WIDE RECEIVERS YARDS PROPS HANDICAPPING
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Last season, Michael Thomas of the Saints led the rest of the league by a healthy margin with over 1700 receiving yards. No one else even reached 1400.
Thomas’ total leads a list of 44 different wide receivers and tight ends in 2020. CappersPicks will cover each one and make a call on whether to go over or under in a multi-part series.
After years of making the most of makeshift receiving corps in New England, the prospect of having Mike Evans and Chris Godwin outside lured Tom Brady to Tampa Bay.
Both are among the top four on this list and Godwin actually comes in just ahead of Evans after breaking out in his third season for 1333 yards and nine touchdowns in just 14 games.
That was with Jameis Winston, who, for all his shortcomings, threw the ball a ton and racked up huge numbers in the process.
The Bucs expect to be better with Brady and, therefore, likely more balanced on offense. Then there’s the fact that only three receivers have ever gained more than 1200 yards in a season with Brady: Randy Moss (twice), Wes Welker (thrice) and Rob Gronkowski (once).
Of course, a huge part of that is that Brady hasn’t had many receivers as talented as Godwin over his career. That said, more will have to go right for Godwin to get over this total than I’m willing to bet on.
Prediction: Under 1200.5
The eighth overall pick in last year’s draft showed some flashes in his rookie season but finished with just 32 catches for 367 yards as a rookie.
Now, he missed four games and only started seven games because Jesse James (who had an even more meager offensive season) stayed ahead of him on the depth chart. Matthew Stafford also missed half the year and Detroit’s offense couldn’t move the ball without him.
James remains on top of the depth chart but Hockenson will get the targets. The Lions have done what they can in the offseason to protect Stafford and surround him with talent. Hockenson should be a beneficiary and get over this total in his second season.
Prediction: Over 550.5
Green Bay’s entire offense had to adjust to Matt LaFleur’s first year as head coach in 2019. Davante Adams suffered a couple injuries early in the season and played less than 100 percent in 12 games and still managed to catch 83 passes.
His average per reception dipped, however, and as a result he failed to reach the 1000-yard plateau. In fact, he has only gone over 1000 yards in one season, which was in 2018.
There may not be a tougher receiver in the league, which is a double-edged sword. Adams will play, and play well, through injury but he gets dinged often because of how often he goes over the middle.
Between the chances of missing a couple games and his yards per catch trending downward, I’m loath to believe he will get well over 1000 yards in 2020.
Prediction: Under 1150.5
Herndon was excellent as a rookie in 2018 after the Jets selected him in the fourth round out of Miami. His sophomore season was equally as disappointing.
He was suspended for the first four games and never truly returned due to nagging injuries. He enters his third season as an enigma on this list.
In his absence last season, Ryan Griffin got a chance to play a lot and put up modest numbers in the receiving game. Herndon won’t have to only stay healthy himself, he will have to earn reps back from Griffin and that prospect, while entirely possible, and even likely, has me reluctant to give him the green light here.
Prediction: Under 600.5
Full List Of 2020 NFL Receiving Yards Totals Player Props
- Michael Thomas 1375.5
- Julio Jones 1300.5
- Chris Godwin 1200.5
- Davante Adams 1150.5
- Mike Evans 1150.5
- Tyreek Hill 1150.5
- DeAndre Hopkins 1150.5
- Kenny Golladay 1100.5
- Travis Kelce 1100.5
- Juju Smith-Schuster 1100.5
- Courtland Sutton 1100.5
- Odell Beckham 1050.5
- Amari Cooper 1050.5
- TY Hilton 1050.5
- George Kittle 1050.5
- Cooper Kupp 1050.5
- DJ Moore 1050.5
- Tyler Lockett 1000.5
- Stefon Diggs 975.5
- Mark Andrews 900.5
- Michael Gallup 900.5
- Deebo Samuel 900.5
- Marvin Jones 875.5
- Zach Ertz 850.5
- DK Metcalf 850.5
- Jamison Crowder 825.5
- John Brown 800.5
- Marquise Brown 800.5
- Diontae Johnson 775.5
- Sterling Shepard 775.5
- Jerry Jeudy 750.5
- Golden Tate 725.5
- Evan Engram 700.5
- CeeDee Lamb 700.5
- Breshad Perriman – 700.5
- Darius Slayton 700.5
- Justin Jefferson 675.5
- Jalen Reagor 650.5
- Noah Fant 625.5
- Rob Gronkowski 600.5
- Christopher Herndon 600.5
- TJ Hockenson 550.5
- Denzel Mims 550.5
- Dallas Goedert 475.5
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