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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-31-18 | Knicks +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 73-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Boston isn’t in top form right now and they are laying too many points tonight in this one. This is the first game back home after a tough four-game road trip for Boston and often these first games back home don’t go as well as planned for the home team as players have other business to attend to and their minds might not be fully in the game. They have had a very busy schedule lately, too, so they are probably tired. The Knicks are on the second of a back-to-back but they had three nights off before the Brooklyn win last night so they should be fine here. |
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01-30-18 | Blazers -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Clippers traded away Blake Griffin last night and things will also get worse for this team before they get better. This move came as a surprise for almost everyone and the rest of the Clippers players have to be scratching their heads and wondering if they are getting shipped out of town themselves. Even Coach Doc Rivers name has been mentioned to get canned. This does not set up well for them to host Portland tonight. The Blazers are hot, having won five of six, and they are playing with confidence. They will want to take advantage of their rival when in a state of flux. The new additions from the Pistons will likely not be available tonight for the home team and we think they will be a bit shell-shocked and we expect them to lose bad here and to regroup after this game. |
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01-27-18 | Nets +11 v. Wolves | Top | 97-111 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Brooklyn is one of the top NBA teams in the league this season against the spread. They have been especially good as an underdog. This team is 16-5 ATS this season when they are getting six or more points as an underdog. That is the type of team that you can trust when getting double digits because you know they will play hard most nights and that they are underestimated by the bookies. The Nets got blown out last night at Milwaukee but this team is 6-3 ATS on the second end of a back-to-back. The Wolves could be without Jimmy Butler tonight as he is listed as questionable but even if he does play he’s probably not going to be anywhere near 100%. Brooklyn is 16-8 ATS on the road this season and 9-4 ATS on the road against winning teams. They already beat the Wolves earlier this month in Brooklyn and we think they will keep this game close tonight. |
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01-26-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -6 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
We have been going against the Cavs quite a bit this season with good success but we think that this is a game they will actually care about and play their best. These teams have already played three times this season and the Pacers have won all three games. The Cavs need to step up here and we expect them to play their best game in awhile to avoid the sweep. Cleveland has played a really tough schedule lately but things get a bit easier starting here and we think they come out with a big game tonight just like the Cavs we have been used to. Cleveland should win this one by double digits. |
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01-25-18 | Wizards +5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
The Wizards have been slumping but this team normally lowers itself to the level of competition but on the flip side they have been great in this spot they are in tonight as they are 7-2 ATS when on the road against above-.500 teams. They are normally their best when playing top competition. OKC, on the other hand, is just 4-9 ATS at home against winning teams. We like to back strong teams off a bad loss and the Wizards certainly qualify here after a listless effort in Dallas last time out saw them run out of the building in a 23-point blowout. These guys will play better tonight. OKC has won five straight but at Cleveland was the only quality win there and the Cavs are just a mess right now. We expect a close game and might throw a couple bucks on the Wizards moneyline here. |
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01-23-18 | Kings v. Magic -6.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
These teams have similar records but the Magic have had lots of injury issues and the Kings just flat out stink. Sacramento is in full tank mode right now and they are going to be resting regulars on a regular basis now and that is to ensure they get a high pick in the 2018 draft. They have lost eight straight and four of those games were by double digits. They also come in on a back-to-back while the Magic should be well rested as they have played just one game the last four nights and they had Monday off. Orlando has covered in five straight games and those included straight up wins against Boston and Minnesota and a one-point loss at Cleveland. |
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01-22-18 | Jazz -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 90-104 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
The Jazz are getting healthy again and we think that this is a team on the upswing. This team hasn’t been good on the road this season but they have won two of their last three on the road and this is a very winnable game for them tonight. They are playing with a lot of confidence right now after blowing out the Clippers last time out and ending their long winning streak and we think they use that positive momentum to notch a very comfortable win over one of the worst teams in the NBA here in Atlanta. Utah has blown out the Hawks in the last two meetings and that could happen again here tonight. |
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01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs -6 | Top | 94-86 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This Pacers road trip, which started off promising with wins at Phoenix and Utah, has quickly turned into a nightmare with double-digit losses in the last two games at Portland and LA Lakers. This will be their third game in four nights and then they have two nights off before they play Phoenix at home on Wednesday so we think that this is a spot where they may mail it in. Even if they don’t we think this game will be all Spurs tonight. The Spurs have played six of their last seven on the road and this team just isn’t good away from home this season but now they are back home tonight where they are 19-2 on the season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They are 15-5-1 ATS here so not only do they win but they normally do it with authority. After dropping two of three on this most recent road trip the Spurs will be anxious to get back to their winning ways. And against a fatigued and road-weary Pacers team tonight that should be the perfect recipe for success. |
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01-20-18 | Clippers v. Jazz -1.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
The Clippers have won six straight but only a couple of those wins were of the quality variety and we think this team’s bubble will burst eventually. And we think that will be the case tonight. The Jazz are coming in on a back-to-back after losing to the Knicks at home last night. But this team is young and they are 7-2 ATS in back-to-backs this season so we think that they will be fine here. Utah has Rudy Gobert back and he is their best player and this team was not the same without him. But they have covered in six of the last nine meetings in this series and we like the home team laying the small number here tonight. |
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01-18-18 | Pacers +4 v. Blazers | Top | 86-100 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Portland’s defense has pretty much fallen apart and they have allowed 106+ in eight of their last nine games. During that stretch their games have gone over eight times. They have allowed 119 or more in three of their last four games. Of course the Blazers have lost three of four because you aren’t going to win a lot of games giving up that many points. We think the Pacers will put up a big number on offense tonight and we think that they have a great chance to win this game straight out. They are playing a more complete game right now and they have quietly won three straight and five of their last six. |
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01-17-18 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-109 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a fade of the Clippers more than anything. They played their biggest game of the season on Monday as the Rockets and former teammate Chris Paul came to town and to say there were fireworks in that game would be an understatement. There were scuffles, skirmishes, a war of words, a Blake Griffin ejection and a visit to the Clippers lockeroom by Rockets players looking for a fight. The Clippers won that one and they have now won five straight. However, two of those wins were against the Kings and one against Atlanta, so there weren’t a lot of quality wins there, and the Rockets and Warriors had off nights when they played them. Even though the Nuggets are on a back-to-back here we think the big distractions that came from the Clippers last game will wear on them here. |
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01-17-18 | Heat v. Bucks -4 | Top | 106-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Revenge is one of the more overrated handicapping aspects of the NBA, in our opinion, but we do think it comes into play when the teams have recently met and that is the case tonight as these teams played on Sunday and the Bucks got blown out in South Beach. That was an 18-point win for the Heat, which was no doubt embarrassing for a Bucks team that is supposed to be a force in the East this season. Milwaukee is a much better team at home and they caught the Heat during a surge in performance but now that Miami’s long winning streak ended in Chicago we expect more road woes for the visitors tonight. |
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01-17-18 | Wizards v. Hornets -1 | Top | 109-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Wizards just completed a five-game homestand and they didn’t look very good in going 2-3 with their wins over Brooklyn (in OT) and Orlando. They have failed to cover the spread in any of their last six games. The Hornets are in better form right now with covers in four of their last six, and they are coming off an impressive blowout win in Detroit on Monday. Charlotte has won and covered the last two meetings at home in this series and we think they are a bit undervalued tonight. |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic +8.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Timberwolves have won five straight but all those games were at home and they were against mostly teams that are struggling right now. This is the first road game in what will be seven of nine on the road. Minnesota is just 11-10 on the road this season so they are pretty average away from home. Orlando is not a very good team but this team has dealt with a lot of injuries this season and this team is finally getting more healthy. They have covered in three of the last four meetings, including one this season where they played the Wolves real tough in Minnesota. They lost that game by only six. Orlando has covered three of four overall and this team, now healthy, is being underestimated by the oddsmakers. They have had a real tough schedule lately so they aren’t going to be intimidated by the Wolves here at home. Orlando has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings and we think this is too many points tonight as we expect a close game. |
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01-15-18 | Kings v. Thunder -11.5 | Top | 88-95 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
The Sacramento Kings have been in a freefall lately and this team looks to be in full tank mode right now. They have lost their last four games by an average of 12 points and they didn’t even put up a fight last time out in a 21-point loss at the LA Clippers in a game where they did not play any defense. The results for the Thunder haven’t been great lately. They have been on the road a lot lately and they have played some tough opponents. This team hasn’t had a stretch yet this season where they played consistently good basketball. But after losing three of their last four this is a “get right” game for them and we have no doubt that they will take advantage of this lesser opponent to get back on track. OKC has been good at blowing out bad teams this season and they are 3-1 ATS when laying 11 or more points. Sacramento won the first meeting this season but we don’t think the Thunder will let that happen again and we think this one will be blowout city tonight. |
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01-14-18 | Pacers v. Suns +4 | Top | 120-97 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
The Pacers are not a very good road team and they have not played well in this series. Indiana is just 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings and they are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in the desert. The Suns have been playing well lately at home and this is an underrated bunch that is lacking in talent but they tend to play hard on most nights and we think they have a very good chance for the straight up win here tonight. |
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01-13-18 | Kings v. Clippers OVER 216 | Top | 105-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
These teams played Thursday and the total reached 236. While we don’t think there will be that many points scored in this one, we do have a lot of leeway as today’s total is well under that combined total from Thursday. The Clippers should be able to name their score today. These teams have played twice recently and the Clippers have scored 120+ in both, and both have gone over the posted total. The Clippers have been playing very well on the offensive end lately and Lou Williams has been playing at an all-star level offensively and he even poured in 50 points by himself the other night against the Warriors. LA has gone over in 10 of their last 11 games and the oddsmakers have not made a big enough adjustment here. Also, DeAndre Jordan is the Clippers best defensive player and he is unlikely to play here and the Clippers will miss him more on the defensive end than on offense. Also, since these teams are playing a home-and-home the Kings should be more competitive here in the second act and they did manage to score 115 on Thursday and we don’t see them having a big dropoff from that number tonight. |
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01-12-18 | Nets +3.5 v. Hawks | Top | 110-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Brooklyn has lost three straight but those were all against top teams in the east. But there is no way they should be getting this many points at the Hawks, one of the worst teams in the NBA this season. The Nets don’t have too much of a better record but make no mistake this team is on a higher tier than the Hawks and a much better team. They have covered in six of their last seven games and they are the No. 2 ATS team in the NBA this season. That means this is a bad team that has some talent and plays hard on a nightly basis. They won by 20 on this same floor the last time these teams met and they have covered in five of the last six meetings. |
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01-11-18 | Spurs v. Lakers +3 | Top | 81-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
The Lakers are completely healthy and they have been playing well. San Antonio is really banged up and will be without a handful of key players tonight, hence the small line here. The Spurs have not played well on the road this season at 10-12 and that is just two more wins than the Lakers have at home and Los Angeles has been underachieving for much of the season. They have won two straight, however, in very impressive fashion and this would be a marquee win for the ballclub and they will give it their all tonight since the Spurs are in a weakened state. We think the Lakers are playing hard right now for their coach after the controversy with the Ball family. |
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01-10-18 | Mavs v. Hornets -7 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
We have been very impressed with the play of the Hornets lately, and after a slow start to the season they seem to be peaking right now. They have won three of four, all on the road and by double digits, including that big win over the Warriors in the Bay Area. This team has always had the talent, and now they are putting it together. Usually the game after a road trip can be treacherous for the home club but Charlotte has had four nights off and that is crucial rest at this point of the season. Dallas is coming off a homestand where they lost three of four and they aren’t playing with the same intensity we have seen from this team at some points in the season. Dallas is 4-12 ATS this season against sub-.500 teams and we think they are in for a rough outing tonight. |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves | Top | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Cleveland has dropped five of eight and they just aren’t playing well right now. However, the books keep lining them as if they were winning. This is normally one of the best teams in the NBA to fade and now they are 12-26-1 ATS this season so they are even better than normal as this team is just not as good as previous squads and this team normally performs at 75% effort during the regular season to save their energy for the playoffs. The Wolves have been really strong at home lately and this team is finally getting it together after years of potential and this team is playing very well right now. The Wolves are 14-6 at home this season while the Cavs have been poor on the road and we expect a strong showing from the home club tonight. |
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01-07-18 | Hawks +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-132 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Lakers have lost nine straight games and this team is dealing with a lot of inner turmoil right now and we just don’t think that they should be favored by this many points against any team right now. This team is 1-6 ATS at home against sub-.500 teams and this is about as shaky of a favorite as you can get in the NBA betting market. Atlanta has won three of six, including wins over Portland and Washington, and they are in better form right now. This game seems like a coin flip to us so we have to take the underdog that is getting so many points. |
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01-06-18 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
The Clippers have been playing well lately and we think they are getting too many points here in the Saturday matinee. Golden State has absolutely dominated this series but now that Chris Paul is gone we don’t think the Warriors have that same burning desire to embarrass the Clippers and this is just another game for them. They are coming off a game against Paul and Houston and that is the game that was more important to them and we feel this is a letdown spot. That was the first in four games Golden State covered and they needed a 7-0 run to finish the game just to get the ATS win. We might throw a couple bucks on the Clippers moneyline here as we think this is a decent spot for them to challenge for the win. |
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01-05-18 | Wizards v. Grizzlies OVER 205.5 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
These teams played last month and it was a real low-scoring game and as a result we are getting a real low total here. The Wizards offense is really humming right now as they have scored 120+ in two of their last three games and in the other they notched 114. We don’t think they will have any problem penetrating the Memphis defense tonight. The Grizzlies have shown lately that they can score as well. They have scored 105 or more in four straight games and they showed against the Warriors that they can take advantage of a swift pace as they put up 128 a couple games ago in a losing effort. We think that both teams get well over the century mark tonight and the league overall has been trending to the over lately. |
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01-04-18 | Thunder -1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Clippers have been playing well but they have had a super easy schedule and their only real quality win was at Houston but we think that was more of an off night for the Rockets than the Clippers doing anything special. OKC has won seven of nine and this team is starting to put it together after a slow start to the season where there were some growing pains with the new Big 3. But this is a team that was supposed to be a Top 3 team in the NBA and they are suddenly playing the part while the Clippers ceiling this season is probably a No. 8 seed if they even make the playoffs (and if they can stay healthy). The Thunder have covered four of the last five meetings. They played in LA last night and barely broke a sweat against the Lakers so they have no travel and this is about the best situation for a road game back-to-back that they could possibly have tonight. |
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01-03-18 | Rockets v. Magic UNDER 219.5 | Top | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
This Houston offense goes through James Harden and without him this team won’t have the same fluidity on the offensive end that they had with him in the lineup. There are going to be some growing pains and Chris Paul is more of a facilitator than a guy that is going to pick up the massive void of scoring left by Harden’s absence. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams here in Orlando. We don’t see the Rockets playing the same on offense as they have all season and the Magic are a pretty lousy offensive team and it’s doubtful that they would have the breakout offensive night needed to get this one over the posted number. |
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01-02-18 | Hawks v. Suns -1 | Top | 103-104 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Atlanta is one of the worst NBA teams in the league this season and this team is 3-15 on the road. The Suns aren’t a good team, either, but at 14-24 and playing in the tougher Western Conference they are quite a bit better than the Hawks, in our opinion. The Suns have won two of three and they are in nice form right now and this is a very winnable game for them so we think they go all out tonight in front of the home fans. The Suns have covered in four straight meetings and they have won the last two meetings at home, and we think those trends will continue here on Tuesday. |
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01-01-18 | Blazers v. Bulls UNDER 207 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Blazers are one of the best under teams in the NBA this season at 25-10, and we think that this is another game where the bookies have posted a total too high. The Blazers have been without Damian Lillard for four games and he is questionable tonight. They have trended to the under in those games with a 3-1 mark. Even if Lillard suits up tonight he won’t be 100%, and Portland is already a lousy offensive team even with their best player in the lineup. Portland is in the Top 5 defensively for both points allowed and defensive field goal percentage and we don’t see the Bulls doing much on offense tonight. Chicago is on a back-to-back here and they have averaged less than 97 points per game in seven games on the second end of a back-to-back. |
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12-31-17 | 76ers v. Suns +3.5 | Top | 123-110 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Phllly got the upset win in Denver last night but now they have a real tough back-to-back in Phoenix. Denver is a tough place to play either the first or second half of a back-to-back and the Suns will run the Sixers with a fast pace all night and we think they will be real worn out by the fourth quarter and the Suns have a real legitimate chance to pull the upset here. Philly has yet to win or cover a b-2-b this season in four tries and this young team may be in another bad spot tonight. |
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12-30-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
We always like to back a good team off a bad loss and the Pistons certainly qualify tonight as they lost by double-digits in Orlando on Thursday. Now they face a Spurs team at home as a big underdog. The Spurs just haven’t been good on the road this season and they are just 8-9 SU away from home and an even worse 6-11 ATS. Detroit played the Spurs very tough in San Antonio earlier this month and we think they can be even better here at home despite being a but banged up. But we had this game handicapped as a pickem so we think there is some nice value here on Saturday. |
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12-29-17 | Hornets v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 111-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Steph Curry is still out but otherwise this team is pretty healthy right now. They were in a letdown spot coming off their big Christmas win over the Cavs when facing Utah last time out but they just dominated despite somewhat of an off night and they won by 25. That tells us that this team is in fine form right now and they Charlotte team that has thus far been a big disappointment this season. This team is just 3-8-3 ATS away from home despite getting some very generous lines from the oddsmakers. We think this will be another GSW blowout tonight. |
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12-27-17 | Knicks +2 v. Bulls | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
The Knicks have covered in four of the last five meetings in this series. If this was a couple weeks ago the Knicks probably would have been 3-4 point favorites here. But the Bulls have been playing well. However, this is a tough spot as they are coming off a three-game road trip and are on a back-to-back tonight. We had the Knicks handicapped at -2 for this game so there is great value in them as an underdog. While the Bulls have been playing better this team will still finish with one of the worst records in the NBA and the Knicks are a much better team. We think they have an excellent shot at the rare road win tonight. |
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12-26-17 | Pacers +2 v. Pistons | Top | 83-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Detroit has taken two of three meetings this season so far in this series but we think that these teams are pretty even and the Pacers have a strong history in this series as they have taken seven of nine meetings against the spread. This game has reverse line movement as the public is on Detroit and the line is getting smaller, meaning that other sharp bettors probably like the Pacers as well in this game tonight. Both teams have been good ATS but the Pacers have been even better as they are the No. 2 ATS team at 20-13 on the season. The Pistons are not in the best form as the oddsmakers have overadjusted in some games, and as a result they are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games while the Pacers have played very well on the road and are on a 7-1 ATS run away from home. One of the Pistons best players, Avery Bradley, has been out for four games and is questionable tonight and the Pistons will need a complete effort to get by Indiana and we just don’t see it happening tonight. |
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12-22-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 205 | Top | 102-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Portland has one of the best defenses in the NBA this season, and against a Denver offense that has been inconsistent lately we just don’t see the Nuggets doing anything special tonight on the offensive end. We think there is a good chance that the Nuggets score well under 100 tonight. And that should be enough to cash this ticket. On the other side, the offense of the Blazers can’t be called dynamic by any measure and tonight they will be without their best player in Damian Lillard and that is going to hurt this team in many ways. We think there is a good chance that both teams finish under the century mark. |
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12-20-17 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA and out of nowhere this team has won six straight. Any team can get hot at any time in the NBA as these are some of the most talented basketball players in the world even though some teams have less supreme talent than others. But now the Bulls are in the role of a big favorite against a team that is probably a bit better than them. Even with the six-game winning streak the Bulls are only 9-20, and when all is said and done this team will have one of the worst records in the NBA. We just think this is too many points for a team like Chicago to be laying tonight. |
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12-19-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2.5 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
The Bucks are a team that doesn’t always play to their potential this season but they should be sharp and focused here on Tuesday night. The Bucks have lost three straight, including one to the suddenly-hot Bulls. A three-game losing streak is bad. But a four-game losing streak is panic time. They would be hyped for this game anyways but there is a lot more on the line tonight as this team needs to get back on a winning streak. The Cavs are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now but this team is notoriously bad against the spread and this season is no different at 11-19-1 ATS. They are overvalued again tonight. |
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12-18-17 | Heat v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
The Hawks are only 6-23 SU but they are 15-13-1 ATS and that shows us this is a team that is better than the oddsmakers think and also a team that plays hard most nights to keep games close. The Hawks have had two nights off while Miami will be playing its third game in four nights and they have Boston on deck after the night off Tuesday so they could very well be in a letdown spot here. Atlanta has won only two of their last nine games but they are 7-2 ATS during that span but this is a game we think they can actually win straight out. |
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12-17-17 | Cavs v. Wizards -2 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
The Cavs seem to run hot and cold ATS and they are cold now as they have failed to cover in three straight and five of six overall. Washington has been cold ATS but they had the night off on Saturday while the Cavs are coming in on a back-to-back and this will be their third game in four nights, and it’s always tough to play a good team on the road in that situation. We think that this is a great spot to back the home team and we are confident they will win this one comfortably tonight. |
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12-16-17 | Suns v. Wolves -12 | Top | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
The Suns were already a very thin team talent-wise and were down Devin Booker already and now Tyson Chandler might be out here as well. With the Bulls playing well lately this Suns team may be fielding the weakest lineup in the NBA tonight. This looks like a real good spot for the Timberwolves to shine. They beat a much better team in the Kings on Thursday by 20+ and we think they could lay down a similar beatdown tonight. The Wolves are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams in Minnesota and we think that the Wolves match up real well in this game and we expect them to shine tonight. |
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12-15-17 | Nets +12 v. Raptors | Top | 87-120 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
The Nets are the No. 3 ATS team in the entire league at 17-10. They have been great as a big underdog this season as they are 7-1 ATS when getting seven or more points. This is a team that can hold betting value every night as they don’t have any stars and are well below .500 on the W/L record but this team plays hard almost every night and they have some underrated talent on the court. They come in on a back-to-back tonight but they are 3-1 ATS in these situations this season and this is a young and athletic team so we aren’t worried about the lack of rest and after a poor performance last night we think they will want to play much better here tonight. Toronto has dropped four of their last six ATS and they have struggled to cover as a double-digit favorite as they are just 1-3 ATS in this role in 2017. |
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12-14-17 | Pistons v. Hawks +4 | Top | 105-91 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
We thought the Pistons were just in a slump against a tough schedule then they were blown out of the water at home against Boston and then they had a really embarrassing home blowout loss to the Nuggets last time out and this team just is not playing well right now. Atlanta has covered in five of the last eight meetings in this series. They have been a covering machine as of late as they have covered in four straight games and in six of their last seven. This team is playing hard almost every night and we have no doubt they will be amped to have the Pistons in town tonight and Detroit might be more focused on a tougher opponent in the Pacers, who they travel to play on the road tomorrow night. |
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12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Suns offense has stunk lately and they have averaged 97 PPG in their last three. Losing their best player, Devin Booker, has really hurt this team’s offense and we don’t see them doing anything tonight against a pretty good Toronto defense. The Suns come in on a back-to-back and they scored only 92 at the Kings last night and throw in the fatigue factor and they might not get to the century mark again tonight. This is the third game in four nights for Toronto and the last of their four-game road trip and we could see another flat performance like we did last time out when they scored only 91 in LA (Clippers). |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons -6 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Pistons have lost six straight, but they had probably the toughest schedule anyone could possibly play during that stretch. They played well enough to win in at least half of those games. This is the weakest team they have played during this stretch and we think they go all out to get back on the winning track tonight. Detroit won and covered both games last season and this Pistons team is a better club this year. Both wins were by 10+ points. They have covered in 10 of the last 14 meetings between these teams in Detroit. The Pistons are still one of the best ATS teams in the league and we think they flex their muscles tonight against an inferior opponent. |
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12-11-17 | Raptors -5 v. Clippers | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The Clippers D has been terrible recently and they have allowed 112+ in five of their last six games and their best defensive performance during that stretch was giving up 108 in Dallas. That does not bode well tonight against a Toronto team that is in mid-season form offensively. Toronto has averaged 117 PPG in their last six and we don’t see any way the Clippers slow them down tonight. The Raptors have covered in six straight meetings in this series. |
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12-10-17 | Raptors -8 v. Kings | Top | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
The Raptors are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now having won nine of their last 11. They have covered in six of their last 10 but they had a couple recent games where they just missed the cover. This team looks better than the Raptors squad that we saw the last couple years and this team could be a legit NBA Finals contender if other top clubs in the east can’t stay healthy. We think that this team will keep up their hot play today against an overmatched Sacramento squad. The Kings are at home but this start time does them no favors as it is a very early start California time and we think that plays to the Raptors advantage. This is the first game back home after a long road trip for the Kings and that can be a bad omen for a bad team like this as they often can’t keep their focus on the game when they have other life stuff to take care of. And the fact that they got a big win last time at New Orleans (in OT no less) might make this team feel like they have done their work for the weekend and that they won’t give full effort here. Toronto averages about 15 points more per game than do the Kings on offense and we just don’t think they can keep up with a Toronto team that looks really focused right now and is rounding into mid-season form. |
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12-09-17 | Magic v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
These teams played on Wednesday but in a strange scheduling quirk the Magic hosted Denver (while getting run out of the building) while the Hawks had the night off. That sets up a big revenge spot here as the Hawks lost in Orlando in overtime and now they are the rested team while Orlando comes in on a back-to-back after getting embarrassed on Friday. Atlanta is 6-2 ATS against their last eight opponents with a losing record and we think they are in a much better position for a big performance tonight than is Orlando. |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +6 | Top | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Detroit has lost four straight but three of those losses were very respectable and those were all on the road. Now they are back home where they are 8-2 on the season. This is the second meeting this season between these teams and the Pistons already won in the Bay Area in October as part of their 15-7-2 ATS record. Detroit is Top 3 ATS this season and this team seems to love the big matchups as they have beaten a lot of top teams this season. Golden State is a very good team even without Curry but they have had a pretty easy run of it on their current road trip and we expect this team to face a bit of adversity tonight. |
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12-07-17 | Rockets v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 112-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Utah is 11-4 ATS at home this season and they are undervalued again tonight. The Jazz are coming off a road loss at OKC but this team won six straight before that, with five coming on this same court. This team has one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA and this is a very good team this season even after losing Gordon Hayward. Houston has won seven straight but this team has had a real easy schedule lately. This is the toughest game they will have played in their last eight games. The Jazz have scored 110+ in five of their last seven games and this is an offense that can hang with the Rockets and keep up with their pace. We think both teams will get their points and we expect a close, high-scoring game here on the TNT nightcap. |
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12-06-17 | Pistons +4 v. Bucks | Top | 100-104 | Push | 0 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Detroit has lost three straight so they will be very keen on getting back on the winning track tonight. If you look at those losses, though, you will see that there was only one bad loss, and that was to the Wizards in a game that they did not play well. The next night they were on a back-to-back in Philly and they led entering the fourth quarter but ran out of gas late. Then they led the Spurs almost all game and San Antonio hit some nice shots late to score a three-point win even though the Pistons covered. Now Detroit is on the last leg of their 4-game road trip which makes this game even more important as if they win here tonight they will come out of this trip without many worries but if they lose all four of their games then this was just a disastrous road trip. We think they give max effort here. We expect a real close game here and we had this spread closer to pick’em. Milwaukee has won four of six but if you look at their schedule they needed OT to get by Phoenix then they won a home and away against Sacramento. Those are two of the five worst teams in the NBA. And they also won at Portland, which is their only recent quality win. Detroit has covered the last three in this series and the games have all been pretty competitive. We see this as a game that will be close again but we think the Pistons have the more complete team right now and they will be extra motivated in this game. We think that they pull out a close one tonight on the road. |
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12-05-17 | Wizards +6 v. Blazers | Top | 106-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
We always like to take a team that is coming off an embarrassing loss because these players are pros and they will give a much better effort the next time out. The Wizards were on the wrong end of one of the biggest blowouts of the season as they lost last night by 47 points in Utah. That came after playing almost a perfect game at home in their own blowout win over Detroit even with John Wall sidelined. They are going to give a much better effort here and we are sure of that. Portland has lost two straight, both at home, and this team is just 7-6 at home this season and that is just one more win than the Wizards have on the road. And while we think revenge is mostly an overrated handicapping philosophy we do think it comes into play and the Blazers won in Washington last week and we think that maybe last night in Utah that they were looking ahead to this matchup. We also expect a low-scoring game, which makes the points for the underdog all the more valuable. |
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12-04-17 | Pistons +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 93-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Detroit is one of the best ATS teams in the league at 14-7-1 on the season and even though they have lost two straight we think they will be primed for a big bounce-back performance here. Detroit is 5-2 ATS on the road against winning teams. They have some big wins this season on the road as they beat OKC, Boston and Golden State already this season. We think that not only will they be primed to end this two-game slide but they want to put another feather in their collective cap by beating a top team on the road. We think the Pistons are absolutely legit this season and since this team doesn’t have big stars and is not a team with recent success that they will hold their betting value despite some major ATS success already this season. |
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12-02-17 | Pistons +5 v. 76ers | Top | 103-108 | Push | 0 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
We were on the Pistons last night and they put forth an embarrassing performance but we think that we will see a much better effort from them here on Saturday. Last night they were beaten in almost every aspect by a Wizards team that was missing John Wall but they just took the night off there and this team is much better than that. This team has been one of the Top 3 clubs in the Eastern Conference and they are one of the best ATS teams on the season. We really like them getting this many points against a team that while improved is still a work in progress and we think that the Pistons are the more complete ballclub right now. Plus Detroit has revenge as they lost to Philly as one of their seven losses on the season (in October). |
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12-01-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 192 | Top | 95-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
The Spurs are just 10-10-1 ATS this season and this team is not playing championship-caliber basketball at the moment. Leonard is out and this team has struggled to meet expectations with their star out. San Antonio is 4-5 on the road this season SU and 2-7 ATS. This is the second game of a home-and-home as these teams played in San Antonio on Wednesday with the Spurs capturing a nine-point win. But it’s hard for the same team to win the second game in these situations, especially when the second game is a road contest. The Grizzlies have dropped nine straight so they will be very desperate for a win, and we think with the last meeting being just a couple days ago that familiarity will give them a chance to succeed here. We think they will get the job done via defense. The Grizzlies can’t score much but they can play defense when motivated, and we think that will be the case tonight. The Spurs, of course, always play strong D and we think both teams will grind it out in this game. And a low-scoring game makes the underdog more attractive. Memphis has covered four of the last five meetings in this series at home. |
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11-30-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 200 | Top | 126-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
The Clippers are in real trouble. Now that Blake Griffin is out a couple months with an ankle injury they are now down another starter after two other starters are out injured. Griffin was basically carrying the team up to this point and they don't have a lot to get excited about now that he is out of the lineup. DeAndre Jordan is a nice complimentary piece but he's not the type of player that will put his team on his back and wins games by himself. This looked like a lost season even with Griffin in the lineup but now with him out two months or more this team might be looking at a high draft pick in the offseason. The Jazz have won four of five and they are starting to play very well despite some injuries. This team already had the Clippers number even with a complete roster (4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in LA) but we expect this one to be all Jazz on Thursday night. The Clippers are getting too much credit by the oddsmakers because of two nights rest and home court, but we think the Jazz are the clear play here. We also expect a low-scoring game here. |
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11-29-17 | Thunder -6 v. Magic | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We like to back good teams coming off a bad loss and the Thunder certainly fit the bill here as they were blown out in Dallas last time out after a one-point home loss to the Pistons. They have had three days off to lick their wounds and regroup and we think they will be focused and ready at Orlando tonight. Orlando has lost nine straight games and they have covered only one in their last six. The Magic are just 3-6 ATS when getting six or fewer points as a dog. This is a team we look to bet on when getting big points but this is too few points tonight against a Thunder team that will come in anxious for a big performance. |
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11-28-17 | Heat +5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
The Heat are very good on the road as they are 6-4 thus far this season, and that is the same record that the Cleveland Cavaliers have at home. The Cavs are on a big winning streak but this team is still overvalued nighty and we think that they are giving too many points tonight. They enter on a back-to-back after a big win against Philly last night. But Cleveland is just 1-11 ATS as a favorite of three or more points this season. We think that this will be a close game and that the underdog has a chance for the straight up win. |
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11-27-17 | Pistons v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
These are two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and two of the best betting teams as well. But we think the Celtics are on another level above Detroit and we think that they will be very motivated in this game tonight. Boston is 18-3 this season straight up. They are 17-3-1 ATS. That means that most often when they win that they win by enough to cover the number. And we expect that to be the case tonight. The big Celtics winning streak ended last Wednesday in Miami. You expect for a team to lose after that long winning streak to let down in the following games but the Celtics did not miss a beat and earned two blowout wins and covers in their next two games. The Pistons are coming off a big road win in OKC but they have lost three of their last five overall and they got blown out in Cleveland against a team that is not as good as this Celtics club this season. This is the start of a homestand for the Celtics and we think that they will want to get off to a strong start and flex their muscles a bit against one of their main contenders in the East. |
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11-26-17 | Nets v. Grizzlies -5 | Top | 98-88 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
The Grizzlies have not been playing well and have dropped seven straight. But they have had a pretty tough schedule overall and this should be a good “get right” game for them on Sunday night. Brooklyn is only 2-7 on the road this season and after playing tough against teams like Golden State and Cleveland lately we doubt they bring their A Game tonight against a lesser opponent. This line has been overadjusted but we expect Memphis to come out hungry here and we think that they win this one by 7+ points. |
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11-25-17 | Spurs -2 v. Hornets | Top | 106-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Spurs have not played well on the road this season but they have a great chance to start to turn that trend around here on Saturday night against a fatigued Hornets team. This Charlotte squad is coming in on a back-to-back after losing a one-point heartbreaker in Cleveland last night. They had Thanksgiving off but they played Wednesday night and went to OT in that game. That makes this a big letdown spot for a weary team. The Spurs have had two nights off to stew about their last game, a huge blowout loss in New Orleans. Because they were so bad that night we have a feeling this team will come out strong here and bring their A Game to try and put that bad loss in the rearview mirror. Nic Batum missed the game last night for the Hornets and he is questionable here and if he is out or not at 100% then that makes this Charlotte team much weaker as he is a key piece for this squad. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS as a small favorite this season (4.5 or fewer points) and we think that this is a great spot for them to bounce back against a tired team. |
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11-24-17 | Pistons +8 v. Thunder | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
This Detroit team is one of the most undervalued clubs in the NBA this season. They are 11-5-1 ATS on the year and we think they are getting too many points once again tonight. The Pistons have dropped three of four but they did not embarrass themselves in any game except the last one, a home blowout vs. Cleveland. That was their last game and that was on Monday so they have had plenty of time to relax and regroup and we think they will come into this matchup with something to prove. And since they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series that shows us that they normally bring their A Game against the Thunder. OKC is coming off their biggest win of the season in blowing out the Warriors at home. We think that makes this a letdown spot against an out-of-conference opponent. And that this one is coming right after the Thanksgiving holiday and two days after their win over Golden State makes this even more of a letdown spot. OKC has been pretty average this season overall. They are still a work in progress. We expect a real close game here and a Detroit straight up win would not be shocking. |
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11-22-17 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 197.5 | Top | 95-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
These teams have already met once this season and the total reached only 187. The oddsmakers should have adjusted this total down from that meeting instead of up. These are two of the five worst offenses in the entire league. They both average about 100 points per game. But the Grizzlies are No. 6 defensively for points allowed and No. 4 for defensive field goal percentage. We just don’t see the Mavericks doing anything on offense tonight. They have gone under in seven of their last nine games mostly because of an offense that can’t generate any points on a consistent basis. This team goes through long stretches of cold shooting. They have passed the century mark only once (in regulation) in their last five games and generally haven’t gotten anywhere close to the 100-point plateau in many of their games. We think that they will struggle tonight against such a strong defense. We think the total is the better way to go rather than the spread in this one because there is a good chance the Grizzlies offense will struggle as well. But we also think this one could be a blowout, and that would bode well for the under. |
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11-21-17 | Bulls +6 v. Lakers | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is too many points for a team like the Lakers to be laying against anyone. Even though the Lakers have stunk for the last couple years they can still be a public team, and as the lone game in the NBA on Tuesday against one of the dregs of the Eastern Conference we think that this line is inflated a bit. The Bulls have been pretty good when getting big points like this as they are 6-4 when getting six or more points. The Lakers have only laid a line in this big of a range once, a few nights ago vs. Phoenix, and they lost straight up as 7.5-point favorites. Chicago has covered five of the last seven meetings and we think that this is a very winnable game for a team that won’t collect many Ws on the season. |
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11-20-17 | Clippers -1 v. Knicks | Top | 85-107 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The Clippers are in their biggest slide in years as they have lost eight straight entering this game. But this is just a much better team than the Knicks despite the recent results and we have to be happy laying this small number here on Monday night. LA played pretty well at Cleveland the other night, losing in OT, and then they were awful in the back-to-back at Charlotte. But they had Sunday off to regroup and we think they will be very motivated to get back on the winning track here. They have a very favorable upcoming schedule and they can start to turn this thing around tonight. They should get P. Beverley back tonight and he will be a sparkplug on defense. LA is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in NY and 6-2 in the last eight meetings overall. |
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11-19-17 | Pistons +6 v. Wolves | Top | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
These teams have identical 10-5 records on the season but Detroit is 10-4-1 ATS while the Wolves are just 8-6-1. We think the Pistons have been undervalued by the oddsmakers and we think that is the case here tonight as we had this line at 4 with a strong lean to the road team at that number. Detroit has dominated this series the last couple years, winning and covering in five straight matchups. They have lost two straight coming into this one. The first was at Milwaukee, a very strong team in their own right. The second was at Indiana, and they blew a big lead in that one as the home team got momentum in the fourth quarter. We will forgive them for that slip up and back them here as they want to come away from this road trip with something to show for it and they will go all out for the win tonight. |
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11-18-17 | Celtics v. Hawks +7 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Atlanta has a lot better ATS record (7-7-1) than they do SU record (3-12) and that is what we look for in a home underdog against a “buzz” team like the Celtics that are on a massive winning streak and just beat the world champs last time out. Atlanta always plays tough in this series and they have actually covered in five of the last six meetings. This is the first game of a new road trip for Boston and after their big win over the Warriors this is probably a letdown spot for the road team. It seems like the bookies are begging the public to take the Celtics here and they are obliging but we expect a close, low-scoring game here and we think that the underdog is the only way to go in this matchup. |
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11-17-17 | Pistons +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 100-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This Pistons team is flying up our power rankings and we think this squad is legit. They are 10-4 SU this season and they have been a covering machine on the road. We think that they are in great shape for a big road win here on Friday night. These teams just played in Detroit recently and it was a very dominating performance by the Pistons, who won by 17. We think they could easily score a massive win here as the “revenge” angle is way overrated in NBA handicapping, especially for a team like Indiana that is one of the more lousy teams in the NBA this season. They are just trying to take the season game by game and if they have revenge on their minds then they are going to have a lot of enemies this season because they won’t win too many games. We think the Pistons are undervalued here on the road and we expect them to continue their strong play here on Friday. |
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11-16-17 | Warriors -7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Celtics enter having won 13 straight but we think they are running into a buzzsaw tonight. Golden State has won seven straight themselves and they are in midseason form right now. When this team is playing well they can cover any line thrown at them over any team. And when they are motivated they are very dangerous. And there is no doubt they will be motivated tonight as they have a chance to halt this Celtics winning streak. The fact that Boston has won two of the last three meetings will fuel the Warriors fire even more. This is just the much better team slat out and we expect a big performance from the road team. |
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11-15-17 | 76ers v. Lakers UNDER 221 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
The Lakers offense is definitely a work in progress but their defense has been excellent lately. In their last two games, both on the road, they held the Suns and Bucks under 100 points. They have a commitment to defense this season and it is starting to show in the stats. This season they are holding opponents to 105.9 points per game and 44.2 percent shooting from the field, which is a big improvement from last season. This has been a strong under team this season at 9-5 to the under and we think that this total is about five points too high tonight. This will be a high-scoring game but this looks like a very inflated number. Six of the last eight meetings in this series have gone under the posted total. And this is one of the highest totals during that span. The Lakers have gone under in four straight games and we think that trend continues tonight. |
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11-14-17 | Raptors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Houston has won six straight but they have played some pretty flawed teams during that stretch. Next to Cleveland this is the best team they have played during that stretch. We just think that this is too many points to give up to Toronto. The Raps haven’t been lined as this big of an underdog too much this season but they have covered every time they are getting decent points as they are 2-0 ATS when getting four or more. We see this as a very competitive game and we think that the Raptors are a very live underdog on Tuesday and they have a great chance to win this game outright, so getting this many points provides great betting value. |
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11-13-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers +1 | Top | 82-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
We think this is a real good spot for the Blazers tonight. Denver has been very good lately but they have played their last six games at home and it hasn’t always been against the best competition. Portland has been playing pretty mediocre basketball to start the season and they enter this matchup at 6-6. But they have played a lot of close games and we think they are playing better than that record might indicate. The Nuggets have played a very home-heavy schedule to start the season but they are just 2-3 SU on the road and 1-4 ATS this season. We think after losing two straight really close games that the Blazers will go all out for the win tonight. We had this game handicapped at Portland -4 with a strong lean to the home team at that number so to get them as a slight underdog is a gift here. We think these teams are about equal but we give the nod to Portland because of their great home-court advantage tonight. |
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11-11-17 | Magic v. Nuggets -8 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Orlando is on a back-to-back here and playing their third game in four nights. That is really tough to do in the high altitude of Denver. The Nuggets had the night off on Friday and they should be primed for a big performance here tonight. The Nuggets have won four of five and they are playing really well, with their only loss during this stretch coming against the Warriors. This is the last game of a six-game homestand and if they get the win here tonight that will make it an extremely successful homestand. Denver has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series and they are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings at home in this series. |
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11-10-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 94-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
With the last two games in this series being decided by a grand total of three points (and the Bucks covering in both games) you have to like Milwaukee here with the underdog points on Friday. The Bucks are off to a real slow start to the season but this is a stock to buy low as this team will be a force this season and it just seems to be a matter of time until they start cashing tickets on a regular basis and we expect that to start tonight. Both teams have had a couple nights off but the Bucks are even more well rested with a real light schedule lately and we think they will want to flex their muscle in this game not only to end a four-game losing streak but to test their mettle against one of the best teams in the west. |
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11-09-17 | Thunder -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
OKC has won and covered four of the last five meetings in this series. The Nuggets have been playing real well lately but their record is somewhat Fool’s Gold as they have run into some of the worst of the worst in the NBA this season. OKC has had a shaky start to the season and they have lost three straight. But we just think that there is some nice value here as if this game were at the start of the season the Thunder would probably be 4 or 5 point favorites here and we think that is a more solid number than this short one posted by the bookies. We think the road team gets back on the winning track here in the TNT nightcap. |
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11-08-17 | Knicks v. Magic UNDER 219 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
We see this as a low scoring game and we think the underdog covers in this one. Orlando is banged up right now, especially in the backcourt, and they scored only 83 and 88 in their last two games, respectively. We don’t see them getting back on the offensive track until they get healthy again. They have now gone under in four straight games and in five of their last six. The Knicks are coming in on a back-to-back and this is their third game in four nights. We don’t see them putting a massive number on the scoreboard tonight although we do think they can do enough offensively to cover this line. New York is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 in Orlando. This should be an ugly game but it doesn’t matter as we expect to cash both tickets here. |
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11-07-17 | Clippers +4 v. Spurs | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
While the Clippers have had zero success lately against the Warriors they have fared much better against the other Western Conference top power, the Spurs. They have won and covered in four of the last six matchups. And who can forget that awesome playoff series a few years ago where the Clips won in Game 7. After a hot start the Clippers have lost four of five. But this is a better team than that recent record. They are embarking on a long road trip and this is the first game and we think they will bring their A Game tonight to start the trip off on the right foot against a team they have had a lot of success against recently. The Spurs are banged up right now and this team is more vulnerable than ever. |
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11-07-17 | Bucks +5 v. Cavs | Top | 119-124 | Push | 0 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Both of these teams have had slow starts to the season but the Cavs are normally overvalued by the oddsmakers and this team is a very poor 2-8 ATS this season. We think they are overvalued in this spot as well. The Bucks will want to play their best here and you get the feeling that this is just another game for Cleveland. These teams already played this season and the Cavs blew the Bucks out and that loss is probably still fresh on their minds. We expect a much better performance from the road team here in this matchup. Milwaukee is well rested here with three nights off and with that extra time we think they will be primed to end the losing streak here and even if they don’t we expect a close game here. |
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11-06-17 | Celtics v. Hawks +8.5 | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta always seems to get pumped for this matchup and they have won and covered four of the last five meetings. The Celtics are playing great basketball right now and they have won and covered eight straight. But with that success comes inflated lines and this one sure looks inflated tonight. The Hawks are not very good this year but we expect this Atlanta team to be a plucky underdog in spots this year, especially at home. They haven’t yet won a home game this season and that won’t continue long and we think they give extra effort tonight in order to try and secure that first win against a team that has become a bit overrated by oddsmakers. We might throw a few bucks on the moneyline here but we think this many points is too good to pass up. |
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11-05-17 | Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 110-137 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Utah has a strong history in this series recently as they have covered three of the last four meetings, winning in all three of those games. The Jazz have been playing great basketball to start the season but they hit a roadblock last time out against the Raptors for their first home loss. They have yet to win on the road but two of those games were really tough matchups and they had that one loss against Phoenix that was just a head scratcher. But we think they will bring their A Game in hopes to get that elusive first road win and show the league that they aren’t only a good home team. Utah has been really good against the number this season at 6-3 ATS and we think that they are undervalued again here. Both of these teams have trended to the under this season but we think the oddsmakers have overadjusted the number here and it seems there is nice value on the over. |
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11-04-17 | Warriors v. Nuggets +8.5 | Top | 127-108 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
Denver is coming in on a back-to-back but they always play the Warriors tough and we expect the same on Saturday night. In fact, Denver won the last meeting, by 22 points, the last time these teams met in this building. They have covered the last two meetings and in seven of the last nine overall. The Warriors looked real good in their last two games in blowing out the Clippers and the Spurs, both on the road. But those are two of Golden State’s biggest rivals and we think they were pretty amped up for those games. But overall they are slogging through the first couple weeks of the season and they are just 3-6 ATS as they have not been bringing a championship effort every night. And teams are giving their best against them in just about every matchup. We think that will be the case here for Denver on Saturday night. |
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11-03-17 | Hornets v. Spurs -4 | Top | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
The Spurs have lost four straight, but three of those were on the road and last night they lost to a motivated Golden State team that is one of the best squads of all time. This Spurs team just does not lose multiple games that often and they want to end the losing streak tonight at home. Sometimes on back-to-backs Gregg Popovich may rest players. But they are already shorthanded with Leonard out and we think they give full effort tonight. We have taken the Hornets sparingly this season but for us mostly this is a team to fade until Nic Batum comes back as he is one of their key cogs. The Hornets have not beat the Spurs since 2016, losing 10 straight in the series. The Hornets have played well, but they have had a relatively easy schedule and it has been home-heavy as well. We think that the Spurs are being punished too much by the oddsmakers here for the back-to-back but I can’t see a team that will be more motivated to get a win here on Friday night. |
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11-02-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Spurs | Top | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Warriors have struggled to start the season. They are just 2-6 ATS through eight games. But their Monday win at LA Clippers showed that all they have to do is flip a switch and they can be back in championship form. They wanted that win badly against the Clippers and we think that they will be similarly motivated for this contest against the Spurs, arguably the second-best team in the west. The Spurs have started slow as well and they are banged up right now. We don’t think they will be able to have much success against a healthy and motivated Warriors team. Golden State might be a team to fade early season against sub-par opponents or laying big numbers. But with this game on the road and considering the quality of the opponent we think the price is right here and there is a good chance that this game will be a blowout. |
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11-01-17 | Suns v. Wizards -12.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
The Suns have won three of four since their coaching chance but they face a much tougher test tonight against one of the best teams in the east. This Phoenix team is coming in on a back-to-back after a win last night in Brooklyn where they expended a lot of energy. Washington has had a couple nights off and they will be anxious for a big win here after coming back from a west coast swing where things didn’t go as well as they would have hoped. The Wizards have covered in three of four games and we think they are rested and poised for a massive blowout win tonight against a fatigued Suns squad that is in over their heads. |
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10-31-17 | Kings +5 v. Pacers | Top | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The Pacers have been decent to start the season but there’s no way this team should be favored by this many points against any team in the league. The Kings have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four but the oddsmakers have overadjusted here. The Kings have had a very tough schedule to open the season but this is a real winnable game for them so we expect them to go all out. Their tough schedule up to this point will help them as they face this weaker opponent. Indiana is coming off a win against the Spurs and they play at Cleveland tomorrow so this is more of a meaningless game for them and we expect the effort to be with the road team here. |
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10-30-17 | Magic +8 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Orlando is playing very well to start off the season and we think that this line is too steep. The Magic are averaging a full seven points more on offense than the Pelicans and their defensive points per game allowed is very similar to that of New Orleans. We think that this will be a close game and we think that this is a live underdog tonight. New Orleans just came off a big win at home against Cleveland and they have a tough game vs. Minnesota coming up next so we think they may look past this Magic team tonight. This Orlando team looks like a real scrappy ballclub that will cover some big lines this season as expectations are low and they have been playing beyond them so far this season. |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets -4 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Charlotte has completely dominated this series, going 5-0 SU and ATS during the last five meetings. We think this line is short once again on Sunday. Both teams are coming in off a different side of a blowout as the Hornets lost big to Houston while the Magic upset the Spurs. That is why we are getting a nice line tonight but this is a whole new game and the Hornets are the better ballclub here. The Magic have had a nice start to the season for sure but we think that they will come back to reality tonight against a team they have not had much success against. Both teams have been playing pretty strong defense (Charlotte allowing less than 100 per game and both teams allowing around 42% shooting from the field). We think this will be a low-scoring game and the Hornets pull away in the fourth. |
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10-28-17 | Pistons +8 v. Clippers | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
The Pistons have been inconsistent and the LA Clippers are one of the last undefeated teams left in the NBA, but we have to say that this line is inflated here on Saturday night. This is a sandwich game for the Clippers. They are coming off a big game at Portland where Blake Griffin sank a buzzer-beating three at the buzzer for a one-point win, and then they play their arch enemy, Golden State, on Monday. There is a very good chance that they will overlook this Eastern Conference opponent tonight. And even if they play their best, the Pistons are not a pushover. They are coming off a 20+-point win over Minnesota and will be coming into Staples Center with a lot of confidence. We might throw a buck or two on the moneyline as well, but we think these points are too many to pass up. |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 232 | Top | 120-129 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 17 m | Show |
Both teams wowed on offense in Game 4 and the Cavs probably played their best game of the season on the offensive end. We just don’t think that will happen again and we think the Warriors make some adjustments on the defensive end to make sure nothing like that happens. We are getting the highest total of the series here by a bunch, and we think it’s time to strike for the under for our big play for Monday. The Warriors are one of the best defensive teams in the league even though their numbers don’t show it because they play at such a fast pace. But this team is pissed about how Game 4 went down and we expect them to lock down more on defense. It’s a good choice to think the Cavs will probably cool off big time compared to Game 4 now that they are here on the road. We said before our Game 4 pick on Cleveland that we thought they would give one last gasp and that the Warriors might take their foot off the gas a bit and we think that’s just what happened but now we have an extra motivated Warriors team here that will take care of business and we think that Cleveland will struggle to put up enough points to get this one over the enormous total. |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
We have been on Golden State for all three games of these NBA Finals but the odds have finally risen to where the Cavs have some betting value. They had Game 3 all but won but you have to be up by 10+ with even a minute left against this team as they can get hot in a hurry and the Cavs missed some key shots that sunk them. Game 3 is so crucial in a 7-game series and the Warriors got the win and now this series is all but over. We think they may take their foot off the gas just a bit tonight and the Cavs are a prideful team and we expect to see the best game from them and we think that this will be another close game just like Game 3 and we could see the Cavs winning this one but think it could go either way. Golden State had all the betting value through three games but now the line indicates the Cavs have value in our opinion. We have released a totals play for every game in this series but had to stay away tonight as the number has risen just too much and we just can’t play the under with the way the Warriors offense has been dominating. However, we do think that the Cavs might make a big defensive stand here and even the Warriors have a bad game offensively where they have cold spells from the field. With the series basically wrapped up for all intents and purposes maybe the Warriors aren’t completely in the zone and there is always that thought in the back of their minds that they could go home and win it in front of the home fans in Game 5. |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 226.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Cleveland didn’t play too well offensively in the two games in Golden State but Game 2 still soared over the posted total by nearly 25 points. The bookies posted a higher number here for Game 3 but we still think it’s not high enough. Cleveland will probably do better on offense and pace will be a big part of that but we don’t think there is anything they can do to stop the Golden State offense. They are playing probably their best basketball of their golden era right now and are one of if not THE best team of all time. Their offense is pretty much unstoppable right now. If Gregg Popovich of the Spurs, in our opinion the best coach in any sport, could not do anything to stop this offense then that means Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue is in way over his head. Golden State is even more dangerous when they are motivated. They haven’t lost in the playoffs yet and we get the feeling that finishing off the playoffs with an unblemished record is a big priority for this team just like the regular-season wins record was last season. This team is a collection of massive egos. While big ego is a negative thing in everyday life it’s a great thing in sports because when you are putting your money behind a team like this you can expect the best results on a nightly basis and we just don’t see the Cavs putting up enough of a fight here and we don’t think they have the defensive chops to slow Golden State down as no one has been able to lately. |
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06-04-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
We were on Golden State in Game 1 and we had a great feeling that they would come out strong to start the series. We don’t see them letting up here in Game 2 and we think that this series is much more of a mismatch as it might seem to most. Cleveland is a very good team that plays in a weak conference but Golden State is a great team that plays in one of the tougher conferences in the history of the league in the current Western Conference. Many people like to use the zig zag theory when it comes to handicapping the NBA Finals and we know Cleveland will be a popular bet on Sunday but we think that Cleveland was very lucky to win last year and they ran into a Warriors team that had simply run out of gas. We thought the bookies may have posted a Game 2 line to make the Warriors more attractive to bettors looking to play the zig zag but they made the line even higher for Golden State but we don’t think it will matter as we think this one will be a double-digit winner. We also like the pace that these teams played at on Thursday and we think the rust is off now and that the scoring will be up from Game 1. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
We think these are some very weak numbers for Game 1 of the NBA Finals. We think Golden State is much better than a favorite of this number as they have revenge for losing last year and also lots of time off to prepare. Yes, this team lost this series last season but they did things all wrong in the regular season by chasing the season wins record and they just ran out of gas with a big advantage in the Finals and let the Cavs come back and win it. They didn’t make the same mistake this season. They did things right and they took it easy more in the regular season and some people were even wondering if this team was as good as last season. They are every bit as good and even better. Cleveland rolled through the playoffs but the east was very weak and they didn’t face the same type of competition as Golden State did. But the Warriors have been in Championship Mode since the stretch run of the regular season and this team is playing as good as they ever have right now. This is one of the best teams in NBA history and Cleveland doesn’t fall into that category as far as we are concerned. They will play with a chip on their collective shoulders in this series and that is when this team is the most dangerous. We think both teams will get their points here but we don’t think the Cavs will be able to keep up for four quarters and we think there’s a great chance that this one winds up in the 230s or above. |
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05-25-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
We had the Cavs in Game 4 and they probably would have covered if there had been one more minute in the game. They could have went for a shot to push or cover but they just dribbled the shot clock out. But we have a more manageable line here for Game 5 and we aren’t worried about the lack of home-court advantage because the Cavs won in blowouts in both games in Boston. The Cavs know that the Warriors are resting right now and they don’t want to leave anything to chance here to let Boston come back like they did in Game 3 and we think that this one will be all Cleveland for four quarters. Boston is still a piece or two away from really being a contender for the NBA Championship and the Cavs have that type of team right now and we are confident this will be a double-digit blowout. |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -14.5 | Top | 99-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
The Cavs got a double-whammy of urgency after both losing Game 3 at home to Boston and also with the Warriors finishing their series against San Antonio in a sweep. Now Golden State is resting until this series is over and the NBA Finals start so it’s urgent for the Cavs to finish this one off and put the Celtics to bed. We don’t like laying this many points typically but we think the Cavs are the only way to go here. Boston had their moment of glory in Game 3 but we think this one will be all Cleveland from here on out. The Cavs were up by as many as 21 in Game 3 but they took their foot off the gas and the Celtics played just about the best they can with the current roster and won the game on a buzzer-beater. We see Cleveland playing more of a complete game here and if they are as motivated as we think they will be tonight they should have no problem covering this large number. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +12.5 | Top | 129-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
We had the Celtics in the east in Game 3 and they won straight up as massive underdogs and now we think that this game will follow a similar script here in the west. Golden State and Cleveland seem very competitive between each other already and we are not even to the NBA Finals. Once one team reaches an achievement then the other team tries to outdo them. And now that the Cavs lost Game 3 we think the Warriors might let up a little bit here. This is the most value-packed line for the Spurs all series and we think they are getting too many points. Kawhi Leonard is doubtful here but the Celtics showed that a proud team can rise up without its best player and we think the Spurs will play with a lot of pride here tonight. We were on the Warriors in every game this series but we think the value has switched over to the other side. The crowd will be crazy here and we have a feeling Popovich has something up his sleeve tonight to get the best out of his team. Not sure the Spurs can win this one straight out as the Warriors are just too good, but we do think the Spurs can keep this one within double digits and this team just won’t roll over tonight. |
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05-21-17 | Celtics +17.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
We liked the opening line in this game and we expected Thomas to be out and now that he has been ruled out for the playoffs this number has jumped even higher and we just think this is a bit of a ridiculous number. We love to back a team that was humiliated in their last game and we think the Celtics will play with a lot of pride tonight. This team has never been about one guy. This squad has played some of the best team basketball in the NBA this season and this is a prideful bunch and we think that they will go all out on the defensive end tonight and keep this game close. We think the Cavs will settle down a bit and they won’t play with the same hunger that they did last time out. The Celtics had one of the worst games in franchise history last game and we just think they will really step up tonight and the Cavs will not get as many easy baskets as they have for the first couple games of the series. When we look at his line we have to say this is not the Phoenix Suns this is the Boston Celtics and they are getting way too many points tonight. This one could be a blowout and we can still cover. |
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05-20-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
We don’t think the extra days off or change in venue are going to help the Spurs too much in this Game 3 tonight. Of course the big story here is that Kawhi Leonard is questionable. We don’t think it will make a difference if he plays or not in this one. This is an injury that would probably keep him out significantly in the regular season so if they throw him in there it might so more harm than good, especially since the Warriors will play at a very high pace and the Spurs rely on Leonard for a lot of their defensive efforts. Playing on a bum ankle will probably hurt the team more than help on the defensive end. If he doesn’t play then their offense is really in trouble as they have to keep up with the best offense in the game. The NBA’s two best teams seem on a collision course for the NBA Finals and there is nothing that is going to stand in their way. Both teams want to end these series early in order to get the most rest possible before the NBA Finals. Golden State saw what Cleveland did to Boston last night and they will now want to one-up the Cavs. These teams really want to pound their opponents and they won’t let up at the end of the game. We really thought that this line should be closer to 9 and we would still like the Warriors at that number and we think they will win by double digits again. The Spurs would be outmatched even at full strength but with two starters likely out (Tony Parker and Leonard) the Spurs are at even more of a disadvantage and they really look like they don’t believe they have any chance in this series. And they are right. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs -5 v. Celtics | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is what we took for Game 1 but we think both of these plays will cash tonight just like they did for the first game in this ECF matchup. Boston got off to a real slow start in Game 1 and shot terribly from the floor. That should improve tonight and we think they will play more of a complete game so we won’t have to sweat out this total until the end. Even with Boston unable to make many shots in the first half of Game 1 this one still got over the posted total. It’s doubtful to think that they will go that cold again. And we just don’t think that the Celtics can match the Cavs on the court and Cleveland can easily score 120+ in this game. They have been simply dominant in this playoffs and we think they want to sweep this series really bad and they have a chance with a win tonight. Boston let the Wizards hang around too long and now they are at a severe disadvantage in this series after playing in Game 7 while the Cavs had plenty of time to rest. |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 219.5 | Top | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
These teams averaged almost 225 points in four regular-season meetings. The first meeting this season made it all the way to 250. Both teams are playing really well on offense right now. Cleveland scored 109 or more in all four of their games in their sweep of Toronto. We don’t think they will be rusty because after a long layoff last series they came right out and scored 116 against the Raptors so they were able to pick up right where they left off. Boston has averaged 124 points in their last four home games on offense, and although we don’t think they can keep up with this fresh Cavs team we do think they will be able to score their fair share of points to get this one over the posted number. We think both teams will run a lot here and there’s a great chance that this one will wind up above 220. It could go well above that number as long as the Celtics avoid any lengthy cold shooting streaks. |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | Top | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Game 1 went over the total easily and that was with the Warriors really rusty in the first half. They came to life in the second half and got back into playoff form and we think that will continue here. The Spurs are a team we liked a lot during the regular season. But this team just does not compare to the Warriors, probably one of the best teams of all time, even at full strength. But they are not anywhere near full strength tonight missing Parker and likely Leonard as well. The Spurs have shown in these playoffs they can score without Leonard and we think they will be able to score enough to make up their share to get this one over the posted number but we expect the Warriors to continue where they left off as they scored 71 in the second half of Game 1 and we just think this is a mismatch with the banged-up Spurs and a motivated Warriors team tonight. |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -5 | Top | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Boston has averaged 125 points in their three home games in this series and we think they will play well on offense tonight after a lousy effort on that front in Game 6. You get the feeling that Washington gave everything they had in Game 6 to win it at the end, and the Celtics were robbed of an extra second on the clock that could have given them more time for the game-winning shot at the end of the game. We always said we thought that this series would go to Game 7 and now we are here. But we think that the Celtics will win this one big. They have covered in all three home games in this series and they have covered in five of the last seven meetings overall. This has been a good series but the better team will advance tonight. |
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