WIDE RECEIVERS YARDS PROPS HANDICAPPING
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Last season, Michael Thomas of the Saints led the rest of the league by a healthy margin with over 1700 receiving yards. No one else even reached 1400.
Thomas’ total leads a list of 44 different wide receivers and tight ends in 2020. CappersPicks will cover each one and make a call on whether to go over or under in a multi-part series.
In part 2 I wrote about playing the under on Chris Godwin, who out-gained Evans for the first time in his career in 2019. It would be unusual for me to then play an over on Evans, whose total is just 50 yards less than Godwin’s.
Evans did get over 1150 yards last season, despite missing three games but he did it by putting together a few monster games among others in which he was lost.
He also caught a lot of deep balls from Jameis Winston, who has a much stronger arm than Tom Brady at age 43 (he turns 43 in August).
It’s also hard to imagine both of these super talents going under their totals. Then again, what if Brady gets hurt? What if Brady spreads it out, as he always has, even with the two superstars on the outside? The under feels like the safer play here, too.
Prediction: Under 1150.5
And of course, I didn’t mention Rob Gronkowski joining the mix in Tampa either. He has already accumulated four 1000-yard seasons with Brady as his quarterback and links back up with him in Tampa after a year to rest his body and get healthy in “retirement”.
His total will look low to the public, especially when its right there between Christopher Herndon and Noah Fant. Gronk’s name brand will attract over action, which has me thinking the total is artificially high.
But then I think of the talent and all the space Gronk should have to operate over the middle. It’s a pick-your-poison proposition for opposing defenses with the two studs on the outside and Gronk over the middle.
Health is the obvious most important factor here. I want to be optimistic and so I’m on Gronk getting over this with at least 800 yards in his comeback season.
Prediction: Over 600.5
Hill racked up 860 yards in 2019 despite missing four games. He has proven to be a much more consistent and reliable receiver than many (myself included) thought he would be in the NFL, even after his good rookie season and sophomore breakout.
The Chiefs simply find ways to get him the ball. I’m not concerned about his durability, either. He had only missed one game in three years prior to his injury last season and returned just fine.
It’s just a lean because this is a relatively high total but I can’t bet against the Chiefs’ offense easily.
Prediction: Over 1150.5
A first round pick in 2019, Fant caught 40 balls for 562 yards as a rookie in an unsteady Denver passing game.
Drew Lock hopes to bring stability to the unit in 2020. He may succeed or he may not but he’s unlikely to be much worse than what Denver’s receivers dealt with last season.
Fant has too much talent to go under. A tight end with speed to break away from safeties, his big-play ability will have him over this total, even if he suffers through his fair share of dud weeks.
It also doesn’t hurt to have Courtland Sutton demanding most of the defense’s attention on the outside. Look for Fant to emerge as the second or third option in 2020.
Prediction: Over 625.5
Full List Of 2020 NFL Receiving Yards Totals Player Props
- Michael Thomas 1375.5
- Julio Jones 1300.5
- Chris Godwin 1200.5
- Davante Adams 1150.5
- Mike Evans 1150.5
- Tyreek Hill 1150.5
- DeAndre Hopkins 1150.5
- Kenny Golladay 1100.5
- Travis Kelce 1100.5
- Juju Smith-Schuster 1100.5
- Courtland Sutton 1100.5
- Odell Beckham 1050.5
- Amari Cooper 1050.5
- TY Hilton 1050.5
- George Kittle 1050.5
- Cooper Kupp 1050.5
- DJ Moore 1050.5
- Tyler Lockett 1000.5
- Stefon Diggs 975.5
- Mark Andrews 900.5
- Michael Gallup 900.5
- Deebo Samuel 900.5
- Marvin Jones 875.5
- Zach Ertz 850.5
- DK Metcalf 850.5
- Jamison Crowder 825.5
- John Brown 800.5
- Marquise Brown 800.5
- Diontae Johnson 775.5
- Sterling Shepard 775.5
- Jerry Jeudy 750.5
- Golden Tate 725.5
- Evan Engram 700.5
- CeeDee Lamb 700.5
- Breshad Perriman – 700.5
- Darius Slayton 700.5
- Justin Jefferson 675.5
- Jalen Reagor 650.5
- Noah Fant 625.5
- Rob Gronkowski 600.5
- Christopher Herndon 600.5
- TJ Hockenson 550.5
- Denzel Mims 550.5
- Dallas Goedert 475.5
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