Big Ben last year. Now that Roethlisberger is healthy and establishing rhythm with his wealth of weaponry, Steelers should keep it rolling. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Raiders +2 v. Browns | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Raiders/Browns 1:00: Browns feeling really good off another win to sit at 5-2 SU in standings; however, I'm not that excited knowing they've accumulated 4 of those 5 wins vs losing teams. And the winning team that they beat - Indy - has only one win over a winning team - Chicago. Raiders have a couple quality wins - KC and New Orleans. Sure, TB was my Top Play last week against them but on account of not having their entire offensive line to practice for a week; despite that, the Raiders hung with TB up until the Bucs blew it open midway through 4th quarter. Today, Raiders looking in pretty good shape. Carr has plenty of weapons - TE Waller, WR Ruggs, WR Agholor, WR Renfrow, RB Jacobs - to work a yielding Browns' defense. And sure, Mayfield is coming off a huge game, but won't have OBJ or TE Hooper (77 targets) to go to today. Need the Raiders' defenseless defense to step it up today and we'll bet on it. Take the points. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Colts -2.5 v. Lions | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Colts/Lions 1:00: Colts should be healthy and well rested; after all, they're coming off a bye and will have their All Pro LB Darius Leonard back to solidify their #2 ranked defense. Colts are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite off a bye week. Detroit is feeling good off a last minute win against Atlanta to go on a 2-0 run. We'll look for that run to end here. HC Patricia has yet to win 3 straight games as the head man at Detroit. Sure, Stafford is connecting well with Golladay and TE Hockenson but Indianapolis has a ball hawking secondary and a pretty effective pass rush with Justin Houston leading the way. Not crazy about the Detroit defense which is banged up in the secondary (CB Trufant - hamstring) and allows 132 YPG on the ground. Indy is overdue to get RB Jonathon Taylor rolling. Indy the call. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | LSU v. Auburn +2.5 | 11-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
LSU/Auburn 3:30: This series has been highly competitive over the last 4 years. And over the last 3 years, the average margin of victory was just 2.7 points. Both teams coming off wins after sluggish outings: LSU worked a South Carolina team coming off a big win while Auburn narrowly beat Ole Miss on an explosive play down the stretch. Auburn gave last year's National Championship team a hard time and should deliver today. Not a fan of Bo Nix but he did bounce back well after a disastrous outing vs South Carolina. He went 23 of 30 for 238 yards and should get some nice looks against an LSU defense that's given up 344 YPG through the air! On the other hand, the Auburn defense is getting gutted on the ground and should address that. LSU will surely try to get the run game going. And LSU's QB Brennan is listed as doubtful so freshman TJ Finley will get his second start. He looked pretty good last week but going to fade him and Orgeron on the road here. Auburn is 4-1 ATS at home in this series and should get sweet revenge. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Michigan State v. Michigan -21 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Michigan Noon: Michigan State's former HC Dantonio had success against his instate rival; however, now that Mel Tucker is now at the helm, it will be a monumental task to be competitive against the Wolverines at this stage. Tucker was left with a limited cupboard to work with and a mediocre recruiting class; moreover, big losses defensively at linebacker, secondary and entire defensive line. And the Spartans' offense, which was pathetic last year, broke in a new QB last week - Rocky Lombardi - who threw for 319 yards, but 7 turnovers, including losing a fumble didn't cut it. On the other hand, Michigan looked good last week with new QB Joe Milton in their route of Minnesota. Wolves, which is 5-0 ATS as a favorite, blasted Michigan State by a combined 65-17 over their last 2 meetings. We'll look for another blowout as Harbaugh looks to establish control of Michigan in recruiting. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis/Cincinnati Noon: Double revenge game for the Bearcats. They come into this one 4-0 ranked #7 and look to knock off a Memphis team that beat them not only in their regular season finale but two weeks later in the AAC Championship. This year's Bearcats bring a solid core group back with good depth from a good recruiting class. They've got a duel threat QB in Desmond Ridder with a solid supporting cast. They should be able to move the ball well vs a Memphis' defense that allows a whopping 568 YPG! Sure, the Tigers can move the football with the #6 ranked offense in the nation; however, Cincinnati is well disciplined defensively and opportunistic with nine forced turnovers. Cincinnati has covered 9 of the last 11 in this series and should finally get a solid SU win with emphasis. Lay the TD. |
|||||||
10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -2 | 25-17 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
Atlanta/Carolina 8:20: Atlanta has controlled this series to the tune of 8-2 ATS run; however, changing of the guard could ensue. Matt Rhule is doing a great job in turning around the Panthers franchise and without marquee players. They've covered 4 of the last 5 and that was without their best player - McCaffrey - who's been out since week 2. Tonight, good chance McCaffrey (ankle) will play. Bridgewater, not at elite status but doing a solid job in directing the offense. And Carolina needs more of a pass rush to help their secondary out. As for Atlanta, they're still finding ways to lose as exhibited last week vs Detroit. Falcons' defense ranked 31st in the NFL in terms of total yards. Can't depend on them to make critical stops. Inclement weather a possibility tonight and that favors the home team. Falcons 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on grass fields. Edge to Carolina as they sweep season series.  |
|||||||
10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
Bears/Rams 8:15: Bears in good hands under Nagy. Foles has been a steady QB and he's gotten into rhythm with a good group of receivers. Allen Robinson is a top tier receiver. And Mooney, Miller and TE Graham are good supporting options. Even RB Montgomery is showing good versatility. Rams' defense appears good according to the stats; however, not what they were under former DC Wade Phillips. Rams have only beaten 3 lightweights - Dallas, Philadelphia and Washington - all from the lowly NFC East. Sure, Rams have the offense back up to speed this year but face a pretty good Chicago defense. Bears have an underrated secondary that limits explosive plays. And Rams' vertical threat - Woods is nursing a groin injury while TE Higbee has a banged up hand. Bears not quite ready for prime time but 4-0 ATS last 4 Monday tilts. Moreover, they're a sweet 6-1 ATS off back-to-back SU wins vs an opponent off SU loss as a favorite. We'll look for Bears to go for sweet revenge from last year's 17-7 loss. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Bucs -5 v. Raiders | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Bucs/Raiders 4:05: Tough spot for the Raiders after huge win at KC back on the 11th. They're entire offensive line sent home last week but should be good to go Sunday pending negative tests. Nevertheless, no practice time for them as newly activated offensive line subbed for them the entire week after Trent Brown tested positive for Covid 19. TB defense, #1 in the NFL in terms of yardage allowed, was on the attack of Aaron Rodgers last week and should make life uncomfortable for Derek Carr on Sunday. Offensively, Bucs established a nice rhythm last week and good to see Gronkowski getting targets now. Bad news for a 27th ranked Raiders' scoring defense which won't have S Jonathon Abram (Covid 19 protocol). Raiders have not had success at home vs the NFC South at 1-7 ATS; moreover, Gruden a money burning 1-10 ATS vs greater than .500 opponent off double-digit ATS win & scored more than 35 points. TB the call. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Panthers +7.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Panthers/Saints 1:00: We get great value with a Panthers' team that doesn't have big name players but playing solid football under first year HC Rhule. Rhule swept away Joe Brady from LSU and it's paying dividends. Former Saints' QB Teddy Bridgewater playing well and reserve RB Mike Davis doing well in place of dynamic McCaffrey. Saints' defense has a tendency to bring out the best in opposing QBs allowing an average of 108 QB rating. Offensively, Saints' Brees still won't have his top receiver - Michael Thomas (hamstring), but also emerging go-to receiver Sanders (illness) out! Panthers 3-0 ATS in last 3 trips to Superdome. Take Carolina and the TD. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Packers/Texans 1:00: At first glance at this line, seems like the Packers would be a clear lock; however, they're dealing with multiple injuries on both sides of the ball. Will have to shuffle their offensive line a bit, RB Aaron Jones (calf) iffy, and defensive secondary injuries. Sure, Texans' QB Watson will be a load to handle. Fortunately, Houston has the 31st rush offense in the NFL and that puts lots of pressure on Watson to make plays. And defensively, the Texans are not good. They're 32nd against the run allowing 175.5 YPG and that should allow solid reserve RB Jamaal Williams to get going; consequently, Aaron Rodgers should atone for last week's sluggish outing; after all, Packers are 5-0 ATS off a SU loss and 5-0 ATS after allowing 30+. As for Houston, 0-8 ATS as a dog of 3 points or more vs a .600 or greater team off a SU loss. Packers the call. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Steelers +2 v. Titans | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Steelers/Titans 1:00: Two undefeated AFC powerhouses go head to head. We'll grab the points with Pittsburgh here. They boast the #2 defense in the NFL in terms of yards allowed. They also present the #2 run stop unit in the NFL. Of course, stopping Derrick Henry the entire game is a monumental task. Yet Pittsburgh is built for this. Yes, they will be without ILB Devin Bush (knee), who was having a solid year; however, reserve Spillane came in last week and the Steelers defense didn't miss a beat. Tennessee's offense is loaded with weaponry but LT Lewan is out and it will be tough for reserve LT Sambrailo to keep DE Bud Dupree from disruptive behavior on Tannehill. On the other hand, Tennessee's defense is yielding and face a healthy Roethlisberger with a wealth of weaponry including emerging superstar and matchup nightmare Claypool. Steelers 4-0 ATS after scoring 30+ and we'll grab them here. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.