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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -3 | Top | 99-102 | Push | 0 | 73 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Isaiah Thomas won’t be suited up for the Cavs tonight, but Kyrie Irving will be in the lineup for the Celtics. Boston also added All Star Gordon Hayward to its lineup. The Cavs made plenty of moves as well in the offseason, additionally acquiring Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, Jeff Green and Jae Crowder. Hayward averaged 21.9 points, 5.4 boards and 3.5 assists in Utah last year. Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown are expected to fill holes for the C’s this season as well. Wade and Rose are on the tail ends of their careers, but add depth to an already deep Cavaliers team. Whether LeBron James plays or not tonight (injured ankle), we think that the home side has a major advantage. Irving is now the focal point of the C’s offense, which puts a burden both on himself and his teammates as well. It’s going to take some time for the new look Celtic offense to build chemistry and we think that’s going to spell trouble in “The Land.” In our opinion, this is a great situational play. Lay the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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10-14-17 | Connecticut +12 v. Temple | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 139 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Connecticut. UConn is the “hungrier” team here as it’s lost four straight. Temple comes in off its best performance of the year with a 34-10 win over East Carolina and looks primed for a major letdown in our opinion. But not only is this a “letdown” spot, this is also is a bit of a “look-ahead” spot for the home side with a much more difficult game at Army next weekend. It’s a classic “trap” for Temple and it’s the main reason why we love this play so much. For UConn, a bowl trip is likely out of the question, but if the team has any hopes whatsoever it’s going to need to win this game straight up. The Owls picked up the decent victory last weekend, but QB Logan Marchi would post just his first 300 yard game of the year. Temple has already struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going 1-2 ATS at home and 1-2 ATS as a favorite. UConn has struggled in almost every ATS statistical category there is over the last few seasons, which makes it important to note that it’s 4-1 ATS in its last five after surrendering 600 yards or more in its previous contest. While we’re not calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable back door cover. Play on CONNECTICUT. AAA Sports |
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10-01-17 | Jaguars v. Jets +4 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 143 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Jets. We had a play on the Jets last weekend in their 20-6 upset win at home over the Dolphins. We feel this is another great situational spot to take advantage of as the Jacksonville Jaguars come to town, fresh off their big 44-7 destruction of the Ravens in England last weekend (we also had Jacksonville in that one.) But now the team transitions back across the pond and in our opinion, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the road-weary Jags. Jacksonville won 29-7 at Houston in Week 1, only to then “lay an egg” in Week 2 at home against Tennesse. And with another tough road game at Pittsburgh next weekend, it’s also not too hard to imagine the visiting side in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more difficult matchup. Also note that the Jags are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven when playing the role of favorite, while the Jets are 2-0 ATS in their last two as a home dog in the 3.5 to seven points range. A great “situational” play on the NEW YORK JETS. AAA Sports |
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09-30-17 | Florida State -7.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 26-19 | Loss | -104 | 122 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida State. Florida State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Wake Forest is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Despite those lop-sided numbers which would suggest that the Demon Deacons have the upper-hand in this contest, we believe that FSU has enough situational factors working in its favor to finally get off the schneid in a big way on Saturday afternoon. Our September CFB “GAME OF MONTH” was on Appalachian State, which fell 20-19 at home to Wake Forest last week, securing the easy cover. The Seminoles come to town the hungrier team for sure after they fell 27-21 at home to NC State in their last game. FSU QB James Blackman was 22 of 38 for 278 yards, a TD and no INT’s. RB Cam Akers led the way on the ground with 57 yards. Auden Tate has 180 receiving yards over his last two games. FSU’s defense wasn’t horrible either, allowing 365 total yards. With last week’s contest cancelled due to Hurricane Irma, the visiting side comes in focused. Wake needed a cluth blocked FG to even earn the victory last week. John Wolford was 14 of 27 for 176 yards and two TD’s. Akeem Byrd so far has 233 yards rushing for the season. The defense looked suspect though in our opinion, allowing 501 total yards. Note as well that the Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a loss against a conference rival, while Wake is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories. Blackman looked great in his role as starter and we think he’ll carry that progression over here. Lay the points, play on FLORIDA STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-28-17 | Texas -5 v. Iowa State | Top | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 84 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. We think that Texas is going to be the “hungrier” side tonight, a factor which we foresee resulting in a comfortable cover for the visiting team. The Longhorns lost 27-24 to USC in OT last time out, while Iowa State rolled to a 42-14 win over Akron. Note though that when these teams faced each other last year, Texas scored the 27-6 road victory. But it was oh-so-close for the Longhorns against the No. 4 ranked Trojans last time out. Sam Ehlinger was 21 of 40 for 298 yards, two TD’s and two INT’s. One other Texas offensive player to keep your eyes on this weekend is WR Collin Johnson, who had seven catches for 191 yards against USC. Ultimately though we feel that the Longhorns’ defense is flying under the radar in this one, as it looked great against the Trojans, holding them to 468 yards, while also making three sacks and two INT’s. The Cyclones’ Jacob Park had 317 yards and two TD’s last week. RB David Montgomery had 127 rushing yards. The defense looked sharp against the MAC team, but lining up against this Longhorns’ line (on both sides of the ball) is clearly a huge step up in overall caliber and size. We like TEXAS to step up defensively and to pull away for the cover. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Arizona Cardinals. Both teams are 1-1 SU. Dallas is also 1-1 ATS, while Arizona is so far 0-2 ATS. Are the Cowboys as bad as their 42-17 loss at Denver last week would indicate? Of course not. But we still believe Dallas has issues. Arizona on the other hand lost its Week 1 matchup in Detroit, only to then bounce back in Week 2 with a 16-13 victory over the Colts. It’s been a bit of a grind for Carson Palmer and company to open the year, but it’s time to open up the playbook with their first game in front of the home town crowd. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys’ offensive line all had a poor game last week. But the Dallas defense was supposed to be a strength again this year. Broncos’ QB Trevor Simien simply isn’t as good as what his numbers would indicate from last week’s blowout victory. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to grab the points with the CARDINALS, as we believe that Arizona is the more complete team right now through all three phases of the game. AAA Sports |
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09-23-17 | Wake Forest v. Appalachian State +3 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 143 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Appalachian State. The Demon Deacons are 3-0 after trashing Utah State 46-10 at home last weekend. Last week the Mountaineers beat Texas State on the road 20-13. App State’s lone loss comes in its opener, a 31-10 setback at Georgia. Wake Forest: QB John Wolford is playing his best ball of his career, so far going for 500 yards, six TD’s and no INT’s. He also has 192 rushing yards. RB Arkeem Byrd had 120 yards on 19 carries in last week’s win. The defense also looked sharp, so far the unit has allowed just 273.3 YPG. Appalachian State: Mountaineers QB Taylor Lamb was 17 of 28 for 167 yards, one TD and no INT’s last week. So far Lamb has 622 yards, six TD’s and no INT’s this year. App State gives up just 289 YPG thus far. Offensively the team averages 175.3 rushing YPG. The bottom line: With a big conference matchup at home against Florida State next weekend, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “look ahead/trap” game for the visitors. We’re grabbing the points, play on APPALACHIAN STATE. AAA Sports |
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09-21-17 | Temple +18 v. South Florida | Top | 7-43 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASASSIN on Temple. While we’re not going to call for an outright upset, we do definitely expect the talented visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what Sin City is leading us to believe. The Owls: Temple enters off a 29-14 home win over UMass. QB Logan Marchi was 22 of 37 for 248 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s. So far he has nearly 770 yards passing and a 5:0 TD:INT. WR Keith Kirkwood now has 185 receiving yards on the year, while RB Ryquell Armstead had 177 rushing yards through three games. The defense was decent, getting gouged for 377 passing yards, but allowing just 61 rushing yards. Massacusetts was behind most of the game though, so it was forced to air it out. The Bulls: South Florida enters off a 47-23 home victory over Illinois. QB Quinton Flowers was 15 of 27 for 280 yards, four TD’s and one INT. So far he has 680 yards passing and an 8:2 TD:INT. RB Darius Tice had 105 yards on 12 carries. USF looked strong defensively, allowing a total of 354 yards. The bottom line: When these teams met last year, the Owls posted a 46-30 victory. Temple had more turnover in the offseason, so these are different teams essentially. However, we think that the Owls’ high-octane offense can keep them in this one late. As mentioned off the top, we think these teams are more evenly matched than what Sin City is trying to lead everyone to believe. Grab the points, play on TEMPLE. AAA Sports When you think of these two teams, what’s the first thing that comes to mind? Explosive offenses likely isn’t one of them. The reason this total is so low, is because there’s no question that these clubs struggle to put points on the board most nights. In fact, the 49ers have yet to score an offensive TD. The Rams looked good beating the injured Colts, but came back down to Earth against the Redskins at home last weekend. San Francisco was never going to make the playoffs this year, but with a three-game road trip looming, this could be its last/best chance to score a victory to open the season. Essentially, it’s a “do-or-die” scenario for the 49ers tonight. With an added 7 points to the UNDER and to the home side’s spread, this one has all the makings of an easy cash! AAA Sports |
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09-16-17 | Stanford -9.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Stanford. Stanford will be looking to take out its frustration on someone tonight after falling 42-24 at USC last weekend. Enter SDSU. The Aztecs are 2-0, but they look primed for a letdown here in our opinion after upsetting Arizona State 30-20 on the road last Saturday. The Cardinal: Stanford smashed Rice in its opener, but was unable to keep pace with high-flying USC last weekend. In all the Cardinal were outgained 623-342. So far Stanford ranks 23rd in the country in scoring though with an average of 43 PPG, while ranked 67th on the defensive side in allowing 24.5. QB Keller Chryst has 425 yards and four TD’s, while RB Bryce Love has 340 rushing yards and two scores. The Aztecs: SDSU held a slim 352-342 yardage advantage over Arizona State last Saturday. So far the Aztecs are ranked 54th overall in scoring with 34 PPG, while ranked 43rd in allowing 18.5. QB Christian Chapman has 293 yards, three TD’s and one INT. Rashaad Penny has 413 yards on the ground and three TD’s. The bottom line: Note that Stanford is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 following a SU loss, while SDSU is just 5-13 ATS in its last 18 against the Pac-12. The Cardinal don’t really have to respect the pass today, so can load the box to slow down Penny. We look for STANFORD to ride its superior defensive play to a decisive victory. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico +15 v. Boise State | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on New Mexico. New Mexico enters off a tough 30-28 home loss to a difficult New Mexico State team at home, while Boise State collapsed in the second half of its game against Washington State, eventually succumbing 47-44 in OT. Note that the Lobos play with revenge here after falling 49-21 at home to the Broncos last season. New Mexico: The Lobos were actually down 30-5 at the start of the fourth quarter, but alas their come back bid came up a bit short. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting New Mexico to carry over that momentum/confidence to this one. QB Tevaka Tuioti came in late and threw for 151 yards and two TD’s. The Lobos also had 176 yards on the ground, led by Jay Griffin IV with 64 and a TD. The defense looked poor, but will catch a small repreive in facing what should be a gassed Broncos side working on the short week. Boise State: Over the final ten minutes the Broncos allowed 21 unanswered points and then eventually lost in overtime to Washington State. QB Brett Rypien was injured, so Montell Cozart would take over and he’d go for 161 yards, two TD’s and an INT. In all the Broncos allowed 455 yards on defense, so the Lobos are going to have their chances here today as well. The bottom line: Rypien is a game time decision here. Note that New Mexico is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, while Boise State is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 at home and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite of 10 1/2 to 21 points. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW MEXICO. AAA Sports |
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09-13-17 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Boston Red Sox on the RUN-LINE. We had a play on Boston yesterday in its big 11-1 win over the A’s and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another blowout here as well. Jharel Cotton: He’s 7-10 with a 5.82 ERA. Cotton gave up seven runs off seven hits, including three dingers, over five innings in a fortunate no-decision against the Astros on Friday. Cotton has now been rocked for 12 home runs over his last six starts for a deplorable 3.2 HR/9 over that span (note that he’s 1-7 with an 8.00 ERA in all “night” games this year.) Doug Fister: He’s 5-7 with a 3.91 ERA. Fister comes in off a gem against Toronto on Wednesday, giving up four hits while striking out nine over seven scoreless innings of work. Fister has a 1.50 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over his last four starts and enjoys a couple exrta days off before making this start. The bottom line: Note that Oakland is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after allowing ten runs or more, while Boston is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in its last four after scoring ten runs or more. We like Fister to continue his blazing streak of superior plays and for the home side to take full advantage of this favorable matchup. Play on the RED SOX on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 40 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Denver Broncos. We’ve always felt that the addage “defense wins championships,” pertained more to the gridiron than any other sport. While nothing is on the line except a Week 1 win or loss, we still feel that the Broncos’ elite defense will prove to be the main story-line in tomorrow’s summaries. LA: A new city, building and head coach. Same old QB in Philip Rivers though. Rivers will be handing off to one of the best RB’s in the league in Melvin Gordon and the offense should once again be among the league leaders on that side of the ball. Defense was a major issue last year though, giving up an average of 26.4 PPG. Denver: The defense was fourth in points allowed last year and first against the pass in allowing only 185.8 YPG through the air. LA’s offense revolves around the pass, which doesn’t look too good on the road at Mile High tonight. The team used its top draft picks on the defensive side of the ball as well, so the unit is stacked. The offense is once again a question mark, but both Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch will be given the green light to air it out tonight against the Chargers’ suspect secondary. The bottom line: Note that LA is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 in games where the line is set between +3 and -3, while Denver is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 in the same position. Play on the BRONCOS. AAA Sports |
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09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans +1 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 2184 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEEK 1 TOP EARLY PLAY on the Tennessee Titans. There is of course an inherent risk when releasing a play weeks/months ahead of time, but in this case, we feel that Tennessee is the correct call in this Week 1 matchup. Oakland seems like a “trendy” pick in Week 1 after Derek Carr’s break out season. But Carr would break his leg in Week 15 last year and the Raiders would then predictably fall in the Wildcard round. Many think the signing of RB Marshawn Lynch will take Oakland to the next level, but we’re not convinced. Lynch is a year removed from the NFL and in his final season with the Seahawks, was visibly set back with nagging injuries. Titans’ QB Marcus Mariota is in our opinion, just as good as Carr in every respect. We also think the Titans have a big advantage in the RB department, with DeMarco Muarry, Derrick Henry and newcomer Khalfani Muhammad. Oakland is just 2-6 in Week 1 since 2009 and all signs point to another letdown here. Play on TENNESSEE. AAA Sports |
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09-09-17 | San Diego State v. Arizona State -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona State. San Diego State beat UC Davis 34-17 last weekend, while Arizona State rallied for a 37-31 win over New Mexico State. Aztecs: SDSU has just 11 starters back from a team which went 11-3 last year, including a 34-10 victory over Houston in the LV Bowl. The ground game notched 276 yards against the lowly Aggies last week. Rashaad Penny had 197 yards and two TD’s on 21 carries. QB Christian Chapman was 16 of 21 for 221 yards and two TD’s. The defense looked good, not spectacular and will now clearly have its hands full against the big arm of ASU QB Manny Wilikins, who had 300 yards against the Aggies last week. Sun Devils: New Mexico State is a damn good team, filled with veteran experience. Last week the offense put up 400 yards, including 331 through the air. Wilkins was 22 of 27 for 300 yards and two TD’s. WR John Humphrey had a big day with 123 yards on seven receptions. ASU’s weakness last year was its defense and that once again appears to be the case this season. The bottom line: But Arizona State catches a break this week facing the run heavy offense of the Aztecs. The secondary is the weak point. SDSU has a game at home against Stanford next weekend, before then starting the conference part of its schedule with a tough one on the road against Air Force. All signs point to the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that gruelling part of their schedule. A great situational play, play on the SUN DEVILS. AAA Sports |
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09-02-17 | Louisville v. Purdue +26.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 130 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Purdue. This is a great “situational” play in our opinion, as we’re expecting the Cardinals to “look past” their lowly opponent tonight to a much more important conference matchup on the road at UNC next weekend. Louisville: The Cardinals were 9-4 overall last year and 7-1 in the ACC, falling 29-9 to LSU in the Citrus Bowl. QB Lamar Jackson had 3,543 passing yards, alowing with a 30:9 TD:INT ratio and also posted 21 rushing TD’s, ultimately going on to win the Heisman. But Jackson only has three other starters returning to his offense from last year. The defensive line also has more questions than answers right now with many holes to fill. Despite the issues that Louisville must overcome, the team is once again expected to among the nation’s leaders on both sides of the ball. Purdue: The Boilermakers were 3-9 last season and had a 1-8 record in league action. Purdue is expected to be a lot better thi syear with several key players returning, including QB David Blough, who had 3,353 yards and a 25:21 TD:INT ratio. Purdue also returns all of its RB’s, including Markell Jones, who had 616 yards last year. The defense was a major issue last year, but the unit returns several starters as well. The bottom line: We like Blough to keep this one respectable. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BOILERMAKERS. AAA Sports |
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09-01-17 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE GAME OF THE YEAR on the LA Dodgers. After getting swept on the road in Arizona, we look for the Dodgers to bounce back in fine fashion tonight with their ace finally back on the mound tonight. Clayton Kershaw: He’s 15-2 with a 2.04 ERA. Although he’ll be on a pitch count on his first start back, we believe his time in the game will be more than enough to secure a big early lead for the now razor focused visiting side. The sweep at the hands of the D-Backs was humbling to say the least. Kershaw was strong in his only start in Triple-A, striking out eight and giving up one run over five innings. Dinelson Lamet: He’s 7-5 with a 4.60 ERA. Lamet comes in off a strong performance against the Marlins on Saturay, allowing one run over six innings of work, unfortunate to receive a no-decision for his effort. Lamet has admittedly looked a lot better of late, but we simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. The bottom line: Note that LA is 19-11 (+3.3 units) in its last 30 after three or more consecutive losses, while San Diego is just 3-5 (-1 units) this year after shutting out its opponent. Play on the DODGERS RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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09-01-17 | Boston College v. Northern Illinois +3.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 108 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Northern Illinois. BC was 7-6 last year, winning three straight to end the season including defeating Maryland 36-30 in the Quicken Lane Bowl. NIU was just 5-7 and will be eager to return to a bowl this season. BC averaged only 20.4 PPG last year, but the team led the nation in many defensive categories. The Huskies started four different QB’s last year, but still managed to post 30.5 PPG. The defense was a weak point, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing BC’s vanilla offense. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we believe NIU’s offense will at the very least keep this one close enough to cover with the spread. AAA Sports |
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08-31-17 | UL-Monroe v. Memphis -27 | Top | 29-37 | Loss | -110 | 204 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on Memphis. The Warhawks struggled on the defensive side of the ball last year, an area which is also expected to be a weak point this season. And that doesn’t bode well against the up-tempo Tigers, who we foresee pulling away down the stretch for a comfortable ATS cover. Louisiana Monroe: The Warhawks were just 4-8 last year and failed to qualify for a bowl. UL Monroe was disastrous on the defensive side of the ball last year, allowing at least 34 points in every game, with four games seeing the opposition put up at least 51. QB Garrett Smith finished with 1,237 yards, nine TD’s and seven INT’s. Memphis: The Tigers were 8-5 and then lost 51-31 to Western Kentucky in the Boca Raton Bowl. Memphis is led by Riley Ferguson, who had 3,698 yards, 32 TD’s and ten INT’s. Ferguson is back for his senior year and we think he’ll be the big difference maker tonight. The offense also features a strong run game with Darrell Henderson and Patrick Taylor Jr. The bottom line: Note that Louisiana Monroe is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games in August, while Memphis is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 non-conference contests. All signs point to a rout from start to finish, lay the points with confidence, play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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08-27-17 | Bears +3.5 v. Titans | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Chicago Bears. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to grab the points in a contest which we see being decided late. Tennessee comes in at 1-1. So too does Chicago. But we ultimately feel that the difference maker today will be Chicago’s potential regular season starting QB Mitch Trubisky, who is so far 18 for 25 for 166 yards, one TD and no INT’s thus far. Trubisky is expected to get most of the playing time today, which we feel will be a significant factor. Tennessee is also expected to give its starting QB Marcus Mariota plenty of time today, but he’s without his top two receivers in Corey Davis and Eric Decker. The Titans beat Carolina 34-27 last week and we think they’ll be more focused on trying to establish the run today (so as to limit any potential and completely unnecessary injury, as Mariota is coming back from major leg injury), as well as putting a much greater emphasis on the defensive side of the ball after last week’s near collapse after having a large early lead. This one has the feeling of more of a “chess match” than a “track meet,” where field position becomes critical in the final outcome. And in a scenario like that, we’re grabbing the points. Play on the BEARS. AAA Sports |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford -31 | Top | 7-62 | Win | 100 | 128 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Stanford. This game is being played in Sydney Australia. The Cardinal have some big holes to fill this year, but they have plenty of young talent in key positions, as well as plenty of veteran leadership on both sides of the line to fall back on. The Cardinal were 10-3 last year and then beat UNC in the Sun Bowl. Rice was just 3-9 overall. These teams actually met on November 26th last year and Stanford scored the 41-17 victory. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a much bigger rout here today. Stanford turns to QB Keller Chryst, who had 905 yards and ten TD’s last season. Replacing RB Christian McCaffrey won’t be easy, but Bryce Love will try, he ran 112 times for 779 yards and three TD’s last year. The strength of Stanford though lies on both the offensive and defensive lines. And that doesn’t bode well for the undersized Owls, who were held to 17 points or less in half their games last season. The Rice defense struggled as well, with the opposition posting 41 points or more seven times. Note that the Owls also start a redshirt freshman at QB today in Sam Glaseman (also note that Stanford is 7-2 ATS in its last nine neutral field affairs.) Rice already has more questions than answers as we head into the season, which lines up perfectly for Stanford. Look for Chryst and company to shake off some early jitters/rust and pull away down the stretch for the comforable ATS cover. Play on the CARDINAL. AAA Sports |
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08-26-17 | Raiders +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Oakland Raiders. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the determined visiting side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door with the handful of points that it’s been afforded in this one. Starters are going to see most of the action today, however, backups and wannabe’s will also be seeing considerable time. Oakland though has yet to taste victory in the preseason (0-2), while Dallas is already 2-1. We feel the Raiders will have something to prove tonight as they look to get off the schneid. The Cowboys though won’t be as desperate and would really love to avoid any significant injuries more than anything else at this point. As mentioned off the top, we wouldn’t be surprised by an outright victory, but in the end we’re going to grab the points. Play on the RAIDERS. AAA Sports |
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08-20-17 | Saints +3 v. Chargers | Top | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 122 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-1 SU/ATS after falling 20-14 at Cleveland in Week 1, while LA is also 0-1 SU/ATS after getting crushed 48-17 by Seattle last weekend. It’s impossible to go into precise player matchups in the preseason, as not even the head coaches know for sure how long starters and backups will play in each game. We’re primarily a stat and situationally based handicapping service anyways, so an approach like this is natural to us. Ultimately we think the Chargers get caught looking ahead to their Week 3 matchup against their new cross city rival, the LA Rams. It’s a weird dynamic for both teams and it’s a situation which we believe shouldn’t be overlooked this weekend either. It’s a perfect spot for New Orleans to bounce back in and then go back home for its Week 3 dress rehearsal against the Texans. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SAINTS. AAA Sports |
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08-13-17 | Seahawks +2 v. Chargers | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 199 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Seattle Seahawks. The San Diego Chargers are now the LA Chargers. It’s been a weird offseason for veteran QB Philip Rivers, the coaching staff and everyone else involved in the organization. Rivers and gang will hope that a shift in venue will help kick-start the team as it would go on to finish a dismal 5-11 last year. Seattle was 10-5-1 last year in the regualr season and was 3-1 in the preseason (San Diego was just 1-3.) Seattle knows who will be under center in Week 1, so the focus falls onto backup wannabe’s Trevone Boykin and CJ Prosise (each will see a half today likely.) Focus for the Seahawks will also fall onto the RB position, with new-comer Eddie Lacy battling Thomas Rawls for the No. 1 spot. Seattle struggled without a strong running game last year, averaging just 22.1 PPG, but the defense was once again superb, allowing an average of just 18.2 PPG, ranked third overall. Both Rivers and RB Melvin Gordon are expected to see very limited to no time whatsoever in this one for the home side. The Chargers have a competition going on for backup QB as well between Kellen Clemens, Mike Bercovici and Cardale Jones. San Diego was decent offensively last year in averaging 25.6 PPG, but ranked 29th overall on the defensive end in conceding 26.4 PPG. Hawks’ coach Pete Carrol puts emphasis on the preseason. The Chargesr have a lot of outside external factors at play here and we think the organization comes in a bit flat in this meaningless preseason Week 1 contest. Play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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08-03-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals | Top | 20-18 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the Arizona Cardinals. This is a situationally based selection. The Cardinals finished 7-9 last year. Arizona had a poor preseason, finishing 1-3. The Cowboys went on to finish 13-3 in the regular season, but then fell 34-31 to Green Bay in the Wildcard round. Dallas was also just 1-3 in the preseason though. We think the Cowboys will once again be disinterested in the preseason this year, while clearly the Cards have many different things to work on after last season’s epic overall collapse. Playing in the Hall Of Fame Game means that you get one extra warm up and it’s a contest which we believe will mean more to Arizona. The Cards got off to a lousy start in the preseason a year ago and never recovered after that. The Cowboys are obviously the more complete team and will only be using the preseason to figure out a few missing pieces. The starters will see just a few snaps (if any at all) and we think this also proves beneficial for Arizona, as it will have many competitions going on up and down and on both sides of the field. We think the Cardinals play with fire to open the year. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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07-30-17 | Astros v. Tigers +1.5 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* “RED DRAGON” on the Detroit Tigers on the RUN-LINE. These starters are moving in opposite directions and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, in the end we feel there’s great value with the home side on the RUN-LINE this afternoon: Lance McCullers: He’s 7-2 with a 3.67 ERA. McCullers most recently gave up six runs off nine hits and two walks over 4.1 innings in a loss to Baltimore on Sunday. McCullers has now allowed 20 runs over his last four starts and owns a poor 4.36 ERA on the road. Justin Verlander: He’s 5-7 with a 4.50 ERA. Verlander gave up three runs off five hits and two walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a loss to the Royals on Monday. Verlander has now allowed three runs or fewer in ten of his last 11 starts and is 3-2 with a respectable 3.62 ERA at home this season. The bottom line: Looks like this one could come down to the wire, so grab the insurance. Play on the TIGERS on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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07-29-17 | Hamilton +13 v. Calgary | Top | 1-60 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Hamilton Tigercats. We’re not suggesting that you should “sprinkle a little” on the money line, as the 0-4 Hamllton Tigercats are sizeable underdogs on the road this week. We do however think this is a few too many points to be giving up as we look for Hamilton to at the very least, sneak in through the back door with the large spread it’s being afforded. Hamilton: It’s been a rough start to open the year for the Ti-Cats, as QB Zach Collaros has 1,041 yards, three TD’s and four INT’s. Production is down on both sides of the line though, as Hamilton has allowed 35.2 PPG thus far. Calgary: The Stamps are 3-1-1 and haven’t lost a home game since October of 2015. QB Bo Levi Mitchell has 1,635 yards, nine TD’s and three INT’s. Calgary allows just 24 PPG. The bottom line: After crushing the Roughriders 27-10 at home last week and with two tough road games on the horizon at Toronto and BC respectively, we think that Calgary gets caught “looking past” the lowly Ti-Cats today. While the playoffs are quickly becoming a fantasy, another loss here will almost assuredly be too much for Hamilton to climb out of. The TIGERCATS lays everything on the line this weekend, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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07-01-17 | Winnipeg -1 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 43-40 | Win | 100 | 124 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Blue Bombers had a bye in Week 1 and open up their 2017 campaign on the road in Saskatchewan. Winnipeg was 11-7 in 2016 and hands the ball to Matt Nichols under center this season. Last year he had 3,666 yards, 18 TD’s to just nine INT’s in his limited time as QB. One other player on the offense that you’ll want to keep your eyes on for the visitors is WR Weston Dressler, who caught 80 passes for over 1,000 yards last season. Bombers’ RB Andrew Harris had 974 yards and four major scores in 2016. The Roughriders look poised for a letdown here in our opinion after a tough Week 1 loss to the Alouettes. QB Kevin Glenn was solid though with 298 years, while Nik Demski was a standout with seven catches for 87 yards. Star Naaman Roosevelt though was held to only 59 yards receiving. Note that Winnipeg is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 against division opponents, while Saskatchewan is just 7-12 ATS against the division. Ultimately we feel that the Blue Bombers’ extra week off to game-plan for their opener will be the difference. Play on WINNIPEG. AAA Sports |
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05-25-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 36 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Cleveland is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 when leading in a playoff series, while Boston is just 17-19 ATS this year against good offensive clubs which score 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: It’s the end of the road for the Celtics. They played unbelievable in Game 3 without Isaiah Thomas in the line-up and while they looked good for the first half of Game 4, his absence would finally catch up to the team in the second half. The CAVALIERS can smell the blood in the water and have the Warriors in their sights. Lay the points with confidence, play on CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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05-23-17 | Celtics +15 v. Cavs | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is already 5-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Cleveland is just 4-6 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and only 8-10 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. The bottom line: We had a play on Boston in Game 5. So can the Celtics pull of another miracle and win Game 4 outright as well? Anything is possible obviously, but we’re not going to be so bold as to predict back-to-back massive upsets. That said, we do think that the now re-energized C’s can keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe. It was a big wake up call for Cleveland, who we expect to play with an added focus on the defensive end tonight after the Game 5 collapse. In our opinion, this is just too many points to be giving up. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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05-21-17 | Celtics +14.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 10-5 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Cleveland is only 3-4 ATS this season after allowing 90 points or less. The bottom line: With Boston’ star Isaiah Thomas now officially sidelined with injury for the rest of the year, will the Cavs finally take the foot off the gas? That’s the big question. And we think the answer is “yes.” There’s no question that Boston would not have won the Eastern Conference in the regular season without Thomas leading the charge, but the one of the main strengths of of the team has been its overall depth. While we are not of course predicting an outright upset, we do definitely feel this is a few too many points to be giving up. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Golden State is just 2-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest, while San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Clearly this is it for the Spurs, as a 3-0 hole would be just too much to climb out of against the high-powered Warriors. San Antonio gave its best shot in Game 1 and came up short, losing Kawhi Leonard in the process. The Spurs responded in Game 6 of their semi final matchup against the Rockets with a 50 point victory with Leonard sitting, but that same unit was unable to generate much of anything in Game 2. Different set of situational circumstances for each game though. Whether Leonard plays or not tonight, we like SAN ANTONIO to give Golden State everything it can handle tonight. AAA Sports |
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05-19-17 | Cavs -5 v. Celtics | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't normally “flip-flop” back and forth on teams. However, we feel you have to remain flexible with your approach in the playoffs and being able to adjust after a mis-read is what seperates the novice from the pro. We had the C’s in Game 1, but we think that Cleveland builds off its big victory as it looks to take a strangle hold on this series as it heads back home for Game’s 3 and 4. Note that Cleveland is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 when leading in a playoff series (including 3-1 ATS this year) and 15-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Boston is only 8-10 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more and just 22-27 ATS overall in front of the home town crowd. Isaiah Thomas does not have anyone to help him in this series, as Boston is simply outclassed up and down the lineup. Lay the points and expect a rout, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Cleveland is just 10-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Boston is 21-13 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Cavs may have taken three of four in the regular season series, but we are expecting the underdog to come out fighting tonight. Cleveland hasn’t played for ten days and we’re fully expecting “rest” to lead to “rust.” Grab as many points as you can, play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors -13 | Top | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that San Antonio is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 113 points or more, while Golden State is already a perfect 5-1 ATS this season when leading in a playoff series. The bottom line: We know that the Spurs hammered the Rockets in Game 6 of their Western Conference Semi-Final round without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but that was then and this is now. The entire situation and dynamic of the series is completely changed. After the way they lost Game 1, we expect the Spurs to come out flat here. And after the near disaster in dropping Game 1, we look for the WARRIORS to push the pace from start to finish. AAA Sports |
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05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. Many are expecting a complete blowout in Game 1 of this series and you can count us as one of those. The Spurs have looked fantastic at times in the playoffs and really old in others. Tony Parker is out for the remainder of the playoffs and while Kawhi Leonard will return after sitting out the Game 6 victory over Houston, his health is still a minor concern for the already undermanned Spurs. The Warriors are completely rested and 100% healthy. Golden State will be looking to immediately send a message to San Antonito that it has no hope whatsover in this series, so expect the home side to have the foot on the gas from start to finish. Also note that the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last six following a win by ten points or more. Play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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05-12-17 | Celtics +5 v. Wizards | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 32 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 26-18 ATS on the road this year, while Washington is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: We played the Celtics in Game 5. So far home court advantage has been the difference maker in this series, with each team winning and covering in its own building. But we look for that trend to end tonight. Boston looked refreshed and got significant production from its role players last time out. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect this one to come down to the wire. Play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is just 17-20 ATS as an underdog this year, while Boston is 9-4 ATS following a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: Boston won the first two games of this series at home and then Washington returned the favor in Game’s 3 and 4 in the nation’s capital. With the series once again shifting to Bean Town, we expect the Celtics to once again find a way to get the job done. Celtics star player Isaiah Thomas looks poised another break out performance after a couple of sub-par performances in Washington. Home floor continues to be the decider in this series, lay the points on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 107-110 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the San Antonio Spurs. This has been an interesting series so far, with both teams looking good and bad at times. The Rockets come in off a big Game 4 victory at home as this series has now become the best of three. Houston has been one of the higher-scoring teams in the playoffs, but one of the worst on the defensive end. The Spurs have been in the middle of the pack offensively, but one of the best on the defensive end. Pretty much identical to what each did in the regular season as well. One big factor working against the Rockets though is the loss of big man Nene to a torn left adductor. Also note that Houston is just 12-20 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more, while San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when tied in a playoff series. Expect Popovich to make the necessary adjustments, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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05-06-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State has won the first two games of this series quite easiy, but it’s come up a single bucket short in each game in actually covering the Las Vegas spread. We think that changes tonight though as we’re expecting the Warriors to play their best game of this entire series as they look to stomp out all remaining hope for the floundering Jazz. Utah owned the No. 1 defense in the league in the regular season, but so far it’s been a disaster against the league’s No. 1 offense. Nothing is going to change because of a venue change in our opinion. Note that the Warriors are now 5-1 ATS in their last six when leading in a playoff series, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games. Play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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05-04-17 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Washington Nationals. Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we definitely believe that Max Scherzer and the home side should be much bigger ones. In fact, we feel that the talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the near “pick-em” price. Braden Shipley: He’s been called up to make this single start for the Nats. In Triple-A Reno this season he owns a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Note that he was particularly bad in this spot last year, going just 3-4 with a 4.81 ERA on the road. Scherzer: He’s 3-2 with a 2.94 ERA. He’s coming off an outing to forget in which he allowed five runs off nine this and a walk while striking out seven over six innings in a 7-5 loss to the Mets on Friday. It was by far Scherzer’s worst start of the year and despite the rough outing, note that he still owns a tiny 0.98 WHIP and 40:9 K:BB ratio over his 33.1 innings of work. The bottom line: Scherzer was 20-7 with a 2.96 ERA last season and was particularly tough at home, going 8-3 with a 2.56 ERA. The Nats managed a 2-1 win on Wednesday, but a blowout of epic proportions is in the cards on Thursday. Lay the 1.5 runs, play on WASHINGTON on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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05-02-17 | Wizards +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-129 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. We played the Wizards in Game 1 and felt pretty good after the first few minutes, as Washington jumped out to what looked like to be an early insurmountable 22-5 lead. However, things quickly deteriorated after that and Boston would go on to win in a blowout. We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service and we once again feel that this one sets up very well for the Wizards. This has suddenly become the most important game of the year for Washington. Boston has looked awfully good since Game 3 of its opening round series against the Bulls, but this is a spot in which the C’s have constantly struggled in for bettors all season, going just 9-12 ATS after scoring 115 points or more and a horrible 4-15 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note, this is a position in which the Wizards have excelled in, going 8-6 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more and 25-16 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. We’re expecting this one to come down to the wire, so grab the points. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERNECE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Toronto will once again look to “get over the hump” and upset the Cavaliers in the playoffs this year. So far the Raptors haven’t been able to solve LeBron James and company in the postseason over the last three years and simply put, we don’t see anything changing in this one either (in Game 1 anyways). Toronto needed six games to get past the Bucks, most recently a 92-89 road win in Game 6 on Thursday night. For some teams we’d say that an extended period of time off between series could be a detriment to chemistry, but for the Cavaliers, a club which has played a ridiculous amount of basketball over the last three years, it is without question a huge advantage. The Pacers were not an easy “out” whatsoever, but James was dominant in the four game series sweep (does anyone think that Toronto would have swept Paul George and the Pacers?). Toronto looked poor offensively against the Bucks and strong on the defensive end, but Milwaukee wasn’t the most dynamic offensive club in the league in the regular season, finishing in the bottom third. Cleveland has big men which are well rested with just as much experience as Toronto’s Serge Ibaka, so we aren’t reading anything into that matchup whatsoever. And note that Toronto is just 6-7 ATS this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Cleveland is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing with three or more days rest. We’re expecting a complete blowout in Game 1, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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04-30-17 | Wizards +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 111-123 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards were 3-0 at home in their round 1 victory over Atlanta and just 1-2 on the road. Washington did though get over the hump in Game 6 and crushed the Hawks behind 41 points from John Wall. The Celtics struggled in Game’s 1 and 2 of their series, but then Isaiah Thomas recovered from the death of his sister and Boston would go on to roll in four straight. Both teams come in hot. Thomas is a decent defender, but we think the duo of Wall and Bradley Beal is one that Boston isn’t completely able to matchup against. At the very least, we think the dynamic guard tandem will give the home side everything it can handle tonight. Clearly these teams are very even, but this matchup discrepancy, along with the fact that the Celtics are just 3-15 ATS this year after three or more consecutive straight-up victories, while the Wizards are 8-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, make the visiting side the play here. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommending grabbing as many points as you can, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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04-28-17 | Wizards +3 v. Hawks | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards are up 3-2 and have an opportunity to end this series right here and now. So far home floor has been the difference in the straight-up win/loss category, but after winning the first two against-the-spread, Washington has now gone 0-3 ATS over the last three. Atlanta has put up a hell of a fight to this point, but we think it’s run out of gas. The dynamic duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal have been huge so far in this series and we don’t think the home side will have an answer for either of them tonight as well. Note that the Wizards are 3-1 ATS in their last four when holding their opponent to under 100 points in their previous game, while ATL is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when failing to top the 100-point mark. We think the WIZARDS’ depth proves to be too much for Atlanta to handle in the end, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-89 | Loss | -103 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Milwaukee Bucks. It’s do-or-die for the Bucks. We’re expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done and push this series to a decisive Game 7 in what should be a dramatic atmosphere North of the border. Toronto’s 118-93 Game 5 victory was its best performance to date, but we’re not ready to say that the team has completely gotten over its inconsistent ways quite yet. The Raptors have been famous “no shows” in these types of situations as note that they’re a horrible 0-4 ATS the last two years when leading in a playoff series. Conversely, this has been a spot in which the Bucks have excelled in all season, going 5-3 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. Milwaukee is still the second ranked playoff defense in allowing only 98 PPG and we think it returns to form this evening. It should be another exciting one, but we look for MILWAUKEE to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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04-26-17 | Bulls +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Chicago Bulls. This has been an interesting series to watch and handicap. The day before it started, Celtics’ star guard Isaiah Thomas’ sister was tragically killed in a car accident. The Celtics dropped the first two games of the series at home, which then had many questioning whether they had anything left in the tank. Bulls’ guard Rajon Rondo was injured late in Game 2 and didn’t play in the Games’ 3 and 4 losses at home. Thomas was finally able to get over his immediate grief and focus on basketball and the C’s left the Windy City all tied up at two. Rondo may make an appearance in Game 5, but regardless, we think the advantage has now swung back in favor of the Bulls. Chicago’s back is against the wall, as Boston has stolen all the momentum. Also note that the Bulls are 8-4 ATS this season when playing with two days rest, while the Celtics are just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Grab as many points as you can, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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04-23-17 | Capitals -1.5 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS on the PUCK-LINE. This series have been very competitive. Four of the five games have been decided in overtime and all of them have been decided by a single goal. As good as Toronto has played to this point, we still think that the Capitals are the better all around team. Washington also clearly has a massive upper hand in the “experience” department. We’ve been impressed with Toronto, but we think that the Capitals’ depth and veteran leadership will prove to be just too much for the younger Leafs. So far this series hasn’t featured a blowout game, but we think the visitors win and win big. Lay the goal and a half for the big payout! Play on the CAPITALS on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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04-21-17 | Celtics +2 v. Bulls | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on the Boston Celtics. We believe that Isaiah Thomas will finally show up in a big way tonight. Boston fought hard all year and earned the No. 1 spot in the East. That was no fluke. The C’s are more than just Thomas, but there’s no question that he’s the engine that drives the machine. Thomas though suffered major heartbreak a day before Game 1 when his sister was tragically killed in a car accident. Thomas has courageously played through the first two games and has been decent, but not dominant. Now that he’s had a few more days to process his grief and get a handle on the situation, we’re expecting a monster game from him tonight. He will be refocused and ready to take out some hatred on someone and that unfortunate someone is the Bulls. Chicago has looked great to this point, but we’re expecting it to come in a tiny bit complacent here. Those first two victories were just too easy. Also note that the Celtics are 8-3 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 10-12 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. BOSTON gets right back into this series with a blowout win. AAA Sports |
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04-20-17 | Raptors +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 77-104 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN is on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight when tied in a playoff series, while Milwaukee is just 19-22 ATS at home this year. The bottom line: Toronto averages 106.9 PPG and allows 102.6. Milwaukee averages 103.6 PPG and allows 103.8. The Raptors have dominated this series over the last two years and have to be feeling confident here. The Bucks have put up a great fight over the first two games, but we think the visitors’ experience in these types of contests proves to be too much. Play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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04-07-17 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RUN-LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH on the Houston Astros. We feel that the talent discrepancy on the mound, combined with the Royals’ issues at the plate absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price. Jason Vargas: The Royals are struggling offensively this year, which dosn’t bode well for Vargas, who looked shaky in the spring, ultimately finishing with a 3.84 ERA. KC’s bullpen has also been atrocious, in the season opening series loss to the Twins (0-3) its bullpen would allow 14 runs, all in the seventh inning. Mike Fiers: He was 11-8 with a 4.48 ERA last year. Fiers is only in the starting rotation because Colin McHugh is injured, but he looked sharp this spring, posting a 2.42 ERA over 18.1 innings of work. The bottom line: The Astros are getting production at the plate and have the superior starter on the mound. Play on HOUSTON on the RUN-LINE. AAA Sports |
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04-07-17 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -11 | Top | 88-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that New York is a poor 6-8 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Memphis is 23-16 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Knicks are playing out the tail end of a disastrous season. They have nothing to play for. Derrick Rose is out and Kristaps Porzingis is questionable. Memphis on the other hand comes in desperate here, it’s lost three straight and is trying to maintain its seventh spot in the West, while also gaining some type of momentum heading into the playoffs with a tilt against the Spurs in the first round. The Grizzlies also play with revenge. It’s a perfect set of situational and motivational factors working in favors of MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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04-06-17 | Celtics v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is just 6-7 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while ATL is 15-10 ATS this season when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: This one sets up beautifully for Atlanta. Boston comes in off a deflating loss at home just last night to the Cavaliers, a setback which drops it into second in the Eastern Conference race. Atlanta on the other hand still has an opportunity to overtake Milwaukee for fifth spot in the East, which if the playoffs started today, would see it facing Washington instead of Toronto. ATL has lost two straight and has a tough home-and-home set with the Cavaliers, starting tomorrow night in Cleveland. That makes tonight’s game an almost “must win” for the Hawks in our opinion. For all of the reasons listed above, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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04-05-17 | Nuggets v. Rockets -8.5 | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Houston Rockets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Denver is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing on back-to-back days, only 20-22 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and just 6-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, while Houston is 16-9 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest and 18-8 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: Denver comes in off a tiring 134-131 win in New Orleans just last night and we think it’s primed for a predictable letdown here. Conversely, the Rockets got two whole days rest to prepare for the final push of the season and we expect them to make the most of it. Lay the points with confidence, play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports |
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04-04-17 | Hornets v. Wizards -6 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories, while Washington is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS losses. The bottom line: Not only will Washington be desperate to break the string of futility, but it also plays with revenge here after fallling 98-93 to Charlotte on March 18th. The Hornets have been playing better, but we think they finally have a letdown as they still sit behind Indiana right now in tenth in the East with just three more games to go. All signs point to a blowout for the WIZARDS, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina -1.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 37 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on North Carolina. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that UNC is 6-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and 4-2 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Gonzaga is just 4-6 ATS in all tournament games this season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest after fifteen-plus games. The bottom line: Gonzaga has faced South Dakota State, Northwestern, WVU, Xavier and South Carolina to make it to this point. That’s not exactly “murder’s row.” Nigel Williams-Goss (16.7 PPG) will create some matchup issues for the Tar Heels, but we think that UNC is battle tested and simply too talented offensively to be denied tonight. The Tar Heels beat Texas Southern, Arkansas, Butler, Kentucky and Oregon to make it to this point. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that addage pertains more to the gridiron than to the hardwood. We’re going with the better offensive club, play on the TAR HEELS. AAA Sports |
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04-02-17 | Hornets v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Charlotte is just 12-14 ATS this year following a non-conference game and only 9-15 ATS this year against weak defensive clubs which allow 106 plus points per contest, while OKC is 25-12 ATS at home, 16-11 ATS in non-conference games and 17-12 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Charlotte won for the sixth time in eight games in a 122-114 win over Denver at home on Friday, while OKC looks to bounce back after a 100-95 home defeat to the Spurs later that same night (after it had won seven of its previous nine). The Hornets are running out of time and we think the pressure results in a letdown here. Note that Charlotte averages 105.4 PPG and allows 104.5. The Thunder average 106.9 PPG and allow 106. OKC star Russell Westbrook is on a mission right now, needing only three more triple doubles to surpass Oscar Robertson for the most all time in that department. We’re expecting Westbrook to push the pace of this one and look for the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch for the ATS cover. Play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on North Carolina. Oregon wasn’t supposed to get by Kansas, but the Ducks played their best game of the tournament and prevailed 74-60. So can Oregon duplicate that performance against No. 1 seed UNC? We think that “neutral site” stats tell the real story between the teams today. As note that Oregon has averaged 76 PPG and allowed 67.6 in all neutral court affairs this year, while North Carolina has averaged a whopping 87.6 PPG, while allowing 73.7. The bottom line: They say defense wins championships, but that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We can’t see Oregon keeping pace with the high-flying Tar Heels down the stretch, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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03-29-17 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Indiana is just 1-3 in its last four non-conference games, while Memphis is 7-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 20-14 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: With a game in Minnesota on Tuesday night, expect the Pacers to come into this one with “heavy legs.” This is a revenge game for the Grizzlies after falling 102-92 in the first meeting earlier in the year. Memphis is out to atone for a 91-90 road loss to Sacramento on Monday. The Grizzlies have in fact lost four straight, so it’s going to be “all hands on deck” tonight as the team desperately tries to break the slide. Indiana averages only 91 points per game over its last seven on the road and is 0-5 ATS its last five away from friendly confines. Despite the losing streak, MEMPHIS has still allowed 97 points or fewer in six of its last seven. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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03-28-17 | Wolves +5 v. Pacers | Top | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Minnesota is already 8-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Indiana is just 7-11 ATS after a win by ten points or more and 15-23 ATS against a team with a losing record. The bottom line: After six straight losses, it’s do-or-die time for the Wolves. Note that this is a revenge game as well for Minnesota after falling 109-103 to Indiana at home on January 26th. Minnesota ranks in the middle of the pack on both the offensive and defensive end. So too does Indiana. The Pacers start a tough road trip tomorrow night in Memphis, followed by games at Toronto and Cleveland, before another game at home against the Raptors. There’s no question that this also sets up as a “trap” for the home side as it gets caught “looking ahead” to the upcoming grind. Are the T-Wolves going to win all of their remaining games and make the playoffs? Nope. But we’re expecting this young team to come out and play with some heart tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and end the losing streak. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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03-27-17 | Thunder v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that OKC is in fact just 1-4 ATS this year against poor offensive teams which average 98 plus points per contest, while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home and 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: OKC comes in off an exhausting 137-125 loss in Houston just last night. Dallas enters off a 94-86 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. These teams have split a pair of games this year, each winning on its own court. OKC ranks tenth overall in scoring, but in the bottom third defensively. The Mavs have played a lot better over the last two months, but still own the league’s worst offense. Dallas makes up for it though on the defensive end with the third ranked defense. But this play is based mainly on the situation, as OKC comes to town dead tired. Look for the hungry MAVERICKS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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03-26-17 | South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that South Carolina is 0-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and just 4-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Florida is 4-1 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 19-8 ATS when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: These teams split a pair of games this season with each winning on its home floor (Gamecocks won 57-53 at home in the first meeting and the Gators responded with an 81-66 home victory in the second). South Carolina has broken 99 percent of any remaining brackets, but we think the Cindarella story ends tonight. The Gamecocks played outstanding defense against the Bears and allow just 64.8 PPG, while averaging 73.1 per contest. The Gators hit a running three-pointer in OT to win by one over Wisconsin in the Sweet 16 and we’re expecting Florida to carry that momentum over here. Florida is dominant on both ends of the floor, averaging 78.1 PPG and allowing just 66.2. The Gators held the Gamecocks to 29 percent shooting in their first matchup this year and 39 percent in the second. All signs point to a comfortable win and cover, lay the points, play on FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 105 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWEET 16 SIDE OF THE YEAR on Kentucky. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that UCLA is just 10-12 ATS against teams with winning records this season and only 11-23 ATS in its last 34 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Kentucky is 9-7 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: UCLA surged past Cincinnati 79-67 on Sunday, while Kentucky edged by Wichita State 65-62. It was the Wildcats 13th straight victory. Note that the Wildcats play with revenge today though after falling 97-92 at home to the Bruins back on December 3rd. UCLA averages 90.2 PPG and allows 75.2. Kentucky averages 85.3 PPG and allows 71.5. UCLA has been inconsistent at times this year and I think its lack of defensive play comes back to hurt it here finally. The Wildcats are battle tested and play with revenge, play on KENTUCKY. AAA Sports |
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03-21-17 | Bucks +4 v. Blazers | Top | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 115 points or more, while Portland is just 4-5 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and only 1-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: These are two evenly matched teams battling for a playoff spot in their respective conferences, but we think the situation favors the visitors. Milwaukee is coming off a blowout loss in Golden State, but still comes in having won eight of its last ten. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Portland, which won four of its final five on the road, only to now return home for the first time in two weeks. We’re banking on the just as hungry visitors to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on MILWAUKEE. AAA Sports |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on FSU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Xavier is just 13-16 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while FSU is 7-5 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. The bottom line: Xavier advanced by beating Maryland 76-65 in the first round. The Musketeers have won four of their last five. Florida State would get into the second round with an 86-80 win over Florida Gulf Coast. Xavier actually struggled down the stretch of the regular season, going just 4-7 over its final 11 games. Defense was a major issue, but it looked pretty good against the Terps. Before that victory though, the Musketeers had given up an average of 77.4 PPG over their previous nine games. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the Seminoles who average 77.3 PPG and who allow just 70 PPG in all neutral site affairs this season. FLORIDA STATE has failed to cover in three straight, but that ends tonight, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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03-17-17 | Texas Southern +27 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-103 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Texas Southern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Texas Southern is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games and 2-0 ATS in its last two as a neutral court dog of 24 points or more, while UNC is just 3-4 ATS in neutral court games this season and already 0-1 ATS as a neutral court fav or 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Are we suggesting for you to “sprinkle a little on the moneyline” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel that UNC is going to get caught flat-footed and come into the opening round a bit complacent against its lowly opponent. Texas Southern won the SWAC and it clearly has its hands full trying to contend with the No. 1 seed. Note that the Tigers are in fact 0-6 all time in the Tournament. Texas Southern averages 74.4 PPG and allows 71.8. UNC averages 84.9 PPG and allows 70.6. We think there is plenty of “wiggle” room for a comfortable back door cover for the underdog tonight. Play on TEXAS SOUTHERN. AAA Sports |
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03-17-17 | USC v. SMU -6 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* ASSASSIN on SMU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that USC is just 2-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and only 1-4 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while SMU is 16-3 ATS this year after a conference game, 3-2 ATS in neutral court affairs and 17-2 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: We had a play on USC in the FIRST FOUR and it would need an epic come from behind victory to beat Providence. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. We also had SMU in the AAC Tournament title game and suffice it to say once again, we believe the team builds off its impressive tournament victory. The Mustangs finished with a 17-1 conference record and are battle tested. USC averages 78.6 PPG and allows 73.1. But as mentioned off the top, we think the Trojans come in “gassed” here. SMU averages 74.5 PPG and allows just 59.8, ranked third in the country. For all the reasons listed above, we’re riding SMU and its suffocating defense on Friday afternoon. AAA Sports |
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03-17-17 | Oklahoma State v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
My 10 SUPER BLOWOUT is on Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Oklahoma State is just 4-5 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and 0-3 ATS in its last three when playing with seven or more days rest, while Michigan is 9-4 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 6-0 in all tournament games this season. The bottom line: We had Michigan in the Big Ten Conference Tournament title game and we’re expecting the Wolverines to carry that momentum over here. OKS comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost three straight. League play began with six straight losses for the Pokes, but they’d then rebound to win ten of their next 11, before then dropping their final three, including a 92-83 setback to eventual Champion Iowa State in the first round of the Big 12 event. Michigan has played in 27 NCAA Tournaments, including in six of the last seven years. We think that experience pays off here. Lay the points, play on the WOLVERINES. AAA Sports |
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03-16-17 | Jazz v. Cavs -7 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Utah is just 12-17 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 11-15 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 PPG, while Cleveland is 12-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and 15-12 ATS this season against teams with winning records. The bottom line: No need to overthink this one, not only do the CAVALIERS play with revenge, but Utah comes in having played in Detroit just last night. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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03-15-17 | USC -1 v. Providence | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on USC. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that USC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after giving up 76 points or more, while Providence is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 60 points or less. The bottom line: Both teams went 10-8 in league play. USC went toe to toe with No. 3 UCLA in the Pac-12 Quarterfinals and fell 76-74. The Trojans defense looked awesome, holding the top scoring team in the country to just 41 pecent shooting. We’re expecting USC to carry over that defensive intensity into this one. Note that the Trojans average 78.7 PPG and allow 73.2. Providence averages just 70.2 PPG, but makes up for it by allowing only 66.6. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’re going to take the superior offense in this one and as we pointed out, the Trojans also looked spectacular on the defensive side of the ball in the conference tournament. Play on USC. AAA Sports |
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03-14-17 | 76ers v. Warriors -16.5 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. The bottom line: The Warriors enter this one having lost three straight. Philadelphia enters off a hugely satisfying 118-116 road win over LA in its latest action. We’re expecting the struggling Warriors to put on a clinic today as they look to get off the schneid with a resounding victory. At the same time, this does definitely also set up as a classic letdown spot for Philadelphia, which has little to play for other than pride at this point. This has also been an arena in which the 76ers have struggled in for a while now, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 at Golden State. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have excelled in for bettors, going 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against a team with a losing road record. Over their last ten game the 76ers have allowed an average of a whopping 116 points. We’re laying the points with confidence, play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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03-14-17 | Kansas State v. Wake Forest | Top | 95-88 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Kansas State is just 4-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Wake Forest is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing with five or six days rest and already 3-2 ATS in all tournament games this year. The bottom line: Wake Forest enters off a 99-90 loss to Virginia Tech, while K-State fell 51-50 to West Virginia in its conference tournament. On neutral courts this year the Demon Deacons have averaged a whopping 88.0 PPG on 52.3 percent shooting, while allowing 83 PPG. K-State is averaging just 69.8 PPG and allowing 60.7 in tournament contests. They say “defense” wins championships, but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’ll take the stronger offense and better coached team and expect a rout. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Milwaukee is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 after playing three consecutive home games and only 6-14 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories (also just 11-18 ATS on the road), while Memphis is 18-12 ATS this seaosn in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Milwaukee averages 105.1 PPG and allows 104.3. Memphis averages 101.2 points and allows just 100.8. This is the start of a tough Western road swing for the Bucks, with games against the Clippers and Warriors next week. It’s obviously not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to this rough part of their schedule and they could also be caught flat-footed with complacency off six-straight victories. The Grizzlies on the other hand have lost five straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to get off the scheid. Lay the points, play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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03-13-17 | Wizards v. Wolves -1 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is just 7-9 ATS so far in the second half of the season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this month overall and 17-9 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 points per game. The bottom line: Not only do we think this one sets up great for the Wolves from a trend based stand point, but we also think the situation favors them as well. Washington has won five straight, including four straight on the road and two straight in overtime. This is the final game of the trip and all signs point to a classic letdown here. Minnesota is playing its best ball of the year, having won six of its last ten, but it comes in off a tough 102-95 loss in Milwaukee. All signs point to a comfortable cover for MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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03-11-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -2 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Oregon. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is just 2-5 ATS this year when playign on one or less days rest and only 3-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Oregon is 7-3 ATS when playing on one days rest and 11-3 ATS after scoring 80 poinrs or more. The bottom line: Oregon averages 79.6 PPG and allows just 64.5. Arizona averages 77.7 PPG and allow 67.7. The Ducks are the best team in the league and have a big advantage on the defensive end. They also beat Arizona by 27 points earlier in the year. We’re expecting the DUCKS to do more than enough to secure the victory tonight. AAA Sports |
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03-10-17 | Troy State v. Georgia Southern +1 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Georgia Southern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 4-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and just 7-16 ATS in its last 23 when playing the role of favorite, wihle Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think this is great from a scheduling stand point for the Eagles as well, as they enjoyed a first round bye in the Sun Belt conference tournament opening round. Troy comes in off an 84-64 win over App State on Wednesday and we think it will have a predictable letdown here. Georgia Southern would split the season series with the Trojans, taking the first meeting at home 86-82 and we think the rested EAGLES can duplicate that perfomance in this one as well. Play on Georgia Southern. AAA Sports |
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03-08-17 | Miami-FL -1.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on Miami Florida. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Syracuse is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a win by 20 points or more. The bottom line: This is a revenge game for the Hurricanes after they fell 70-55 in Syracuse in the lone meeting in early January. The Canes average 72 PPG and allow just 63.4. The Orange average 76.4 PPG and allow 70.7. But Miami’s defense is the difference maker in the end for us, as it’s given up an average of just 59 points over their last six games. In comparison, Syracuse has allowed an average of 76 points over its last ten games. Play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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03-04-17 | Hornets +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and scheduling factors: As note that Charlotte is already 5-2 ATS this year against the Northwest division and 2-1 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Denver is just 4-5 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 3-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. The bottom line: We think this one also sets up great from a “situational” stand point. This is the finale of a tough seven-game road trip for the Hornets, one which has seen them go just 2-4. Clearly they’d love nothing more than to get off the schneid and finish strong. Denver on the other hand looks poised for a letdown, it’s a classic spot bet as the team returns to the comforts of home after two big road victories over Chicago and Milwaukee. All signs point to a letdown here for the home side, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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03-03-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -7.5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* ASSASSIN is on West Virginia. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-4 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while WVU is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and 2-1 ATS in its last three against schools with a winning record. The bottom line: WVU beat Iowa State earlier in the year, but the Mountaineers come into their final home game (senior night) having lost three straight ATS and also losing outright 71-62 to Baylor in their last outing. Iowa State looks poised for a letdown here after six straight wins. The home side will be much more “hungry” in this one, play on WEST VIRGINIA. AAA Sports |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Portland Trailblazers. We think the Thunder are poised for a letdown here after winning four straight, most recently a 109-106 win over Utah on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook finished with his 30th triple-double of the season with 43 points, 11 boards and ten assists. Note that it was the third straight game that the Thunder would play without guard Victor Oladipo, who is dealing with a back injury. Portland will be especially motivated after a 1-3 road trip. The Blazers though are still just 2.5 games out of the final playoff sot. Keep your eyes on Damian Lillard, he’s tied for 13th in the NBA with 41 games of 20-plus points this season. Note though that from an ATS trend stand point, they don’t get much stronger than this as the Thunder are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record, while the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in thier last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. PORTLAND has won five straight at home over OKC and we expect that strong trend to continue here. AAA Sports |
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02-27-17 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Baylor. REASONING: We think that WVU has a letdown here after winning its fourth in a row, most recently over TCU. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Bears as they’ve dropped three of their last four, most recently at Iowa State on Saturday. Also note that the Mountaineers have injury concerns right now, as forward Esa Ahmad isn’t in the lineup today with back spasms, he’s the team’s second leading scorer. It’s also not too hard to imagine WVU getting caught looking ahead to its game on Friday against the Cyclones. Baylor needs to sweep its remaining two games to avoid potentially slipping all the way back to fifth seed in next week’s conference tournament. But not only that, this also does indeed set up as a revenge game for Baylor after it was smashed 89-68 at WVU on January 10th. Note that the Mountaineers are just 1-2 ATS in their last three against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Baylor is already 3-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the BEARS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-17 | Spurs v. Lakers +10 | Top | 119-98 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on the LA Lakers. The Spurs came out of the All Star Break and held on for a 105-97 win over the Clippers on Friday. LA though will be eager to get off the schneid today and break a three-game losing slide. We think that this sets up as a “trap” for the Spurs, who are wrapping up an exhausting eight-game road trip with the annual rodeo having taken over San Antonio’s AT&T Center this month. The Lakers will be especially motivated though as they’ve lost by a combined 53 points over their last two games. Clearly the Spurs are a great team, while the Lakers are one of the worst in the league. We’re not here to try and convince you otherwise, we simply feel that the overall “situation” favors the home side. And note that San Antonio is in fact just 4-5 ATS this year after playing three or more consecutive road games, while LA is 23-19 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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02-25-17 | Hornets -2 v. Kings | Top | 99-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on a couple of different factors, “revenge” being the most important: These teams played on January 28th and the Kings somehow managed a 109-106 road victory. So the “revenge” factor definitely comes into play here. Charlotte is also going to be desperate tonight as it looks to break a string of five straight losses, most recently a 114-108 OT heartbreaker in Detroit in its first game back from the break, a game which it led for almost the entire way in regulation. The Hornets are simply the “better” team anyways, averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing 104.4. Compare that to the Kings who average 103.2 PPG and allow 105.6. Also note that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Sacramento is already just 1-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this year and only 2-7 ATS after scoring 115 points or more. The Kings played great without DeMarcus Cousins in their first game without the big man in the line-up, but all signs point to immediate regression in the second game. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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02-22-17 | St. Louis +21 v. VCU | Top | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Saint Louis. REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. Clearly VCU is the better team, we simply feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side and we look for the hungry Billikens to keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Saint Louis has lost three of four, most recently a 54-40 setback to Fordham on Saturday. VCU has won eight in a row, most recenlty an 84-73 victory over Richmond on Friday. Saint Louis averages only 61.7 PPG, one of the worst in the nation. The Billikens aren’t too shabby defensively though, allowing 70.9 PPG. The Rams average an average 76 PPG, while allowing 66.4. As we stated off the top, clearly VCU is the better overall team, but if ever it was to have a letdown, we think it’s tonight as the Rams are unable to help themselves getting caught “looking ahead” to their game at Rhode Island on Friday, the team currently sitting right behind them in the standings. Also note that Saint Louis is 4-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more this year and 7-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival, while VCU is already 0-3 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more and 0-3 ATS against teams with losing records. Grab as many points as you can, play on SAINT LOUIS. AAA Sports |
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02-22-17 | TCU +12 v. Kansas | Top | 68-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU. REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel this is a bad spot for Kansas and we are expecting the hungry visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Horned Frogs enter off an 84-71 loss to Iowa State last weekend, while the Jayhawks come in off a big 65-63 road win over Baylor. We think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side. Also note that this is a revenge game for TCU, which fell 86-80 at home earlier in the season. In that game Kansas was led by 22 points from Frank Mason, while Valadimir Brodziansky had 32 for TCU. Note that the Horned Frogs average 74.5 PPG and allow 69.1, while Kansas averages 82.9 PPG and allows 72.1. The differentials are not that drastic. Also note that TCU is 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more, while Kansas is just 1-6 ATS this season as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. We think the stage is set for a highly competitive affair, play on TCU. AAA Sports |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Tech. REASONING: Iowa State has won three straight, most recently an 84-71 home victory over TCU on Saturday. The Red Raiders enter on the other end of the spectrum, losers of three of their last four, most recently falling 83-74 in double OT to WVU on Saturday. We believe the the Cyclones come in a tiny bit complacent and expect the much hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Also note that this is a revenge game for Texas Tech after it fell 63-56 in the first matchup of the year in Iowa State on December 30th. Note that Iowa State averages 80.7 PPG and allows 70.7. Texas Tech averages 75.4 PPG and allows just 66.9. Also note that Iowa State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more, while Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival, 3-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and 4-2 ATS in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the RED RAIDERS. AAA Sports |
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02-17-17 | California v. Stanford +3 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Stanford. REASONING: Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it can be even harder to get it back. Cal had its five-game win streak snapped in a 57-52 setback to No. 9 Arizona last Saturday and we think the team has another letdown here. The Golden Bears now sit 3.5 games behind the Wildcats in the Pac-12 conference. Stanford will look to take advantage of a Cal team which is going to still be thinking about “what could have been,” while also trying to avenge a 66-55 setback to the Bears just a couple of weeks ago. It’s a good situational foundation to base a pick on. Cal’s big win streak is over, losing to the No. 1 team in the conference. Stanford may not even play in a postseason tournament, but clearly it won’t just be rolling over tonight. And with a game at home against Oregon early next week, the No. 2 team in the conference, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more “important” contest. And note that Cal is just 7-12 ATS as a favorite this year and just 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Stanford is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of 3.5 points or less or pick. Cal is the better team, but all of the external situational factors working in favor of the home side tonight supercedes that factor. Grab the points, play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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02-14-17 | Rutgers +18.5 v. Purdue | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers. REASONING: While we won’t be predicting an epic outright upset, we do definitely feel this one sets up nicely for the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe. Purdue does look poised for a bit of a natural letdown here after four straight wins. The Scarlet Knights on the other hand will be desperate here after two straight setbacks, most recently to Minnesota. Rutgers’ head coach Steve Pikiell is determined to finish the season strong despite sitting in last place in the 14-team Big Ten: “It doesn’t get any easier; we’re off to Purdue next,” Pikiell assessed. “Everyone knows how good Purdue is. We’re going to go out there and fight too. I’m proud of the team’s development in that way. We have gotten better. I know what our record is, but we’re playing much better teams obviously and we’re getting better.” Note that seven of Rutgers last ten outings have been decided by single-digits. And that’s significant for the Scarlet Knights (and us!), because 15 of last season’s 17 conference defeats came by double-figures. And note that Purdue has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors going just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival. With a game at home against Michigan State next weekend, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead and leaves the back door open just enough for the hungry SCARLET KNIGHTS to sneak in through. Play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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02-13-17 | West Virginia v. Kansas -5 | Top | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Kansas. REASONING: We think WVU has a letdown here after winning five of its last six, most recently beating K-State 85-66. Kansas also comes in with momentum, winning four of its last five, most recently downing Texas Tech. For us though, this one comes down to the “revenge” factor. The Mountaineers spanked the Jayhawks 85-69 on January 24th and we’re expecting the home side to respond in a big way tonight. Note that WVU is just 2-5 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Kansas is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on one days rest. Lay the points with confidence, play on KANSAS. AAA Sports |
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02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. REASONING: “Revenge” is a powerful motivating factor and it’s one that we find that the books often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s the case here, as we expect the hungry Hokies to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. VT lost 74-68 to Miami in its latest action, while Virginia thumped Louisville in a satisfying 71-55 win. Note that these teams played on February 1st and Virginia embarrassed Virginia Tech 71-48. The Cavaliers average 69 PPG and allow just 54. The Hokies average 79.2 PPG and allow 73.3. Note though that Virginia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road fav of 6.5 to nine points, while Virginia Tech is already 3-2 ATS this year in revenging a road loss against an opponent and 1-0 ATS in revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more. With a game at home against Duke next week, we think the Cavs come out a tiny bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to that much more important matchup. Grab the points, play on the HOKIES. AAA Sports |
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02-12-17 | Spurs v. Knicks +8 | Top | 90-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks. REASONING: The Spurs are great and the Knicks are terrible. This is a great situational play though as New York has several factors working in its favor and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the hungry home side can at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. San Antonio won its second straight on the road in Friday’s 103-92 victory in Detroit, while New York lost its fourth straight and sixth in its last seven with a 131-123 setback at home to the Nuggets on Friday. Not surprisingly, this one sets up as a revenge game for the Knicks, who lost the only matchup last year, 100-99. With a game tomorrow night in Indiana though, the stage is now finally set for the Spurs to have a small mental lapse as they get caught “looking ahead” to that one. Note that San Antonio is just 2-3 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games, while New York is 20-13 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, 5-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 16-11 ATS against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the KNICKS. AAA Sports |
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02-11-17 | Clemson +11 v. Duke | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* HIGH-NON TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between NC State and Wake Forest. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: As note that NC State has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and in its last two as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Wake Forest has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three as a home fav of 6.5 to nine points. The bottom line: Both teams have been playing to some higer-scoring affairs of late, but all of the numbers now point to the value going the other way finally. We look for this early afternoon contest to fall UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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02-10-17 | Heat v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: Miami continues to roll along, having won 12 in a row. The Heat have gone 11-0-1 ATS in that span. But with a game tomorrow night in Philadelphia, followed by another “cream puff” at home against Orlando, we think the Heat finally come in a bit complacent. Clearly the Nets are a horrible team, they’re just 9-44. Brooklyn is the worst defensive club in the league in allowing 114 PPG. The Nets are decent offensively though, averaging right around 105 PPG. And note, despite the recent surge, the Heat are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring at 100.8 PPG. Granted, Miami’s defense is pretty good (ranked 6th overall in allowing 101.9 per game), but as mentioned off the top, we feel this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. And note, the Heat are interestingly just 4-5 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while the Nets are 3-1 ATS in their last four against the Southeast. Miami may manage a victory here, but we think the hungry home side takes it down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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02-09-17 | Elon v. Delaware +6.5 | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Delaware. REASONING: Momentum can be a very real, tangible factor at times. It’s difficult to build momentum and once lost, it can be even harder to get back. Elon had won five games in a row before falling at College of Charleston this past Saturday. Delaware nas nothing to lose here, other than another game. The Fightin’ Blue Hens have dropped four of their last five games and come in off a setback against UNC-Wilmington last time out. The Phoenix have beaten Delaware in all five previous meetings. Last February Elon won 77-59 in Delaware. We think that it’s finally payback time though tonight. Elon has gone 2-0, most recently handing Northeastern its first home loss of the year in a 51-49 victory, before then defeating Hostra 84-70 this past Saturday. The Blue Hens will be especially motivated here after falling 108-80 at UNC-Wilmington last weekend. Eric Carger was a bright spot for Delaware in the setback, scoring 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting. I’ll point out though that Elon is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 82 points or more, while Delaware is already 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and 5-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd overall. Grab the points, play on DELAWARE. AAA Sports |
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02-09-17 | Rice v. Florida International +7 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Florida International. REASONING: We simply feel that this is a bad spot for Rice as we think the 15-8 Owls will get caught “looking past” their lowly competition today. FIU enters with an 8-13 overall record, which includes going just 1-9 in C-USA action. Rice is 15-8 overall, but note that it’s batting just .500 with a 5-5 record in league play. The Owls most recently beat North Texas 95-80. Note though that the Owls had two more turnovers than assists in that one. In fact, they’re averaging 15.7 turnovers a game, which is the most in the conference. The Golden Panthers come in off a 95-80 loss to Charlotte. Donte McGill had 27 points on 67 percent shooting. Note that Rice is in fact just 4-6 ATS against the conference this season and only 1-3 ATS after a win against a conference rival, while FIU is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can, play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL. AAA Sports |
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02-07-17 | Michigan State v. Michigan -4 | Top | 57-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Michigan. REASONING: We’re primarily a situationally based handicapping service. We also take into account strong/relevant ATS trends. For the most part, the actual contestants on the field of play rarely enters into our equation, unless it’s a top player like a LeBron James or Tom Brady etc. And from a situational and trend based stand point, this one sets up beautifully for the home side in our opinion. Michigan State comes in slightly contented after two straight wins, including a victory at home over Michigan just ten days ago. The Wolverines on the other hand have now lost two straight, also going on to fall 70-66 at home to Ohio State on Sunday. In our opinion, there’s no question which of these two teams is the “hungier” one. And note that MSU is in fact just 3-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while Michigan is already 4-2 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Desperation breeds motivation, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Play on MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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02-06-17 | Heat v. Wolves -1 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves. REASONING: We primarily base our picks on “situations.” After ten straight victories, including five straight at home, we think the Miami Heat finally come out flat in the opener of their extended road trip. The Wolves though have lost three straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. Despite the recent win streak, Miami still comes in averaging just 100.4 PPG (while allowing 101.9). The Wolves average 104 PPG (and allow 105.4). Note though that Miami ist just 1-2 ATS in it last three after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is already a near-perfect 7-1 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses. After losing Zach LaVine to injury, the Wolves are going to be even more motivated today as they look to rally and stop the slide. Play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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02-05-17 | Colorado +6.5 v. California | Top | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado. REASONING: After starting Pac-12 play with an 0-7 record, the Colorado Buffs have now won three straight. Cal has won six of its last seven and sits just 2.5 games back of the top spot. After beating Oregon State, the Buffaloes followed it up with a nine-point upset over then No. 10 Oregon and a seven-point surprise over Stanford. Derrick White had 19 points, eight boards, eight assists, four blocked shots and two steals in the win over the Cardinal. We think Cal though could come in a bit complacent here after three straight wins over Oregon State, Stanford and Utah. Note that the last two wins came by a combined three points! In fact, Cal comes in off an exhausting 77-75 double OT win over the Utes on Thursday. Note that Colorado is 2-0 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Cal is just 2-4 ATS in the same position. The BUFFS won’t be rolling over today and we think can keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-03-17 | Pacers v. Nets +7 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we think this one sets up beautifully for the lowly Nets. Indiana has won four straight, most recently downing the Magic 98-88 on the road on Wednesday. The Nets come in off seven straight losses after falling 95-90 at home to the Knicks on Wednesday. It’s no big surprise that this sets up as a revenge game for Brooklyn, as Indiana has already taken two of three this year, including a 121-109 home win in the most recent back on January 5th. With a game tomorrow night against Detroit, followed by OKC and Cavaliers, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the Pacers looking past bottom feeder Brooklyn. Note that Indiana is just 8-15 ATS on the road this year and only 10-16 ATS against teams with losing records, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three against clubs with winning records. Clearly Indiana is the better team, but the NETS and the points is the correct call tonight. AAA Sports |
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02-02-17 | Missouri +22.5 v. Florida | Top | 54-93 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Missouri. REASONING: The Tigers are a poor team. The No. 24 Gators are a good team. While we’re not going to suggest that you “sprinkle a little” on money line for the visitors, we do think that Missouri can catch Florida a bit complacent here and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Tigers have lost 12 in a row, most recently a 63-53 setback to South Carolina on Saturday. The Gators come in having won two straight, most recently an 84-52 beatdown of Oklahoma in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge on Saturday. Missouri averages 69.3 PPG and allows 70.8. Florida averages 78.7 PPG and allows 66.1. Note though that the Tigers are already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Florida is is just 6-15 ATS in its last 21 after allowing 60 points or less and just 2-3 ATS in all home games. With a game at home against conference leading Kentucky on Saturday, all signs point to a letdown for the Gators tonight. Grab the points, play on MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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02-01-17 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -9.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Clemson. REASONING: There’s no need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as Georgia Tech is set up perfectly for a letdown here after back to back home upsets of ranked foes, most recently a 62-60 victory over Notre Dame. Conversely, the Tigers come in hungry, they’ll look to keep the momentum rolling after snapping a six-game skid with a 67-60 win on the road over Pitt on Saturday. Also note that this sets up as a revenge game for Clemson as it’s now lost three straight in this series, including a 75-63 road loss on January 12th in the first matchup this year. Note that Georgia Tech averages 67.1 PPG and allows 66.5. The Tigers average 75.5 PPG and allow 69.3. Also note that Georgia Tech is just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 60 points or less, while Clemson is 3-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less and 12-9 ATS in its last 21 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. We like the TIGERS to avenge the earlier loss and take advantage of this suddenly contented Georgia Tech team. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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