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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-23-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz OVER 215 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Both teams have been trending to the over. Ten of the last 11 games for Denver have gone over the posted total. Seven of the last nine games for Utah have gone over. Utah’s offense really played well last time out as they scored 124 in a blowout win. We expect the momentum from that offensive explosion to carry over into this one tonight. This is a crucial game for the Nuggets, and we expect them to be much more competitive, and we don’t see the Utah defense shutting them down twice in a row. They scored 124 in Game 2, just as Utah did in Game 3, and we think both teams will get their points here in this one tonight. One game already went to OT in this series, and this one looks to be close as well, so OT is always a possibility, which is great for over bettors like us. But we don’t think they will need the extra five minutes here as we think this one will get over 220 at the end of regulation. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
We are confident this series is not over, and although we think the Rockets will advance, we think the Thunder will make some noise, and this is a must win game for them tonight. The Rockets are a pretty inconsistent team and we just don’t see them playing in top form again here tonight, and the Thunder have been one of the safest ATS bets all season. This team doesn’t give up, and they will be confident going into this game and they have the belief they can win the series. We expect to see the best game we have seen thus far from them tonight in this series and expect them to score the straight up win. |
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08-21-20 | Clippers -4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Since the restart, the Clippers have bounce back well after every loss. In fact, they came back every time with a double-digit win. They are 8-1 ATS after getting beat by double digits. That is the sign of a very good team, and we think they will bounce back well here. That Game 2 win by Dallas was their first of the year against the Clippers. Los Angeles didn’t play well, and Dallas played a great game. But we expect a more well rounded effort tonight. The Clippers are in real trouble if they lose here, as Game 3 is one of the most crucial in a seven-game series. The Clippers don’t often play two bad games in a row, and Doc Rivers will make the needed adjustments for a big win tonight. |
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08-20-20 | Thunder +2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
We think this line looks pretty fishy like the bookies are begging for Rockets money here. The Thunder got thrashed in Game 1, and yet the odds stayed the same for Game 2 when you would normally expect an adjustment. We like to be on the side of the bookies, and we think the Thunder are the clear play here today. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after a beatdown of double-digits, and we think they will bounce back well once again here and even this series up today. Houston is shorthanded without Westbrook and the Thunder have been a great bet all season as one of the best ATS teams in the NBA. Houston has been erratic this season; they can look great one game and lousy the next. They rely too much on certain players, and with Westbrook out, that hurts if a couple other guys go cold. The Thunder just seem like a steady team that plays strong team basketball and we think they will bounce back well once again today. |
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08-18-20 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
These are two Top 10 defenses. We feel this will be a lower scoring series than some of the others we have seen. These players are fresh with some extra time off before tip off, and we think these teams will be tentative and take some time to figure each other out. This also looks like one of the more hotly contested series in the first round, and the defenses could really tighten up down the stretch if the game is close in the fourth quarter. We could see a scenario where almost every trip down the court is met with lock-down defense. The last two meetings both went under, with one team in both games scoring only 92 points. The playoffs are a different animal than the regular season, and defense is normally stronger. We could see that being the case here in this Game 1 matchup. We had this total handicapped a tad under 210, so we think there is great value here in the under! |
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08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
The Clippers, more than almost any team in the league, didn’t care about the regular season. They had injuries, and they didn’t get too much time with a full roster to do their thing on the court. They didn’t care about wins and losses, but they wanted to be healthy and have chemistry by the time the postseason arrived. Well, now is that time. While they aren’t 100% heathy, they will start the postseason with a very strong roster, and we think they will raise their game to another level here in the postseason. For our money, this is the best team in the Western Conference. And we expect to see the best version of this team show up in the playoffs. Dallas is putting together something special, bur they are still a year or two and a couple players away from being a true championship contender. We think they are in deep in this series. They have lost four straight meetings, and they failed to cover in any of those games. The Clippers have great chemistry and talent, and we think they will want to make a statement here in Game 1. |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
This is a very unique situation with the play-in game. If Portland wins today, they will advance to play the Lakers in the first round. If they lose, these teams will square off again, with the winner advancing. The Blazers played better than the Grizzlies during the restart. But none of that matters now, as it just comes down to this weekend. The Blazers have been getting a lot of hype lately, but we think these teams are pretty even, so the points here are very attractive. These teams met in the first game of the restart, and Portland won in OT. Portland covered that game, but Memphis had covered five of the previous seven meetings. And remember, Portland almost didn’t even make it here as they needed a last-second missed shot by Brooklyn on Thursday or they would be on their way home now. Not only do we think these teams are evenly matched, but Memphis has the motivation in this one. One loss and they are out. They will have to bring their A Game, while the Blazers have a mulligan if they lose here. We think the Grizzlies have a great chance to win outright here, but we will take the points as we expect a close game regardless. |
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08-14-20 | Thunder +6 v. Clippers | Top | 103-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
This is a meaningless game and a playoff tuneup for the role players on both teams. The LA Clippers stars might see a little playing time but not much. These teams kind of had a clear identity this season that we think we can apply to handicapping this meaningless game. The Clippers never really cared about the regular season. It was just to get them ready for the postseason. But OKC played hard and with determination and team basketball all the way through and wound up as one of the best ATS betting teams in the league this season. We think OKC is the team more likely to want to finish out this thing on a positive note, while the Clippers are most likely 100% focused on their matchup against Dallas on Monday. |
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08-13-20 | Blazers v. Nets +10 | Top | 134-133 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Sometimes you have to go against the grain in NBA handicapping. And that is what we are doing here tonight. Portland is the ultimate public play here. They are locked in a big fight for the playoffs and they have been getting lots of positive press for Damian Lillard’s otherworldly performances on the court. However, the bookies know that zero public bettors will be taking a chance on Brooklyn here. They have inflated this line quite a bit as a result. First off, depending on the earlier games, the Blazers might not even need this game. They could know their fate by tip off already, and that wouldn’t give them much incentive to play key players, especially with the injury woes this team has faced this season. Brooklyn has shown they are no pushover. They have gone 5-2 in the Bubble when most thought they wouldn’t win a game. They beat the Clippers and Bucks. This team has seemed to relish in the role of spoiler, and they have no motivation to relax here in this game as they need to keep the momentum going into the postseason. We think they will keep things close if Portland plays at full strength, and they have a chance to win if Portland rests main players. There is also reverse line movement on this one as the number has dropped despite a big percentage of bettors on the favorite. That’s always a good sign for the underdog! |
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08-12-20 | Clippers -4 v. Nuggets | Top | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Both teams will be missing some key players. We really like the Clippers to bounce back here, however, after their loss last time out to Brooklyn, one of the worst rosters that was brought into the bubble during this NBA restart. This was the third loss during the restart for the Clips, and both times they rebounded for double-digit wins against their next opponent. We expect them to be motivated tonight. The Denver defense has given up 124 or more in their last four games (one OT contest). We just think a motivated Clippers club will be able to achieve their offensive goals here tonight in the bubble. The Clippers won by nearly 30 when these teams last met up. And we think they match up extremely well here tonight. |
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08-11-20 | Celtics -3 v. Grizzlies | Top | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Pretty much year after year Boston is Top 10 in ATS results. That’s a sign of good coaching. And they are 40-26-4 ATS this season. They are a safe bet more times than not. And we think they are getting shorted by the oddsmakers again tonight. Memphis was a team a lot of people had high hopes for in the Bubble, but they have been a major disappointment up until now. They are 1-5 both SU and ATS. They haven’t been able to get any continuity going on offense. And Boston has scored 120+ in four of their last five games. We just don’t think the Grizzlies can keep up tonight on the scoreboard. |
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08-10-20 | Thunder +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
The Suns have been the big story of the restart, and this team is getting a lot of press lately. We think that has caused an inflated line here. The Thunder always find a way to keep the game close. They are one of the best ATS teams in the NBA this season. They are a little shorthanded and come in on a back-to-back, but we don’t think those factors warrant this big of a number. Like we stated, OKC always seems to find a way to get the job done. Not to mention that they have covered five in a row in this series. |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
The Grizzlies had lost the first four games of the restart, but we think they figured out some things recently, and their huge blowout win vs. OKC was big for this team last time out. Toronto is on the other side of the fence as they had won every game before getting blown out last time vs. Boston. We think this line is a product of how these teams have played so far over how they match up, and we see this one as being a very competitive game. Sharp bettors sapped some of the early value out of this one as it opened at 8, but we still think this number is a tad inflated. |
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Denver has won and covered in the last two meetings, and we think they make in three in a row today. Utah is 2-3 in the bubble and they have not been able to string together a full game of solid play too often. They are on a back-to-back here after losing to a Spurs team that isn’t in the same tier as these Nuggets. Denver was off, and we think that gives them a big edge here as these players still aren’t conditioned as they would normally be at this point of the season with all the time off. We thought this line was a bit short and think there is nice value here with the small favorite. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics +2 v. Raptors | Top | 122-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
We had the Celtics as a slight favorite in this one and despite the records we think they are a bit better team than the Raptors. Boston has been one of the best betting teams in the league for the last few years. They have some of the best coaching in the league and a lot of talent. They normally get up for the big games, and we think they will be focused and take control here Friday night. Their offense exploded last time out with a huge performance, and we think that carries over in this marquee matchup. |
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08-03-20 | Lakers v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
We are getting used to these slow starts from Utah. They are winless in the restart thus far and haven’t played to near their potential. But we think they will be ultra motivated to get that win tonight. Their place in the postseason is secure, but they need some momentum heading into the postseason, and a win here would erase the two losses that proceeded it on a mental level. The Lakers are all but guaranteed the No. 1 seed and this finish to the regular season is meant only as practice time for the playoffs. We just don’t see them being that motivated for wins now, while Utah really needs this game more. And the Lakers are always a public team that gets shaded odds from the bookies, and that is even more so with the restart as bettors have been starved for action and are very active (the Lakers/Clippers game on opening night of restart was by far the biggest bet NBA game of the season). We expect a close game here and will gladly take the points on this inflated number. |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
This looks like a very public line to us. Philly is the more popular team here, but these teams have identical records. But bettors like Philly more, hence the big line here. Oladipo was active in the shootaround this morning and there are indications he could play tonight. He’s Indiana’s best player and would give the team a huge boost. But the main reason we like this pick is because the Sixers have been so bad away from home this season. In the friendly confines of their home arena they are 29-2. On the road they are 10-24 this season. These are some strange circumstances, but we just can’t trust the Sixers to be laying this many points against a comparable team when we haven’t seen if they can shake their funk of playing away from home. The Pacers are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings, and we think they could challenge for the outright win here. |
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07-31-20 | Magic -6.5 v. Nets | Top | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Of just about any team in the Bubble, Brooklyn seems like one that really doesn’t want to be there. They have tons of defections and injuries, and this team is a skeleton crew in Orlando. They are currently the No. 7 team, and Orlando is No. 8, so this is a great chance for the Magic to jump the Nets and avoid a first-round matchup with Milwaukee. That is plenty of motivation in this game. This isn’t a standard home game for the Magic with the Pandemic, but they should be more comfortable here in their home city. Orlando was playing well before the hiatus, and this team has a much more stable roster. We think the oddsmakers will adjust on Brooklyn and they will be almost double-digit favorites in most of the games they play. We thought this line should be double digits, and there is some nice value here. |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
All the motivation lies with the Pelicans here as they need to win to punch their playoff ticket. This team has a lot of talent and they are a good bet to make the postseason. But they have no time to wait to ease into this bizarre bubble situation. They have to win. Utah is in and they can spend their 8 games left in the regular season getting prepared for the postseason. Zion is a gametime call today. The odds will change whether he plays or not. But lock in at this number as this is a solid one even without the rookie. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers +1 v. Rockets | Top | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Both teams are playing well but the Clippers are healthy and they are the superior team when both teams are at full strength. They have had some problems with the Rockets this season, so they will want to put their best foot forward tonight. The Clippers are streaking right now and the Rockets just lost to the Knicks, so even though that came after a nice winning streak we think LA is in better form right now. We don’t see how Houston will be able to defend the Clippers with this small ball lineup tonight. |
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03-04-20 | Thunder -7.5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-107 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
We went against the Thunder last night and the Clippers dominated that game. Now after a five game winning streak the Thunder have dropped two straight in blowout fashion. Those games were to the Bucks and Clippers, however, two of the favorites to win their respective conference this season. But now they take a big step down in class in what is a game they really need. With two straight embarrassing losses they won’t take this one for granted. The Pistons have lost their two stars and this team is just playing out the string and looking towards next season. This one should be a blowout with a motivated OKC team. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS after a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS against an opponent with a home winning percentage less than .400. We think those trends continue tonight. |
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03-01-20 | 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
The Clippers are paying great basketball and are big favorites here. While we are not too excited about laying this big number, we think this will be a blowout and that will bode well for the under. LA is fully healthy right now and they are rounding into playoff form. They have played three straight excellent defensive games, and the Sixers will be without their two main playmakers tonight. |
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02-29-20 | Rockets v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 111-110 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Both teams are playing well right now but we think Boston is the better and more well rounded team right now. Boston is one of the best bets in the NBA year after year, and that’s true once again this season with one of the best ATS marks in the league. They continue to be underestimated by the oddsmakers and they play great team basketball and strong defense. They have covered in their last five games and we see another cover at home here tonight. |
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02-28-20 | Wizards v. Jazz UNDER 232.5 | Top | 119-129 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
The under has been a strong trend in this rare series, but over many years it is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings. The Jazz have lost four straight and really need to stop the bleeding. They are big favorites tonight and this is a good game for them to get back on the winning track. We think they really focus on lock-down defense tonight and we think they will get the job done on the defensive end. They have to put in the effort tonight as a loss here would be really bad. |
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02-25-20 | Thunder -7 v. Bulls | Top | 124-122 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Bulls have a ton of injuries right now and this team wasn’t very good even when more healthy. This team isn’t going anywhere this season and they are playing for pride here, while the Thunder need every win. OKC has been one of the best bets in the NBA on the road, where they have covered in 22 of their last 27 road games. We feel this line is short once again as we see this is a probable double-digit win for the road team. The Bulls got a rare cover last time out but this team is 1-7 ATS after covering their last game. So when they play above expectations they normally follow that up with a stinker. |
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02-24-20 | Suns +8 v. Jazz | Top | 131-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Jazz have been very streaky and they are trending in the wrong direction right now. We think this is just too many points for them to be laying right now to a Suns team that has won two of three. We think Phoenix will come in with confidence tonight and we expect a close game. |
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02-22-20 | Suns -2 v. Bulls | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
We think the Bulls are a team to fade down the stretch. The Suns aren’t a very good team but they have nice potential for the future and we think they are the better team in this matchup. They are being punished too much by the oddsmakers for a back-to-back but these teams are rested after the break and the B2B shouldn’t be a big deal. The Bulls played some of the worst defense in the NBA leading into the All-Star Break, and we think the Suns will put up a massive point total tonight. We think this game has a great chance for a blowout, and we could see the Suns scoring 120+ tonight. |
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02-21-20 | Celtics -6.5 v. Wolves | Top | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Boston has been one of the most reliable bets in the NBA the last few years. They are 32-20-2 ATS this season so they are getting it done at the window once again. This Minnesota team is a mess, and we think with the extra rest after the All-Star Break that Boston has an even bigger advantage in this one. Every team wants to get off to a strong start after the break, and we think Boston brings their A Game here against a very vulnerable opponent. We see them locking down defensively tonight in a blowout win. |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The second part of the season is here for the Pacers after the All-Star Break and we think they will be a team to watch down the stretch. This team is healthy and dangerous in the east. This Indiana club plays team basketball and solid defense. That is the recipe for success. Teams always want to play well out of the break but New York had their little hot streak before the break, winning four straight, but then they lost their last two and we just see more motivation and a much better team coming from the visitors locker room tonight. |
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02-13-20 | Clippers v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 133-141 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This Clippers team looks like they are ready for the All-Star Break. Maybe no team in the NBA cares less about the regular season than these Clippers. This is the fourth game on their current road trip and they are probably over it and ready for the break. They have not been playing too well lately and were blown out in Minnesota and also lost by 7 at Philly. This team is still figuring things out and Paul George hasn’t been playing up to the level we expect. And Pat Bev is out tonight also. This looks like a good spot for a comfortable Boston win. |
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02-12-20 | Hawks -1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 105-127 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
The Hawks have covered in five of the last seven meetings here in Cleveland. We think this is a great chance for Atlanta to get a rare road win tonight. Cleveland has lost six straight games and things are not good right now with this team. We just don’t see them playing well here and this team looks like it is ready for the all-star break. Atlanta is one of those bad NBA teams that is playing for momentum for next season while the Cavs are a no hope team right now that is trying to figure out what to do. The Hawks are better poised for success here, and we expect them to win this one comfortably. |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards -3 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
The Bulls weren’t a good team to begin with, but they are super banged up right now and have an injury report as long as your grocery list. Washington is very healthy in comparison. The Wizards have won three of their last five and this team has been playing well recently. They are on a 6-4 ATS run and the oddsmakers are a bit behind on this team right now. They are coming off a loss but are 4-1 ATS in bounce-back situations and they are also 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a record below .400, meaning they are getting the job done against lousy teams. Because of the Bulls injury situation we had this game handicapped at 7, so there is nice value there tonight. |
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02-10-20 | Jazz -1 v. Mavs | Top | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Utah seems to be over their funk and they have scored two very impressive wins, vs. a very hot Portland team and also at the Rockets last night. Yes, they come in on a back-to-back tonight, but Dallas had a back-to-back Saturday so they are playing their third game in four nights as well. Utah is really healthy right now also, which is a plus for this bet. When both teams are at full strength the Jazz are the much better squad, but they have better health here with Doncic out for the Mavs. Utah is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Dallas has been very inconsistent lately and we think that Utah keeps their positive momentum going with a big win tonight. When this team has issues it seems to be in their heads and when they win it builds a lot of team confidence and that confidence normally keeps them playing to their ability. |
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02-09-20 | Celtics v. Thunder UNDER 219 | Top | 112-111 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
OKC is trending to the under and it is 5-1 in their last six. We think these teams will play some good defense in the Sunday matinee. These are two Top 10 defenses. Both teams have been playing particularly well in defending the rim lately, and we just don’t see either team breaking out for a big points total today. We handicapped this total before we saw the number and came out with 213, so we think there is nice value on the under here. |
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02-08-20 | Knicks -1 v. Pistons | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks have won three straight and are flat out playing harder than the Pistons right now. They have the same wins at 8 on the road as they do at home, so this New York team doesn’t have a real home court advantage. They can get the job done here tonight. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, and the oddsmakers are behind on this team right now. The Pistons come in on a back-to-back and this is not a good spot for them tonight. |
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02-07-20 | Blazers +9 v. Jazz | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Utah has reverted back to their early-season ways and they are playing very poor basketball right now. They faced the same spread pretty much last time out vs. Denver and got spanked on their home court. Portland has won and covered in five of their last six games and they are in great form right now and playing some of their best basketball of the season. We just think this spread is way overinflated. Could Utah play their game and blow the Blazers out? Of course. But we have to go with recent form here and this line just looks way off to us. |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 226.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
We were on the Grizzlies last time out against Detroit in what was one of the easiest wins of the year with only 178 points scored in that game. This one won’t be that low scoring. But Memphis has struggled on offense recently against good defensive teams. And Dallas has been playing very solid defense lately. They held their last two opponents to 103 or fewer points. We don’t see the pace here in this game being super fast, and we had this game total handicapped at 218, so we think there is some really nice value here. Several trends involving Memphis here point to the under as well. The under is 5-1 in the last six for Memphis following a 10+-point win. The under is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and the oddsmakers haven’t adjusted properly yet. Because of some massive scores in the NBA this season, bookies are scared to post too low totals, but there is value created as a result on the under leaguewide right now, and we think this game definitely falls into that category tonight. |
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02-04-20 | Blazers +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 99-127 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Blazers suddenly are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won four straight and covered in all those games. And it wasn’t any easy schedule, either. We think they come to play again tonight and we will ride the hot hand here on Tuesday. Portland has better rest coming into this game and we think they are primed for another solid performance. We expect a close game here, and the visitor definitely has a chance to score the upset. |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies UNDER 226 | Top | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
The Pistons are not only coming in on a back-to-back, but this is a super back-to-back for them after a rare win in OT yesterday against the Nuggets. We don’t think they have anything left in the tank here, and we just don’t see how they will put many points on the board tonight. Detroit has performed real poorly in back-to-backs this season at 1-7, 2-6 ATS and they have averaged only 104 PPG in these situations this season. We don’t see them having any offensive success today. The under is 6-0 in the Grizzlies last six home games, and that is the way we see this one going down on Monday night. |
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02-02-20 | Pelicans v. Rockets UNDER 247.5 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Both offenses have been really good lately, but we have to take a shot at the under here in what is one of the highest posted totals in the NBA this season. With a total this high, if there is a cold shooting streak by either team than this one will likely go under. If a crucial player goes cold, that’s good news for us. With a total this high there has to be fluid scoring and fast pace all throughout the game. The players could be distracted because of the Super Bowl. Also, the under is 31-15-1 in the last 47 meetings. |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -6 v. Blazers | Top | 107-124 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Utah has lost three straight, but it’s not time to panic. They had an off game against Houston at home where they didn’t play good. And then they lost at San Antonio, a very tough place for a visitor to get a win. Then on a back-to-back they had a strong game at Denver but faded in the second half on the backend of a back-to-back. They really have to choice but to play with a sense of purpose here. And now Portland is the team on a back-to-back. And they just played in an unprecedented emotional game in LA. They played with the Mamba Mentality and left everything on the floor. They won as 13-point underdogs last night. We were on Portland in this game. But we just think they will be spent and have nothing more to give tonight. Portland isn’t a deep team and they are 2-4-1 ATS on the second end of a back to back. And they spent so much effort last night. Against a very good team tonight, and a legit title contender desperate to end a losing streak. Also, Utah is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on Saturday. This just looks like a great spot for a dominating win tonight. |
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01-31-20 | Blazers +13 v. Lakers | Top | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Since the game against the Lakers and Clippers was cancelled, bettors have been looking to this game as the first game after the Kobe Bryant tragedy where the Lakers will win one for Kobe. But as a result we knew this line would be inflated and it has come out even a couple more points than we expected. And it's not like Kobe didn’t have friends on the Blazers that will want to play hard in his honor. The Blazers aren’t going to roll over and let the Lakers win. We think they give everything they have tonight against a Lakers team that is still grieving. The Blazers have a strong history in this series (10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in LA and 45-22 ATS as a long-term trend). If the Lakers just play their game they will probably have success but we feel like they might try to hard or do something different than normal. We think there’s a great chance for a close game here. |
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01-30-20 | Jazz +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Despite identical records, we think the Jazz are the much better team in this matchup. Remember, they got off to a super slow start this season and since have turned it on and are playing as well as anyone in the league right now. And this is a very important game and should have a playoff-like atmosphere, and we just think the cream will rise to the top tonight. We like to back a good team after a bad loss, and the Jazz certainly fit the bill here as they had the floor wiped with them against the Rockets last time out and Houston was without Westbrook and Harden. Utah was a double-digit favorite and lost by 9. But they have had two nights off since then (Denver has had only one), and this game is more important, so win here and that loss is officially in the rearview mirror. After playing horrible defense last time out we are sure the focus for Utah has been strong defense, and we think the Jazz will lock down on that end tonight. The Jazz are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings, and we feel this is their game to take tonight. |
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01-29-20 | Thunder -3 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The Thunder are 32-16 ATS on the season and this team continues to hold value while some of the other teams in the NBA are grabbing all the headlines and respect from the oddsmakers. But Oklahoma City is quietly having one of the most surprising seasons in the NBA this season. They had a five-game winning streaked snapped last time with a double-digit loss to the Mavs, and we think they will come out in this one focused and hungry against a Sacramento team that has lost six of eight, with only wins over Minnesota and Chicago to their credit. |
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01-28-20 | Hawks +12.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-130 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
We think this is too many points. We think the Hawks match up well with Toronto. And the Raptors lines are starting to grow too big. These teams played a little more than a week ago in Atlanta, and the Hawks hung tough with the Raps all game long. It was a one-point game entering the fourth quarter and Toronto won by 5. Atlanta has been a good bet lately, covering in five of their last seven games. They are also 6-2 ATS when catching double digit points. We expect them to keep this one within double digits tonight. |
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01-27-20 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 221 | Top | 126-117 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Rockets will be shorthanded tonight. We don’t see how they will be able to put up enough points to eclipse this total. They are coming in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. We hate to bring tragedy into handicapping but we think some players and teams experienced an adrenaline rush when the news hit on Sunday but tonight might be the hangover from that rush, and we think the road team out here could come out real flat while shorthanded. Not to mention Utah is getting back to their defensive ways and is playing perhaps some of the best defense in the NBA right now. We think this total might be as many as 8 points too high tonight. |
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01-26-20 | Clippers v. Magic +4 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
The Clippers will for sure be without Paul George and we don’t know the status of Pat Beverly as of this writing, but even if he plays he probably won’t be anywhere near 100%. The Clippers are coming off their big win over Miami and then play the Lakers next, so this is a big sandwich game for them, and they don’t have their full complement of players. This game reminds us of the recent Hawks game, where we were also on the underdog, and they won outright. Just doesn’t seem like a spot for a full effort from the road team. |
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01-25-20 | Mavs v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Dallas has been playing very well and they are a legit team. But they are just not on the same level as the Jazz. Utah is a true championship contender, and they have been playing like it lately, while the Mavs are a year or two away from being a true contender. There is probably no team in the NBA playing as well as the Jazz right now, and they are not only winning but covering on a regular basis. This line has moved early with sharp action, but we still don’t think it moved enough as we had this game handicapped at -7.5 for the Jazz so we think there is some real good value here. Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games and we think they cover easy again tonight. |
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01-24-20 | Rockets -5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 131-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
NBA handicapping can be very streaky. The Houston Rockets had lost four straight and people were wondering what was wrong with the team. Then they flexed their collective muscle in an extremely impressive home win over the Nuggets last time out. We think they will build on that positive momentum tonight against a very lousy Minnesota team. The Wolves have lost seven straight. They have covered in only one of those games despite some very generous lines courtesy of the oddsmakers. Houston is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these teams. We don’t think there is any chance of a letdown tonight since that losing streak is still fresh on the Rockets minds, and they need to take care of business, hopefully with an exclamation point, against a sub-par opponent. |
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01-18-20 | Suns v. Celtics -6 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
The Celtics come in off two straight losses, so they will be primed to get back on the winning track. And this is a great opportunity to do just that against a team they will have a talent advantage over. Over the last several years the Celtics have been one of the most trustworthy betting teams. They have covered in three of their last four despite the two straight losses, and we feel this line is short as well. Phoenix has covered in just one of their last six games. We think this is a great opportunity for a double-digit win for the Celtics. |
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01-17-20 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -8 | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
We just love the way the Grizzlies are playing now. This isn’t a fluke, and they are playing playoff quality basketball right now and have a budding superstar in Ja Morant. They have won and covered in six straight games. And those games weren’t against all scrubs. They won at the Clippers and at home against Houston and San Antonio. They have scored 119 or more in all of these games, and with Cleveland allowing 128 in each of their last two games, we just don’t see them slowing Memphis down tonight. The Grizzlies aren’t really on bettors radars right now and they should be laying double digits here. |
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01-16-20 | Magic +12 v. Clippers | Top | 95-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
The Magic scored the win last night in LA against the Lakers. This is a back-to-back but they will be playing in the same building so no travel worries. And this is not some scrub team that will be happy with their win and not show up for this game. This team made the playoffs last season and has aspirations of getting back there this season. The Clippers are working out a lot of kinks right now and Paul George is out of the lineup again tonight. We think this will be a close game. |
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01-15-20 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 230 | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The Wizards went through a little scoring drought and an under run, but the last couple of games scoring is up again and this one looks like a probable barnburner. Washington is the worst defensive team in the league by many metrics and the Bulls have their moments of competence defensively but they also give up 115+ on a regular basis, and we think that will be the case tonight. We see both teams getting close to 120 tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and we just don’t see either team getting stops tonight and scoring should be fluid for all four quarters. |
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01-13-20 | 76ers v. Pacers -2 | Top | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Sixers are without Embiid now and they haven’t been playing great basketball lately, losing five of their last seven games. They have been overvalued by the oddsmakers and covers are becoming more and more rare. We think they are overvalued again tonight and that this is a very public line. The Pacers are incredibly tough to beat at home where they are 15-5 on the season. We had this game handicapped at -4.5 for the home team so there is some decent value at this small number. |
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01-11-20 | Lakers v. Thunder +1 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
OKC has a favorable rest situation tonight as they had the night off while the Lakers had to play in Dallas. Playing two tough opponents on the road on consecutive nights is tough, especially at this point of the season where back-to-backs are serious business. The Lakers and Clippers are hogging all the NBA headlines these days, and quietly the Thunder are playing as well as anyone in the league lately. And they are criminally underrated by the oddsmakers right now. This team has now covered in 10 of 11 games. This team is now 26-12 ATS on the season. And they can hold value as long as they keep playing well since they aren’t on the public radar right now. OKC is playing great team basketball right now, and we think they have had this game circled and will come to play against a Lakers team that may or may not have AD.  It won’t matter as the Thunder win outright. |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Spurs are coming off very impressive wins against the Bucks and Celtics. But this team has been one of the most inconsistent in the league and they normally fall flat on their face once you think they have turned the corner. Even if they play their best this will be a tough game tonight. The Grizzlies have won four out of five and have covered in all those wins. This team has a legitimate budding superstar in Ja Morant, who is getting plenty of playing time. The Grizzlies always rise up against the Spurs and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. We also feel like this is a very public number intended to get the public to take the road team, which they are doing at a very high rate as of this writing. And we always like to be on the side of the sportsbooks, who will be rooting for the home team here tonight. |
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01-08-20 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 221 | Top | 89-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
This total is so high because the Wizards normally play in a barnburner every time they hit the court. But this team is dealing with a lot of injuries tonight, and they have failed to score more than 103 points in five of their last seven games. Tonight they play an Orlando team that is No. 2 in scoring defense and No. 30 in scoring offense. They have held two of their last three opponents in the 80s. We don’t see the banged-up Wizards doing much on offense tonight, and we think this one has a great chance to wind up well under this posted number. |
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01-07-20 | Pistons v. Cavs +3.5 | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Both teams are very dysfunctional right now but we just don’t think the Pistons should be favored on the road over anyone. Blake Griffin could miss the season now and Andre Drummond is probably being shipped out of town soon. And the team is dealing with other injuries as well. The morale here on this squad is very bad right now, and we just don’t see them going on the road and winning big here. The Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings here in Cleveland. |
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01-05-20 | Knicks v. Clippers -8 | Top | 132-135 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
We don’t quite know who will be available for the Clippers this afternoon but we just think this is a good spot for a strong effort from the Clippers. They had their absolute worst game of the season yesterday in a head-scratching loss to the Grizzlies. The team did not give much effort at all and it was a real sorry game for the home team. Just don’t see any other scenario other than a max effort from the players who do take the court tonight. This is a very good team even if the two main players are out of the lineup, and this is a very winnable game against one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Clippers have been good in bounce back situations as they are 6-0 ATS after an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS after a loss of 10 or more points. This looks like a double-digit win for the home team to us. |
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01-04-20 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 223.5 | Top | 117-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Pelicans have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. They come in on a back-to-back after playing the Lakers last night and we just don’t see them playing much defense here. The Kings have played a couple strong offensive games lately, and we think they have a great opportunity to put up 120+ here tonight. Both teams are trending to the over, hitting the over in three of their last four games. We think both teams will get their points tonight. |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Things are looking up for the Pelicans. Team chemistry is starting to go well and they have won four straight against a tough schedule. They have Williamson joining the team likely at some point in the next couple weeks. They have really amped up the defensive intensity and everyone seems dialed in right now. They also have some former Lakers on the team who will want to play well against their old team. LA has covered in only two of their last nine games, and they are overvalued by the oddsmakers again tonight. |
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12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings +8 | Top | 105-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
The Kings have lost seven straight. They have been deceptively competitive during this stretch, however, despite a lack of covers. They have lost by double-digits only once during that stretch. During the dog days of the NBA season bad teams can take games off and you never know when it will happen. But the Kings are in desperation mode to stop this losing streak, and a win over the Clippers could really put that bad stretch in the rearview mirror. The Clippers have been dealing with the flu bug. That is normally an overhyped angle for handicapping because these guys are professionals and can play through it. But for a team like the Clippers that doesn’t really care about the regular season, they might not give their all here. And Pat Beverley is out here, and he is kind of the sparkplug for this team and a leader that doesn’t get the credit he deserves. We think that hurts the favorite tonight. LA’s last five opponents: Houston, San Antonio, OKC, LA Lakers, and Utah. This Kings team on a seven-game losing streak isn’t going to really move the needle for them. And we think this spread has been inflated as well. |
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12-30-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 209 | Top | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Young is out for the Hawks again and this team has really struggled on the offensive end. They have scored in the 80s in their last two games, which is almost impossible in the present-day NBA. Orlando is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA and has held two of their last three opponents under the century mark. We don’t see the Hawks achieving their offensive goals in this one, and this game looks like a potential blowout, and we don’t think the Hawks will be able to do enough to do their share for the total. |
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12-27-19 | Cavs v. Celtics -13.5 | Top | 117-129 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
The Cavs have won three straight against lousy opponents, and make no mistake about it: this team isn’t any good. These teams played earlier in the month, in this same arena, and the Celtics won by 22 without barely breaking a sweat. Really don’t see any reason why this game would be different. The Celtics played on Christmas while the Cavs have had extra time off, but Boston is at home and had the day off yesterday. This team is playing its best basketball since two seasons ago and they shouldn’t take anything for granted after the disaster that was last season. They have some of the best coaching in the NBA, and we think they will come to play today. Boston has traditionally been one of the best betting teams in the league (you can point to the coaching as a reason). They have won and covered all but two games this month. They should dominate this one today. |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Utah has gotten off to another slow start this season, as they did last season, but they turned it around last year and we are starting to see the signs it’s happening again as they have won five of six. Portland has won four of five also, but they have played a home-heavy schedule. They are 6-10 on the road this season while Utah is 11-3 at home. Portland is 1-5 ATS in their last six as an underdog, and when they are getting beat in these situations it’s normally well beyond the spread. Utah is just the better team despite the slow start and they have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. We think they roll tonight with a comfortable 7+-point win. |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
The Clippers are finally getting fully healthy and could very possibly have the full roster at their disposal tonight. This team has been kind of a work in progress with load management and injuries, but we think at full strength that this team is the best in the NBA. We think this is a game where they will want to flex their muscles a bit in front of a national audience. We think with these teams at their best, which we are likely to see tonight, that LA is the clear superior team. The Rockets have been winning, but they are overrated by the oddsmakers recently as they have covered in only one of their last five games. The Clippers, on the other hand, have covered in five of six and this team has been playing some of its best basketball of the season lately, a couple hiccups aside. Los Angeles doesn’t care much about the regular season, but this game for sure will be important for them and we think they put their best foot forward tonight in what we see as a comfortable win by the home team. |
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12-18-19 | Hornets +3 v. Cavs | Top | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
You have to look to play against the Cavs when they are favored against anyone this season. This is one of the worst teams in the NBA. They haven’t been favored many times this season but are 0-2 ATS when laying points. We think this is a very winnable game for the road team, who should have Batum back tonight. Charlotte has won and covered in four of their last five games. They are 5-1 ATS on the second half of a back-to-back, so the lack of rest doesn’t worry us too much tonight. |
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12-16-19 | Wizards v. Pistons -5.5 | Top | 133-119 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Pistons are kind of under the radar right now but playing well, winning three of their last four, including a big win at Houston last time out. Even though they can be inconsistent, they are clearly the better team here, and they are facing a Washington team that has dropped seven of their last eight and already has no hope for the season. Even with some injury concerns tonight we expect this Detroit team to take care of business and stay hot. |
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12-13-19 | Rockets v. Magic UNDER 222 | Top | 130-107 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA and one of the best defensive clubs, and you have to always look for the under when this team has a total in the 220s. Five of the last seven games they have played have gone under the posted total, and they average under 103 PPG on offense. The Rockets have played under in three of their last four, and we don’t expect a shootout here and it’s very likely this total finishes well under 220. |
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12-12-19 | Mavs -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 122-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This game is in Mexico City. Dallas has a lot of international players, so they should feel right at home here! The Mavs have been getting the job done in the favorite role as they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine when laying points. This team has been covering lines like crazy lately but are staying under the radar because of all the other big stories in the NBA this season. The Pistons are just so inconsistent, and we don’t think they will do well in this setting that they aren’t used to. We think there’s a great chance for a Dallas double-digit win here. |
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12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Phoenix started their season off hot then went into a bit of a lull. But they have got their groove back lately and this team has covered in four of its last five. After a four-game road trip they came back home in that tricky first game after a road trip and walloped the Timberwolves. Now they face an even bigger step down in competition against the Grizzlies. Memphis is a very bad team this season. They are getting a lot of points on a nightly basis from the oddsmakers but can’t cover any lines. They are coming off a win and a cover last time out against the Warriors, and they should be content tonight and won’t play desperate since not on a losing streak. This looks very much like a double-digit win for the home team. |
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12-07-19 | Pacers v. Knicks OVER 208 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
This total is low because the Knicks have a lousy offense, but with the Pacers coming in on a back-to-back after playing their blood rival Detroit last night, we don’t see their defense being up to snuff. We think the Knicks will have an opportunity to score the basketball tonight. The over is 6-1-1 when the Pacers are on the second end of a back-to-back. This will be the first game for the Knicks with their interim coach, and they might push the pace more than we have seen recently. |
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12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 91-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
When all is said and done we think the Clippers have a great chance to win the championship this season, and they will likely have to get through this Bucks team to achieve that goal. But at this point the Bucks are way ahead of the curve while the Clippers are still figuring a lot of things out on the go. The Clippers, smartly, don’t seem to care much about the regular season and are forward thinking with their gameplans for the playoffs. We just think the Bucks are in a much better spot for a big win tonight. |
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12-05-19 | Suns v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 139-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
The Suns were one of the strongest ATS teams to start out the season, but they have fallen off a cliff recently. They have covered in only two of their last nine games, and they are in a real tough spot here, coming in on a back-to-back after getting blown out in Orlando last night. This will not only be a back-to-back but their third game in four nights, and fatigue is starting to become a real issue at this point of the season. The Pelicans haven’t had great results, either, but they have played a very tough schedule with recent games against Dallas, OKC (X2), Lakers, Clippers and Jazz. Their last win was Nov. 21, against this same Phoenix team, in Arizona, and they won by 3. They are rested with the night off last night and at home in this matchup, and we think this is a great chance for a rare comfortable win. The Pelicans have covered in seven of the last nine meetings between these clubs, and we expect that trend to hold strong tonight. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Both teams trend heavily to the under this season with a 24-13 combined mark for the under. These teams are a combined 30-7 on the season and this is a massively huge matchup and could have an affect on playoff seeding, and we think both defenses will be in top form for a game that could have a playoff atmosphere. Only one of the last six meetings has gone over, and we just think the defenses will dominate in this crucial matchup. |
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11-30-19 | Hawks +14 v. Rockets | Top | 111-158 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
The Rockets haven’t been good when laying big points as they are 1-3 ATS when laying eight or more points. The Hawks are a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting double-digit points this season, so they normally show up against the top teams. Atlanta has lost nine straight yet they have covered in three of their last four and lost to the Pacers in OT last time out. This team has talent and they will try hard tonight to stop the bleeding and we think this one has a great chance to come in under double digits. |
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11-27-19 | Thunder +3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-136 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Portland just doesn’t seem to have it this season. They are 6-12 on the season and, although they have played a road-heavy schedule so far, they are just 1-4 at home. They are just coming off a disastrous road trip where they went 2-4 with only wins over the struggling Bulls and Spurs. This will be the tricky first game home after a long road trip. This is a game where the home team sometimes struggles as the players often have their minds on their life off the court and there are plenty of distractions. The Thunder have been a good betting team at 10-6 ATS, and this new mix of players has had their moments. They have been playing strong defense for sure. This looks like a very winnable game for the road team, and with the day off tomorrow we think the Thunder will be the more focused team in this matchup, They also have revenge for an October loss in OKC in a game that was very close. We see this one as close also and think the road team will do what needs to be done to eek out a close win at the final buzzer. |
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11-26-19 | Wizards +10.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Washington has covered in five of the last six matchups, and they look primed for another cover tonight. This team is 9-4-1 ATS this season. That’s a great betting recipe for success when a team isn’t getting wins on the court but covering numbers. They can hold value for a long time since they escape the public’s radar. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS when getting four or more points this season, and it looks like they are being underestimated again tonight against a Denver team that is overvalued despite their 12-3 record as they are just 7-7-1 ATS. |
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11-25-19 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | Top | 96-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Philly hasn’t been any good on the road, where they are 4-5 on the season, while the Raptors are a perfect 6-0 at home. The Raptors were expected to take a step back this season after losing Kawhi Leonard, but they have way exceeded expectations so far. They are 11-4 and have been profitable ATS at 9-6. We think they are being undervalued here again by the oddsmakers. Some very nice value on an early-season line. |
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11-25-19 | Kings v. Celtics UNDER 205 | Top | 102-103 | Push | 0 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
These teams met last week and the total wound up under 200. We think there’s a great chance this one finishes with an even lower total. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA, and we have reason to believe the offenses won’t be up to snuff tonight. Sacramento is coming in on a back-to-back and this offense has been inconsistent. On their lone second night of a back-to-back this season they scored only 81 points. Boston is back home for the first game after a long road trip, which is usually a bad spot for the home team with family/personal obligations looming large. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the posted total. |
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11-23-19 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +7.5 | Top | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
We think this is a good spot for the Grizzlies on Saturday. The Lakers come in on a back-to-back after the second part of their home-and-home against the Thunder and this just feels like a letdown spot for them as they take a step down in competition. While the Lakers are coming in with no rest, the Grizzlies have had three nights off and they should be primed for a strong showing as an underdog. They had won three straight, including a win at home vs. Utah, so we know they can compete here if focused. But they come off two bad losses so they will likely be really focused on a strong performance here. We think they will get it. |
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11-22-19 | Hawks +6 v. Pistons | Top | 103-128 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The main reason we like this play is that the Pistons should not be laying this many points to anyone. This team has currently lost five straight and they haven’t covered in any of those contests. Atlanta has lost seven of eight. They have had a ridiculously tough schedule, however. In their last three games, they finished off a five-game road trip with visits to Staples to face the Clippers and Lakers and then came back home to face Miami. That’s probably the three best teams in the NBA. But now they are going way down in class tonight. They seem to normally play well against Detroit and have covered three straight meetings and five of six. This is the biggest favorite Detroit has been all season, and they are 1-3 ATS as a favorite at any number so far. |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls OVER 221 | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
We expect a barnburner here as these teams both allow around 112 points on defense. We have a feeling both teams will give up more points than that tonight. Both of the last two meetings have gone over the posted total. Four of the last five games for the Pistons have gone over the total. The Bulls have been trending to the over as well, with three of their last four games going over the total. Both teams have been struggling but we see the offenses doing well tonight. And the Pistons are getting g healthy and we think they are the stronger team tonight and we think they will win this track meet. |
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11-19-19 | Suns +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
The Suns are one of the best betting teams in the league at 9-3 ATS on the season. We think they are undervalued here again tonight. They are being punished too much by the oddsmakers are a back-to-back here, and this team is young and so is the season, so we don’t think it’s as big of a deal as the oddsmakers do. We just can’t help but remember the last time these teams squared off, last month, with one of the more one-sided second halves we have seen this season with the Suns outscoring the Kings 70-36 in the second half of a rout. We think Phoenix matches up well here tonight also.  They have covered in five of the last seven meetings. We think they have a great chance to win this outright, and we had the Suns, who we think are a better team, laying one point on our line. |
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11-18-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Pacers are just the better team in this matchup right now. Brooklyn gpt a lot of attention this offseason for some big moves, but they are being lined like a superstar team right now but Durant will not be here until likely next season. Right now they are just another decent team trying to find their way. Remember, Kyrie Irving never did much to lead his team to big places before he teamed up with LeBron. They have lost three of four coming into this game and they are just 5-7 ATS, which tells us the bookies have them overvalued. Irving is banged up right now but will probably go and LeVert is a key player for Brooklyn who has missed some time. Indiana has been pretty good even while they wait for Oladipo to rejoin the lineup. They have lost two straight coming into this game, but that was at Houston and vs. Milwaukee, and we think they have a much better chance to succeed here against lesser competition. The Pacers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in Brooklyn. They tend to play well here, and we see that being the situation again tonight. |
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11-17-19 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 215.5 | Top | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Four of the last six meetings have gone under the posted total. Both teams are playing pretty good defense to start the season, and Boston is will be one of the better defensive teams in the league when all is said and done. Sacramento has really struggled on offense the last couple games, and we don’t see them having a breakout on the offensive end today in this early Sunday start. |
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11-16-19 | Hawks v. Clippers -12.5 | Top | 101-150 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
This isn’t the biggest matchup for the Clippers this season, but this is probably the biggest game so far, because Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are expected to play together for the first time. Kawhi is fully integrated as the leader of the team now. And George seemed to fit in perfectly in scoring 30+ in his debut, even though it was a losing effort. Even if these guys don’t instantly click, which there is no reason to indicate that they won’t, after all Kawhi chose George as his preferred running mate, the rest of the team should rise up and play their best here. This team truly seems to be buying into the team mentality, and even though the Clips have gotten off to a slow start, at full strength we don’t think there’s a better team in the NBA. They are coming off two tough losses, at Houston in a game they didn’t play well in, and at New Orleans on the second of a back-to-back. They won’t take Atlanta lightly. The Hawks are on the fourth game of a rough road trip and were routed by a lesser Suns team last time out. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and we expect to see the best version of this LA team on Saturday night. |
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11-15-19 | Spurs +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
We are getting good value on the Spurs here in what is a very winnable game for them. They come into this one having lost three straight and five of six. They have had a very tricky schedule, however, and we think this team will be fine and there is no reason to panic. This team is one of the best coached in the league, and they don’t often go on extended losing streaks, and we have a feeling they will just come into Orlando and take care of business in a professional manner. They are certainly the better team in this matchup. If the Spurs had played to expectations so far they would be at least PK here. We have them as a slight favorite in this game, so getting this many points is just icing on the cake. And it’s not like Orlando has been dominating or anything, they have endured a lousy start to the season and are 4-7 so far on the year. Also, the Spurs always seem to play well here in Orlando, where they have covered in six of the last eight meetings. |
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11-14-19 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 235.5 | Top | 127-132 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a very high total. We think this will be a high-scoring game, but nowhere close to this posted number. The Clippers are going through a lot of transition tonight. Kawhi is likely going to sit here after playing 40+ minutes last night. Paul George is likely playing his first game in a long time and should be rusty. The Clippers are on a back-to-back so the players that played in the hard-fought game last night should be fatigued. The Clippers shots weren’t falling last night, and that could extend to this game. And the Clips should have more of a focus on defense after a poor showing on Wednesday. Six of the last eight meetings have gone under the posted number. |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets -2 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Clippers have played a home heavy schedule so far. They are just 1-2 on the road this season, and their lone win was against Golden State, which turned out to be not that special as the Warriors just aren’t good this season. This is their biggest road test so far. Westbrook is out for the Rockets, but this is still a very good team. It looks like Kawhi will play tonight for the Clippers, but George will probably debut for Los Angeles tomorrow, and it seems like this team has a bit of distraction for that situation heading into this game. The Rockets are a team that seems to care more about the regular season and seeding while the Clips want to be healthy for the playoffs. We think they will take this game far more seriously tonight, and we have a short line here for a Rockets team that has won four straight and is playing with a lot of confidence. |
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11-12-19 | Lakers -2 v. Suns | Top | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
We really like what we have seen from Phoenix so far this season and this looks like a legit strong team. Last year the Kings got off to a hot start and were in the playoff discussion until falling off a cliff later in the season. But this strong play looks sustainable for the Suns barring injury. But we think that they are in over their heads tonight against a Lakers squad that is one of the best three teams in the league and looks much more together at this early point in the season than we assumed heading into the new season. The Suns have had a fairly easy schedule thus far and we think the Lakers will come into this one with a sense or purpose after a rare home loss last time out against Toronto. An angry and focused LA team should be too much for this upstart Suns club tonight, and we expect them to score a comfortable victory. They have also covered in seven of the last nine in this series! |
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11-11-19 | Jazz -8 v. Warriors | Top | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Golden State was getting some very big lines there for awhile but they have covered three of four games and the bookies seemed to have backed off here a bit as we thought this one would come in at double digits. We think there’s a great chance Utah could win this one by 10+. After a two-game slide the Jazz are playing well again and they come in on a two-game win streak with impressive victories over the two best teams in the East, Philly and Milwaukee. Utah has covered in six straight meetings in this series, and we think they will take some pleasure in kicking the Warriors while they are down tonight. |
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11-09-19 | Celtics v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The Spurs have covered in five of the last six meetings, and we think this line is short again today. We like both of these teams, but on their home court we think the Spurs are the better squad. The Spurs are healthy and they are 4-1 at home this season, and this team just is under the radar right now we think because we had this line handicapped at 4.5 and think there is nice value here at this small number. Boston is 3-1 on the road but the only legit team they played was Philly, and that was their lone loss. They beat New York, Cleveland and Charlotte, three of the NBA’s worst teams. We see the Spurs likely winning this one by 5+. |
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11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -7 | Top | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Orlando is off to a slow start this season but they have had just a brutal schedule. They have lost four straight, and that stretch of games was particularly tough. They lost to Milwaukee and Denver at home and then fell to OKC and Dallas on the road. But make no mistake, this is a solid club. They are just off to a bad start against a tough schedule. They have mostly taken care of business against lousy teams, and that is the case tonight as Memphis isn’t a good team. We had this game handicapped at 9 with a lean to the Magic even at that number so we are thrilled that the bookies are underestimating the home team tonight. The Grizzlies have been getting much better lines from the oddsmakers but still are playing under expectations. We think this is a get right game for Orlando and expect a double-digit win tonight. |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Spurs have covered in six of the last eight meetings in this series. While the Spurs may not be as good as they were during their peak years, this is a very stable franchise and they have one of the best home-court advantages in the entire NBA. OKC is going through a lot of changes in this transition season. The Spurs are coming off two losses so we are getting some nice value here as last season this line would have been about 3, but the Thunder aren’t close to the same team as last season with Westbrook out to Houston. The Spurs are 3-1 this season at home while OKC is winless on the road, and we think the Spurs have a great chance for a 7+-point win tonight. |
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11-06-19 | Bucks -5 v. Clippers | Top | 129-124 | Push | 0 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Kawhi is out tonight and we think these are the best two teams in basketball. But with their star out of the lineup, the Bucks are the much better squad. This is a chance to make a statement for them. It’s likely that Leonard is sitting out here and will play tomorrow in the more important conference matchup against Portland on TNT. While this Clippers team plays hard every night, we think they will really bring their best effort on Thursday while this move by Doc Rivers shows that this game is just not as important to the team, and that can have a mental effect on the squad as a whole. |
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11-05-19 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 119-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Boston has been one of the best defensive teams to open the season, and as a result they are 4-1 thus far to the under on the season. We don’t see Cleveland having much success on offense tonight, and in fact we think there’s a good chance for a blow out here, which would bode well for the under. Boston has been off for awhile and their offense could be rusty to start the game but their defense should be in top form with lots of energy from the time off. Great chance the Celtics hold the Cavs under the century mark tonight. |
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11-03-19 | Mavs -5 v. Cavs | Top | 131-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Dallas has had a tough schedule to open the season. They are coming off a tough OT loss to the Lakers. They should be highly motivated to get back on track here tonight against one of the worst teams in the NBA and the easiest matchup on their schedule so far. Every game counts in the West, especially for a team like Dallas that could be on the fringes of playoff eligibility in April. They are 2-0 on the road this season, so early indications are that this team is ready to compete in road games. We see them notching a comfortable win tonight. |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets -4 v. Magic | Top | 91-87 | Push | 0 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
We went against the Magic last night and they were blown out of the water at home by Milwaukee. Now they face a good team off an embarrassing loss. Denver was blown out in New Orleans last time out, giving the Pelicans their first win of the season. Mike Malone called his team out publicly for lack of effort. When your boss calls you out for lack of effort, you are going to give a better effort next time out… right? Me neither! But we think the Nuggets players will respond tonight. Good teams off a bad loss are normally a good bet in the NBA as they give better effort next time, and with their coach calling them out we think the Nuggets will bring their A Game. They were off Friday while the Magic were getting rolled by the Bucks, and you would think Orlando would want to play their best game against a conference foe. But this team has gotten off to a real slow start and they have covered only one line this season, but two points against the lowly Knicks. We think Denver will flex their muscles a bit in this one and they should cruise to a comfortable win. |
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11-01-19 | Bucks -4.5 v. Magic | Top | 123-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Orlando has gotten off to a real slow start for a team that is on the rise and they have covered in just one of their four games so far. Their defense has been good but this team just can’t generate any offense right now. Milwaukee is averaging 119 points on offense thus far. We don’t think the Magic defense will be able to slow them down, and we for sure don’t see their offense being able to keep up. Milwaukee should have extra motivation after losing by double digits last time out at Boston. A motivated Bucks team is by far the best team in the East, and we see them taking their frustrations out on a Magic team that still seems to be figuring some things out in the early going of the season. |
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